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Speaker 1: All right, one game left to Miami of Florida versus

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Indiana for the twenty twenty six College Football Playoff and

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National Championship. Who better to break it down than the

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three guys you've relied on all season long, myself, Brian Power, Ross,

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the Boss, Benjamin and Ralph. Michael's here with you. Three

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free plays coming right up for you for Mondays Championship

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game here on the Blitz. Thank you to everyone joining

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us live here on the Way You Talk YouTube channel now.

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Whether you're catching us live or on the replay, can

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always feel free to share your thoughts and questions down

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in the comments section below. While you're down there, go

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ahead and like and subscribe. Now to Miami Florida versus Indiana,

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the game that I don't think a lot of people

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expected at the start of the season, needless to say,

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Ralph and Ross, but it is the game we have

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for Monday. The look aheadline. This is where I want

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to start the discussion, because it has been a big

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discussion on social media, at least from what I've seen,

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the look ahead line for this matchup. Before Indiana destroyed

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Oregon in the semi final, it was minus five and

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a half now the line is sitting minus eight and

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a half. Much has been made of the adjustment. Ralph,

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I'm gonna go to you first. Do you think the

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adjustment from the look ahead to current is fair or

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is this an over adjustment by the lines makers.

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Speaker 2: You know, I made the game seven and a half,

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so I mean, you know we're one point away, and

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let's remember this.

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Speaker 3: You know, Indiana's fan base is excited.

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Speaker 2: And remember the look ahead line is based on what

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the handicappers think the game should be. The current line

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is based on what people bet. So just because the

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guy game goes from six and a half to eight

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and a half doesn't mean the book makers think the

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game should be eight and a half.

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Speaker 3: The bookmakers think it should be six and a half.

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Speaker 2: The Indiana fans betting this game make it eight and

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a half. I'm gonna bring up something and Ross is

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gonna make fun of me again because I was talking

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about ticket sales once and he goes like, we're going

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to base a play on ticket sales. You know, Indiana

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has the largest living alumni base in college football. We

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saw them have a massive crowd edge in each of

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their two games. Indiana is expected to have a sixty

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forty crowd edge here, Brian, I know we're gonna be

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talking about that later. So I think I think this again,

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the seven and a half is right in between. If

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I had to make a choice watching these two teams

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in the playoffs, I think seven and underlined would be

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more legitimate of the value between these two teams. Doesn't

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mean I'm going to get to the Miami side, but

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I think there is a point point and a half

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overreaction with the Hoosiers and the Hoosier fans.

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Speaker 1: All right, Ross, I'll tell you this, if this line

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was minus five and a half, I would be betting

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Indiana very, very large. I'll say that. But Ralph brings

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up a great point that you know, perhaps that was

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a slip of the tongue that I made there when

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I said odds makers over adjusting. Obviously, oddsmakers just want

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to get equal action on the side of the number here.

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Do you think that it has more to do with

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the public. Obviously it was the second of the two

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semi finals. What Indiana did to Oregon. Is this just

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a deal where and look, I'm looking at the betting

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splits right now. The public is clearly in love with

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Indiana or early money. So is is that what you

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just think? This is the odds makers anticipate. Hey, every Tom,

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Dick and Harry is gonna want to bet Indiana.

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Speaker 4: Its perception, you know, more than anything you know.

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Speaker 5: And I'm not saying the line's not justified or Indiana

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won't cover, but that adjustment from five and a half

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to an opener of seven and a half to now

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eight and a half.

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Speaker 4: Look, here's the thing.

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Speaker 5: Not only are they adjusting to what happened in the

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Oregon game, they're also looking back and saying they also

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crushed Alabama.

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Speaker 4: It made them look like an FCS team.

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Speaker 5: So they're coming off too extremely impressive performances. And when

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you really look at Miami in their wins, yes they're

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against a very top flight competition obviously, but it's not

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like they wowed you in any of those games. So

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it's also the eye test that they're basing that perception

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on with the casual or novice better is going to

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react to. That's just my opinion, and we're going to

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talk about whether that's a home field advantage or not

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very shortly.

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Speaker 4: So I won't cross that line right now.

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Speaker 1: All Right, A few things I'm going to point out

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here before we get to that discussion of just how

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many how much should Miami be getting here for home

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field advantage because game is obviously playing field. But a

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few things I want to point out, and Ross you

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just hit on this. It's funny. There were people saying

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the Oregon Indiana line was an overreaction to what Indiana

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did to Alabama. Spoiler alert, it was not an overreaction

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at all. I think we can all agree on that.

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And then I want to compare this Indiana team to

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last year's national champions Ohio State. What they did in

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the playoff. Let's think back a year ago. The line.

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They just couldn't keep up the line with what the

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Buck guys were doing. Remember I remember the Texas game, Ralph,

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the championship game against Order Dame. My initial reaction was

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when seeing how much Ohio State was favored by in

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those games, doesn't line looks a little bit heavy, but

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you know, and based on what Ohio State was doing.

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The answer was no, it wasn't. Ohio State was covering

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every spread. So you know, Ralph was someone who obviously

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follows Ohio State. Both remembers that team last year. Do

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you have anything to say about, you know, comparing this

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one Indianazon right now this year to Ohio State last year,

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is anything that Yeah, Well.

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Speaker 2: Indiana's makes much more sense to Ohio State to me,

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because remember last year, Ohio State lost two games and

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lost to Michigan. So you're talking about a team that thought,

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oh my god, we're just barely going to make it

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in the playoffs, had to host Tennessee, then play Oregon,

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Texas and Notre Dame to get there. Indiana, on the

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flip side, again, Indiana ran the table first team in

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the history to win, you know, to go undefeated in

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sixteen games. So to me, the Indiana run is much

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more explainable to me then how quickly people jumped on

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the bandwagon from Ohio State after losing to Michigan and

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just running from Tennessee all the way through Notre Dame.

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Speaker 5: Okay, if I could jump in here, you guys both

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make extremely good points, and I agree with you, Ralph.

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I also, you know, I think about what Brian just

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said and why is Ohio State such.

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Speaker 4: A heavy number?

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Speaker 5: Lay in a heavy number with all things being considered

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last year, and to me with a contrarian mindset, and

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also I always profess to think like an odds maker,

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you're going to be one step ahead of the average

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bear if indeed you take on that mindset that would

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have applied more to Ohio State last year. That's what

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really stuck out to me. Last year with Ohio State,

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they were a two lost team, They lost their regular

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season finale against Michigan, and here they are going into

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the playoffs as not a top four seed.

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Speaker 4: They did not have a buy and they were a

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heavy favorite throughout.

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Speaker 5: So this one here, Indiana, you're looking at a team

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that's sixteen and oh against a two loss team, and

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you're talking about just a single digit favor for a

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team that's looked really, really exceptional in the first two

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playoff games.

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Speaker 4: So to me, there's a discernible difference on.

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Speaker 5: How I look at Indiana this year in their games

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compared to what I was looking at with Ohio State

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and their playoff games a season ago.

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Speaker 1: I think there's one other thing we should bring up

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when comparing the Ohio State championship team of last year

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in this current Indiana team brand name. I think you know,

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and I think there's still for some people, I think

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they're still skeptical. Indiana. This is their first This is

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the first time this program has ever been here on

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this level. Ohio State's a team obviously that has been

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that you know, has played for national championships many times over.

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Speaker 5: And you know, Ralph you said, Indiana has the most

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living alumni in the country, and that's why they're coming

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out in full force. To me, a lot of those

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fans are Bandwagon fans because most of them, in terms

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of Indiana sports, are huge Indiana backers when it came

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to the basketball program and all the success they've had

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over the years as opposed to the Indiana football program.

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But in any event, you know, if they're there and cheering,

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you certainly can't ignore the amount of tickets they sold

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for this game. And who knows how many they will

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enter the stadium via the third party ticket brokers.

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Speaker 2: So well, you know, one thing I will say this

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ross Bandwagon fans may be betting Indiana, but Bandwagon fans

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aren't paying four thousand dollars to get into the hard

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Rock stadium.

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Speaker 5: Well, you know, it's it depends, okay, if you've got

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a college degree, and especially if you went on to

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graduate school or whatever. I mean You're talking a lot

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of those fans who are paying that four thousand dollars

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are in the upper echelon in terms of people who

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make an annual Serroy, So fair enough.

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Speaker 2: Again, I know what's an expensive price, but it's all relative,

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I mean those people.

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Speaker 4: But it's interesting to look at that aspect.

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Speaker 5: I mean, Rough, I don't disagree with you, but I

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just I guess I'm being the devil's advocate here and

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finding a way to dance around what you said, like

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I like to do on a weekly basis. So I'm

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not going to change now. On the last show, Rough.

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Speaker 1: I'll tell you this. In our chat right now, a

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WB four he's saying he's been down since day one

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in Bloomington. He's he said he was there for the

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losses of the mac teams. So there's one guy.

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Speaker 4: I'm sure there's a lot of people like that out there,

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you know.

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Speaker 5: But let's face it, Brian, I mean, out of all

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those people going to this game today, how many really

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followed Indiana.

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Speaker 4: Football over the last few years.

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Speaker 5: I'm sure they glanced at the scores and and you know,

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I'm sure they were excited last year. I don't recall

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this kind of support for the Hoosiers last year when

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they went to the playoffs, you know, so I supposed

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to this year.

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Speaker 4: So I don't know. There's different ways. I guess you

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could look at it. Brian.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and well, and let's look at this game a

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different way because we've teased, We've all three teased at

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this idea. Because another interesting part of this championship game

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Monday night is where it's taking place in Miami, Indiana.

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You guys watched semi final against Oregon. I know that

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game was played a long way from Bloomington down in Atlanta,

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but that was that was a whole game basically for

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I mean that that was what eighty eighty five percent

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Indiana fans at that game. I mean when they opened

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with the pick six my work, I mean that place,

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I mean, it sounded like it was in Kurt Signetty's backyard,

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for Christ's sake. But let's talk about this because I'm

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very interested how much because Ralph has already mentioned that,

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you know, even though the game's in Miami, they're very

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well is going to be more Indiana fans in that

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stadium Monday night than Miami fans. So what, if anything,

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are we giving Miami for home field advantage in this game.

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Ralph Siero, I want to.

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Speaker 3: Tell you why.

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Speaker 2: Like you said, I think it's going to be at

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least sixty percent Indiana fans. Miami is the visitor, so

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they are not in their home locker room. And when

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you're at home, what's the number one thing you can

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count on? The players can hear a quarterback cadence. You

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don't have to go to a silent count. You can

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audible plays and you're comfortable at home because the fans

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aren't loud. That's not the case at all this week.

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I don't think there's any home field edge. Actually, I

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think that puts more pressure on the kids. I think

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it's actually a negative. How about that. I'll give them

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a negative half a point home field? Wow, this is

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a positive, you know, and Ross, I'll say this. You

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know you've followed the sport obviously for a long time.

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Miami is not exactly known for having a strong home

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field that.

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Speaker 4: You should begin with through the well they did at

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the Orange Bowl.

242
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Speaker 5: Okay, yes, they used to be chaotic and going into

243
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the Orange Bowl against the Miami Hurricanes in her heyday,

244
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you know, back in the eighties and and such. That

245
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was a tough environment to play, actually intimidating environment to play,

246
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and it's not been the case since they moved to

247
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where Miami don't Elphins play I mean hard rock, Joe,

248
00:13:01,960 --> 00:13:05,240
Robbie whatever you want to call that stadium at various times.

249
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But here's the thing, Ralph and Brian, you know, Miami

250
00:13:09,759 --> 00:13:12,759
didn't know they were even going to get a playoff

251
00:13:12,840 --> 00:13:17,120
berth until the committee announced the field.

252
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Speaker 4: It was very much up in the air between them

253
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and Notre Dame. And we remember the controversies surrounding that

254
00:13:24,360 --> 00:13:29,120
topic on which team would get in and what have you. So.

255
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Speaker 5: And secondly, national championship games a lot of those tickets

256
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are sold in advance to the general public. So am

257
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I saying that made a few Miami Florida fans just

258
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wanted to see the National championship game and they bought

259
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those tickets a long time ago, and just so happens,

260
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the Miami made it there. Yeah, there's a few, Okay,

261
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But at the end of the day, other than familiarity

262
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and the plane surface in the environment, I don't think

263
00:14:04,279 --> 00:14:07,320
it's a huge any kind of edge for Miami in

264
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this situation.

265
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Speaker 4: I agree with some of the things that Rolph said.

266
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Speaker 5: You know, you can't even go with familiarity in your

267
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own locker room. You're now forced to go to the

268
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visitors locker room. So yeah, I think if there's any edge,

269
00:14:22,559 --> 00:14:25,879
it's just in familiarity. And I can't put a number

270
00:14:25,960 --> 00:14:30,240
on that. What's at worth maybe half a point if that.

271
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So I just don't see an edge coming in that regard.

272
00:14:35,519 --> 00:14:37,399
Speaker 1: Perhaps some tipping my hand a little bit how I

273
00:14:37,440 --> 00:14:39,320
feel about this game. But I'll say is I look

274
00:14:39,320 --> 00:14:42,879
at this spread. To me, if you're giving a goose

275
00:14:42,879 --> 00:14:45,639
egg for home field advantage to Miami in this game,

276
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and I concur with a lot of what you guys

277
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just said, then this spread should be even higher. I think, actually,

278
00:14:51,399 --> 00:14:55,039
you're going back to our earlier discussion. I just I

279
00:14:55,039 --> 00:14:58,039
don't know when you look at what Indiana's done all year,

280
00:14:58,320 --> 00:15:00,960
if you're given zero for home field avantge in the spot,

281
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I think the spread shot even higher. I will say

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this though, when it comes to the spread. Anyone who

283
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caught the morning wager last Friday on The Picks and

284
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Parly's YouTube channel knows I'm very comfortable with my current position.

285
00:15:12,000 --> 00:15:14,399
I bet Indiana plus one thirty five to win the

286
00:15:14,440 --> 00:15:16,600
championship before they bet Organs. I'm holding the plus one

287
00:15:16,639 --> 00:15:19,360
thirty five money line ticket while they're now three to

288
00:15:19,440 --> 00:15:21,360
one to win this game or you know, minus three

289
00:15:21,399 --> 00:15:25,399
hundred to win this game. So I feel good about that.

290
00:15:25,440 --> 00:15:29,120
It's a little lot. Let me get that colv Trophy

291
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right there.

292
00:15:30,159 --> 00:15:33,639
Speaker 5: Let me ask you this, Brian, how much of what

293
00:15:33,720 --> 00:15:37,600
you what you're just said thinking that Indiana should be

294
00:15:38,200 --> 00:15:42,000
even an even bigger point spread favorite based on what

295
00:15:42,080 --> 00:15:45,879
me and Roff just said. You know, we talked about

296
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perception and the odds makers factoring.

297
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Speaker 4: That into it.

298
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Speaker 5: How many people are don't have a deep dive mindset

299
00:15:55,120 --> 00:15:58,240
like we do when we handicap games and see Miami's

300
00:15:58,279 --> 00:16:01,519
get home, you know. So I think there's a little

301
00:16:01,679 --> 00:16:07,080
careful carefulness that the odds makers did went setting this line.

302
00:16:08,159 --> 00:16:11,639
And with what I'm saying is I think that Indiana,

303
00:16:12,519 --> 00:16:16,559
based on me thinking that this is a very very

304
00:16:16,679 --> 00:16:21,159
little advantage for Miami playing in their home stadium, this

305
00:16:21,279 --> 00:16:23,559
line should be somewhere in the area of ten ten

306
00:16:23,600 --> 00:16:25,799
and a half. I agree with you on that, Brian,

307
00:16:26,399 --> 00:16:29,240
But I just think that, you know, the odds makers

308
00:16:29,279 --> 00:16:32,559
are always factoring in the novice in general public.

309
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Speaker 3: Brian, I got a question for you.

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Speaker 1: Sure.

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Speaker 2: Now, I'm not a big proponent of hedging, because if

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00:16:38,000 --> 00:16:39,679
you've got a great bet, why give it away?

313
00:16:40,440 --> 00:16:42,600
Speaker 3: But I'm gonna guess.

314
00:16:42,480 --> 00:16:45,200
Speaker 2: I've thought about it yet you because you said you

315
00:16:45,279 --> 00:16:47,480
think the line should be higher. So obviously at eight

316
00:16:47,519 --> 00:16:49,519
and a half, you're not going to hedge. If it

317
00:16:49,600 --> 00:16:51,480
got the nine and a half or ten, would you

318
00:16:51,519 --> 00:16:54,000
hedge back on Miami or is your number pretty well set?

319
00:16:55,159 --> 00:16:55,440
Speaker 3: Yes?

320
00:16:55,639 --> 00:16:57,759
Speaker 1: I would at that, And I've actually thought about just

321
00:16:57,799 --> 00:16:59,559
for the hell of it, like, yeah, okay, well do

322
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I get cute and middle this? But I'll be honest

323
00:17:03,759 --> 00:17:05,640
with you. I have another, just one followup question. We're

324
00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:07,319
gonna get to our three best bets on this game.

325
00:17:07,319 --> 00:17:09,119
Both Ross and Ralph will be talking about the total.

326
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I've got a player prop for you guys. I actually think,

327
00:17:12,519 --> 00:17:15,599
based on what I'm seeing and people, I think Miami

328
00:17:15,640 --> 00:17:17,559
money is gonna show up on game day. I could

329
00:17:17,559 --> 00:17:19,759
be wrong. You know, we're recording this just in the

330
00:17:19,759 --> 00:17:22,359
interest of fairness. We're recording this on Thursday, several days

331
00:17:22,400 --> 00:17:25,480
before a game day. I think there's gonna be money

332
00:17:25,480 --> 00:17:27,119
that shows up on Miami I think it's gonna be

333
00:17:27,160 --> 00:17:30,920
similar to the Oregon Indiana deal, where a lot of

334
00:17:30,960 --> 00:17:33,319
people talk themselves into the dog on that one, and

335
00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:35,759
they obviously look foolish in retrospect. I know a lot

336
00:17:35,799 --> 00:17:38,759
of people I respect bet Oregon in that game and

337
00:17:38,799 --> 00:17:41,920
it obviously was not close whatsoever. But I what do

338
00:17:42,000 --> 00:17:42,480
you guys think?

339
00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:42,960
Speaker 3: Do you guys?

340
00:17:43,319 --> 00:17:43,680
Speaker 4: What do you know?

341
00:17:43,799 --> 00:17:44,160
Speaker 1: One day?

342
00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:46,480
Speaker 3: You remember the lady when going to the game.

343
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Speaker 2: In Florida, there's only one place you can bet sports

344
00:17:50,079 --> 00:17:53,160
is the hard Rock, So either at the casino or

345
00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:56,480
at their four satellite casinos, those are the only app

346
00:17:56,519 --> 00:17:58,559
that you can bet sports betting in in Florida.

347
00:17:58,640 --> 00:18:00,319
Speaker 3: So we're gonna see that.

348
00:18:01,400 --> 00:18:05,119
Speaker 2: It'll be interesting on Monday to check what the hard

349
00:18:05,200 --> 00:18:08,640
Rock numbers are versus the rest of the country nationally,

350
00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:11,160
to see the people in state that are betting that

351
00:18:11,200 --> 00:18:13,519
through the only legal facility they can.

352
00:18:13,680 --> 00:18:17,160
Speaker 5: Yeah, that's a good point, Ralph, because living in South

353
00:18:17,200 --> 00:18:20,279
Florida for eight years like I did, I could assure

354
00:18:20,319 --> 00:18:24,839
you there's a large contingent of the legal bookmakers in

355
00:18:25,200 --> 00:18:28,519
South Florida. However, that doesn't affect the line that we see.

356
00:18:28,759 --> 00:18:32,920
It affects their personal line. So yeah, good point, Ralph.

357
00:18:33,759 --> 00:18:37,880
Speaker 1: All right, so that is some interesting points to consider here.

358
00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:41,480
Speaker 2: So Brian, well, actually I'm going down I may not

359
00:18:41,480 --> 00:18:42,799
go to the game, but I'm going to the hard

360
00:18:42,880 --> 00:18:46,119
Rock Hotel if anyone's going there on Saturday, at Sunday

361
00:18:46,119 --> 00:18:51,720
and Monday. Yes, if if it does go crazy down here, well,

362
00:18:51,759 --> 00:18:55,119
actually I don't know how. I am actually thinking at

363
00:18:55,160 --> 00:18:58,279
hard Rock on Sunday when the Indiana Hoo's your fans

364
00:18:58,279 --> 00:19:01,119
come into town. I think we'll see a spike on

365
00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:05,799
Indiana Sunday and then maybe come back game day because

366
00:19:05,799 --> 00:19:07,880
those people coming in town want to bet. As soon

367
00:19:07,920 --> 00:19:09,720
as they get here, they check them to the hard Rock,

368
00:19:09,759 --> 00:19:11,400
They're going to the sports book. They're getting their bet

369
00:19:11,400 --> 00:19:13,759
down so they don't screw up or forget. So I'll

370
00:19:13,839 --> 00:19:16,440
check with you Saturday night, Bryan, to see how much

371
00:19:16,519 --> 00:19:19,559
the hard Rock line actually peaks, to see if Indiana

372
00:19:19,599 --> 00:19:22,240
does push it to ten, and then like you said,

373
00:19:22,319 --> 00:19:26,319
then I could see a bunch of EV betters coming

374
00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:30,079
in at a double digit and ramming down the you know,

375
00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:32,000
the Miami line back to the eight and a half

376
00:19:32,079 --> 00:19:32,559
or eight again.

377
00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:33,359
Speaker 1: Yeah.

378
00:19:33,480 --> 00:19:35,759
Speaker 4: Wait, we'll have a table set up for.

379
00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:37,440
Speaker 3: Ralph.

380
00:19:37,440 --> 00:19:40,160
Speaker 5: Will we have an autograph section and if you want

381
00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:42,759
to take a picture with Rolf and him signed the

382
00:19:42,799 --> 00:19:45,319
picture for you, feel free to join them.

383
00:19:46,160 --> 00:19:48,880
Speaker 2: Remember the guy playing Pi Gou drinking a Miller Lite.

384
00:19:49,599 --> 00:19:52,359
Speaker 1: Don't tell, don't tell Joe Dari about pie Gow. He

385
00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:54,960
told me a story about he was stuck nine hours

386
00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:58,759
for doing that plan with pres for about nine hours.

387
00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:03,720
Speaker 5: Even drink if you're gonna drink light beer, so you

388
00:20:03,759 --> 00:20:04,960
could have a beer in your hand.

389
00:20:05,039 --> 00:20:08,319
Speaker 4: Ralph. Then again, I thought I was gonna.

390
00:20:08,359 --> 00:20:10,240
Speaker 3: I thought, I thought this season's over.

391
00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:13,359
Speaker 2: No more making fun of Ralph drinking Miller Lit, no

392
00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:15,640
more bringing up like no more.

393
00:20:16,039 --> 00:20:18,240
Speaker 4: I maybe over and under twelve and a half.

394
00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:28,119
Speaker 5: I believe when you went to the Orange Bowl game.

395
00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:26,119
Speaker 3: And they didn't go.

396
00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:28,519
Speaker 2: So but I will say this, Ross, I have a

397
00:20:28,559 --> 00:20:32,000
friend that said, you know, he might come down to

398
00:20:32,039 --> 00:20:34,000
the game, and if he comes down to the game,

399
00:20:34,279 --> 00:20:36,079
he has an extra ticket for me, he'll sell me

400
00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:37,279
a face value, so I'll go.

401
00:20:37,400 --> 00:20:38,960
Speaker 3: So I'm not even planning to the game.

402
00:20:39,000 --> 00:20:41,400
Speaker 2: I'm just actually hanging out with the fans and the

403
00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:44,000
craziness that's gonna happen. I mean, the hard Rock Guitar

404
00:20:44,119 --> 00:20:48,799
Hotel is really only three miles from the hard Rock Stadium,

405
00:20:49,119 --> 00:20:51,559
So I mean, there really is that entire area that's

406
00:20:51,599 --> 00:20:52,319
just gonna be increasing.

407
00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:55,119
Speaker 5: I I was there in the early stages when that

408
00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:59,720
just opened, so I can only imagine how it looks

409
00:20:59,759 --> 00:21:01,079
now because it was beautiful.

410
00:21:01,119 --> 00:21:05,640
Speaker 1: Then yeah, absolutely, we do have one question rolling in

411
00:21:05,680 --> 00:21:08,160
before we actually have a special offer we want to

412
00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:09,759
let you guys know about, and then we're going to

413
00:21:09,839 --> 00:21:12,319
go into our three best bets each of us has

414
00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:16,640
won for the National Championship game. How much do we do?

415
00:21:16,759 --> 00:21:19,440
It all comes down to how much you trust Beck's

416
00:21:19,640 --> 00:21:23,960
passing to win. Carson Beck kind of the forgotten quarterback,

417
00:21:24,440 --> 00:21:27,200
I suppose in this game with so much attention being

418
00:21:27,240 --> 00:21:30,839
paid paid to Fernando Mendoza, What do you guys? I

419
00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:35,279
mean Carson Beck honestly what I've seen from him so

420
00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:37,359
certainly in the first two games he didn't do much

421
00:21:37,400 --> 00:21:40,160
against A and M in Ohio State. I don't know,

422
00:21:40,319 --> 00:21:42,759
if let me just throw this out there, Miami to

423
00:21:42,799 --> 00:21:46,960
pulling ups outright? Upset? Is it Carson Beck? Is it turnovers?

424
00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:49,480
Is it both A and B? Is it something else?

425
00:21:50,559 --> 00:21:52,160
I'll open the floor. Ross, how about you?

426
00:21:52,799 --> 00:21:57,640
Speaker 5: Well, he's played very disciplined football. You know, Carson Beck

427
00:21:57,680 --> 00:22:00,599
I'm alluding to as opposed to what he did earlier

428
00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:03,640
in the year when he threw a boatload of interceptions.

429
00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:08,480
So I think that if he stays within himself and

430
00:22:08,559 --> 00:22:12,480
he manages the game and Miami doesn't fall behind by

431
00:22:12,599 --> 00:22:19,559
multiple touchdowns where they have to become one dimensional, I

432
00:22:19,599 --> 00:22:22,799
think he's very capable of of pulling the upset for

433
00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:28,319
my or helping Miami pull that upset. So we'll see,

434
00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:32,359
you know. I again, Miami's defense is very good too.

435
00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:35,279
But what bothers me with Miami's defense, Ralph, is what

436
00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:37,519
we saw on the second half of the own Miss game.

437
00:22:38,400 --> 00:22:41,200
We're all, Miss really had their way offensively in that

438
00:22:41,279 --> 00:22:41,960
second half.

439
00:22:43,559 --> 00:22:46,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, you look at that game, and remember

440
00:22:47,160 --> 00:22:51,119
it was fourteen thirteen a half and the yards were

441
00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:54,839
even but Mississippi. You know, actually, Ross, I'm looking now.

442
00:22:55,920 --> 00:23:02,359
You know, second half, Miami actually had a three ten

443
00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:07,759
to two fifty yard edge. So Miami still had the edge,

444
00:23:07,759 --> 00:23:10,200
so Old Miss was able to move, but Miami was

445
00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:11,880
also able to move on Old Miss.

446
00:23:11,920 --> 00:23:14,920
Speaker 5: Now, I mean, I don't think Miami's gonna be able

447
00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:17,720
to or uh gonna be able to put up those

448
00:23:17,759 --> 00:23:21,079
types of numbers against this Indiana defense. Oh oh, miss Cole,

449
00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:26,400
you know, oh miss oh, missus defense compared to even

450
00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:29,880
the Final four or the final eight is probably one

451
00:23:29,880 --> 00:23:32,000
of the weakest units in the in the field.

452
00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:35,279
Speaker 4: So yeah, you know it's still or elf.

453
00:23:35,519 --> 00:23:38,240
Speaker 5: Two hundred and fifty yards and a half against a

454
00:23:38,279 --> 00:23:42,200
team that had been so dominant in the first what

455
00:23:43,039 --> 00:23:47,119
uh six five plus halfs of football in the playoffs

456
00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:48,839
was a little bit alarming to me.

457
00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:51,839
Speaker 3: You know, I wrote down some props real quick.

458
00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:55,359
Speaker 2: Just FYI, if you guys are shopping, Mendoza is about

459
00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:56,000
two thirty.

460
00:23:56,039 --> 00:23:59,279
Speaker 3: Obviously they change. Beck is about two ten.

461
00:24:00,279 --> 00:24:02,759
Speaker 2: And if you want to bet either team to have

462
00:24:02,799 --> 00:24:05,039
two hundred and fifty pass yards, you can get minus

463
00:24:05,079 --> 00:24:07,759
one fifteen. Brian, I don't want to give away a

464
00:24:07,759 --> 00:24:10,279
play if you're using this again, but last week I

465
00:24:10,279 --> 00:24:13,039
think you used one quarterback with more passing yards than

466
00:24:13,039 --> 00:24:13,319
the other.

467
00:24:14,039 --> 00:24:16,839
Speaker 3: No, that was okay, I'm sorry about that.

468
00:24:16,880 --> 00:24:20,640
Speaker 2: But yeah, Mendoza's minus one fifty to have more passing

469
00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:23,480
yards than Beck. And you know Beck had two sixty

470
00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:26,720
eight against Mississippi, but one hundred and thirty eight yards

471
00:24:26,759 --> 00:24:30,519
passing against Ohio State one hundred and three passing yards

472
00:24:30,559 --> 00:24:33,839
against a and m clear of me has me say

473
00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:36,039
if I had to choose over under two ten, I'd

474
00:24:36,039 --> 00:24:38,000
be going with the under against this defense.

475
00:24:39,039 --> 00:24:42,720
Speaker 1: All right, Ralph, would you like to tell the people

476
00:24:42,720 --> 00:24:45,119
here before we get into our best bets about this

477
00:24:45,279 --> 00:24:47,880
exclusive special offer that we've got for all of our listeners.

478
00:24:47,920 --> 00:24:50,079
Here a way to say thank you for tuning into

479
00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:52,440
the Blitz every Thursday here on the WAYGA Talk YouTube

480
00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:54,680
channel all season. This is, of course, guys, in case

481
00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:57,920
you haven't figured it out, he lasked edition of the

482
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Blitz for this collegeot season.

483
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Speaker 3: It will be the one game, you know what.

484
00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:03,799
Speaker 2: Let's just go back a little bit beginning of the

485
00:25:03,839 --> 00:25:06,319
football season. Brian said, Hey, you know, let's get a

486
00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:10,240
college college football weekly show together. And you know, we

487
00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:12,000
were trying to figure out who else to add, and

488
00:25:12,359 --> 00:25:13,440
Ross's name came up.

489
00:25:13,519 --> 00:25:15,839
Speaker 3: And he's been an absolutely incredible addition.

490
00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:18,960
Speaker 2: And I've had a wonderful time with both of you guys,

491
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:20,880
and I thank you for allowing me to be on

492
00:25:20,920 --> 00:25:23,480
the panel with you, and also thank you to all

493
00:25:23,519 --> 00:25:24,279
of our customers.

494
00:25:24,279 --> 00:25:26,599
Speaker 3: Again, you guys have made the show what it is.

495
00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:29,480
Speaker 2: We're excited about taking it to a next level last

496
00:25:29,559 --> 00:25:32,160
year and the number of people that comment and we

497
00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:34,720
have week in and week out again, truly, each of

498
00:25:34,759 --> 00:25:36,640
us thanks you from the bottom of my heart. Start

499
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taking time out and we just wanted to say thank

500
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you back. We made a coupunk code. Thanks fifty than

501
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ks five zero no space for Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday

502
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and Monday. Anything you buy from Ross three hundred dollars

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or less fifty percent off, anything you buy from Brian

504
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Power three hundred dollars or less fifty percent off myself.

505
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That means you could buy us each for thirty days.

506
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You could buy us each for a week, you could

507
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buy daily packages. And I do want to mention this guys,

508
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I do have my second college basketball five percent of

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the season tonight. Thanks fifty will work for that. Don't

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pay thirty five dollars you as a Blitz viewer, And

511
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this is the only place we're showing this coupon code

512
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is to you, the viewer. Blitz fifty will work tonight

513
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for my college basketball five percent.

514
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Speaker 1: Okay, thanks to all of you again for that. And

515
00:26:36,119 --> 00:26:38,519
I guess it's best bet time. I'll let when we

516
00:26:38,599 --> 00:26:40,960
roll through our best bets, we can all talk about

517
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:43,079
what we may have up if we already have something

518
00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:46,839
up for Monday's championship game. Obviously a very busy weekend

519
00:26:46,880 --> 00:26:50,880
with the National Football League Playoffs Saturday and Sunday as

520
00:26:50,960 --> 00:26:55,440
well Basketball roll in full steam, so a lot going

521
00:26:55,440 --> 00:26:57,640
on the wayetalk dot Com check us all out. Ralph

522
00:26:57,640 --> 00:26:59,440
gave you the coupon Cole, We'll give you again before

523
00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:02,599
we sign off today. Ralph, I'm actually going to come

524
00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:04,680
right back to you because you guys are both talking

525
00:27:04,680 --> 00:27:08,279
about the total. Your bet is for the first quarter,

526
00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:10,279
Ross's is for the first half, so I think it

527
00:27:10,319 --> 00:27:13,200
is only natural that I would see the floor to you,

528
00:27:13,519 --> 00:27:18,200
Ralph first here to get us going with our bets segment, Well, let.

529
00:27:18,119 --> 00:27:18,519
Speaker 3: Me say this.

530
00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:23,279
Speaker 2: We've said it the last few weeks. It's the National Championships.

531
00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:26,920
It's the NFL playoffs. If you truly like a team,

532
00:27:27,480 --> 00:27:30,160
bet them like you would during the regular season. But

533
00:27:30,359 --> 00:27:33,319
don't force action unless you're just having fun bets on

534
00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:35,599
this game. I don't think I'm going to have a

535
00:27:35,640 --> 00:27:37,039
side or a total play on Monday.

536
00:27:37,599 --> 00:27:40,440
Speaker 3: It's the National Championship. People want action, But.

537
00:27:40,960 --> 00:27:43,440
Speaker 2: If this game we're played on a traditional Saturday with

538
00:27:43,480 --> 00:27:46,519
fifty plus games, it would not make my card, So

539
00:27:46,559 --> 00:27:48,279
I'll still look for some props.

540
00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:49,119
Speaker 3: In some yukee situations.

541
00:27:49,279 --> 00:27:52,880
Speaker 2: But I did find this, and you know I've I've

542
00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:55,400
had a lot of success playing these first half unders

543
00:27:55,400 --> 00:27:57,920
in these playoff games in the certain situations.

544
00:27:58,200 --> 00:27:58,839
Speaker 3: And again with.

545
00:27:58,799 --> 00:28:02,599
Speaker 2: These two defenses, I'm going to play first quarter under now,

546
00:28:02,920 --> 00:28:06,039
dret listen to this split. DraftKings has seven and a

547
00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:10,400
half minus one fifteen. FanDuel has nine and a half

548
00:28:10,519 --> 00:28:13,599
at plus one oh five. You're talking about a two

549
00:28:13,599 --> 00:28:16,440
and a half point different with twenty cents juice if

550
00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:19,880
you have a FanDuel account versus a Draft Kings account.

551
00:28:20,200 --> 00:28:24,559
In the first quarter this season, Miami has one over,

552
00:28:25,440 --> 00:28:30,680
thirteen unders, and one push. In their last twelve games

553
00:28:30,720 --> 00:28:35,640
in the first quarter, Miami has zero overs, eleven unders,

554
00:28:35,640 --> 00:28:41,039
and one push Indiana first quarter the last six weeks

555
00:28:41,359 --> 00:28:45,000
they're one five and one over under. And while they

556
00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:48,759
did go over the first quarter last game, let's remember this,

557
00:28:49,920 --> 00:28:53,960
they basically were shut out Indiana. Excuse me, Oregon handed

558
00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:57,559
them two touchdowns for them to score fourteen points for

559
00:28:57,640 --> 00:29:01,480
that first quarter to go over. Slow start, immense pressure,

560
00:29:02,000 --> 00:29:04,799
both teams having loud fan bases to have the fight

561
00:29:04,839 --> 00:29:08,839
with under first quarter for me seven and a half

562
00:29:08,839 --> 00:29:11,839
at DraftKings, nine and a half at Fandle.

563
00:29:12,920 --> 00:29:16,680
Speaker 1: All right, so that's one best bet in Ralph likes

564
00:29:16,720 --> 00:29:22,519
the first quarter under Ross. Now Ralph is handing the

565
00:29:22,519 --> 00:29:23,960
ball to you and saying there's not going to be

566
00:29:23,960 --> 00:29:26,440
a lot of points scoring to let the first fifteen minutes,

567
00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:28,880
what about the second fifteen minutes? And then as we

568
00:29:28,960 --> 00:29:31,119
head into the break the first half total? How are

569
00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:32,799
you looking at that one? I think we love it.

570
00:29:33,119 --> 00:29:37,799
Speaker 5: If Rulph is correct, which he is most of the time,

571
00:29:38,359 --> 00:29:40,920
then I feel pretty good about my pick. You know,

572
00:29:41,000 --> 00:29:43,640
before I get to that real quick, guys, Brian, I

573
00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:46,000
appreciate you. I think you know there's a lot of

574
00:29:46,039 --> 00:29:49,319
great hosts over at wager talk dot com, but for

575
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:53,279
this specific format, I couldn't think of a.

576
00:29:53,160 --> 00:29:55,880
Speaker 4: Better host to work with. Thank you, and Ralph.

577
00:29:56,279 --> 00:29:59,279
Speaker 5: I tease you, I break your hump and all that

578
00:29:59,359 --> 00:30:02,880
which You're a true legend in this business. And it's

579
00:30:02,880 --> 00:30:05,799
been an absolute joy to work with both of you

580
00:30:05,839 --> 00:30:09,160
guys throughout the course of the college football season, and

581
00:30:09,200 --> 00:30:12,599
hopefully we could do it again next year. So let's

582
00:30:12,599 --> 00:30:15,160
get right to my pick. It's the total twenty three

583
00:30:15,200 --> 00:30:17,759
and a half in the first half and pretty much

584
00:30:17,799 --> 00:30:23,079
across the board wherever you're looking or shopping at. Again,

585
00:30:23,160 --> 00:30:26,079
I mentioned this last week, and it's worth mentioning again.

586
00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:30,799
Miami went under the first half total in thirteen of

587
00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:36,880
fifteen games this year, so in those games averaged twenty

588
00:30:37,039 --> 00:30:42,759
points scored per game at halftime. And in addition, if

589
00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:46,200
Miami was facing a team that allows one hundred and

590
00:30:46,279 --> 00:30:51,000
twenty yards or less rushing per game, which Indiana allows

591
00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:55,480
his seventy five yards rushing per game, they played six

592
00:30:55,519 --> 00:30:58,880
and zero to the under against the first half total

593
00:30:58,960 --> 00:31:02,839
in those contests, and also in the playoffs this year,

594
00:31:03,839 --> 00:31:08,079
their three playoff games have averaged a combined fourteen point

595
00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:14,119
six points per game scoreded first half action. Also, Indiana

596
00:31:14,359 --> 00:31:17,000
five and one to the under against the first half

597
00:31:17,039 --> 00:31:21,960
total in either away or neutral site games against explosive

598
00:31:22,039 --> 00:31:25,240
offenses that average thirty one points or more per game,

599
00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:28,960
and Miami certainly qualifies in that regard. This is an

600
00:31:29,039 --> 00:31:32,519
Indiana team that's allowed a combined seven points in the

601
00:31:32,599 --> 00:31:37,119
first half of their two playoff games against Alabama and Oregon.

602
00:31:37,240 --> 00:31:42,039
Think about that, a combined seven points allowed against two

603
00:31:42,079 --> 00:31:47,160
opponents that are explosive offensive teams like Alabama and Oregon,

604
00:31:47,319 --> 00:31:51,920
and Miami has allowed just to combined thirteen points in

605
00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:55,240
the first half of their first three playoff games and

606
00:31:55,319 --> 00:31:58,559
against pretty good competition in A and m Ohio State

607
00:31:58,599 --> 00:32:01,759
and Ole Miss. So I'm going to go under the

608
00:32:01,799 --> 00:32:04,799
first half total here, guys. I hope Ralph is right

609
00:32:04,920 --> 00:32:08,240
because if he's under the half or first quarter total,

610
00:32:09,799 --> 00:32:12,519
it leads me in the right direction to have a

611
00:32:12,559 --> 00:32:15,599
winning ticket on under twenty three and a half first

612
00:32:15,599 --> 00:32:19,359
half total in the Miami Indiana National Championship game.

613
00:32:20,440 --> 00:32:24,480
Speaker 1: Under first quarter, under first half. There you go. We

614
00:32:24,519 --> 00:32:28,079
think it's going to be a low scoring start Monday

615
00:32:28,160 --> 00:32:32,119
night in Miami. Smash that like button. If you agree,

616
00:32:32,480 --> 00:32:34,920
feel free to comment down below with how you're betting

617
00:32:34,960 --> 00:32:39,200
the total as well. I will have one play at

618
00:32:39,279 --> 00:32:42,200
least on Monday's championship game. We're golf to a nice

619
00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:44,240
start this week, perfect three and all the last two

620
00:32:44,319 --> 00:32:48,359
days in hoops reminder twenty six and fourteen college football

621
00:32:48,440 --> 00:32:50,519
run and honestly, it should be a lot better. I

622
00:32:50,559 --> 00:32:52,559
had one of the worst losers I've ever had. I'm

623
00:32:52,559 --> 00:32:55,720
gonna admit this right now on the Indiana Oregon game.

624
00:32:55,920 --> 00:32:58,319
I was the only person rooting for Indiana that somehow lost.

625
00:32:58,359 --> 00:33:01,359
On that game, I had Oregon under twenty one and

626
00:33:01,359 --> 00:33:03,400
a half points and they scored twenty two thanks to

627
00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:05,519
that two point conversion. I was to say that I

628
00:33:05,559 --> 00:33:07,839
was upset on Friday night would be putting it mildly.

629
00:33:07,920 --> 00:33:10,279
But that's okay. We've bounced back by I said three

630
00:33:10,319 --> 00:33:12,680
in o last two days, and we're gonna see it well.

631
00:33:12,680 --> 00:33:17,119
We're gonna close up the season strong. And I don't

632
00:33:17,160 --> 00:33:18,799
think you guys in the chat are gonna like this

633
00:33:18,880 --> 00:33:20,759
play that I have to rune our best bet. I'm

634
00:33:20,759 --> 00:33:23,319
gonna preface it with that it is a player prop.

635
00:33:23,839 --> 00:33:25,880
I see some people already who I think are thinking

636
00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:28,440
the opposite, But that's okay. I've always walked against the wind.

637
00:33:28,480 --> 00:33:31,319
I've always marched the beat of my own drum. I'm

638
00:33:31,359 --> 00:33:35,759
taking a look at Fernando Mendoza under sixteen and a

639
00:33:35,799 --> 00:33:38,079
half rushing yards for the game. Now, this bet would

640
00:33:38,079 --> 00:33:40,880
seem to be pretty insane, guys, given that Mendoza has

641
00:33:40,920 --> 00:33:44,039
gone over this number in eleven to fifteen games the season. Fuck,

642
00:33:44,079 --> 00:33:47,079
consider the following Trinidad Chamblis, the ole Miss quarterback. He

643
00:33:47,079 --> 00:33:49,440
finished with only seven yard rushing against this Miami defense

644
00:33:49,480 --> 00:33:52,319
in the semi final. Outside of this one seventy three

645
00:33:52,359 --> 00:33:55,200
yard run by Keiwan Lacy, all Miss range for just

646
00:33:55,240 --> 00:33:59,039
forty eight yards the rest of the game. However, Interestingly enough,

647
00:33:59,079 --> 00:34:02,039
and this was I think the big takeaway for me

648
00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:05,079
watching Miami ole Miss, and it's something that I don't

649
00:34:05,079 --> 00:34:07,920
know if it's got enough play in the analysis for

650
00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:12,400
the championship game, Chambliss had more time to throw than

651
00:34:12,800 --> 00:34:16,000
all of us anticipated against this Miami defense and ole Miss.

652
00:34:16,840 --> 00:34:18,920
These guys laid out the yardage earlier on. Ole Miss

653
00:34:18,960 --> 00:34:22,760
was very successful in the passing game. Indiana, as we

654
00:34:22,800 --> 00:34:24,840
all know, has a better offensive line than all Miss,

655
00:34:24,920 --> 00:34:27,400
and thus I think it's gonna hold up well here.

656
00:34:27,599 --> 00:34:30,199
That means two things, what Mendoz is gonna have time

657
00:34:30,199 --> 00:34:32,519
to throw, and two he's not gonna need to take

658
00:34:32,519 --> 00:34:35,079
off and run as much. Similar to ole Miss. I

659
00:34:35,119 --> 00:34:37,440
think it's through the air where the Indiana offense has

660
00:34:37,440 --> 00:34:40,480
most of its success in this game. Conversely, let's remember

661
00:34:40,679 --> 00:34:43,679
it's college sack yardage goes against the rushing total, So

662
00:34:43,719 --> 00:34:46,440
if the Miami pass rush is getting home by some chance,

663
00:34:46,920 --> 00:34:49,320
that's another reason to like the under on this prop.

664
00:34:49,400 --> 00:34:52,960
So regardless of game script, guys, I like Fernando Mendoza

665
00:34:53,400 --> 00:34:56,159
under sixteen and a half rush yards. Somebody agrees with me.

666
00:34:56,199 --> 00:34:59,800
This number actually open eighteen and a half. So there

667
00:34:59,800 --> 00:35:02,320
you I'm not alone after all. You know what Brian

668
00:35:02,599 --> 00:35:03,639
I was looking at.

669
00:35:03,719 --> 00:35:05,920
Speaker 2: I was thinking sack props, and I was thinking I

670
00:35:05,960 --> 00:35:08,679
was going to take Mendoza under, right, because you watch

671
00:35:08,760 --> 00:35:11,360
this kid. He is so smart, he knows how to audible,

672
00:35:11,400 --> 00:35:14,000
he gets the ball out so quick. So I was

673
00:35:14,039 --> 00:35:17,840
actually shocked when I looked. You look at Indiana's last

674
00:35:17,880 --> 00:35:22,280
six games. He was sacked three times against Alabama, he

675
00:35:22,360 --> 00:35:25,480
was sacked three times against Ohio State, he was sacked

676
00:35:25,559 --> 00:35:28,360
five times against Wisconsin, and he was sacked.

677
00:35:28,119 --> 00:35:29,519
Speaker 3: Three times against Penn State.

678
00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:33,039
Speaker 2: That actually shocked me because watching him, I don't have

679
00:35:33,159 --> 00:35:35,320
that thought process in my head that he was sacked

680
00:35:35,360 --> 00:35:37,719
that many times against those good teams.

681
00:35:38,079 --> 00:35:38,280
Speaker 3: You know.

682
00:35:38,320 --> 00:35:40,559
Speaker 2: But again, you watch him last week against Oregon and

683
00:35:40,599 --> 00:35:44,119
he just you know, I'll tell you what.

684
00:35:44,320 --> 00:35:44,679
Speaker 3: I thought.

685
00:35:44,719 --> 00:35:46,440
Speaker 2: The kid was sort of fake, and I wasn't a

686
00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:49,480
fan early. The more and more I read about this kid, listen,

687
00:35:49,840 --> 00:35:52,920
he is brilliant. He is almost like mensa brilliant, He

688
00:35:53,039 --> 00:35:55,880
studies things. He knew everybody's players when he came here.

689
00:35:56,199 --> 00:35:59,840
He is a smart athletic quarterback that has every skill set.

690
00:36:00,159 --> 00:36:02,639
Speaker 3: He deserves to gut it. Well, he doesn't, let me

691
00:36:02,679 --> 00:36:04,599
say this. He doesn't deserve to go.

692
00:36:04,599 --> 00:36:07,320
Speaker 1: To the Las Vegas Raiders, but he does deserve.

693
00:36:07,000 --> 00:36:08,000
Speaker 3: To be the number one back.

694
00:36:08,079 --> 00:36:11,599
Speaker 5: So how he's got the best looking mother in college football?

695
00:36:13,760 --> 00:36:18,119
Speaker 4: Crown for Jackson Dart's mother last year. I'll tell you.

696
00:36:18,440 --> 00:36:21,800
Speaker 1: Love to get Ross's mother rankings through the years. Here

697
00:36:21,840 --> 00:36:22,719
on the program.

698
00:36:23,760 --> 00:36:26,960
Speaker 4: Handicap ticket sales. I'm going to handicap the way the

699
00:36:27,039 --> 00:36:27,960
mothers look so.

700
00:36:27,920 --> 00:36:30,880
Speaker 2: All right, how about this? How many times did we

701
00:36:31,000 --> 00:36:34,039
have to drink a shot every time they would show

702
00:36:34,119 --> 00:36:37,199
TESTI Verdi's dad on TV back in the eighties at

703
00:36:37,199 --> 00:36:41,119
the up.

704
00:36:39,880 --> 00:36:43,480
Speaker 5: Game had to stop watching his games when he went

705
00:36:43,519 --> 00:36:45,639
to the Browns because he had a heart attack during

706
00:36:45,639 --> 00:36:46,519
the game, didn't.

707
00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:49,239
Speaker 1: He's right, that's right, Yes, that is a truth. That

708
00:36:49,320 --> 00:36:52,079
is absolutely a true story. Yes, that's a true story.

709
00:36:53,480 --> 00:37:00,199
So I remember Bubby Brister's mom back in the day

710
00:37:00,039 --> 00:37:02,840
a lot. If you're a Cleveland Browns fan, you remember

711
00:37:02,880 --> 00:37:05,440
playing the Steelers. They always show Bubby's mom. All right,

712
00:37:06,719 --> 00:37:09,920
is there any go ahead rawsom sorry Bobby.

713
00:37:09,639 --> 00:37:13,599
Speaker 5: Brister oo nostalgia we're going after today?

714
00:37:14,199 --> 00:37:14,440
Speaker 4: Yes?

715
00:37:14,960 --> 00:37:16,440
Speaker 1: Or let me just go through the questions here. You

716
00:37:16,440 --> 00:37:17,960
guys have been so loyal again. I would just like

717
00:37:17,960 --> 00:37:20,199
to echo the sentiments that Ralph and Ross laid out.

718
00:37:20,360 --> 00:37:22,199
It's been a pleasure to work with these And by

719
00:37:22,239 --> 00:37:23,599
the way you've learned.

720
00:37:23,760 --> 00:37:28,800
Speaker 2: Awb four, Uh, neil downs are not a sack. If

721
00:37:28,840 --> 00:37:31,400
it's a if it's an a legitimate Neil down, that

722
00:37:31,440 --> 00:37:33,360
does not count of sack and does not go against

723
00:37:33,400 --> 00:37:34,519
the negative rush records.

724
00:37:35,239 --> 00:37:38,679
Speaker 1: Yes, but oh yeah, absolutely so. And then one last

725
00:37:38,679 --> 00:37:41,039
thing here uh where was the court there was a

726
00:37:41,039 --> 00:37:42,440
good because we were talking about when you were talking

727
00:37:42,440 --> 00:37:44,920
about beckham mondol Oh, here it is Seth. Seth is

728
00:37:44,920 --> 00:37:47,719
one of our loyal viewers here on wager Talk TV.

729
00:37:48,159 --> 00:37:50,360
Wouldn't it make more sense for Beck to have more

730
00:37:50,400 --> 00:37:53,000
passing yards if they're supposed to be down by two scores?

731
00:37:53,079 --> 00:37:55,639
So if the game script that a lot of people

732
00:37:55,679 --> 00:37:59,960
are banking on here that Indiana is leading, do we

733
00:38:00,159 --> 00:38:04,360
think that necessarily translates into Beck having more passing yards

734
00:38:04,400 --> 00:38:07,840
a lot more attempts? Certain different trailing, But do you

735
00:38:07,880 --> 00:38:09,800
guys have anything to come up to mean.

736
00:38:09,719 --> 00:38:12,920
Speaker 5: While you look at Indiana's only allowing seventy five yards

737
00:38:12,920 --> 00:38:16,320
per game on the ground, I said that hopefully, you know,

738
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:19,639
they don't become one dimensional Miami if they can't run

739
00:38:19,679 --> 00:38:22,199
the ball. And you think that Miami's going to have

740
00:38:22,599 --> 00:38:26,440
little success if any running the ball, then yeah, I

741
00:38:26,440 --> 00:38:30,320
think that you would need to look at Beck's passing props.

742
00:38:30,320 --> 00:38:33,920
But you know, I'm not a prop guy, so you know,

743
00:38:34,000 --> 00:38:38,760
and Carson Beck to me, the guy, is he more

744
00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:42,000
talented than Mendoza? No, I don't think so, but he's

745
00:38:42,039 --> 00:38:44,000
been in a lot of big games going back to

746
00:38:44,119 --> 00:38:45,360
his Georgia days.

747
00:38:46,440 --> 00:38:46,639
Speaker 3: You know.

748
00:38:46,800 --> 00:38:51,719
Speaker 2: And Brian maybe this, you know, maybe you know again

749
00:38:52,000 --> 00:38:54,519
we're we're picking hairs here and I'm talking about fun

750
00:38:54,559 --> 00:38:58,440
bets only. But if your thought process is that if

751
00:38:58,480 --> 00:39:02,960
Miami is trailing, Beck will get his yards, should you

752
00:39:02,960 --> 00:39:05,519
bet Indiana first half so they are trailing to get Beck?

753
00:39:05,599 --> 00:39:05,800
Speaker 4: Do it?

754
00:39:05,920 --> 00:39:08,119
Speaker 3: Or do you want to hedge it, bet Miami first.

755
00:39:08,519 --> 00:39:09,119
It's a lot of.

756
00:39:09,360 --> 00:39:11,239
Speaker 2: Projections, but there are a lot of guys that you

757
00:39:11,239 --> 00:39:13,079
can find value if you want to.

758
00:39:13,079 --> 00:39:15,159
Speaker 3: Bold multiple multiple multiple.

759
00:39:14,920 --> 00:39:17,000
Speaker 2: A lot of work in that I don't find the

760
00:39:17,079 --> 00:39:19,159
value of spending in the time to try to do that.

761
00:39:19,480 --> 00:39:21,280
Speaker 3: But that's the way you sort of have to play

762
00:39:21,280 --> 00:39:21,719
out the game.

763
00:39:21,719 --> 00:39:23,920
Speaker 2: If you're going to bet props, make sure you're playing

764
00:39:23,920 --> 00:39:26,000
out the game in your head and see if there's

765
00:39:26,000 --> 00:39:29,159
any bets getting to that situation that can benefit or

766
00:39:29,159 --> 00:39:31,559
hedge for you, or find a better way to do it,

767
00:39:31,599 --> 00:39:32,159
you know, you know.

768
00:39:32,199 --> 00:39:34,440
Speaker 3: One example was this, you.

769
00:39:34,360 --> 00:39:37,079
Speaker 2: Know, you know, Ross and I both gave out the

770
00:39:37,199 --> 00:39:39,559
under right and I think the money line on Miami

771
00:39:39,679 --> 00:39:41,039
was plus two seventy five.

772
00:39:41,760 --> 00:39:42,880
Speaker 3: But I found something.

773
00:39:43,000 --> 00:39:45,239
Speaker 2: If you think there's gonna be some points and you

774
00:39:45,400 --> 00:39:48,480
like Miami on the money line, you can get Miami

775
00:39:48,559 --> 00:39:52,280
at plus five hundred to win the game and both

776
00:39:52,360 --> 00:39:55,199
teams to score twenty points or more. So that's not

777
00:39:55,320 --> 00:39:57,360
asking much more to get a money line from plus

778
00:39:57,360 --> 00:39:59,239
two to seventy five all the way to plus five

779
00:39:59,320 --> 00:40:02,519
hundred both teams to score twenty points. So if you

780
00:40:02,559 --> 00:40:05,000
find something you like, don't stop there. There may be

781
00:40:05,039 --> 00:40:07,559
a subset or an additional thing that you can add

782
00:40:07,800 --> 00:40:09,800
to even give you more value.

783
00:40:10,000 --> 00:40:13,960
Speaker 1: A lot of correlated bets. Indeed, all right, guys, I

784
00:40:14,039 --> 00:40:16,920
think we're gonna wrap up Ralph, you want to give

785
00:40:16,960 --> 00:40:19,440
them that coupon code one more time as our way

786
00:40:19,480 --> 00:40:21,079
to say thanks to everyone who's tuned into the show

787
00:40:21,119 --> 00:40:21,480
all year.

788
00:40:21,800 --> 00:40:27,800
Speaker 2: Thanks five zero th an Ks five zero, Ross, Bryan

789
00:40:27,920 --> 00:40:31,320
or I. Anything you buy from us three hundred dollars

790
00:40:31,400 --> 00:40:34,719
or less each purchase. Again, you could buy a month

791
00:40:34,719 --> 00:40:37,519
for three hundred, another month for three hundred, and another

792
00:40:37,559 --> 00:40:39,639
month for three hundred just to give you a little

793
00:40:39,679 --> 00:40:42,079
chief code there to get a ninety day package for

794
00:40:42,159 --> 00:40:46,920
the price of six months. But thanks fifty any player

795
00:40:47,000 --> 00:40:50,880
package any of us have through the National Championship game

796
00:40:51,199 --> 00:40:54,880
on Monday our way of saying truly thank you for

797
00:40:54,920 --> 00:40:56,079
being fans of the Blitz.

798
00:40:56,480 --> 00:40:58,960
Speaker 1: Yes, thanks to everyone who tuned in live. If there's

799
00:40:58,960 --> 00:41:03,360
something you forgot to ask, feel free to ask the obviously.

800
00:41:03,360 --> 00:41:05,360
This video will be posted the Wage talk to YouTube channel.

801
00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:07,920
If you're catching us on replay, you can comment as well.

802
00:41:07,960 --> 00:41:11,039
We'll be checking the comments section obviously all the way

803
00:41:11,119 --> 00:41:15,440
up until pickoff on Monday. All right, I guess the

804
00:41:15,480 --> 00:41:18,639
final edition of the Blitz is in the books across Ralph.

805
00:41:18,679 --> 00:41:22,559
It has been my pleasure to everyone to watch. Thank

806
00:41:22,599 --> 00:41:26,679
you very much back next season. Until then, let's cash

807
00:41:26,760 --> 00:41:27,480
that one more ticket

