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<v Speaker 1>Right, hey, everybody, welcome to another episode of AiZ on

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<v Speaker 1>Happy New Year. Today we have the Man the Myth

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<v Speaker 1>a Legend, Alex Hollins from Sandbox News and Airpower YouTube,

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<v Speaker 1>the YouTube show Airpower, and of course Jason Lyons, former Marine,

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<v Speaker 1>former CIA officer Andy Milburn is I think traveling. He

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<v Speaker 1>went to the Motherland this during the holidays. And Mick

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<v Speaker 1>Molroy is just you know, doing Mick Molroy stuff. I

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<v Speaker 1>don't want to we can't talk about it. He made

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<v Speaker 1>a sign in DA's. So the big news today that

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<v Speaker 1>happened New Year's Day was the I guess terror attack

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<v Speaker 1>in New Orleans. Fifteen dead, at least thirty injured. Army

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<v Speaker 1>veteran I'm gonna fuck up this name, shamsu Din Jabbar

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<v Speaker 1>initially thought to have like people working with him and

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<v Speaker 1>stuff like that, but that was eventually ruled out. I

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<v Speaker 1>is inspired converted to Islam last year, and before the

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<v Speaker 1>attack he posted a message on Facebook, I guess announcing

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<v Speaker 1>he was gonna I didn't see the message or anything

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<v Speaker 1>like that, you know. So it was pretty hectic yesterday

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of like when the news is breaking and

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<v Speaker 1>stuff like that, you know, just theories.

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<v Speaker 2>Fine, everywhere.

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<v Speaker 1>Initially they were like, oh, it's a guy from not

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<v Speaker 1>a US citizen. It turns out it was a US

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<v Speaker 1>citizen and all intensive purposes, it seemed like the guy

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<v Speaker 1>was like a normal dude up until about a year ago.

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<v Speaker 1>So what are you guys looking at in terms of that.

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<v Speaker 1>I just wanted to get people up to speed him. No,

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<v Speaker 1>I know, people are you know following this.

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<v Speaker 3>I gotta be honest.

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<v Speaker 4>I think that this is a big indicator and maybe

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<v Speaker 4>an important lesson that we in the United States have

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<v Speaker 4>not been doing a good job of learning. And that's

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<v Speaker 4>that radicalization can affect anybody. Narrative management and information operations,

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<v Speaker 4>especially the type that are aimed at radicalizing people, aren't

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<v Speaker 4>aimed only at stupid people, you know, to some extent,

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<v Speaker 4>information operations are the same as marketing. And there's a

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<v Speaker 4>reason why advertising is a multi billion dollar industry. It's

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<v Speaker 4>because it works, and information operations work in a lot of.

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<v Speaker 3>The same ways.

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<v Speaker 4>And this is a strong indicator of that. This guy

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<v Speaker 4>was in the US Army for over a decade. You know,

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<v Speaker 4>he deployed to Afghanistan. We're not talking about your traditional

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<v Speaker 4>the person that you would think a group would go

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<v Speaker 4>after to radicalize, right, But we know he was going

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<v Speaker 4>through some difficult financial times. We know he went through

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<v Speaker 4>a very difficult divorce. We all go through really tough times.

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<v Speaker 4>We all end up at sort of our lowest points

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<v Speaker 4>at various times throughout our life, and at those times

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<v Speaker 4>we're most vulnerable to these sorts of efforts, Even if

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<v Speaker 4>someone's not aiming them directly at us, it's easier than

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<v Speaker 4>ever to find yourself in that pipeline through different kinds

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<v Speaker 4>of content. So I suppose for me, you know, with

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<v Speaker 4>a background in studying perception, warfare and information operations, the

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<v Speaker 4>big takeaway for me here is that radicalization is not

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<v Speaker 4>something that only affects, you know, groups that are traditionally

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<v Speaker 4>you know, it's not something that only affects low IQ people.

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<v Speaker 4>It's not something that only affects people who are really gullible.

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<v Speaker 4>It can affect anyone. And if you are in a

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<v Speaker 4>position to be affected by this sort of content, it's

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<v Speaker 4>really really difficult to intervene, right, because you need to

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<v Speaker 4>identify what's going on and you need to gain the

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<v Speaker 4>trust of that person who A big part of radicalization

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<v Speaker 4>is isolation. You know, the content aims to isolate you

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<v Speaker 4>and then point you at you know, a common enemy, right,

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<v Speaker 4>And I guess just the biggest takeaway for me is

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<v Speaker 4>that if an army veteran with ten years in the uniform,

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<v Speaker 4>if you know, a guy who has a lot of

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<v Speaker 4>things going for him but is going through a tough time,

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<v Speaker 4>can in the span of a year, uh find himself

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<v Speaker 4>in this position. I think that that should be a

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<v Speaker 4>reminder to all of us that none of us are

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<v Speaker 4>above information operations and we need to be thinking about

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<v Speaker 4>and thoughtful about the content that we consume.

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<v Speaker 5>I agree, I agree, and I think on a to

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<v Speaker 5>add to that, on a personal level, people knew him,

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<v Speaker 5>people know him, so someone may have seen I'm not

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<v Speaker 5>gonna say someone definitely did, but someone may have seen

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<v Speaker 5>a change in him. You know, I think I saw

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<v Speaker 5>I read this morning that people had said that his

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<v Speaker 5>religious viewed had views, had taken a huge turn and

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<v Speaker 5>he was becoming more and more extreme. So we in

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<v Speaker 5>this country like to talk about the twenty two a day,

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<v Speaker 5>which we should talk about, you know, the veteran suicide,

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<v Speaker 5>things like that, but that also goes towards radicalization too.

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<v Speaker 5>Someone may not be talking about ending their own life,

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<v Speaker 5>but they may be talking about. You know, they see

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<v Speaker 5>something like this occur on TV and make a comment like,

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<v Speaker 5>well that's what they get or in favor of that person.

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<v Speaker 5>Those are things to take notice of. You don't necessarily

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<v Speaker 5>have to go running to the police, but those are

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<v Speaker 5>things that you need to take notice of so that

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<v Speaker 5>you can interview however that is. I just watched the

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<v Speaker 5>documentary on PBS. I believe it is about the shooter

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<v Speaker 5>up in Maine. I believe it was that he was

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<v Speaker 5>former National Guard guy or was a National Guard guy

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<v Speaker 5>and he killed I think it was eight people, some

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<v Speaker 5>of which were deaf from the deaf community, and the

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<v Speaker 5>things leading up to that. Everybody people his unit called

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<v Speaker 5>the Sheriff's apartment on this guy during an active duty

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<v Speaker 5>deployment because up to West Point, because he had gotten

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<v Speaker 5>into a fight, he was saying all these weird things.

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<v Speaker 5>But everybody from his son all the way up through

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<v Speaker 5>his chain of commands saw it. Nobody did anything about it. So,

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<v Speaker 5>along with being aware of information operations, people who we're

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<v Speaker 5>not targeted but are close to those people should be

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<v Speaker 5>aware of the signs, you know, and be ready to intervene.

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<v Speaker 4>That's such a good point that I really do see

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<v Speaker 4>a direct correlation between veteran suicide and veteran radicalization, because

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<v Speaker 4>I think that they're probably there are two different symptoms

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<v Speaker 4>of the same problem, right, veterans who find themselves in

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<v Speaker 4>a position that feels untenable and they want to take action.

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<v Speaker 4>Because one thing that I think service members, by enlarge

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<v Speaker 4>having common is a bias toward action, right, and that

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<v Speaker 4>affects suicide rates the same way that it can affect.

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<v Speaker 3>Attacks like this domestic terrorism.

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<v Speaker 4>Right, you find yourself sort of at your lowest moment,

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<v Speaker 4>and you want to do something that can fix it,

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<v Speaker 4>and for some that's violence toward themselves, for others that's

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<v Speaker 4>violence towards others. But I think you raise such a

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<v Speaker 4>good point that these are sort of offshoots of that

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<v Speaker 4>same mental health issue that we're not doing a great

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<v Speaker 4>job of engaging with.

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<v Speaker 5>No absolutely, And ye I don't know if you're gonna

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<v Speaker 5>talk about I'm sorry, I didn't mean to cut you off, Alex,

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<v Speaker 5>but even those whose lives look like their picture perfect,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, I'm sure we're gonna touch on the Las

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<v Speaker 5>Vegas incident with the cyber truck. You know, this guy

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<v Speaker 5>nineteen years SF was a master's shard and I believe,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, we don't know what his personal life was like,

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<v Speaker 5>whether there was any kind of strife. I believe he

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<v Speaker 5>was married. I think his wife. They said his wife

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<v Speaker 5>had not heard from several days or whatever, but something

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<v Speaker 5>was going on there. So us in social media land,

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<v Speaker 5>we're like, you know, oh, man, this guy's you know,

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<v Speaker 5>he's got it all mash start in SF blah blah,

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<v Speaker 5>all this other stuff, but we don't know what's to exactly.

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<v Speaker 5>He's the guy we look up to. And this goes

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<v Speaker 5>through I'm saying guys, but gals as well. You know,

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<v Speaker 5>we look up to these people because much like social

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<v Speaker 5>media is, what you know does is we see the good.

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<v Speaker 5>You know, people are never almost never going to post

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<v Speaker 5>the bad, so they're always posting the good. Hey, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>just paid, you know, just bought my third house, whatever

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<v Speaker 5>it is. But we don't see what's below the surface,

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<v Speaker 5>whereas there are other people who do, whether it's a spouse,

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<v Speaker 5>boyfriend or girlfriend, a child, even people I used to

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<v Speaker 5>do security for. I set up a security plan for

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<v Speaker 5>my a church I used to go to, and one

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<v Speaker 5>of the things when we talked to the congregation, we

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<v Speaker 5>said was. It's usually going to be the person you

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<v Speaker 5>see every Sunday who has that one bad Saturday that

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<v Speaker 5>decides to do something the next day. So that's when

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<v Speaker 5>you take notice of those things. You know, hey Jim,

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<v Speaker 5>how are you today? And he's not talking, or you

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<v Speaker 5>heard he's got he's having a divorce and he comes in.

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<v Speaker 5>We had a gentleman who he ended up being removed,

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<v Speaker 5>but he would come into the church and with his

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<v Speaker 5>wife and children, and then all of a sudden he

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<v Speaker 5>was coming into the church and sitting completely separate from

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<v Speaker 5>them and come to find out as a domestic abuse thing.

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<v Speaker 5>So you just don't know, you know, And that's the

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<v Speaker 5>kind of things that people need to be looking at

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<v Speaker 5>before we get to the point that we did you

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<v Speaker 5>know yesterday.

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<v Speaker 4>So yeah, these special forces guys are and you guys

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<v Speaker 4>know better than anyone guys, girls, jumans, there are people

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<v Speaker 4>just like us who have the same sorts of vulnerabilities

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<v Speaker 4>that we do.

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<v Speaker 3>Despite their rommens, amount.

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<v Speaker 4>Of training and the incredible things that they've done, there's

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<v Speaker 4>still people at the end of the day.

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<v Speaker 3>And you know, the toughest.

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<v Speaker 4>People you know, have usually overcome some pretty difficult things.

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<v Speaker 4>That's what made them the toughest people, you know, and

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<v Speaker 4>those things can pile up on you, and they can

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<v Speaker 4>sneak back up on you. I think everybody here can

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<v Speaker 4>probably attest to when you go through something really difficult

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<v Speaker 4>in life, when you lose people, you can be fine

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<v Speaker 4>for ten years and then I can come back, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>at the worst time, while other things are sort of

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<v Speaker 4>piling up on you, and you know, there doesn't necessarily

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<v Speaker 4>have to be a catalyst. There doesn't have to be

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<v Speaker 4>a divorce or a you know, or you know, your

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<v Speaker 4>wife leaving you or something there. Sometimes these things can

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<v Speaker 4>just add up in such a way that you feel overwhelmed.

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<v Speaker 4>And if there isn't an effective way for you to

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<v Speaker 4>channel that energy, you're going to find one. And the

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<v Speaker 4>ones that you find, especially online, and you know, in

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<v Speaker 4>this digital environment, more often than not.

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<v Speaker 3>Aren't necessarily good ways to channel that energy. You know.

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<v Speaker 4>Radicalization is a science. Doctor Ajitman wrote a book called

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<v Speaker 4>Narrative Warfare for a think thing called Narrative Strategies. She

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<v Speaker 4>was working with so Calm a few years ago. It's

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<v Speaker 4>how we met and in her book she talks about

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<v Speaker 4>the radicalization process and how you won't you wouldn't think

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<v Speaker 4>of groups like ISIS or al Qaida as people who

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<v Speaker 4>use psychology degrees to achieve their objectives.

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<v Speaker 3>But they do the very same way any other group might.

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<v Speaker 4>And there really is a pretty tried and true process

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<v Speaker 4>that you can put people through in order to them.

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<v Speaker 4>That's not to say it will work on everybody all

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<v Speaker 4>the time, but if you put it out there often enough,

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<v Speaker 4>at high enough volume, you're going to catch people.

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<v Speaker 3>In that net.

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<v Speaker 5>You know. Yeah, and these people, you know, I think

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<v Speaker 5>the average not the average person. But most people when

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<v Speaker 5>they think of radicalization, they think of some guy sitting

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<v Speaker 5>or get sitting somewhere waiting for you know, or they

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<v Speaker 5>have a spreadsheet of people that they're gonna cold call to,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, to radicalize. No, most of the time their

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<v Speaker 5>people come to them. They start searching the dark web.

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<v Speaker 5>They go to forums and asking, hey, how does someone

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<v Speaker 5>hook up with X? And then that's when you know,

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<v Speaker 5>keyword searches pop up, somebody will refer them and then boom,

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<v Speaker 5>hey I heard you might be looking for a friend.

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<v Speaker 5>Of course, they're not going to come right out and

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<v Speaker 5>be like, hey, I heard you're looking for ISIS. It's

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<v Speaker 5>I heard you, you know, brother, I understand what you're

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<v Speaker 5>going through, sister. My boyfriend cheated on me or or

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<v Speaker 5>you know, I heard you came out and your community

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<v Speaker 5>didn't accept you, blah blah, and then and these things

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<v Speaker 5>almost never happen overnight. Most of the time, it's what

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<v Speaker 5>was it a year for this guy? Most of these

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<v Speaker 5>things happened, just like most intelligence operations happen over a

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<v Speaker 5>period of weeks, months, and years, you know. So, yeah,

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<v Speaker 5>we don't know with the Las Vegas guy, but obviously

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<v Speaker 5>something happened there.

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<v Speaker 4>You nail it because it starts with something that we

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<v Speaker 4>all do a dozen times a day, which is like

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<v Speaker 4>seeing a meme that makes you feel heard, that engages

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<v Speaker 4>with your sense of identity and the community that you

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<v Speaker 4>come by that meme from, whether it's a subreddit, whether

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<v Speaker 4>it's a discord server, you know, whether it's an email

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<v Speaker 4>chain for some older folks, the community that that meme

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<v Speaker 4>arrives to your doorstep on and you feel heard, and

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<v Speaker 4>you feel as though your grievances are being acknowledged, you're

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<v Speaker 4>getting respect, or at least your grievances are. It makes

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<v Speaker 4>you engage with that community that much more. And that's

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<v Speaker 4>and those incremental movements.

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<v Speaker 3>It's the same way.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, like in true crime they talk about how

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<v Speaker 4>serial killers give themselves allowances. You know, like if if

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<v Speaker 4>you wanted to start, you know, eating people, Well, you're

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<v Speaker 4>not gonna start by eating people, right, You're gonna start

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<v Speaker 4>by following that woman on the bus, right, And then

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<v Speaker 4>you tell yourself it's not that big a deal, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>I left when it was over.

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<v Speaker 3>But then the next time you don't, right, and then.

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<v Speaker 4>You get progressively further along until you're willing to do

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<v Speaker 4>things that otherwise might seem a lot of character.

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<v Speaker 3>And this process works the same way.

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<v Speaker 5>You know, Sorry, g we kind of no, no, no,

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<v Speaker 5>that was incredible.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean.

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<v Speaker 1>The thing about like, I don't know, the thing that

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<v Speaker 1>really stuck out to me yesterday was when this happened,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, you know, early in the morning. It's just

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<v Speaker 1>a mildness that goes on in Twitter, like as you're reading,

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<v Speaker 1>because like you want you want information right away right

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<v Speaker 1>like anybody else. And it's just it's just people can't

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<v Speaker 1>just relax and like get facts first before, whether whether

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<v Speaker 1>reporting about them or speculating about them, and like even

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<v Speaker 1>speculating about them, like if you're gonna speculate. Say you're

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<v Speaker 1>this is speculation, right, Like I'm right, yeah, And it's

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<v Speaker 1>just I was like scratching my head, be like it's

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<v Speaker 1>like we're being attacked by one hundred cells from ISIS

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<v Speaker 1>yesterday all over the country.

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<v Speaker 2>It's never going to stop.

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<v Speaker 1>Like this is like a coordinated attack that they've been

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<v Speaker 1>planning for years. And meanwhile, I mean, and at the

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<v Speaker 1>same time, the FBI needs to do a better job

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of messaging and stuff like that because they're

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<v Speaker 1>fucking horrible. Like let's let's go like the press conferences

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<v Speaker 1>yesterday were a joke, so they I mean, they add

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<v Speaker 1>to it a little bit, but again, like you put

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<v Speaker 1>it into that Twitter social media world and it just

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<v Speaker 1>spins out of control kind of yeah.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, not that parallels in severity, but we saw the

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<v Speaker 4>same thing with the drones over New Jersey. You know,

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<v Speaker 4>we had really poor communication on a government agencies, so

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<v Speaker 4>people just filled in the gaps with whatever seems sexiest

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<v Speaker 4>to them.

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<v Speaker 3>And the social media.

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<v Speaker 4>Economy, the digital economy is attention based, not credibility based.

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<v Speaker 4>So the more engaging your take, the further the reach

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<v Speaker 4>is going to be. And usually the more divorced from

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<v Speaker 4>reality your take is the more engaging it is. So,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, Winston Churchill said that you know a lot,

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<v Speaker 4>I'll get around the world twice before the truth gets

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<v Speaker 4>its pians on. It is you know a lot, I'll

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<v Speaker 4>get around the world three dozen times now before the

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<v Speaker 4>truth will get its pants on. And then people don't

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<v Speaker 4>want the truth because the truth a lot of times

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<v Speaker 4>doesn't align with like, you know, a logical narrative. And

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<v Speaker 4>we want logical narratives, you know, culturally, it's how we

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<v Speaker 4>tell stories. But real life a lot of times doesn't

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<v Speaker 4>sort of like engaging. That seems sort of cause and

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<v Speaker 4>effect chain, you know what I mean. And so what

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<v Speaker 4>people will see something that seems as though narratively it's

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<v Speaker 4>not necessarily logical, well, lots of people are seeing drones.

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<v Speaker 3>Narratively, they must all.

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<v Speaker 4>Be controlled by the same one person or one body.

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<v Speaker 4>And if people are seeing drones, well then maybe they're

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<v Speaker 4>not drones at all. It must be this thing that's

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<v Speaker 4>even more you know, crazy, where in reality, a lot

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<v Speaker 4>of what people saw we're just hobby drones or even

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<v Speaker 4>law enforcement drones. A lot of them were just airplanes

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<v Speaker 4>and helicopters. But that narrative is not as engaging, and

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<v Speaker 4>so because of that, people not only will ignore it,

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<v Speaker 4>they'll attack it, you know. And you'll see the same

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<v Speaker 4>when we're talking about, you know, a terror attack in

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<v Speaker 4>New Orleans, we're gonna see people who prefer the much

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<v Speaker 4>more sexy conspiracy narrative over the possibility that there was

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<v Speaker 4>a really troubled guy who you know, decided to do

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<v Speaker 4>something crazy, very likely was inspired by others who.

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<v Speaker 3>Did things that were crazy.

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<v Speaker 4>But the conspiracy may not extend much further than a

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<v Speaker 4>half a dozen people, you know. But that's that's not

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<v Speaker 4>the story that people on Twitter want.

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<v Speaker 6>You know, Hey, guys, it's Jack. I just wanted to

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<v Speaker 6>talk to you today about a way that you can

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<v Speaker 6>help support the podcast if you're not already to support

323
00:17:09.160 --> 00:17:12.559
<v Speaker 6>the channel is to become a Patreon member. So we

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00:17:12.640 --> 00:17:15.880
<v Speaker 6>have Patreon memberships that started just five dollars a month,

325
00:17:16.279 --> 00:17:19.000
<v Speaker 6>and when you sign up, you get access to all

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00:17:19.079 --> 00:17:22.400
<v Speaker 6>of our episodes add free. That's the big bonus for that.

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00:17:22.559 --> 00:17:25.519
<v Speaker 6>I mean, we also do some Patreon bonus episodes for

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00:17:25.599 --> 00:17:29.480
<v Speaker 6>our subscribers, but this is the biggest and best way

329
00:17:29.480 --> 00:17:33.839
<v Speaker 6>that you can support the Teamhouse channel and podcast if

330
00:17:33.880 --> 00:17:36.799
<v Speaker 6>you'd like to, and we really appreciate that, So go

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00:17:36.960 --> 00:17:41.160
<v Speaker 6>and check us out at patreon dot com, Slash the teamhouse.

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<v Speaker 5>And one of the Sorry d one of the uh foolish.

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<v Speaker 5>But at the same time, smart thing that people do,

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<v Speaker 5>trolls on the internet do is interject. They inject their

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<v Speaker 5>narrative that has nothing to do with it. Like I

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<v Speaker 5>was just watching a story on the news and they

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<v Speaker 5>had a Republican pundit and a Democratic pundit and they

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<v Speaker 5>were talking about this and one of them we started

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<v Speaker 5>talking about illegal immigration, and the host is like, well,

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<v Speaker 5>we need to stop right there. You realize that this

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<v Speaker 5>guy both of them are US citizens. Yeah, but yeah,

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<v Speaker 5>but nothing has one has nothing to do with the other.

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<v Speaker 5>But people will inject that stuff because it rolls up

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<v Speaker 5>the base and it keeps them narrative that they want

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<v Speaker 5>going going. And again that's not what you know, we're

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<v Speaker 5>trying to talk about here, but it's still it's one

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<v Speaker 5>of the reasons why.

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<v Speaker 4>The influencers, that's what lawmakers increasingly are. They want to

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<v Speaker 4>get as many clicks and chairs and likes, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>they want to raise money for the next election.

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<v Speaker 3>They're not that worried about conveying reality.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, it's not necessarily there's there's little incentive for

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<v Speaker 4>a politician to air on the side of reality.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, you know, which is kind.

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<v Speaker 1>Of wild to me because right like their job first

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<v Speaker 1>and foremost is like public safety or should be anyway,

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<v Speaker 1>and like they should kind of be the people that

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<v Speaker 1>are the sobering kind of adults in the room. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>they're not. And it's like, you know, pretty disheartening in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of like being an American.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, not to bring it back to the New Jersey

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<v Speaker 4>drones again, but it comes to mind because you see

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<v Speaker 4>these lawmakers saying, well, they're not appearing on radar, they

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<v Speaker 4>must be advanced technology. This guy doesn't know that how

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<v Speaker 4>radar works. The radar systems that we use, by and

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<v Speaker 4>large wouldn't detect low flying blod copters. That's not advanced technology.

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<v Speaker 4>That's how radar works.

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<v Speaker 3>But they don't know how radar works.

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<v Speaker 4>So they're gonna go make a statement, and every conspiracy

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<v Speaker 4>theorist on Reddit is going to, you know, err on

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<v Speaker 4>the side of this mayor who now thinks he's an

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<v Speaker 4>expert in the electromagnetic spectrum instead of like people who

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<v Speaker 4>actually know how radar works.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, it's a I don't know.

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<v Speaker 4>I would say that we're in the most complicated information

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<v Speaker 4>space age, you know, the era of the most complicated

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<v Speaker 4>information space and human history. You know, we have no

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<v Speaker 4>trouble looking back on the printing press and acknowledging how

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<v Speaker 4>culturally changing the printing press was. The Internet is that,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, X times exponentce. You know, it's it's given

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<v Speaker 4>everyone a voice and increasingly, you know, with social media

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<v Speaker 4>and stuff, it's not even you don't even need to

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<v Speaker 4>have a built in audience to reach a lot of

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<v Speaker 4>people with your message. It just needs to be engaging enough,

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<v Speaker 4>and that can work for better or worse, you know, absolutely, absolutely, yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>A little bit about the Vegas guy, Matt Livelsburg. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>probably pronouncing that wrong. He worked both bombers worked at

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<v Speaker 1>the same base or bases, or maybe two of them.

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<v Speaker 1>They're trying to connect that on social media and like

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<v Speaker 1>it is an interesting coincidence or circumstance, like I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>but the fact is Shamoud Like.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm sorry, I read his rate name wrong.

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<v Speaker 1>Shot, sham sham Budd did retire like ten years ago, right,

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<v Speaker 1>and this guy was still so if they did work

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<v Speaker 1>together in the same base, which means like there's probably

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<v Speaker 1>thousands of ten or tens of thousands of people on

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<v Speaker 1>the same base.

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<v Speaker 3>Rights, that's a pretty big installation.

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<v Speaker 1>So like what are the chances like ten years ago, Like,

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<v Speaker 1>let's get together and do this on January first in

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<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty five, right, Like, so let's again everybody who's

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<v Speaker 1>on Twitter, Like, where's a conspiracy? There's got to be

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<v Speaker 1>a conspiracy because I've seen so many people and they

404
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<v Speaker 1>get to go back to that, We're like, they're here,

405
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<v Speaker 1>They're here.

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<v Speaker 2>I saw that, Like so.

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<v Speaker 1>From like from like agency former agency people where it's like,

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<v Speaker 1>shouldn't you know.

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<v Speaker 5>A little bit better?

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<v Speaker 1>Like I know you're trying to be like a Twitter

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<v Speaker 1>person and like an influencer now, but maybe pumped the

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<v Speaker 1>brakes a little bit.

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<v Speaker 3>More.

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<v Speaker 4>Is those people who know the game and are using

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<v Speaker 4>it effectively. Yeah, that's even more dangerous than the people

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<v Speaker 4>who are stumbling upon playing the game by just being

417
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<v Speaker 4>idiots on the internet. Most dangerous ones are the ones

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<v Speaker 4>who know exactly what they're doing and they're not worried

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<v Speaker 4>about second or third order effects. They're worried about their

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<v Speaker 4>mortgage and I respect that. I mean, I I pay

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<v Speaker 4>my bills through views and very much the same way.

422
00:22:26.400 --> 00:22:29.319
<v Speaker 4>You know, So I understand the balance that you need

423
00:22:29.400 --> 00:22:32.079
<v Speaker 4>to sort of maintain where you're trying to get people

424
00:22:32.119 --> 00:22:36.160
<v Speaker 4>to click on your content and you're competing against sensationalism

425
00:22:36.160 --> 00:22:39.960
<v Speaker 4>and hyperbole. So I understand, you know, the trap that

426
00:22:40.000 --> 00:22:42.559
<v Speaker 4>you can fall into. But if you know the game,

427
00:22:42.599 --> 00:22:45.079
<v Speaker 4>if you've worked in countering the game, and then you're

428
00:22:45.160 --> 00:22:47.480
<v Speaker 4>using it to your own you know, for your own

429
00:22:47.480 --> 00:22:48.440
<v Speaker 4>financial gain.

430
00:22:48.839 --> 00:22:52.000
<v Speaker 3>I don't know. That's uh, I don't like it.

431
00:22:52.000 --> 00:22:55.279
<v Speaker 5>It's crazy, it is it really is. I sent you

432
00:22:55.359 --> 00:22:58.519
<v Speaker 5>something this morning, yeah about and you know me, I don't,

433
00:22:58.519 --> 00:23:01.240
<v Speaker 5>I don't. I don't like the name and stuff. But

434
00:23:01.640 --> 00:23:07.279
<v Speaker 5>this influencer former Special Operations Forces, I will just say

435
00:23:07.319 --> 00:23:12.000
<v Speaker 5>that posted something basically we told you and named all

436
00:23:12.039 --> 00:23:17.079
<v Speaker 5>these different guests that they'd had. We told you fifty

437
00:23:17.119 --> 00:23:21.160
<v Speaker 5>to sixty thousand Americans are going to die starting now,

438
00:23:21.440 --> 00:23:24.279
<v Speaker 5>which and that's the thing that annoys me is they're

439
00:23:24.319 --> 00:23:27.160
<v Speaker 5>taking what could be a bit of truth that could

440
00:23:27.200 --> 00:23:29.880
<v Speaker 5>happen but over one hundred and two hundred year span,

441
00:23:29.960 --> 00:23:32.119
<v Speaker 5>who knows, you know, or could happen in this year,

442
00:23:32.119 --> 00:23:35.359
<v Speaker 5>We don't know, and they and they couple it with

443
00:23:35.920 --> 00:23:39.480
<v Speaker 5>lies like saying this is congressionally funded, you know, these

444
00:23:39.519 --> 00:23:42.480
<v Speaker 5>attacks and things that kind of stuff. Like what if

445
00:23:42.519 --> 00:23:44.319
<v Speaker 5>I was ever right in front of these people, the

446
00:23:44.400 --> 00:23:45.960
<v Speaker 5>only thing I would say is show me the proof.

447
00:23:46.000 --> 00:23:48.319
<v Speaker 5>I want to show the things that you're claiming. I

448
00:23:48.359 --> 00:23:50.160
<v Speaker 5>want you to show me right here and right now

449
00:23:50.160 --> 00:23:52.519
<v Speaker 5>that you approve that these things, not because your guest

450
00:23:52.559 --> 00:23:57.720
<v Speaker 5>told you, Because most of these guests have said what that.

451
00:23:58.079 --> 00:24:00.559
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, don't tell me a guy, I said a guy.

452
00:24:00.240 --> 00:24:03.200
<v Speaker 5>Exactly, I have it on good authority, or I'm in

453
00:24:03.279 --> 00:24:05.480
<v Speaker 5>touch with you know, like I'm gonna say it. That

454
00:24:05.519 --> 00:24:09.200
<v Speaker 5>guy who posted the videos about the drones and Jersey

455
00:24:09.359 --> 00:24:12.680
<v Speaker 5>and was saying I think they're you know, sniffing for

456
00:24:12.799 --> 00:24:15.759
<v Speaker 5>nuclear material and a friend of mine had his hand

457
00:24:15.839 --> 00:24:18.519
<v Speaker 5>on a rogue nuke and all this other stuff is

458
00:24:18.559 --> 00:24:21.160
<v Speaker 5>the same guy who finally admitted in his third video

459
00:24:21.400 --> 00:24:23.440
<v Speaker 5>he's going to be running for office in twenty twenty

460
00:24:23.480 --> 00:24:26.200
<v Speaker 5>six and then then the troop will come out. Well,

461
00:24:26.200 --> 00:24:28.319
<v Speaker 5>if it's so important, buddy, why are you not telling

462
00:24:28.400 --> 00:24:29.200
<v Speaker 5>us now right?

463
00:24:29.759 --> 00:24:31.799
<v Speaker 1>If you really need to know, did you think a

464
00:24:31.880 --> 00:24:34.759
<v Speaker 1>loose nuke would be like a kind of a big deal.

465
00:24:35.039 --> 00:24:35.240
<v Speaker 2>Yeah?

466
00:24:35.440 --> 00:24:38.400
<v Speaker 4>Right, And it's happened before the president, we could look

467
00:24:38.440 --> 00:24:40.440
<v Speaker 4>to for how they would handle it, and it wouldn't

468
00:24:40.480 --> 00:24:44.319
<v Speaker 4>be by flying a bunch of drunes that exactly, you know,

469
00:24:44.680 --> 00:24:47.720
<v Speaker 4>like but again, you're but again, we're speaking to that

470
00:24:47.799 --> 00:24:51.920
<v Speaker 4>and the gaps and the official narrative creates opportunity for

471
00:24:52.000 --> 00:24:55.720
<v Speaker 4>people like that to inject their own truth. And again,

472
00:24:55.799 --> 00:24:59.640
<v Speaker 4>because we want a logical narrative, we want a hero's

473
00:24:59.680 --> 00:25:01.640
<v Speaker 4>journey story like we see at the movies.

474
00:25:02.519 --> 00:25:04.839
<v Speaker 3>We will prefer that one because it fills in all

475
00:25:04.839 --> 00:25:06.519
<v Speaker 3>the all the gaps very well.

476
00:25:06.839 --> 00:25:09.359
<v Speaker 4>Whereas the true story you know, at the Las vegashooter

477
00:25:09.480 --> 00:25:12.640
<v Speaker 4>a few years ago who shot a lot of people,

478
00:25:12.680 --> 00:25:15.480
<v Speaker 4>I forgot out of which casino. But you know, we

479
00:25:15.519 --> 00:25:18.559
<v Speaker 4>still don't know his motive, and honestly, we may never because.

480
00:25:18.319 --> 00:25:21.240
<v Speaker 3>His motive may have been stupid. Yeah, it might have

481
00:25:21.400 --> 00:25:23.200
<v Speaker 3>just been a dumb thing.

482
00:25:24.000 --> 00:25:28.440
<v Speaker 4>But we we have a lot of trouble grasping that idea,

483
00:25:28.599 --> 00:25:31.880
<v Speaker 4>even though we do dumb things all the time. Right,

484
00:25:32.000 --> 00:25:34.559
<v Speaker 4>you know, I do something stupid every day, and I

485
00:25:34.640 --> 00:25:37.519
<v Speaker 4>like to consider myself a fairly bright guy. Now, imagine

486
00:25:37.519 --> 00:25:40.359
<v Speaker 4>someone with mental health issues who's been, you know, down

487
00:25:40.400 --> 00:25:42.799
<v Speaker 4>on their luck, who's you know, at the worst point

488
00:25:42.799 --> 00:25:46.000
<v Speaker 4>in their life, you know, and maybe has a predisposition

489
00:25:46.079 --> 00:25:49.160
<v Speaker 4>for violence or something along those lines. You don't need

490
00:25:49.200 --> 00:25:52.039
<v Speaker 4>to necessarily have a logical reason for the things that

491
00:25:52.079 --> 00:25:54.960
<v Speaker 4>you do. Humans are big brain monkeys, you know. We've

492
00:25:54.960 --> 00:25:57.559
<v Speaker 4>got a lot of hubris. We think we're special, don't

493
00:25:57.559 --> 00:26:01.160
<v Speaker 4>were animals, you know, And yeah, I think you hit

494
00:26:01.160 --> 00:26:01.960
<v Speaker 4>the nail right on the.

495
00:26:01.920 --> 00:26:06.079
<v Speaker 3>Head, honestly, this and this.

496
00:26:06.559 --> 00:26:08.400
<v Speaker 4>You know, not to go straight back to aviation because

497
00:26:08.400 --> 00:26:11.519
<v Speaker 4>it's my area of expertise, but we saw the same

498
00:26:11.559 --> 00:26:14.240
<v Speaker 4>sorts of things play out over this past week with

499
00:26:14.440 --> 00:26:19.079
<v Speaker 4>China unveiling new stealth aircraft, where what we know about

500
00:26:19.119 --> 00:26:21.640
<v Speaker 4>these aircraft is very minimal. You know, China hasn't made

501
00:26:21.680 --> 00:26:25.559
<v Speaker 4>any official statements about them, but you will find large

502
00:26:25.559 --> 00:26:29.559
<v Speaker 4>creators in every platform claiming that it's hypersonic, claiming that

503
00:26:29.599 --> 00:26:33.880
<v Speaker 4>it's capable of lower Earth orbit, you know, like stuff

504
00:26:33.920 --> 00:26:37.640
<v Speaker 4>that is downright science fiction, especially for a nation you

505
00:26:37.680 --> 00:26:40.880
<v Speaker 4>know that up until twenty seventeen was three and a

506
00:26:40.920 --> 00:26:44.480
<v Speaker 4>half decades behind the United States and stealth arguably there's

507
00:26:44.480 --> 00:26:46.880
<v Speaker 4>still a decade a decade and a half. But now

508
00:26:46.880 --> 00:26:50.519
<v Speaker 4>we're going to pretend that they've got suborbital fighter jets

509
00:26:50.839 --> 00:26:54.079
<v Speaker 4>because people like that sexy narrative, you know, and in

510
00:26:54.119 --> 00:26:58.839
<v Speaker 4>the absence of real information, we're just gonna make up whatever.

511
00:26:59.440 --> 00:27:03.200
<v Speaker 4>We'll drive them most clicks, you know. And it's frustrating.

512
00:27:03.240 --> 00:27:06.200
<v Speaker 4>It's frustrating in my position, because I really do.

513
00:27:06.519 --> 00:27:09.000
<v Speaker 3>I try hard to pace my car.

514
00:27:09.319 --> 00:27:11.920
<v Speaker 4>A lot of my content is just looking at what

515
00:27:11.960 --> 00:27:15.680
<v Speaker 4>people were saying online and going okay, well that's that's

516
00:27:15.680 --> 00:27:18.240
<v Speaker 4>not true. Let's add some context, let's add some nuance

517
00:27:18.319 --> 00:27:20.960
<v Speaker 4>to this conversation, you know. But that is not the

518
00:27:20.960 --> 00:27:22.559
<v Speaker 4>way to get rich, which is why you know, I

519
00:27:22.640 --> 00:27:27.359
<v Speaker 4>drive a used car and rend but like, but I

520
00:27:27.400 --> 00:27:29.640
<v Speaker 4>am enthused by the fact that like I do have

521
00:27:29.720 --> 00:27:33.400
<v Speaker 4>a pretty sizable audience for someone who is a professional

522
00:27:33.400 --> 00:27:35.319
<v Speaker 4>party pooper at this point.

523
00:27:35.400 --> 00:27:36.680
<v Speaker 3>And you know, you guys too.

524
00:27:36.720 --> 00:27:38.720
<v Speaker 4>You guys are another great example of what you bring

525
00:27:38.799 --> 00:27:43.119
<v Speaker 4>nuance and context to these conversations that people have without

526
00:27:43.160 --> 00:27:44.039
<v Speaker 4>any expertise.

527
00:27:44.200 --> 00:27:46.480
<v Speaker 3>You know, people talk about the intelligence.

528
00:27:45.880 --> 00:27:50.039
<v Speaker 4>Community and the special operations world, you know, with all

529
00:27:50.079 --> 00:27:52.000
<v Speaker 4>they've ever learned about it was stuff they read on Reddit,

530
00:27:52.200 --> 00:27:55.759
<v Speaker 4>you know, and you guys bring actual context to it,

531
00:27:55.799 --> 00:27:58.839
<v Speaker 4>and you have in depth conversations, and that just doesn't

532
00:27:58.960 --> 00:27:59.680
<v Speaker 4>pay as well.

533
00:28:00.119 --> 00:28:01.559
<v Speaker 3>Is saying it's lizard people.

534
00:28:01.799 --> 00:28:02.039
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

535
00:28:02.279 --> 00:28:05.640
<v Speaker 1>And me and Jack Murphy you know, host the Teamhouse podcast.

536
00:28:06.160 --> 00:28:07.480
<v Speaker 2>We talk about it all the time.

537
00:28:07.519 --> 00:28:10.119
<v Speaker 1>Man, if we were like if we went and they'd

538
00:28:10.160 --> 00:28:14.079
<v Speaker 1>started doing UFO stuff and like sensational stuff, we would

539
00:28:14.119 --> 00:28:17.240
<v Speaker 1>be you know, mansions and riding on jet skis and

540
00:28:17.240 --> 00:28:21.039
<v Speaker 1>stuff like that, it'd be fucking nice, like and I wouldn't.

541
00:28:20.640 --> 00:28:24.359
<v Speaker 4>Be fighting and scrambling for another one thousand subscribers.

542
00:28:24.119 --> 00:28:27.039
<v Speaker 3>You know every quarter or whatever, have a.

543
00:28:27.000 --> 00:28:29.759
<v Speaker 4>Million, because they'd be like, oh well, especially if you

544
00:28:29.799 --> 00:28:33.400
<v Speaker 4>start with credibility like you guys have and Tomorrow you know,

545
00:28:33.519 --> 00:28:35.640
<v Speaker 4>came out and was like, well, you know it's the

546
00:28:35.640 --> 00:28:37.640
<v Speaker 4>fluoride in the water to turn the frogs gate.

547
00:28:39.319 --> 00:28:39.839
<v Speaker 3>Blow up.

548
00:28:40.200 --> 00:28:43.559
<v Speaker 4>It would blow up, you know, because of your credibility,

549
00:28:45.240 --> 00:28:47.400
<v Speaker 4>and you know, and it's a it's a dangerous environment

550
00:28:47.400 --> 00:28:49.880
<v Speaker 4>because you know, everybody does have bills to pay, you know.

551
00:28:50.119 --> 00:28:52.480
<v Speaker 3>And it becomes a bit of a video game too.

552
00:28:52.599 --> 00:28:54.519
<v Speaker 4>I think for some people where you know, you've got

553
00:28:54.519 --> 00:28:57.880
<v Speaker 4>a million followers, you want two million. You know, you

554
00:28:57.920 --> 00:29:00.920
<v Speaker 4>don't want to see those numbers decline, right, it's you

555
00:29:01.000 --> 00:29:02.720
<v Speaker 4>derive self worth from them.

556
00:29:04.200 --> 00:29:06.799
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I mean I work in other with other podcasts,

557
00:29:06.839 --> 00:29:08.680
<v Speaker 1>and these two people that I work with, they have

558
00:29:08.799 --> 00:29:14.359
<v Speaker 1>a sizeable Instagram followings, and yeah, like you said, it's

559
00:29:14.400 --> 00:29:19.039
<v Speaker 1>like it's they're so precious with it and they have

560
00:29:19.119 --> 00:29:21.319
<v Speaker 1>to grow and they have to continue, you know. And

561
00:29:21.359 --> 00:29:23.039
<v Speaker 1>I'm the same way with the team ass right, Like

562
00:29:23.119 --> 00:29:25.480
<v Speaker 1>I want to fucking blow it up. I see other

563
00:29:25.519 --> 00:29:28.079
<v Speaker 1>podcasts like they fucking suck. I wonder we should be better.

564
00:29:28.119 --> 00:29:30.480
<v Speaker 1>We're better, you know, And that's that's just a fact.

565
00:29:30.519 --> 00:29:31.240
<v Speaker 1>That's not an opinion.

566
00:29:31.279 --> 00:29:34.279
<v Speaker 3>It's a fact. Uh, a big thing of you guys.

567
00:29:34.279 --> 00:29:35.240
<v Speaker 3>So I agree, you know.

568
00:29:35.359 --> 00:29:37.720
<v Speaker 1>And it's like sometimes it can get you frustrating, but

569
00:29:37.759 --> 00:29:40.119
<v Speaker 1>then it's good to like take a minute and be like, Yo,

570
00:29:40.559 --> 00:29:44.839
<v Speaker 1>we're making podcasts about information and stuff that we like

571
00:29:44.920 --> 00:29:48.880
<v Speaker 1>and we're interested in and interviewing great people, and we're

572
00:29:48.880 --> 00:29:49.720
<v Speaker 1>getting paid for it.

573
00:29:49.799 --> 00:29:51.240
<v Speaker 2>It might not be fucking.

574
00:29:50.960 --> 00:29:53.640
<v Speaker 1>Tens of millions of dollars, but it's still pretty sick,

575
00:29:53.680 --> 00:29:56.119
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's still pretty awesome, and we're doing it

576
00:29:56.160 --> 00:29:57.720
<v Speaker 1>the right way, you know what I mean, like with

577
00:29:57.839 --> 00:29:58.440
<v Speaker 1>some ethics.

578
00:29:59.759 --> 00:30:02.880
<v Speaker 4>Ye, honestly, that's how you know I've got I have

579
00:30:02.960 --> 00:30:05.640
<v Speaker 4>a much bigger following than I ever imagined I could

580
00:30:05.640 --> 00:30:07.759
<v Speaker 4>get for being an airplane nerd. You know what I mean,

581
00:30:07.839 --> 00:30:10.839
<v Speaker 4>Like I am living my dream. You know, So when

582
00:30:10.839 --> 00:30:12.640
<v Speaker 4>I talk about like you always want to grow, I

583
00:30:12.680 --> 00:30:16.039
<v Speaker 4>don't know if I would want a million followers anything.

584
00:30:16.119 --> 00:30:18.839
<v Speaker 3>You know, it's stressful having a few hundred thousand people

585
00:30:18.839 --> 00:30:21.240
<v Speaker 3>paying attention to what you say.

586
00:30:21.319 --> 00:30:24.920
<v Speaker 4>But I can also appreciate the romance of it. You know,

587
00:30:25.920 --> 00:30:28.759
<v Speaker 4>we were talking before we came online about noblelitas and

588
00:30:28.799 --> 00:30:32.039
<v Speaker 4>like Nobel disease, like this idea that people who received

589
00:30:32.039 --> 00:30:35.039
<v Speaker 4>the Nobel Prize are told over and over again how

590
00:30:35.039 --> 00:30:36.680
<v Speaker 4>smart and great they are. That you know, as they

591
00:30:36.680 --> 00:30:38.319
<v Speaker 4>get later on in life, they start to believe some

592
00:30:38.319 --> 00:30:42.240
<v Speaker 4>pretty wild stuff. And I mean I fall.

593
00:30:42.200 --> 00:30:43.880
<v Speaker 3>Victim to it. I try my best not to.

594
00:30:45.160 --> 00:30:47.359
<v Speaker 4>But with this New Jersey drone thing, I found a

595
00:30:47.440 --> 00:30:49.759
<v Speaker 4>NASA program that, or at least it looked to be

596
00:30:49.839 --> 00:30:53.039
<v Speaker 4>a NASA program, that established a drone test in corridor

597
00:30:53.079 --> 00:30:55.759
<v Speaker 4>between Delaware and New Jersey. And I reported on that

598
00:30:55.839 --> 00:30:59.200
<v Speaker 4>saying this very well could be you know what these

599
00:30:59.279 --> 00:31:02.440
<v Speaker 4>drone sightings are. And then NASA called me and we're like,

600
00:31:02.480 --> 00:31:06.160
<v Speaker 4>you're wrong, dude, Like we're not flying any drones. This

601
00:31:06.240 --> 00:31:09.640
<v Speaker 4>program isn't managed by US. It's US Transcom. Now you

602
00:31:09.680 --> 00:31:11.599
<v Speaker 4>need to talk to them. And I had to go

603
00:31:11.680 --> 00:31:13.680
<v Speaker 4>back on you know, the next day and post another

604
00:31:13.759 --> 00:31:16.160
<v Speaker 4>video because that video got a couple of million views,

605
00:31:17.279 --> 00:31:19.240
<v Speaker 4>made NASA pretty upset, you know.

606
00:31:19.359 --> 00:31:22.000
<v Speaker 1>And I but Alex at the same time, it's not

607
00:31:22.039 --> 00:31:23.960
<v Speaker 1>like you didn't say anything or doubled down.

608
00:31:24.039 --> 00:31:27.440
<v Speaker 5>You came back, and the point exactly.

609
00:31:27.160 --> 00:31:28.680
<v Speaker 2>Most people are not doing.

610
00:31:28.440 --> 00:31:30.240
<v Speaker 4>That, and you've got to come back and say I

611
00:31:30.359 --> 00:31:33.000
<v Speaker 4>was wrong. Yeah, and you're right, a lot of people aren't.

612
00:31:33.039 --> 00:31:35.640
<v Speaker 4>And I guess maybe those are the two things that

613
00:31:35.680 --> 00:31:39.079
<v Speaker 4>I try my best to keep in my work, and

614
00:31:39.119 --> 00:31:41.559
<v Speaker 4>I think more journalists would do well to do the

615
00:31:41.599 --> 00:31:44.440
<v Speaker 4>same as the first admit that you're wrong, and the

616
00:31:44.440 --> 00:31:46.880
<v Speaker 4>second is admit when you don't know enough about something

617
00:31:47.400 --> 00:31:50.720
<v Speaker 4>to talk about it. You know, like, you know, do

618
00:31:50.799 --> 00:31:52.680
<v Speaker 4>your homework, try to be well read on as much

619
00:31:52.680 --> 00:31:55.119
<v Speaker 4>as you can. But if you don't know enough about

620
00:31:55.759 --> 00:31:58.480
<v Speaker 4>you know, what's going on right now in Gaza, it's okay,

621
00:31:59.599 --> 00:32:02.279
<v Speaker 4>I don't know enough, you know. And I think that

622
00:32:02.279 --> 00:32:05.000
<v Speaker 4>that's something that the Internet has kind of made everybody not.

623
00:32:04.960 --> 00:32:05.440
<v Speaker 3>As good at.

624
00:32:05.759 --> 00:32:09.119
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, you know, I agree, all right.

625
00:32:09.200 --> 00:32:11.920
<v Speaker 1>So the Chinese j thirty six I guess they're calling

626
00:32:11.960 --> 00:32:14.920
<v Speaker 1>it or we're calling it that. Uh, you have a

627
00:32:15.000 --> 00:32:18.440
<v Speaker 1>video coming out when this comes out, it'll probably be

628
00:32:18.559 --> 00:32:21.440
<v Speaker 1>right around what's coming out. It's coming out Friday right now?

629
00:32:21.640 --> 00:32:24.960
<v Speaker 4>Should Friday afternoon for like two thirty three thirty time frames?

630
00:32:25.000 --> 00:32:27.559
<v Speaker 2>Okay, yeah, so this is working out perfectly. What do

631
00:32:27.599 --> 00:32:28.319
<v Speaker 2>you got on that?

632
00:32:28.359 --> 00:32:31.039
<v Speaker 1>Because that was the talk of the town, and I'm

633
00:32:31.079 --> 00:32:33.920
<v Speaker 1>sure a bunch of like everyone at Lockheed and stuff

634
00:32:33.920 --> 00:32:36.759
<v Speaker 1>will probably like, yeah, yeah, I just kick up this

635
00:32:36.920 --> 00:32:38.920
<v Speaker 1>NGAD program again, you know what I mean?

636
00:32:39.519 --> 00:32:41.720
<v Speaker 4>That's honestly why that was the first thing I thought.

637
00:32:42.480 --> 00:32:44.640
<v Speaker 4>So maybe the a bit of context that's worth noting

638
00:32:44.640 --> 00:32:47.440
<v Speaker 4>for anyone who isn't aware. The United States started working

639
00:32:47.440 --> 00:32:51.480
<v Speaker 4>on a sixth generation fighter. Sixth generation being sort of

640
00:32:51.519 --> 00:32:55.079
<v Speaker 4>a stand in term because we don't know what capabilities

641
00:32:55.119 --> 00:32:58.920
<v Speaker 4>actually defined six generation. It's just sort of marketing terms

642
00:32:58.920 --> 00:33:01.960
<v Speaker 4>at this point. But the US started development on such

643
00:33:01.960 --> 00:33:05.039
<v Speaker 4>an aircraft back in twenty fourteen with a program a

644
00:33:05.079 --> 00:33:08.519
<v Speaker 4>study commissioned with RAN called the Dominance Initiative, and that

645
00:33:08.880 --> 00:33:12.720
<v Speaker 4>transitioned into the Next Generation air Dominance Program. The US

646
00:33:12.759 --> 00:33:15.599
<v Speaker 4>started testing prototypes back in twenty twenty. We know they

647
00:33:15.640 --> 00:33:18.279
<v Speaker 4>set some sort of performance records. We don't know what,

648
00:33:18.759 --> 00:33:21.359
<v Speaker 4>but we do know that there are three flying prototypes

649
00:33:21.799 --> 00:33:25.200
<v Speaker 4>associated with this program and the Air Force was supposed

650
00:33:25.240 --> 00:33:27.880
<v Speaker 4>to deliver a production contract for it this year. But

651
00:33:28.559 --> 00:33:32.039
<v Speaker 4>you know, Northorp Drumman went about eighty billion dollars over

652
00:33:32.200 --> 00:33:35.359
<v Speaker 4>on the sentence a ICBM program already, and they haven't

653
00:33:35.640 --> 00:33:39.000
<v Speaker 4>built the first missile yet, So the Air Force doesn't

654
00:33:39.000 --> 00:33:42.599
<v Speaker 4>have any money to fund this MNGAD effort anymore. They

655
00:33:42.599 --> 00:33:46.240
<v Speaker 4>commissioned another study over the past three months with third

656
00:33:46.240 --> 00:33:49.440
<v Speaker 4>party outsiders and a few industry insiders to see if

657
00:33:49.880 --> 00:33:52.599
<v Speaker 4>the NNGAD program is developing in the way it should,

658
00:33:52.640 --> 00:33:54.599
<v Speaker 4>and they determined that it is worth the money. They

659
00:33:54.599 --> 00:33:56.559
<v Speaker 4>just don't have the money, so they kicked this can

660
00:33:56.599 --> 00:33:58.680
<v Speaker 4>to the Trump administration. They're going to have to make

661
00:33:58.680 --> 00:34:00.960
<v Speaker 4>a decision as to whether or not they're going to

662
00:34:01.039 --> 00:34:04.240
<v Speaker 4>basically increase the Air Force's budget to fund this F

663
00:34:04.279 --> 00:34:08.000
<v Speaker 4>twenty two replacement fighter, an air superiority fighter. So now

664
00:34:08.039 --> 00:34:11.679
<v Speaker 4>fast forward to just this past couple of weeks. On

665
00:34:12.039 --> 00:34:15.599
<v Speaker 4>the one hundred and thirty first anniversary of Chairman Mao's birthday,

666
00:34:16.239 --> 00:34:21.159
<v Speaker 4>two stealth aircraft were photographed over China. One was over Chegdu,

667
00:34:21.519 --> 00:34:25.039
<v Speaker 4>which is where Changdu air Aircraft or excuse me, chang

668
00:34:25.079 --> 00:34:27.639
<v Speaker 4>Dou Aerospace Corporation is based out of them, and then

669
00:34:27.639 --> 00:34:31.360
<v Speaker 4>the other one was out of Shenyang Aircraft Corporations headquarters.

670
00:34:31.400 --> 00:34:32.280
<v Speaker 3>So this is sort.

671
00:34:32.079 --> 00:34:35.679
<v Speaker 4>Of the Chinese equivalent of Lockheed Martin and Northrope Rummin.

672
00:34:35.840 --> 00:34:38.599
<v Speaker 3>These are not two aircraft from the same corporation.

673
00:34:38.679 --> 00:34:42.280
<v Speaker 4>They're two aircraft from effectively rival corporations, but based on

674
00:34:42.679 --> 00:34:45.719
<v Speaker 4>their shape and size, they don't appear to be competitors

675
00:34:46.199 --> 00:34:50.000
<v Speaker 4>for the same contract. They appear to be designed for

676
00:34:50.159 --> 00:34:53.119
<v Speaker 4>very different things. The Shenyang aircraft is much smaller, It

677
00:34:53.159 --> 00:34:55.960
<v Speaker 4>may be unmanned, It might be very equivalent of a

678
00:34:55.960 --> 00:34:59.079
<v Speaker 4>CCA drone like the ones the US is developing right now.

679
00:34:59.480 --> 00:35:02.480
<v Speaker 4>But then there's that J thirty six, that much larger

680
00:35:02.519 --> 00:35:05.960
<v Speaker 4>aircraft with a delta wing shape. It really does look

681
00:35:06.000 --> 00:35:09.519
<v Speaker 4>a lot like renders we've seen for American six generation

682
00:35:09.599 --> 00:35:14.199
<v Speaker 4>fighters like MGAD or the Davies programs called FAXX, very

683
00:35:14.199 --> 00:35:15.039
<v Speaker 4>similar concepts.

684
00:35:15.039 --> 00:35:18.559
<v Speaker 3>They have a lot in common. But the thing.

685
00:35:18.480 --> 00:35:20.639
<v Speaker 4>Is about this J thirty six is that what we

686
00:35:20.760 --> 00:35:23.239
<v Speaker 4>don't know about it is significantly larger than what we

687
00:35:23.320 --> 00:35:26.800
<v Speaker 4>do know we know that it's got a delta wing design,

688
00:35:26.880 --> 00:35:31.159
<v Speaker 4>which suggests they're looking for larger payloads and much longer ranges.

689
00:35:32.159 --> 00:35:34.960
<v Speaker 4>If you're familiar with the F sixteen XL, it was

690
00:35:35.000 --> 00:35:37.440
<v Speaker 4>an aircraft that was tested back in the eighties. It

691
00:35:37.440 --> 00:35:40.480
<v Speaker 4>was effectively an F sixteen A with a cranked errow wing,

692
00:35:40.639 --> 00:35:42.760
<v Speaker 4>sort of like a delta wing, but with two different

693
00:35:43.079 --> 00:35:46.000
<v Speaker 4>sweep angles. And by adding all that extra wing area,

694
00:35:46.199 --> 00:35:48.239
<v Speaker 4>they were able to take the same F sixteen with

695
00:35:48.280 --> 00:35:51.719
<v Speaker 4>the same engine and carry twice the payload about forty

696
00:35:51.760 --> 00:35:52.639
<v Speaker 4>four percent further.

697
00:35:53.119 --> 00:35:54.480
<v Speaker 3>And I think that that.

698
00:35:54.480 --> 00:35:57.599
<v Speaker 4>Speaks to exactly what this J thirty six is meant

699
00:35:57.599 --> 00:36:00.440
<v Speaker 4>to do. It's center fuselage looks a lot like the

700
00:36:00.559 --> 00:36:04.639
<v Speaker 4>J twenties. It's nose stealth attributes look a lot like

701
00:36:04.679 --> 00:36:05.480
<v Speaker 4>the J twenties.

702
00:36:05.519 --> 00:36:07.280
<v Speaker 3>It's stealthy intakes on.

703
00:36:07.239 --> 00:36:09.400
<v Speaker 4>The bottom side look a bit like the J thirty five's,

704
00:36:09.440 --> 00:36:13.280
<v Speaker 4>which are very Lockheed Martin reminiscent. For good reason, a

705
00:36:13.320 --> 00:36:16.199
<v Speaker 4>man named Subin a Chinese national name. Subin is serving

706
00:36:16.199 --> 00:36:19.199
<v Speaker 4>a prison sentence for stealing the F twenty two and

707
00:36:19.280 --> 00:36:23.960
<v Speaker 4>F thirty five blueprints for China. But this aircraft effectively

708
00:36:23.960 --> 00:36:27.639
<v Speaker 4>looks like a J twenty XL. It is a platform

709
00:36:27.679 --> 00:36:31.159
<v Speaker 4>that's designed to fly at high altitudes, lightly high supersonic speeds,

710
00:36:31.199 --> 00:36:35.519
<v Speaker 4>and over long ranges. And to that point, it has

711
00:36:35.719 --> 00:36:40.199
<v Speaker 4>three engines, which is really really unusual. There's inlets for

712
00:36:40.440 --> 00:36:43.599
<v Speaker 4>two of the engines, the outermost engines, on the underside

713
00:36:43.599 --> 00:36:46.159
<v Speaker 4>of the aircraft, and then there's a third inlet inlet

714
00:36:46.239 --> 00:36:51.000
<v Speaker 4>for that center engine on the top. Now there's people

715
00:36:51.039 --> 00:36:52.920
<v Speaker 4>online claiming that that's a scramjet.

716
00:36:53.519 --> 00:36:53.840
<v Speaker 3>It's not.

717
00:36:54.320 --> 00:36:57.119
<v Speaker 4>There's no evidence to substantiate the idea that that third

718
00:36:57.119 --> 00:36:59.679
<v Speaker 4>engine would be a scramjet. And to be honest, China

719
00:37:00.440 --> 00:37:03.599
<v Speaker 4>technology is lagging so far behind the US. Is that

720
00:37:03.639 --> 00:37:07.480
<v Speaker 4>they just need three engines, three turbofan engines on that

721
00:37:07.519 --> 00:37:10.719
<v Speaker 4>platform to move all that aircraft and its payload. Would

722
00:37:10.719 --> 00:37:13.880
<v Speaker 4>be my assessment. It looks like it's powered by WS

723
00:37:13.960 --> 00:37:18.199
<v Speaker 4>ten C turbofan engines right now, which are engines designed

724
00:37:18.199 --> 00:37:20.920
<v Speaker 4>for fourth generation fighters. These are the sorts of engines

725
00:37:20.960 --> 00:37:23.800
<v Speaker 4>that would power you know, the American equivalent of an

726
00:37:23.840 --> 00:37:28.119
<v Speaker 4>F sixteen, you know, a non stealth aircraft. They're still

727
00:37:28.159 --> 00:37:32.039
<v Speaker 4>working on developing engines for fifth generation platforms, like they're

728
00:37:32.079 --> 00:37:35.480
<v Speaker 4>JAY twenty and J thirty five. So this new aircraft

729
00:37:35.559 --> 00:37:38.159
<v Speaker 4>is being powered by engines you know, from the seventies

730
00:37:38.199 --> 00:37:43.440
<v Speaker 4>and eighties era. Technology wise, you know, it's it's not,

731
00:37:44.039 --> 00:37:46.480
<v Speaker 4>i guess, anywhere near as scary as a lot of

732
00:37:46.480 --> 00:37:49.920
<v Speaker 4>content creators are making it out to be. But it's

733
00:37:49.920 --> 00:37:52.280
<v Speaker 4>certainly got a ton of potential. You know, that delta

734
00:37:52.280 --> 00:37:55.320
<v Speaker 4>wing design, that lack of standing vertical tail surfaces means

735
00:37:55.800 --> 00:37:59.920
<v Speaker 4>that it's very likely extremely difficult to detect using both

736
00:38:00.119 --> 00:38:04.079
<v Speaker 4>high frequency targeting radar arrays but also using low frequency

737
00:38:04.119 --> 00:38:08.280
<v Speaker 4>early warning radar arrays. The lack of standing tales also

738
00:38:08.320 --> 00:38:10.760
<v Speaker 4>makes it much more difficult to detect and target from

739
00:38:10.760 --> 00:38:15.079
<v Speaker 4>the side, whereas today's stealth fighters. That's more of a vulnerability.

740
00:38:15.960 --> 00:38:17.519
<v Speaker 4>So while I'm not worre, I'm not going to lose

741
00:38:17.559 --> 00:38:20.119
<v Speaker 4>any sleep over the J thirty six right now. It

742
00:38:20.239 --> 00:38:22.920
<v Speaker 4>is worth noting that what we're seeing are the early

743
00:38:23.000 --> 00:38:25.960
<v Speaker 4>test flights of a platform. You know, So it's a

744
00:38:26.000 --> 00:38:26.840
<v Speaker 4>half decade to.

745
00:38:28.320 --> 00:38:29.559
<v Speaker 3>The J twenty took.

746
00:38:29.800 --> 00:38:32.960
<v Speaker 4>Six years to go from test flights to service. The

747
00:38:33.039 --> 00:38:36.599
<v Speaker 4>J thirty five now is probably going to take fourteen

748
00:38:36.679 --> 00:38:37.599
<v Speaker 4>years to.

749
00:38:37.599 --> 00:38:39.079
<v Speaker 3>Go from test flights to service.

750
00:38:39.840 --> 00:38:42.199
<v Speaker 4>So this aircraft's got a lot of maturation to go.

751
00:38:42.360 --> 00:38:43.800
<v Speaker 4>And that's actually why I'm.

752
00:38:43.679 --> 00:38:47.559
<v Speaker 3>Worried, because it's a great design to.

753
00:38:47.519 --> 00:38:51.320
<v Speaker 4>Start from, to continue to mature the system into something

754
00:38:51.800 --> 00:38:54.880
<v Speaker 4>that could reasonably oppose a real threat to American air

755
00:38:54.920 --> 00:38:58.599
<v Speaker 4>operations in the Pacific and to operations in places like

756
00:38:58.800 --> 00:39:02.920
<v Speaker 4>bomb further away than China could ever strike before. And

757
00:39:03.079 --> 00:39:05.960
<v Speaker 4>to that point, there are people who are calling this

758
00:39:06.119 --> 00:39:09.800
<v Speaker 4>J thirty six a regional bomber program rather than a fighter.

759
00:39:10.400 --> 00:39:13.519
<v Speaker 4>I think that that's a reasonable assessment to make, but

760
00:39:14.199 --> 00:39:17.519
<v Speaker 4>I think people are making the mistake of assuming there's

761
00:39:17.519 --> 00:39:21.440
<v Speaker 4>still a very fine and clear line between fighters and bombers,

762
00:39:21.920 --> 00:39:23.840
<v Speaker 4>and that just isn't the case anymore. You know, we're

763
00:39:23.840 --> 00:39:26.960
<v Speaker 4>seeing with the B twenty one Raider, there's really strong

764
00:39:27.000 --> 00:39:29.559
<v Speaker 4>evidence to suggest that the B twenty one, America's new

765
00:39:29.599 --> 00:39:32.480
<v Speaker 4>stealth bomber will be able to carry air to air

766
00:39:32.519 --> 00:39:36.639
<v Speaker 4>weapons to defend itself. Now to mention the feasibility that

767
00:39:36.679 --> 00:39:40.360
<v Speaker 4>it could carry systems like DARPA's Long Shot, which is

768
00:39:40.360 --> 00:39:44.079
<v Speaker 4>effectively a cruise missile that carries am rams, so we

769
00:39:44.119 --> 00:39:47.039
<v Speaker 4>can self escort things like that. So the line between

770
00:39:47.119 --> 00:39:49.760
<v Speaker 4>an aircraft meant to engage other aircraft and an aircraft

771
00:39:49.760 --> 00:39:53.440
<v Speaker 4>meant to engage ground targets is about as murky as

772
00:39:53.440 --> 00:39:55.039
<v Speaker 4>they can get at this point, and it's only going

773
00:39:55.079 --> 00:39:57.239
<v Speaker 4>to get murkier. So is it a fighter or a bomber?

774
00:39:57.280 --> 00:40:01.480
<v Speaker 4>I would argue, it doesn't matter. Can engage ground targets

775
00:40:01.519 --> 00:40:04.960
<v Speaker 4>and air targets all the same, and this platform likely

776
00:40:05.000 --> 00:40:06.159
<v Speaker 4>will too, you.

777
00:40:06.119 --> 00:40:12.320
<v Speaker 5>Know, so popping back to and ged really quick until

778
00:40:13.280 --> 00:40:17.760
<v Speaker 5>and unless that program is heated back up, do you

779
00:40:17.840 --> 00:40:21.800
<v Speaker 5>think that what we have in the stockpiles are capable

780
00:40:21.840 --> 00:40:23.719
<v Speaker 5>if something were to kick off right now?

781
00:40:24.320 --> 00:40:27.519
<v Speaker 4>That is like that's the billion dollar question, right, So

782
00:40:27.599 --> 00:40:32.159
<v Speaker 4>the US is actively investing about twelve billion dollars into

783
00:40:32.320 --> 00:40:33.360
<v Speaker 4>upgrading our F.

784
00:40:33.320 --> 00:40:34.440
<v Speaker 3>Twenty two Raptor fleet.

785
00:40:34.639 --> 00:40:38.840
<v Speaker 4>Right, the Raptor is still the most capable air superiority

786
00:40:38.840 --> 00:40:41.920
<v Speaker 4>fighter in the sky. But the Raptors started flying before

787
00:40:41.960 --> 00:40:44.480
<v Speaker 4>the iPhone was invented. You know, this is a pretty

788
00:40:44.559 --> 00:40:48.679
<v Speaker 4>dated platform in this twenty first century, you know, rapidly

789
00:40:48.960 --> 00:40:52.920
<v Speaker 4>changing digital battle space. Right, so the Raptor is getting

790
00:40:53.119 --> 00:40:56.000
<v Speaker 4>it looks like a heads up a helmet helmet Q targeting,

791
00:40:56.039 --> 00:40:59.119
<v Speaker 4>which is a capability it has really lacked for a

792
00:40:59.159 --> 00:41:02.000
<v Speaker 4>long time, and it's likely getting infra red search and

793
00:41:02.079 --> 00:41:05.320
<v Speaker 4>tract targeting capabilities, and that IRST as well as the

794
00:41:05.360 --> 00:41:10.880
<v Speaker 4>F thirty five's distributed aperture system which can also infrared target,

795
00:41:11.400 --> 00:41:15.239
<v Speaker 4>are really effective for countering stealth platforms. But the most

796
00:41:15.280 --> 00:41:19.159
<v Speaker 4>important question we should be asking is how is this aircraft.

797
00:41:19.159 --> 00:41:21.719
<v Speaker 4>This J thirty six is going to be integrated into

798
00:41:21.760 --> 00:41:25.559
<v Speaker 4>China's air warfare strategy right, and chances are pretty solid.

799
00:41:25.760 --> 00:41:28.519
<v Speaker 3>Like NGAD, it's going to be a bit removed from

800
00:41:28.559 --> 00:41:28.920
<v Speaker 3>the fight.

801
00:41:29.599 --> 00:41:31.519
<v Speaker 4>It's going to serve as sort of a battle manager

802
00:41:31.679 --> 00:41:36.119
<v Speaker 4>for AI enabled drones. Is what I would consider to

803
00:41:36.159 --> 00:41:39.559
<v Speaker 4>be the most likely use case, and as such, it'll

804
00:41:39.599 --> 00:41:41.519
<v Speaker 4>be a tough target to hit. It doesn't need to

805
00:41:41.519 --> 00:41:44.039
<v Speaker 4>be the tealthiest aircraft in the world to be a

806
00:41:44.079 --> 00:41:46.639
<v Speaker 4>tough target to hit, especially if it's pretty far removed

807
00:41:46.639 --> 00:41:49.400
<v Speaker 4>and it's protected by CCA type drones.

808
00:41:49.679 --> 00:41:52.800
<v Speaker 3>You know. So does the US have the technology to

809
00:41:52.840 --> 00:41:53.199
<v Speaker 3>counter it?

810
00:41:53.239 --> 00:41:57.960
<v Speaker 4>I would say absolutely, But circumstance depending right, It depends

811
00:41:57.960 --> 00:42:00.639
<v Speaker 4>on the environment you're in, the systems you have available,

812
00:42:01.440 --> 00:42:04.960
<v Speaker 4>the circumstances of the engagement. There's a lot of variables

813
00:42:05.000 --> 00:42:08.639
<v Speaker 4>to consider. And I was at NORAD in northcom about

814
00:42:08.639 --> 00:42:12.880
<v Speaker 4>a month ago asking about these things and drone incursions

815
00:42:12.920 --> 00:42:15.880
<v Speaker 4>and stuff like that. And one thing that the command

816
00:42:15.880 --> 00:42:18.760
<v Speaker 4>element at the Space Force in particular really wanted to

817
00:42:18.840 --> 00:42:22.119
<v Speaker 4>hit home for me was that China is not the Taliban.

818
00:42:22.639 --> 00:42:26.119
<v Speaker 4>You know, people like to dismiss technology as made in China,

819
00:42:26.599 --> 00:42:30.159
<v Speaker 4>especially because of their long history of intellectual property theft

820
00:42:30.280 --> 00:42:34.000
<v Speaker 4>and sort of advancement through espionage, but they are a

821
00:42:34.119 --> 00:42:38.119
<v Speaker 4>very well funded adversary with a big and growing academic

822
00:42:38.159 --> 00:42:44.719
<v Speaker 4>pipeline for you know, aerospace defense technology. We can't dismiss

823
00:42:44.800 --> 00:42:47.079
<v Speaker 4>the threat that China post is out of hand because

824
00:42:47.119 --> 00:42:50.840
<v Speaker 4>it's China. We have to acknowledge the fact that China

825
00:42:51.000 --> 00:42:53.880
<v Speaker 4>is becoming much more capable than they ever have been

826
00:42:53.920 --> 00:42:57.159
<v Speaker 4>in the past, and they don't need to be better

827
00:42:57.360 --> 00:43:00.480
<v Speaker 4>than the United States at any one thing to pose

828
00:43:00.519 --> 00:43:02.800
<v Speaker 4>a huge threat in the Pacific. You know, if the

829
00:43:02.840 --> 00:43:05.800
<v Speaker 4>American defense apparatus is a suit of armor, you don't

830
00:43:05.800 --> 00:43:08.519
<v Speaker 4>need to build the suit of armor that's just as good.

831
00:43:09.039 --> 00:43:11.559
<v Speaker 4>You just need to build an arrow that can penetrate

832
00:43:11.599 --> 00:43:13.960
<v Speaker 4>that suit of armor. Right, So what we need to

833
00:43:13.960 --> 00:43:16.800
<v Speaker 4>be worried about isn't is china suit of armor as

834
00:43:16.800 --> 00:43:18.719
<v Speaker 4>good as ours. We need to be worried about, Well,

835
00:43:19.079 --> 00:43:21.599
<v Speaker 4>could this aircraft be one of those arrows, and.

836
00:43:21.599 --> 00:43:23.440
<v Speaker 3>I do think that it has the potential to be.

837
00:43:24.239 --> 00:43:26.679
<v Speaker 4>And because of that, you know, and I'm often called

838
00:43:26.719 --> 00:43:29.280
<v Speaker 4>the shill for the military industrial complex because I do

839
00:43:29.400 --> 00:43:32.559
<v Speaker 4>believe in winning the next conflict by deterring it.

840
00:43:33.480 --> 00:43:35.320
<v Speaker 3>But I would like to see NNGA defunded.

841
00:43:35.400 --> 00:43:39.199
<v Speaker 4>And I think that seeing how serious China is about

842
00:43:39.239 --> 00:43:43.360
<v Speaker 4>airspace dominance, it should be a clear decision. It should

843
00:43:43.400 --> 00:43:46.880
<v Speaker 4>be Obviously, we need to maintain this advantage because if

844
00:43:46.920 --> 00:43:50.719
<v Speaker 4>you find yourself trailing, it becomes much more expensive and

845
00:43:50.760 --> 00:43:53.480
<v Speaker 4>potentially deadly to try to close that gap.

846
00:43:54.239 --> 00:43:55.639
<v Speaker 3>You know, got.

847
00:43:57.239 --> 00:44:01.880
<v Speaker 4>Especially China's airborne early world and control apparatus is also

848
00:44:02.719 --> 00:44:06.000
<v Speaker 4>rapidly maturing, and I would argue that that's the piece

849
00:44:06.639 --> 00:44:10.199
<v Speaker 4>that they're missing when it comes to fielding these new aircraft.

850
00:44:11.280 --> 00:44:13.960
<v Speaker 4>Last year or the year prior, F thirty five's and

851
00:44:14.039 --> 00:44:18.079
<v Speaker 4>J twenties had a short interaction, a short encounter, and

852
00:44:18.119 --> 00:44:20.400
<v Speaker 4>that was the one takeaway American pilots took from it,

853
00:44:20.440 --> 00:44:23.199
<v Speaker 4>was that the Chinese J twenties are getting better at

854
00:44:23.239 --> 00:44:27.079
<v Speaker 4>coordinating with airborne early warning and control. Those are the

855
00:44:27.079 --> 00:44:29.079
<v Speaker 4>things people don't think about that America is so good

856
00:44:29.119 --> 00:44:33.159
<v Speaker 4>at because America, you know, operated stealth aircraft. Well, no

857
00:44:33.199 --> 00:44:35.559
<v Speaker 4>one else in the world did for more than three decades.

858
00:44:35.760 --> 00:44:38.199
<v Speaker 3>You know, the US has a commanding lead.

859
00:44:38.079 --> 00:44:42.880
<v Speaker 4>In establishing doctrine and procedure for these stealth aircraft operations.

860
00:44:43.199 --> 00:44:46.840
<v Speaker 4>But again, we can't dismiss China because they are working

861
00:44:47.400 --> 00:44:50.320
<v Speaker 4>hard to close these gaps and they don't have to

862
00:44:50.360 --> 00:44:53.800
<v Speaker 4>worry about public buy in like we do in American politics.

863
00:44:53.960 --> 00:44:56.800
<v Speaker 4>So if jijimping thinks it's a good idea, that's it.

864
00:44:57.320 --> 00:45:00.199
<v Speaker 4>You know, they get the money they need, so I

865
00:45:00.239 --> 00:45:01.639
<v Speaker 4>hope that the air force gets.

866
00:45:01.440 --> 00:45:02.119
<v Speaker 3>The money they need.

867
00:45:02.440 --> 00:45:04.599
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and their money goes a longer way, right, like

868
00:45:04.639 --> 00:45:06.159
<v Speaker 1>they're purchasing power.

869
00:45:05.880 --> 00:45:07.239
<v Speaker 3>They purchasing power parity.

870
00:45:07.280 --> 00:45:10.320
<v Speaker 4>And it's worth noting that, you know, people say the

871
00:45:10.440 --> 00:45:13.639
<v Speaker 4>US spends more than the next ten countries combined on defense.

872
00:45:14.039 --> 00:45:18.159
<v Speaker 4>That is objectively false. Those are self reported figures. And

873
00:45:18.199 --> 00:45:20.519
<v Speaker 4>it shouldn't surprise anyone that a nation that is not

874
00:45:20.639 --> 00:45:24.880
<v Speaker 4>particularly honest about anything also isn't honest about their publicly

875
00:45:24.920 --> 00:45:29.400
<v Speaker 4>disclosed defense spending. So independent analysis suggests China spending seven

876
00:45:29.440 --> 00:45:33.079
<v Speaker 4>hundred billion plus on defense each year, and their dollars

877
00:45:33.119 --> 00:45:36.639
<v Speaker 4>go further. You know, a colonel in the Chinese Army

878
00:45:36.639 --> 00:45:38.559
<v Speaker 4>makes less than a Marine Corps lance corporal with a

879
00:45:38.559 --> 00:45:39.000
<v Speaker 4>wife in.

880
00:45:38.920 --> 00:45:39.599
<v Speaker 3>Camp La June.

881
00:45:40.199 --> 00:45:42.480
<v Speaker 4>So if you think of that, if you think of

882
00:45:42.519 --> 00:45:45.719
<v Speaker 4>it that way, they have the means to produce a

883
00:45:45.760 --> 00:45:49.440
<v Speaker 4>great deal of military capability. There are still elements of

884
00:45:49.480 --> 00:45:53.199
<v Speaker 4>the Chinese military with horse drawn carriages, but those don't

885
00:45:53.239 --> 00:45:56.960
<v Speaker 4>necessarily matter if we're talking specifically about a naval and

886
00:45:57.039 --> 00:46:00.599
<v Speaker 4>airpower engagement over the Pacific. You know, again, they just

887
00:46:00.599 --> 00:46:01.840
<v Speaker 4>got to build the right arrows.

888
00:46:02.159 --> 00:46:06.559
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, the Chinese equivalent to the B twenty one raider,

889
00:46:07.519 --> 00:46:12.000
<v Speaker 1>the sweat wing bomb. Yeah, what's going on with that?

890
00:46:12.239 --> 00:46:16.320
<v Speaker 2>Do they have? They have, They've tested, but they haven't deployed.

891
00:46:16.599 --> 00:46:19.360
<v Speaker 4>So they some people claim that they have tested the

892
00:46:19.400 --> 00:46:21.280
<v Speaker 4>Age twenty. There were some rumors it was going to

893
00:46:21.320 --> 00:46:25.039
<v Speaker 4>be unveiled last year, but current US and TEL assessment

894
00:46:25.079 --> 00:46:27.639
<v Speaker 4>suggest it'll probably be in the twenty thirties before it's

895
00:46:27.679 --> 00:46:32.639
<v Speaker 4>actually unveiled. But it is I would argue, probably more

896
00:46:32.639 --> 00:46:35.239
<v Speaker 4>akin to the B two than the B twenty one

897
00:46:35.880 --> 00:46:38.000
<v Speaker 4>in terms of stealth and onboard avionics.

898
00:46:38.360 --> 00:46:39.880
<v Speaker 3>But again, that doesn't mean that by the.

899
00:46:39.800 --> 00:46:42.480
<v Speaker 4>Time it enters service it won't have advanced you know,

900
00:46:43.280 --> 00:46:45.760
<v Speaker 4>to a large extent. But I think it is worth

901
00:46:45.800 --> 00:46:49.960
<v Speaker 4>noting that China has had access to American stealth materials

902
00:46:50.039 --> 00:46:52.039
<v Speaker 4>through a variety of sources.

903
00:46:51.840 --> 00:46:53.719
<v Speaker 3>Including drones that have been downed.

904
00:46:53.480 --> 00:46:55.719
<v Speaker 4>In different places, the F one seventeen that went down

905
00:46:55.719 --> 00:46:59.679
<v Speaker 4>in Serbia. They've got a lot to pull from to

906
00:46:59.760 --> 00:47:04.199
<v Speaker 4>a US American stealth practices and material sciences which are

907
00:47:04.840 --> 00:47:08.079
<v Speaker 4>really really important, and that's all going to inform the

908
00:47:08.119 --> 00:47:12.679
<v Speaker 4>Age twenty. Radar absorbent materials are sort of under discussed

909
00:47:12.719 --> 00:47:16.760
<v Speaker 4>because there's not a lot of publicly available information, but

910
00:47:16.840 --> 00:47:19.760
<v Speaker 4>that's sort of the skin on a stealth aircraft and

911
00:47:20.239 --> 00:47:23.559
<v Speaker 4>the radar absorbent materials. The RAM on the B two

912
00:47:24.320 --> 00:47:26.760
<v Speaker 4>is supposed to be rated to absorb upwards of eighty

913
00:47:26.840 --> 00:47:30.239
<v Speaker 4>percent of inbound electromagnetic energy, which is radar waves.

914
00:47:30.559 --> 00:47:31.360
<v Speaker 3>That's huge.

915
00:47:31.599 --> 00:47:34.280
<v Speaker 4>So you know, the shape of the aircraft is what

916
00:47:34.559 --> 00:47:36.920
<v Speaker 4>really makes the biggest difference in terms of stealth, and

917
00:47:36.960 --> 00:47:40.719
<v Speaker 4>from there you're kind of making iterative improvements. But the material,

918
00:47:40.800 --> 00:47:44.079
<v Speaker 4>the material science of your composite skin is the next

919
00:47:44.199 --> 00:47:45.559
<v Speaker 4>most important variable.

920
00:47:46.079 --> 00:47:48.920
<v Speaker 3>The United States does have a big lead.

921
00:47:48.840 --> 00:47:52.519
<v Speaker 4>In this realm, but that lead is waning, you know,

922
00:47:52.760 --> 00:47:56.320
<v Speaker 4>and if China has access to you know, materials from

923
00:47:56.360 --> 00:47:58.880
<v Speaker 4>the F one seventeen and then materials maybe from like

924
00:47:58.920 --> 00:48:01.559
<v Speaker 4>the RQ one seventy, which is a much more recent

925
00:48:01.639 --> 00:48:05.239
<v Speaker 4>isr platform a stealth platform, and they can see how

926
00:48:05.280 --> 00:48:06.559
<v Speaker 4>those materials have changed.

927
00:48:06.599 --> 00:48:09.039
<v Speaker 3>It can point them in a lot of the right directions.

928
00:48:09.199 --> 00:48:11.920
<v Speaker 2>Or that at stealth Blackhawk from the Bladen.

929
00:48:11.519 --> 00:48:16.840
<v Speaker 4>Raid, perfect example, a perfect you know, although it looks

930
00:48:16.880 --> 00:48:19.400
<v Speaker 4>like a stealth black Hawk was probably coded in the

931
00:48:19.440 --> 00:48:23.800
<v Speaker 4>same half glass radar absorbent material used on some F sixteens,

932
00:48:24.039 --> 00:48:28.719
<v Speaker 4>some wild weasels. So I would argue the counter to

933
00:48:28.800 --> 00:48:32.760
<v Speaker 4>that is ceramic based RAM. There was a breakthrough a

934
00:48:32.800 --> 00:48:35.880
<v Speaker 4>few years ago at a US university in the South.

935
00:48:36.679 --> 00:48:38.960
<v Speaker 4>I can't remember the school. Cheryl Zoo is the researcher

936
00:48:39.000 --> 00:48:43.480
<v Speaker 4>heading the program. But ceramic based RAM would be a

937
00:48:43.519 --> 00:48:47.039
<v Speaker 4>revolution in stealth unlike anything we've seen since the seventies.

938
00:48:47.079 --> 00:48:51.239
<v Speaker 4>Probably it can withstand significantly higher temperatures. The thing that

939
00:48:51.320 --> 00:48:54.320
<v Speaker 4>stops the F twenty two, for instance, from being faster

940
00:48:54.960 --> 00:48:56.840
<v Speaker 4>is that the RAM we have today is polymer based.

941
00:48:56.880 --> 00:49:00.800
<v Speaker 4>It's plastic, and plastic burns and high heat and friction,

942
00:49:01.360 --> 00:49:03.480
<v Speaker 4>and that's why you've probably seen pictures of like the

943
00:49:03.519 --> 00:49:06.119
<v Speaker 4>F twenty two with like blisters on its nose and

944
00:49:06.159 --> 00:49:08.119
<v Speaker 4>like it's you know, it's skin kind of peeling off.

945
00:49:08.159 --> 00:49:11.440
<v Speaker 4>That's because that aircraft was sprinting, you know, for long

946
00:49:11.519 --> 00:49:14.400
<v Speaker 4>enough to burn off the skin. Ceramic won't burn off

947
00:49:14.440 --> 00:49:17.800
<v Speaker 4>like that, So not only can you sustain much higher speeds,

948
00:49:17.800 --> 00:49:21.280
<v Speaker 4>but you don't need to scrape all that toxic stuff

949
00:49:21.320 --> 00:49:23.679
<v Speaker 4>off your aircraft. They have to wear mop gear to

950
00:49:23.760 --> 00:49:26.719
<v Speaker 4>do it, and then recoat it and then recure it

951
00:49:26.760 --> 00:49:30.199
<v Speaker 4>for three days in an oven, effectively before the aircraft

952
00:49:30.199 --> 00:49:33.239
<v Speaker 4>can get back out into operation. With ceramic ram it

953
00:49:33.239 --> 00:49:35.719
<v Speaker 4>would last significantly longer. It would also make it cheaper

954
00:49:35.760 --> 00:49:39.880
<v Speaker 4>to just coat everything in radar absorbent materials, which wouldn't

955
00:49:39.880 --> 00:49:43.000
<v Speaker 4>make every F sixteen stealth or whatever, but would reduce

956
00:49:43.280 --> 00:49:45.400
<v Speaker 4>their radar return, you know, buy you a little bit

957
00:49:45.440 --> 00:49:49.719
<v Speaker 4>more time. So that is something that the US certainly

958
00:49:49.719 --> 00:49:52.599
<v Speaker 4>has in the pipeline. Cheryl's who's got a defense contract.

959
00:49:52.760 --> 00:49:55.440
<v Speaker 4>Whether or not it'll manifest with six Gen fighters, you know,

960
00:49:55.719 --> 00:49:57.440
<v Speaker 4>is anybody's guess.

961
00:49:57.920 --> 00:49:59.800
<v Speaker 3>But it's worth noting that the US.

962
00:49:59.599 --> 00:50:02.719
<v Speaker 4>Has been making moves to maintain its competitive advantage in

963
00:50:02.760 --> 00:50:07.440
<v Speaker 4>this realm. They just have not been consolidated and funded

964
00:50:07.480 --> 00:50:08.880
<v Speaker 4>into that singular.

965
00:50:08.599 --> 00:50:10.840
<v Speaker 3>NGAD program quite yet.

966
00:50:11.079 --> 00:50:14.920
<v Speaker 4>And I do think that that's I think that there's

967
00:50:14.960 --> 00:50:19.880
<v Speaker 4>a solid chance that Trump administration recognizes the value in NNGAD,

968
00:50:20.079 --> 00:50:22.440
<v Speaker 4>even if Elon Musk is dumb enough to think that

969
00:50:22.760 --> 00:50:25.480
<v Speaker 4>quad copters can replace true fighters.

970
00:50:25.760 --> 00:50:27.199
<v Speaker 3>You know, but.

971
00:50:28.880 --> 00:50:31.360
<v Speaker 4>For anyone out there who thinks that they can, quad copters,

972
00:50:31.360 --> 00:50:34.400
<v Speaker 4>by their varying nature, are limited to low altitudes and

973
00:50:34.440 --> 00:50:37.880
<v Speaker 4>short ranges. So you're never going to have a quad

974
00:50:37.880 --> 00:50:42.639
<v Speaker 4>copter swarm flying at sixty thousand feet to engage enemy fighters.

975
00:50:42.840 --> 00:50:45.000
<v Speaker 1>That's I mean, Listen, there's a good chance e Law

976
00:50:45.079 --> 00:50:48.760
<v Speaker 1>muscles on Kedemy when he when he put that out.

977
00:50:48.639 --> 00:50:51.880
<v Speaker 5>There, so different, I.

978
00:50:51.920 --> 00:50:55.880
<v Speaker 4>Mean, but it sounds great because because it also made

979
00:50:55.960 --> 00:50:59.519
<v Speaker 4>him think that, like the problem with targeting stealth aircraft

980
00:50:59.639 --> 00:51:02.840
<v Speaker 4>is line of sight. When he's you know, he was like,

981
00:51:02.840 --> 00:51:05.239
<v Speaker 4>all you need is like a low light camera and

982
00:51:05.360 --> 00:51:08.280
<v Speaker 4>AI bro. If you have line a site with that,

983
00:51:08.360 --> 00:51:10.360
<v Speaker 4>still a fighter, you are already screwed.

984
00:51:10.719 --> 00:51:12.880
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, you know, Like.

985
00:51:12.840 --> 00:51:15.079
<v Speaker 4>If you're an air defense system, the aar g M

986
00:51:15.199 --> 00:51:18.400
<v Speaker 4>e er Our new harm Our new radar hunting missile

987
00:51:18.400 --> 00:51:22.440
<v Speaker 4>has got like an eighty nautical mile range publicly disclosed. Yeah,

988
00:51:22.599 --> 00:51:25.599
<v Speaker 4>you are already blown up before you have line of sight,

989
00:51:26.079 --> 00:51:27.079
<v Speaker 4>you know, But like.

990
00:51:28.599 --> 00:51:29.079
<v Speaker 2>I don't know.

991
00:51:29.280 --> 00:51:30.639
<v Speaker 3>The dude knows rockets.

992
00:51:30.639 --> 00:51:33.880
<v Speaker 4>I'm a big fan of starship, but he does not

993
00:51:34.000 --> 00:51:35.119
<v Speaker 4>know tactical aviation.

994
00:51:35.400 --> 00:51:38.440
<v Speaker 5>Yeah. Well, I know we're running at a time, but

995
00:51:38.480 --> 00:51:41.159
<v Speaker 5>the next time we have you on, which will be soon,

996
00:51:41.519 --> 00:51:45.519
<v Speaker 5>I definitely want to discuss the newest Chinese aircraft carrier

997
00:51:45.840 --> 00:51:46.800
<v Speaker 5>and your thoughts on that.

998
00:51:47.239 --> 00:51:47.679
<v Speaker 3>I would look.

999
00:51:47.800 --> 00:51:51.159
<v Speaker 4>Honestly, any people are watching this might not know, but

1000
00:51:51.679 --> 00:51:53.920
<v Speaker 4>talking about airplanes with Jason Lyons has been one of

1001
00:51:53.960 --> 00:51:57.519
<v Speaker 4>my favorite things to do without it being a podcast.

1002
00:51:57.559 --> 00:52:00.320
<v Speaker 4>So yeah, anytime you want me, whether it cameras rolling

1003
00:52:00.440 --> 00:52:01.400
<v Speaker 4>or not, you know.

1004
00:52:02.000 --> 00:52:03.000
<v Speaker 2>Awesome guys.

1005
00:52:03.039 --> 00:52:05.760
<v Speaker 1>Don't forget to check out Alex Hollings like you need

1006
00:52:05.800 --> 00:52:10.000
<v Speaker 1>this plug anyway, Sandbox News Airpower series on the Sandbox

1007
00:52:10.039 --> 00:52:14.199
<v Speaker 1>YouTube channel of course, his uh journalistic work to Sandbox

1008
00:52:14.280 --> 00:52:17.039
<v Speaker 1>news dot what's the website sandbox.

1009
00:52:16.880 --> 00:52:21.000
<v Speaker 4>Sandbox dot us, sandbox with two x's dot us or

1010
00:52:21.119 --> 00:52:22.320
<v Speaker 4>sandboxnews dot com.

1011
00:52:22.440 --> 00:52:23.559
<v Speaker 3>That's easier to remember.

1012
00:52:23.679 --> 00:52:25.719
<v Speaker 1>Okay, the link will be in the description. You could

1013
00:52:25.760 --> 00:52:28.039
<v Speaker 1>check out Alex. I'm gonna put all of his links

1014
00:52:28.079 --> 00:52:31.800
<v Speaker 1>down there. You can find them. He's probably one of

1015
00:52:31.840 --> 00:52:35.039
<v Speaker 1>the best aviation YouTubers out there. I would say at

1016
00:52:35.119 --> 00:52:38.360
<v Speaker 1>least thank you. Yes, all the stuff I say, I

1017
00:52:38.440 --> 00:52:40.199
<v Speaker 1>pair it like the ship I was saying last week.

1018
00:52:40.239 --> 00:52:43.480
<v Speaker 1>It was just the same and Fromlex's videos, you know

1019
00:52:43.519 --> 00:52:45.719
<v Speaker 1>what I mean. Like, I'm like, yeah, the J thirty

1020
00:52:45.719 --> 00:52:47.760
<v Speaker 1>six engines are a piece of shit, Like they're not

1021
00:52:47.840 --> 00:52:48.360
<v Speaker 1>up to date.

1022
00:52:49.159 --> 00:52:51.079
<v Speaker 2>And I got that from you, Like I'm not. Yeah,

1023
00:52:51.159 --> 00:52:52.119
<v Speaker 2>what do I If.

1024
00:52:52.000 --> 00:52:54.159
<v Speaker 4>You ever want to do a deep dive into turbo fans,

1025
00:52:54.679 --> 00:52:56.519
<v Speaker 4>I am happy to, but it might put the audience

1026
00:52:56.559 --> 00:52:58.320
<v Speaker 4>to sleep excited.

1027
00:52:58.360 --> 00:52:58.800
<v Speaker 2>It'd be good.

1028
00:52:58.800 --> 00:53:00.920
<v Speaker 1>It'd be like the ASMR, you know, like after like

1029
00:53:01.519 --> 00:53:03.239
<v Speaker 1>two you gotta start going to sleep talk.

1030
00:53:03.360 --> 00:53:04.760
<v Speaker 3>I'll talk about it.

1031
00:53:06.159 --> 00:53:10.119
<v Speaker 1>Guys, don't forget to like and subscribe. If you're listening

1032
00:53:10.159 --> 00:53:13.159
<v Speaker 1>to us on audio rated five stars, subscribe there.

1033
00:53:13.079 --> 00:53:15.199
<v Speaker 2>So you can never miss a download.

1034
00:53:15.599 --> 00:53:16.039
<v Speaker 1>Uh.

1035
00:53:16.559 --> 00:53:18.760
<v Speaker 2>Jason Lyons all his links are in the description.

1036
00:53:19.039 --> 00:53:23.400
<v Speaker 1>Mick Molroy description everything, Andy Milliburn all everything you need

1037
00:53:23.440 --> 00:53:26.000
<v Speaker 1>to know about this show is in the description.

1038
00:53:26.599 --> 00:53:29.559
<v Speaker 2>Stop asking me. It's always in the description.

1039
00:53:30.719 --> 00:53:35.760
<v Speaker 1>Just a little deductive reasoning goes a long way, best way,

1040
00:53:35.880 --> 00:53:38.239
<v Speaker 1>and this is the most important one. The best way

1041
00:53:38.280 --> 00:53:42.119
<v Speaker 1>to support the show is Patreon dot com slash the Teamhouse.

1042
00:53:42.360 --> 00:53:44.960
<v Speaker 1>You get this show ad free, and you get the

1043
00:53:45.000 --> 00:53:47.159
<v Speaker 1>Teamhouse ad for you. So it's two podcasts for the

1044
00:53:47.199 --> 00:53:51.239
<v Speaker 1>price of one. Uh and yeah, thanks guys, Thanks a

1045
00:53:51.239 --> 00:53:52.719
<v Speaker 1>lot of the Happy New Year everybody too.

1046
00:53:52.840 --> 00:53:53.159
<v Speaker 3>Thanks
