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Speaker 2: The week the silver suppression broke, how Black Friday and
Cyber Monday sparked a historic melt up. Every asset class
has a point where history catches up to it. For silver,
that moment arrived between Black Friday, Nove twenty eight, twenty
twenty five and Cyber Monday Deck one, twenty twenty five,
A narrow, illiquid holiday thinned window when the entire sixty
year architecture of price suppression finally cracked. A rally, not
a squeeze, a mechanical failure. What happened in silver over
those seventy two hours will be studied for decades. The
signs were there, The tremors were obvious. The mismatch between
physical and paper was growing impossible to hide. People I know,
seasoned serious investors, some of whom never touched metals before,
have spent six straight months, feverishly buying silver both physical
and paper, sensing that something massive was building beneath the surface.
This weekend, the surface broke one Friday morning, the traders
went home and the margin clerks took over. Thanksgiving Friday
is the most underrated accident zone in all of finance.
Here's who's not there A team traders, senior risk managers,
veteran market makers. Here's who is See team re placements,
D team trainees, risk averse margin clerks. The margin clerks
are the most trigger happy humans in any financial institution.
They aren't there to trade, They're there to contain damage.
That's why markets often break on holiday Fridays. There's no
adult supervision. But this Black Friday was different. Instead of
the usual engineered the silver dump, the bots tried to briefly,
and then something snapped. Every cell wall dissolved, Every suppression
attempt failed, every algorithmic shove lower got absorbed instantly. Silver
ignited from fifty three dollars to over fifty six dollars
in the most ill liquid moment of the year. That's
not normal volatility, that's control slippage. Once the bots lost control,
the clerks had no authority to intervene. They simply pulled
margin on exposed shorts, and shorts had no liquidity to cover.
The first domino fell the two star conds who are tunes? Two?
Why Black Friday was nitroglycerine to the suppression scheme. Silver
has lived under a manufactured ceiling since twenty eleven, but
the pressure beneath the lid has been rising non stop.
The big structural failures were already in motion. One, industrial
demand went parabolic, solar evs, defense data centers, high tech manufacturing.
Silver's burn rate isn't linear, it's exponential. Two the physical
market broke from comes reality. For six months, people I
know have been reporting delays, shortages, price spreads, and a
growing inability to acquire significant quantities without premiums. This is
classic market disconnect behavior, the prelude to a breakout. Three,
the short positions became dangerously overstretched. Commercial shorts were sitting
on an overloaded spring holiday liquidity plus exhausted selling algorithms
each sired disaster. Once Silver crossed fifty five dollars, the
bots didn't just fail, they froze. That's the point where
suppression stops being a strategy and becomes an engineering flaw. Three.
Friday's breakout was a commercial signal failure. Keith Neumeyer warned
about this for years. One day you'll see a commercial
signal failure. It will be sudden, disorderly, and irreversible. Friday
matched his description with eerie precision. Silver didn't grind up.
It blew past resistance levels that had held for years.
There were no long wicks, no retraces, no engineered fade outs,
no smashdowns, just a relentless vertical melt up that only
happens when the suppressor runs out of AMMO. Friday wasn't
buying pressure, it was the absence of selling pressure. It
was the first pure, unmanipulated price action Silver has experienced
in over a decade. For thirty years, people have said
one day they'll lose control. Friday was that day. Four Monday,
the melt up continues. Sixty dollars is no longer resistance.
Here's where the story becomes historic. Usually after a black
Friday spike, Monday is the beatdown day. Not this year. Instead,
Silver open strong, stayed strong and surged further, hitting fifty
eight plus, pressing for fifty nine dollars and brushing right
up against sixty dollars, which is the biggest psychological barrier
since fifty dollars in twenty eleven. This is what a
true breakout looks like. Follow through buying, shorts, covering into strength,
fresh capital inflows, foreign demand, responding to currency weakness, industrial consumers,
panic stocking funds, rotating out of bonds and into commodities.
Every element of a classic phase transition appeared in one session.
Monday confirmed what Friday revealed. The suppression regime has lost
operational control. The five the eleven year cup with handle
the technical breakout. No one believed. Chris Erful pointed it
out first, and he was right. Silver formed an eleven
year cup with handle pattern. That is an extremely rare
formation at this time scale, and when it breaks, it
doesn't target five dollars higher. These breakouts target multiples of
the previous range. The depth of Silver's cup is roughly
twenty dollars from thirty dollars to fifty dollars. Multiply by
three four and you get ninety one hundred and twenty
dollars Silver minimum technical projection. This says nothing about monetary panics,
sovereign debt crises, industrial shortages, ETF decoupling, geopolitical stress, currency instability.
Those are multipliers six Armstrong's ECM and March fourteenth, twenty
twenty six pie target. The next dominant turning point in
Armstrong's ECM model is March fourteenth, twenty twenty six, a
pie cycle date. Armstrong's arrays, as always cited carefully suggests
weakening dollar into twenty twenty six sovereign debt acceleration, European
political monetary risk a potential commodity phase transition capital flight
into private assets When confidence in government debt breaks, capital
flows into tangible private assets, not because they're inflation hedges
but tasoba, but because they lie outside political risk. Silver
is the purest outside money accessible to regular people. Once
the ECM shifts global confidence away from public assets, silver
stops trading like a commodity and starts trading like a
monetary reserve, a system hedge, and a confidence indicator. That's
when the real move begins. Seven How high silver can go?
Three scenarios. Let's outline the three trajectories that matter. Scenario
one realistic based purely on technicals plus demand, ninety one
hundred and twenty dollars price range based on cup with
handle projections plus a normal industrial boom cycle. This requires
no crisis, just the normal rebalancing of capital flows. Scenario
two Armstrong model alignment, confidence shift, the ECM sests, bond
market instability, declining trust in governments, capital concentration into private
stores of value. Under that capital flow regime, silver could
overshoot two one hundred and eighty three hundred dollars. This
is fully within historical behavior for a market exiting a
multi decade suppression regime. Scenario three full chaos scenario suppression
failure plus supply shock. Consider Mexico political instability, cartel conflict
spilling into North American mining, Canadian output interruptions, solar ev
sector panic, comics delivery stress, etf sourcing failures, geopolitical currency volatility.
Under that cluster of risks, silver could spike temporarily up
to three hundred six hundred plazar. Not sustainable forever, but
absolutely possible in real panic. And we are closer to
such a cluster than Wall Street wants to admit. Eight
purchasing power the question that actually matters, This is the
key issue everyone misses. If silver hits one hundred dollars
one hundred fifty dollars three hundred dollars. Does purchasing power
rise or just inflate? Answer, Purchasing power rises dramatically. Here's why. One.
Silver rises in monetary crises faster than inflation always has.
Two it benefits from lack of faith, not price levels.
Loss of confidence is the ultimate driver. Three it is
outside the government financial system, completely outside. Four capital flows
amplify price more than CPI does. When money flees public assets,
silver becomes a vacuum. This is what Armstrong calls the
public versus private wave, and we are deep into the
private wave right now. Nine. The physical market cracks were
obvious for months. For half a year, people I know
have been telling me they can't find meaningful quantities of
physical silver. Dealers are quietly rationing. Premiums fluctuate wildly. Junk
silver gets cleaned out instantly, Auctions behave erratically, Buyers are
bidding up inferior forms just to get ounces. This is
the pre break environment you see right before a suppression failure.
It's identical to gold in two thousand and eight, bitcoin
twenty thirteen, bitcoin twenty twenty, oil in two thousand and seven,
silver in nineteen seventy eight. A physical premium is the
early warning alarm telling you the paper market price is fraudulent.
That alarm was blaring all Autumn ten the next sixty
ninety days. What comes next? Expect persistent upside volatility. Even
pullbacks will get bought, a short cut covering cascade. Friday
and Monday were only the appetizer industrial consumer panic. Solar
and EV manufacturers cannot risk being short silver at these prices.
Bond market instability feeding metals. This is the big one
that no one is prepared for foreign capital inflows, particularly
from Europe. The weakest link etf structural stress that alone
could send silver to seventy five ninety dollars a potential
comes delivery scare. This would be the fuse for triple
digit silver conclusion. Friday broke the system. Monday confirmed it.
The silver market didn't go up, it escaped containment. Black
Friday was the first uncontrolled move. Cyber Monday was the
confirmation a follow through rally in the face of every
attempted suppression algorithm. This is how suppression regimes collapse, slowly,
then all at once, then violently. We are entering the
all at once phase. People close to the market. Have
been loading up for months, not because they are speculators,
but because they recognized the quiet death of the suppression system.
Now the death is no longer quiet, the world is
about to hear it. To understand the cycles behind this moment,
the ECM PIE dates, sovereign debt unraveling and the real
forces driving capital into private assets, read the Armstrong Economic Code.
The code explains exactly why silver is breaking free and
why it's only the beginning.
Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to carry Letz's Financial Survival Network your
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