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<v Speaker 1>Nine first warning weather forecast Today going to be a

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<v Speaker 1>few clouds and it's going to clear out. The sunny

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<v Speaker 1>skies are in the highest seventy two, got a few

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<v Speaker 1>clouds there were night down to fifty mostly sunny skies.

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<v Speaker 1>Tomorrow with the highest seventy eight. Another the few clouds

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<v Speaker 1>and fifty degree overnight. Then Thursday at mostly cloudy day

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<v Speaker 1>with just a slight chancering and a high have seventy nine.

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<v Speaker 2>Fifty three degrees. Right now, it's time for traffic to chuck.

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<v Speaker 3>Ingram from the UCL tramping Center. You see healthy find

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<v Speaker 3>comprehensive care that's so personal it makes your best tomorrow possible.

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<v Speaker 3>That's boundless care for better outcomes. Expect more at you

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<v Speaker 3>see health dot com. Eastbound Lateral is blocked off at

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<v Speaker 3>seventy five Dune to an accident with injuries. Crews are

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<v Speaker 3>also working with the rect Northbound seventy five near Franklin

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<v Speaker 3>right lanes are blocked with the injury accident there. Southbound

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<v Speaker 3>seventy one continues heaving fields urtle off and onto Red Bank.

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<v Speaker 2>Chuck Ingramont fifty five K. See the talk station A

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<v Speaker 2>twenty nine.

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<v Speaker 1>If you do have Kerri, see talk station it's Tuesday.

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<v Speaker 1>It's that time of week A Deep Dive with Daniel

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<v Speaker 1>Davis doing the Daniel Davis Deep Dive. You can find

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<v Speaker 1>his podcast just search for Daniel Davis Deep Dive. Retired

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<v Speaker 1>Lieutenant Colonel Daniel Davis, Welcome back to the fifty five

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<v Speaker 1>Cassey Morning Show. I missed our conversation last week when

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<v Speaker 1>I was on vacation.

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<v Speaker 2>Brother.

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<v Speaker 4>I know, man, I always go through a little bit

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<v Speaker 4>of with draw symptoms when you take your vacation.

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<v Speaker 2>So I'm glad you're back in the office.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm glad to have you on the program. I really

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<v Speaker 1>enjoy your analysis of well sadly war, and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm sorry I have to. I'll phrase this as I

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<v Speaker 1>got a kick out of it. I just like it's

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<v Speaker 1>one of those what would Jesus do kind of things?

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<v Speaker 1>So Easter shows up and they have a thirty or

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<v Speaker 1>thirty hour ceasefire, I guess because it's Easter, and then

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<v Speaker 1>start killing each other the minute it's over with.

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<v Speaker 2>Isn't it. I mean, didn't they do that?

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<v Speaker 3>In World War One?

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<v Speaker 1>They had like a Christmas armistice and the guys came

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<v Speaker 1>out of the trenches from both sides. They sat down,

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<v Speaker 1>they talked converse, they had cigarettes together, and then they

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<v Speaker 1>went back to the trenches and started killing each other again.

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<v Speaker 1>It seems kind of barbaric and preposterous, doesn't it.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, yeah, that's that is a good analogy because that

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<v Speaker 4>there were some similarities there, although frankly unlike the one

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<v Speaker 4>in World War One, that this one was routinely violated

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<v Speaker 4>left and right really throughout the whole lot of contact.

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<v Speaker 4>So it was less of killing during the Easter holidays

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<v Speaker 4>than it would otherwise have been.

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<v Speaker 2>But it wasn't a full seasfire, didn't lead to anything.

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<v Speaker 4>I guess that, you know, at least according to what

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<v Speaker 4>Putin himself said, because he's the one who designated this,

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<v Speaker 4>that it was just you know, for at least one holiday.

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<v Speaker 4>He wanted his troops to get, you know, on both

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<v Speaker 4>sides of the lines, to get some kind of respite,

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<v Speaker 4>I guess. But yeah, like you said, it was pretty

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<v Speaker 4>short lived, so I'm not really sure what was accomplished

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<v Speaker 4>by it.

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<v Speaker 1>So where are we in this whole process? I get

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<v Speaker 1>the feeling that, you know, Trump's just kind of washing

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<v Speaker 1>his hands of the whole thing. Russia doesn't want to

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<v Speaker 1>sit down to negotiate. Ukraine wants more than they can

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<v Speaker 1>ever hope to get in their negotiations, and is Trump

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<v Speaker 1>just going to turn the whole thing over to the

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<v Speaker 1>NATO allies in the Western European countries to handle.

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<v Speaker 4>Now, this is actually a potentially very very crucial week,

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<v Speaker 4>and one of the more crucial we've had in quite

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<v Speaker 4>a long time, even since Trump has come into office.

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<v Speaker 4>There are some really important meetings between the United States, Ukraine,

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<v Speaker 4>and Europe in London tomorrow, and then there's gonna be

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<v Speaker 4>some US and Russia meetings following that. And Trump put

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<v Speaker 4>out on his true social last night that he thinks

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<v Speaker 4>within the next three days that he thinks he can

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<v Speaker 4>have some kind of a deal wrapped up. I'm thinking

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<v Speaker 4>it's more like the first version you said that the

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<v Speaker 4>end result of all these conversations is going to be

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<v Speaker 4>I'm washing my hands and moving on, because the sides

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<v Speaker 4>are still so far far apart, even the US and

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<v Speaker 4>the Western side are far apart. But then from where

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<v Speaker 4>anybody in the West wants to go and where Russia

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<v Speaker 4>wants to go are certainly not something you can bridge

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<v Speaker 4>in three days. For example, one of the things that

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<v Speaker 4>the Ukraine side wants is to say, all right, we'll

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<v Speaker 4>conceive this twenty percent of the territory where the line

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<v Speaker 4>of contact is, but only I think they call it

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<v Speaker 4>de facto, not djure, which they define as meaning will say, yes,

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<v Speaker 4>you occupy this, but we will not publicly acknowledge that

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<v Speaker 4>it's your territory, et cetera. Russia said, it is our territory.

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<v Speaker 4>It's already in our constitution. It's not even up for debate,

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<v Speaker 4>so they would not agree to that. Then, of course

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<v Speaker 4>you get into the bigger issues of you know, where

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<v Speaker 4>will those lines be, because the Ukraine side wants them

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<v Speaker 4>to be on the line of contact and the Russian

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<v Speaker 4>side says, the minimum we'll even talk about is the

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<v Speaker 4>administrative orders, and there's substantial portions of the southern three

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<v Speaker 4>of those provinces that have would have to be withdrawn

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<v Speaker 4>and evacuated by the Ukraine side.

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<v Speaker 2>I can't see him agreeing to any of that.

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<v Speaker 4>So if Trump is true that he wants to have

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<v Speaker 4>this wrapped up in three days, then it's almost the.

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<v Speaker 2>Only way he can do that is to wash his

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<v Speaker 2>hands and walk away.

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<v Speaker 1>So it seems I don't want to call it comical,

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<v Speaker 1>but you go do you talk to facto and desure

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<v Speaker 1>of course by law ergo the formal movement of the

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<v Speaker 1>border to recognize this is now part of Russia as

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<v Speaker 1>opposed to de facto, which is really what it was before,

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<v Speaker 1>with the vast majority of the population in these regions

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<v Speaker 1>already feeling more loyal to Russia than they did to Ukraine.

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<v Speaker 1>So that situation existed before Russia invaded to sort of liberate,

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<v Speaker 1>if I may use that word, these territories right.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, yeah, and then's that really kind of gets to

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<v Speaker 4>the heart of why I think that really the only

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<v Speaker 4>play that Trump can can have here is to say,

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<v Speaker 4>all right, we gave you guys every opportunity we could,

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<v Speaker 4>but we're walking because even with all the combat realities

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<v Speaker 4>you and I talk about every week we get together

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<v Speaker 4>that are irrevocably on the Russian side, even to this day,

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<v Speaker 4>the Western side still cannot come to recognize that. And

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<v Speaker 4>they think that they can actually tell the Russian side

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<v Speaker 4>where the line's gonna be, what the conditions are going

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<v Speaker 4>to be, et cetera, when all those cards are on

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<v Speaker 4>the Russian side.

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<v Speaker 2>And so I think that you're gonna get to the.

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<v Speaker 4>Point to where Trump is like with the reality the

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<v Speaker 4>dajoure if you or the yeah, the joor if you

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<v Speaker 4>want to get to that one. That they're irreconcilable, and

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<v Speaker 4>so the only option is y'all figure it out, and

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<v Speaker 4>that means y'all fight it out. And I think that's

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<v Speaker 4>just the harsh truth of it, because they will not

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<v Speaker 4>come to a recognition of combat reality.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, and we've had this conversation before. If it comes

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<v Speaker 1>to that and we basically effectively pull the plug and say, hey,

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<v Speaker 1>we're done, you know, you guys deal with it.

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<v Speaker 2>On your own.

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<v Speaker 1>Our NATO allies don't have the capacity to do that.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean they I don't think the population itself is

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<v Speaker 1>willing to go put itself on the line to fight

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<v Speaker 1>for Ukrainian independence from Russia to try to liberate these

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<v Speaker 1>Russian dominated regions in Ukraine.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, do they have the will? That's one question.

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<v Speaker 1>But then the second component is that we've talked about before,

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<v Speaker 1>do they have the military hardware to do it? And

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<v Speaker 1>I get the impression that they do not. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>they're starting to rebuild their armies as we speak, but

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<v Speaker 1>they're way behind the curve on that.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah. I mean, let's start with the second part of that.

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<v Speaker 4>First, the capacity, without question, there is not because Russia

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<v Speaker 4>has spent really the first say two and a half years,

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<v Speaker 4>two plus years, retooling their industry, building up their armed forces,

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<v Speaker 4>building up their capacity to do all these things that

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<v Speaker 4>they need to do, reorienting their economy so that they

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<v Speaker 4>can sustain this, and now that they are on a

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<v Speaker 4>steady state to where they can maintain this force a

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<v Speaker 4>half now about one point five million active army alone

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<v Speaker 4>two point something total active forces when you add in

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<v Speaker 4>the air force, in the navy, and the industry can

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<v Speaker 4>sustain this level of fighting for indefinitely, which grossly exceeds.

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<v Speaker 2>Anything the cumulative West.

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<v Speaker 4>In its entirety to include the United States can even

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<v Speaker 4>come close to match.

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<v Speaker 2>And they can't.

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<v Speaker 4>And to your second point about the political will, it

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<v Speaker 4>simply doesn't exist everybody.

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<v Speaker 2>There are many people.

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<v Speaker 4>Let me put it that in the West, ideally would

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<v Speaker 4>like Russia to lose, It would like Ukraine to win,

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<v Speaker 4>but if it costs them something, if they have to

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<v Speaker 4>shed their blood, if they have to send their boys,

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<v Speaker 4>it's zero percent.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, And it makes me think of something like Vietnam,

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of resistance. So that why are we in

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<v Speaker 1>this remote region in Asia, and why are we fighting

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<v Speaker 1>for their population? It has nothing to do with us.

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<v Speaker 1>We're not connected with them. It just it befuddled a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of people. And I know there were a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of people the big supporters of it, because that was

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<v Speaker 1>back when we were fighting the Communist you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>Red scourge. But it's amazing we ultimately become a trading

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<v Speaker 1>partner with Vietnam after all those years. Anyhow, the absurdity

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<v Speaker 1>of war. Are we learning anything? I know my observation

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<v Speaker 1>on this, considering the overwhelming amount of military might that

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<v Speaker 1>Russia has, the overwhelming numbers relative to the soldiers that

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<v Speaker 1>are on the ground, it has taken them a long time.

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<v Speaker 1>I think Russia thought they just roll in and be

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<v Speaker 1>over in no time. Have we learned something from this

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<v Speaker 1>about Russia's ability to wage war given the size of

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<v Speaker 1>Ukraine relative to the size of the Russian army or

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<v Speaker 1>is this providing us with valuable information?

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<v Speaker 4>Let me tell you something that's not entirely good or

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<v Speaker 4>kind or optimistic.

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<v Speaker 2>But after World War Two.

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<v Speaker 4>We learned a great deal and our policy makers across

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<v Speaker 4>the board in Western Yep recognized the reality of balance

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<v Speaker 4>of power forces and what was and what wasn't possible,

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<v Speaker 4>and our policies matched reality, and we got the best

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<v Speaker 4>deal we could given the circumstances, and we kept that

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<v Speaker 4>steady state peace for you know, during the entirety of

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<v Speaker 4>the Cold War, and we didn't take actions that were

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<v Speaker 4>unnecessarily provocative. We were a show to a definite strength

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<v Speaker 4>so that it would deter the other side from doing anything,

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<v Speaker 4>and that kept the peace for a long time. We

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<v Speaker 4>have forgotten those lessons, and now then, despite what we

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<v Speaker 4>have observed, with well over a million people being killed

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<v Speaker 4>and proving again the reality of the balance of power dynamics,

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<v Speaker 4>we still have refused as a cohort in the West.

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<v Speaker 4>We've refused to acknowledge that, and we're still pretending it's otherwise,

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<v Speaker 4>and that very often leads to bad policy decisions that

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<v Speaker 4>can't be accomplished and don't lead to peace. I hope

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<v Speaker 4>it doesn't come to that, and that's one of the

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<v Speaker 4>reasons I'm hopeful that Trump's a willingness to do that

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<v Speaker 4>may force feed these guys to do something that gets

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<v Speaker 4>the war off the table. And if it doesn't, if

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<v Speaker 4>they act even more foolish, if without the United States,

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<v Speaker 4>they could plunge themselves into a war that could go

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<v Speaker 4>nuclear all too easily.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh jeez.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, we don't get to end on a happy note today,

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<v Speaker 1>Daniel Davis. But got to speak it out loud to

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<v Speaker 1>point out what reality is. I like and as we

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<v Speaker 1>stare at this conflict, Daniel Davis, deep dive. Always a

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<v Speaker 1>real pleasure having you in the fifty five KR see morning.

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<v Speaker 1>Sha'll encourage my listeners to check out online. And I'm

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<v Speaker 1>already looking forward to next Tuesday, me too, Thanks Brian

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<v Speaker 1>se Then take care brother, it's coming up in eighty

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<v Speaker 1>forty to fifty five care see the talk station. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>speaking patriots like Daniel Davis. There's a Patriot program Sabree

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<v Speaker 1>Group of Keller Williams Seven Hills, and I haven't brought

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<v Speaker 1>this up though, but they have the Patriot Home Program

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<v Speaker 1>for veterans VA Police fire and ems developed by veterans

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<v Speaker 1>to help patriots buy and sell their homes. You get

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<v Speaker 1>a ten percent of thebre group's commission given back as

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<v Speaker 1>a rebate at closing. There's that a wonderful thing to

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<v Speaker 1>acknowledge and respect in the patriots in our community. Just

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<v Speaker 1>one of the many things that Shabri group of Keller

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<v Speaker 1>Williams seven Hills does that nobody else is doing, and

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<v Speaker 1>they got that cash to keys program. You get to

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<v Speaker 1>leverage Shabrie Groups cash to make a cash offer as

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<v Speaker 1>a buyer, with the Scheri Group giving a better chance

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<v Speaker 1>to win the sale, often at a lower price and

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<v Speaker 1>with better terms. Just a couple of little of the

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<v Speaker 1>programs that they offer guarantee you and their commitment that

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<v Speaker 1>you'll get a five star experience, true value in your

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<v Speaker 1>real estate team. When you contact this Shabri Group of

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<v Speaker 1>Keller Williams seven Hills, do it one of two ways.

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<v Speaker 1>It's five one three seven zero eight three thousand, five

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<v Speaker 1>one three seven zero eight three thousand. Just go to

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<v Speaker 1>the website, drop the five one three It's seven zero

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<v Speaker 1>eight three thousand dot com.

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<v Speaker 4>This is fifty five KRC and iHeartRadio station.

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<v Speaker 2>Did you know even the smallest increase