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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in everyone, tot It's Friday, Total Bases.

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We should have filmed the last six minutes backstage. We

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started the show without you, guys, but we'll make sure

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we rehash what we were talking about here over the

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next hour. Your go to show for Major League Baseball

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Free Picks on the wager Talk YouTube channel. And it's

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a Friday, fifteen games, so no time to waste here.

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Brian Leonard backstage said we got to hit this game.

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I said, let's hit it off the top, and of

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course we have to touch on it because the Miami

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Marlins ruined the parlay yesterday TV's TV's leg.

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Speaker 2: Early in the day was a no doubter.

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Speaker 1: Brian got the push in a seven nothing went with

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the Pirates, and for the second time this year, guys,

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we were sitting there ready to cash a parlay with

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the Marlins having a very large lead. If you remember

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the other time it was when they were up six

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to nothing against the Padres and couldn't cover plus one.

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Speaker 2: And a half.

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Speaker 1: But last night a six to two lead and they

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let that one slip away at the end. And what

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we were talking about backstage a little bit was, you know,

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the Marlins are starting to play big games now. There

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are only six games, six and a half games out

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of the wild Card, even with the loss yesterday, So

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at what point does that start to creep in? And

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you know, two months ago they're just able to go

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out and do what they want to do. Now it's

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like there's a little bit of expectations here and it's

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a young team. So, Brian Leonard, you wanted to look

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at Marlin's braves. What are you looking at in this matchup?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? The first thing I want to look at was

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because of what happened last night, the way they lost,

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I wanted to find a way to come back on

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Miami here. And they do have Edward Cabrera going who

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has held the opposition to two runs or less than

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nine of his last ten starts. He's been terrific as

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of late. And as I'm sitting there waiting for the

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show to start, I'm seeing the line get hit and

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I'll say and then I told you, I said, we're

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gonna have to start off with this, so make sure

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we get some piece of Miami here. So this is

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going to be my first part of the parlay. And

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I never started a show off this way, But a

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lot of people look like they're thinking the same way

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I am on this one, So we want to make

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it to our advantage of getting the best line possible.

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I want the first half in this one. It was

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one thirty one night leave the show, but before the

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show started. Now it's one thirty five. But there's a

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big pitching Mitch mismatch here for Miami. Miami overall is

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basically about a one one twenty nine favorite here with

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Cabrera against Elder, a guy that we've had a lot

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of success fading all season long. The total in this

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one is eight, but I have the first half. I'm

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gonna lay in an extra nickel and get it up

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to one thirty five and play Miami.

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Speaker 1: Here.

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Speaker 3: I talked about Cabrera what he's done lately. If you

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look at what he's done on the season, three point

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two four era, three point eight two expected, one point

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one nine whip and really, if you followed his career,

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he has had this is now in his fifth season.

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He has had double digit walk rates every year. In fact,

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his best walk rate was eleven point two percent. Now

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he's down to eight point two. He's getting some control

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and that makes him so much better, and his for

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semer is he only throws at thirteen percent of the time.

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So he's got the curve, the change, the sinker, and

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the slider. He's got solid five pitches here, and the

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he throws them faster than everybody else. In fact, his

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change is at ninety three point nine as opposed to

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right handed pitcher's average of eighty six point six. So

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he's got solid pitches all around, and he throws the

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ball faster. The only negative would be a hard hit

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rate of twenty three percent, but you know, the barrel

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rates league average right ever, at forty nine percent, his

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walk grade finally below league average. I like Edward Cabrera,

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and I like this Miami team, And as we talked about,

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he's going up against Bryce Elder, who is not a

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guy I'm looking to back. Last year, he had a

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six point five to two ERA when ten starts. This

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year he's got a six point zero three ERA in

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eighteen starts. His whip has been horrendous. Last year one

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point sixty three, this year one point five six. The

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only thing he's good at is his ground ball percentage

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in the seventy eighth percentile. Everything else is in the

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blue expected batty average, second percentele expected era fifth part

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hit rate thirteenth extension eighteenth and we've got Atlanta team.

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As I mentioned going into yesterday that the only guys

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that were hitting well were the guys that really don't

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hit for power. All the power guys are slumping.

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Speaker 4: Now.

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Speaker 3: They did have they did have some success. I believe

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they hit a couple home runs yesterday, so maybe they're

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coming out of the slump. But it's gonna be tough

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to beat this Miami team. This is a team now

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that is being talked about. And I had lunch with

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a friend a couple of days ago and he said,

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what's with this Miami Dade? And I said, hey, you

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can need to watch the show Man. We've been on

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Miami all year long. We made a lot of money

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on Miami. I like this team. This was the game

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that I had circled, and unfortunately I didn give it

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out last night with the better number, but I'm going

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to use it here as my parlay Miami first half

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minus one thirty five.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, guys, go to our page at wager talk dot

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com and see what we have offered. We usually put

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free plays out too, so just a five minute check.

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You can pick up some free plays from all three

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of us. I'm on a pretty good run right now.

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I'm number one in the last three days, seven days,

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and in twenty twenty five, so I'm kind of feeling

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it right now, and i have an MLB play out today.

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I'm sure my brethren here will have something out as

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well today because there's lots of juicy matchups today, including

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this one. My cap for this one is pretty much

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the same as yesterday. Miami has almost every advantage here,

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but they even have a bigger starting pitcher advantage today

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than they did yesterday. In my opinion, Bryce Elder has

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horrible numbers against these guys in his career. He's got

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in his career three ninety one batting average against in

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a nine thirty eight OPS. That's terrible. It's two hundred

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points over my Mendoza Ligne for OPS. And you know,

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let's see, Miami's got the better bullpen in my opinion,

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even though they pretty much choked it away yesterday. Cabrera's

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got a couple red flags as far as I'm concerned,

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but his red flags are not nearly as big as

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Elder's red flags, and Miami's hitting the ball better in

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current form, So I don't think there's any other way

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you could go. But Miami today. I'm actually happy they

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lost yesterday because it's it's it's you'll probably get even

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a better number and they'll have a little more motivation

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to win the game today. So yeah, I agree with

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Brian that would be the way to go.

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Speaker 1: A couple of weeks ago, about a month ago, when

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we were talking about the All Star Game and the

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flawed process of selecting All Stars.

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Speaker 2: The other thing that's a flaw with that is the

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fact that it's.

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Speaker 1: Essentially only based on the first half of the season, right,

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Like how you know what I mean? We pick an

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All Star team and we call a guy an All Star,

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but it's only based on the first.

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Speaker 2: Half of the season.

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Speaker 1: And I just every time he comes up, I ask myself, like,

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how much mileage is Bryce Eu They're gonna get out

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of that twenty twenty three All Star selection because it

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was basically like the best couple of months of his career,

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And I don't know that he would still like be

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in the mix at the big league level the way

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he is if it wasn't for that, Like a couple

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months stretch, which somehow got him on an All Star team,

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because not only is he just not and I have

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no I'm sure he's a great guy, and I don't

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like to like talk negatively about you know, it's like

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in real life he's probably a great guy. So I'm

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not like like hate on him as a person, but

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like that, like he's just not that.

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Speaker 2: Good, Like he's just that he is a I.

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Speaker 1: Feel like his ceiling is like striple a innings Zeter

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guy that's gonna like. You know, he's probably a pretty

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good pro guy you want to keep around in your organization,

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but not not someone you should be running out.

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Speaker 2: At the big league level at.

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Speaker 1: The rate that the Braves have run him out the

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last couple of years. I mean, listen, every team gets

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in a pinch, you need to start. Yeah, he's probably

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a good guy to do that, but you know, Brian

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references to stackcast page all the time, Baseball Savant best

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website there is. Should always be looking at that literally

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the bottom percentile in a lot of categories, and that's

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like it's not the end all be all, but it's

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it's usually pretty accurate. Like when guys are are in

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the bottom one percent of like starting pitchers, and it's

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like prominent throughout the their page. Not a very good

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starting You can pretty much take that to the bank

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in a lot of cases, and I think you could

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do that with Elder Tokyo. Brandon talked about Elder's numbers

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against the Marlins. Yeah, that doesn't surprise me. Of course,

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they have good numbers against him because not only is

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he's someone I think you'd be willing to play against,

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but the Marlins have probably seen him quite a bit

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now because the Braves have been running him out there

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for years at this point. So even these young Marlins,

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some of which didn't get up to last year or

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earlier this year, have a little bit.

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Speaker 2: Of a sample size against him.

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Speaker 1: So that's a plus in the Marlins category as well. Finally,

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Cabrera is a guy. He's on the other end of

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the spectrum where he's had some struggles at times. It's

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typically command related, but when he puts it together, he's like,

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he's awesome, And if he could ever put it together consistently,

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we talking about him like we've talked about like Santi

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Alcntra for the Marlins the last few years. I'm not

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saying he's gonna win a cy young but he's that's

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probably where his upside is in that organization.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I.

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Speaker 1: Marlins is on my short list today. Love that Brian

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put it in the parlay. The final thing I'll say

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about this Marlins team, though, is what we talked about

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a little bit off camera, where now they're going to

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start to play some big games. Now there's some expectations

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and instead of getting like plus one ten, you're suddenly

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getting minus one. You're gonna have to lay minus one fifteen,

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maybe even minus one twenty on a daily basis in

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spots like this, So something you have to consider. Mark

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Kinson says, those goddamn Marlins. I'm going right back to

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them today. Don't disagree with that. I think that's the

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play in this game. So good luck if you take

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the Marlins tonight, and hopefully for our sake, Brian gets

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it done for the parlor, which is we need to

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win one of these Jose. He said, yeah, you see

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why I said first five or the fish yesterday. Yet

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that ended up playing out correctly, and that would be

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the one thing I think Brian makes a smart read

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on going first five.

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Speaker 2: Their bullpen is definitely tired.

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Speaker 1: They've logged some innings the last few days, and you

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know it's it's notable, So take that in a consideration.

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All right, moving on, a couple of people want to

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talk about this game. Mark Martin, welcome in. I don't

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know if I've seen Mark comment before. So if if

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you're if you're new, or if I've missed you, welcome in.

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Appreciate the comment, and as always, like and subscribe to

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the Way You.

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Speaker 2: Talk To YouTube channel.

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Speaker 1: But Mark says the Yankee Hitters of a good history

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against Brown, was about to play Brown's strikeouts until I

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saw that. So let's talk about these two teams. Astros Yankees,

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Brian Leonard, this is suddenly a huge series for two

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teams that have kind of been on a little bit

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of a swoon coming into this weekend. It's at Yankee Stadium.

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I still really like Hunter Brown, though. How are you

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seeing this one? It's our guy, Cam Schlittler, Hunter Brown,

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Yankee Stadium tonight.

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Speaker 4: Say that ten times fast.

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00:11:46,360 --> 00:11:51,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not going to I'll go on Cam. I

240
00:11:51,039 --> 00:11:52,559
do want to point out we were talking about the

241
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All Star Game. David Fry for the Guardians made the

242
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All Star team last year, three months of great He's

243
00:12:00,240 --> 00:12:02,000
all for him in his entire career and it all

244
00:12:02,039 --> 00:12:08,000
happened in one year. Yeah, Brown against Cam this game,

245
00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:12,000
the opening line made a lot of sense if you

246
00:12:12,039 --> 00:12:15,360
take a look at the two starters. Overall, Houston was

247
00:12:15,360 --> 00:12:17,600
a one thirty favorite. You can get the Yankees at

248
00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:20,600
one ten. A lot of money's coming in on the Yankees,

249
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and I don't I don't blame him. I thought there

250
00:12:24,360 --> 00:12:26,440
was some value on New York playing at home, and

251
00:12:26,480 --> 00:12:28,320
I'm you know, I'm not the guy who plays the

252
00:12:28,399 --> 00:12:31,120
Yankees very often because you just don't find betting value

253
00:12:31,120 --> 00:12:34,559
on them. But for that line to move to where

254
00:12:34,600 --> 00:12:36,960
the Yankees are now either a pick them or a

255
00:12:37,000 --> 00:12:40,679
slate favorite in this game, yeah, I can see that

256
00:12:40,840 --> 00:12:43,639
total on that is seven and a half, so they

257
00:12:43,639 --> 00:12:46,759
expect a low scoring game. Here hundred Brown stats. He's

258
00:12:46,759 --> 00:12:49,759
been terrific. We love him. Two point four to seven

259
00:12:49,799 --> 00:12:54,639
ERA three point oh one expected zero point nine. Ay whip. Normally,

260
00:12:54,840 --> 00:12:59,480
when you find an ace and I noticed this years ago,

261
00:13:00,240 --> 00:13:03,039
when you find an ace and money comes in early

262
00:13:03,120 --> 00:13:06,840
against him, that is a good bet on going against

263
00:13:06,840 --> 00:13:09,960
that pitcher. And so that has me interested in the

264
00:13:10,039 --> 00:13:13,080
Yankees here. Brown, We've talked about him many times. Just

265
00:13:13,120 --> 00:13:17,159
an excellent pitcher, a lot of success all season long.

266
00:13:18,279 --> 00:13:20,720
His last two starts have been much better. He's he

267
00:13:20,720 --> 00:13:22,799
played the rep Sox give up one run in seven,

268
00:13:24,120 --> 00:13:25,919
played the A's give up one run in five. But

269
00:13:25,960 --> 00:13:28,320
before that he's struggled a little bit. Giving up three,

270
00:13:28,399 --> 00:13:32,000
four and six is prior three starts. But he seems

271
00:13:32,039 --> 00:13:36,080
to be back on track here. But I think there's

272
00:13:36,159 --> 00:13:40,200
value here on the Yankees. Ham comes in with a

273
00:13:40,240 --> 00:13:43,240
four point five eight ERA five point zero one expected

274
00:13:43,320 --> 00:13:46,919
one point six eight whip, which is really Worriso fastball

275
00:13:47,000 --> 00:13:49,919
velocity in the ninety fourth percent of ale that those

276
00:13:50,000 --> 00:13:54,399
numbers come around. Doesn't take as many pitches to get

277
00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:58,000
solid numbers on that along with the extension he's only

278
00:13:58,200 --> 00:14:00,720
keep in mind he's only pitched nineteen point two so

279
00:14:00,840 --> 00:14:04,360
a lot of his numbers are still not enough opportunities,

280
00:14:04,399 --> 00:14:07,440
not enough pitches thrown, not enough batter's faced to get

281
00:14:07,519 --> 00:14:11,200
actual usage numbers out of them. So we don't have

282
00:14:11,240 --> 00:14:14,080
a lot of that going. But he's a guy who

283
00:14:14,080 --> 00:14:16,080
does have five pitches. He only throws a sinker and

284
00:14:16,120 --> 00:14:18,519
a sweeper less than ten percent of the time. He's

285
00:14:18,559 --> 00:14:21,399
a major four seam guy. Fifty seven percent of the

286
00:14:21,440 --> 00:14:24,840
time he throws the four seamer, which I normally don't like,

287
00:14:25,440 --> 00:14:28,039
but he throws it at ninety seven point eight miles

288
00:14:28,039 --> 00:14:30,200
an hour, which is about three miles an hour more

289
00:14:30,240 --> 00:14:32,720
than a normal righty. He can get away with that.

290
00:14:33,720 --> 00:14:36,120
So they're going against this Houston team right now that

291
00:14:37,840 --> 00:14:41,200
is fighting it out with the Yankees, and Houston's trying

292
00:14:41,240 --> 00:14:43,399
to hold off the opposition. The Yankees trying to get

293
00:14:43,879 --> 00:14:48,039
back in the wildcard race. They are barely holding on

294
00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:51,960
right now, fighting it out with Texas Seattle. So this

295
00:14:52,000 --> 00:14:54,159
is going to be a nice wildcard run through the

296
00:14:54,200 --> 00:14:57,000
rest of the season. But I like the situation of

297
00:14:57,080 --> 00:14:59,399
going against the A's. The money's come in on that,

298
00:14:59,480 --> 00:15:01,759
and this is all early money. A lot of these

299
00:15:01,759 --> 00:15:04,360
guys are betting it as early as they possibly can,

300
00:15:04,960 --> 00:15:07,559
and you get a piece of it, and I agree

301
00:15:07,559 --> 00:15:10,080
with that. I like the Yankees here, and I would

302
00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:12,720
say if you do like them and continues to get hit,

303
00:15:13,000 --> 00:15:15,120
if you do like the Yankees, get them now as

304
00:15:15,159 --> 00:15:15,840
oppostal later.

305
00:15:19,480 --> 00:15:22,679
Speaker 4: I'm not sure I can agree, because man, I think

306
00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:25,240
Brown is a pretty good pitcher, and I think Schlittler

307
00:15:25,360 --> 00:15:28,799
is a pretty bad picture, but actually looking a little closer,

308
00:15:29,080 --> 00:15:33,000
Schlitzler in his last few starts, he's basically giving up

309
00:15:33,000 --> 00:15:36,200
two runs, three runs, two runs. It's not that bad actually,

310
00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:38,799
but his whip is really high, which tells me that

311
00:15:38,879 --> 00:15:43,279
I think he's been getting a little bit lucky. I

312
00:15:43,320 --> 00:15:46,279
have the Astros hitting just a little bit better, not

313
00:15:46,399 --> 00:15:49,360
a lot, just a little, But I have the Yankees

314
00:15:49,399 --> 00:15:52,399
with a bullpen advantage. So it's kind of deadlocked for

315
00:15:52,480 --> 00:15:56,679
me here in this matchup except for starting pitching. I

316
00:15:56,720 --> 00:15:59,000
got Hunter Brown ranked in the top twenty of all

317
00:15:59,000 --> 00:16:05,679
starting pitchers, and the Yankees just seem really dead. Something's

318
00:16:05,679 --> 00:16:08,080
wrong with them. I don't know if they're feeling the pressure.

319
00:16:08,159 --> 00:16:09,879
I think it's pretty hard to play in New York.

320
00:16:09,919 --> 00:16:15,320
Perhaps I think they're feeling some pressure here. They dropped

321
00:16:15,320 --> 00:16:17,720
a third place in the ranking. They're behind Boston and

322
00:16:17,799 --> 00:16:22,919
Toronto now, so yeah, they do have a slight bullpen

323
00:16:22,960 --> 00:16:29,919
advantage as far as a recent form, despite their moronic

324
00:16:29,960 --> 00:16:33,039
manager trotting Williams out there to close games despite his

325
00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:36,960
six plus ERA. So we'll see how it goes. But man,

326
00:16:37,159 --> 00:16:38,720
I think it would be hard to trust the Yankees.

327
00:16:38,720 --> 00:16:40,240
But I'm not going to play this game.

328
00:16:42,320 --> 00:16:44,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm not gonna make this any easier because I

329
00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:46,200
kind of agree with both of you, Like, I think

330
00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:48,360
you both make really good points for this game. So

331
00:16:48,720 --> 00:16:51,360
Tokyo Brainy, you pointed out the Yankees having a bullpen advantage,

332
00:16:51,360 --> 00:16:55,639
Like I actually, even though the numbers might not suggest

333
00:16:55,679 --> 00:16:58,159
it recently, Like, I very much agree with that because

334
00:16:58,200 --> 00:17:01,039
I think when you look at this election of relievers,

335
00:17:01,840 --> 00:17:05,400
you have to look and say, like, all of these

336
00:17:05,440 --> 00:17:08,920
guys when they're on their game can be very very good, right, Like,

337
00:17:09,079 --> 00:17:11,559
and we poke fun at Devin Williams struggles and stuff,

338
00:17:11,559 --> 00:17:14,039
and yeah, like he's having a bad season, but like

339
00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:18,279
Bednar Williams, even Jake Birds who's went back to the

340
00:17:18,279 --> 00:17:21,240
minors for a minute. And then of course the relievers

341
00:17:21,240 --> 00:17:24,440
they have, they're like when if they're all like, there's

342
00:17:24,440 --> 00:17:26,200
gonna be a point in time where they sort of

343
00:17:26,240 --> 00:17:28,640
like are all pitching well at the same time, and

344
00:17:28,680 --> 00:17:30,640
then all of a sudden, that Yankee bullpen's gonna be

345
00:17:30,720 --> 00:17:33,839
very tough to score on late. So I don't really

346
00:17:33,920 --> 00:17:36,319
know if I want to bet against the Yankees right now.

347
00:17:36,359 --> 00:17:38,559
I feel like your opportunity to bet against the Yankees

348
00:17:38,880 --> 00:17:41,200
was like the past week or so, this is gonna

349
00:17:41,200 --> 00:17:43,960
feel like a playoff game in the Bronx tonight. It

350
00:17:44,039 --> 00:17:47,559
really will like this will have a playoff game five

351
00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:51,720
to it Friday night, Yankee Stadium, you know too, like a.

352
00:17:52,319 --> 00:17:54,880
Speaker 2: Two very solid pitchers, two teams in the mix.

353
00:17:55,440 --> 00:17:57,240
Speaker 1: I thought I was gonna want to play Hunter Brown

354
00:17:57,279 --> 00:17:59,920
here because I'm very am a big Hunter Brown guy,

355
00:18:00,079 --> 00:18:03,599
really am high. I've been higher on him relative to

356
00:18:03,640 --> 00:18:06,079
the market since the very beginning of the season. But

357
00:18:06,279 --> 00:18:08,920
like you know, Schlitler is not a bat. I mean,

358
00:18:08,960 --> 00:18:11,720
he throws throwing ninety eight and the league hasn't seen

359
00:18:11,799 --> 00:18:14,720
much of him yet. So even though he's given up

360
00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:17,200
a couple of runs per start, like, he certainly has

361
00:18:17,319 --> 00:18:20,119
the the stuff and the upside to go on a

362
00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:22,519
run where he's throwing six seven scoreless innings.

363
00:18:22,559 --> 00:18:24,480
Speaker 2: So I'm not sure I want to bet against him.

364
00:18:24,640 --> 00:18:27,200
Speaker 1: I don't really want to bet against Brown, and I

365
00:18:27,279 --> 00:18:29,759
my gut tells me we're done with the Yankees choking

366
00:18:29,799 --> 00:18:32,920
games away for a minute, especially on their home field

367
00:18:32,920 --> 00:18:35,319
in the Bronx. I feel like, if anything, they're gonna

368
00:18:35,319 --> 00:18:38,039
steal one that they're you know, this week and you

369
00:18:38,079 --> 00:18:40,720
watch the Yankees will steal a game that they're trailing late.

370
00:18:41,079 --> 00:18:44,319
They'll just they'll they'll they'll feed off that Yankee Stadium

371
00:18:44,319 --> 00:18:47,160
magic and they'll walk a game off that they're trailing late.

372
00:18:47,599 --> 00:18:49,400
Speaker 2: I I love Hunter Brown. I can't.

373
00:18:49,440 --> 00:18:51,599
Speaker 1: I just I wish I had more to offer here.

374
00:18:51,640 --> 00:18:54,000
I think I just think this is a tough one.

375
00:18:54,000 --> 00:18:56,200
It's gonna be a great watch. This is like gonna

376
00:18:56,240 --> 00:18:59,039
be playoff vibes here. But I don't know how you

377
00:18:59,119 --> 00:19:01,519
really go I don't know how you really play either

378
00:19:01,559 --> 00:19:03,480
side here, So tough one for me.

379
00:19:03,559 --> 00:19:08,640
Speaker 3: Go ahead, Brian, Yeah, I will say, other than the

380
00:19:08,680 --> 00:19:12,480
former pirate that had to throw forty two pitches the

381
00:19:12,559 --> 00:19:16,559
other day two days ago for the Yankees, everybody else

382
00:19:16,599 --> 00:19:18,880
looks like they're going to be available for both teams.

383
00:19:19,400 --> 00:19:25,319
The park factors that I look for has this the least.

384
00:19:25,480 --> 00:19:27,880
Like normally Yankee Stadium is a really good hitters park,

385
00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:31,599
but based on everything going on the starters, along with

386
00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:35,400
the wind directions and everything they've got, the runs expected

387
00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:40,319
to be minus eleven percent over normal for Yankee Stadium.

388
00:19:40,799 --> 00:19:45,599
And that is the is the best pitching environment on

389
00:19:45,640 --> 00:19:50,039
today's cart. So maybe if you can't play bring yourself

390
00:19:50,079 --> 00:19:53,359
to play Houston. There's seven and a half out there.

391
00:19:53,519 --> 00:19:56,920
Maybe we played the under because I both bullpens are

392
00:19:57,000 --> 00:19:59,279
very good. I like both both pens. They might not

393
00:19:59,319 --> 00:20:01,880
be pitching great now, but the talent level is there

394
00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:04,759
and I think both these starters can get the job done.

395
00:20:04,880 --> 00:20:08,559
So either play team totals under or play the game under.

396
00:20:08,799 --> 00:20:12,319
But it should be a good, low scoring game here

397
00:20:12,319 --> 00:20:14,599
between Houston and the Yankees. And as you mentioned, it's

398
00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:16,240
very important for both these teams to get on a

399
00:20:16,319 --> 00:20:17,079
nice winning streak.

400
00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:22,599
Speaker 1: Yeah, and also Markins in the chat, listen to him

401
00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:26,279
smashed out like button doesn't cost anything. All we ask

402
00:20:26,599 --> 00:20:28,759
likes and subscribes on the way as you're talking YouTube channel,

403
00:20:28,759 --> 00:20:31,680
and maybe a comment if you feel if you feel

404
00:20:31,720 --> 00:20:33,880
like doing so, because we very much appreciate it. All right,

405
00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:36,119
moving on, I wanted to Jack Frost here in the

406
00:20:36,200 --> 00:20:39,240
chat says orioles A is over nine and a half,

407
00:20:40,119 --> 00:20:42,440
kind of the other thing we were talking about backstage

408
00:20:42,480 --> 00:20:45,359
before the show. I feel like the panel is going

409
00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:46,960
to agree with you, and I've got an opinion on

410
00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:49,519
the side here, So kick us off, Brian Leonard, he

411
00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:51,279
wants to know over in this game.

412
00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:54,200
Speaker 2: Are you seeing runs at Camden Yards tonight.

413
00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:58,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's the first thing I looked at was I

414
00:20:58,759 --> 00:21:01,559
thought it would be a higher score in game. We're

415
00:21:01,599 --> 00:21:07,079
looking again in Sigano. Segano's basically about a one one

416
00:21:07,200 --> 00:21:09,920
ten favorite total of nine and a half to the

417
00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:14,039
over maybe one twenty rubbers of one twenty. But you

418
00:21:14,039 --> 00:21:16,279
could probably like right now a pinnacles one twelve, So

419
00:21:17,039 --> 00:21:21,559
jumper hunt on that. But yeah, I agree again against Ghano.

420
00:21:21,680 --> 00:21:24,759
I do like the over here. And let's take a

421
00:21:24,799 --> 00:21:27,799
look at these two pitchers again. I think has A

422
00:21:28,759 --> 00:21:30,960
has a nice future. He hasn't put it all together yet.

423
00:21:31,759 --> 00:21:34,839
He's got he's got a four point two eighty or

424
00:21:34,880 --> 00:21:38,319
a three point five six expectus, so he's due for

425
00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:40,720
some little bit better luck. One point twenty six whip.

426
00:21:41,759 --> 00:21:44,079
The team is off of a shutout yesterday and that

427
00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:47,720
definitely helps. They had a great start and that helps

428
00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:50,559
the bullpen in here. So that's the one concern is

429
00:21:51,839 --> 00:21:55,640
the bullpen is healthy, but the A's bullpen is not

430
00:21:55,759 --> 00:21:58,759
very good. The Orioles bullpen is not very good. So

431
00:21:58,839 --> 00:22:02,920
you're getting healthy guys aren't very good. To take a

432
00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:05,400
look at again, his ground ball rate eighty eight percentile,

433
00:22:05,599 --> 00:22:08,319
which is very good, especially in this ballpark since they

434
00:22:08,319 --> 00:22:11,400
move the fences in about thirteen feet. His excession is

435
00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:15,359
seventy three percentile, but his heart hit rate fourth percentile,

436
00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:18,799
chase rate twenty second, barrel rate twenty seventh. He can

437
00:22:18,839 --> 00:22:21,839
be hit, so he may not give up the home

438
00:22:21,880 --> 00:22:23,720
runs with that ground ball rate, but he can be

439
00:22:23,759 --> 00:22:29,079
hit hard and we'll see it coming. He is basically

440
00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:33,440
a strict sinker slider guy. Eighty four percent of his

441
00:22:33,519 --> 00:22:36,720
pictures are those two and when you take a look

442
00:22:36,720 --> 00:22:39,240
at his miles an hour on both the sinker and slider,

443
00:22:39,240 --> 00:22:41,640
they're basically a league average. So he's not going to

444
00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:44,359
blow you away. I like him in the long run.

445
00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:47,160
I think he's turning himself into a better picture, but

446
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:50,359
I don't want any part of him today. Sigano has

447
00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:53,000
been up and down four point four to two ERA

448
00:22:53,559 --> 00:22:57,079
five point eighty five expected. He has had the luck

449
00:22:57,200 --> 00:22:59,599
that has not been had by his opposing picture one

450
00:22:59,640 --> 00:23:04,839
point three Whip Brandon talked about him earlier. This season

451
00:23:04,960 --> 00:23:07,960
is obviously his rookie season in Major league baseball, and

452
00:23:08,680 --> 00:23:10,839
he got off to a pretty nice start. People didn't

453
00:23:10,839 --> 00:23:13,920
know him now they're finding finding out about him, and

454
00:23:13,960 --> 00:23:18,319
it's he's showing that he's a fringe major league pitcher.

455
00:23:18,880 --> 00:23:21,519
Walk rate is very good eighty fifth percentile. He only

456
00:23:21,519 --> 00:23:24,079
walks five point nine percent, but he only strikes out

457
00:23:24,079 --> 00:23:26,480
fifteen point five so you're getting less than ten percent

458
00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:30,880
strike out minus walk. But here's some really bad numbers

459
00:23:30,880 --> 00:23:34,559
from him. Expected the ra a fourth percentle expecting batting average,

460
00:23:34,599 --> 00:23:40,400
second with rate, seventh strike out rage, seventh barrel rate sixth. Yes,

461
00:23:40,440 --> 00:23:43,079
he doesn't walk a lot of batters, but he does

462
00:23:43,119 --> 00:23:45,680
give up a lot of hits. He has six pitches

463
00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:49,200
he throws at least eleven percent, which you gotta like.

464
00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:53,160
He's a crafty veteran. He's you know, thirty five years old,

465
00:23:55,079 --> 00:23:59,160
and having a lot of pitches is good. But when

466
00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:01,440
you take a look at it, every pitch he throws

467
00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:04,519
other than his sweep or really and in his split

468
00:24:04,880 --> 00:24:07,680
or below league average. So he's not gonna beat you

469
00:24:07,759 --> 00:24:11,160
with velocity. I think is you know, even with the

470
00:24:11,200 --> 00:24:13,680
young age, I think they'll be able to get to him. Here.

471
00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:16,720
If you take a look at how these teams played

472
00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:20,359
in the last fourteen days, offensively, the Athletics have a

473
00:24:20,400 --> 00:24:23,920
one forty five WRC plus, which is right behind Toronto.

474
00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:28,720
We just came back from Colorado and crushed them. But

475
00:24:28,799 --> 00:24:32,279
Baltimore is fifth. It won twenty four. It's tied with Philadelphia.

476
00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:36,079
So we got two teams hitting very well, and we've

477
00:24:36,119 --> 00:24:38,319
got two pitchers. At least at this point, I want

478
00:24:38,319 --> 00:24:40,920
to fade the line. Yes it is nine and a half.

479
00:24:41,079 --> 00:24:43,279
Is actually a ten under out there right now, and

480
00:24:43,319 --> 00:24:45,480
I think we're going to see more tents pop up.

481
00:24:45,519 --> 00:24:48,160
So if you do like this over, grab it now

482
00:24:48,519 --> 00:24:52,119
and make sure that that number ten is the winner

483
00:24:52,119 --> 00:24:55,079
instead of a push.

484
00:24:55,160 --> 00:24:57,960
Speaker 4: So Wayser Talk, not only do we do this live show,

485
00:24:58,000 --> 00:25:01,440
but many of the baseball cappers put up individual game

486
00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:05,039
video free picks, and if you subscribe to wager Talk,

487
00:25:05,079 --> 00:25:07,799
you can get notified when people put those out. So

488
00:25:07,839 --> 00:25:10,519
subscribe to our channel and also leave a comment on

489
00:25:10,559 --> 00:25:12,799
the replay of this video and show wager Talk that

490
00:25:12,839 --> 00:25:16,440
you support what we're doing here. It means a lot

491
00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:20,640
to us. You might not realize it, but zero money

492
00:25:20,680 --> 00:25:23,440
and very little effort can help us out a lot.

493
00:25:23,920 --> 00:25:26,960
So onto this game. To me again, is kind of

494
00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:30,920
an X factor here because he's only got twenty innings

495
00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:33,160
on the road in twenty innings at home. He's actually

496
00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:35,160
pitching better on the road right now, but the sample

497
00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:37,160
size is so small I don't know if I can

498
00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:40,599
believe it. So I'm gonna leave him out of the

499
00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:45,279
cap here. But the A's are hitting like crazy, man.

500
00:25:45,319 --> 00:25:47,359
They got a lot of young guys, a lot of

501
00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:51,319
young guns in that lineup, and they can smash Sigano.

502
00:25:51,759 --> 00:25:56,200
Not enough sample size to really judge him against these batters,

503
00:25:56,240 --> 00:26:00,799
but he on the overall he ranks twenty one out

504
00:26:00,799 --> 00:26:03,599
of thirty on a curve of thirty of all starting pictures,

505
00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:06,880
not very good. He's in the bottom one third of pictures.

506
00:26:06,960 --> 00:26:10,720
And the Orioles bullpen is below average. They've been below

507
00:26:10,759 --> 00:26:14,599
average almost the whole season. So what do you do

508
00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:18,400
when you have the number four run producing lineup in

509
00:26:19,160 --> 00:26:23,279
great current form against a bottom one third picture and

510
00:26:23,559 --> 00:26:27,599
a below average bullpen. Probably do what I did yesterday

511
00:26:27,599 --> 00:26:30,880
and bet the A's team total over here. That would

512
00:26:30,920 --> 00:26:33,319
be the only way I would go here. I don't

513
00:26:33,319 --> 00:26:36,200
know enough about Gain to know if he's gonna get

514
00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:39,599
smashed by the Orioles. The Orioles bats are a little

515
00:26:39,599 --> 00:26:43,759
bit cold right now in current form, So yeah, if

516
00:26:43,759 --> 00:26:45,400
you're gonna take an over in this, I would take

517
00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:47,680
the A's. I would even take them on the money line,

518
00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:50,079
but again, the starting picture is a little bit of

519
00:26:50,079 --> 00:26:53,079
an X factor for me, so I'd go A's team

520
00:26:53,079 --> 00:26:53,880
total over here.

521
00:26:55,839 --> 00:26:56,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't.

522
00:26:57,319 --> 00:27:01,599
Speaker 1: You know, there's gonna probably be runs in scheme both teams.

523
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:04,799
So I was pulling up season long WRC plus against

524
00:27:04,880 --> 00:27:09,119
right handed pitchers, and I'll frequent this page probably a

525
00:27:09,119 --> 00:27:12,240
couple of times a week, maybe almost daily, is you

526
00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:14,559
know I'm checking this, but at least a few times

527
00:27:14,599 --> 00:27:18,160
a week, and all season the A's and the Orioles

528
00:27:18,160 --> 00:27:21,920
have essentially been in the top ten of the entire

529
00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:24,480
league in WRC plus versus right handed pitching.

530
00:27:24,960 --> 00:27:25,880
Speaker 2: And then, if you want to take it.

531
00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:28,880
Speaker 1: A step further, the Orioles collectively as a team hit

532
00:27:29,000 --> 00:27:31,960
far better at home, so this should set up for

533
00:27:32,000 --> 00:27:34,519
a decent So this is a decent setup for the

534
00:27:34,519 --> 00:27:37,200
Orioles to score some runs because gin is a right

535
00:27:37,240 --> 00:27:39,799
handed pitcher and they're at their home ballpark where they

536
00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:42,519
they've hit far better than they have on the road

537
00:27:42,519 --> 00:27:46,200
this season, and that that makes complete sense because Camden

538
00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:48,599
Yards is one of those parks where, like for the

539
00:27:48,680 --> 00:27:51,400
most part hitters, like just hitters in the league that

540
00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:54,039
aren't on the Orioles. We'll tend to mention that park

541
00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:58,680
is a very favorable hitters park, great backdrop, it's like

542
00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:01,200
the green wall back there. They always talk about Quarters

543
00:28:01,279 --> 00:28:03,960
Field obviously Chase Field, but Camdon Yards comes up as

544
00:28:03,960 --> 00:28:07,119
a place that people tend to players tend to like

545
00:28:07,160 --> 00:28:09,440
to hit, So that doesn't surprise me at all. So

546
00:28:09,519 --> 00:28:12,799
you have the the dream setup for the Orioles because

547
00:28:12,839 --> 00:28:16,119
you have at home right handed pitching. Now the A's

548
00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:17,839
have a great like this is a great setup for

549
00:28:17,880 --> 00:28:20,920
them as well, because they've absolutely smashed right handed pitching

550
00:28:20,920 --> 00:28:23,680
this year. The A's are currently they come into play

551
00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:27,400
today with a w one oh six w RC plus

552
00:28:27,400 --> 00:28:32,279
against right handed pitching. The only teams better than that Cubs, Diamondbacks,

553
00:28:32,920 --> 00:28:37,359
Blue Jays, Dodgers, Yankees, Mets, Mariners, Phillies. It's pretty good

554
00:28:37,400 --> 00:28:39,680
company right there. And then the A's are in that

555
00:28:39,799 --> 00:28:42,359
group with a one o eight with a one oh

556
00:28:42,359 --> 00:28:45,640
six w RC plus. So that's you know that that's solid.

557
00:28:45,759 --> 00:28:48,440
And Sugano's a guy that I've really thought we were

558
00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:50,799
going to see more regression out of so far than

559
00:28:50,839 --> 00:28:53,920
we have. So I wanted to make a case here

560
00:28:53,920 --> 00:28:56,880
for the A's, but I'm a little concerned about gain,

561
00:28:57,079 --> 00:28:59,240
So maybe the over is the way to go, and

562
00:28:59,279 --> 00:29:01,359
the olverady even get there on yesterday's game because the

563
00:29:01,400 --> 00:29:04,559
A's shut down a Nationals team that's just not a

564
00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:06,400
very good team. At this point, I don't know if

565
00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:08,279
I could see the A's winning in a shutout again.

566
00:29:08,599 --> 00:29:11,119
So chances are of Tokyo Brandon's team total gets there

567
00:29:11,119 --> 00:29:13,599
with the A's. This one's probably gotten over the full

568
00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:16,200
game total as well, So that's how I'll lean in

569
00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:21,440
this one full game over A's Orioles. Okay, all right,

570
00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:25,720
Steve Duke says, I like how Biby's fell. Oh I

571
00:29:26,559 --> 00:29:28,160
thought he wanted to talk about Tanner Vibe and he

572
00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:31,480
probably does. And it spelled checks as Bible. That's what

573
00:29:31,519 --> 00:29:35,160
he's saying, and Deep Fry Tie also put bible in.

574
00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:37,160
But we know he means Tanner Viby. We know he

575
00:29:37,240 --> 00:29:41,279
means Brian Leonard's Cleveland Guardians, who made me eat my

576
00:29:41,359 --> 00:29:44,000
words this week. Thankfully I didn't eat any money because

577
00:29:44,039 --> 00:29:46,640
I didn't bet any game of their series. But how

578
00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:50,039
about the Guardians going into City Field and smacking around

579
00:29:50,039 --> 00:29:53,279
the Mets, Brian Leonard, are the Guardians in this thing now?

580
00:29:53,759 --> 00:29:55,880
And how are you seeing this weekend playing out?

581
00:29:56,200 --> 00:29:57,960
Speaker 2: Also? How do you see the matchup tonight?

582
00:29:58,759 --> 00:30:03,039
Speaker 3: I have lost more on my hometown Cleveland Guardias in

583
00:30:03,119 --> 00:30:07,039
the last month then I have lost on any other team.

584
00:30:07,960 --> 00:30:12,480
And then in that series, I kept betting Cleveland's scoring under.

585
00:30:12,519 --> 00:30:15,519
They're playing in a Great Pictures part against the best

586
00:30:15,559 --> 00:30:18,440
Pictures that they have faced since the All Star Break,

587
00:30:19,559 --> 00:30:21,559
and I lost every single one of them. If you

588
00:30:21,599 --> 00:30:26,559
remember back when they played Houston. I've got my ass

589
00:30:26,640 --> 00:30:28,920
kicked there. So i will give you the numbers. I'm

590
00:30:28,920 --> 00:30:31,559
not going to give you my opinion because obviously right

591
00:30:31,599 --> 00:30:35,000
now I'm completely lost on the way these this Cleveland

592
00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:39,160
team is playing Kenn excuse me. Biby's going against Avali.

593
00:30:39,799 --> 00:30:44,240
Bibby's about a one thirty one, thirty eight, forty favorite

594
00:30:44,920 --> 00:30:47,599
totals eight to the under or eight and a half

595
00:30:47,599 --> 00:30:51,799
to the under or eight even money. Biby's been so

596
00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:55,880
up and down. And the problem you have and with

597
00:30:56,000 --> 00:31:00,680
Cleveland Pictures overall, is I don't like the job that

598
00:31:00,759 --> 00:31:03,960
the managers doing. He did a really nice job last year.

599
00:31:04,599 --> 00:31:06,839
He's keeping his starters in too long. He's done it

600
00:31:06,880 --> 00:31:08,720
with a couple of these young guys earlier in the

601
00:31:08,759 --> 00:31:11,839
week when he had the six or the five nothing

602
00:31:11,920 --> 00:31:14,200
lead in the game I had the other day that

603
00:31:14,279 --> 00:31:18,720
I had Cleveland under I understand why he kept one

604
00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:20,920
of the young guys in, but the guy gave up

605
00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:25,839
like three runs the next inning when he got a five,

606
00:31:25,880 --> 00:31:27,519
six run lead. You're gonna let the guy pitch a

607
00:31:27,559 --> 00:31:30,960
little longer. But he keeps letting these starters go through

608
00:31:31,079 --> 00:31:33,079
the third time through the order, and it works. It's

609
00:31:33,119 --> 00:31:35,440
been working out for Williams. Williams is playing great right now,

610
00:31:36,160 --> 00:31:39,119
but Bibby gets to that third trip through the order

611
00:31:39,160 --> 00:31:41,759
and he's getting hit. So if you do like Bibby,

612
00:31:43,400 --> 00:31:46,519
I see people out there that use like the three innings.

613
00:31:46,640 --> 00:31:49,279
Some places let you play the first three innings. I've

614
00:31:49,319 --> 00:31:51,599
never played it. That would be a way that I

615
00:31:51,599 --> 00:31:53,799
would go if I wanted to play Cleveland. But they

616
00:31:53,839 --> 00:31:56,920
are playing Sabali and he's played with Cleveland. Cleveland knows

617
00:31:56,920 --> 00:31:59,920
what he's got, so I think they should be able

618
00:31:59,920 --> 00:32:02,680
to have some success against them. And the White Sox

619
00:32:02,720 --> 00:32:04,680
really aren't hitting well right now. We talked about this

620
00:32:04,799 --> 00:32:07,839
last few days where the White Sox seemed to be

621
00:32:07,920 --> 00:32:10,960
one of those little slumps, and they've been great since

622
00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:14,680
the All Star break, but they're struggling a little bit now.

623
00:32:15,119 --> 00:32:17,920
But I just can't trust this Cleveland team. I just

624
00:32:17,920 --> 00:32:21,640
don't think they're that good. We'll see. I will not

625
00:32:21,720 --> 00:32:22,720
be involved in this game.

626
00:32:24,599 --> 00:32:28,039
Speaker 4: Yeah. In the chat, there's a grammar debate here. I

627
00:32:28,079 --> 00:32:31,039
don't disagree. Somebody says that's a double negative. It is

628
00:32:31,119 --> 00:32:35,640
not a double negative. Disagree is not a negative, although

629
00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:39,400
the sentiment is negative, Grammatically speaking, it is not a

630
00:32:39,400 --> 00:32:44,200
negative word. So I don't disagree is grammatically correct. I

631
00:32:44,359 --> 00:32:49,000
was a Look, I'm a language major, so I know

632
00:32:49,079 --> 00:32:53,599
these things. But anyways, let's get on to baseball. Man,

633
00:32:53,640 --> 00:32:55,960
the first thing I did was compare how these pictures

634
00:32:56,039 --> 00:32:59,319
do against the other batters. And Savallee I've never been

635
00:32:59,359 --> 00:33:02,559
a huge fan of his, but man, he dominates these

636
00:33:02,599 --> 00:33:07,839
Cleveland batters. He dominates them. How bad? Uh? One thirty

637
00:33:07,839 --> 00:33:10,519
eight average against in a four to twenty two OPS against.

638
00:33:10,519 --> 00:33:15,880
That's domination. Tanner Biby has a two ninety four average

639
00:33:15,880 --> 00:33:18,720
against in a seven ninety three OPS against the White Sox.

640
00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:24,240
So how do we make money on this information? Taking

641
00:33:24,240 --> 00:33:27,119
a look at I have. I have the White Sox

642
00:33:27,160 --> 00:33:30,599
hitting number twelve in current form out of thirty teams,

643
00:33:30,640 --> 00:33:35,200
and I got Cleveland hitting fifteen, so slight advantage to

644
00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:38,240
the White Sox. Cleveland's bullpen has a big advantage here,

645
00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:41,279
So how would I approach this? Well, I think the

646
00:33:41,279 --> 00:33:43,480
White Sox first five innings would be the best way

647
00:33:43,519 --> 00:33:46,880
to go here because Cleveland has a bit of a

648
00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:50,640
bullpen advantage. Although the White Sox bullpen is not terrible.

649
00:33:50,680 --> 00:33:52,599
I got them ranked twelve in current form out of

650
00:33:52,640 --> 00:33:56,200
thirty teams, so maybe the full game for White Sox.

651
00:33:56,240 --> 00:33:59,960
But either way, UH find some way to play Savala

652
00:34:00,119 --> 00:34:01,720
today because I don't think he's going to give up

653
00:34:01,720 --> 00:34:05,880
a lot of runs. So whether you play his earned

654
00:34:05,960 --> 00:34:10,239
runs under or you play the Cleveland team total under

655
00:34:10,400 --> 00:34:13,440
one of those, I think we'll get through today because

656
00:34:13,719 --> 00:34:15,960
he's been really good against these batters.

657
00:34:16,199 --> 00:34:20,719
Speaker 3: I just wanted to ask you how far along is that,

658
00:34:21,480 --> 00:34:24,440
Savali because he pitched for Cleveland for a pretty good

659
00:34:24,440 --> 00:34:28,079
amount of time, where those before he pitched for Cleveland.

660
00:34:27,920 --> 00:34:32,000
Speaker 2: Or career entire career well, so.

661
00:34:32,199 --> 00:34:34,199
Speaker 3: You can't break it down to what he has done

662
00:34:34,199 --> 00:34:36,280
in the last two three years.

663
00:34:36,360 --> 00:34:41,360
Speaker 4: Okay, I cannot, right, Yeah, but he's got he's got

664
00:34:41,519 --> 00:34:45,000
fifty eight at bats against So whether those were this year,

665
00:34:45,119 --> 00:34:48,159
last year, or the year before, I have not separated that.

666
00:34:50,960 --> 00:34:56,639
Speaker 1: So, Tokyo Rand, I agree with your grammar thing, and

667
00:34:56,960 --> 00:34:57,840
I don't disagree.

668
00:34:57,920 --> 00:34:59,679
Speaker 2: It's perfectly acceptable grammar.

669
00:34:59,719 --> 00:35:01,840
Speaker 1: I was once upon a time in English major at

670
00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:05,519
Siana College, and it's basically a way to just like

671
00:35:05,639 --> 00:35:06,760
toe the line a little bit.

672
00:35:06,800 --> 00:35:09,199
Speaker 2: You're like, yeah, I see what you're the point you're making.

673
00:35:09,280 --> 00:35:13,880
Speaker 1: But whereas I agree is like I'm I'm strongly it's

674
00:35:13,920 --> 00:35:15,920
it's just a much stronger way to say it. So

675
00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:20,000
perfectly fine, and that's kind of you know, I agree

676
00:35:20,000 --> 00:35:22,320
with your language assessment.

677
00:35:23,039 --> 00:35:25,679
Speaker 2: I don't disagree with you liking the White Sox, but.

678
00:35:25,599 --> 00:35:28,960
Speaker 1: I'm I guess like we manifested that sweep a little

679
00:35:28,960 --> 00:35:30,760
bit for the Mariners. I feel like we talked about

680
00:35:30,800 --> 00:35:33,159
it earlier this week, and you know, I kept looking

681
00:35:33,199 --> 00:35:36,159
for the spot to play the White Sox in that series,

682
00:35:36,199 --> 00:35:39,039
and it just I can't. And I've been the biggest

683
00:35:39,079 --> 00:35:43,039
White Sox supporter all year on this show, White Sox

684
00:35:43,079 --> 00:35:44,599
one and a half, White Sox one and a half,

685
00:35:44,679 --> 00:35:47,480
always looking for spots to play it, and I can't

686
00:35:47,519 --> 00:35:50,599
help but think that this could be a a the

687
00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:53,639
run where the right the White Sox lose six seven,

688
00:35:53,760 --> 00:35:56,119
eight games in a row. Like I don't know, it's

689
00:35:56,199 --> 00:35:58,199
just like these young teams. We've seen it happen to

690
00:35:58,239 --> 00:36:01,440
the A's, We're seeing it with the now Nationals. The

691
00:36:01,440 --> 00:36:03,719
White Sox came out of the break so hot, playing

692
00:36:03,760 --> 00:36:07,559
such good ball, and hey, they battled yesterday, they got

693
00:36:07,599 --> 00:36:10,519
to extra innings, they fall short. Now they got to

694
00:36:10,519 --> 00:36:14,360
come from Seattle to Cleveland. That's never easy to do.

695
00:36:15,000 --> 00:36:19,519
And I'm sorry Seat, I'm sorry Seattle to Chicago, Seattle

696
00:36:19,599 --> 00:36:20,079
to back home.

697
00:36:20,119 --> 00:36:21,000
Speaker 2: It's never easy to do.

698
00:36:21,599 --> 00:36:24,840
Speaker 1: And you know, it's just like one of those things

699
00:36:24,880 --> 00:36:27,320
where I feel like I'm gonna need to see them win.

700
00:36:27,360 --> 00:36:27,519
Speaker 2: Now.

701
00:36:27,519 --> 00:36:30,440
Speaker 1: The market likes this because this When I jotted this

702
00:36:30,480 --> 00:36:32,920
down pre show, I had White Sox plus one and

703
00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:35,320
a half was like minus one ten, minus one fifteen.

704
00:36:35,760 --> 00:36:38,360
This is all the way up to minus one pin forty.

705
00:36:38,800 --> 00:36:41,360
Is that what odds Logic has Brian Leonard, Let's plug

706
00:36:41,400 --> 00:36:45,119
Odds Logic real quick, great. I feel like that's the

707
00:36:45,360 --> 00:36:47,719
best odds software for your money out there. Some of

708
00:36:47,719 --> 00:36:51,480
them are very expensive odds logic is fantastic for the

709
00:36:51,519 --> 00:36:53,559
price point, and it's it's something that we're going to

710
00:36:53,599 --> 00:36:55,559
continue to plug on this show.

711
00:36:55,639 --> 00:36:57,639
Speaker 2: What are we seeing White Sox plus one and a

712
00:36:57,679 --> 00:36:58,320
half at now?

713
00:36:58,920 --> 00:36:59,159
Speaker 1: Yeah?

714
00:36:59,280 --> 00:37:02,440
Speaker 3: Actually, Johnny I talked about yesterday. They made some updates,

715
00:37:02,440 --> 00:37:06,000
so it's even better than it was before. H They're

716
00:37:06,039 --> 00:37:10,440
basically I want forty favorite in that range the eight

717
00:37:10,480 --> 00:37:11,039
and a half.

718
00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:17,760
Speaker 1: I yes, so like that's the thing plus one and

719
00:37:17,800 --> 00:37:20,400
a half And it's like so that I'm completely out

720
00:37:20,440 --> 00:37:21,920
on that because there's no way I'm going to play

721
00:37:21,920 --> 00:37:24,800
pay a dollar forty for that. On the flip side,

722
00:37:24,880 --> 00:37:28,199
I don't really I'm with Brian like I haven't. Thankfully,

723
00:37:28,199 --> 00:37:30,079
I've stayed out of a lot of these Guardians games

724
00:37:30,119 --> 00:37:32,559
because if I've been involved, I would if I'd be

725
00:37:32,639 --> 00:37:34,960
burning money left and right because they are a team

726
00:37:35,000 --> 00:37:37,639
I very much want to bet against.

727
00:37:37,639 --> 00:37:39,559
Speaker 2: I don't think that this team is going to hang

728
00:37:39,599 --> 00:37:40,639
around in the playoff mix.

729
00:37:40,760 --> 00:37:44,079
Speaker 1: I'm it's hard to fathom what they just did at

730
00:37:44,079 --> 00:37:47,119
City Field. But again, I just don't know that this

731
00:37:47,239 --> 00:37:52,639
is the spot to play against Cleveland. I'm not so

732
00:37:52,800 --> 00:37:54,519
Vali's not really the guy I want to back in

733
00:37:54,559 --> 00:37:56,519
this rotation either, even though he's had a little bit

734
00:37:56,519 --> 00:38:00,320
of a resurgence since coming over from Milwaukee. So you know,

735
00:38:00,440 --> 00:38:02,599
Roque Energy says White Sox are live.

736
00:38:03,519 --> 00:38:05,440
Speaker 2: Can't. I can't say they're not.

737
00:38:06,199 --> 00:38:08,079
Speaker 1: But I want to see, like, I need to see

738
00:38:08,119 --> 00:38:10,400
him win a game because this my gut tells me

739
00:38:10,440 --> 00:38:12,960
that they could they If they don't win one, this

740
00:38:13,000 --> 00:38:15,360
could end up being a seven or eight game losing streak,

741
00:38:15,840 --> 00:38:17,840
and I don't want to be on them while they're

742
00:38:17,880 --> 00:38:18,199
doing that.

743
00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:20,480
Speaker 3: Go ahead, Brian, Yeah, I just wanted to point out

744
00:38:20,559 --> 00:38:23,960
that Cleveland was probably back in Chicago before Chicago was.

745
00:38:24,440 --> 00:38:27,519
They had the extra ended game coming from Seattle, whereas

746
00:38:27,519 --> 00:38:31,480
Cleveland had the day off, so they had to use

747
00:38:31,679 --> 00:38:33,639
White Sox had to use a lot of their pretty

748
00:38:33,639 --> 00:38:38,280
good relievers yesterday. That is a concern when you're playing that. Yeah,

749
00:38:38,480 --> 00:38:41,159
I'm completely lost on this game. I've lost all my

750
00:38:41,239 --> 00:38:43,880
faith and picking a Cleveland game right now until I

751
00:38:43,880 --> 00:38:48,360
can get it back together. I pack my my announces

752
00:38:48,360 --> 00:38:49,159
with the grain of salt.

753
00:38:49,960 --> 00:38:52,440
Speaker 1: Brian, while you have odds logic up, do me a favor.

754
00:38:52,559 --> 00:38:55,480
What is the total in that A's Orioles game right now?

755
00:38:57,159 --> 00:38:57,880
Speaker 2: Uh?

756
00:38:57,960 --> 00:39:01,239
Speaker 3: You can still get over nine and a half at

757
00:39:01,320 --> 00:39:06,000
minus one twenty five or over ten. It like minus

758
00:39:06,920 --> 00:39:07,840
one ten, So.

759
00:39:08,880 --> 00:39:12,440
Speaker 2: All right for the parlay, I'm gonna go over one.

760
00:39:12,480 --> 00:39:14,280
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go over nine and a half minus one

761
00:39:14,360 --> 00:39:17,400
twenty five for the parlay. If you cannot get that

762
00:39:17,440 --> 00:39:20,079
at your book, over ten is fine, but we'll do

763
00:39:20,159 --> 00:39:21,079
minus nine and a half.

764
00:39:21,480 --> 00:39:22,800
Speaker 2: Almost anyone that's betting.

765
00:39:22,559 --> 00:39:25,039
Speaker 1: On legals should be able to parlay a nine and

766
00:39:25,079 --> 00:39:28,039
a half there somehow, So that's what we're gonna call it.

767
00:39:28,079 --> 00:39:30,360
I'm gonna add my parlay leg now. I did see

768
00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:32,800
it start to move a little bit. I just thought

769
00:39:32,840 --> 00:39:35,920
all of our breakdowns made so much sense, and I

770
00:39:35,960 --> 00:39:37,760
need to switch it up. I can't have like the

771
00:39:37,800 --> 00:39:39,480
Marlins choking leads away and stuff.

772
00:39:39,519 --> 00:39:40,960
Speaker 2: So I'm going with a total today.

773
00:39:41,800 --> 00:39:45,159
Speaker 1: A's orioles over nine and a half will be my

774
00:39:45,239 --> 00:39:47,960
leg in the parlay, and then TV will will lock

775
00:39:48,039 --> 00:39:49,760
one in over the next twenty minutes. We still have

776
00:39:49,800 --> 00:39:52,599
twenty minutes to get some games in and we'll figure

777
00:39:52,639 --> 00:39:56,519
out what his leg is as well. Yeah, Markinson's like Adam,

778
00:39:56,559 --> 00:39:57,920
fix the focus on your camera.

779
00:39:58,320 --> 00:39:58,639
Speaker 2: It is.

780
00:39:58,960 --> 00:40:00,920
Speaker 1: Let me see here. Let gonna try the white paper trick.

781
00:40:01,039 --> 00:40:03,679
Hold on, let's see if this works.

782
00:40:04,920 --> 00:40:07,159
Speaker 2: Are we back? Did it work? So?

783
00:40:07,400 --> 00:40:10,599
Speaker 1: Apparently, if if you hold a white piece of paper

784
00:40:10,599 --> 00:40:13,400
over the lens, it's supposed to refocus it. If I refresh,

785
00:40:13,679 --> 00:40:17,559
it's gonna mess everything up. So I'd rather I'd rather

786
00:40:17,639 --> 00:40:21,480
talk about baseball blurry for the next twenty minutes than

787
00:40:21,599 --> 00:40:24,440
cost us two minutes of valuable time fixing my camera.

788
00:40:25,079 --> 00:40:27,559
All right, well, I've seen this one throw them back

789
00:40:27,599 --> 00:40:28,079
and forth.

790
00:40:28,840 --> 00:40:29,199
Speaker 2: He says.

791
00:40:29,199 --> 00:40:32,039
Speaker 1: If the Diamondbacks can't be the Rockies, I'm not backing

792
00:40:32,039 --> 00:40:35,400
them ever. Again, that is a strong statement right there,

793
00:40:35,960 --> 00:40:39,159
especially today, Brian Leonard, because this doesn't look like the

794
00:40:39,199 --> 00:40:41,920
worst spot in the world for the Rockies. In my opinion,

795
00:40:42,400 --> 00:40:44,599
they kind of feel like a live dog. And maybe, yep,

796
00:40:44,639 --> 00:40:47,000
that that plus one and a half, you could consider

797
00:40:47,039 --> 00:40:50,400
them rocky since the All Star break, have had more energy,

798
00:40:50,400 --> 00:40:51,320
they've played better ball.

799
00:40:51,400 --> 00:40:54,519
Speaker 2: Now you're gonna have to throw that j series out.

800
00:40:54,760 --> 00:40:55,599
But let's be honest.

801
00:40:55,599 --> 00:40:57,840
Speaker 1: The Blue Jays are are big time contender, one of

802
00:40:57,880 --> 00:41:00,159
the best teams in the league. The Diamondbacks aren't not

803
00:41:00,280 --> 00:41:02,679
that right now, do you see the Rockies having a

804
00:41:02,760 --> 00:41:03,360
chance tonight?

805
00:41:03,880 --> 00:41:07,199
Speaker 3: Well, first of all, I disagree with the thought process.

806
00:41:07,679 --> 00:41:11,159
When team is so ugly you don't want to play them,

807
00:41:11,760 --> 00:41:14,920
it's usually the best time to play them, right because

808
00:41:14,920 --> 00:41:17,400
nobody else wants to bat them, and they're betting on

809
00:41:17,400 --> 00:41:19,199
the other side, and you're getting more value for the

810
00:41:19,360 --> 00:41:24,000
for the buck. That said, yeah, Arizona struggled and they've

811
00:41:24,000 --> 00:41:27,000
got Zach Gallon on the mound, and there's no way,

812
00:41:27,360 --> 00:41:31,039
as much as I hate the Road Rockies the Rocky

813
00:41:31,119 --> 00:41:36,000
Road situation here for Colorado, I am not laying two

814
00:41:36,159 --> 00:41:39,920
thirty five up to two fifty on the Arizona Diamondbacks

815
00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:43,360
for that Gallon. It could end up being what we

816
00:41:43,440 --> 00:41:46,559
talked kind of talked about with Pittsburgh yesterday, laying the

817
00:41:46,599 --> 00:41:49,840
high number with the Pirates and you know they're maybe

818
00:41:49,880 --> 00:41:52,239
they come out and throw a shut out, but I

819
00:41:52,320 --> 00:41:55,639
don't try. I didn't trust the Pirates batch yesterday. They

820
00:41:55,679 --> 00:41:58,880
scored seven runs, so I ended up pushing it. But

821
00:42:00,199 --> 00:42:01,639
I don't want any party. Gall On the way he's

822
00:42:01,679 --> 00:42:05,039
pitching right now about a two forty favorite and total

823
00:42:05,079 --> 00:42:09,599
of nine is here. The nine is actually something I

824
00:42:09,639 --> 00:42:14,000
have a slight interest in. Austin gomer On the on

825
00:42:14,079 --> 00:42:17,440
the mound. He comes in with a six point one

826
00:42:17,519 --> 00:42:20,679
eight ERA five point two to one expected one point

827
00:42:20,679 --> 00:42:24,760
six to zero whip. He does some things pretty well.

828
00:42:24,920 --> 00:42:26,920
His walk grade doesn't not walk a lot of Better's

829
00:42:26,960 --> 00:42:29,960
five point five percent, which is the ninetieth percentile. This

830
00:42:30,039 --> 00:42:31,840
is a second year in a row he's been at

831
00:42:31,880 --> 00:42:34,000
five point five percent. But he only strikes out this

832
00:42:34,079 --> 00:42:37,000
year thirteen point four percent. You've got a seven point

833
00:42:37,000 --> 00:42:40,320
eight strikeout minus walk grade. Show that's not good. You

834
00:42:40,519 --> 00:42:46,000
go over his stackcast page in the ten percent Tyler

835
00:42:46,039 --> 00:42:50,440
or less expected ERA fastball velocity Chase Ray fifth percentage,

836
00:42:50,559 --> 00:42:54,079
strikeout percentage, barrel rate. Granted, he does pitch half of

837
00:42:54,079 --> 00:42:56,840
his games in Colorado, so you have to take that

838
00:42:56,960 --> 00:43:01,239
into account. But he's just not been a good pitcher

839
00:43:01,840 --> 00:43:05,519
and he probably would not make the starting rotation on

840
00:43:05,639 --> 00:43:10,159
any other major league staff. Zach Gallon five point four

841
00:43:10,320 --> 00:43:13,599
eight ERA four point nine to one expected one point

842
00:43:13,639 --> 00:43:18,239
three to six whip. Normally you see a lot of

843
00:43:18,440 --> 00:43:22,559
red on his savant page. None He's got zero red.

844
00:43:22,599 --> 00:43:27,159
Everything is either league average or worse. His exit velocity

845
00:43:27,320 --> 00:43:33,639
ninth percentile, barrel rate fourteenth hard hit fourteenth, expected DRA seventeenth.

846
00:43:33,679 --> 00:43:36,119
I know he did have a couple of decent starts.

847
00:43:36,719 --> 00:43:40,920
But you know, a while back on he started the

848
00:43:40,920 --> 00:43:45,199
month of July seven innings, one and run against the Giants,

849
00:43:45,199 --> 00:43:46,960
a team that has not hit well for a month.

850
00:43:47,760 --> 00:43:50,760
They ain't played the Padres, six shoutout innings. But then

851
00:43:50,800 --> 00:43:55,519
he got bombed three straight starts against the Angels, these

852
00:43:55,559 --> 00:43:59,519
Diamondbacks and the Pirates, three teams that have not been

853
00:43:59,559 --> 00:44:02,800
hitting very well. And then last time out he went

854
00:44:02,920 --> 00:44:04,639
six and he's give up two runs to a good

855
00:44:04,719 --> 00:44:08,400
hitting and hot athletics team. Is he back? No, I

856
00:44:08,440 --> 00:44:11,719
don't believe so. So I think both teams will have

857
00:44:11,760 --> 00:44:14,079
some offensive success here. I like the over in this one.

858
00:44:15,400 --> 00:44:17,719
Speaker 4: Guys, go check out our pages. I have an MLB

859
00:44:17,800 --> 00:44:20,800
play up right now and a free playloaded, and I'm

860
00:44:20,840 --> 00:44:25,639
sure my colleagues here will also today if they haven't already,

861
00:44:26,000 --> 00:44:28,119
take the five minutes to go check our pages out

862
00:44:29,119 --> 00:44:31,559
and leave a comment on the replay of this. It

863
00:44:31,639 --> 00:44:33,719
means a lot to us, and it shows wager Talk

864
00:44:33,840 --> 00:44:36,760
you like and support our show, and it doesn't cost

865
00:44:36,840 --> 00:44:40,519
you anything. So regarding this game, the first thing that

866
00:44:40,599 --> 00:44:43,960
jumps out to me is both of these pitchers absolutely

867
00:44:44,000 --> 00:44:48,639
get mauled by the other team's batters how bad. Gallen

868
00:44:48,679 --> 00:44:51,440
has a three ZHO seven average against and a one

869
00:44:51,519 --> 00:44:54,880
thousand ops against. Granted, some of those numbers might be

870
00:44:54,960 --> 00:45:00,000
from Colorado's home field, but still he struggles against these Backs.

871
00:45:00,360 --> 00:45:03,079
There's no doubt about that. Austin Gomber is just a

872
00:45:03,159 --> 00:45:09,039
terrible picture, period, but against these Diamondbacks he's even really terrible.

873
00:45:09,280 --> 00:45:11,360
He's got a two ninety six average against an eight

874
00:45:11,480 --> 00:45:15,199
ninety nine ops so taking a look at that, add

875
00:45:15,199 --> 00:45:17,719
to the fact that we have two of the worst

876
00:45:17,760 --> 00:45:21,480
bullpens in Major League Baseball here, I don't care who's

877
00:45:21,519 --> 00:45:24,119
in the lineup. I expect this to go over nine

878
00:45:24,159 --> 00:45:25,760
and as a matter of fact, that's going to be

879
00:45:25,840 --> 00:45:28,400
my parlay piece is going to be over nine in

880
00:45:28,440 --> 00:45:32,159
this game. I think this goes over nine easily. I mean,

881
00:45:32,519 --> 00:45:34,159
I don't like the fact that it's being played in

882
00:45:34,199 --> 00:45:39,480
Arizona because it generally is a pitcher's park, But these

883
00:45:39,519 --> 00:45:42,199
bullpens are so bad, and neither one of these pictures

884
00:45:42,239 --> 00:45:44,039
really goes that deep in the game. I think we're

885
00:45:44,039 --> 00:45:47,480
going to get at least eight innings of bullpens in

886
00:45:47,559 --> 00:45:51,239
this combined, so I like I think both lineups can

887
00:45:51,440 --> 00:45:54,760
can score some runs. And surprisingly Colorado in current form

888
00:45:54,840 --> 00:45:59,199
is ranked eight, but that's probably because they were playing

889
00:45:59,239 --> 00:46:03,079
in Colorado, so you got to take that into consideration. Nevertheless,

890
00:46:03,239 --> 00:46:06,599
I think a five to four game will get you

891
00:46:06,639 --> 00:46:08,639
a push. In a six to five game, we'll get

892
00:46:08,639 --> 00:46:10,360
you a win. So I think that's what we're looking

893
00:46:10,400 --> 00:46:10,800
at here.

894
00:46:12,519 --> 00:46:15,000
Speaker 2: Brian, go ahead, tell me Chase Field is not a pitcher's.

895
00:46:14,719 --> 00:46:18,599
Speaker 3: Park, and yeah, yeah, that kind of stook me. Actually

896
00:46:18,639 --> 00:46:21,559
today Chase Field is plus eight percent better than the

897
00:46:21,679 --> 00:46:24,760
league average. Yeah, this is a good headers park. I

898
00:46:25,079 --> 00:46:28,559
don't agree. Your stats might show something. Maybe you can

899
00:46:28,599 --> 00:46:31,280
prove me wrong, but there it's all always known, has

900
00:46:31,280 --> 00:46:32,760
been a good hitters park.

901
00:46:33,159 --> 00:46:35,199
Speaker 4: Maybe it's just even better then.

902
00:46:35,320 --> 00:46:37,800
Speaker 3: Maybe that maybe in Arizona, Pittuers is just so bad

903
00:46:37,840 --> 00:46:39,519
that makes a good hitters part.

904
00:46:39,519 --> 00:46:42,599
Speaker 1: This year they did well, No, I mean they definitely

905
00:46:42,920 --> 00:46:46,679
watered it down. If you remember they didn't they start

906
00:46:46,880 --> 00:46:48,719
doing something to the baseballs in Arizona.

907
00:46:48,800 --> 00:46:52,880
Speaker 3: Two, they're doing it everywhere now they all yeah.

908
00:46:52,920 --> 00:46:54,079
Speaker 2: Yeah, so so.

909
00:46:54,519 --> 00:46:57,760
Speaker 1: But but that's another one, Tokyo Brandon that always comes

910
00:46:57,840 --> 00:47:00,320
up if you listen to big league hitters, just like

911
00:47:00,320 --> 00:47:02,400
like every once in a while, like where's your favorite

912
00:47:02,400 --> 00:47:04,360
what's your favorite ballpark to hit in? Is a question

913
00:47:04,400 --> 00:47:08,400
that it's like a common reporter question to just break

914
00:47:08,400 --> 00:47:12,360
the ice with a with a hitter. Chasefield is always

915
00:47:12,559 --> 00:47:16,239
spoken about as like a hitter's dream because they have

916
00:47:16,320 --> 00:47:20,039
that huge wall in center field. It's green, there's nothing

917
00:47:20,079 --> 00:47:22,920
out there. It's like a perfect backdrop to hit again.

918
00:47:23,000 --> 00:47:27,719
Speaker 4: So yeah, even professional cappers can learn something by watching this.

919
00:47:27,800 --> 00:47:31,119
So I'll stand corrected and thank you for teaching me that.

920
00:47:31,159 --> 00:47:33,960
Speaker 3: Guys, Yeah, we're all here to learn. We're all here

921
00:47:34,000 --> 00:47:34,800
to help each other.

922
00:47:35,559 --> 00:47:39,400
Speaker 4: Part of part of the capper is not having things

923
00:47:39,519 --> 00:47:42,440
fixed in your head and being flexible and being able

924
00:47:42,480 --> 00:47:46,559
to adjust along. So I'll adjust that train of thought

925
00:47:46,599 --> 00:47:48,559
that I had. But for some reason in my head,

926
00:47:48,599 --> 00:47:50,960
I've always thought of Arizona as a picture's park. So

927
00:47:51,320 --> 00:47:54,159
I don't know why. Honestly, when you just asked me

928
00:47:54,239 --> 00:47:56,599
right now and challenge me, I'm like, you know what,

929
00:47:56,679 --> 00:47:58,960
I don't know why. I just have that impression. So

930
00:47:59,679 --> 00:48:00,360
good here.

931
00:48:01,320 --> 00:48:04,960
Speaker 1: Well, I don't think you're wrong to light the over certainly,

932
00:48:05,159 --> 00:48:07,159
you know, I think that there could be runs here.

933
00:48:07,239 --> 00:48:09,840
I will I'm gonna stick up for our guy. Austin

934
00:48:09,920 --> 00:48:13,199
Gomber for a minute, though, because this is a guy

935
00:48:13,239 --> 00:48:16,159
he just he shouldn't be in Colorado. He just doesn't

936
00:48:16,159 --> 00:48:19,159
get any ground balls. He's a he's a flyball pitcher,

937
00:48:19,840 --> 00:48:22,320
and he pitches at corse Field, which is, as we know,

938
00:48:22,840 --> 00:48:26,800
very difficult on flyball pitchers. Gomber on the road, ere's

939
00:48:26,840 --> 00:48:30,800
four nine to one. The batting average against is almost

940
00:48:30,840 --> 00:48:34,960
one hundred points low. I actually think there's some stuff

941
00:48:34,960 --> 00:48:37,320
to like about him. He throws a lot of strikes,

942
00:48:38,000 --> 00:48:41,559
He's able to generate some soft contact. Now, is he like,

943
00:48:42,079 --> 00:48:44,320
you know, someone I'm putting in my starting five on

944
00:48:44,440 --> 00:48:48,239
most other teams. Probably not, But there's there's far worse

945
00:48:48,320 --> 00:48:50,800
getting run out in the big leagues right now. And

946
00:48:50,960 --> 00:48:54,079
one of those guys might actually be Zach Gallen at

947
00:48:54,280 --> 00:48:57,960
current time. Zach Gallen in twenty twenty five. Now, Zach

948
00:48:58,000 --> 00:49:00,400
Gallen we know, over the course of his career, has

949
00:49:00,639 --> 00:49:03,960
some very very good years, but Zachdallen right now not

950
00:49:04,199 --> 00:49:07,280
very good. And again, so I think Gomber gets a

951
00:49:07,320 --> 00:49:09,480
little bit of a bad rap because he has bad numbers,

952
00:49:10,079 --> 00:49:12,960
but a lot of those are our cores field generated

953
00:49:13,039 --> 00:49:17,000
because he's trying to get he's at his best getting

954
00:49:17,000 --> 00:49:19,480
fly balls, and as we know, the ball flies out

955
00:49:19,480 --> 00:49:20,039
of that yard.

956
00:49:20,119 --> 00:49:22,000
Speaker 2: So I really do like the Rockies here.

957
00:49:22,440 --> 00:49:25,320
Speaker 1: I don't think these two teams at right like as

958
00:49:25,360 --> 00:49:28,119
they stand right now, with the rosters they have right now,

959
00:49:28,280 --> 00:49:31,079
I don't think these two teams are that different. Obviously

960
00:49:31,079 --> 00:49:34,400
there's some better individuals on the Diamondbacks, but when you

961
00:49:34,519 --> 00:49:37,679
take off Naylor swore as you know, the pieces that

962
00:49:37,719 --> 00:49:39,719
they sort of got rid of, and you look at

963
00:49:39,760 --> 00:49:42,679
the teams on the field, this matchup's a lot more

964
00:49:42,719 --> 00:49:46,639
even than I think the books are are suggesting with

965
00:49:46,719 --> 00:49:49,159
this number. So Rockies plus one and a half, with

966
00:49:49,280 --> 00:49:51,519
getting the road team even money plus one and a

967
00:49:51,559 --> 00:49:52,519
half makes a lot of sense.

968
00:49:52,559 --> 00:49:54,760
Speaker 3: Go ahead, Brian, Yeah, I just want to point out

969
00:49:54,800 --> 00:49:59,079
with Colorado, yes, the ball flies there, it's the altitude.

970
00:49:59,519 --> 00:50:01,440
But the the reason why there's so many runs are

971
00:50:01,480 --> 00:50:06,280
scored in Colorado is because it's a massive outfield, and

972
00:50:06,360 --> 00:50:09,159
so there's a lot more singles, a lot more doubles,

973
00:50:09,599 --> 00:50:12,840
and a lot more triples there. Now, they do, they

974
00:50:12,840 --> 00:50:14,639
do give up the home runs, no doubt about it.

975
00:50:15,119 --> 00:50:18,679
But if you're playing in Colorado, you're going to increase

976
00:50:18,719 --> 00:50:22,119
your batty average. You're going to there's usually a lot

977
00:50:22,119 --> 00:50:25,639
of walks because people can't they just don't get they're

978
00:50:25,679 --> 00:50:28,719
not able to throw the breaking pitches because of that,

979
00:50:28,880 --> 00:50:31,239
so that there's a lot more people on base and

980
00:50:31,280 --> 00:50:33,320
that's why there's so many runs scored in Colorado.

981
00:50:34,880 --> 00:50:37,280
Speaker 4: Let me make a point. One thing I liked about

982
00:50:37,280 --> 00:50:40,920
this game that I forgot to mention is marte Is

983
00:50:41,559 --> 00:50:45,480
ten for twenty six against Gomber and who else We

984
00:50:45,559 --> 00:50:49,360
got Corbyn Carrol six of thirteen, So they both have

985
00:50:49,480 --> 00:50:53,199
ops's over twelve hundred. So maybe one of those guys

986
00:50:53,239 --> 00:50:55,440
to get a hit, run RBI over one and a

987
00:50:55,440 --> 00:50:56,880
half might be a good play as well.

988
00:50:58,719 --> 00:51:00,119
Speaker 2: Certainly only good.

989
00:51:00,159 --> 00:51:03,400
Speaker 4: Hitters on the Diamondbacks anymore since they lost Naylor and Suarez.

990
00:51:04,079 --> 00:51:07,519
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean you're absolutely right there. There definitely could

991
00:51:07,519 --> 00:51:09,559
be some fireworks in this game. I think these I

992
00:51:09,559 --> 00:51:12,000
think these guys played like a fourteen to eleven game

993
00:51:12,159 --> 00:51:15,400
earlier this year. Like there's if you look at back

994
00:51:15,440 --> 00:51:18,519
at past d Backs Rockies matchups this season, I bet

995
00:51:18,559 --> 00:51:20,440
a lot of them got to nine and if not

996
00:51:20,840 --> 00:51:23,840
more than that, Like there should be a high scoring

997
00:51:23,880 --> 00:51:26,159
game when you when you look at the two teams,

998
00:51:26,199 --> 00:51:28,519
two pitchers and what's probably coming out of the bull

999
00:51:28,599 --> 00:51:31,800
bet for both teams. So I like that TV Okay,

1000
00:51:31,800 --> 00:51:34,679
Colin Gregory, we got yeah, you're you're probably right about this.

1001
00:51:34,760 --> 00:51:36,280
And you know, we didn't lead off the show with

1002
00:51:36,320 --> 00:51:38,159
it because we wanted to get that Marlins game out.

1003
00:51:38,199 --> 00:51:40,199
I kind of this would have been my sort of

1004
00:51:40,199 --> 00:51:43,360
feature game. So let's make sure we touch it in

1005
00:51:43,400 --> 00:51:46,400
the final nine minutes of the show. Blue Jays Dodgers

1006
00:51:47,000 --> 00:51:50,239
game between old old Vets Game of the Day World

1007
00:51:50,280 --> 00:51:54,679
Series preview. I'm not that could get It's definitely possible

1008
00:51:55,239 --> 00:51:57,880
because a lot of people, you know, the Dodgers arguably

1009
00:51:57,920 --> 00:52:00,559
should be there, and a lot of people, include myself.

1010
00:52:00,719 --> 00:52:03,320
I think the Blue Jays are are arguably the best

1011
00:52:03,320 --> 00:52:05,239
team in the American League, if not the best. So,

1012
00:52:05,280 --> 00:52:08,280
Brian Leonard, is this a World series preview? We got

1013
00:52:08,280 --> 00:52:11,800
two big name veterans that actually haven't faced off I

1014
00:52:11,840 --> 00:52:15,800
think since like very very early in their career, which

1015
00:52:15,840 --> 00:52:16,360
is interesting.

1016
00:52:16,400 --> 00:52:19,320
Speaker 2: Here, sure's are Kershaw? So how are you seeing the

1017
00:52:19,360 --> 00:52:21,480
game of the day Blue Jays Dodgers.

1018
00:52:22,159 --> 00:52:25,760
Speaker 3: Yeah. I looked at the same thing, and we're looking

1019
00:52:25,800 --> 00:52:29,239
at Sureser against Kershaw obviously Lefty, we're looking at Kershaw

1020
00:52:30,159 --> 00:52:38,519
about one forty favorite nine to the under. Yeah, Toronto's

1021
00:52:38,920 --> 00:52:42,800
You've got it been Toronto's live here. They're hitting really well.

1022
00:52:43,159 --> 00:52:46,199
Sureser has got a lot of red on his stat

1023
00:52:46,199 --> 00:52:49,920
cast page four point three to nine ERA three point

1024
00:52:49,960 --> 00:52:53,079
sixty six expected, so he's been a little bit unlucky

1025
00:52:54,000 --> 00:52:58,960
one whip. I will say his ground ball ray is

1026
00:52:59,000 --> 00:53:04,719
in the first percentile. And unlike Colorado that a lot

1027
00:53:04,800 --> 00:53:06,599
of people think it doesn't have a lot of home

1028
00:53:06,679 --> 00:53:08,320
run a lot of a lot of home runs, this

1029
00:53:08,440 --> 00:53:12,239
stadium does is a good home run park, so he

1030
00:53:12,320 --> 00:53:14,760
may give up some long balls. So this Dodgers team

1031
00:53:14,760 --> 00:53:17,079
that has a lot of power and now they got

1032
00:53:17,079 --> 00:53:19,599
their third basement back and with glasses. He's a much

1033
00:53:19,639 --> 00:53:22,639
better hitter as we've spoken about in the past. But

1034
00:53:23,159 --> 00:53:25,880
Surezer's barrel rate and the twelfth percentile, and I talked

1035
00:53:25,920 --> 00:53:30,400
about the ground ball rate, but he's average Exavelosi eighty

1036
00:53:30,480 --> 00:53:34,559
ninth percentile, walk rate ninety fourth, our hit rate eighty six,

1037
00:53:34,679 --> 00:53:37,119
so he only walks four point nine percent of the

1038
00:53:37,119 --> 00:53:41,079
batter's face that is good. And his strikeout rate twenty

1039
00:53:41,119 --> 00:53:43,920
seven point zero, which gives him a twenty two point

1040
00:53:43,920 --> 00:53:48,440
one strikeout min's walk ratio awesome. How many times do

1041
00:53:48,480 --> 00:53:51,400
you catch a team hitting what Toronto is and a

1042
00:53:51,400 --> 00:53:53,760
pitch starting pitcher has got a twenty two point one

1043
00:53:53,800 --> 00:53:57,039
strikeout minus walk ratio and you get him as an underdog.

1044
00:53:58,079 --> 00:54:00,679
I think Toronto has a lot of value here. Curve

1045
00:54:00,719 --> 00:54:03,559
show three point two nine, ERA three point ninety six

1046
00:54:03,639 --> 00:54:08,400
expected one point twenty five, whip barrel rate ninety second percentile,

1047
00:54:08,480 --> 00:54:11,960
walk rate seventy fifth, ground bowl rate seventy ninth. But

1048
00:54:12,119 --> 00:54:15,840
his fastball ve last season the second percentile. His four

1049
00:54:15,920 --> 00:54:19,039
seam he throws eighty nine miles an hour. That's four

1050
00:54:19,480 --> 00:54:24,159
miles an hour worse than a normal lefty. If deck

1051
00:54:24,159 --> 00:54:27,039
to look at his curve seventy two point three seven

1052
00:54:27,119 --> 00:54:31,079
miles worse than a normal lefty. And the reason why

1053
00:54:31,079 --> 00:54:34,960
I mentioned the curve ball is when you're that far off, uh,

1054
00:54:35,280 --> 00:54:38,880
normally we're looking at about a fourteen percent difference between

1055
00:54:40,239 --> 00:54:42,800
for Samer fourteen mile per hour difference, excuse me, in

1056
00:54:42,800 --> 00:54:48,239
a curve. His is seventeen percent differential. And they know

1057
00:54:48,559 --> 00:54:50,960
the curve. He throws a curve eighteen percent of the time.

1058
00:54:51,079 --> 00:54:52,559
That's what he's known for. He's gonna make the Hall

1059
00:54:52,559 --> 00:54:55,079
of Fame based on his based on his curve, He's

1060
00:54:55,119 --> 00:54:58,400
gone to more of a slider this year, which is

1061
00:54:58,519 --> 00:55:00,679
very good. But when you I have that much of

1062
00:55:00,719 --> 00:55:04,199
a differential, you can easily tell when the curve ball

1063
00:55:04,320 --> 00:55:07,239
is coming, and so he can make that adjustment. And

1064
00:55:07,280 --> 00:55:09,280
I think that's something we need to worry about, because,

1065
00:55:09,320 --> 00:55:13,440
like I said, is fastball velocity second percentile, Chase Ray eighteenth,

1066
00:55:13,559 --> 00:55:20,599
strikeout percent five fifth, hard hit seventeenth. He's really surpassed

1067
00:55:20,639 --> 00:55:22,519
what anything that I thought he was going to do

1068
00:55:22,599 --> 00:55:25,199
this year. Our hats off to him. I've loved the guy,

1069
00:55:25,280 --> 00:55:29,599
and especially because he has somehow struggled in the playoffs.

1070
00:55:30,119 --> 00:55:33,079
A lot of people call him a choker. Playoffs are

1071
00:55:33,119 --> 00:55:35,400
small sample sizes. The guys are one of the best

1072
00:55:35,400 --> 00:55:39,039
pictures of the generation. First ballot Hall of Famer. I

1073
00:55:39,079 --> 00:55:42,400
love the guy, not the same picture as he was before.

1074
00:55:42,920 --> 00:55:45,960
I like the underdog here. I think Toronto has got

1075
00:55:46,000 --> 00:55:48,320
a lot of value here and you can get them.

1076
00:55:48,760 --> 00:55:52,159
I'm seeing upwards are one thirty except places, but there's

1077
00:55:52,199 --> 00:55:54,119
others that are down to one fifteen. But I think

1078
00:55:53,960 --> 00:55:55,840
the Toronto is a nice underdog today.

1079
00:55:57,639 --> 00:56:01,039
Speaker 4: So this matchup to me, looks like two nineteen seventy

1080
00:56:01,119 --> 00:56:05,400
nine fiberglass corvettes racing against each other. Two cars that

1081
00:56:05,519 --> 00:56:09,119
used to be really shiny in pristine, But which one's

1082
00:56:09,159 --> 00:56:13,960
gonna break down first? Which one's gonna vomit first? They're

1083
00:56:14,000 --> 00:56:18,239
both really talented, like Brian said, and much respect for

1084
00:56:18,320 --> 00:56:20,239
both of them, but they're neither one is what they

1085
00:56:20,320 --> 00:56:23,840
used to be. I agree with him. Of all the

1086
00:56:23,880 --> 00:56:28,039
matchups today, this one I have the closest, the closest

1087
00:56:28,159 --> 00:56:31,280
matched like the least points apart. But the one advantage

1088
00:56:31,320 --> 00:56:34,159
that Toronto really has in this is the batting. I've

1089
00:56:34,159 --> 00:56:37,880
got them ranked number one in all of Major League Baseball. Now, granted,

1090
00:56:38,079 --> 00:56:41,159
they just scored what thirty eight runs in three games

1091
00:56:41,159 --> 00:56:45,800
against Colorado in the Rocky Mountains, so that's obviously skewing

1092
00:56:45,840 --> 00:56:49,920
my numbers, but even before that Colorado series, they were

1093
00:56:50,039 --> 00:56:53,400
ranked top five lineup. They were mashing the ball even

1094
00:56:53,480 --> 00:56:57,280
before they went to Colorado and the Dodgers bullpen is

1095
00:56:57,400 --> 00:57:01,719
very shaky, very unreliable, but so is Toronto. So I mean,

1096
00:57:01,760 --> 00:57:04,440
in current form, not all season, but I have both

1097
00:57:04,480 --> 00:57:09,079
of them ranked seventeen in bullpen. Man Toronto, they're just

1098
00:57:09,360 --> 00:57:12,360
mashing the ball. They look like an unstoppable juggernaut. I

1099
00:57:12,360 --> 00:57:15,719
think they're gonna crush Kershaw. But I don't really know

1100
00:57:16,159 --> 00:57:20,639
what to expect from sures Er either, So this one's

1101
00:57:20,639 --> 00:57:22,280
a little bit of an X factor for me. But

1102
00:57:22,480 --> 00:57:25,719
I certainly if if I had to bet this game,

1103
00:57:25,760 --> 00:57:26,599
i'd bet Toronto.

1104
00:57:29,199 --> 00:57:31,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, so I just pulled out WRC plus against left

1105
00:57:31,679 --> 00:57:35,360
handed pitching. The Yankees lead the league in that I

1106
00:57:35,440 --> 00:57:37,320
wouldn't have maybe got that off the top of my head.

1107
00:57:37,400 --> 00:57:38,599
Speaker 2: You know who's tied for second.

1108
00:57:38,960 --> 00:57:42,360
Speaker 1: It's these two teams, the Blue Jays and the Dodgers,

1109
00:57:42,679 --> 00:57:44,760
And only one is facing a lefty tonight, and that's

1110
00:57:44,760 --> 00:57:47,960
the Blue Jays. And when I look at these two pitchers,

1111
00:57:48,239 --> 00:57:51,280
I echo the sentiments that you guys have brought up.

1112
00:57:51,280 --> 00:57:54,199
Speaker 2: We don't need to rehash that, So I'm just gonna

1113
00:57:54,199 --> 00:57:55,239
go to the eye test.

1114
00:57:55,360 --> 00:57:58,199
Speaker 1: And when I watched these two throw, and you know both,

1115
00:57:58,639 --> 00:58:02,159
Kershaw's been really good, like better than I could have imagined.

1116
00:58:02,159 --> 00:58:04,440
But when I watch these two guys pitch right now,

1117
00:58:05,079 --> 00:58:08,639
I still think Surezers got the nastier stuff, Like his

1118
00:58:08,760 --> 00:58:12,599
stuff is still just I think it's still is just

1119
00:58:12,719 --> 00:58:14,679
nastier than what Kershaw's got.

1120
00:58:14,679 --> 00:58:15,320
Speaker 2: At this point.

1121
00:58:15,920 --> 00:58:18,599
Speaker 1: And so if you've got to line up in the

1122
00:58:18,599 --> 00:58:22,000
Blue Jays that we've sung their praises left and right,

1123
00:58:22,480 --> 00:58:25,480
great at bats one through nine, I mean right down

1124
00:58:25,519 --> 00:58:28,599
from you know you're getting Vlad, you can throw like

1125
00:58:29,119 --> 00:58:31,360
you know, whoever's at the top of the other where

1126
00:58:31,360 --> 00:58:33,639
it's Luke's Bashett and then you'll you can have Ernie

1127
00:58:33,639 --> 00:58:36,239
Clement down in the eight hole and it's like everyone's

1128
00:58:36,320 --> 00:58:39,039
given a professional at bat. Every out is a tough out,

1129
00:58:39,159 --> 00:58:40,960
does not matter who they put in that lineup. At

1130
00:58:41,000 --> 00:58:43,360
this point one through nine, they're having tough at bats.

1131
00:58:44,039 --> 00:58:46,719
I think tough at bats against kersh are gonna produce

1132
00:58:46,760 --> 00:58:50,519
something here, whereas now the Dodgers, and I wanted to

1133
00:58:50,559 --> 00:58:53,360
pull up on Nabil's comment he says, these are the

1134
00:58:53,360 --> 00:58:54,239
games they wake up for.

1135
00:58:54,360 --> 00:58:56,679
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a good point. I mean it is a

1136
00:58:56,679 --> 00:58:57,079
big game.

1137
00:58:57,119 --> 00:58:59,320
Speaker 1: It's at home, and I do think you're gonna see

1138
00:58:59,320 --> 00:59:02,559
the Dodgers, like, especially in these spots as that as

1139
00:59:02,639 --> 00:59:05,599
August and September go on, I do think you're gonna

1140
00:59:05,599 --> 00:59:08,480
see that, like big effort from the Dodgers start to

1141
00:59:08,800 --> 00:59:11,519
really show up, maybe the effort we haven't fully seen

1142
00:59:11,559 --> 00:59:14,480
from them this year, and so there is some merit

1143
00:59:14,519 --> 00:59:15,199
to that point.

1144
00:59:15,760 --> 00:59:17,960
Speaker 2: But I just think like, when you handicap this game, you.

1145
00:59:17,880 --> 00:59:20,159
Speaker 1: Look at where the market has this with the Blue

1146
00:59:20,239 --> 00:59:22,679
Jays as an underdog, and a lot of the chat

1147
00:59:22,760 --> 00:59:24,639
is saying, like, what's there to even think about the

1148
00:59:24,639 --> 00:59:28,119
Blue Jays is an underdog here? I think at the

1149
00:59:28,159 --> 00:59:30,199
price you have to like the Blue Jays. You look

1150
00:59:30,239 --> 00:59:32,440
at their numbers against left handed pitching, and if you

1151
00:59:32,559 --> 00:59:35,480
just watch these two guys pitch, who looks more hittable

1152
00:59:35,480 --> 00:59:36,119
at this point?

1153
00:59:36,320 --> 00:59:37,239
Speaker 2: Forget the numbers.

1154
00:59:37,800 --> 00:59:39,760
Speaker 1: When you watch these guys pitch, who has the more

1155
00:59:39,840 --> 00:59:41,000
hittable stuff at this point?

1156
00:59:41,000 --> 00:59:42,360
Speaker 2: I really feel like it's kershaw.

1157
00:59:42,880 --> 00:59:44,960
Speaker 1: And when you're splitting hairs with how good these teams

1158
00:59:44,960 --> 00:59:47,119
are and how good these lineups are, I think the

1159
00:59:47,119 --> 00:59:48,920
plus one twenty five is all you need to know there.

1160
00:59:48,960 --> 00:59:51,280
I feel like you have to play that value with

1161
00:59:51,320 --> 00:59:53,039
the Blue Jays or stay out of it. That's how

1162
00:59:53,039 --> 00:59:57,159
I see this one. All right, it's ten am, which

1163
00:59:57,239 --> 01:00:00,440
means tokyo brain. Oh no, he locked it in already.

1164
01:00:00,559 --> 01:00:04,360
Forgot about that? Wow we were that was like the

1165
01:00:04,360 --> 01:00:06,760
best pace we had today. Brian kicked the show off

1166
01:00:07,079 --> 01:00:07,960
middle of the show.

1167
01:00:07,800 --> 01:00:08,440
Speaker 2: I gave mine out.

1168
01:00:08,480 --> 01:00:13,360
Speaker 1: I forgot TV fired as parlagout in that Rockies Diamondbacks game.

1169
01:00:13,400 --> 01:00:16,039
So while I add this up, I'm gonna let TV

1170
01:00:16,199 --> 01:00:18,559
promote whatever's going on on the site right now.

1171
01:00:19,800 --> 01:00:22,239
Speaker 4: So we have a lot of promotions going on on

1172
01:00:22,320 --> 01:00:24,000
the site. The best thing to do is go to

1173
01:00:24,079 --> 01:00:27,800
each of our individual pages. Go to wager talk dot com.

1174
01:00:28,320 --> 01:00:31,360
If you go to experts or even on the front page,

1175
01:00:31,360 --> 01:00:33,000
we're gonna be there if we have a playoff. I

1176
01:00:33,039 --> 01:00:37,239
already have an MLB play up right now. I'm running

1177
01:00:37,280 --> 01:00:40,000
pretty hot, number one in profit last three days and

1178
01:00:40,159 --> 01:00:43,000
last seven days, and number one in twenty twenty five,

1179
01:00:43,119 --> 01:00:45,519
so things are going well. I do have an MLB

1180
01:00:45,599 --> 01:00:50,119
play out, Adam and I do Asian Baseball, and wager

1181
01:00:50,159 --> 01:00:53,159
Talk allows us to sell those for half price. So

1182
01:00:53,360 --> 01:00:55,239
any day of the week, if we have a KBO

1183
01:00:55,360 --> 01:00:57,800
or a Japanese Baseball out, it's gonna be half price

1184
01:00:57,840 --> 01:01:01,039
as well. So, Brian, you don't don't have anything out yet,

1185
01:01:01,039 --> 01:01:03,039
but I'm sure you will today, right there's lots of

1186
01:01:03,079 --> 01:01:04,000
juicy matchups.

1187
01:01:04,280 --> 01:01:06,599
Speaker 3: Yeah, everything today is on the evening cards, so we

1188
01:01:06,679 --> 01:01:09,360
got plenty of time to take a look at it.

1189
01:01:09,360 --> 01:01:11,880
So who was playing Who's not playing? And I would

1190
01:01:11,920 --> 01:01:15,599
like to thank you pointing the ancient time of nineteen

1191
01:01:15,760 --> 01:01:19,320
seventy nine, because that was the year I graduated high school.

1192
01:01:20,800 --> 01:01:24,119
Speaker 4: My mom had a yellow Corvette and when I was

1193
01:01:24,159 --> 01:01:26,400
growing up, when I was sixteen, in nineteen eighty six,

1194
01:01:26,480 --> 01:01:28,599
she let me drive it to prom I did not

1195
01:01:28,639 --> 01:01:29,079
wreck it.

1196
01:01:30,480 --> 01:01:33,559
Speaker 3: I had a vet in nineteen seventy nine, two a

1197
01:01:33,639 --> 01:01:35,440
Shiven and it was yellow.

1198
01:01:39,920 --> 01:01:42,360
Speaker 4: In the seventies, Adam wasn't even alive.

1199
01:01:43,199 --> 01:01:46,320
Speaker 1: I know, and you know what it's like. I wasn't

1200
01:01:46,320 --> 01:01:48,320
alive yet I was born. So someone in the comments

1201
01:01:48,320 --> 01:01:49,920
the other day was like, he doesn't even look thirty.

1202
01:01:49,920 --> 01:01:52,000
Speaker 2: I'm actually going to be forty in July. A lot

1203
01:01:52,000 --> 01:01:53,639
of people don't realize. I mean, I was born in nine.

1204
01:01:55,119 --> 01:01:56,320
I missed the seventies.

1205
01:01:56,719 --> 01:02:00,199
Speaker 1: But I just I just finished watching that five five

1206
01:02:00,239 --> 01:02:04,880
hour Billy Joel documentary on HBO, which was fantastically Even

1207
01:02:04,880 --> 01:02:07,360
if you weren't a fan of Billy Joe's music, it's

1208
01:02:07,400 --> 01:02:10,159
a great watch. It's it's on HBO. It's like brand new,

1209
01:02:10,840 --> 01:02:12,840
two parts. It's about five hours long.

1210
01:02:12,920 --> 01:02:16,159
Speaker 4: And I don't think I don't think there's anyone who

1211
01:02:16,239 --> 01:02:17,679
doesn't like Billy Joel.

1212
01:02:17,679 --> 01:02:20,079
Speaker 2: I know, right, Like that's like how could you not?

1213
01:02:20,679 --> 01:02:23,480
Speaker 1: And but there's so much good footage from that time period,

1214
01:02:23,559 --> 01:02:25,480
like the seventies, and like the whole time I'm watching,

1215
01:02:25,760 --> 01:02:27,960
I'm just thinking, like how cool it would have been

1216
01:02:28,079 --> 01:02:30,840
to be alive like during that time. And obviously you

1217
01:02:30,840 --> 01:02:34,599
know I missed missed that, But I think if I mean,

1218
01:02:34,639 --> 01:02:37,639
I'm a big nineties guy, I always say, like, put

1219
01:02:37,679 --> 01:02:40,440
me back in the nineties, like that would be like spend,

1220
01:02:41,079 --> 01:02:42,159
spend my whole life.

1221
01:02:42,159 --> 01:02:47,159
Speaker 4: But seventies you have to love Seinfeld, right, Yeah.

1222
01:02:47,000 --> 01:02:49,280
Speaker 2: I mean I I caught on a Seinfeld later in

1223
01:02:49,320 --> 01:02:50,400
life TV. I didn't.

1224
01:02:50,440 --> 01:02:54,000
Speaker 1: I was like too young to like where it was

1225
01:02:54,039 --> 01:02:56,239
like ending when I was like a kid, like a

1226
01:02:56,280 --> 01:02:59,440
younger kid. So I really didn't watch Seinfeld until I

1227
01:02:59,480 --> 01:03:01,400
was an adult, and I feel like I had a

1228
01:03:01,400 --> 01:03:03,679
better appreciation for it because I just there's so much

1229
01:03:03,679 --> 01:03:06,559
stuff that even I remember, like watching the last season.

1230
01:03:06,280 --> 01:03:09,360
Speaker 2: As like it's master and I just there was so

1231
01:03:09,440 --> 01:03:10,079
much stuff.

1232
01:03:09,880 --> 01:03:12,760
Speaker 1: That went over my head that I now understand rewatching

1233
01:03:12,800 --> 01:03:14,559
it as an adult. So even though I wasn't like

1234
01:03:14,840 --> 01:03:17,559
obsessed with the show, I've watched my way through it.

1235
01:03:17,559 --> 01:03:20,239
And I understand why people were such big fans of

1236
01:03:20,280 --> 01:03:24,480
the show. All right, one more time for the parlay

1237
01:03:24,880 --> 01:03:27,480
this lance five to one? How about that? Just to

1238
01:03:27,800 --> 01:03:30,119
just right on the money five to one. Obviously, shopping

1239
01:03:30,159 --> 01:03:32,760
around it's going to vary book to book, but we

1240
01:03:32,880 --> 01:03:37,559
have Brian Leonard Marlin's first five money line and then

1241
01:03:37,599 --> 01:03:41,000
we have two totals. I'm on A's Orioles over nine

1242
01:03:41,039 --> 01:03:44,199
and a half and Tokyo Brandon's going Rockies d Backs

1243
01:03:44,280 --> 01:03:46,119
over nine. So we need Brian to get it done

1244
01:03:46,159 --> 01:03:48,199
with the Marlins first five, and then we need a

1245
01:03:48,239 --> 01:03:52,079
boatload of runs and Rockies Diamondbacks for TV and A's

1246
01:03:52,119 --> 01:03:55,000
Orioles for myself. Thank you guys all for tuning in.

1247
01:03:55,360 --> 01:03:58,079
We very much appreciate it. If you have them in it,

1248
01:03:58,239 --> 01:03:59,960
give us a like and subscribe on the Wager two

1249
01:04:00,199 --> 01:04:02,760
YouTube channel. Drop a comment. We read them all, we

1250
01:04:02,800 --> 01:04:05,320
try to respond to them all. I hope everyone has

1251
01:04:05,360 --> 01:04:07,760
a great weekend. We'll see you guys back here nine

1252
01:04:07,760 --> 01:04:09,559
am Monday morning for more total Bases