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Speaker 1: Welcome to Wade.

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Speaker 2: You talk today, the gold standard of the sports betting shows,

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where we talk the talk and walk the walk.

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Speaker 1: It is Monday. We had a loaded show.

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Speaker 2: Crack Man's going to join us, Steve Barrel's gonna join us,

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Yohanny's going to join us.

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Speaker 1: But Dan get on in here, foot and a half.

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Is that what you got?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? Yeah, I hope everyone who is tuning in, at

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least on the East coast or really all over the

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country is thawing out. We didn't even know there was

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going to be snow in Denver, absolute blizzard to end

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that football game. So yeah, and the winter no longer coming.

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Winter is here, and it is here with a vengeance.

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But we're thought out. You and I were talking, we're

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like psychopaths that enjoy shoveling snow. So figure that out.

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Free workout is the way that I look at it.

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But we're here on a Monday, we're thought out, We're

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ready to go, and we got a hell of a

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show because you know, we're kicking it off with Yanni

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the Greek will talk about this opening super Bowl line.

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Speaker 4: Get some thoughts from him, obviously on the hardwood Day

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abbreviated Slate. Steve Merrill's going to talk about two of

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those college basketball games on here. Crackman is going to

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be on here. How did his weekend go? Bill Krackenberg?

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We'll get a prop from him as well.

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Speaker 3: So a fun Monday show, Andy, but yes, a frigid

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Monday show. So we're hoping everybody is safe out there.

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Speaker 2: All right, we're gonna do the free version of the

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WTF LFG.

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Speaker 1: Dan does not have. Yeah, so here's how it works.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Well, Andy, and and I was thinking about, like,

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do I force a play? Do I look at the

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free picks page? And I was like, No, that's not

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how we do WTF and LFG. We pick a play

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every day and it's follow or fade this one Andy's having.

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I was like, Andy, I could give him a lacrosse play,

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but it doesn't go until Saturday. That's not fair to

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you guys. So Andy, what are what are we gonna

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do for his WTF or LFG. You get him a

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free play right out of the gate here?

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Speaker 2: Okay, Well we just I just recorded Puck Time with Andrew.

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Shout out to Karm you and I love shoveling snow.

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Karm does not act shoveling. Yes, but we're gonna do

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a hockey prop in honor of karm is David Pasternach

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to have an assist.

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Speaker 1: He has six assists.

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Speaker 2: In his last few games he plays the Rangers, and

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the Rangers have been absolutely terrible and they are worse

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at home than they are on the road. But Dan,

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in the last game that David Pasternak played against the Rangers,

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how many assists do you think he had?

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Speaker 4: Oh? Man, Rangers are we talking to or more?

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Speaker 5: Six?

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Speaker 4: Oh, that's a little bit more than This is the

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game that.

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Speaker 1: The Brudes put the beat down on the Rangers.

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Speaker 2: So I'm putting this as the l F g W

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t F because if we don't bring it up and

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it wins, it was like, well, what are.

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Speaker 1: We doing here?

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Speaker 5: We not?

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Speaker 1: How could you not go back to that?

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Speaker 2: So, Dan Pasta, does he have the assist or does

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he come off the sixth the sixth assist game?

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Speaker 1: He's got six assists in his last three let me

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know in the chat. But Dan, what say you? LFG

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WTF comment below and let us know.

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Speaker 3: Well, as long as a blizzard doesn't happen in the

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second or third period in this game, you're you're you're

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pretty good, because we were also looking good on the

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Drake mayprop that we had until he didn't even have

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to throw a pass in the second half.

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Speaker 4: Hard to throw an interception if you're not throwing a pass.

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Speaker 3: So Andy, as long as there is no snow inside

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of the arena, this is going to be an LFCHI

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for me. Let's go pasta over the assists. Yeah, two

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guys had hat tricks that last one. Let's run it back, Frank,

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Let's have it happen again. We're not betting any hat tricks.

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We're just betting some pasta assists. I love it, Andy,

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I love it.

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Speaker 2: Let's bring in Yanni and get his thoughts on Super

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Bowl opening line. Well up, Johnny, UFC, Yanni, Happy Monday.

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How are you.

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Speaker 6: Bought some gold two years ago? A little bit more man?

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Speaker 1: Wow?

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Speaker 6: Wow, I'm not a good side to the US dollar. Yeah,

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not good for our US dollar. But with that said,

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what a great weekend. Now I lost my UFC bet

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on Saturday. With that said, I'm so excited about twenty

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twenty six ahead and what I had planned for MMA

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coming off of losing year. But more importantly, football continues

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to crush finish the NFL regular season number one in

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profit over the last two weeks, I just stuck to

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my power ratings in the playoffs. I said that with

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the start of the divisional round, I'm just going to

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stick to my own numbers. Fourteen six and one over

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the last two weeks. Signs totals and player props finished

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number one in twenty twenty five NFL player props over

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sixty six percent, fifty eight bets over fifty five units one.

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So I'm excited for the Super Bowl. In fact, I

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had four lines already created Seattle versus New England, Seattle

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versus Denver Rams versus New England Rams VERSU. I had

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the sides created, and I had the soak totals created,

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and all I was waiting for is to see to

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match up. Once we saw the first game ended, I

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just had two lines off Seattle versus New England, Rams

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versus New England. As soon as those games went final.

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Right away, my UH power ratings supported value on a side,

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and I immediately this morning sent out a five percent

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of my subscribers. So I'm gonna trust my numbers with

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the Super Bowl. No reason to delay the bet. We're

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on a five percent side, I should have the total

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because the power rating reflects the total as well. But

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just gonna wait a little bit there to see how

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that line settles, and then it's just focus on player props.

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I should start firing player props probably tomorrow night, Wednesday

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and Thursday at the latest will start coming up. And

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like I said, we'll have a lot more risk on

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player props than we will on the side in total

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when it's all all said and done. So really excited

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about the Super Bowl, brother, But between now and to

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some days from now, we have a lot of college basketball, NBA, NHL,

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MMA and all that good stuff that they can advantage.

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Speaker 3: Of well and VR before we get into stuff that

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you're seeing here today obviously on the hardwood, talk a

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little NHL.

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Speaker 4: We'll get some folks some some steam for today.

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Speaker 3: Hasn't betting props in the Super Bowl completely changed because

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it used to be, you know, oh, you got to

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wait for the big prop sheet to come out in

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Vegas and then it's after that. But you know, once

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once the matchup is already set, you have these regulated

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you know, nationwide sports books like DraftKings, like fanduals.

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Speaker 4: The props are already starting to pop up.

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Speaker 3: So how is the approach to betting Super Bowl props

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changed for you just in this short term, you know,

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the last four or five years, because it's a completely

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complete different frontier.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, what a great point. But they use the same template.

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That's the key. That's why they have these props ready.

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They have the exact same template, and they simply adjust

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the betting odds slightly. And that's where guys like myself

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are able to take advantage because they don't. They don't

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adjust significantly enough based on the matchup, and year after

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year you find those same props that offer up value,

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you know, like the overtime props and stuff like that

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that the the recreational betters tend to like the long

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shots and the sharper betters are comfortable laying chalk to

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make a return on investment. And that's how it usually

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goes with the prompts. But with the legalization in every state,

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like player props have become so huge. They're now the

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majority of the action being booked on the Super Bowl.

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Like there was a time they were a very small

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part of Super Bowl action. In fact, the only reason

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they even created props was back in the late eighties

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early nineties, the Super Bowls were so one sided that

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people stopped watching them, and nobody wanted to pay a

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million dollars five million dollars for a commercial if no

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and sticking around for the third and fourth quarter because

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these were blowouts, if you remember, I remember. So what

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they did is they had to get creative, and they

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did it in eighty five with the Fridge with the

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Chicago Bears and will the Fridge score a touchdown? That

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was it because they wanted to add excitement to the

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game when it was a two touchdown favorite. Remember in

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that game, Chicago was like two touchdown favorites over the Patriots.

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They were supposed to blow the Patriots out. That's what happened.

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So rather than have nobody care about that game, they said,

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let's add a prop. Will the fridge score touchdown? Everyone

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and their mother bet the yes, the fridge scores a touchdown,

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and that opens the floodgates for props from then on.

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But the reason they're going to come out so quickly

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is because, like I said, there's that template that they had,

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the set template that they follow, simple adjustments based on

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the matchup. But now come about towards the end of

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this week. That's when the books start the individualize each

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property starts to get creative, and that's where we can

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really find value because that's where some bookmakers are willing

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to have an opinion and they're creating their own props

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and the goal is to try to be as creative

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as possible to try to get some kind of attention

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so that you could, you know, get more and more customers.

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That's the goal now between now and the Super Bowl,

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it's how can we entice people to sign up to

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bet the Super Bowl through us? And the way they're

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going to do that is by throwing out some props

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and you know, some exciting props and some stuff that

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they're not going to take much action on, but everyone's

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going to talk about. And that's where all the money's

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going to come.

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Speaker 1: Man.

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Speaker 6: Again, people are going to bet the side. People are

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going to get the total. But when the dust settles,

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I would say that the majority of the money, more

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than fifty sixty percent, will be on the props as

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opposed to the side of total. And that that's totally

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changed from you know, back when when shit even ten

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years ago, when the majority of the money was signes

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totals and very little props. Now it's mostly props and

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the side in total isn't even that big of a deal.

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That's why you won't see much of a line move

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between now and kickoff.

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Speaker 5: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I remember hearing a story one of the sports books

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that got creamed on that fridge touchdown, Like somebody was like,

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oh my god, this is awful, like I'm gonna get fired,

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and the owner was like, no, this is the greatest

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thing ever.

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Speaker 6: Like, yeah, it's not, like the only thing worse was

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I was here for the Rams when the La Rams

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moved to Saint Louis, they started like four and o

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and they were still like one hundred to one at

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a handful of books. And you got to remember Vegas

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has a lot of California people that visit weekend and

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week ount, so they were coming from LA and these

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guys are Rams fans even though they're in Saint Louis.

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So looking up at the Bard, they're like, damn, the

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Rams are one hundred to one and they're four and oh.

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And they booked a lot of action at one hundred

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to one and even greater at some properties. And when

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that Super Bowl finished, a handful of guys lost their

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jobs for having that that odds still up there not

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adjusting it for four and oh teams. So yeah, that

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stuff happens on occasion. You'll you'll find any efficiencies, man,

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even in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: Well, let's talk some of these opening lines and then

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we'll do a little recap on UFC anything of note

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with the Super Bowl that you're seeing right now. If not,

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we can move into college basketball or any of the

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hoops for today.

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Speaker 6: I think this is what everyone expected. I mean, this

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is what they were talking about that Seattle would be

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about a five point favorite over New England, they'd be

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a touchdown plus over Denver. So this is what was expected.

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We didn't see too much of a move when it

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opened at four to four and a half. We saw

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it go to five, and then we saw it come back.

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And that's what usually happens.

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Speaker 4: Now.

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Speaker 6: Between now and probably Sunday, Andy, we're gonna hear the

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books are flooded on Seattle because the favorite usually gets

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the money early on if the line's moving that way.

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So you're gonna hear we're flooded on Seattle. The books

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are gonna need New England. If New England wins outright,

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it's even better for the books. Blah blah blah blah blah.

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By the time we get to the Super Bowl, you're

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gonna start seeing the risk much closer to fifty to fifty.

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And it's not gonna matter which team wins or which total,

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whether it goes over, whether it goes under, as long

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as books don't get middled, meaning where the game opens

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minus two and a half, closes minus three and a half,

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and it lands in the middle. Unless that happens, they're

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not losing money on a super Bowl. I've been here

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now for thirty plus super Bowls, and it's just a

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matter of how much money they're gonna make. If it

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goes you know, favorite and under, they make this. If

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it goes favoring and over, they make this. If it

259
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goes dogging under, they make this. It makes dogging over

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to make that because betters are willing to take such

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the worst of it. Remember they're willing to lay minus

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one ten minus one fifteen on a coin flip. We

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all know it's fifty to fifty. We all know that

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true odds on that should be even money. We put

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up a dollar, we should win a dollar. And yet reasonable, smart, intelligent,

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educated people will be betting eleven to win ten on

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that coin flip comes Super Bowl Sunday. It's gambling people

268
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approach it that way, and that the Super Bowl is

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different than any other game, any other bet you could

270
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possibly make all year. The people that are betting it

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that the saturation of recreational money is immeasurable compared to

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anything sharp, Like anything sharp doesn't even factor in. When

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you're talking sides and totals. Prop different story, but sides

274
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and totals. They don't give a shit what the sharps

275
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are doing. They could care.

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Speaker 2: Less anything College basketball, NBA that you're seeing today.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, let me look at the steamshet. I know there

278
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was five sides, five totals and five I mean five

279
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NBA five, College basketball five and a jil. We moved

280
00:14:00,720 --> 00:14:03,320
on five or six. I'll give a couple from each one.

281
00:14:04,039 --> 00:14:08,559
NBA Cleveland minus four and a half. Philadelphia kept getting

282
00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:10,840
steam plus four plus three and a half plus three,

283
00:14:11,039 --> 00:14:14,440
and they also took Golden State plus eight. In college basketball,

284
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they took Arizona minus the one in the under one

285
00:14:18,000 --> 00:14:22,320
sixty six Arizona BYU added game Central Connecticut minus two

286
00:14:22,320 --> 00:14:25,720
and a half and three. Then in the NHL they

287
00:14:25,759 --> 00:14:30,240
went LA plus one oh five, Rangers plus one oh five,

288
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and why not you told plus one fifty. So there's action.

289
00:14:35,279 --> 00:14:39,799
It's Monday, and it's a little hangover from Championship Sunday.

290
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We are in action, brother, and more importantly, two weeks

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to the super Bowl, we already got a five percent

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in there, So let's go. Time for props.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk a little bit of UFC.

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Speaker 2: I hit my five percent, lost all the small ones,

295
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and I was lucky to hit the five percent. I

296
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had to tie a silva involved. Good for you, but

297
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not really.

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Speaker 1: That fight did not go according to plans. She should

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have lost.

300
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Speaker 2: And then on the flip side, you had the song

301
00:15:10,159 --> 00:15:13,039
you don't Sean O'Malley, where I didn't think Sean O'Malley

302
00:15:13,080 --> 00:15:14,159
had any business winning.

303
00:15:15,240 --> 00:15:18,320
Speaker 1: My takeaway was, I think, I don't know.

304
00:15:18,480 --> 00:15:21,039
Speaker 2: The narrative of what does UFC want to happen might

305
00:15:21,080 --> 00:15:24,600
become a part of my handicapping, Like it just it

306
00:15:24,840 --> 00:15:28,159
just felt like whoever UFC really wanted and needed to

307
00:15:28,200 --> 00:15:30,720
win ended up winning. I don't know if there's anything

308
00:15:30,720 --> 00:15:32,919
to that. You handicap a completely different me. You look

309
00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:35,759
at the line movement and all that, But I be honest,

310
00:15:35,799 --> 00:15:38,320
I'm terrified of main cards. After seeing that main card,

311
00:15:38,399 --> 00:15:40,879
I'm not like, where's the value in that main card

312
00:15:40,960 --> 00:15:43,480
unless you're beating the lines like you do. If I'm

313
00:15:43,519 --> 00:15:45,799
just handicapping who should beat who, I'm going to be

314
00:15:45,799 --> 00:15:48,799
sticking to the prelims in the undercard moving forward?

315
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Speaker 1: What do you think?

316
00:15:50,360 --> 00:15:52,639
Speaker 6: I don't you nailed it, Bro. That's why you win

317
00:15:52,759 --> 00:15:56,120
long term, andy, because you're you're you're not trying to

318
00:15:56,240 --> 00:16:02,480
satisfy the fans like need, meaning you're actually trying to

319
00:16:02,480 --> 00:16:05,480
make money doing this. You're looking for where is the

320
00:16:05,559 --> 00:16:08,240
inefficient market? And that's where I've become a fan of you.

321
00:16:08,679 --> 00:16:10,960
It isn't about it's Monday night football.

322
00:16:11,039 --> 00:16:11,559
Speaker 4: They want to know.

323
00:16:12,039 --> 00:16:13,879
Speaker 6: They want to bet the side or the total, so

324
00:16:13,919 --> 00:16:16,080
that's what I'm going to sell them. Instead, You're like,

325
00:16:16,159 --> 00:16:19,159
it's Monday night football. I think there's a prop on

326
00:16:19,279 --> 00:16:21,679
the kicker that's off. That's what I'm betting. And I

327
00:16:21,759 --> 00:16:26,200
love that file, Bro, I absolutely love it. And that's

328
00:16:26,240 --> 00:16:28,399
why I love a site like wager talk that has

329
00:16:28,440 --> 00:16:32,000
so many tappers that you can specialize and you find

330
00:16:32,080 --> 00:16:35,279
valuing guys that are specialists like that, and I love it,

331
00:16:35,480 --> 00:16:37,919
and I think someone like you should do exactly that,

332
00:16:38,120 --> 00:16:41,000
because you're going to annihilate the undercard without having to

333
00:16:41,039 --> 00:16:44,840
worry about the nonsense of politics that's involved in all sports.

334
00:16:44,879 --> 00:16:48,039
We know that, And it's not even corruption. I think

335
00:16:48,080 --> 00:16:51,799
it's more like incompetence coupled with pressure. You don't think

336
00:16:51,840 --> 00:16:54,440
they know going in, like what the need is of

337
00:16:54,480 --> 00:16:57,639
the Nevada State Athletic Commission, Like when Mayweather was fighting.

338
00:16:57,919 --> 00:17:00,399
You don't think the judges knew going in that it

339
00:17:00,440 --> 00:17:03,320
would be a good thing for the Nevada State Athletic Commission,

340
00:17:03,559 --> 00:17:06,680
for the state, for everyone involved if Mayweather got the

341
00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:09,160
w and we were able to do this again six

342
00:17:09,200 --> 00:17:11,240
months from now and then again six months from now,

343
00:17:11,319 --> 00:17:13,799
then against six months from now for the state, for businesses,

344
00:17:13,839 --> 00:17:18,079
for everyone. Like Knowing these things actually matter as a

345
00:17:18,119 --> 00:17:23,279
handicapper sucks because it's hard enough to factor in data

346
00:17:23,799 --> 00:17:27,119
that has to deal with the teams, but then to

347
00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:31,160
deal with politics and judges and shit like that makes

348
00:17:31,200 --> 00:17:35,599
it very difficult. So I think minimizing it to the undercard,

349
00:17:35,640 --> 00:17:39,319
where you don't have the politics involved as much, I

350
00:17:39,359 --> 00:17:43,599
think is a really, really, really smart idea, because nothing

351
00:17:43,599 --> 00:17:46,000
worse than that. Like you said, you do everything right,

352
00:17:46,680 --> 00:17:52,839
and yet for reasons you know, we unspecify, you lose

353
00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:55,599
a bet and it sucks. So I don't fought you

354
00:17:55,720 --> 00:17:57,519
for doing that. And I think your results are going

355
00:17:57,559 --> 00:18:01,119
to do a really good long term doing that. Now,

356
00:18:01,200 --> 00:18:03,079
I got it wrong with Patty, and that was me.

357
00:18:03,160 --> 00:18:05,960
It wasn't my originator or anything. I was confident that

358
00:18:06,000 --> 00:18:08,440
the line was going to move because Gaigee thirty seven

359
00:18:08,519 --> 00:18:11,640
years old, Gaygee talking retirement. I thought I was going

360
00:18:11,720 --> 00:18:13,640
to get more closing line value than I did. It

361
00:18:13,680 --> 00:18:15,839
got the minus two fifty two fifty five at one point,

362
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but it closed about minus two forty five and I

363
00:18:17,599 --> 00:18:20,119
got down at minus two twenty again three percent on

364
00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:22,440
implied win probability. You do that long term, you're going

365
00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:25,359
to you know, print money. But again for a five percent,

366
00:18:25,440 --> 00:18:28,079
I expected a lot more. So I failed my subscribers

367
00:18:28,119 --> 00:18:32,000
with that. But I was confident I did good with

368
00:18:32,079 --> 00:18:34,119
that card, meaning I read it good, I saw the

369
00:18:34,119 --> 00:18:36,480
dogs that were live, and I feel good about this

370
00:18:36,559 --> 00:18:37,160
week's card.

371
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Speaker 4: Have you looked at it yet?

372
00:18:38,640 --> 00:18:38,960
Speaker 6: Andy?

373
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Speaker 4: I like this one?

374
00:18:41,039 --> 00:18:47,359
Speaker 2: Actually, yeah, I'm one hundred percent. I like this card

375
00:18:47,359 --> 00:18:49,400
more after doing it, doing all that, I think there's

376
00:18:49,400 --> 00:18:52,039
some obvious dog spots and then some very obvious yes,

377
00:18:52,079 --> 00:18:55,960
good favorite spots. So yeah, yeah, I'm with you. I listen,

378
00:18:56,519 --> 00:18:57,319
we get defaded you.

379
00:18:58,920 --> 00:19:00,839
Speaker 6: And if that's a big play for you, you don't

380
00:19:00,880 --> 00:19:04,960
have to you don't have to say UFC meeting today.

381
00:19:05,000 --> 00:19:08,000
That's why we're talking about that card we're taping on Friday.

382
00:19:08,519 --> 00:19:10,920
I had both the first time. I I lean that

383
00:19:10,960 --> 00:19:13,440
way a second time. I haven't betting. I just I

384
00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:14,000
don't know.

385
00:19:15,319 --> 00:19:17,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't. I don't have a strong opinion on

386
00:19:17,920 --> 00:19:18,920
on that fight though.

387
00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:22,799
Speaker 2: I I my sneaky call is that Dan Hooker makes

388
00:19:22,839 --> 00:19:27,160
this Saint Denis fight really messy, and I think everyone's

389
00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:29,440
going to be on Saint Denis and Dan Hooker in

390
00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:31,920
Australia just the brawler that he is.

391
00:19:32,279 --> 00:19:34,880
Speaker 1: Uh, I like a little a little wonky.

392
00:19:34,960 --> 00:19:37,400
Speaker 2: So but yeah, there's there's some pretty good fade spots.

393
00:19:37,440 --> 00:19:40,240
But I'll be treading lightly on the main cards moving forward.

394
00:19:40,279 --> 00:19:40,440
Speaker 1: Sure.

395
00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:43,400
Speaker 2: I I for for for you to not get any

396
00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:46,839
takedown pressure from Patty pimblet is mind blowing.

397
00:19:46,880 --> 00:19:47,599
Speaker 1: I think somebody or.

398
00:19:48,279 --> 00:19:50,960
Speaker 6: Like I said, that's what you can't call the fights

399
00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:53,079
you can't judge the fights. You can't be in the

400
00:19:53,119 --> 00:19:55,240
corner to tell him what to do. But my whole

401
00:19:55,559 --> 00:19:58,359
analysis was off because I thought his advantage was in

402
00:19:58,400 --> 00:20:01,960
the grappling and he didn't grapple all like again, just

403
00:20:02,000 --> 00:20:02,519
looking you do.

404
00:20:05,519 --> 00:20:08,920
Speaker 2: You just struck with a striker, just a kiss of death,

405
00:20:09,319 --> 00:20:12,559
unbelieving and that was and that his face is not

406
00:20:12,799 --> 00:20:15,559
it's not permanently damaged, but the amount of damage he

407
00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:18,279
took to his face, that tissue.

408
00:20:17,960 --> 00:20:20,359
Speaker 6: Shortened your career, Yeah, it.

409
00:20:20,279 --> 00:20:23,440
Speaker 1: Does, it was, it was. It was a massive loss loss.

410
00:20:23,599 --> 00:20:25,480
Speaker 2: So all right, well we'd already know you got a

411
00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:27,160
five percent best bet up for Super.

412
00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:33,119
Speaker 6: That the five the Super Bowl packages up, there's a

413
00:20:33,160 --> 00:20:36,680
five percent in there. I'll be adding player prompts as

414
00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:39,519
I confirm it, and I'm pretty sure when that Super

415
00:20:39,519 --> 00:20:42,960
Bowl kicks off, I will have a premium obviously on

416
00:20:43,039 --> 00:20:45,559
the side, and the total. I think we'll have both

417
00:20:45,640 --> 00:20:48,720
side in total with a handful of player prompts. The

418
00:20:48,799 --> 00:20:54,160
steam sheets up. It's got n NBA, college basketball, and NHL,

419
00:20:54,559 --> 00:20:57,319
and that will also include throughout the week the player

420
00:20:57,440 --> 00:21:01,480
props that didn't make the premium car like yesterday's Steamshet

421
00:21:01,559 --> 00:21:04,960
had like seven, eight player prompts, ten player prompts. I

422
00:21:05,039 --> 00:21:08,119
think they ended up doing really well. So Steam sheets up,

423
00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:12,400
super Bowl passes up. I should have the UFC pass

424
00:21:12,519 --> 00:21:15,000
up because of four percent was already released from my

425
00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:18,039
originator and I like this card as well. So big

426
00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:21,359
two weeks as we wait for Super Bowl Sunday. But

427
00:21:21,839 --> 00:21:25,119
don't wait too long because again we already got down

428
00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:27,880
on the side. So again, best the luck to everyone

429
00:21:27,960 --> 00:21:30,519
this week and hope you do some damage as well.

430
00:21:30,559 --> 00:21:34,680
Speaker 2: Andy, Thank you very much. Janni absolutely can't wait. Yanni

431
00:21:34,759 --> 00:21:36,519
the Greek, one of the best in the business.

432
00:21:36,519 --> 00:21:36,799
Speaker 5: Thank you.

433
00:21:39,920 --> 00:21:43,960
Speaker 2: Real quick early action in the NBA, mainly seventy six

434
00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:46,279
ers Hornets. I do have a couple free plays, actually

435
00:21:46,400 --> 00:21:50,519
I can give those out. Oh Pascal Siakam, this game

436
00:21:50,599 --> 00:21:52,759
is like an hour. You gotta lay juice, but they

437
00:21:52,799 --> 00:21:55,880
keep putting out three and a half assists on Pascal Siakam.

438
00:21:55,880 --> 00:22:00,119
He's averaging like nine potential assists and games of one

439
00:22:00,240 --> 00:22:02,759
thirty eastern So you gotam in an hour. That's just

440
00:22:02,759 --> 00:22:06,640
if you want juice. Seventy six Ers Hornets. Yeah, Andre

441
00:22:06,759 --> 00:22:09,119
Drummond over nine and a half rebounds. Here's my write

442
00:22:09,160 --> 00:22:11,440
up for that one. With Embiid and Paul George out,

443
00:22:11,759 --> 00:22:14,440
Drummond has gone for eleven plus rebounds in eight of

444
00:22:14,480 --> 00:22:17,519
his last nine games. In those spots, he's averaging twenty

445
00:22:17,559 --> 00:22:23,640
seven minutes eighteen rebound chances per game. Here's here's the issue, though,

446
00:22:24,319 --> 00:22:27,359
of all teams, you would never guess Charlotte ranks number

447
00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:28,839
one and rebounds to centers.

448
00:22:29,839 --> 00:22:32,480
Speaker 1: The Charlotte Hornets, who don't really have that much size.

449
00:22:32,839 --> 00:22:36,480
Speaker 2: Their guards crashed and their forwards crash, and centers don't

450
00:22:36,519 --> 00:22:39,559
get a ton of rebounds. But Drummond already played them

451
00:22:39,559 --> 00:22:42,160
earlier this season. He had thirteen rebounds against them. It

452
00:22:42,319 --> 00:22:46,000
missed the client card, but it's a lean. It's something

453
00:22:46,039 --> 00:22:48,279
you can look at. But the Andre Drummond, I thought

454
00:22:48,279 --> 00:22:50,079
the numbers should be ten and a half. You can

455
00:22:50,079 --> 00:22:52,559
get it at nine and a half again, Embiid Paul

456
00:22:52,599 --> 00:22:55,680
George are out, So yeah.

457
00:22:55,440 --> 00:22:58,359
Speaker 4: I love it. Well, we're all about the assist today.

458
00:22:58,519 --> 00:23:00,000
Speaker 3: I like that you threw a little rebound in there,

459
00:23:00,039 --> 00:23:03,039
but we're all about the nice on the hard one.

460
00:23:03,319 --> 00:23:05,480
That game going early, so that's a little bit for

461
00:23:05,519 --> 00:23:07,880
the live viewers. I know Bill Krackenberg, he's gonna have

462
00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:10,039
a prop coming up here before we bring him in

463
00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:13,279
Andy that seven day special it's expiring soon.

464
00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:15,079
Speaker 4: What do you got locked and loaded?

465
00:23:15,119 --> 00:23:16,720
Speaker 3: I know you said you won the five percent or

466
00:23:16,799 --> 00:23:18,880
still kind of a kiss your sister weekend when people

467
00:23:18,920 --> 00:23:21,440
love it when you win the big plays. So so

468
00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:23,319
how are we doing as we move forward into this week?

469
00:23:23,359 --> 00:23:25,599
And what are you going to be locked and loaded?

470
00:23:25,759 --> 00:23:27,400
Before we talk to Bill here in a second?

471
00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:30,640
Speaker 2: That is I never know how to feel about it

472
00:23:30,640 --> 00:23:33,720
when you have a losing record in a package, but

473
00:23:33,759 --> 00:23:34,720
you hit the five percent.

474
00:23:34,960 --> 00:23:36,200
Speaker 4: People love the big player.

475
00:23:36,359 --> 00:23:38,839
Speaker 3: But for the way that you and I do it,

476
00:23:39,079 --> 00:23:41,000
you know what I mean, it's like we want we

477
00:23:41,039 --> 00:23:42,680
want the volume to hit, you know what I mean,

478
00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:44,799
like having the big play hit because we know people

479
00:23:44,839 --> 00:23:47,519
probably bet him a little bit heavier than they should.

480
00:23:48,279 --> 00:23:50,119
You know, you can at least feel good that you

481
00:23:50,200 --> 00:23:52,079
got the five percenter home, But you know, you and

482
00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:54,079
I are kicking ourselves if we if we don't have

483
00:23:54,519 --> 00:23:57,400
the above fifty two percent, we could care less about

484
00:23:57,400 --> 00:23:58,920
the weekend. You know, it's a it's a it's a

485
00:23:59,000 --> 00:24:01,920
frustrating weekend for us. But you did hit the big one,

486
00:24:02,079 --> 00:24:03,559
and I'm sure there are plenty of people who are

487
00:24:03,559 --> 00:24:04,519
happy about that one.

488
00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:07,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, full disclosure, Saturday was not good.

489
00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:10,039
Speaker 2: That was that was a big losing day for us

490
00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:14,079
all access clients. You guys broke even on Sunday. But

491
00:24:14,319 --> 00:24:17,480
today four percent NBA best bet is up. Don't don't

492
00:24:17,480 --> 00:24:19,640
get that, get the seven days for three days that's

493
00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:23,400
still up, and you can a lot of specials on

494
00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:26,839
the specials page. But having a good twenty twenty six,

495
00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:28,720
absolutely love and where we're at. We learned a lot

496
00:24:28,759 --> 00:24:30,640
from that UFC card. I'm going to be very low

497
00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:33,160
volume in UFC moving forward, but we hit a couple

498
00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:35,559
of NBA plays up yesterday. That's eight and three run.

499
00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:38,119
That's a sport that we're just seeing really really well

500
00:24:38,240 --> 00:24:41,359
right now. And four percent best bet that's up. And

501
00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:43,720
I think I may have another play for tonight that

502
00:24:43,759 --> 00:24:46,200
will be attached to it as well. So you'll probably

503
00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:48,720
get a couple best bets for this Monday. But again,

504
00:24:49,279 --> 00:24:51,759
don't get one play, just get get seven days for

505
00:24:51,839 --> 00:24:52,519
the price of three.

506
00:24:52,559 --> 00:24:54,279
Speaker 1: That way you can see what we can do over

507
00:24:54,279 --> 00:24:55,079
the course of a week.

508
00:24:55,279 --> 00:24:59,319
Speaker 2: So all right, let's bring in Bill Krakenberg.

509
00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:07,039
Speaker 4: How we doing, brother, good? How we doing? Okay, I'm

510
00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:07,599
not bad.

511
00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:09,279
Speaker 3: Like Andy said, it was kind of just one of

512
00:25:09,319 --> 00:25:12,279
those weekends where you know, you win some, you lose some.

513
00:25:12,599 --> 00:25:14,599
So I'll tell you what, I'm glad that we only

514
00:25:14,599 --> 00:25:16,599
have one more NFL game left and I only have

515
00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:18,319
to watch the Patriots play one more time.

516
00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:20,119
Speaker 4: I my heart can't do it anymore.

517
00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:22,799
Speaker 3: The Philly guy in me, uh, it's it's it's hard

518
00:25:22,799 --> 00:25:25,559
for me to see them continually win in the fashion

519
00:25:25,599 --> 00:25:27,799
they do. So you know, you always come on pissed

520
00:25:27,839 --> 00:25:29,000
off on a Monday morning.

521
00:25:29,319 --> 00:25:32,519
Speaker 4: That about man. Second half didn't even have to throw

522
00:25:32,559 --> 00:25:35,799
a damn pass. Bill. Come on, brother, it's amazing how

523
00:25:35,839 --> 00:25:36,200
I said.

524
00:25:36,279 --> 00:25:38,559
Speaker 7: I said it the other day on Vson, I said,

525
00:25:38,559 --> 00:25:40,960
you know, I wake up every morning it's supposed to

526
00:25:41,039 --> 00:25:45,000
be sunshine, rainbows and lollipops. For some reason, I wake

527
00:25:45,079 --> 00:25:47,480
up mad at somebody. It's just it's just the industry.

528
00:25:47,519 --> 00:25:47,640
Speaker 4: Now.

529
00:25:49,200 --> 00:25:52,039
Speaker 7: I come on here, mondays, it's the beginning of the week,

530
00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:55,759
and you know, I've had so many winning weeks and

531
00:25:55,759 --> 00:25:58,079
it doesn't matter. I still come on a little bit grumpy.

532
00:25:58,279 --> 00:26:00,960
It's not grumpy, it's just this state of the industry,

533
00:26:01,039 --> 00:26:03,920
the state of social media, the state of the BS,

534
00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:08,119
and different things and you know, I just see things

535
00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:12,440
like like perfect example, I woke up this morning pissed

536
00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:15,920
off about me not sweeping the board but my props

537
00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:18,799
this week because it's stupid, like the weather. Like I

538
00:26:18,799 --> 00:26:21,440
should be happy. I only lost one prop, so but

539
00:26:21,799 --> 00:26:25,960
I should be happy. But I still look woke up saying, jeesus,

540
00:26:25,960 --> 00:26:27,640
this did amount one hundred and twenty yards in the

541
00:26:27,680 --> 00:26:30,839
first half. I needed like, let's say eighty, you know,

542
00:26:30,920 --> 00:26:34,960
eighties eighty yards in the second half, and they're gonna

543
00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:38,079
be behind, maybe throwing the ball. And then the weather

544
00:26:38,279 --> 00:26:41,119
just started getting worse and worse beginning a third quarter.

545
00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:44,599
In midway third they were running up until the end

546
00:26:44,680 --> 00:26:47,319
of the game. And you know, listen, I can't complain.

547
00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:49,640
I had a good had a good prop weekend. Just

548
00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:52,799
sometimes these things happened. We had great games, though, we

549
00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:56,599
had really good games. Speaking of pissed off, I think

550
00:26:56,680 --> 00:26:59,720
New York's New York's pissed off for some reason, these

551
00:26:59,759 --> 00:27:02,440
more runs that control the Empire State Building decided to

552
00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:06,519
put up the colors of the Patriots on the top

553
00:27:06,559 --> 00:27:07,759
of the Empire State Building.

554
00:27:07,960 --> 00:27:10,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, don't they know that they're in this.

555
00:27:10,960 --> 00:27:13,359
Speaker 7: The Jets are in the same people don't like the

556
00:27:13,400 --> 00:27:16,480
Patriot Maybe it's patriotic to put up the colors, but

557
00:27:17,160 --> 00:27:17,920
well yeah they.

558
00:27:17,799 --> 00:27:20,599
Speaker 3: Put that and the whole empire state like flashing the

559
00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:23,000
colors thing. It's honestly, it's become like a troll thing

560
00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:25,240
that they do on social media. Because last year they

561
00:27:25,240 --> 00:27:27,000
had to put up colors for the Eagles too, So

562
00:27:27,039 --> 00:27:28,519
they do it every year.

563
00:27:28,559 --> 00:27:30,640
Speaker 4: But yeah, when it when it's New England and New

564
00:27:30,720 --> 00:27:32,599
York hasn't had much to be excited about.

565
00:27:32,960 --> 00:27:35,119
Speaker 3: I'm sure Bill, you know that that's probably what some

566
00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:37,440
New Yorkers were pissed off about this morning. Was they're

567
00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:39,640
looking up and they're like, dude, what the hell My

568
00:27:39,759 --> 00:27:43,079
Rangers they can't get a win. You know, my all

569
00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:45,039
my teams suck. We can't get a head coach for

570
00:27:45,079 --> 00:27:49,200
the Jets. You know, all the all issues, all these issues, Bill,

571
00:27:49,839 --> 00:27:53,640
But man, before we talk NFL or NBA player, prop

572
00:27:54,000 --> 00:27:54,880
gotta get your thoughts.

573
00:27:54,920 --> 00:27:58,559
Speaker 4: Man. The line opens last night Seattle Seahawks, New England Patriots,

574
00:27:59,200 --> 00:28:01,960
and to expected you know, you see that money start

575
00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:04,799
coming in on Seattle. There were some threes out there,

576
00:28:04,839 --> 00:28:08,839
even those disappeared rather quickly. Just early takeaway thoughts for

577
00:28:08,920 --> 00:28:12,039
you on the opening line here, we got two weeks

578
00:28:12,039 --> 00:28:14,440
for people to handicap out. They're betting the side, how

579
00:28:14,480 --> 00:28:17,119
they're betting the total. But you know it's props, props,

580
00:28:17,160 --> 00:28:18,559
pops come Super Bowl time.

581
00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:20,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, but but what do you think about as far

582
00:28:20,359 --> 00:28:23,319
as the opening line here, we got it set.

583
00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:24,200
Speaker 4: Yeah.

584
00:28:24,279 --> 00:28:26,079
Speaker 7: I actually seen it come up three and a half

585
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:29,160
and then quickly got bet to four, stayed at four

586
00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:30,839
for a while, went to four and a half. That's

587
00:28:30,839 --> 00:28:33,799
where it's settled right now. A couple couple of five's

588
00:28:33,839 --> 00:28:36,400
out there, and some of the books that matter actually so.

589
00:28:37,920 --> 00:28:40,480
But but you know I give out on wager talk.

590
00:28:41,279 --> 00:28:43,680
I actually give out the NFC a month ago minus

591
00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:46,200
a dollar forty five. You can see the value you

592
00:28:46,200 --> 00:28:48,920
have there now obviously people that followed me and people

593
00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:49,680
that got my picks.

594
00:28:50,119 --> 00:28:52,799
Speaker 4: So but but I will tell you.

595
00:28:54,559 --> 00:28:59,200
Speaker 7: I have a friend that's that's very very he's very

596
00:28:59,200 --> 00:29:01,559
good at what he does. And I'm not even gonna

597
00:29:01,559 --> 00:29:03,799
show you the bet. But why do that, There's no

598
00:29:03,839 --> 00:29:07,359
reason to do that. But he made a very large bet,

599
00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:11,200
the largest bet. He bet six figures almost every year

600
00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:15,000
in the Super Bowl, and he bet he bought it

601
00:29:15,079 --> 00:29:17,079
to six. I can't believe he found this line plus

602
00:29:17,079 --> 00:29:20,359
six minus twenty. He bought it the six So of

603
00:29:20,400 --> 00:29:21,960
course I wish I could get that now. It's a

604
00:29:22,000 --> 00:29:23,599
hell of a not that I'm looking in the middle

605
00:29:23,599 --> 00:29:25,480
of my one forty five. I like my position at

606
00:29:25,519 --> 00:29:29,200
minus one forty five. But yeah, he bet plus six

607
00:29:29,279 --> 00:29:31,839
on the game last night, and he bought it the sixth.

608
00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:34,839
They took a very large bet. Some of these sportsbooks,

609
00:29:35,759 --> 00:29:39,519
you know, they they will take a big bet earlier

610
00:29:40,319 --> 00:29:41,920
because you know, you would think although.

611
00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:44,640
Speaker 4: Take a large bet day of the game. Yeah they would.

612
00:29:44,759 --> 00:29:48,440
Speaker 7: Yeah, most books would take a six figure bet. But

613
00:29:48,680 --> 00:29:51,480
the seven figure bets. I think there was nine seven

614
00:29:51,599 --> 00:29:56,079
figure bets last season that were documented by the different

615
00:29:56,079 --> 00:29:59,119
sportsbooks around town that took a million dollars or more.

616
00:29:59,559 --> 00:30:01,519
And you know, you could take it with the you know,

617
00:30:01,519 --> 00:30:03,160
a week to goo or a few days to go,

618
00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:05,000
because you can work with that line. You can get

619
00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:09,000
customers on the other side and generate juice for your book.

620
00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:12,079
It's always a fun time, it really is. Everyone bets

621
00:30:12,079 --> 00:30:15,599
the Super Bowl, literally, uh, everyone.

622
00:30:15,200 --> 00:30:17,400
Speaker 4: From office workers, housewives.

623
00:30:17,759 --> 00:30:22,039
Speaker 7: Everyone has those box pools you know back where I'm from,

624
00:30:22,079 --> 00:30:26,000
but uh, the box pools are sick. Even my little

625
00:30:26,039 --> 00:30:28,079
brother called me out the other day. He said, Hey,

626
00:30:28,279 --> 00:30:28,920
can you get me.

627
00:30:28,839 --> 00:30:30,559
Speaker 4: In one hundred dollars box pool? I said, we don't.

628
00:30:30,599 --> 00:30:33,279
Speaker 7: We don't have box pools in Vegas, buddy, Like, we

629
00:30:33,319 --> 00:30:34,440
don't have that because.

630
00:30:34,319 --> 00:30:34,799
Speaker 4: We're used to.

631
00:30:34,920 --> 00:30:37,640
Speaker 7: Like Staten Island, New York is the king of box pools.

632
00:30:38,079 --> 00:30:41,319
Anyone out there that knows about these pools or from

633
00:30:41,319 --> 00:30:44,160
Staten Island, you know what goes on over there. They

634
00:30:44,160 --> 00:30:47,119
have the biggest pools in the world. They have boxes,

635
00:30:48,039 --> 00:30:52,160
they have they have ten thousand dollars boxes. Literally, stat

636
00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:53,920
Nown' got a lot of money. They have a medical

637
00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:57,559
a million dollars in a box sou And you know,

638
00:30:57,599 --> 00:30:58,119
it's funny.

639
00:30:59,160 --> 00:30:59,839
Speaker 4: The bars run.

640
00:31:00,640 --> 00:31:05,839
Speaker 7: Everyone knows, the police know, the FBI know everyone. Technically,

641
00:31:06,319 --> 00:31:08,599
as long as you're not taking nothing out of the

642
00:31:08,640 --> 00:31:13,880
pool for yourself as a house technically, you know, you're

643
00:31:13,920 --> 00:31:17,400
just having a pool amongst your buddies. But it's funny

644
00:31:17,440 --> 00:31:21,400
when you get paid. Let's say you win one hundred

645
00:31:21,400 --> 00:31:24,240
thousand dollars, the guy comes over and brings you the money.

646
00:31:25,039 --> 00:31:27,599
He gives you ninety thanks for the ten thousand tip.

647
00:31:28,240 --> 00:31:33,400
They they take their tip out in advance, it's actually cool,

648
00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:36,079
but it's a great place to have that kind of

649
00:31:36,279 --> 00:31:39,799
there's pools, all different sizes, all the bars, different bars

650
00:31:40,240 --> 00:31:46,039
in Staten Island, but everyone bets the super Bowl. It's

651
00:31:46,079 --> 00:31:49,759
a thing that's almost like a rite of passage. Any

652
00:31:49,839 --> 00:31:51,960
of the I should say any of the cities, but

653
00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:53,960
it's anywhere over the United States. I was using like

654
00:31:54,000 --> 00:31:56,680
the inner cities and like where I grew up. Even

655
00:31:56,680 --> 00:31:59,119
though we were poor, we had money to bet box

656
00:31:59,160 --> 00:32:01,640
pools when I was just it is what it is.

657
00:32:02,440 --> 00:32:03,480
Speaker 4: But Seattle, La.

658
00:32:03,720 --> 00:32:07,480
Speaker 7: Great game came down to the wire there, and there's

659
00:32:07,519 --> 00:32:12,160
a little bit of an overreaction because of what happened yesterday.

660
00:32:12,400 --> 00:32:15,279
So you see the terrible weather game. You see the

661
00:32:15,319 --> 00:32:19,119
Patriots squeak by the Broncos, but you see the terrible

662
00:32:19,160 --> 00:32:21,680
weather game. So you really didn't see a true outcome

663
00:32:22,119 --> 00:32:24,680
of what would happen in that second half with under

664
00:32:24,799 --> 00:32:30,599
under normal conditions, and you see a little bit of overreaction.

665
00:32:30,839 --> 00:32:32,839
What do I say by that? Is what I mean

666
00:32:32,839 --> 00:32:36,119
by that the line of the game. You could have

667
00:32:36,200 --> 00:32:38,839
bet right before those two games yesterday. You could have

668
00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:41,559
bet any matchup at I was at Westgate. You could

669
00:32:41,559 --> 00:32:46,039
bet any matchup this particular outcome the matchup. The line

670
00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:48,960
was Seattle minus three and a half over the Patriots.

671
00:32:49,160 --> 00:32:50,519
Speaker 4: You could have bet that right before.

672
00:32:50,319 --> 00:32:55,480
Speaker 7: The games now, just because of the way Seattle won,

673
00:32:56,160 --> 00:32:58,240
and maybe the week now. I can't even to the

674
00:32:58,279 --> 00:32:59,839
week before because that would have been reflected in that

675
00:33:00,000 --> 00:33:03,960
three and a half. People just said, oh god, this

676
00:33:04,039 --> 00:33:07,279
other game New England just barely won. I gotta bet

677
00:33:07,359 --> 00:33:09,599
Seattle for the Super Bowl. It's a little bit of

678
00:33:09,640 --> 00:33:16,160
an overreaction. So the value might be on that plus five.

679
00:33:16,200 --> 00:33:18,839
And by the way, five is not a dead number.

680
00:33:19,160 --> 00:33:21,880
I know people say, oh, five games don't land five,

681
00:33:22,160 --> 00:33:26,079
you'd be surprised. I have a chart Las Vegas. Chris

682
00:33:26,079 --> 00:33:29,759
gave me a chart years ago of like all ten numbers,

683
00:33:30,079 --> 00:33:34,680
what they all like one to ten? Pick them through ten,

684
00:33:34,720 --> 00:33:40,440
So I guess eleven numbers literally have. I'm trying to

685
00:33:40,440 --> 00:33:41,319
think what it went up to him.

686
00:33:41,319 --> 00:33:42,000
Speaker 4: I know what I'm wrong.

687
00:33:42,039 --> 00:33:45,119
Speaker 7: I think I'm up to fourteen, So fourteen numbers. It

688
00:33:45,200 --> 00:33:48,440
went up to fourteen, and just see what the games

689
00:33:48,519 --> 00:33:51,200
land on. You'd be surprised. Five was in the middle

690
00:33:51,240 --> 00:33:54,119
of the pack. It wasn't down low. So five was

691
00:33:54,200 --> 00:33:56,240
right there with four. Like the games land on four.

692
00:33:56,319 --> 00:33:58,759
So anyway, what I'm trying to say is five is

693
00:33:58,759 --> 00:34:02,279
not a dead number. There's an overreaction here because of

694
00:34:02,319 --> 00:34:06,319
what you're seeing yesterday. That's reflective in the line today,

695
00:34:06,599 --> 00:34:08,400
even though I have the NFC and I'm staying with

696
00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:11,320
my position. Of course, guys, anyone that's that's that's that

697
00:34:11,440 --> 00:34:13,960
bought my packages. You see you have the one forty five,

698
00:34:14,159 --> 00:34:16,639
don't get off it. Don't middle it unless you.

699
00:34:16,639 --> 00:34:17,679
Speaker 4: Have a lot of money on. If you have a

700
00:34:17,679 --> 00:34:18,880
lot of money on, I have no problem.

701
00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:21,360
Speaker 7: If someone has, you know, a thousand bucks on that

702
00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:23,960
coming back with you know, five hundred bucks the other way,

703
00:34:24,000 --> 00:34:25,719
or four hundred bucks the other way, three hundred bucks

704
00:34:25,760 --> 00:34:26,079
the other way.

705
00:34:26,079 --> 00:34:26,320
Speaker 4: Get me.

706
00:34:26,679 --> 00:34:28,639
Speaker 7: Just make sure you shop around. There's fives out there.

707
00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:33,199
So but you know, I'm sticking with my position. It

708
00:34:33,280 --> 00:34:34,280
should be a great game.

709
00:34:34,280 --> 00:34:34,519
Speaker 4: Again.

710
00:34:34,719 --> 00:34:36,840
Speaker 7: Let me just tell you I'm gonna have a package

711
00:34:36,880 --> 00:34:38,639
that I haven't even told no one to wager talk yet.

712
00:34:38,639 --> 00:34:39,239
Speaker 4: They don't even know.

713
00:34:39,280 --> 00:34:41,280
Speaker 7: So this is the first time I'm gonna have a

714
00:34:41,320 --> 00:34:43,599
package up by the end of the week, a prop

715
00:34:43,639 --> 00:34:48,400
package of NFL props that I feel really confident already

716
00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:51,280
I have. I'm looking at least six that I have

717
00:34:51,760 --> 00:34:56,119
that I just want to get into. To be real blunt,

718
00:34:56,159 --> 00:34:58,079
I just want to get into west Gate. They moved

719
00:34:58,079 --> 00:34:59,960
it up. Thank god they moved it up to win

720
00:35:00,719 --> 00:35:02,480
because Westgate takes a lot of money. I mean, I

721
00:35:03,000 --> 00:35:06,360
bet a ridiculous amount of money over at Westgate last

722
00:35:06,440 --> 00:35:08,559
year on the player props.

723
00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:11,239
Speaker 4: I was online. They have a lottery so that you're

724
00:35:11,280 --> 00:35:12,599
online and you.

725
00:35:12,639 --> 00:35:14,800
Speaker 7: Have to everyone goes through the countar. You get two

726
00:35:14,840 --> 00:35:16,880
thousand bucks you have to get. You weren't allowed to

727
00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:18,480
make two plays. You have to go to the back

728
00:35:18,519 --> 00:35:21,639
of the line. So last year I went there and

729
00:35:22,599 --> 00:35:24,559
I was online and went back and forth, back and

730
00:35:24,599 --> 00:35:26,719
forth back. I had eleven plays written down. I only

731
00:35:26,760 --> 00:35:28,519
got ten of them and someone else got the other one.

732
00:35:29,039 --> 00:35:31,400
I got ten of I ran really lucky there went

733
00:35:31,480 --> 00:35:33,079
nine and one should have went ten and one if

734
00:35:33,119 --> 00:35:35,639
I got my other one in, but I didn't. But

735
00:35:35,719 --> 00:35:37,239
I went up and bet some of the same ones

736
00:35:37,239 --> 00:35:38,119
over and over again.

737
00:35:38,400 --> 00:35:40,000
Speaker 4: So I'll have Once.

738
00:35:39,840 --> 00:35:42,719
Speaker 7: Westgate releases a lot of other sports books, look at

739
00:35:42,719 --> 00:35:44,840
their lines too. I want to make sure they have

740
00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:47,320
an obtainable line for everyone out there. I want to

741
00:35:47,360 --> 00:35:49,079
make sure you guys get an obtainable line. I'm not

742
00:35:49,119 --> 00:35:52,280
one to put out a line like today, someone put

743
00:35:52,280 --> 00:35:54,760
out a line. Someone's got a prop out today. There's

744
00:35:54,880 --> 00:35:57,800
such a small market Vegas. There's not a single there's

745
00:35:57,800 --> 00:36:00,000
not a sports book in Vegas that has props up.

746
00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:02,440
But yet the service wants to pay their record and

747
00:36:02,440 --> 00:36:04,360
make it look like, you know, they're they're giving out

748
00:36:04,360 --> 00:36:05,239
an obtainable line.

749
00:36:05,760 --> 00:36:07,360
Speaker 4: They can't even can't even make a bet on the

750
00:36:07,400 --> 00:36:08,039
prop in Vegas.

751
00:36:08,119 --> 00:36:12,719
Speaker 7: So a player prop. But however, I don't do that.

752
00:36:12,760 --> 00:36:16,480
I don't say you can bet this at hard Rock Florida,

753
00:36:16,760 --> 00:36:17,360
good luck.

754
00:36:17,840 --> 00:36:20,559
Speaker 4: I don't. That's not what I do, not not what

755
00:36:20,639 --> 00:36:20,840
I do.

756
00:36:21,000 --> 00:36:24,079
Speaker 7: So anyway, should be a fun should be a fun time,

757
00:36:24,360 --> 00:36:27,000
A lot of props, a lot of fun things, you know,

758
00:36:27,039 --> 00:36:28,960
a lot of things. For wager talk, I can release that.

759
00:36:29,000 --> 00:36:31,239
They don't even have the props here. So I'm hoping

760
00:36:31,280 --> 00:36:32,679
I get one of them this year. You know, I've

761
00:36:32,719 --> 00:36:35,760
had some over the years. I've had some great information.

762
00:36:35,880 --> 00:36:39,039
On the first I'll just be blunt. The reason why

763
00:36:39,079 --> 00:36:42,760
I had that Coldplay singing Yellow. The reason why I

764
00:36:42,800 --> 00:36:45,599
had that I knew someone in the stadium that's been

765
00:36:45,599 --> 00:36:47,119
there watching the warm ups.

766
00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:48,840
Speaker 4: I'm watching them warm up.

767
00:36:49,400 --> 00:36:53,639
Speaker 7: The song yellow and it was like plus six to one,

768
00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:55,639
plus three to one, plus two to one. I bet

769
00:36:55,920 --> 00:36:58,239
that was a giant score for me. Giants scored all

770
00:36:58,280 --> 00:37:00,920
my followers too, gave out to the followers.

771
00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:03,159
Speaker 4: So I'm hoping we get something like that.

772
00:37:03,480 --> 00:37:06,599
Speaker 7: Maybe we get the the gatorade truck on the way in,

773
00:37:06,760 --> 00:37:07,719
shake that guy down.

774
00:37:08,559 --> 00:37:11,679
Speaker 4: Yeah, you gotta get good information on this kind of stuff.

775
00:37:11,679 --> 00:37:14,360
You can't. Just the national anthem is pretty simple.

776
00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:17,599
Speaker 7: Just watch I think I told you guys, just I

777
00:37:17,599 --> 00:37:19,559
don't even know who's singing the national aunthem how about that?

778
00:37:19,800 --> 00:37:22,239
But the national anthems you see when it was just

779
00:37:22,280 --> 00:37:24,039
look on YouTube when they sung up before.

780
00:37:24,400 --> 00:37:25,360
Speaker 4: Just see the time.

781
00:37:25,519 --> 00:37:29,000
Speaker 3: No, we've had we've had Andy on here handicapping cleavage

782
00:37:29,039 --> 00:37:31,000
will be shown props, so you you.

783
00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:32,639
Speaker 4: Know you're gonna get plenty of thoughts.

784
00:37:32,719 --> 00:37:34,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know we're gonna get that one.

785
00:37:34,840 --> 00:37:37,039
Speaker 3: Oh it was and it was great. It was great

786
00:37:37,199 --> 00:37:39,800
research that he did. He was like, I watched performances,

787
00:37:40,039 --> 00:37:42,719
I saw what her outfits are. So it was well

788
00:37:42,760 --> 00:37:44,599
done by Andy. So you know, we're going to run

789
00:37:44,599 --> 00:37:46,960
the gamut on the props. We'll cover here and next

790
00:37:47,000 --> 00:37:49,320
week when we got Crack on here, we're gonna talk

791
00:37:49,599 --> 00:37:50,760
plenty of props here.

792
00:37:51,280 --> 00:37:53,880
Speaker 4: But Crack, what do you got speaking of which though?

793
00:37:54,519 --> 00:37:58,079
Speaker 7: I mean, are there people out there that that follow

794
00:37:58,159 --> 00:38:00,679
these idiot broads bouncing into their break to giving up

795
00:38:00,679 --> 00:38:01,119
the picks?

796
00:38:01,159 --> 00:38:01,840
Speaker 4: Are there people?

797
00:38:01,920 --> 00:38:05,039
Speaker 7: Are there real people that Do people really bet that stuff?

798
00:38:05,119 --> 00:38:07,360
Speaker 4: Or is it just entertaining? I mean they get engagement.

799
00:38:07,400 --> 00:38:09,880
Speaker 7: I want to hear no, I'm not. I want to

800
00:38:09,920 --> 00:38:12,679
hear it from you guys. Do you actually bet it

801
00:38:12,840 --> 00:38:15,440
or bet their stuff? And they lie and they put

802
00:38:16,000 --> 00:38:17,760
there's a couple of them, man, I tell you what

803
00:38:17,920 --> 00:38:19,800
they're so forgetting It's unbelievable.

804
00:38:19,920 --> 00:38:22,280
Speaker 4: But we we we we we know that.

805
00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:24,440
Speaker 3: Well, crack, Hey, before we turn you loose, man, Like

806
00:38:24,440 --> 00:38:25,960
I said, we're gonna talk plenty of props with you

807
00:38:26,000 --> 00:38:28,159
next week, folks, and get the proc pack that he's

808
00:38:28,199 --> 00:38:30,719
gonna have coming up here. Uh you know, check him

809
00:38:30,719 --> 00:38:34,559
out WT Dot buzz Backslash Crackman. Obviously Westgate's gonna be

810
00:38:34,559 --> 00:38:37,519
doing their stuff on Wednesday, Uh, actually to to get

811
00:38:37,559 --> 00:38:40,159
you ready for super Bowl week. So Bill, before we

812
00:38:40,199 --> 00:38:42,000
turn you loose, you got anything for the folks in

813
00:38:42,159 --> 00:38:44,719
NBA or any fire propt can throw out here.

814
00:38:45,320 --> 00:38:46,599
Speaker 4: Let's give him an NBA proper.

815
00:38:47,039 --> 00:38:49,800
Speaker 7: What do we got, I'm a MGM. You're looking at MGM.

816
00:38:50,519 --> 00:38:53,159
I don't want to give out obtainable NBA NBA propers.

817
00:38:53,159 --> 00:38:57,079
The Memphis Frizzlies game, Jared Jackson rebounds over four and

818
00:38:57,119 --> 00:38:59,079
a half ye four and a half minus one thirty five.

819
00:38:59,119 --> 00:38:59,880
Speaker 4: Still uh.

820
00:39:00,320 --> 00:39:03,000
Speaker 7: He had six rebounds on eighteen chances in the first matchup,

821
00:39:03,039 --> 00:39:06,880
first of Rockets the last twelve games without Edian album.

822
00:39:07,320 --> 00:39:09,400
I really think this is a good one. Even you

823
00:39:09,440 --> 00:39:12,079
can go. I'm going by one sportsbook that's another one

824
00:39:12,119 --> 00:39:15,239
over five and a half plus one fifteen. I would

825
00:39:15,280 --> 00:39:19,039
go over either number. That's probably the value, probably a

826
00:39:19,079 --> 00:39:20,800
little bit, just a little bit better.

827
00:39:21,159 --> 00:39:22,760
Speaker 4: It's fifty cent difference than juice there.

828
00:39:22,880 --> 00:39:25,639
Speaker 7: Maybe taking the over five and a half plus one fifteen,

829
00:39:26,480 --> 00:39:28,360
but over four and a half minus one thirty five

830
00:39:28,679 --> 00:39:31,320
is what I bet. So there's a prop for you guys,

831
00:39:31,360 --> 00:39:33,159
and I'll talk to you guys next week. Thanks for

832
00:39:33,199 --> 00:39:33,880
putting up with me.

833
00:39:34,440 --> 00:39:36,159
Speaker 4: Oh always, Bill appreciate it.

834
00:39:36,199 --> 00:39:40,760
Speaker 3: You can follow him at Bill Krackman a fantastic follow

835
00:39:40,840 --> 00:39:44,559
there on x Twitter. I also like this breakdown here, Andy,

836
00:39:45,039 --> 00:39:48,280
good breakdown from our fan RJ that he's always in

837
00:39:48,320 --> 00:39:51,000
here in the chat his handicap as the country singers

838
00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:53,159
maybe rushed through it a little bit more state classic,

839
00:39:53,679 --> 00:39:55,119
but the R and B singers tend.

840
00:39:54,960 --> 00:39:57,039
Speaker 4: To linger a little bit more.

841
00:39:57,079 --> 00:40:00,519
Speaker 3: Remember when there was the big controversy they did the

842
00:40:00,519 --> 00:40:03,320
Home of the Brave and repeated the Home of the Brave,

843
00:40:03,440 --> 00:40:05,199
you know what I mean where there was there was

844
00:40:05,199 --> 00:40:09,639
some stylistic changes there. So I always always look forward

845
00:40:09,679 --> 00:40:13,599
to the handicaps on the national Anthem, which Andy, you know,

846
00:40:14,199 --> 00:40:16,199
you and I probably will do a whole segment on

847
00:40:16,400 --> 00:40:18,880
just obscure props for the folks here because it's some

848
00:40:18,920 --> 00:40:20,519
of the fun stuff that you and I love each

849
00:40:20,559 --> 00:40:21,119
and every year.

850
00:40:22,000 --> 00:40:27,039
Speaker 2: Well we will, but listen the the national anthem thing

851
00:40:27,440 --> 00:40:29,519
like it's kind of jumped the shark and you really.

852
00:40:29,639 --> 00:40:31,559
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's no longer obscure. I'm talking.

853
00:40:31,559 --> 00:40:35,039
Speaker 3: I'm talking about like will booty be shown? That's what

854
00:40:35,079 --> 00:40:39,199
we handicapped. You know what color dress is bad Bunny

855
00:40:39,239 --> 00:40:41,039
going to be wearing. That's the kind of stuff that

856
00:40:41,079 --> 00:40:42,400
Andy and I will get into.

857
00:40:42,559 --> 00:40:45,559
Speaker 2: Yes, yes, yes, I want I want to bet on

858
00:40:45,840 --> 00:40:47,119
the color of the mic screen.

859
00:40:47,880 --> 00:40:51,360
Speaker 4: Yes, that's what Andy and I will be breaking down here.

860
00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:52,800
That's pre damn sure.

861
00:40:53,360 --> 00:40:56,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, well, let's bring on Steve Merrill and we gotta

862
00:40:56,840 --> 00:41:01,480
break down some games. Steve on the Games yesterday. Can

863
00:41:01,519 --> 00:41:04,159
I just share this with you guys. Here's my I

864
00:41:04,159 --> 00:41:08,000
don't like. I don't, I don't. I don't find the.

865
00:41:09,400 --> 00:41:13,960
Speaker 4: Snow game is overrated Steve. Well, how was the first.

866
00:41:13,719 --> 00:41:17,960
Speaker 2: Game supposed to tell you anything about those teams? And

867
00:41:18,000 --> 00:41:20,159
then you get the Rams and the Seahawks they play

868
00:41:20,199 --> 00:41:22,840
and you know, perfect conditions and what do you did?

869
00:41:22,920 --> 00:41:26,920
Speaker 1: A very entertaining, awesome game. I don't like him. I

870
00:41:26,960 --> 00:41:28,400
don't think that's a good indicator.

871
00:41:28,519 --> 00:41:31,480
Speaker 2: My god, the entire season came down to Jared's Stidham

872
00:41:31,519 --> 00:41:32,960
throwing the ball in the blizzard.

873
00:41:33,400 --> 00:41:34,159
Speaker 1: What are we doing here?

874
00:41:34,440 --> 00:41:34,639
Speaker 5: Yeah?

875
00:41:34,719 --> 00:41:36,480
Speaker 8: I do think it's cool to watch, though, I mean,

876
00:41:36,519 --> 00:41:39,800
it's it's different, it's entertaining. But I will say what

877
00:41:39,840 --> 00:41:41,639
I did not like what. I liked it when it

878
00:41:41,639 --> 00:41:42,719
first popped on, I thought it was one of the

879
00:41:42,760 --> 00:41:44,400
coolest things I've seen it in. About five seconds later,

880
00:41:44,440 --> 00:41:48,000
I didn't like it anymore. Was the AI generated thirty

881
00:41:48,079 --> 00:41:51,960
yard lines? Well, it was cool though, damn when it

882
00:41:52,000 --> 00:41:53,800
popped on, because it was like whoa, it lit up,

883
00:41:53,800 --> 00:41:55,199
and then it took me a second to realize it

884
00:41:55,239 --> 00:41:57,719
wasn't the real numbers because you could see him underneath smaller.

885
00:41:58,159 --> 00:42:00,880
And then when all the players became in golf and Casper,

886
00:42:00,920 --> 00:42:04,800
the ghost pixelated every time they crossed over a yard line.

887
00:42:05,440 --> 00:42:07,239
It looked a little silly, as like the network's got

888
00:42:07,239 --> 00:42:09,760
to get these off. I mean, the players are literally disappearing.

889
00:42:11,119 --> 00:42:13,039
I will say this though, you know I always talk

890
00:42:13,039 --> 00:42:15,400
about how snow doesn't affect scoring. Rain and snow, that's

891
00:42:15,440 --> 00:42:18,320
it's wind and fog. That definitely got to a point

892
00:42:18,320 --> 00:42:19,800
where it was hurting scoring a little bit in the

893
00:42:19,840 --> 00:42:21,320
second half. Not that that was gonna be a high

894
00:42:21,320 --> 00:42:23,440
scoring game anyway, but had it been like that from

895
00:42:23,480 --> 00:42:25,880
the start, would have really been saying, don't forget that

896
00:42:25,880 --> 00:42:28,599
could have been the six thirty Eastern game, which means

897
00:42:28,599 --> 00:42:31,440
it would have been throughout the game. And let's also

898
00:42:31,480 --> 00:42:34,760
forget if the Raiders, the worst team in football, don't

899
00:42:34,760 --> 00:42:36,880
beat the Patriots back in Week one. That game is

900
00:42:36,920 --> 00:42:39,519
in New England yesterday in a blizzard, so a lot

901
00:42:39,519 --> 00:42:41,920
of interesting circumstances how that could have played out.

902
00:42:44,960 --> 00:42:50,079
Speaker 2: Uh yeah, Steve, let's talk college basketball here. We got

903
00:42:50,119 --> 00:42:56,159
a nice little little Louisville versus Duke Arizona BYU combo here.

904
00:42:56,280 --> 00:42:59,639
This is the ESPN doubleheader tonight, So we'll start with

905
00:42:59,639 --> 00:43:04,519
this Louisville versus Duke game. Duke coming in pretty decent

906
00:43:04,559 --> 00:43:05,480
sized favor.

907
00:43:05,239 --> 00:43:07,880
Speaker 1: Here over Louisville. You're looking at the spread, you're looking

908
00:43:07,920 --> 00:43:08,920
at the total in this game.

909
00:43:10,000 --> 00:43:12,000
Speaker 8: Well, it's been a little bit of movement on both here.

910
00:43:12,320 --> 00:43:14,280
Duke opened as a seven and a half point favorite,

911
00:43:14,320 --> 00:43:15,840
now up to eight and a half. We've also seen

912
00:43:15,840 --> 00:43:17,360
a little bit of money on the over one fifty

913
00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:19,360
six up to one fifty seven, even one to fifty

914
00:43:19,400 --> 00:43:20,800
seven and a half starting to show it some of

915
00:43:20,800 --> 00:43:21,679
the sharper books.

916
00:43:22,280 --> 00:43:23,800
Speaker 5: Should be a back and forth game.

917
00:43:24,440 --> 00:43:26,480
Speaker 8: Louisville is one of the faster teams of the country,

918
00:43:26,559 --> 00:43:30,000
Duke plays in a very modest tempo, and Louisville actually

919
00:43:30,079 --> 00:43:32,280
rates as the better offensive team in this game, which

920
00:43:32,320 --> 00:43:35,280
might surprise a lot of people. Louisville's a top ten

921
00:43:35,360 --> 00:43:38,920
offensive adjusted efficiency team this season and their top twenty

922
00:43:38,920 --> 00:43:41,159
five defense, but Duke is almost a top ten defense.

923
00:43:41,199 --> 00:43:44,000
I actually think Louisville the slightly better offense, Duke the

924
00:43:44,000 --> 00:43:46,199
better defense, the best player in the country that was

925
00:43:46,199 --> 00:43:47,880
on the floor en and if you haven't watched him yet,

926
00:43:48,519 --> 00:43:52,000
freshman Cameron Boozer, yes, son of Carlos Boozer, one of

927
00:43:52,000 --> 00:43:55,239
the twins. As we've got the other freshman, Caden Boozer,

928
00:43:55,239 --> 00:43:58,320
who's the six foot four guard versus six to nine

929
00:43:58,400 --> 00:44:00,199
Cameron Boozer, who's gonna be the number one in the

930
00:44:00,280 --> 00:44:03,679
NBA draft. I would think, as Cooper flag last year. Now,

931
00:44:03,719 --> 00:44:07,320
Cameron Duke remains loaded, but I think Louisville can hang

932
00:44:07,400 --> 00:44:09,480
in this game. Yes, they're just four and three straight

933
00:44:09,559 --> 00:44:12,719
up in conference play, but this line looks inflated. I

934
00:44:12,760 --> 00:44:15,119
projected about a five to six point line here. The

935
00:44:15,239 --> 00:44:16,679
move from seven and a half up to eight and

936
00:44:16,719 --> 00:44:18,840
a half, I think actually has left some line value

937
00:44:18,840 --> 00:44:21,880
with Louisville. And as I mentioned, Duke the better defensive team,

938
00:44:22,199 --> 00:44:24,840
but Louisville the better offensive team. And the other matchup

939
00:44:24,840 --> 00:44:27,119
I'll point out is that Duke gives up a lot

940
00:44:27,119 --> 00:44:29,079
of shots from three point range. They are a very

941
00:44:29,079 --> 00:44:32,920
strong interior defense, their perimeter defense is where the weakness is,

942
00:44:33,320 --> 00:44:36,199
and no team in the country takes more three point

943
00:44:36,239 --> 00:44:38,800
shots than in Louisville. There are three hundred and sixty

944
00:44:38,800 --> 00:44:41,880
five teams in Division one basketball, and Louisville takes more

945
00:44:41,920 --> 00:44:44,199
shots from three than anyone. Fifty four percent of their

946
00:44:44,199 --> 00:44:47,159
field goal attempts more than half come from beyond the arc.

947
00:44:47,480 --> 00:44:49,880
It's always a little dicey on the road, especially in Cameron,

948
00:44:49,920 --> 00:44:52,760
how they will shoot, but it's actually a favorable matchup.

949
00:44:52,800 --> 00:44:54,840
So if they can get those three point shots tonight,

950
00:44:55,159 --> 00:44:57,639
I think Louisville can hang. That's a big if, but

951
00:44:57,719 --> 00:44:59,400
there is some value here plus eight and a half

952
00:44:59,440 --> 00:45:02,519
with Louisville. Well, that's your seven o'clock Eastern game on ESPN.

953
00:45:05,360 --> 00:45:06,159
Speaker 1: I would think that.

954
00:45:06,960 --> 00:45:10,599
Speaker 2: Why hasn't like a really small school said like, we're

955
00:45:10,599 --> 00:45:11,960
only shooting threes.

956
00:45:13,239 --> 00:45:13,840
Speaker 1: Like we're seeing.

957
00:45:17,079 --> 00:45:19,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, Louisville doesn't strike me as a school that would

958
00:45:19,760 --> 00:45:21,280
be number one shooting threes.

959
00:45:21,559 --> 00:45:24,159
Speaker 8: Shooting over half your shots from three point range. When

960
00:45:24,199 --> 00:45:26,280
you watch a game like that, it's pretty it.

961
00:45:26,239 --> 00:45:27,280
Speaker 4: Feels like every time.

962
00:45:27,440 --> 00:45:29,719
Speaker 8: And then I'll give you a first damn example. You know,

963
00:45:29,719 --> 00:45:31,840
Brian Earle came to Woman Mary last year and really

964
00:45:31,840 --> 00:45:33,960
turned the program around. Williman Mary was third in the

965
00:45:34,039 --> 00:45:36,599
nation last year out of three sixty five. They took

966
00:45:36,599 --> 00:45:39,159
almost fifty percent of their shots from three last year.

967
00:45:39,719 --> 00:45:41,840
This year they're like in the forty four percent range,

968
00:45:41,840 --> 00:45:44,360
which is like eightieth, and their defense has gotten a

969
00:45:44,400 --> 00:45:47,519
lot better. So there's a balance. Like anything, you live

970
00:45:47,599 --> 00:45:49,639
by the three, you die by the three. The problem

971
00:45:49,639 --> 00:45:52,239
with that approach is, yes, you can catch lightning in

972
00:45:52,280 --> 00:45:54,280
a bottle, but these mid major schools that you're talking

973
00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:57,000
about have to win their conference tournaments, which means you

974
00:45:57,039 --> 00:45:58,960
have to win in a minimum three or four straight

975
00:45:59,000 --> 00:46:01,679
games in a row. And it's really hard to be

976
00:46:01,760 --> 00:46:04,159
on for three or four straight. Yet it's kind of

977
00:46:04,199 --> 00:46:06,719
like the option offense in football. Right when you're a smaller,

978
00:46:06,800 --> 00:46:09,119
slower team in football, you got to do something different.

979
00:46:09,800 --> 00:46:12,079
So that's why we do see the upsets in March madness,

980
00:46:12,199 --> 00:46:14,000
is that you know, if someone's read hot from three,

981
00:46:14,000 --> 00:46:16,440
they can beat anybody on a given day. It's just

982
00:46:16,559 --> 00:46:18,400
very hard to win three or four games in a row,

983
00:46:18,440 --> 00:46:21,320
win a conference tournament or let alone the NCAA Tournament.

984
00:46:22,920 --> 00:46:27,800
Speaker 2: Moving on to Arizona and BYU, looks like Arizona is

985
00:46:27,840 --> 00:46:30,400
going to be the ever so slight favorite here. Basically

986
00:46:30,400 --> 00:46:32,960
a picking over under one sixty four and a half.

987
00:46:33,000 --> 00:46:34,000
How do you break this one down?

988
00:46:35,000 --> 00:46:37,159
Speaker 8: Yeah, forgot to mention that last game was a Top

989
00:46:37,159 --> 00:46:39,480
twenty five matchup and this one is also a top

990
00:46:39,519 --> 00:46:42,199
twenty five matchup. I think BYU's coming in like thirteenth

991
00:46:42,320 --> 00:46:44,079
right now. Arizona, though, is the number one team of

992
00:46:44,079 --> 00:46:46,519
the Ape Pole. And don't forget if you're liking Top

993
00:46:46,559 --> 00:46:49,480
twenty five videos, I'm doing my Saturday Top twenty five

994
00:46:49,519 --> 00:46:53,039
college basketball every Saturday going forward now that football is done,

995
00:46:53,159 --> 00:46:55,239
and that'll be here on wager Talk TV. So click

996
00:46:55,239 --> 00:46:57,199
subscribe and click that bell so you never miss up.

997
00:46:57,199 --> 00:46:59,639
But a little two for one Top twenty five video

998
00:46:59,679 --> 00:47:02,400
action on Monday on ESPN. And this is the late

999
00:47:02,440 --> 00:47:05,280
game at nine o'clock Eastern. And on the surface, hard

1000
00:47:05,320 --> 00:47:07,199
not to take a look at BYU as a live

1001
00:47:07,239 --> 00:47:10,239
home dog here seventeen and two on the season, and

1002
00:47:10,239 --> 00:47:13,920
they're catching points on a strong home court with altitude. Now,

1003
00:47:14,039 --> 00:47:16,440
normally I think Arizona's probably three to four points better,

1004
00:47:16,440 --> 00:47:19,119
but this is an extreme home advantage. Not only is

1005
00:47:19,159 --> 00:47:22,679
it an undefeated home team here, but also a situation

1006
00:47:22,880 --> 00:47:25,199
in which they have the altitude edge, as I mentioned,

1007
00:47:25,480 --> 00:47:27,400
and that's something I always catches my attention when you're

1008
00:47:27,400 --> 00:47:29,400
playing a Desert team or a West Coast team. So

1009
00:47:29,440 --> 00:47:31,559
I do like BYU in this game to possibly pull

1010
00:47:31,559 --> 00:47:33,960
the upset. And I also don't feel like Arizona is

1011
00:47:34,000 --> 00:47:35,800
truly the number one team in the country. They're getting

1012
00:47:35,800 --> 00:47:38,639
all sixty one first place votes as of now because

1013
00:47:38,679 --> 00:47:41,079
they're twenty and zho straight up, but I do think

1014
00:47:41,119 --> 00:47:42,800
this could be their first loss of the season. I

1015
00:47:42,840 --> 00:47:45,480
still rate Michigan as the most dominant team in college basketball.

1016
00:47:45,519 --> 00:47:47,679
I've got Arizona maybe third or fourth. There are a

1017
00:47:47,719 --> 00:47:49,840
number one seed still, But if you're looking for a

1018
00:47:49,840 --> 00:47:51,800
spot for them to finally fall, this is a very

1019
00:47:51,880 --> 00:47:55,119
likely situation. In fact, if you look over the schedule here,

1020
00:47:55,599 --> 00:47:57,559
the only time they're probably not going to be favored

1021
00:47:57,599 --> 00:48:01,519
in a game is later on February twenty first, on Saturday,

1022
00:48:01,679 --> 00:48:04,239
February twenty first, when they go to Houston. That of

1023
00:48:04,280 --> 00:48:06,480
course will be in my Top twenty five video next

1024
00:48:06,480 --> 00:48:08,599
month on that Saturday. And I think this is the

1025
00:48:08,639 --> 00:48:11,000
other likely spot where they could drop a game. We

1026
00:48:11,159 --> 00:48:13,559
just saw some sharp money about fifteen minutes ago coming

1027
00:48:13,599 --> 00:48:15,760
on the total in this one. By the way, the

1028
00:48:15,840 --> 00:48:17,599
line open around two, it's down to one and a half.

1029
00:48:17,639 --> 00:48:19,159
Not much moving on the side, but we've seen some

1030
00:48:19,199 --> 00:48:21,920
heavy money on the over in this game. Opened one

1031
00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:24,440
sixty two and a half was one sixty five right

1032
00:48:24,480 --> 00:48:26,159
before I came on to do the show. Now it's

1033
00:48:26,159 --> 00:48:28,760
one sixty six. A little bit of a sharp money

1034
00:48:28,840 --> 00:48:30,719
move there, and it makes a lot of sense. Both

1035
00:48:30,760 --> 00:48:33,480
teams play extremely fast. Arizona is always one of the

1036
00:48:33,480 --> 00:48:35,480
fastest teams in the country. They are once again this

1037
00:48:35,559 --> 00:48:38,880
year BYU not too far behind. They both rank top

1038
00:48:38,920 --> 00:48:42,840
twenty percentile in possessions in tempo. Yes, Arizona is a

1039
00:48:42,840 --> 00:48:45,039
good defensive team, but both of these teams are really

1040
00:48:45,039 --> 00:48:48,800
good offensively as well, and BYU is a weaker defensive team.

1041
00:48:48,840 --> 00:48:50,559
That's the one weakness here. So the over is a

1042
00:48:50,559 --> 00:48:53,199
little bit of a hedge. If BYU does struggle, it's

1043
00:48:53,199 --> 00:48:55,199
probably because Arizona is going to score in this game.

1044
00:48:55,239 --> 00:48:57,320
So I like BYU plus one and a half, and

1045
00:48:57,360 --> 00:48:59,039
I agree with that sharp money move to the over.

1046
00:48:59,079 --> 00:49:00,280
I think you can hedge it a little that with

1047
00:49:00,320 --> 00:49:02,639
the over one sixty six as well. That's at nine

1048
00:49:02,639 --> 00:49:03,960
o'clock Eastern on ESPN.

1049
00:49:06,639 --> 00:49:09,119
Speaker 1: Steve thoughts on the Super Bowl. Who do you like.

1050
00:49:10,719 --> 00:49:13,280
Speaker 8: Well as Krack said, you know, the look aheadline was

1051
00:49:13,360 --> 00:49:15,440
three to three and a half all week at different books,

1052
00:49:15,599 --> 00:49:17,880
and then it instantly was four and a half yesterday,

1053
00:49:17,880 --> 00:49:20,039
and even hit five when some openers came out last

1054
00:49:20,119 --> 00:49:22,000
night right after the game. And I did think that

1055
00:49:22,039 --> 00:49:23,920
was a little strange because both games were close. I

1056
00:49:23,960 --> 00:49:25,760
didn't feel like either team looked good or bad in

1057
00:49:25,840 --> 00:49:28,760
either game, so I guess it was just a reaction

1058
00:49:28,840 --> 00:49:31,840
to the Patriots not covering and Seattle covering by the

1059
00:49:31,880 --> 00:49:34,800
way we had the Rams. I had both Denver and

1060
00:49:34,840 --> 00:49:36,719
the Under my free play video, but then we were

1061
00:49:36,719 --> 00:49:38,119
on the other side of it Rams and Under in

1062
00:49:38,159 --> 00:49:40,519
the late game, so video split out when going two

1063
00:49:40,559 --> 00:49:42,880
and two. But not just because I liked the Rams

1064
00:49:42,880 --> 00:49:44,519
plus two and a half. I really thought they should

1065
00:49:44,519 --> 00:49:46,760
have kicked the field goal because it was more than

1066
00:49:46,800 --> 00:49:48,400
fourth and one. I think it was like fourth and

1067
00:49:48,440 --> 00:49:50,519
three when they went for it, and it would have

1068
00:49:50,519 --> 00:49:53,039
been a one point game. They definitely covered that point

1069
00:49:53,039 --> 00:49:54,880
because even if they don't go down at score, Seattle's

1070
00:49:54,880 --> 00:49:56,519
gonna run out the clock either way. But I just

1071
00:49:56,519 --> 00:49:59,599
felt like fourth and three, you give yourself a chance

1072
00:49:59,639 --> 00:50:01,679
to get the all back still and kick the field goals.

1073
00:50:01,679 --> 00:50:03,840
So that was a tough one there, and even though

1074
00:50:03,880 --> 00:50:06,920
Seattle covered, it really could have gone either way. Also,

1075
00:50:07,039 --> 00:50:09,159
I did feel like whoever won that game would probably

1076
00:50:09,199 --> 00:50:11,199
be the super Bowl champ. I said that, I'm a

1077
00:50:11,199 --> 00:50:14,039
little lukewarm now though New England is a solid team.

1078
00:50:14,039 --> 00:50:15,519
You know, a lot of knocks on the schedule they

1079
00:50:15,599 --> 00:50:17,840
played this year, but then again, you look at who

1080
00:50:17,840 --> 00:50:19,800
they played in the playoffs. They played a banged up

1081
00:50:19,840 --> 00:50:23,920
Chargers team, Texans and then the Broncos with a backup quarterback.

1082
00:50:24,360 --> 00:50:26,480
Yet they looked impressive in most of those games. So

1083
00:50:26,480 --> 00:50:28,039
it should be a good game. Let's hope it's a

1084
00:50:28,039 --> 00:50:30,199
good game. The one thing that does not move, guys

1085
00:50:30,239 --> 00:50:32,039
is the total. It opened forty six and a half

1086
00:50:32,039 --> 00:50:34,360
and it held pretty much. Steady has not hit that

1087
00:50:34,440 --> 00:50:37,320
key number of forty seven. We'll see where to way

1088
00:50:37,400 --> 00:50:40,159
the public comes later next week. But forty seven, forty eight,

1089
00:50:40,159 --> 00:50:42,679
our key numbers, forty six, forty six and a half

1090
00:50:42,679 --> 00:50:43,840
are what we call dead numbers.

1091
00:50:45,639 --> 00:50:47,039
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm just waiting for it.

1092
00:50:47,840 --> 00:50:51,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, like like Sam Donald and Jackson Smith and Jigobutty

1093
00:50:51,519 --> 00:50:55,719
get suspended. Yeah, it's like something's gonna happen for New

1094
00:50:55,719 --> 00:50:56,559
England just.

1095
00:50:56,800 --> 00:50:59,800
Speaker 3: Donald, you saw he was wearing a heating pad on

1096
00:50:59,800 --> 00:51:02,360
the those was oblique, So yeah, I mean he's he's

1097
00:51:02,400 --> 00:51:02,880
battled through.

1098
00:51:02,920 --> 00:51:04,400
Speaker 4: It looked pretty decent last night.

1099
00:51:04,480 --> 00:51:07,960
Speaker 3: So but with how the luck has gone for New England, Andy,

1100
00:51:08,039 --> 00:51:09,039
nothing would surprise me.

1101
00:51:09,079 --> 00:51:10,719
Speaker 4: We have two weeks to get to that point.

1102
00:51:10,840 --> 00:51:15,199
Speaker 2: So yeah, Like it turns out the faun on their

1103
00:51:15,280 --> 00:51:19,239
jerseys regulation yeah, yeah, actually.

1104
00:51:18,960 --> 00:51:23,760
Speaker 3: They are spotting there. They're automatically three point Patriots are

1105
00:51:23,760 --> 00:51:24,679
awarded three points.

1106
00:51:24,679 --> 00:51:25,000
Speaker 5: Steve.

1107
00:51:25,239 --> 00:51:26,840
Speaker 8: I gotta know you guys a couple of things. First

1108
00:51:26,840 --> 00:51:28,960
of all, for I forget what's his name, twenty seven

1109
00:51:29,000 --> 00:51:29,880
for the Seahawks.

1110
00:51:30,320 --> 00:51:31,880
Speaker 5: I mean I had I was rooting for the Rams.

1111
00:51:31,960 --> 00:51:35,639
Speaker 8: I was to see it Walton or the stalling stalling

1112
00:51:35,840 --> 00:51:38,599
or stalling whatever his name is. But that was one

1113
00:51:38,599 --> 00:51:40,639
of the I mean, it wasn't really a terrible talk,

1114
00:51:40,679 --> 00:51:43,079
but it was so stupid. And then to get going

1115
00:51:43,119 --> 00:51:43,760
right at him on the.

1116
00:51:43,800 --> 00:51:46,119
Speaker 4: And then he get I know, but it was so

1117
00:51:46,199 --> 00:51:47,199
brilliant to do that.

1118
00:51:47,719 --> 00:51:49,960
Speaker 8: It was so brilliant. But I couldn't help but be

1119
00:51:50,039 --> 00:51:53,400
fixated by this, especially as a coach. He shakes mcvay's

1120
00:51:53,440 --> 00:51:55,480
hand right as the clock hits zero, he's over there.

1121
00:51:56,559 --> 00:51:58,440
And then he went up in like, uh one of

1122
00:51:58,440 --> 00:51:59,760
the play It was one of the key players. It

1123
00:51:59,800 --> 00:52:01,559
wasn't Stafford, but it was another one of their stories.

1124
00:52:01,559 --> 00:52:03,639
Oh it was Puka. He went up to Puka was

1125
00:52:03,679 --> 00:52:05,920
hugging him or whatever, shaking his hand. I'm just like

1126
00:52:06,440 --> 00:52:08,800
this dude, man, you talk bipolar. It's like he was

1127
00:52:08,840 --> 00:52:10,840
all over the place. And I wonder if had he

1128
00:52:10,880 --> 00:52:13,800
would he been like that had those incidents not happened.

1129
00:52:13,800 --> 00:52:15,079
Speaker 5: I severely doubt it.

1130
00:52:15,079 --> 00:52:16,519
Speaker 8: It's a good boy. I don't know the dude. I'm

1131
00:52:16,519 --> 00:52:18,480
gonna look into him, but like I already dislike him.

1132
00:52:18,519 --> 00:52:20,519
I just couldn't seek Woolen.

1133
00:52:21,199 --> 00:52:24,320
Speaker 3: Uh yeah, Wollan Tarik Woolen was was the guy who

1134
00:52:24,480 --> 00:52:27,639
unfortunately got up barking and then and then yeah, I

1135
00:52:27,639 --> 00:52:28,559
gets dusted on.

1136
00:52:28,639 --> 00:52:30,360
Speaker 8: The on the I really thought that was going to

1137
00:52:30,440 --> 00:52:31,880
turn the game around. He was gonna go down as

1138
00:52:31,880 --> 00:52:33,840
one of the beest goats. See, when I grew up,

1139
00:52:33,840 --> 00:52:37,039
the term goat was a terrible term, and I still goat.

1140
00:52:38,159 --> 00:52:38,639
Speaker 5: That's where I went.

1141
00:52:38,679 --> 00:52:40,400
Speaker 8: It was like the biggest goat ever, not as he

1142
00:52:40,440 --> 00:52:43,079
was the greatest ever, but real quick and to your props,

1143
00:52:43,079 --> 00:52:45,039
guy you love the intricacies like me. They were saying

1144
00:52:45,039 --> 00:52:47,000
that the Patriots were in a disadvantage with the all

1145
00:52:47,000 --> 00:52:50,719
white uniforms, and on TV it obviously looked that way.

1146
00:52:50,760 --> 00:52:52,559
I wonder what it was really like on the field,

1147
00:52:52,559 --> 00:52:54,840
But yeah, I mean the orange jerseys versus the white

1148
00:52:54,840 --> 00:52:58,280
with the snow. Next time, maybe you wear blue pants, right,

1149
00:52:58,320 --> 00:53:00,639
that probably was an option with the new There.

1150
00:53:00,599 --> 00:53:02,639
Speaker 4: Wasn't even supposed to be snow. That was the thing.

1151
00:53:02,719 --> 00:53:04,039
Steve is like like a lot.

1152
00:53:04,239 --> 00:53:06,760
Speaker 8: I said on the last call yesterday, second half, there

1153
00:53:06,840 --> 00:53:07,599
might be some florries.

1154
00:53:07,599 --> 00:53:11,039
Speaker 3: I didn't think maybe yeah, But the leading up to it,

1155
00:53:11,039 --> 00:53:12,599
it wasn't like how it was on the East Coast,

1156
00:53:12,599 --> 00:53:14,239
where like you knew you were going to get you

1157
00:53:14,320 --> 00:53:18,639
knew snow was coming into what I said, exactly, exactly exactly.

1158
00:53:18,679 --> 00:53:21,119
But in true Patriots fashion, they get.

1159
00:53:21,000 --> 00:53:23,719
Speaker 5: The whether they start pun intended boys.

1160
00:53:23,880 --> 00:53:26,039
Speaker 4: Yes, well done, John, well done.

1161
00:53:26,519 --> 00:53:30,360
Speaker 2: Never forgets Never forget Steve that you you can't make

1162
00:53:30,440 --> 00:53:33,079
a good play and then turn to the sidelines and

1163
00:53:33,119 --> 00:53:37,039
say I got you, but you can make an interception

1164
00:53:37,159 --> 00:53:39,440
and rally the entire team to run eighty.

1165
00:53:39,320 --> 00:53:41,440
Speaker 1: Years to run to the end of the field.

1166
00:53:41,719 --> 00:53:44,320
Speaker 8: In his defense, I thought that was a shaky I mean,

1167
00:53:44,360 --> 00:53:46,400
he like mouthed to a couple of guys he had

1168
00:53:46,400 --> 00:53:49,480
his distance. I just don't like that behavior. I think

1169
00:53:49,480 --> 00:53:51,760
it just looks kind of punkish to get that. But

1170
00:53:52,039 --> 00:53:53,400
I did think that was a little bit of an

1171
00:53:53,400 --> 00:53:55,199
overaction because I thought it was literally going to change

1172
00:53:55,199 --> 00:53:57,679
the NFC Championship outcome. And in that case, I didn't

1173
00:53:57,679 --> 00:53:59,639
really hit with the call. But so I guess in

1174
00:53:59,719 --> 00:54:01,679
that regard, it's a good thing that Seattle won, But

1175
00:54:02,320 --> 00:54:03,360
kids at home steave it.

1176
00:54:04,079 --> 00:54:06,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, No, that's that's a good teaching moment. Definitely, just

1177
00:54:06,440 --> 00:54:08,440
don't bark at the sideline. Now, let the play do

1178
00:54:08,519 --> 00:54:10,960
the talk. Steve, what do you got Rocket? I know

1179
00:54:10,960 --> 00:54:13,159
you've been seeing it really great on the hardwood, specifically

1180
00:54:13,199 --> 00:54:15,480
in NBA, but when folks head on over to your page,

1181
00:54:15,480 --> 00:54:16,280
what are they going to find?

1182
00:54:17,679 --> 00:54:19,159
Speaker 8: Yeah, I mean, it's a great time to go over

1183
00:54:19,199 --> 00:54:21,079
there right now, because I've got two NBA best bets,

1184
00:54:21,119 --> 00:54:23,440
one late afternoon in one night time, so two NBA

1185
00:54:23,519 --> 00:54:27,119
plays for Monday. And I point that out because long term,

1186
00:54:27,159 --> 00:54:28,920
nobody's won more a wager talk in the history of

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Wayger talk in the NBA. In fact, we have a

1188
00:54:31,360 --> 00:54:33,360
special offer right now. You can get the two plays today,

1189
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but we also have an instant one hundred dollars discount

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of twenty five percent discount of the rest of the

1191
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NBA season. No promo code need it. So if you

1192
00:54:39,599 --> 00:54:41,599
want to make some money, yeah, we're talking super Bowl.

1193
00:54:41,599 --> 00:54:44,519
There's one game left in football, college and pro hoops

1194
00:54:44,519 --> 00:54:46,800
on a daily basis is the way to go. Hitting

1195
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over sixty percent of the NBA the last two months,

1196
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lowest price of the season, plus two best bets for Monday.

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Oh and at bonus free play Steve Merrill wager talk

1199
00:54:56,719 --> 00:55:00,360
dot com and hey get there quicker w t H slash.

1200
00:55:00,159 --> 00:55:04,719
Speaker 1: Sm awesome stuff. Steve Merrill, thank you very much for

1201
00:55:04,800 --> 00:55:05,960
joining us. Good luck.

1202
00:55:06,239 --> 00:55:06,440
Speaker 5: Thanks.

1203
00:55:09,079 --> 00:55:10,400
Speaker 1: Let's see what were some other ones?

1204
00:55:10,480 --> 00:55:13,719
Speaker 2: Oh uh so, the the NFL play I lost was

1205
00:55:13,760 --> 00:55:18,840
Kyron over his rushing and and Blake Blake Korum Blake

1206
00:55:18,880 --> 00:55:21,199
Blake Cornan get him all the carries. Was annoying enough,

1207
00:55:21,239 --> 00:55:23,760
but I still thought we were on track to win.

1208
00:55:24,039 --> 00:55:28,519
And why why why isn't the big talk the muffed

1209
00:55:28,559 --> 00:55:29,960
punt that was?

1210
00:55:30,119 --> 00:55:33,760
Speaker 3: Yes, I mean, what if you if you just look

1211
00:55:33,800 --> 00:55:37,239
at the McVeigh coaching tree too. It's funny because you

1212
00:55:37,280 --> 00:55:41,599
see guys like Lafleur, you see guys like Shanahan. If

1213
00:55:41,599 --> 00:55:45,079
you look at those teams, they are all bottom of

1214
00:55:45,119 --> 00:55:48,440
the league and special teams. So something great about these

1215
00:55:48,440 --> 00:55:51,119
guys is they're super innovative of what they do offensively.

1216
00:55:51,159 --> 00:55:52,960
The way they're able to scheme guys open. The fact

1217
00:55:53,000 --> 00:55:55,400
that they're able to have a guy like Koukainakua who's

1218
00:55:55,599 --> 00:56:00,400
running with ten fifteen yards just schematically, it's incredible. But

1219
00:56:01,280 --> 00:56:05,079
ignoring special teams is I would argue why none of

1220
00:56:05,079 --> 00:56:08,119
those guys have, you know, the outside of McVeigh, have

1221
00:56:08,280 --> 00:56:11,559
that big win on their resume. Because special teams come

1222
00:56:11,559 --> 00:56:14,440
playoff time can be the ultimate equalizer.

1223
00:56:14,480 --> 00:56:14,639
Speaker 4: You know.

1224
00:56:14,679 --> 00:56:16,320
Speaker 3: For all the flak that I get the Patriots, that's

1225
00:56:16,320 --> 00:56:19,119
something that Mike Rabel really harps on, is good special

1226
00:56:19,119 --> 00:56:22,199
teams play. Yeah, the muff punt, I feel like it

1227
00:56:22,280 --> 00:56:23,960
is just getting completely glossed over.

1228
00:56:24,159 --> 00:56:25,880
Speaker 4: That was what changed the game.

1229
00:56:26,480 --> 00:56:29,119
Speaker 1: You can't handicap back and put it in there.

1230
00:56:29,159 --> 00:56:32,159
Speaker 2: But I'm sitting there with the Kira and prop I need,

1231
00:56:32,199 --> 00:56:34,079
but I think I needed like twenty yards. I was like, oh,

1232
00:56:34,159 --> 00:56:36,719
he's getting the carries a series, it's a one score game,

1233
00:56:36,840 --> 00:56:38,800
rams are running the ball, and then it goes from

1234
00:56:38,840 --> 00:56:42,400
that to oh, Seahawks just get an easy score and

1235
00:56:42,480 --> 00:56:46,199
now Kyraen's never gonna get carries again. So it was

1236
00:56:46,320 --> 00:56:50,960
just I I'm with you. This was one of these

1237
00:56:51,000 --> 00:56:56,760
things where like, yeah, it's coaching, and I guess the

1238
00:56:56,800 --> 00:56:58,880
coaching is putting him out there because it was like

1239
00:56:59,000 --> 00:56:59,199
it was.

1240
00:56:59,159 --> 00:57:01,519
Speaker 3: Also just funny, but he's your counter turner, you know

1241
00:57:01,559 --> 00:57:03,159
what I mean, Like he does it all week long,

1242
00:57:03,199 --> 00:57:04,760
he does it all season long, you know.

1243
00:57:04,880 --> 00:57:08,559
Speaker 4: So it made it was super head scratching to me.

1244
00:57:08,639 --> 00:57:10,639
Speaker 3: I mean what he was thinking with field in that

1245
00:57:10,679 --> 00:57:13,440
ball wasn't even like there was weather or win really

1246
00:57:13,480 --> 00:57:16,239
whipping there. So yeah, it was it was just a

1247
00:57:16,719 --> 00:57:19,480
ill advised play that I'm with you, like, I feel

1248
00:57:19,480 --> 00:57:22,400
like that should have been a leading point that people

1249
00:57:22,480 --> 00:57:23,400
were talking about.

1250
00:57:23,840 --> 00:57:24,079
Speaker 4: Andy.

1251
00:57:24,119 --> 00:57:25,760
Speaker 3: We still got all around the world before he shut

1252
00:57:25,760 --> 00:57:27,679
things down here because we have gone long. But I

1253
00:57:27,719 --> 00:57:30,480
wanted to circle back because I misspeak a lot on

1254
00:57:30,519 --> 00:57:33,000
this show. But I did not miss speak when I

1255
00:57:33,119 --> 00:57:36,480
was saying bad Bunny likely is going to be wearing

1256
00:57:36,480 --> 00:57:38,639
a dress, and we got a comment from from.

1257
00:57:38,480 --> 00:57:39,199
Speaker 4: BA b As.

1258
00:57:39,239 --> 00:57:42,280
Speaker 3: I affectionately call him Brocast. But he goes, bad Bunny's

1259
00:57:42,280 --> 00:57:45,719
a guy. What do you mean what color dress? Well,

1260
00:57:46,920 --> 00:57:49,679
you may see you know, that's the game graphic. You

1261
00:57:49,719 --> 00:57:54,440
may see a guy like Bad Bunny sporting some dress wear.

1262
00:57:54,920 --> 00:57:55,800
Speaker 4: He's talked about it.

1263
00:57:55,840 --> 00:57:59,360
Speaker 3: I think, Andy, you said there's a notable book that

1264
00:57:59,440 --> 00:58:03,360
is offering the yes on Bad Bunny to be wearing

1265
00:58:03,400 --> 00:58:04,000
a dress.

1266
00:58:04,079 --> 00:58:05,599
Speaker 4: It's rather likely, Andy.

1267
00:58:06,480 --> 00:58:08,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, he said he's gonna do it.

1268
00:58:09,559 --> 00:58:14,840
Speaker 4: So, I mean, so what color is the question there?

1269
00:58:15,199 --> 00:58:17,039
Speaker 3: But yeah, see, this is the kind of research that

1270
00:58:17,079 --> 00:58:19,199
Andy and I will have for you on the prop front.

1271
00:58:19,280 --> 00:58:22,599
Don't worry, folks, we will have your prop cup runneth

1272
00:58:22,639 --> 00:58:25,559
over by Super Bowl time. You want rushing props, you

1273
00:58:25,599 --> 00:58:28,239
want passing props, Yes, it will be covered here. But

1274
00:58:28,280 --> 00:58:30,639
we'll also cover the things that you say, Wait, you

1275
00:58:30,679 --> 00:58:31,360
can bet on that.

1276
00:58:31,559 --> 00:58:32,599
Speaker 4: Yes, we will cover it.

1277
00:58:32,719 --> 00:58:35,079
Speaker 2: Yeah, they're coming up, they're coming up. You got to

1278
00:58:35,119 --> 00:58:36,920
get a couple of weeks of all these.

1279
00:58:37,039 --> 00:58:40,159
Speaker 3: Yeah, dare we say, Andy, we will go all around

1280
00:58:40,159 --> 00:58:42,719
the world with all of the props that we will get.

1281
00:58:42,719 --> 00:58:46,360
Speaker 1: Absolutely, let's do some bets for today. We got to today.

1282
00:58:46,360 --> 00:58:49,039
Speaker 2: Then we got a UFC look ahead, We'll go to

1283
00:58:49,159 --> 00:58:51,400
Jade McDaniel's over thirteen and a half points, coming off

1284
00:58:51,440 --> 00:58:53,679
a brutal shooting night one of eight from the field,

1285
00:58:54,199 --> 00:58:56,599
but previously that he had scored fifteen points in five

1286
00:58:56,760 --> 00:59:00,000
straight games. He's averaging eleven and a half shot attempts,

1287
00:59:00,239 --> 00:59:03,000
six main field goals, and Golden State is really thin

1288
00:59:03,199 --> 00:59:05,840
up front. Jimmy Butler is obviously out, Johnny ka Kaminia

1289
00:59:05,960 --> 00:59:08,239
is out. Al Horford played last night, He's not gonna

1290
00:59:08,239 --> 00:59:11,400
play today, so expect the forwards of the of.

1291
00:59:11,320 --> 00:59:13,119
Speaker 1: The Wolves to be good.

1292
00:59:13,480 --> 00:59:18,000
Speaker 2: I'm doing a look ahead here at Phiziev and I

1293
00:59:18,000 --> 00:59:21,360
have not been a Phisiev guy. I made pretty good

1294
00:59:21,360 --> 00:59:24,639
money betting against it against him when he fought Gaigee,

1295
00:59:24,639 --> 00:59:28,000
but I think he gets Rouffi in this one, so

1296
00:59:28,239 --> 00:59:31,079
I wouldn't surprise me if more money came in on

1297
00:59:31,159 --> 00:59:36,000
Fizziev here. But Ruffy showed his complete lack of takedown defense.

1298
00:59:36,199 --> 00:59:38,760
He could get back up against Saint Denis but didn't

1299
00:59:38,760 --> 00:59:41,199
have a ground game, and Phizzia if can Russell and

1300
00:59:41,280 --> 00:59:43,840
Phisiev much much better strength to schedule.

1301
00:59:43,880 --> 00:59:45,800
Speaker 1: He's fought justin Gaigee twice.

1302
00:59:46,519 --> 00:59:50,000
Speaker 2: I think he just got done beating Baha Mundees, Ruffy,

1303
00:59:50,639 --> 00:59:53,280
knocked out an old King Green before that, knocked out

1304
00:59:53,280 --> 00:59:56,000
a bum and then just really got dog washed.

1305
00:59:56,119 --> 00:59:58,360
Speaker 1: Against Saint Denis so Phiziev.

1306
00:59:58,440 --> 01:00:01,400
Speaker 2: As much as I'm not that impressed with him, I

1307
01:00:01,400 --> 01:00:04,199
think he's got the tools to beat Mauricio Roffy in

1308
01:00:04,239 --> 01:00:09,199
this one and then TGL tonight the Golf League Boston

1309
01:00:09,320 --> 01:00:10,440
Common over.

1310
01:00:10,920 --> 01:00:13,760
Speaker 1: Bay Golf Club. This should be available on all your books.

1311
01:00:13,760 --> 01:00:16,039
We hit a bet on them. I bet in this

1312
01:00:16,159 --> 01:00:17,119
league last week.

1313
01:00:17,679 --> 01:00:21,719
Speaker 2: Roy mcroy's playing tonight for Boston because you know, Dan,

1314
01:00:21,800 --> 01:00:26,079
when you think Boston, you think Roy McRoy, but also

1315
01:00:26,760 --> 01:00:29,360
also Thor Biorn Olison is playing.

1316
01:00:30,559 --> 01:00:35,519
Speaker 1: Nothing says Boston like the Rory McRoy thor Bjorn Olison combo.

1317
01:00:36,000 --> 01:00:38,800
Speaker 2: But in this, in this, in the golf simulation. If

1318
01:00:38,800 --> 01:00:41,000
you don't know what TGL is, it's it's golf simulation.

1319
01:00:41,039 --> 01:00:41,599
Speaker 1: It's awesome.

1320
01:00:42,199 --> 01:00:45,280
Speaker 2: But Roy mcroy's length gives them an advantage. That length

1321
01:00:45,320 --> 01:00:47,960
alone should win them a couple holes, and their opponent,

1322
01:00:48,039 --> 01:00:51,280
Wyndham Clark is vulnerable. Shane Lowry is good on the green,

1323
01:00:51,320 --> 01:00:53,840
but he's a liability off the tee. And this line

1324
01:00:53,920 --> 01:00:56,239
has moved this was minus one twenty five. It's minus

1325
01:00:56,239 --> 01:00:58,880
one forty four because of the teams. So those are

1326
01:00:58,880 --> 01:01:02,840
your free plays for it today. All right, that's it.

1327
01:01:03,480 --> 01:01:05,400
Dan and I are gonna go shovel some snow. Get

1328
01:01:05,400 --> 01:01:08,639
to our happy place. Be careful out there, guys, if

1329
01:01:08,679 --> 01:01:11,159
it's cold. Keep an eye on your pets, keep an

1330
01:01:11,159 --> 01:01:14,079
eye on others pets. It's always one of my big concerns.

1331
01:01:14,920 --> 01:01:17,320
Speaker 1: So just keep your animals safe.

1332
01:01:17,400 --> 01:01:20,280
Speaker 2: So we'll be back the same time, same place tomorrow.

1333
01:01:20,280 --> 01:01:22,960
Good luckunder your bets. Four percent NBA best bet is up,

1334
01:01:22,960 --> 01:01:24,519
but go check out the specials page.

1335
01:01:24,880 --> 01:01:26,519
Speaker 1: You want long term, you want short term.

1336
01:01:26,599 --> 01:01:29,440
Speaker 2: There's always a discount up on that page, so go

1337
01:01:29,480 --> 01:01:30,760
to the special page at wager Talk.

1338
01:01:30,960 --> 01:01:33,440
Speaker 1: Good luck on your Bets'll see everyone Tuesday. Take care,