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Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude Podcast. I'm your host,

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Corey Evans. This week's show is titled twenty twenty five

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bounce Back Candidates. I have five names we either underachieved

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in twenty twenty four based on performance or expectations, and

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I think are in store to rebound and value for

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the twenty twenty five regular season. Before I get to that,

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I invite you to join my Patreon accounts if you're

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not already a member, for a bonus episode per week,

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direct message access to any dms you might want to

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send for questions, a lot of other perks, all available

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in three tiers. It is the Rookie Tier for five

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dollars per month, the Veteran Tier for twelve dollars per month,

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or the VP Tier for twenty five dollars per month,

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each with their own perks and exclusive features. Check that

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out by visiting my Patreon page Patreon dot com Corey

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Evans The Dynasty Dude, or visit my social media bios

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Dynasty du Pod on x, Facebook or Instagram. The cool

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part is right now too. By becoming a member, you

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get access to my three episode series, which is the

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twenty twenty four rookie draft rede I did last week

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one point oh one to one point twelve, this week

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two point oh one to two point twelve, and then

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next week three point one three point twelve would get

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a good pulse or feel for where I have the

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twenty twenty four rookies now ranked as they approach their

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sophomore seasons. All right, So twenty twenty five bounce back

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candidates Up first is a quarterback Trevor Lawrence. Twenty twenty

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four was easily Lawrence's worst NFL campaign two date due

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to his inefficiency as a passer and injuries. He had

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a shoulder ailment that resulted in an ac joint surgery,

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and then also that late season concussion thirty hit that

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he sustained. It looked brutal. He is apparently passed that. Fortunately.

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It made sense, however, for Jacksonville to shut down Lawrence

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just based on where they were out of playoff contention

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and all the injuries a team sustained on the offensive

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side of the football. With Christian Kirk, Gabe Davis Evan Ingram,

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Lawrence's stats in twenty twenty four or two thousand, forty

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five yards passing eleven touchdowns, to seven interceptions, a sixty

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point six completion percentage rate, seven point two yards pers attempt,

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eighty five point two passer rating, and then twenty six

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rushes for one hundred and nineteen yards and three touchdowns

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in ten games played. He was a fantasy quarterback twenty seven,

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so not even a quarterback two. When active in over

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half the season, Lawrence can certainly bounce back. His prior

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quarterback finishes in Fantasys's entering the NFL have been quarterback

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twenty three, eight, and thirteen, which supports the notion or

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case that he offers mid to back end quarterback going upside.

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In a best case scenario, he is not the elite

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prospect from Clemson with Jacksonville not the case that has saled,

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but he can still provide quarterback two, if not flirting

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with quarterback one value in superflex or even one quarterback leagues.

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Lawrence turns twenty six in October. He is under contract

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with the Jaguars until twenty thirty one, so plenty of

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job security. Head coach Doug Peterson has fired his replacement,

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who by the time you're listening to this episode, we

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may or may not know who that is. Should be

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a clear upgrade from the vanilla and generic offense Peterson

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installed year after year. Let's not forget either, that Lawrence

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has arguably one of the better supporting casts on offense

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in the form of Brian Thomas Junior, Evan Ingram, Christian Kirk,

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travese Etn Tank, Bigsby, Parker Washington, Gabe Davis, Brenton Strange.

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That's a very solid group to utilize. Lawrence for me,

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is going to be a priority trade target to acquire

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to rosters, a quarterback two in superflex formats as well

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as a solid backup in one quarterback leagues with the

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potential to reassert himself as a weekly starter. He is

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a bounce back candidate, and once we know who the

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coach is in Jacksonville, I feel as if his value

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will increase. So the time to strike is now. It's

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a short window, and based on conversations I've had with

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people that have Lawrence rostered, he is open to trade.

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So this is not the Lawrence who is deemed a

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phenom or he's untouchable. This is a different opportunity now

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for us in Dynasty. His market has fluctuated. DK metcalf

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is next sixty six nine, ninety two and five touchdowns

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for fifteen yards per reception across one hundred and eight

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targets in twenty twenty four as the PPR wide receiver

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thirty two. To state that is his appointment would be

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an understatement that is nowhere near the value that most

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expected out of DK. His prior wide out fantasy finishes

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have been wide receiver thirty four, seven, fourteen, sixteen, and

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twenty one. So outside of his rookie season, we've witnessed

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now in twenty twenty four, DK's second worst performing statistical

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fantasy season, metcalf has settled in as more of a

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wide out two with a wide out three floor. Despite

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his his obvious talent as well as big playability. His

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PPR wide out seven season, which was in twenty twenty

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to the tune of eighty three thirteen oh three to

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ten scores, that's now the career outlier, It's not the norm.

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He has hit or exceeded nine undred yards receiving in

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six of six NFL seasons, three of which were one

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thousand plus yards receiving over that span thirteen oh three,

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ten forty eight and eleven fourteen. DK turned twenty seven

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as past December. He's under contract with Seattle for twenty

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twenty six, so one more year with the Seahawks unless

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there's a trade, which I don't foresee coming O. C

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Ryan Grubb has already been fired after his one and

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done stint, which was a pass oriented offense that ultimately

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failed to pan out. Seattle posted five hundred and ninety

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three passing attempts and three hundred and eight three rushing

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attempts and ranked eighteenth in EPA per play in twenty

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twenty four. It was a failed experiment. Grub performed exceptionally

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well with University of Washington. It was not transferable though

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to what Seattle is known to do, and that is

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ground and pound with Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonney. You

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would think then that less passing volume or a more

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run oriented approach would hurt Metcalf, but that's how he's excelled.

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With the finishes of seven, fourteen, sixteen to twenty one

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over the past four seasons, DK should be viewed as

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surely a fantasy starter from here on out. Alba one,

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who is now wide receiver two on his own team

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behind Jack and Smith, and Jigba, who fully emerged in

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twenty twenty four, after his one hundred catch, eleven thirty

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yard and six touchdown efforts as the PPR wide receiver

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nine one hundred and thirty seven tug. If we've seen

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a changing of the tie, DK is taking a back

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seat to jsm's youth and versatility to be an outside

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and underneath possession slot weapon. Metcalf has the big body,

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the big play potentials we've seen throughout his centvel tenure. Unfortunately,

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he's not an elite commodity any longer, and those who

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assume he is are just believing in the sunk cust

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fallacy of his name recognition. Metcalf is a solid wide

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receiver two, realistic wide receiver three. Based on his role

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lately with JSN, as I just alluded to, he is

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a bounce back candid, though if it is only for

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a new OC and the fact that Tyler Lockett may

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or may not be with Seattle in twenty twenty five.

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At this point in time, if you are contender or

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middle ground team, it makes sense to acquire or buy

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loo on DK, but if you're about to rebuild or

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entering that phase, you should attempt to cash out while

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he offers that name recognition in the dynasty trade market.

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Next up is Chris o'lave as a bounced back candidate.

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Concussions are now a serious, legitimate concern, with five documented

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from his time at Ohio States to now in the

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NFL with the Saints. In twenty twenty four, he had

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thirty two catches for four hundred yards and a touchdown

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twelve and a half yards per catch, forty four targets

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in eight games played. Talent is not the issue with

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olave is evidence from his NFL rookie and sophomore receiving

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logs of seventy two ten forty two and four one

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hundred nineteen targets rookie year and then eighty seven eleven,

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twenty three and five one hundred and thirty eight targets

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is a sophomore year three was deemed to be a breakout,

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star studed campaign, as we now know that was not

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the case because of his concussions. Alive turns twenty five

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in June. Plenty of youth, plenty of longevity, assuming the

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health cooperates and is under contract with New Orleans till

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twenty twenty seven. We are unable to predict injuries in general,

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let alone head injuries. So it's a factor, but not

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the end I'll be on opposity making process. Even so,

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Alave is now approaching, if not in to a territory

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where another concussion brings up retirement consideration. That creates inherent

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risk to invest in him or roster him despite the

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talent and ability provides to us in fantasy. This is

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a BILO window, and sure it does create risk because

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it's not a flat out guarantee that the rest of

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his career is promised because of his head injury history.

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The good news is that Alive used to be priced

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as a wide receiver one in dynasty. He is now

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more obtainable than ever at a wide receiver two or

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I've even seen a wide receiver three costs because people

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don't want any parts of the concussion history. The Saints

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new head coach, who replaced Dennis Allen and interim Darren Rizzy,

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will be an important storyline and monitor as well for

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not only a Lave's sake, but the entire Saints offense.

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Kubiak showed glimpses of brilliance as OC in twenty twenty four.

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The Saints started really hot out of the Gates as

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one of the best EPA offenses for the first month

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almost and he's even being generated some other OC buzz

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elsewhere like Seattle in Cleveland. So it's no guarantee this

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coaching regime retains anyone from this past season. Olave is

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still worth a first in super flex or one quarterback league.

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The issue is what is your risk tolerance? And you

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prefer Olave over prospects in twenty twenty five, and that

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is a subjective conversation that only you have the answer to.

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Time for quick break. I'll be back with two more

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bounce back cannids before I get to that. My calendar

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is open for roster calls. One on one opportunity to

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speak with me or Google Meet thirty bucks, thirty minutes,

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fifty to hours, one hour. Let's talk about your team infrastructure,

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the foundation to build with free agents, and the NFL

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Draft coming up in one league of multiple leagues. To

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schedule one hit me up on social media again, it's

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Dynasty Jupot and all platform or semi an email. It's

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Dynasdeupot at gmail dot com. We'll get that locked in

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and scheduled asap. Those are always cool to meet you

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one on one, but also you get my perspective on

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your teams off hours in the year. Shoes into the offseason.

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Be right back after that short break. TJ. Hockinson is

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yet another bounce back candidates. He returned from his torenty

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ACL from twenty twenty three and week nine to twenty

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twenty four and ended up playing in ten contests with

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production of forty one catches for four to fifty five yards,

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no touchdowns, eleven point one yards per catch, sixty two

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targets as the PPR tight end thirty four good not great.

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Based on the assumption he would be a full go,

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he was limited. We're all familiar, though, with what Hockinson

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can contribute to an offense when at full strength from

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his previous tight end fantasy finishes of thirty two, five, fifteen, two,

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and four with both Detroit and Minnesota dating back to

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twenty nineteen when he entered the league out of Iowa.

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He turns twenty eight in July. Still plenty of youth

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in the tank there, and he's under contract with the

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Vikings still twenty twenty eight. The Vikings have a tough

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decision and dilema on their hands to make a quarterback

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with Sam Darnold entering Freegancy and Jackie McCarthy waiting in

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the wings to take over if needed. For those who

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are down on the value of Hockinson or forgot what

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he's capable of, reflect back on his twenty twenty three

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campaign with Minnesota prior to tarians ACL late in the year,

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he went ninety five nine to sixty and five touchdowns,

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one hundred and twenty seven targets. That's three top five

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fansy finishes for him on his resume. It's clear that

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makes Hockinson a discount of version of an elite tight end,

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one without that top tier cost of Brock Bauers, Trey McBride,

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Sam laport At, George Kittle, Mark Andrews, etc. That tier.

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Surprisingly enough, Hockinson does not recorded a thousand yard receiving

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campaign or greater in his six year NFL tenure. So far,

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the closest he came was nine to sixty in twenty

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twenty three. Tyler Warren and Colston Lovelin are going to

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be the prize tight end prospects from twenty twenty five,

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and I understand prioritizing youth over the soon to be

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twenty at Yerarld Hockinson in that case. Otherwise, outside of

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the names that I mentioned Bowers, McBride, lapoort to Kitto Andrews,

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there's not many, if any, that I would roster over TJ.

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He's a bounce back candidate. The Vikings will be okay

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at quarterback with Donald or JJ. It was great to

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see him return at all. That being TJ in twenty

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twenty four, there's no way that he was fully ramped

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up enough though to replicate what he did in twenty

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twenty three prior to his ACL tear, and that's why

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he's one of my favorite buys at this portion of

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the offseason in Dynasty and a bounce back candidate for

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next season. Last, but not least, is Najie Harris, and

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I will admit that I am not the largest Nagi

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fan around because of his inefficiency as a rusher. He

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is somewhat of a plotter, used to be far more

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efficient early on his career. Volume keeps him very relevant

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under the microscope. However, he's been a consistent Fantasy running

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back more than I expected when I'm now doing the

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data mining since from the NFL in twenty twenty one,

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he's had four consecutive one thousand yard Russian seasons. Did

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you know that twelve hundred, ten thirty four, ten thirty five,

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ten forty three. I was surprised to see he's been

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that consistent. His jopper carry averagers have been three point nine,

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three point eight, four point one, four point zero. We

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know we're getting it's going to be sub four just

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flording with four in that category. Russian touchdowns A seven,

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seven eight and six one hundred and eighty receptions so

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far with per year totals of seventy four forty one,

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twenty nine thirty six seventy four is the outlier, of course,

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and then PPR RB finishes of RB three, fourteen, twenty three,

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and twenty so RB three was the rookie year where

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he got all the volume in the world. Since then,

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a settled is more of an RB two with those fourteen,

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twenty three and twenty overall finishes. In twenty twenty four

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NAJ he went two sixty three ten forty three and

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six touchdowns four yards per clip, thirty six catches for

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two eighty three no touchdowns with forty eight targets. He

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turns twenty seven in March and why I am most

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excited about Nause a free agent in twenty twenty five.

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I think he's one of the better best kept secrets

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among running backs in Dynasty, and I'm trying to acquire

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every single share of Nage as I can, because there

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is a mental fatigue with Naji in Dynasty. It's been

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downhill sledding since that RB three finish as a rookie,

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so he's not what we had hoped he would have

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been out of Alabama. Still, there is a home and

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a role for him in the NFL as a volume

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driven asset. Eventually when the wheels come off. Of course,

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if he just maintains that thirty or so reception pace,

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can he clips two fifty or so rushes per year.

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Whether to the Steelers or another NFL franchise, Harris can

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still be reliable and impactful RB two in fantasy football.

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I am willing to invest in him as he approaches

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the age of twenty seven on his next contract, which

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could probably be his last relevant one for the purposes

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of Dynasty, in hopes that he recaptures some of that

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exciting form we saw earlier on his career. He has

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not been bad since that rookie season. It's just been

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a bit pedestrian, consistent week over week, sometimes not the

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highest ceiling, but at season's end, gets a job done.

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That's why now he's a bounce back candidate for me

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that will do it, but he'll enjoy my twenty twenty

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if I bounce back candidate episode. As a quick recap, they

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were Trevor Lawrence, DK Metcalf, Chris Olave, TJ. Hogginson, and

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Naji Harris. Thank you all for listening. If you found

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this episode insightful or enjoyable, please drop a five star

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review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. Please click those five

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stars helps me out on the lots and if you

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leave a written review on Apple with those five stars,

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I will give you a direct shout out on next

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week program. Thanks again, until next time, this is the

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DIN as you're checking out. Hope you all have the

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great rest of the week. See you