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Speaker 1: A Lah.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to wage You Talk today, the gold standard of

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sports betting shows, where we talk to talk and walk

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the walk. It's Monday, got a big week ahead of us,

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got a loaded slate. Yanni's gonna join us with the

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Steam Report, crack Man's gonna drop an NBA prop. I'm

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look at some thoughts on Monday Night football, and I

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got a couple other interesting tidbits to ask him. Steve

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Merrill gonna give us quick look at Eagles and Chargers

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along with Suns Timberwolves. Interesting game in the NBA tonight,

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and we're gonna start talking about Bowl games. Steve just

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breaks down every single Bowl game in the video. So

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we're gonna start talking a little bit about Bowl games

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and get ready for that. I want to get his

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thoughts on the Notre Dame situation. So we got some

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good insights, We've got some good matchups in a really,

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really big week ahead. Thank you so much for joining us.

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Let's get started here. Hit that like button, and let's

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bring in Yanni. Yanni, you and I were talking before

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the show, and you and I both are coming off

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of monster wins personally, so I'll let you go first

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talk to us about you. You had Josh Fan and

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you win in the first thirty seconds because of a

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fluke injury. We'll take it, brother.

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Speaker 3: I will take it. Bro.

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Speaker 4: It dawned on me that the inside the distance applies

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five hundred hit About eight minutes later, after celebrating the win,

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I was like, oh my god, does that count inside

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the distance too? It was so incredible, I swear to you.

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I left the arena. I was at T Mobile and

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I didn't even stay for the main event. My sixteen

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fighter parlay was in. I had hit for the show.

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I hit my five percent. Like, everything was perfect. Let's

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get out of it here, let's go celebrate this. So it's

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just a perfect night. And it's been a great week.

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College football was great, NFL was great. Since starting the steamsheet,

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it's really helped me lower that volume where I'm able

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to share all the information for guys that handicap their

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own stuff and want to become plus EB betters themselves,

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but then also really narrowed down that premium card to

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the strongest possible stuff. And yeah, the results have been really,

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really good. I'm so excited for the bull season coming up.

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Like the power ratings have more data now in than

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you know ever in the season. So I'm really confident

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heading into this bull season. Historically that's been very, very

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profitable NFL end of the season as well.

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Speaker 3: College basketball, we.

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Speaker 4: Had getting more and more data in NBA, so those

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power ratings are tightening up as well as you can

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tell from the recent results. And yeah, just really excited again.

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It's the holidays coming up. Have an extra money in

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your pocket. That's what I wanted to do. But please, please,

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please stay.

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Speaker 3: Consistent with best size.

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Speaker 4: Do not make the mistake of thinking, well, I was

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betting one hundred dollars a game, he's up forty units.

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I made four dimes. I could be up eight dimes

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if I was just bent in two hundred. Don't do that.

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Don't make it harder on yourself than.

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Speaker 5: It needs to be.

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Speaker 4: Stay consistent. We'll keep cashing more than we trash. And

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real quickly. Before we move on, I need to give

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out my comment about the college football rankings. I'm gonna

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tell you right now and when it's been following bet

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on it, I think can see that I have no

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opinion at all, I have no bias at all. I

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could care less what the teams are. I just trust

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what my numbers tell me. And here's what my numbers

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tell me. That Notre Dame should be in the college

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football playoffs well before Miami. In fact, on a neutral field,

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neutral field that they were playing right now in my backyard,

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Notre Dame. The true line, not the fair line, the

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true power rating line. Notre Dame would be an eight,

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eight and a half point favorite over that Miami team

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that they lost to back in August or September. That's

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what the disconnected. A lot of recreational betters don't understand

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that there's a lot of randomness to a sixty minute

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football game, and even though you have to slightly adjust

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your power ratings based on the result, you don't adjust significantly.

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And just the perfect example Eagles versus Chicago. Chicago beat

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the Eagles as seven point dogs. People in Chicago were

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going nuts, but what they didn't realize is if they

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were playing the very next day, Eagles would still be

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a heavy favored against Chicago, maybe not a seven point favor,

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but still around a five or six point favorite. That's

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the disconnect, and I think that's where the argument comes in, Like, wait,

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Miami beat Notre Dame, so of course Miami should be

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in there.

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Speaker 3: No, no, no.

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Speaker 4: No, there's a lot of random that they could have

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played that game a day later, three days later, and

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the outcome could have been very different. That's why I

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stick to what the power ratings stay because they have

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no opinion, they don't care.

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Speaker 3: It's strictly data.

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Speaker 4: And right now it's Indiana's the best team in the country,

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followed by Ohio State, followed by Oregon, followed by Georgia,

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followed by Texas Tech. Those are the five best teams

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in the country power rating wise, and right behind them

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is Notre Dame. Indiana, Ohio State, Oregon, and Georgia and

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Texas Tech are the only five teams that would be

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favored over.

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Speaker 3: Notre Dame on a neutral field.

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Speaker 4: Even Indiana against Notre Dame would only be about a

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one point favorite.

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Speaker 3: That's how close these teams are with Notre Dame and Indiana.

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Speaker 4: And believe it or not, Ohio State, if they played

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again tomorrow, would still be favored over Indiana. I repeat,

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If Ohio State played Indiana tomorrow, Ohio State would still

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be about a two and a half three point favorite.

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That's how the market works, and I think that's a

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lot to disconnect with more recreational fans thinking, you know,

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team A beats Team B, that's who should be who

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the better team is not necessarily.

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Speaker 2: I think I agree with you. I mean, I went

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to Indiana. I've been wearing my Eyeu hoodie all week,

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and if they rematch again, yeah, I would absolutely have

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Ohio State as the favorite myself.

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Speaker 3: I yeah, and I loved Indiana. I had Indiana. They

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cashed for me.

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Speaker 4: I'm happy with Indiana, but just my power rating show

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Ohio State would still be fair over them.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, we were, just we've just been pammering the unders

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on the opponent team total of Ohio State. So I'm sad,

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sad that the season's coming to an end because that

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that gravy training isn't going to be around anymore. We'll

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have to find some other any other thoughts here on

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any of these first round games we've got James Madison

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had Oregon Tulane.

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Speaker 3: That's what's going to be interesting.

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Speaker 4: That's what I'm interested in to see how those kind

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of teams perform because power rating wise, like there's a

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huge discrepancy.

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Speaker 3: And let me give you an example right now. James Madison.

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Speaker 4: Okay, power rated wise, there's I have thirty five plus

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teams that would be favored over James the twelve and

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one James Madison, including six and six Pence State, that

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would be about a ten eleven point favor over James Madison.

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In fact, a team like Indiana would be three touchdown

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favorites over James Madison. That's difference, Like you win your

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conference you're in, but the difference that between the top

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teams and the bottom tier teams.

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Speaker 3: There's no parody.

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Speaker 4: This isn't the NFL where any given Sunday, James Madison

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could play Indiana one hundred times, and one hundred times

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Indiana's going to win that game out right. They may

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not cover the spread, but they will win that game

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one hundred times because they just have the better athletes.

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Like unless that they all get injured or something like that,

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they are the better team. Again, there's a lot of randomness, turnovers,

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bad calls, whatever, but ninety nine out of one hundred

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times that would still happen.

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Speaker 3: We're in the NFL. That's not the case.

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Speaker 4: We see it all the time, like the thirty second

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team can have a winning day on Sunday and the

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most will ever be is you know, two touchdown dogs.

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Speaker 3: And we haven't even seen that this year.

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Speaker 4: But in college football, you're talking between the rankings between

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the first team and the tenth team twelfth team could

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sometimes be.

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Speaker 3: Three touchdowns plus.

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Speaker 4: That's that's the difference. Some of these teams have no

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business being in there. I think RJ said it best,

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zero business being there, and uh but it's soull the

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system set up, and it's like March madness. We see

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it in March madness every all the time, where you know,

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number one verse sixteen, they're forty point favors, they're not

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going to lose. But once every forty years it happens.

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So who knows, maybe this is the year, but I

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just don't see it.

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Speaker 1: I just don't see it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, listen, I'm with you and I will. I gotta

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say this, my O highest state friends have been very

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quiet the last couple silence, not a lot.

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Speaker 1: Of phods silence.

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Speaker 4: It's definitely like we're like the Bears fans. Their silence

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is deafening today.

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Speaker 2: There was a lot of chatter leading up to the game,

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but boy, they must just be uh must uh. Yeah,

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I don't know what happened there.

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Speaker 3: Exactly they show up before never after.

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Speaker 2: It's so true. Let's let's talk steam report. I know

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we only got a few NBA games, got some college

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back basketball. What are we seeing here? It's a betible slate,

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but not not expecting it is. There's still some good spots.

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Speaker 4: And I didn't put out a steam sheet today because

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there's such a small board and I I could just

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share that here on Way to Talk today with you guys,

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and my subscribers will get the premium stuff.

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Speaker 3: Most of the stuff got hit overnight. Here's what I'm

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talking about.

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Speaker 4: NBA Indiana minus three and a half got hit with

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about a half a point. Haven't seen many groups piggyback

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in that. Another one, Minnesota the overnight got hit.

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Speaker 3: At eight and a half. Since it's sat at about ten,

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we haven't seen any action.

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Speaker 4: But I kind of like the Minnesota sign. I'm starting

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to see public taking the Phoenix side again. I don't

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like to just fade the public, but I don't mind

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being on the sharp side when they're anti public. And

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also the under got hit at two twenty seven and

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a half and they moved that quickly, so so not

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much the piggyback college basketball all added games three oh

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six five thirty ten, minus five and five and a half,

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three six, five thirty two Charlotte, Charlotte Souther, Alton Southern

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forgive me minus seven and a half and eight, and

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then three oh six five three eight Kansas State from

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minus thirty one all the way to minus thirty four.

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Speaker 6: They were hitting it when it opened quickly, limit bet

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limit bett, limit bet limit bet. Since then, they've been

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getting piggyback and over over over fifty six, fifty seven

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and fifty eight.

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Speaker 4: Those numbers are gone, and finally Incarnate Word. They took

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them as a dog, took them at pick them now

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they're the one point favorite. The three that stick out

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the most that I saw multiple groups. I would say

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Minnesota in the NBA, and then in college basketball it's

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uh Charleston, Southern and Incarnate Word, where I would say,

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there's been agreement from the ships on those three sides.

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Speaker 2: All right, Uh so what all? What all did you

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have on your josh Van? I'm curious you said you

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had him inside the.

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Speaker 4: Five on josh Van five percent at plus two hundred dide.

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I put that out as soon as I that line

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up like last Sunday, and the only reason I didn't

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release the five percent in college football or NFL because

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I told Johnny I have some that warrant it, but

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I want Van to be that big of a bet,

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like I like them that much.

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Speaker 3: Even if you lost it, I felt confident I was

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getting the best of it.

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Speaker 4: And then I had a two percent on him inside

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the distance at plus five hundred, So we picked up

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like twenty units in that fight, man like. It felt

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perfectly and on the show for UFC on the line

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that put me now, I think I might have catapulted

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and finished first for the year. So it just turned

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out perfectly, almost like you couldn't have write a better ending.

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Speaker 3: And uh yeah, you know, sometimes it's tough.

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Speaker 4: We got to take it when it's hard on you,

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but when it all falls your way, it's why we

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do it so great couple of days for sure.

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Speaker 2: Anything on Monday Night Football, we got some injuries. It

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looks like Herbert's gonna play. I know, Lane, d.

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Speaker 3: Okay, I've done well with these primetime games.

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Speaker 4: Here's what you got to just determine, is Philly have

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the wheels falling off? And is this team not who

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they are? They a former shell of themselves? Because on paper,

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they're the better team. They have the better offense, they

250
00:12:06,960 --> 00:12:09,000
have the better defense, and they have the tougher strength

251
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of schedule. So even with the tougher strength of schedule,

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they produced more impressive offensive and defensive statistics.

253
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Speaker 3: So they're the better team.

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Speaker 4: And home field advantage for Chargers isn't more than two points,

255
00:12:21,919 --> 00:12:25,200
so Philly should be the rightful road favorite. But is

256
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this version of Philadelphia not that version of Philadelphia? And

257
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if that's the case, it's an auto bet on the

258
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Chargers as home dogs. And I think that's why they

259
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took out the plus threes on the Chargers, thinking that

260
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the Eagles are a former shell of themselves. But if

261
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you think that was just two bad games, then you're

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getting this team at a huge discount.

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Speaker 3: So far, I haven't seen much much risk on this one.

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Probably gonna end.

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Speaker 4: Up, you know, the books needing the Chargers. Usually the

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favorite less than a field go gets the money. But

267
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I haven't seen real sharp money other than taking out

268
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that three and a little bit on the under when

269
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that total opened at forty three and a half.

270
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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's pretty good player props in that one. That's

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kind of how I'll be. I'll be playing it. So

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what do you have up for everyone on this Monday?

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Speaker 3: Just the long term package, The Bowl package is already off.

274
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Speaker 4: We're gonna start releasing plays this week, so you don't

275
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want to wait because as you know, those lines aren't

276
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going to be staying there for a very long football

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package will be up well as well. With the NFL,

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we had that special running for the year. I told

279
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them just twenty four hours because there's been to ever

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be that cheap again. I don't think that's a valuable anymore.

281
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But if I'm able to confirm this Monday night game,

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we're gonna fire primetime games been money for me now

283
00:13:39,440 --> 00:13:41,960
eighteen and nine over the last twenty seven best bets

284
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on Sunday Night football on Monday Night Football, So hopefully

285
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we get some confirmation. Otherwise we just move on to

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the next day. All about best bets and placing good

287
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bets so we could be profitable and turn in a

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nice holiday. So best of luck to everyone this week

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and do some damage.

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Speaker 2: All right, Thank you you're the Goat as always. Congratulations

291
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on your big win here. All right, we got we

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got a lot to get to. But first quick announcement here,

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very excited about this one. Not thinking about nine months

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since I took over hosting the show, we're kind of

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learning a lot of what works, uh what doesn't work

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in some of the bright spots, and we want to

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really want to lean into that. One of the bright

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spots has absolutely been Dan coming on and being being

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on camera more so we got to lean into that. Uh.

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He and I have really really had a really good

301
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bond since we've been joining the show. So let's bring

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on Dan, Dan, you are now officially the co host

303
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of wager Talk Today, so we want.

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Speaker 1: To yeah, yeah, and look at that. Yeah, no, I

305
00:14:44,919 --> 00:14:47,960
we not have that. I shaved, I even showered. I

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was like, well, usually, Andy, you know, I produced the show.

307
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I've been producing wager Talk Today since I joined with

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wager Talk over three years ago. Uh, it's a show

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that I have loved being a part of. And usually,

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you know, I'm the grubby producer behind the scenes. So

311
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I was talking with Johnny and Rick and Kelly, and

312
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they were like, why don't you actually shower before the show.

313
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You're already hanging out with Andy. Throw yourself on the show.

314
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We'll bounce some things around with some of these guests.

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00:15:13,639 --> 00:15:16,799
So Andy, I'm pumped to be here. I mean, the

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community that you have built on this show has been

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something great. You know, we have people who each and

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00:15:24,399 --> 00:15:26,440
every week they're comment and with who they agree with,

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who they disagree with. For instance, we got people who

320
00:15:29,240 --> 00:15:33,759
win three day Flex passes because they played the sell

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Me game where each and every Friday, Teddy breaks down aside,

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You break down aside. And we got Chris Robshad, who's

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a Wager Talk insider here, he's a winner of a

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00:15:43,159 --> 00:15:46,000
free three day Flex pass simply because he watched the

325
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show he engaged with the community. So congratulations to you, Chris.

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But Andy, I couldn't be more pumped. Who would have thought, Yeah,

327
00:15:53,320 --> 00:15:55,960
three years ago when you and I were recording Life

328
00:15:56,000 --> 00:15:59,360
in the fast Lane and we would see it blazoned

329
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upon us above our heads, the Wager Talk Today logo

330
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with you and I hanging out. So we're pumped and

331
00:16:07,320 --> 00:16:08,200
we appreciate them.

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00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:13,120
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, it's uh. Listen. Our our job on this

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00:16:13,200 --> 00:16:15,720
show is to build your guys's bank role. We want

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to inform, we want to entertain. Job number one is

335
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building the bank roll, and Dan, you have absolutely proven

336
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to be be very, very valuable for that. So congratulations.

337
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We got some really good appreciate we got some really

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good comments.

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Speaker 3: R J.

340
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Speaker 2: I love you. RJ has one of the funnier auto corrects.

341
00:16:35,679 --> 00:16:37,799
He was nice enough to put a same game parlay

342
00:16:38,320 --> 00:16:40,840
in the chat and we have to pull this one up.

343
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Speaker 5: I mean.

344
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Speaker 2: Fears herb Jones and Vasolene. It's Bcell It's supposed to

345
00:16:50,399 --> 00:16:54,159
be Beseell, but our J congratulations. That's auto correct of

346
00:16:54,200 --> 00:16:58,000
the day, Masolene to have twelve plus points. Thank you

347
00:16:58,039 --> 00:17:01,919
for posting that. Though somebody wants to know about anytime

348
00:17:02,480 --> 00:17:07,079
touch down Dan, we talked about the props earlier. I

349
00:17:07,640 --> 00:17:11,640
quit Johnston. Maybe Jalen hurts even it's probably my favorite.

350
00:17:11,680 --> 00:17:13,839
This may be a tough game for touchdown props.

351
00:17:14,519 --> 00:17:17,960
Speaker 1: Well, and here's the thing is, you're asking for touchdown

352
00:17:18,039 --> 00:17:20,400
scorers in a game that's lined at you know, forty

353
00:17:20,440 --> 00:17:22,519
one and a half, and as far as NFL totals go,

354
00:17:22,599 --> 00:17:24,480
you know that it's not like it's expected to be

355
00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:28,920
some big shootout. These are two defenses who are pretty stout.

356
00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:33,960
You know. The Eagles run defense definitely takes a bit

357
00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:35,799
of a hit. As Jalen Carter's going to be out tonight.

358
00:17:35,799 --> 00:17:37,920
I'm sure people have heard that. So yeah, if you

359
00:17:37,920 --> 00:17:41,799
want to, you probably look towards Maryon Hampton. It's a

360
00:17:41,799 --> 00:17:44,839
team who likes, you know, pushing the ball, you know,

361
00:17:44,920 --> 00:17:47,799
through running and setting it up through the air. And

362
00:17:47,839 --> 00:17:49,920
like you said too, it's the if it ain't broke,

363
00:17:49,960 --> 00:17:52,839
don't fix it. If Jalen Hurts is around the two

364
00:17:52,920 --> 00:17:56,200
yard line, it's a touch push and you're getting even money.

365
00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:59,640
I mean, let's be real, Andy, betting anytime touchdowns in

366
00:17:59,680 --> 00:18:02,839
twenty twenty five, ain't betting any time touchdowns in the

367
00:18:02,920 --> 00:18:07,240
last few years. Prices have gone crazy, So you're even money,

368
00:18:07,240 --> 00:18:09,640
even money. It's kind of telling you, hey, if they're

369
00:18:09,640 --> 00:18:11,960
around the goal line, it's a good luck. I mean

370
00:18:11,960 --> 00:18:16,200
a Marion Hampton plus one eighty Eagles receivers. Here's one thing,

371
00:18:16,359 --> 00:18:19,680
Dallas Goddard. He hasn't really been featured as of late,

372
00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:22,279
but there was a stretch in the season, Andy, I

373
00:18:22,279 --> 00:18:24,880
believe it was a six game stretch where Dallas Goddard

374
00:18:24,920 --> 00:18:28,319
had a touchdown or two touchdowns in So if you

375
00:18:28,319 --> 00:18:30,680
want something that's a little bit juicier, a team that's

376
00:18:30,720 --> 00:18:34,200
not all that great at defending tight ends, Dallas Goddrd

377
00:18:34,200 --> 00:18:36,039
getting in the end zone at around plus two ninety

378
00:18:36,039 --> 00:18:38,960
five plus three hundred. That could be something, but I'm not.

379
00:18:39,240 --> 00:18:41,440
Those are no bets that I'm making. I'm not making

380
00:18:41,480 --> 00:18:43,519
touchdowns or bets in a forty one and a half

381
00:18:43,519 --> 00:18:44,480
line game. I'm just not.

382
00:18:45,240 --> 00:18:48,240
Speaker 2: That's That's the honest answer. Is if you, if you,

383
00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:50,480
if you want to, because you know you're gonna be

384
00:18:50,480 --> 00:18:54,279
watching the game and you want it's a teeny tiny

385
00:18:54,480 --> 00:18:57,160
little but I cannot find value. I cannot find a

386
00:18:57,200 --> 00:18:59,319
good reason. But if I had to pick money, be

387
00:18:59,680 --> 00:19:00,400
Jalen hurts.

388
00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:02,839
Speaker 1: But yeah, it's someone you throwing to boost if you're

389
00:19:02,839 --> 00:19:05,319
betting the same game, parlay with pizza money for fun tonight,

390
00:19:05,359 --> 00:19:07,680
because you need action on the game, throwing in anytime

391
00:19:07,720 --> 00:19:10,839
touchdown score. But the game isn't lined as oh, take

392
00:19:10,839 --> 00:19:12,480
your pick on who's going to score a touchdown?

393
00:19:13,039 --> 00:19:18,480
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, this wasn't the Cowboys, Lions, or just line

394
00:19:18,519 --> 00:19:22,960
them up and cash them. So let's go to our

395
00:19:23,640 --> 00:19:26,319
week fourteen questions, and we'll go to where the books

396
00:19:26,519 --> 00:19:29,240
won were the public one, and we'll talk about some

397
00:19:29,319 --> 00:19:33,880
props and fantasy winners and losers questions. Is this just

398
00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:36,440
a random bad year? Is this something worse? For the Chiefs,

399
00:19:36,440 --> 00:19:39,000
I think we got to start asking those questions. I

400
00:19:39,079 --> 00:19:42,160
wasn't ready to do that yet, but now they're like

401
00:19:42,279 --> 00:19:44,920
plus four hundred to try just to even make the playoffs.

402
00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:49,839
Who is the best team in the NFC South? Is

403
00:19:49,880 --> 00:19:50,759
it the Panthers?

404
00:19:53,039 --> 00:19:55,359
Speaker 1: I mean, my ticket on the Panthers to make the

405
00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:58,920
playoffs or to win the division? I definitely hope so,

406
00:19:59,039 --> 00:20:01,640
But it's a week by week's basis, man like, like,

407
00:20:01,720 --> 00:20:04,839
who are any of them good? Are all of them good?

408
00:20:06,559 --> 00:20:08,400
We know that, we know that it's not the Falcons.

409
00:20:08,559 --> 00:20:12,240
Speaker 2: We know that, Yeah, it's not Kirk Cousins. But interesting question,

410
00:20:13,200 --> 00:20:17,480
are the Dolphins sneaky good? We buried the Dolphins, We

411
00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:20,880
buried them early in the season, and now I'm now

412
00:20:20,920 --> 00:20:23,759
they're they're winning. They're a running team, power running team,

413
00:20:23,799 --> 00:20:25,359
Miami Dolphins. Who would have thunk it?

414
00:20:25,559 --> 00:20:28,720
Speaker 1: Well, Oh my god, there's different ways that you can

415
00:20:28,759 --> 00:20:32,480
get to six and seven. Because now you have and

416
00:20:32,599 --> 00:20:35,000
I'm not even gonna do the hand motion, that's ridiculous,

417
00:20:35,000 --> 00:20:37,200
But we have three teams sitting there at six and seven,

418
00:20:37,559 --> 00:20:41,000
and we have the Chiefs. Oh, think of the way

419
00:20:41,039 --> 00:20:42,720
that they have got there. It's been a slog you

420
00:20:42,759 --> 00:20:45,279
have the Ravens who started aful. Now they're six and seven.

421
00:20:46,160 --> 00:20:48,400
The Dolphins are also six and seven, So why are

422
00:20:48,400 --> 00:20:50,519
they not talking the same ilk aause those two teams.

423
00:20:50,519 --> 00:20:52,680
It's because how ugly it was to start the year,

424
00:20:52,799 --> 00:20:56,079
and Mike McDonnell wasn't fired. The team rallied behind them.

425
00:20:56,640 --> 00:20:58,200
They continue to cover points spreads.

426
00:20:59,799 --> 00:21:02,599
Speaker 2: Uh, what do my colts do? Now? Oh my god,

427
00:21:03,079 --> 00:21:06,160
we traded our first round picks. We trade our first

428
00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:09,400
round picks for sauce. He gets hurt and now Dimes

429
00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:12,039
is out and now we don't even have our first

430
00:21:12,119 --> 00:21:15,799
round pick. If they said they said maybe he might

431
00:21:15,839 --> 00:21:18,599
make it for the start of next season, you're crazy

432
00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:22,920
and kill You're not putting your quarterback out there after that.

433
00:21:23,119 --> 00:21:25,960
Speaker 1: So they're not putting that quarterback out there. Andy, they

434
00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:28,680
put the quarterback out there with a broken.

435
00:21:29,240 --> 00:21:31,680
Speaker 2: Maybe they will, Maybe they will put him out there.

436
00:21:31,720 --> 00:21:34,400
Who knows? What do I know? Who's the MVP? This

437
00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:37,599
one changes every week. It's Josh Allen's turn this week.

438
00:21:37,640 --> 00:21:39,839
You know it has the big but this one is

439
00:21:39,960 --> 00:21:42,480
tough for me. I would have to say Josh Allen

440
00:21:42,559 --> 00:21:45,359
at this point, but certainly not anything I'm willing to make.

441
00:21:45,279 --> 00:21:45,680
Speaker 5: A bad.

442
00:21:47,119 --> 00:21:52,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, Stafford, great one. Yeah, and then finally yeah, you

443
00:21:52,640 --> 00:21:54,839
know yeah, and then Dan, how much would you have

444
00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:57,000
to pay someone to go watch a Jets game in person?

445
00:21:59,559 --> 00:22:02,559
Speaker 1: Like, I don't think the number exists, Andy. I mean

446
00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:05,480
that's that's because because let alone, you have to go

447
00:22:05,559 --> 00:22:08,720
to MetLife Stadium. I mean, I've beten the MetLife I

448
00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:10,519
saw Eagles getting there, I was in the I was

449
00:22:10,519 --> 00:22:13,960
in a box with Kelly and Ariel at MetLife Stadium

450
00:22:14,160 --> 00:22:16,640
and it still wasn't that great in an experience. So,

451
00:22:17,400 --> 00:22:20,039
you know, less it's a Jets road game, maybe you

452
00:22:20,039 --> 00:22:22,720
could talk me into it. But yeah, that's that's tough

453
00:22:22,720 --> 00:22:24,839
to watch those.

454
00:22:25,839 --> 00:22:28,039
Speaker 2: Yeah, there's a lot of questions this week, but those

455
00:22:28,079 --> 00:22:30,240
are the ones I narrowed it down to. We'll go

456
00:22:30,240 --> 00:22:33,359
to where the books won and where the public one.

457
00:22:33,519 --> 00:22:36,240
The books a lot of money on the unders. Here

458
00:22:36,400 --> 00:22:39,960
the everyone everyone was on the under in Cleveland, Tennessee.

459
00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:43,440
That goes over balt pitt under, that one goes over Tampa,

460
00:22:43,480 --> 00:22:45,599
New Orleans. And then I got to put asterisk by

461
00:22:45,599 --> 00:22:51,119
the Denver minus the points. This is the rigged game

462
00:22:51,160 --> 00:22:55,359
of the week that everyone is clamoring about on social media.

463
00:22:55,559 --> 00:22:58,440
I'm not going there. I actually went back and watched

464
00:22:58,480 --> 00:23:02,000
the sequence. It makes sense why he kicked the field goal,

465
00:23:02,079 --> 00:23:04,000
because it was like, if there happens to be one

466
00:23:04,079 --> 00:23:06,599
second on the clock as the ball goes through the uprights,

467
00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:09,599
do you get a chance to do What was ridiculous

468
00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:12,079
was the delay of game penalty that that was. That

469
00:23:12,160 --> 00:23:12,839
was laughable.

470
00:23:13,160 --> 00:23:15,759
Speaker 1: That was like bumps in the locket, And and that

471
00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:18,119
happens every game, you know what I mean, Like towards

472
00:23:18,160 --> 00:23:19,640
the end of the game, they'll they'll hold on a

473
00:23:19,680 --> 00:23:22,160
little bit longer. So I don't know if it was

474
00:23:22,240 --> 00:23:25,000
quite as egregious to be Dave Portnoy calling for the

475
00:23:25,519 --> 00:23:28,759
murder of Pete Carroll after the game, wasn't I didn't

476
00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:33,400
like too much it was much, but yeah, like it

477
00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:35,279
was certainly it was certainly one of the worst beats

478
00:23:35,319 --> 00:23:37,359
of the season that we can't agree on.

479
00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:40,359
Speaker 2: He was it was funny him doing his thing. Was

480
00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:42,440
a little over the top. And then yeah, he crossed

481
00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:42,759
the line.

482
00:23:42,839 --> 00:23:44,240
Speaker 1: That was about yeah when you say.

483
00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:49,400
Speaker 2: Murder, Yeah, yeah, where the where the public went? Dolphins

484
00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:51,519
minus the points that was the big winner and the

485
00:23:51,640 --> 00:23:55,119
Rams no sweat minus the points. Let's go to some

486
00:23:55,440 --> 00:23:57,920
prop winners. A lot of winners here this week. Seed

487
00:23:58,119 --> 00:23:58,960
Lamb had a big week.

488
00:23:59,039 --> 00:23:59,200
Speaker 1: R J.

489
00:23:59,359 --> 00:24:02,119
Speaker 2: Harvey, Jackson Smith and Jig. But I feel like we're

490
00:24:02,160 --> 00:24:04,680
not even talking enough about the season that this guy

491
00:24:04,839 --> 00:24:08,920
is having. Joe Burrown, T Higgins great game for them

492
00:24:09,039 --> 00:24:12,480
props and stats wise in that snowy weather. Dawson Knox

493
00:24:12,480 --> 00:24:16,200
had a huge game in that one. Shadoor three hundred

494
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:20,839
plus yards passing Harold Fannin. Him and Harold Fannen seem

495
00:24:20,880 --> 00:24:23,000
to have a good connection. Tony Pollard had a big day.

496
00:24:23,880 --> 00:24:26,160
Jade Daniel was actually supposed to be in the Losers.

497
00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:29,240
I got that one wrong. Jalen Wright, by the way,

498
00:24:29,319 --> 00:24:33,000
bummer on Ah chan a Chan got over his prop total.

499
00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:34,680
I know a lot of people had him to go

500
00:24:34,720 --> 00:24:36,599
over one hundred yards. He leaves the game and the

501
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:38,880
backup comes in and goes for one hundred yards. Brutal,

502
00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:44,680
brutal Saints quarterback rushes for some touchdowns. ETN He's now

503
00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:47,200
the man. I think Basil Tooton got hurt yesterday, so

504
00:24:47,720 --> 00:24:49,960
that's gonna be big week. Brian Thomas Jr. Hey thanks

505
00:24:50,000 --> 00:24:52,519
to Brian Thomas Junior for showing up after you nuked

506
00:24:52,759 --> 00:24:56,039
our fantasy teams and were eliminated. Thanks for getting off

507
00:24:56,039 --> 00:25:00,960
the schneid this late, Prick, Dk metcalf A big games,

508
00:25:00,960 --> 00:25:07,880
save Flowers. Rick, it's so bad. Christian Watson, he's he's

509
00:25:07,880 --> 00:25:10,720
having a big season there in Green Bay. The Rams

510
00:25:10,759 --> 00:25:13,440
just as as a whole. And then my bff is

511
00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:16,000
Michael Wilson. Can we just sit Marvin Harrison Junior for

512
00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:18,920
the rest of the season. Please let Michael Wilson catch

513
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:23,880
seventeen passes for one hundred and fifty yards every week, please, Losers.

514
00:25:23,920 --> 00:25:26,759
George Pickens had an off we Ashton Gent. He killed

515
00:25:26,759 --> 00:25:30,920
everyone's props. Everyone was on his receiving props. Did nothing.

516
00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:34,720
Kirk Cousins is just absolutely terrible. Chase Brown, that was

517
00:25:34,920 --> 00:25:37,880
that was a big loser for me yesterday. They just

518
00:25:38,000 --> 00:25:39,920
bottled him up and he could not get anything going

519
00:25:39,960 --> 00:25:45,960
with the rushing. Harold Fannin not Harold fan Justin, Jefferson,

520
00:25:46,000 --> 00:25:48,880
Baker Mayfield, the Colts. What do you do with the

521
00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:51,759
Colts players now? And then Patrick Mahomes and Kelsey Yikes,

522
00:25:51,759 --> 00:25:54,039
those drops, man, those drops were just.

523
00:25:54,839 --> 00:25:57,039
Speaker 1: That's been all. Here's the thing, Andy is that's been

524
00:25:57,079 --> 00:26:00,839
all year for this team and on the few things.

525
00:26:00,839 --> 00:26:03,960
Like Chris Collinsworth doesn't usually say much of value, but

526
00:26:04,039 --> 00:26:06,039
one of the things that he actually did say of

527
00:26:06,119 --> 00:26:08,359
value last night was pointing out that the story of

528
00:26:08,359 --> 00:26:12,079
the season for this Chiefs team has been their stars underperforming.

529
00:26:12,160 --> 00:26:15,160
Whether it's how bad of a zip Pat Mahomes looks

530
00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:16,720
on his ball. I mean, you know when they were

531
00:26:16,759 --> 00:26:19,759
showing his highlight package, like that deep bomb that he

532
00:26:19,839 --> 00:26:23,119
had completely an underthrown ball. If that was Pat Mahomes

533
00:26:23,119 --> 00:26:25,359
two years ago, he's hitting him in stride for a touchdown.

534
00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:28,400
All the drops for Kelsey, the fact that they can't

535
00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:30,640
figure anything out at running back, the fact that the

536
00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:33,759
pass rush Carl Loftus looks like he can't find his

537
00:26:33,799 --> 00:26:35,720
way or pass rush his way out out of a

538
00:26:35,759 --> 00:26:38,079
paper bag. So that's been a story of the year

539
00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:40,000
for that man. You can just put him on the

540
00:26:40,000 --> 00:26:43,240
losers for the year. You know, somebody had a hot

541
00:26:43,240 --> 00:26:45,240
take they were going to miss the playoffs before this

542
00:26:45,319 --> 00:26:48,119
season right here on this show, Andy and and he

543
00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:50,160
may just be sitting along alongside you.

544
00:26:51,240 --> 00:26:54,880
Speaker 2: Let's do it. Let's bring on Bill Crackman, crack. We

545
00:26:54,920 --> 00:26:58,880
got to talk a little Monday night football, maybe NBA

546
00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:00,799
proper so first, Happy Monday.

547
00:27:00,799 --> 00:27:01,279
Speaker 5: How are you.

548
00:27:01,400 --> 00:27:02,160
Speaker 2: How was your weekend?

549
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:06,680
Speaker 7: Yeah, hey, guys, how you doing. You know, I seen

550
00:27:06,759 --> 00:27:10,160
that portnoy rant. I thought it was absolutely irresponsible, you

551
00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:13,599
know what I mean. I grew up, you know, with

552
00:27:13,680 --> 00:27:17,720
a bunch of crazy people in Philadelphia and New York gamblers.

553
00:27:19,359 --> 00:27:22,319
Speaker 1: I know they'll they'll go on rants while they lose games.

554
00:27:22,319 --> 00:27:26,119
Speaker 5: But one thing about as I matured and got older and.

555
00:27:26,559 --> 00:27:29,400
Speaker 7: Of course as a professional gambler now, but I still feel,

556
00:27:29,519 --> 00:27:33,119
you know, lose your money like a fucking man, crying

557
00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:36,920
and screaming on the internet and telling people the murder

558
00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:40,200
of the coach come on, very irresponsible. Of course we

559
00:27:40,279 --> 00:27:42,799
knew to the next day he'd be having an apology,

560
00:27:42,839 --> 00:27:43,680
which he did this morning.

561
00:27:43,759 --> 00:27:45,559
Speaker 5: Half aass apology, you know what I mean.

562
00:27:45,799 --> 00:27:48,119
Speaker 1: I think after the damage is already done, after the

563
00:27:48,359 --> 00:27:51,319
after the video has gone viral, after everybody shared it.

564
00:27:51,359 --> 00:27:54,400
But you nailed it. You nailed Bill. Lose your money

565
00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:57,319
like f and man like like. It's the same. It's

566
00:27:57,359 --> 00:27:59,240
the same thing as we're crying to the books because

567
00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:01,079
my guy got injured in the first quarter, and I

568
00:28:01,119 --> 00:28:02,799
want you to refund my bet. You know what, you

569
00:28:02,839 --> 00:28:04,160
place the losing bet man.

570
00:28:04,759 --> 00:28:07,000
Speaker 7: If you guys know, it takes me a lot to curse. Yes,

571
00:28:07,079 --> 00:28:08,519
I do curse, but I usually don't have to curse

572
00:28:08,559 --> 00:28:10,720
on shows. But I just don't like what he and

573
00:28:10,759 --> 00:28:12,920
by the way, I was important and he was okay.

574
00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:14,839
I liked I thought some of the stuff was funny.

575
00:28:14,839 --> 00:28:18,519
And he's very generous, he's good with dogs. There's so

576
00:28:18,519 --> 00:28:21,039
many good things about him. But when it comes to this,

577
00:28:21,359 --> 00:28:26,000
very irresponsible. And I've seen some responses on the internet.

578
00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:29,599
You know, people were just like this guy, says Mitch

579
00:28:29,640 --> 00:28:32,839
Coffee says. Sports betters believe everything is a conspiracy. Because

580
00:28:32,839 --> 00:28:34,039
of the spread. I can make up.

581
00:28:33,960 --> 00:28:36,799
Speaker 5: Allegations on every game if I wanted to. Sorry, I

582
00:28:36,799 --> 00:28:39,680
ain't finding this one. Now. I had no skin in

583
00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:41,440
the game. I didn't have either side of the game.

584
00:28:42,279 --> 00:28:44,920
Speaker 7: But let me tell you that doesn't even fall in

585
00:28:45,039 --> 00:28:47,279
the top twenty bead beats I've had in my career.

586
00:28:47,599 --> 00:28:49,799
So he's saying it's the worst beat of all time.

587
00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:54,119
He's calling from murder, and I mean, absolutely irresponsible. It's

588
00:28:54,160 --> 00:28:57,319
not funny. It's not funny, it's actually very sad. So

589
00:28:57,440 --> 00:28:59,279
now this morning he said, well, I had a quarter

590
00:28:59,279 --> 00:29:02,279
of a million dollars well, according to your net worth,

591
00:29:02,599 --> 00:29:05,319
that's less than you know, three tenths of one percent,

592
00:29:05,359 --> 00:29:07,519
which very good. You're betting within your bankroll. You should

593
00:29:07,519 --> 00:29:12,640
have bet two percent bank But yeah, very very very

594
00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:15,839
very childish, and uh, you know me, I kind of

595
00:29:15,960 --> 00:29:18,359
call like, I see it, and I'm gonna also tell

596
00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:20,119
Kelly that on the next show too.

597
00:29:20,960 --> 00:29:23,599
Speaker 5: I didn't like what he did it just listen. I

598
00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:25,519
watched it. I actually watched the end of the game.

599
00:29:26,119 --> 00:29:28,240
Speaker 7: Yes, I would have been upset if I had the

600
00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:31,640
other side of the game, but all right, he did.

601
00:29:31,920 --> 00:29:33,880
He did hold him down for an extra second. It

602
00:29:33,880 --> 00:29:35,359
could have been cold or not been cold, and it

603
00:29:35,400 --> 00:29:38,160
would have been fine. The reason why you go for

604
00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:41,240
the field goal, though, is because you have a chance

605
00:29:41,400 --> 00:29:44,559
a hair a smidgeon to kick the field goal and

606
00:29:44,640 --> 00:29:47,160
maybe run you know, some kind of a play where

607
00:29:47,400 --> 00:29:49,599
you're kicking the ball and you come up with.

608
00:29:49,559 --> 00:29:52,240
Speaker 5: Something where you can there's there's even though there will

609
00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:54,039
only be one second left, and there wasn't even one

610
00:29:54,039 --> 00:29:54,759
second because.

611
00:29:54,519 --> 00:29:56,240
Speaker 7: It was such a long field goal, but you just

612
00:29:56,319 --> 00:30:00,440
it's a chance, so there was nothing fix it, wasn't it, Like.

613
00:30:01,000 --> 00:30:02,359
Speaker 5: That's not what happened there?

614
00:30:02,359 --> 00:30:05,519
Speaker 7: Now, of course I always say, our eyes play tricks

615
00:30:05,559 --> 00:30:10,559
on us. So if you're looking through the blinders of

616
00:30:11,440 --> 00:30:16,079
you're betting the Broncos and you've laid the points and

617
00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:18,359
it's easy win with a couple of minutes left up

618
00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:20,920
by two score, you know, of course you're only going

619
00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:24,160
to look at it from your eyes, from your perspective,

620
00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:27,720
just like someone that bet the Raiders would look at

621
00:30:27,720 --> 00:30:30,519
it from his eyes, his blinders on and say, yeah,

622
00:30:30,680 --> 00:30:32,759
you're supposed to kick a field goal there like it's

623
00:30:32,920 --> 00:30:35,079
it's just amazing. But in this day and age where

624
00:30:35,079 --> 00:30:38,359
you have these NBA players and then some you know,

625
00:30:38,680 --> 00:30:41,880
there was even some NFL players betting baseball players betting,

626
00:30:42,279 --> 00:30:46,359
so any little smidgeon of anything to think something can

627
00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:49,240
be fixed, of course everyone's gonna cry fick that they

628
00:30:49,319 --> 00:30:53,279
had Denver Broncos that day. We don't need to hear

629
00:30:53,599 --> 00:30:57,279
Fortnoy and his you know, six hundred million dollar networth

630
00:30:57,400 --> 00:31:00,240
crying about a game. He looked like he was on

631
00:31:00,359 --> 00:31:03,039
drugs or something was wrong with him. I mean, take

632
00:31:03,119 --> 00:31:06,880
a shower, Dave too. Jesus Christ. He just looked crazy.

633
00:31:06,880 --> 00:31:09,599
He just looked he looked totally crazy in his multi

634
00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:12,839
zillion dollar mansion and it kind of makes fun of

635
00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:14,279
a lot of people, to be honest with you in

636
00:31:14,279 --> 00:31:15,400
my opinion, So.

637
00:31:17,799 --> 00:31:18,880
Speaker 1: Uh, let's do NBA.

638
00:31:19,039 --> 00:31:20,680
Speaker 2: We got a few, we got a couple of games

639
00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:28,200
tonight here, Bill, so not aneled it.

640
00:31:28,839 --> 00:31:31,640
Speaker 1: You nailed it, So put the words out of our mouth.

641
00:31:31,680 --> 00:31:34,440
Built that's you know, gamble like a man.

642
00:31:34,480 --> 00:31:36,720
Speaker 7: Don't gamble that if you can't gamble like a man. Yeah,

643
00:31:37,680 --> 00:31:40,720
So NBA, I have an NBA prop up.

644
00:31:40,799 --> 00:31:42,400
Speaker 5: Is that what you wanted to get to? Sorry if

645
00:31:42,400 --> 00:31:42,880
I jumped through.

646
00:31:42,960 --> 00:31:43,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, let's do NBA.

647
00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:46,519
Speaker 7: Yeah, so I have an NBA prop up. I just

648
00:31:46,559 --> 00:31:47,839
want to check on the line so that you know me.

649
00:31:47,839 --> 00:31:50,599
I like to give out the uh current line.

650
00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:51,240
Speaker 5: I have it up here.

651
00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:54,000
Speaker 7: Anthony Edwards Minnesota points and it's just thirty three and

652
00:31:54,000 --> 00:31:56,759
a half. Yeah, over thirty three and a half seems

653
00:31:56,759 --> 00:31:59,200
like a like, like a high number. But this really

654
00:31:59,240 --> 00:32:02,160
is a buy a low spot for Edwards, to be honest,

655
00:32:02,720 --> 00:32:04,480
coming off his two worst games of the season.

656
00:32:04,799 --> 00:32:07,119
Speaker 5: It's just a good matchup for him versus Suns tonight.

657
00:32:08,680 --> 00:32:11,160
Speaker 7: It is a free prop for you guys, his personal

658
00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:14,400
matchup and this with the Suns Dylan Brooks.

659
00:32:14,200 --> 00:32:16,279
Speaker 5: That they just don't like each other either, I wouldn't

660
00:32:16,279 --> 00:32:16,759
be surprised.

661
00:32:16,880 --> 00:32:20,400
Speaker 7: Edwards took twenty five plus shots tonight, so I like

662
00:32:20,480 --> 00:32:22,519
his over points and assist thirty three and a half.

663
00:32:23,400 --> 00:32:27,599
Speaker 5: Looking at that line right here. Yeah, so you know,

664
00:32:27,720 --> 00:32:29,000
you know, I'll tell you to it.

665
00:32:29,200 --> 00:32:32,079
Speaker 7: By the way, another winning week, nothing crazy, but another

666
00:32:32,440 --> 00:32:33,839
you know, winning week on Wader Talk.

667
00:32:33,839 --> 00:32:34,680
Speaker 5: I don't know how many.

668
00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:37,440
Speaker 7: Weeks I come into space and say that I pulled

669
00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:40,920
off the records to NCAA Football Form one, NFL nine

670
00:32:40,920 --> 00:32:44,319
and four, NBA Form one college basketball, losing week in

671
00:32:44,359 --> 00:32:47,400
college basketball seven and twelve, but still a winning winning

672
00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:51,160
week twenty four and eighteen last week, and NFL props

673
00:32:51,240 --> 00:32:53,920
is just where it continues to roll. NFL in general

674
00:32:54,319 --> 00:32:56,359
and doing good picking off some of these first halfs.

675
00:32:56,400 --> 00:32:58,759
I even picked off a side yesterday. I thought the Saints,

676
00:32:58,759 --> 00:33:01,359
we're going to get too many point there. And I

677
00:33:01,400 --> 00:33:03,880
won't do a lot of NFL sides, especially day of

678
00:33:03,960 --> 00:33:07,359
game unless something's been overmoved, which I kept on seeing

679
00:33:07,960 --> 00:33:08,839
money coming in.

680
00:33:08,839 --> 00:33:10,839
Speaker 5: Of course, I didn't think Camp was gonna lose that right,

681
00:33:10,960 --> 00:33:11,720
but money was.

682
00:33:11,640 --> 00:33:13,759
Speaker 7: Coming in, and I said, wow, this is a goodbye

683
00:33:13,839 --> 00:33:16,039
situation here plus eight points eight and a half.

684
00:33:16,480 --> 00:33:17,880
Speaker 5: I took eight and a half at the South Point.

685
00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:22,200
Speaker 7: But yeah, so it's a it's been a good season though,

686
00:33:22,279 --> 00:33:25,400
good NFL season, good college football seasons.

687
00:33:25,559 --> 00:33:27,799
Speaker 5: Was rolling along, I was a little.

688
00:33:27,599 --> 00:33:29,680
Speaker 7: Upset and out to see Notre Dame get get in.

689
00:33:29,720 --> 00:33:32,519
I had had a future at twenty to one on them.

690
00:33:32,920 --> 00:33:34,839
Not that that would have won, but I was I would.

691
00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:36,160
Speaker 5: Have had a shot. I thought they were you know,

692
00:33:36,160 --> 00:33:36,559
it's funny.

693
00:33:36,559 --> 00:33:39,039
Speaker 7: I was on air on my Fox Sports radio show yesterday,

694
00:33:39,359 --> 00:33:42,079
so I was looking bet ATMGM had minus twenty to one.

695
00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:45,160
There was another site minus twenty five to one. Notre

696
00:33:45,279 --> 00:33:48,160
Dame was the big favorite to get in there. Imagine

697
00:33:48,240 --> 00:33:51,839
though a twenty five to one shot. Actually I heard

698
00:33:52,119 --> 00:33:54,599
it was forty to one shot somewhere back in Jersey

699
00:33:55,440 --> 00:33:57,799
laying you have to lay forty to one, lay twenty

700
00:33:57,839 --> 00:33:59,720
five to one, late twenty to one, and then not

701
00:33:59,759 --> 00:34:04,599
get in. Uh talk about corruption, but that was a bad,

702
00:34:04,960 --> 00:34:08,679
a bad thing for them. Yeah, so that's what's going

703
00:34:08,679 --> 00:34:12,119
on right now, and and uh, you know, just rolling along. Listen,

704
00:34:12,559 --> 00:34:15,119
I don't brag about things like out there like a

705
00:34:15,159 --> 00:34:17,760
lot of other people. And and I wish I had

706
00:34:17,800 --> 00:34:21,440
Gianni's spunk and power, and I'm a terrible.

707
00:34:21,239 --> 00:34:25,679
Speaker 1: Somebody has that Bill's a one on one I.

708
00:34:25,599 --> 00:34:27,800
Speaker 7: Really I've never watched Gianny in my life till this year.

709
00:34:27,800 --> 00:34:30,239
I knew who he was, never watched anything on him.

710
00:34:30,280 --> 00:34:33,559
I love his energy and his power and and what

711
00:34:33,599 --> 00:34:36,760
he does. It's fantastic. He he you know, he deals

712
00:34:36,760 --> 00:34:38,599
with a lot of the sharp syndicates like I do

713
00:34:38,679 --> 00:34:42,239
so and when I say sharp, sports betting syndicates. So

714
00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:45,400
I've been there for for decades with some of the

715
00:34:45,440 --> 00:34:47,199
sharpest guys in the world, Billy Walkers.

716
00:34:47,239 --> 00:34:50,400
Speaker 5: For over ten years, I've worked.

717
00:34:50,159 --> 00:34:54,440
Speaker 7: With Chippin Doyle, Harlebus, Vulgaris, the Pokers, the Koshers, I'm

718
00:34:54,800 --> 00:34:56,079
back in the day. I've worked for a lot of

719
00:34:56,079 --> 00:34:58,039
the groups and been around a lot of them and

720
00:34:58,159 --> 00:34:59,559
learned a lot of things from them. I was a

721
00:35:00,079 --> 00:35:03,000
gambler when I first started, just just interested in gambling

722
00:35:03,000 --> 00:35:05,639
growing up where I did. They showed me and cultivated

723
00:35:05,679 --> 00:35:07,679
me and showed me the right way on many things.

724
00:35:07,840 --> 00:35:09,920
Maybe that's the reason why I say to portray to

725
00:35:09,960 --> 00:35:11,880
gamble like a man, because I know what it is

726
00:35:11,880 --> 00:35:15,039
to have. You know, I have six figure and I

727
00:35:15,119 --> 00:35:18,280
have a lot of bets on the weekend, so I

728
00:35:18,320 --> 00:35:20,480
don't even watch a lot of the final results. I

729
00:35:20,480 --> 00:35:22,719
get the final results, and you know, I gamble like

730
00:35:22,760 --> 00:35:23,199
a man.

731
00:35:23,199 --> 00:35:25,639
Speaker 1: Onto the next one. Yeah, that's that's that's the nature.

732
00:35:25,760 --> 00:35:28,000
That's the nature of the beast. Crack. We always love

733
00:35:28,000 --> 00:35:29,559
when we get you on here on Mondays. Get your

734
00:35:29,559 --> 00:35:31,880
hot takes, get your get your thoughts of what happened.

735
00:35:32,000 --> 00:35:33,840
Who knew we would have spent so much time talking

736
00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:36,599
about Dave Portnoy, But the comments are loving it as well.

737
00:35:36,840 --> 00:35:39,199
Comment below and let us know what you thought about

738
00:35:39,239 --> 00:35:41,840
the Portnoy rant where you on the bad beat as well.

739
00:35:41,840 --> 00:35:44,480
But before we turn you loose, here, Crack, I'm going

740
00:35:44,519 --> 00:35:46,840
to the game tonight. Here, I'm an Eagles fan living

741
00:35:46,880 --> 00:35:49,760
in Los Angeles. I'm going to the game, and personally,

742
00:35:49,920 --> 00:35:52,760
for me, I'm not a Pom Pom waiting waving fan.

743
00:35:52,920 --> 00:35:54,960
I'll bet on my team the same i'll bet against them.

744
00:35:55,559 --> 00:35:57,639
I can't find much in this game, So Crack, we

745
00:35:57,920 --> 00:36:00,679
got Steve coming with a full breakdown so you don't

746
00:36:00,719 --> 00:36:02,719
have to go crazy deep on it. But any thoughts

747
00:36:02,719 --> 00:36:05,440
here on Monday night football and what you're kind of seeing,

748
00:36:05,440 --> 00:36:07,519
because the only thing I think you could bet in

749
00:36:07,559 --> 00:36:10,000
this game. If you haven't open leg teaser or something,

750
00:36:10,280 --> 00:36:12,559
maybe you throw it in there with the Chargers. I

751
00:36:12,559 --> 00:36:14,519
wouldn't be laying points on the road with the Eagles

752
00:36:14,559 --> 00:36:16,079
in the state that they're in right now. What do

753
00:36:16,119 --> 00:36:16,960
you think about this one?

754
00:36:17,000 --> 00:36:20,079
Speaker 7: And I know people talk about and promote sell teasers.

755
00:36:20,360 --> 00:36:22,719
I'm not trying to go against anyone, but I don't

756
00:36:22,719 --> 00:36:24,840
know how you can play a teaser in twenty twenties

757
00:36:24,960 --> 00:36:26,519
let's call it twenty twenties.

758
00:36:26,199 --> 00:36:28,360
Speaker 1: Depending on where you bet it. Yeah, you know I

759
00:36:29,480 --> 00:36:30,159
only only.

760
00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:34,400
Speaker 7: Local guys have one, ten, one, twenty points. Yeah, I'm

761
00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:37,119
looking at this line now. This line is plus two.

762
00:36:38,440 --> 00:36:40,480
You know, when this line first came out, I've seen

763
00:36:40,559 --> 00:36:43,800
bet NGM had three, might have been three even.

764
00:36:43,800 --> 00:36:45,199
Speaker 5: I'm loaded in my account.

765
00:36:45,480 --> 00:36:48,760
Speaker 7: You can't bet this game now if you're betting the underdog.

766
00:36:49,079 --> 00:36:52,400
You absolutely cannot bet the plus plus two on this

767
00:36:52,480 --> 00:36:54,079
game when you could have had three.

768
00:36:54,159 --> 00:36:55,360
Speaker 5: Yeah, there I had.

769
00:36:55,400 --> 00:36:58,840
Speaker 7: There is plus three plus three even money. When the

770
00:36:59,159 --> 00:37:02,159
first came out, I kept saying, you can't bet this

771
00:37:02,239 --> 00:37:04,199
game now on the dog unless you're just a DJ

772
00:37:04,239 --> 00:37:06,000
and you want to take two points when you could

773
00:37:06,039 --> 00:37:08,159
have took free even yesterday you could have.

774
00:37:08,079 --> 00:37:11,559
Speaker 5: Took plus three minus a quarter. I've seen no.

775
00:37:12,280 --> 00:37:14,760
Speaker 7: The only way to go on this game is prop bets.

776
00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:18,000
I'll have a prop up later on proposition bets. I

777
00:37:18,039 --> 00:37:21,119
have no or or if you could pick the maybe

778
00:37:22,360 --> 00:37:24,800
maybe on the other side, maybe Eagles money line or

779
00:37:24,840 --> 00:37:28,079
something like that, but I have no I have no

780
00:37:28,559 --> 00:37:32,000
side in this game right now, at this current line

781
00:37:32,039 --> 00:37:34,039
at all. And I just think that I know everyone

782
00:37:34,039 --> 00:37:36,840
wants to side one. In night football time, we gotta bet.

783
00:37:37,199 --> 00:37:39,159
You know, there's no reason why you have to bet something,

784
00:37:39,239 --> 00:37:40,320
especially after the line move.

785
00:37:40,400 --> 00:37:42,320
Speaker 5: You know, I just got on something like just now,

786
00:37:42,639 --> 00:37:43,280
but you know I don't.

787
00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:45,599
Speaker 7: I can't give them out the customers because it's only

788
00:37:45,719 --> 00:37:49,760
unique to certain websites. So like just now, the Saints

789
00:37:49,840 --> 00:37:51,679
at at south.

790
00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:52,639
Speaker 5: Point and that's to point, but.

791
00:37:54,320 --> 00:37:57,760
Speaker 7: Well Westgate Saints were plus three, Like okay, plus three

792
00:37:57,760 --> 00:38:00,320
on the Saints look like pretty decent bet. But you

793
00:38:00,360 --> 00:38:02,920
can't give out the customers because it's not fair that

794
00:38:03,119 --> 00:38:04,960
they don't have that line. They have to go buy

795
00:38:05,000 --> 00:38:08,840
it somewhere, you know. So I'll bet a lot of stuff.

796
00:38:08,880 --> 00:38:10,000
What I'm trying to say is I'll bet a lot

797
00:38:10,000 --> 00:38:13,159
of stuff early in the week NFL sides here in Vegas,

798
00:38:13,800 --> 00:38:16,440
and when I can get take advantage of that softer market,

799
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:19,679
softer line. Perfect example, Westgates right now they max best

800
00:38:19,679 --> 00:38:21,840
three k, where during the week you.

801
00:38:21,760 --> 00:38:23,599
Speaker 5: Can bet up the fifty thousand. The day of the

802
00:38:23,599 --> 00:38:24,039
game you can.

803
00:38:24,039 --> 00:38:26,159
Speaker 7: Matter of fact, that toker John Murray the day said

804
00:38:26,199 --> 00:38:27,880
if someone comes up to the counter with six figures,

805
00:38:27,880 --> 00:38:28,599
they'll take the bet.

806
00:38:29,239 --> 00:38:32,400
Speaker 5: That's the difference from a Monday compared to close to

807
00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:32,960
game time.

808
00:38:33,079 --> 00:38:36,480
Speaker 7: So whereas a prop bet, I can't even bet it

809
00:38:36,559 --> 00:38:38,519
right now. But if I go to if I go,

810
00:38:38,679 --> 00:38:40,960
you know, next weekend, I can bet. I can bet

811
00:38:41,000 --> 00:38:43,480
a thousand dollars. That's the max you can bet a thousand.

812
00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:43,679
Speaker 5: On a prop.

813
00:38:43,840 --> 00:38:45,599
Speaker 7: You can bet two hundred thousand on an NFL game.

814
00:38:45,639 --> 00:38:48,079
That's why props are beatable, the beatable thing. It's a

815
00:38:48,119 --> 00:38:50,719
smaller market. People don't look at it. Player props is

816
00:38:50,760 --> 00:38:51,280
the way to go.

817
00:38:52,760 --> 00:38:56,079
Speaker 1: Love it. Yeah, I mean you're talking to the guy

818
00:38:56,119 --> 00:38:58,320
who he was doing the prop bets here on wager

819
00:38:58,320 --> 00:38:59,920
Talk when people were just kind of like what they

820
00:39:00,159 --> 00:39:02,880
prop bets are a thing. So you're you're talking to

821
00:39:03,159 --> 00:39:09,039
to two people who I'm yeah, you know, you know

822
00:39:09,079 --> 00:39:12,280
what's you know what's fun? Bill winning bets, that's fun.

823
00:39:15,320 --> 00:39:17,519
Speaker 5: I don't give an f what happens there any team

824
00:39:17,639 --> 00:39:19,119
member game.

825
00:39:19,480 --> 00:39:22,719
Speaker 1: I don't care about put stickers, put stickers over the

826
00:39:22,800 --> 00:39:26,960
names of teams. Dude, Yeah, it's it's I'm agnostic to

827
00:39:27,000 --> 00:39:29,400
all of it. Well, Bill always a pleasure buddy, bets

828
00:39:29,400 --> 00:39:31,239
of luck tonight you can check him out WT dot

829
00:39:31,239 --> 00:39:35,079
buzz slash crack. That's Bill Krackenberger right there, Andy, and

830
00:39:35,320 --> 00:39:37,639
we get him legend right here on the show every

831
00:39:37,639 --> 00:39:39,000
single Monday beautiful.

832
00:39:40,119 --> 00:39:42,039
Speaker 2: I remember when I first started doing props, I had

833
00:39:42,039 --> 00:39:45,559
two people actually tell me that they're not real bets. Yeah,

834
00:39:46,199 --> 00:39:49,199
that was actually said to me, props aren't real bets.

835
00:39:49,719 --> 00:39:54,079
My times have changed so exactly. Uh, we're gonna do

836
00:39:54,239 --> 00:39:56,400
all around the world. After we talked to Steve Merrill

837
00:39:56,480 --> 00:39:59,000
and then Dan's got a new segment l F G

838
00:39:59,360 --> 00:40:03,440
or W, we will debut that. I have one play

839
00:40:03,440 --> 00:40:05,760
that is up for Monday Night Football, and I absolutely

840
00:40:05,840 --> 00:40:10,280
love it. Primetime props have been insanely good this year

841
00:40:10,320 --> 00:40:12,519
twenty four and twelve on primetime games. I do not

842
00:40:12,639 --> 00:40:15,559
understand why the primetime plays have been so profitable and

843
00:40:15,639 --> 00:40:17,679
so good, but I'm not going to argue it, so

844
00:40:17,760 --> 00:40:19,760
partner up with us. We had a really really big

845
00:40:19,800 --> 00:40:23,039
weekend overall in units. We had a winning record in

846
00:40:23,519 --> 00:40:25,880
football yesterday, but we did lose our big one, so

847
00:40:26,199 --> 00:40:28,280
I'm glad we added a bunch of those smaller ones.

848
00:40:28,639 --> 00:40:31,639
But WT dot Bus slash al it's the best bet

849
00:40:31,679 --> 00:40:34,559
on the board in my humble opinion. But we've been

850
00:40:34,559 --> 00:40:38,400
doing really really well in December and November. We closed

851
00:40:38,400 --> 00:40:40,400
out a really big month, so we had a nice

852
00:40:40,400 --> 00:40:43,119
sprint to the end of twenty twenty five. So join

853
00:40:43,199 --> 00:40:45,599
us Monday night football best bet is on the board.

854
00:40:46,000 --> 00:40:50,519
Let's get a full breakdown with Steve Merrill here, Steve,

855
00:40:50,800 --> 00:40:52,760
Happy Monday, how are you? How was your weekend?

856
00:40:53,800 --> 00:40:54,039
Speaker 5: Great?

857
00:40:54,119 --> 00:40:56,840
Speaker 8: NFL swept the board yesterday three and no sweep and

858
00:40:57,599 --> 00:40:59,480
Fading the Public And you know, we've been talking about

859
00:40:59,480 --> 00:41:02,719
it all season and it's been working consistently, like just constantly,

860
00:41:02,760 --> 00:41:07,199
like sixty sixty percent. And last week was interesting because

861
00:41:07,679 --> 00:41:09,559
Fade the Public went three and one in my video,

862
00:41:09,599 --> 00:41:12,039
but all four teams won outright, but only one of

863
00:41:12,079 --> 00:41:14,320
the four covered. And I talked about how those that

864
00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:16,239
the extra line value with fade in the public is

865
00:41:16,239 --> 00:41:18,119
why you win long term, especially late in the season

866
00:41:18,119 --> 00:41:21,400
in December, and looky here yesterday four to no fade

867
00:41:21,400 --> 00:41:23,599
in the public. So seven and won the last two weeks,

868
00:41:23,960 --> 00:41:26,760
and two of those were half point covers, going against

869
00:41:26,800 --> 00:41:29,880
the Bears, a big public dog, and those Broncos who

870
00:41:29,880 --> 00:41:32,719
won by seven. Of course, as we've discussed, lane seven

871
00:41:32,800 --> 00:41:35,360
and a half, So it's now sixty three percent of

872
00:41:35,360 --> 00:41:38,199
the season, thirty nine and twenty three. And that video,

873
00:41:38,199 --> 00:41:40,639
of course is free here every weekend on wager Talk TV.

874
00:41:40,760 --> 00:41:42,639
But my point is it works long term because you

875
00:41:42,639 --> 00:41:45,880
get extra line value, especially against ugly teams in December,

876
00:41:46,719 --> 00:41:48,559
and long term if you play these out of the

877
00:41:48,559 --> 00:41:52,280
playoff contention teams like the Saints yesterday, right, they do well.

878
00:41:52,320 --> 00:41:54,079
So just something to keep in mind. Doesn't apply to

879
00:41:54,159 --> 00:41:56,719
night because we have two playoff caliber teams. I think

880
00:41:56,800 --> 00:42:00,199
Dan's Eagles are playoff caliber. Still, the Chiefs made not

881
00:42:00,239 --> 00:42:02,880
hear that. Here's the one that's interesting though, guys. The

882
00:42:02,920 --> 00:42:04,960
look ahead line right now for the game next week

883
00:42:05,000 --> 00:42:07,159
against the Chargers is four and a half. The Chiefs

884
00:42:07,159 --> 00:42:09,559
are a four and a half point home favorite next

885
00:42:09,559 --> 00:42:13,800
week against the Chargers. Last night was their spot and

886
00:42:13,840 --> 00:42:17,760
they still came up short. I will be surprised unless

887
00:42:17,760 --> 00:42:20,440
Herbert gets hurt worse tonight with that left hand injury,

888
00:42:21,000 --> 00:42:22,880
that that line is four and a half by next week.

889
00:42:23,280 --> 00:42:24,679
Speaker 1: Yeah, agreed.

890
00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:27,360
Speaker 2: Well, let's break down this game, Steve. We got the Chargers,

891
00:42:27,400 --> 00:42:31,760
we got the Eagles. Philly's like minus two right now

892
00:42:32,039 --> 00:42:34,039
over under forty two. You can even find it a

893
00:42:34,079 --> 00:42:36,320
little bit lower here. What's your breakdown on this game?

894
00:42:37,199 --> 00:42:39,280
Speaker 8: Yeah, forty one is the key number with totals. There's

895
00:42:39,280 --> 00:42:41,360
about a three to four percent chance this game lands

896
00:42:41,360 --> 00:42:43,159
exactly forty one. And I bring that up because we

897
00:42:43,199 --> 00:42:45,760
are seeing forty one and a half's forty two's out there,

898
00:42:46,559 --> 00:42:48,199
so there's a little bit of a line value still

899
00:42:48,199 --> 00:42:50,400
with the under here. I'm gonna take it this step

900
00:42:50,440 --> 00:42:53,000
further and look at the team total under for the Eagles.

901
00:42:53,079 --> 00:42:55,119
And I did a standalone free play video earlier in

902
00:42:55,159 --> 00:42:57,599
the week, and I mentioned this approach because we didn't

903
00:42:57,639 --> 00:42:59,679
know for sure if Herbert was going or not. He

904
00:42:59,840 --> 00:43:03,199
was listed is probable or questionable? Actually now he's probable.

905
00:43:03,440 --> 00:43:06,400
He did practice Thursday and Friday, limited practice like seven

906
00:43:06,440 --> 00:43:09,280
on seven drills. His left hand is fractured. Is non

907
00:43:09,320 --> 00:43:12,000
throwing him, but they're talking about going to more shotgun formations.

908
00:43:12,159 --> 00:43:13,920
They don't want them under center with that top hand

909
00:43:14,000 --> 00:43:17,480
taking the impact of every snap. So you know, a

910
00:43:17,480 --> 00:43:19,719
lot of uncertainty there with the Chargers. It would help

911
00:43:19,800 --> 00:43:21,639
the under if he is banged up, but I think

912
00:43:21,639 --> 00:43:24,920
he's okay to go Joe alt out of course for

913
00:43:25,000 --> 00:43:28,159
the Chargers. Eagles banged up as well, so I think

914
00:43:28,199 --> 00:43:30,039
the under makes sense in this game. I would lean

915
00:43:30,119 --> 00:43:31,760
under forty one and a half forty two, but I'm

916
00:43:31,760 --> 00:43:33,599
gonna go a little deeper with the team total under

917
00:43:33,599 --> 00:43:36,039
for the Eagles under twenty one and a half. Charger

918
00:43:36,119 --> 00:43:38,119
team total is twenty and a half. Eagles team total

919
00:43:38,159 --> 00:43:40,519
is twenty one and a half. Obviously, twenty one is

920
00:43:40,559 --> 00:43:42,920
a very key number. Good chance of the team scores

921
00:43:42,960 --> 00:43:45,320
twenty one points in the NFL, or any football game

922
00:43:45,360 --> 00:43:47,840
for that matter, the way scoring takes place, it's three

923
00:43:47,880 --> 00:43:50,400
touchdowns in an extra point. And also, if you look

924
00:43:50,440 --> 00:43:52,559
at the Eagles recently this season, they're only averaging twenty

925
00:43:52,559 --> 00:43:54,519
two and a half points a game. That's against the

926
00:43:54,519 --> 00:43:57,679
schedule that allows twenty four. The Chargers give up just

927
00:43:57,719 --> 00:44:00,440
twenty one point a game against teams that are that

928
00:44:00,519 --> 00:44:03,840
average about twenty one, so Chargers are slightly above average

929
00:44:03,880 --> 00:44:06,039
defense five point two yards per play against teams at

930
00:44:06,039 --> 00:44:09,039
average five point four. Eagles average five to five against

931
00:44:09,039 --> 00:44:11,960
teams allow five to seven. So the Eagles points yards

932
00:44:12,000 --> 00:44:14,440
per play. They're a below average offensive team, and you

933
00:44:14,480 --> 00:44:16,119
can make an argument they've been even worse here the

934
00:44:16,199 --> 00:44:18,960
last couple of months. They started the season off, scoring

935
00:44:19,000 --> 00:44:21,360
twenty four or more in three of their first four games.

936
00:44:21,840 --> 00:44:24,039
They have skipped since scored twenty one or less in

937
00:44:24,159 --> 00:44:27,360
six of their last eight games, includes just fifteen points

938
00:44:27,440 --> 00:44:29,840
last Friday against the Bears defense, who's one of the

939
00:44:29,840 --> 00:44:32,199
worst in the league. I don't think this is necessarily

940
00:44:32,199 --> 00:44:34,880
a bounce back spot for Philly after back to back losses,

941
00:44:34,960 --> 00:44:39,079
but I do respect their pedigree defending Super Bowl champs

942
00:44:39,159 --> 00:44:40,840
back against the wall, So I'm not gonna look at

943
00:44:40,840 --> 00:44:42,760
the side. I'm look at the total I would lean under,

944
00:44:42,920 --> 00:44:44,880
but I think the team total under for the Eagles

945
00:44:44,960 --> 00:44:47,800
under twenty one and a half makes a lot of sense.

946
00:44:48,159 --> 00:44:49,840
And something I did not mention in the video this

947
00:44:49,880 --> 00:44:51,360
week in which I will throw out here is the

948
00:44:51,440 --> 00:44:53,440
Chargers do make an excellent teaser, and I get that

949
00:44:53,880 --> 00:44:55,960
teaser rods would become skewed. That's why I don't release

950
00:44:56,000 --> 00:44:57,920
them to clients anymore. You can't be laying minus one

951
00:44:58,000 --> 00:45:00,280
thirty minus one forty. But if you can at that

952
00:45:00,320 --> 00:45:02,320
minus one twenty five or less price on a six

953
00:45:02,400 --> 00:45:05,440
point two team, teaser, Chargers look like an excellent teaser

954
00:45:05,480 --> 00:45:06,920
tonight to two to two and a half, take that

955
00:45:07,000 --> 00:45:08,360
up to eight, eight and a half. You're getting all

956
00:45:08,360 --> 00:45:10,960
those key numbers three, four, six, seven working for you.

957
00:45:11,280 --> 00:45:13,800
And what should also be a low scoring game once again,

958
00:45:13,800 --> 00:45:16,239
which makes teasers more valuable. And of course you got

959
00:45:16,280 --> 00:45:19,000
to tie that up with something next Sunday. Several games

960
00:45:19,000 --> 00:45:21,760
are in those key teaser categories, but the one that

961
00:45:21,840 --> 00:45:23,880
kind of jumps out to me early is Chicago at

962
00:45:23,880 --> 00:45:27,119
home minus seven and a half against Cleveland, getting them

963
00:45:27,159 --> 00:45:29,440
down to minus one and a half. My guess is

964
00:45:29,480 --> 00:45:31,719
the public will probably be in Chicago. Cleveland might be

965
00:45:31,719 --> 00:45:33,639
one of those fade the public plays, But as I mentioned,

966
00:45:33,639 --> 00:45:35,840
a lot of times, there are one point half point covers.

967
00:45:36,159 --> 00:45:37,880
Getting Chicago down to one and a half puts some

968
00:45:37,920 --> 00:45:40,199
of the basic straight up point situation off the loss.

969
00:45:40,440 --> 00:45:42,159
That looks like a pretty good two team teaser in

970
00:45:42,199 --> 00:45:42,679
the NFL.

971
00:45:43,719 --> 00:45:46,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, Andy, just one thing. I'll also add in on

972
00:45:46,039 --> 00:45:48,599
what Steve's talking about being around that team total. It's

973
00:45:48,599 --> 00:45:51,480
been four straight games that my Philadelphia Eagles have scored

974
00:45:51,519 --> 00:45:54,760
twenty two or fewer points. So it's been a good

975
00:45:54,800 --> 00:45:57,360
bet just taking the Eagles team total under. And now

976
00:45:57,360 --> 00:45:59,679
they're facing a defense that four out of their last

977
00:45:59,719 --> 00:46:03,159
five games, as Steve alluded to there, has allowed twenty

978
00:46:03,159 --> 00:46:05,719
one or fewer points. So I would love to call

979
00:46:05,800 --> 00:46:07,559
plays tonight. Trust me, it would be a hell of

980
00:46:07,599 --> 00:46:09,760
a lot better than whatever that obvious.

981
00:46:09,840 --> 00:46:09,960
Speaker 5: Though.

982
00:46:10,800 --> 00:46:12,679
Speaker 8: My concern when I did the video was it seems

983
00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:15,360
too obvious for the exact reasons you mentioned.

984
00:46:15,159 --> 00:46:16,519
Speaker 1: It does it?

985
00:46:16,559 --> 00:46:19,119
Speaker 8: But then again, the Chiefs under last night seemed too obvious,

986
00:46:19,119 --> 00:46:21,000
so I stayed away from it. Focus spot for the

987
00:46:21,039 --> 00:46:23,119
other Super Bowl team, and we saw how bad they're

988
00:46:23,360 --> 00:46:26,679
You just can't fix bad offense right overnight.

989
00:46:26,840 --> 00:46:29,800
Speaker 1: And that's the thing. Steve is sure it feels obvious,

990
00:46:29,840 --> 00:46:32,559
and yes, all of these expectations are built into the

991
00:46:32,679 --> 00:46:36,400
number that it's sitting at right now. However, do we

992
00:46:36,480 --> 00:46:38,719
just magically think, oh, the Eagles are finally going to

993
00:46:38,760 --> 00:46:40,760
add a bunch of pre snap motion. Do we just

994
00:46:40,920 --> 00:46:43,400
magically think, oh, this team is finally going to figure

995
00:46:43,440 --> 00:46:46,960
out the run game without their best tackle playing. So yes,

996
00:46:47,000 --> 00:46:50,440
it seems too obvious, but obvious bets when sometimes Steve

997
00:46:50,480 --> 00:46:53,360
and on a game like tonight, when people just want action,

998
00:46:53,400 --> 00:46:56,119
it's Monday night football at standalone, you have to try

999
00:46:56,159 --> 00:46:59,079
and make an informed wager. And I don't think that's

1000
00:46:59,119 --> 00:47:01,199
on the side or the straight up total. I think

1001
00:47:01,199 --> 00:47:03,039
diving in a little bit deeper and iso wing on

1002
00:47:03,119 --> 00:47:05,840
on just one team in handicapping that team. I like

1003
00:47:05,920 --> 00:47:09,119
that play. Unfortunately, for me as an Eagles fan, I'd

1004
00:47:09,199 --> 00:47:11,400
hopefully like to see a couple more points since I'll

1005
00:47:11,400 --> 00:47:13,199
be there at the game. But if I cash you

1006
00:47:13,280 --> 00:47:16,320
bet with Steve Merrill, it's still hedge.

1007
00:47:16,559 --> 00:47:19,039
Speaker 8: It's a great emotional hedge, Dan, because you could actually

1008
00:47:19,079 --> 00:47:21,320
win that that and still the Eagles could win the game.

1009
00:47:22,559 --> 00:47:24,840
But if you win that, but if you win that bet,

1010
00:47:24,840 --> 00:47:26,679
they might lose it. Yeah, you get where I'm going.

1011
00:47:26,679 --> 00:47:30,159
Speaker 1: Thirteen and let's get a thirteen to ten win. There

1012
00:47:30,199 --> 00:47:30,519
we go.

1013
00:47:30,519 --> 00:47:33,920
Speaker 2: No, no, all right, let's go to the NBA Steve

1014
00:47:34,679 --> 00:47:38,880
Sons and Timberwolves. Devin Booker looks like he's still out.

1015
00:47:39,559 --> 00:47:42,320
Anthony Edwards has had a couple of bad games in

1016
00:47:42,360 --> 00:47:44,920
a row. We've got chat here in the chat about

1017
00:47:45,000 --> 00:47:47,079
nas Reed having big games. I was looking at his

1018
00:47:47,119 --> 00:47:52,800
props earlier. The Suns team really interesting start to the season.

1019
00:47:53,320 --> 00:47:56,400
It's a completely different attitude with this team. Dylan Brooks

1020
00:47:56,400 --> 00:47:59,800
has come in and just made him this feisty, annoying

1021
00:47:59,840 --> 00:48:02,000
team to have to play like. This has to be

1022
00:48:02,039 --> 00:48:05,719
one of the toughest teams to play against because they're

1023
00:48:05,840 --> 00:48:09,199
kind of dirty. Dylan Brooks has always yappened and in

1024
00:48:09,320 --> 00:48:12,360
people's faces. Interesting game here tonight. How do you break

1025
00:48:12,400 --> 00:48:13,599
down the Suns and the Timberwolves.

1026
00:48:15,079 --> 00:48:17,239
Speaker 8: Three NBA games on the board tonight on Monday, and

1027
00:48:17,280 --> 00:48:18,639
this will be a good one. I believe this is

1028
00:48:18,679 --> 00:48:20,599
the national TV game, kind of there in the middle.

1029
00:48:20,960 --> 00:48:23,559
And this is of course Phoenix at Minnesota time chain

1030
00:48:23,679 --> 00:48:25,840
seven forty easter. I think this is like a Peacock game.

1031
00:48:25,880 --> 00:48:28,760
I'd have to check, but it's an interesting matchup because

1032
00:48:28,760 --> 00:48:31,239
the Suns are short handed without Booker. And I was

1033
00:48:31,239 --> 00:48:34,079
on wager Talk Today a week ago on Monday breaking

1034
00:48:34,119 --> 00:48:35,960
down the Lakers and Suns, and I like the Suns

1035
00:48:35,960 --> 00:48:37,920
as the best bet. Used it for my clients as well.

1036
00:48:37,960 --> 00:48:40,599
And they want to outright by seventeen points is a

1037
00:48:40,639 --> 00:48:42,559
five point dog. But if you told me Devin Booker

1038
00:48:42,599 --> 00:48:44,159
was going to be injured ten minutes into the game

1039
00:48:44,199 --> 00:48:46,440
with a growing injury, I'm not sure I would have

1040
00:48:46,480 --> 00:48:48,840
used that play. But as we always see, you play

1041
00:48:48,920 --> 00:48:51,440
the shorthanded team, especially on short notice when the other

1042
00:48:51,480 --> 00:48:54,239
team isn't prepared, and magic happens. By the way, the

1043
00:48:54,239 --> 00:48:55,880
Suns are zero and three straight up. There are other

1044
00:48:55,920 --> 00:48:59,400
three games on each side, including the game this past

1045
00:48:59,480 --> 00:49:02,119
Friday Houston when they did not play with Booker. They

1046
00:49:02,159 --> 00:49:04,400
lost that game by nineteen and failed to cover as

1047
00:49:04,400 --> 00:49:07,159
a nine point dog. One thing that's concerned about Phoenix

1048
00:49:07,239 --> 00:49:09,840
is their defense. They've given up forty eight percent shooting

1049
00:49:09,880 --> 00:49:11,880
or worse than five of their last six games. So

1050
00:49:11,920 --> 00:49:14,159
if they do win this one tonight, probably going to

1051
00:49:14,239 --> 00:49:15,840
have to get up and over that total, which is

1052
00:49:15,880 --> 00:49:18,719
currently sitting around to twenty four. And by the way,

1053
00:49:18,760 --> 00:49:20,840
as I do this game live here on wager Talk

1054
00:49:20,880 --> 00:49:23,960
today at twelve fifty eastern, several books have just taken

1055
00:49:23,960 --> 00:49:26,199
this game off the board, so maybe I should pause

1056
00:49:26,239 --> 00:49:29,039
in my analysis. I'm looking at the Odds logic screen

1057
00:49:29,119 --> 00:49:31,639
right now, and it is lighting up red, which means

1058
00:49:31,639 --> 00:49:35,480
stop do your research. Devin Booker. I'm seeing listed is out.

1059
00:49:35,800 --> 00:49:37,639
We'll dig a little bit deeper when you're watching this

1060
00:49:37,679 --> 00:49:40,679
an hour later. Maybe he's in. I'm not expecting Booker

1061
00:49:40,719 --> 00:49:43,239
to play either way, though I like the Suns in

1062
00:49:43,280 --> 00:49:45,400
this one. I was going to give out some props

1063
00:49:45,400 --> 00:49:47,760
without Booker out there and say, guys it might step

1064
00:49:47,880 --> 00:49:51,000
up in his absence, or some secondary guys like Dylan Brooks,

1065
00:49:51,039 --> 00:49:52,559
who by the way, averages twenty two and a half

1066
00:49:52,599 --> 00:49:54,119
points a game. He'd be leading the lead. He'd be

1067
00:49:54,199 --> 00:49:56,800
leading a lot of teams and scoring behind Booker's twenty

1068
00:49:56,800 --> 00:50:00,400
five or Grayson Allen at seventeen points a game. Both

1069
00:50:00,400 --> 00:50:02,679
of those guys are playing over thirty one minutes a game.

1070
00:50:02,960 --> 00:50:05,280
Even if Booker magically appears, which he's not supposed to.

1071
00:50:05,360 --> 00:50:07,719
But once again, right around one o'clock Eastern, here I

1072
00:50:07,719 --> 00:50:09,760
see this game lighten up, so we'll see what's going on.

1073
00:50:10,199 --> 00:50:12,719
I think there's some sneaky player prop opportunities with Grayson

1074
00:50:12,760 --> 00:50:14,480
Allen and here's why. As I mentioned, he's going to

1075
00:50:14,519 --> 00:50:16,760
probably be the other big scorer with Dylan Brooks if

1076
00:50:16,800 --> 00:50:18,840
Booker is out. Even if he's limited. But if you

1077
00:50:18,880 --> 00:50:21,400
look at the game against Houston, Dylan Brooks came in

1078
00:50:21,519 --> 00:50:24,079
had thirty one minutes twenty three points, ten for twenty

1079
00:50:24,119 --> 00:50:26,679
four shooting, So yes, there's some more upside with his over.

1080
00:50:27,239 --> 00:50:29,920
But what about Grayson Allen. He played twenty six minutes

1081
00:50:29,920 --> 00:50:31,719
only at nine points, but he was only three for

1082
00:50:31,800 --> 00:50:35,320
twelve shooting only one for seven. Brooks and Allen combined

1083
00:50:35,360 --> 00:50:38,480
were one for eleven from three point range in that

1084
00:50:38,519 --> 00:50:40,960
game on Friday. So I like the Suns to bounce

1085
00:50:41,000 --> 00:50:43,960
back here against Minnesota, and I think some Brooks Grayson

1086
00:50:44,000 --> 00:50:46,880
Allen props over scoring wise could be worth a look also,

1087
00:50:47,000 --> 00:50:49,719
But hey, do your due diligence as I'm talking about

1088
00:50:49,719 --> 00:50:52,199
this game right now. Oh, I see what it is. Boom.

1089
00:50:52,239 --> 00:50:53,920
Gotta love odds Logic And by the way, if you'd

1090
00:50:53,960 --> 00:50:56,400
like a seven day free trial to oddslogic dot com,

1091
00:50:56,400 --> 00:50:59,199
it's on my page Steve merrilwadger Talk dot com and

1092
00:50:59,239 --> 00:51:02,039
you'll see then in then re update just popped Anthony

1093
00:51:02,119 --> 00:51:07,559
Edwards illness questionable to play to that against Phoenix today

1094
00:51:07,800 --> 00:51:09,440
And for those of you watching my video here a

1095
00:51:09,440 --> 00:51:10,519
wager Talk TV.

1096
00:51:12,679 --> 00:51:16,199
Speaker 2: NBA from the afternoon and now we're already getting questionable.

1097
00:51:18,000 --> 00:51:20,000
Speaker 8: Seriously, guys like this a one hour show, Like if

1098
00:51:20,000 --> 00:51:21,840
I did this breakdown two minutes ago, none of this

1099
00:51:21,880 --> 00:51:25,440
would have popped. It's unreal, zero gross.

1100
00:51:25,599 --> 00:51:28,039
Speaker 1: That's why we love the crack Man rants. We wouldn't

1101
00:51:28,039 --> 00:51:30,599
have gotten that. Oh if crack Man didn't rent.

1102
00:51:30,480 --> 00:51:33,599
Speaker 8: If Horton hadn't said what he said, then the live

1103
00:51:33,679 --> 00:51:35,559
viewers and the viewers of the videos here a wager

1104
00:51:35,599 --> 00:51:37,400
Talk TV wouldn't have an up to date video and

1105
00:51:37,440 --> 00:51:39,599
I'd be hung to dry. I wasn't gonna talk about

1106
00:51:39,599 --> 00:51:41,960
Anthony Edwards. Luckily this line is dropping that by the way,

1107
00:51:42,000 --> 00:51:44,079
it went from ten was ten, now it's nine, Now

1108
00:51:44,079 --> 00:51:48,119
it's eight and a half. You almost like Minnesota. Edwards

1109
00:51:48,119 --> 00:51:49,639
doesn't play right because you can't lay eight and a

1110
00:51:49,679 --> 00:51:52,519
half without Edwards out there. We know how this turns out. Now.

1111
00:51:52,559 --> 00:51:55,199
I still like Phoenix in this spot, and I would

1112
00:51:55,239 --> 00:51:57,239
actually like it better without Edwards. I think Phoenix is

1113
00:51:57,280 --> 00:51:58,760
in a focused spot and they're not gonna have their

1114
00:51:58,800 --> 00:52:02,000
best player either. Total is really dropping, guys down to

1115
00:52:02,000 --> 00:52:05,039
two twenty three. Hard to disagree with the two best

1116
00:52:05,079 --> 00:52:07,639
offensive players out for each team, but as we know,

1117
00:52:07,719 --> 00:52:09,679
weird things happen in the NBA. All these guys can

1118
00:52:09,679 --> 00:52:10,519
score in their sleep.

1119
00:52:12,000 --> 00:52:14,559
Speaker 2: Steve. We got tons of Bowl games coming up, and

1120
00:52:14,599 --> 00:52:18,559
you're going to do a bunch of bull breakdown videos.

1121
00:52:18,920 --> 00:52:21,159
I think you pretty much cover every single Bowl game.

1122
00:52:21,239 --> 00:52:23,199
So yeah, what can people expect her on the YouTube

1123
00:52:23,239 --> 00:52:24,239
channel coming up?

1124
00:52:24,360 --> 00:52:26,320
Speaker 8: So I'm going to do every single Bowl game, just

1125
00:52:26,360 --> 00:52:29,079
like I did for every NCAA tournament game. We'll have

1126
00:52:29,159 --> 00:52:31,119
that on a daily basis, so you make sure you

1127
00:52:31,159 --> 00:52:32,920
click subscribe and you click that bell, you'll get an

1128
00:52:32,920 --> 00:52:34,679
instant alert. And by the way, this past week I

1129
00:52:34,679 --> 00:52:39,039
gave you all nine championship College Football Conference Championship games

1130
00:52:39,679 --> 00:52:42,360
and with the NFL free play videos, my fade the Public,

1131
00:52:42,400 --> 00:52:44,320
the Prime Game which is now eleven and three, that

1132
00:52:44,320 --> 00:52:46,639
Thursday Night winner on the Lions, and also my free

1133
00:52:46,719 --> 00:52:49,000
play of the Day Sunday, I realized I gave you

1134
00:52:49,039 --> 00:52:51,440
twelve the fourteen NFL games for free. So that's right,

1135
00:52:51,559 --> 00:52:54,199
twenty one of the twenty three football games last week

1136
00:52:54,480 --> 00:52:56,920
I gave everyone for free. Now people might be thinking,

1137
00:52:56,920 --> 00:52:58,239
what are you doing, Steve? Why should we go to

1138
00:52:58,280 --> 00:53:00,519
your page? You get your best bets. Well, that's exactly

1139
00:53:00,559 --> 00:53:02,159
why you should get my best bets because most of

1140
00:53:02,199 --> 00:53:04,559
those games twenty one out of the twenty three, only

1141
00:53:04,639 --> 00:53:06,760
a few of those maybe were official plays. Most of

1142
00:53:06,760 --> 00:53:09,599
them are one percent tv lians lights, opinions. I'm basically

1143
00:53:09,880 --> 00:53:11,639
pulling back the curtain and let you know how I'm

1144
00:53:11,639 --> 00:53:14,199
handicapping all the games. Give you my liens. But if

1145
00:53:14,239 --> 00:53:16,480
you want the official best bets, the strong four percent

1146
00:53:16,519 --> 00:53:18,679
best bets, same plays that swept the board in the

1147
00:53:18,760 --> 00:53:21,119
NFL three to oh yesterday on Sunday, number one in

1148
00:53:21,199 --> 00:53:23,679
units won over the past year, check out my page

1149
00:53:23,719 --> 00:53:26,239
Steve merrillwager talk dot com. Of course you can get

1150
00:53:26,239 --> 00:53:28,840
there quick with WT dot buzz slash sm But I've

1151
00:53:28,880 --> 00:53:31,159
got another buzz code for you for this week, and

1152
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I haven't released it anywhere first time, Right here, right now,

1153
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1154
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1155
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1156
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1157
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1158
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This is the absolute lowest price I've ever offered for

1159
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1160
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1161
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1162
00:54:02,320 --> 00:54:04,400
on January first, do it right now. Get the next

1163
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1164
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1165
00:54:10,480 --> 00:54:13,239
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1166
00:54:13,320 --> 00:54:13,760
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1167
00:54:14,880 --> 00:54:17,760
Speaker 2: All right, Steve, thanks very much, excited for all these

1168
00:54:17,760 --> 00:54:20,760
Bowl videos. Nobody works harder at the free videos than you,

1169
00:54:21,039 --> 00:54:23,679
so thank you very much. Don't forget grab that three

1170
00:54:23,760 --> 00:54:27,239
hundred and sixty five day pass for Steve Merrill. All right,

1171
00:54:27,320 --> 00:54:29,280
let's do some free plays Dan, and then let's do

1172
00:54:30,239 --> 00:54:34,960
WTTF or LFG. Actually, let's let's do wtf LFG first. Okay,

1173
00:54:35,639 --> 00:54:39,079
this is a concept. You explain it and then we'll

1174
00:54:39,079 --> 00:54:40,760
get the live chat involved with this one.

1175
00:54:40,880 --> 00:54:44,239
Speaker 1: So here's the idea behind it is. You know, I

1176
00:54:44,559 --> 00:54:46,760
just coming on here on the show and just asking

1177
00:54:46,800 --> 00:54:48,440
some questions. That's not going to get it done. What

1178
00:54:48,480 --> 00:54:51,000
do people want? Andy, They want picks, they want thoughts,

1179
00:54:51,000 --> 00:54:53,960
they want opinions. So each and every day I will

1180
00:54:53,960 --> 00:54:56,519
come with a bet. Side might be a prop, might

1181
00:54:56,559 --> 00:54:59,199
be a total, It could be in lacrosse, it could

1182
00:54:59,199 --> 00:55:01,840
be in football, could be any sport. But the thought

1183
00:55:01,920 --> 00:55:04,440
is is I'm gonna try and get Andy to be

1184
00:55:04,519 --> 00:55:07,320
wooed on potentially betting this play with me. It's a

1185
00:55:07,360 --> 00:55:09,679
play that I will bet myself, but won't just throw

1186
00:55:09,719 --> 00:55:12,480
them out here. We'll track them on the show as well. Here.

1187
00:55:12,840 --> 00:55:18,000
But LFG or WTF We already used our one F

1188
00:55:18,039 --> 00:55:20,039
word of the show, so I won't spell out what

1189
00:55:20,119 --> 00:55:24,239
those mean. But LFG, let F and go or WTF

1190
00:55:24,679 --> 00:55:28,360
what the F? And the thought process is LFG is

1191
00:55:28,400 --> 00:55:30,599
Andy and the chat riding with me on this play

1192
00:55:30,719 --> 00:55:32,719
or is it just what the F? What do you think?

1193
00:55:32,719 --> 00:55:35,360
And Dan, why are you doing this? Unfortunately, Krack used

1194
00:55:35,360 --> 00:55:38,119
our F word, so so Andy. The prop for us

1195
00:55:38,119 --> 00:55:41,840
today that I am betting I think the Eagles will

1196
00:55:41,840 --> 00:55:44,320
win tonight. I'm not so sure. I'm kind of with

1197
00:55:44,360 --> 00:55:47,559
the chat here. You can't bet the side, but a

1198
00:55:47,599 --> 00:55:49,119
prop that I found in this game that I like

1199
00:55:49,199 --> 00:55:51,840
quite a bit, Andy, and I have bet my own money.

1200
00:55:51,960 --> 00:55:58,280
Jalen hurts over thirty and a half rushing yards. The

1201
00:55:58,320 --> 00:56:01,159
thought process here for me is there's been all this

1202
00:56:01,280 --> 00:56:05,199
talk this week, this past week about Jalen's unwillingness to run,

1203
00:56:05,920 --> 00:56:07,719
and Hurts even in a presser earlier this week, he

1204
00:56:07,760 --> 00:56:09,400
addressed it and he said, where do we come to

1205
00:56:09,480 --> 00:56:14,760
that conclusion? And typically when Jalen speaks out in press conferences,

1206
00:56:15,079 --> 00:56:17,039
he has a bit of a chip on his shoulder,

1207
00:56:17,199 --> 00:56:19,039
so I think he might tuck it a little bit

1208
00:56:19,039 --> 00:56:21,559
more than he typically would. I also expect some design

1209
00:56:21,719 --> 00:56:25,840
runs simply because you're without Lane Johnson. You're going to

1210
00:56:25,880 --> 00:56:28,679
try and have to change things up here in the

1211
00:56:28,800 --> 00:56:32,800
run game. And for what it's worth, Andy Hurts isn't

1212
00:56:32,880 --> 00:56:34,840
wrong saying how do we come to that conclusion? He

1213
00:56:34,880 --> 00:56:37,320
has three hundred and thirty rushing yards as a quarterback

1214
00:56:37,400 --> 00:56:40,559
eighty four attempts this season, so it's been dropped with

1215
00:56:41,239 --> 00:56:44,239
less regularity, but those numbers put him at an average

1216
00:56:44,280 --> 00:56:47,360
of around six rush attempts per game. He's lined it

1217
00:56:47,440 --> 00:56:49,400
around seven and a half this game, and it's heavily

1218
00:56:49,480 --> 00:56:54,679
juiced to the over Chargers. Solid defense. Don't get me wrong, Andy,

1219
00:56:54,719 --> 00:56:58,679
but when they've seen mobile quarterbacks, there's been a susceptibility

1220
00:56:58,960 --> 00:57:03,079
to allowing some rush yards. Pat Mahomes forty seven yards

1221
00:57:03,119 --> 00:57:06,079
on six attempts, thirty three yards on eight attempts for

1222
00:57:06,159 --> 00:57:10,519
bow Nicks fifty four yards on ten attempts for Jackson Dart. Finally,

1223
00:57:10,639 --> 00:57:14,320
Jayden Daniels thirty nine yards. That's the fewest on eight

1224
00:57:14,400 --> 00:57:17,880
different attempts. This rush prop is just feeling a little

1225
00:57:17,920 --> 00:57:19,599
too low for me with a guy with his chip

1226
00:57:19,639 --> 00:57:23,079
on his shoulder. Jalen Hurts over thirty and a half

1227
00:57:23,159 --> 00:57:27,559
rush yards Andy LFG or WTF you're tailing or fading?

1228
00:57:28,760 --> 00:57:31,679
Speaker 2: I'll go LFG with you on this one. With Lane

1229
00:57:31,760 --> 00:57:35,320
Johnson Aine, Yeah, yeah, with Lane Johnson out there could

1230
00:57:35,320 --> 00:57:39,480
be some pass protection breakdowns. And also Saquon Barkley has

1231
00:57:39,519 --> 00:57:42,960
been complete ass this year, and you just you're not

1232
00:57:42,960 --> 00:57:45,519
getting those explosive runs. I'm serious, you're not getting those

1233
00:57:45,559 --> 00:57:49,199
explosively to run is that eat up huge chunks of yards?

1234
00:57:49,320 --> 00:57:53,800
And Jalen Hurts is he's just so sneaky at Oh,

1235
00:57:53,840 --> 00:57:55,840
it's third and eight, the pocket opens up and all

1236
00:57:55,840 --> 00:57:58,480
of a sudden there's a seventeen yard run. He does

1237
00:57:58,480 --> 00:58:01,360
it in chunks, not volume. So yeah, I think I'll

1238
00:58:01,400 --> 00:58:03,000
ride with you. I don't know if it's gonna make

1239
00:58:03,159 --> 00:58:04,079
it's not gonna make the.

1240
00:58:04,039 --> 00:58:08,199
Speaker 1: Client card, but yeah, fair well, we had we had

1241
00:58:08,199 --> 00:58:11,480
one LFG and a bunch of wtfs in here. So

1242
00:58:11,559 --> 00:58:15,760
comment below after the video say Dan LFG or WTF.

1243
00:58:16,199 --> 00:58:19,440
Everybody is fading this one, Andy, which yeah, actually makes

1244
00:58:19,480 --> 00:58:21,719
me feel a little bit better about this one. Jalen Hurts,

1245
00:58:21,760 --> 00:58:25,280
I'm against the Chans, I'm against the world over thirty

1246
00:58:25,280 --> 00:58:28,559
and a half roshyards boots on the ground. And this

1247
00:58:28,719 --> 00:58:31,119
is also a reason Andy, we got your uh your

1248
00:58:31,280 --> 00:58:33,880
all around the world. I like the fact that people

1249
00:58:34,400 --> 00:58:38,079
think that Jalen Hurts isn't running because the actual facts

1250
00:58:38,079 --> 00:58:42,320
have just been different. You know, has it been as successful, No,

1251
00:58:42,440 --> 00:58:45,360
but the attempts have been there. H So so that's

1252
00:58:45,360 --> 00:58:48,440
the thoughts there. Comment below let us know Dan LFG

1253
00:58:48,760 --> 00:58:51,400
or WTF and we'll track them. Andy.

1254
00:58:52,280 --> 00:58:54,559
Speaker 2: All right, let's go all around the world, give out

1255
00:58:54,559 --> 00:58:57,639
some free plays and then we can get out of here.

1256
00:58:57,679 --> 00:58:59,280
Thank you so much, guys, make sure you hit the

1257
00:58:59,400 --> 00:59:02,519
like button and again. Monday Night Football Best Bet is up.

1258
00:59:02,559 --> 00:59:04,760
Only one best prop on the board. Twenty four and

1259
00:59:04,800 --> 00:59:10,239
twelve primetime run. Here's some free plays. That is not

1260
00:59:10,920 --> 00:59:12,000
the right one, damn.

1261
00:59:12,119 --> 00:59:14,960
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, Panthers in forty nine ers, Sandy. That's that's

1262
00:59:14,960 --> 00:59:18,760
a big, big game here, tonight, buddy, give me one second. Sorry,

1263
00:59:19,119 --> 00:59:22,320
they already played. Yeah, all right, it's a good game. Though,

1264
00:59:22,360 --> 00:59:24,159
it's a good Jalen Hurts definitely didn't go over his

1265
00:59:24,280 --> 00:59:26,360
rushing in that game. Here you go, Andy, Oh yeah,

1266
00:59:26,360 --> 00:59:27,239
here we go Eagles.

1267
00:59:27,320 --> 00:59:30,320
Speaker 2: Chargers. Take a look at Dallas Goddard under three and

1268
00:59:30,320 --> 00:59:33,840
a half on his receptions the two receptions in each

1269
00:59:33,840 --> 00:59:36,079
of the last three games. Jalen hurts accuracy has not

1270
00:59:36,159 --> 00:59:39,800
been going there. Eleven targets, six catches in those games,

1271
00:59:39,840 --> 00:59:42,079
and the Chargers are pretty good against tight ends. E'vecept

1272
00:59:42,159 --> 00:59:43,840
less than four catches per game to tight ends, So

1273
00:59:43,920 --> 00:59:46,800
Dallas got her under. Looking at Darren Fox over twenty

1274
00:59:46,800 --> 00:59:49,119
three and a half points. I've been watching the Spurs

1275
00:59:49,800 --> 00:59:52,079
quite a bit recently. I don't know why this guy

1276
00:59:52,159 --> 00:59:55,039
is such a ballhog, but we can take advantage of that.

1277
00:59:55,679 --> 00:59:57,760
The Pelicans give up one hundred and twenty three points

1278
00:59:57,760 --> 00:59:59,480
per game. He's gone over this in ten out of

1279
00:59:59,480 --> 01:00:02,960
eleven games. He's shooting the ball eighteen times from the field,

1280
01:00:03,000 --> 01:00:05,199
but he is shooting fifty percent. I'll give him that.

1281
01:00:05,320 --> 01:00:07,920
So Daron Fox over twenty three and a half. And

1282
01:00:07,960 --> 01:00:11,159
then this comes from the free picks. Page over at

1283
01:00:11,199 --> 01:00:13,559
wager Talk. You guys looking for some free picks for tonight.

1284
01:00:13,920 --> 01:00:16,760
This one comes from Ralph Michaels Wild and the Crack

1285
01:00:16,800 --> 01:00:19,239
and the Wild money Line at minus one thirty. The

1286
01:00:19,239 --> 01:00:21,559
Wild are on a twelve and five run. They have

1287
01:00:21,679 --> 01:00:23,679
lost back to back games, but they're four and one

1288
01:00:23,800 --> 01:00:26,320
after a loss and they've only allowed four goals in

1289
01:00:26,400 --> 01:00:29,559
those wins after a loss. Me while the Kraken have

1290
01:00:29,639 --> 01:00:31,639
dropped five in a row and they are one for

1291
01:00:31,719 --> 01:00:37,079
their last nineteen power plays successful conversion rate, so not

1292
01:00:37,199 --> 01:00:39,320
getting goals on the power play. Take a look at

1293
01:00:39,320 --> 01:00:41,960
the Wild on the money line. All right, let's gonna

1294
01:00:41,960 --> 01:00:43,920
do it for us. Thank you so much for watching, guys.

1295
01:00:43,960 --> 01:00:46,280
We're gonna do it again tomorrow, Dan, thank you so

1296
01:00:46,360 --> 01:00:48,679
much for joining us. Please ht the like button on

1297
01:00:48,679 --> 01:00:50,800
your way out. Make sure you're subscribed to the channel.

1298
01:00:50,880 --> 01:00:53,679
Quarter of a million people cannot be wrong. We got

1299
01:00:53,679 --> 01:00:56,239
to be doing something right over here. So good luck

1300
01:00:56,239 --> 01:00:58,679
onto your plays. Make sure we bet responsibly. See everying

1301
01:00:58,719 --> 01:01:01,079
tomorrow's same time, same play on wage You talk today,

1302
01:01:01,079 --> 01:01:03,960
You luck on your bets. Take care