WEBVTT

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Auction Brief.

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<v Speaker 2>There's a joy in these games or.

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<v Speaker 1>Not, taking you on a journey through fantasy football, the law,

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<v Speaker 1>and life. We saw your It depends on how much

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<v Speaker 1>you want. And now you're legal analyst and auction draft

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<v Speaker 1>expert here to help you.

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<v Speaker 2>Dominate your fantasy drafts. Your host, Drew Davenport.

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<v Speaker 1>There are full hearts.

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<v Speaker 2>Hey, everybody, welcome into the Auction Brief. As lady said,

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<v Speaker 2>I'm your host, Drew Davenport and thank you for joining

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<v Speaker 2>me for another solo effort on the MIC. As we

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<v Speaker 2>head into the middle of August, Oh my god, where

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<v Speaker 2>has the time gone? This summer? We have pumped out

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<v Speaker 2>a lot of content here on the Auction Brief, But folks,

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<v Speaker 2>you're here for the penultimate episode of the summer. That's right,

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<v Speaker 2>No discussions with Drew next week. We only have the

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<v Speaker 2>Auction Manifesto left. That is the final episode of the summer.

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<v Speaker 2>Next week and today we have one more solo effort

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<v Speaker 2>on the MIC. But Discussions with Drew is over for

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<v Speaker 2>the summer. And before I get any further into the show,

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<v Speaker 2>I just want to say thank you to all the

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<v Speaker 2>guests once again for coming on and making it an

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<v Speaker 2>incredible summer of discussions with Drew. We had some more

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<v Speaker 2>great guests. They all brought it and gave us all

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<v Speaker 2>the player evaluation information that we could handle this summer.

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<v Speaker 2>I think it was another great summer for discussions with

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<v Speaker 2>Drew and I hope you did as well. And I

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<v Speaker 2>hope you enjoyed the new format this summer because I

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<v Speaker 2>had fun breaking it up and I really like dropping

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<v Speaker 2>two different episodes every week keeping people interested throughout the week.

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<v Speaker 2>So no discussions Withdrew next week. But I want to

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<v Speaker 2>thank everyone that came on this summer and made it

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<v Speaker 2>such a roaring success. We had Jim Coventry, rich Rebar,

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<v Speaker 2>Marcus Grant, Brian Drake, Joe Dolan, JJ Zacherieson, Matt Harmon,

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<v Speaker 2>Scott Pianowski, Michael f Florio, and John Dagel. That is

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<v Speaker 2>quite the murderer's row. Tons of great analysts, tons of

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<v Speaker 2>great information. Thank you to all of them, And please

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<v Speaker 2>go out there and support these folks work because they

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<v Speaker 2>gave the auction brief time for free to come on

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<v Speaker 2>and help educate you and help you win your fantasy leaks.

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<v Speaker 2>So give them just a little bit of support, maybe

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<v Speaker 2>a like on a tweet, a retweet, check out their article,

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<v Speaker 2>give them a page view, anything that you can do

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<v Speaker 2>to support other content creators that have helped out the

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<v Speaker 2>Auction brief and that have helped you out of the

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<v Speaker 2>goodness of their heart. I'm not making money, they're not

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<v Speaker 2>making money. We're doing the show for free for you

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<v Speaker 2>to help you win fantasy leaks, and that's what we

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<v Speaker 2>want to do. So anyway, thank you all for tuning

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<v Speaker 2>in for discussions with Drew. But we have some big

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<v Speaker 2>business to take care of, and it's perhaps some of

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<v Speaker 2>the most important business of the summer.

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<v Speaker 1>Of course, the Auction.

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<v Speaker 2>Manifesto is important next week, but today's episode is going

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<v Speaker 2>to be important as well because we're going to discuss

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<v Speaker 2>five elite auction skills that you need to have in

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<v Speaker 2>your skill set because we can be good auction players,

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<v Speaker 2>but until we learn some of these things, we are

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<v Speaker 2>not going to be elite. So before we get to that,

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<v Speaker 2>let's get the preliminary stuff out of the way, and

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<v Speaker 2>an important piece of housekeeping known as the drum roll.

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<v Speaker 1>Please the Listener League.

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<v Speaker 2>Yep, we are back for another year of the Listener League.

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<v Speaker 2>I will be scheduling the date here before too long,

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<v Speaker 2>once I get a couple other drafts locked in. So

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<v Speaker 2>if you want to get in the listener League, I'm

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<v Speaker 2>going to give you the information today and in next

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<v Speaker 2>week's episode of the Manifesto. That information will come in

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<v Speaker 2>the form of just a small task that you have

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<v Speaker 2>to do. Here in just a second, we'll talk about that.

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<v Speaker 2>But I will have the date locked in by next week.

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<v Speaker 2>I just need to get some stuff scheduled so that

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<v Speaker 2>I don't have any conflicts and I can devote the

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<v Speaker 2>night to drafting with all of you. So preliminary stuff

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<v Speaker 2>out of the way. I'm Drew Davenport FF on Twitter.

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<v Speaker 2>You can also find the Patreon network for just four

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<v Speaker 2>bucks a month Fantasy Football Lawyer and hey, get some

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<v Speaker 2>of the best draft boards in the business. Get them

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<v Speaker 2>ordered now. It is that time. Give them time to

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<v Speaker 2>get your order without having to do express shipping or

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<v Speaker 2>any of that stuff. You can get out the door

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<v Speaker 2>for around fifty bucks for some of the best draft

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<v Speaker 2>boards in the business. Use my code auction brief for

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<v Speaker 2>ten percent off. Auction Brief for ten percent off. I

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<v Speaker 2>think they're the best draft boards in the business. I

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<v Speaker 2>say it all summer, I say.

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<v Speaker 1>It every year.

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<v Speaker 2>I love FJA fantasy draft boards. All right, the moment

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<v Speaker 2>you've all been waiting for. How do I get in

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<v Speaker 2>the Listener League. First of all, let me just say

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<v Speaker 2>number one that if you were in in the Listener

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<v Speaker 2>League last year, you are not eligible to play this year.

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<v Speaker 2>We just got to give other people a chance. So

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<v Speaker 2>if you were in it last year, take a year off.

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<v Speaker 2>You can come back and try to enter again next year.

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<v Speaker 2>But the other thing that you have to do to

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<v Speaker 2>be in the Listener League is, of course listen to

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<v Speaker 2>the show. Right And let me just say this is

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<v Speaker 2>a request. This is just something that I'm asking. This

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<v Speaker 2>is not required to get in the Listener League. But

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<v Speaker 2>if you're a big fan of the show, go leave

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<v Speaker 2>me a five star rating or help leave me a one.

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<v Speaker 2>If you hate the show, but leave me a rating.

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<v Speaker 2>It helps to get rated.

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<v Speaker 1>And I have a four.

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<v Speaker 2>Point nine I believe on Spotify and Apple and that's

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<v Speaker 2>that's a good rating. Hey, you know, my show was

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<v Speaker 2>I believe, ranked thirty seventh in the podcast Fantasy Sports space.

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<v Speaker 2>I know that doesn't seem like a really high ranking,

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<v Speaker 2>but frankly, it kind of is. Because I looked at

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<v Speaker 2>some shows that are ranked around me, and there's some

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<v Speaker 2>pretty big names, and I'm proud of that. So the

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<v Speaker 2>auction brief is doing numbers this summer and I'm really

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<v Speaker 2>happy about that. So anything that you can do to help,

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<v Speaker 2>in the form of leaving a positive review, leaving a

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<v Speaker 2>five star review, a five star rating, that stuff helps.

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<v Speaker 2>It helps the show. So that's not required. That's not

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<v Speaker 2>part of the Listener League, but I thought i'd mentioned

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<v Speaker 2>it here because this is a labor of love and

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<v Speaker 2>it would really help me out if you could do that.

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<v Speaker 2>But the actual entry into the Listener League is a

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<v Speaker 2>little bit easier than that. If you're somebody who listens

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<v Speaker 2>to the show, all you have to do is name

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<v Speaker 2>for me two players that I talked about in the

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<v Speaker 2>fourteen Guys to Unlock your auction episode. I want you

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<v Speaker 2>to give me your two favorite players from that episode

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<v Speaker 2>that I named of the fourteen players that can unlock

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<v Speaker 2>your twenty twenty six auction. DM me that give me

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<v Speaker 2>that information either on Patreon DMS or on Twitter DMS.

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<v Speaker 2>Give me your two favorite players, and if you want,

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<v Speaker 2>here is a fun little side game. You will get

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<v Speaker 2>an extra entry so you can double your chances of

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<v Speaker 2>getting in the listener league, if you can name for

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<v Speaker 2>me the player that I just do not like, that

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<v Speaker 2>I think kind of sucks at football, but who I

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<v Speaker 2>might have to be reluctantly in on this year. If

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<v Speaker 2>you listen to the show, if you're diehard listener, this

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<v Speaker 2>one's going to be easy for you. And let me

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<v Speaker 2>just give you a hint. It is not Christian Watson. Okay,

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<v Speaker 2>it's not Christian Watson. So that's your hint. The clue

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<v Speaker 2>is a player that I think sucks at football, but

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<v Speaker 2>who I might have to be reluctantly back in on

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<v Speaker 2>this year for fantasy football is blank.

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<v Speaker 1>Who's that player?

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<v Speaker 2>So if you can name me two players from the

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<v Speaker 2>fourteen players episode, that's your entry. You get in an

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<v Speaker 2>automatic entry for that. And if you can name me

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<v Speaker 2>this other player, that's another entry, so you double your

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<v Speaker 2>chances of getting in. When I have the drawing, have

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<v Speaker 2>the drawing and announce it on Twitter here in about

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<v Speaker 2>the next ten days something like that. You'll have two

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<v Speaker 2>episodes to hear the entry information this weekend next week,

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<v Speaker 2>and then I will do a drawing and we'll get

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<v Speaker 2>to the business of having the draft.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, that's your listener league. Information for this year.

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<v Speaker 2>I know everybody has been thinking about it because I've

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<v Speaker 2>been getting questions about whether or not I'm doing it

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<v Speaker 2>again this year. So yes, we're running it back for

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<v Speaker 2>another year of the Listener League. All right, so what

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<v Speaker 2>are we doing today? Well, we're talking about elite auction skills.

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<v Speaker 2>And why are we talking about specifically elite auction skills. Well,

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<v Speaker 2>I think that is the crux of what we are doing,

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<v Speaker 2>not just today but in general when we talk about

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<v Speaker 2>how to become better at auctions. And the reason I'm

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<v Speaker 2>not just talking about these auction skills that I like

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<v Speaker 2>is because that's too broad of a brushstroke to be

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<v Speaker 2>painting on August thirteenth.

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<v Speaker 1>We need to be.

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<v Speaker 2>Drilling down and figuring out what's going to make us

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<v Speaker 2>better when we get in our auctions this summer. So

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<v Speaker 2>next week is the manifesto that's going to have that

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<v Speaker 2>thirty thousand foot view, but it's also going to walk

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<v Speaker 2>you through an auction and what you should be doing

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<v Speaker 2>at every step, how you should be attacking your auctions

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<v Speaker 2>this year. And that's going to be sort of a

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<v Speaker 2>self contained episode. But today I don't want to talk

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<v Speaker 2>about that stuff. The nuts and bolts. What I want

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<v Speaker 2>to talk about is the fact that all summer long,

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<v Speaker 2>I've been telling you the people who win are the

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<v Speaker 2>ones who can do simple, repeatable things, who can avoid mistakes,

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<v Speaker 2>and who can be the most solid auction drafters around.

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<v Speaker 2>And when you do that kind of stuff, it's pretty

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<v Speaker 2>easy to go in and quote unquote win the room

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<v Speaker 2>or win the draft, and that stuff's fairly straightforward stuff.

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<v Speaker 2>But I've been telling you a little bit of a

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<v Speaker 2>fib all summer long. Fib So anybody use the that

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<v Speaker 2>term anymore? Everybody back in nineteen six my kids always

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<v Speaker 2>told me FIBs. I've been just you know, this summer,

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<v Speaker 2>I've been telling you that that's what you need to

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<v Speaker 2>do and what you need to focus on. And I

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<v Speaker 2>believe that that is true. People who don't make mistakes,

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<v Speaker 2>who are solid, who do repeatable things, who do things

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<v Speaker 2>that are straightforward and easy things to do. You can

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<v Speaker 2>become a very good auction drafter by doing those things.

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<v Speaker 2>But the reason I tell you that I've been saying

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<v Speaker 2>all of this this summer, and it's a bit of

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<v Speaker 2>a fib, is that I don't believe that you can

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<v Speaker 2>become an elite auction drafter. I don't know if you

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<v Speaker 2>can become the best of the best. I don't know

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<v Speaker 2>if you can become really, really really good at this

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<v Speaker 2>thing unless you can do some other things that require

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<v Speaker 2>some nuance, that requires some work, and that requires some

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<v Speaker 2>time to develop. And those elite auction skills are something

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<v Speaker 2>that I need you to still be thinking about because

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<v Speaker 2>we can't just talk about being solid and boring. We

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<v Speaker 2>have to talk about our ceiling as well. And that's

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<v Speaker 2>where I want to start today's show. Let's talk about

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<v Speaker 2>reaching our ceiling in auction drafts by developing some elite skills.

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<v Speaker 2>So for today, it's my five elite skills you need

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<v Speaker 2>in your auction draft rooms auction talk. So the reason

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<v Speaker 2>these skills are considered to be elite skills is because

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<v Speaker 2>there are skills that, by and large somewhat elude definition.

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<v Speaker 2>They're somewhat amorphous or nebulous concepts. I talk about that

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<v Speaker 2>all the time. They're hard to sort of keep into

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<v Speaker 2>a box. It's like a puddle spreading across the counter.

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<v Speaker 2>You can kind of block it and redirect it, but

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<v Speaker 2>it's not easy to necessarily put those things in a

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<v Speaker 2>box and say these are neat and tidy, and here's

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<v Speaker 2>the bow. But I would submit to you that those

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<v Speaker 2>are the margins in which we can make strides that

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<v Speaker 2>people who don't work on their craft are not making.

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<v Speaker 2>And that's what makes you better. And remember that when

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<v Speaker 2>we stack little things and we get better at them incrementally,

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<v Speaker 2>we can look back in a few years and say

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<v Speaker 2>I increased my expected value because of working on my nominations,

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<v Speaker 2>and therefore my auction game is four point four percent

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<v Speaker 2>better this year than it was two years ago. So

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<v Speaker 2>now instead of a roster that I think can be

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<v Speaker 2>a ninety six out of one hundred, that roster is

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<v Speaker 2>a ninety two a couple years ago, and this year

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<v Speaker 2>you made it a ninety six.

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<v Speaker 1>So the reason that these.

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<v Speaker 2>Skills are so difficult is because they take time and

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<v Speaker 2>because mastering them does involve a little bit of risk

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<v Speaker 2>at times, and it involves an understanding of the draft

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<v Speaker 2>room that not everybody has. And if you don't have it,

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<v Speaker 2>that's okay, because the only way to get it is

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<v Speaker 2>to recognize that you don't have it, or to recognize

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00:13:04.919 --> 00:13:07.840
<v Speaker 2>what it is that you need to be working towards

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00:13:08.840 --> 00:13:11.159
<v Speaker 2>in order for the skills to be something that you

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<v Speaker 2>can say you own so these elite skills are important

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<v Speaker 2>because I've picked out five of them that I believe

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<v Speaker 2>you have to have, and if you don't possess them

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<v Speaker 2>already or you don't know how to work on them today,

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<v Speaker 2>that's what we get to talk about. And then what

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<v Speaker 2>I want you to do is, let's say that you've

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<v Speaker 2>only done three auctions in your life. I don't want

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00:13:32.159 --> 00:13:33.679
<v Speaker 2>you to go into your auction draft room and go,

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00:13:33.759 --> 00:13:36.399
<v Speaker 2>I have to do these five things this year. That

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00:13:36.559 --> 00:13:39.879
<v Speaker 2>is not how it works. You need to be comfortable

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00:13:40.039 --> 00:13:43.279
<v Speaker 2>with your ability to handle an auction draft room before

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00:13:43.279 --> 00:13:46.279
<v Speaker 2>you can start working on some of this stuff, because

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00:13:46.320 --> 00:13:49.519
<v Speaker 2>not all of this stuff is possible for you to do.

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00:13:50.000 --> 00:13:52.240
<v Speaker 2>You're just in your fourth auction of your life and

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00:13:52.799 --> 00:13:54.799
<v Speaker 2>you're just trying to keep up, and you're just trying

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00:13:54.840 --> 00:13:58.240
<v Speaker 2>to enter the numbers and keep people cap straight and

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00:13:58.320 --> 00:14:00.720
<v Speaker 2>keep your own par sheets straight, and figure out what

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00:14:00.799 --> 00:14:02.799
<v Speaker 2>the heck you're supposed to be doing on your next nomination.

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00:14:04.159 --> 00:14:06.759
<v Speaker 2>That's okay if you're still at that level, don't worry

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00:14:06.799 --> 00:14:09.080
<v Speaker 2>about it, but you still need to listen to this

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00:14:09.159 --> 00:14:12.639
<v Speaker 2>episode because until you try to incorporate some of this stuff,

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00:14:12.919 --> 00:14:17.440
<v Speaker 2>you'll never get past, Hey, I'm boringly good. And remember

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<v Speaker 2>what we talked about last week when we talked about

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<v Speaker 2>the fourteen guys that can unlock your auctions. We talked

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00:14:24.440 --> 00:14:27.320
<v Speaker 2>about unlocking your ceiling. And I made the poker analogy

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00:14:27.879 --> 00:14:30.600
<v Speaker 2>of opening your three bet range and starting to unlock

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00:14:30.679 --> 00:14:34.840
<v Speaker 2>the ceiling for your big hands. And you need to

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00:14:34.919 --> 00:14:39.000
<v Speaker 2>unlock your auction draft ceiling. And you do that with

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00:14:39.279 --> 00:14:43.759
<v Speaker 2>these skills because you can be good and get good results,

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<v Speaker 2>or you can be great and get elite results.

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<v Speaker 1>So if you.

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<v Speaker 2>Can't incorporate these things yet, you can start to work

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00:14:51.240 --> 00:14:53.600
<v Speaker 2>on them. And that's how skills work. You can just

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00:14:53.759 --> 00:14:55.240
<v Speaker 2>kind of chip away at it. Well, I'm going to

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00:14:55.320 --> 00:14:57.320
<v Speaker 2>do a little bit better with this, and I'm going

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00:14:57.399 --> 00:14:59.240
<v Speaker 2>to do a little bit better with this. But if

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<v Speaker 2>you don't think about it, and you don't hear it

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00:15:01.240 --> 00:15:03.720
<v Speaker 2>from me, and you don't say, okay, these are things

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00:15:03.720 --> 00:15:06.480
<v Speaker 2>I can think about, then you'll never get better. You'll

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00:15:06.519 --> 00:15:09.080
<v Speaker 2>never start to work on it. You'll always be Okay, Well,

281
00:15:09.120 --> 00:15:12.159
<v Speaker 2>I can vary my nominations, Okay, cool, Well, everybody can

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00:15:12.200 --> 00:15:15.039
<v Speaker 2>do that. I can do that in four seconds. A

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00:15:15.080 --> 00:15:18.639
<v Speaker 2>billy goat can do that, Okay, by walking over to

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00:15:18.720 --> 00:15:21.080
<v Speaker 2>a random nomination and picking a player out of a hat.

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00:15:21.720 --> 00:15:25.960
<v Speaker 2>So refining those skills is what makes you elite, and

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00:15:26.080 --> 00:15:28.840
<v Speaker 2>working on them even when you think that, hey maybe

287
00:15:28.879 --> 00:15:31.200
<v Speaker 2>I'm not quite ready, or hey maybe I can't work

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00:15:31.200 --> 00:15:33.960
<v Speaker 2>on those all Now, that's okay. You work on a

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00:15:33.960 --> 00:15:35.879
<v Speaker 2>little of it, You work on a little part of it,

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00:15:35.960 --> 00:15:38.279
<v Speaker 2>you work on three of the five, you work on

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00:15:38.279 --> 00:15:40.600
<v Speaker 2>one of the five. You work on little parts of

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00:15:40.639 --> 00:15:43.120
<v Speaker 2>each of the five. All right, So I hope I'm

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00:15:43.120 --> 00:15:46.200
<v Speaker 2>making that point well, even though I'm kind of rambling

294
00:15:46.200 --> 00:15:47.559
<v Speaker 2>a little bit because I kind of want to hit

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00:15:47.600 --> 00:15:50.440
<v Speaker 2>it from different angles so that you understand. This is

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00:15:50.480 --> 00:15:53.120
<v Speaker 2>not hard and fast stuff like, hey, you're going to

297
00:15:53.200 --> 00:15:54.679
<v Speaker 2>suck this year if you don't do these things. But

298
00:15:54.759 --> 00:15:58.039
<v Speaker 2>I think you have to start working on them. Let's

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00:15:58.039 --> 00:16:01.000
<v Speaker 2>get to point number one. Of the five elite auction

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00:16:01.159 --> 00:16:13.240
<v Speaker 2>skills you need. The first one is one that I

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00:16:13.279 --> 00:16:15.759
<v Speaker 2>think you're going to probably say, hey, yeah, I know

302
00:16:15.799 --> 00:16:17.840
<v Speaker 2>what he's talking about here, but I don't think that

303
00:16:17.960 --> 00:16:20.840
<v Speaker 2>you necessarily do. And so I want you to think

304
00:16:20.879 --> 00:16:22.440
<v Speaker 2>about that a little bit as we talk about all

305
00:16:22.480 --> 00:16:25.600
<v Speaker 2>five of these, because not everyone is going to be

306
00:16:25.639 --> 00:16:27.399
<v Speaker 2>exactly where you think. I'm going to go with it.

307
00:16:28.000 --> 00:16:30.399
<v Speaker 2>You know, I'm going to talk about nominations. Oh here

308
00:16:30.440 --> 00:16:36.159
<v Speaker 2>he goes about nominations again. But we're talking elite stuff here.

309
00:16:36.200 --> 00:16:39.799
<v Speaker 2>We're talking about stuff that's the top of the auction game.

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00:16:40.399 --> 00:16:41.320
<v Speaker 1>So stick with me here.

311
00:16:41.440 --> 00:16:43.600
<v Speaker 2>When I give you my tag, it may not go

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00:16:43.639 --> 00:16:46.240
<v Speaker 2>where you think it does, all right, So number one

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00:16:46.759 --> 00:16:50.799
<v Speaker 2>is picking your plan, building your par sheet, but picking

314
00:16:50.960 --> 00:16:55.440
<v Speaker 2>your plan, and I give it that tag because all

315
00:16:55.480 --> 00:16:59.000
<v Speaker 2>of your skills flow from your ability to figure out

316
00:16:59.080 --> 00:17:03.000
<v Speaker 2>what's going on in that draft room. And so I

317
00:17:03.080 --> 00:17:05.920
<v Speaker 2>need to remind you of something that the par sheets

318
00:17:05.920 --> 00:17:10.599
<v Speaker 2>were building have a couple different goals, because yes, I

319
00:17:10.640 --> 00:17:14.519
<v Speaker 2>think it's the most effective guide for an auction draft room,

320
00:17:14.680 --> 00:17:17.599
<v Speaker 2>and I love the par sheet, but it's not just

321
00:17:17.720 --> 00:17:21.480
<v Speaker 2>a guide, Okay, it is not. It serves another purpose.

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00:17:22.079 --> 00:17:25.240
<v Speaker 2>And that's how we start today's point about picking your plan,

323
00:17:26.599 --> 00:17:32.839
<v Speaker 2>because par sheets themselves are a constant referendum on your

324
00:17:32.920 --> 00:17:37.160
<v Speaker 2>ability to know what is happening in your particular draft room.

325
00:17:38.359 --> 00:17:41.200
<v Speaker 2>And that changes from room to room. Right if you

326
00:17:41.240 --> 00:17:45.000
<v Speaker 2>go into your ten team home league or your fourteen

327
00:17:45.119 --> 00:17:49.240
<v Speaker 2>team expert league, or your half PPR league versus your

328
00:17:49.319 --> 00:17:52.400
<v Speaker 2>full PPR league, your six point passing touchdown versus your

329
00:17:52.440 --> 00:17:54.359
<v Speaker 2>four point passing touchdown.

330
00:17:55.119 --> 00:17:56.799
<v Speaker 1>All of that stuff changes.

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00:17:56.480 --> 00:17:59.720
<v Speaker 2>Right, And so the referendum is on you to not

332
00:18:00.279 --> 00:18:03.680
<v Speaker 2>know the settings and the skills or the settings and

333
00:18:03.720 --> 00:18:06.319
<v Speaker 2>the scoring that you need to be successful, but also

334
00:18:06.440 --> 00:18:09.359
<v Speaker 2>what is happening in your room, and that is what

335
00:18:09.480 --> 00:18:13.400
<v Speaker 2>makes it an elite skill. So the par sheet is

336
00:18:13.440 --> 00:18:16.119
<v Speaker 2>a referendum on your ability to predict what's going to

337
00:18:16.119 --> 00:18:19.839
<v Speaker 2>happen in the room. That's tough, right, That's why it's elite.

338
00:18:20.599 --> 00:18:23.480
<v Speaker 2>How can you predict what's going to happen? Because let

339
00:18:23.480 --> 00:18:27.400
<v Speaker 2>me tell you how that looks in practical use here. Okay,

340
00:18:27.599 --> 00:18:31.559
<v Speaker 2>let's make this crispy. Your par sheet is your attempt

341
00:18:31.960 --> 00:18:36.119
<v Speaker 2>to predict what the players you want will go for

342
00:18:36.279 --> 00:18:39.519
<v Speaker 2>in the auction room. And here's the example I'm going

343
00:18:39.559 --> 00:18:42.359
<v Speaker 2>to use. If you believe that you don't want one

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00:18:42.400 --> 00:18:44.160
<v Speaker 2>of the top receivers, one of the top five or

345
00:18:44.200 --> 00:18:46.920
<v Speaker 2>six guys, but that you want to drop down a

346
00:18:46.920 --> 00:18:48.319
<v Speaker 2>little bit of a tier and you want to go

347
00:18:48.400 --> 00:18:51.519
<v Speaker 2>for the AJ Brown, Drake London types, and so you say, hey,

348
00:18:51.720 --> 00:18:53.559
<v Speaker 2>I think I want to go for Drake London, but

349
00:18:53.640 --> 00:18:55.279
<v Speaker 2>I'm going to go, you know, for that range. Of course,

350
00:18:55.319 --> 00:18:57.240
<v Speaker 2>we never want to dial in just one player that

351
00:18:57.279 --> 00:18:59.599
<v Speaker 2>we want, but I want to go in that range.

352
00:18:59.720 --> 00:19:00.839
<v Speaker 1>And then you.

353
00:19:00.720 --> 00:19:02.559
<v Speaker 2>Put on your power sheet that your wide receiver one

354
00:19:02.640 --> 00:19:05.920
<v Speaker 2>is going to be forty six dollars. Now, think about

355
00:19:05.920 --> 00:19:08.480
<v Speaker 2>a typical draft room. I'm not talking about all the

356
00:19:08.519 --> 00:19:11.720
<v Speaker 2>different variations that we have where that can change, but

357
00:19:11.720 --> 00:19:15.359
<v Speaker 2>think about a typical draft room where Drake London is nominated.

358
00:19:15.519 --> 00:19:17.759
<v Speaker 2>How often do you think he goes for forty six dollars?

359
00:19:18.720 --> 00:19:22.400
<v Speaker 2>Almost never, write in typical rooms, he's not seen as

360
00:19:22.400 --> 00:19:25.000
<v Speaker 2>that type of player. Now, again, different settings can affect this,

361
00:19:25.079 --> 00:19:26.359
<v Speaker 2>and blah blah blah.

362
00:19:26.400 --> 00:19:27.000
<v Speaker 1>I understand.

363
00:19:27.039 --> 00:19:29.160
<v Speaker 2>So we have to give examples where we're kind of

364
00:19:29.160 --> 00:19:31.559
<v Speaker 2>talking in a vacuum and that's not how auctions work.

365
00:19:31.599 --> 00:19:34.119
<v Speaker 2>We get that, But suspend your disbelief for a second,

366
00:19:34.799 --> 00:19:37.240
<v Speaker 2>and let's say you write down forty six dollars for

367
00:19:37.279 --> 00:19:40.640
<v Speaker 2>your wide receiver one. Well, of course you're going to

368
00:19:40.680 --> 00:19:43.680
<v Speaker 2>get Drake London for forty six dollars, right, because that's

369
00:19:43.680 --> 00:19:46.519
<v Speaker 2>a poor price that you're aiming at, unless your league

370
00:19:46.599 --> 00:19:48.960
<v Speaker 2>is somehow just all excited about wide receivers, which, now

371
00:19:49.000 --> 00:19:51.920
<v Speaker 2>maybe that looks good, But in a typical room you

372
00:19:52.000 --> 00:19:54.200
<v Speaker 2>really want him for, you should really write on your

373
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<v Speaker 2>sheet thirty nine bucks, right, or you should write forty

374
00:19:57.000 --> 00:19:58.119
<v Speaker 2>or forty one at the most.

375
00:19:58.279 --> 00:20:01.880
<v Speaker 1>But forty six it's not a good target, right.

376
00:20:02.000 --> 00:20:04.839
<v Speaker 2>You're not predicting what that player is going to be

377
00:20:04.880 --> 00:20:08.000
<v Speaker 2>had for in the room. You're just over way overshooting it.

378
00:20:08.720 --> 00:20:11.759
<v Speaker 2>What good does that do you to consistently be off

379
00:20:11.920 --> 00:20:15.359
<v Speaker 2>in your predictions? And if you're going to know that

380
00:20:15.480 --> 00:20:18.160
<v Speaker 2>you didn't do something right. If you walk into your

381
00:20:18.200 --> 00:20:20.200
<v Speaker 2>draft room and you have written down I want to

382
00:20:20.200 --> 00:20:22.319
<v Speaker 2>spend forty six dollars on my RB one, but I

383
00:20:22.359 --> 00:20:25.720
<v Speaker 2>wanted to be Kyen Williams, Well that's that's kind of dumb, right.

384
00:20:26.400 --> 00:20:29.079
<v Speaker 2>But also if you said I want to spend forty

385
00:20:29.079 --> 00:20:31.799
<v Speaker 2>six and you have to spend fifty nine, or you

386
00:20:31.839 --> 00:20:37.240
<v Speaker 2>spend thirty three, you're off thirteen bucks. You didn't do

387
00:20:37.319 --> 00:20:42.039
<v Speaker 2>something right, okay. And that's what happened to me in

388
00:20:42.079 --> 00:20:43.720
<v Speaker 2>The King's Classic, where I said I want to spend

389
00:20:43.720 --> 00:20:46.039
<v Speaker 2>thirty two of my Wide Receiver one, I spent forty nine.

390
00:20:46.440 --> 00:20:49.519
<v Speaker 2>Now that was just a decision I made to go

391
00:20:49.559 --> 00:20:52.720
<v Speaker 2>for an elite player. Now that there's a difference between

392
00:20:52.839 --> 00:20:58.400
<v Speaker 2>spending because you see an opportunity and consistently just misvaluing

393
00:20:58.440 --> 00:21:01.960
<v Speaker 2>the players. I thought, I'm on Raj's price for forty

394
00:21:02.039 --> 00:21:04.279
<v Speaker 2>nine dollars was okay, even though it screwed me on

395
00:21:04.319 --> 00:21:06.799
<v Speaker 2>my par sheet. There's a difference between Hey, I spent

396
00:21:06.880 --> 00:21:09.240
<v Speaker 2>up or I got a deal so I completely changed

397
00:21:09.240 --> 00:21:12.200
<v Speaker 2>my par sheet. There's a difference between that and you

398
00:21:12.519 --> 00:21:15.079
<v Speaker 2>being unable to figure out what the room's about to do.

399
00:21:16.200 --> 00:21:20.519
<v Speaker 2>How well you know your league and then revising that

400
00:21:20.599 --> 00:21:24.960
<v Speaker 2>opinion every year is the entire game, Okay, that's the

401
00:21:25.000 --> 00:21:27.960
<v Speaker 2>game following the trends year to year. Even my home

402
00:21:28.039 --> 00:21:30.160
<v Speaker 2>league that I've been doing for twenty five years, there

403
00:21:30.160 --> 00:21:33.079
<v Speaker 2>are still trends that develop every year. People come into

404
00:21:33.119 --> 00:21:35.119
<v Speaker 2>the draft with a different idea of what they're going

405
00:21:35.160 --> 00:21:37.680
<v Speaker 2>to do every year, and so you have to follow

406
00:21:37.680 --> 00:21:39.519
<v Speaker 2>those trends, and you have to look back three, four

407
00:21:39.599 --> 00:21:43.319
<v Speaker 2>or five years. How's my league going to react? Each year?

408
00:21:43.359 --> 00:21:45.599
<v Speaker 2>In your league is not a self contained bubble, right,

409
00:21:46.240 --> 00:21:48.720
<v Speaker 2>It's not just a hey, I'm doing that this year

410
00:21:48.759 --> 00:21:49.880
<v Speaker 2>and then forget about it.

411
00:21:50.480 --> 00:21:51.799
<v Speaker 1>You have historical.

412
00:21:51.400 --> 00:21:55.640
<v Speaker 2>Trends, and so your ability to pick a plan that's

413
00:21:55.839 --> 00:21:59.720
<v Speaker 2>good for that league tells you how good you're getting

414
00:21:59.720 --> 00:22:02.039
<v Speaker 2>in the room, and that's why it's an elite skill.

415
00:22:02.960 --> 00:22:05.240
<v Speaker 2>And I really believe that I've gotten better at this

416
00:22:05.279 --> 00:22:06.960
<v Speaker 2>in the last three to four years, and I think

417
00:22:07.000 --> 00:22:10.200
<v Speaker 2>I've gotten significantly better at it because I used to

418
00:22:10.240 --> 00:22:11.839
<v Speaker 2>just build my par sheet's like this is what I

419
00:22:11.839 --> 00:22:15.279
<v Speaker 2>want to do, and that's not what we're doing. We're

420
00:22:15.279 --> 00:22:17.359
<v Speaker 2>doing it based on what we think we can do,

421
00:22:17.480 --> 00:22:20.359
<v Speaker 2>what can we achieve, and that's how we're unlocking our ceiling,

422
00:22:20.480 --> 00:22:23.720
<v Speaker 2>right We're unlocking the ceiling by saying I think I

423
00:22:23.720 --> 00:22:26.480
<v Speaker 2>can get X, Y and Z players if everything goes perfect.

424
00:22:26.640 --> 00:22:29.119
<v Speaker 2>It's not going to go perfect. But when you build

425
00:22:29.119 --> 00:22:33.079
<v Speaker 2>a perfect plan, even when it doesn't go correctly, then

426
00:22:33.119 --> 00:22:35.319
<v Speaker 2>you know you've got your lead dialed in and then

427
00:22:35.400 --> 00:22:37.519
<v Speaker 2>you know how you can take advantage of the league.

428
00:22:37.799 --> 00:22:40.680
<v Speaker 2>So this is a really important one and that's why

429
00:22:40.680 --> 00:22:43.640
<v Speaker 2>I led with it. I think that the most elite

430
00:22:43.640 --> 00:22:46.400
<v Speaker 2>thing you can do is to nail your par sheet

431
00:22:46.480 --> 00:22:48.599
<v Speaker 2>numbers so well that when you walk in you get

432
00:22:48.720 --> 00:22:50.880
<v Speaker 2>certain guys within a couple bucks of what you wanted

433
00:22:50.920 --> 00:22:53.640
<v Speaker 2>to pay for them. That's how you know that you

434
00:22:53.839 --> 00:22:56.599
<v Speaker 2>really are in tune with what's going on in that

435
00:22:56.680 --> 00:22:59.119
<v Speaker 2>draft room. And you're going to be in new league

436
00:22:59.160 --> 00:23:01.160
<v Speaker 2>sometimes where you're not to be able to figure that out.

437
00:23:01.519 --> 00:23:03.759
<v Speaker 2>But your goal then is to figure out what you

438
00:23:03.880 --> 00:23:06.279
<v Speaker 2>didn't know ahead of time and to adjust on the

439
00:23:06.279 --> 00:23:08.759
<v Speaker 2>fly as the draft, starting off in the first one, two,

440
00:23:08.759 --> 00:23:12.119
<v Speaker 2>three rounds, because that stuff's going to be how you

441
00:23:12.160 --> 00:23:14.519
<v Speaker 2>make or break your auction, and you can't just be like, well,

442
00:23:14.599 --> 00:23:17.480
<v Speaker 2>I do know the league, okay, so your party it's

443
00:23:17.480 --> 00:23:18.720
<v Speaker 2>going to be off that year. But if you get

444
00:23:18.720 --> 00:23:20.880
<v Speaker 2>back in that league, you need to dial it in closer,

445
00:23:21.440 --> 00:23:23.599
<v Speaker 2>and then every year after that you dial in that

446
00:23:23.640 --> 00:23:27.240
<v Speaker 2>sheet closer and closer. So your ability to predict what's

447
00:23:27.279 --> 00:23:29.799
<v Speaker 2>going to happen in the room is influenced by not

448
00:23:29.839 --> 00:23:33.160
<v Speaker 2>only the scoring and the lineup settings, but how well

449
00:23:33.200 --> 00:23:36.240
<v Speaker 2>you know the league and the league tendencies through the

450
00:23:36.319 --> 00:23:40.200
<v Speaker 2>history of the league. You must get into this stuff

451
00:23:40.319 --> 00:23:50.799
<v Speaker 2>or you'll never be the league. The second auction draft

452
00:23:50.799 --> 00:23:54.000
<v Speaker 2>skill that I believe is an elite skill to unlock

453
00:23:54.039 --> 00:23:58.039
<v Speaker 2>your ceiling is that you have to play players. You

454
00:23:58.200 --> 00:24:04.000
<v Speaker 2>have to play humans. This is a very human exercise.

455
00:24:04.799 --> 00:24:10.200
<v Speaker 2>Snake drafts lack any reading of people that actually really matters.

456
00:24:10.319 --> 00:24:12.920
<v Speaker 2>You just wait and see who they're gonna pick. You

457
00:24:12.920 --> 00:24:15.920
<v Speaker 2>don't have to play off of them. Now, you do

458
00:24:16.000 --> 00:24:17.920
<v Speaker 2>have to play off of them from the standpoint that, hey,

459
00:24:18.079 --> 00:24:19.279
<v Speaker 2>is this run gonna happen?

460
00:24:19.400 --> 00:24:19.599
<v Speaker 1>Is this?

461
00:24:20.480 --> 00:24:22.880
<v Speaker 2>But you don't play off of other humans when you're

462
00:24:22.920 --> 00:24:26.759
<v Speaker 2>actually making your pick or when you're actually watching them pick.

463
00:24:26.799 --> 00:24:29.839
<v Speaker 2>It's just an exercise. And okay, now I'm rebounding off

464
00:24:29.880 --> 00:24:33.160
<v Speaker 2>of them. But in an auction, there's all kinds of

465
00:24:33.240 --> 00:24:39.079
<v Speaker 2>human dynamics at play. And until you know how to

466
00:24:39.160 --> 00:24:42.799
<v Speaker 2>read humans and how to play them while you're in

467
00:24:42.880 --> 00:24:46.839
<v Speaker 2>the middle of the auction, you'll never be elite. You

468
00:24:47.000 --> 00:24:50.119
<v Speaker 2>have to work on this stuff. And I'll say it

469
00:24:50.160 --> 00:24:53.240
<v Speaker 2>again when I have the conversation about gut all the time.

470
00:24:53.319 --> 00:24:55.440
<v Speaker 2>It's something that sticks with people, and I want you

471
00:24:55.480 --> 00:24:59.480
<v Speaker 2>to listen to me one more time this summer. Gut

472
00:24:59.559 --> 00:25:04.400
<v Speaker 2>is not wild ass guessing. Gut is not Hey, he

473
00:25:04.519 --> 00:25:06.039
<v Speaker 2>I thought he was gonna do it and then he

474
00:25:06.079 --> 00:25:10.079
<v Speaker 2>did it. No, that's not a thing you have to say.

475
00:25:10.160 --> 00:25:11.920
<v Speaker 2>I thought he was gonna do it for X, Y,

476
00:25:12.000 --> 00:25:14.519
<v Speaker 2>and Z reasons and then he did it. Or I

477
00:25:14.559 --> 00:25:16.240
<v Speaker 2>thought he was going to do it for these reasons

478
00:25:16.240 --> 00:25:18.920
<v Speaker 2>and then he did not do it. And that involves

479
00:25:18.920 --> 00:25:22.039
<v Speaker 2>thinking about it after the fact. Just like in point

480
00:25:22.119 --> 00:25:25.519
<v Speaker 2>number one, you don't go into an auction, screw up

481
00:25:25.559 --> 00:25:28.359
<v Speaker 2>your parshy and go back to the drawing board. See

482
00:25:28.359 --> 00:25:33.519
<v Speaker 2>you in twenty twenty seven. No, you have to revise

483
00:25:33.519 --> 00:25:36.480
<v Speaker 2>what you're doing. In same thing with humans, you have

484
00:25:36.559 --> 00:25:39.599
<v Speaker 2>to figure out what they did after the fact to

485
00:25:39.640 --> 00:25:41.960
<v Speaker 2>see if you were right or not. So many people

486
00:25:42.000 --> 00:25:45.319
<v Speaker 2>skip that part of it and that drives me nuts.

487
00:25:45.880 --> 00:25:49.039
<v Speaker 2>You can't skip the last part because you have to

488
00:25:49.039 --> 00:25:50.440
<v Speaker 2>think about why was I wrong?

489
00:25:50.559 --> 00:25:51.440
<v Speaker 1>Why was I right?

490
00:25:52.079 --> 00:25:55.920
<v Speaker 2>Was my reason correct? You know the old Simpsons episode

491
00:25:56.400 --> 00:25:59.720
<v Speaker 2>about when they saw a bear in town and then

492
00:25:59.720 --> 00:26:02.440
<v Speaker 2>they you know, they pulled out the bear patrol and

493
00:26:02.480 --> 00:26:04.960
<v Speaker 2>Lisa's like, uh, that's not the reason there's no bears.

494
00:26:04.960 --> 00:26:07.720
<v Speaker 2>There's just not any bears in the springfield. And then

495
00:26:07.880 --> 00:26:10.160
<v Speaker 2>she says, well, you know, that'd be like me saying

496
00:26:10.200 --> 00:26:12.359
<v Speaker 2>that I have this rock and it keeps tigers away.

497
00:26:13.039 --> 00:26:15.400
<v Speaker 2>And Homer's like, tell me more about this rock, and

498
00:26:15.440 --> 00:26:17.480
<v Speaker 2>she's like, well, let me, do you see any tigers?

499
00:26:17.480 --> 00:26:18.839
<v Speaker 1>And he's like, hmm, good point.

500
00:26:19.640 --> 00:26:22.319
<v Speaker 2>I mean, you get it right that So sometimes you're

501
00:26:22.319 --> 00:26:25.559
<v Speaker 2>gonna think he's about to do this, and then he

502
00:26:25.640 --> 00:26:28.279
<v Speaker 2>does it, but your reason for thinking that he was

503
00:26:28.319 --> 00:26:31.119
<v Speaker 2>about to do that is wrong. Like you weren't even

504
00:26:31.240 --> 00:26:33.680
<v Speaker 2>right about it. You were just that's just like being like, oh,

505
00:26:33.759 --> 00:26:35.519
<v Speaker 2>I'm out on this player. Then he gets hurt and

506
00:26:35.519 --> 00:26:39.599
<v Speaker 2>you're like, see, well that's not a thing. You have

507
00:26:39.720 --> 00:26:42.559
<v Speaker 2>to be right for the right reason, and you have

508
00:26:42.640 --> 00:26:45.240
<v Speaker 2>to be wrong. Sometimes you're going to be right and

509
00:26:45.279 --> 00:26:48.640
<v Speaker 2>that results still wrong. Okay, I'm confusing you here, but

510
00:26:49.039 --> 00:26:50.119
<v Speaker 2>just remember you have.

511
00:26:50.079 --> 00:26:51.440
<v Speaker 1>To look for the result.

512
00:26:51.759 --> 00:26:54.680
<v Speaker 2>What was my impression, what was my thought? Be intentional

513
00:26:54.720 --> 00:26:57.279
<v Speaker 2>about naming a thing that you think is gonna happen

514
00:26:57.319 --> 00:27:00.240
<v Speaker 2>and then seeing whether it happens. I think there's a

515
00:27:00.279 --> 00:27:04.000
<v Speaker 2>lot of different things that this unlocks. So playing against

516
00:27:04.119 --> 00:27:07.240
<v Speaker 2>humans is and I talk about all the time about

517
00:27:07.240 --> 00:27:10.960
<v Speaker 2>the levels of price enforcing, and playing against humans takes

518
00:27:11.000 --> 00:27:14.400
<v Speaker 2>you to another level. Because level number one is market

519
00:27:14.440 --> 00:27:17.160
<v Speaker 2>price enforcing. We've talked about that when players are just

520
00:27:17.200 --> 00:27:19.640
<v Speaker 2>too cheap and you're making sure that you bid to

521
00:27:19.680 --> 00:27:21.559
<v Speaker 2>get the price up there, and then you're backing out

522
00:27:22.039 --> 00:27:24.400
<v Speaker 2>or you're getting a really good deal because you decided

523
00:27:24.400 --> 00:27:28.279
<v Speaker 2>to enforce and the league that you have them. But

524
00:27:28.319 --> 00:27:32.279
<v Speaker 2>then the next level of that is making human plays

525
00:27:33.119 --> 00:27:36.319
<v Speaker 2>is playing off of what people are doing. I really

526
00:27:36.319 --> 00:27:38.799
<v Speaker 2>believe that playing humans is one of the last things

527
00:27:38.839 --> 00:27:42.079
<v Speaker 2>that you add to your auction skill set. It's hard,

528
00:27:42.319 --> 00:27:44.720
<v Speaker 2>It's really hard, and especially behind a computer. If you're

529
00:27:44.720 --> 00:27:48.079
<v Speaker 2>in an online auction, you can get an impression of people, though,

530
00:27:48.119 --> 00:27:50.319
<v Speaker 2>you really can if you pay attention to their bidding

531
00:27:50.319 --> 00:27:53.240
<v Speaker 2>patterns and how they act. And is this person impatient?

532
00:27:53.279 --> 00:27:56.200
<v Speaker 2>Do they type in forty five when beijeon comes up?

533
00:27:56.759 --> 00:27:58.599
<v Speaker 2>Are they annoyed that it's taking too long?

534
00:27:58.799 --> 00:27:59.240
<v Speaker 1>Hey? Whatever?

535
00:27:59.240 --> 00:28:00.759
<v Speaker 2>Were gonna have a break or no, I don't want

536
00:28:00.759 --> 00:28:02.440
<v Speaker 2>to break like I gotta get done. I gotta go

537
00:28:02.480 --> 00:28:05.640
<v Speaker 2>to work tomorrow. They say things that tell you things.

538
00:28:06.160 --> 00:28:08.880
<v Speaker 2>Are you paying attention to the things they're saying. People

539
00:28:08.920 --> 00:28:10.880
<v Speaker 2>are gonna tell you what they are. They're gonna tell

540
00:28:10.880 --> 00:28:13.920
<v Speaker 2>you how they're gonna act. They're gonna tell you. They're

541
00:28:13.920 --> 00:28:16.720
<v Speaker 2>gonna say stuff. Hey, I've been drinking and went to

542
00:28:16.759 --> 00:28:18.680
<v Speaker 2>dinner with the wife, had two bottles of wine. Let's

543
00:28:18.680 --> 00:28:22.400
<v Speaker 2>get it going, boys. They just told you something. Most

544
00:28:22.400 --> 00:28:24.559
<v Speaker 2>people are not sitting down in a room and trying

545
00:28:24.599 --> 00:28:26.920
<v Speaker 2>to throw out false tales. I promise you, even the

546
00:28:26.920 --> 00:28:29.799
<v Speaker 2>best of the best they're not doing that. So watch

547
00:28:29.799 --> 00:28:33.839
<v Speaker 2>them and you can use that humanity against them to

548
00:28:33.920 --> 00:28:36.400
<v Speaker 2>bid them up. And I tell you all the time,

549
00:28:36.680 --> 00:28:38.519
<v Speaker 2>don't do it unless you're really comfortable with it. And

550
00:28:38.519 --> 00:28:41.279
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna give you the caveat again, don't do it

551
00:28:41.519 --> 00:28:44.920
<v Speaker 2>unless you're really comfortable. You have to be comfortable that

552
00:28:44.960 --> 00:28:48.400
<v Speaker 2>you know that person really well. Pay attention to certain

553
00:28:48.480 --> 00:28:52.839
<v Speaker 2>types of guys, rhythm bidders, Guys that you can get

554
00:28:52.839 --> 00:28:55.359
<v Speaker 2>into a rhythm with them and they'll just go with

555
00:28:55.400 --> 00:28:58.640
<v Speaker 2>you twenty one, twenty two, twenty three. They get into

556
00:28:58.680 --> 00:29:02.400
<v Speaker 2>a rhythm and they keep going. Look at managers who

557
00:29:02.480 --> 00:29:05.119
<v Speaker 2>have a change in behavior. That's when we've talked about

558
00:29:05.160 --> 00:29:06.839
<v Speaker 2>in previous summers. You can go back and listen to

559
00:29:06.839 --> 00:29:09.880
<v Speaker 2>that stuff. But a change in behavior is a huge tell.

560
00:29:10.480 --> 00:29:12.640
<v Speaker 2>Is there a guy joking around with somebody next to

561
00:29:12.680 --> 00:29:15.519
<v Speaker 2>him and then a players called out and he's quiet,

562
00:29:15.839 --> 00:29:18.799
<v Speaker 2>starts paying attention. Well, what do you think he thinks

563
00:29:19.440 --> 00:29:20.480
<v Speaker 2>something about that player?

564
00:29:20.519 --> 00:29:20.680
<v Speaker 1>Right?

565
00:29:20.720 --> 00:29:23.880
<v Speaker 2>That player is important to him for some reason. Change

566
00:29:23.920 --> 00:29:27.119
<v Speaker 2>in behavior is huge. How about the table captain. You

567
00:29:27.160 --> 00:29:29.119
<v Speaker 2>ever set at a poker table and somebody sits down

568
00:29:29.119 --> 00:29:31.960
<v Speaker 2>and they just immediately start raising and going crazy and

569
00:29:32.000 --> 00:29:35.200
<v Speaker 2>calling people and forcing the action. They consider themselves to

570
00:29:35.200 --> 00:29:39.480
<v Speaker 2>be the table captain. They're a really aggressive personality. You're

571
00:29:39.480 --> 00:29:43.319
<v Speaker 2>going to see aggressive personalities. Use that against him. Let

572
00:29:43.359 --> 00:29:47.160
<v Speaker 2>their aggression be their undoing. Let them get into some

573
00:29:47.359 --> 00:29:50.000
<v Speaker 2>heavy bidding early on, and then just stop. Stick him

574
00:29:50.039 --> 00:29:54.079
<v Speaker 2>with people, take him out, Take him out. They got

575
00:29:54.079 --> 00:29:56.799
<v Speaker 2>two hundred bucks like everyone else, They want to run

576
00:29:56.839 --> 00:29:58.960
<v Speaker 2>around being a menace and thrown up forty three bucks

577
00:29:59.000 --> 00:30:00.920
<v Speaker 2>and every player that goes because they think it's gonna

578
00:30:00.920 --> 00:30:01.440
<v Speaker 2>go for more.

579
00:30:01.759 --> 00:30:03.640
<v Speaker 1>Stop. Let them have a player for forty three bucks.

580
00:30:03.720 --> 00:30:04.920
<v Speaker 1>Let them get a little bit of a deal.

581
00:30:05.799 --> 00:30:08.319
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so what so they got aj Brown for forty

582
00:30:08.319 --> 00:30:11.279
<v Speaker 2>two when he should be forty six, So what, let

583
00:30:11.319 --> 00:30:13.160
<v Speaker 2>him have him. They're gonna do that twice and all

584
00:30:13.160 --> 00:30:15.319
<v Speaker 2>of a sudden they're gonna be out. They're gonna have

585
00:30:15.359 --> 00:30:17.599
<v Speaker 2>forty two bucks left and need fourteen players.

586
00:30:17.680 --> 00:30:18.279
<v Speaker 1>Let them do it.

587
00:30:19.000 --> 00:30:21.880
<v Speaker 2>Use their aggression against them. How about the guys that

588
00:30:22.000 --> 00:30:25.839
<v Speaker 2>just nominate people they like They really like players, right,

589
00:30:26.079 --> 00:30:28.400
<v Speaker 2>how about guys that like players from certain colleges.

590
00:30:28.440 --> 00:30:29.680
<v Speaker 1>There's used to.

591
00:30:29.599 --> 00:30:32.680
<v Speaker 2>Play in a league with a girl who liked Alabama players.

592
00:30:32.960 --> 00:30:34.880
<v Speaker 2>You knew when an Alabama player came up it was

593
00:30:34.920 --> 00:30:37.640
<v Speaker 2>gonna be an inflated price. Use it against them. That's

594
00:30:37.640 --> 00:30:41.079
<v Speaker 2>their problem, right, that's not your problem. This is the game.

595
00:30:41.960 --> 00:30:46.119
<v Speaker 2>Use those human tells. Take their money. That's how you

596
00:30:46.119 --> 00:30:49.839
<v Speaker 2>become elite. Take their freaking money. Force them to be

597
00:30:49.920 --> 00:30:52.359
<v Speaker 2>on all the time. You want them to be uncomfortable.

598
00:30:52.680 --> 00:30:55.039
<v Speaker 2>If you know, for example, that a player is gonna

599
00:30:55.039 --> 00:30:57.759
<v Speaker 2>go for thirty bucks and the bid is twenty, then

600
00:30:57.759 --> 00:31:01.240
<v Speaker 2>you need to say twenty one immediately. Why let me

601
00:31:01.240 --> 00:31:04.839
<v Speaker 2>ask you this. What's more comfortable When the bid is

602
00:31:04.960 --> 00:31:08.279
<v Speaker 2>yours and you just get to sit there and you

603
00:31:08.319 --> 00:31:11.279
<v Speaker 2>get the player for the price you want, or when

604
00:31:11.319 --> 00:31:13.680
<v Speaker 2>the bid is on someone else and the clock's ticking

605
00:31:13.720 --> 00:31:15.920
<v Speaker 2>down and you have to decide whether you're going to act.

606
00:31:16.519 --> 00:31:19.759
<v Speaker 2>If you're the one who's always acting, you're the one

607
00:31:19.759 --> 00:31:23.279
<v Speaker 2>who's always uncomfortable. If you're the one who always knows

608
00:31:23.279 --> 00:31:25.279
<v Speaker 2>and is just sitting there waiting for the other person

609
00:31:25.480 --> 00:31:28.279
<v Speaker 2>to act, you're the comfortable one. You're the one who

610
00:31:28.279 --> 00:31:29.599
<v Speaker 2>gets to sit back and say, are they going to

611
00:31:29.640 --> 00:31:32.680
<v Speaker 2>bid again? So let's say that you know this player

612
00:31:32.759 --> 00:31:34.759
<v Speaker 2>is worth thirty bucks and it's twenty you should say

613
00:31:34.759 --> 00:31:38.680
<v Speaker 2>twenty one immediately, because then that person is always on,

614
00:31:39.359 --> 00:31:41.079
<v Speaker 2>and you know what that does to them? Not only

615
00:31:41.119 --> 00:31:44.079
<v Speaker 2>does it make them uncomfortable, it pisses them off. They

616
00:31:44.079 --> 00:31:48.200
<v Speaker 2>get frustrated. Right, So you say twenty one quickly and

617
00:31:48.200 --> 00:31:52.640
<v Speaker 2>then they wait and wait and wait, going once, going twice,

618
00:31:52.640 --> 00:31:55.119
<v Speaker 2>and they say twenty two. Then you go twenty three,

619
00:31:55.759 --> 00:31:58.599
<v Speaker 2>twenty four, twenty five. It's gonna bug them first of

620
00:31:58.599 --> 00:32:03.640
<v Speaker 2>all because you one up them immediately and irritate them.

621
00:32:03.880 --> 00:32:06.319
<v Speaker 2>But on top of that, you know that you're gonna

622
00:32:06.319 --> 00:32:08.119
<v Speaker 2>pay up to thirty bucks for this player, So why

623
00:32:08.160 --> 00:32:08.799
<v Speaker 2>would you wait?

624
00:32:08.920 --> 00:32:09.720
<v Speaker 1>Why would you wait?

625
00:32:10.400 --> 00:32:14.279
<v Speaker 2>Making them always beyond makes them uncomfortable.

626
00:32:14.559 --> 00:32:15.440
<v Speaker 1>When you're the one who.

627
00:32:15.319 --> 00:32:18.319
<v Speaker 2>Gets to sit back, you're the comfortable one. This is

628
00:32:18.519 --> 00:32:22.759
<v Speaker 2>human psychology. If you don't use human psychology in your

629
00:32:22.759 --> 00:32:34.480
<v Speaker 2>auction game, you will never be elite. The third auction

630
00:32:34.640 --> 00:32:39.640
<v Speaker 2>skill that I believe unlocks your ceiling is talking about options,

631
00:32:40.359 --> 00:32:45.599
<v Speaker 2>having options, And what do I mean by having options? Well,

632
00:32:45.799 --> 00:32:48.920
<v Speaker 2>I believe that the way that you unlock the best

633
00:32:49.039 --> 00:32:55.119
<v Speaker 2>rosters is to never bid yourself or nominate yourself.

634
00:32:54.720 --> 00:32:55.599
<v Speaker 1>Into a corner.

635
00:32:56.400 --> 00:33:01.119
<v Speaker 2>The best auction players always leave themselves out at various

636
00:33:01.160 --> 00:33:04.119
<v Speaker 2>points during the auction. It's just like the best poker

637
00:33:04.160 --> 00:33:07.720
<v Speaker 2>players don't ever paint themselves into a corner where the

638
00:33:07.799 --> 00:33:10.599
<v Speaker 2>only move is a wild all in bet. And if

639
00:33:10.640 --> 00:33:15.400
<v Speaker 2>you're consistently finding yourself unable to react, unable to bid

640
00:33:15.440 --> 00:33:18.400
<v Speaker 2>on players that you should be bidding on, unable to

641
00:33:18.519 --> 00:33:22.039
<v Speaker 2>execute your par sheet, then you're probably not leaving yourself

642
00:33:22.200 --> 00:33:26.440
<v Speaker 2>very many options throughout the draft. So becoming an elite

643
00:33:26.440 --> 00:33:31.119
<v Speaker 2>auction drafter is about knowing when to pass and knowing

644
00:33:31.160 --> 00:33:35.559
<v Speaker 2>when to preserve your flexibility and the options that you

645
00:33:35.640 --> 00:33:38.400
<v Speaker 2>have in front of you. Now, I don't want you

646
00:33:38.440 --> 00:33:42.200
<v Speaker 2>to consider this a blanket rule, because you know as

647
00:33:42.200 --> 00:33:43.880
<v Speaker 2>well as I do that there are certain times when

648
00:33:43.920 --> 00:33:46.559
<v Speaker 2>you have to strike, when you have to act, and

649
00:33:46.599 --> 00:33:49.240
<v Speaker 2>you have to spend some money, and that limits your

650
00:33:49.279 --> 00:33:53.119
<v Speaker 2>options for a little while. But the more you limit

651
00:33:53.359 --> 00:33:57.680
<v Speaker 2>the options that you have, the less you can work

652
00:33:57.720 --> 00:34:01.000
<v Speaker 2>the room. Did you immediately pay for Jamior Gibbs and

653
00:34:01.039 --> 00:34:04.039
<v Speaker 2>you paid sixty eight dollars? You limited your options there

654
00:34:04.079 --> 00:34:04.599
<v Speaker 2>for a while?

655
00:34:04.759 --> 00:34:05.000
<v Speaker 1>Right?

656
00:34:05.480 --> 00:34:08.079
<v Speaker 2>Did you pay twenty four dollars for Colston Loveland when

657
00:34:08.119 --> 00:34:11.840
<v Speaker 2>he was the first tight end up? You limit your options?

658
00:34:11.880 --> 00:34:14.199
<v Speaker 2>And why does that matter? Well, twenty four may end

659
00:34:14.280 --> 00:34:16.760
<v Speaker 2>up being a good price for Colston Loveland. But what

660
00:34:16.800 --> 00:34:19.679
<v Speaker 2>if brock Bauers goes for twenty nine? What if he

661
00:34:19.719 --> 00:34:22.119
<v Speaker 2>goes for thirty one. Now you may think, okay, I

662
00:34:22.159 --> 00:34:25.039
<v Speaker 2>still like my twenty four, but my point being, Bowers

663
00:34:25.119 --> 00:34:27.360
<v Speaker 2>is a thirty five to forty dollars player this year,

664
00:34:27.760 --> 00:34:31.440
<v Speaker 2>and he just went way under that for whatever reason.

665
00:34:31.800 --> 00:34:33.639
<v Speaker 2>But you didn't have the option to bid because you

666
00:34:33.639 --> 00:34:34.519
<v Speaker 2>already had Loveland.

667
00:34:34.559 --> 00:34:34.760
<v Speaker 1>Right.

668
00:34:35.400 --> 00:34:38.679
<v Speaker 2>What if you took a deal when you had three

669
00:34:38.800 --> 00:34:41.079
<v Speaker 2>roster spots left and you had thirty one bucks left,

670
00:34:41.079 --> 00:34:42.639
<v Speaker 2>but you took a deal on a six dollars player

671
00:34:42.639 --> 00:34:44.559
<v Speaker 2>because you thought, oh what a great deal. You just

672
00:34:44.639 --> 00:34:47.519
<v Speaker 2>limited your options. Now you've only got two roster spots left,

673
00:34:47.519 --> 00:34:50.199
<v Speaker 2>you got thirty one bucks, or you know whatever, you

674
00:34:50.199 --> 00:34:51.920
<v Speaker 2>paid six bucks, you got twenty five bucks.

675
00:34:52.159 --> 00:34:53.840
<v Speaker 1>You don't have enough. There's not enough.

676
00:34:53.679 --> 00:34:57.599
<v Speaker 2>Players left to spend, so you limited your options. If

677
00:34:57.639 --> 00:34:59.639
<v Speaker 2>you're low on money, if you take yourself out of

678
00:34:59.639 --> 00:35:02.480
<v Speaker 2>the draft and you can't price en force, you can't

679
00:35:02.519 --> 00:35:05.960
<v Speaker 2>take deals. Okay, Well, look, sometimes you got to overpay

680
00:35:06.000 --> 00:35:08.519
<v Speaker 2>for elite talent. I get that, but I think more

681
00:35:08.559 --> 00:35:10.719
<v Speaker 2>often than not, what I'm talking about here with options

682
00:35:10.760 --> 00:35:15.280
<v Speaker 2>is sometimes it's okay. Passing is the play. Many times

683
00:35:15.360 --> 00:35:18.840
<v Speaker 2>it is and it feels weird in the moment, like, gosh,

684
00:35:18.840 --> 00:35:21.760
<v Speaker 2>I should have been on that, but it would have

685
00:35:21.840 --> 00:35:23.239
<v Speaker 2>limited my options too much.

686
00:35:23.559 --> 00:35:24.239
<v Speaker 1>And that's okay.

687
00:35:24.360 --> 00:35:28.840
<v Speaker 2>Let the deal go because it limits your flexibility. And

688
00:35:28.920 --> 00:35:31.159
<v Speaker 2>most of the time, what I'm talking about here is

689
00:35:31.280 --> 00:35:37.119
<v Speaker 2>taking deals on replacement level players or marginal deals. So

690
00:35:37.280 --> 00:35:41.480
<v Speaker 2>why take a great deal on Quintin Johnston. I like

691
00:35:41.559 --> 00:35:44.079
<v Speaker 2>the player, but why take a great deal on Quinton Johnston.

692
00:35:44.159 --> 00:35:47.119
<v Speaker 2>He's a marginal player. He's a replacement level player for

693
00:35:47.159 --> 00:35:51.320
<v Speaker 2>fantasy football purposes. How about think about like this, What

694
00:35:51.519 --> 00:35:54.679
<v Speaker 2>if you paid twenty five dollars for Jalen Waddle. You

695
00:35:54.800 --> 00:35:58.000
<v Speaker 2>had twenty three dollars allotted on your par sheet, and

696
00:35:59.159 --> 00:36:01.239
<v Speaker 2>you take Wattle for twenty five because you think that's

697
00:36:01.280 --> 00:36:03.960
<v Speaker 2>a reasonable deal. But you've done two things there. You

698
00:36:04.000 --> 00:36:08.320
<v Speaker 2>went two dollars over, which is okay sometimes, but then

699
00:36:08.400 --> 00:36:11.320
<v Speaker 2>also you did it to take a deal that's marginal.

700
00:36:11.360 --> 00:36:14.000
<v Speaker 2>It's a one to three dollars deal. I mean, it's

701
00:36:14.039 --> 00:36:15.840
<v Speaker 2>a lot more than a twenty six to twenty nine

702
00:36:15.880 --> 00:36:18.920
<v Speaker 2>dollars player. Not really, So you got it for twenty five, Okay,

703
00:36:18.960 --> 00:36:22.119
<v Speaker 2>Well that's not bad, And maybe it's what works for

704
00:36:22.199 --> 00:36:24.239
<v Speaker 2>your par sheet, and maybe that's what you need it

705
00:36:24.320 --> 00:36:27.599
<v Speaker 2>at that time. Maybe things are becoming scarce again auctions.

706
00:36:27.639 --> 00:36:30.000
<v Speaker 2>You can't think about the infinite variables. But the point

707
00:36:30.079 --> 00:36:33.280
<v Speaker 2>is this is kind of an example. It's like, well,

708
00:36:33.639 --> 00:36:37.159
<v Speaker 2>did that help me? Is that exactly what my part

709
00:36:37.159 --> 00:36:39.840
<v Speaker 2>she needed? Maybe it is, or maybe you limited your

710
00:36:39.840 --> 00:36:42.719
<v Speaker 2>options there for a player that you didn't really get

711
00:36:42.719 --> 00:36:45.719
<v Speaker 2>that great of a deal on. You have to jump

712
00:36:45.719 --> 00:36:49.559
<v Speaker 2>in sometimes and sometimes by taking whatever deals or by

713
00:36:49.639 --> 00:36:51.719
<v Speaker 2>landing the players that you want to land, you are

714
00:36:51.760 --> 00:36:52.960
<v Speaker 2>going to shut off part.

715
00:36:52.840 --> 00:36:53.360
<v Speaker 1>Of the draft.

716
00:36:54.039 --> 00:36:57.760
<v Speaker 2>But part of being elite is recognizing when you do it,

717
00:36:57.840 --> 00:37:00.239
<v Speaker 2>is recognizing that you are shutting off part of the

718
00:37:00.280 --> 00:37:05.280
<v Speaker 2>draft and what does that do for your nomination strategy

719
00:37:05.280 --> 00:37:07.400
<v Speaker 2>and how you attack the rest of the draft. We're

720
00:37:07.440 --> 00:37:10.159
<v Speaker 2>going to hit that in just a minute in inflection points,

721
00:37:10.559 --> 00:37:14.159
<v Speaker 2>because once you do that, once you land a player,

722
00:37:14.679 --> 00:37:17.719
<v Speaker 2>you shut off a portion of your draft, You shut

723
00:37:17.719 --> 00:37:20.599
<v Speaker 2>off a portion of the options. I'm not saying to

724
00:37:20.639 --> 00:37:23.559
<v Speaker 2>not do it. I'm saying to recognize it and then

725
00:37:23.639 --> 00:37:27.599
<v Speaker 2>recognize the effect it has on your ability to move forward.

726
00:37:35.440 --> 00:37:38.599
<v Speaker 2>All right, let's talk about number four, and number four

727
00:37:38.719 --> 00:37:40.679
<v Speaker 2>is one that I know that you're going to have

728
00:37:40.719 --> 00:37:42.719
<v Speaker 2>the temptation to turn your brain off when you hear

729
00:37:42.760 --> 00:37:46.960
<v Speaker 2>me say it. But folks, nominations.

730
00:37:46.079 --> 00:37:51.119
<v Speaker 1>Are the key. And it's the key for two reasons.

731
00:37:51.159 --> 00:37:53.239
<v Speaker 2>One because you're going to be better out than everybody,

732
00:37:53.239 --> 00:37:56.360
<v Speaker 2>but two because people don't really care about it. So

733
00:37:56.400 --> 00:37:59.639
<v Speaker 2>there's like a golf there that develops because of their

734
00:38:00.559 --> 00:38:04.880
<v Speaker 2>and your enthusiasm. So let's say that you both start

735
00:38:04.920 --> 00:38:08.880
<v Speaker 2>out as auction drafters. You're both a five okay on

736
00:38:08.920 --> 00:38:12.119
<v Speaker 2>a scale of one to ten, and your nomination strategy

737
00:38:12.159 --> 00:38:14.440
<v Speaker 2>is just right up the middle. You're a five, they're

738
00:38:14.480 --> 00:38:17.880
<v Speaker 2>a five, and they don't really They get into the

739
00:38:17.960 --> 00:38:20.920
<v Speaker 2>draft and every move they make moves that meter up

740
00:38:20.920 --> 00:38:23.000
<v Speaker 2>and down. That's a good nomination. Okay, Now you're a

741
00:38:23.000 --> 00:38:24.960
<v Speaker 2>six or seven, that's a bad nomination. Now you're a

742
00:38:25.039 --> 00:38:27.920
<v Speaker 2>three or a two. Let's say that we get to

743
00:38:27.960 --> 00:38:30.280
<v Speaker 2>the end of the draft. A lot of people are

744
00:38:30.280 --> 00:38:32.280
<v Speaker 2>gonna be just a flat out one or they're gonna

745
00:38:32.320 --> 00:38:34.159
<v Speaker 2>be like negative by the end of the draft because

746
00:38:34.159 --> 00:38:38.079
<v Speaker 2>they didn't do anything with their nominations. And the reason

747
00:38:38.119 --> 00:38:41.840
<v Speaker 2>I say that is because if you are gaining positive

748
00:38:41.840 --> 00:38:46.360
<v Speaker 2>expected value with your nominations, your rating goes up from five,

749
00:38:46.440 --> 00:38:50.599
<v Speaker 2>theirs goes down. The golf widens because they don't use

750
00:38:50.639 --> 00:38:53.760
<v Speaker 2>it and you do. And it's not just hey, I

751
00:38:53.760 --> 00:38:56.199
<v Speaker 2>got better, they're still a five and now I'm a seven.

752
00:38:56.360 --> 00:38:58.400
<v Speaker 2>Now they're like a two now and you're a nine.

753
00:38:59.360 --> 00:39:01.800
<v Speaker 2>So the golf widens by how much you use your

754
00:39:01.800 --> 00:39:05.079
<v Speaker 2>nomination strategy. And I don't want to talk about being

755
00:39:05.199 --> 00:39:08.760
<v Speaker 2>variable here because that's so simple. Like a monkey could

756
00:39:08.760 --> 00:39:11.320
<v Speaker 2>do that, all right, a monkey could not, you know,

757
00:39:11.519 --> 00:39:13.719
<v Speaker 2>vary their nominations. And we know that you have to

758
00:39:13.719 --> 00:39:16.119
<v Speaker 2>do that. You have to nominate people you like and

759
00:39:16.159 --> 00:39:18.400
<v Speaker 2>you have to nominate people you don't. And we talked

760
00:39:18.440 --> 00:39:21.039
<v Speaker 2>about like, hey, early on we nominate the targets in

761
00:39:21.079 --> 00:39:24.039
<v Speaker 2>the middle rounds, we might be nominating players that you know,

762
00:39:24.079 --> 00:39:25.920
<v Speaker 2>we want other people to spend money on because we're

763
00:39:25.920 --> 00:39:28.920
<v Speaker 2>waiting on certain players. You know, later we want to

764
00:39:28.920 --> 00:39:31.960
<v Speaker 2>fill people's rosters. Right, we've done all that, But how

765
00:39:32.039 --> 00:39:35.239
<v Speaker 2>is how do you become elite? Okay, three ways that

766
00:39:35.280 --> 00:39:37.599
<v Speaker 2>I want you to become elite and think about becoming

767
00:39:37.679 --> 00:39:42.519
<v Speaker 2>elite with your nominations. Number one is stopping runs, all right,

768
00:39:42.639 --> 00:39:49.800
<v Speaker 2>stopping positional runs and stopping value related runs. Positional runs

769
00:39:49.840 --> 00:39:51.840
<v Speaker 2>are you know people all of a sudden woke up

770
00:39:51.880 --> 00:39:54.360
<v Speaker 2>and realized that tight ends exist in this auction. You

771
00:39:54.400 --> 00:39:56.360
<v Speaker 2>had nominated any of them through two and a half rounds,

772
00:39:56.360 --> 00:39:58.360
<v Speaker 2>and all of a sudden, brock Bowers goes and a

773
00:39:58.400 --> 00:40:01.639
<v Speaker 2>couple of you know players later tradement, Brian gets nominated.

774
00:40:02.039 --> 00:40:04.400
<v Speaker 2>If you're sitting there wanting Colston leveland or you want

775
00:40:04.440 --> 00:40:06.760
<v Speaker 2>Tucker Kraft, or you want Tyler Warren and all these

776
00:40:06.800 --> 00:40:08.360
<v Speaker 2>elite guys are going off the board, you got to

777
00:40:08.360 --> 00:40:11.320
<v Speaker 2>stop that tight end run, right, And I think the

778
00:40:11.360 --> 00:40:13.280
<v Speaker 2>best way to do that is to cool the room

779
00:40:13.320 --> 00:40:17.639
<v Speaker 2>down again. And I want to go then choose an

780
00:40:17.679 --> 00:40:20.519
<v Speaker 2>elite player at a different position. So there's a bit

781
00:40:20.519 --> 00:40:26.800
<v Speaker 2>of a time between that last nomination and the next one. So, okay,

782
00:40:26.840 --> 00:40:30.440
<v Speaker 2>you really want Tyler Warren. A couple tight ends just went.

783
00:40:30.880 --> 00:40:31.800
<v Speaker 2>How do I change it up?

784
00:40:31.840 --> 00:40:32.199
<v Speaker 1>All right?

785
00:40:32.239 --> 00:40:35.719
<v Speaker 2>Well, let's see AJ Brown is still available. So I'm

786
00:40:35.760 --> 00:40:37.519
<v Speaker 2>gonna go over and I'm going to nominate AJ Brown

787
00:40:37.559 --> 00:40:39.639
<v Speaker 2>and I'm going to let that bidding go. I'm gonna

788
00:40:39.679 --> 00:40:41.679
<v Speaker 2>let it go a little bit slower than I normally won.

789
00:40:42.000 --> 00:40:45.280
<v Speaker 2>So everybody can calm down about tight ends. Tight ends

790
00:40:45.280 --> 00:40:46.840
<v Speaker 2>can fall out of their head. They're going to think

791
00:40:46.840 --> 00:40:49.079
<v Speaker 2>about aj Brown for a while, and then when the

792
00:40:49.079 --> 00:40:51.920
<v Speaker 2>next person nominates, they're less likely to go back to

793
00:40:51.960 --> 00:40:55.719
<v Speaker 2>that positional group that you were worried about. So nominations

794
00:40:56.119 --> 00:41:00.559
<v Speaker 2>can serve to stop positional runs. You can attempt to

795
00:41:00.599 --> 00:41:04.039
<v Speaker 2>turn everybody's heads in a different direction with your nomination.

796
00:41:05.159 --> 00:41:10.440
<v Speaker 2>It's also a value related nomination. Sometimes people are just

797
00:41:10.519 --> 00:41:13.840
<v Speaker 2>running away with the spending or they're not. You need

798
00:41:13.880 --> 00:41:16.760
<v Speaker 2>to heat the spending up, or you need to calm

799
00:41:16.760 --> 00:41:20.719
<v Speaker 2>it down. Sometimes this is just hey, we're nominating all

800
00:41:20.719 --> 00:41:24.119
<v Speaker 2>elite players, Like everybody chill. Here's Jordan Addison for.

801
00:41:24.119 --> 00:41:24.679
<v Speaker 1>You to chew on.

802
00:41:25.800 --> 00:41:29.400
<v Speaker 2>There are ways that you can influence the runs that

803
00:41:29.480 --> 00:41:32.960
<v Speaker 2>are happening, either value wise or positional. All right, So

804
00:41:33.000 --> 00:41:35.719
<v Speaker 2>stopping runs is an elite way for you to think

805
00:41:35.760 --> 00:41:38.519
<v Speaker 2>about your nominations. The second elite way to think about

806
00:41:38.599 --> 00:41:43.119
<v Speaker 2>nominations is beating scarcity. And this doesn't seem elap but

807
00:41:43.159 --> 00:41:46.000
<v Speaker 2>I promise you it is. And you know a quick

808
00:41:46.079 --> 00:41:49.280
<v Speaker 2>word here about tears. We work on our tiers all

809
00:41:49.280 --> 00:41:52.679
<v Speaker 2>summer long, and they're really important. And let me just say,

810
00:41:52.679 --> 00:41:54.760
<v Speaker 2>by the way, my tears and auction values will be

811
00:41:54.800 --> 00:41:56.559
<v Speaker 2>out here in the next couple of days.

812
00:41:56.559 --> 00:41:57.599
<v Speaker 1>I'm sorry for the delay.

813
00:41:57.880 --> 00:42:00.840
<v Speaker 2>I'm just too busy and that's something really important and

814
00:42:00.840 --> 00:42:03.079
<v Speaker 2>I'm sorry it's not out there yet, but it will

815
00:42:03.079 --> 00:42:07.079
<v Speaker 2>be out there soon. And beating scarcity is interesting because

816
00:42:07.400 --> 00:42:09.159
<v Speaker 2>a lot of times you can have tiers and you

817
00:42:09.199 --> 00:42:10.920
<v Speaker 2>can think, hey, this is the end of a tier.

818
00:42:11.280 --> 00:42:13.320
<v Speaker 2>But other people have different ideas and they think, now

819
00:42:13.400 --> 00:42:16.159
<v Speaker 2>I can wait on different players, and sometimes you'll see

820
00:42:16.159 --> 00:42:19.000
<v Speaker 2>prices you don't expect because your tears are just flat

821
00:42:19.000 --> 00:42:22.480
<v Speaker 2>out different for the people. So remember that. But in general,

822
00:42:22.559 --> 00:42:25.199
<v Speaker 2>beating scarcity is something that you can predict. You can

823
00:42:25.239 --> 00:42:29.079
<v Speaker 2>see that stuff coming and you have to beat this scarcity.

824
00:42:29.320 --> 00:42:30.960
<v Speaker 2>And a lot of times people are going to be like, oh, well,

825
00:42:30.960 --> 00:42:33.199
<v Speaker 2>there's four wide receiver twos left, I'm not nominated one

826
00:42:33.239 --> 00:42:37.599
<v Speaker 2>of them. Well, no, you can't wait, because you're going

827
00:42:37.679 --> 00:42:39.360
<v Speaker 2>to get caught up there and you're going to have

828
00:42:39.400 --> 00:42:41.199
<v Speaker 2>to pay too much. You need to get one of

829
00:42:41.199 --> 00:42:44.519
<v Speaker 2>those guys out there quickly and then land them. That's

830
00:42:44.559 --> 00:42:49.199
<v Speaker 2>an instant, that's an emergency in that situation because you

831
00:42:49.360 --> 00:42:51.920
<v Speaker 2>have to beat that scarcity. So that's a second way

832
00:42:51.960 --> 00:42:55.400
<v Speaker 2>we can be elite in our nominations is realizing that

833
00:42:55.480 --> 00:42:58.400
<v Speaker 2>waiting is not how we play the game. The final

834
00:42:58.440 --> 00:43:00.880
<v Speaker 2>way that I would say that we haven't talked about

835
00:43:01.159 --> 00:43:05.079
<v Speaker 2>a lot is there's oftentimes going to be the hammer

836
00:43:05.119 --> 00:43:08.000
<v Speaker 2>in the room and it's not you, and you need

837
00:43:08.039 --> 00:43:10.239
<v Speaker 2>to get used to the idea of trying to hammer

838
00:43:10.480 --> 00:43:14.239
<v Speaker 2>the hammer because that person's holding all the money and

839
00:43:14.280 --> 00:43:16.199
<v Speaker 2>you need to go and say, what do they need?

840
00:43:16.440 --> 00:43:20.239
<v Speaker 2>What is their roster lacking right now? Who may they

841
00:43:20.360 --> 00:43:24.360
<v Speaker 2>be sitting on. There's certain people that you can say, hey, look,

842
00:43:25.199 --> 00:43:28.400
<v Speaker 2>this person is waiting on this last player, or this

843
00:43:28.440 --> 00:43:32.079
<v Speaker 2>guy's an Eagles fan and he's waiting on Davante Smith,

844
00:43:32.119 --> 00:43:33.760
<v Speaker 2>whatever the case may be. You got to get him

845
00:43:33.760 --> 00:43:35.559
<v Speaker 2>out there. And one of the things I want you

846
00:43:35.599 --> 00:43:38.880
<v Speaker 2>to get in the habit of remembering is don't sit

847
00:43:38.960 --> 00:43:42.199
<v Speaker 2>there and dream about that last player on the board

848
00:43:42.599 --> 00:43:45.239
<v Speaker 2>when you don't have the hammer. All right, Let's say

849
00:43:45.239 --> 00:43:47.519
<v Speaker 2>we get late into the draft and Terry mclaurin's still

850
00:43:47.519 --> 00:43:50.159
<v Speaker 2>hanging out there. He shouldn't be out there, and he's

851
00:43:50.199 --> 00:43:52.199
<v Speaker 2>a twenty seven dollars player normally, but he's going to

852
00:43:52.280 --> 00:43:54.639
<v Speaker 2>go for nineteen or twenty now because it's too late.

853
00:43:55.440 --> 00:43:58.519
<v Speaker 2>Now you don't necessarily have the money to compete with

854
00:43:58.559 --> 00:43:59.079
<v Speaker 2>the hammer.

855
00:44:00.159 --> 00:44:01.000
<v Speaker 1>Sit there and just say.

856
00:44:00.880 --> 00:44:02.840
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna wait on Terry McLaurin and I'm gonna get

857
00:44:02.880 --> 00:44:05.159
<v Speaker 2>them later, because you know what's gonna happen. You're not

858
00:44:05.199 --> 00:44:07.199
<v Speaker 2>gonna get them, and then you're gonna have passed on

859
00:44:07.280 --> 00:44:09.239
<v Speaker 2>deals that were good for your team at that point.

860
00:44:10.320 --> 00:44:13.079
<v Speaker 2>So you need to stop dreaming about that last player

861
00:44:13.119 --> 00:44:16.400
<v Speaker 2>on the board when somebody has the hammer. Instead, you

862
00:44:16.559 --> 00:44:20.239
<v Speaker 2>need to nominate that player so that the hammer has

863
00:44:20.320 --> 00:44:24.360
<v Speaker 2>to use their hammer. Remember how we talked about that.

864
00:44:24.440 --> 00:44:26.199
<v Speaker 2>When you use the hammer a lot of times, you

865
00:44:26.239 --> 00:44:29.559
<v Speaker 2>lose it, and that's what you have to do. You

866
00:44:29.679 --> 00:44:33.119
<v Speaker 2>have to hammer the hammer sometimes. So there are elite

867
00:44:33.199 --> 00:44:36.280
<v Speaker 2>ways that you can start working on your nominations. There

868
00:44:36.280 --> 00:44:38.679
<v Speaker 2>are simple ways. We talked about those all summer long.

869
00:44:39.400 --> 00:44:44.199
<v Speaker 2>Elite nomination strategy goes further. It uses your human tells,

870
00:44:44.199 --> 00:44:49.760
<v Speaker 2>it uses your playing against humanity, and we're gonna stop runs,

871
00:44:49.800 --> 00:44:52.280
<v Speaker 2>we're gonna stop positional runs, we're gonna beat the scarcity.

872
00:44:52.480 --> 00:44:55.480
<v Speaker 2>We're gonna hammer people that need to be hammered. That's

873
00:44:55.480 --> 00:44:59.840
<v Speaker 2>how nominations can become an elite asset to you rather

874
00:44:59.840 --> 00:45:02.599
<v Speaker 2>than and just who's the top guy left on the board?

875
00:45:03.079 --> 00:45:06.320
<v Speaker 2>All right, that's number four. Let's talk about number five.

876
00:45:14.800 --> 00:45:17.079
<v Speaker 2>Number five is my favorite one, and it's a topic

877
00:45:17.159 --> 00:45:20.119
<v Speaker 2>we haven't talked about at all this summer, and that

878
00:45:20.280 --> 00:45:24.039
<v Speaker 2>is inflection points. And inflection points are hard to talk

879
00:45:24.079 --> 00:45:26.360
<v Speaker 2>about on the show. And I know I spent a

880
00:45:26.400 --> 00:45:29.039
<v Speaker 2>couple summers ago an entire episode on it, and I

881
00:45:29.039 --> 00:45:31.960
<v Speaker 2>had intended to do that again this summer, but I

882
00:45:32.000 --> 00:45:33.559
<v Speaker 2>think this is a better way to do it, because

883
00:45:33.559 --> 00:45:36.679
<v Speaker 2>this is how I want to end, mostly end the

884
00:45:36.760 --> 00:45:39.679
<v Speaker 2>conversation this summer on the auction brief before we get

885
00:45:39.679 --> 00:45:43.199
<v Speaker 2>to the manifesto. Because inflection points are one of the

886
00:45:43.199 --> 00:45:46.880
<v Speaker 2>most difficult things to point out and one of the

887
00:45:46.880 --> 00:45:49.960
<v Speaker 2>most difficult things to read in the moment.

888
00:45:49.639 --> 00:45:50.480
<v Speaker 1>When they're happening.

889
00:45:51.000 --> 00:45:53.559
<v Speaker 2>And that's why it's an elite skill, because you need

890
00:45:53.639 --> 00:45:56.840
<v Speaker 2>lots and lots of raps to figure out the inflection points.

891
00:45:57.239 --> 00:45:58.760
<v Speaker 2>And a lot of times you're going to be wrong

892
00:45:58.800 --> 00:45:59.880
<v Speaker 2>on the inflection points.

893
00:46:00.320 --> 00:46:00.920
<v Speaker 1>And what do we do?

894
00:46:01.000 --> 00:46:03.639
<v Speaker 2>Everybody say it with me, We go back and look

895
00:46:03.679 --> 00:46:06.440
<v Speaker 2>and see whether our predictions about the inflection points.

896
00:46:06.239 --> 00:46:06.920
<v Speaker 1>Were right or not.

897
00:46:07.679 --> 00:46:10.440
<v Speaker 2>You can't do it without that last step. Don't forget.

898
00:46:10.719 --> 00:46:13.360
<v Speaker 2>You can't do it without the last step of examining

899
00:46:13.400 --> 00:46:16.599
<v Speaker 2>whether you were right or not. What is an inflection point?

900
00:46:17.519 --> 00:46:19.599
<v Speaker 2>I say it all the time in an auction draft.

901
00:46:19.599 --> 00:46:22.639
<v Speaker 2>It just means that the room shifted and things are

902
00:46:22.719 --> 00:46:26.119
<v Speaker 2>going to change. You have to be able to predict

903
00:46:26.199 --> 00:46:29.519
<v Speaker 2>those things as an elite auction drafter, and not only that,

904
00:46:29.559 --> 00:46:31.719
<v Speaker 2>you have to be able to see them coming and

905
00:46:32.000 --> 00:46:35.679
<v Speaker 2>act on them in a timely manner. But I don't

906
00:46:35.760 --> 00:46:37.960
<v Speaker 2>just want to talk about inflection points in the room,

907
00:46:38.559 --> 00:46:43.440
<v Speaker 2>because I believe the real elite skill here is personal

908
00:46:43.519 --> 00:46:48.000
<v Speaker 2>inflection points, and the intersection of the two is how

909
00:46:48.039 --> 00:46:51.159
<v Speaker 2>you become the best of the best. We talked a

910
00:46:51.159 --> 00:46:53.280
<v Speaker 2>little bit about the King's Classic Room, where I thought

911
00:46:53.320 --> 00:46:56.360
<v Speaker 2>that the spending was really disciplined in the room and

912
00:46:56.360 --> 00:46:58.039
<v Speaker 2>we were going to see a spike in prices at

913
00:46:58.039 --> 00:46:58.400
<v Speaker 2>some point.

914
00:46:58.440 --> 00:46:59.199
<v Speaker 1>We did see that.

915
00:46:59.280 --> 00:47:00.880
<v Speaker 2>It took a little while longer than I thought, but

916
00:47:00.960 --> 00:47:03.519
<v Speaker 2>we saw it, you know, in the Hoary Cap sum

917
00:47:03.599 --> 00:47:05.159
<v Speaker 2>at the other night, the Superflex auction.

918
00:47:05.719 --> 00:47:07.000
<v Speaker 1>I thought that people spent a.

919
00:47:06.920 --> 00:47:09.760
<v Speaker 2>Little bit too high on the position groups early on,

920
00:47:10.800 --> 00:47:13.679
<v Speaker 2>and note enough money went to the quarterback market. If

921
00:47:13.679 --> 00:47:15.679
<v Speaker 2>I were in that room, i'd have five quarterbacks coming

922
00:47:15.679 --> 00:47:18.840
<v Speaker 2>out of that draft because people weren't respecting the quarterback

923
00:47:18.840 --> 00:47:21.760
<v Speaker 2>position in a superflex. So you can see that kind

924
00:47:21.760 --> 00:47:25.360
<v Speaker 2>of stuff happening. But that's a room inflection point. That's

925
00:47:25.400 --> 00:47:29.960
<v Speaker 2>an entire league inflection point. You can't just operate off

926
00:47:30.000 --> 00:47:32.760
<v Speaker 2>of league inflection points because sometimes it doesn't matter for

927
00:47:32.880 --> 00:47:37.239
<v Speaker 2>your roster. Right Why would it matter that the room

928
00:47:37.400 --> 00:47:39.000
<v Speaker 2>is suddenly about to pay a bunch of money for

929
00:47:39.039 --> 00:47:41.679
<v Speaker 2>wide receivers if your roster already has your wide receivers.

930
00:47:42.440 --> 00:47:45.679
<v Speaker 2>It's the intersection of the inflection point in the room

931
00:47:46.039 --> 00:47:49.920
<v Speaker 2>with your inflection points on your roster that lead to

932
00:47:49.960 --> 00:47:54.920
<v Speaker 2>elite results. So let me leave you this episode with

933
00:47:55.000 --> 00:47:58.800
<v Speaker 2>a hypothetical that I think might make your brain scramble

934
00:47:58.920 --> 00:48:01.599
<v Speaker 2>a little bit, but I want you to understand that

935
00:48:01.719 --> 00:48:06.159
<v Speaker 2>it is incredibly complicated. At the same time, you don't

936
00:48:06.159 --> 00:48:08.360
<v Speaker 2>have to psych yourself out by saying, boy, that's too

937
00:48:08.400 --> 00:48:11.039
<v Speaker 2>hard for me to learn. What you have to do

938
00:48:11.119 --> 00:48:14.199
<v Speaker 2>is say I will get there someday because I am

939
00:48:14.239 --> 00:48:16.920
<v Speaker 2>paying attention to all those factors. Maybe I'm not able

940
00:48:16.960 --> 00:48:20.480
<v Speaker 2>to assimilate them perfectly, yet maybe I'm not able to

941
00:48:20.480 --> 00:48:24.519
<v Speaker 2>weave them together perfectly. Yet maybe I'm not able to say, hey,

942
00:48:24.719 --> 00:48:28.719
<v Speaker 2>these variables bounce off each other in this predictable way. Yet,

943
00:48:29.360 --> 00:48:31.360
<v Speaker 2>But the fact that you're thinking about it means you're

944
00:48:31.360 --> 00:48:37.280
<v Speaker 2>training yourself and you're developing. That was a really sweet

945
00:48:37.679 --> 00:48:39.719
<v Speaker 2>drum roll? Did you guys like that? Let me do

946
00:48:39.760 --> 00:48:45.280
<v Speaker 2>it again, you guys, you guys like that? So drum

947
00:48:45.360 --> 00:48:48.320
<v Speaker 2>roll please? What are we developing here? We're developing our

948
00:48:48.400 --> 00:48:51.639
<v Speaker 2>gut and not always do we have to sit around

949
00:48:51.639 --> 00:48:53.440
<v Speaker 2>and go, this is happening, and this is happening, and

950
00:48:53.480 --> 00:48:56.199
<v Speaker 2>this is happening, and I am able to elaborate that

951
00:48:56.280 --> 00:48:59.039
<v Speaker 2>these three factors exist in the room. That's not what

952
00:48:59.039 --> 00:49:01.880
<v Speaker 2>it's about. It's about training your brain to figure this

953
00:49:01.920 --> 00:49:05.159
<v Speaker 2>stuff out on the fly. And pretty soon you're having

954
00:49:05.199 --> 00:49:07.400
<v Speaker 2>gut calls and you're saying, hey, I think this is

955
00:49:07.440 --> 00:49:10.960
<v Speaker 2>about to happen, and that gut call is correct because

956
00:49:11.000 --> 00:49:15.119
<v Speaker 2>of your skill and experience, attention to detail and working

957
00:49:15.239 --> 00:49:20.079
<v Speaker 2>on the skills. So the hypothetical goes like this. Let's

958
00:49:20.079 --> 00:49:23.440
<v Speaker 2>say that your plan was to spend a little bit

959
00:49:23.480 --> 00:49:27.000
<v Speaker 2>of money at RB two, and you have twenty eight

960
00:49:27.039 --> 00:49:30.559
<v Speaker 2>dollars on your par sheet for your RB two. Your

961
00:49:30.599 --> 00:49:33.239
<v Speaker 2>plan was to spend in the upper thirties at wide

962
00:49:33.239 --> 00:49:38.000
<v Speaker 2>receiver one, but you overspent on your wide receiver one significantly,

963
00:49:38.480 --> 00:49:41.559
<v Speaker 2>so you're behind your par sheet. There are still plenty

964
00:49:41.599 --> 00:49:46.559
<v Speaker 2>of wide receiver twos available, guys like Terry McLaurin, Ted McMillan's,

965
00:49:46.679 --> 00:49:48.800
<v Speaker 2>guys like that. And when I say plenty of let's

966
00:49:48.840 --> 00:49:51.320
<v Speaker 2>say that there's four or five wide receiver twos left

967
00:49:51.480 --> 00:49:54.159
<v Speaker 2>in the room. And let's say also that your room

968
00:49:54.239 --> 00:49:57.119
<v Speaker 2>has been a little timid on the spending at wide

969
00:49:57.119 --> 00:49:58.039
<v Speaker 2>receiver two.

970
00:49:58.440 --> 00:49:59.239
<v Speaker 1>So guys that are.

971
00:49:59.159 --> 00:50:01.639
<v Speaker 2>Normally twenty six twenty seven to twenty eight dollars players,

972
00:50:01.639 --> 00:50:04.360
<v Speaker 2>maybe they've been going for twenty four or twenty five

973
00:50:04.480 --> 00:50:07.480
<v Speaker 2>or twenty three. It's just been a little bit cool

974
00:50:07.639 --> 00:50:11.119
<v Speaker 2>in the room towards wide receiver twos. Now you also

975
00:50:11.320 --> 00:50:14.440
<v Speaker 2>notice in the room that the money's starting to come down.

976
00:50:14.519 --> 00:50:18.440
<v Speaker 2>But there is a reasonable amount of money on most rosters,

977
00:50:18.599 --> 00:50:23.760
<v Speaker 2>somewhere between forty and seventy bucks. You're getting some maximum

978
00:50:23.800 --> 00:50:26.920
<v Speaker 2>bids that are starting to get lower because people need

979
00:50:26.960 --> 00:50:28.719
<v Speaker 2>thirteen players on their roster still.

980
00:50:29.239 --> 00:50:30.519
<v Speaker 1>But you're getting fairly deep.

981
00:50:30.400 --> 00:50:33.599
<v Speaker 2>Into the draft and you're realizing that the money is

982
00:50:33.599 --> 00:50:36.559
<v Speaker 2>starting to dry up. Just a little bit. Set this

983
00:50:36.679 --> 00:50:39.639
<v Speaker 2>scene with all of these factors in your head, and

984
00:50:39.679 --> 00:50:45.880
<v Speaker 2>then Derrick Henry is nominated record scratch. What do you do?

985
00:50:46.599 --> 00:50:50.760
<v Speaker 2>The hypothetical is this, there are some wide receiver twos left,

986
00:50:51.199 --> 00:50:53.480
<v Speaker 2>but the wide receiver twos spending has been a little

987
00:50:53.480 --> 00:50:56.960
<v Speaker 2>bit cool. You wanted to spend upper thirties on a

988
00:50:56.960 --> 00:51:01.079
<v Speaker 2>wide receiver one, but you overspent was to spend twenty

989
00:51:01.119 --> 00:51:04.840
<v Speaker 2>eight dollars on an RB two. Derrick Henry's up. What

990
00:51:05.079 --> 00:51:08.920
<v Speaker 2>do you do? The decision that you make in this

991
00:51:09.119 --> 00:51:14.199
<v Speaker 2>moment is a personal inflection point because Derrick Henry ends

992
00:51:14.280 --> 00:51:18.000
<v Speaker 2>up going for thirty one dollars. That's a pretty good

993
00:51:18.039 --> 00:51:21.519
<v Speaker 2>price in some rooms. Dereck Henry is going for twenty

994
00:51:21.639 --> 00:51:24.960
<v Speaker 2>nine dollars. You had allotted twenty eight, but you're behind

995
00:51:24.960 --> 00:51:27.719
<v Speaker 2>your parshet and you're thinking to yourself, I could make

996
00:51:27.800 --> 00:51:30.320
<v Speaker 2>up some money at wide receiver too or RB two,

997
00:51:31.159 --> 00:51:33.239
<v Speaker 2>and now Derrick Henry staring me in the face as

998
00:51:33.239 --> 00:51:36.559
<v Speaker 2>a good value. Do I take Derrick Henry as my

999
00:51:36.679 --> 00:51:41.679
<v Speaker 2>RB two. That is a personal inflection point for your roster.

1000
00:51:42.840 --> 00:51:46.239
<v Speaker 2>And the reason it happens that way is because there's

1001
00:51:46.320 --> 00:51:49.719
<v Speaker 2>a marriage of your personal inflection point and the point

1002
00:51:49.760 --> 00:51:52.000
<v Speaker 2>in the room, Well, what's the point in the room.

1003
00:51:52.559 --> 00:51:54.519
<v Speaker 2>The point in the room is that the market is

1004
00:51:54.559 --> 00:51:58.320
<v Speaker 2>about to see a spike at wide receiver two. Right,

1005
00:51:58.559 --> 00:52:01.360
<v Speaker 2>because the spending has been a little bit cool so far,

1006
00:52:02.079 --> 00:52:04.719
<v Speaker 2>scarcity is starting to creep in. It's not there yet,

1007
00:52:04.719 --> 00:52:08.000
<v Speaker 2>but it's starting to creep in. But if you take

1008
00:52:08.079 --> 00:52:11.239
<v Speaker 2>Derrick Henry and you already overspent for your wide receiver one,

1009
00:52:11.800 --> 00:52:15.119
<v Speaker 2>you're taking yourself off the board for those remaining wide

1010
00:52:15.199 --> 00:52:18.639
<v Speaker 2>receiver twos. Right, You're shutting off that portion of the

1011
00:52:18.719 --> 00:52:22.320
<v Speaker 2>draft for yourself. So there's a personal inflection point for

1012
00:52:22.400 --> 00:52:25.039
<v Speaker 2>your roster as well as the league. You have to

1013
00:52:25.039 --> 00:52:27.800
<v Speaker 2>marry those two wide receiver two prices are about to

1014
00:52:27.840 --> 00:52:31.719
<v Speaker 2>go up. Do I want to wait on Derrick Henry

1015
00:52:31.719 --> 00:52:34.079
<v Speaker 2>and say somebody else can have a deal because I

1016
00:52:34.119 --> 00:52:36.400
<v Speaker 2>need to pull money off of RB two or wide

1017
00:52:36.440 --> 00:52:38.800
<v Speaker 2>receiver two? Which one am I pulling money off of

1018
00:52:39.360 --> 00:52:42.840
<v Speaker 2>to make my par sheet work? Because I'm already behind

1019
00:52:42.920 --> 00:52:45.400
<v Speaker 2>from my overspend on wide receiver one. Do you see

1020
00:52:45.400 --> 00:52:48.239
<v Speaker 2>how all these things are in a circle. It's just circle.

1021
00:52:48.440 --> 00:52:51.639
<v Speaker 2>You run around and around and around in your head,

1022
00:52:51.719 --> 00:52:55.400
<v Speaker 2>and when Derrick Henry comes up that will dictate how

1023
00:52:55.440 --> 00:52:58.159
<v Speaker 2>your draft goes forward. If you land him, you shut

1024
00:52:58.199 --> 00:53:00.480
<v Speaker 2>yourself off of the wide receiver twos that are left.

1025
00:53:01.000 --> 00:53:04.199
<v Speaker 2>If you don't land him, you need to go then

1026
00:53:04.360 --> 00:53:07.920
<v Speaker 2>and nominate one of those wide receiver toos and land them.

1027
00:53:08.239 --> 00:53:10.760
<v Speaker 2>Do you see how that influences the decisions that you

1028
00:53:10.880 --> 00:53:13.960
<v Speaker 2>have to make, because you can't pass on Henry and

1029
00:53:14.000 --> 00:53:16.280
<v Speaker 2>then go pass on the wide receiver twos if they

1030
00:53:16.360 --> 00:53:20.079
<v Speaker 2>get expensive. You made that decision, and if the spike

1031
00:53:20.199 --> 00:53:23.199
<v Speaker 2>happens before you can do anything about it, then you

1032
00:53:23.239 --> 00:53:25.800
<v Speaker 2>may have to overpay because that's the corner you painted

1033
00:53:25.840 --> 00:53:28.880
<v Speaker 2>yourself into. That's the decision you made. That's all right,

1034
00:53:29.239 --> 00:53:30.960
<v Speaker 2>and sometimes it's not going to work right, and that's

1035
00:53:30.960 --> 00:53:34.039
<v Speaker 2>when mistakes happen. But that's not a mistake that you

1036
00:53:34.079 --> 00:53:37.800
<v Speaker 2>can foresee. It's a call you made at the time. Hey,

1037
00:53:37.920 --> 00:53:40.440
<v Speaker 2>I don't want to bid on Henry because I think

1038
00:53:40.480 --> 00:53:43.960
<v Speaker 2>the wide receiver twos are the prices are too low.

1039
00:53:44.000 --> 00:53:46.440
<v Speaker 2>I want to get one of those guys. But before

1040
00:53:46.440 --> 00:53:48.199
<v Speaker 2>you can get to him, the price goes up. That's

1041
00:53:48.199 --> 00:53:51.000
<v Speaker 2>not your fault. You still had a reason it didn't work,

1042
00:53:51.039 --> 00:53:54.000
<v Speaker 2>but you figured out why it didn't work. Think about

1043
00:53:54.039 --> 00:53:57.280
<v Speaker 2>all those factors. What is the market about to do?

1044
00:53:58.159 --> 00:54:01.400
<v Speaker 2>Did it do that? What can I do to react

1045
00:54:01.440 --> 00:54:03.519
<v Speaker 2>against the market? And then when I do, what does

1046
00:54:03.519 --> 00:54:07.480
<v Speaker 2>that mean for my roster? The marriage of the inflection

1047
00:54:07.599 --> 00:54:11.199
<v Speaker 2>points in the room with your personal inflection points is

1048
00:54:11.239 --> 00:54:14.800
<v Speaker 2>how you make elite decisions in an auction draft rum.

1049
00:54:22.400 --> 00:54:24.880
<v Speaker 2>All right, folks, I think that is it for today.

1050
00:54:24.960 --> 00:54:27.840
<v Speaker 2>I think we have talked long enough for getting close

1051
00:54:27.880 --> 00:54:30.800
<v Speaker 2>to an hour here. But don't forget that. You don't

1052
00:54:30.920 --> 00:54:32.920
<v Speaker 2>have to have all these skills right now. You just

1053
00:54:32.920 --> 00:54:35.760
<v Speaker 2>need to start working on them. And the five elite

1054
00:54:35.920 --> 00:54:38.599
<v Speaker 2>auction skills I want you to start working on are

1055
00:54:38.679 --> 00:54:44.679
<v Speaker 2>picking your plan, playing against humanity, playing human tells, leaving

1056
00:54:44.719 --> 00:54:49.239
<v Speaker 2>yourself options as you move throughout the auction, developing elite

1057
00:54:49.280 --> 00:54:54.599
<v Speaker 2>nomination skills, and recognizing in inflection points for your roster

1058
00:54:55.039 --> 00:54:58.000
<v Speaker 2>and in the league, and marrying those two things to

1059
00:54:58.079 --> 00:55:01.360
<v Speaker 2>give you elite auction results. Thank you so much for

1060
00:55:01.440 --> 00:55:04.920
<v Speaker 2>joining me for another auction brief episode solo on the MIC.

1061
00:55:04.960 --> 00:55:07.360
<v Speaker 2>I hope you enjoyed the five eleague auction the skills

1062
00:55:07.400 --> 00:55:11.159
<v Speaker 2>that you need to have. Next week we bring it

1063
00:55:11.199 --> 00:55:14.559
<v Speaker 2>all home. Next week we're going to synergize everything that

1064
00:55:14.599 --> 00:55:20.039
<v Speaker 2>we've learned this summer in an auction manifesto that walks

1065
00:55:20.079 --> 00:55:23.079
<v Speaker 2>you through an auction draft and how you should be

1066
00:55:23.199 --> 00:55:27.760
<v Speaker 2>approaching your twenty twenty six auctions, my master auction Plan,

1067
00:55:27.920 --> 00:55:32.360
<v Speaker 2>the Auction Manifesto. Next week we wrap up the summer

1068
00:55:32.800 --> 00:55:35.599
<v Speaker 2>of the Auction Brief and we go back to work

1069
00:55:35.719 --> 00:55:38.840
<v Speaker 2>talking about how to win our titles throughout the season

1070
00:55:39.000 --> 00:55:43.039
<v Speaker 2>instead of throughout draft season. But hey, just because the

1071
00:55:43.039 --> 00:55:45.920
<v Speaker 2>Auction Brief ends does not mean the content ends for

1072
00:55:46.039 --> 00:55:48.360
<v Speaker 2>the summer. You can find me on Twitter at Drew

1073
00:55:48.440 --> 00:55:50.960
<v Speaker 2>Davenport FF. You can find me on the Patreon network

1074
00:55:51.079 --> 00:55:54.239
<v Speaker 2>at the Fantasy Football Lawyer. You can still reach out

1075
00:55:54.239 --> 00:55:56.960
<v Speaker 2>and talk to me about auctions anytime you want, and

1076
00:55:57.000 --> 00:55:59.320
<v Speaker 2>believe me, folks, a lot of people do. And I

1077
00:55:59.400 --> 00:56:01.320
<v Speaker 2>just want to tell you if you've ever written me

1078
00:56:01.360 --> 00:56:04.679
<v Speaker 2>a message or set me a DM on Patreon and

1079
00:56:04.719 --> 00:56:07.480
<v Speaker 2>I haven't written you back. Number one, I'm probably still

1080
00:56:07.519 --> 00:56:09.000
<v Speaker 2>planning to do that. I'm going to try to work

1081
00:56:09.039 --> 00:56:12.320
<v Speaker 2>through that stuff this week. But also number two, I

1082
00:56:12.360 --> 00:56:14.559
<v Speaker 2>see your messages. I try to get to them, but

1083
00:56:14.760 --> 00:56:16.840
<v Speaker 2>the anxiety I have from the forty or fifty or

1084
00:56:16.880 --> 00:56:19.360
<v Speaker 2>sixty messages that I have hanging out there. I tell

1085
00:56:19.360 --> 00:56:21.239
<v Speaker 2>you what, it's off the charts, but I'm doing my

1086
00:56:21.320 --> 00:56:23.960
<v Speaker 2>best to get to all that stuff. So hang tight.

1087
00:56:24.400 --> 00:56:26.599
<v Speaker 2>I am here for the long haul to help you

1088
00:56:26.679 --> 00:56:30.400
<v Speaker 2>win fantasy football titles this year. The draft is just

1089
00:56:30.440 --> 00:56:33.920
<v Speaker 2>the first part. Stick with me all season long. We

1090
00:56:33.960 --> 00:56:37.320
<v Speaker 2>are going to win some fantasy games, all right.

1091
00:56:37.320 --> 00:56:37.880
<v Speaker 1>Don't forget to.

1092
00:56:37.920 --> 00:56:40.480
<v Speaker 2>Use your code Auction Brief at FJA Fantasy Sports and

1093
00:56:40.559 --> 00:56:43.559
<v Speaker 2>get those auction draft boards ordered.

1094
00:56:44.039 --> 00:56:44.480
<v Speaker 1>Folks.

1095
00:56:44.639 --> 00:56:47.400
<v Speaker 2>It is that time of year, drafts are starting. I'm

1096
00:56:47.400 --> 00:56:50.480
<v Speaker 2>making par sheets. Now's not the time to slack off.

1097
00:56:50.599 --> 00:56:52.920
<v Speaker 2>Now is the time to bring your energy level up

1098
00:56:52.960 --> 00:56:55.719
<v Speaker 2>and get ready to go. Put in the work. I

1099
00:56:55.840 --> 00:56:58.639
<v Speaker 2>promise you'll see the results. Thank you so much for

1100
00:56:58.719 --> 00:57:01.760
<v Speaker 2>joining me. It's been another fun episode of the Auction Brief.

1101
00:57:01.800 --> 00:57:04.239
<v Speaker 2>I hope you enjoyed it. And the Auction Brief is

1102
00:57:04.239 --> 00:57:10.599
<v Speaker 2>adjourned and I am out. The Auction Brief is adjourned.

1103
00:57:12.000 --> 00:57:14.320
<v Speaker 2>That'll do it for this week's episode. See you next

1104
00:57:14.360 --> 00:57:15.840
<v Speaker 2>time on the Auction Brief