Speaker 1: You are welcome to the best sports betting show on
the planet. This is Wager Talk Today. I am your host,
Andy Lang. It is Monday, kicking off a new week
by looking ahead one of the most important parts of
the season, college and pro football contests. That's right, We're
gonna bring on Kelly in Vegas. He's gonna tell us
about what what contests are out there, any strategies that
we might have. I know Dan and I are gonna
be doing Survivor on this very show. So if you're
planning to compete in any of those, this is a
great show for you. Now's the time to get the
strategy in place. We're gonna talk some MLB. We got
some free plays. Giohanny's gonna join us first to get
the Steam report. Crack Man's gonna join us, give us
an MLB prop. Then Kelly's gonna come on. We'll talk
to those contests, and Adam Trigger is gonna join us
to talk the Yankees and the Rangers. The Yankees kind
of stumbling at the moment now, So thanks for joining
us everyone. Hope everyone had a great weekend. Let's bring
Gianni on. You guys know what to do. Hit that
like button, and let's get started. Gianni, good morning. How
is your weekend?
Speaker 2: Mo Man, Good weekend, good weekend.
Speaker 1: Awesome.
Speaker 3: Turned the profit last seven days. I think I'm top
three in profit, number one in MLB last seven days
and one in MMA.
Speaker 2: So it was a good, good, good week.
Speaker 3: After two losing weeks, we turned in a nice winning
week and excited about preseason coming up. There's always tons
of opportunities there and of course still got baseball and
wait in NFL and college football. Man, so it's a
beautiful time, best time for sports batters.
Speaker 1: Nice. It was ten and six last week as well,
so let's keep the positivity going. You said it wasn't
real busy morning on the Steam report, But I actually
do want to talk a little preseason because, yeah, looking
at these lines, we've got some pretty aggressive line moves
here in NFL preseason. What are we seeing here with
the market.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and you got to get out ahead.
Speaker 3: I talked about that before that with preseason, these lines
are gonna move significantly. So if you're gonna if you
miss the number, you're better off waiting and be im
patiently and finding those good positions. Personally, I released a
premium play on Thursday. I released a premium play already
for Friday. Both of those lines move significantly. I could
give you one right now, I'll give you two for free.
We bet game one oh five Cincinnati Cincinnati minus one.
They're up to minus three and a half right now.
So it shows you just how much value you're able
to get in the preseason. But it also shows you
you gotta be pretty quick. If you get that information,
you got to be ready to fire. So here's some
of those moves for Thursday's NFL Indianapolis plus the one
all the way to minus two and a half, also
over thirty four. In that Indianapolis game Cincinnati, I touched
on Cincinnati. We bet the Cincinnati side as well, good
to minus two. And then finally Las Vegas from plus
one and a half through minus one and a half
and the over thirty five against Seattle. On Friday, we
have Carolina minus two and the over thirty four against
Cleveland Detroit minus one one and a half and two. Also,
little money line was sprinkled there and New England minus two.
Now you'll notice a lot of those short favorites that
they laid. They are now through that key number of
three all the values been extracted.
Speaker 2: That's the bottom line.
Speaker 3: Like, if you're now laying those favorites, you're hoping to
be the product of good luck and more importantly, hoping
that the odds makers were that off to begin with,
where that they had the factoring so much public bias
that the line was three or four points off. Because
right now, that's what you'd be saying. Because the odds
makers put out there Cincinnati minus one. We now have
Cincinnati minus three and a half, So you have to
conclude that they were about three points off because three
is such a key number. You got to conclude that
the odds makers were three points off at the opener,
that they missed a lot of stuff, and that now
they're still off. That meaning that they're not just three
points off, they're more like five or six points off.
Because if you're going to lay the three and a half,
now you have to think that the line should be
what six.
Speaker 4: Close to five?
Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, So that's.
Speaker 3: That's the problem of waiting to bet some of these
preseason games. The lines do move significantly, but there's a
ton of value as that line move shows you. If
you got a minus one in your pocket in NFL
and it goes off minus three or better. You can't
do better than that like that as a as a
sports better in the NFL, you can't do better. But again,
that information comes quickly. You gotta fire quickly.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Jim asked about the Ravens and preseason. I will
just tell you I live here in Indianapolis. I mean,
we have a legit quarterback issue and it's not good
for the regular season, but it could be sneaky great
for the preseason. I mean, we got guys competing for
the job. The backup Daniel Jones, if he gets any
type of extended playing time, he's gonna be one of
the better quarterbacks that you're going to see in preseason.
So you know, just speaking from you know, somebody that
follows the team locally, Yeah, they got a lot to
the Colts team has a lot to figure out. And
I'm guessing Giohnny that that's kind of what you're looking
for in these teams. You know, quarterback battles where you
know you're gonna get aggressive quarterback play, things like that,
and that's probably what the line move is coming from.
So what do we see in MLB anything of note today?
Speaker 2: All Right, A.
Speaker 3: Little slow again, it's early, and it's you know, first
game of the series, so we should see a lot
of those series bets I talk about all the time,
but those tend to come in about thirty minutes, sometimes
even five minutes before first pitch, and a little more
baseball will trickle in throughout the day.
Speaker 2: But here's what we've gotten so far.
Speaker 3: Nine oh three Milwaukee minus one thirty good the minus
one thirty five, nine oh six, under eight and even
under seven and a half. So after going under eight
up to minus one thirty on Cincinnati, and the Cubs
came back and went under seven and a half. So
you'll probably see some sevens at the Sharper books nine
o eight Arizona plus one, twenty nine to eighteen under
eight and a half up to minus one oh five
Tampa Bay La Angels, and finally nine to twenty Miami
at minus one oh five through minus one fifteen and
real quickly in the WNBA New York Liberty minus eight,
eight and a half.
Speaker 2: So there's a little bit of baseball, a little bit
of WNBA.
Speaker 3: But it's only nine am Pacific here on the West Coast,
so still early.
Speaker 1: Yeah, any of the lines kind of jump out at you.
I guess the Miami Houston one is a little interesting.
I don't know, kind of playing with fire with Vertilander,
who's been really good last couple last couple starts. I mean,
isn't long term he hasn't been good last couple, He's
been pretty decent. Any thoughts on those?
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, what's the one that's stuck out now?
Speaker 3: If I have to look at right now, is Cleveland
Cleveland against them? Rarely do you see dog money and
when it's that big of a favorite outweighing the.
Speaker 2: Favorite money, And right now.
Speaker 3: That's what I wanted to see in the back end,
what's sticking out? And for whatever reason, Cleveland at plus
money and Cleveland plus one and a half is getting
bet over the Mets. Not sure why.
Speaker 2: In that game.
Speaker 3: Yeah, that that's probably the one that sticks out to
me the most because the time I see the recreational
betters on a dog like that and not just taking
the one and a half but taking the the.
Speaker 2: Money line, that always sticks out at me.
Speaker 3: Again, Cleveland a five hundred team that's playing decent ball
as well. Nothing really stuck out at me. But again
I'm surprised why they like Cleve. But the Mets have
played when you look at it, mess have got one
win in our last six or seven games against a
red hot Cleveland team that's won four or five. So
I I see why the public'sa on them. But yeah,
stay away from that when I see that.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yes, Paul Liberty is Tuesday, but again and try
to get the best of the number here on Monday.
So sadly the props don't come out for for w
NBA till the day out. But you got to check lineups?
What are you, dude? I was two to zero in
props in w I love the w NBA props Johnny
there there, they're the best. The books don't really adjust them,
they don't pay attention a whole lot to them. So uh,
just in anything sticking out in college futures or weak
ones spreads, do we notice anything?
Speaker 5: Yeah?
Speaker 3: I know, I gave out two week one college football
moves already H four percent and a three percent.
Speaker 2: Other than that, it's been season win totals. Did we
add any late.
Speaker 3: Any season win total that I could share anything going on?
Speaker 1: I haven't done anything with season wins in college I've
been an all around pass on that one next Monday.
Speaker 3: Next Monday, we're doing uh bet Uh bet On. I'm
doing USC on the Line, the Gambler's perspective, bet On.
I gotta remember all these names. They're doing bet on
it next Monday with with Marco and Kelly, we're gonna
do NFL, uh AFC and NFC previews and college football
previews where we're gonna give out season win totals. We're
gonna give out who we think is going to win
each division. We're gonna about our undervalued team, our overvalued team,
teams to make the playoffs. So there'll be a lot
of good information coming out next Monday.
Speaker 2: We'll be taping those.
Speaker 3: They'll probably be out throughout next week, so you'll be
having a lot of good info. Get you ready for
NFL and college football seasons for sure, and a lot
of futures. Me, Marko and Kelly will be releasing on
that show love It.
Speaker 1: Since it's Monday. We always take a look at the
opening lines for UFC. Not a great event. Nothing really
jumped out. I do like Gabriel Fernandez, but line's already
moved up. It's like minus four forty. I would be
terrified about laying minus three ten on Joscelyn Edwards. But
that line hasn't moved nothing really of No, you got
a couple of really bad fighters on this card, but
I haven't seen any real aggressive line moves on this
card as of a Monday morning.
Speaker 3: Yeah, me neither, you know, just coming off a UFC
card that actually there wasn't a lot of excitement going in,
but it ended up providing a lot of great fights
and good betting value actually turned the profit. And going in,
I was like, this card's awful, this card sucks, and there's,
like I said, some really good Fight of the Year candidates.
In fact, any time you're profitable was a good card.
But I don't see a lot either. I'm looking at
the baby event with with Hernandez. He's just on fire
right now, Puffy and you got the leads that who's
coming in all three straight wins. He just had a
really good decision when it went five rounds with a
tough victory.
Speaker 2: I'm interested to see there.
Speaker 3: I'm hoping the public could could jump on the dog
there and drive that line down and I could get
some a good price on Hernandez because I just think
he's just so much more well rounded than the leads
eight and Hernandez implements that that ground game as well.
I think the leads A could be in a lot
of trouble if you don't land that big shot early
in that first round.
Speaker 2: I think Hernandez just runs away with it.
Speaker 3: So I'm looking at that fight like but again hoping
to see that the line drops. And in fact, I'm
taking UFC on the line this Thursday, so I won't
be on here because we're taking two shows for this
Saturday's UFC and the pay per view with Chimayev and Duplessi.
So I'm looking ahead to that card. That's exciting as well.
So we got some good UFC coming up. And next
Tuesday is Contender.
Speaker 2: Series as well.
Speaker 1: Oh you better believe I am so ready for considerceries.
I already have a five percent play up for this
week's UFC card. Oh my man, Oh yeah, oh yeah,
this card screams profit. Uh. We hit one PFL play,
we hit one UFC play, so we're rocking and rolling.
And yeah, I got a five percent best bet that
is up.
Speaker 2: So when you're seeing the red sox, I like the over.
I like the over.
Speaker 3: If I could get nine, I'd bet it. Right now,
But I think it's nine and a half everywhere. I'd
lay up to even one thirty to go over nine
if you could find it gun in the head. That's
the best bet for me in that game. Casey Boston, Oh,
there is nine minus twenty five at CIRCA.
Speaker 2: There you go over nine over nine.
Speaker 1: Beautiful? Don't you love when a plan comes together?
Speaker 2: Live?
Speaker 1: So all right, Johnny, what do you have a for clients?
If but wager talk on this money?
Speaker 3: All right, I've got some packages up there, like the
NFL and college football season package is up together, meaning
the futures pass. We have season win totals, yes, no,
we'll team make the playoffs, and even an MVP long
shot in there at fifty to one.
Speaker 2: That package is up.
Speaker 3: More plays will be added to it between now and
Week one. I have Thursday's preseason package up with a
four percent play, Friday's preseason package up with a four
percent play as well. I have Week one college football
already two bets in there. We're not waiting, baby, I'm
getting my guys on good numbers early because these lines
are going to be up so long. By the time
day kick off, all the value will be extracted by then,
So hopefully we play some good bets over these next
couple of weeks, lock in some good numbers, head on.
Speaker 2: Over to wageertalk dot com.
Speaker 3: I'll try to throw out a free premium for you
guys today as well.
Speaker 1: Love it Jeohnny the Greek always getting the week started
off right. Thank you so much, Giohnny, best of luck today.
We'll keep moving. Hey wait, we got no time to waste.
Let's bring on crack man. We're gonna keep this show
roller right along. Bill Happy NFL preseason sir, how are
you so.
Speaker 4: Far aggravated to be honest with Andy? Aggravated?
Speaker 6: Here we are Monday morning, after nine am, and the
preseason lines are not up at CIRCA, they're not up
a pinnacle, they're not up a paper head, not up
at pp at, just a plethora of sports books. But
yet there's other sports books that have them up and
have had them up for three days, four days. So uh,
it's kind of frustrating to me to be honest with you.
Let me just check check on my screen there. I
just want to look one second. I'll come right back.
Just want to make sure what I'm saying is correct here. Yeah,
so so Chris is up, Bet, MGM, Westgate super Book,
Caesars the Buckeye is now up. So sorry, I just
wanted to check that real quick on the live screen.
Speaker 1: You're good. You're good.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 6: So it's frustrating because I don't it's hard to release
something I'm I'm one that tries to be real fair
and I want clients to be able to get the
games that this is not for me, by the way.
I want the clients to be able to get the
games in. So I'm not going to release something that
they can only get at Caesar's or MGM or one
of the sports books. I want to make sure they
can get them at all.
Speaker 4: Again.
Speaker 6: Now listen, DK and fand Will also do have them up.
So I guess I could now that Westgate finally put
them up in Vegas, but like I said, some of
the major sports books and the PPH is not putting
them up. So, trying to be real fair to clients,
I kind of worry about that. I want to make
sure they can get get the plays in. But it's
it's just it's very frustrating. It's cat and mouse, and
it's because of the last couple of seasons of guys
like myself and as a couple of the syndicate groups
that have destroyed preseason football. It's the reason that they
have severely restricted many accounts and stuff. Understand, these things
move terribly so but I'm not going to release something
without having a thick circus. Just actually, right now as
we speak, nine to fifteen am, Vegas time circus just
put up the first two or three so I could
see them popping up now. So that's good, good, too
good to see. So we're gonna have some plays here shortly.
So you guys want to get on and get you know,
hop aboard, because we're gonna have some plays here released
here today for sure.
Speaker 1: Well let's let's do a free play in MLB here,
Mike Carr says in the comment, coming off a free
win last show, let's do it, crack. Who do you
got for today's MLB prop?
Speaker 6: Quinn Priescher Major League Baseball here going to Milwaukee Brewers.
Total strikeouts over four and a half. I'm seeing plus
money plus a dollar ten. I've been pretty successful on
this show. We went with these picture of props. Someone
will have to check them out, but I think we're
actually like seven and one on these props, going with
another younger prospect again this week. Priest has been pitching great,
winning ten games in a row. He's got a great slider.
Faces a Braves team today that has been pretty bad lately.
To be blunt top ten in strikeout rating, it's the
All Star breaking, you know, maybe how hard it is
to get you know, it's hard to get down a
little bit. Someone text me about their picture props and
I want to just tell you, you know what it is.
You're betting the same at the same sportsbook. You have
to have multiple outs. So someone actually damned me a
customer and said, wow, I won like four in a
row and they cut me down to fifty bucks from
two hundred dollars. So you have to, you know, you know,
take the betting and maybe spread it around a little bit.
Speaker 4: It's a shame, right, you're not allowed to win.
Speaker 6: It's amazing how many sportsbooks andy that throwout losing lifetime players,
losing long season players. I knew someone that was thrown
out for betting props that on his own ten times
more than he won on the props with that sportsbook
throwing NFL. I mean, but you know, you have guys
in risk that they're so mad, they're so upset that
they don't have the balls to go out and try
to bet on your own and they want to bet
so bad on their own, so they just limited everyone
else because they're mad, even though they're directors the bosses.
Speaker 4: By the way, some of these are public.
Speaker 6: Companies, the investors up top the border of directors. They
don't want you throwing out winning players. But these sportsbook
guys in risk, not all of them, I'm not soch
at blanket statement. A lot of them, though, They get
so mad they throw out the winning players that are
winning in props, but they lose money at the end
of the year. That's what this guy was sending men.
I was like, wow that he actually sent me screenshots
of his NFL. You know, the guy lost forty three
thousand dollars last year. He won back eight thousand betting
props for them out.
Speaker 4: I mean, even though he still loses every year. So
it's upsetting.
Speaker 6: I mean, I try to stick up for the people
and you know, just talk about some other things rather
than you know, analytics.
Speaker 4: And and stuff like that.
Speaker 6: I try to talk about real problems, every day, problems
of sports better his face, just trying to lay eleven
to ten, twelve to ten post our money.
Speaker 4: You know, hope the dog doesn't need our ticket. Hope
we don't get struck by lightning or killed.
Speaker 6: And these and these sports books just constantly give us problems.
Oh my god, it's so it's so difficult to every
day to be able to butt sports for a living.
And even the clients, it's good they have multiple outs.
Speaker 4: That's very important.
Speaker 1: Well, Bill, I mean the lesson for your friend is
just stick to props. What are you doing with messing
with the other? Well, you and I talk about this
all the time, just like if you're doing good, it's
what are you doing?
Speaker 4: He loves the NFL.
Speaker 6: It was live wagering where he lost his money a
live wagering NFL lost all his money. But however, he's
not gonna be able to do it this year. We
got sportsbook in a month because they threw him out
for winning back twenty percent of what he lost throughout
the year. I mean, this is a real genius is
behind the sports books. I wouldn't give these guys a
mop job. A mop job I wouldn't give them if
they got fired.
Speaker 1: I'm glad you said mop before the job good a
spiraled out of control here. So any particular preseason games
that you are looking at or has the lines kind
of gotten out?
Speaker 4: A couple of lines have moved.
Speaker 6: I had a friend of mine that was that was
actually showing me some of the limit restrictions too.
Speaker 4: But this morning.
Speaker 6: But however, now that circus coming up, the other ones
are gonna come up, so we'll have some stuff I have.
I'll answer the question before he asked her quite asking.
So I have NFL Futures packages up. I have these
preseason packages up. Also the foot college football future packages up.
These have been ridiculously successful in my betting career. So
you know you want to get down on them, you
want to sign up for them. Now, I'll just tell
you we're gonna have some really good advantages. I plan
on starting them today today. We're gonna have some really
good stuff up. I'm also doing the NFL. Talked last
night for almost an hour. But one of my guys
at like ten o'clock last night about NFL. You know,
I've been real tough on people that that that that
you know, try to force NFL sides rather than totals
or props. But I've had a guy that has worked
for us and uh, you know, he he sent me
his NFL card three years ago, two years ago, last year.
Speaker 4: He's one every year. So we're gonna we're gonna go.
Speaker 6: Out with his game. But again, you have to be
on board. You have to be ready to go Sunday night,
Monday morning, Tuesday. You know this is six seven days
before the games kick off, so we're gonna have that stuff.
Just hey, we'll just make sure you have your your
notifications on your email notifications. It's very important my place.
There'll be attainable lines when we send them, but I'm
not gonna be so sure if they're gonna be obtainable
ten minutes after, So make sure you have your notifications on.
You're gonna get the best of it. You're never gonna
ever be part of anything like this ever. Again, I'll say,
just like Giohnny's stuff, and you know this stuff moves,
so you have to be on top of your notifications,
on top of your stuff. You're gonna have the best
of it. And when your bookmaker starts crying and complaining
that the line's moving and you're getting the best of it.
Speaker 4: Five days later. You know it sits in the account
for all these days. Just tell him your following a
service from Vegas. I mean, he shouldn't cut you off.
So anyway, there you go, love it, love it.
Speaker 1: You already mentioned what you have up for clients there
at Wager Talk. Any good restaurants you've been too recently,
any good meals of note?
Speaker 6: You know there's a sushi place across from south Point
that's someone took me to last night and he's like, yeah,
you want to go to one of these places, and
I don't go. I like sushi, but I like quality sushi,
but I don't.
Speaker 4: Want to get busted out of Nobu for you know.
Speaker 6: Ridiculous played it, Play a play a fish sixty dollars
just for some raw fish. But I went across the
street to the south Point and All you can Eat place.
I was like, oh boy, I don't know about the
quality here. It's so packed, there's so much volume, and
the fish was fantastic, So you could see it's called
think it's called best Sushi. It's right across from south Point,
right on the strip there that place for thirty five bucks.
Speaker 4: I'll just be blunts. They lost money on me. They
don't want me in there. Yeah, yeah, they got no
chance for me.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 1: All you can eat sushi is a gigantic roll the dice.
I mean that is, it's a bigger roll, the dice,
the most backstables.
Speaker 6: But you know, when people come to Vegas, you don't
want to get busted out. I went at Caesar's. Literally,
steak and Eggs is like sixty nine dollars. It's they're
out of their minds. So there's some places here in
town though, that my local joints for breakfast. I would
recommend just going to a locals place, you know, don't
go to these bust out joints in the casinos. Some
great places Lose Diner on Decatur, Mary's Hash House, not
hash House on Go Go, not that slop. Mary's Hash House.
She is fantastic homemade software making from scratch.
Speaker 4: I go there.
Speaker 6: I also go to Blueberry Hill, fantastic places. These are
all great places to go to local joints, mom and pop.
They're they're the places I choose to go to rather
than spend twice as much or three times as much
in the casinos. So there's a couple spots for you
for your for our clienteles here for our listeners and viewers.
Speaker 4: And there you go. There you have it.
Speaker 1: Any love it, love it, Thank you, Bill, appreciate it.
Always a good time. I can't wait to talk next week.
I'm sure you're crushing preseason. Let's just bring on, Kelly.
Let's start talking about some college football and pro contest. Kelly,
what is this you can play? By the way, Justin
did have a good roll of the rice. That's a
it's a good joke, Justin. What's quality joke?
Speaker 5: Listen if you don't know this, this is sushi.
Speaker 7: Is the best kept secret about Vegas. Because you go
to a sushi restaurant in Kansas, you go to sushi
restaurant in Texas or somewhere else that's not a major area,
you're not going to get the quality that you get
in Las Vegas. Number one reason, because the casinos are
already flying in that fresh fish to the desert daily.
So then everybody else's places their orders as well. So
you could get right there Offspring Mountain Road all you
can eat twenty four ninety nine for dinner. I mean,
it is, it is amazing. I can't tell you how
many times I've had to be like wheelchaired out of
there because I'm just like somebody, somebody help. I've been overserved.
But there is one place. I think it's off Durango.
I can't remember. It's been a long time since i'd
been there, but it was all you could eat shashimi
for forty then you can't. You just can keep eating
because there's no rice to make you full.
Speaker 1: Oh, I'm in, I'm in. I may fly there. Give
me some frequent flyer miles, may cash in some miles
and meet and meet you there. All right, Kelly, let's
talk contest here. It's contest season here. So we have
a there's there's a lot of different ones. Give us
some of the ones that you're gonna be involved with
that you're gonna play, and then we'll start talking a
little bit of strategies about So, so, what are some
of the contests here that we have.
Speaker 7: Yeah, absolutely, let's just go right down. We'll start in Vegas.
We're gonna start with Circus Sports. As you guys know,
they have the circum millions right now, they have a
four point eight million dollar overlay. Less than twelve hundred
people have signed up. That is their pick five contests.
If you guys remember Carmine Bianco here from wager talk
dot com cashed in that contest last year during the
quarterly couple of years ago Las Vegas, Chris here wagertalk
dot Com cash in that one as well. So if
you guys are looking for big time overlays, you guys
want to go to Circa. They also have a Circus Survivor.
Everybody knows that's the most famous survivor contest in America.
It's got to pick the winner every single week, right
uh shy of thirty seven hundred entries, they are guaranteeing
a lot of money right now almost and well just
a little over eleven million dollar overlay. That one is
a must enter, just with the possible overlay, you've got
to get in. And then of course they have the
Grand Grand Desimo, which only has eleven entries currently a
four hundred thousand dollars overlay. So if you've got big coin,
that is going to be their big, huge ticket one
hundred thousand dollars entry. Think Dana White gotten that one
if I remember correctly, Then you can go over while
you're in town, just go right over to the Westgate
super Book there You probably go on their website and
still see a picture of me holding the check from
a long time ago I cashed in well at the time,
was their Mini contest or fifteen grand that's the last
three weeks of the season. These guys do a lot
of quarterly prizes three six, nine weeks, twelve weeks, six
week contests, nine week contests, so there's a lot of
contests within the contest Andy, and we can get into
some of those strategies as well, because picking five games
against the spread for an entire eighteen weeks is absolutely grueling.
I just got done doing opening a line report with
Teddy Covers. I said, Teddy, you canna entern into these contests?
He said, no, it takes away from what he's doing
for his clients. He's taking away from some of the
other things. He said, you know what, five games is
so grueling that he just won't do it. So I
will be entering the Super Contest as well. That one's
fifteen hundred dollars. You guys have until Saturday, September sixth
to sign up for all of these contests. But one
of the things that I'm really most excited about is
the Westgate Contest super cot a survivor five thousand dollars entry, right,
So I just mentioned one thousand dollars one there over
at circa five grand. Now, of course I'm gonna be
doing it with some buddies because five grand is a
lot of money to pony up. But the pool, it's
gonna be significantly smaller, still gonna be a lot of
money at stake. I'm really excited for this one. So
you know, John Murray, good friend of mine, said, he
went over, talked to Derek, said, hey, we're gonna do this,
this big time contest, and Derek said, hey, I think
you go for it. Five thousand dollars is a nice
chunk of change, and that kind of came from their
Super Contest Gold.
Speaker 4: Right.
Speaker 7: Super Connests Gold came out four or five years ago now,
and it is a winner take off five thousand dollars
to get in that one, and it is steep competition
and it is tough. I will not be entering to
pick five Super Contest goal because that is a lot
of money and a lot of games for me to
pick every single week. But the survivor one's really exciting
for me. And of course this year they Finally my
prayers have been answered. Andy, somebody's putting together a college
football contest college football only right, we know the Golden
Nugget still does theirs where for it's been ever evolving.
Right over there, they had their their NFL. You could
do sides and totals college football sides and totals, and
guys like our good friend Kenny White would just pick
off all the bad totals and go like eight out
of ten every week, and I'm like, come on, and
so they've had to adapt. But John Murray, I said,
we got to just do a straight college cat. That's
all I want against the spread as long as they're playing,
of course, another Division one team, so that one is
five hundred bucks. I'm going to be entering that one.
And then of course our friends over a splash. You
guys know, I've been a commissioner over there for a
long time. I'm going to have a myriad of contests
with Kelly and Murray as well as my own. But
I want to talk about theirs right now. They have
a two point five million dollars guaranteed NFL survivor one
hundred and fifty bucks. Stannard, Okay, you gotta do that.
Speaker 5: I'm sorry, you got to do it.
Speaker 7: It's guaranteed, so even if the pool does not fill,
it does not matter. Right now, they have three one
hundred and eighty five entries. There's eighteen thy five hundred
nineteen available. I'm going to get a few entries in that,
some for myself, some with some others. And then of
course we've got the Kelly and Murray one hundred and
fifty thousand dollars guaranteed College Football Survivor Challenge. We did
it last year, Andy, and we had a ton of
people tie. There was like no college football upsets. I
didn't make it hard enough. This year, it's going to
be harder. You got to pick two college football teams
to s every single week, SEC Big twelve and Big ten.
Speaker 6: Yeah.
Speaker 7: I know everybody's mad that I excluded the ACC but
I wanted to make this harder. I wanted to make
this fun and enjoyable. One hundred bucks enter that one.
John and I don't have this one out yet, but
we're gonna do what they call a mini Losers.
Speaker 5: It's kind of a play.
Speaker 7: If you watch the show here on the Wager Talking
YouTube channel, John talks about the mini losers that are
on the internet that like to troll people like myself
and Ariel Epstein, and so we decided, Hey, instead of
having to pick NFL winners, what if you got to
pick a loser every single week.
Speaker 5: I mean, the Saints are gonna mess around and win
a game. The Browns are.
Speaker 7: Gonna win a handful of games.
Speaker 5: The Titans are gonna win a handful of games.
Speaker 7: So when you start going through those bottom feeder teams,
then what happens. You gotta start playing some of these
better teams. I'm excited. I think that one's gonna be
really fun. We're gonna do one hundred bucks on that one,
and I'm hoping it will be out by Friday. And
then I'm doing my college football contest against the spread, Andy,
excuse me, seven college football picks a week again the
spread every single Power four conference plus the Mountain West
and the AAC. This one's gonna be great because this
is like truly a handicapping contest. The nice thing is
the lines don't move, But you got to get into
the nitty gritty of the college football world. And then
we're gonna do a one hundred dollars buy in and
they're gonna guarantee that one. They haven't told me what
the guarantee is gonna be yet. We're gonna do a
five hundred dollars one, which I guarantee is not gonna
have a guarantee because last year we only had like
fifty some people end up in it.
Speaker 5: But that's okay, cause you guys get to play against me.
I got my ass kick last year.
Speaker 7: As I mentioned, because no dogs, we're covering and winning
out right.
Speaker 5: It was a frustrating season to say the least.
Speaker 1: All right, So Kelly, can you post these? Can you
post some links in the comments section?
Speaker 7: Absolutely?
Speaker 8: So.
Speaker 7: The splash Splash contest I can post you guys at
link splash sports dot com backslash Kelly in Vegas, And
obviously you can find them on their homepage. They keep
a lot of my stuff pinned up there, so if
you see my face, you know it's my contest. If
you see John Murray space, you know it's one from there.
And then Aaron Epstein and I are also gonna do
one andy that I think you might like. It has
not gotten approved yet, but I'm gonna give you guys
a little insight. So we did a hit Survivor for MLB,
which we're going to run back again this week. But
I think we're gonna do a touchdown survivor.
Speaker 1: So I love.
Speaker 5: It, So I'm really excited.
Speaker 7: I do think if they can get it approved each week,
you just got to pick a guy to score a
touchdown and you can't use them again. So hopefully that
one gets approved here over the next couple of weeks.
She and I are very excited about that, and it
gives you something different, right, Like I love sports gambling,
but again, my action is limited. I want to find value.
I want to find some real underdogs that I think
can win out right, right, we know we do my
three team moneyline parlay posted right here in the short
section of the YouTube channel here on wager Talk as
well as Instagram, Twitter, TikTok, all that fun stuff. But
I really enjoy having some of these because it forces
you to, like you got to make that extra pick
seven picks a week, that's tough for you to really
dig deep and look hard and say, Okay, hey, I've
got a couple of guys that are right here on
my cutlist. Who am I actually going to press that
button and hit send and of course, the other contests
are in Vegas. You gotta fly out there. You got
to get yourself a proxy if you don't live in
Vegas or you're not planning on flying out every single week.
But those ones are really fun because there's just a
lot of money involved. Right, No way, I'm a dime
andy to dime better. There's I have no chance to
make a million dollars during a course of a football season, right,
but playing in these contests kind of gives you that
edge to really hit a big time home run. As
I mentioned, I won the mini contests for fifteen grand
way back in the day there at the Westgate Super Contests,
and that sound great.
Speaker 5: I had some extra Christmas shopping money that year.
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk survivor strategies you can do. There's
a ton of things you can do. You can try
and do, like best favor or the most like the
highest spread. Try to pick that one. You could focus
on fading certain teams. The most success I've had, I've
I've gotten pretty close, like I made it to like
Week thirteen and fourteen a couple times. By far, the
most success I've ever had is planning it out like
like injuries are gonna happen. But knowing a direction and
looking at the schedule and knowing what teams are on
by instead of just like going week to week and
you're like, oh god, I don't have any good teams left,
has been easily the best strategy for me, Like literally
going ten weeks out, what's your best strategy for Survivor?
Speaker 7: So I actually was just opening up my teammates for
the five thousand on one of my good friends ct
Bats and John Murray's good friend Joff, who I met
last year when we decided to team up and put
our Circa Survivor entries together, say all right, now we
have a better chance. John obviously can't enter the five
thousand dollar pool because well he's the vice president there
at the Westgates super Book. But I can enter it.
Chris can Inner and his good friend can intern it
as well. So I've got my sheet up and what
I like to do. Honestly, I just go right down.
I say, okay, here's what we've got Week one. You
can take the lines from the West Gate for example, right,
they have all of their lines out, they have a
grid out already. He says, here you go here's what
Denver is gonna be Week seven, right, do you want
to play them versus the Raiders. I don't know if
that's actually the schedule. I only have on mind. Andy.
I would share my screen with you, but I won't
even let me comment on the YouTube channel, so I
can't even do that. But you kind of get the idea.
I have a week one all the way down now
with splash weeks twelve to eighteen you have to double pick,
so I've got a specific spreadsheet for that. I've got
a specific one for the west Gate five K, and
I've got a specific one for each Circus Survivor entry
I'm gonna have, right, and I'm looking deep. I'm already
down all the way down to week eighteen. Week seventeen,
all right, I'm looking I hate playing divisional opponents, right,
but we all know as you get to the end there,
Week eighteen, guess what. They're all divisional games, and some
teams have some things to play for, so you've got
to kind of start to ever evolve every single week.
I also like to look at a couple off websites.
I'll give the guys at survivorgrid dot com a shout
out some of the stuff that they like to do.
And then I've seen some other websites where people go
on and they predict, hey, maybe this team's going to
be the most picked. I saw it on X quite
a while ago that everybody thought, Hey, week one, Denver
is going to be the most picked team. If you
guys remember last year the Cincinnati Bengals knocked everybody out.
So some of my strategies is kind of going digging
while others are zagging. And sometimes you don't want to
overthink it, do I think overthinking Denver as a seven
and a half point favorite week one is a bad idea.
Maybe you've got the Super Bowl winners Philadelphia in a
divisional game as a seven point favorite. You've got the Redskins,
excuse me, the Commanders. I saw him written as the
Redskins on my page as a six and a half
point favorite there. But they're also in a divisional game.
So there's kind of some rules that I like to
lay in some groundwork, and it gets really difficult when
some of that information conflicts.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know. That's the other thing is if you're
in a contest where you can see the percentage of
how many people the game, stay away from that game.
It's the only way you're gonna get ahead in the contest.
If like ninety five percent of the people are on
a certain game, the only way you're gonna cash is
if you get a lot of people eliminated. So I
love looking at the percentages and saying no, you know,
because if everybody keeps advancing every week, the pot's gonna
be chopped. Then nobody's gonna like walk away with anything.
So you gotta kind of just just try and shake
it up and not follow follow her up. All right.
So some of these college spreads or is it so
college survivor or is it college spread?
Speaker 7: So it's called so I've got two contests one hundred dollars,
five hundred dollars, that is seven games against the spread.
Over there on Splash Sports, they're gonna they're the exact
same format, right. You're gonna pick any basically any power
for AAC as well as the Mountain West, So you're
gonna have a lot of games to choose from for that.
But the College Survivor is where it's harder because you're
picking two games against the week. Excuse me, two games
a week, just straight up not against the spread. You
just need them to win in advance. But we're only
doing SEC Big ten and Big twelve, so your pool,
if you will, of possible teams to use, is significantly smaller.
I mean, like, listen, we don't want Alabama as a
thirty six and a half point favorite to be Why not?
Because it was fine?
Speaker 1: You know, like money.
Speaker 7: Yeah, I know, it's easy money, except for Notre Dame
last year is the almost twenty six point favorite, losing
outright to NIU. That was like one of the only.
Speaker 5: Really big upsets.
Speaker 7: And of course because NIU is not in that mix,
you couldn't use NIU. Uh So it was it was
we had some growing pains last year. We had a
lot of guys tie. I know a lot of people
were frustrated in that, and I felt really bad. So
it's not gonna happen, Justin the only the only team
to play in the ACC is Clemson. We're not using
the A. See, people got very mad at me in
the comments. Justin's commenting right now, I don't know why
I cannot no profit margin. These contests do cost real
American dollars to enter. If you guys, if one hundred
dollars is too much. I understand we all have different bankrolls.
Go over to splash.
Speaker 5: People are doing contests as low as five bucks.
Speaker 1: Right, there's a contest for everybody, no matter what your bankroll.
They're out there bet online as survivor for thirty bucks.
If you want just one for fun, fine, he went
enter ten. You get a discuss. There is a price
point for everybody. That's the beauty about about these contests.
So are you going to try and do the NFL five?
I can't imagine trying to do five spreads each week.
That's a lot. It's insane, It's it's you got to
be a narcissist to think you can pick five spreads.
Speaker 7: You better have an NFL season of a lifetime to
win that thing. I mean, listen, but it does happen,
I guys. I mentioned Carmine one, a quarterly contest on
here last year. Matt Rossa and Jeff Patch got completely
screwed on the tiebreaker rules. I won't say that out loud,
but it's true, and so he did. He did take
home the third place prize a couple of years ago.
And as I mentioned, Las Vegas, Chris also listen you get,
you could have an NFL season of a lifetime. As
I said, as a dime better in the NFL, maybe
two dimes if I love a game, no way, no
matter how hot I get, I'm never winning a million
dollars if you get hot in this contest. There's some
big prize pools, especially for some of these quarterly contests
at CIRCA as well as the super Book. So I
think it's worth it fifteen hundred bucks. Look, here's a
good example. Andy, I had a buddy wife had an
accidental third pregnancy. Was like, I'm done. I don't want
you gambling. You know, he's forty. She's like, you're done gambling.
And I said, listen, say you're done gambling. And then
say guess what. Instead of spending you know, ten or
twelve grand throughout the course of an NFL season, say
I just want a thousand dollars and I want to
enter the contest. Right, you have a chance to win
over a million bucks, and it keeps you busy and entertained.
Five picks is a lot to cheer for on an
NFL Sunday. I mean, yes, some will carry over to
Monday night and things like that. I will say that
one strategy there is that the argument is always don't
play the Thursday Night game unless you love it, because
then all five of your picks are locked in. So
you've got Friday practice, you've got late injury reports. Crazier
things have happened, So definitely keep an eye on when
you submit your picks, Andy. But me personally, I try
not to overthink it too much. If I do love
the Thursday Night Game, I will throw it in the
mix once or twice throughout the year.
Speaker 1: You know, we could have made a million if we
would have just kept playing Harry Hall to finish top
forty on the PGA Tour and a Leah Boston over
a rebounds with Caitlin Clarkott. That's how we could have
made a million dollars. There's the easiest way make a
million dollars, more.
Speaker 7: Than fifty bucks on WNBA prop business of Andy.
Speaker 1: That's the problem is, I'm sure the books are not
taking that much money on a WNBA rebound.
Speaker 7: When Marco was really hot there and that was WNBA props,
I was in New York City, he sent me a
nice easy rebound under I don't even.
Speaker 5: Know who she was, and I went to BETTT and
I was like, fifty bucks.
Speaker 7: Okay, cool, that's a half a bottle of wine tonight. Ariel,
You're welcome. Yeah.
Speaker 1: You gotta spread the props out across bunch of different books.
That's the only way, all right. So Mike arsays, Kelly,
give us a pick. Do you have a pick that
you like that you like right now? Do you have
anything you know?
Speaker 7: I haven't. I just got done filming the opening line
report with Teddy Covers. He gave out some nice games
that are gonna move quickly, right, So keep on watching
that show as it ever evolves. He's gonna jump in
the comments section let you guys know if he has
an emergency betting report. Right now, I'm just on cruise control, guys.
There's not a lot going on. I gotta work on
Week eleven of the Premiere Lacrosse League. As you can see,
I'm headed to Boston this weekend with Ariel Epstein to
go watch some of those matches live. Very exciting stuff
over there. No picks though, I don't have anything yet.
I know a lot of people on wager Talks seem
to like Iowa State. As I had to doublin in
ten days. The game I think is a twenty one days.
I got a look, everything is kind of starting now.
It's less than twenty one days. It's nineteen days now,
twenty third of August. I will not be taking the
points of Iowa State. I'm not sure if I'm gonna
back it or not. I've got Fresno State circled against Kansas.
But you, as you guys know, I'm always looking for dogs.
I think and went out right. I'm not sure the
dogs can actually win that game. Out right, Mike says,
Kelly's boring. I'm sorry. You know what that means. It's
time to move on to Trig. You guys want Kelly. Okay,
Kelly's boring, Let's talk to Trig. Dave said, we got
lacrosse wonder from Yes, we did. Nice prop bet, Thank
you Dan. That was a fun one as I got
completely screwed in overtime. That was rough.
Speaker 1: Kelly, as somebody that has hung out with you late
night in Casino, I can I'm sure you, Mike, she
is not poring. There are a lot of adjectives you
can use to describe Kelly boring. Ain't one of them.
Speaker 2: I have.
Speaker 7: Kelly certainly kicked Andy off a blackjack table heater. Chris
and I were on a heater. Andy kept coming around,
and every time we just kept.
Speaker 5: Losing its cool.
Speaker 7: If you don't get away from me, it's like sorry,
I was trying to bring you guys drinks.
Speaker 5: I'm like, no, nobody wants you here.
Speaker 4: I was. I was.
Speaker 1: I was the cool that night. So I did my part,
walked away and cooled off other tables. So all right,
Kelly is gonna be joining us a football season. Every Monday.
We're gonna talk about these contests, talk about what's working,
what's not working, and give some updates. So, Kelly, thank
you so much, appreciate it. Let's look forward to a
big football season.
Speaker 4: Love it.
Speaker 5: Thanks Sandy.
Speaker 1: All right, Kelly, Yes, she is gonna be joining us
on Mondays to talk these contests, talk spreads, real quick, guys.
MLB card today. One of my favorite betting angles, Team
Total Best Bet had to be a client play that
is live right now, only fifteen bucks. I've been locked
in on totals sixty one percent on totals. You guys know,
I give them out sometimes for free on the show.
This one needed to be an official client play it's
sharp back by a lot of numbers. It's the exact
type of play that we've used for clients all year long.
So Team Totals posted grab it now, let's keep cashing
on these Team totals WT buzz slash al. All right,
let's bring in Trig, and we got to talk to
this Yankees and Rangers game. Yankees fans, I mean, most
fan bases are passionate, but Yankees fans right now are
just like they are in complete free fall. They hate
the manager, they hate the GM, they hate there is
there much to like about this Yankees team now right now, Trig,
what's going on with them? Oh, we can't hear Trigg.
He's muted.
Speaker 9: That's because my dogs are barking. Sorry about that. We
certainly can't. We certainly can. I just didn't. I knew
if I didn't have that.
Speaker 8: Muted, Kelly would be texting me I hear your dogs, like,
so I had him.
Speaker 9: I never mute my.
Speaker 8: Microphone, but I did, forgiven what I what I said
before I was muted. No, there's still a lot to
like for this Yankees fan base. They're getting their best
player back tomorrow and Aaron Judge. They went out at
the trade deadline and got seven new players that all
theoretically should be pretty good. But now, if you're asking
me Andy personally, do I like this Yankees team, No,
I don't at all. And actually a bet I've given
out on total Basis, which is our daily baseball show
nine am Eastern on the way you're talking YouTube channel
last week, and I would give it out again today,
is the Yankees to miss the playoffs because they are
in a wildcard race with four other teams right now,
there's essentially four teams for three spots, and that's not
counting a team like the Royals getting hot, who had
a very good deadline as well. This Yankees team's not
catching the blue Jays. I'll tell you that right now.
I don't think that that's possible, given how good the
Blue Jays are this year, and I just don't see
them choking that Ale East lead away. So if the
Yankees have to win a wildcard spot, you mean to
tell me that they're there right now? You can get
five or six to one on the Yankees to miss
the playoffs, and they are basically in a even with
three other with three other teams, the Red Sox the
Mariners and the Rangers, who they play tonight. I see
more upside on those three teams than I do the Yankees.
Equal upside, I would say so for that reason, I
think Yankees to miss the playoffs is a very very
good bet at the number where it is.
Speaker 1: Right now, all right, I want to run this one
by you. Rangers over three and a half on their
team total. I just Freed, come on, man, three or
more runs scored against them in five straight games. There's
errors involved. It's like he's it's like he's battling an
injury and his team keeps dropping the ball and throwing
it away like just bad juju all around for Freed
in his last five starts. So I like the Rangers
to get over three and a half. Bad or a
good pick by me, and you're not gonna hurt my feets.
Speaker 8: No, I don't disagree with that at all. He's given
up two or more on runs and five straight starts.
And the way I would look at this game would
be to find some way to play the Rangers.
Speaker 9: So maybe some way to oppose the Yankees.
Speaker 8: I actually looked at a Yankees team total under so
like you know, there's a couple of different ways to
go about it. The way I would have really loved it,
Bet this was Rangers on the run line plus one
and a half. But this morning, when it was announced
that Aaron Judge would likely not come back until tomorrow,
that line moved a little bit, so it sort of
got out of the range. I think that Rangers plus
one and a half lines up to like minus one
thirty five minus one thirty minus one thirty five at
this point, so about twenty cents off from where it
was earlier this morning. As far as the Ranger scoring,
you know, their lineup is not great per se. When
you compare it to some of the better lineups in
the American League, it definitely lacks. But for long stretches
in the first half, they didn't have Corey Seger. He's
back and healthy. Wyatt Langford missed some time. He's back,
and it's really gonna come down to Bruce Boche pushing
the right buttons because he's got guys and they do
some good things. They play some small ball, and they're
able to manufacture runs. And the biggest concern I have
right now with the Yankees, Andy is just that there's
so many mental errors, and that tends to snowball if
you watch that series. I watched every minute of that series.
With the Marlins, this weekend couldn't have been happier. It's
just listen. I grew up, I'm from New York. I'm
not a Yankee fan, but I'm a lifelong New Yorker.
I've lived in New York my entire life. All my
friends are Yankee fans. The melting down never gets old
for me. I know, like that's mean whatever. I love
to see it. I just love because when I was
a kid, Andy I had to deal with like the
Yankee dynasty, and like you know, it was just constant.
They're the greatest thing ever. This weekend was just a
joy to watch. I love that Marlins team, and it
was just mistake after mistake. Jash chishm base running mistake,
Austin Wells for getting their three outs in the inning.
Cavallero lets the ball go under his glove and right
field on Friday that leads to them getting walked off.
Speaker 9: That type of stuff definitely can snowball.
Speaker 8: And when I'm looking at this game, give me the
Rangers in some fashion, I'll go back to that plus
one and a half line. Patrick Corbyn's a veteran. He's
had a great season for what he is at this point.
And then the Rangers right now, any three point three
to five bullpen era, it's fourth best in the league.
They have a bunch of good relievers, a great collection
of relievers, So even though they don't have the big time,
high leverage guys, the bullpen is still very good. I
think the Rangers are the better of these two teams.
And going back to my initial bet Yankees to miss
the playoffs, it's because I think this Rangers team is
a superior team. So I'll take the Rangers in some
fashion here.
Speaker 1: All right, First off, tell us what you have up
for clients at wager Talking. We talked a little bit
about college football. They say, give us a team to
possibly fade, and I believe you brought up Syracuse. So
tell everyone what you have up at wager Talking. Give
us a couple of lines on Syracuse.
Speaker 8: Absolutely. Yeah, we have a great special at wager Talk
right now. It's basically a free month. So if you
lock in for three months or you know, I think
it's like the cost of two months you get three,
that'll be the best value that we can offer right now.
I'm going to have baseball in both MLB and KBO
by the end of the day, and so that would
be covered on that So check that out.
Speaker 9: It's on my page.
Speaker 8: And I think that's good for all handicappers, So you know,
if it's not me, take advantage of that with someone else.
As far as Syracuse is concerned, Andy, that's where I live,
Central New York.
Speaker 9: It's one of the teams I follow closely.
Speaker 8: I'm not too deep into college football where I'm following
the whole league, but I've got like three or fourteen
that I get. You know, they either know people close
to the program or Syracuse. They're right in my backyard,
and so I do follow those teams very closely. And
I am just I don't have much faith in the
Syracuse team being better than the market this year.
Speaker 9: So I think that's important to point out.
Speaker 8: Last year Syracuse won ten games. It was a historic
season for Kyle McCord. As long as I can remember
watching Syracuse football, we haven't had a quarterback like that.
It was just a tremendous year and a great finish
to the year too, getting to that ten win mark,
beating Miami on the final day of.
Speaker 9: The season winning the bowl game.
Speaker 8: It was just a great year for Syracuse football, and
they have lost not only have they lost McCord, but
they have lost so much talent from last year's team.
And now you take the you know, you take just
the sheer number of contributors that they lost from last year,
and then look at this schedule, which is much tougher
than last year's first six weeks of the season at Tennessee,
at Clemson, at SMU. There's a three month, three week
stretch late where it's UNC at Miami at order game.
I just find it hard to believe that this team,
you know, gets to a bowl game. I don't even
know if they get five wins. I wouldn't be surprised
with their four and eighth this year because the other thing, Andy,
go ahead.
Speaker 1: No, no, no, no, no, keep going. I'm loving this.
I'm loving this.
Speaker 9: Well, Andy, they they made a lot.
Speaker 8: So you want to talk about a team that was
like fran Brown, such a great energy guy, but like
from an in game standpoint, they were very poorly coached
last year. A lot of mistakes on special teams and
just they got bailed out a lot of times. By
mccorr just being just a total g making every play,
every throw, and then some really good skill players just
making big time plays. Laquinn Allen, Trey Barpania no longer
with the program, right, Like, I felt like they got
bailed out so many times where that ten and that
ten win season could have easily been six. Now those
guys doing the making the big time plays and bailing
them out are not there, and it's like, you know,
how are you going to overcome these mistakes in game
without that top tier talent. I think it could get
ugly for this team. Those that first six weeks stretch.
It's it's hard to believe there are anything other than
two and four maybe wins over Colgate and Yukon. After that,
it just doesn't get any easier. So I think Syracuse
is going to be a pretty good fade this year.
Speaker 1: I love this. There's a I'm not I can't give
him credit. I can't remember his name, but I love
it when he's like, if you think you have a
good read on a team that's going to be bad,
he's like taked all unders, like cause if if the
season goes bad for him, like you can get some
incredible like plus three hundred on some of those. So yeah,
if you have a good read on a team to
go under. Uh, He's like you could, you could really
take advantage. He poists to some of them in college
and the NFL. So good stuff. I love unders on futures.
I think that's the best way to go. So great stuff, Adam,
And thank you for jumping in last second. Yes, you
can check out Adam trigger at Adam trigger wt on
social media. All right. I mentioned the MLB team total
is up. Also, five percent. UFC play is up. That
plays like less than minus one ten. That's like minus
one o four. So you want to get a UFC
five percenter locked in, I would recommend getting that asap
before those lines moved so far not enough line movement
to be worried about anything. So MLB team total is up,
UFC five percent is up. Now let's do some free
plays and go all around the world. Here we got
a couple of baseball plays and a soccer play. We're
doing a Ralph Michael special. Royals at Red Sox nurfy
no run first inning, Royals three to one. Nurfey run
only scored a first inning run once in the last
eleven road games, Red Sox five and one, Nurfey run
failed to score a first run inning in twelve out
of the last fourteen home games. So you got Royals struggled
all the road, Red Sox struggling at home in the
first inning, and both pitchers not giving up first inning runs.
Let's go to League's Cup. Pachuca at Houston Dynamo. Pavlos
likes Pachuca minus zero point twenty five in regulation. Houston
is eliminated from this competition, and in four days they
have an MLS game against Austin, a fellow Texas team,
so Pablos thinks they're probably not going to give a
you know what about this game. May wat Pachuca probably
advances with a win, so they have motivation. Houston has none,
so we're looking at regulation play there. And then Giants
at Pirates. Pirates over one and a half team total
first five innings for Liander, two great outings in a row.
I'm not really buying it. Before the last two starts,
he gave up two or more runs in thirteen out
of fifteen starts. Pirates over two runs first five in
nine out of the last twelve games, so We're looking
at Royals and Red Sox, Nurfy, looking at Houston Dynamo
to lose, and we like the Pirates over one and
a half team total first five innings. All right, guys,
it's gonna do it for it. Thank you so much.
Appreciate you guys for joining us today. Rab I see you.
My stadiums are on the wrong side. I can put
them on the other side if it makes you happy.
Anything for you, my brother. Hit the like button and
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we're gonna get after it again tomorrow. NFL preseason is
here and we got tons of other sports to break down.
So good luck on all your place today. We'll see
you tomorrow. Take care