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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is Wednesday. It's day three

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of Feast week. Two man show again today. Brian Power

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is back. Vina will be back later in the week,

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I think. And I gotta say, when you're betting these

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it's feast week. If you're watching, when you're betting them,

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it can be feast or famine week. That's what's happened

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to me so far. I had a five and one

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day on Monday and followed it up with a one

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in five Tuesday.

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Speaker 2: Brian.

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Speaker 1: For my mental health, it would have been just better

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to go three and three both days. But here we are,

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these swings of like volume betting during the college basketball

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season on display for me this week. How how is

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the Did you end up at the Zoo at any

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point in time the last couple of days.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I did end up at the Zoom Monday, and

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I'll tell you what I felt like. I was at

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the Zoo on Monday both and literally thanks for, by

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the way, carrying the load for the show yesterday.

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Speaker 4: I need you know.

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Speaker 3: I was travel guys, full disclosure on Tuesday, back from Cincinnati.

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I'm back home, as you can see, no longer in

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the basement like I was on Monday, very glad to

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be back home.

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Speaker 4: I'll be blunt with you. I wasn't very good on

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Monday's show. I thought, you know, I spoke well.

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Speaker 3: I gave a lot of information, but I think as

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far as my opinions on a lot of those games,

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I didn't say a lot of correct things on Monday.

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Speaker 4: So I apologize for that.

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Speaker 3: Hopefully we after a day to dust myself off and collect,

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I'm a little more correct here today.

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Speaker 4: I was glad to see you did well on Monday

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at least.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, this is a crazy week with all these

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teams playing three games and three days, teams not knowing

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who they're even going to play today. I mean, this

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Iowa State Syracuse game is insane, Trigg in that they

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have what the.

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Speaker 4: Game tips off at one o'clock? Correct? Where are am

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I at here on my sheet? It tips off at

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one o'clock.

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Speaker 3: They have fifteen hours of lead time to know what

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the matchup was there, I believe I don't think they

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learned till shortly after ten am.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it is uh, well, I mean listen, let's uh

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you know, we were going to talk in Zag and Michigan,

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but since you've brought it up.

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Speaker 2: Let's just get the ball.

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Speaker 4: Now, let's talk about that game.

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Speaker 2: Oh okay, let's know, let's just talk Iowa State Syracuse.

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Speaker 1: And I think it's kind of illustrates the point that

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we'll probably make with some with some of the bigger games.

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It's like, from a handicapping perspective, you're in such uncharted

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like territory with some of these third, third game in

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three day type scenarios right where it's like when you

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look at the college basketball season, like in really this

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only happens during conference tournament play. There's no other time,

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Like every once in a while you'll play back to

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back in the NCAA tournament, you'll play you know, it's

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not uncommon to play like a Saturday, Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Twice in three days. Some leagues play like that.

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Speaker 1: But three games and three days really only happens now

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or conference tournament. And now you talk about the wrinkle

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of the players era, like having really not knowing your

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opponent potentially until later that that night. I mean, it's

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very conference tournament esque, except usually in the conference tournament

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you at least you know by that point you know

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the game is at night. It's not like first thing

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in the morning. Which is I think out there there

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because there are a couple hours behind us, so this

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is going to be an early tip local time, and

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both players, both teams are probably without what they are

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without their best players. So, yeah, how do you make

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sense of Iowa State Syracuse? I'll go to you and

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then I've got some thoughts. But I'm curious to see

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how you see this one.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, well, it's a it's an interesting matchup. Look, I

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know that on social media over the last forty eight

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hours in the college basketball world, there's been so much handwringing,

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so much talk about just the nature of this tournament. Correct,

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And that's not for you and I to decide like that, right,

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I mean, look, there's games we're gonna bet out of regard. Okay,

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I think there's you know, it's kind of a soulless event.

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Speaker 4: I think is kind of a consensus.

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Speaker 3: But hey, we're getting some good matchups at least. I

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think what's interesting about this game trig between Syracuse and

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Iowa State. It's not just that these teams have such

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little lead time. You brought up how in conference tournaments,

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you know, the way the brackets are done in conference tournaments.

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You know, let's say it's the quarter five like we're

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talking to quarterfinals to semi finals situation. Okay, in a

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twenty four hour span of the conference, the two teams

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that win the second, the third, and fourth quarter final

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will then play the second semi final, and you have

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at least have an idea who you're gonna play, right

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because you know the two teams in the opposite part

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of the bracket, and there's twenty four hours at least guaranty.

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This is I don't know if I've ever seen anything

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like this where it's like you're playing tomorrow fifteen hours

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from now, and you don't know against two and it's

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gonna be against you know, a decent team.

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Speaker 4: So it's crazy. Oh what else is crazy?

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Speaker 3: Iowa State is the one two and oh team in

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this the one team that's gone too and oh in

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this event, I should say that will not be get

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to that will not get to compete for the extra

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nil money, which is obviously the draw for most of

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these teams. I know Otzenberger saying, oh, this was more

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about character building. That's what you say when you missed

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out on the nil money. But I think had the

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bracket this was more and he didn't want to run up.

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To be fair, he they cost themselves by not running

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up the score last night. So literally that's and Kansas

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dunked it late to get into that third place game.

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So we're we're talking a lot of logistics here about

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the matchup. What you guys need to know Iowa States

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two and oh in this event, Syracuse zero to two.

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They've played Houston and Kansas and they competed hard. Why

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did they lose those games?

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Speaker 4: Trigg? I know, you know why. Let's just make sure

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everyone else knows why.

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Speaker 3: This is a team that went twelve of twenty nine

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from the free throw line against Houston. I know a

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lot of people like bang their head against the wall

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all this free throw You can't go twelve of twenty nine,

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you know sometimes, you know, I think the free throw

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shooting people make too much that the twelve of twenty

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nine from the charity stripe is absolutely abhorrent. And then

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they're thirteen of twenty three against Kansas. So that's that's

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twenty five of fifty two on free throws.

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Speaker 2: Not good.

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Speaker 4: And it may just be a thing.

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Speaker 3: It may just be a thing, you know, with that,

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I mean, some you know, there are certain teams that

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just suck from the free throw line, so that that's

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a problem.

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Speaker 4: I don't know, that's a lot. We've said a lot.

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Speaker 3: Here for a game that's really really hard to bet, Like,

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I mean, there's no prep time and it's early in

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the year.

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Speaker 4: It's not like you got a lot of tape on

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these teams either.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: So just and also just to to your point about

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the conference tournaments and stuff like that, you've played those

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teams during the regular season in most cases, so it's yeah,

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you've probably already prepped at once for the team you're

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gonna play in a conference tournament, whereas like having really

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not no idea who your opponent's gonna be because it's

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it's based on you know, results from a couple of

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days and then they and then it's based on whoever

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they they hand you because there's no bracket.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's gonna make it. But the thing is, and this.

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Speaker 1: Is where I'll tie it back into what I think

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is maybe something actionable in this one. Uh, it's it's

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the same for both teams. I saw someone in the

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chat say, well, coaching is gonna really matter. Yeah, Iowa

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State's got a pretty big coaching edge Red Auxury's are

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one of the worst in coaches in the in the land.

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I but and this goes back to something I said

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on Monday, I don't mind that as much when you're

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a ten point dog. And so now I pulled up

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a comment Doug m I would stay on Creighton inside

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the paint. They will have a much tougher time for

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Syracuse interior defense. That's a very good point. Syracuse's interior

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defenses looked great. Also, you know, yesterday Brian, I knew

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I was I knew I was doomed to have a

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bad day when I had Creighton plus nine and a

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half and it went off four and a half and

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I had no chance, Like I had, I had a

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good and I had some good insight into Lipsey for

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Iowa State not playing uh. I think I put that

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in as a four percent play at about midnight or

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like maybe like right around then over I was still

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up watching Maryland.

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Speaker 2: It was like one in the morning.

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Speaker 1: That went off four and a half. So I'm sitting

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there with like a huge CLV and it never mattered.

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And so that kind of set the tone for me

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giving back my Monday yesterday. The reason I bring that

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up here is like I do think so without Lipsey,

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even though it didn't matter against Creighton, that backcourt is

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very young without him, And I have to say I've

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been very impressed with Syracuse's defense, and so maybe it

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matters a little bit here if CS can force a

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couple turnovers, if the you know, Kyle on the interior

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for Syracuse is is the guy that came over from

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Ucla has been fantastic. So I do have a lean

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towards Syracuse at ten, but man, it's it's tough because

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it goes both ways. Donnie Freeman didn't play in this tournament,

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and then you just have to wonder how much do

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they have left in the tank the all in effort

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against Houston, putting the effort in to come back against Kansas,

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and then like running out of gas, how much how

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much do they have in the tank for this early tip.

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I think that's what's gonna ultimately keep me off of

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this game.

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Speaker 3: And I think it's fair. Is the Syracuse two point

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defense so far as that a mirage? Is that something

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we expect? It's obviously, you know, we're early in the season.

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A lot of these numbers are small samplesizes.

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Speaker 4: You know, some of these teams have played bat we copones.

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Speaker 3: I think that's why I'm not convinced Syracuse is gonna

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be a great two point defense of the rest of

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the year. I will also Creighton, my god, my apologies,

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I know had it it was injury related. Crighton's in

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some trouble this year, that this is the worst Creighton

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team in years.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I would agree with that they had. I mean,

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just to they had nothing that that that team is.

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I did downgrade them significantly after that performance yesterday and

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then just to you know, so, I guess this will

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will end up being our feature game today. Since we

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got into it, we might as well put a bow

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on it. You talked about Syracuse's interior defense. I do

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think it's probably going to be considerably better than last year,

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just because you take Eddie Lampkin off the floor, who

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was not a good defensive player at all, and you

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put William Kyle and who is an absolute beast on

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the defensive end. But the other thing is they're playing

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entirely manned man now. So that was one thing that

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Autrey talked about when he took the Syracuse job was

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he wanted to phase out the zone.

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Speaker 2: He wanted to get away from the two three zone.

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Speaker 1: Now, in the first year he tried to do that

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and the defense was atrocious. It was an so we

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had to go back to it a little bit last year.

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I just don't think he had the personnel. This year,

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it looks like he's got the personnel to play man

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and man, and so I do think the Q stepense

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might be like a lot better than than people think. Again,

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I'll lean towards Syracuse at ten. I just saw a

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ten and a half pop up at ben mgm Uh.

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But man, Iowa State, like it looked really good yesterday

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without Lipsey, could it happen again today?

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Speaker 2: That's probably why I won't ct the game.

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Speaker 3: One point to points for possession for Iowa State yesterday,

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So that that's that's very good.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go to you for what is was going

242
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to be our feature game. I suppose we'll make it

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a little double feature and then we'll start rattling off

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chat questions. But from a from just a sheer like

245
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game standpoint, Gonzaga Michigan might be, I mean might be

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not only the best game today, uh, this could be

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the game of the non conference. I mean, so far

248
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like this might be the best matchup of the season

249
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to this point. I was surprised, Brian when my numbers

250
00:12:07,759 --> 00:12:11,320
came out Michigan ever so slightly favored in this game.

251
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I made them minus one. Do you agree or disagree?

252
00:12:15,480 --> 00:12:16,960
And how are you looking at this game?

253
00:12:17,960 --> 00:12:20,759
Speaker 3: I agree with the mart spoiler alert. I agree with

254
00:12:20,799 --> 00:12:23,919
where the market is at right now pretty much. Let's

255
00:12:23,960 --> 00:12:26,799
go through it here. Earlier this week, we talked about

256
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point differential being a key factor in determining the winner

257
00:12:30,080 --> 00:12:33,440
for this somewhat soulless Players.

258
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Speaker 4: Era event out in Vegas.

259
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Speaker 3: Well treg Needless to say, Michigan and Gonzaga have definitely

260
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produced some impressive point differentials to qualify for tonight's championship game.

261
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For those just kind of keeping up here, Michigan's beat

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00:12:45,840 --> 00:12:48,679
in San Diego State in Auburn by combined seventy points.

263
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Gonzaga beats Alabama and Maryland by a combined forty nine.

264
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Power ratings wise, I've moved Michigan up a couple obviously,

265
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you have to have a few spots after the last

266
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two days. Gonzaga, meanwhile, they're number one in my power ranks.

267
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I moved him just past Duke, I'm pretty much in line,

268
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like I said, with where the market currently is at Idea.

269
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I made the Zags minus two, so we're off a

270
00:13:09,320 --> 00:13:12,159
little bit. You and I now that doesn't mean Michigan

271
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can't win here. I'm not gonna say that the Wolverines.

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You're talking about a team with four double digit scorers

273
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for the season. Six guys were double figures last night.

274
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This team seems confident. They're talking about how they feel

275
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they have the best front court of the country. Defensively, though,

276
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trig is where Michigan has really shined this for number

277
00:13:28,679 --> 00:13:31,600
one in the justin efficiency over Ken Bob. On that

278
00:13:31,720 --> 00:13:34,399
end of the floor, they're holding opponents to just thirty

279
00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:38,919
four point five percent shooting over all, number two nationally

280
00:13:39,039 --> 00:13:41,960
in two point field goal percentage allowed. Now, of course,

281
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it remains to be seen if they can hold this

282
00:13:44,159 --> 00:13:47,759
Gonzaga team in check. Zags have already exceeded ninety five

283
00:13:47,799 --> 00:13:49,799
times this year. Last night they hit one hundred for

284
00:13:49,799 --> 00:13:52,279
the second time. Of course, Michigan has now scored one

285
00:13:52,360 --> 00:13:55,159
hundred plus twice as well, including last night. I do

286
00:13:55,240 --> 00:13:59,320
think Gonzaga has the length to combat the Michigan front court.

287
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I mentioned Mischaigans two point defense.

288
00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:01,720
Speaker 4: A minute ago.

289
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Speaker 3: Well, Gonzaga, they're shooting sixty two percent on two point attempts,

290
00:14:06,159 --> 00:14:07,639
so that's going to be a key part of this game.

291
00:14:07,799 --> 00:14:10,879
But I think the real key trig will be Gonzaga's

292
00:14:10,919 --> 00:14:15,240
three point shooting. They've not been great from distance so far,

293
00:14:15,519 --> 00:14:19,759
below thirty five percent from behind the arc. For them

294
00:14:19,799 --> 00:14:23,240
to win this game, I think Gonzaga needs to hit threes.

295
00:14:24,559 --> 00:14:27,639
I have said a lot here again for a game

296
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where I'm not yet ready ready to commit to a

297
00:14:30,000 --> 00:14:34,279
side or total, but I will say one sixty, which

298
00:14:34,360 --> 00:14:39,519
was where the total opened seem low. For a game

299
00:14:39,559 --> 00:14:42,399
where you got two teams that have both scored ninety

300
00:14:42,440 --> 00:14:45,200
four each of the last two days, both hit one

301
00:14:45,279 --> 00:14:48,600
hundred last night, I think the question we need to ask,

302
00:14:48,679 --> 00:14:51,960
and this goes back to the discussion about the entire

303
00:14:51,960 --> 00:14:55,360
players you're a event, what might these teams have left

304
00:14:55,399 --> 00:14:57,759
in the tank playing a third game in three days,

305
00:14:57,840 --> 00:15:00,879
especially because the third game in three day against high

306
00:15:00,919 --> 00:15:01,679
level competition.

307
00:15:03,639 --> 00:15:05,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, if you're gonna go at it from

308
00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:09,360
that angle, I think you give the edge there to

309
00:15:09,480 --> 00:15:12,080
Michigan ever so slightly, because I mean that was the

310
00:15:13,000 --> 00:15:14,679
Gonzagabama game was a war.

311
00:15:14,799 --> 00:15:18,240
Speaker 2: It's just Gonzaga landed that the knockout blow at the end.

312
00:15:18,600 --> 00:15:22,240
Speaker 1: Uh, Michigan won by forty against San Diego State, which

313
00:15:22,279 --> 00:15:24,679
is is not San Diego State right now, is not

314
00:15:24,759 --> 00:15:27,320
a grueling opponent like there.

315
00:15:27,519 --> 00:15:29,960
Speaker 2: That would almost be from like a pace standpoint.

316
00:15:29,960 --> 00:15:32,679
Speaker 1: And then the fact that you're up forty probably had

317
00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:36,440
like took very little out of Michigan. And then you know,

318
00:15:36,519 --> 00:15:40,279
of course last night they end up up big by

319
00:15:40,440 --> 00:15:43,480
by the half. So it's like, you know, now I

320
00:15:43,559 --> 00:15:46,039
understand that Gonzaga won big last night as well, but

321
00:15:46,120 --> 00:15:49,960
still like, I again, that's so difficult for me to

322
00:15:50,039 --> 00:15:53,440
look at that and say, like, let let me bet,

323
00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:56,840
Like it's not enough for me to like want to

324
00:15:56,879 --> 00:15:58,960
bet on it. The other thing, I'll say, just personally,

325
00:15:59,840 --> 00:16:03,240
I'm getting away for after yesterday, Like, so I got

326
00:16:03,279 --> 00:16:06,440
burned a little bit yesterday. I'm like, Okay, well I

327
00:16:06,519 --> 00:16:10,559
make this team minus one. They're now a two and

328
00:16:10,559 --> 00:16:12,720
a half point underdog, and I bet a couple of

329
00:16:12,720 --> 00:16:18,279
those yesterday Bradley, South Dakota State, Utah Tech right where

330
00:16:18,320 --> 00:16:20,320
I was like, well they're plus one and a half

331
00:16:20,399 --> 00:16:24,600
plus two, I make them like minus three, and I

332
00:16:24,600 --> 00:16:27,360
think I'm gonna I think for me, especially maybe I'm

333
00:16:27,399 --> 00:16:31,399
just a little bit gun shy after what happened yesterday.

334
00:16:31,399 --> 00:16:34,679
Speaker 2: But like I see Gonzaga going too two and a

335
00:16:34,720 --> 00:16:35,919
half places right now.

336
00:16:37,120 --> 00:16:39,360
Speaker 1: If I was like red Hot, I might feel inclined

337
00:16:39,360 --> 00:16:41,320
to be like, well, I make Michigan a slight favorite,

338
00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:43,639
let me grab that possession with the Wolverines.

339
00:16:44,440 --> 00:16:46,639
Speaker 2: I'm less inclined to do it right now.

340
00:16:46,759 --> 00:16:51,519
Speaker 1: And again, we're really splitting hairs, in my opinion, trying

341
00:16:51,559 --> 00:16:55,320
to like figure out which of these two very very

342
00:16:55,360 --> 00:16:59,039
elite teams is gonna like push the right buttons to

343
00:16:59,080 --> 00:17:01,879
win this game. So when there's so many other games

344
00:17:01,879 --> 00:17:04,480
on the menu, like this is just not one that

345
00:17:04,559 --> 00:17:07,759
I put a ton of time into like trying to

346
00:17:08,079 --> 00:17:11,960
find the winner, because I think I'm just I think

347
00:17:11,960 --> 00:17:13,960
you can make a case for both sides at this point.

348
00:17:14,160 --> 00:17:18,240
There's a handicap for Michigan and there's a handicap for Gonzaga. Obviously,

349
00:17:18,279 --> 00:17:21,359
whoever executes better is gonna win. I don't know that.

350
00:17:21,359 --> 00:17:24,119
Speaker 2: Anyone truly knows. Truly feels like you're flipping a coin.

351
00:17:24,519 --> 00:17:25,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, it's a game that I just obviously

352
00:17:26,079 --> 00:17:28,599
kind of want to watch and just enjoy. Hope it's

353
00:17:28,599 --> 00:17:32,519
a good game, you know. I mean there's also a

354
00:17:32,559 --> 00:17:34,599
situation that if one team is just having a bad night,

355
00:17:34,640 --> 00:17:36,400
it might get away from them too. You know what

356
00:17:36,400 --> 00:17:38,880
I'm saying. It's not the end of the world, you know,

357
00:17:39,039 --> 00:17:40,720
I mean, Michigan Gonzag. I mean, it's not the end

358
00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:42,720
of the world if you lose this game here the

359
00:17:42,799 --> 00:17:46,519
night before Thanksgiving. It just is Although I guess there's

360
00:17:46,519 --> 00:17:48,839
a lot of nil money that says otherwise. But if

361
00:17:48,920 --> 00:17:52,039
the teams are into that, Michigan's not hurting for an

362
00:17:52,079 --> 00:17:52,839
ile money though.

363
00:17:55,079 --> 00:17:57,720
Speaker 1: All right, comments, light up the chat. We've got over

364
00:17:57,759 --> 00:18:00,839
forty minutes left. And honestly, these are the types of

365
00:18:00,920 --> 00:18:04,720
games today that I'm going to have more opinions on, Like,

366
00:18:05,640 --> 00:18:07,559
you know, just just the games that it's a it's

367
00:18:07,559 --> 00:18:10,279
a camp, it's a it's a normal game. Okay, Columbia

368
00:18:10,359 --> 00:18:13,519
going to Fairfield, normal non conference game. It's not the

369
00:18:13,559 --> 00:18:16,960
third game in three days. It's not like some crazy

370
00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:22,559
like MTE in the cancun It's just a normal campus game.

371
00:18:22,799 --> 00:18:25,640
I was hoping to talk Rob Veno into going into

372
00:18:25,640 --> 00:18:27,519
this games and I just just because I want him

373
00:18:27,559 --> 00:18:31,400
to see Mahoney Arena up close and personal. Phenomenal building

374
00:18:31,799 --> 00:18:34,759
on the campus of Fairfield. I think it's three years

375
00:18:34,759 --> 00:18:36,119
old at this point. I got to go to one

376
00:18:36,119 --> 00:18:39,200
of the first games there. Tremendous facility.

377
00:18:39,640 --> 00:18:39,759
Speaker 4: Uh.

378
00:18:39,799 --> 00:18:42,960
Speaker 1: They will host Columbia tonight, Garth, first of all, appreciate

379
00:18:43,000 --> 00:18:43,480
the donation.

380
00:18:43,839 --> 00:18:45,079
Speaker 4: Thank you Garth, and.

381
00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:47,200
Speaker 1: Take you Garth and we'll get to your game here.

382
00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:52,200
So Columbia Fairfield. I watched Fairfield play Lemoyne, not in person.

383
00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:54,119
I was I was gonna try to swing by that

384
00:18:54,200 --> 00:18:56,440
game this weekend. Did not get a chance to get

385
00:18:56,480 --> 00:18:59,960
over there, but Fairfield ran them out of.

386
00:19:00,039 --> 00:19:01,160
Speaker 2: Out of their own gym. It was.

387
00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:05,920
Speaker 1: It was a pretty solid performance start to finish for Fairfield.

388
00:19:06,599 --> 00:19:09,039
I think this is a much tougher task now. To

389
00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:13,240
specifically talk to your question. You said your numbers are

390
00:19:13,240 --> 00:19:15,599
lining up to take Columbia minus two and a half tonight.

391
00:19:16,039 --> 00:19:19,920
My number is pretty much right on that. I've got

392
00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:23,240
Columbia minus two and a half in this game. And

393
00:19:23,519 --> 00:19:27,359
I think had I not watched what Fairfield's last couple

394
00:19:27,319 --> 00:19:30,640
of games, I might have been like more on in

395
00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:33,880
step with you saying, yeah, like Columbia less than a

396
00:19:33,880 --> 00:19:36,640
possession is just the right side from like where I

397
00:19:36,680 --> 00:19:40,440
had these teams rated and sort of like what I've

398
00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:45,000
seen to this point. But for me, Fairfields looked impressive

399
00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:48,839
in their last couple of games, and I'm less inclined

400
00:19:48,880 --> 00:19:52,720
to fade them at home, where I think they're gonna

401
00:19:52,759 --> 00:19:55,640
kind of get an okay turnout of like locals tonight,

402
00:19:55,759 --> 00:19:58,079
Like I feel like that building is getting a good

403
00:19:58,119 --> 00:19:59,759
local turnout right now.

404
00:19:59,839 --> 00:20:03,240
Speaker 2: So so I'm right on the number. I wish I

405
00:20:03,319 --> 00:20:04,400
had something.

406
00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:06,440
Speaker 1: More to lean you one way or the other, but

407
00:20:06,519 --> 00:20:08,640
I feel like if I feel like Fairfield might be

408
00:20:08,680 --> 00:20:10,960
a little bit better than the market, and I don't

409
00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:12,799
want to go against them, So good luck if you

410
00:20:12,839 --> 00:20:16,640
go with Columbia. I don't think I'll be involved in

411
00:20:16,640 --> 00:20:18,839
this game, because I really do think Fairfield might be

412
00:20:18,880 --> 00:20:21,160
just a touch better than they're getting credit for at

413
00:20:21,200 --> 00:20:24,839
the moment. BP, what anything for you on that game?

414
00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:26,720
Do you make a number for those games? Do you

415
00:20:26,759 --> 00:20:28,960
have just like some sort of reference point for him?

416
00:20:29,119 --> 00:20:32,759
Speaker 3: So I just double checked, and I'm pretty much right

417
00:20:32,799 --> 00:20:36,119
on Margaret. I'll say that the one thing that sticks out,

418
00:20:36,480 --> 00:20:37,920
or there's a couple of things that stick out here

419
00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:39,640
when you look at this Matcham Columbia is having a

420
00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:43,839
tough time taking my trepidation with betting Columbia in this game.

421
00:20:43,960 --> 00:20:48,119
They're not taking care of the basketball very well. Fairfield

422
00:20:48,480 --> 00:20:51,839
they do take care of the basketball. When you look

423
00:20:51,880 --> 00:20:55,319
at the Fairfield side, they have it shot well from three.

424
00:20:55,519 --> 00:20:57,720
I talk about this all the time. Okay, well, well

425
00:20:58,039 --> 00:21:01,480
you know, does this number improve? You know you kind

426
00:21:01,480 --> 00:21:04,960
of look, I mean it's early, obviously. I think when

427
00:21:04,960 --> 00:21:07,720
you see really bad three point shooting from a team,

428
00:21:08,079 --> 00:21:10,160
generally speaking, that's probably gonna regress a little bit to

429
00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:13,200
the meme. When you see extraordinary three point shooting early

430
00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:15,640
in there, that's going to you know, regress to the

431
00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:19,119
mean the other way. So in Fairfield three point shooting

432
00:21:19,119 --> 00:21:22,119
hasn't been that good. So I don't know, I'm not

433
00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:24,480
gonna bet this one because I do have some trepidation

434
00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:27,319
a about the Columbia turnovers and be if Fairfield knocks

435
00:21:27,319 --> 00:21:31,640
down their threes here and they are in their home gym,

436
00:21:32,359 --> 00:21:35,119
then I don't know. I think Fairfield might actually be

437
00:21:35,160 --> 00:21:38,200
live to possibly pull the outright up, so it will

438
00:21:38,240 --> 00:21:40,000
be a minor upset obviously.

439
00:21:40,319 --> 00:21:43,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, And one more thing I'll throw out, like Fairfield's

440
00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:46,319
four and two. Their two losses are at Penn State

441
00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:49,799
at Seaton Hall. Both games they played very very good

442
00:21:50,079 --> 00:21:52,359
for at least a half. I think they led Penn

443
00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:55,559
State by like eight like like in the second half

444
00:21:55,559 --> 00:21:58,279
of that game, ended up losing. I know that one

445
00:21:58,279 --> 00:22:00,480
of the half of that Seaton Hall game was very

446
00:22:00,480 --> 00:22:04,200
impressive for Fairfield. And they're four and zero against teams

447
00:22:04,359 --> 00:22:06,480
just like Columbia, So that's the other thing, Like they're

448
00:22:06,519 --> 00:22:09,240
beating teams in this what I'll call for lack of

449
00:22:09,279 --> 00:22:11,640
a better term, weight class NJIT.

450
00:22:12,400 --> 00:22:13,559
Speaker 2: They won by twenty one.

451
00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:17,440
Speaker 1: They knocked off Stonehill by two, knocked off Loyola Maryland

452
00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:21,440
by three, and then they beat Lamboyne. Those are all

453
00:22:21,519 --> 00:22:23,759
kind of teams that are in the same like weight

454
00:22:23,799 --> 00:22:26,759
class as Columbia, so they've done well against this type

455
00:22:26,759 --> 00:22:27,400
of opposition.

456
00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:28,759
Speaker 2: I'm kind of with you, Brian.

457
00:22:28,839 --> 00:22:31,880
Speaker 1: I almost think I'd rather take the bucket at home

458
00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:34,640
with Fairfield take the two and a half. But again,

459
00:22:34,720 --> 00:22:37,960
I can't say that would be nearly enough conviction to

460
00:22:38,039 --> 00:22:40,400
tell you to not that Columbia. I'm just saying, like

461
00:22:40,799 --> 00:22:42,440
at two and a half, or even if it made

462
00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:45,160
it to three, I would lean with the Stags here

463
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:48,720
in their home gym. Okay, let's move on. I knew

464
00:22:48,720 --> 00:22:50,839
people were gonna ask about the early games. I know

465
00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:53,200
Brian and I off air were like, man, well we've

466
00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:55,319
got a lot of opinions on the early games today,

467
00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:58,279
so that, I guess is good for the live viewers,

468
00:22:58,480 --> 00:23:00,759
bad for the people that are gonna watch this show later.

469
00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:03,799
But hey, it's it's feast week. They're gonna throw all

470
00:23:03,839 --> 00:23:06,759
these games at us. Tipping off eleven twelve, one o'clock.

471
00:23:07,160 --> 00:23:10,720
Gotta be watching live. Jason Jones is watching live. Appreciate you, Jason.

472
00:23:11,119 --> 00:23:13,079
Speaker 4: Thank you to everyone watching live, best the way to

473
00:23:13,079 --> 00:23:13,319
do it.

474
00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:18,000
Speaker 2: You to everyone watching live. Yep, Happy Thanksgiving.

475
00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:20,160
Speaker 1: A couple of people said that you hope everyone's getting

476
00:23:20,319 --> 00:23:25,039
geared up for a great, safe, enjoyable holiday weekend.

477
00:23:25,160 --> 00:23:27,000
Speaker 2: And Toledo is playing today.

478
00:23:27,279 --> 00:23:30,480
Speaker 1: I bet them pretty much every game that they've played

479
00:23:30,519 --> 00:23:32,720
since Brian Power and I got to go to Savage

480
00:23:32,720 --> 00:23:34,319
Arena on opening.

481
00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:34,920
Speaker 2: Week end of the season.

482
00:23:36,599 --> 00:23:39,079
Speaker 1: I haven't bet them yet today, and I'm gonna kind

483
00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:41,640
of explain why I don't think I will bet this game.

484
00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:44,680
So I'll start this one off and then I'll let

485
00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:47,400
you fill in the blanks here. So I was texting

486
00:23:47,400 --> 00:23:50,440
with our third co host, Rob Vino, who is stuck

487
00:23:50,480 --> 00:23:53,799
with family doing family things right now and traveling, which

488
00:23:53,799 --> 00:23:56,240
is why he's not on the show today. But Toledo

489
00:23:56,319 --> 00:23:59,480
plays Belmont in an MTE, and so Rob is our

490
00:23:59,559 --> 00:24:03,680
sort of resident Belmont Bruins expert. He had a one

491
00:24:03,720 --> 00:24:05,880
of his kids went there, and so I as soon

492
00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:08,400
as I saw Toledo Belmont, I said, well, it got

493
00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:12,240
a text job and talked to him about this game, Brian.

494
00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:13,240
Speaker 2: When we went to.

495
00:24:13,200 --> 00:24:16,599
Speaker 1: The game, I kind of made the I made the

496
00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:21,519
decision that like when Toledo sees zone, yeah, I'm gonna

497
00:24:21,519 --> 00:24:24,279
look to fade them. When they get a matchup where

498
00:24:24,279 --> 00:24:27,640
they're seeing some Manda man, I'm gonna look to back them.

499
00:24:28,119 --> 00:24:31,960
Belmont plays almost exclusively Manda man. But I think this

500
00:24:32,039 --> 00:24:34,559
number is much lower than I expected it to be.

501
00:24:34,680 --> 00:24:37,000
So that's what put me off of betting this game.

502
00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:41,799
I make Belmont like I have the number here somewhere.

503
00:24:41,799 --> 00:24:43,839
I think I was way off market on my number.

504
00:24:43,839 --> 00:24:45,640
I think I was Belmont like minus eight and a

505
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:49,079
half or nine on a neutral against Toledo, because again,

506
00:24:49,079 --> 00:24:51,440
my general thing with Toledo is I think that this

507
00:24:51,559 --> 00:24:53,839
is probably one of the lesser teams, and you can

508
00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:56,440
speak to that just being a MAC guy. I think

509
00:24:56,440 --> 00:24:59,519
this is one of Toledo's lesser teams in recent years,

510
00:25:00,079 --> 00:25:03,200
but Belmont's going to almost exclusively man them, and this

511
00:25:03,359 --> 00:25:07,519
is like one of those ones where okay, mte fort Myers, Florida.

512
00:25:07,839 --> 00:25:10,119
I think it might be a favorable matchup for Toledo,

513
00:25:10,359 --> 00:25:14,200
but that number is way lower than anything I would

514
00:25:14,200 --> 00:25:16,720
consider betting Toledo at. So that kind of took me

515
00:25:16,759 --> 00:25:19,640
out of this game. Tell me if you've got anything

516
00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:20,839
to add Toledo Belmont.

517
00:25:21,240 --> 00:25:21,680
Speaker 2: Not really.

518
00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:25,000
Speaker 3: I'm actually right on market where it's at. So I

519
00:25:25,079 --> 00:25:26,960
was kind of cool. I just scratched this game off.

520
00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:30,519
I knew I was interested to hear because I know

521
00:25:30,559 --> 00:25:33,319
you're very focused in on this Toledo team and you know.

522
00:25:33,279 --> 00:25:34,839
Speaker 4: The opposing defensive matchups.

523
00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:36,359
Speaker 3: I was interested what you would have to say there,

524
00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:38,640
But no, this isn't I'll be pretty blunt, I don't

525
00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:39,640
have anything on this game.

526
00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:42,440
Speaker 2: Where do you have Toledo though? In general?

527
00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:44,599
Speaker 1: Like are you do? You have them further down than

528
00:25:44,640 --> 00:25:46,319
you have had in recent years. I think this is

529
00:25:46,359 --> 00:25:48,640
the lowest I've had Toledo rated in a long.

530
00:25:48,519 --> 00:25:51,160
Speaker 3: Time, all right, So I mean relative to the MAC.

531
00:25:53,079 --> 00:25:55,160
Let's take a look at the MAC here where like

532
00:25:55,599 --> 00:25:57,559
I mean, they're still I mean coming into the year.

533
00:25:57,599 --> 00:26:00,519
I mean, you know, because they finished fifthlast year if

534
00:26:00,519 --> 00:26:03,960
memory serves me correct, I mean, Acron is clearly by

535
00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:05,839
the way, I can't believe Akron didn't win.

536
00:26:05,759 --> 00:26:09,519
Speaker 4: That game on mon Vegas Yale. But uh so Toledo.

537
00:26:09,599 --> 00:26:13,759
Speaker 3: I've got Toledo fifth in the MAC right now, behind

538
00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:18,559
BG Miami, Ohio, Kent and then obviously Akron would be

539
00:26:18,680 --> 00:26:20,880
by far the number one team right now in the conference.

540
00:26:22,119 --> 00:26:24,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I have them like six or seven.

541
00:26:24,519 --> 00:26:27,599
I haven't updaten just my specific MAC raatings.

542
00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:31,720
Speaker 3: And the issue with Toledo continues to be the defensive

543
00:26:32,079 --> 00:26:34,640
side of the defensive and the floor. It's been a

544
00:26:34,640 --> 00:26:37,200
problem now for several years, and they're not getting better.

545
00:26:37,480 --> 00:26:39,519
I mean, Ken Palm's got him down right around number

546
00:26:39,559 --> 00:26:43,480
three hundred in adjusted fisher that's oral yep.

547
00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:48,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, And and uh this chat this comment.

548
00:26:48,880 --> 00:26:51,000
Speaker 1: In the chat he says Bellmont's to play well that

549
00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:53,440
your that would be what you would be betting on.

550
00:26:53,559 --> 00:26:55,880
I mean, Toledo's going to have a hard time getting stops.

551
00:26:55,880 --> 00:26:58,440
In my opinion, against Bellmont, this is still a very

552
00:26:59,039 --> 00:27:02,640
equality offensive team that I think we'll be able to

553
00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:06,319
exploit those weaknesses that you just pointed out. So not

554
00:27:06,319 --> 00:27:08,319
sure I have any interest in getting involved with a

555
00:27:08,400 --> 00:27:11,920
total that's like one sixties in this game. But if

556
00:27:11,920 --> 00:27:14,440
you think Belmont's gonna going to execute their offense the

557
00:27:14,480 --> 00:27:16,559
way that they are capable of, then I think you've

558
00:27:16,559 --> 00:27:18,559
got to let I think you have to like the

559
00:27:18,599 --> 00:27:21,119
Belmont side makes it a tricky handicap.

560
00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:25,359
Speaker 3: Go ahead team shooting sixty percent inside the arc against

561
00:27:25,359 --> 00:27:28,519
Toledo this year, that's one of the worst percentages allow.

562
00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:29,160
Speaker 4: The entire country.

563
00:27:30,640 --> 00:27:34,079
Speaker 1: Yeah, and Bellmont runs good offense, They'll get to the rim,

564
00:27:34,279 --> 00:27:36,200
they'll get in the paint, and they'll probably score.

565
00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:39,240
Speaker 2: So again, I just I wish they play.

566
00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:41,880
Speaker 1: I wish it was a little but I guess I

567
00:27:41,880 --> 00:27:44,599
guess maybe the handicap for me would would lend itself

568
00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:48,000
to the over because I think Toledo functions better offensively

569
00:27:48,039 --> 00:27:50,839
against Man. So maybe that's a maybe that's high for

570
00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:53,279
a reason. Maybe that total is high for a reason.

571
00:27:53,839 --> 00:27:54,039
Speaker 4: Yeah.

572
00:27:54,440 --> 00:27:56,359
Speaker 3: Uh, you want to mention Loyal are good friends at

573
00:27:56,359 --> 00:27:57,839
Loyal the Chicago real quick.

574
00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:00,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, go out, I saw was there.

575
00:28:00,640 --> 00:28:03,720
Speaker 3: They didn't cover again yesterday. Now I'll say we're getting

576
00:28:03,720 --> 00:28:08,680
to the point where everybody's you know the books, I

577
00:28:08,680 --> 00:28:11,599
mean people, it was a scramble to downgrade this team

578
00:28:11,599 --> 00:28:12,519
as much as possible.

579
00:28:12,519 --> 00:28:14,039
Speaker 4: I mean, you're zero to seven against the number.

580
00:28:14,359 --> 00:28:17,240
Speaker 3: I'm finally at the point now where there's not a

581
00:28:17,279 --> 00:28:21,400
ton of value fading them this afternoon against San Jose State.

582
00:28:21,480 --> 00:28:22,359
Speaker 2: Although.

583
00:28:23,519 --> 00:28:27,799
Speaker 3: They just Loyal to Chicago just moved to a favorite

584
00:28:27,920 --> 00:28:31,079
at DraftKings, and I actually don't agree with that. I

585
00:28:31,079 --> 00:28:33,200
still think they should be the underdog here, A slight

586
00:28:33,319 --> 00:28:36,559
underdog at the opener when it was one night when

587
00:28:36,559 --> 00:28:38,119
Loyal in Chicago is plus one and a half, I

588
00:28:38,119 --> 00:28:41,240
didn't see any value. But if people keep just doing it,

589
00:28:41,400 --> 00:28:43,640
and look, I'm as guilty of doing this sometimes, like, oh,

590
00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:46,400
they can't keep not covering. I would not bet Loyal

591
00:28:46,400 --> 00:28:49,119
to Chicago to win this game. I'll say that. I

592
00:28:49,119 --> 00:28:51,960
don't think there's value as much value in fading them

593
00:28:52,240 --> 00:28:55,240
as we saw in some of these earlier games this season,

594
00:28:56,039 --> 00:28:58,559
but I wouldn't bet them to win here.

595
00:28:59,799 --> 00:29:01,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, like I guess, let's get into this one

596
00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:04,599
for a second, because I have some opinion on this

597
00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:08,519
as well. So Loyola Chicago is such an outlier that

598
00:29:08,759 --> 00:29:12,440
I've I've had to pretty much cross their games off

599
00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:13,119
at this point.

600
00:29:13,400 --> 00:29:16,119
Speaker 2: The reason for that is, like what you're saying, like.

601
00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:19,240
Speaker 1: I, if I were to trust my numbers, it's gonna

602
00:29:19,240 --> 00:29:23,079
make Loyola Chicago a play pretty much every time. And

603
00:29:23,119 --> 00:29:26,119
I got burned by doing that in the Wichita game,

604
00:29:26,400 --> 00:29:28,759
and then there was one other where I lost a

605
00:29:28,799 --> 00:29:29,920
bet on Loyola Chicago.

606
00:29:30,119 --> 00:29:31,400
Speaker 2: And that's the thing, like they are so.

607
00:29:31,599 --> 00:29:34,640
Speaker 1: Clearly not where they were where they were rated coming

608
00:29:34,720 --> 00:29:37,079
into the season that if you make your own numbers

609
00:29:37,079 --> 00:29:40,200
and power ratings, you're gonna show value on Loyola Chicago

610
00:29:40,279 --> 00:29:43,279
pretty much every game. But if you have eyeballs and

611
00:29:43,319 --> 00:29:45,759
beat Brian and I both have two of them, So

612
00:29:45,799 --> 00:29:48,240
we have four combined eyeballs right here that watch a

613
00:29:48,240 --> 00:29:52,400
lot of college basketball, and you've watched this team play,

614
00:29:52,599 --> 00:29:55,759
you can't possibly think that they're anything close to what

615
00:29:55,759 --> 00:29:58,559
they're rating. Is so like for me, it's I've they're

616
00:29:58,599 --> 00:30:01,960
one of like two T teams. I can't remember who

617
00:30:02,000 --> 00:30:04,160
the other one is, but I had it marked down.

618
00:30:04,440 --> 00:30:06,359
I have two teams that I have like a little

619
00:30:06,400 --> 00:30:10,440
note that just says skip because they're so far off

620
00:30:10,519 --> 00:30:14,319
of what their rating is that it's me trying to

621
00:30:14,359 --> 00:30:14,960
make a number.

622
00:30:15,039 --> 00:30:17,039
Speaker 2: Is just gonna gonna mess things. It's gonna put it

623
00:30:17,079 --> 00:30:17,720
on my radar.

624
00:30:18,079 --> 00:30:20,319
Speaker 1: And and and I'm not gonna and I don't want

625
00:30:20,359 --> 00:30:22,559
to have action on this team. You want to talk about,

626
00:30:22,599 --> 00:30:24,759
so San Diego State, I will talk about them first.

627
00:30:24,799 --> 00:30:28,480
I'm sorry, San Jose State, San Jose State, the Spartans.

628
00:30:28,799 --> 00:30:31,279
This game is in Palm Springs, California, as part of

629
00:30:31,319 --> 00:30:36,960
the Actor Sure Uh Holiday Invitational. For those keeping track

630
00:30:37,000 --> 00:30:38,200
at home to all of.

631
00:30:38,119 --> 00:30:39,799
Speaker 2: These you know tournaments.

632
00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:42,559
Speaker 1: San Jose State was one of the teams that had

633
00:30:42,640 --> 00:30:44,720
that I had circled coming into the season, that had

634
00:30:44,759 --> 00:30:47,400
guys like essentially throwing games last year.

635
00:30:47,680 --> 00:30:50,480
Speaker 2: They were what they literally had people convicted or not.

636
00:30:50,559 --> 00:30:52,160
Speaker 1: I don't know if convicted is the right term, but

637
00:30:52,240 --> 00:30:56,359
like found that they were actually doing that. And there

638
00:30:56,400 --> 00:30:58,759
and and I think two or at least two guys

639
00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:01,480
that were on that team lineast year our banned from

640
00:31:01,559 --> 00:31:04,000
college basketball, I believe, Like so we had like eight

641
00:31:04,039 --> 00:31:07,640
teams that had suspicion of it happening. Fresno State and

642
00:31:07,680 --> 00:31:10,319
San Jose State both like they both found and I

643
00:31:10,319 --> 00:31:13,480
think New Orleans was another one where they straight up found,

644
00:31:13,559 --> 00:31:16,519
like yeah, this was going on. So for me, like

645
00:31:16,960 --> 00:31:20,279
in my head, San Jose State's not like priors from

646
00:31:20,359 --> 00:31:23,400
last year were pretty skewed because it's like, well, if

647
00:31:23,400 --> 00:31:25,519
you've got dudes that are trying to miss shots to

648
00:31:26,000 --> 00:31:28,359
cash tickets, like that's going to ruin your priors.

649
00:31:28,720 --> 00:31:29,839
Speaker 2: They came out this year.

650
00:31:31,079 --> 00:31:35,200
Speaker 1: They came out this year in their first three games

651
00:31:35,680 --> 00:31:38,519
and they played three what I consider pretty good teams,

652
00:31:38,519 --> 00:31:42,599
pretty tough Utah, Santa Barbara, and then I actually cashed

653
00:31:42,599 --> 00:31:43,759
with them against Michigan State.

654
00:31:43,759 --> 00:31:46,480
Speaker 2: They played a very good second half in that game.

655
00:31:46,519 --> 00:31:50,079
Speaker 1: Now, they got blitzed by Tulsa yesterday lost by thirty,

656
00:31:50,559 --> 00:31:53,200
but that's a Tulsa team that I like. And Brian,

657
00:31:53,319 --> 00:31:56,839
these two teams actually played in the NIT last year

658
00:31:57,359 --> 00:32:02,160
in the postseason NIT Chicago won seventy three to seventy.

659
00:32:02,759 --> 00:32:04,720
I'm going off memory here. I feel like it was

660
00:32:04,759 --> 00:32:08,240
a very competitive game and if you want to if

661
00:32:08,279 --> 00:32:10,640
you think they're taking anything from that game, well, that

662
00:32:10,839 --> 00:32:13,799
Loyola Chicago team last year was better than this one.

663
00:32:14,039 --> 00:32:17,200
And San Jose State was at the end of a

664
00:32:17,279 --> 00:32:20,880
season where they literally had people throwing games. So I

665
00:32:21,000 --> 00:32:23,079
lean towards San Jose State. I just don't know if

666
00:32:23,119 --> 00:32:27,000
I have the fortitude, if you will, to go against

667
00:32:27,079 --> 00:32:29,480
Loyola Chicago and then have this be the spot where

668
00:32:29,519 --> 00:32:30,640
they decide to win a game.

669
00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:32,880
Speaker 4: Yeah. And the thing, you know what.

670
00:32:33,160 --> 00:32:36,799
Speaker 3: Really speaks poorly to Loyola is it's not that they're

671
00:32:36,839 --> 00:32:39,759
not just that they're not covering. It's like how bad

672
00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:43,400
they're missing the number by I mean they lose yesterday

673
00:32:43,440 --> 00:32:45,680
as a sick you would have thought, okay, they're getting

674
00:32:45,680 --> 00:32:47,920
more than two possessions. It was the big It was

675
00:32:47,960 --> 00:32:49,960
the most points they'd gotten in any game all year

676
00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:52,319
so far, six and a half against Northern Iowa. They

677
00:32:52,359 --> 00:32:54,279
lose by twenty one. Of course, the game before that

678
00:32:54,359 --> 00:32:57,000
was the complete disaster. I was fortunate enough to give

679
00:32:57,039 --> 00:33:00,039
out Northern Illinois on the show last week as a

680
00:33:00,119 --> 00:33:01,599
thirteen and a half point dog.

681
00:33:01,759 --> 00:33:03,519
Speaker 4: They went outright at Loyola.

682
00:33:04,559 --> 00:33:06,640
Speaker 3: You know, there are a four point dog Loyola against

683
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:09,400
Colorado State, they lose by thirteen. They're a five and

684
00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:11,680
a half point dog against Wichita, loose by twenty one.

685
00:33:12,720 --> 00:33:13,400
Speaker 4: They were a one.

686
00:33:13,319 --> 00:33:16,000
Speaker 3: Point favorite against North Texas lost by two. That was

687
00:33:16,119 --> 00:33:18,559
where they came the closest to the odds makers. I mean,

688
00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:20,960
they lost to Mercy Hurst College is a twenty one

689
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:23,000
and a half point favorite, and then they only beat

690
00:33:23,000 --> 00:33:25,880
a terrible Cleveland State team by three as a seventeen

691
00:33:25,920 --> 00:33:29,759
and a half point favorite. So it's really hard, I think, guys,

692
00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:33,319
I know, you know there's such a tendency to catch

693
00:33:33,359 --> 00:33:35,279
the falling knife or catch the falling pen there.

694
00:33:35,279 --> 00:33:37,079
Speaker 4: I'm glad I didn't drop that trick. You missed that.

695
00:33:37,119 --> 00:33:41,960
Speaker 3: I'm kind of upset, but but you know, I don't

696
00:33:42,000 --> 00:33:44,079
know if this is it. At some point there will

697
00:33:44,119 --> 00:33:46,200
be a clear Bi Low spot, but I don't know

698
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:49,359
if it's it here, all.

699
00:33:49,400 --> 00:33:51,960
Speaker 1: Right, I want to go to deuce big Low. In

700
00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:55,200
the chat, he says New Hampshire and Brown and and

701
00:33:55,279 --> 00:33:59,519
since I showed up in the brown sweatshirt today Brown Bears,

702
00:34:00,680 --> 00:34:03,319
we should talk about this game. Also, there's a pretty

703
00:34:03,319 --> 00:34:06,720
significant line move in process which I want to address.

704
00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:10,199
And I also have a pretty strong opinion on this

705
00:34:10,280 --> 00:34:13,159
Brown team. And I guess you can decide what you

706
00:34:13,199 --> 00:34:14,719
want to do with it or not. Don't worry, we

707
00:34:15,000 --> 00:34:16,639
are going to lock in some plays and we will

708
00:34:16,639 --> 00:34:19,360
do the same thing for the parlay that we did yesterday.

709
00:34:19,440 --> 00:34:21,280
Speaker 2: But we're trying to hit the games you want to

710
00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:21,800
talk about.

711
00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:28,199
Speaker 1: So Brown opened minus three and I considered it on

712
00:34:28,360 --> 00:34:32,440
the open and now that places are up to six,

713
00:34:33,159 --> 00:34:35,239
I do kind of wish I took Brown minus three.

714
00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:39,880
With that being said, I think it's probably personnel related.

715
00:34:39,920 --> 00:34:43,480
So if you I follow, this is just a team

716
00:34:43,480 --> 00:34:47,679
that I happen to follow closely. Coming into this season,

717
00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:53,079
I was pretty down on Brown. They had they no

718
00:34:53,239 --> 00:34:57,039
Markeino Lilly. They I just don't think that they're going

719
00:34:57,119 --> 00:34:58,960
to be close to what they've been in years past.

720
00:34:59,039 --> 00:35:01,639
So coming in the year they opened the season with,

721
00:35:02,280 --> 00:35:05,360
I think Sianna played them like the second night or

722
00:35:05,519 --> 00:35:06,400
their second game.

723
00:35:06,880 --> 00:35:08,920
Speaker 2: I forget who they opened with. But the point is

724
00:35:09,280 --> 00:35:09,880
I was looking to.

725
00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:12,440
Speaker 1: Play against this Brown team because in addition to that,

726
00:35:12,679 --> 00:35:14,920
they were missing a couple of their best players. Now

727
00:35:15,039 --> 00:35:17,440
I think the reason for this jump in the line

728
00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:21,639
might be Alex Lesbert might be back today, but even

729
00:35:21,679 --> 00:35:25,760
if he's not, they recently got back to starters. I

730
00:35:25,760 --> 00:35:30,000
think within their last couple of games, Landon Lewis returned.

731
00:35:30,039 --> 00:35:32,800
He was the big one he's probably their best player,

732
00:35:32,960 --> 00:35:35,719
and David Rochester was another one that was projected starter

733
00:35:36,079 --> 00:35:40,599
that came back. They both played the last two games.

734
00:35:40,960 --> 00:35:43,480
Brown looked a lot better with those two guys on

735
00:35:43,519 --> 00:35:48,519
the floor over the weekend against Maine. So New Hampshire

736
00:35:48,559 --> 00:35:51,639
is a similar team to Maine, you would think that

737
00:35:51,719 --> 00:35:56,519
like Brown probably fairs similar. It's a game that they

738
00:35:56,519 --> 00:36:00,639
probably should win. Now you throw the wrinkle of like

739
00:36:00,679 --> 00:36:03,320
it's an early tip. It's in New Hampshire, so it's

740
00:36:03,320 --> 00:36:07,320
a home game for New Hampshire, a rogue game. Could

741
00:36:07,400 --> 00:36:11,400
New Hampshire hang around? Yeah, I guess so. If Alex

742
00:36:11,519 --> 00:36:14,039
Lesbert's back that would be his first appearance for Brown

743
00:36:14,079 --> 00:36:14,400
this year.

744
00:36:14,440 --> 00:36:15,880
Speaker 2: Then I'd really like them.

745
00:36:15,920 --> 00:36:18,360
Speaker 1: In this spot because because it would be the best

746
00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:20,960
team that they've put on the floor. But like for me,

747
00:36:21,039 --> 00:36:25,440
the conundrum was, well, I don't think the player personnel

748
00:36:25,519 --> 00:36:27,840
things are priced in for Brown, but I still don't

749
00:36:27,840 --> 00:36:29,719
think this team is going to be close to what

750
00:36:29,719 --> 00:36:31,159
they've been the last couple of years, and I don't

751
00:36:31,159 --> 00:36:33,960
think they're very good. It's ultimately what held me off

752
00:36:34,199 --> 00:36:37,159
from playing Brown minus three though now where the market is,

753
00:36:37,280 --> 00:36:40,440
I kind of wish I did to answer Duce this question. No,

754
00:36:40,599 --> 00:36:43,320
I wouldn't punch back here. I think Brown is the

755
00:36:43,400 --> 00:36:46,119
right side. I think you just missed the good number

756
00:36:46,159 --> 00:36:48,480
At this point, I.

757
00:36:48,400 --> 00:36:49,440
Speaker 4: Don't have much on this game.

758
00:36:49,480 --> 00:36:53,719
Speaker 3: I'll just say remember when Rob Schneider and paid off

759
00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:56,599
people to write positive reviews about the movie Duce Bigelo,

760
00:36:56,679 --> 00:36:57,400
that was a sad time.

761
00:36:57,679 --> 00:37:01,239
Speaker 1: Okay, I gotta I gotta cut you off for a second, KT,

762
00:37:01,400 --> 00:37:04,000
because this was the guy that asked for the time said, listen,

763
00:37:04,320 --> 00:37:06,400
we're not doing live time stamps.

764
00:37:06,599 --> 00:37:08,400
Speaker 2: I don't know what kind of production you think we

765
00:37:08,519 --> 00:37:08,960
have here.

766
00:37:09,280 --> 00:37:12,400
Speaker 1: Like Ah, I'm literally producing the show on the fly,

767
00:37:13,119 --> 00:37:15,159
and we're adding the time.

768
00:37:15,000 --> 00:37:15,920
Speaker 2: Stamps at the end.

769
00:37:16,000 --> 00:37:20,559
Speaker 1: So until I have a much larger production budget, you're

770
00:37:20,599 --> 00:37:21,280
gonna have to wait.

771
00:37:21,320 --> 00:37:23,280
Speaker 4: What game you want to know about, kat, I haven't

772
00:37:23,280 --> 00:37:24,360
written down. We did an.

773
00:37:24,239 --> 00:37:27,519
Speaker 3: Intro at zero to open two point thirty. We went

774
00:37:27,559 --> 00:37:30,000
to Iowa State q SO eleven forty two. We went

775
00:37:30,039 --> 00:37:34,079
to Michigan Gonzaga seventeen fifty six, Columbia Fairfield twenty two

776
00:37:34,119 --> 00:37:36,639
to fifty, bell Mon Toledo twenty eight minutes, San Jose

777
00:37:36,760 --> 00:37:38,880
State Loyal in Chicago thirty three fifty six.

778
00:37:39,159 --> 00:37:40,519
Speaker 4: We did New Hampshire Browns.

779
00:37:40,280 --> 00:37:42,719
Speaker 1: Jersey, hold on, you got it. First of all, they

780
00:37:42,760 --> 00:37:45,000
had time stamps in baseball. We did the same thing

781
00:37:45,000 --> 00:37:47,960
in baseball. We stamped them after the show. They will

782
00:37:48,000 --> 00:37:50,679
be in there after the show. We've gotten the time

783
00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:53,920
stamps in after the show every single time, so they

784
00:37:53,960 --> 00:37:55,960
will be on the replay. But you got to give

785
00:37:56,000 --> 00:37:58,440
us more than like one minute. And certainly they're not

786
00:37:58,480 --> 00:37:59,920
going to be in while we're doing the show live,

787
00:38:00,079 --> 00:38:03,639
so apologies, but what they will be in there. Brian

788
00:38:03,719 --> 00:38:05,480
just gave him out on the show. That's the first

789
00:38:05,480 --> 00:38:07,599
thing we've given out actionable on the show. It's the

790
00:38:07,639 --> 00:38:09,920
time stamps. So we're gonna get to some place, you

791
00:38:09,960 --> 00:38:12,440
know what. I'm gonna get to a play. Garth asked

792
00:38:12,440 --> 00:38:14,679
about a game, and I've got a bet in this one.

793
00:38:14,760 --> 00:38:18,239
So I'm gonna put you on the spot in a second, Brian,

794
00:38:19,159 --> 00:38:20,880
to see if you've got your leg in the parlay,

795
00:38:20,960 --> 00:38:23,719
because I want to give something actionable and start to

796
00:38:23,760 --> 00:38:27,760
build the three teamer. But for Garth, he's his thoughts

797
00:38:27,880 --> 00:38:32,639
on FDU Army another fade Army spot. Yeah, that is

798
00:38:33,400 --> 00:38:36,280
for very very similar reasons. The one thing I won

799
00:38:36,400 --> 00:38:39,000
yesterday on what was a very bad day for me

800
00:38:39,760 --> 00:38:43,239
was East Texas A and M absolutely destroying Army.

801
00:38:43,280 --> 00:38:44,559
Speaker 2: I gave it out here on the show.

802
00:38:45,039 --> 00:38:46,920
Speaker 1: It ended up being a client play for me and

803
00:38:46,960 --> 00:38:53,840
they absolutely crushed Army on Fairly Dickinson's court. So now

804
00:38:54,360 --> 00:38:58,039
as part of this MTE in Hackensack, New Jersey, Brian,

805
00:38:58,239 --> 00:39:01,760
that's where that's where Fairley Dickinson is part of the MTE.

806
00:39:02,159 --> 00:39:05,000
Army will now play Fairly Dickinson in what is a

807
00:39:05,039 --> 00:39:05,920
home game.

808
00:39:05,920 --> 00:39:06,880
Speaker 2: For Fairlely Dickinson.

809
00:39:07,000 --> 00:39:10,599
Speaker 1: So I bet this, this is a three percent play

810
00:39:10,639 --> 00:39:14,679
for clients. It opened minus one and a half, but

811
00:39:14,800 --> 00:39:16,840
most places by the time they had this up was

812
00:39:16,840 --> 00:39:20,239
like minus two and a half. So that's I waited

813
00:39:20,320 --> 00:39:23,719
until at least like all of like the MGM's fan

814
00:39:23,800 --> 00:39:27,039
Duels DraftKings had this up and played minus two and

815
00:39:27,079 --> 00:39:30,039
a half. But I did put in there that this

816
00:39:30,079 --> 00:39:33,199
would probably move. And I also put in that you

817
00:39:33,199 --> 00:39:36,280
could play the money line and just like lay a

818
00:39:36,280 --> 00:39:38,559
little bit more juice if you didn't want to take

819
00:39:38,920 --> 00:39:41,440
like three and a half or four when I had

820
00:39:41,519 --> 00:39:44,199
minus two and a half. So I see the market

821
00:39:44,280 --> 00:39:45,880
is at three and a half right now, Brian. What

822
00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:48,599
I'm gonna do for my leg of the parlay, and

823
00:39:48,679 --> 00:39:51,039
so if if you didn't see what we did yesterday,

824
00:39:51,039 --> 00:39:53,199
we're gonna go I do a leg, you do a leg,

825
00:39:53,239 --> 00:39:55,440
and then we'll do a consensus leg to build the

826
00:39:55,440 --> 00:39:58,039
three team. Or when we agree on for my leg

827
00:39:58,079 --> 00:40:00,679
of the parlay, I'm just gonna put in fair Dickinson

828
00:40:00,719 --> 00:40:03,079
on the money line, whatever that is. We'll figure it

829
00:40:03,119 --> 00:40:05,760
out by the end of the show. And I will

830
00:40:05,840 --> 00:40:07,880
let you know, Garth that this is a client play

831
00:40:07,960 --> 00:40:10,280
for me. I laid two and a half with Fairley Dickinson.

832
00:40:10,639 --> 00:40:14,320
I Army is just for me. They're a bottom ten

833
00:40:14,360 --> 00:40:18,280
team in college basketball, and they weren't competitive with East

834
00:40:18,320 --> 00:40:20,280
Texas A and M. I don't see how they turn

835
00:40:20,360 --> 00:40:25,239
around and fare any better against Fairley Dickinson, who will

836
00:40:25,239 --> 00:40:27,599
be on their home floor here. I don't know how

837
00:40:27,639 --> 00:40:30,159
many people are showing up to a hack and sack

838
00:40:30,360 --> 00:40:34,400
MTE with like Fairly Dickinson, Army, East Texas A and

839
00:40:34,559 --> 00:40:37,400
M and whoever else is there. I forget, but it

840
00:40:37,440 --> 00:40:39,800
is a Fairly Dickinson home game, and they'll at least

841
00:40:39,800 --> 00:40:42,599
have their own fans, so I do give them a

842
00:40:42,599 --> 00:40:45,159
little bit of a bump for playing at home. We've

843
00:40:45,239 --> 00:40:48,320
briefly lost Brian Power. We'll get him back, but I

844
00:40:48,400 --> 00:40:50,000
do give him a little bit of a bump for

845
00:40:50,280 --> 00:40:55,280
playing at home. And that bump that's my number here.

846
00:40:55,480 --> 00:40:57,400
I think I made it like six and a half

847
00:40:57,760 --> 00:41:00,039
fairly Dickinson. So it doesn't surprise me at all that

848
00:41:00,039 --> 00:41:02,159
they're taking money and it's moving and I think that

849
00:41:02,280 --> 00:41:06,199
is a very strong look on the early slate today,

850
00:41:07,039 --> 00:41:11,760
So fairly Dickinson. Money line will be the first leg

851
00:41:11,840 --> 00:41:15,280
of our parlay, and Doug thank you. I'm gonna use

852
00:41:15,760 --> 00:41:18,159
Doug says minus one and a half on the money line,

853
00:41:18,800 --> 00:41:22,119
or I'm sorry, minus one seventy five. Listen if you

854
00:41:22,239 --> 00:41:24,480
if you have a three and a half and you

855
00:41:24,519 --> 00:41:28,639
can get three for minus one twenty or less, like

856
00:41:28,760 --> 00:41:31,880
that's fine for a straight bet if you don't want

857
00:41:31,880 --> 00:41:34,679
to lay like that juiced up minus one and a half.

858
00:41:35,199 --> 00:41:38,920
But I'm sorry that juiced up minus three. But for

859
00:41:39,000 --> 00:41:41,880
the parlay, it's gonna be minus one and a half.

860
00:41:41,920 --> 00:41:44,599
Or I'm sorry, it's gonna be minus one seventy five.

861
00:41:44,760 --> 00:41:48,679
Excuse me, So first leg of the parlay minus one

862
00:41:48,760 --> 00:41:54,000
seventy five. Brian Power has lost power. He just texted me,

863
00:41:54,039 --> 00:41:57,360
he said, my power just went out. It does not

864
00:41:57,519 --> 00:42:02,079
get more ironic then Brian power losing power. But that's

865
00:42:02,119 --> 00:42:06,400
what's happened. So we're gonna power through. We're gonna power through.

866
00:42:06,440 --> 00:42:11,239
We've got twenty eighteen minutes left. I've got power, so

867
00:42:11,840 --> 00:42:15,800
let's talk some more games. Eighteen minutes left. That being said,

868
00:42:16,440 --> 00:42:18,079
I don't know if I'm gonna I don't know if

869
00:42:18,119 --> 00:42:20,559
I'm gonna do a three team or on my own.

870
00:42:20,719 --> 00:42:24,960
So because Brian is still getting tech service, I will

871
00:42:25,000 --> 00:42:27,639
get his parlay leg and I'll just I guess I'll

872
00:42:27,679 --> 00:42:30,719
just try to explain it. But again, first leg of

873
00:42:30,719 --> 00:42:34,400
the parlay is Fairley Dickinson minus one seventy five.

874
00:42:35,159 --> 00:42:35,800
Speaker 2: And I guess what.

875
00:42:36,039 --> 00:42:37,960
Speaker 1: Because of this, I'm just gonna give you my other

876
00:42:38,000 --> 00:42:42,519
early client play. So I will give you the other

877
00:42:42,559 --> 00:42:45,440
thing I've played so far for clients, and let me

878
00:42:45,480 --> 00:42:48,119
really just navigate to the right part of the odd

879
00:42:48,159 --> 00:42:52,000
screen and we'll put those in as the first two

880
00:42:52,079 --> 00:42:55,519
legs of the parlay, because I did play another early game,

881
00:42:56,119 --> 00:43:01,440
and so that's gonna be app State, Appalachian State against Mercer.

882
00:43:02,719 --> 00:43:04,639
Speaker 2: Let me just navigate to the board, see if this

883
00:43:04,719 --> 00:43:07,599
has moved at all. I think even if.

884
00:43:07,440 --> 00:43:10,920
Speaker 1: It's this has moved, we'll probably still play it in

885
00:43:10,960 --> 00:43:14,599
the parlay. So yes, it's down to you can still

886
00:43:14,599 --> 00:43:19,119
get six and a half on app State here. If

887
00:43:19,159 --> 00:43:22,239
actually there's still sevens out there for the parlay, I'll

888
00:43:22,239 --> 00:43:25,079
put six and a half. But there are still sevens,

889
00:43:25,119 --> 00:43:28,960
So I played Appalachian State plus seven and this will

890
00:43:28,960 --> 00:43:30,719
be leg number two of the parlay. This is also

891
00:43:31,079 --> 00:43:35,719
a three percent client play for yours truly, so another

892
00:43:35,840 --> 00:43:39,440
one of my paid plays will be leg number two

893
00:43:39,440 --> 00:43:43,960
of the parlay. Pretty much a numbers play. But also

894
00:43:44,039 --> 00:43:47,880
I think this was a line I didn't fully understand,

895
00:43:48,480 --> 00:43:52,440
so I have this closer to like, if these two

896
00:43:52,440 --> 00:43:54,440
teams were to play on a neutral I would have

897
00:43:54,519 --> 00:43:58,480
Mercer minus one. This is another just traditional game. It's

898
00:43:58,519 --> 00:44:01,480
not part of an MTE. It's a home game for Mercer.

899
00:44:02,519 --> 00:44:08,760
I highly doubt McCone Macon. Is it Macon, Georgia or like,

900
00:44:08,920 --> 00:44:11,039
someone will have to tell me how to pronounce that city,

901
00:44:11,360 --> 00:44:14,920
but that's where Mercer is located. I don't think you're

902
00:44:14,920 --> 00:44:17,719
going to get some sort of crazy lively atmosphere there

903
00:44:18,119 --> 00:44:19,920
for this game, to the point where I would give

904
00:44:19,920 --> 00:44:23,840
them like full marks for being at home here. So

905
00:44:25,039 --> 00:44:27,639
just based on that and the fact that Appalachian State

906
00:44:27,760 --> 00:44:32,679
in their last game got absolutely embarrassed at home by Elon,

907
00:44:33,360 --> 00:44:37,199
just completely destroyed. Weren't ready to play. It wasn't like

908
00:44:37,239 --> 00:44:40,400
anyone was out. It was just straight up they did

909
00:44:40,400 --> 00:44:42,599
not come ready to play. They got ran out of

910
00:44:42,639 --> 00:44:45,639
their own building. This is an app State team that

911
00:44:45,679 --> 00:44:48,239
I don't have as highly rated as I've had in

912
00:44:48,280 --> 00:44:50,559
past years. I don't think this team is as good

913
00:44:50,599 --> 00:44:53,880
as their last couple, but like there's still a capable

914
00:44:53,920 --> 00:44:56,719
Sun Belt team. They should not be getting seven points

915
00:44:56,920 --> 00:45:00,800
against Mercer in my opinion, So oh in the chat,

916
00:45:00,880 --> 00:45:06,280
Macon like Bacon, Okay, Macon, Macon Georgia. I had to

917
00:45:06,280 --> 00:45:09,480
take app State plus seven here. Just way too much

918
00:45:09,480 --> 00:45:12,119
of a difference between where I have the number and

919
00:45:12,159 --> 00:45:15,440
where this number is to not play it between with

920
00:45:15,559 --> 00:45:18,880
two teams that I think, for for all intentsive purposes,

921
00:45:18,880 --> 00:45:23,280
are very equal. You know, uh, Mercer comes out of

922
00:45:23,280 --> 00:45:26,480
the SoCon. I think app States League is a little

923
00:45:26,480 --> 00:45:29,679
bit better again. I know, I know there's some folks

924
00:45:29,760 --> 00:45:32,480
high high on on Mercer this year, higher than they've

925
00:45:32,519 --> 00:45:36,199
been in past years, which I think is maybe the

926
00:45:36,280 --> 00:45:38,639
reason that the line is is what it is. But

927
00:45:38,679 --> 00:45:41,840
I also think that that performance against Elon for app

928
00:45:41,840 --> 00:45:45,880
State is very much in play here, and and I

929
00:45:45,920 --> 00:45:49,880
disagree with like that one game being like the determining

930
00:45:49,920 --> 00:45:53,360
factors as to where you would rate app State. So

931
00:45:53,400 --> 00:45:56,639
the second leg of our parlay will be another client

932
00:45:56,719 --> 00:46:01,320
play for me, and that's Appalachian State plus seven. So

933
00:46:02,400 --> 00:46:07,000
we have two legs of the parlay locked in and

934
00:46:07,239 --> 00:46:12,119
Brian Power is texting me, so let's go and let's

935
00:46:12,159 --> 00:46:14,159
give his leg out. He's gonna go to one of

936
00:46:14,199 --> 00:46:19,280
the bigger games, so he We're gonna navigate towards Kansas,

937
00:46:19,840 --> 00:46:23,679
Tennessee for Brian Power's parlay leg and then I see you,

938
00:46:23,840 --> 00:46:27,280
I see you, us U see San Diego folks.

939
00:46:27,320 --> 00:46:29,239
Speaker 2: We'll go to that game next because I do have

940
00:46:29,239 --> 00:46:30,039
an opinion there.

941
00:46:31,159 --> 00:46:33,960
Speaker 1: But for Brian, I'm just gonna give his leg of

942
00:46:33,960 --> 00:46:37,440
the parlay out right now. And I just want to

943
00:46:37,480 --> 00:46:40,719
make sure that I've got this number correct. So let's

944
00:46:40,760 --> 00:46:44,480
go back to the Players Era. This is another game

945
00:46:44,840 --> 00:46:48,320
that I have to be honest, like, I don't personally

946
00:46:48,360 --> 00:46:51,119
have a huge opinion on a lot of these Players

947
00:46:51,199 --> 00:46:54,480
Era games, and the reason for that is just the

948
00:46:54,599 --> 00:46:58,719
nature of three games in three days, just learning your opponent,

949
00:46:59,280 --> 00:47:03,159
and it's just so unnatural to me, like the way

950
00:47:03,199 --> 00:47:05,639
that this is set up that I don't think, I

951
00:47:05,679 --> 00:47:08,199
don't know that I'll have any action in any of

952
00:47:08,239 --> 00:47:12,599
these unless something is just like so sets up so

953
00:47:12,719 --> 00:47:14,639
nicely that I'm like, hey, I've got to like play

954
00:47:14,639 --> 00:47:20,320
it anyway, Trevor. Trevor agrees with Brian Power. So, Brian

955
00:47:20,360 --> 00:47:24,079
powers play is the under under under under under under

956
00:47:24,159 --> 00:47:28,079
third game in three days and two defensive oriented teams,

957
00:47:28,480 --> 00:47:33,320
Kansas won't have the download success today. Yeah, well that's

958
00:47:33,360 --> 00:47:34,880
what that's the way Brian Power.

959
00:47:34,679 --> 00:47:36,920
Speaker 2: Is looking here. He's going with the under.

960
00:47:38,119 --> 00:47:42,159
Speaker 1: It's currently one thirty nine, one thirty eight and a

961
00:47:42,199 --> 00:47:45,599
half one thirty nine. I'm gonna give him one thirty

962
00:47:45,679 --> 00:47:48,079
nine and I'll just I'll give him one thirty nine

963
00:47:48,119 --> 00:47:50,400
and I'll just attach a minus one twenty to it

964
00:47:50,639 --> 00:47:54,239
for the parlay, because that way, if you do have

965
00:47:54,320 --> 00:47:58,199
the one thirty nine, then you just take it. Otherwise,

966
00:47:58,519 --> 00:47:59,800
you know, just move it a half point in your

967
00:48:00,440 --> 00:48:02,920
I'm sure one thirty eight and a half is fine.

968
00:48:04,239 --> 00:48:05,679
Speaker 2: He didn't write me as handicap.

969
00:48:06,079 --> 00:48:08,480
Speaker 1: But again, if that's the way you're looking at it,

970
00:48:08,800 --> 00:48:12,920
I mean, it certainly makes sense. Two defensive oriented teams,

971
00:48:13,320 --> 00:48:15,800
third game in three days, Kansas missing one of their

972
00:48:15,840 --> 00:48:20,639
best players. I'm also not like fully sold on Tennessee

973
00:48:21,400 --> 00:48:23,880
on the offensive floor just yet or on the offensive

974
00:48:23,920 --> 00:48:26,440
end of the floora just yet. So that will be

975
00:48:26,840 --> 00:48:28,719
that will be the play, and that's going to be

976
00:48:28,719 --> 00:48:32,639
the three teamer. We're going to go Kansas Tennessee under

977
00:48:33,599 --> 00:48:36,440
one thirty nine, and I will recap that at the

978
00:48:36,480 --> 00:48:40,320
end of the show. And also I will calculate the

979
00:48:40,400 --> 00:48:44,400
parlay odds because we of course have a money line

980
00:48:44,400 --> 00:48:46,119
in there, so I'll do that at the end of

981
00:48:46,159 --> 00:48:50,599
the show. Boss Gordon, let's go to Boss Gordon in

982
00:48:50,639 --> 00:48:53,000
the chat for a second. How do y'all listen to Trigg?

983
00:48:53,079 --> 00:48:59,000
He's always wrong. I don't know I'm winning in football

984
00:48:59,079 --> 00:49:01,920
right now, and an okay, baseball season.

985
00:49:02,559 --> 00:49:04,079
Speaker 2: Baseball season was was fine.

986
00:49:04,599 --> 00:49:06,360
Speaker 1: I feel like I kind of broke out like close

987
00:49:06,400 --> 00:49:10,840
to even college basketball. First couple of weeks, I'm negative.

988
00:49:11,000 --> 00:49:12,920
After the last couple of days, I did go five

989
00:49:12,960 --> 00:49:16,719
and one on Monday. It's mid November, and so I'll

990
00:49:16,760 --> 00:49:21,079
talk always wrong is harsh. I would say I'm probably

991
00:49:21,239 --> 00:49:24,400
have been right about fifty percent of the time thus

992
00:49:24,760 --> 00:49:27,320
thus far, hoping to get that up to fifty five

993
00:49:27,400 --> 00:49:28,280
fifty six percent.

994
00:49:28,400 --> 00:49:29,039
Speaker 2: That's the goal.

995
00:49:30,159 --> 00:49:33,239
Speaker 1: You get to fifty five fifty six percent. That's about

996
00:49:33,239 --> 00:49:36,519
as right as you can get doing this. I will

997
00:49:36,559 --> 00:49:40,360
say this though, like I've structured bets accordingly, Like almost

998
00:49:40,360 --> 00:49:43,440
all my plays have been three percent plays it with

999
00:49:43,519 --> 00:49:47,719
a four percenter sprinkled in here and there. Later in

1000
00:49:47,760 --> 00:49:51,360
the season that'll probably be more four and five percent.

1001
00:49:51,440 --> 00:49:55,559
So I did sort of like bake in playing a

1002
00:49:55,559 --> 00:49:59,880
little bit smaller earlier because even though I'm showing edges

1003
00:50:00,199 --> 00:50:02,599
in there and like good ones, I just think that

1004
00:50:02,679 --> 00:50:05,639
you have to you really have to take like what

1005
00:50:05,679 --> 00:50:07,360
you see in the early going with a grain of

1006
00:50:07,360 --> 00:50:10,800
salt because of and that's just the nature of college

1007
00:50:10,840 --> 00:50:16,719
basketball at this point, new teams, new rosters, mte stuff

1008
00:50:16,800 --> 00:50:21,159
like it's it's so very hard to handicap handicapping motivation

1009
00:50:22,199 --> 00:50:25,719
in November for teams, especially for these big teams, these

1010
00:50:25,760 --> 00:50:28,880
big power conference teams, that the way college basketball is

1011
00:50:28,880 --> 00:50:31,719
now built gives them so many chances to make up

1012
00:50:32,000 --> 00:50:35,280
for losing a November game, So that makes it challenging.

1013
00:50:35,360 --> 00:50:39,400
So again it's it's just it's very it's it's very

1014
00:50:39,519 --> 00:50:43,079
very challenging. Adam Adam said, says, why do you waste

1015
00:50:43,119 --> 00:50:46,400
time responding to those idiots? Could have hit another game? Yeah,

1016
00:50:46,440 --> 00:50:48,320
but I also have no co host right now, so

1017
00:50:48,400 --> 00:50:51,079
I just felt like it. So now it's really my show,

1018
00:50:51,400 --> 00:50:54,480
except Brian Power is back. He's back on the grid.

1019
00:50:54,960 --> 00:50:57,320
He's back on the grid. Brian, I gave out your

1020
00:50:57,360 --> 00:51:00,199
parlay leg. Do you want to shed some light now

1021
00:51:00,199 --> 00:51:03,960
that you have me? Yeah, on the Kansas on the

1022
00:51:04,079 --> 00:51:05,519
Kansas Tennessee for us.

1023
00:51:05,840 --> 00:51:08,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, glad that we don't have to uh, what is

1024
00:51:08,280 --> 00:51:10,880
it rub two sticks together and whatever?

1025
00:51:10,960 --> 00:51:11,360
Speaker 2: I don't know.

1026
00:51:12,159 --> 00:51:13,119
Speaker 4: That was weird, man.

1027
00:51:13,239 --> 00:51:14,760
Speaker 3: I'm just sitting there watch show, and I just went

1028
00:51:14,880 --> 00:51:16,960
dark behind me. And then the next thing I knew,

1029
00:51:16,960 --> 00:51:19,000
it was dark up all in the room. So let

1030
00:51:19,079 --> 00:51:21,880
me see if I can grab my notes back up.

1031
00:51:21,960 --> 00:51:23,519
I should be able to if you guys can just

1032
00:51:23,519 --> 00:51:26,400
bear with me. That was really embarrassing in a new low,

1033
00:51:26,519 --> 00:51:29,440
quite frankly for years truly, But which is.

1034
00:51:31,400 --> 00:51:33,960
Speaker 4: All right, We're back, all right, let's talk.

1035
00:51:34,119 --> 00:51:38,320
Speaker 3: Kansas Tennessee third place game in this Player's Era event.

1036
00:51:38,400 --> 00:51:40,519
Both teams two and zero in Vegas, but they just

1037
00:51:40,559 --> 00:51:42,320
didn't have a point diffrenchs that Michigan.

1038
00:51:42,199 --> 00:51:43,159
Speaker 4: Zagon did obviously.

1039
00:51:43,639 --> 00:51:47,480
Speaker 3: Nevertheless, I think Tennessee beating Houston last night pretty dark impressive.

1040
00:51:47,480 --> 00:51:50,199
Trig Monday, I remember talking about there being a world

1041
00:51:50,440 --> 00:51:52,920
where there might be some decent value on the balls

1042
00:51:52,920 --> 00:51:56,280
in that matchup, provided they didn't blow out Rutgers. Of course,

1043
00:51:56,320 --> 00:51:58,760
they did blow out Rutgers, so I didn't play it yesterday.

1044
00:51:59,000 --> 00:52:01,400
Turns out though points not needed for Rick Bard's team,

1045
00:52:01,639 --> 00:52:06,639
still undefeated by the way, seven to straight up. Meanwhile,

1046
00:52:07,039 --> 00:52:09,880
what sticks out to me about Kansas guys isn't necessarily

1047
00:52:09,920 --> 00:52:12,960
just the two losses, which were to Duke in North Carolina,

1048
00:52:13,599 --> 00:52:17,199
but the fact their last five games have all stayed

1049
00:52:17,360 --> 00:52:20,320
under the total, and in the two games here in Vegas,

1050
00:52:20,559 --> 00:52:22,679
the Jayhawks have allowed just point nine to two points

1051
00:52:22,719 --> 00:52:25,239
per possession. They now have a top ten defensive rating

1052
00:52:25,280 --> 00:52:27,599
over at Ken Palm, of course, so does Tennessee was

1053
00:52:27,639 --> 00:52:30,079
a much better offensive rating. Peterson still being out for

1054
00:52:30,159 --> 00:52:33,119
Kansas is a big deal, but the real key for

1055
00:52:33,360 --> 00:52:37,960
tonight is can Kansas do what really no Tennessee opponent

1056
00:52:37,960 --> 00:52:39,719
has done this far, and that's limit the balls on

1057
00:52:39,760 --> 00:52:43,000
the offensive glass. I mean, a forty eight point two

1058
00:52:43,079 --> 00:52:45,840
offensive rebound percentage isn't just number one in the country,

1059
00:52:45,920 --> 00:52:48,360
it's just pretty ridiculous when you break it down. The

1060
00:52:48,400 --> 00:52:49,440
balls have size.

1061
00:52:49,679 --> 00:52:50,239
Speaker 4: We know this.

1062
00:52:50,440 --> 00:52:53,679
Speaker 3: Three starters six foot ten or taller. So offensive rebounding

1063
00:52:53,719 --> 00:52:55,440
is gonna be a big strength for them all season.

1064
00:52:55,639 --> 00:52:58,199
There's gonna be second chance opportunities. I realize that doesn't

1065
00:52:58,239 --> 00:53:00,800
sound great when I'm talking about Betton and under here,

1066
00:53:01,079 --> 00:53:04,239
but Tennessee is going to force their opponents to shoot

1067
00:53:04,320 --> 00:53:07,719
threes defensively, and that's a problem for Kansas because they're

1068
00:53:07,760 --> 00:53:10,239
only making thirty two percent from behind the arc. I

1069
00:53:10,280 --> 00:53:13,679
think this is probably an undergame because whichever team loses

1070
00:53:13,760 --> 00:53:40,199
Trig is going to have a bad shooting night. And

1071
00:53:40,280 --> 00:53:42,639
what happened to Trig, Well, that was fun as I

1072
00:53:42,719 --> 00:53:46,360
broke that one down. Guys, hopefully, what an incredible program

1073
00:53:46,760 --> 00:53:56,639
this has been so far? This a what a program

1074
00:53:56,719 --> 00:53:57,239
this has been.

1075
00:53:58,000 --> 00:54:01,000
Speaker 2: I swear that was unplanned, but I wonder.

1076
00:54:01,119 --> 00:54:03,280
Speaker 1: So we only live like five hours apart in like

1077
00:54:03,320 --> 00:54:05,719
the very in the same part of the country that

1078
00:54:05,760 --> 00:54:08,519
my my power just blinked, but it only like went

1079
00:54:08,559 --> 00:54:10,000
out very briefly.

1080
00:54:09,880 --> 00:54:11,880
Speaker 3: It did, But it's totally screwed me over. That was

1081
00:54:11,920 --> 00:54:12,880
the same thing as mine.

1082
00:54:13,119 --> 00:54:14,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, are you getting weather right now?

1083
00:54:15,079 --> 00:54:17,880
Speaker 1: Like is it raining? Yeah, it's windy and raining here

1084
00:54:17,920 --> 00:54:19,760
as well. Yeah, soosed we're.

1085
00:54:19,679 --> 00:54:21,880
Speaker 3: Supposed to get snow later today, So I think I

1086
00:54:21,920 --> 00:54:24,199
think this may be weather related here.

1087
00:54:24,440 --> 00:54:26,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, we are supposed to get, like, I guess, a

1088
00:54:26,880 --> 00:54:29,039
lot of snow tomorrow. So it must be just coming

1089
00:54:29,119 --> 00:54:31,760
down I ninety. So that's like Brian and I live

1090
00:54:31,800 --> 00:54:34,519
on the same road basically, just literally five hours apart.

1091
00:54:34,559 --> 00:54:38,559
Interstate ninety Central New York, Interstate ninety, middle of Ohio.

1092
00:54:38,679 --> 00:54:42,079
And but I'm I am back, So I'm assuming that

1093
00:54:42,159 --> 00:54:43,639
you finished your breakdown?

1094
00:54:43,679 --> 00:54:45,760
Speaker 3: Can we any And then and then I came back

1095
00:54:45,800 --> 00:54:47,360
and I had all my notes, and I said, well,

1096
00:54:47,400 --> 00:54:48,639
what do you got to say about that?

1097
00:54:49,360 --> 00:54:49,599
Speaker 4: Trigg?

1098
00:54:49,760 --> 00:54:51,760
Speaker 3: And you weren't there, and I really didn't know what

1099
00:54:51,800 --> 00:54:53,599
to do, and I said, oh, how about I didn't know.

1100
00:54:53,880 --> 00:54:55,920
I didn't know if I had been kicked out again.

1101
00:54:55,960 --> 00:54:57,280
Speaker 4: I didn't know what was going to go on.

1102
00:54:58,199 --> 00:55:01,639
Speaker 1: Hey, listen, we fight, we we battle through it. We're

1103
00:55:01,679 --> 00:55:05,480
back on here. We have I did, so I did.

1104
00:55:05,519 --> 00:55:08,360
I just took the liberty of putting both of my

1105
00:55:08,440 --> 00:55:10,440
early client plays in the in the three teamers. So

1106
00:55:10,440 --> 00:55:12,119
we've got the parlay locked and we do have a

1107
00:55:12,159 --> 00:55:14,000
few minutes left here.

1108
00:55:14,760 --> 00:55:15,840
Speaker 2: I want to I want to talk.

1109
00:55:15,880 --> 00:55:19,599
Speaker 1: So the chat has been clamoring for you see San

1110
00:55:19,599 --> 00:55:23,840
Diego Towson chatter, and so let's let's talk about this game.

1111
00:55:24,840 --> 00:55:27,559
Speaker 2: I so I told you I had had another.

1112
00:55:27,320 --> 00:55:30,280
Speaker 1: Team that I think I was pretty far off market

1113
00:55:30,320 --> 00:55:33,480
on this one would be in the other direction. Uh,

1114
00:55:33,679 --> 00:55:36,960
And that's you see San Diego and after yesterday, So

1115
00:55:37,000 --> 00:55:40,519
I did bet Bradley yesterday and and I that was

1116
00:55:40,559 --> 00:55:44,679
one of those ones where like early on I kind

1117
00:55:44,679 --> 00:55:47,360
of regret, like once I got to watch the flow

1118
00:55:47,400 --> 00:55:50,280
of the game a little bit, I regretted that a

1119
00:55:50,320 --> 00:55:52,880
lot like I was like I had ed buyer's remorse

1120
00:55:53,719 --> 00:55:56,440
because I was like, oh shit, like this is like

1121
00:55:56,480 --> 00:55:57,840
I've got the wrong side.

1122
00:55:57,880 --> 00:55:59,519
Speaker 2: It was one of those where I was like, I'm

1123
00:55:59,559 --> 00:56:02,400
on the wrong side. You see San Diego just looks better,

1124
00:56:02,519 --> 00:56:04,199
and of course they were better.

1125
00:56:04,280 --> 00:56:08,159
Speaker 1: So some of you might know Jordan Alexander, who is

1126
00:56:08,679 --> 00:56:10,599
He does a lot of content here. We'll probably get

1127
00:56:10,639 --> 00:56:13,079
him on for a guest spot at some point. But

1128
00:56:13,119 --> 00:56:15,960
the reason I bring him up is late last night

1129
00:56:16,599 --> 00:56:18,519
him and I were talking about the game, talking about

1130
00:56:18,559 --> 00:56:22,199
UC San Diego, and he is as tuned in as

1131
00:56:22,280 --> 00:56:25,440
anyone to that conference in those teams. He lives out

1132
00:56:25,519 --> 00:56:27,239
I think he's in I think he's in Vegas now,

1133
00:56:27,239 --> 00:56:32,199
but he's from the the I think California area somewhere.

1134
00:56:32,679 --> 00:56:34,719
He texted me this, he said, you see San Diego

1135
00:56:34,760 --> 00:56:36,800
is going to be a wagon again. Man, he said,

1136
00:56:36,840 --> 00:56:39,000
books are flustered. They don't know how to price them

1137
00:56:39,119 --> 00:56:41,079
with a new head coach and an entire new roster.

1138
00:56:41,440 --> 00:56:44,280
But Clint Allard was the brains behind the operation. This

1139
00:56:44,360 --> 00:56:48,760
team is really good and no one has them ranked appropriately.

1140
00:56:49,119 --> 00:56:52,280
And so I bring him up because last year he

1141
00:56:52,400 --> 00:56:56,400
was he was the first person, he was the driver

1142
00:56:56,559 --> 00:56:59,840
of the UC San Diego bandwagon that everyone hopped on.

1143
00:57:00,239 --> 00:57:03,920
He was the first person that talked about them to

1144
00:57:04,039 --> 00:57:07,599
my knowledge that was like, this team is so good.

1145
00:57:07,880 --> 00:57:10,360
And then of course by March my mom was like,

1146
00:57:10,400 --> 00:57:11,400
oh you see San Diego.

1147
00:57:12,159 --> 00:57:14,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, and then of course, and then of course what

1148
00:57:14,760 --> 00:57:16,719
happens They played the worst first half of the season

1149
00:57:16,760 --> 00:57:19,599
they have and then just missed out on covering the.

1150
00:57:19,639 --> 00:57:21,159
Speaker 4: Number by half a point against Michigan.

1151
00:57:21,800 --> 00:57:22,039
Speaker 2: Yeah.

1152
00:57:22,079 --> 00:57:24,800
Speaker 3: So that's what imagine that Taylor made for him from

1153
00:57:24,840 --> 00:57:25,960
a turnover perspective.

1154
00:57:27,199 --> 00:57:29,840
Speaker 1: So so what he's saying and and the and what

1155
00:57:30,000 --> 00:57:33,079
is totally sort of taken that team. I've that's the

1156
00:57:33,119 --> 00:57:36,079
other one I've thrown out now where it's like my

1157
00:57:36,239 --> 00:57:39,800
rating is probably going to show value to fade them,

1158
00:57:40,159 --> 00:57:42,719
and I've just straight decided that I am not playing

1159
00:57:42,760 --> 00:57:46,400
against U see San Diego at this point because I

1160
00:57:46,400 --> 00:57:49,039
trut because I trust Jordan's opinion on that team. That's

1161
00:57:49,079 --> 00:57:51,360
a team that he he he follows that team the

1162
00:57:51,360 --> 00:57:54,320
way I follow like Brown or Sianna or like one

1163
00:57:54,360 --> 00:57:56,519
of those. So it's like, if he's telling me that

1164
00:57:56,559 --> 00:57:59,719
they're they could essentially follow the same trajectory as they

1165
00:57:59,719 --> 00:58:03,519
did last year, which they already pretty much have. Something

1166
00:58:03,559 --> 00:58:06,639
I will tell you about Towson. We talked about Towson

1167
00:58:06,719 --> 00:58:09,360
with with Matt Winnock yesterday and he pointed out that

1168
00:58:09,440 --> 00:58:12,639
you know they're gonna they're gonna defend the paint. They

1169
00:58:12,679 --> 00:58:16,599
also have real issues scoring. I think I noted that

1170
00:58:16,639 --> 00:58:19,880
they're outside the top three hundred and scoring this year.

1171
00:58:20,480 --> 00:58:22,440
But like you see, San Diego in a lot of

1172
00:58:22,480 --> 00:58:23,840
cases can just shoot over you.

1173
00:58:25,159 --> 00:58:29,280
Speaker 2: So it's like that, you know, and you talk about

1174
00:58:29,360 --> 00:58:30,079
U see San Diego.

1175
00:58:30,199 --> 00:58:34,039
Speaker 1: Is just their their surface numbers, twenty second nationally, field

1176
00:58:34,039 --> 00:58:37,840
goal percentage that looks a lot like last year, thirty

1177
00:58:37,880 --> 00:58:40,760
fifth nationally three point percentage that looks a lot like

1178
00:58:40,880 --> 00:58:44,639
last year. You won't catch me betting against the Tritons

1179
00:58:44,679 --> 00:58:46,760
anytime soon. So it has to be you see San

1180
00:58:46,800 --> 00:58:47,760
Diego or pass.

1181
00:58:48,159 --> 00:58:48,360
Speaker 2: Yeah.

1182
00:58:48,360 --> 00:58:49,679
Speaker 3: And I think the other question you have to ask

1183
00:58:49,760 --> 00:58:52,719
is towlesing gonna both three upsets in three days. I mean,

1184
00:58:52,880 --> 00:58:55,039
it's not impressive that the teams have done up before,

1185
00:58:55,119 --> 00:58:58,000
but it's it's it's a tall order. Usually the odds

1186
00:58:58,039 --> 00:58:59,559
makers aren't all like the three days in a row

1187
00:58:59,559 --> 00:59:00,000
with the same.

1188
00:58:59,800 --> 00:59:03,360
Speaker 1: Tan and to know, just to just to also mention

1189
00:59:03,559 --> 00:59:07,519
like tousand's very good, like tousand's probably like Towson has

1190
00:59:07,920 --> 00:59:12,079
two guys back Williamson and Tahata that we were two

1191
00:59:12,079 --> 00:59:14,840
of the better players in that conference last season. They're

1192
00:59:15,039 --> 00:59:18,719
they have a tremendous coach, They're excellent defensively, they can

1193
00:59:18,760 --> 00:59:19,880
rebound like they have.

1194
00:59:20,360 --> 00:59:22,480
Speaker 2: They have so many redeeming qualities.

1195
00:59:22,639 --> 00:59:25,280
Speaker 1: They're not really a team I want to fade, but

1196
00:59:25,320 --> 00:59:27,760
I'm I'm here, Like if you pinned me down for

1197
00:59:27,840 --> 00:59:31,400
this play in this game, I I just don't think

1198
00:59:31,440 --> 00:59:33,400
I would go against UC San Diego.

1199
00:59:33,480 --> 00:59:36,159
Speaker 2: That that's a that's about it. Sean.

1200
00:59:36,239 --> 00:59:38,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll we'll go a couple. But because we had

1201
00:59:38,280 --> 00:59:40,360
a little power out of outage, they may they may

1202
00:59:40,400 --> 00:59:43,079
cut the Twitter stream. So if you get cut off

1203
00:59:43,320 --> 00:59:45,719
on Twitter. I don't know if there's anyone after us today,

1204
00:59:45,719 --> 00:59:47,480
but if you get cut off on Twitter.

1205
00:59:47,679 --> 00:59:50,079
Speaker 4: I have a little bit. So how about we do this.

1206
00:59:50,199 --> 00:59:54,440
Speaker 3: I'll ret we we can recap the parlay because I

1207
00:59:54,440 --> 00:59:56,239
think we've We've got a lot, We've got a lot

1208
00:59:56,280 --> 00:59:58,079
of recapping and I've got no I can go through

1209
00:59:58,119 --> 01:00:00,039
Saint John's Auburn real quick before we.

1210
01:00:00,039 --> 01:00:02,679
Speaker 2: Break, So yeah, let's do that.

1211
01:00:02,719 --> 01:00:04,800
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go to Brian Power, He's gonna close it

1212
01:00:04,840 --> 01:00:09,280
down Saint John's Auburn, and then j buff in at

1213
01:00:09,280 --> 01:00:14,119
the gun with now hello's I've ever seen in the chat.

1214
01:00:14,440 --> 01:00:16,519
This is gonna take up the whole screen, Jay buff

1215
01:00:16,599 --> 01:00:18,679
We already did Syracuse at the top of the show

1216
01:00:18,679 --> 01:00:21,440
for you, So heading over to the wager Talk YouTube.

1217
01:00:21,119 --> 01:00:23,679
Speaker 2: Channel if we missed the show and you can how

1218
01:00:23,760 --> 01:00:26,159
great you were. Yeah, you can watch the.

1219
01:00:26,119 --> 01:00:29,400
Speaker 1: Replay, and also while you're over there like and subscribe

1220
01:00:29,599 --> 01:00:31,880
and guess what, while you're over there in like an hour,

1221
01:00:32,159 --> 01:00:34,519
there's gonna be time stamps believe it or oh.

1222
01:00:35,880 --> 01:00:39,000
Speaker 4: Yes, all right, we're both through Saint John's Auburn.

1223
01:00:39,000 --> 01:00:40,599
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go out on a limb trig and say

1224
01:00:40,760 --> 01:00:42,760
Auburn is gonna play a lot better if here than

1225
01:00:42,800 --> 01:00:44,800
they did last night, the thirty point lost to Michigan.

1226
01:00:45,320 --> 01:00:47,239
We talked about that Auburn Michigan game a little bit

1227
01:00:47,519 --> 01:00:50,360
at the top. We were breaking down Michigan Zaga Tigers.

1228
01:00:50,360 --> 01:00:52,639
They shot just thirty five and a half percent over all,

1229
01:00:52,679 --> 01:00:55,159
out rebounded fifty one to thirty five, outscored on the

1230
01:00:55,199 --> 01:00:58,320
fast break twenty nine to three. He shot Hall had

1231
01:00:58,320 --> 01:01:01,360
an off night season low fifteen. He'd scored twenty or

1232
01:01:01,400 --> 01:01:04,519
more each of the team's first four games. Meanwhile, good

1233
01:01:04,519 --> 01:01:06,840
bounce back last night for the Johnnies after they opened

1234
01:01:06,840 --> 01:01:09,280
this event with the one point loss to Iowa State.

1235
01:01:09,679 --> 01:01:14,719
Rick Patino's team beats previously undefeated Baylor by fifteen last night.

1236
01:01:14,960 --> 01:01:18,960
Sellers has continues to shoot the ball the three well.

1237
01:01:19,239 --> 01:01:21,880
He's had made five threes each of the last two days.

1238
01:01:22,039 --> 01:01:24,599
That's why Patino went to the portal grabbed them from Stanford.

1239
01:01:24,639 --> 01:01:27,239
Speaking of transferred, you got Bryce Hopkins, of course, come

1240
01:01:27,280 --> 01:01:29,360
over from Providence. He had twenty six last night. He

1241
01:01:29,440 --> 01:01:32,800
was perfect from three. Yes, Saint John's deserves to be

1242
01:01:32,840 --> 01:01:35,719
favored by a couple possessions here, Trigg, But my concern

1243
01:01:36,159 --> 01:01:37,639
is whether or not there will be any kind of

1244
01:01:37,639 --> 01:01:40,679
offensive regression for them following a game where they shoot

1245
01:01:40,760 --> 01:01:44,360
fifty seven percent overall from the floor, including eleven of

1246
01:01:44,360 --> 01:01:46,679
twenty two from three. This is not a high volume

1247
01:01:46,679 --> 01:01:49,519
team from three, so last night's performance from behind the

1248
01:01:49,599 --> 01:01:52,880
arc feels like a bit of an anomaly. Then again,

1249
01:01:53,239 --> 01:01:57,440
Auburn disappointing eighty first in adjusted defensive efficiency for Ken Palm.

1250
01:01:57,920 --> 01:02:00,360
We know Saint John's wants to play fast, our top

1251
01:02:00,400 --> 01:02:02,519
twenty five team and ad justin tempbo. But one thing

1252
01:02:02,559 --> 01:02:04,840
that sticks out to me with this Auburn team they

1253
01:02:04,960 --> 01:02:10,559
don't turn the ball over. I think I don't know

1254
01:02:10,760 --> 01:02:13,519
I would take the points or do nothing here in

1255
01:02:13,519 --> 01:02:15,679
this one, just because I don't think Say John's is

1256
01:02:15,679 --> 01:02:17,119
playing as well as they did last night, and I

1257
01:02:17,119 --> 01:02:18,880
think Auburn can only improve.

1258
01:02:21,920 --> 01:02:25,320
Speaker 1: John Wood says, thanks guys, your free client players have

1259
01:02:25,440 --> 01:02:26,880
made him a lot of money.

1260
01:02:26,880 --> 01:02:28,039
Speaker 2: I appreciate that. That's all.

1261
01:02:28,280 --> 01:02:30,400
Speaker 1: That's all we're trying to do. We're just trying to share,

1262
01:02:30,599 --> 01:02:32,119
like that's what we're trying to do on this show.

1263
01:02:32,400 --> 01:02:38,760
Share good info and help you go at a.

1264
01:02:37,559 --> 01:02:40,039
Speaker 2: Market that has three hundred and sixty four teams.

1265
01:02:40,079 --> 01:02:42,400
Speaker 1: So at any info we can share in this hour

1266
01:02:42,840 --> 01:02:46,400
we try to do so all we you know, if

1267
01:02:46,400 --> 01:02:48,719
you want what we're betting on, which I think over

1268
01:02:48,760 --> 01:02:51,880
the course of the year will be pretty good. November

1269
01:02:51,960 --> 01:02:55,199
is probably the toughest month at this point. We have

1270
01:02:55,280 --> 01:02:59,320
those at wager Talk. And because Brian Power lost power,

1271
01:03:00,760 --> 01:03:04,599
you got morning Yeah. Yeah, it's just Brian now no

1272
01:03:04,679 --> 01:03:08,320
more power. You got my early client place here. So

1273
01:03:08,360 --> 01:03:11,719
I've locked in two plays so far. I took the

1274
01:03:11,760 --> 01:03:15,119
liberty VP of because your power went out.

1275
01:03:15,639 --> 01:03:17,599
Speaker 2: We were going to do a consensus leg like Matt

1276
01:03:17,599 --> 01:03:18,000
Winnick and.

1277
01:03:18,000 --> 01:03:20,880
Speaker 1: I did yesterday as a third leg, but I just

1278
01:03:20,920 --> 01:03:23,960
took the liberty of giving two plays. So because we've

1279
01:03:24,000 --> 01:03:27,960
already done it, I gotta say this too because people want, like, yes,

1280
01:03:28,039 --> 01:03:32,400
the parlay lost yesterday once again on the third leg.

1281
01:03:33,280 --> 01:03:35,599
We hit the first two. We lost it on the

1282
01:03:35,599 --> 01:03:39,320
third leg, and so after our hot start. So so

1283
01:03:39,400 --> 01:03:42,400
the first week of the year we had fifteen point

1284
01:03:42,400 --> 01:03:45,199
two two units. We are now down to just three

1285
01:03:45,239 --> 01:03:49,320
point two two units in the bank, but we're still

1286
01:03:49,360 --> 01:03:51,760
in the plus. And again, you don't have to parlay,

1287
01:03:51,800 --> 01:03:53,519
and you can play them all straight. You're probably doing

1288
01:03:53,519 --> 01:03:55,400
better if you play them all straight. But at the

1289
01:03:55,440 --> 01:03:58,760
same time, it's like it's gonna this is the ebbs

1290
01:03:58,800 --> 01:04:00,840
and flows of parlay bed like you're gonna go.

1291
01:04:01,039 --> 01:04:03,119
Speaker 2: You might go two weeks without hitting one. You might

1292
01:04:03,159 --> 01:04:04,280
hit a couple back to back.

1293
01:04:04,440 --> 01:04:06,920
Speaker 1: That's what happened to us during the baseball season, where

1294
01:04:06,920 --> 01:04:09,440
we'd like get up to like fifteen units, get back

1295
01:04:09,480 --> 01:04:12,239
down to zero, we'd hit one. I think we finished

1296
01:04:12,239 --> 01:04:15,880
the year six months of firing parlays up like five

1297
01:04:16,000 --> 01:04:17,000
units on parlays.

1298
01:04:17,000 --> 01:04:20,360
Speaker 2: So better than negatives, put it that way.

1299
01:04:21,320 --> 01:04:23,280
Speaker 1: So for the for the people out there that are

1300
01:04:23,320 --> 01:04:27,039
always like record keeping, record keeping, record keeping, every dollar,

1301
01:04:27,039 --> 01:04:30,320
if you were to play these all equally, every dollar.

1302
01:04:31,679 --> 01:04:33,440
Speaker 2: Equally, like one dollar would.

1303
01:04:33,199 --> 01:04:36,280
Speaker 1: Equal three point two to two dollars or what we'll

1304
01:04:36,280 --> 01:04:38,719
call to make it more simple for the show, three

1305
01:04:38,719 --> 01:04:44,920
point twenty two units. Today's parlay fairly Dickinson on the

1306
01:04:44,920 --> 01:04:49,639
money line. That's minus one seventy five appalation state plus

1307
01:04:49,760 --> 01:04:52,679
six and a half. I will point out that appalation

1308
01:04:52,840 --> 01:04:56,000
state plus seven and fairly Dickinson minus two and a

1309
01:04:56,039 --> 01:04:58,840
half are both three percent client plays for yours truly.

1310
01:04:59,559 --> 01:05:02,840
And then Tim Power is going Kansas Tennessee. Do you

1311
01:05:02,920 --> 01:05:08,039
see a number on that right now? One thirty eight

1312
01:05:08,079 --> 01:05:11,239
and a half. So we'll go Kansas Tennessee under one

1313
01:05:11,280 --> 01:05:14,880
thirty eight and a half. Plus four fifty is what

1314
01:05:14,920 --> 01:05:17,079
that comes out to. And I did. I threw in

1315
01:05:17,119 --> 01:05:19,800
a minus one twenty there in case you know one

1316
01:05:19,800 --> 01:05:23,239
of those was off. So plus four fifty that's fairly

1317
01:05:23,239 --> 01:05:26,239
dickingson money line. App state plus six and a half,

1318
01:05:27,119 --> 01:05:31,440
Kansas Tennessee under one thirty nine and a half. Little

1319
01:05:31,480 --> 01:05:33,880
bit of a little bit of a power blinking here

1320
01:05:33,880 --> 01:05:36,280
and there not going to stop us. We made it

1321
01:05:36,280 --> 01:05:39,639
through the show. Hope everyone has. If you're traveling today,

1322
01:05:39,920 --> 01:05:42,360
be safe, especially if you're traveling by where Brian and

1323
01:05:42,400 --> 01:05:45,079
I live, because it doesn't look great out there right now.

1324
01:05:46,039 --> 01:05:48,880
We'll be here tomorrow, well I will be. Matt Winnick

1325
01:05:48,920 --> 01:05:52,000
is back filling in tomorrow. So we'll say happy Thanksgiving

1326
01:05:52,000 --> 01:05:55,519
to BP and yeah, we'll see you guys back here

1327
01:05:56,320 --> 01:05:59,960
tomorrow morning, ten am. Thanksgiving edition a full Court Press.

1328
01:06:00,840 --> 01:06:02,880
We'll see you at everyone, gobblegobble,