Speaker 1: Welcome to Wade.
Speaker 2: You talk today, the gold standard of the sports betting shows,
where we talk the talk and walk the walk.
Speaker 1: It is Monday. We had a loaded show.
Speaker 2: Crack Man's going to join us, Steve Barrel's gonna join us,
Yohanny's going to join us.
Speaker 1: But Dan get on in here, foot and a half.
Is that what you got?
Speaker 3: Yeah? Yeah, I hope everyone who is tuning in, at
least on the East coast or really all over the
country is thawing out. We didn't even know there was
going to be snow in Denver, absolute blizzard to end
that football game. So yeah, and the winter no longer coming.
Winter is here, and it is here with a vengeance.
But we're thought out. You and I were talking, we're
like psychopaths that enjoy shoveling snow. So figure that out.
Free workout is the way that I look at it.
But we're here on a Monday, we're thought out, We're
ready to go, and we got a hell of a
show because you know, we're kicking it off with Yanni
the Greek will talk about this opening super Bowl line.
Speaker 4: Get some thoughts from him, obviously on the hardwood Day
abbreviated Slate. Steve Merrill's going to talk about two of
those college basketball games on here. Crackman is going to
be on here. How did his weekend go? Bill Krackenberg?
We'll get a prop from him as well.
Speaker 3: So a fun Monday show, Andy, but yes, a frigid
Monday show. So we're hoping everybody is safe out there.
Speaker 2: All right, we're gonna do the free version of the
WTF LFG.
Speaker 1: Dan does not have. Yeah, so here's how it works.
Speaker 3: Yeah, Well, Andy, and and I was thinking about, like,
do I force a play? Do I look at the
free picks page? And I was like, No, that's not
how we do WTF and LFG. We pick a play
every day and it's follow or fade this one Andy's having.
I was like, Andy, I could give him a lacrosse play,
but it doesn't go until Saturday. That's not fair to
you guys. So Andy, what are what are we gonna
do for his WTF or LFG. You get him a
free play right out of the gate here?
Speaker 2: Okay, Well we just I just recorded Puck Time with Andrew.
Shout out to Karm you and I love shoveling snow.
Karm does not act shoveling. Yes, but we're gonna do
a hockey prop in honor of karm is David Pasternach
to have an assist.
Speaker 1: He has six assists.
Speaker 2: In his last few games he plays the Rangers, and
the Rangers have been absolutely terrible and they are worse
at home than they are on the road. But Dan,
in the last game that David Pasternak played against the Rangers,
how many assists do you think he had?
Speaker 4: Oh? Man, Rangers are we talking to or more?
Speaker 5: Six?
Speaker 4: Oh, that's a little bit more than This is the
game that.
Speaker 1: The Brudes put the beat down on the Rangers.
Speaker 2: So I'm putting this as the l F g W
t F because if we don't bring it up and
it wins, it was like, well, what are.
Speaker 1: We doing here?
Speaker 5: We not?
Speaker 1: How could you not go back to that?
Speaker 2: So, Dan Pasta, does he have the assist or does
he come off the sixth the sixth assist game?
Speaker 1: He's got six assists in his last three let me
know in the chat. But Dan, what say you? LFG
WTF comment below and let us know.
Speaker 3: Well, as long as a blizzard doesn't happen in the
second or third period in this game, you're you're you're
pretty good, because we were also looking good on the
Drake mayprop that we had until he didn't even have
to throw a pass in the second half.
Speaker 4: Hard to throw an interception if you're not throwing a pass.
Speaker 3: So Andy, as long as there is no snow inside
of the arena, this is going to be an LFCHI
for me. Let's go pasta over the assists. Yeah, two
guys had hat tricks that last one. Let's run it back, Frank,
Let's have it happen again. We're not betting any hat tricks.
We're just betting some pasta assists. I love it, Andy,
I love it.
Speaker 2: Let's bring in Yanni and get his thoughts on Super
Bowl opening line. Well up, Johnny, UFC, Yanni, Happy Monday.
How are you.
Speaker 6: Bought some gold two years ago? A little bit more man?
Speaker 1: Wow?
Speaker 6: Wow, I'm not a good side to the US dollar. Yeah,
not good for our US dollar. But with that said,
what a great weekend. Now I lost my UFC bet
on Saturday. With that said, I'm so excited about twenty
twenty six ahead and what I had planned for MMA
coming off of losing year. But more importantly, football continues
to crush finish the NFL regular season number one in
profit over the last two weeks, I just stuck to
my power ratings in the playoffs. I said that with
the start of the divisional round, I'm just going to
stick to my own numbers. Fourteen six and one over
the last two weeks. Signs totals and player props finished
number one in twenty twenty five NFL player props over
sixty six percent, fifty eight bets over fifty five units one.
So I'm excited for the Super Bowl. In fact, I
had four lines already created Seattle versus New England, Seattle
versus Denver Rams versus New England Rams VERSU. I had
the sides created, and I had the soak totals created,
and all I was waiting for is to see to
match up. Once we saw the first game ended, I
just had two lines off Seattle versus New England, Rams
versus New England. As soon as those games went final.
Right away, my UH power ratings supported value on a side,
and I immediately this morning sent out a five percent
of my subscribers. So I'm gonna trust my numbers with
the Super Bowl. No reason to delay the bet. We're
on a five percent side, I should have the total
because the power rating reflects the total as well. But
just gonna wait a little bit there to see how
that line settles, and then it's just focus on player props.
I should start firing player props probably tomorrow night, Wednesday
and Thursday at the latest will start coming up. And
like I said, we'll have a lot more risk on
player props than we will on the side in total
when it's all all said and done. So really excited
about the Super Bowl, brother, But between now and to
some days from now, we have a lot of college basketball, NBA, NHL,
MMA and all that good stuff that they can advantage.
Speaker 3: Of well and VR before we get into stuff that
you're seeing here today obviously on the hardwood, talk a
little NHL.
Speaker 4: We'll get some folks some some steam for today.
Speaker 3: Hasn't betting props in the Super Bowl completely changed because
it used to be, you know, oh, you got to
wait for the big prop sheet to come out in
Vegas and then it's after that. But you know, once
once the matchup is already set, you have these regulated
you know, nationwide sports books like DraftKings, like fanduals.
Speaker 4: The props are already starting to pop up.
Speaker 3: So how is the approach to betting Super Bowl props
changed for you just in this short term, you know,
the last four or five years, because it's a completely
complete different frontier.
Speaker 6: Yeah, what a great point. But they use the same template.
That's the key. That's why they have these props ready.
They have the exact same template, and they simply adjust
the betting odds slightly. And that's where guys like myself
are able to take advantage because they don't. They don't
adjust significantly enough based on the matchup, and year after
year you find those same props that offer up value,
you know, like the overtime props and stuff like that
that the the recreational betters tend to like the long
shots and the sharper betters are comfortable laying chalk to
make a return on investment. And that's how it usually
goes with the prompts. But with the legalization in every state,
like player props have become so huge. They're now the
majority of the action being booked on the Super Bowl.
Like there was a time they were a very small
part of Super Bowl action. In fact, the only reason
they even created props was back in the late eighties
early nineties, the Super Bowls were so one sided that
people stopped watching them, and nobody wanted to pay a
million dollars five million dollars for a commercial if no
and sticking around for the third and fourth quarter because
these were blowouts, if you remember, I remember. So what
they did is they had to get creative, and they
did it in eighty five with the Fridge with the
Chicago Bears and will the Fridge score a touchdown? That
was it because they wanted to add excitement to the
game when it was a two touchdown favorite. Remember in
that game, Chicago was like two touchdown favorites over the Patriots.
They were supposed to blow the Patriots out. That's what happened.
So rather than have nobody care about that game, they said,
let's add a prop. Will the fridge score touchdown? Everyone
and their mother bet the yes, the fridge scores a touchdown,
and that opens the floodgates for props from then on.
But the reason they're going to come out so quickly
is because, like I said, there's that template that they had,
the set template that they follow, simple adjustments based on
the matchup. But now come about towards the end of
this week. That's when the books start the individualize each
property starts to get creative, and that's where we can
really find value because that's where some bookmakers are willing
to have an opinion and they're creating their own props
and the goal is to try to be as creative
as possible to try to get some kind of attention
so that you could, you know, get more and more customers.
That's the goal now between now and the Super Bowl,
it's how can we entice people to sign up to
bet the Super Bowl through us? And the way they're
going to do that is by throwing out some props
and you know, some exciting props and some stuff that
they're not going to take much action on, but everyone's
going to talk about. And that's where all the money's
going to come.
Speaker 1: Man.
Speaker 6: Again, people are going to bet the side. People are
going to get the total. But when the dust settles,
I would say that the majority of the money, more
than fifty sixty percent, will be on the props as
opposed to the side of total. And that that's totally
changed from you know, back when when shit even ten
years ago, when the majority of the money was signes
totals and very little props. Now it's mostly props and
the side in total isn't even that big of a deal.
That's why you won't see much of a line move
between now and kickoff.
Speaker 5: Yeah.
Speaker 2: I remember hearing a story one of the sports books
that got creamed on that fridge touchdown, Like somebody was like,
oh my god, this is awful, like I'm gonna get fired,
and the owner was like, no, this is the greatest
thing ever.
Speaker 6: Like, yeah, it's not, like the only thing worse was
I was here for the Rams when the La Rams
moved to Saint Louis, they started like four and o
and they were still like one hundred to one at
a handful of books. And you got to remember Vegas
has a lot of California people that visit weekend and
week ount, so they were coming from LA and these
guys are Rams fans even though they're in Saint Louis.
So looking up at the Bard, they're like, damn, the
Rams are one hundred to one and they're four and oh.
And they booked a lot of action at one hundred
to one and even greater at some properties. And when
that Super Bowl finished, a handful of guys lost their
jobs for having that that odds still up there not
adjusting it for four and oh teams. So yeah, that
stuff happens on occasion. You'll you'll find any efficiencies, man,
even in the NFL.
Speaker 2: Well, let's talk some of these opening lines and then
we'll do a little recap on UFC anything of note
with the Super Bowl that you're seeing right now. If not,
we can move into college basketball or any of the
hoops for today.
Speaker 6: I think this is what everyone expected. I mean, this
is what they were talking about that Seattle would be
about a five point favorite over New England, they'd be
a touchdown plus over Denver. So this is what was expected.
We didn't see too much of a move when it
opened at four to four and a half. We saw
it go to five, and then we saw it come back.
And that's what usually happens.
Speaker 4: Now.
Speaker 6: Between now and probably Sunday, Andy, we're gonna hear the
books are flooded on Seattle because the favorite usually gets
the money early on if the line's moving that way.
So you're gonna hear we're flooded on Seattle. The books
are gonna need New England. If New England wins outright,
it's even better for the books. Blah blah blah blah blah.
By the time we get to the Super Bowl, you're
gonna start seeing the risk much closer to fifty to fifty.
And it's not gonna matter which team wins or which total,
whether it goes over, whether it goes under, as long
as books don't get middled, meaning where the game opens
minus two and a half, closes minus three and a half,
and it lands in the middle. Unless that happens, they're
not losing money on a super Bowl. I've been here
now for thirty plus super Bowls, and it's just a
matter of how much money they're gonna make. If it
goes you know, favorite and under, they make this. If
it goes favoring and over, they make this. If it
goes dogging under, they make this. It makes dogging over
to make that because betters are willing to take such
the worst of it. Remember they're willing to lay minus
one ten minus one fifteen on a coin flip. We
all know it's fifty to fifty. We all know that
true odds on that should be even money. We put
up a dollar, we should win a dollar. And yet reasonable, smart, intelligent,
educated people will be betting eleven to win ten on
that coin flip comes Super Bowl Sunday. It's gambling people
approach it that way, and that the Super Bowl is
different than any other game, any other bet you could
possibly make all year. The people that are betting it
that the saturation of recreational money is immeasurable compared to
anything sharp, Like anything sharp doesn't even factor in. When
you're talking sides and totals. Prop different story, but sides
and totals. They don't give a shit what the sharps
are doing. They could care.
Speaker 2: Less anything College basketball, NBA that you're seeing today.
Speaker 6: Yeah, let me look at the steamshet. I know there
was five sides, five totals and five I mean five
NBA five, College basketball five and a jil. We moved
on five or six. I'll give a couple from each one.
NBA Cleveland minus four and a half. Philadelphia kept getting
steam plus four plus three and a half plus three,
and they also took Golden State plus eight. In college basketball,
they took Arizona minus the one in the under one
sixty six Arizona BYU added game Central Connecticut minus two
and a half and three. Then in the NHL they
went LA plus one oh five, Rangers plus one oh five,
and why not you told plus one fifty. So there's action.
It's Monday, and it's a little hangover from Championship Sunday.
We are in action, brother, and more importantly, two weeks
to the super Bowl, we already got a five percent
in there, So let's go. Time for props.
Speaker 1: Let's talk a little bit of UFC.
Speaker 2: I hit my five percent, lost all the small ones,
and I was lucky to hit the five percent. I
had to tie a silva involved. Good for you, but
not really.
Speaker 1: That fight did not go according to plans. She should
have lost.
Speaker 2: And then on the flip side, you had the song
you don't Sean O'Malley, where I didn't think Sean O'Malley
had any business winning.
Speaker 1: My takeaway was, I think, I don't know.
Speaker 2: The narrative of what does UFC want to happen might
become a part of my handicapping, Like it just it
just felt like whoever UFC really wanted and needed to
win ended up winning. I don't know if there's anything
to that. You handicap a completely different me. You look
at the line movement and all that, But I be honest,
I'm terrified of main cards. After seeing that main card,
I'm not like, where's the value in that main card
unless you're beating the lines like you do. If I'm
just handicapping who should beat who, I'm going to be
sticking to the prelims in the undercard moving forward?
Speaker 1: What do you think?
Speaker 6: I don't you nailed it, Bro. That's why you win
long term, andy, because you're you're you're not trying to
satisfy the fans like need, meaning you're actually trying to
make money doing this. You're looking for where is the
inefficient market? And that's where I've become a fan of you.
It isn't about it's Monday night football.
Speaker 4: They want to know.
Speaker 6: They want to bet the side or the total, so
that's what I'm going to sell them. Instead, You're like,
it's Monday night football. I think there's a prop on
the kicker that's off. That's what I'm betting. And I
love that file, Bro, I absolutely love it. And that's
why I love a site like wager talk that has
so many tappers that you can specialize and you find
valuing guys that are specialists like that, and I love it,
and I think someone like you should do exactly that,
because you're going to annihilate the undercard without having to
worry about the nonsense of politics that's involved in all sports.
We know that, And it's not even corruption. I think
it's more like incompetence coupled with pressure. You don't think
they know going in, like what the need is of
the Nevada State Athletic Commission, Like when Mayweather was fighting.
You don't think the judges knew going in that it
would be a good thing for the Nevada State Athletic Commission,
for the state, for everyone involved if Mayweather got the
w and we were able to do this again six
months from now and then again six months from now,
then against six months from now for the state, for businesses,
for everyone. Like Knowing these things actually matter as a
handicapper sucks because it's hard enough to factor in data
that has to deal with the teams, but then to
deal with politics and judges and shit like that makes
it very difficult. So I think minimizing it to the undercard,
where you don't have the politics involved as much, I
think is a really, really, really smart idea, because nothing
worse than that. Like you said, you do everything right,
and yet for reasons you know, we unspecify, you lose
a bet and it sucks. So I don't fought you
for doing that. And I think your results are going
to do a really good long term doing that. Now,
I got it wrong with Patty, and that was me.
It wasn't my originator or anything. I was confident that
the line was going to move because Gaigee thirty seven
years old, Gaygee talking retirement. I thought I was going
to get more closing line value than I did. It
got the minus two fifty two fifty five at one point,
but it closed about minus two forty five and I
got down at minus two twenty again three percent on
implied win probability. You do that long term, you're going
to you know, print money. But again for a five percent,
I expected a lot more. So I failed my subscribers
with that. But I was confident I did good with
that card, meaning I read it good, I saw the
dogs that were live, and I feel good about this
week's card.
Speaker 4: Have you looked at it yet?
Speaker 6: Andy?
Speaker 4: I like this one?
Speaker 2: Actually, yeah, I'm one hundred percent. I like this card
more after doing it, doing all that, I think there's
some obvious dog spots and then some very obvious yes,
good favorite spots. So yeah, yeah, I'm with you. I listen,
we get defaded you.
Speaker 6: And if that's a big play for you, you don't
have to you don't have to say UFC meeting today.
That's why we're talking about that card we're taping on Friday.
I had both the first time. I I lean that
way a second time. I haven't betting. I just I
don't know.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't. I don't have a strong opinion on
on that fight though.
Speaker 2: I I my sneaky call is that Dan Hooker makes
this Saint Denis fight really messy, and I think everyone's
going to be on Saint Denis and Dan Hooker in
Australia just the brawler that he is.
Speaker 1: Uh, I like a little a little wonky.
Speaker 2: So but yeah, there's there's some pretty good fade spots.
But I'll be treading lightly on the main cards moving forward.
Speaker 1: Sure.
Speaker 2: I I for for for you to not get any
takedown pressure from Patty pimblet is mind blowing.
Speaker 1: I think somebody or.
Speaker 6: Like I said, that's what you can't call the fights
you can't judge the fights. You can't be in the
corner to tell him what to do. But my whole
analysis was off because I thought his advantage was in
the grappling and he didn't grapple all like again, just
looking you do.
Speaker 2: You just struck with a striker, just a kiss of death,
unbelieving and that was and that his face is not
it's not permanently damaged, but the amount of damage he
took to his face, that tissue.
Speaker 6: Shortened your career, Yeah, it.
Speaker 1: Does, it was, it was. It was a massive loss loss.
Speaker 2: So all right, well we'd already know you got a
five percent best bet up for Super.
Speaker 6: That the five the Super Bowl packages up, there's a
five percent in there. I'll be adding player prompts as
I confirm it, and I'm pretty sure when that Super
Bowl kicks off, I will have a premium obviously on
the side, and the total. I think we'll have both
side in total with a handful of player prompts. The
steam sheets up. It's got n NBA, college basketball, and NHL,
and that will also include throughout the week the player
props that didn't make the premium car like yesterday's Steamshet
had like seven, eight player prompts, ten player prompts. I
think they ended up doing really well. So Steam sheets up,
super Bowl passes up. I should have the UFC pass
up because of four percent was already released from my
originator and I like this card as well. So big
two weeks as we wait for Super Bowl Sunday. But
don't wait too long because again we already got down
on the side. So again, best the luck to everyone
this week and hope you do some damage as well.
Speaker 2: Andy, Thank you very much. Janni absolutely can't wait. Yanni
the Greek, one of the best in the business.
Speaker 5: Thank you.
Speaker 2: Real quick early action in the NBA, mainly seventy six
ers Hornets. I do have a couple free plays, actually
I can give those out. Oh Pascal Siakam, this game
is like an hour. You gotta lay juice, but they
keep putting out three and a half assists on Pascal Siakam.
He's averaging like nine potential assists and games of one
thirty eastern So you gotam in an hour. That's just
if you want juice. Seventy six Ers Hornets. Yeah, Andre
Drummond over nine and a half rebounds. Here's my write
up for that one. With Embiid and Paul George out,
Drummond has gone for eleven plus rebounds in eight of
his last nine games. In those spots, he's averaging twenty
seven minutes eighteen rebound chances per game. Here's here's the issue, though,
of all teams, you would never guess Charlotte ranks number
one and rebounds to centers.
Speaker 1: The Charlotte Hornets, who don't really have that much size.
Speaker 2: Their guards crashed and their forwards crash, and centers don't
get a ton of rebounds. But Drummond already played them
earlier this season. He had thirteen rebounds against them. It
missed the client card, but it's a lean. It's something
you can look at. But the Andre Drummond, I thought
the numbers should be ten and a half. You can
get it at nine and a half again, Embiid Paul
George are out, So yeah.
Speaker 4: I love it. Well, we're all about the assist today.
Speaker 3: I like that you threw a little rebound in there,
but we're all about the nice on the hard one.
That game going early, so that's a little bit for
the live viewers. I know Bill Krackenberg, he's gonna have
a prop coming up here before we bring him in
Andy that seven day special it's expiring soon.
Speaker 4: What do you got locked and loaded?
Speaker 3: I know you said you won the five percent or
still kind of a kiss your sister weekend when people
love it when you win the big plays. So so
how are we doing as we move forward into this week?
And what are you going to be locked and loaded?
Before we talk to Bill here in a second?
Speaker 2: That is I never know how to feel about it
when you have a losing record in a package, but
you hit the five percent.
Speaker 4: People love the big player.
Speaker 3: But for the way that you and I do it,
you know what I mean, it's like we want we
want the volume to hit, you know what I mean,
like having the big play hit because we know people
probably bet him a little bit heavier than they should.
You know, you can at least feel good that you
got the five percenter home, But you know, you and
I are kicking ourselves if we if we don't have
the above fifty two percent, we could care less about
the weekend. You know, it's a it's a it's a
frustrating weekend for us. But you did hit the big one,
and I'm sure there are plenty of people who are
happy about that one.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, full disclosure, Saturday was not good.
Speaker 2: That was that was a big losing day for us
all access clients. You guys broke even on Sunday. But
today four percent NBA best bet is up. Don't don't
get that, get the seven days for three days that's
still up, and you can a lot of specials on
the specials page. But having a good twenty twenty six,
absolutely love and where we're at. We learned a lot
from that UFC card. I'm going to be very low
volume in UFC moving forward, but we hit a couple
of NBA plays up yesterday. That's eight and three run.
That's a sport that we're just seeing really really well
right now. And four percent best bet that's up. And
I think I may have another play for tonight that
will be attached to it as well. So you'll probably
get a couple best bets for this Monday. But again,
don't get one play, just get get seven days for
the price of three.
Speaker 1: That way you can see what we can do over
the course of a week.
Speaker 2: So all right, let's bring in Bill Krakenberg.
Speaker 4: How we doing, brother, good? How we doing? Okay, I'm
not bad.
Speaker 3: Like Andy said, it was kind of just one of
those weekends where you know, you win some, you lose some.
So I'll tell you what, I'm glad that we only
have one more NFL game left and I only have
to watch the Patriots play one more time.
Speaker 4: I my heart can't do it anymore.
Speaker 3: The Philly guy in me, uh, it's it's it's hard
for me to see them continually win in the fashion
they do. So you know, you always come on pissed
off on a Monday morning.
Speaker 4: That about man. Second half didn't even have to throw
a damn pass. Bill. Come on, brother, it's amazing how
I said.
Speaker 7: I said it the other day on Vson, I said,
you know, I wake up every morning it's supposed to
be sunshine, rainbows and lollipops. For some reason, I wake
up mad at somebody. It's just it's just the industry.
Speaker 4: Now.
Speaker 7: I come on here, mondays, it's the beginning of the week,
and you know, I've had so many winning weeks and
it doesn't matter. I still come on a little bit grumpy.
It's not grumpy, it's just this state of the industry,
the state of social media, the state of the BS,
and different things and you know, I just see things
like like perfect example, I woke up this morning pissed
off about me not sweeping the board but my props
this week because it's stupid, like the weather. Like I
should be happy. I only lost one prop, so but
I should be happy. But I still look woke up saying, jeesus,
this did amount one hundred and twenty yards in the
first half. I needed like, let's say eighty, you know,
eighties eighty yards in the second half, and they're gonna
be behind, maybe throwing the ball. And then the weather
just started getting worse and worse beginning a third quarter.
In midway third they were running up until the end
of the game. And you know, listen, I can't complain.
I had a good had a good prop weekend. Just
sometimes these things happened. We had great games, though, we
had really good games. Speaking of pissed off, I think
New York's New York's pissed off for some reason, these
more runs that control the Empire State Building decided to
put up the colors of the Patriots on the top
of the Empire State Building.
Speaker 4: Yeah, don't they know that they're in this.
Speaker 7: The Jets are in the same people don't like the
Patriot Maybe it's patriotic to put up the colors, but
well yeah they.
Speaker 3: Put that and the whole empire state like flashing the
colors thing. It's honestly, it's become like a troll thing
that they do on social media. Because last year they
had to put up colors for the Eagles too, So
they do it every year.
Speaker 4: But yeah, when it when it's New England and New
York hasn't had much to be excited about.
Speaker 3: I'm sure Bill, you know that that's probably what some
New Yorkers were pissed off about this morning. Was they're
looking up and they're like, dude, what the hell My
Rangers they can't get a win. You know, my all
my teams suck. We can't get a head coach for
the Jets. You know, all the all issues, all these issues, Bill,
But man, before we talk NFL or NBA player, prop
gotta get your thoughts.
Speaker 4: Man. The line opens last night Seattle Seahawks, New England Patriots,
and to expected you know, you see that money start
coming in on Seattle. There were some threes out there,
even those disappeared rather quickly. Just early takeaway thoughts for
you on the opening line here, we got two weeks
for people to handicap out. They're betting the side, how
they're betting the total. But you know it's props, props,
pops come Super Bowl time.
Speaker 3: Yeah, but but what do you think about as far
as the opening line here, we got it set.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 7: I actually seen it come up three and a half
and then quickly got bet to four, stayed at four
for a while, went to four and a half. That's
where it's settled right now. A couple couple of five's
out there, and some of the books that matter actually so.
But but you know I give out on wager talk.
I actually give out the NFC a month ago minus
a dollar forty five. You can see the value you
have there now obviously people that followed me and people
that got my picks.
Speaker 4: So but but I will tell you.
Speaker 7: I have a friend that's that's very very he's very
good at what he does. And I'm not even gonna
show you the bet. But why do that, There's no
reason to do that. But he made a very large bet,
the largest bet. He bet six figures almost every year
in the Super Bowl, and he bet he bought it
to six. I can't believe he found this line plus
six minus twenty. He bought it the six So of
course I wish I could get that now. It's a
hell of a not that I'm looking in the middle
of my one forty five. I like my position at
minus one forty five. But yeah, he bet plus six
on the game last night, and he bought it the sixth.
They took a very large bet. Some of these sportsbooks,
you know, they they will take a big bet earlier
because you know, you would think although.
Speaker 4: Take a large bet day of the game. Yeah they would.
Speaker 7: Yeah, most books would take a six figure bet. But
the seven figure bets. I think there was nine seven
figure bets last season that were documented by the different
sportsbooks around town that took a million dollars or more.
And you know, you could take it with the you know,
a week to goo or a few days to go,
because you can work with that line. You can get
customers on the other side and generate juice for your book.
It's always a fun time, it really is. Everyone bets
the Super Bowl, literally, uh, everyone.
Speaker 4: From office workers, housewives.
Speaker 7: Everyone has those box pools you know back where I'm from,
but uh, the box pools are sick. Even my little
brother called me out the other day. He said, Hey,
can you get me.
Speaker 4: In one hundred dollars box pool? I said, we don't.
Speaker 7: We don't have box pools in Vegas, buddy, Like, we
don't have that because.
Speaker 4: We're used to.
Speaker 7: Like Staten Island, New York is the king of box pools.
Anyone out there that knows about these pools or from
Staten Island, you know what goes on over there. They
have the biggest pools in the world. They have boxes,
they have they have ten thousand dollars boxes. Literally, stat
Nown' got a lot of money. They have a medical
a million dollars in a box sou And you know,
it's funny.
Speaker 4: The bars run.
Speaker 7: Everyone knows, the police know, the FBI know everyone. Technically,
as long as you're not taking nothing out of the
pool for yourself as a house technically, you know, you're
just having a pool amongst your buddies. But it's funny
when you get paid. Let's say you win one hundred
thousand dollars, the guy comes over and brings you the money.
He gives you ninety thanks for the ten thousand tip.
They they take their tip out in advance, it's actually cool,
but it's a great place to have that kind of
there's pools, all different sizes, all the bars, different bars
in Staten Island, but everyone bets the super Bowl. It's
a thing that's almost like a rite of passage. Any
of the I should say any of the cities, but
it's anywhere over the United States. I was using like
the inner cities and like where I grew up. Even
though we were poor, we had money to bet box
pools when I was just it is what it is.
Speaker 4: But Seattle, La.
Speaker 7: Great game came down to the wire there, and there's
a little bit of an overreaction because of what happened yesterday.
So you see the terrible weather game. You see the
Patriots squeak by the Broncos, but you see the terrible
weather game. So you really didn't see a true outcome
of what would happen in that second half with under
under normal conditions, and you see a little bit of overreaction.
What do I say by that? Is what I mean
by that the line of the game. You could have
bet right before those two games yesterday. You could have
bet any matchup at I was at Westgate. You could
bet any matchup this particular outcome the matchup. The line
was Seattle minus three and a half over the Patriots.
Speaker 4: You could have bet that right before.
Speaker 7: The games now, just because of the way Seattle won,
and maybe the week now. I can't even to the
week before because that would have been reflected in that
three and a half. People just said, oh god, this
other game New England just barely won. I gotta bet
Seattle for the Super Bowl. It's a little bit of
an overreaction. So the value might be on that plus five.
And by the way, five is not a dead number.
I know people say, oh, five games don't land five,
you'd be surprised. I have a chart Las Vegas. Chris
gave me a chart years ago of like all ten numbers,
what they all like one to ten? Pick them through ten,
So I guess eleven numbers literally have. I'm trying to
think what it went up to him.
Speaker 4: I know what I'm wrong.
Speaker 7: I think I'm up to fourteen, So fourteen numbers. It
went up to fourteen, and just see what the games
land on. You'd be surprised. Five was in the middle
of the pack. It wasn't down low. So five was
right there with four. Like the games land on four.
So anyway, what I'm trying to say is five is
not a dead number. There's an overreaction here because of
what you're seeing yesterday. That's reflective in the line today,
even though I have the NFC and I'm staying with
my position. Of course, guys, anyone that's that's that's that
bought my packages. You see you have the one forty five,
don't get off it. Don't middle it unless you.
Speaker 4: Have a lot of money on. If you have a
lot of money on, I have no problem.
Speaker 7: If someone has, you know, a thousand bucks on that
coming back with you know, five hundred bucks the other way,
or four hundred bucks the other way, three hundred bucks
the other way.
Speaker 4: Get me.
Speaker 7: Just make sure you shop around. There's fives out there.
So but you know, I'm sticking with my position. It
should be a great game.
Speaker 4: Again.
Speaker 7: Let me just tell you I'm gonna have a package
that I haven't even told no one to wager talk yet.
Speaker 4: They don't even know.
Speaker 7: So this is the first time I'm gonna have a
package up by the end of the week, a prop
package of NFL props that I feel really confident already
I have. I'm looking at least six that I have
that I just want to get into. To be real blunt,
I just want to get into west Gate. They moved
it up. Thank god they moved it up to win
because Westgate takes a lot of money. I mean, I
bet a ridiculous amount of money over at Westgate last
year on the player props.
Speaker 4: I was online. They have a lottery so that you're
online and you.
Speaker 7: Have to everyone goes through the countar. You get two
thousand bucks you have to get. You weren't allowed to
make two plays. You have to go to the back
of the line. So last year I went there and
I was online and went back and forth, back and
forth back. I had eleven plays written down. I only
got ten of them and someone else got the other one.
I got ten of I ran really lucky there went
nine and one should have went ten and one if
I got my other one in, but I didn't. But
I went up and bet some of the same ones
over and over again.
Speaker 4: So I'll have Once.
Speaker 7: Westgate releases a lot of other sports books, look at
their lines too. I want to make sure they have
an obtainable line for everyone out there. I want to
make sure you guys get an obtainable line. I'm not
one to put out a line like today, someone put
out a line. Someone's got a prop out today. There's
such a small market Vegas. There's not a single there's
not a sports book in Vegas that has props up.
But yet the service wants to pay their record and
make it look like, you know, they're they're giving out
an obtainable line.
Speaker 4: They can't even can't even make a bet on the
prop in Vegas.
Speaker 7: So a player prop. But however, I don't do that.
I don't say you can bet this at hard Rock Florida,
good luck.
Speaker 4: I don't. That's not what I do, not not what
I do.
Speaker 7: So anyway, should be a fun should be a fun time,
A lot of props, a lot of fun things, you know,
a lot of things. For wager talk, I can release that.
They don't even have the props here. So I'm hoping
I get one of them this year. You know, I've
had some over the years. I've had some great information.
On the first I'll just be blunt. The reason why
I had that Coldplay singing Yellow. The reason why I
had that I knew someone in the stadium that's been
there watching the warm ups.
Speaker 4: I'm watching them warm up.
Speaker 7: The song yellow and it was like plus six to one,
plus three to one, plus two to one. I bet
that was a giant score for me. Giants scored all
my followers too, gave out to the followers.
Speaker 4: So I'm hoping we get something like that.
Speaker 7: Maybe we get the the gatorade truck on the way in,
shake that guy down.
Speaker 4: Yeah, you gotta get good information on this kind of stuff.
You can't. Just the national anthem is pretty simple.
Speaker 7: Just watch I think I told you guys, just I
don't even know who's singing the national aunthem how about that?
But the national anthems you see when it was just
look on YouTube when they sung up before.
Speaker 4: Just see the time.
Speaker 3: No, we've had we've had Andy on here handicapping cleavage
will be shown props, so you you.
Speaker 4: Know you're gonna get plenty of thoughts.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know we're gonna get that one.
Speaker 3: Oh it was and it was great. It was great
research that he did. He was like, I watched performances,
I saw what her outfits are. So it was well
done by Andy. So you know, we're going to run
the gamut on the props. We'll cover here and next
week when we got Crack on here, we're gonna talk
plenty of props here.
Speaker 4: But Crack, what do you got speaking of which though?
Speaker 7: I mean, are there people out there that that follow
these idiot broads bouncing into their break to giving up
the picks?
Speaker 4: Are there people?
Speaker 7: Are there real people that Do people really bet that stuff?
Speaker 4: Or is it just entertaining? I mean they get engagement.
Speaker 7: I want to hear no, I'm not. I want to
hear it from you guys. Do you actually bet it
or bet their stuff? And they lie and they put
there's a couple of them, man, I tell you what
they're so forgetting It's unbelievable.
Speaker 4: But we we we we we know that.
Speaker 3: Well, crack, Hey, before we turn you loose, man, Like
I said, we're gonna talk plenty of props with you
next week, folks, and get the proc pack that he's
gonna have coming up here. Uh you know, check him
out WT Dot buzz Backslash Crackman. Obviously Westgate's gonna be
doing their stuff on Wednesday, Uh, actually to to get
you ready for super Bowl week. So Bill, before we
turn you loose, you got anything for the folks in
NBA or any fire propt can throw out here.
Speaker 4: Let's give him an NBA proper.
Speaker 7: What do we got, I'm a MGM. You're looking at MGM.
I don't want to give out obtainable NBA NBA propers.
The Memphis Frizzlies game, Jared Jackson rebounds over four and
a half ye four and a half minus one thirty five.
Speaker 4: Still uh.
Speaker 7: He had six rebounds on eighteen chances in the first matchup,
first of Rockets the last twelve games without Edian album.
I really think this is a good one. Even you
can go. I'm going by one sportsbook that's another one
over five and a half plus one fifteen. I would
go over either number. That's probably the value, probably a
little bit, just a little bit better.
Speaker 4: It's fifty cent difference than juice there.
Speaker 7: Maybe taking the over five and a half plus one fifteen,
but over four and a half minus one thirty five
is what I bet. So there's a prop for you guys,
and I'll talk to you guys next week. Thanks for
putting up with me.
Speaker 4: Oh always, Bill appreciate it.
Speaker 3: You can follow him at Bill Krackman a fantastic follow
there on x Twitter. I also like this breakdown here, Andy,
good breakdown from our fan RJ that he's always in
here in the chat his handicap as the country singers
maybe rushed through it a little bit more state classic,
but the R and B singers tend.
Speaker 4: To linger a little bit more.
Speaker 3: Remember when there was the big controversy they did the
Home of the Brave and repeated the Home of the Brave,
you know what I mean where there was there was
some stylistic changes there. So I always always look forward
to the handicaps on the national Anthem, which Andy, you know,
you and I probably will do a whole segment on
just obscure props for the folks here because it's some
of the fun stuff that you and I love each
and every year.
Speaker 2: Well we will, but listen the the national anthem thing
like it's kind of jumped the shark and you really.
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's no longer obscure. I'm talking.
Speaker 3: I'm talking about like will booty be shown? That's what
we handicapped. You know what color dress is bad Bunny
going to be wearing. That's the kind of stuff that
Andy and I will get into.
Speaker 2: Yes, yes, yes, I want I want to bet on
the color of the mic screen.
Speaker 4: Yes, that's what Andy and I will be breaking down here.
That's pre damn sure.
Speaker 2: Yeah, well, let's bring on Steve Merrill and we gotta
break down some games. Steve on the Games yesterday. Can
I just share this with you guys. Here's my I
don't like. I don't, I don't. I don't find the.
Speaker 4: Snow game is overrated Steve. Well, how was the first.
Speaker 2: Game supposed to tell you anything about those teams? And
then you get the Rams and the Seahawks they play
and you know, perfect conditions and what do you did?
Speaker 1: A very entertaining, awesome game. I don't like him. I
don't think that's a good indicator.
Speaker 2: My god, the entire season came down to Jared's Stidham
throwing the ball in the blizzard.
Speaker 1: What are we doing here?
Speaker 5: Yeah?
Speaker 8: I do think it's cool to watch, though, I mean,
it's it's different, it's entertaining. But I will say what
I did not like what. I liked it when it
first popped on, I thought it was one of the
coolest things I've seen it in. About five seconds later,
I didn't like it anymore. Was the AI generated thirty
yard lines? Well, it was cool though, damn when it
popped on, because it was like whoa, it lit up,
and then it took me a second to realize it
wasn't the real numbers because you could see him underneath smaller.
And then when all the players became in golf and Casper,
the ghost pixelated every time they crossed over a yard line.
It looked a little silly, as like the network's got
to get these off. I mean, the players are literally disappearing.
I will say this though, you know I always talk
about how snow doesn't affect scoring. Rain and snow, that's
it's wind and fog. That definitely got to a point
where it was hurting scoring a little bit in the
second half. Not that that was gonna be a high
scoring game anyway, but had it been like that from
the start, would have really been saying, don't forget that
could have been the six thirty Eastern game, which means
it would have been throughout the game. And let's also
forget if the Raiders, the worst team in football, don't
beat the Patriots back in Week one. That game is
in New England yesterday in a blizzard, so a lot
of interesting circumstances how that could have played out.
Speaker 2: Uh yeah, Steve, let's talk college basketball here. We got
a nice little little Louisville versus Duke Arizona BYU combo here.
This is the ESPN doubleheader tonight, So we'll start with
this Louisville versus Duke game. Duke coming in pretty decent
sized favor.
Speaker 1: Here over Louisville. You're looking at the spread, you're looking
at the total in this game.
Speaker 8: Well, it's been a little bit of movement on both here.
Duke opened as a seven and a half point favorite,
now up to eight and a half. We've also seen
a little bit of money on the over one fifty
six up to one fifty seven, even one to fifty
seven and a half starting to show it some of
the sharper books.
Speaker 5: Should be a back and forth game.
Speaker 8: Louisville is one of the faster teams of the country,
Duke plays in a very modest tempo, and Louisville actually
rates as the better offensive team in this game, which
might surprise a lot of people. Louisville's a top ten
offensive adjusted efficiency team this season and their top twenty
five defense, but Duke is almost a top ten defense.
I actually think Louisville the slightly better offense, Duke the
better defense, the best player in the country that was
on the floor en and if you haven't watched him yet,
freshman Cameron Boozer, yes, son of Carlos Boozer, one of
the twins. As we've got the other freshman, Caden Boozer,
who's the six foot four guard versus six to nine
Cameron Boozer, who's gonna be the number one in the
NBA draft. I would think, as Cooper flag last year. Now,
Cameron Duke remains loaded, but I think Louisville can hang
in this game. Yes, they're just four and three straight
up in conference play, but this line looks inflated. I
projected about a five to six point line here. The
move from seven and a half up to eight and
a half, I think actually has left some line value
with Louisville. And as I mentioned, Duke the better defensive team,
but Louisville the better offensive team. And the other matchup
I'll point out is that Duke gives up a lot
of shots from three point range. They are a very
strong interior defense, their perimeter defense is where the weakness is,
and no team in the country takes more three point
shots than in Louisville. There are three hundred and sixty
five teams in Division one basketball, and Louisville takes more
shots from three than anyone. Fifty four percent of their
field goal attempts more than half come from beyond the arc.
It's always a little dicey on the road, especially in Cameron,
how they will shoot, but it's actually a favorable matchup.
So if they can get those three point shots tonight,
I think Louisville can hang. That's a big if, but
there is some value here plus eight and a half
with Louisville. Well, that's your seven o'clock Eastern game on ESPN.
Speaker 1: I would think that.
Speaker 2: Why hasn't like a really small school said like, we're
only shooting threes.
Speaker 1: Like we're seeing.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Louisville doesn't strike me as a school that would
be number one shooting threes.
Speaker 8: Shooting over half your shots from three point range. When
you watch a game like that, it's pretty it.
Speaker 4: Feels like every time.
Speaker 8: And then I'll give you a first damn example. You know,
Brian Earle came to Woman Mary last year and really
turned the program around. Williman Mary was third in the
nation last year out of three sixty five. They took
almost fifty percent of their shots from three last year.
This year they're like in the forty four percent range,
which is like eightieth, and their defense has gotten a
lot better. So there's a balance. Like anything, you live
by the three, you die by the three. The problem
with that approach is, yes, you can catch lightning in
a bottle, but these mid major schools that you're talking
about have to win their conference tournaments, which means you
have to win in a minimum three or four straight
games in a row. And it's really hard to be
on for three or four straight. Yet it's kind of
like the option offense in football. Right when you're a smaller,
slower team in football, you got to do something different.
So that's why we do see the upsets in March madness,
is that you know, if someone's read hot from three,
they can beat anybody on a given day. It's just
very hard to win three or four games in a row,
win a conference tournament or let alone the NCAA Tournament.
Speaker 2: Moving on to Arizona and BYU, looks like Arizona is
going to be the ever so slight favorite here. Basically
a picking over under one sixty four and a half.
How do you break this one down?
Speaker 8: Yeah, forgot to mention that last game was a Top
twenty five matchup and this one is also a top
twenty five matchup. I think BYU's coming in like thirteenth
right now. Arizona, though, is the number one team of
the Ape Pole. And don't forget if you're liking Top
twenty five videos, I'm doing my Saturday Top twenty five
college basketball every Saturday going forward now that football is done,
and that'll be here on wager Talk TV. So click
subscribe and click that bell so you never miss up.
But a little two for one Top twenty five video
action on Monday on ESPN. And this is the late
game at nine o'clock Eastern. And on the surface, hard
not to take a look at BYU as a live
home dog here seventeen and two on the season, and
they're catching points on a strong home court with altitude. Now,
normally I think Arizona's probably three to four points better,
but this is an extreme home advantage. Not only is
it an undefeated home team here, but also a situation
in which they have the altitude edge, as I mentioned,
and that's something I always catches my attention when you're
playing a Desert team or a West Coast team. So
I do like BYU in this game to possibly pull
the upset. And I also don't feel like Arizona is
truly the number one team in the country. They're getting
all sixty one first place votes as of now because
they're twenty and zho straight up, but I do think
this could be their first loss of the season. I
still rate Michigan as the most dominant team in college basketball.
I've got Arizona maybe third or fourth. There are a
number one seed still, But if you're looking for a
spot for them to finally fall, this is a very
likely situation. In fact, if you look over the schedule here,
the only time they're probably not going to be favored
in a game is later on February twenty first, on Saturday,
February twenty first, when they go to Houston. That of
course will be in my Top twenty five video next
month on that Saturday. And I think this is the
other likely spot where they could drop a game. We
just saw some sharp money about fifteen minutes ago coming
on the total in this one. By the way, the
line open around two, it's down to one and a half.
Not much moving on the side, but we've seen some
heavy money on the over in this game. Opened one
sixty two and a half was one sixty five right
before I came on to do the show. Now it's
one sixty six. A little bit of a sharp money
move there, and it makes a lot of sense. Both
teams play extremely fast. Arizona is always one of the
fastest teams in the country. They are once again this
year BYU not too far behind. They both rank top
twenty percentile in possessions in tempo. Yes, Arizona is a
good defensive team, but both of these teams are really
good offensively as well, and BYU is a weaker defensive team.
That's the one weakness here. So the over is a
little bit of a hedge. If BYU does struggle, it's
probably because Arizona is going to score in this game.
So I like BYU plus one and a half, and
I agree with that sharp money move to the over.
I think you can hedge it a little that with
the over one sixty six as well. That's at nine
o'clock Eastern on ESPN.
Speaker 1: Steve thoughts on the Super Bowl. Who do you like.
Speaker 8: Well as Krack said, you know, the look aheadline was
three to three and a half all week at different books,
and then it instantly was four and a half yesterday,
and even hit five when some openers came out last
night right after the game. And I did think that
was a little strange because both games were close. I
didn't feel like either team looked good or bad in
either game, so I guess it was just a reaction
to the Patriots not covering and Seattle covering by the
way we had the Rams. I had both Denver and
the Under my free play video, but then we were
on the other side of it Rams and Under in
the late game, so video split out when going two
and two. But not just because I liked the Rams
plus two and a half. I really thought they should
have kicked the field goal because it was more than
fourth and one. I think it was like fourth and
three when they went for it, and it would have
been a one point game. They definitely covered that point
because even if they don't go down at score, Seattle's
gonna run out the clock either way. But I just
felt like fourth and three, you give yourself a chance
to get the all back still and kick the field goals.
So that was a tough one there, and even though
Seattle covered, it really could have gone either way. Also,
I did feel like whoever won that game would probably
be the super Bowl champ. I said that, I'm a
little lukewarm now though New England is a solid team.
You know, a lot of knocks on the schedule they
played this year, but then again, you look at who
they played in the playoffs. They played a banged up
Chargers team, Texans and then the Broncos with a backup quarterback.
Yet they looked impressive in most of those games. So
it should be a good game. Let's hope it's a
good game. The one thing that does not move, guys
is the total. It opened forty six and a half
and it held pretty much. Steady has not hit that
key number of forty seven. We'll see where to way
the public comes later next week. But forty seven, forty eight,
our key numbers, forty six, forty six and a half
are what we call dead numbers.
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm just waiting for it.
Speaker 2: Yeah, like like Sam Donald and Jackson Smith and Jigobutty
get suspended. Yeah, it's like something's gonna happen for New
England just.
Speaker 3: Donald, you saw he was wearing a heating pad on
the those was oblique, So yeah, I mean he's he's
battled through.
Speaker 4: It looked pretty decent last night.
Speaker 3: So but with how the luck has gone for New England, Andy,
nothing would surprise me.
Speaker 4: We have two weeks to get to that point.
Speaker 2: So yeah, Like it turns out the faun on their
jerseys regulation yeah, yeah, actually.
Speaker 3: They are spotting there. They're automatically three point Patriots are
awarded three points.
Speaker 5: Steve.
Speaker 8: I gotta know you guys a couple of things. First
of all, for I forget what's his name, twenty seven
for the Seahawks.
Speaker 5: I mean I had I was rooting for the Rams.
Speaker 8: I was to see it Walton or the stalling stalling
or stalling whatever his name is. But that was one
of the I mean, it wasn't really a terrible talk,
but it was so stupid. And then to get going
right at him on the.
Speaker 4: And then he get I know, but it was so
brilliant to do that.
Speaker 8: It was so brilliant. But I couldn't help but be
fixated by this, especially as a coach. He shakes mcvay's
hand right as the clock hits zero, he's over there.
And then he went up in like, uh one of
the play It was one of the key players. It
wasn't Stafford, but it was another one of their stories.
Oh it was Puka. He went up to Puka was
hugging him or whatever, shaking his hand. I'm just like
this dude, man, you talk bipolar. It's like he was
all over the place. And I wonder if had he
would he been like that had those incidents not happened.
Speaker 5: I severely doubt it.
Speaker 8: It's a good boy. I don't know the dude. I'm
gonna look into him, but like I already dislike him.
I just couldn't seek Woolen.
Speaker 3: Uh yeah, Wollan Tarik Woolen was was the guy who
unfortunately got up barking and then and then yeah, I
gets dusted on.
Speaker 8: The on the I really thought that was going to
turn the game around. He was gonna go down as
one of the beest goats. See, when I grew up,
the term goat was a terrible term, and I still goat.
Speaker 5: That's where I went.
Speaker 8: It was like the biggest goat ever, not as he
was the greatest ever, but real quick and to your props,
guy you love the intricacies like me. They were saying
that the Patriots were in a disadvantage with the all
white uniforms, and on TV it obviously looked that way.
I wonder what it was really like on the field,
But yeah, I mean the orange jerseys versus the white
with the snow. Next time, maybe you wear blue pants, right,
that probably was an option with the new There.
Speaker 4: Wasn't even supposed to be snow. That was the thing.
Steve is like like a lot.
Speaker 8: I said on the last call yesterday, second half, there
might be some florries.
Speaker 3: I didn't think maybe yeah, But the leading up to it,
it wasn't like how it was on the East Coast,
where like you knew you were going to get you
knew snow was coming into what I said, exactly, exactly exactly.
But in true Patriots fashion, they get.
Speaker 5: The whether they start pun intended boys.
Speaker 4: Yes, well done, John, well done.
Speaker 2: Never forgets Never forget Steve that you you can't make
a good play and then turn to the sidelines and
say I got you, but you can make an interception
and rally the entire team to run eighty.
Speaker 1: Years to run to the end of the field.
Speaker 8: In his defense, I thought that was a shaky I mean,
he like mouthed to a couple of guys he had
his distance. I just don't like that behavior. I think
it just looks kind of punkish to get that. But
I did think that was a little bit of an
overaction because I thought it was literally going to change
the NFC Championship outcome. And in that case, I didn't
really hit with the call. But so I guess in
that regard, it's a good thing that Seattle won, But
kids at home steave it.
Speaker 3: Yeah, No, that's that's a good teaching moment. Definitely, just
don't bark at the sideline. Now, let the play do
the talk. Steve, what do you got Rocket? I know
you've been seeing it really great on the hardwood, specifically
in NBA, but when folks head on over to your page,
what are they going to find?
Speaker 8: Yeah, I mean, it's a great time to go over
there right now, because I've got two NBA best bets,
one late afternoon in one night time, so two NBA
plays for Monday. And I point that out because long term,
nobody's won more a wager talk in the history of
Wayger talk in the NBA. In fact, we have a
special offer right now. You can get the two plays today,
but we also have an instant one hundred dollars discount
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Speaker 1: Sm awesome stuff. Steve Merrill, thank you very much for
joining us. Good luck.
Speaker 5: Thanks.
Speaker 1: Let's see what were some other ones?
Speaker 2: Oh uh so, the the NFL play I lost was
Kyron over his rushing and and Blake Blake Korum Blake
Blake Cornan get him all the carries. Was annoying enough,
but I still thought we were on track to win.
And why why why isn't the big talk the muffed
punt that was?
Speaker 3: Yes, I mean, what if you if you just look
at the McVeigh coaching tree too. It's funny because you
see guys like Lafleur, you see guys like Shanahan. If
you look at those teams, they are all bottom of
the league and special teams. So something great about these
guys is they're super innovative of what they do offensively.
The way they're able to scheme guys open. The fact
that they're able to have a guy like Koukainakua who's
running with ten fifteen yards just schematically, it's incredible. But
ignoring special teams is I would argue why none of
those guys have, you know, the outside of McVeigh, have
that big win on their resume. Because special teams come
playoff time can be the ultimate equalizer.
Speaker 4: You know.
Speaker 3: For all the flak that I get the Patriots, that's
something that Mike Rabel really harps on, is good special
teams play. Yeah, the muff punt, I feel like it
is just getting completely glossed over.
Speaker 4: That was what changed the game.
Speaker 1: You can't handicap back and put it in there.
Speaker 2: But I'm sitting there with the Kira and prop I need,
but I think I needed like twenty yards. I was like, oh,
he's getting the carries a series, it's a one score game,
rams are running the ball, and then it goes from
that to oh, Seahawks just get an easy score and
now Kyraen's never gonna get carries again. So it was
just I I'm with you. This was one of these
things where like, yeah, it's coaching, and I guess the
coaching is putting him out there because it was like
it was.
Speaker 3: Also just funny, but he's your counter turner, you know
what I mean, Like he does it all week long,
he does it all season long, you know.
Speaker 4: So it made it was super head scratching to me.
Speaker 3: I mean what he was thinking with field in that
ball wasn't even like there was weather or win really
whipping there. So yeah, it was it was just a
ill advised play that I'm with you, like, I feel
like that should have been a leading point that people
were talking about.
Speaker 4: Andy.
Speaker 3: We still got all around the world before he shut
things down here because we have gone long. But I
wanted to circle back because I misspeak a lot on
this show. But I did not miss speak when I
was saying bad Bunny likely is going to be wearing
a dress, and we got a comment from from.
Speaker 4: BA b As.
Speaker 3: I affectionately call him Brocast. But he goes, bad Bunny's
a guy. What do you mean what color dress? Well,
you may see you know, that's the game graphic. You
may see a guy like Bad Bunny sporting some dress wear.
Speaker 4: He's talked about it.
Speaker 3: I think, Andy, you said there's a notable book that
is offering the yes on Bad Bunny to be wearing
a dress.
Speaker 4: It's rather likely, Andy.
Speaker 1: Yeah, he said he's gonna do it.
Speaker 4: So, I mean, so what color is the question there?
Speaker 3: But yeah, see, this is the kind of research that
Andy and I will have for you on the prop front.
Don't worry, folks, we will have your prop cup runneth
over by Super Bowl time. You want rushing props, you
want passing props, Yes, it will be covered here. But
we'll also cover the things that you say, Wait, you
can bet on that.
Speaker 4: Yes, we will cover it.
Speaker 2: Yeah, they're coming up, they're coming up. You got to
get a couple of weeks of all these.
Speaker 3: Yeah, dare we say, Andy, we will go all around
the world with all of the props that we will get.
Speaker 1: Absolutely, let's do some bets for today. We got to today.
Speaker 2: Then we got a UFC look ahead, We'll go to
Jade McDaniel's over thirteen and a half points, coming off
a brutal shooting night one of eight from the field,
but previously that he had scored fifteen points in five
straight games. He's averaging eleven and a half shot attempts,
six main field goals, and Golden State is really thin
up front. Jimmy Butler is obviously out, Johnny ka Kaminia
is out. Al Horford played last night, He's not gonna
play today, so expect the forwards of the of.
Speaker 1: The Wolves to be good.
Speaker 2: I'm doing a look ahead here at Phiziev and I
have not been a Phisiev guy. I made pretty good
money betting against it against him when he fought Gaigee,
but I think he gets Rouffi in this one, so
I wouldn't surprise me if more money came in on
Fizziev here. But Ruffy showed his complete lack of takedown defense.
He could get back up against Saint Denis but didn't
have a ground game, and Phizzia if can Russell and
Phisiev much much better strength to schedule.
Speaker 1: He's fought justin Gaigee twice.
Speaker 2: I think he just got done beating Baha Mundees, Ruffy,
knocked out an old King Green before that, knocked out
a bum and then just really got dog washed.
Speaker 1: Against Saint Denis so Phiziev.
Speaker 2: As much as I'm not that impressed with him, I
think he's got the tools to beat Mauricio Roffy in
this one and then TGL tonight the Golf League Boston
Common over.
Speaker 1: Bay Golf Club. This should be available on all your books.
We hit a bet on them. I bet in this
league last week.
Speaker 2: Roy mcroy's playing tonight for Boston because you know, Dan,
when you think Boston, you think Roy McRoy, but also
also Thor Biorn Olison is playing.
Speaker 1: Nothing says Boston like the Rory McRoy thor Bjorn Olison combo.
Speaker 2: But in this, in this, in the golf simulation. If
you don't know what TGL is, it's it's golf simulation.
Speaker 1: It's awesome.
Speaker 2: But Roy mcroy's length gives them an advantage. That length
alone should win them a couple holes, and their opponent,
Wyndham Clark is vulnerable. Shane Lowry is good on the green,
but he's a liability off the tee. And this line
has moved this was minus one twenty five. It's minus
one forty four because of the teams. So those are
your free plays for it today. All right, that's it.
Dan and I are gonna go shovel some snow. Get
to our happy place. Be careful out there, guys, if
it's cold. Keep an eye on your pets, keep an
eye on others pets. It's always one of my big concerns.
Speaker 1: So just keep your animals safe.
Speaker 2: So we'll be back the same time, same place tomorrow.
Good luckunder your bets. Four percent NBA best bet is up,
but go check out the specials page.
Speaker 1: You want long term, you want short term.
Speaker 2: There's always a discount up on that page, so go
to the special page at wager Talk.
Speaker 1: Good luck on your Bets'll see everyone Tuesday. Take care,