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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Redefining Energy. Your co hosts from Berlin,

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<v Speaker 1>Gerard Read and from London Laurent Saga.

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<v Speaker 2>Today on Redefining Energy, Laurent, we're going to talk about

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<v Speaker 2>the decarbonization of industry and the solutions that we need

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<v Speaker 2>in the future to do that.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, the so called hard to abate sector. And there's

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<v Speaker 3>been several trailblazer in that segment. Of course, we took

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<v Speaker 3>about breakthrough energy venture energy impat partners in a certain way,

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<v Speaker 3>Predu ad Ventures who really coined the term climate tech.

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<v Speaker 3>And now the approach is how do we go from

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<v Speaker 3>a VC all up to a first factory And that's

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<v Speaker 3>what our guest is doing.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so listen. I know Sean Kingspike many years and

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<v Speaker 2>obviously spent a long time in the whole financing renewables,

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<v Speaker 2>particularly in the UK, and you know he's a chief

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<v Speaker 2>investment officer Just Climate, just start up by Generation Capital really,

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<v Speaker 2>which has been one of the four runners of investing

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<v Speaker 2>in climate the last I don't know how long they've been,

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<v Speaker 2>around fifteen years something like that. At this point in time,

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<v Speaker 2>I think it's great to have him talk about what

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<v Speaker 2>Just Climate is doing and also about industrial climate solutions

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<v Speaker 2>from why they're important.

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<v Speaker 3>Sean Kingsbury has been instrumental in the development of the

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<v Speaker 3>na of show win industry when he was at the

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<v Speaker 3>head of the UK Green Investment Bank. So let's bring

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<v Speaker 3>Sean on the show. Sean, welcome to the show.

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<v Speaker 1>Thank you very much both to you for having me.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm looking forward to the discussion.

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<v Speaker 2>So Sean, maybe just we kick off a little bit

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<v Speaker 2>by talking a little bit about what you do.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a nice easy one to start, Jared, isn't it.

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<v Speaker 1>It's like, we do the hard stuff. That's really what

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<v Speaker 1>we do with just climate. We try to focus in

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<v Speaker 1>on the high emitting and most off track areas of climate.

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<v Speaker 1>Why do we do the hard stuff? That's where the

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<v Speaker 1>emissions are. So we look at those areas which produce

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<v Speaker 1>maybe fifty or sixty percent of the emissions, but get

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<v Speaker 1>very little of the capital flows that are moving to

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<v Speaker 1>sort these things out. The middle of the investment flow

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<v Speaker 1>maybe less than twenty percent. And you might say, well,

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<v Speaker 1>why is that If these are the areas producing the

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<v Speaker 1>most emissions, why does the money not flow to them.

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<v Speaker 1>Surely that's what we should be doing. Targeting the art

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<v Speaker 1>areas and The reason I think the money doesn't flow

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<v Speaker 1>is because the buckets at the capitol comes in don't

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<v Speaker 1>necessarily meet the requirements of what the investments need. You

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<v Speaker 1>and I've both spent many times sitting at a conference

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<v Speaker 1>hosting a round table discussion, and maybe on my right

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<v Speaker 1>I've got banks, and on my left I've got the

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<v Speaker 1>project developers and the technology companies. Another look at the

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<v Speaker 1>banks and they all say, you know, we've got one

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<v Speaker 1>hundred bizillion dollars to invest in this area. We're going

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<v Speaker 1>to really move some capital, but we can't find the

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<v Speaker 1>right opportunities. And I look to my left and I've

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<v Speaker 1>got lots of project developers or technology companies, and they're saying,

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<v Speaker 1>we've got an amazing green technology or a fantastic project

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<v Speaker 1>we'd like you to invest in. And you feel like saying,

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<v Speaker 1>haven't you guys met But of course they have met it.

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<v Speaker 1>But the reason that they haven't been able to do

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<v Speaker 1>something is finance typically comes in buckets. There's venture capital,

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<v Speaker 1>there's growth capital, there's biod capital, there's infrastructure capital. We've

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<v Speaker 1>got very very clever names for all the different types

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<v Speaker 1>of capital, but these transactions are typically too big for

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<v Speaker 1>venture Two asset heavy for growth certainly not yet infrastructure.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe real assets, but not infrastructure, and they're not biot.

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<v Speaker 1>So the buckets are capital don't meet the opportunity set

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<v Speaker 1>and that's what we do with just Climate. We try

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<v Speaker 1>to provide a flexible capital stack to lean into those

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<v Speaker 1>areas that are most off track, that are usually asset heavy,

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<v Speaker 1>and try and provide the capitals. That's what just climates

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<v Speaker 1>all about. We call it climate lant investing.

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<v Speaker 2>And Jean, can you give a practical example of that

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<v Speaker 2>so our listener really sort of understands what you're talking

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<v Speaker 2>about there.

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<v Speaker 1>Let me use an example one that many people will know,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's one that I learned about maybe twelve or

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<v Speaker 1>fourteen years ago when we were running the Green Investment Bank.

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<v Speaker 1>When we set that up, we wanted to build usher

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<v Speaker 1>wind here in the UK, and people would look at

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<v Speaker 1>me kind of strange and say, you're going to be

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<v Speaker 1>in wind turbines in the sea. And in those days,

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<v Speaker 1>there wasn't a track record of building those projects and

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<v Speaker 1>delivering them long time and on budget, and they required

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<v Speaker 1>a very significant green premium. I think some of the

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<v Speaker 1>first projects we did required about one hundred and fifty

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<v Speaker 1>five pounds and I go whatever. When the market price

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<v Speaker 1>was about fifty so three times the cost of conventional power.

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<v Speaker 1>Over the next four or five years we started to

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<v Speaker 1>fund those. We delivered nine or ten projects that we

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<v Speaker 1>invested in all time on budget. The market did another

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<v Speaker 1>nine or ten. We came down the cost curve and

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<v Speaker 1>the bits on offshore wind were thirty nine pounds of

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<v Speaker 1>mega one hour. So we went from three times a

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<v Speaker 1>conventional price to twenty percent below and we created an

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<v Speaker 1>asset class and then people could invest because it was proven.

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<v Speaker 1>Now we need to do that in green steel, low

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<v Speaker 1>carbon cement, green chemicals, plastic, SAFT, long duration energy stores.

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<v Speaker 1>I could give you the list for the next five minutes.

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<v Speaker 1>You know what they are. And that's the kind of

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<v Speaker 1>track reck coord that we need to create. And we

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<v Speaker 1>need to find these technologies and drive them down the

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<v Speaker 1>cost curve and make them investable.

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<v Speaker 3>I like that from the outside looking in, it sounds

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<v Speaker 3>a bit like what Jigasha is trying to do at

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<v Speaker 3>Dewey Long Program Office, but more onnbiquity side.

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<v Speaker 1>In one sense, loan it's a private markets version of that.

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<v Speaker 1>When I had the grit prove to be asked to

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<v Speaker 1>set up the Green Vestment Bank in the UK. It

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<v Speaker 1>was the world's first. We didn't have a business model,

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<v Speaker 1>but we created one, something that was admired and copied

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<v Speaker 1>around the world. They're now forty or fifty of these

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<v Speaker 1>kind of institutions stay by stated mostly in the US

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<v Speaker 1>country by country. But there are two flaws. Without business model,

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<v Speaker 1>it works really well, but there limitations. And those two

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<v Speaker 1>limitations are, as you all know, climate is not defined

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<v Speaker 1>by national boundaries. It's a global problem, and so the

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<v Speaker 1>capital needs to be global. And while governments, particularly the

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<v Speaker 1>US government that you mentioned with Jiggershaw on Thede, can

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<v Speaker 1>move large amounts of money, they can't move enough money

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<v Speaker 1>to solve this problem. So we need a private markets version,

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<v Speaker 1>and we need an international version, a private markets version

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<v Speaker 1>that taps into the deepest pools of institutional capital and

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<v Speaker 1>gets that money to work, but using the same principles

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<v Speaker 1>that you've seen with something like the due, leaning in

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<v Speaker 1>to the hardbits, proving a track record. So in one sense,

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<v Speaker 1>just climate is a private markets, institutional quality version of

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<v Speaker 1>a green bag. You're very very close.

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<v Speaker 3>I look at your portfolio and for instance, you have

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<v Speaker 3>h two green Steeler. So that's the decombanization of the

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<v Speaker 3>steel industry. So can you elaborate to bit on green

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<v Speaker 3>steel because we hear everything and it's opposite.

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<v Speaker 1>That's a really good example. And of course we've just

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<v Speaker 1>renamed the company's Stegro, so why you use that it's

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<v Speaker 1>You could use it interchangeably with it's two green steel.

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<v Speaker 1>But the story there follows the kind of approach we

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<v Speaker 1>take at just Climate when we look for these investment opportunities.

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<v Speaker 1>We start with road maps. We don't get up in

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<v Speaker 1>the morning and figure out there's the transaction that looks interesting.

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<v Speaker 1>Is it sustainable enough to go into our fund? We

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<v Speaker 1>get up in the morning and we say where do

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<v Speaker 1>the emissions come from climate led investing? And of course

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<v Speaker 1>if you go through that, number one on that list

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<v Speaker 1>is cement and concrete production to a steel. So you

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<v Speaker 1>quickly get the steel and you say, okay, what are

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<v Speaker 1>the technologies that might decarbonize this, what are the companies

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<v Speaker 1>that are leading on this and where are they making

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<v Speaker 1>things work? And so we looked at hydrogen for the

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<v Speaker 1>decarbonization of the steel process, and we really liked what

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<v Speaker 1>they were doing. Advantage to green steel niz Stagra in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of developing a project that was world scale. This is

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<v Speaker 1>the first steel plan, never mind green steel plan, the

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<v Speaker 1>first steel plant built in Europe in nearly thirty years.

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<v Speaker 1>And if you can build it at scale, you can

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<v Speaker 1>come downe that cost curve and you can integrate all

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<v Speaker 1>of the various pieces from the production of hydrogen through

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<v Speaker 1>the direct production tower, the dri tower, through to the

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<v Speaker 1>electric ark furnace, all running and renewables, and you can

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<v Speaker 1>get done that cost curve and you can offer it

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<v Speaker 1>really at scale inside the perimeters of Europe where a

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<v Speaker 1>seabam applies, and that gives you an extra additional bump.

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<v Speaker 1>And then the key question is how do you project

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<v Speaker 1>finance this thing. This is a very large project including

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<v Speaker 1>all of the financing calls well over six billion euros.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a big project. And so in order to get

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<v Speaker 1>project finance to work, and this is the kind of

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<v Speaker 1>stuff that you do all day long, you need high

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<v Speaker 1>quality off take arrangements that are multiple years with credit

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<v Speaker 1>worthy countreparties. So they had set abite putting in players

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<v Speaker 1>forty to fifty percent of the off tick locked up

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<v Speaker 1>over five to seven years. And what we find is

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<v Speaker 1>there are a number of customers who are willing to

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<v Speaker 1>pay what's a reasonably modest premium for that great steel.

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<v Speaker 1>And why is that. Maybe they're using it in trucks,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe they're using it in cars. And whenever you're producing

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<v Speaker 1>an elected car, you really want something with the lowest

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<v Speaker 1>possible embedded carbon as well as zero till pipe permissions.

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<v Speaker 1>And so today many of the companies buy steal steals

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<v Speaker 1>about sixty percent of the win of a car, and

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<v Speaker 1>then they buy carbonov sets for that. So they're already

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<v Speaker 1>paying a premium over the cost of regular steel. And

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<v Speaker 1>so if you can sell them green steel, they're really

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<v Speaker 1>keen to do that to have a proper decarbonization. And

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<v Speaker 1>so what we wanted to do was build a project

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<v Speaker 1>which would then have a real perimeter that would produce

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<v Speaker 1>the steel from the factory gate. All it was in

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<v Speaker 1>is iron ore and green electricity, and what comes out

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<v Speaker 1>is green steel, and that's what we've been able to finance.

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<v Speaker 1>It was the biggest private markets transaction last year. So

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<v Speaker 1>as we think about how difficult the market is at

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<v Speaker 1>the moment, we are still getting transactions like that away

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<v Speaker 1>and done in our sector. And that's why we did it.

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<v Speaker 1>We started with the carbon emissions. They calculated where those

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<v Speaker 1>were coming from, and we went and found a company

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<v Speaker 1>ready to build a worst of the.

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<v Speaker 2>Kindlad John, can I ask you about cement because there

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<v Speaker 2>seems to be a lot.

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<v Speaker 4>Happening in that area, right and obviously you're looking at

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<v Speaker 4>that whole lockers.

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<v Speaker 2>Could you just give your views on how you see

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<v Speaker 2>that go forward.

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<v Speaker 1>It's perhaps one of the more difficult markets. First of all,

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<v Speaker 1>it's the biggest emitter. You have emissions not just from

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<v Speaker 1>the heat or the energy needed in the kilns, but

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<v Speaker 1>you have process emissions when you drive off the CO

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<v Speaker 1>two from the limestone, and so you can look at

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<v Speaker 1>ways of decarbonizing the heat source using renewable energy. So

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<v Speaker 1>an electric kiln does something. You can look at carbon

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<v Speaker 1>capture and storage, or you can look at other processes.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe you don't start with limestone, but start with another

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<v Speaker 1>rock that you can then use as a substitution in

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<v Speaker 1>the concrete and cement mix that you produce, which is

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<v Speaker 1>less embedded carbon emissions. But it's very hard because the

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<v Speaker 1>unit value of cement and concrete is actually very low.

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<v Speaker 1>It's very expensive to ship. It doesn't go very far,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, maybe one hundred miles maybe two hundred miles

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<v Speaker 1>at most, and the margins in it are much lower

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<v Speaker 1>than the margins for example, in steel production. No one

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<v Speaker 1>has yet merge with a leading technology and a leading solution,

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<v Speaker 1>but lots of people, as you say, are very active

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<v Speaker 1>in finding different ways to significantly reduce the footprint, and

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<v Speaker 1>I expect to see companies emerge using a variety of

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<v Speaker 1>those different solutions, from decarbonizing the heat source to substitution

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<v Speaker 1>of ordinary Portland cement over the next few years that

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<v Speaker 1>will actually make an impact. We have to do something.

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<v Speaker 1>When you look at where the emissions come from. Sixty

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<v Speaker 1>percent of cement concrete is going into new cities, mostly

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<v Speaker 1>in Asia, and we really have to do something. Nw

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<v Speaker 1>We've worked on a concept of time value of carbon.

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<v Speaker 1>We all understand time value of money, but removing carbon

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<v Speaker 1>from the atmosphere now is more valuable than removing in

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<v Speaker 1>a twenty thirty or twenty thirty five. So making progress

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<v Speaker 1>on these sorts of things now is really important.

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<v Speaker 3>Guys, you are the great thinkers, and me I'm just

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<v Speaker 3>a guy with a calculator in front of a trading screen.

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<v Speaker 3>So I'm going to tell you sim is one hundred

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<v Speaker 3>dollar paton okay, and steel is eight hundred dollar paton.

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<v Speaker 3>It's a very simply calculation cement, super high volume and

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<v Speaker 3>super low margins. The energy feed cement is the waste

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<v Speaker 3>of refineries. They almost get the powerful free petcock is what.

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<v Speaker 3>It's all full petcock. But it's a volume game. So decogonization,

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<v Speaker 3>you're going to find a lot of great techniques and so.

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<v Speaker 3>But the price are so low. It's a tough one.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a tough one. It's exactly right. You're right about

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<v Speaker 1>the point about the unit price. You're also right that

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<v Speaker 1>it's not just the price. It's two other things that

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<v Speaker 1>impact that. It's a low margin business compared to steel,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's a very heavy and difficult and expensive product

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<v Speaker 1>to move. So whatever you do, it can't be very

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<v Speaker 1>much more expensive or the adoption will be very low.

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<v Speaker 1>And whatever you do, you have to be able to

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<v Speaker 1>do it in lots of locations because you can't have

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<v Speaker 1>a big centralized planet that you ship the stuff licens

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<v Speaker 1>and miles. It moves very distances. Those are the challenges

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<v Speaker 1>with it. But I have to say we have seen

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<v Speaker 1>some interesting technologies and we've seen some interesting companies that

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<v Speaker 1>all come from the research the climate let research we do,

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<v Speaker 1>and I would hope in our first fund, we're about

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<v Speaker 1>seven hundred million advasted of our fund before we have

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<v Speaker 1>completed that. I would hope that we can find something

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<v Speaker 1>that can make a significant contribution. Maybe I can come

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<v Speaker 1>on and talk to you about it and how it

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<v Speaker 1>works and how you get over it exactly those critical

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<v Speaker 1>issues that you'veidelined, that's what makes it difficult.

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<v Speaker 3>You're also invested in immobility. So what's the segment Because

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<v Speaker 3>the value chain is ginomos, So how do you position yourself?

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<v Speaker 1>Why is transportation important? First of all, twenty five to

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<v Speaker 1>thirty percent of the emissions to each country is a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit different, and we see electrification as the main

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<v Speaker 1>way in which almost all of the transport emissions will

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<v Speaker 1>be reduced over time. You could do it for two whellers,

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<v Speaker 1>you can do it for three whe you can do

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<v Speaker 1>it for cars. You can do it for light trucks,

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<v Speaker 1>increasingly heavier trucks, but the heaviest trucks are still very

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<v Speaker 1>hard to decarbonize with power. And so if you look

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<v Speaker 1>at the supply chainel that the area that we thought

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<v Speaker 1>was one of the pinch points was the ability to

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<v Speaker 1>rule out the highest powered chargers, the ones that you

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<v Speaker 1>would use not at destinations or at your home, but

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<v Speaker 1>I've been transit at scale and to do that on

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<v Speaker 1>a global basis, and so the reason we selected to

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<v Speaker 1>invest in Abbe Mobility is we think they are one

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<v Speaker 1>of the only providers who can deliver those high power

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<v Speaker 1>chargers to global CTOs around the world. We have customers

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<v Speaker 1>and are delivering in over seventy countries. Fixing that pinch

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<v Speaker 1>point would enable a faster decarbonization and electrification of transport.

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<v Speaker 1>We also want to get to the higher powered chargers

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<v Speaker 1>because we want to get to bigger and bigger trucks

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<v Speaker 1>because if you look at where thetions come from, disproportionately,

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<v Speaker 1>they come from the largest vehicles on our roads today

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<v Speaker 1>and those will meet the fastest possible charging. Today, the

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<v Speaker 1>company has a new product out there which is four

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<v Speaker 1>hundred killowts, but over time we can imagine with liquid

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<v Speaker 1>cooling and with the product development suite, we have getting

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<v Speaker 1>up to a megawat of charging and that will enable

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<v Speaker 1>the juty cycles on those larger trucks to work. And

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<v Speaker 1>that's why we're particularly interested in emobility and made the investment.

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<v Speaker 2>So Sean slightly different topic, which is I'm listening very

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<v Speaker 2>clearly to you and I'm wondering if you're going to

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<v Speaker 2>make money doing this.

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<v Speaker 1>If we don't make money, we will failed. Our job

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<v Speaker 1>is to bring that institutional quality, deep pools of capital

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<v Speaker 1>to these areas, these areas where the missions are highest

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<v Speaker 1>than their most off track. And it's till very well

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<v Speaker 1>be talking about climate lane investing, but I should make

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<v Speaker 1>really clear there is nothing about climate led investing that

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<v Speaker 1>isn't one hundred percent commercial. It's fully caffemated at investing.

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<v Speaker 1>If we are going to move the large amounts of

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<v Speaker 1>capital that are required to solve these challenges, they will

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<v Speaker 1>move when they conceive profit opportunities. I have experience of

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<v Speaker 1>doing this before, looking for in the hard to abit

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<v Speaker 1>areas and showing that you can make great money, I

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<v Speaker 1>mean the great opportunities. There is a much less competition

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<v Speaker 1>in those areas. But of course you have to be

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<v Speaker 1>thoughtful and you need a different set of skill sets

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<v Speaker 1>to have a strategy like this and be successful in it.

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<v Speaker 1>Activity what you do and you work with many people

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<v Speaker 1>they have a very similar kind of investment banking kind

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<v Speaker 1>of team. But we needed a team who were purposely

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<v Speaker 1>very diverse in terms of their background and experience. Because

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<v Speaker 1>we're building real assets. We needed a team that understood

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<v Speaker 1>building companies and growth styles investing. We needed people in

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<v Speaker 1>that team who understood infrastructure style investing real assets. We

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<v Speaker 1>needed on that team people who understood project financing, impact,

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<v Speaker 1>engineering operations, and bringing them all together under the umbrella

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<v Speaker 1>of just climate. We purposely set the team up to

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<v Speaker 1>integrate those sorts of skills because I think if you

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<v Speaker 1>haven't got those skills, this becomes a very very difficult

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<v Speaker 1>investment Manda. Of course, the proof of the pudding will

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<v Speaker 1>be in the eating, and it's a hard manded. But

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<v Speaker 1>having done this before, having led this sort of an

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<v Speaker 1>integrated team to look at the things that other people

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<v Speaker 1>find difficult and proven that that works, I think within

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<v Speaker 1>the team we have a track record to be able

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<v Speaker 1>to deliver that. But let me be really clear. If

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<v Speaker 1>we're going to succeed in making climate lead and investing

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<v Speaker 1>something that is admired and copied around the world, much

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<v Speaker 1>like the green investment bank model was admired and copied

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<v Speaker 1>around the world, have to deliver attractive returns and highest

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<v Speaker 1>level of impact and deliver them both at the same

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<v Speaker 1>time or will fail enor mess.

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<v Speaker 2>Jean, thank you very very much for that.

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<v Speaker 1>Again, just I want to maybe go.

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<v Speaker 2>A little bit back to the market environment if you

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<v Speaker 2>look at it, I think, if I go back in

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<v Speaker 2>my career, we've seen sort of three clean.

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<v Speaker 4>Tech bubbles and all of them have blown up, and

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<v Speaker 4>I feel we're in a third one now. You see

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<v Speaker 4>all the spoks in the US that like down, you

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<v Speaker 4>see dal rounds taking place everywhere.

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<v Speaker 2>It's just over capacity. It seems to be from investor

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<v Speaker 2>part of a mess. I'd be interested to hear.

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<v Speaker 4>Your thoughts on the market environment and how you see

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<v Speaker 4>it going forward.

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<v Speaker 1>Basically, I guess one of the few joys of being

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<v Speaker 1>older is you see pattern recognition. And indeed we've seen

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<v Speaker 1>some of this before. There's a sudden wave of enthusiasm

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<v Speaker 1>followed by a crash of reality. But what happens after

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<v Speaker 1>that is a steady, solid growth. If you think through

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<v Speaker 1>wind on shore, if you think through wind offshore, you

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<v Speaker 1>think through batteries, if you think through solar for example,

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<v Speaker 1>we've all gone through this initial wave of enthusiasm, maybe

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<v Speaker 1>some excitable inflated values, a crash of reality, and then

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<v Speaker 1>a steady growth That's what I expect we will see here,

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<v Speaker 1>and we will see waves of enthusiasm and volatility I

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<v Speaker 1>suspect over the next twenty years as we continue to

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<v Speaker 1>invest in these things. But if you can create investible

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<v Speaker 1>and repeatable business models where you can get the first

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<v Speaker 1>signs of success in each of these subsectors and then

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<v Speaker 1>go for the sam rinse and repeat program that we've

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<v Speaker 1>seen in wind and solar in batteries, I think you

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<v Speaker 1>can create acid classes just like we were able to

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<v Speaker 1>create around offshore wind, in things like SAP, in things

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<v Speaker 1>like steel, in things like cement, where at the very

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<v Speaker 1>early stages of that. But we shouldn't get too excited

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<v Speaker 1>when the market gets frothy or too depressed. When the

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<v Speaker 1>market's done and look for that wave of standard growth

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<v Speaker 1>that typically comes after these periods of volatile We need

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<v Speaker 1>a deliver chart, we need to deliver which.

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<v Speaker 2>Shorty show absolutely needs to deliver.

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<v Speaker 3>I agree on the principle, which is in the short

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<v Speaker 3>term pessimist always right and in the long term optimist

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<v Speaker 3>deliver change that I agree.

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<v Speaker 1>Now now I think you should just stop there. I

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<v Speaker 1>agree with you.

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<v Speaker 3>Now. When Trump got elected, everything in the market when

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<v Speaker 3>except when obles went down, and look, that's very sad.

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<v Speaker 3>And sometimes I wonder if a lot of pine the

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<v Speaker 3>sky who could five years ago raised hundreds of millions

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<v Speaker 3>based on a power point. The purject is still not finished,

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<v Speaker 3>the quantum scape for solid state battery and the energy

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<v Speaker 3>war for gravity storage, because what we've seen in the

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<v Speaker 3>solar industry is first you have like a multitude of

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<v Speaker 3>potential different technology csp on crystalline, and then one technology

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<v Speaker 3>emerged and literally kills the rest. And I know it's

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<v Speaker 3>almost impossible to time the market. I see a great

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<v Speaker 3>future five ten years, no problem, but I'm really concerned

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<v Speaker 3>about the next eighteen months.

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<v Speaker 1>A lot of the stuff arived renewables is done by

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<v Speaker 1>the states, each of the individual states in the US

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<v Speaker 1>those targets, and I don't think those will change. In

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<v Speaker 1>the last period that we had President around War, wind

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<v Speaker 1>and solar was built in the US than at any

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<v Speaker 1>time before that, and I expect that to continue. This

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<v Speaker 1>transition will continue to happen. It's a matter of physics,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a matter of chemistry, it's a matter of biology.

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<v Speaker 1>We need to fix these things and fix the pilot.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's a matter of economics. Many of these technologies

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<v Speaker 1>are cheaper today than the altarnids. They will be adopted,

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<v Speaker 1>whether there's a large amount of political support or a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit of political support. Their job creating, and they

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<v Speaker 1>give economic advantages to those who invest in them. That's

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<v Speaker 1>not going to change. I am an optimist about this.

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<v Speaker 1>I think we're going to deliver this, and there will

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<v Speaker 1>be bumps along the way. There will be periods of

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<v Speaker 1>frothy markets and declining markets. There will be periods of

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<v Speaker 1>political headwinds and periods of political tilwoods. But the fundamentals

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<v Speaker 1>of what we're doing and why we're doing it are

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<v Speaker 1>driven by physics and chemistry and biology and economics, and

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<v Speaker 1>those are going to continue. So I am an optimist,

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<v Speaker 1>and I remain enthusiastic about the mission and about the

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<v Speaker 1>probability of making a real change.

422
00:23:47.119 --> 00:23:52.400
<v Speaker 3>Great way to a very good, very superb, very much.

423
00:23:53.039 --> 00:23:54.720
<v Speaker 1>It was good. I enjoyed it. Thank you both very

424
00:23:54.799 --> 00:23:55.640
<v Speaker 1>much for inviting.

425
00:23:55.920 --> 00:23:56.480
<v Speaker 3>That's great.

426
00:23:56.839 --> 00:24:00.039
<v Speaker 2>Thank you Sean, well Laurent. The key question that's it

427
00:24:00.400 --> 00:24:03.160
<v Speaker 2>comes into my head is whether they're going to make

428
00:24:03.160 --> 00:24:05.759
<v Speaker 2>any money and make any of these investments. It's an investment,

429
00:24:05.799 --> 00:24:07.279
<v Speaker 2>but now you might say it's not an investment of

430
00:24:07.319 --> 00:24:10.920
<v Speaker 2>but it's a philanthropy adventure and that's okay. But I'm

431
00:24:11.000 --> 00:24:12.640
<v Speaker 2>doubting wh they're gonna make money from this.

432
00:24:13.039 --> 00:24:16.880
<v Speaker 3>The most embarrassing moment was eighteen minutes inside the interview,

433
00:24:17.400 --> 00:24:20.720
<v Speaker 3>you asked the question about the climatic bubble and his

434
00:24:20.839 --> 00:24:24.240
<v Speaker 3>answer was a big si, a sigh of powerlessness.

435
00:24:25.079 --> 00:24:25.880
<v Speaker 1>That was brutal.

436
00:24:26.240 --> 00:24:28.559
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it was. It was a little bit of frustration

437
00:24:28.640 --> 00:24:31.519
<v Speaker 2>with everything. And I understand that. I understand that we've

438
00:24:31.519 --> 00:24:33.720
<v Speaker 2>been through these bubbles with Laurent, so it's just it's

439
00:24:33.720 --> 00:24:34.319
<v Speaker 2>not easier.

440
00:24:34.680 --> 00:24:38.319
<v Speaker 3>You said, third bubble for our young listeners, can you

441
00:24:38.839 --> 00:24:42.519
<v Speaker 3>remind us what were the first birds.

442
00:24:42.839 --> 00:24:45.559
<v Speaker 2>In the Internet bubble in nineteen nineteen nine, two thousand.

443
00:24:46.000 --> 00:24:48.400
<v Speaker 2>You also had a clean tech bole that was there

444
00:24:48.440 --> 00:24:50.480
<v Speaker 2>was a huge amount of hype in particularly in around

445
00:24:50.480 --> 00:24:53.799
<v Speaker 2>field seal companies and a lot of IPOs in those years,

446
00:24:54.000 --> 00:24:56.599
<v Speaker 2>and all the share prices collapsed. So that was the

447
00:24:56.640 --> 00:24:59.759
<v Speaker 2>first one, and then the second one really was to

448
00:25:00.319 --> 00:25:03.599
<v Speaker 2>eight two thousand and nine, where we had all pile

449
00:25:03.640 --> 00:25:08.480
<v Speaker 2>of IPOs of solar companies, German companies, Chinese companies, and

450
00:25:08.680 --> 00:25:11.400
<v Speaker 2>huge amounts of new funds going into that whole space

451
00:25:11.880 --> 00:25:13.640
<v Speaker 2>and then that blew up as well.

452
00:25:14.279 --> 00:25:16.559
<v Speaker 3>I remember you had the cos Laventuez, you had the

453
00:25:16.680 --> 00:25:19.119
<v Speaker 3>kind of bio fue funds one billion, you had to

454
00:25:19.160 --> 00:25:20.720
<v Speaker 3>write down one hundred percent of it.

455
00:25:21.119 --> 00:25:24.319
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, exactly exactly. So it was just it was

456
00:25:24.359 --> 00:25:26.599
<v Speaker 2>tough from what we've seen as another one. Again, we

457
00:25:26.640 --> 00:25:29.799
<v Speaker 2>saw obviously the peak of it being about whatever two

458
00:25:29.839 --> 00:25:31.920
<v Speaker 2>years ago, I suppose, and we had all these SPACs

459
00:25:32.279 --> 00:25:35.680
<v Speaker 2>being put on the market in the US really really

460
00:25:35.720 --> 00:25:39.680
<v Speaker 2>outrageous valuations, and obviously they collapsed and you know a

461
00:25:39.720 --> 00:25:42.640
<v Speaker 2>lot of them went bankrupt, and yeah, they brought down

462
00:25:42.680 --> 00:25:44.880
<v Speaker 2>the whole sector with them. And we're talking to the

463
00:25:44.880 --> 00:25:47.000
<v Speaker 2>public markets, but I just want to say it's also

464
00:25:47.039 --> 00:25:49.279
<v Speaker 2>in the private markets at the same thing, because what

465
00:25:49.400 --> 00:25:53.079
<v Speaker 2>we're living through right now in Europe and North America

466
00:25:53.920 --> 00:25:59.319
<v Speaker 2>is a whole pile of down rounds and restructuring of

467
00:25:59.519 --> 00:26:02.519
<v Speaker 2>climate business. That's what we're saying. It's not a pre

468
00:26:02.720 --> 00:26:04.359
<v Speaker 2>market environment out there still.

469
00:26:04.799 --> 00:26:08.640
<v Speaker 3>Even before taking into account the impact of Trump's election.

470
00:26:08.839 --> 00:26:11.720
<v Speaker 2>Exactly, without a doubt, without there absolutely.

471
00:26:11.680 --> 00:26:14.599
<v Speaker 3>Now, if we talk about green Steel, a Stekar is

472
00:26:14.640 --> 00:26:19.640
<v Speaker 3>a big project five billion. They're really invested heavy into it. Wow,

473
00:26:19.759 --> 00:26:23.799
<v Speaker 3>green Steel, if you look Arcelo Metal. They just announced

474
00:26:23.839 --> 00:26:28.039
<v Speaker 3>that they are almost stopping their new green steel development

475
00:26:28.240 --> 00:26:32.799
<v Speaker 3>despite receiving hundreds of millions of subsidies. We just saw

476
00:26:33.000 --> 00:26:37.119
<v Speaker 3>to Saint Groupe slashing forty percent of their workforce. It's

477
00:26:37.240 --> 00:26:39.839
<v Speaker 3>very difficult to turn into green steel when the market

478
00:26:39.920 --> 00:26:44.039
<v Speaker 3>is massively over supplied, and that's a consequence of what's

479
00:26:44.079 --> 00:26:46.920
<v Speaker 3>going on in China. In China, there's so much steel

480
00:26:46.920 --> 00:26:49.640
<v Speaker 3>of a supplied, but the problem is they are closing

481
00:26:49.680 --> 00:26:52.799
<v Speaker 3>the electric afflness. They're not even closing the blastphones, so

482
00:26:52.799 --> 00:26:56.960
<v Speaker 3>they are closing the greener plants. It's a very very

483
00:26:56.960 --> 00:26:58.799
<v Speaker 3>difficult environment for green steel.

484
00:26:59.240 --> 00:27:01.319
<v Speaker 2>It is a very difficult environment. And actually what you

485
00:27:01.480 --> 00:27:04.640
<v Speaker 2>need to add to that is that the customers, in

486
00:27:04.680 --> 00:27:07.720
<v Speaker 2>other words, the automobile manufacturers, these guys are all the

487
00:27:07.720 --> 00:27:11.240
<v Speaker 2>pressure too. That makes it difficult. I'm also be at

488
00:27:11.240 --> 00:27:13.319
<v Speaker 2>of reflection around. You might think a map when I

489
00:27:13.319 --> 00:27:17.279
<v Speaker 2>say this, but the reflection I had is that Europe

490
00:27:17.319 --> 00:27:19.480
<v Speaker 2>can't go alone. So in the sense that if Europe

491
00:27:19.480 --> 00:27:23.519
<v Speaker 2>goes and puts carbon taxes on stuff coming into Europe

492
00:27:23.880 --> 00:27:28.960
<v Speaker 2>and making europe being products more expensive, we just can't compete.

493
00:27:29.000 --> 00:27:32.000
<v Speaker 2>And that's not going to work. So I'm a little

494
00:27:32.039 --> 00:27:35.000
<v Speaker 2>bit cautious about all this type of project going forward.

495
00:27:35.200 --> 00:27:40.680
<v Speaker 3>Green steel, cement e fuels. I weigh my words very carefully,

496
00:27:40.839 --> 00:27:45.240
<v Speaker 3>but it's been almost a theological approach that we need

497
00:27:45.279 --> 00:27:47.880
<v Speaker 3>to go to net zero and the only way is

498
00:27:48.000 --> 00:27:52.200
<v Speaker 3>through podcore engineering, which might not succeed with the row

499
00:27:52.200 --> 00:27:57.000
<v Speaker 3>of thermodynamics and the low of economics. And there has

500
00:27:57.039 --> 00:27:59.680
<v Speaker 3>been a movement to go after carbon of sets because

501
00:28:00.119 --> 00:28:01.759
<v Speaker 3>you can shoot and so on. But you know what,

502
00:28:02.079 --> 00:28:04.759
<v Speaker 3>if we can use the forest three and a certain

503
00:28:04.839 --> 00:28:08.240
<v Speaker 3>number of natural investment, which by the way, are much

504
00:28:08.319 --> 00:28:11.400
<v Speaker 3>cheaper and which can deliver not in fifteen years, but

505
00:28:11.480 --> 00:28:14.079
<v Speaker 3>in the next two or three years, why don't we

506
00:28:14.359 --> 00:28:17.960
<v Speaker 3>use more carbon upsets provided they have high level integrity,

507
00:28:18.000 --> 00:28:20.640
<v Speaker 3>which we can do now we satellites and everything. We

508
00:28:20.799 --> 00:28:25.119
<v Speaker 3>just had articles six past at COP twenty nine. So

509
00:28:25.319 --> 00:28:28.880
<v Speaker 3>at some point, why banging your head to just try

510
00:28:28.920 --> 00:28:33.400
<v Speaker 3>to do green cement or green steel and ignore carbon

511
00:28:33.480 --> 00:28:35.799
<v Speaker 3>upsets which are not perfect, but you know that's what

512
00:28:35.880 --> 00:28:38.119
<v Speaker 3>they are for. They are for the so called how

513
00:28:38.160 --> 00:28:40.480
<v Speaker 3>to abate sector, and it's it's much cheaper.

514
00:28:41.119 --> 00:28:41.720
<v Speaker 1>I would say.

515
00:28:41.759 --> 00:28:44.759
<v Speaker 2>Also, what you're doing is you're helping them develop world

516
00:28:44.799 --> 00:28:46.880
<v Speaker 2>because a lot of these projects are in those areas

517
00:28:46.920 --> 00:28:48.839
<v Speaker 2>and we ad at the end of the day, we

518
00:28:48.960 --> 00:28:51.720
<v Speaker 2>need them to learn from our mistakes. We built an

519
00:28:51.759 --> 00:28:53.680
<v Speaker 2>economy based on fossil fuels. They don't need to do

520
00:28:53.680 --> 00:28:55.960
<v Speaker 2>this in the future, so we need to provide them

521
00:28:55.960 --> 00:28:58.519
<v Speaker 2>the financing to do this. In the carbon credit mechanism

522
00:28:58.599 --> 00:29:00.279
<v Speaker 2>is one way to do that. So I'm wich macha.

523
00:29:01.319 --> 00:29:05.039
<v Speaker 3>The conclusion is a bit brace for impact. And I

524
00:29:05.160 --> 00:29:08.880
<v Speaker 3>want to finish on a pot by Matt Eggers, who's

525
00:29:08.880 --> 00:29:14.160
<v Speaker 3>the managing director at Prelude Venture, super respected when it

526
00:29:14.200 --> 00:29:18.200
<v Speaker 3>comes to climate tech, and he says AI has sucked

527
00:29:18.519 --> 00:29:21.640
<v Speaker 3>all the oxygen in the room. Climate tech. Now there

528
00:29:21.920 --> 00:29:24.960
<v Speaker 3>you know they raised a ten billion per quarter. That's

529
00:29:25.400 --> 00:29:30.359
<v Speaker 3>two or three days of crypto. That's it. Now, let's

530
00:29:30.640 --> 00:29:36.400
<v Speaker 3>not confuse clean energy infrastructure investment, which is really going great,

531
00:29:37.039 --> 00:29:41.359
<v Speaker 3>but that's with existing technology solar batteries, evis and so on,

532
00:29:41.960 --> 00:29:46.000
<v Speaker 3>and trying to find the missing link in certain segments

533
00:29:46.400 --> 00:29:47.279
<v Speaker 3>that's much tougher.

534
00:29:47.559 --> 00:29:50.279
<v Speaker 2>Agree, totally, my friend. Well listen, good charting.

535
00:29:50.319 --> 00:29:53.079
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, as always, and I talk to you next week

536
00:29:53.359 --> 00:29:54.039
<v Speaker 3>the pot.

537
00:29:58.079 --> 00:30:01.680
<v Speaker 2>Thank you for listening to redefine it energy. Don't forget

538
00:30:01.720 --> 00:30:06.079
<v Speaker 2>to rate the show and subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Spotify,

539
00:30:06.440 --> 00:30:09.000
<v Speaker 2>or the platform of your choice.
