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Speaker 1: And hello, Hello, Hello, how are you welcome to the

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Big Podcast. It's Thursday. Today is the seventh day of May.

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Year of our Ward, twenty twenty six. My name is

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Tom Sullivan. And well we've got we've got the updates

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on the war off again, on again, maybe maybe not.

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We'll get that sorted out. Plus oil and gas prices.

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Oil going down, gas prices going up, not a surprise.

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Epstein's suicide notes supposedly. All of that we'll get into today.

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But I want to start with something that was widely

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publicized yesterday, and that is the death of Ted Turner

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at eighty seven years of age. He died at his

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home in Montana. An amazing individual, amazing man. I know

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a lot of people that worked for him. I know

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in fact, the very first broadcast on CNN was June

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first of nineteen eighty and two people that I used

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to work with at the NBC television affiliate in Sacramento,

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Dave Walker and Lois Hart, were the Well I worked

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with them, and yes I worked with them at the

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NBC affiliate in Sacramento, but they were also prior to that,

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they were the first utterance of anything live on the

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air from CNN. So I saw them yesterday and they

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looked great. Everybody's interviewing them because it's been a long time.

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But the other thing about it is, I mean, not

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so much about about his death, about the obits, about

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all the accolades, and I mean, he really did accomplish

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an off love big liberal guy, huge liberal guy. But

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I we we've had conversations on this program many many

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times over the years about where did we Where did

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we go off the rails? Where did we get to

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as a country where the left and the right were

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separate and further apart and further apart and arguing and

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nasty to each other, And where did that start? And

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some people go, oh, it was uh, it was Bill Clinton.

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That that's what what it was.

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Speaker 2: And others go, no, it was Obama and other that

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you go through and all that, And I was watching

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the o bits on Ted Turner, and it dawned on me.

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Speaker 1: He started something new. I know, we all knew that

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he started something really new and amazing. It was as

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new as the invention of the internet. Twenty four to

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seven news on what cable television? You mean, I've got

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to subscribe and pay money to a cable company. But

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what he did, and again Ted Turner was a proud,

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proud liberal man, and what he started was a network,

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And not that he was doing anything that was in

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there saying you got to do liberal news, not at all,

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but that was his background and that's where the people

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he hired he liked that were basically like him. And

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that was the first time because prior to that, prior

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to nineteen eighty, your choices were David Brinkley and chet Huntley,

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and Brinkley, chet Huntley and David Wrinkley, and you had,

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of course Walter Cronkite, and you had a variety of

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different ones on NBC over the years, but it was

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it was primarily all of us got the same news

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at the same time. There You either watched ABC, NBC,

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or CBS, but they were all basically the same. And

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I don't remember, I guess you could go back, and

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I'm sure people have studied it. I don't remember there

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was any particular bias. I don't remember Walter Cronkite's biased.

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I don't remember David Brinkley's bias. I mean, those were

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those were the days when the news and the information

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that we shared we shared together and we got the

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same messages and we did not have this back and

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forth between each other. So Ted Turner comes along and says,

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you know what, I'm going to start a twenty four

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to seven cable television network. And so he did in

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nineteen eighty and it was up until nineteen ninety six

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that both NBC and Fox started cable news. So for

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sixteen years, Ted Turner had the world to his own

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and he built a huge company, which sadly today their

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ratings are way behind both ms now as they call it,

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and way behind Fox. In fact, both ms now and

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CNN combined do not add up to the audience that

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Fox says, But that's another topic. My point is, you

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want to know where we got off the rails, and

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the left went further left and the right went further right,

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or the fact that we became left and right. I

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think the germ of that was Ted Turner's beginning of

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CNN in nineteen eighty and after that, I mean Fox.

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The reason Fox was created was because of the fact

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that the media had gone so far left that they thought, hey,

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there's an opportunity to have voices on the right. There

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are people in this country that want to hear those voices,

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and boy did they get success out of that. So anyway,

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God bless Ted Turner. But I I never thought of

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this before until the old bit last night that I saw,

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and it was simply that's where our left and right

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bias in the media began. Here's just a couple of

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minutes of a little bit of the oh bit that

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they ran last night.

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Speaker 3: He broke every mold. He changed the world.

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Speaker 4: Known as the Mouth of the South and Captain Outrageius.

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Ted Turner built a media empire that changed cable news forever.

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Speaker 5: I didn't have any upper limits to how far we

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could go.

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Speaker 4: Champion, philanthropist, environmentalist.

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Speaker 5: I don't know how to quit. It's not in my genes.

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Speaker 4: But growing up wasn't easy for Ted. Born in Cincinnati, Ohio,

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in nineteen thirty eight, his parents sent him to boarding

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school when he was just four years old.

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Speaker 5: I didn't like boarding school.

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Speaker 6: I wanted to be home.

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Speaker 4: Ted's little sister, whom he adored, died of lupis at seventeen.

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About two years later, Ted dropped out of Brown University.

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He'd been studying classics until his father cut off the money.

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Speaker 5: He thought I was wasting my time.

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Speaker 4: So he went to work for his dad's billboard company,

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but tragedy struck again when his father killed himself.

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Speaker 5: He went against everything that he taught me, you know,

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to be courageous and hang in there.

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Speaker 4: Ted took over the family business and hope with the

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loss by working even harder.

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Speaker 5: He said, set your goal so high that you can't

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achieve him in your lifetime.

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Speaker 4: When Ted was it working, he turned to the sport

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he loved, sailing. We gotta go fast to Tan and

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won the sport's top race, the America's Cup.

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Speaker 5: I had worked very hard. It took me a number

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of years to become a champion.

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Speaker 4: He put that same drive into expanding the business. In

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nineteen seventy, Ted bought a struggling TV station.

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Speaker 3: It was a broken down UHF television station in Atlanta.

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He was going to transform UHF television into this new

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world of satellite television.

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Speaker 4: Ted renamed the station WTBS, and it became the country's

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first superstation.

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Speaker 3: What Ted made happen was just as important as the

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Internet revolution of the nineties and two thousands.

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Speaker 4: But starting out, Ted needed content. He bought the Atlanta

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Braves and broadcast their games nationwide.

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Speaker 1: Let a Brave.

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Speaker 4: The Braves became America's teeth.

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Speaker 3: When we bought him in nineteen seventy six, they were terrible.

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Speaker 4: By nineteen ninety five, ten and his team were World

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Series champs. As he built the superstation, he set his

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sites even higher. On a twenty four hour news channel.

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Speaker 5: I worked till seven o'clock. When I got home, the

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news was over, so I missed television news completely, and

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I figured there were lots of people like me.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, So it was a simple thought, I can't see

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the news. I come home at seven o'clock. National news

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was basically put out by the networks between six thirty

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and seven. But that was Wolf Flincher that was voicing

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that oh bid. And it started off by saying that

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Turner changed cable news. No, he invented it. There wasn't

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any cable news. And the other thing that never would

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have happened, and that never would have happened if it

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hadn't been for the fact that we had something new

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in the sky called satellites, so he was able to

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beam his and I remember, you've got to be back

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a few years to remember the superstation, and it was

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stupid because it was Atlanta, and I didn't know anybody

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in Atlanta, didn't care about Atlanta. But they broadcast that,

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and they broadcast the Atlanta Brave Games. And once he

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looked around he had all that in place, and there

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were satellites up above. He said, let's start a twenty

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four to seven news cable cable channel. So anyway, that's

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where I think the bias of what we believe, the

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messages and the information we get that used to come

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from basically the similar sources, all of a sudden became

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from the left and until nineteen ninety six when Fox started,

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and then from the right. May he rest in peace,

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it was he made eight billion dollars by selling all

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of that to Time Warner in nineteen ninety six, and

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Time Warner made a huge mistake because that was also,

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like I said, the year that Fox and also NBC

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along with Microsoft started at MSNBC. He's been suffering with

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Louis body dementia for the last ten years, so but

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he was I think he was. I don't know why

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he sold, because he said he was absolutely devastated after

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he sold CNN and now CNN, like I said, their audience.

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Speaker 6: Is just.

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Speaker 1: A shell of what the others are but in any case,

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may he rest in peace. All right, let's get on

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to the latest on the war. Last night I went

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to bed. We were all set Jack freedom had been

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called off. All of a sudden, we p We've got

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we've got a deal with the Iranians and a one

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pager and that that would open up a thirty day

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negotiation period and then peace, love and harmony. And I

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yesterday I was railing because I still believe it. I

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believe strongly that Donald Trump wants out. He doesn't want

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to do this. He's has professed that he's anti war,

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and I think that is the real hymn that's coming out.

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He doesn't want anything to do with this because if

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he uses the military to finish off their job, that

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means more people are going to be killed. But after

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billions of dollars spent and thirteen of our armed forces

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personnel dead, all of a sudden he wants out. So

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I'm not happy. I think he's making a huge mistake.

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But let's see what. So this morning I wake up

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and sure enough, the whole thing has changed again. Yeah. Yeah,

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That Wall Street Journal today says decision to restore access

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to bases and airspace for the US to resume their

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military operations has been granted by Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.

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They lifted restrictions on the US military's use of their bases.

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So Saudi Arabia and Kuwait both their borders. They bordered

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the Persian Gulf on the western shore of the Persian Gulf.

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The other side of the Persian Gulf is the shoreline

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of Iran. So I don't know what's going to happen next,

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but it looks like the military could be used in

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a moment's notice, because Saudi Arabia and Kuwait are now

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saying you're welcome to use our bases and our airspace.

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So let's check in Brett McGirk, middle East expert. He's

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worked for four presidents. Let's find out what he thinks

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about all of this.

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Speaker 7: I feel like it's punk Satani, it's groundhog Day. But

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I think we're farther away now from a deal than

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we were days ago. And I'll tell you why. I

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think the US administration came out very strongly with Project

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Freedom that we're going to act militarily to help ships

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get through the Strait, and that was a clear position.

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It was reiterated to reinforce from Pentagon just yesterday morning,

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and Iran responded militarily. They fired missiles at Uee, they

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swarmed our ships, we shot some small boats out of

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the water, and then we announced that we're stopping that mission.

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And in my experience with the Iranians a very similar

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experience like this. I was going to see the Iranians

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on January tenth, twenty twenty four, because our forces are

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coming under attack all across the region. The morning of

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that meeting, the US Navy ships were attacked in the

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Red See, the largest most complex attacks in World War Two.

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And the Irani's continue to escalate, and we had three

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Americans killed about two weeks later from Irani and Drone

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and Jordan. Tragically. We then had to turn around very

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strong air strikes after that. This is what Iran does.

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And if Iran thinks they have the upper hand, I

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think they think they do. They are not going to

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make the concessions that the administration is demanding. So I think, again,

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we're in a very difficult predicament. I think we're stuck.

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I don't see a breakthrough coming. The one thing that's

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a little different is the President's trip to China. You

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know that moves the entire system, our system and the

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system in Beijing. And the Iranian four minister was in

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China just yesterday, and I'm sure the Chinese would like

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to know be the peacemakers and try to broker an arrangement.

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That might be something that happens here in the next

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couple weeks, But as of right now, I do not

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see a deal happening. I think we're actually farther away

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than we were a couple of days ago.

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Speaker 1: He knows these people, He's dealt with him many many

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times over decades, and so if he doesn't think he

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thinks we're further away from a deal now because he

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doesn't trust the people that are in the regime. And

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the people in the regime are still there. They have

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not been changed. They've just shuffled some of the people

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in the.

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Speaker 7: Chairs probably voices. In Tehran, the president, Pajeskian, guys who

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have to be responsible, were trying to run this country

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saying hey, let's do a deal. But I'm at Vahiti

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and the people we've talked about on this program, and

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the Revolutionary Guards, they have a very different view. I

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doubt they are going to give up what they think

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is their control of the of the straight up her mouse.

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I hope I'm wrong, but I suspect what's happening or

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Pakistan wants to play peacemaker, they're probably putting some spin

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on the ball that maybe we're getting closer. I think

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the Chinese are engaged. But again, the decision makers in Iran,

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whoever they are, we believe it's Vahiti and these guys

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who are the real hardliners for them to give up

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what they think is their main card right now, the

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straight up her moose. I find it very doubtful unless

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the president size are just totally cave and say I'm

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out of this entirely. You guys have the straight hole.

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Can happen? I do not see the US doing that.

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I think that'd be a very bad outcome. I think

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we said at the beginning of this whole thing that,

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going back to claud Switz, if a leader does not

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know is clear in his mind what he wants to achieve,

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the objectives will be defined for you. That's basically what's

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happened now and at the presidents of two minds. He

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wants out of this, and he also doesn't just want

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to totally walk away. And so even the statement this morning,

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do a deal or else we're going to bomb you. Again,

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I think we're divided. It's very unclear. But again, who's

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going to make the decision around to do a deal

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with the United States of America the Great Satan. That's

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going to be a difficult decision, I doubt. I hope

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this response comes tomorrow and they say here's all the

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highly rich ranium we're going to give up in Richmond.

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That would be a very good day. I love to

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come on on the program and say this is a

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great outcome. I just don't see that happening the next

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in the near term.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he doesn't believe that they will cave. I don't either.

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But he brought up the fact that unless Trump wants

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to totally cave's he kind of stuck. He's got to

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do something, and he's not willing to use the military.

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Here's the latest from the president in the Oval office.

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Speaker 8: I think we won now, it's only a question of Look,

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if we left right now around it would take him

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twenty years to rebuild. You would call that we're in

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good shape. Right, fantastic, We're in good shape, and now

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we're doing well. Now we have to get what we

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have to get. If we don't do that, we'll have

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to go a big step further. But with that being said,

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they want to make a deal. We've had very good

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talks over the last twenty four hours. That is very

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possible that we'll make a deal.

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Speaker 1: He's projecting. I totally believe he's projecting. He says they

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want to make a deal, they want to make a deal,

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and I'm thinking, no, he wants to make a deal.

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The deal that he would will get would be much

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better if he goes ahead and pulls the trigger using

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military power, and he proclaimed I think we won no.

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That again, that's aspirational. I appreciate that, but well. Brian Hook,

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who is a Middle East expert, also weighs in.

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Speaker 9: The Iranian regime, you never quite know what you're going

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to get. I mean, you could be sitting across from

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the foreign minister of a normal country and that person

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could speak with authority on behalf of the government. But

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in this case Abasarachi, the foreign minister who you showed

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earlier meeting with President she it's very hard to know

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how much power he has or influence with the Supreme leader.

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On top of that, the Iranian regime is talking amongst

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themselves with pen and paper. It's taking a long time

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to get a response back because they're not on their

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cell phones, they're not in the same room. So diplomacy

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is taking a long time. To the point that you

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made about like the Wall Street Journal, I think President

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Trump has amassed the economic and military leverage that he

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needs to get a deal to end Iran's nuclear program,

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and Iran now faces this choice between diplomacy or escalation.

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I think what you could have is a period of

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time for diplomacy. Maybe it's thirty days where Iran opens

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the strait and there is some opportunity for both sides

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to get the straight open. And then during this thirty

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day period you essentially the president still maintains all of

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his military and economic leverage, but that you then negotiate

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a deal that would end Iran's nuclear program and its

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missile program. You were never going to get there without

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this kind of leverage that President Trump has created. If

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talking nicely with this regime worked, they would have solved

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it under President Clinton. But this challenge has eluded every

335
00:20:45,440 --> 00:20:49,319
single president since Bill Clinton. Iran's nuclear program, so I

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think the president isn't a great position with this naval blockade.

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Iran is facing an economic cliff right now. They just

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had massive protests with five million people in January that

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they're very worried about reigniting, and so I think if

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you get some period where the strait is opened and

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you start negotiations to end the nuclear program, that could

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be a very good path forward.

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Speaker 1: The confusion is one expert says that these regime guys

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are not ever going to give up their nuclear program nothing, never, ever,

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and that you can't negotiate with them. And then this

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expert says, well, if you can negotiate with them, the

347
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problem is, can you Some experts say it's impossible, but

348
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maybe the element of the visit with China will change things.

349
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So let's get a military guy in here. Colonel Cedric Layton.

350
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He studies and consults the Middle East military issues. This

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is his view.

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Speaker 6: There are certain things that the United States has done.

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They have in fact estimated to the Iranian Air Force

354
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and the Iranian Navy. But I remember that Iran doesn't

355
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really work in those standard areas when it comes to

356
00:22:02,680 --> 00:22:06,839
measuring its power and its ability to actually affect change

357
00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:09,680
So what the Uranians are doing is they're gaining a

358
00:22:09,759 --> 00:22:13,880
strategic foothold in not only the Straight of hor Moves,

359
00:22:13,920 --> 00:22:17,359
but potentially regionally throughout the Middle East. And what that

360
00:22:17,599 --> 00:22:21,039
really means is that the actual objective of opening the

361
00:22:21,079 --> 00:22:23,880
Straight of Hoe Moves is now in question. So that

362
00:22:24,039 --> 00:22:26,839
was one of the US objectives was to make sure

363
00:22:26,839 --> 00:22:29,000
that the Straight of Woe Moves remained open, or in

364
00:22:29,039 --> 00:22:33,160
this case, is reopened. That is questionable because of this

365
00:22:33,279 --> 00:22:36,680
new toll regime that you mentioned. Then we have the

366
00:22:36,720 --> 00:22:41,720
issue of the nuclear the enriched uranium that the Ranians have.

367
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There's basically nothing that's being talked about in that regard.

368
00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:48,880
We certainly don't have a real regime change. We have

369
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a swapout of people who are part of the same regime.

370
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So in the aggregate, the US really hasn't won this.

371
00:22:58,000 --> 00:22:59,920
That's to you. The best thing we can hope for,

372
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I think at this point is to go back to

373
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the status quo ante in other words, the time before

374
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this war started. But at this moment in time that

375
00:23:08,720 --> 00:23:11,079
even is questionable. Well, I think we have to remember

376
00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:14,119
that hardliners are what we would think of as hardliners,

377
00:23:14,240 --> 00:23:18,079
are pretty powerful in Iran and when you have a

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00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:22,480
supreme leader who has, based on most reporting, at least

379
00:23:23,039 --> 00:23:27,519
has been wounded, possibly severely wounded, in the attacks on

380
00:23:27,920 --> 00:23:31,000
the supreme leadership. His father has been killed, his wife

381
00:23:31,039 --> 00:23:34,079
has been killed, other family members have been killed or wounded.

382
00:23:34,680 --> 00:23:38,799
That you know, certainly has got to be a factor

383
00:23:38,839 --> 00:23:42,720
in harder making the positions harder on the Iranian side.

384
00:23:43,039 --> 00:23:46,720
So you have that as one example that the Iranian

385
00:23:46,759 --> 00:23:51,839
position itself may be quite difficult to overcome in terms

386
00:23:51,839 --> 00:23:54,720
of softening things up from a diplomatic perspective. And then

387
00:23:54,759 --> 00:23:58,400
you also have people who are naturally averse to working

388
00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:00,920
with the United States or doing any thing that would

389
00:24:01,000 --> 00:24:04,000
result in the United States gaining any type of perceived

390
00:24:04,079 --> 00:24:08,440
victory over this. So this is a very difficult diplomatic issue.

391
00:24:09,039 --> 00:24:11,599
When you look at the difficulty of this, I would

392
00:24:11,640 --> 00:24:15,319
say we're looking at here is we have to basically

393
00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:19,480
work with people who are varying degrees of hardliner, and

394
00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:23,319
in this particular case, there is a possibility of a

395
00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:26,720
kind of tacit agreement with these folks. But remember we're

396
00:24:26,759 --> 00:24:29,559
only talking about to a one page paper that is

397
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:33,960
supposed to set the stage for further negotiations, and that

398
00:24:35,079 --> 00:24:37,799
is definitely something where there are a lot of details

399
00:24:37,839 --> 00:24:39,559
that would still need to be worked out, and as

400
00:24:39,599 --> 00:24:42,000
they always say, the devil is in those details.

401
00:24:42,279 --> 00:24:47,599
Speaker 1: Well, let's talk oil, oil and gas. Oil prices are

402
00:24:47,680 --> 00:24:52,880
going down. Gas prices are going up. Oil is going

403
00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:55,599
down because of the fact that the Wall Street loves

404
00:24:55,640 --> 00:24:59,279
to hope is not a strategy, as they say, but

405
00:24:59,359 --> 00:25:02,759
they that there is going to be a breakthrough here.

406
00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:06,519
So oil prices, well, they've been trading down. In fact,

407
00:25:06,559 --> 00:25:10,319
even there was an eight we got below knotty for

408
00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:13,960
just a few minutes early trading this morning. But right

409
00:25:14,000 --> 00:25:16,200
now the price of a barrel of oil is starting

410
00:25:16,200 --> 00:25:18,799
to climb a little bit, up to ninety six dollars

411
00:25:18,799 --> 00:25:21,960
and some change. Because again there's a lot of people

412
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:24,920
that are like me that are a little leary about

413
00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:30,480
this actually coming to fruition. It's it's a big leap

414
00:25:30,559 --> 00:25:33,640
to think that this one pager is somehow going to

415
00:25:33,680 --> 00:25:37,160
solve all these problems as far as gasoline prices go.

416
00:25:38,119 --> 00:25:41,160
Taking a look at the Triple A map, the average

417
00:25:41,160 --> 00:25:44,680
price of gas across the country now four dollars and

418
00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:48,640
fifty six cents. That's up three cents from yesterday. It's

419
00:25:48,759 --> 00:25:54,799
up twenty six cents from a week ago. So yeah,

420
00:25:54,920 --> 00:25:58,720
going higher, truckers and farmers, your diesel price. The average

421
00:25:58,720 --> 00:26:02,680
across the country five dollars and sixty four cents. When

422
00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:12,519
you look around the map of the United States, Washington, Oregon, Nevada, Alaska,

423
00:26:13,240 --> 00:26:17,119
and Hawaii are all above five dollars a gallon average

424
00:26:17,119 --> 00:26:20,920
for the cheap stuff in California is six dollars and

425
00:26:21,000 --> 00:26:25,440
seventeen cents. So they still win for the highest highest

426
00:26:25,519 --> 00:26:30,279
gas prices. Chris Wright, the Secretary of Energy, I was

427
00:26:30,319 --> 00:26:32,200
talking about prices earlier today.

428
00:26:32,519 --> 00:26:36,400
Speaker 10: We do not have direct dialogues with the officials in Iran.

429
00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:39,720
You know, I haven't had all this administration obviously through

430
00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:43,599
observation data, I'm watching what's happening with their energy system,

431
00:26:44,079 --> 00:26:45,759
but no direct dialogue with them.

432
00:26:46,240 --> 00:26:46,480
Speaker 4: Yeah.

433
00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:50,039
Speaker 10: Look, the Iran economy has been a train wreck for years,

434
00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:53,880
just to horribly mismanaged economy, you know, and of course

435
00:26:53,880 --> 00:26:56,519
they've terrorized their neighbors and done everything we've heard about.

436
00:26:57,000 --> 00:27:00,240
But they've already it looks like they've likely or he

437
00:27:00,319 --> 00:27:03,359
cut back their production maybe by four hundred thousand barrels

438
00:27:03,359 --> 00:27:07,200
a day. They'll likely continue to ramp down their production

439
00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:11,759
as their storage fills and their inability to export oil

440
00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:15,240
if it goes too long and they have to actually

441
00:27:15,319 --> 00:27:19,519
shut in some of their low pressure mature reservoirs, real

442
00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:23,160
risk and almost certainly some kind of permanent damage and

443
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:27,559
reduced production capacity. Hopefully that's an additional incentive for RAN

444
00:27:28,000 --> 00:27:30,519
to get to the end that everyone knows we're going

445
00:27:30,559 --> 00:27:33,480
to get to, which is to end the Iranian nuclear

446
00:27:33,519 --> 00:27:36,599
program and to restore flow of traffic through the straits

447
00:27:36,599 --> 00:27:37,160
of Horn Moves.

448
00:27:37,400 --> 00:27:38,319
Speaker 1: That day is coming.

449
00:27:38,599 --> 00:27:41,160
Speaker 6: The question is just with a RANS cooperation or without

450
00:27:41,160 --> 00:27:42,079
a RANS cooperation.

451
00:27:42,319 --> 00:27:47,720
Speaker 1: Well, Chris Wright talking much more tough, I would say,

452
00:27:47,759 --> 00:27:51,119
than the President about this. He seems very certain we're

453
00:27:52,240 --> 00:27:55,200
either going to do it our way or the hard way,

454
00:27:55,400 --> 00:27:57,200
one of the two, but we're going to do it.

455
00:27:58,079 --> 00:28:01,400
I like his positive view on making sure that this

456
00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:05,240
gets done. The other thing is in the reading the

457
00:28:05,400 --> 00:28:08,720
oil analysts on Wall Street a lot of their research papers,

458
00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:12,599
they're saying that the storage problem in Iran is not

459
00:28:12,720 --> 00:28:14,920
a couple of days. The President said that last week

460
00:28:14,960 --> 00:28:18,000
it was within a matter of three days their oil

461
00:28:18,000 --> 00:28:20,279
system would blow up because they don't have anywhere to

462
00:28:20,279 --> 00:28:25,119
put the oil. Most analysts say that they Iron's a

463
00:28:25,119 --> 00:28:27,640
big country and there are a lot of places that

464
00:28:27,680 --> 00:28:31,079
they can store it. They also have other ways to

465
00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:33,480
get it out of the country, but in small amounts,

466
00:28:33,839 --> 00:28:36,839
but that at the very earliest it would be two

467
00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:40,240
or three months before they actually get to a point

468
00:28:40,240 --> 00:28:43,119
where they have to start shutting down. Well, so different

469
00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:48,440
people again calling different shots on how Iron's oil business

470
00:28:48,519 --> 00:28:54,119
is going. The President weighs in as well on oil prices.

471
00:28:54,519 --> 00:28:56,680
Speaker 8: I thought oil prices wou'd go to two hundred, two

472
00:28:56,720 --> 00:28:59,240
hundred and fifty dollars in set one hundred dollars now

473
00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:02,400
and I think you're surprised, and I'm surprised. But even

474
00:29:02,440 --> 00:29:05,440
if it went to two hundred, it would have been

475
00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:07,839
worth it. I understand that we had just set a record,

476
00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:12,119
fifty thousand on the Dow, seven thousand on the SMP,

477
00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:14,880
A record, and I said, I hate to do this,

478
00:29:14,960 --> 00:29:18,799
but we have to make an excursion down to Iran

479
00:29:18,880 --> 00:29:21,680
because we can't let them have a nuclear weapon.

480
00:29:21,799 --> 00:29:24,319
Speaker 1: I'm not quite sure what the Dow and the smp

481
00:29:24,519 --> 00:29:29,519
have to do with Iran's nuclear weapons, but he's right.

482
00:29:29,839 --> 00:29:34,440
We have we've been setting records, but that is specifically

483
00:29:34,640 --> 00:29:38,640
a reflection of corporate earnings. Corporate earnings are absolutely strong

484
00:29:38,759 --> 00:29:42,559
right now. We're going through a very strong corporate earning cycle,

485
00:29:43,319 --> 00:29:46,319
and that's why the stock markets are setting new records.

486
00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:48,480
So let's talk a little bit about the economy. We

487
00:29:48,559 --> 00:29:53,160
got our Thursday morning jobs report. It's actually the first

488
00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:57,960
time jobless claims. First time job is claims exactly two

489
00:29:58,039 --> 00:30:01,079
hundred thousand, up a little from last week. But I mean,

490
00:30:01,079 --> 00:30:05,160
we're running really low on people getting pink slips, not many.

491
00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:08,680
The labor market appears to be very stable, and it

492
00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:12,759
appears that nobody's getting fired. The layoffs are very very low.

493
00:30:12,799 --> 00:30:18,440
Two hundred thousand continuing claims, one point seven million. Productivity

494
00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:22,720
lacking in this report up one tenth of one percent.

495
00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:27,400
Unit labor costs up two point three percent, slightly less

496
00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:30,920
than expected. But the big jobs report for the month

497
00:30:31,039 --> 00:30:35,519
of April comes out tomorrow morning, eight thirty Eastern time.

498
00:30:35,599 --> 00:30:39,640
That's from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. But as far

499
00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:42,279
as today's report with the first time jobs claims, it's

500
00:30:42,799 --> 00:30:46,319
nice to see that the layoffs are at a very

501
00:30:46,359 --> 00:30:50,680
low number. And finally, the Pope and the fact that

502
00:30:50,839 --> 00:30:53,720
Donald Trump and the Pope are supposedly ad some sort

503
00:30:53,720 --> 00:30:57,160
of tension against each other. The President keeps claiming that

504
00:30:57,200 --> 00:31:01,160
the Pope says it's okay for Iran to have nuclear weapons,

505
00:31:01,640 --> 00:31:05,079
and everybody's gone back and scoured everything that the Pope

506
00:31:05,079 --> 00:31:09,119
has said, and he's never said anything like that. But

507
00:31:09,200 --> 00:31:10,519
here's the president.

508
00:31:11,039 --> 00:31:14,079
Speaker 8: As far as the Pope is concerned, and it's very simple,

509
00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:17,880
whether I make him happy or I don't make him happy.

510
00:31:18,880 --> 00:31:24,039
Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon, and he seemed to

511
00:31:24,039 --> 00:31:28,440
be saying that they can, and I say they cannot

512
00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:32,240
because if that happened, the entire world would be hostage

513
00:31:32,279 --> 00:31:34,319
and we're not going to let that happen. That's my

514
00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:35,240
only message.

515
00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:39,240
Speaker 1: So Cardinal Dolan was asked about this, and it seems

516
00:31:39,640 --> 00:31:43,599
politically odd because of the fact that Catholics by a

517
00:31:43,680 --> 00:31:46,799
sixty percent margin voted for Donald Trump, so he won

518
00:31:46,880 --> 00:31:51,960
the Catholic vote. And I don't know what it is

519
00:31:52,000 --> 00:31:55,119
because Donald Trump is convinced that the Pope said Iran

520
00:31:56,839 --> 00:32:00,160
can have a nuke, and like I said, nobody he

521
00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:02,759
can find the Pope saying anything like that. But here's

522
00:32:02,759 --> 00:32:03,240
the Cardinal.

523
00:32:03,559 --> 00:32:05,400
Speaker 11: I would say the Holy Father would agree with him.

524
00:32:06,200 --> 00:32:09,039
He doesn't think a Ran should have nuclear weapons. I

525
00:32:09,039 --> 00:32:10,880
would also say he doesn't think the United States of

526
00:32:10,880 --> 00:32:12,960
America should have nuclear weapons. We wish we could have

527
00:32:12,960 --> 00:32:15,319
a world without him. Okay, he would ardently work for that,

528
00:32:15,640 --> 00:32:18,200
but not in the hands of fanatics and not in

529
00:32:18,240 --> 00:32:21,759
the hand of the hands of irrational people like we have.

530
00:32:22,039 --> 00:32:27,480
Speaker 1: So it seems like not a big deal, but it

531
00:32:27,519 --> 00:32:33,880
does have political ramifications, and we'll see if the tension

532
00:32:33,920 --> 00:32:38,119
between the President and the Pope goes away. Meantime, Wall

533
00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:43,559
Street today, like I said, started off on a positive,

534
00:32:43,799 --> 00:32:47,400
hopeful note, thinking, Okay, maybe, maybe, maybe we'll get an

535
00:32:47,480 --> 00:32:50,359
endto this war. But I think a lot of people

536
00:32:50,400 --> 00:32:53,039
started looking at a one page deal that is not

537
00:32:53,079 --> 00:32:55,759
going to solve this war. And you can't negotiate with

538
00:32:55,880 --> 00:32:58,480
the regime in Iran and they won't ever give up

539
00:32:58,519 --> 00:33:03,440
their nuclear product. So the market just kept going lower,

540
00:33:04,000 --> 00:33:07,759
down three hundred and thirteen to close it forty nine

541
00:33:07,799 --> 00:33:10,720
thousand and five, ninety six, the S and P down

542
00:33:10,799 --> 00:33:14,799
twenty eight, the NAZDAC down thirty two, Gold went up

543
00:33:15,039 --> 00:33:18,400
twenty seven dollars to four thousand and seven to twenty one,

544
00:33:19,240 --> 00:33:23,319
and oil up From where we started this morning, it

545
00:33:23,319 --> 00:33:25,559
acts like I told you, it actually got down to

546
00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:29,400
hit eighty nine and some change or a minute or two,

547
00:33:30,039 --> 00:33:32,160
but then worked its way back as again the oil

548
00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:35,240
markets are going. It doesn't look like piece is at

549
00:33:35,279 --> 00:33:39,480
hand imminently so up less than a buck today. The

550
00:33:39,519 --> 00:33:42,119
price of a barrel of oil ninety five dollars and

551
00:33:42,200 --> 00:33:45,519
some change. So that's it for today. Thank you for

552
00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:49,559
coming by. We will be back again tomorrow. Big job

553
00:33:49,640 --> 00:33:53,480
report for singing the eight thirty in the morning. Yes

554
00:33:53,680 --> 00:33:56,039
it's Friday, and we'll see you then

