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Speaker 1: And here we go. Welcome to the Big Podcast, Welcome

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to the new week, Welcome to Monday. Today is the

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fifteenth day of June man halfway through the month year

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of Our Lord twenty twenty six. My name is Tom Sullivan.

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And well, so we got up. We've got a lot

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to over. Weekends have a way of packing a lot

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of things in. The big story, obviously, is I don't

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know what to call it, a peace agreement, an extension

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of the ceasefire, a a way for Iran and the

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US to get out, to get an off ramp out

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of this war that nobody seemed to want to pursue.

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I don't know what to call it. But they've we

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don't even know what it is. All we've been told

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is spin by Iran and by our government on Oh

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this is going to be great. Yeah, they're gonna well,

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I mean we're getting we're getting one sided notices about

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what is in this agreement, and yet nobody has seen

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the agreement, and both sides are saying something different. Now

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here's here is from the US. This is from our side.

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Nuclear material will be destroyed and removed. Iran says no way.

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Number two nuclear program will be dismantled. Iran says, no way.

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Number three, none of their money will be released until

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they perform. Iran is saying, we're not going anywhere, We're

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not doing anything until you start releasing our money. Straight up,

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horror moves will be open. That seems to be what

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they're saying from both sides. Iran wants it open because

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they got to sell oil. They need the money. We

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want it open so that get the pressure off of

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the world economy that's been hurt by this. And the

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last item on this list of this Iran deal is

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no Iran funding of terrorist groups. That's the Hutis, that's

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has Blaw, that's Hamas and I don't nobody said anything

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from Iran, but you know that they want to keep

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that up. So I mean, we're I don't know where

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we are. This is the most historically you can look

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back and see the way that peace agreements have been

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reached and how people come together and they have a

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signing ceremony they're going to sign a peace agreement and

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not in this case it's going to be signed. Well,

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they said it was going to be signed yesterday, it wasn't.

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Then they said, well, because nobody was over there wherever

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there was where they were going to sign a rumor

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with Geneva. Then it became well, instead of we'll do it, yeah,

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we'll do it electronically. That's it digital, you know, twenty

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twenty six. And you go, well, wait a minute, you're

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not even going to look at each other eye to eye,

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you're not going to shake their hand, you're not going

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to do any of the You're going to do it

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on a computer. Okay, But that didn't happen. And now

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they're telling us that it's going to be signed on Friday,

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But nobody is releasing the documents, the memorandum of understanding.

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There isn't one. It does. I think it's talk about

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fake news. I think it's fake. There isn't a memorandum

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of understanding that anybody has seen. Nobody's leaking anything about

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the memorandum of understanding. It's nowhere to be found. But

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they're going to sign it on Friday. Now, I don't know.

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You want to put some some bets down on whether

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it will actually be signed on Friday. Oh, you know

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Kalshi in some of those betting places. Oh, by the way,

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they had Barnburner betting over the weekend for all the sports.

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We'll get back to that. But that no, I mean, seriously,

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do you think this is for real? Do you think

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there is a document? Do you think they're just making

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it up because they don't know how to get out

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of this. And I know President Trump wants out of

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this in the worst way, and I presume Iron want's

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out of them so that we don't keep dropping bombs

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on them. So this is I don't trust this. I

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just I just you know this. Ronald Reagan's statement about

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the Soviet Union was trust but verify. I don't. I

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don't trust him, and they're not going to let us verify.

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I think they are playing us for suckers. They are masters.

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Everybody has said they're masters at dragging out negotiations. So

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what this signing ceremony on Friday is supposed to be

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is an agreement to basically start sixty days of negotiations.

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We just did that. We just did that. There was

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a sixty day period in which they keep coming up

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to these places and stopping. Oh man, I've got this general.

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He's a lieutenant general, so a three star retired. His

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name is Stephen Twitty, and he's not happy with this

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at all. Here's the generals.

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Speaker 2: No, I don't see it that way at this point.

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Let me just frame it in my view here. First

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of all, I'm cautiously optimistic that this memory or random

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understanding will be signed. We've heard this rhetoric several times before,

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and we know that the Iranians do not operate in

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good faith. And from what I understand, and this is

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leaked information in the press, this will extend the cease

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far for sixty days, and so we need to look

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past the extension of the ceasefire and think about what's

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the state here. First of all, we need to get

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the nine hundred pounds of highly enriched Iranian out of Iran. Secondly,

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we need to straight her her moves open. We cannot also,

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so forget about the drones and the ballistic missiles. They

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have the ability to impact US forces in the reason region,

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US interest in the region, and also our allies across

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the region instability if we don't curtail their ballistic missile

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and their drone capability as well, and we can forget

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the proxies out there.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so the general is very very very simple. Get

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the new material out. You cannot leave any of it

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there and open the strait.

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Speaker 3: That's all.

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Speaker 1: That's all we need and we'll be happy. But what

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about this stop and start, stop and start ceasepire no ceasefire,

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dropping bombs, back to some sort of sixty day talking period.

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The general also thinks that has been harming our ability

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to win.

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Speaker 2: Well, what I will tell you is that the strategy

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is pretty interesting. As you know, we had a tremendous

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effort by our troops doing the bombing campaign. They did

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a great job. They reduced a lot of capabilities in Iran.

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And when you have momentum like that and then you stop,

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what it does is it allows your enemy to now

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regroup reorganize. And we know that the Iranians are regrouping

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and reorganizing and rebuilding their capabilities and so forth. And

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so this start and stop military campaign is really not

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the way to go. You want to get in, provide

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overwhelming combat power on your adversary and pose your will

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on them to feed them, and then after you defeat them,

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then you can go to the bargaining table and say, okay,

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I have the upper hand. What you have now is

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the Iranians have leverage in two areas. Number one, the

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straight of our moves. We see that plan out every day.

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And number two, they still retained the highly enriched Uran it.

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So they have two points the leverage, which makes it

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difficult for us to conduct these negotiations.

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Speaker 1: I know the general again, generals are politically savvy. That's

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how they get to be a general. But he said, yeah,

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this strategy is interesting. Whenever somebody says, oh, isn't that interesting,

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and you know what they're really saying is, I don't

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know about this. This sounds goofy to me. So he's

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not happy with the stop and start, stop and start

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military campaign that we have had. He says that that

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that doesn't give you any leverage, and it gives the

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up the enemy the leverage and makes for the negotiations

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to be difficult. Those were his words. So I've got

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I've got a number of people to to go down here,

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Kareem Sagipor from the Carnigian Institute. Let's see what he

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has to say.

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Speaker 4: I think this is essentially a temporary pause and what

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has been a hot war between America and Iran, and

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we're going to go back to being in a cold

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war state with Iran. What's been decided here is to

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lift the mutual blockade, America's blockade up the Strait of

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Homo's Iran's blockade of it as well. So that will

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bring all prices down, and it will bring some economic relief

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to the people of Iran. It'll bring some relief to

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America's partners in the Persian Gulf that I haven't been

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able to import your export as resulted this blockade. But

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it does not resolve the conflict. The Thornius issues have

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been deferred for future negotiations, and I'm not terribly optimistic

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that they're going to be resolved in a sixty day timeframe.

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Speaker 1: He's not terribly optimistic that the Thorny issues will be

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negotiated in a sixty day time frame. Nobody else is either.

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The JCP away that was done during the Obama administration

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took two years, But that doesn't mean this has to

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be that. But I mean, I don't know the clock

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that keeps being put on this. Remember where we are,

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this is June. So we can get the you can

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you can bet that the White House is looking and

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going if we can get this all solved and we

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can get oil and gas prices back down again. I

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mean the election isn't until five four and a half

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months from now. Why by what we should we should

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have everything kind of a copathetic by the time that

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that's all this is about. Even the president's announcements on

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true social always we're focused on oil, get the oil

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moving again, the start your engines ships all about oil,

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and it keeps talking about oil prices are going to

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drop like a rock. Well they're coming down on this news,

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but not like a rock, but they definitely are coming down.

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But I I don't find anybody is optimistic about this.

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Is a is a deal of any kind you and

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I consider a deal? Is that we're we were even

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if we're not one, we're ninety percent on the same page.

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This isn't even close.

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Speaker 4: Well, Iran's representatives have said that it's not going to

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go back to status quoante to be an international waterway,

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that they are going to charge some type of administrative fees.

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Whether that's tolling individual ships or administrative fees, it remains

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to be seen, but they've been open and saying that

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that is their their priority. The strength of hormones now

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for Iran is both a potential source of revenue and

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it's a it's a it's a deterrent for them in

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the future, if the United States or Israel tax iiron,

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we may see them close it again. So unfortunately, this

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has opened up a Pandora's box, which which didn't exist

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before the war. It'll be curious to see if Iranian

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officials attend that ceremony in Geneva. You know, this is

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a regime which it's entire identity at aemistan hostility towards

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the United States, and they're deeply aggrieved by the fact

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that the United States has assassinated so many senior Iranian officials.

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So I would be skeptical if we're going to see

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any handshake between JD. Vans or President Trump and senior

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Iranian officials. You know, if we did see that, that

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would be somewhat unprecedented.

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Speaker 1: Again, it's everybody's got all kinds of hesitation about this

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being a deal. General Wesley Clark, he was the former

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NATO commander. He has his questions too that he's thinking

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along the lines, maybe just because he's a general, but

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he's looking at this is going to go back to

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kinetic warfare. We're going to We're going to start shooting

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at each other. Eventually, And so if we're going to

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do that, you basically better go get your ducks in

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row with Congress. Here's the general.

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Speaker 5: Apparently the access of resistance is going to be untouched,

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his law is going to be there, the Iranian militias,

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continuing military support to the Hooties in case they need

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to close the Red Sea, and continued build up of

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the Iranian missile forces. So when you look at this

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on balance, it's pretty frightening. Well, I would hope he

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first go to the leaders in Congress and set aside

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these concerns about the war Powers resolution, because he's doing

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what he can right now. He needs the congressional support,

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the troops in place, and if shooting starts again, you

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want the Congress and the American people behind you. And

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I think he needs to come to the American people,

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not in a tweet, but actually speaking to the American

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people about what this means, why he did it, what

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it means for the future. I think he needs to

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pull the country together rather than having it divided on this.

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If he can do this, he'll have greater leverage in

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getting the rite outcome in these negotiations.

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Speaker 1: So let's let's review, uh We're not we the God

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where to go. Kareem sajitpor He says, this is a

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temporary pause. This isn't going to stick. Uh. General Stephen

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Twitty says, this stop again, start again, stop again, start

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again has made it very difficult, not only for the

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military campaign, but to try to come to some to

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negotiate some sort of settlement. General Wesley Clark says, but

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all the people that are the bad guys out there,

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the hoodies and Hamas and his ballah and all these

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all these proxies, they're still going and they still have

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the power, and you know that they're going to be

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firing and we're going to get back into it. We'll

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probably get back into shooting at each other. So you

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better go get approval from Congress while you've got the chance.

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Nobody is positive about this, other than the politicians which

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are spinning this. I want out of this war, find

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me an off ramp. Okay, I'll take this one. It's

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not the best, but I'll try and sell it. They're

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trying to sell us propaganda. So the guy who has

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broken most of these stories about what's really going on inside,

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Barakravid from Axios. Let's see what his latest observation is.

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Speaker 6: When I spoke to President Trump yesterday, he was livid

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about Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Nataniau. And you know, he

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was so angry that in two separate calls he also

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had yesterday with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President

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Vladimir Zelenski, he mentioned to them how difficult Nataniao is

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and how he's taking steps that are creating problems to

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his effort to reach a deal with Iran. And one

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of the things Trump told me is that he thinks

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that Nataniao has no effing judgment. He used the effort

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I think three times during our call in in the

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context of what Nataniao did when he ordered the strike

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in Beirut. And I think that Nataniao heard directly from

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Trump later on that day when they spoke, and and

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Trump made it clear to him that this needs to start.

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Speaker 7: No.

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Speaker 6: So one of the things that Trump said is that

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he is aware of this, those his ballet attacks, and

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he doesn't think that Israel should ignore them. But if

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and I'm quoting him now, if such an attack lands

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in an open area and doesn't hit anybody or anything,

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then to respond by bombing by rute. He thinks that disproportionate. So,

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for example, if these rallies yesterday, again in his opinion,

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if these rallies yesterday attacked Rizabala targets in I don't know,

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southern Lebanon or the Becca Valley, I'm sure he wouldn't care.

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But when on such a Chris Bala attack, Israel strikes

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be rute. This is something that, according to Trump, is

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crossed his red line.

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Speaker 1: So his law is firing missiles a couple of thousand

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missiles since the Sea Spire went into effect. What was

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that eight weeks ago? A couple of thousand missiles into Israel?

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How would you like it if Mexico was sending a

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couple of thousand missiles into Arizona or southern California or Texas.

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What do you think we would do? Just brush it

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off and do nothing. And Israel is a small country.

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Net Yahoo is trying to protect the security and safety

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of the people of Israel, and Hezblag keeps firing missiles

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in and Trump is using the F word, chewing him

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out like he like he's the boss of net Yaho.

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Net Yahho is there to protect his country. So the relationship. Well,

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he was talking to Putin and to Zelenski yesterday and

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beaming net in Yaho. What was he talking to Putin

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about yesterday? In any case, I digress. But you go

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back and you look and you think this is a

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total mess. Now we're ruining our relationship with our best

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ally in the Middle East, Israel, and there he's getting

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into a fight with guy that he's been friends with

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for decades, long before he was president. So it is

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truly I think the president's panicking. I think he's trying

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to do he's got to get out of this, and

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there's limited time left. Like I said, four and a

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half months until election day. People are going to start

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making their minds up if they haven't already, but they'll

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do it by the end of summer, by Labor Day.

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And so he's got to get these gas prices down

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and down quickly. So Tom Close is an executive with

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Gulf Oil and was asked about, well, when are we

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going to see the prices drop like a rock?

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Speaker 3: That's the sixty four thousand dollars question. Really, I mean,

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you can say that Iran shut down the straight up

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for mos or that the US pluck a did, but

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it was really the insurance companies, and until they're very

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confident that things are going to transit and exit that strait,

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you know, they may not choose to ensure some of

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these incredibly huge vessels. So that's what we're going to

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watch very very close, So not just this week, but

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for the next thirty or sixty days. You know, the

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range of how much oil has been leaving the street

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was on this plenty last Friday. We had estimates said

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it was about three million barrels, and then the Secretary

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of Energy, Chris Wright, said it was about seven million

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barrels today. It was eighteen before the war, and that's

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the thing to remember.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So it went from eighteen million barrels a day

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going through the Strait to where the world is now

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hurting for oil. People have been using their strategic reserves

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and a lot of oil analysts are looking in saying

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that if this doesn't come to a halt and quickly

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and then we're going to start getting the oil out

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of the Strait of our movesment put that back into

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the world oil production. Otherwise prices are going to spike

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as we get later in the year.

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Speaker 3: Well, there's a couple of there's really about four or

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five really good reasons. Number one, and we probably would

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have had a surplus in the world of about three

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million barrels a day in the second quarter had we

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not had the Iran war. Secondly, we've seen demand destruction

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somewhere between three and four million barrels a day, mostly

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in Asia, Africa, Australia, only a little bit in the US,

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but some substantial demand destruction in Europe. We've seen some

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oils sneaking out. And the big wild card, and the

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one that I think we have to worry about as

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we go into the summer is we've been selling off

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the strategic reserves, not just in the US and elsewhere,

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and as they run down to certain levels, you know,

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you run the risk of getting to the point where

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the system seizes up. So that's the big thing we

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have to control, or we have to deal with in

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the next few months or so. And a memorand of

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understanding is a good star. But you need to see

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those ships transiting the Strait of Hormos, and you know,

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we'll see if demand comes back, and we'll see if

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the strategic sales may end on schedule. In August September.

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Speaker 1: So he says a couple of months for the insurance

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companies to figure out whether they're going to ensure there's ships.

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This is going to take some time. And this is

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why I kept resisting whenever the President say it's going

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to drop like a rock, it's coming down, coming down

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on the on the news, that we're going to have

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an open straight of her moves. But it hasn't been

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opened all the way. And we were at sixty dollars

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fifty eight to sixty two dollars a barrel before the war,

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and now we're cheering about eighty. In any case, it's

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who is it? The guy from gas Buddy Patrick de Haan.

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He also does a size up on gas and gasoline

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and how expensive and how available it will be.

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Speaker 7: Yeah, probably not for majority of them. We're just at

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the tip of the icebergs here, and I think everyone's

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got to wait, look around and read the room, and

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who wants to tiptoe through the straight of horm moves first?

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So there's still some confidence to be gained here. While

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the two parties, the two countries are saying, okay, well,

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straight's reopen, I think that's a lot more complicated than that.

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Given especially Ron's history of launching random drone attacks, it's

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probably going to take a couple of weeks to rebuild

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confidence of ships going through the strait. And there's really

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no telllling. There may be a couple of vessels that

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get through today and tomorrow. The administration's talked about forty

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to fifty vessels that may grow through soon. But until

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we start to see the backlog easing in ships transitting through,

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we're right where we were a couple of weeks ago.

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And that's really the big difference here is will ships

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transit through the strait? Will the situation escalate? For now,

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oil price is plummeting on the potential of the reopening

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of the strait, but whether or not it's long lasting,

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that's something we have to wait to see in the

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days ahead. Will the straight reopen and to what degree

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will shipping resume?

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Speaker 1: See he has the same hesitation about getting the ship

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to pick up the oil in the volume that we

385
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saw before, so it's going to take a while. They're

386
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talking about weeks months both of them, and then the

387
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question becomes will the prices ever get back down to

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where we were pre war?

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Speaker 7: Ol Boris I mean make no mistake. I mean, though

390
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I would love for gas versus to go back to

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pre war levels tomorrow. I mean we just today got

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new data from the Department of Energy showing the US

393
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Strategic Patrol and Reserve has just fallen to its lowest

394
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level sinceil August of nineteen eighty three. So you know

395
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you're talking about a forty year low. It's going to

396
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take a long period of time. It's more a can

397
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of a garden pose filling up an Olympic sized swimming

398
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pool or maybe even several Olympic swimming pools before we

399
00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:48,759
see oil prices fully normalized. So on a daily basis,

400
00:25:48,839 --> 00:25:52,359
there's not much additional supply to meet demand. And now

401
00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:55,039
you're talking about potentially months and to your point, maybe

402
00:25:55,039 --> 00:25:59,359
even years of oil markets taking time to normalize. For

403
00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:02,079
inventory is globally to get back to pre war levels.

404
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The biggest question really is will China increase imports once this.

405
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Speaker 1: Is all done.

406
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Speaker 7: They've been the wild card. The reason why oil prices

407
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haven't gone higher is because China has greatly throttled back.

408
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Will they jump right back in the market when the

409
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straight reopens, Well, that's one question we're.

410
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Speaker 3: Looking for the answer to Yeah.

411
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Speaker 1: The China part of this is not well reported, but

412
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the fact is, when Patrick was talking about a demand

413
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destruction or the oil guy from Gulf was asked talking

414
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about oil demand destruction, China self imposed demand destruction. They

415
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cut back their oil usage tremendously. They also happen to

416
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have we don't know how much they drew it down,

417
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but they also happen to have about a billion gallons

418
00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:53,000
of their strategic petroleum reserve a billion, so they're not

419
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hurting for supply, and the question will be will they

420
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open up the imports again of oil into China coming

421
00:27:01,759 --> 00:27:05,160
out of Iran. The thing that also caught my ear

422
00:27:05,240 --> 00:27:08,240
in that bite from Patrick to Han is that our

423
00:27:08,279 --> 00:27:13,319
strategic petroleum reserve ours. Remember Joe Biden was using it

424
00:27:13,359 --> 00:27:15,119
for something, I remember what it was, but it was

425
00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:19,039
it wasn't It wasn't an emergency. He was using it

426
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because inflation was going up and he was trying to

427
00:27:22,039 --> 00:27:25,839
politically keep the gas prices from going too high. So

428
00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:30,519
we started draining the strategic petroleum reserve. Well, we're now

429
00:27:30,599 --> 00:27:37,200
down to the lowest level since nineteen eighty three. August

430
00:27:37,319 --> 00:27:42,359
of nineteen eighty three, that's almost forty three years ago,

431
00:27:43,400 --> 00:27:46,279
so we've got a lot of work to rebuild that.

432
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It's going to take. It will take years, a couple

433
00:27:49,079 --> 00:27:53,160
of years at least if everything goes well. So we

434
00:27:53,240 --> 00:27:58,119
sit and wait until we get details about the memorandum

435
00:27:58,160 --> 00:28:01,640
of understanding what's in it, because we're getting spun by

436
00:28:01,680 --> 00:28:05,839
both our government and their government. So let's we're not

437
00:28:05,880 --> 00:28:07,799
going to find out. The President said that he's not

438
00:28:07,839 --> 00:28:10,599
going to let anybody see it until after it signed.

439
00:28:13,440 --> 00:28:17,759
Why why is he hiding it? All? Right? A couple

440
00:28:17,799 --> 00:28:21,200
of other items to pick up today. Number One, over

441
00:28:21,240 --> 00:28:27,480
the weekend, there was a parachute jumping plane out of Missouri.

442
00:28:28,680 --> 00:28:31,920
It was it had the pilot and eleven jumpers on

443
00:28:31,960 --> 00:28:36,319
the plane. They took off and I don't know whether

444
00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:41,119
they lost power or what could have caused it, but

445
00:28:41,279 --> 00:28:46,640
they started making a left turn, stalled and crashed and

446
00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:50,559
killing all twelve on board. So that's going to need

447
00:28:50,599 --> 00:28:53,480
an investigation to find out why did the plane crash

448
00:28:53,839 --> 00:28:59,000
shortly after takeoff? And then this afternoon out of Edward's

449
00:28:59,039 --> 00:29:02,039
Air Force Base and said northern California down where they

450
00:29:02,359 --> 00:29:06,720
used to land the shuttles, a B fifty two crashed

451
00:29:06,799 --> 00:29:10,559
on takeoff crashed right at the bay, I mean right

452
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next to the runway. I actually covered a BEAT fifty

453
00:29:14,640 --> 00:29:18,799
two crash took off from may the Air Force Base,

454
00:29:19,359 --> 00:29:24,559
oh my gosh, about about forty years ago, and that

455
00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:26,720
particular crash had nine people on Well, we don't know

456
00:29:26,720 --> 00:29:29,440
how many were on board this BEAT fifty two, but

457
00:29:29,680 --> 00:29:32,000
it could carry a crew of somewhere around nine. But

458
00:29:32,119 --> 00:29:36,359
there's no sign of any of the survivors. The question

459
00:29:36,599 --> 00:29:43,480
is what caused them to crash. Admiral James Tadritez as

460
00:29:43,559 --> 00:29:46,400
this about the crash of the B fifty two.

461
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Speaker 8: Most obvious and most heartfelt. You have to realize how

462
00:29:53,240 --> 00:30:00,160
difficult this is for the obviously, these families, this community,

463
00:30:01,400 --> 00:30:07,880
and all who follow military operations. I've flown several times

464
00:30:07,880 --> 00:30:12,880
in B fifty twos. They are remarkable machines of war

465
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and this is a very difficult scene to look at.

466
00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:23,680
The fact that evidently there were no parachutes deployed is

467
00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:27,240
not a good sign. But let's not presuppose anything. But

468
00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:33,000
let us hold these families and these crew members in

469
00:30:33,039 --> 00:30:37,240
our hearts. Second thought, to tie these two things together.

470
00:30:38,319 --> 00:30:44,359
B fifty two's are a backbone of our strategic nuclear triad,

471
00:30:45,200 --> 00:30:49,799
the other two being the ballistic missile submarines and of

472
00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:55,680
course are intercontinental ballistic missiles. This is the third piece

473
00:30:55,720 --> 00:30:59,440
of that triad and we've built onto it. But be

474
00:30:59,559 --> 00:31:04,079
fifty two go back sixty seventy years, which comes, I'm

475
00:31:04,119 --> 00:31:08,839
sure as a surprise to many viewers, but they're extremely

476
00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:12,279
reliable today. We have B ones and B two's. All

477
00:31:12,319 --> 00:31:14,559
three of them have been used in these wars in

478
00:31:14,599 --> 00:31:18,759
the Middle East repeatedly through their service life. They are

479
00:31:18,799 --> 00:31:23,559
not invulnerable. They have a lot of capacity and capability,

480
00:31:24,319 --> 00:31:29,319
but occasionally we will lose one in an event like this.

481
00:31:31,240 --> 00:31:36,200
So point two is this is a significant strategic nuclear

482
00:31:36,240 --> 00:31:40,759
weapon and also used in long range conventional strikes, for

483
00:31:40,799 --> 00:31:44,480
example in the Middle East. And then a third and finally,

484
00:31:45,039 --> 00:31:48,680
whenever you see an event like this, you really need

485
00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:53,759
to hit hit pause on your assumptions because it could

486
00:31:53,799 --> 00:31:58,279
be some kind of mechanical failure, It could be some

487
00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:02,559
kind of pilot error, could be an environmental condition, although

488
00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:06,839
the conditions look quite clear there. But to everyone who

489
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:11,960
is saying, gosh, I can't imagine what happened with this

490
00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:17,119
vital nuclear capable aircraft, I'd encourage you to hit pause

491
00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:21,359
as you mentioned, the US Air Force, will I guarantee

492
00:32:21,359 --> 00:32:26,039
you tear this apart, understand precisely what happened and come

493
00:32:26,079 --> 00:32:27,319
to us at the right time.

494
00:32:28,400 --> 00:32:31,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's definitely sad because there are people on board

495
00:32:31,359 --> 00:32:34,799
these planes. They are old, they're old, old, but like

496
00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:40,079
everybody says, including the Admiral, these are very reliable planes

497
00:32:40,160 --> 00:32:45,119
and they're used extensively in modern warfare. They were flying,

498
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:48,400
they roll these things out back in the nineteen fifties,

499
00:32:48,759 --> 00:32:53,279
the early jet age. They're eight engines. It's an eight

500
00:32:53,480 --> 00:32:56,720
engine plane. Yeah, they're not big engines, but they're eight

501
00:32:56,759 --> 00:33:01,039
of them, and they are bombers, and they used them

502
00:33:01,079 --> 00:33:06,319
in Vietnam, They've used them in the Middle East. I mean,

503
00:33:06,359 --> 00:33:09,039
they go back to the nineteen fifties. The joke was

504
00:33:09,079 --> 00:33:12,279
for years, going back, years and years ago, that the

505
00:33:12,279 --> 00:33:15,079
pilots that were flying these weren't even born when the

506
00:33:15,119 --> 00:33:20,160
plane was made. Well, gosh, you generations now so sadly

507
00:33:20,599 --> 00:33:23,920
at Edwards this afternoon. We'll get more details as we

508
00:33:23,960 --> 00:33:27,880
go along. Over the weekend, we got a little bit

509
00:33:27,960 --> 00:33:32,279
of sports. We got the UFC their event at the

510
00:33:32,319 --> 00:33:36,400
White House. Apparently, according to the reporting coming from it,

511
00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:42,240
it was mostly young men, and that is who President

512
00:33:42,319 --> 00:33:46,839
Trump wants to make sure they stay voting for him

513
00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:48,480
in the future, so that he wants to make the

514
00:33:48,519 --> 00:33:55,160
young men happy. Apparently, there were very few red hats

515
00:33:55,799 --> 00:33:58,960
people were quizzed about. They did survey about you think

516
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:01,559
it was appropriate for the UFC to have this event

517
00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:06,000
on the White House grounds. Sixteen percent thought it was appropriate.

518
00:34:06,920 --> 00:34:11,320
Thirty one percent of Republicans of Democrats, No, I don't

519
00:34:11,360 --> 00:34:15,719
know what's wrong with It was paid for by UFC,

520
00:34:16,039 --> 00:34:20,599
and the guy who runs UFC was asked today, are

521
00:34:20,599 --> 00:34:22,920
you going to do that again? And he says, no way.

522
00:34:23,320 --> 00:34:26,280
That was a one and done deal. And as far

523
00:34:26,320 --> 00:34:30,760
as television goes, it was only on Paramount Plus. Now

524
00:34:30,840 --> 00:34:35,599
I subscribe to too many of these streamers, but I

525
00:34:35,679 --> 00:34:39,840
do not subscribe to Paramount Plus because it basically it's

526
00:34:39,920 --> 00:34:44,800
mostly CBS shows what you can watch another way. So

527
00:34:45,639 --> 00:34:49,760
in any case, you know, good if the president wants

528
00:34:49,800 --> 00:34:54,760
to do that, it's his birthday. Didn't cost the taxpayers anything, hallelujah,

529
00:34:55,119 --> 00:34:58,559
More power to them. The NBA, if you haven't heard

530
00:34:58,599 --> 00:35:04,559
the Knicks one, it was yeah, four games out of five,

531
00:35:04,679 --> 00:35:08,679
so it was a five game series. The parade for

532
00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:11,440
the New York Knicks will be a ticker take parade

533
00:35:11,480 --> 00:35:16,679
down Broadway on Thursday. And as far as the weekend

534
00:35:17,639 --> 00:35:23,159
for betting companies, the DraftKings and all those folks, apparently

535
00:35:23,159 --> 00:35:26,719
it was a record setting weekend between the UFC and

536
00:35:26,800 --> 00:35:32,400
the NBA. There was plenty apparently for people who liked

537
00:35:32,400 --> 00:35:35,480
to like to gamble, there was a lot to gamble.

538
00:35:36,079 --> 00:35:41,119
So we had a busy weekend Wall Street. Let's see

539
00:35:41,119 --> 00:35:44,239
how they handled all of this. You know that any

540
00:35:44,320 --> 00:35:49,480
kind of visitation about the war that maybe the fighting

541
00:35:49,559 --> 00:35:51,800
will stop was going to be good news. And the

542
00:35:51,880 --> 00:35:55,400
Dow did it. It was higher than where it finished.

543
00:35:55,400 --> 00:35:58,400
It was up four hundred and sixty eight. The Dow

544
00:35:58,519 --> 00:36:03,840
at fifty one six seventy one, SMP up one hundred

545
00:36:03,840 --> 00:36:09,039
and twenty two. Nasdaq wow, three percent gain, up six

546
00:36:09,159 --> 00:36:11,960
hundred I'm sorry, up seven hundred and ninety five points.

547
00:36:12,000 --> 00:36:17,679
That's that's huge. So back to the tech ROMP. Gold

548
00:36:17,880 --> 00:36:20,599
up ninety two dollars to four thousand and three point

549
00:36:20,599 --> 00:36:25,039
thirty one, and oil not dropping like a rock, but

550
00:36:25,119 --> 00:36:28,400
it's dropping down another three bucks. Today it's at eighty

551
00:36:28,719 --> 00:36:32,880
one dollars for one barrel of West Texas intermediate crew.

552
00:36:33,599 --> 00:36:36,519
That's it for today. Thank you for coming by. We

553
00:36:36,559 --> 00:36:39,400
will be back again tomorrow. I hope to see you

554
00:36:39,440 --> 00:36:40,199
then

