WEBVTT

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Three Martini Lunch.

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<v Speaker 2>Grab a stool next to Greg Corumbus of Radio America

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<v Speaker 2>and Jim Garrity of National Review.

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<v Speaker 1>Free martinis coming up.

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<v Speaker 3>Hey, really glad you're with us for the Tuesday edition

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<v Speaker 3>of the Three Martini Lunch. So much to get to

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<v Speaker 3>Today we're going to dive into and yes, it's a

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<v Speaker 3>midterm election yere now, so we're going to be looking

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<v Speaker 3>at some of these races, the race to replace Jerry

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<v Speaker 3>Nadler in New York's twelfth Congressional district, which is basically

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<v Speaker 3>part of Manhattan. And today we'll be looking at the

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<v Speaker 3>likely candidacy of former GOP lawyer turned Lincoln project fill

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<v Speaker 3>in your adjective there, George Conway, former husband of Kelly

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<v Speaker 3>and Conway will also be taking a look at, sadly,

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<v Speaker 3>the death of a GOP member of Congress and not

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<v Speaker 3>only a little bit about his record, but what that

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<v Speaker 3>does to the margins in the House of Representatives, which

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<v Speaker 3>are getting tighter and tighter. And we'll be starting with

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<v Speaker 3>a look at Iran protests there and whether there's real

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<v Speaker 3>hope of actual meaningful change there. So, Jim again, another

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<v Speaker 3>big day as we get going here, in twenty twenty six.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, I've long since stopped expecting slow news days,

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<v Speaker 4>but you kind of be curious if they could have one,

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<v Speaker 4>And apparently we won't have one ever ever again.

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<v Speaker 3>Your new year can also get off to a rip

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<v Speaker 3>And so when it comes to twenty twenty six in

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<v Speaker 3>for your business, it's wild how much the basic stuff matters,

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<v Speaker 3>like how you talk to customers and keep your teams

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<v Speaker 3>All right, Jim, let's look over at Iran now and

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<v Speaker 3>over the break. You wrote about this in the morning jolt,

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<v Speaker 3>but we've also seen protests there and those protests are expanding.

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<v Speaker 3>The BBC out just today with it updates, saying that

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<v Speaker 3>protests have broken out in at least seventeen of Iran's

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<v Speaker 3>thirty one provinces, presenting the largest challenge to the country's

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<v Speaker 3>clerical establishment. That's the BBC terminology since twenty twenty two.

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<v Speaker 3>The BBC's analysis of protests and fod's only those for

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<v Speaker 3>which we have verified video footage. The true number is

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<v Speaker 3>almost certainly far higher, because there are reports of protests

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<v Speaker 3>and at least eleven more provinces. The wave of protests

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<v Speaker 3>has spread rapidly across the Ran since December twenty eighth,

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<v Speaker 3>when anger initially broke out in Tehran following a fresh

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<v Speaker 3>and sharp devaluation of the country's currency against the dollar

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<v Speaker 3>and other major foreign currencies, and So, Jim, when you

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<v Speaker 3>wrote about this last week, I think we have inflation

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<v Speaker 3>issues in this country, and we do. You point out,

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<v Speaker 3>and you're actually quoting a guy from the Foundation for

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<v Speaker 3>the Defensive Democracies that when Komani came into power in

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<v Speaker 3>nineteen seventy nine, one dollar got you seventy rials. Now

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<v Speaker 3>the same dollar gets you one million, one hundred and

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<v Speaker 3>thirty thousand reals, a sixteen thousandfold difference in its price

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<v Speaker 3>from nineteen seventy nine. So it's understandable why people are upset,

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<v Speaker 3>especially when they realize that their government is far more

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<v Speaker 3>focused on lining their own pockets and killing infidels and

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<v Speaker 3>actually helping their own people.

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<v Speaker 4>We just went through a couple of years ago, twenty

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<v Speaker 4>twenty two, inflation in the United States year over year

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<v Speaker 4>reached a point of about nine percent, and that was painful.

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<v Speaker 4>People hated it. Right. I went and I looked up

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<v Speaker 4>the very worst we've had since nineteen sixty was in

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<v Speaker 4>nineteen eighty Jimmy Carter's last year in office, thirteen point

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<v Speaker 4>five percent. Right, So that's our top level of how

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<v Speaker 4>bad it gets. And you know, the irradiance went four

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<v Speaker 4>to five times that and Unsurprisingly, people who may not

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<v Speaker 4>automatically be the most inclined towards revolutionary attitudes or most

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<v Speaker 4>inclined to get angry at the government. Their life savings

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<v Speaker 4>are disappearing. The value of the money that they hold

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<v Speaker 4>is growing worthless. I was talking about this, this report

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<v Speaker 4>by a gentleman from the Foundation for Defense and Democracies,

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<v Speaker 4>said guest Cinema Jod. I'm hoping I'm pronouncing that correctly.

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<v Speaker 4>He'd actually written his report back in November, and it

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<v Speaker 4>was just clairvoyant. It was just talking about, Hey, the

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<v Speaker 4>number in the Iranian economy are really really bad. We're

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<v Speaker 4>used to them being bad. We're used to them being

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<v Speaker 4>bad because the sanctions, price of oil, things like that.

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<v Speaker 4>This is much much worse. And he says, this is

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<v Speaker 4>really a structural problem. Decades of corruption, decades of sending

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<v Speaker 4>money to every terrorist group in the Middle East, arms expenditures,

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<v Speaker 4>not building infrastructure, not building the sorts of things that

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<v Speaker 4>actually help your public. It has finally caught up to

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<v Speaker 4>the Iranian most and there are no simple solutions here.

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<v Speaker 4>People might be thinking, well, why is this the good Martinia? Well,

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<v Speaker 4>is really terrible that the Iranian people are suffering in

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<v Speaker 4>this way, and if you're looking at these protests and

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<v Speaker 4>you're saying, I feel like I've seen this movie before.

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<v Speaker 4>We've seen uprising in the past. Really almost like every

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<v Speaker 4>couple of years. It seems like there's been one Green

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<v Speaker 4>revolution back in two thousand and nine that Obama did

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<v Speaker 4>not support. You later said he regretted it arab spring.

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<v Speaker 4>We've seen a bunch of times where people get upset

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<v Speaker 4>and get in the streets. Almost every time, the regime

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<v Speaker 4>comes out, shoots a bunch of people and suppresses the uprising,

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<v Speaker 4>suppresses the descent. I don't know if that's going to

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<v Speaker 4>work this time, or even if it does. Okay, you

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<v Speaker 4>have just shot a lot of people. You've killed a

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<v Speaker 4>lot of people through sheer force and brutality. You've knocked

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<v Speaker 4>them down. You're still left with the economic problems, meaning

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<v Speaker 4>that the only thing that could actually improve the average

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<v Speaker 4>life of the average ranean would require giant structural reforms

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<v Speaker 4>on the part of the regime that they're not really

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<v Speaker 4>willing to do. You'd have to become more of a

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<v Speaker 4>free market economy. You would need to have a lot

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<v Speaker 4>more free public expression of descent. It's very hard to

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<v Speaker 4>change government policy if you can't criticize the government, and

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<v Speaker 4>you know, they've now hit that brick wall, and these

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<v Speaker 4>are problems that have accumulated for decades. So the good

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<v Speaker 4>news is the Iranian regime is going to like however

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<v Speaker 4>this immediate uprising shakes out, They're going to have these

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<v Speaker 4>big structural problems for a long long time. Does this

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<v Speaker 4>mean that they're you know, Iran is no longer a

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<v Speaker 4>potential threat to any of its neighbors. No. I mean

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<v Speaker 4>they still have that military, they still have that terrorist

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<v Speaker 4>proxies and all of that. But if you looked at this,

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<v Speaker 4>you would basically say that the Iranian regime is probably

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<v Speaker 4>less stable than it's ever been before. There was a

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<v Speaker 4>report in the London Times that there's a British intelligence

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<v Speaker 4>report that the Ayatola is preparing plans to go to

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<v Speaker 4>Moscow if this uprising does not go the way he wants.

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<v Speaker 4>Put as much stock in that as you feel necessary.

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<v Speaker 4>He'd be kind of foolish to not have plans like that.

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<v Speaker 4>I just kind of wonder Greg if he's going to

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<v Speaker 4>end up as a roommate of Bashirasav, the former dictator

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<v Speaker 4>of Syria.

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<v Speaker 3>Don't forget Edward Snowden this could be a reality show.

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<v Speaker 3>They're all kind of hunkering down there.

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<v Speaker 4>They're going to form a sitcom. Two bedrooms, one bath.

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<v Speaker 4>I've been using that joke for a while and it

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<v Speaker 4>always works every time. You have to understand the Baphist

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<v Speaker 4>party of Syria to get that joke.

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<v Speaker 1>But anyway, yes, exactly.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, it's a clue that you're not a real

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<v Speaker 3>popular regime when Israel is bombing you and people are

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<v Speaker 3>having parties on their rooftops to celebrate it. That's not

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<v Speaker 3>probably how the Malas expected people to react to Israel

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<v Speaker 3>attacking Iran last year, but it's what happened into ran

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<v Speaker 3>in other places. I'm not saying it's universal the reaction,

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<v Speaker 3>but let's just say that they're not a popular punch there.

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<v Speaker 4>And saying aim over there.

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<v Speaker 3>So yeah, and basically Israel saying you know, we know

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<v Speaker 3>where you were. You were here and then you went there,

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<v Speaker 3>and then you went there. I totally commany. So we

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<v Speaker 3>could have taken you out, but decided not to, basically

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<v Speaker 3>at the best of President Trump.

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<v Speaker 1>But we will see.

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<v Speaker 3>You're right that we've had a ton of protests that

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<v Speaker 3>have not ended the way we would have liked.

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<v Speaker 1>A lot of repression, a lot of death.

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<v Speaker 3>They eventually cracked down, but we will see eventually people

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<v Speaker 3>are just fed up to the point where they won't

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<v Speaker 3>even care about that, and we'll see if we're at

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<v Speaker 3>that point. But kudos to the people of Iran trying

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<v Speaker 3>to get their lives back. All right, Well, let's talk

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<v Speaker 3>about another important part of your business, and that's keeping

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<v Speaker 3>the books straight. You know, it's hard enough to have

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<v Speaker 3>all the accounts, payable and receivable lineup, but when you've

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<v Speaker 3>got people out in the field and they're buying supplies

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<v Speaker 3>and and gassing up a company vehicles and then they've

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<v Speaker 3>got pockets full of receipts, it can get really really complicated.

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<v Speaker 3>So let's fix all that with Coast Pay. Cost Pay

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<v Speaker 3>All right, Jim, onto our bad Martini now and this

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<v Speaker 3>is very sad, bad Martini. California Congressman Doug Lameltha has

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<v Speaker 3>passed away at the age of sixty five. He represented

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<v Speaker 3>California's first congressional district, first elected there in twenty twelve.

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<v Speaker 3>A very strong conservative record had north of an eighty

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<v Speaker 3>percent approval rating from the American Conservative Union, very strong

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<v Speaker 3>on social conservative issues and pretty much down the line

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<v Speaker 3>conservative on a lot of different things. Passing away at

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<v Speaker 3>the age of sixty five, I have not yet seen

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<v Speaker 3>a cause of death. Yesterday, of course, was the resignation

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<v Speaker 3>of Marjorie Taylor Green of Georgia, and so right now

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<v Speaker 3>the margin in the House is at eighteen to two

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<v Speaker 3>thirteen in favor of Republicans. But we've also gotten word

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<v Speaker 3>that Indiana Congressman Jim Baird is in the hospital after

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<v Speaker 3>a car wreck. So right now there are two hundred

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<v Speaker 3>and seventeen votes available for Republicans, and the next two

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<v Speaker 3>vacancies to be filled will be that one down in

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<v Speaker 3>Texas that's been vacant for almost a year after the

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<v Speaker 3>death of Sylvester Turner. That's a deep blue district. It

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<v Speaker 3>is most expected to be won by a Democrat. And

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<v Speaker 3>the next one up will be in April and New Jersey,

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<v Speaker 3>as voters there replaced Mikey Cheryl who was elected governor

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<v Speaker 3>back in November. Most likely that will be a Democratic hold,

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<v Speaker 3>and that'll be two eighteen to two fifteen before we

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<v Speaker 3>get to Georgia and California. Now California will have a

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<v Speaker 3>special election since this death occurred before the end of

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<v Speaker 3>the filing deadline for the next election, so it will

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<v Speaker 3>be held under the old map. Don't know what this

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<v Speaker 3>district looks like under the gerrymandered map, but it doesn't

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<v Speaker 3>look better for Conservatives, that's for sure. So Jim obviously

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<v Speaker 3>condolences first and foremost to the family and the colleagues

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<v Speaker 3>of Congressman LaMalfa, who by all accounts was a good

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<v Speaker 3>guy and voted the right way on the vast majority

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<v Speaker 3>of issues. But the math was already complicated on the

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<v Speaker 3>House side of Capitol Hill, and it's not getting better.

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<v Speaker 4>I was going to say, is a sad fact of

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<v Speaker 4>life that every cycle a couple members of Congress pass away.

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<v Speaker 4>Sometimes it's because of age, sometimes it's because of unfortunate

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<v Speaker 4>you know, health issues or other problems. And so this

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<v Speaker 4>is another one of those sad cases. If you'd said

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<v Speaker 4>to me which member of the GOP House of Representatives

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<v Speaker 4>is going to end up in a car accident, I

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<v Speaker 4>might not have picked the occagenarian kind. I just didn't

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<v Speaker 4>figure he'd be a draged, a street racer type. But nonetheless,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, hoping he makes a quick recovery. But that's

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<v Speaker 4>these things happen. You end up in a circumstance where

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<v Speaker 4>somebody is surgery, somebody's recovery. You know, it's just one

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<v Speaker 4>of those things. The House of Representatives was already tight,

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<v Speaker 4>tight control you and I have lamented over the years.

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<v Speaker 4>These things happen if you have a health issue in yourself,

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<v Speaker 4>health issue for your family, and you have no choice

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<v Speaker 4>but to resign your office. Okay, you know, we understand

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<v Speaker 4>if you resign your office because you've decided it just

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<v Speaker 4>you just don't like the job anymore, and you don't

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<v Speaker 4>want to deal with it, and you're really upset that

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<v Speaker 4>the President has ripped into you, as Marjorie Tyler Green did.

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<v Speaker 4>We are much less sympathetic because you signed on, you

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<v Speaker 4>campaigned for this job. You effectively promised to your constituents,

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<v Speaker 4>I'm going to represent you in Congress for the next

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<v Speaker 4>two years, come hell or high water. I don't begrudge

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<v Speaker 4>Marjorie Taylor Green being upset that the President denounced her

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<v Speaker 4>furiously and turned on her for what she thought were

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<v Speaker 4>some very reasonable minor disagreements. I either released of the

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<v Speaker 4>Epstein files. She thinks he's not he's forgotten America first,

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<v Speaker 4>et cetera. Look, I'm sure it stinks to have the

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<v Speaker 4>President of the United States denounce you on truth social

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<v Speaker 4>and she said she got a million threats and you

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<v Speaker 4>know that's really terrible. But you swore an oath to

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<v Speaker 4>serve in this position. Like, it's not like this suddenly

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<v Speaker 4>come up. Oh it's a two year term. Oh wait

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<v Speaker 4>a second, you didn't tell it. You've been in Congress

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<v Speaker 4>for several years. You know exactly what this is. If

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<v Speaker 4>you want to say, you know what, I'm not going

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<v Speaker 4>to run for reelection, do you want to pull a

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<v Speaker 4>Tim Walls, That's fine, you're entitled to do that. But

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<v Speaker 4>to quit halfway through the term, everyone's while. You've had

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<v Speaker 4>a guy who people who leave because they want to

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<v Speaker 4>take a private sector job, and I'm sitting they're thinking like, well,

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<v Speaker 4>I'm sorry, Like did you not do you not look

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<v Speaker 4>the fine print of serve members of It's right there

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<v Speaker 4>in the Constitution. This really shouldn't be sprung on you

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<v Speaker 4>as a surprise. So it's a little infuriating to be

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<v Speaker 4>in this situation for House Republicans. You know, Marjorie Tayler

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<v Speaker 4>Green could have served, chose not to. I've kind of

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<v Speaker 4>noticed her sense of betrayal, kind of echoes elis staphonic

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<v Speaker 4>who decided she did not want to run for governor.

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<v Speaker 4>At least she'd been very clear that she expected to

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<v Speaker 4>plan to do that after she became became clear she

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<v Speaker 4>was not going to be the US Ambassador to the

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<v Speaker 4>United Nations. I just kind of want to say this

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<v Speaker 4>to all Republicans, but it really goes to all Democrats too,

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<v Speaker 4>And we'll be talking a bit a bit more about

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<v Speaker 4>this in our third Martini. It's a two year term

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<v Speaker 4>plan on serving that. Don't make any plans don't like

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<v Speaker 4>at ah, you know, I'm up for this other like,

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<v Speaker 4>if you've got other irons in the fire, don't run

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<v Speaker 4>for Congress. You really owe it to your constituents to

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<v Speaker 4>serve the full terms, unless you've got some other extraordinary

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<v Speaker 4>circumstance that makes everybody say, oh, okay, why don't you resign.

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<v Speaker 4>We'll have that opening. Also, you know, again, I'm glad

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<v Speaker 4>that the California state law puts out why when the

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<v Speaker 4>next special election should be held? Usually we're big fans

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<v Speaker 4>of Greg Abbott, uh the big The delay in that

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<v Speaker 4>Houston off Houston seat has been almost a year, and

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<v Speaker 4>it's just that strikes me it's way too long for

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<v Speaker 4>anybody to be without representation in the House of Representatives.

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<v Speaker 4>Of course, there was always going to be another Democrat.

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<v Speaker 4>It certainly seems like this was done to help the

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<v Speaker 4>Republican majority, and everybody deserves representation in Congress, even it's

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<v Speaker 4>by If it's by an income poop.

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<v Speaker 3>We'll see who actually gets elected there. But are you

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<v Speaker 3>dying as a family member dying? Then your resignations? Are

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<v Speaker 3>you about to be indicted? That's the third test that

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<v Speaker 3>I usually give.

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<v Speaker 4>Are you fleeing law enforcement? Are you?

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<v Speaker 3>But are you being offered a lucrative position to lead

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<v Speaker 3>the Americans for America Foundation?

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<v Speaker 1>Uh? Do it after the term ends. It's not that hard.

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<v Speaker 4>But yeah, so Jim, yeah, left heritage, but look, is

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<v Speaker 4>that a sweet gig? Absolutely? But again, if you've signed

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<v Speaker 4>on for a term, I really think you should be

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<v Speaker 4>finishing that term. So fifty lashes with a wet noodle

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<v Speaker 4>for Marjorie Chilly Green.

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<v Speaker 3>Exactly now sent it's a six year term. But also

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<v Speaker 3>you applied for that too, so you should fill that

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<v Speaker 3>term out as best as you can. But in the

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<v Speaker 3>House two years, absolutely no excuse whatsoever. And so no

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<v Speaker 3>special election has been set yet in Georgia or obviously

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<v Speaker 3>California since that news about Congressman Lamoutha just came through.

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<v Speaker 3>But anyway, it's going to be two It's two eighteen

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<v Speaker 3>to two thirteen right now, to eighteen to two fifteen

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<v Speaker 3>before a chance for Republicans to pick up those seats

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<v Speaker 3>or at least hold those seats in those two states.

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<v Speaker 3>It's the beginning of the year. Talked about this yesterday,

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<v Speaker 3>and that means making sure your years off to a

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<v Speaker 3>good start and making sure your health is off to

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<v Speaker 3>a very good start. But if you've been putting anything off,

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<v Speaker 3>like a dental cleaning, the annual checkup, if you're not

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<v Speaker 3>sure who to go to, ZocDoc is where you want

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<v Speaker 3>to go. ZocDoc is a free app and website that

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<v Speaker 3>helps you find and book high quality in network doctors

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<v Speaker 3>so you can find someone that you love. Both Jim

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<v Speaker 3>and I have used doc doc and have been very

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<v Speaker 3>happy with the results.

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<v Speaker 4>Greg, I have to make something of an anti endorsement today,

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<v Speaker 4>and it's what it is is that once again I

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<v Speaker 4>have used ZocDoc to schedule an optometrist appointment this week.

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<v Speaker 4>I'll be honest, I was not itching. By the way.

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<v Speaker 4>Eyes are fine. I did have to wash them with

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<v Speaker 4>bleach after the last Jets game, but otherwise I'm seeing okay.

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<v Speaker 4>But I'm like, you know, all right, it's been long enough,

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<v Speaker 4>I need to do this again. But I was kind

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<v Speaker 4>of hoping I could put it all for a while. Greg,

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<v Speaker 4>wouldn't you know it, With ZocDoc, I could find the

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<v Speaker 4>appointment within like two days I had. At that point,

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<v Speaker 4>you have no excuse. You can't put it off. You

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<v Speaker 4>can't say oh, but if you actually wanted to, I

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<v Speaker 4>could have looked further into the appointment calendar. But that's

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<v Speaker 4>the thing about zachback. You'll look at it. It's exactly

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<v Speaker 4>where the appointments are. You press one button, presto change. Oh,

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<v Speaker 4>you are booked, and I have no excuse to not

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<v Speaker 4>go to the optometer. So that's that's the downside of ZocDoc.

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<v Speaker 4>If you hate going to the doctor, it will take

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<v Speaker 4>away all of your excuses for putting it off.

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<v Speaker 1>That's awesome. Yeah, Jim loves it. I love it.

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<v Speaker 3>So stop putting out those doctors appointments and go to

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<v Speaker 3>ZocDoc dot com slash three mL to find and instantly

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00:18:10.160 --> 00:18:11.799
<v Speaker 3>book a top rated doctor today.

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<v Speaker 1>That's zoc d oc.

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<v Speaker 3>Dot com slash three mL, zochdoc dot com slash three mL.

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<v Speaker 4>Pay it off, Pay it off now.

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<v Speaker 2>The Watchdot on Wall Street podcast with Chris Markowski. Every

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<v Speaker 2>day Chris helps unpack the connection between politics and the

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<v Speaker 2>economy and how it affects your wallet. If you have

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<v Speaker 2>thousands of dollars of credit card debt, you cannot start

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<v Speaker 2>investing until you pay it off. There is no financial

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<v Speaker 2>advisor that is cheaper than your credit cards interest rate

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<v Speaker 2>with all that debt, whether it's happening in DC or

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00:18:43.160 --> 00:18:45.079
<v Speaker 2>down on Wall Street, it's affecting you financially.

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<v Speaker 1>Be informed.

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<v Speaker 2>Check out the Watchdot on Wall Street podcast with Chris

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00:18:47.920 --> 00:18:50.960
<v Speaker 2>Markowski on Apple, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts.

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<v Speaker 3>All right, Jim onto our Crazy Martini Now And as

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<v Speaker 3>we in the wake of Mamdani and the whole Aft

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<v Speaker 3>and Bane experience, the democratic primaries are going to have

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<v Speaker 3>some pretty crazy figures involved in them. Some people looking

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<v Speaker 3>to be just the furthest to the left, some people

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<v Speaker 3>looking as opportunists to pick up seats, and that may

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<v Speaker 3>be exactly what's happening in New York's twelfth Congressional district.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, New York Manhattan one of the most sophisticated,

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<v Speaker 3>glamorous parts of the country, so of course for decades

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<v Speaker 3>it was represented by Jerry Nadler reminds me of when

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<v Speaker 3>Henry Waxman for decades represented Hollywood, and you're just like, okay,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, But anyway, Nadler is not running for reelection

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<v Speaker 3>this year, and as Gym points out in the Morning Joel, Today,

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<v Speaker 3>there are ten Democrats currently running for a heavily blue seat.

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<v Speaker 3>The Democrats are almost certainly going to hold this seat,

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<v Speaker 3>but in addition to a couple of assemblymen, and that shouldn't

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<v Speaker 3>be overlooked because we know how much damage an assemblymen

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<v Speaker 3>can do, for example, in a mayoral race. But two

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<v Speaker 3>other names that are there already are Jack Schlosberg, the

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<v Speaker 3>son of Caroline Kennedy Shlasberg, which makes him, of course

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<v Speaker 3>the grandson of JFK. And then he hasn't made it

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<v Speaker 3>official yet, but George Conway one time a Republican lawyer

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<v Speaker 3>married to White House Counselor Kelly Ann Conway. And during

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<v Speaker 3>Trump's first term, it was this weird, bizarre soap opera

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<v Speaker 3>that played out with Conway constantly criticizing the Trump administration,

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<v Speaker 3>and the marriage ultimately collapsed in a very public and

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<v Speaker 3>awkward way. It was very disgusting. But now he's trying

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<v Speaker 3>to run for Congress in Manhattan because he used to

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<v Speaker 3>live there once and he really wants to fight. He

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<v Speaker 3>thinks that we need more fighters in Congress. And of

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<v Speaker 3>course Conway is a really deplored here in the three

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<v Speaker 3>Martini lunch because he was for many years associated with

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<v Speaker 3>the Lincoln Project, which is one of the more deplorable

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<v Speaker 3>political organizations on Earth. And so, Jim, I don't think

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<v Speaker 3>George Conway is going to win this primary, even if

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<v Speaker 3>he does get in, but the fact that he thinks

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<v Speaker 3>he could and should run there is quite something.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah. Look, each congressional you know, district has about seven

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<v Speaker 4>and sixty thousand people in it. This one is one

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<v Speaker 4>of the most densely packed congressional districts you're going to

418
00:21:09.440 --> 00:21:13.200
<v Speaker 4>find anywhere. It's roughly the middle third of Manhattan Island. Right.

419
00:21:14.000 --> 00:21:18.640
<v Speaker 4>You would think that if that there's no shortage of Democrats,

420
00:21:18.680 --> 00:21:20.720
<v Speaker 4>and yes, there are other candidates in there, you would

421
00:21:20.759 --> 00:21:23.599
<v Speaker 4>think that any one of these candidates who lived in

422
00:21:23.640 --> 00:21:27.119
<v Speaker 4>the district would be a better option. And so I

423
00:21:27.160 --> 00:21:30.079
<v Speaker 4>would just point out on Conway like he's running he

424
00:21:30.400 --> 00:21:34.480
<v Speaker 4>up you know, up until last month, I'm sorry, until October,

425
00:21:36.039 --> 00:21:38.839
<v Speaker 4>legal address was in Maryland, right. So this is one

426
00:21:38.880 --> 00:21:40.680
<v Speaker 4>of those things where this is a guy who's like, look,

427
00:21:41.000 --> 00:21:42.960
<v Speaker 4>I don't live here, but I lived here like ten

428
00:21:43.039 --> 00:21:46.279
<v Speaker 4>years ago. Therefore I am the right guy to represent you.

429
00:21:46.839 --> 00:21:50.240
<v Speaker 4>I think if I lived in midtown Manhattan, I'd be

430
00:21:50.279 --> 00:21:52.039
<v Speaker 4>kind of annoyed by that. Who the hell are you?

431
00:21:52.079 --> 00:21:54.680
<v Speaker 4>What do you do? His argument basically, well, you've seen

432
00:21:54.680 --> 00:21:58.279
<v Speaker 4>me on TV a lot, yes, but that's not really

433
00:21:58.319 --> 00:22:01.880
<v Speaker 4>the job of a congressman. You know why, you know,

434
00:22:02.440 --> 00:22:04.279
<v Speaker 4>why would you think you're the person who's you know,

435
00:22:04.359 --> 00:22:06.640
<v Speaker 4>best qualified to do this? On the point of the

436
00:22:06.640 --> 00:22:10.079
<v Speaker 4>Conways divorce, Look, I think families have the right to

437
00:22:10.079 --> 00:22:12.720
<v Speaker 4>go through a painful process like that with as much

438
00:22:12.799 --> 00:22:15.960
<v Speaker 4>privacy and as little public scrutiny as possible. It's bad

439
00:22:16.039 --> 00:22:18.640
<v Speaker 4>enough as is. They don't need the entire country weighing

440
00:22:18.640 --> 00:22:21.599
<v Speaker 4>in on who's right who's wrong. The problem is George

441
00:22:21.599 --> 00:22:24.960
<v Speaker 4>Conway keeps bringing up his wife, his ex wife, and

442
00:22:25.400 --> 00:22:28.920
<v Speaker 4>basically being very starky. And here's the thing, this is

443
00:22:28.960 --> 00:22:31.039
<v Speaker 4>still the mother of your children, right, Like, do you

444
00:22:31.119 --> 00:22:33.000
<v Speaker 4>do need to use this as a talking point in

445
00:22:33.039 --> 00:22:36.920
<v Speaker 4>your campaign? Like everybody knows you can't stand Trump. Everybody

446
00:22:36.960 --> 00:22:41.519
<v Speaker 4>knows he is vehement critic of the and that she

447
00:22:41.559 --> 00:22:44.119
<v Speaker 4>had worked for Trump. By the way, Greg, you and

448
00:22:44.119 --> 00:22:47.039
<v Speaker 4>I are old enough to remember Mariy Madeline and James Carville,

449
00:22:47.079 --> 00:22:49.759
<v Speaker 4>who is last night checked are still married, and we're

450
00:22:49.799 --> 00:22:53.279
<v Speaker 4>managed to be happily married while being on opposite sides

451
00:22:53.279 --> 00:22:56.319
<v Speaker 4>of the political spectrum. Now, maybe in the Trump era

452
00:22:56.400 --> 00:22:58.759
<v Speaker 4>that's harder, more different, or something like that. But it

453
00:22:59.039 --> 00:23:02.480
<v Speaker 4>just there's so something kind of ugly and unseemly about it,

454
00:23:02.759 --> 00:23:04.880
<v Speaker 4>and I certainly hope he doesn't rely on this to

455
00:23:04.960 --> 00:23:09.119
<v Speaker 4>stand out in this very crowded field and the other Again,

456
00:23:09.240 --> 00:23:11.000
<v Speaker 4>I just like there are a whole lot of candidates

457
00:23:11.000 --> 00:23:13.480
<v Speaker 4>who have lived there for a long time. Why were

458
00:23:13.519 --> 00:23:16.240
<v Speaker 4>we bring why? Look? I know there's an argument that

459
00:23:16.319 --> 00:23:19.799
<v Speaker 4>sometimes immigrants, illegal lilimerants do jobs Americans won't do. There

460
00:23:19.880 --> 00:23:22.920
<v Speaker 4>are midtown manhattanites willing to do this job. We don't

461
00:23:22.960 --> 00:23:25.759
<v Speaker 4>need to import an illegal immigrant of sorts I guess

462
00:23:25.799 --> 00:23:29.599
<v Speaker 4>illegal immigrant of sorts to the district. Then, finally, regarding Schlusberg,

463
00:23:30.319 --> 00:23:32.359
<v Speaker 4>my old colleague Jack Butler, who's now at the Wall

464
00:23:32.359 --> 00:23:36.519
<v Speaker 4>Street Journal, wrote a great deal about Schlaslberg, John F.

465
00:23:36.559 --> 00:23:40.079
<v Speaker 4>Kennedy's grandson, and how he had gotten into all kinds

466
00:23:40.119 --> 00:23:43.480
<v Speaker 4>of social media problems. He tried to mock Elon Musk

467
00:23:43.720 --> 00:23:45.440
<v Speaker 4>and ended up doing a Nazi salute, and a lot

468
00:23:45.440 --> 00:23:47.839
<v Speaker 4>of people said, oh my godness, what's wrong with this guy? Greg.

469
00:23:47.880 --> 00:23:49.720
<v Speaker 4>I want to defend it, but I'm just gonna say,

470
00:23:50.640 --> 00:23:53.000
<v Speaker 4>this is not the worst thing any Kennedy's ever done

471
00:23:53.039 --> 00:23:57.440
<v Speaker 4>with the Nazis. Some long memories, all right, Really, come on.

472
00:23:57.599 --> 00:23:59.799
<v Speaker 3>This great grandfather's got some issues with that, all.

473
00:23:59.720 --> 00:24:03.400
<v Speaker 4>Right out, you know, and so like, Yes, he's basically

474
00:24:03.440 --> 00:24:06.039
<v Speaker 4>been a social media clown for a while, but he's

475
00:24:06.079 --> 00:24:08.920
<v Speaker 4>a Kennedy, which a lot of Democrats believe he is

476
00:24:09.000 --> 00:24:13.480
<v Speaker 4>constitutionally guaranteed some representation in Congress. I think both of

477
00:24:13.480 --> 00:24:15.799
<v Speaker 4>these guys would be perfectly happy with a cable newsgig.

478
00:24:16.039 --> 00:24:18.839
<v Speaker 4>And I don't understand why they want to take on

479
00:24:18.880 --> 00:24:21.599
<v Speaker 4>a job of member of Congress, which has actual work

480
00:24:21.640 --> 00:24:26.400
<v Speaker 4>to do, actual responsibilities, rather than just going on TV

481
00:24:26.519 --> 00:24:28.400
<v Speaker 4>and opining. And they seem to think the job like

482
00:24:28.480 --> 00:24:32.759
<v Speaker 4>it's a better paid role of going on TV and opining. Oh,

483
00:24:32.799 --> 00:24:35.720
<v Speaker 4>by the way, George Conway really believes that the government

484
00:24:35.720 --> 00:24:38.359
<v Speaker 4>shutdown should have lasted longer, so anybody who had to

485
00:24:38.400 --> 00:24:42.680
<v Speaker 4>fly around Thanksgiving in that district. Keep that in mind. So, yeah,

486
00:24:43.079 --> 00:24:45.240
<v Speaker 4>just give me a generic Democrat. Just give me. You know,

487
00:24:45.480 --> 00:24:47.799
<v Speaker 4>I'm yearning for the good old days of a good,

488
00:24:47.839 --> 00:24:50.680
<v Speaker 4>respectable Democrat like David Dinkins.

489
00:24:53.559 --> 00:24:56.680
<v Speaker 3>Well, uh, we're probably gonna get one worse than Nadler.

490
00:24:56.839 --> 00:24:58.559
<v Speaker 3>I didn't think that was possible a few years ago,

491
00:24:58.599 --> 00:24:59.680
<v Speaker 3>but we'll find out.

492
00:25:00.240 --> 00:25:02.079
<v Speaker 4>Or Ano, they're compared to Nadler, Greg, they're gonna look like

493
00:25:02.079 --> 00:25:02.880
<v Speaker 4>a political lightweight.

494
00:25:04.720 --> 00:25:07.680
<v Speaker 3>That's certainly true. Now I said Conway probably won't win.

495
00:25:07.799 --> 00:25:10.039
<v Speaker 3>You know what could help him win is if Trump

496
00:25:10.160 --> 00:25:14.200
<v Speaker 3>goes on a Twitter barrage against him and cullivated puts

497
00:25:14.240 --> 00:25:17.000
<v Speaker 3>him in the spotlight exactly. The other thing, in terms

498
00:25:17.039 --> 00:25:20.240
<v Speaker 3>of Schlosberg, did you not just watch the mayoral race?

499
00:25:20.319 --> 00:25:22.839
<v Speaker 3>What makes you think that being kind of a political

500
00:25:22.920 --> 00:25:26.319
<v Speaker 3>legacy like Andrew Cuomo, that's the ticket to victory in

501
00:25:26.359 --> 00:25:28.599
<v Speaker 3>New York City. I don't think that's gonna be the

502
00:25:28.640 --> 00:25:30.359
<v Speaker 3>ticket for him either, But we'll see.

503
00:25:30.559 --> 00:25:34.440
<v Speaker 4>Greg. What percentage of voters in this district have a

504
00:25:34.519 --> 00:25:35.720
<v Speaker 4>living memory of John F.

505
00:25:35.799 --> 00:25:36.160
<v Speaker 1>Kennedy.

506
00:25:36.759 --> 00:25:37.720
<v Speaker 4>My guess is that's.

507
00:25:37.839 --> 00:25:39.400
<v Speaker 1>Very well under fifty percent.

508
00:25:39.480 --> 00:25:41.920
<v Speaker 4>I mean, well, lovely, because you think about it like,

509
00:25:42.000 --> 00:25:46.119
<v Speaker 4>let's say you had to be five in nineteen sixty

510
00:25:46.119 --> 00:25:47.640
<v Speaker 4>three to have a memory of that, which means you

511
00:25:47.640 --> 00:25:51.279
<v Speaker 4>had to be born in nineteen fifty eight or earlier. Yeah,

512
00:25:51.599 --> 00:25:54.240
<v Speaker 4>so yeah, I mean at this point, Shlosberg is probably

513
00:25:54.240 --> 00:25:59.000
<v Speaker 4>better known as the nephew of the HHS secretary.

514
00:25:57.880 --> 00:26:01.599
<v Speaker 3>Yes, yes, who he went after repeatedly on social media

515
00:26:01.640 --> 00:26:04.200
<v Speaker 3>as well, so some family dynamics at issue there as well,

516
00:26:04.200 --> 00:26:08.279
<v Speaker 3>in addition to the conways. But Jim, we'll have a

517
00:26:08.279 --> 00:26:10.799
<v Speaker 3>lot to talk about this midterm season, and we're only

518
00:26:10.799 --> 00:26:13.160
<v Speaker 3>in the primary phase and just getting into the races

519
00:26:13.240 --> 00:26:15.720
<v Speaker 3>right now. So in any event, have a great Tuesday.

520
00:26:15.720 --> 00:26:16.279
<v Speaker 3>See tomorrow.

521
00:26:16.519 --> 00:26:18.359
<v Speaker 4>Good luck New York Tomorrow Day.

522
00:26:19.240 --> 00:26:22.640
<v Speaker 3>Jim Garretty, National Review. I'm Greg Corumbus of Radio America.

523
00:26:22.720 --> 00:26:24.640
<v Speaker 3>Thanks so much for being with us today. Please subscribe

524
00:26:24.640 --> 00:26:26.799
<v Speaker 3>to the Three Martini Lunch Podcast if you don't already,

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00:26:26.799 --> 00:26:28.960
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526
00:26:29.000 --> 00:26:31.079
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531
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