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Speaker 1: You are welcome to the best sports betting show on

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the planet. This is Wager Talk Today. I am your host,

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Andy Lang. It is Monday, kicking off a new week

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by looking ahead one of the most important parts of

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the season, college and pro football contests. That's right, We're

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gonna bring on Kelly in Vegas. He's gonna tell us

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about what what contests are out there, any strategies that

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we might have. I know Dan and I are gonna

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be doing Survivor on this very show. So if you're

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planning to compete in any of those, this is a

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great show for you. Now's the time to get the

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strategy in place. We're gonna talk some MLB. We got

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some free plays. Giohanny's gonna join us first to get

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the Steam report. Crack Man's gonna join us, give us

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an MLB prop. Then Kelly's gonna come on. We'll talk

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to those contests, and Adam Trigger is gonna join us

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to talk the Yankees and the Rangers. The Yankees kind

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of stumbling at the moment now, So thanks for joining

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us everyone. Hope everyone had a great weekend. Let's bring

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Gianni on. You guys know what to do. Hit that

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like button, and let's get started. Gianni, good morning. How

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is your weekend?

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Speaker 2: Mo Man, Good weekend, good weekend.

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Speaker 1: Awesome.

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Speaker 3: Turned the profit last seven days. I think I'm top

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three in profit, number one in MLB last seven days

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and one in MMA.

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Speaker 2: So it was a good, good, good week.

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Speaker 3: After two losing weeks, we turned in a nice winning

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week and excited about preseason coming up. There's always tons

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of opportunities there and of course still got baseball and

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wait in NFL and college football. Man, so it's a

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beautiful time, best time for sports batters.

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Speaker 1: Nice. It was ten and six last week as well,

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so let's keep the positivity going. You said it wasn't

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real busy morning on the Steam report, But I actually

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do want to talk a little preseason because, yeah, looking

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at these lines, we've got some pretty aggressive line moves

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here in NFL preseason. What are we seeing here with

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the market.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and you got to get out ahead.

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Speaker 3: I talked about that before that with preseason, these lines

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are gonna move significantly. So if you're gonna if you

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miss the number, you're better off waiting and be im

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patiently and finding those good positions. Personally, I released a

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premium play on Thursday. I released a premium play already

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for Friday. Both of those lines move significantly. I could

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give you one right now, I'll give you two for free.

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We bet game one oh five Cincinnati Cincinnati minus one.

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They're up to minus three and a half right now.

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So it shows you just how much value you're able

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to get in the preseason. But it also shows you

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you gotta be pretty quick. If you get that information,

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you got to be ready to fire. So here's some

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of those moves for Thursday's NFL Indianapolis plus the one

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all the way to minus two and a half, also

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over thirty four. In that Indianapolis game Cincinnati, I touched

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on Cincinnati. We bet the Cincinnati side as well, good

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to minus two. And then finally Las Vegas from plus

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one and a half through minus one and a half

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and the over thirty five against Seattle. On Friday, we

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have Carolina minus two and the over thirty four against

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Cleveland Detroit minus one one and a half and two. Also,

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little money line was sprinkled there and New England minus two.

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Now you'll notice a lot of those short favorites that

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they laid. They are now through that key number of

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three all the values been extracted.

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Speaker 2: That's the bottom line.

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Speaker 3: Like, if you're now laying those favorites, you're hoping to

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be the product of good luck and more importantly, hoping

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that the odds makers were that off to begin with,

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where that they had the factoring so much public bias

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that the line was three or four points off. Because

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right now, that's what you'd be saying. Because the odds

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makers put out there Cincinnati minus one. We now have

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Cincinnati minus three and a half, So you have to

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conclude that they were about three points off because three

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is such a key number. You got to conclude that

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the odds makers were three points off at the opener,

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that they missed a lot of stuff, and that now

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they're still off. That meaning that they're not just three

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points off, they're more like five or six points off.

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Because if you're going to lay the three and a half,

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now you have to think that the line should be

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what six.

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Speaker 4: Close to five?

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Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, So that's.

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Speaker 3: That's the problem of waiting to bet some of these

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preseason games. The lines do move significantly, but there's a

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ton of value as that line move shows you. If

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you got a minus one in your pocket in NFL

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and it goes off minus three or better. You can't

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do better than that like that as a as a

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sports better in the NFL, you can't do better. But again,

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that information comes quickly. You gotta fire quickly.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Jim asked about the Ravens and preseason. I will

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just tell you I live here in Indianapolis. I mean,

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we have a legit quarterback issue and it's not good

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for the regular season, but it could be sneaky great

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for the preseason. I mean, we got guys competing for

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the job. The backup Daniel Jones, if he gets any

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type of extended playing time, he's gonna be one of

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the better quarterbacks that you're going to see in preseason.

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So you know, just speaking from you know, somebody that

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follows the team locally, Yeah, they got a lot to

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the Colts team has a lot to figure out. And

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I'm guessing Giohnny that that's kind of what you're looking

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for in these teams. You know, quarterback battles where you

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know you're gonna get aggressive quarterback play, things like that,

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and that's probably what the line move is coming from.

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So what do we see in MLB anything of note today?

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Speaker 2: All Right, A.

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Speaker 3: Little slow again, it's early, and it's you know, first

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game of the series, so we should see a lot

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of those series bets I talk about all the time,

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but those tend to come in about thirty minutes, sometimes

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even five minutes before first pitch, and a little more

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baseball will trickle in throughout the day.

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Speaker 2: But here's what we've gotten so far.

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Speaker 3: Nine oh three Milwaukee minus one thirty good the minus

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one thirty five, nine oh six, under eight and even

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under seven and a half. So after going under eight

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up to minus one thirty on Cincinnati, and the Cubs

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came back and went under seven and a half. So

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you'll probably see some sevens at the Sharper books nine

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o eight Arizona plus one, twenty nine to eighteen under

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eight and a half up to minus one oh five

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Tampa Bay La Angels, and finally nine to twenty Miami

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at minus one oh five through minus one fifteen and

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real quickly in the WNBA New York Liberty minus eight,

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eight and a half.

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Speaker 2: So there's a little bit of baseball, a little bit

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of WNBA.

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Speaker 3: But it's only nine am Pacific here on the West Coast,

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so still early.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, any of the lines kind of jump out at you.

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I guess the Miami Houston one is a little interesting.

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I don't know, kind of playing with fire with Vertilander,

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who's been really good last couple last couple starts. I mean,

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isn't long term he hasn't been good last couple, He's

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been pretty decent. Any thoughts on those?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, what's the one that's stuck out now?

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Speaker 3: If I have to look at right now, is Cleveland

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Cleveland against them? Rarely do you see dog money and

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when it's that big of a favorite outweighing the.

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Speaker 2: Favorite money, And right now.

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Speaker 3: That's what I wanted to see in the back end,

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what's sticking out? And for whatever reason, Cleveland at plus

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money and Cleveland plus one and a half is getting

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bet over the Mets. Not sure why.

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Speaker 2: In that game.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that that's probably the one that sticks out to

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me the most because the time I see the recreational

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betters on a dog like that and not just taking

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the one and a half but taking the the.

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Speaker 2: Money line, that always sticks out at me.

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Speaker 3: Again, Cleveland a five hundred team that's playing decent ball

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as well. Nothing really stuck out at me. But again

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I'm surprised why they like Cleve. But the Mets have

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played when you look at it, mess have got one

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win in our last six or seven games against a

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red hot Cleveland team that's won four or five. So

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I I see why the public'sa on them. But yeah,

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stay away from that when I see that.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yes, Paul Liberty is Tuesday, but again and try

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to get the best of the number here on Monday.

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So sadly the props don't come out for for w

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NBA till the day out. But you got to check lineups?

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What are you, dude? I was two to zero in

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props in w I love the w NBA props Johnny

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there there, they're the best. The books don't really adjust them,

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they don't pay attention a whole lot to them. So uh,

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just in anything sticking out in college futures or weak

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ones spreads, do we notice anything?

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Speaker 5: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: I know, I gave out two week one college football

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moves already H four percent and a three percent.

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Speaker 2: Other than that, it's been season win totals. Did we

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add any late.

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Speaker 3: Any season win total that I could share anything going on?

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Speaker 1: I haven't done anything with season wins in college I've

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been an all around pass on that one next Monday.

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Speaker 3: Next Monday, we're doing uh bet Uh bet On. I'm

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doing USC on the Line, the Gambler's perspective, bet On.

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I gotta remember all these names. They're doing bet on

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it next Monday with with Marco and Kelly, we're gonna

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do NFL, uh AFC and NFC previews and college football

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previews where we're gonna give out season win totals. We're

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gonna give out who we think is going to win

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each division. We're gonna about our undervalued team, our overvalued team,

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teams to make the playoffs. So there'll be a lot

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of good information coming out next Monday.

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Speaker 2: We'll be taping those.

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Speaker 3: They'll probably be out throughout next week, so you'll be

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having a lot of good info. Get you ready for

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NFL and college football seasons for sure, and a lot

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of futures. Me, Marko and Kelly will be releasing on

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that show love It.

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Speaker 1: Since it's Monday. We always take a look at the

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opening lines for UFC. Not a great event. Nothing really

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jumped out. I do like Gabriel Fernandez, but line's already

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moved up. It's like minus four forty. I would be

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terrified about laying minus three ten on Joscelyn Edwards. But

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that line hasn't moved nothing really of No, you got

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a couple of really bad fighters on this card, but

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I haven't seen any real aggressive line moves on this

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card as of a Monday morning.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, me neither, you know, just coming off a UFC

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card that actually there wasn't a lot of excitement going in,

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but it ended up providing a lot of great fights

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and good betting value actually turned the profit. And going in,

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I was like, this card's awful, this card sucks, and there's,

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like I said, some really good Fight of the Year candidates.

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In fact, any time you're profitable was a good card.

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But I don't see a lot either. I'm looking at

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the baby event with with Hernandez. He's just on fire

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right now, Puffy and you got the leads that who's

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coming in all three straight wins. He just had a

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really good decision when it went five rounds with a

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tough victory.

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Speaker 2: I'm interested to see there.

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Speaker 3: I'm hoping the public could could jump on the dog

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there and drive that line down and I could get

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some a good price on Hernandez because I just think

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he's just so much more well rounded than the leads

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eight and Hernandez implements that that ground game as well.

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I think the leads A could be in a lot

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of trouble if you don't land that big shot early

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in that first round.

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Speaker 2: I think Hernandez just runs away with it.

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Speaker 3: So I'm looking at that fight like but again hoping

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to see that the line drops. And in fact, I'm

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taking UFC on the line this Thursday, so I won't

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be on here because we're taking two shows for this

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Saturday's UFC and the pay per view with Chimayev and Duplessi.

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So I'm looking ahead to that card. That's exciting as well.

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So we got some good UFC coming up. And next

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Tuesday is Contender.

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Speaker 2: Series as well.

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Speaker 1: Oh you better believe I am so ready for considerceries.

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I already have a five percent play up for this

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week's UFC card. Oh my man, Oh yeah, oh yeah,

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this card screams profit. Uh. We hit one PFL play,

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we hit one UFC play, so we're rocking and rolling.

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And yeah, I got a five percent best bet that

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is up.

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Speaker 2: So when you're seeing the red sox, I like the over.

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I like the over.

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Speaker 3: If I could get nine, I'd bet it. Right now,

250
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But I think it's nine and a half everywhere. I'd

251
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lay up to even one thirty to go over nine

252
00:11:46,279 --> 00:11:48,320
if you could find it gun in the head. That's

253
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the best bet for me in that game. Casey Boston, Oh,

254
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there is nine minus twenty five at CIRCA.

255
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Speaker 2: There you go over nine over nine.

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Speaker 1: Beautiful? Don't you love when a plan comes together?

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Speaker 2: Live?

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Speaker 1: So all right, Johnny, what do you have a for clients?

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If but wager talk on this money?

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Speaker 3: All right, I've got some packages up there, like the

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NFL and college football season package is up together, meaning

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the futures pass. We have season win totals, yes, no,

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we'll team make the playoffs, and even an MVP long

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shot in there at fifty to one.

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Speaker 2: That package is up.

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Speaker 3: More plays will be added to it between now and

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Week one. I have Thursday's preseason package up with a

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four percent play, Friday's preseason package up with a four

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percent play as well. I have Week one college football

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already two bets in there. We're not waiting, baby, I'm

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getting my guys on good numbers early because these lines

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are going to be up so long. By the time

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day kick off, all the value will be extracted by then,

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So hopefully we play some good bets over these next

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couple of weeks, lock in some good numbers, head on.

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Speaker 2: Over to wageertalk dot com.

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Speaker 3: I'll try to throw out a free premium for you

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guys today as well.

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Speaker 1: Love it Jeohnny the Greek always getting the week started

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off right. Thank you so much, Giohnny, best of luck today.

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We'll keep moving. Hey wait, we got no time to waste.

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Let's bring on crack man. We're gonna keep this show

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roller right along. Bill Happy NFL preseason sir, how are

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you so.

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Speaker 4: Far aggravated to be honest with Andy? Aggravated?

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Speaker 6: Here we are Monday morning, after nine am, and the

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preseason lines are not up at CIRCA, they're not up

288
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a pinnacle, they're not up a paper head, not up

289
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at pp at, just a plethora of sports books. But

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yet there's other sports books that have them up and

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have had them up for three days, four days. So uh,

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it's kind of frustrating to me to be honest with you.

293
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Let me just check check on my screen there. I

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just want to look one second. I'll come right back.

295
00:13:40,000 --> 00:13:43,320
Just want to make sure what I'm saying is correct here. Yeah,

296
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so so Chris is up, Bet, MGM, Westgate super Book,

297
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Caesars the Buckeye is now up. So sorry, I just

298
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wanted to check that real quick on the live screen.

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Speaker 1: You're good. You're good.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

301
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Speaker 6: So it's frustrating because I don't it's hard to release

302
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something I'm I'm one that tries to be real fair

303
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and I want clients to be able to get the

304
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games that this is not for me, by the way.

305
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I want the clients to be able to get the

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games in. So I'm not going to release something that

307
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they can only get at Caesar's or MGM or one

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of the sports books. I want to make sure they

309
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can get them at all.

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Speaker 4: Again.

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Speaker 6: Now listen, DK and fand Will also do have them up.

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So I guess I could now that Westgate finally put

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them up in Vegas, but like I said, some of

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the major sports books and the PPH is not putting

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them up. So, trying to be real fair to clients,

316
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I kind of worry about that. I want to make

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sure they can get get the plays in. But it's

318
00:14:43,720 --> 00:14:46,360
it's just it's very frustrating. It's cat and mouse, and

319
00:14:46,840 --> 00:14:49,639
it's because of the last couple of seasons of guys

320
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like myself and as a couple of the syndicate groups

321
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that have destroyed preseason football. It's the reason that they

322
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have severely restricted many accounts and stuff. Understand, these things

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move terribly so but I'm not going to release something

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without having a thick circus. Just actually, right now as

325
00:15:09,360 --> 00:15:12,519
we speak, nine to fifteen am, Vegas time circus just

326
00:15:12,519 --> 00:15:14,600
put up the first two or three so I could

327
00:15:14,600 --> 00:15:17,039
see them popping up now. So that's good, good, too

328
00:15:17,399 --> 00:15:20,440
good to see. So we're gonna have some plays here shortly.

329
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So you guys want to get on and get you know,

330
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hop aboard, because we're gonna have some plays here released

331
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here today for sure.

332
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Speaker 1: Well let's let's do a free play in MLB here,

333
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Mike Carr says in the comment, coming off a free

334
00:15:34,120 --> 00:15:36,519
win last show, let's do it, crack. Who do you

335
00:15:36,559 --> 00:15:38,559
got for today's MLB prop?

336
00:15:40,200 --> 00:15:44,000
Speaker 6: Quinn Priescher Major League Baseball here going to Milwaukee Brewers.

337
00:15:43,919 --> 00:15:46,879
Total strikeouts over four and a half. I'm seeing plus

338
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money plus a dollar ten. I've been pretty successful on

339
00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:53,039
this show. We went with these picture of props. Someone

340
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will have to check them out, but I think we're

341
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actually like seven and one on these props, going with

342
00:15:57,399 --> 00:16:02,320
another younger prospect again this week. Priest has been pitching great,

343
00:16:03,000 --> 00:16:06,759
winning ten games in a row. He's got a great slider.

344
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Faces a Braves team today that has been pretty bad lately.

345
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To be blunt top ten in strikeout rating, it's the

346
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All Star breaking, you know, maybe how hard it is

347
00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:21,240
to get you know, it's hard to get down a

348
00:16:21,279 --> 00:16:25,919
little bit. Someone text me about their picture props and

349
00:16:25,960 --> 00:16:27,600
I want to just tell you, you know what it is.

350
00:16:27,639 --> 00:16:30,279
You're betting the same at the same sportsbook. You have

351
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to have multiple outs. So someone actually damned me a

352
00:16:35,080 --> 00:16:37,720
customer and said, wow, I won like four in a

353
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row and they cut me down to fifty bucks from

354
00:16:39,679 --> 00:16:43,399
two hundred dollars. So you have to, you know, you know,

355
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take the betting and maybe spread it around a little bit.

356
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Speaker 4: It's a shame, right, you're not allowed to win.

357
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Speaker 6: It's amazing how many sportsbooks andy that throwout losing lifetime players,

358
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losing long season players. I knew someone that was thrown

359
00:16:58,000 --> 00:17:02,759
out for betting props that on his own ten times

360
00:17:02,799 --> 00:17:05,400
more than he won on the props with that sportsbook

361
00:17:05,440 --> 00:17:08,400
throwing NFL. I mean, but you know, you have guys

362
00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:13,240
in risk that they're so mad, they're so upset that

363
00:17:13,359 --> 00:17:16,160
they don't have the balls to go out and try

364
00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:19,039
to bet on your own and they want to bet

365
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so bad on their own, so they just limited everyone

366
00:17:21,759 --> 00:17:24,680
else because they're mad, even though they're directors the bosses.

367
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Speaker 4: By the way, some of these are public.

368
00:17:26,519 --> 00:17:32,200
Speaker 6: Companies, the investors up top the border of directors. They

369
00:17:32,200 --> 00:17:35,759
don't want you throwing out winning players. But these sportsbook

370
00:17:35,799 --> 00:17:38,359
guys in risk, not all of them, I'm not soch

371
00:17:38,359 --> 00:17:41,559
at blanket statement. A lot of them, though, They get

372
00:17:41,640 --> 00:17:45,079
so mad they throw out the winning players that are

373
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winning in props, but they lose money at the end

374
00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:49,240
of the year. That's what this guy was sending men.

375
00:17:49,599 --> 00:17:52,559
I was like, wow that he actually sent me screenshots

376
00:17:52,599 --> 00:17:55,039
of his NFL. You know, the guy lost forty three

377
00:17:55,079 --> 00:17:58,920
thousand dollars last year. He won back eight thousand betting

378
00:17:59,000 --> 00:18:01,119
props for them out.

379
00:18:01,279 --> 00:18:03,400
Speaker 4: I mean, even though he still loses every year. So

380
00:18:04,279 --> 00:18:04,960
it's upsetting.

381
00:18:04,960 --> 00:18:06,559
Speaker 6: I mean, I try to stick up for the people

382
00:18:06,559 --> 00:18:11,680
and you know, just talk about some other things rather

383
00:18:11,759 --> 00:18:14,480
than you know, analytics.

384
00:18:13,759 --> 00:18:15,599
Speaker 4: And and stuff like that.

385
00:18:15,640 --> 00:18:18,880
Speaker 6: I try to talk about real problems, every day, problems

386
00:18:18,880 --> 00:18:21,720
of sports better his face, just trying to lay eleven

387
00:18:21,759 --> 00:18:24,400
to ten, twelve to ten post our money.

388
00:18:25,240 --> 00:18:27,039
Speaker 4: You know, hope the dog doesn't need our ticket. Hope

389
00:18:27,039 --> 00:18:28,680
we don't get struck by lightning or killed.

390
00:18:29,000 --> 00:18:32,920
Speaker 6: And these and these sports books just constantly give us problems.

391
00:18:32,960 --> 00:18:36,640
Oh my god, it's so it's so difficult to every

392
00:18:36,720 --> 00:18:39,359
day to be able to butt sports for a living.

393
00:18:39,440 --> 00:18:42,920
And even the clients, it's good they have multiple outs.

394
00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:43,880
Speaker 4: That's very important.

395
00:18:44,799 --> 00:18:48,039
Speaker 1: Well, Bill, I mean the lesson for your friend is

396
00:18:48,839 --> 00:18:53,079
just stick to props. What are you doing with messing

397
00:18:53,119 --> 00:18:55,920
with the other? Well, you and I talk about this

398
00:18:56,000 --> 00:18:58,440
all the time, just like if you're doing good, it's

399
00:18:58,720 --> 00:18:59,240
what are you doing?

400
00:18:59,640 --> 00:19:01,480
Speaker 4: He loves the NFL.

401
00:19:01,599 --> 00:19:03,519
Speaker 6: It was live wagering where he lost his money a

402
00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:07,519
live wagering NFL lost all his money. But however, he's

403
00:19:07,559 --> 00:19:08,759
not gonna be able to do it this year. We

404
00:19:08,839 --> 00:19:12,279
got sportsbook in a month because they threw him out

405
00:19:12,599 --> 00:19:15,519
for winning back twenty percent of what he lost throughout

406
00:19:15,519 --> 00:19:17,960
the year. I mean, this is a real genius is

407
00:19:18,000 --> 00:19:20,079
behind the sports books. I wouldn't give these guys a

408
00:19:20,119 --> 00:19:22,359
mop job. A mop job I wouldn't give them if

409
00:19:22,359 --> 00:19:23,039
they got fired.

410
00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:30,279
Speaker 1: I'm glad you said mop before the job good a

411
00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:34,880
spiraled out of control here. So any particular preseason games

412
00:19:34,880 --> 00:19:37,079
that you are looking at or has the lines kind

413
00:19:37,119 --> 00:19:37,640
of gotten out?

414
00:19:38,440 --> 00:19:40,519
Speaker 4: A couple of lines have moved.

415
00:19:41,559 --> 00:19:44,559
Speaker 6: I had a friend of mine that was that was

416
00:19:44,559 --> 00:19:47,880
actually showing me some of the limit restrictions too.

417
00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:49,720
Speaker 4: But this morning.

418
00:19:49,960 --> 00:19:52,119
Speaker 6: But however, now that circus coming up, the other ones

419
00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:54,720
are gonna come up, so we'll have some stuff I have.

420
00:19:55,039 --> 00:19:57,079
I'll answer the question before he asked her quite asking.

421
00:19:57,400 --> 00:20:00,880
So I have NFL Futures packages up. I have these

422
00:20:00,880 --> 00:20:05,440
preseason packages up. Also the foot college football future packages up.

423
00:20:05,839 --> 00:20:09,759
These have been ridiculously successful in my betting career. So

424
00:20:11,079 --> 00:20:13,279
you know you want to get down on them, you

425
00:20:13,319 --> 00:20:16,960
want to sign up for them. Now, I'll just tell

426
00:20:16,960 --> 00:20:19,680
you we're gonna have some really good advantages. I plan

427
00:20:19,799 --> 00:20:23,519
on starting them today today. We're gonna have some really

428
00:20:23,559 --> 00:20:26,799
good stuff up. I'm also doing the NFL. Talked last

429
00:20:26,839 --> 00:20:29,200
night for almost an hour. But one of my guys

430
00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:33,960
at like ten o'clock last night about NFL. You know,

431
00:20:34,240 --> 00:20:36,440
I've been real tough on people that that that that

432
00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:40,839
you know, try to force NFL sides rather than totals

433
00:20:40,920 --> 00:20:43,720
or props. But I've had a guy that has worked

434
00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:46,799
for us and uh, you know, he he sent me

435
00:20:46,839 --> 00:20:50,079
his NFL card three years ago, two years ago, last year.

436
00:20:50,079 --> 00:20:53,160
Speaker 4: He's one every year. So we're gonna we're gonna go.

437
00:20:53,079 --> 00:20:55,279
Speaker 6: Out with his game. But again, you have to be

438
00:20:55,359 --> 00:20:57,759
on board. You have to be ready to go Sunday night,

439
00:20:57,839 --> 00:21:01,000
Monday morning, Tuesday. You know this is six seven days

440
00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:03,759
before the games kick off, so we're gonna have that stuff.

441
00:21:03,799 --> 00:21:06,880
Just hey, we'll just make sure you have your your

442
00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:10,640
notifications on your email notifications. It's very important my place.

443
00:21:11,519 --> 00:21:14,240
There'll be attainable lines when we send them, but I'm

444
00:21:14,279 --> 00:21:16,480
not gonna be so sure if they're gonna be obtainable

445
00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:19,440
ten minutes after, So make sure you have your notifications on.

446
00:21:19,839 --> 00:21:22,359
You're gonna get the best of it. You're never gonna

447
00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:27,160
ever be part of anything like this ever. Again, I'll say,

448
00:21:27,279 --> 00:21:29,799
just like Giohnny's stuff, and you know this stuff moves,

449
00:21:30,920 --> 00:21:32,920
so you have to be on top of your notifications,

450
00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:34,960
on top of your stuff. You're gonna have the best

451
00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:38,279
of it. And when your bookmaker starts crying and complaining

452
00:21:38,359 --> 00:21:40,640
that the line's moving and you're getting the best of it.

453
00:21:40,839 --> 00:21:43,039
Speaker 4: Five days later. You know it sits in the account

454
00:21:43,079 --> 00:21:45,200
for all these days. Just tell him your following a

455
00:21:45,240 --> 00:21:47,279
service from Vegas. I mean, he shouldn't cut you off.

456
00:21:47,319 --> 00:21:49,720
So anyway, there you go, love it, love it.

457
00:21:49,799 --> 00:21:51,799
Speaker 1: You already mentioned what you have up for clients there

458
00:21:51,799 --> 00:21:55,839
at Wager Talk. Any good restaurants you've been too recently,

459
00:21:55,839 --> 00:21:57,200
any good meals of note?

460
00:21:58,000 --> 00:22:01,079
Speaker 6: You know there's a sushi place across from south Point

461
00:22:01,079 --> 00:22:04,440
that's someone took me to last night and he's like, yeah,

462
00:22:04,519 --> 00:22:07,039
you want to go to one of these places, and

463
00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:10,000
I don't go. I like sushi, but I like quality sushi,

464
00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:10,680
but I don't.

465
00:22:10,519 --> 00:22:12,960
Speaker 4: Want to get busted out of Nobu for you know.

466
00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:16,279
Speaker 6: Ridiculous played it, Play a play a fish sixty dollars

467
00:22:16,359 --> 00:22:18,720
just for some raw fish. But I went across the

468
00:22:18,720 --> 00:22:21,200
street to the south Point and All you can Eat place.

469
00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:22,680
I was like, oh boy, I don't know about the

470
00:22:22,720 --> 00:22:26,920
quality here. It's so packed, there's so much volume, and

471
00:22:27,039 --> 00:22:31,440
the fish was fantastic, So you could see it's called

472
00:22:31,559 --> 00:22:34,559
think it's called best Sushi. It's right across from south Point,

473
00:22:35,240 --> 00:22:38,279
right on the strip there that place for thirty five bucks.

474
00:22:38,319 --> 00:22:40,680
Speaker 4: I'll just be blunts. They lost money on me. They

475
00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:43,920
don't want me in there. Yeah, yeah, they got no

476
00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:44,519
chance for me.

477
00:22:45,400 --> 00:22:45,599
Speaker 2: Yeah.

478
00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:48,240
Speaker 1: All you can eat sushi is a gigantic roll the dice.

479
00:22:48,319 --> 00:22:51,319
I mean that is, it's a bigger roll, the dice,

480
00:22:51,359 --> 00:22:52,480
the most backstables.

481
00:22:52,559 --> 00:22:54,880
Speaker 6: But you know, when people come to Vegas, you don't

482
00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:57,799
want to get busted out. I went at Caesar's. Literally,

483
00:22:57,880 --> 00:23:00,240
steak and Eggs is like sixty nine dollars. It's they're

484
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:02,480
out of their minds. So there's some places here in

485
00:23:02,519 --> 00:23:05,240
town though, that my local joints for breakfast. I would

486
00:23:05,319 --> 00:23:08,240
recommend just going to a locals place, you know, don't

487
00:23:08,279 --> 00:23:11,279
go to these bust out joints in the casinos. Some

488
00:23:11,319 --> 00:23:15,480
great places Lose Diner on Decatur, Mary's Hash House, not

489
00:23:15,640 --> 00:23:19,000
hash House on Go Go, not that slop. Mary's Hash House.

490
00:23:19,279 --> 00:23:22,559
She is fantastic homemade software making from scratch.

491
00:23:22,839 --> 00:23:23,359
Speaker 4: I go there.

492
00:23:23,400 --> 00:23:26,960
Speaker 6: I also go to Blueberry Hill, fantastic places. These are

493
00:23:27,039 --> 00:23:31,039
all great places to go to local joints, mom and pop.

494
00:23:31,160 --> 00:23:33,640
They're they're the places I choose to go to rather

495
00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:36,039
than spend twice as much or three times as much

496
00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:38,720
in the casinos. So there's a couple spots for you

497
00:23:38,880 --> 00:23:42,640
for your for our clienteles here for our listeners and viewers.

498
00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:44,440
Speaker 4: And there you go. There you have it.

499
00:23:44,480 --> 00:23:47,720
Speaker 1: Any love it, love it, Thank you, Bill, appreciate it.

500
00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:50,880
Always a good time. I can't wait to talk next week.

501
00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:53,839
I'm sure you're crushing preseason. Let's just bring on, Kelly.

502
00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:59,720
Let's start talking about some college football and pro contest. Kelly,

503
00:23:59,759 --> 00:24:02,039
what is this you can play? By the way, Justin

504
00:24:02,039 --> 00:24:04,119
did have a good roll of the rice. That's a

505
00:24:04,279 --> 00:24:06,559
it's a good joke, Justin. What's quality joke?

506
00:24:06,960 --> 00:24:09,759
Speaker 5: Listen if you don't know this, this is sushi.

507
00:24:09,839 --> 00:24:12,759
Speaker 7: Is the best kept secret about Vegas. Because you go

508
00:24:12,839 --> 00:24:15,119
to a sushi restaurant in Kansas, you go to sushi

509
00:24:15,119 --> 00:24:18,880
restaurant in Texas or somewhere else that's not a major area,

510
00:24:19,000 --> 00:24:21,039
you're not going to get the quality that you get

511
00:24:21,079 --> 00:24:24,440
in Las Vegas. Number one reason, because the casinos are

512
00:24:24,440 --> 00:24:26,920
already flying in that fresh fish to the desert daily.

513
00:24:27,519 --> 00:24:30,319
So then everybody else's places their orders as well. So

514
00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:34,039
you could get right there Offspring Mountain Road all you

515
00:24:34,079 --> 00:24:37,359
can eat twenty four ninety nine for dinner. I mean,

516
00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:39,759
it is, it is amazing. I can't tell you how

517
00:24:39,799 --> 00:24:41,640
many times I've had to be like wheelchaired out of

518
00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:44,880
there because I'm just like somebody, somebody help. I've been overserved.

519
00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:48,640
But there is one place. I think it's off Durango.

520
00:24:49,640 --> 00:24:51,160
I can't remember. It's been a long time since i'd

521
00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:52,960
been there, but it was all you could eat shashimi

522
00:24:53,400 --> 00:24:56,559
for forty then you can't. You just can keep eating

523
00:24:56,599 --> 00:24:58,440
because there's no rice to make you full.

524
00:24:59,319 --> 00:25:01,839
Speaker 1: Oh, I'm in, I'm in. I may fly there. Give

525
00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:04,519
me some frequent flyer miles, may cash in some miles

526
00:25:04,519 --> 00:25:06,440
and meet and meet you there. All right, Kelly, let's

527
00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:09,160
talk contest here. It's contest season here. So we have

528
00:25:09,200 --> 00:25:11,880
a there's there's a lot of different ones. Give us

529
00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:13,599
some of the ones that you're gonna be involved with

530
00:25:13,599 --> 00:25:15,799
that you're gonna play, and then we'll start talking a

531
00:25:15,799 --> 00:25:18,160
little bit of strategies about So, so, what are some

532
00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:19,279
of the contests here that we have.

533
00:25:19,839 --> 00:25:22,640
Speaker 7: Yeah, absolutely, let's just go right down. We'll start in Vegas.

534
00:25:22,680 --> 00:25:24,759
We're gonna start with Circus Sports. As you guys know,

535
00:25:24,799 --> 00:25:27,319
they have the circum millions right now, they have a

536
00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:30,839
four point eight million dollar overlay. Less than twelve hundred

537
00:25:30,839 --> 00:25:33,480
people have signed up. That is their pick five contests.

538
00:25:34,039 --> 00:25:36,720
If you guys remember Carmine Bianco here from wager talk

539
00:25:36,759 --> 00:25:41,160
dot com cashed in that contest last year during the

540
00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:44,519
quarterly couple of years ago Las Vegas, Chris here wagertalk

541
00:25:44,559 --> 00:25:47,400
dot Com cash in that one as well. So if

542
00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:49,960
you guys are looking for big time overlays, you guys

543
00:25:50,079 --> 00:25:52,720
want to go to Circa. They also have a Circus Survivor.

544
00:25:52,839 --> 00:25:56,799
Everybody knows that's the most famous survivor contest in America.

545
00:25:57,039 --> 00:25:59,160
It's got to pick the winner every single week, right

546
00:25:59,599 --> 00:26:04,880
uh shy of thirty seven hundred entries, they are guaranteeing

547
00:26:05,119 --> 00:26:07,640
a lot of money right now almost and well just

548
00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:10,799
a little over eleven million dollar overlay. That one is

549
00:26:10,799 --> 00:26:15,480
a must enter, just with the possible overlay, you've got

550
00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:16,599
to get in. And then of course they have the

551
00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:20,400
Grand Grand Desimo, which only has eleven entries currently a

552
00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:23,880
four hundred thousand dollars overlay. So if you've got big coin,

553
00:26:24,319 --> 00:26:27,559
that is going to be their big, huge ticket one

554
00:26:27,599 --> 00:26:30,279
hundred thousand dollars entry. Think Dana White gotten that one

555
00:26:30,279 --> 00:26:34,200
if I remember correctly, Then you can go over while

556
00:26:34,200 --> 00:26:36,160
you're in town, just go right over to the Westgate

557
00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:39,119
super Book there You probably go on their website and

558
00:26:39,119 --> 00:26:40,720
still see a picture of me holding the check from

559
00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:43,880
a long time ago I cashed in well at the time,

560
00:26:44,000 --> 00:26:46,240
was their Mini contest or fifteen grand that's the last

561
00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:48,599
three weeks of the season. These guys do a lot

562
00:26:48,599 --> 00:26:53,119
of quarterly prizes three six, nine weeks, twelve weeks, six

563
00:26:53,160 --> 00:26:55,279
week contests, nine week contests, so there's a lot of

564
00:26:55,279 --> 00:26:57,599
contests within the contest Andy, and we can get into

565
00:26:57,599 --> 00:27:00,960
some of those strategies as well, because picking five games

566
00:27:01,039 --> 00:27:06,680
against the spread for an entire eighteen weeks is absolutely grueling.

567
00:27:06,759 --> 00:27:08,880
I just got done doing opening a line report with

568
00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:11,279
Teddy Covers. I said, Teddy, you canna entern into these contests?

569
00:27:11,279 --> 00:27:14,839
He said, no, it takes away from what he's doing

570
00:27:14,839 --> 00:27:17,359
for his clients. He's taking away from some of the

571
00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:21,119
other things. He said, you know what, five games is

572
00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:24,519
so grueling that he just won't do it. So I

573
00:27:24,559 --> 00:27:26,519
will be entering the Super Contest as well. That one's

574
00:27:26,519 --> 00:27:30,200
fifteen hundred dollars. You guys have until Saturday, September sixth

575
00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:31,920
to sign up for all of these contests. But one

576
00:27:31,920 --> 00:27:34,079
of the things that I'm really most excited about is

577
00:27:34,119 --> 00:27:39,599
the Westgate Contest super cot a survivor five thousand dollars entry, right,

578
00:27:39,680 --> 00:27:41,799
So I just mentioned one thousand dollars one there over

579
00:27:41,799 --> 00:27:44,240
at circa five grand. Now, of course I'm gonna be

580
00:27:44,279 --> 00:27:46,440
doing it with some buddies because five grand is a

581
00:27:46,480 --> 00:27:49,119
lot of money to pony up. But the pool, it's

582
00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:51,480
gonna be significantly smaller, still gonna be a lot of

583
00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:54,160
money at stake. I'm really excited for this one. So

584
00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:56,200
you know, John Murray, good friend of mine, said, he

585
00:27:56,240 --> 00:27:58,400
went over, talked to Derek, said, hey, we're gonna do this,

586
00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:01,839
this big time contest, and Derek said, hey, I think

587
00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:04,480
you go for it. Five thousand dollars is a nice

588
00:28:04,559 --> 00:28:06,960
chunk of change, and that kind of came from their

589
00:28:07,000 --> 00:28:07,880
Super Contest Gold.

590
00:28:07,960 --> 00:28:08,079
Speaker 4: Right.

591
00:28:08,119 --> 00:28:11,240
Speaker 7: Super Connests Gold came out four or five years ago now,

592
00:28:11,279 --> 00:28:14,240
and it is a winner take off five thousand dollars

593
00:28:14,480 --> 00:28:17,799
to get in that one, and it is steep competition

594
00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:20,400
and it is tough. I will not be entering to

595
00:28:20,480 --> 00:28:23,680
pick five Super Contest goal because that is a lot

596
00:28:23,720 --> 00:28:25,640
of money and a lot of games for me to

597
00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:29,000
pick every single week. But the survivor one's really exciting

598
00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:31,319
for me. And of course this year they Finally my

599
00:28:31,440 --> 00:28:35,200
prayers have been answered. Andy, somebody's putting together a college

600
00:28:35,279 --> 00:28:37,799
football contest college football only right, we know the Golden

601
00:28:37,880 --> 00:28:41,599
Nugget still does theirs where for it's been ever evolving.

602
00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:44,279
Right over there, they had their their NFL. You could

603
00:28:44,279 --> 00:28:47,319
do sides and totals college football sides and totals, and

604
00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:49,759
guys like our good friend Kenny White would just pick

605
00:28:49,799 --> 00:28:52,680
off all the bad totals and go like eight out

606
00:28:52,680 --> 00:28:55,039
of ten every week, and I'm like, come on, and

607
00:28:55,119 --> 00:28:57,799
so they've had to adapt. But John Murray, I said,

608
00:28:57,799 --> 00:29:00,480
we got to just do a straight college cat. That's

609
00:29:00,480 --> 00:29:03,160
all I want against the spread as long as they're playing,

610
00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:05,720
of course, another Division one team, so that one is

611
00:29:05,799 --> 00:29:08,160
five hundred bucks. I'm going to be entering that one.

612
00:29:08,480 --> 00:29:10,240
And then of course our friends over a splash. You

613
00:29:10,240 --> 00:29:12,200
guys know, I've been a commissioner over there for a

614
00:29:12,279 --> 00:29:14,599
long time. I'm going to have a myriad of contests

615
00:29:15,359 --> 00:29:17,839
with Kelly and Murray as well as my own. But

616
00:29:17,880 --> 00:29:19,839
I want to talk about theirs right now. They have

617
00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:24,440
a two point five million dollars guaranteed NFL survivor one

618
00:29:24,519 --> 00:29:27,839
hundred and fifty bucks. Stannard, Okay, you gotta do that.

619
00:29:28,039 --> 00:29:29,119
Speaker 5: I'm sorry, you got to do it.

620
00:29:29,119 --> 00:29:32,720
Speaker 7: It's guaranteed, so even if the pool does not fill,

621
00:29:32,839 --> 00:29:34,839
it does not matter. Right now, they have three one

622
00:29:34,920 --> 00:29:37,839
hundred and eighty five entries. There's eighteen thy five hundred

623
00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:40,559
nineteen available. I'm going to get a few entries in that,

624
00:29:41,039 --> 00:29:43,240
some for myself, some with some others. And then of

625
00:29:43,279 --> 00:29:45,480
course we've got the Kelly and Murray one hundred and

626
00:29:45,480 --> 00:29:49,119
fifty thousand dollars guaranteed College Football Survivor Challenge. We did

627
00:29:49,119 --> 00:29:51,359
it last year, Andy, and we had a ton of

628
00:29:51,359 --> 00:29:55,119
people tie. There was like no college football upsets. I

629
00:29:55,200 --> 00:29:57,440
didn't make it hard enough. This year, it's going to

630
00:29:57,480 --> 00:29:59,720
be harder. You got to pick two college football teams

631
00:29:59,720 --> 00:30:04,559
to s every single week, SEC Big twelve and Big ten.

632
00:30:04,880 --> 00:30:05,079
Speaker 6: Yeah.

633
00:30:05,119 --> 00:30:07,279
Speaker 7: I know everybody's mad that I excluded the ACC but

634
00:30:07,319 --> 00:30:10,000
I wanted to make this harder. I wanted to make

635
00:30:10,039 --> 00:30:12,960
this fun and enjoyable. One hundred bucks enter that one.

636
00:30:13,480 --> 00:30:15,119
John and I don't have this one out yet, but

637
00:30:15,160 --> 00:30:17,240
we're gonna do what they call a mini Losers.

638
00:30:17,599 --> 00:30:18,359
Speaker 5: It's kind of a play.

639
00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:20,400
Speaker 7: If you watch the show here on the Wager Talking

640
00:30:20,400 --> 00:30:23,559
YouTube channel, John talks about the mini losers that are

641
00:30:23,599 --> 00:30:25,839
on the internet that like to troll people like myself

642
00:30:25,880 --> 00:30:29,000
and Ariel Epstein, and so we decided, Hey, instead of

643
00:30:29,000 --> 00:30:31,720
having to pick NFL winners, what if you got to

644
00:30:31,720 --> 00:30:32,880
pick a loser every single week.

645
00:30:33,640 --> 00:30:35,759
Speaker 5: I mean, the Saints are gonna mess around and win

646
00:30:35,799 --> 00:30:37,119
a game. The Browns are.

647
00:30:37,079 --> 00:30:38,359
Speaker 7: Gonna win a handful of games.

648
00:30:38,400 --> 00:30:40,200
Speaker 5: The Titans are gonna win a handful of games.

649
00:30:40,319 --> 00:30:42,799
Speaker 7: So when you start going through those bottom feeder teams,

650
00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:44,960
then what happens. You gotta start playing some of these

651
00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:47,440
better teams. I'm excited. I think that one's gonna be

652
00:30:47,440 --> 00:30:49,200
really fun. We're gonna do one hundred bucks on that one,

653
00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:52,319
and I'm hoping it will be out by Friday. And

654
00:30:52,359 --> 00:30:55,599
then I'm doing my college football contest against the spread, Andy,

655
00:30:56,519 --> 00:31:00,200
excuse me, seven college football picks a week again the

656
00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:04,720
spread every single Power four conference plus the Mountain West

657
00:31:05,279 --> 00:31:08,880
and the AAC. This one's gonna be great because this

658
00:31:09,000 --> 00:31:11,680
is like truly a handicapping contest. The nice thing is

659
00:31:11,720 --> 00:31:13,759
the lines don't move, But you got to get into

660
00:31:13,759 --> 00:31:16,279
the nitty gritty of the college football world. And then

661
00:31:16,319 --> 00:31:17,640
we're gonna do a one hundred dollars buy in and

662
00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:19,279
they're gonna guarantee that one. They haven't told me what

663
00:31:19,279 --> 00:31:20,920
the guarantee is gonna be yet. We're gonna do a

664
00:31:20,920 --> 00:31:23,200
five hundred dollars one, which I guarantee is not gonna

665
00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:25,119
have a guarantee because last year we only had like

666
00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:27,680
fifty some people end up in it.

667
00:31:27,720 --> 00:31:29,480
Speaker 5: But that's okay, cause you guys get to play against me.

668
00:31:29,799 --> 00:31:31,240
I got my ass kick last year.

669
00:31:31,160 --> 00:31:33,960
Speaker 7: As I mentioned, because no dogs, we're covering and winning

670
00:31:33,960 --> 00:31:34,359
out right.

671
00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:36,759
Speaker 5: It was a frustrating season to say the least.

672
00:31:37,400 --> 00:31:39,359
Speaker 1: All right, So Kelly, can you post these? Can you

673
00:31:39,359 --> 00:31:40,720
post some links in the comments section?

674
00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:41,359
Speaker 7: Absolutely?

675
00:31:41,440 --> 00:31:41,559
Speaker 8: So.

676
00:31:41,599 --> 00:31:44,079
Speaker 7: The splash Splash contest I can post you guys at

677
00:31:44,119 --> 00:31:48,039
link splash sports dot com backslash Kelly in Vegas, And

678
00:31:48,039 --> 00:31:49,920
obviously you can find them on their homepage. They keep

679
00:31:49,920 --> 00:31:51,720
a lot of my stuff pinned up there, so if

680
00:31:51,720 --> 00:31:53,640
you see my face, you know it's my contest. If

681
00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:55,960
you see John Murray space, you know it's one from there.

682
00:31:56,039 --> 00:31:58,519
And then Aaron Epstein and I are also gonna do

683
00:31:58,559 --> 00:32:00,319
one andy that I think you might like. It has

684
00:32:00,319 --> 00:32:01,839
not gotten approved yet, but I'm gonna give you guys

685
00:32:01,839 --> 00:32:05,279
a little insight. So we did a hit Survivor for MLB,

686
00:32:05,440 --> 00:32:07,599
which we're going to run back again this week. But

687
00:32:07,680 --> 00:32:10,000
I think we're gonna do a touchdown survivor.

688
00:32:09,640 --> 00:32:10,480
Speaker 1: So I love.

689
00:32:12,640 --> 00:32:14,440
Speaker 5: It, So I'm really excited.

690
00:32:15,680 --> 00:32:17,599
Speaker 7: I do think if they can get it approved each week,

691
00:32:17,640 --> 00:32:18,759
you just got to pick a guy to score a

692
00:32:18,799 --> 00:32:22,160
touchdown and you can't use them again. So hopefully that

693
00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:24,480
one gets approved here over the next couple of weeks.

694
00:32:24,519 --> 00:32:26,599
She and I are very excited about that, and it

695
00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:29,599
gives you something different, right, Like I love sports gambling,

696
00:32:29,680 --> 00:32:33,359
but again, my action is limited. I want to find value.

697
00:32:33,440 --> 00:32:36,400
I want to find some real underdogs that I think

698
00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:37,920
can win out right, right, we know we do my

699
00:32:38,039 --> 00:32:41,240
three team moneyline parlay posted right here in the short

700
00:32:41,279 --> 00:32:44,160
section of the YouTube channel here on wager Talk as

701
00:32:44,160 --> 00:32:48,640
well as Instagram, Twitter, TikTok, all that fun stuff. But

702
00:32:48,720 --> 00:32:52,279
I really enjoy having some of these because it forces

703
00:32:52,319 --> 00:32:54,599
you to, like you got to make that extra pick

704
00:32:54,839 --> 00:32:57,880
seven picks a week, that's tough for you to really

705
00:32:57,920 --> 00:33:00,519
dig deep and look hard and say, Okay, hey, I've

706
00:33:00,559 --> 00:33:02,640
got a couple of guys that are right here on

707
00:33:02,640 --> 00:33:05,759
my cutlist. Who am I actually going to press that

708
00:33:05,839 --> 00:33:10,519
button and hit send and of course, the other contests

709
00:33:10,519 --> 00:33:12,400
are in Vegas. You gotta fly out there. You got

710
00:33:12,400 --> 00:33:14,799
to get yourself a proxy if you don't live in

711
00:33:14,880 --> 00:33:17,200
Vegas or you're not planning on flying out every single week.

712
00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:19,279
But those ones are really fun because there's just a

713
00:33:19,279 --> 00:33:22,240
lot of money involved. Right, No way, I'm a dime

714
00:33:22,359 --> 00:33:25,599
andy to dime better. There's I have no chance to

715
00:33:25,599 --> 00:33:28,519
make a million dollars during a course of a football season, right,

716
00:33:28,640 --> 00:33:30,519
but playing in these contests kind of gives you that

717
00:33:31,240 --> 00:33:33,759
edge to really hit a big time home run. As

718
00:33:33,759 --> 00:33:36,759
I mentioned, I won the mini contests for fifteen grand

719
00:33:37,720 --> 00:33:39,920
way back in the day there at the Westgate Super Contests,

720
00:33:39,920 --> 00:33:40,480
and that sound great.

721
00:33:40,480 --> 00:33:42,720
Speaker 5: I had some extra Christmas shopping money that year.

722
00:33:43,279 --> 00:33:48,519
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk survivor strategies you can do. There's

723
00:33:48,519 --> 00:33:50,119
a ton of things you can do. You can try

724
00:33:50,160 --> 00:33:52,720
and do, like best favor or the most like the

725
00:33:52,960 --> 00:33:55,559
highest spread. Try to pick that one. You could focus

726
00:33:55,599 --> 00:33:59,920
on fading certain teams. The most success I've had, I've

727
00:34:00,319 --> 00:34:02,000
I've gotten pretty close, like I made it to like

728
00:34:02,039 --> 00:34:06,240
Week thirteen and fourteen a couple times. By far, the

729
00:34:06,240 --> 00:34:09,760
most success I've ever had is planning it out like

730
00:34:09,760 --> 00:34:12,920
like injuries are gonna happen. But knowing a direction and

731
00:34:12,960 --> 00:34:15,119
looking at the schedule and knowing what teams are on

732
00:34:15,239 --> 00:34:17,599
by instead of just like going week to week and

733
00:34:17,599 --> 00:34:19,639
you're like, oh god, I don't have any good teams left,

734
00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:22,880
has been easily the best strategy for me, Like literally

735
00:34:22,920 --> 00:34:25,800
going ten weeks out, what's your best strategy for Survivor?

736
00:34:26,320 --> 00:34:29,840
Speaker 7: So I actually was just opening up my teammates for

737
00:34:29,880 --> 00:34:31,440
the five thousand on one of my good friends ct

738
00:34:31,559 --> 00:34:36,679
Bats and John Murray's good friend Joff, who I met

739
00:34:36,760 --> 00:34:38,480
last year when we decided to team up and put

740
00:34:38,519 --> 00:34:41,440
our Circa Survivor entries together, say all right, now we

741
00:34:41,440 --> 00:34:44,719
have a better chance. John obviously can't enter the five

742
00:34:44,760 --> 00:34:48,280
thousand dollar pool because well he's the vice president there

743
00:34:48,679 --> 00:34:50,920
at the Westgates super Book. But I can enter it.

744
00:34:51,159 --> 00:34:52,800
Chris can Inner and his good friend can intern it

745
00:34:52,800 --> 00:34:54,960
as well. So I've got my sheet up and what

746
00:34:55,039 --> 00:34:57,920
I like to do. Honestly, I just go right down.

747
00:34:57,920 --> 00:35:00,800
I say, okay, here's what we've got Week one. You

748
00:35:00,840 --> 00:35:04,719
can take the lines from the West Gate for example, right,

749
00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:07,599
they have all of their lines out, they have a

750
00:35:07,639 --> 00:35:11,400
grid out already. He says, here you go here's what

751
00:35:11,480 --> 00:35:14,559
Denver is gonna be Week seven, right, do you want

752
00:35:14,559 --> 00:35:16,880
to play them versus the Raiders. I don't know if

753
00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:18,920
that's actually the schedule. I only have on mind. Andy.

754
00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:21,000
I would share my screen with you, but I won't

755
00:35:21,000 --> 00:35:22,719
even let me comment on the YouTube channel, so I

756
00:35:22,719 --> 00:35:24,800
can't even do that. But you kind of get the idea.

757
00:35:24,880 --> 00:35:26,800
I have a week one all the way down now

758
00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:29,880
with splash weeks twelve to eighteen you have to double pick,

759
00:35:30,039 --> 00:35:32,119
so I've got a specific spreadsheet for that. I've got

760
00:35:32,119 --> 00:35:33,840
a specific one for the west Gate five K, and

761
00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:37,719
I've got a specific one for each Circus Survivor entry

762
00:35:37,719 --> 00:35:40,719
I'm gonna have, right, and I'm looking deep. I'm already

763
00:35:40,719 --> 00:35:43,360
down all the way down to week eighteen. Week seventeen,

764
00:35:43,360 --> 00:35:46,880
all right, I'm looking I hate playing divisional opponents, right,

765
00:35:46,960 --> 00:35:49,599
but we all know as you get to the end there,

766
00:35:50,199 --> 00:35:54,599
Week eighteen, guess what. They're all divisional games, and some

767
00:35:54,679 --> 00:35:56,519
teams have some things to play for, so you've got

768
00:35:56,519 --> 00:35:58,559
to kind of start to ever evolve every single week.

769
00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:00,559
I also like to look at a couple off websites.

770
00:36:00,599 --> 00:36:03,760
I'll give the guys at survivorgrid dot com a shout

771
00:36:03,760 --> 00:36:05,719
out some of the stuff that they like to do.

772
00:36:05,760 --> 00:36:07,639
And then I've seen some other websites where people go

773
00:36:07,679 --> 00:36:11,199
on and they predict, hey, maybe this team's going to

774
00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:13,320
be the most picked. I saw it on X quite

775
00:36:13,360 --> 00:36:16,159
a while ago that everybody thought, Hey, week one, Denver

776
00:36:16,320 --> 00:36:17,880
is going to be the most picked team. If you

777
00:36:17,880 --> 00:36:20,960
guys remember last year the Cincinnati Bengals knocked everybody out.

778
00:36:21,360 --> 00:36:24,840
So some of my strategies is kind of going digging

779
00:36:24,880 --> 00:36:27,360
while others are zagging. And sometimes you don't want to

780
00:36:27,400 --> 00:36:29,880
overthink it, do I think overthinking Denver as a seven

781
00:36:29,920 --> 00:36:31,800
and a half point favorite week one is a bad idea.

782
00:36:32,400 --> 00:36:34,920
Maybe you've got the Super Bowl winners Philadelphia in a

783
00:36:34,920 --> 00:36:37,960
divisional game as a seven point favorite. You've got the Redskins,

784
00:36:38,199 --> 00:36:40,760
excuse me, the Commanders. I saw him written as the

785
00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:43,159
Redskins on my page as a six and a half

786
00:36:43,159 --> 00:36:46,559
point favorite there. But they're also in a divisional game.

787
00:36:46,639 --> 00:36:48,719
So there's kind of some rules that I like to

788
00:36:48,800 --> 00:36:52,559
lay in some groundwork, and it gets really difficult when

789
00:36:52,599 --> 00:36:54,079
some of that information conflicts.

790
00:36:54,960 --> 00:36:57,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know. That's the other thing is if you're

791
00:36:57,360 --> 00:36:59,199
in a contest where you can see the percentage of

792
00:36:59,199 --> 00:37:02,000
how many people the game, stay away from that game.

793
00:37:02,039 --> 00:37:04,039
It's the only way you're gonna get ahead in the contest.

794
00:37:04,079 --> 00:37:06,599
If like ninety five percent of the people are on

795
00:37:06,679 --> 00:37:10,000
a certain game, the only way you're gonna cash is

796
00:37:10,039 --> 00:37:13,519
if you get a lot of people eliminated. So I

797
00:37:14,079 --> 00:37:16,280
love looking at the percentages and saying no, you know,

798
00:37:16,320 --> 00:37:21,320
because if everybody keeps advancing every week, the pot's gonna

799
00:37:21,320 --> 00:37:24,039
be chopped. Then nobody's gonna like walk away with anything.

800
00:37:24,079 --> 00:37:27,000
So you gotta kind of just just try and shake

801
00:37:27,039 --> 00:37:29,360
it up and not follow follow her up. All right.

802
00:37:29,440 --> 00:37:32,960
So some of these college spreads or is it so

803
00:37:33,079 --> 00:37:35,559
college survivor or is it college spread?

804
00:37:36,280 --> 00:37:39,559
Speaker 7: So it's called so I've got two contests one hundred dollars,

805
00:37:39,599 --> 00:37:43,119
five hundred dollars, that is seven games against the spread.

806
00:37:43,119 --> 00:37:45,599
Over there on Splash Sports, they're gonna they're the exact

807
00:37:45,639 --> 00:37:49,320
same format, right. You're gonna pick any basically any power

808
00:37:49,320 --> 00:37:52,159
for AAC as well as the Mountain West, So you're

809
00:37:52,159 --> 00:37:54,000
gonna have a lot of games to choose from for that.

810
00:37:54,199 --> 00:37:56,840
But the College Survivor is where it's harder because you're

811
00:37:56,880 --> 00:38:00,480
picking two games against the week. Excuse me, two games

812
00:38:00,480 --> 00:38:03,719
a week, just straight up not against the spread. You

813
00:38:03,840 --> 00:38:06,000
just need them to win in advance. But we're only

814
00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:10,320
doing SEC Big ten and Big twelve, so your pool,

815
00:38:10,519 --> 00:38:14,480
if you will, of possible teams to use, is significantly smaller.

816
00:38:14,760 --> 00:38:17,639
I mean, like, listen, we don't want Alabama as a

817
00:38:17,679 --> 00:38:20,760
thirty six and a half point favorite to be Why not?

818
00:38:21,480 --> 00:38:22,719
Because it was fine?

819
00:38:22,880 --> 00:38:24,000
Speaker 1: You know, like money.

820
00:38:24,360 --> 00:38:26,960
Speaker 7: Yeah, I know, it's easy money, except for Notre Dame

821
00:38:27,039 --> 00:38:28,920
last year is the almost twenty six point favorite, losing

822
00:38:29,000 --> 00:38:31,880
outright to NIU. That was like one of the only.

823
00:38:31,679 --> 00:38:32,679
Speaker 5: Really big upsets.

824
00:38:32,880 --> 00:38:36,719
Speaker 7: And of course because NIU is not in that mix,

825
00:38:36,880 --> 00:38:39,880
you couldn't use NIU. Uh So it was it was

826
00:38:40,079 --> 00:38:41,639
we had some growing pains last year. We had a

827
00:38:41,679 --> 00:38:43,119
lot of guys tie. I know a lot of people

828
00:38:43,119 --> 00:38:45,920
were frustrated in that, and I felt really bad. So

829
00:38:45,960 --> 00:38:49,360
it's not gonna happen, Justin the only the only team

830
00:38:49,400 --> 00:38:51,639
to play in the ACC is Clemson. We're not using

831
00:38:51,639 --> 00:38:53,480
the A. See, people got very mad at me in

832
00:38:53,480 --> 00:38:55,960
the comments. Justin's commenting right now, I don't know why

833
00:38:56,000 --> 00:39:00,360
I cannot no profit margin. These contests do cost real

834
00:39:00,440 --> 00:39:03,559
American dollars to enter. If you guys, if one hundred

835
00:39:03,559 --> 00:39:06,000
dollars is too much. I understand we all have different bankrolls.

836
00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:07,079
Go over to splash.

837
00:39:07,199 --> 00:39:09,119
Speaker 5: People are doing contests as low as five bucks.

838
00:39:09,360 --> 00:39:13,280
Speaker 1: Right, there's a contest for everybody, no matter what your bankroll.

839
00:39:13,400 --> 00:39:16,039
They're out there bet online as survivor for thirty bucks.

840
00:39:16,159 --> 00:39:18,119
If you want just one for fun, fine, he went

841
00:39:18,280 --> 00:39:20,800
enter ten. You get a discuss. There is a price

842
00:39:20,840 --> 00:39:24,119
point for everybody. That's the beauty about about these contests.

843
00:39:24,119 --> 00:39:26,920
So are you going to try and do the NFL five?

844
00:39:27,119 --> 00:39:29,480
I can't imagine trying to do five spreads each week.

845
00:39:29,519 --> 00:39:33,400
That's a lot. It's insane, It's it's you got to

846
00:39:33,400 --> 00:39:37,079
be a narcissist to think you can pick five spreads.

847
00:39:37,480 --> 00:39:39,960
Speaker 7: You better have an NFL season of a lifetime to

848
00:39:40,000 --> 00:39:42,039
win that thing. I mean, listen, but it does happen,

849
00:39:42,280 --> 00:39:44,880
I guys. I mentioned Carmine one, a quarterly contest on

850
00:39:44,960 --> 00:39:49,039
here last year. Matt Rossa and Jeff Patch got completely

851
00:39:49,079 --> 00:39:51,679
screwed on the tiebreaker rules. I won't say that out loud,

852
00:39:51,719 --> 00:39:54,719
but it's true, and so he did. He did take

853
00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:56,920
home the third place prize a couple of years ago.

854
00:39:56,960 --> 00:40:00,280
And as I mentioned, Las Vegas, Chris also listen you get,

855
00:40:00,360 --> 00:40:02,880
you could have an NFL season of a lifetime. As

856
00:40:02,920 --> 00:40:05,199
I said, as a dime better in the NFL, maybe

857
00:40:05,239 --> 00:40:07,880
two dimes if I love a game, no way, no

858
00:40:07,920 --> 00:40:09,840
matter how hot I get, I'm never winning a million

859
00:40:09,880 --> 00:40:13,320
dollars if you get hot in this contest. There's some

860
00:40:13,400 --> 00:40:16,559
big prize pools, especially for some of these quarterly contests

861
00:40:16,679 --> 00:40:19,760
at CIRCA as well as the super Book. So I

862
00:40:19,800 --> 00:40:22,679
think it's worth it fifteen hundred bucks. Look, here's a

863
00:40:22,679 --> 00:40:25,639
good example. Andy, I had a buddy wife had an

864
00:40:25,639 --> 00:40:28,559
accidental third pregnancy. Was like, I'm done. I don't want

865
00:40:28,599 --> 00:40:32,039
you gambling. You know, he's forty. She's like, you're done gambling.

866
00:40:32,000 --> 00:40:35,159
And I said, listen, say you're done gambling. And then

867
00:40:35,519 --> 00:40:37,599
say guess what. Instead of spending you know, ten or

868
00:40:37,639 --> 00:40:40,320
twelve grand throughout the course of an NFL season, say

869
00:40:40,360 --> 00:40:41,719
I just want a thousand dollars and I want to

870
00:40:41,760 --> 00:40:44,159
enter the contest. Right, you have a chance to win

871
00:40:44,199 --> 00:40:49,239
over a million bucks, and it keeps you busy and entertained.

872
00:40:49,320 --> 00:40:51,320
Five picks is a lot to cheer for on an

873
00:40:51,400 --> 00:40:53,760
NFL Sunday. I mean, yes, some will carry over to

874
00:40:53,800 --> 00:40:55,840
Monday night and things like that. I will say that

875
00:40:55,880 --> 00:40:58,360
one strategy there is that the argument is always don't

876
00:40:58,400 --> 00:41:00,960
play the Thursday Night game unless you love it, because

877
00:41:01,000 --> 00:41:03,039
then all five of your picks are locked in. So

878
00:41:03,320 --> 00:41:07,199
you've got Friday practice, you've got late injury reports. Crazier

879
00:41:07,239 --> 00:41:09,960
things have happened, So definitely keep an eye on when

880
00:41:10,039 --> 00:41:13,480
you submit your picks, Andy. But me personally, I try

881
00:41:13,519 --> 00:41:15,079
not to overthink it too much. If I do love

882
00:41:15,119 --> 00:41:16,679
the Thursday Night Game, I will throw it in the

883
00:41:16,719 --> 00:41:18,119
mix once or twice throughout the year.

884
00:41:19,519 --> 00:41:21,440
Speaker 1: You know, we could have made a million if we

885
00:41:21,480 --> 00:41:23,760
would have just kept playing Harry Hall to finish top

886
00:41:23,800 --> 00:41:26,280
forty on the PGA Tour and a Leah Boston over

887
00:41:26,320 --> 00:41:28,320
a rebounds with Caitlin Clarkott. That's how we could have

888
00:41:28,360 --> 00:41:31,360
made a million dollars. There's the easiest way make a

889
00:41:31,400 --> 00:41:33,079
million dollars, more.

890
00:41:32,960 --> 00:41:36,480
Speaker 7: Than fifty bucks on WNBA prop business of Andy.

891
00:41:37,079 --> 00:41:39,199
Speaker 1: That's the problem is, I'm sure the books are not

892
00:41:39,239 --> 00:41:42,199
taking that much money on a WNBA rebound.

893
00:41:42,880 --> 00:41:45,760
Speaker 7: When Marco was really hot there and that was WNBA props,

894
00:41:45,800 --> 00:41:47,119
I was in New York City, he sent me a

895
00:41:47,239 --> 00:41:49,920
nice easy rebound under I don't even.

896
00:41:49,719 --> 00:41:52,000
Speaker 5: Know who she was, and I went to BETTT and

897
00:41:52,000 --> 00:41:53,199
I was like, fifty bucks.

898
00:41:53,239 --> 00:41:56,039
Speaker 7: Okay, cool, that's a half a bottle of wine tonight. Ariel,

899
00:41:56,280 --> 00:41:58,280
You're welcome. Yeah.

900
00:41:58,320 --> 00:42:00,880
Speaker 1: You gotta spread the props out across bunch of different books.

901
00:42:01,079 --> 00:42:03,360
That's the only way, all right. So Mike arsays, Kelly,

902
00:42:03,400 --> 00:42:05,639
give us a pick. Do you have a pick that

903
00:42:05,360 --> 00:42:06,840
you like that you like right now? Do you have

904
00:42:06,880 --> 00:42:08,199
anything you know?

905
00:42:08,360 --> 00:42:11,039
Speaker 7: I haven't. I just got done filming the opening line

906
00:42:11,079 --> 00:42:14,639
report with Teddy Covers. He gave out some nice games

907
00:42:14,679 --> 00:42:19,559
that are gonna move quickly, right, So keep on watching

908
00:42:19,599 --> 00:42:22,280
that show as it ever evolves. He's gonna jump in

909
00:42:22,280 --> 00:42:23,599
the comments section let you guys know if he has

910
00:42:23,599 --> 00:42:26,800
an emergency betting report. Right now, I'm just on cruise control, guys.

911
00:42:27,039 --> 00:42:29,000
There's not a lot going on. I gotta work on

912
00:42:29,119 --> 00:42:32,119
Week eleven of the Premiere Lacrosse League. As you can see,

913
00:42:32,199 --> 00:42:34,639
I'm headed to Boston this weekend with Ariel Epstein to

914
00:42:34,679 --> 00:42:38,000
go watch some of those matches live. Very exciting stuff

915
00:42:38,000 --> 00:42:41,800
over there. No picks though, I don't have anything yet.

916
00:42:41,880 --> 00:42:44,159
I know a lot of people on wager Talks seem

917
00:42:44,199 --> 00:42:46,719
to like Iowa State. As I had to doublin in

918
00:42:46,760 --> 00:42:50,239
ten days. The game I think is a twenty one days.

919
00:42:50,519 --> 00:42:52,719
I got a look, everything is kind of starting now.

920
00:42:52,760 --> 00:42:55,239
It's less than twenty one days. It's nineteen days now,

921
00:42:55,280 --> 00:42:58,159
twenty third of August. I will not be taking the

922
00:42:58,199 --> 00:42:59,800
points of Iowa State. I'm not sure if I'm gonna

923
00:42:59,800 --> 00:43:03,440
back it or not. I've got Fresno State circled against Kansas.

924
00:43:03,760 --> 00:43:05,559
But you, as you guys know, I'm always looking for dogs.

925
00:43:05,559 --> 00:43:07,559
I think and went out right. I'm not sure the

926
00:43:07,679 --> 00:43:10,760
dogs can actually win that game. Out right, Mike says,

927
00:43:10,840 --> 00:43:13,400
Kelly's boring. I'm sorry. You know what that means. It's

928
00:43:13,400 --> 00:43:16,039
time to move on to Trig. You guys want Kelly. Okay,

929
00:43:16,079 --> 00:43:19,400
Kelly's boring, Let's talk to Trig. Dave said, we got

930
00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:22,719
lacrosse wonder from Yes, we did. Nice prop bet, Thank

931
00:43:22,760 --> 00:43:25,280
you Dan. That was a fun one as I got

932
00:43:25,480 --> 00:43:28,360
completely screwed in overtime. That was rough.

933
00:43:29,559 --> 00:43:33,159
Speaker 1: Kelly, as somebody that has hung out with you late

934
00:43:33,280 --> 00:43:36,159
night in Casino, I can I'm sure you, Mike, she

935
00:43:36,239 --> 00:43:39,760
is not poring. There are a lot of adjectives you

936
00:43:39,800 --> 00:43:42,800
can use to describe Kelly boring. Ain't one of them.

937
00:43:43,840 --> 00:43:44,000
Speaker 2: I have.

938
00:43:44,280 --> 00:43:47,440
Speaker 7: Kelly certainly kicked Andy off a blackjack table heater. Chris

939
00:43:47,440 --> 00:43:49,119
and I were on a heater. Andy kept coming around,

940
00:43:49,119 --> 00:43:50,480
and every time we just kept.

941
00:43:50,280 --> 00:43:52,199
Speaker 5: Losing its cool.

942
00:43:52,320 --> 00:43:53,960
Speaker 7: If you don't get away from me, it's like sorry,

943
00:43:54,039 --> 00:43:55,280
I was trying to bring you guys drinks.

944
00:43:55,320 --> 00:43:57,800
Speaker 5: I'm like, no, nobody wants you here.

945
00:43:58,599 --> 00:43:59,239
Speaker 4: I was. I was.

946
00:43:59,360 --> 00:44:01,320
Speaker 1: I was the cool that night. So I did my part,

947
00:44:01,440 --> 00:44:04,400
walked away and cooled off other tables. So all right,

948
00:44:04,519 --> 00:44:07,559
Kelly is gonna be joining us a football season. Every Monday.

949
00:44:07,559 --> 00:44:10,400
We're gonna talk about these contests, talk about what's working,

950
00:44:10,480 --> 00:44:12,880
what's not working, and give some updates. So, Kelly, thank

951
00:44:12,920 --> 00:44:15,039
you so much, appreciate it. Let's look forward to a

952
00:44:15,039 --> 00:44:15,960
big football season.

953
00:44:16,440 --> 00:44:16,760
Speaker 4: Love it.

954
00:44:16,800 --> 00:44:17,360
Speaker 5: Thanks Sandy.

955
00:44:18,639 --> 00:44:21,159
Speaker 1: All right, Kelly, Yes, she is gonna be joining us

956
00:44:21,199 --> 00:44:25,239
on Mondays to talk these contests, talk spreads, real quick, guys.

957
00:44:25,400 --> 00:44:28,320
MLB card today. One of my favorite betting angles, Team

958
00:44:28,360 --> 00:44:30,760
Total Best Bet had to be a client play that

959
00:44:30,880 --> 00:44:33,480
is live right now, only fifteen bucks. I've been locked

960
00:44:33,480 --> 00:44:37,119
in on totals sixty one percent on totals. You guys know,

961
00:44:37,199 --> 00:44:38,960
I give them out sometimes for free on the show.

962
00:44:39,000 --> 00:44:42,039
This one needed to be an official client play it's

963
00:44:42,039 --> 00:44:44,400
sharp back by a lot of numbers. It's the exact

964
00:44:44,440 --> 00:44:48,559
type of play that we've used for clients all year long.

965
00:44:48,599 --> 00:44:51,159
So Team Totals posted grab it now, let's keep cashing

966
00:44:51,199 --> 00:44:55,239
on these Team totals WT buzz slash al. All right,

967
00:44:55,280 --> 00:44:58,480
let's bring in Trig, and we got to talk to

968
00:44:58,719 --> 00:45:05,880
this Yankees and Rangers game. Yankees fans, I mean, most

969
00:45:05,960 --> 00:45:08,800
fan bases are passionate, but Yankees fans right now are

970
00:45:09,079 --> 00:45:12,000
just like they are in complete free fall. They hate

971
00:45:12,000 --> 00:45:16,320
the manager, they hate the GM, they hate there is

972
00:45:16,320 --> 00:45:19,599
there much to like about this Yankees team now right now, Trig,

973
00:45:19,599 --> 00:45:24,840
what's going on with them? Oh, we can't hear Trigg.

974
00:45:24,880 --> 00:45:25,480
He's muted.

975
00:45:27,480 --> 00:45:30,400
Speaker 9: That's because my dogs are barking. Sorry about that. We

976
00:45:30,519 --> 00:45:34,199
certainly can't. We certainly can. I just didn't. I knew

977
00:45:34,199 --> 00:45:34,960
if I didn't have that.

978
00:45:35,000 --> 00:45:37,760
Speaker 8: Muted, Kelly would be texting me I hear your dogs, like,

979
00:45:37,840 --> 00:45:38,440
so I had him.

980
00:45:38,599 --> 00:45:39,480
Speaker 9: I never mute my.

981
00:45:39,440 --> 00:45:42,360
Speaker 8: Microphone, but I did, forgiven what I what I said

982
00:45:42,400 --> 00:45:44,679
before I was muted. No, there's still a lot to

983
00:45:44,800 --> 00:45:46,760
like for this Yankees fan base. They're getting their best

984
00:45:46,760 --> 00:45:49,440
player back tomorrow and Aaron Judge. They went out at

985
00:45:49,480 --> 00:45:53,199
the trade deadline and got seven new players that all

986
00:45:53,239 --> 00:45:56,440
theoretically should be pretty good. But now, if you're asking

987
00:45:56,519 --> 00:45:59,280
me Andy personally, do I like this Yankees team, No,

988
00:45:59,400 --> 00:46:02,079
I don't at all. And actually a bet I've given

989
00:46:02,079 --> 00:46:04,440
out on total Basis, which is our daily baseball show

990
00:46:04,480 --> 00:46:06,679
nine am Eastern on the way you're talking YouTube channel

991
00:46:07,440 --> 00:46:09,159
last week, and I would give it out again today,

992
00:46:09,199 --> 00:46:11,639
is the Yankees to miss the playoffs because they are

993
00:46:11,679 --> 00:46:14,679
in a wildcard race with four other teams right now,

994
00:46:14,760 --> 00:46:17,800
there's essentially four teams for three spots, and that's not

995
00:46:17,840 --> 00:46:20,039
counting a team like the Royals getting hot, who had

996
00:46:20,079 --> 00:46:22,480
a very good deadline as well. This Yankees team's not

997
00:46:22,519 --> 00:46:24,440
catching the blue Jays. I'll tell you that right now.

998
00:46:24,760 --> 00:46:27,119
I don't think that that's possible, given how good the

999
00:46:27,159 --> 00:46:30,000
Blue Jays are this year, and I just don't see

1000
00:46:30,000 --> 00:46:32,599
them choking that Ale East lead away. So if the

1001
00:46:32,639 --> 00:46:34,960
Yankees have to win a wildcard spot, you mean to

1002
00:46:34,960 --> 00:46:37,440
tell me that they're there right now? You can get

1003
00:46:37,559 --> 00:46:40,000
five or six to one on the Yankees to miss

1004
00:46:40,039 --> 00:46:44,000
the playoffs, and they are basically in a even with

1005
00:46:44,159 --> 00:46:46,719
three other with three other teams, the Red Sox the

1006
00:46:46,760 --> 00:46:50,000
Mariners and the Rangers, who they play tonight. I see

1007
00:46:50,000 --> 00:46:53,159
more upside on those three teams than I do the Yankees.

1008
00:46:54,960 --> 00:46:57,639
Equal upside, I would say so for that reason, I

1009
00:46:57,679 --> 00:46:59,760
think Yankees to miss the playoffs is a very very

1010
00:46:59,760 --> 00:47:02,039
good bet at the number where it is.

1011
00:47:02,079 --> 00:47:05,639
Speaker 1: Right now, all right, I want to run this one

1012
00:47:05,639 --> 00:47:07,639
by you. Rangers over three and a half on their

1013
00:47:07,679 --> 00:47:10,519
team total. I just Freed, come on, man, three or

1014
00:47:10,519 --> 00:47:13,000
more runs scored against them in five straight games. There's

1015
00:47:13,199 --> 00:47:16,000
errors involved. It's like he's it's like he's battling an

1016
00:47:16,039 --> 00:47:19,000
injury and his team keeps dropping the ball and throwing

1017
00:47:19,039 --> 00:47:23,000
it away like just bad juju all around for Freed

1018
00:47:23,079 --> 00:47:25,559
in his last five starts. So I like the Rangers

1019
00:47:25,559 --> 00:47:27,800
to get over three and a half. Bad or a

1020
00:47:27,840 --> 00:47:30,239
good pick by me, and you're not gonna hurt my feets.

1021
00:47:30,920 --> 00:47:33,360
Speaker 8: No, I don't disagree with that at all. He's given

1022
00:47:33,440 --> 00:47:35,639
up two or more on runs and five straight starts.

1023
00:47:35,679 --> 00:47:37,719
And the way I would look at this game would

1024
00:47:37,760 --> 00:47:39,920
be to find some way to play the Rangers.

1025
00:47:40,079 --> 00:47:41,880
Speaker 9: So maybe some way to oppose the Yankees.

1026
00:47:41,920 --> 00:47:45,519
Speaker 8: I actually looked at a Yankees team total under so

1027
00:47:45,679 --> 00:47:47,599
like you know, there's a couple of different ways to

1028
00:47:47,639 --> 00:47:49,599
go about it. The way I would have really loved it,

1029
00:47:49,679 --> 00:47:52,079
Bet this was Rangers on the run line plus one

1030
00:47:52,119 --> 00:47:54,400
and a half. But this morning, when it was announced

1031
00:47:54,440 --> 00:47:57,360
that Aaron Judge would likely not come back until tomorrow,

1032
00:47:57,599 --> 00:47:59,280
that line moved a little bit, so it sort of

1033
00:47:59,360 --> 00:48:02,440
got out of the range. I think that Rangers plus

1034
00:48:02,440 --> 00:48:04,079
one and a half lines up to like minus one

1035
00:48:04,159 --> 00:48:06,840
thirty five minus one thirty minus one thirty five at

1036
00:48:06,840 --> 00:48:09,000
this point, so about twenty cents off from where it

1037
00:48:09,079 --> 00:48:12,599
was earlier this morning. As far as the Ranger scoring,

1038
00:48:13,039 --> 00:48:16,280
you know, their lineup is not great per se. When

1039
00:48:16,280 --> 00:48:17,960
you compare it to some of the better lineups in

1040
00:48:17,960 --> 00:48:21,960
the American League, it definitely lacks. But for long stretches

1041
00:48:21,960 --> 00:48:24,559
in the first half, they didn't have Corey Seger. He's

1042
00:48:24,599 --> 00:48:27,800
back and healthy. Wyatt Langford missed some time. He's back,

1043
00:48:28,199 --> 00:48:30,880
and it's really gonna come down to Bruce Boche pushing

1044
00:48:30,920 --> 00:48:33,960
the right buttons because he's got guys and they do

1045
00:48:34,000 --> 00:48:36,280
some good things. They play some small ball, and they're

1046
00:48:36,280 --> 00:48:39,239
able to manufacture runs. And the biggest concern I have

1047
00:48:39,360 --> 00:48:42,239
right now with the Yankees, Andy is just that there's

1048
00:48:42,280 --> 00:48:46,400
so many mental errors, and that tends to snowball if

1049
00:48:46,400 --> 00:48:48,960
you watch that series. I watched every minute of that series.

1050
00:48:49,519 --> 00:48:51,960
With the Marlins, this weekend couldn't have been happier. It's

1051
00:48:52,000 --> 00:48:54,760
just listen. I grew up, I'm from New York. I'm

1052
00:48:54,800 --> 00:48:57,199
not a Yankee fan, but I'm a lifelong New Yorker.

1053
00:48:57,280 --> 00:48:59,320
I've lived in New York my entire life. All my

1054
00:48:59,360 --> 00:49:02,519
friends are Yankee fans. The melting down never gets old

1055
00:49:02,519 --> 00:49:05,880
for me. I know, like that's mean whatever. I love

1056
00:49:05,920 --> 00:49:08,119
to see it. I just love because when I was

1057
00:49:08,119 --> 00:49:09,800
a kid, Andy I had to deal with like the

1058
00:49:09,880 --> 00:49:13,320
Yankee dynasty, and like you know, it was just constant.

1059
00:49:13,320 --> 00:49:16,119
They're the greatest thing ever. This weekend was just a

1060
00:49:16,199 --> 00:49:18,559
joy to watch. I love that Marlins team, and it

1061
00:49:18,639 --> 00:49:21,920
was just mistake after mistake. Jash chishm base running mistake,

1062
00:49:22,159 --> 00:49:24,320
Austin Wells for getting their three outs in the inning.

1063
00:49:24,880 --> 00:49:27,239
Cavallero lets the ball go under his glove and right

1064
00:49:27,280 --> 00:49:29,920
field on Friday that leads to them getting walked off.

1065
00:49:30,199 --> 00:49:32,559
Speaker 9: That type of stuff definitely can snowball.

1066
00:49:32,920 --> 00:49:35,320
Speaker 8: And when I'm looking at this game, give me the

1067
00:49:35,360 --> 00:49:37,599
Rangers in some fashion, I'll go back to that plus

1068
00:49:37,599 --> 00:49:40,360
one and a half line. Patrick Corbyn's a veteran. He's

1069
00:49:40,360 --> 00:49:42,960
had a great season for what he is at this point.

1070
00:49:43,159 --> 00:49:45,159
And then the Rangers right now, any three point three

1071
00:49:45,159 --> 00:49:47,920
to five bullpen era, it's fourth best in the league.

1072
00:49:47,920 --> 00:49:50,079
They have a bunch of good relievers, a great collection

1073
00:49:50,159 --> 00:49:52,440
of relievers, So even though they don't have the big time,

1074
00:49:52,519 --> 00:49:55,199
high leverage guys, the bullpen is still very good. I

1075
00:49:55,239 --> 00:49:57,280
think the Rangers are the better of these two teams.

1076
00:49:57,360 --> 00:49:59,440
And going back to my initial bet Yankees to miss

1077
00:49:59,440 --> 00:50:02,039
the playoffs, it's because I think this Rangers team is

1078
00:50:02,039 --> 00:50:04,400
a superior team. So I'll take the Rangers in some

1079
00:50:04,480 --> 00:50:05,079
fashion here.

1080
00:50:05,840 --> 00:50:08,440
Speaker 1: All right, First off, tell us what you have up

1081
00:50:08,440 --> 00:50:10,880
for clients at wager Talking. We talked a little bit

1082
00:50:10,880 --> 00:50:12,880
about college football. They say, give us a team to

1083
00:50:13,159 --> 00:50:15,719
possibly fade, and I believe you brought up Syracuse. So

1084
00:50:15,960 --> 00:50:17,719
tell everyone what you have up at wager Talking. Give

1085
00:50:17,800 --> 00:50:19,719
us a couple of lines on Syracuse.

1086
00:50:20,800 --> 00:50:23,119
Speaker 8: Absolutely. Yeah, we have a great special at wager Talk

1087
00:50:23,199 --> 00:50:25,880
right now. It's basically a free month. So if you

1088
00:50:25,920 --> 00:50:28,760
lock in for three months or you know, I think

1089
00:50:28,800 --> 00:50:30,719
it's like the cost of two months you get three,

1090
00:50:31,480 --> 00:50:34,559
that'll be the best value that we can offer right now.

1091
00:50:34,920 --> 00:50:38,199
I'm going to have baseball in both MLB and KBO

1092
00:50:38,280 --> 00:50:40,239
by the end of the day, and so that would

1093
00:50:40,239 --> 00:50:41,559
be covered on that So check that out.

1094
00:50:41,559 --> 00:50:42,480
Speaker 9: It's on my page.

1095
00:50:42,760 --> 00:50:45,719
Speaker 8: And I think that's good for all handicappers, So you know,

1096
00:50:45,840 --> 00:50:49,000
if it's not me, take advantage of that with someone else.

1097
00:50:49,000 --> 00:50:51,400
As far as Syracuse is concerned, Andy, that's where I live,

1098
00:50:51,480 --> 00:50:52,280
Central New York.

1099
00:50:52,760 --> 00:50:54,679
Speaker 9: It's one of the teams I follow closely.

1100
00:50:55,320 --> 00:50:58,000
Speaker 8: I'm not too deep into college football where I'm following

1101
00:50:58,000 --> 00:50:59,960
the whole league, but I've got like three or fourteen

1102
00:51:00,559 --> 00:51:02,760
that I get. You know, they either know people close

1103
00:51:02,800 --> 00:51:05,760
to the program or Syracuse. They're right in my backyard,

1104
00:51:05,800 --> 00:51:07,960
and so I do follow those teams very closely. And

1105
00:51:08,960 --> 00:51:12,360
I am just I don't have much faith in the

1106
00:51:12,440 --> 00:51:15,920
Syracuse team being better than the market this year.

1107
00:51:15,960 --> 00:51:17,480
Speaker 9: So I think that's important to point out.

1108
00:51:17,559 --> 00:51:21,840
Speaker 8: Last year Syracuse won ten games. It was a historic

1109
00:51:21,880 --> 00:51:25,079
season for Kyle McCord. As long as I can remember

1110
00:51:25,119 --> 00:51:27,679
watching Syracuse football, we haven't had a quarterback like that.

1111
00:51:27,920 --> 00:51:30,840
It was just a tremendous year and a great finish

1112
00:51:30,880 --> 00:51:33,400
to the year too, getting to that ten win mark,

1113
00:51:33,440 --> 00:51:35,119
beating Miami on the final day of.

1114
00:51:35,039 --> 00:51:36,800
Speaker 9: The season winning the bowl game.

1115
00:51:36,840 --> 00:51:38,760
Speaker 8: It was just a great year for Syracuse football, and

1116
00:51:38,800 --> 00:51:41,960
they have lost not only have they lost McCord, but

1117
00:51:42,000 --> 00:51:45,280
they have lost so much talent from last year's team.

1118
00:51:45,360 --> 00:51:48,480
And now you take the you know, you take just

1119
00:51:48,519 --> 00:51:52,760
the sheer number of contributors that they lost from last year,

1120
00:51:53,039 --> 00:51:55,599
and then look at this schedule, which is much tougher

1121
00:51:55,599 --> 00:51:59,239
than last year's first six weeks of the season at Tennessee,

1122
00:51:59,320 --> 00:52:03,880
at Clemson, at SMU. There's a three month, three week

1123
00:52:03,920 --> 00:52:07,159
stretch late where it's UNC at Miami at order game.

1124
00:52:07,800 --> 00:52:09,800
I just find it hard to believe that this team,

1125
00:52:10,920 --> 00:52:12,559
you know, gets to a bowl game. I don't even

1126
00:52:12,599 --> 00:52:15,239
know if they get five wins. I wouldn't be surprised

1127
00:52:15,280 --> 00:52:18,599
with their four and eighth this year because the other thing, Andy,

1128
00:52:18,840 --> 00:52:19,639
go ahead.

1129
00:52:19,800 --> 00:52:21,960
Speaker 1: No, no, no, no, no, keep going. I'm loving this.

1130
00:52:22,039 --> 00:52:22,599
I'm loving this.

1131
00:52:23,760 --> 00:52:25,440
Speaker 9: Well, Andy, they they made a lot.

1132
00:52:25,559 --> 00:52:27,280
Speaker 8: So you want to talk about a team that was

1133
00:52:27,320 --> 00:52:30,960
like fran Brown, such a great energy guy, but like

1134
00:52:31,000 --> 00:52:33,639
from an in game standpoint, they were very poorly coached

1135
00:52:33,679 --> 00:52:36,280
last year. A lot of mistakes on special teams and

1136
00:52:36,480 --> 00:52:38,960
just they got bailed out a lot of times. By

1137
00:52:39,079 --> 00:52:42,679
mccorr just being just a total g making every play,

1138
00:52:42,760 --> 00:52:46,239
every throw, and then some really good skill players just

1139
00:52:46,760 --> 00:52:51,599
making big time plays. Laquinn Allen, Trey Barpania no longer

1140
00:52:51,639 --> 00:52:54,039
with the program, right, Like, I felt like they got

1141
00:52:54,079 --> 00:52:56,760
bailed out so many times where that ten and that

1142
00:52:56,920 --> 00:53:00,280
ten win season could have easily been six. Now those

1143
00:53:00,280 --> 00:53:02,800
guys doing the making the big time plays and bailing

1144
00:53:02,840 --> 00:53:05,880
them out are not there, and it's like, you know,

1145
00:53:05,960 --> 00:53:09,639
how are you going to overcome these mistakes in game

1146
00:53:10,039 --> 00:53:12,679
without that top tier talent. I think it could get

1147
00:53:12,760 --> 00:53:16,960
ugly for this team. Those that first six weeks stretch.

1148
00:53:17,000 --> 00:53:18,719
It's it's hard to believe there are anything other than

1149
00:53:18,760 --> 00:53:21,920
two and four maybe wins over Colgate and Yukon. After that,

1150
00:53:22,199 --> 00:53:25,039
it just doesn't get any easier. So I think Syracuse

1151
00:53:25,119 --> 00:53:26,639
is going to be a pretty good fade this year.

1152
00:53:27,239 --> 00:53:30,159
Speaker 1: I love this. There's a I'm not I can't give

1153
00:53:30,199 --> 00:53:32,079
him credit. I can't remember his name, but I love

1154
00:53:32,119 --> 00:53:33,639
it when he's like, if you think you have a

1155
00:53:33,679 --> 00:53:35,480
good read on a team that's going to be bad,

1156
00:53:36,039 --> 00:53:39,559
he's like taked all unders, like cause if if the

1157
00:53:39,599 --> 00:53:42,000
season goes bad for him, like you can get some

1158
00:53:42,079 --> 00:53:45,119
incredible like plus three hundred on some of those. So yeah,

1159
00:53:45,119 --> 00:53:46,360
if you have a good read on a team to

1160
00:53:46,400 --> 00:53:49,079
go under. Uh, He's like you could, you could really

1161
00:53:49,079 --> 00:53:51,159
take advantage. He poists to some of them in college

1162
00:53:51,159 --> 00:53:55,119
and the NFL. So good stuff. I love unders on futures.

1163
00:53:55,320 --> 00:53:58,000
I think that's the best way to go. So great stuff, Adam,

1164
00:53:58,000 --> 00:54:00,440
And thank you for jumping in last second. Yes, you

1165
00:54:00,440 --> 00:54:04,280
can check out Adam trigger at Adam trigger wt on

1166
00:54:04,559 --> 00:54:08,440
social media. All right. I mentioned the MLB team total

1167
00:54:08,639 --> 00:54:12,159
is up. Also, five percent. UFC play is up. That

1168
00:54:12,199 --> 00:54:14,360
plays like less than minus one ten. That's like minus

1169
00:54:14,360 --> 00:54:16,800
one o four. So you want to get a UFC

1170
00:54:16,840 --> 00:54:20,000
five percenter locked in, I would recommend getting that asap

1171
00:54:20,440 --> 00:54:23,400
before those lines moved so far not enough line movement

1172
00:54:24,000 --> 00:54:26,920
to be worried about anything. So MLB team total is up,

1173
00:54:27,280 --> 00:54:29,480
UFC five percent is up. Now let's do some free

1174
00:54:29,480 --> 00:54:33,199
plays and go all around the world. Here we got

1175
00:54:33,239 --> 00:54:36,199
a couple of baseball plays and a soccer play. We're

1176
00:54:36,199 --> 00:54:39,199
doing a Ralph Michael special. Royals at Red Sox nurfy

1177
00:54:39,320 --> 00:54:42,920
no run first inning, Royals three to one. Nurfey run

1178
00:54:43,000 --> 00:54:46,119
only scored a first inning run once in the last

1179
00:54:46,159 --> 00:54:50,280
eleven road games, Red Sox five and one, Nurfey run

1180
00:54:50,320 --> 00:54:52,960
failed to score a first run inning in twelve out

1181
00:54:53,000 --> 00:54:56,920
of the last fourteen home games. So you got Royals struggled

1182
00:54:56,960 --> 00:54:58,920
all the road, Red Sox struggling at home in the

1183
00:54:58,920 --> 00:55:01,920
first inning, and both pitchers not giving up first inning runs.

1184
00:55:02,119 --> 00:55:06,440
Let's go to League's Cup. Pachuca at Houston Dynamo. Pavlos

1185
00:55:06,599 --> 00:55:09,960
likes Pachuca minus zero point twenty five in regulation. Houston

1186
00:55:10,039 --> 00:55:13,360
is eliminated from this competition, and in four days they

1187
00:55:13,360 --> 00:55:17,440
have an MLS game against Austin, a fellow Texas team,

1188
00:55:17,599 --> 00:55:20,079
so Pablos thinks they're probably not going to give a

1189
00:55:20,199 --> 00:55:22,639
you know what about this game. May wat Pachuca probably

1190
00:55:22,679 --> 00:55:25,719
advances with a win, so they have motivation. Houston has none,

1191
00:55:26,039 --> 00:55:30,400
so we're looking at regulation play there. And then Giants

1192
00:55:30,559 --> 00:55:34,519
at Pirates. Pirates over one and a half team total

1193
00:55:34,840 --> 00:55:39,119
first five innings for Liander, two great outings in a row.

1194
00:55:40,320 --> 00:55:42,639
I'm not really buying it. Before the last two starts,

1195
00:55:42,639 --> 00:55:44,840
he gave up two or more runs in thirteen out

1196
00:55:44,840 --> 00:55:48,239
of fifteen starts. Pirates over two runs first five in

1197
00:55:48,400 --> 00:55:52,079
nine out of the last twelve games, so We're looking

1198
00:55:52,119 --> 00:55:55,559
at Royals and Red Sox, Nurfy, looking at Houston Dynamo

1199
00:55:55,599 --> 00:55:57,760
to lose, and we like the Pirates over one and

1200
00:55:57,760 --> 00:56:00,880
a half team total first five innings. All right, guys,

1201
00:56:00,920 --> 00:56:02,800
it's gonna do it for it. Thank you so much.

1202
00:56:03,639 --> 00:56:07,039
Appreciate you guys for joining us today. Rab I see you.

1203
00:56:07,119 --> 00:56:08,719
My stadiums are on the wrong side. I can put

1204
00:56:08,760 --> 00:56:10,199
them on the other side if it makes you happy.

1205
00:56:10,199 --> 00:56:12,880
Anything for you, my brother. Hit the like button and

1206
00:56:12,880 --> 00:56:15,039
don't forget to subscribe to the channel. And if you're

1207
00:56:15,039 --> 00:56:18,960
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1208
00:56:19,039 --> 00:56:21,760
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1209
00:56:21,760 --> 00:56:24,280
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00:56:24,320 --> 00:56:26,360
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00:56:26,400 --> 00:56:30,679
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00:56:30,719 --> 00:56:34,400
available to wager Talk YouTube subscribers. So take advantage of

1213
00:56:34,400 --> 00:56:37,760
that wt Dot Buzz Slash Insiders jam Pack show. Today,

1214
00:56:37,760 --> 00:56:40,400
we're gonna get after it again tomorrow. NFL preseason is

1215
00:56:40,400 --> 00:56:43,000
here and we got tons of other sports to break down.

1216
00:56:43,000 --> 00:56:44,679
So good luck on all your place today. We'll see

1217
00:56:44,679 --> 00:56:45,599
you tomorrow. Take care