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Speaker 1: Allah.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to wage You Talk today, the gold standard of

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sports betting shows, where we talked the talk and walk

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the walk foot Ball Friday. My gosh, it is a massive,

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massive weekend. We got championship weekend here top to bottom.

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We got a bunch of breakdowns. Teddy's gonna break down

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the Mount West Championship and then Rams Cardinals huge game

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in the NFL, and we're gonna do another roundup.

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Speaker 3: Sell me.

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Speaker 2: Marco's gonna join us. It's Steelers Ravens week, so we

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gotta bring up Marco to talk about his Steelers, and

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then he's gonna talk about the eight c C Championship

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and give us his sauce of the week. Dan is

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gonna join me, and we're gonna talk about our super

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Contest Pick five segment, and we have a special surprise

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guest for a very it's a one time segment and

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there's nobody that could step in and do this, So

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we're gonna You're gonna have an awesome, awesome Friday. Real quick, guys. Uh,

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Yanni is not gonna be joining us today. Uh. Clapping

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up for Yanni. It's a great day for him. He

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recorded UFC yesterday and he's moving. He's got a new place.

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So we're celebrating Yanni making a really nice move, getting

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a new place. So he's moving. I don't envy him,

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but it's gonna be awesome when he gets in his

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new place. Let's get started. Let's bring on Teddy Covers. Teddy,

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you got some big, big games here. We got Boise

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State UNLV, we got Rams Cardinals. We gotta do sell me.

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Happy Friday. How are you man?

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Speaker 3: So the last time I moved, I swore to my

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wife and my new neighbors. I'm like, I'm never moving again.

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I'm gonna die in this house. And I still stand

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by that. You know, there's no the movement's a worse.

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Good luck to Johanni. Won'll miss you today, buddy. That's

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a pain.

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Speaker 2: If you want to see your friends disappear, tell them

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you're moving. Hey, guys, moving.

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Speaker 3: Works in your twenties, works in your teens, works in

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your twenties, the thirty plus. You're hiring someone or doing

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it yourself, just how it is.

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Speaker 2: Yet you know, oh, in their twenties, you can get

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your friends to come over. Just have a keg of beer.

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You know everything drywall holds in the drywall, everything's banged

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them and such. But yeah, moving, yeah, moving is the

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bane of everyone's existence. So all right, let's do the

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Mountain West Championship game. Here. We got Boise State. You

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on nov. I know, we've had pretty good money come

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in on Boise State. So interested in your breakdown on

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this game? Is this line move warranted? Or you still

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playing Boise State? Do you like UNLV? What's your breakdown

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on this game?

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Speaker 3: So, I mean, the money has come for Boise all week.

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Opened as low as one and a half. Now I'm

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seeing five and a halfs out there, and that has

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everything to do with the return of Boise quarterback Matics Manson.

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He set to return. He basically missed all of November,

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and now he's going to be back. And of course

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Boise's offense, which didn't work particularly well without him, in theory,

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is supposed to work a whole lot better tonight against

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UNLV because you U and LV has been a team

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that struggled on the defensive end of the field statistically

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all season long. Their defensive numbers do not impress the

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betting market. Another part of the reason why we've seen

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the money pour in on Boise A third part of

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the reason that we've seen the money pouring on Boise

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has been this series history, and I've been on the

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wrong end of it, taking UNLV a couple of times

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during this span, nine to zero straight up for Boise

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the last nine meetings six and three against the spread.

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Eight of those nine wins have come by fourteen points

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or more. That includes a fifty six to thirty one

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blowout this year on this field with Boise laying thirteen.

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It includes wins over UNLV in each of the last

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two Mountain West title games. And though this year was

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fifty six to thirty one and the Mountain West Title

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game last year was twenty one to seven. So Boise

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has shown that they can beat UNLV in a high

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scoring affair, they can show they've shown they can beat

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UNLV in a lower scoring defensive struggle. That being said,

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all right, UNLV has been disrespected by the betting markets

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all year, right from the opener. And the opener Idaho

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State moved the ball up and down the field against

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them and was thirty eight thirty one final. They were

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thirty point shock and at that moment, I think I

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heard twenty different people say, oh, UNLV's not Aveny good

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this year. They struggled to beat UCLA. New Mexico thumped

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the Bruins the following week in the UNLV downgraded from

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that the Miami, Ohio game they won thanks to a

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late fumble, you got thirty eight points to the RedHawks.

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There was a lot of disrespect for UNLV early. They

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hung fifty one on air Force and couldn't cover minus

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seven in that ballgame. The defense has struggled, but here

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in November and into December, the back half of the

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season A that defense has played a whole lot better.

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B The offense is clicking on all cylinders. Anthony Condrea

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eight point seven yards were played full season, Jaydon Thomas

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the start back seven point four yards per carry full

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season four and oh straight up three to one against

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the spread here since the beginning of November and then

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includes a pair of dominant wins on the road, road blowouts.

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So there's certainly a pretty strong case to be made

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for Poise. All right. Poisees dominated the series. Boise's controlled

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the flow, Boise has the pedigree. But this Rebels team

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at this price range, at plus five plus five and

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a half, right now, it's the only way you can look,

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and it really is. I have enough respect for the Rebels,

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and I've seen them disrespecting the Betty markets all year long.

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I feel this game is a battle, not a blowout.

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And if I'm playing the game, I'm taking the points.

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My hometown UNLV running rebel.

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Speaker 2: Listen, when you go Contrariet against the markets, sometimes you're

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in the best spot. You want to be on the

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same side of the books as a lot of it.

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So the books. I'm sure it'll be UNLV fans, a

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big UNLV fans, big UNLV fans. Yes, absolutely, let's do

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this Rams Cardinals game. Huge game for the Rams here

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the Cardinals. Who knows what's going on with this franchise.

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They get turmoil at the quarterback position. Not a great

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look for Kyler Murray that Jacoby Brissett is looking good here.

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But Rams really control their own destiny. Obviously they're gonna

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be big favorites here. How do you break down this

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Rams Cardinals game?

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Speaker 3: So Jacoby Brissett has been good, He's earned the job,

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all right. You can't understate what Brissett has meant to

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what Arizona. Look, Arizona has lost every game. They found

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ways to lose all these games, but they've been consistently competitive.

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Weeke in week out. Looking right now at the Odds

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Logic Live Odds screen four La and Arizona, I'm seeing

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the Rams eight eight and a half. There are nines

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out there, and of course note that differ between eight

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and nine. They call that a teaser protection line. A

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lot of the eight and a half and eights get

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bet down. That's your standard teaser under the field goal.

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When you get up to nine. You can't get under

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three with a standard six point teaser. So some books

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will go straight from eight to nine. Books go from

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seven and a half to nine and add juice. Bottom

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line eight eight and a half. There are nines out

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there for the Rams. Total sitting forty seven and a

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half for this matchup, and we're certainly talking about a

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RAMS team off a bad showing last week. Is certainly

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a bad essentially on both sides of the football. You know,

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Byron Young, you know that was a humbling experience. This

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is a wake up call. You know. Matthew Stafford turned

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the ball over three times last week. Quote obviously we're

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not gonna win a whole lot of games. When I

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turned it over three times, it hasn't been an issue,

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and I don't expect it to be moving forward. So

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there's at least a modest sense of urgency for the

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Rams here. But of course that sense of urgency means

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they gotta win the game, not they got to win

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the game by two scores, which is what the Poisbriad

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is asking them to do in this one. The Rams

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off a loss this year two and oh straight up

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two and oh against the spread. They've been good in

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this role. The Rams last visit to Arizona, and I

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remember the game well because I had the right side

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in that one. Arizona forty one to ten, a blowout

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over the Rams. La got off to that one and

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four start last year, Arizona got off to a hot start,

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and part of that was the Rams last year of the day,

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which was an absolute annihilation start to finish, the type

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of loss that a division rival likely to remember even

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one year later. That being said, I mean, look what

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Arizona's been doing all right. Five of their nine losses

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they've outgained their opponents. They've lost four of those by

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four points or less. Last yek they out gained the

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Bucks by one hundred yards and one point four yards

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per play. I mean, this team has been I'm not

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gonna say shockingly competitive, but they saw no signs to quit.

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We'll give Gannon a whole lot of credit for that.

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Last week again, they're down two touchdowns on the road

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in Tampa and the offense moves the ball up and

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on the field. They scored that. You know, they make

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the game competitive. So for all the struggles Arizona's had,

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I haven't seen them let go of the rope. And

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when you talk about these division rival games again, one

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of the Arizona's one to nine in their last ten games.

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But of the seven losses so the nine losses, seven

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of them have come in competitive fashion by four points lesson.

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It's worth noting that the two losses that weren't competitive

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were both against division rivals Seattle in San fran But

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I think the price is a little bit high for

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LA here a touchdown. Maybe I'm interested at eight eight

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and a half nine, I can only look at the

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dog that continues to play competitive football week in week out,

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even with LA coming off that defeat.

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Speaker 2: What's your take on Kyler Murray at this point, Like,

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what does the future hold for him? Is he still

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gonna stay with Arizona.

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Speaker 3: No, No, this is I would imagine that Arizona resets

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this offseason. I'm not convinced anyone's going to be back,

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you know, whether it's the coach, whether it's the quarterback.

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But I mean, Bressett's played well enough to keep starting,

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you know, I mean we have to give him credit,

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all right, He's played well. He played every bit as

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good as Kyler Murray, if not better. Murray has a

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unique skill set. There's hope for Murray. I don't know

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if there's much hope for this offense. I do not

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expect to see him back in Arizona next year.

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Speaker 2: At this time, I think he's gonna look great in

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a Minnesota Vikings.

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Speaker 3: Jersey Jets will probably be interested too.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, absolutely absolutely. It's why I'm starting Jacoby Brissett

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on my fantasy football team, a phrase I did not

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think I would be using at the beginning.

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Speaker 4: Of the season.

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Speaker 2: He's just putting up these big stats, and because he's

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on my team, I watch him like it's not bad.

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I mean bad.

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Speaker 3: For as bad as Arizona's record is, they've been in

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these games, they've been competitive, and again, what I'm looking

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for when we talked about December NFL basic strategy. The

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teams that I've let go of the rope, they're gonna

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let go.

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Speaker 2: Of the rope.

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Speaker 3: You know, those aren't the teams that aren't competing. You

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know your Tennessee's the world's gonna tell you're gonna have

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a hard time getting me to take Tennessee. You know,

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your bottom feeders, but your bad teams that are still fighting,

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that are holding out of the rope and hanging on.

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There's often value with squads like that. Arizona certainly has

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been a value laden team despite all their struggles for

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the better part of the last two months.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not the only one. I've been starting Jacobi

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since Jane Daniels with twenty five points a game. Jacoby

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presents winning your fantasy games. It's amazing. It's amazing. So

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we're gonna do sell me. But Teddy, I know you

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got a really good special up with the promo code

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Teddy two nine nine gets the rest of college football

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in NFL. Tell us about that special.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, look, this has not been my best football seasons.

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You know, I mean, uh, believe me. You guys have

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told me on X I know I know that being said,

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one of the things we do a way you talk.

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We're transparent and b I ain't letting go of the road.

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All right. I made money in December. I mean money

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in January. We've had real good Super Bowls in recent seasons.

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I'm not expecting anything different this year. I know it

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hasn't been great, but if you want to get on

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board for the rest of the season, this is every

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play every day NFL right through the Super Bowl, including

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the proper port all five pertinent big tickets included college football,

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right through the National Championship Game, the entirety of bowl season,

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and obviously this weekend included to shoot promo code Teddy

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two nine nine and that'll get you every play every

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day for the rest of football season college in the

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NFL for two hundred and ninety nine bucks. I expect

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to make money and I would love if you join me.

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So if there's my homepage wt dot Buzzbacks, last t seed,

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let's get on board.

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Speaker 2: Cheers, all right, we gotta do sell me. So we

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bring on Dan. If you haven't seen the segment before,

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this is where you the audience, get a chance to

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win three day pass. So Dan picks a random game

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assigns me and Teddy a team and we have to

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impromptu style make the case for why they will cover

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the spread, and you, the audience, pick aside Teddy or Andy.

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Put in the comment section after the show is over.

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If you like Andy side, you like Teddy side, then

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put your wager talk to use your name. We'll pick

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a winner and you get a free three day pass.

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So Dan, we're giving us a good game this week, right.

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Speaker 5: Of course, the only time that we talk sell me,

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we talk about marquee matchups. I mean, what you got

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that Monday night football game. I'll be in attendance in

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in LA. We got a nice Houston, Kansas City, you

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know Kansas City. Their playoff hopes alive. Well, guys, let's

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talk about.

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Speaker 1: The marquee matchup that everybody wants to.

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Speaker 5: Know about, and that is the Titans first, the Cleveland Browns.

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How fun is it to sell me on an NFL

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side that nobody wants either side? If there's a quad box,

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if there's an octobox, people are actively avoiding getting this

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game up there. But there might just be some betting

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value and.

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Speaker 1: We're seeing well over it. Number of three here for

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the Cleveland Browns.

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Speaker 5: They are four point favorites as they're taking on the

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de facto worst team in the NFL. And this thing

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is four painted a beautiful total of thirty four.

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Speaker 1: Points in this game. Andy and Teddy, this is a

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barn burner.

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Speaker 5: Andy, you're gonna let me know why the favorite is

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justified Schadur Sanders and the Cleveland Browns laying the four. Teddy,

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you're gonna sell me on the Titans as a dog.

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But Andy, you're up first home favorite here over a

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field goal the Browns.

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Speaker 1: Is it the defense? Why we're seeing this?

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Speaker 5: Why do you think we should be betting on the

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Cleveland Browns?

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Speaker 1: Sell me on that NFL side.

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Speaker 2: Well, anytime you can get four points on a team

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that scored eight points last week, you have to do it,

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especially because they would have covered the spread against the Titans,

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who scored three points last week. So you have two

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teams here who scored eleven points combined. And listen, this

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is just a disaster season for for Tennessee and cam Ward.

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It's not going well. They have injuries. I'm looking. They

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have one win this season that was at the Arizona Cardinals.

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But they're not only losing. They're losing by margin, and

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they're losing by margin at home. They got boat raced

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last week. They lost by six to Seattle, but that

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game was a complete blowout. It was all garbage time points.

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Same versus the Texans. You have a Browns team with

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Miles Garrett who's probably gonna get the sack record this

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week or next week. You've got cam Ward who just

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continues to throw interceptions. And now you've got a Tennessee

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Titans defense that cannot stop the run, and Quinn Shawn

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Jenkins is going to get probably twenty three to twenty

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four carries. This is a Brown seam that's gonna eat

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up a lot of clock. They're not gonna let Shador

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throw the ball that much. It's gonna be just disgusting

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Cleveland e Weather And the only thing more miserable than

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playing for the Titans is playing for the Titans in Cleveland.

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This is gonna be an unmotivated Titans team. It's gonna

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be a lot of running. And I can't believe I'm

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saying this. I would take the under on this thirty

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four and a half or whatever it is. I don't see.

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It's just gonna be a lot of clock running, and

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Miles Garrett's gonna eat cam Ward for lunch, breakfast, dinner.

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So I will gladly lay the points, all.

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Speaker 1: Right, So he's gladly laying the points.

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Speaker 5: I don't know if you can do anything gladly in

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this game to be fair, Andy, but Andy will gladly

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lay the spot there with Cleveland, guys, this starts to

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become a math problem. And you have a thirty four

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point total, you know, a four point favorite. It's like

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those word problems that you would have way back when,

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when it would be like the train is traveling at

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thirty miles per hour. How many apples does Teddy have? Well,

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that's the question. R J says, you got a total

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of thirty four four as a favorite. Will the Titans score?

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Because Teddy, you making a case here for the Tennessee Titans,

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them scoring at least once has to be a part

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of the equation.

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Speaker 4: Correct.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, then this feels more like a trolley problem than

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a training problem. We gotta figure out which one we're

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gonna run over. You will deserve it. And of course

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I know that it wasn't just a minute ago that

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I said when I was talking about the Arizona game.

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I'm like, well, I'm not going to try to make

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a case for a team like Tennessee.

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Speaker 2: That's like.

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Speaker 3: Here, I am making a case for a team like Tennessee.

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But the any handicap in any sport for me, that

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always starts with the favorite. There's a favorite deserved to

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00:17:27,000 --> 00:17:31,720
be favorite. There's a favorite merit this price. And Cleveland

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is not a team that can be favored with any

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level of confidence. All Right, the last time and we've

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seen the Browns favorite already this year. I'm favorite a

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couple of weeks ago against the Jets. Yeah, they lost

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that game in straight up fashion. The Jets on twenty

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seven on them, which is something of a concern if

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you like Tennessee. There's another key factor here, another if

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I'm looking for little points that are going to put

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me on the Tennessee side. When you talk about bad teams,

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home field isn't worth anything. I much read rather get

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00:18:00,839 --> 00:18:06,039
an extra field goal plus, you know, with Tennessee in Cleveland.

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Then asked the Titans to win this game at home

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where they're getting no support, where the crowd's starting to

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boom boom well before halftime. That'll happen to Cleveland this

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time around, and for all the struggles cam Ward has had,

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Tennessee's defense hasn't let go of the rope. They've been

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playing hard every week. And also one more again, little Notches,

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I'm just trying to think of things, Little notch, you

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have a first year coach in Tennessee and a veteran

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coach in Cleveland. Who do you expect the better play

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from down the stretch? The team playing for the first

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year head coach, not the team playing for the head

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coach who's been there for a while. So again, asking

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the Browns to win by more than a field goal

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is a little bit rich for my blood. Tennessee. A

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00:18:47,160 --> 00:18:49,240
clear choice, Andy, clear choice for.

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Speaker 1: This better clear choice.

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Speaker 5: The votes Andy are coming in and this is probably

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00:18:55,920 --> 00:18:59,000
my favorite, and drop your votes in the comments below

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00:18:59,279 --> 00:19:02,119
after the show. You write Teddy, you write Andy, and

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00:19:02,160 --> 00:19:04,839
you and you share your wager talk user name. That's

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00:19:04,839 --> 00:19:06,839
how you're entered in it. The guy that you choose

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00:19:07,200 --> 00:19:10,200
his side covers You're going to be entered in to

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00:19:10,279 --> 00:19:11,799
win a little prize here from wager Talk.

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Speaker 1: But this is my favorite comment.

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00:19:13,519 --> 00:19:18,160
Speaker 5: They're voting for Tandy because this game sticks, So take

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your pick.

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Speaker 1: We're voting for the super couple that is Tandy. So

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00:19:23,119 --> 00:19:23,839
so there you go.

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00:19:24,200 --> 00:19:26,599
Speaker 5: Comment below let us know who are you going with.

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00:19:26,680 --> 00:19:28,680
Comment with your wager Talk user name. You'll be entered

390
00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:30,480
in for some some flexic actions.

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00:19:30,559 --> 00:19:31,440
Speaker 4: So well done.

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Speaker 5: As always, gentlemen, always look forward to this segment every front.

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Speaker 2: Thank god, we don't need to break down Texans chiefs R.

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One of those I would have hated to break down.

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Speaker 5: But if you, if you frame it, if you frame

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00:19:44,559 --> 00:19:47,880
it like our our wager Talk insider here can Vas schader,

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00:19:48,119 --> 00:19:50,640
if this was a college football matchup, you would be

398
00:19:50,680 --> 00:19:51,720
intrigued by the matchup.

399
00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:55,039
Speaker 3: Yeah, good game, interesting game, you bet on it, that

400
00:19:55,079 --> 00:19:57,599
makes it. That always makes an interesting.

401
00:19:57,839 --> 00:20:02,799
Speaker 2: Yes, absolutely absolutely covers. Don't forget to use the promo code.

402
00:20:02,799 --> 00:20:05,000
Teddy two nine nine gets the rest of college football

403
00:20:05,000 --> 00:20:07,160
and NFL season. Teddy, thank you so much. Good luck

404
00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:09,240
this weekend, to have a big weekend. Can't wait to

405
00:20:09,279 --> 00:20:13,079
see you next week. Thank you, brother. All right, a

406
00:20:13,119 --> 00:20:16,359
couple things here, five percent NFL best bet went up.

407
00:20:17,039 --> 00:20:20,039
We cashed last night by the hook, So the primetime

408
00:20:20,119 --> 00:20:22,319
run continues in the NFL. It's twenty four to twelve

409
00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:24,839
on primetime. Thank you for all that joined, So five

410
00:20:24,839 --> 00:20:27,119
percent NFL best bet is up. That's gonna include all

411
00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:29,599
plays that we have. On Sunday, we still have our

412
00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:32,000
five percent UFC best bet that is up, so we

413
00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:35,559
have a monster Monster weekend. Three day pass is probably

414
00:20:35,599 --> 00:20:37,240
the best move at this point. It'll get you a

415
00:20:37,240 --> 00:20:40,200
couple of five percent plays. So that's over at WT

416
00:20:40,319 --> 00:20:42,720
dot Buzz slash Al had a really nice four percent

417
00:20:42,759 --> 00:20:45,079
winner in golf yesterday, got a lot of golf plays

418
00:20:45,079 --> 00:20:48,440
going today. David had asked about the cricket play. So

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00:20:48,519 --> 00:20:50,680
here's what I'm gonna do. David said, could we do

420
00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:53,720
a video talking about cricket and breaking it down? That

421
00:20:53,799 --> 00:20:55,920
would be the least viewed video we have ever done

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00:20:55,960 --> 00:20:58,920
in the history of Waiter Talk. Here's what I will do, Andy,

423
00:20:59,000 --> 00:20:59,319
I did.

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00:20:59,559 --> 00:21:01,920
Speaker 5: I did a video on how to batt lacrosse, and

425
00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:05,480
that may have beaten your cricket breakdown as the worst

426
00:21:05,559 --> 00:21:07,640
viewed video on wager Talks history.

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00:21:07,839 --> 00:21:12,440
Speaker 2: We would, at least at the very end of the show,

428
00:21:12,559 --> 00:21:15,839
after all the super contest picks, after all the breakdowns, David,

429
00:21:15,839 --> 00:21:17,359
I will talk a little bit about the cricket play

430
00:21:17,400 --> 00:21:18,680
because I know we have a bunch of people in

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00:21:18,759 --> 00:21:20,960
here that that are involved in that. So it's just

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00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:23,119
gonna be at the very very end, so stay tuned

433
00:21:23,359 --> 00:21:26,440
for that. We got to bring in our special guests.

434
00:21:27,240 --> 00:21:31,559
We're bringing in Jesse and myself and Chris. We're talking

435
00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:33,440
and we were like, man, we got so many great

436
00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:36,680
games and we have tons of individual game breakdown videos

437
00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:38,400
on the YouTube channel that you guys have heard us

438
00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:41,079
talk all week about these NFL games. And we were like,

439
00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:47,920
you know, a real a real gambling channel would, a

440
00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:50,559
real gambling channel would break down the worst of the

441
00:21:50,559 --> 00:21:54,559
worst games. And Jesse was like, that's that's me. That's

442
00:21:54,599 --> 00:21:57,039
right up my alley. So let's bring on Jesse. So Jesse,

443
00:21:57,519 --> 00:22:01,200
let's we're gonna I have I have props for this one.

444
00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:04,680
You're you're gonna break down the trash games, and I've

445
00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:07,720
got some various things that were in my trash and

446
00:22:07,759 --> 00:22:12,759
we will compare these games to this. So let's start

447
00:22:12,799 --> 00:22:15,960
talking about these just horrible games and how we can

448
00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:18,440
break him down. And you just heard me and Teddy

449
00:22:18,480 --> 00:22:22,079
break down Titans Browns, so I want to hear your breakdown.

450
00:22:22,359 --> 00:22:25,759
And I have this. I have this game kind of

451
00:22:25,799 --> 00:22:29,200
as the oh you know, this is the empty toilet

452
00:22:29,240 --> 00:22:32,359
paper role. That's what this game is. It's We've got

453
00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:35,400
no use for it. It's flimsy. Nobody wants in a round.

454
00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:38,240
Throw it in the trash. So break down this Titans

455
00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:40,359
Browns game. Break the tie. Who do you like in

456
00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:40,720
this one?

457
00:22:41,400 --> 00:22:43,960
Speaker 6: I mean, if you appreciate good defense, this is a

458
00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:46,839
hell of a game. You got Miles Garrett looking to

459
00:22:46,839 --> 00:22:50,640
break the sack record, which he's probably gonna do. I

460
00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:54,960
like this Browns team. I like their defense. Obviously their

461
00:22:55,000 --> 00:23:01,319
offense stinks shutters, you know, hasn't really proven anything so far.

462
00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:05,920
But I absolutely loved Cleveland last week. It was my

463
00:23:06,039 --> 00:23:08,759
only NFL play on Sunday. I was a little bit

464
00:23:08,799 --> 00:23:11,960
hungover from Thanksgiving. The only game I had was Cleveland

465
00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:14,319
plus five and a half. And of course they lost

466
00:23:14,319 --> 00:23:17,599
twenty six to eight to San Francisco. But if you

467
00:23:17,720 --> 00:23:20,039
look at that game, they had an edge in total

468
00:23:20,119 --> 00:23:23,920
yards by one yard. Total yards was almost identical, two

469
00:23:24,000 --> 00:23:27,240
fifty three to two fifty two. First down, San Francisco

470
00:23:27,319 --> 00:23:31,359
had a slight edge time of possession, again almost identical,

471
00:23:31,759 --> 00:23:34,880
thirty minutes and ten seconds to twenty nine minutes and

472
00:23:35,000 --> 00:23:38,720
fifty seconds. It was two fumbles by the Browns. That

473
00:23:38,839 --> 00:23:41,480
cost them that game. So you know, you look at

474
00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:43,799
the final score, it looks like they got their asses kicked.

475
00:23:44,079 --> 00:23:47,519
That wasn't really the case. Scheeder one hundred and forty

476
00:23:47,599 --> 00:23:50,559
nine yards a touchdown on sixteen of twenty five, and

477
00:23:50,599 --> 00:23:53,480
then Purdy one hundred and sixty eight yards a touchdown

478
00:23:53,519 --> 00:23:57,640
on sixteen of twenty nine. Again almost identical performances from

479
00:23:57,720 --> 00:24:02,160
the quarterbacks. This does look like a good spot to

480
00:24:02,200 --> 00:24:05,400
bet the Browns, but Teddy made a compelling argument. How

481
00:24:05,440 --> 00:24:10,200
can you lay points with this team? Tennessee one and

482
00:24:10,240 --> 00:24:13,440
eleven straight up, five and seven against the spread, zero

483
00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:17,000
to seven on the road. They've lost seven straight games,

484
00:24:17,079 --> 00:24:21,960
They've got blown out versus Jacksonville. Their defense it looks

485
00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:24,680
competitive at times, but the numbers tell a different story.

486
00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:28,359
Twenty fourth in total defense three hundred and forty six

487
00:24:28,519 --> 00:24:32,039
yards per game, twenty ninth and scoring defense twenty seven

488
00:24:32,079 --> 00:24:35,279
point three points per game, and cam Ward has been

489
00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:38,960
sacked a league worst forty eight times. I want to

490
00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:41,599
bet on Miles Garrett over his sacks in this game,

491
00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:44,960
but as we talk before the game or before the show,

492
00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:48,279
those lines don't come out until just before the game.

493
00:24:51,559 --> 00:24:54,559
I lean Cleveland again, don't really want to lay the points.

494
00:24:55,240 --> 00:24:55,759
Speaker 4: Looked at all.

495
00:24:55,799 --> 00:24:58,920
Speaker 6: The props want to bet unders on yards for quarterbacks,

496
00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:02,160
and you know under his a touchdown, it's all just

497
00:25:02,599 --> 00:25:06,039
priced accordingly. Nobody wants to bet on anybody to do

498
00:25:06,119 --> 00:25:09,319
anything offensively in this game. The one bet that I

499
00:25:09,400 --> 00:25:12,119
think might work out is thirty one and a half

500
00:25:13,599 --> 00:25:16,519
pass attempts for cam Ward. I just think there's gonna

501
00:25:16,559 --> 00:25:19,240
be a lot of three and outs and not enough

502
00:25:19,279 --> 00:25:22,480
sustained drives. Even if he's passing on every down, I

503
00:25:22,480 --> 00:25:24,880
think there's not gonna be enough sustained drives. And I

504
00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:27,720
do think that we will see Cleveland chew up the

505
00:25:27,759 --> 00:25:31,640
clock with Judkins and SAMs and the dynamic duo in

506
00:25:31,680 --> 00:25:34,960
the backfield there. So under thirty one and a half

507
00:25:35,839 --> 00:25:38,759
passing attempts for cam Ward is the best I could

508
00:25:38,759 --> 00:25:41,039
come up with for this dumpster fire of a game.

509
00:25:41,759 --> 00:25:44,640
Speaker 2: That's great, brought up two fumbles last week, a quarterback

510
00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:48,599
that sacked forty eight times. Incredible breakdown, incredible game. All right,

511
00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:52,640
we are moving too. Let's do a quick one on

512
00:25:52,680 --> 00:25:55,920
the Dolphins and the Jets. I have this game is

513
00:25:56,200 --> 00:26:01,000
the empty cheap wine bottle. This is not of Justin Fields.

514
00:26:01,039 --> 00:26:02,920
When it was full of wine at the beginning of

515
00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:05,960
the season. You're excited. Now it's empty. There's no use

516
00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:08,240
for it. There's no use for Justin Fields on this team.

517
00:26:08,359 --> 00:26:10,640
What's your quick breakdown on Dolphin's Jets.

518
00:26:11,039 --> 00:26:13,319
Speaker 6: Well, I must admit, Andy, you'd find a few of

519
00:26:13,400 --> 00:26:20,000
those around my house. I mean, quite simply, you can't

520
00:26:20,039 --> 00:26:23,440
bet Miami on the road in the winter in New York.

521
00:26:24,599 --> 00:26:26,519
They were lucky to beat the Saints last week. I

522
00:26:26,519 --> 00:26:29,240
guess everybody saw that. The Saints with a chance to

523
00:26:29,279 --> 00:26:31,680
tie it on a two point conversion, they end up

524
00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:34,400
giving up the two points with the interception run back.

525
00:26:34,880 --> 00:26:38,640
Then the Saints convert on an on side kick. They've

526
00:26:38,640 --> 00:26:42,400
got a chance to win the game. Outright, come up short,

527
00:26:42,480 --> 00:26:44,880
you know. The Jets coming off a twenty seven to

528
00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:48,359
twenty four win over Atlanta. Tyrod Taylor throws for one

529
00:26:48,440 --> 00:26:51,640
hundred and seventy two yards a touchdown on nineteen of

530
00:26:51,759 --> 00:26:56,119
thirty three passing, not exactly lighting it up, but eight

531
00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:59,440
carries for forty four yards and a touchdown, getting it

532
00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:02,319
done with his legs. I do like Tyrod Taylor to

533
00:27:02,359 --> 00:27:05,000
get it done with his legs again here over four

534
00:27:05,039 --> 00:27:07,480
and a half rushing attempts. He's gone over that number

535
00:27:07,839 --> 00:27:10,599
in three of his last four games. So I'll take

536
00:27:10,720 --> 00:27:14,000
the Jets plus the points and Tyrod Taylor over four

537
00:27:14,000 --> 00:27:15,440
and a half rushing attempts.

538
00:27:16,440 --> 00:27:18,759
Speaker 2: Jess, you're doing fantastic telling us how to make money

539
00:27:18,799 --> 00:27:21,319
off of these games. This is great. We're moving on

540
00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:25,279
to the Andy, absolutely, We're moving on to You.

541
00:27:25,200 --> 00:27:27,319
Speaker 6: Can get cheap bottles of wine if you win those

542
00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:28,920
rushing game.

543
00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:31,880
Speaker 2: We're moving on to the Saints. In the Bucks, I've

544
00:27:31,880 --> 00:27:34,880
got just the disgusting paper towels you've used to wipe

545
00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:37,359
up messes. The Saints are a mess. The Bucks are

546
00:27:37,359 --> 00:27:39,359
probably gonna wipe them up this week. How do we

547
00:27:39,400 --> 00:27:42,440
make money on the Saints and the Bucks? Real quick?

548
00:27:44,000 --> 00:27:44,920
Speaker 4: Yeah?

549
00:27:45,680 --> 00:27:48,799
Speaker 6: I almost take exception to this being considered a dumpster

550
00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:51,160
fire game. I mean, it was only a month ago

551
00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:55,079
that we were talking about Baker Mayfield as MVP, but

552
00:27:55,559 --> 00:27:59,559
some injury concerns for the Bucks. That shoulder for Baker

553
00:27:59,559 --> 00:28:03,480
Mayfield is of concern. Bucks are just one in five

554
00:28:03,519 --> 00:28:07,240
against the spread in their last six Overall, Mayfield one

555
00:28:07,359 --> 00:28:11,960
hundred and fifty two yards, zero touchdowns, zero interceptions, fifteen

556
00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:17,079
of twenty four against New Orleans in October. Bucky Irving's back.

557
00:28:17,119 --> 00:28:21,599
That's good news for the Bucks. And I like Bucky

558
00:28:21,599 --> 00:28:24,119
irving props in this game, his second game coming off

559
00:28:24,119 --> 00:28:27,960
the injury. He had eighty one combined rush receiving yards

560
00:28:28,200 --> 00:28:30,720
in his first game back. I think he gets plenty

561
00:28:30,720 --> 00:28:33,640
of touches in this game. The number for rushing receiving

562
00:28:33,720 --> 00:28:36,720
yards eighty six and a half. He had eighty one

563
00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:39,279
against Arizona. He's average on the season is over one

564
00:28:39,359 --> 00:28:43,480
hundred combined rush and receiving yards. With the shoulder injury,

565
00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:46,400
I don't see Mayfield wanting to push the ball down

566
00:28:46,440 --> 00:28:49,039
field as much. I think he's gonna do the short

567
00:28:49,119 --> 00:28:53,440
checkdowns to Bucky Irving, who's a great receiver out of

568
00:28:53,480 --> 00:28:54,319
the backfield.

569
00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:56,119
Speaker 4: So over eighty six.

570
00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:58,240
Speaker 6: And a half, and I actually think the Saints through

571
00:28:58,279 --> 00:29:00,720
a live dog here, if there's one they're gonna get

572
00:29:00,759 --> 00:29:03,839
up for against a division rival. You saw how competitive

573
00:29:03,839 --> 00:29:07,880
they were in Miami last week, and Tyler Shug didn't

574
00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:10,480
expect much from him, but you got to admit four

575
00:29:10,559 --> 00:29:14,200
touchdowns two interceptions. He's averaged two hundred and fifty five

576
00:29:14,279 --> 00:29:17,839
yards per game in his last three starts. Tyler Shug

577
00:29:17,880 --> 00:29:21,960
actually looks like he's the good pick at quarterback. He's

578
00:29:21,960 --> 00:29:24,000
been better than their previous starters.

579
00:29:24,920 --> 00:29:28,240
Speaker 2: All right. And finally, this is my favorite one, Jesse,

580
00:29:28,519 --> 00:29:32,640
the Broncos and the Raiders. This is the old leftover

581
00:29:32,720 --> 00:29:36,079
piece of meat loaf. Like Pete Carroll, It's just old.

582
00:29:36,319 --> 00:29:39,480
It's done. You shouldn't get involved with it. It just

583
00:29:39,519 --> 00:29:42,960
needs to be thrown out real quick. What are we

584
00:29:43,039 --> 00:29:45,240
doing with this Broncos Raiders game?

585
00:29:46,160 --> 00:29:49,200
Speaker 6: I mean, this game was a complete dumpster fire on

586
00:29:49,279 --> 00:29:54,440
Thursday night about a month ago. I gotta say I

587
00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:56,920
do like the Raiders getting the points in this game.

588
00:29:56,960 --> 00:30:00,240
I mean, how can you bet on a Denver team

589
00:30:00,319 --> 00:30:03,240
that has just two wins by more than four points

590
00:30:03,480 --> 00:30:06,359
in their last ten games overall? I mean, they've won

591
00:30:06,480 --> 00:30:09,400
nine straight games, but the last four games have all

592
00:30:09,440 --> 00:30:13,000
been decided by three points or less. This team has

593
00:30:13,039 --> 00:30:16,400
a losing record against the spread. They're the phoniest ten

594
00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:19,319
and two team I've ever seen. Bo Nix is having

595
00:30:19,359 --> 00:30:23,079
a sophomore slump. Yeah, there's no way I'm laying the

596
00:30:23,119 --> 00:30:27,839
points with Denver in this game. And Ashton Genty. Ashton

597
00:30:27,880 --> 00:30:31,559
Genty has been a bit of a disappointment such high

598
00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:37,319
expectations being drafted so high. I like his receptions prop

599
00:30:37,359 --> 00:30:40,480
here over four and a half receptions. He's got five

600
00:30:40,559 --> 00:30:44,599
plus receptions in four of his last five games. The

601
00:30:44,640 --> 00:30:48,119
only exception was the game against Denver. That was an

602
00:30:48,200 --> 00:30:50,720
outdoor game on the road at Denver. This is a

603
00:30:50,759 --> 00:30:54,720
home game, indoors, and like I said, I like the

604
00:30:55,920 --> 00:30:58,400
Raiders plus the points. Hold your nose and take the

605
00:30:58,480 --> 00:31:01,160
dog and take genty over four and a half receptions.

606
00:31:01,279 --> 00:31:03,079
I don't know about you, Andy, but am I a

607
00:31:03,079 --> 00:31:05,240
little bit too fired up about these bad games.

608
00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:08,880
Speaker 2: You're kind of getting me interested. But you got agreement

609
00:31:08,920 --> 00:31:12,400
to the chat on gent Yeah he's been a catching machine,

610
00:31:12,440 --> 00:31:16,160
so yeah, you got agreement on the receptions. So Jesse,

611
00:31:16,279 --> 00:31:19,759
thank you for stepping in and taking these absolute trash

612
00:31:19,839 --> 00:31:21,599
games showing us how to make money on it. Tell

613
00:31:21,559 --> 00:31:23,200
her what you have up for the weekend.

614
00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:27,240
Speaker 6: Man, I am so excited about the conference championship games.

615
00:31:27,680 --> 00:31:31,240
I've got a five percent play on the SEC championship game.

616
00:31:31,559 --> 00:31:33,599
I've got a four percent play on the Big Ten

617
00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:36,960
championship game. I'm one hundred percent perfect with my five

618
00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:40,839
percent plays the last thirty days, and I just absolutely

619
00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:43,799
love the angles I'm using for both these games. I

620
00:31:43,839 --> 00:31:46,599
think if the customers see my analysis, they're going to

621
00:31:46,680 --> 00:31:49,960
agree with me one hundred percent. In order to do that, though,

622
00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:52,559
they should sign up for that weekend Warrior package forty

623
00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:55,240
nine bucks. That'll cover you all weekend. We'll throw in

624
00:31:55,279 --> 00:31:57,839
Monday night football. Trust me, you want to see what

625
00:31:57,920 --> 00:32:00,960
I got for those two big college football games on Saturday.

626
00:32:02,519 --> 00:32:05,720
Speaker 2: I'm in. Count me in. Let's do it, Jesse. Let's go,

627
00:32:06,079 --> 00:32:09,000
Jesse Schule taking on the task that nobody else wanted

628
00:32:09,000 --> 00:32:10,759
to do, breaking down the worst of the worst games.

629
00:32:10,759 --> 00:32:13,559
Thank you so much, Jesse. Good luck this weekend. Cash

630
00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:18,119
that five percent brother, root for you. Yeah, we had

631
00:32:18,160 --> 00:32:22,359
to draw the line somewhere. Washington, Minnesota was just too garbage,

632
00:32:22,559 --> 00:32:25,720
so that one didn't quite make the cut. But yes,

633
00:32:25,759 --> 00:32:29,119
it's I mean, Marioda and McCarthy. Good god. All right,

634
00:32:29,200 --> 00:32:32,000
let's bring on Marco. We had to talk some college football.

635
00:32:32,039 --> 00:32:36,839
We got to talk his Steelers, his reeling Steelers.

636
00:32:36,960 --> 00:32:37,359
Speaker 1: Marco.

637
00:32:39,039 --> 00:32:41,759
Speaker 2: Uh, let's do college football first and then we'll talk

638
00:32:41,759 --> 00:32:44,000
about Actually, no, let's do Steelers. Ravens. I was listening

639
00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:48,359
to a podcast and someone said that last week Aaron

640
00:32:48,440 --> 00:32:51,279
Rodgers just looked like a homeless guy. He's just like Bleedy.

641
00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:54,839
He's got bandage just all over him. He just looks

642
00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:58,920
like he's all dazed and confused. Ravens aren't exactly coming

643
00:32:58,920 --> 00:33:01,039
in with a lot of momentum either. They got injuries

644
00:33:01,079 --> 00:33:05,400
of their own here. Fascinating game, huge game. Baltimore is

645
00:33:05,440 --> 00:33:07,480
a big favor here minus five and a half over

646
00:33:07,759 --> 00:33:09,839
under forty two and a half. What are we doing

647
00:33:09,839 --> 00:33:10,640
with your Steelers?

648
00:33:11,720 --> 00:33:14,440
Speaker 4: Well, first of all, when I saw that you had

649
00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:17,599
me doing this game the Steelers Ravens, I said, why

650
00:33:17,599 --> 00:33:19,920
in the world would they make me do this shit game?

651
00:33:20,079 --> 00:33:21,839
Little did I know that this was going to be

652
00:33:21,839 --> 00:33:26,599
the premiere game of the last two sevens. Oh my god,

653
00:33:26,759 --> 00:33:30,400
could you guys talk about any uglier games in the

654
00:33:30,480 --> 00:33:33,400
last you know, four games? I sat here in the

655
00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:37,359
backstage watch and trying not to pup about the matchups.

656
00:33:37,400 --> 00:33:40,839
But hey, good information on all of them. But god,

657
00:33:41,200 --> 00:33:44,720
Dan's twisted, That's all I gotta say. But let's look

658
00:33:44,720 --> 00:33:49,359
at Steelers and Ravers and guys. Yeah, to say the

659
00:33:49,400 --> 00:33:54,640
Steelers are reeling is being very kind Dan. They hit

660
00:33:54,759 --> 00:33:58,480
rock bottom last week in Pittsburgh, and I'm talking rock

661
00:33:58,559 --> 00:34:02,400
bottom for the last two decades. Okay, doesn't get any

662
00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:05,839
worse than what we saw last week in Pittsburgh. And

663
00:34:05,880 --> 00:34:09,280
what I'm alluding to is the performance on the field

664
00:34:09,880 --> 00:34:11,920
was you know, a whole nother story. It was bad,

665
00:34:12,119 --> 00:34:15,920
But we saw two things happen in the stadium that

666
00:34:16,039 --> 00:34:19,239
I thought I would never see. First, you heard the

667
00:34:19,360 --> 00:34:25,039
chance fire Tomlin, and they were loud, and it deserve it. Okay,

668
00:34:25,199 --> 00:34:29,360
the Steelers are not playing good football Tomlin, and I'll

669
00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:31,280
be talking about him a little later in the show

670
00:34:31,320 --> 00:34:35,039
some more. But what I never thought I would see

671
00:34:35,360 --> 00:34:38,679
in Pittsburgh. And if you're a Pittsburgh fan, you know

672
00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:42,039
exactly what I'm talking about. There are two Pittsburgh traditions

673
00:34:42,519 --> 00:34:46,679
that are even on the road. Sometimes you see one

674
00:34:46,679 --> 00:34:49,280
of them all the time. Sometimes you even hear the other.

675
00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:53,199
But it's the Terrible twel that's the trademark of the

676
00:34:53,199 --> 00:34:56,880
Pittsburgh Steelers. The other trademark is when they're playing at home,

677
00:34:57,840 --> 00:35:00,679
sometime in the third quarter, when it's a a huge

678
00:35:00,719 --> 00:35:04,440
defensive series coming up for the Steelers, when they go

679
00:35:04,519 --> 00:35:09,440
to the break in the stadium, they blast through the

680
00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:14,199
stadium the song Renegade Okay and while they're playing the

681
00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:18,239
music to that song, there's a video playing on the

682
00:35:18,320 --> 00:35:22,440
jumbo tron and it's all like defensive highlight plays. It's

683
00:35:22,480 --> 00:35:26,679
a pump up video gets the crowd going because Steelers

684
00:35:26,760 --> 00:35:31,119
in defense, that's what you think. The crowd booed when

685
00:35:31,159 --> 00:35:34,960
Renegade came on, because that's how bad the Steeler defense was.

686
00:35:35,000 --> 00:35:39,679
Playing last week against the Buffalo Bills. The Buffalo Bills

687
00:35:40,199 --> 00:35:43,559
ran for two hundred and forty nine yards on this

688
00:35:44,000 --> 00:35:49,079
vaunted Steeler defense, the Steeler defense that is the highest

689
00:35:49,159 --> 00:35:53,559
paid defense in the NFL, and Mike Tomlin made a

690
00:35:53,599 --> 00:35:56,679
mistake at the beginning of the season talking about this

691
00:35:56,800 --> 00:36:02,320
defense saying that this was an stork defense. Well, he

692
00:36:02,480 --> 00:36:09,280
was right. Historically, bad ball ran the exact same play

693
00:36:09,440 --> 00:36:14,639
out of the formation a running play twenty nine times

694
00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:17,679
in that game and a Steelers never made an adjustment.

695
00:36:18,480 --> 00:36:23,559
And more mind boggling is the fact that Buffalo did

696
00:36:23,599 --> 00:36:27,320
it with not one, but two offensive linemen out for

697
00:36:27,440 --> 00:36:31,480
that game. So with all of that said, what am

698
00:36:31,480 --> 00:36:33,880
I going to do in this game this week? I'm

699
00:36:33,880 --> 00:36:38,360
gonna take the Pittsburgh Steelers. Why because Baltimore's not playing

700
00:36:38,400 --> 00:36:44,239
any better and Pittsburgh absolutely. As I said, rock Bottom embarrassed.

701
00:36:44,599 --> 00:36:48,960
And now it's not on only the coach. It's easy

702
00:36:49,000 --> 00:36:51,679
to blame who's on the top, but when the defense

703
00:36:51,719 --> 00:36:53,960
got booed the way they did, if there's any pride

704
00:36:54,039 --> 00:36:57,559
left on this team, and remember it was Baltimore that

705
00:36:57,920 --> 00:37:02,000
knocked them out of the playoffs last year and embarrassing fashion,

706
00:37:02,159 --> 00:37:06,559
and that was you know, remember that gigantic fall over

707
00:37:06,559 --> 00:37:08,800
the last six weeks for the Steelers last year and

708
00:37:08,920 --> 00:37:12,639
Russell Wilson. It was ugly. But if you look back

709
00:37:12,679 --> 00:37:16,119
at the history of this series, nine of the last

710
00:37:16,159 --> 00:37:19,000
eleven games have been decided by a touchdown or less.

711
00:37:19,960 --> 00:37:25,079
I can't trust Baltimore and Lamar Jackson. He's just not right.

712
00:37:25,199 --> 00:37:29,039
He's not one hundred percent healthy. Five turnovers last week

713
00:37:29,119 --> 00:37:32,719
the Ravens had. They got the advantage of three extra

714
00:37:32,800 --> 00:37:34,880
days because they played on Thursday. I'll give them that.

715
00:37:35,400 --> 00:37:38,760
But you know, sometimes when things are going bad, the

716
00:37:38,800 --> 00:37:41,000
best thing a team can do is go on the road,

717
00:37:41,559 --> 00:37:43,920
because you don't have to worry about your home crowd

718
00:37:44,039 --> 00:37:46,159
booing you. You expect to be booed on the road.

719
00:37:46,239 --> 00:37:48,480
I'm gonna go ahead and take Pittsburgh plus the points.

720
00:37:48,599 --> 00:37:50,559
I think this game comes down to a field goal

721
00:37:50,679 --> 00:37:55,360
either way, and I'll take my kicker with Boswell to

722
00:37:55,480 --> 00:37:58,159
get the job done. Give me Pittsburgh plus the points.

723
00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:01,840
Speaker 2: It's amazing. What's happened to these two teams. I mean

724
00:38:01,880 --> 00:38:05,719
the you thought Baltimore is gonna be amazing. Pittsburgh looked

725
00:38:05,760 --> 00:38:09,199
amazing to start the season. What a stumble down the stretch.

726
00:38:09,239 --> 00:38:12,559
Now all of a sudden, this Bengals game. It's interesting

727
00:38:12,599 --> 00:38:14,280
because that game is going on at the exact same time.

728
00:38:14,280 --> 00:38:16,679
That would have been interesting if Bengals was early and

729
00:38:16,760 --> 00:38:18,679
if they win. Now it's a four o'clock game. You

730
00:38:18,719 --> 00:38:23,199
got Baltimore and Pittsburgh looking at that Bengals team breathing

731
00:38:23,239 --> 00:38:26,320
down their necks. So let's go to college football here,

732
00:38:26,360 --> 00:38:30,239
let's talk this ACC championship game. We got Duke in Virginia.

733
00:38:30,599 --> 00:38:33,000
Virginia is gonna come in. Looks like four point favorite

734
00:38:33,000 --> 00:38:35,400
Prett high total here over under fifty seven and a

735
00:38:35,480 --> 00:38:37,800
half at this point. What's your breakdown on this game?

736
00:38:38,960 --> 00:38:43,920
Speaker 4: Well, guys, you know this is Duke's super Bowl. It's

737
00:38:43,920 --> 00:38:47,679
plain and simple because even if they win, it doesn't matter.

738
00:38:47,760 --> 00:38:51,760
They don't go to the college football playoffs and Virginia

739
00:38:52,440 --> 00:38:55,360
has all the pressure in the world on they are

740
00:38:55,400 --> 00:38:59,760
playing what the other conferences are looking over and laughing at,

741
00:39:00,119 --> 00:39:02,480
They're playing a seven and five team in their conference

742
00:39:02,519 --> 00:39:06,239
championship game. How in the world we have a seven

743
00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:10,480
and five Duke in the ACC championship game and not

744
00:39:10,599 --> 00:39:15,000
ten and two Miami. Because what happened? Five teams finished

745
00:39:15,000 --> 00:39:18,800
in a log jam for second place in the ACC

746
00:39:19,119 --> 00:39:22,519
at six and two, and I'm not smart enough to

747
00:39:22,519 --> 00:39:24,719
figure out all the tie breakers, but it came out

748
00:39:24,800 --> 00:39:27,840
that Duke won the tie breakers to enter this game.

749
00:39:28,159 --> 00:39:30,559
That if you win, you're not going to the playoffs.

750
00:39:31,119 --> 00:39:35,079
God bless us out of college football. But this is

751
00:39:35,159 --> 00:39:37,719
where we are. Virginia, as they said, has all the

752
00:39:37,719 --> 00:39:40,320
pressure on him. And with that said, a lot of

753
00:39:40,400 --> 00:39:45,039
times teams end up playing not to lose instead of

754
00:39:45,039 --> 00:39:47,760
playing to win. Duke's playing with house money. Now. I

755
00:39:47,840 --> 00:39:51,039
know they played just three weeks ago and Virginia beat

756
00:39:51,079 --> 00:39:54,440
them thirty four to seventeen at Duke. Let's go back

757
00:39:54,519 --> 00:39:57,400
and look at when that game was played. Duke was

758
00:39:57,440 --> 00:40:00,239
in a bad scheduling spot. Two weeks prior to that,

759
00:40:00,800 --> 00:40:03,400
they had gone to Clemson, and even though Clemsons had

760
00:40:03,400 --> 00:40:07,079
got a down year. They beat Clemson in a barn

761
00:40:07,159 --> 00:40:10,079
burner forty six to forty five, so they were riding

762
00:40:10,079 --> 00:40:13,639
a major high. And off of that win, the following week,

763
00:40:13,880 --> 00:40:17,599
they had to travel to Connecticut, and we were on

764
00:40:17,679 --> 00:40:20,800
Connecticut in that game, okay, because it was just a

765
00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:24,599
trap spot for Duke. What happened, Connecticut ended up beating

766
00:40:24,599 --> 00:40:27,320
them in another barn burner thirty seven to thirty four.

767
00:40:27,639 --> 00:40:30,039
So then they come back home to play a Virginia team,

768
00:40:30,280 --> 00:40:32,880
a Virginia team that was coming off an upset loss

769
00:40:32,920 --> 00:40:35,599
at home to Wake Forest. So you had a focused

770
00:40:35,679 --> 00:40:38,639
Virginia team. And oh, by the way, Duke had just

771
00:40:38,719 --> 00:40:43,079
finished playing four road games in five games. They had

772
00:40:43,079 --> 00:40:45,719
a stretch of four road games in five games. They

773
00:40:45,760 --> 00:40:48,719
were a tired team all those barn burner games. You're

774
00:40:48,760 --> 00:40:51,280
gonna see a different Duke team in this one. I'm

775
00:40:51,320 --> 00:40:55,239
gonna go ahead take to take Duke plus the points

776
00:40:55,800 --> 00:40:58,679
in this one. I think Virginia we saw it earlier

777
00:40:58,719 --> 00:41:00,440
in the year. They had that stretch of three or

778
00:41:00,480 --> 00:41:03,400
four games in a row where they won by you know,

779
00:41:04,119 --> 00:41:06,599
three four points. They just got by. I think that's

780
00:41:06,639 --> 00:41:09,440
what you're gonna see here. And Duke. You're playing with

781
00:41:09,440 --> 00:41:11,239
house money. You can roll the dice, you can do

782
00:41:11,320 --> 00:41:14,199
whatever you want. You can gamble on fourth down. I'll

783
00:41:14,199 --> 00:41:17,599
take Duke thirty one thirty another shootout.

784
00:41:18,639 --> 00:41:21,880
Speaker 2: All right, Liking Duke, liking the over maybe a little

785
00:41:21,880 --> 00:41:23,360
bit on that one. So it should be a fun,

786
00:41:23,440 --> 00:41:26,719
high scoring game here, Marco, you got a fourteen day

787
00:41:26,800 --> 00:41:30,000
all access pass for one thirty nine. Tell us about that.

788
00:41:30,440 --> 00:41:32,480
You don't do very many five percent plays, but boy,

789
00:41:32,519 --> 00:41:35,639
when you do, they hit nice. Forty and sixteen run

790
00:41:35,679 --> 00:41:37,800
on five percent play, So tell us what you have

791
00:41:37,920 --> 00:41:39,119
up for everybody wage you're talking.

792
00:41:39,719 --> 00:41:43,519
Speaker 4: Yeah, those five percent plays have been gold. We actually

793
00:41:43,519 --> 00:41:45,960
only released one last week, but we got credit for

794
00:41:46,000 --> 00:41:49,559
two wins. Why because we also cashed a season win

795
00:41:49,760 --> 00:41:53,360
total in college football. That Utah over seven and a

796
00:41:53,400 --> 00:41:56,400
half wins was easy. Is a five percent we released

797
00:41:56,480 --> 00:41:59,920
back in August, so that forty and sixteen mark very

798
00:42:00,119 --> 00:42:03,599
proud of that. We will have a five percent this weekend,

799
00:42:04,079 --> 00:42:06,960
and we put together a package. Guys. You know, the

800
00:42:07,000 --> 00:42:10,400
regular rate for a week of all accesses ninety nine dollars,

801
00:42:10,440 --> 00:42:12,440
So if you bought two weeks, you're looking at one

802
00:42:12,519 --> 00:42:16,440
hundred and ninety eight dollars. If you sign up this week,

803
00:42:16,920 --> 00:42:20,840
I put together fourteen day all access blitz for one

804
00:42:20,920 --> 00:42:24,239
hundred and thirty nine dollars. Guys, you'll get every play

805
00:42:24,239 --> 00:42:28,079
I release in every sport. Another winning day last yesterday.

806
00:42:28,480 --> 00:42:30,519
We just keep grinding and out two out of three.

807
00:42:30,599 --> 00:42:34,320
Pick up another three point three units of profit yesterday.

808
00:42:34,639 --> 00:42:38,119
And what have we done last thirty six days, fifty

809
00:42:38,199 --> 00:42:41,880
six and thirty four for a net profit of over

810
00:42:42,000 --> 00:42:45,239
sixty one hundred dollars At sixty one units of profit

811
00:42:45,559 --> 00:42:49,960
in thirty six days. Join me this week, two weeks,

812
00:42:50,519 --> 00:42:52,840
one hundred and thirty nine dollars. It's the best deal

813
00:42:53,159 --> 00:42:53,880
going guys.

814
00:42:55,960 --> 00:42:58,719
Speaker 2: All right, every week if you do the sauce of

815
00:42:58,840 --> 00:43:00,800
the week, what's the week? So we kind of running

816
00:43:00,840 --> 00:43:03,239
out of sauces here, there's still there's there's a million

817
00:43:03,280 --> 00:43:05,400
of them, but we're using them up pretty quick. What's

818
00:43:05,400 --> 00:43:07,199
your sauce this week? What's the team?

819
00:43:07,480 --> 00:43:11,000
Speaker 4: I try I always try to tie the sauce to something,

820
00:43:11,039 --> 00:43:15,159
and I'm you know, this is pick on Mike Tomlin week. Okay,

821
00:43:16,239 --> 00:43:21,559
first of all, memo to Mike Tomlin two thousand and seven,

822
00:43:21,679 --> 00:43:25,639
called they said they're gone. It's gone. Quit coaching like

823
00:43:25,679 --> 00:43:30,880
it's two thousand and seven. The offense is so predictable. Okay.

824
00:43:31,639 --> 00:43:35,880
And have you seen the Steelers version of the tush push? Okay?

825
00:43:36,039 --> 00:43:39,320
And Dan's the expert on the tush push, being a

826
00:43:39,360 --> 00:43:42,519
Philadelphia Eagle fan. But the Steelers version of the tush

827
00:43:42,599 --> 00:43:47,079
push is we line somebody up under center. Know that

828
00:43:47,119 --> 00:43:50,599
person under center is not the quarterback. Okay, We've seen

829
00:43:50,639 --> 00:43:54,079
some other teams do that. That's okay, But the quarterbacks

830
00:43:54,079 --> 00:43:58,639
still on the field. The quarterback standing six yards behind

831
00:43:58,760 --> 00:44:01,840
the line of scrimmage with his hands on his hips,

832
00:44:02,440 --> 00:44:05,199
watching the play to see if they make the first

833
00:44:05,239 --> 00:44:12,760
down for him to go common math. Okay. I've never

834
00:44:13,880 --> 00:44:15,960
said that I'm the smartest guy in the room, but

835
00:44:16,039 --> 00:44:18,280
I definitely am not the dumbest guy in the room.

836
00:44:18,400 --> 00:44:18,760
Speaker 3: Okay.

837
00:44:19,280 --> 00:44:22,519
Speaker 4: I know that if you have eleven guys on one

838
00:44:22,599 --> 00:44:25,320
side of the line and ten guys on the other

839
00:44:25,400 --> 00:44:28,119
side of the line, I think the eleven guys have

840
00:44:28,159 --> 00:44:33,559
an advantage. Just me. I'm just funny that way. Okay,

841
00:44:33,800 --> 00:44:36,719
that's enough. Let's talk about You know, he's gotten the

842
00:44:36,760 --> 00:44:41,639
past because he's never had a losing season. Mike, that

843
00:44:41,960 --> 00:44:46,360
never having a losing season means squat when you keep

844
00:44:46,400 --> 00:44:50,480
finishing five hundred or nine and seven, because what that

845
00:44:50,679 --> 00:44:54,079
does is either you sneak into the playoffs and get

846
00:44:54,079 --> 00:44:57,280
eliminated in the first round, which you have done every

847
00:44:57,280 --> 00:45:02,079
time you've made the playoffs since twenty sixteen. And when

848
00:45:02,159 --> 00:45:04,440
you go to draft, you're going to be drafting somewhere

849
00:45:04,440 --> 00:45:09,440
between seventeenth pick in twenty fourth pick. You're not finding

850
00:45:09,719 --> 00:45:14,079
franchise players in those late rounds like that, in the

851
00:45:14,119 --> 00:45:17,679
late draft picks. That's one. And oh, yes, I know,

852
00:45:17,840 --> 00:45:20,360
I'm sorry. You won a super Bowl. That Super Bowl

853
00:45:20,480 --> 00:45:24,239
was two thousand and eight. By the way, Bill Kauer

854
00:45:24,400 --> 00:45:28,159
retired at the end of the two thousand and sixth season,

855
00:45:28,480 --> 00:45:32,840
so most of that roster was still Bill Cowers. But

856
00:45:33,000 --> 00:45:35,559
you won the Super Bowl? And how did you win

857
00:45:35,599 --> 00:45:38,159
that Super Bowl? Or that last playoff game that we

858
00:45:38,199 --> 00:45:41,559
talked about in twenty sixteen that should have been the

859
00:45:41,719 --> 00:45:44,719
cursor for what was about to come. They were last

860
00:45:44,760 --> 00:45:48,840
playoff game the Steelers won was eighteen sixteen over the

861
00:45:48,920 --> 00:45:53,639
Kansas City Chiefs when Chris Boswell kicked six field goals

862
00:45:54,039 --> 00:45:59,159
six Okay, as I said, you gotta change the offense

863
00:45:59,320 --> 00:46:04,360
and your refusal to put the attention to offense and

864
00:46:04,519 --> 00:46:07,599
go like the rest of the NFL, to a high

865
00:46:07,679 --> 00:46:15,039
octane offense and not rely on the defense is coaching suicide. So,

866
00:46:15,800 --> 00:46:19,119
in typical Mike Tomlin fashion, if you've ever listened to

867
00:46:19,360 --> 00:46:22,320
an interview of his post game, one of his favorite

868
00:46:22,320 --> 00:46:27,119
phrases is the standard is the standard. Now I really

869
00:46:27,119 --> 00:46:31,559
don't quite really understand what that means, but here's the

870
00:46:31,559 --> 00:46:35,039
standard that is the standard for me. The standard is

871
00:46:35,039 --> 00:46:39,519
not finishing five hundred, okay, And the decisions you've made,

872
00:46:40,159 --> 00:46:44,400
You've got rid of assistant coaches. They know you've rolled

873
00:46:44,400 --> 00:46:46,719
them under the bus. It's time for you to go.

874
00:46:46,840 --> 00:46:51,159
You've committed what I refer to as coaching suicide. So you,

875
00:46:51,360 --> 00:46:56,400
my friend, are getting the suicide hot sauce. Might seem

876
00:46:56,440 --> 00:46:58,360
like a good decision at the time, but you're gonna

877
00:46:58,360 --> 00:47:00,320
pay for it later, and you're gonna pay for at

878
00:47:00,320 --> 00:47:03,079
the end of the season. This will be Mike Tomlin's

879
00:47:03,199 --> 00:47:06,400
last year my prediction in Pittsburgh. But the way it

880
00:47:06,440 --> 00:47:09,639
will play out, because the Roonies are class acts, is

881
00:47:09,679 --> 00:47:12,239
they will not fire them. They will let Mike Tomlin

882
00:47:13,000 --> 00:47:14,840
resign at the end of the season. And that's how

883
00:47:14,880 --> 00:47:15,480
it'll play out.

884
00:47:17,000 --> 00:47:19,000
Speaker 2: I mean, how Steelers e was it that they signed

885
00:47:19,039 --> 00:47:22,960
Adam Feelen Like, Oh that'll I'll put some juice in

886
00:47:23,000 --> 00:47:23,880
the offense though.

887
00:47:24,159 --> 00:47:27,840
Speaker 4: Yeah, a guy that is retiring that wants to latch

888
00:47:27,880 --> 00:47:32,320
onto a playoff. A wait a minute, I'm sorry you

889
00:47:32,400 --> 00:47:33,400
made a mistake there.

890
00:47:35,079 --> 00:47:42,639
Speaker 2: I love Marco first, that's so ridiculous. All right, Marco's

891
00:47:42,679 --> 00:47:46,119
got a special up fourteen days all access for one

892
00:47:46,159 --> 00:47:49,480
hundred and thirty nine. Go check out his page over

893
00:47:49,559 --> 00:47:52,159
at wager Talk only went thirty nine gets you all plays,

894
00:47:52,199 --> 00:47:55,440
all percentages, Marco. Good luck on those five percent best

895
00:47:55,519 --> 00:47:59,159
best forty and sixteen run for Marco on five percent plays.

896
00:47:59,480 --> 00:48:01,599
All right, let's let's do some free plays here. Then

897
00:48:01,599 --> 00:48:03,800
we're gonna bring in Dan will go over are a

898
00:48:03,880 --> 00:48:07,800
mega contest picks, so we're gonna do. We're gonna be

899
00:48:07,800 --> 00:48:10,000
prop heavy. We're gonna do a couple of NFL props

900
00:48:10,320 --> 00:48:12,559
and an NBA prop. We're gonna go to the Steelers

901
00:48:12,679 --> 00:48:16,440
Ravens game. I know Derreck Henry hasn't been great this year,

902
00:48:16,480 --> 00:48:19,039
but the Steelers rush defense is really really awful. So

903
00:48:19,039 --> 00:48:21,599
I'll take Henry over eighty one and a half rushing

904
00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:24,119
Steelers have given up one hundred and fifty plus and

905
00:48:24,159 --> 00:48:27,119
three straight in the last two games. Against Pittsburgh, Derreck

906
00:48:27,159 --> 00:48:29,519
Henry has rusted for one hundred and sixty two and

907
00:48:29,559 --> 00:48:31,920
one hundred and eighty six yards. So we'll take Derick

908
00:48:31,960 --> 00:48:35,320
Henry over. Move to the Bears Packers. DeAndre Swift over

909
00:48:35,360 --> 00:48:38,079
twelve and a half rush attempts. This Bears team, they

910
00:48:38,119 --> 00:48:41,039
got this running game going. Both Swift and Managui have

911
00:48:41,159 --> 00:48:43,920
looked really, really good. Oh yeah, he's going over this.

912
00:48:43,960 --> 00:48:46,039
In seven out of the last nine games, the Packers

913
00:48:46,039 --> 00:48:48,559
give up twenty five rush attempts per game. Weather it

914
00:48:48,599 --> 00:48:50,320
looks to be pretty cold. I expect there'd be a

915
00:48:50,360 --> 00:48:52,400
lot of running. So we'll take Swift to go over

916
00:48:52,800 --> 00:48:55,760
his attempts and they'll go to NBA. Keep your eye

917
00:48:55,760 --> 00:49:00,199
on Ryan Nemhard. He's getting the start, he's playing lot

918
00:49:00,239 --> 00:49:02,760
of minutes, and he looks good. I don't think the

919
00:49:02,760 --> 00:49:04,519
books have caught up with this one. Give me over

920
00:49:04,559 --> 00:49:06,159
one and a half made threes. I know he's playing

921
00:49:06,159 --> 00:49:08,199
in the thunder tonight. It's a tough matchup, but he's

922
00:49:08,199 --> 00:49:11,159
gone over in four straight. He's played thirty four minutes

923
00:49:11,239 --> 00:49:14,039
the last two games and He's had eighteen three point

924
00:49:14,079 --> 00:49:17,559
attempts the last four games. So Ryan Emhart, increase in minutes,

925
00:49:17,599 --> 00:49:20,199
increase in attempts. I don't think the books are really

926
00:49:20,199 --> 00:49:22,000
caught up with this one. You're getting a very fair

927
00:49:22,039 --> 00:49:26,400
price on Ryan Nemhart. Over all, right, Dan, let's talk

928
00:49:26,800 --> 00:49:30,480
super contest. I think we both Yeah, we both had

929
00:49:30,480 --> 00:49:32,679
losing weeks last week, so we got to get back

930
00:49:32,719 --> 00:49:33,440
on the board here.

931
00:49:33,719 --> 00:49:35,800
Speaker 5: Not only did I have the losing week, Andy, I

932
00:49:35,840 --> 00:49:37,119
had the nightmare week.

933
00:49:37,159 --> 00:49:40,199
Speaker 1: You know, all one and four, rough two and three, okay,

934
00:49:40,360 --> 00:49:44,280
not awful. We had the zero to five bottom fallout

935
00:49:44,360 --> 00:49:45,440
week last week.

936
00:49:45,559 --> 00:49:48,159
Speaker 5: So and even the ones sometimes you know, you kick

937
00:49:48,199 --> 00:49:50,480
yourself when you're doing these contests, Dandy and you say, oh,

938
00:49:50,519 --> 00:49:53,559
I left this playoff or I left that playoff. Even

939
00:49:53,599 --> 00:49:56,000
the plays that were leans for me last week, I

940
00:49:56,079 --> 00:49:57,599
just had no read I was.

941
00:49:57,719 --> 00:49:59,960
Speaker 1: I was dead wrong on everything I had.

942
00:50:00,079 --> 00:50:02,079
Speaker 3: You know, I mentioned to you.

943
00:50:01,599 --> 00:50:03,480
Speaker 5: You know, some things that were going on, traveling and

944
00:50:03,519 --> 00:50:07,199
everything like that. The nature of you know, what we do,

945
00:50:07,400 --> 00:50:10,480
and especially when you're entered into these contests doesn't matter

946
00:50:10,519 --> 00:50:12,639
if you have you know, family stuff. It doesn't matter

947
00:50:12,679 --> 00:50:14,920
if you have travel going on, you have five picks

948
00:50:14,920 --> 00:50:17,079
to make you know in your in your instance, you

949
00:50:17,119 --> 00:50:19,960
have clients who rely on you, who we rely on

950
00:50:20,000 --> 00:50:22,840
growing our bank roles for our money as well, and

951
00:50:22,880 --> 00:50:25,039
the grind don't stop no matter what's going on. So

952
00:50:25,719 --> 00:50:28,239
my suggestion is, you know, when when you have some

953
00:50:28,320 --> 00:50:31,519
of those weeks, don't blow everything up, don't you know,

954
00:50:31,679 --> 00:50:33,960
just chalk it up to I wasn't in the right

955
00:50:34,039 --> 00:50:38,320
mind frame to be breaking down games, and sometimes that

956
00:50:38,559 --> 00:50:42,320
just happens. So zero and five absolutely brutal. I can't

957
00:50:42,320 --> 00:50:45,039
wait for the comments on Adam and ized video this week.

958
00:50:45,039 --> 00:50:47,960
That's going to absolutely destroy us. But if we bounce back,

959
00:50:48,000 --> 00:50:49,840
we go five and zero, it's a new quarter. We

960
00:50:49,920 --> 00:50:52,800
could be alive for the quarterly prize. So rough rough

961
00:50:52,800 --> 00:50:53,519
week for sure.

962
00:50:54,559 --> 00:50:56,280
Speaker 2: All right, well, let's get back to the winning ways.

963
00:50:56,320 --> 00:50:58,760
I'll share my picks here. So I'm gonna go with

964
00:50:59,599 --> 00:51:01,800
I'm gonna disagree with Margo here. Give me the Ravens.

965
00:51:01,800 --> 00:51:04,000
I think the Steelers team is toast. Where do the

966
00:51:04,000 --> 00:51:06,239
points come from from the Steelers team? I mean, at

967
00:51:06,320 --> 00:51:08,639
least the Ravens have a path to scoring points, which

968
00:51:08,679 --> 00:51:11,119
is run the ball. I just don't see much offense

969
00:51:11,159 --> 00:51:15,079
coming from the Steelers. DK metcalf is just do a

970
00:51:15,239 --> 00:51:17,679
man like. You can't even start him in fantasy leagues.

971
00:51:18,000 --> 00:51:22,039
He is terrible. So Rogers banged up. I'll take the

972
00:51:22,440 --> 00:51:24,880
Ravens here. We made fun of the Browns and Titans

973
00:51:24,880 --> 00:51:28,119
this tight. I'm just fading these terrible teams. You're gonna

974
00:51:28,119 --> 00:51:31,000
see me fading the Titans, the Raiders, and the Vikings

975
00:51:31,039 --> 00:51:35,440
quite a bit down. The Strets. Titans just looked completely inept.

976
00:51:36,119 --> 00:51:38,440
I think the Browns when you have a bad team

977
00:51:38,440 --> 00:51:40,360
and they get a chance to beat up on the

978
00:51:40,440 --> 00:51:42,280
bad team, they kind of do. It's like kind of

979
00:51:42,280 --> 00:51:45,119
one of those stat padding games. So I'll take the

980
00:51:45,159 --> 00:51:47,519
Browns here. My favorite this week is the Commander is

981
00:51:47,559 --> 00:51:50,360
to win outright at the Vikings. This JJ McCarthy situation

982
00:51:50,519 --> 00:51:55,719
is bad. It's bad, justin Jefferson's another one that's just

983
00:51:56,079 --> 00:51:57,519
and this was one.

984
00:51:57,480 --> 00:51:58,880
Speaker 5: Of the games that we were kind of head to

985
00:51:58,920 --> 00:52:01,400
head on. However, you're getting a great line here now

986
00:52:01,440 --> 00:52:04,679
because we've been doing the show. Adam Schefter reported Jade

987
00:52:04,679 --> 00:52:06,920
and Daniels is going to start in this game. So

988
00:52:07,719 --> 00:52:10,519
you're now seeing the Commanders as up to two point favorites.

989
00:52:10,559 --> 00:52:13,360
It's spots like Circa and the Super Book one and

990
00:52:13,360 --> 00:52:16,679
a half elsewhere, but they flipped to the favorite since

991
00:52:16,760 --> 00:52:20,159
Jayden Daniels has been in interesting though, when the news

992
00:52:20,159 --> 00:52:22,519
came in Andy, it was like two's across the board

993
00:52:23,000 --> 00:52:24,719
and then it went right to one and a half.

994
00:52:24,840 --> 00:52:28,960
Speaker 1: So chard betters are saying, hey, is Jade and Daniels.

995
00:52:28,599 --> 00:52:30,800
Speaker 5: Being back really moved the needle all that much, But

996
00:52:31,039 --> 00:52:32,960
just wanted to note yours is one and a half.

997
00:52:33,039 --> 00:52:35,079
It's a good line. Ours is actually two and a

998
00:52:35,119 --> 00:52:37,880
half in the contest line. They're now favorites in that game.

999
00:52:38,760 --> 00:52:42,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, fading the Vikings until further notice. I'm also fading

1000
00:52:42,880 --> 00:52:46,639
the Raiders until further notice. This, Yeah, we need to

1001
00:52:47,920 --> 00:52:53,199
sometimes we just overthink things. Older defensive coaches. It's just

1002
00:52:53,239 --> 00:52:58,039
team total under Pete Carroll cannot keep up. This is

1003
00:52:58,159 --> 00:52:59,400
just not this is not a fair.

1004
00:52:59,400 --> 00:53:03,119
Speaker 4: Jee as horribly regressed tooble.

1005
00:53:03,519 --> 00:53:04,159
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1006
00:53:04,239 --> 00:53:06,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, so I'm fading the Raiders. I don't care who

1007
00:53:06,639 --> 00:53:09,719
they play. And then I like this Bengals team. This

1008
00:53:09,760 --> 00:53:12,000
is a team that might be peaking at the right time.

1009
00:53:12,400 --> 00:53:15,199
They got the Ravens, and they got the Steelers in

1010
00:53:15,239 --> 00:53:17,960
their sights. They can catch them. And this Bills team

1011
00:53:18,119 --> 00:53:20,840
cannot stop the run, and I don't know who the

1012
00:53:20,880 --> 00:53:24,000
explosive playmakers are outside of Josh Allen and James Cook.

1013
00:53:24,079 --> 00:53:26,719
So too many points here. I think it's a really close,

1014
00:53:26,800 --> 00:53:28,639
one scoring game, so I'll be happy to take all

1015
00:53:28,639 --> 00:53:32,320
those points. So Ravens Brown's commanders Procos Bengals for me.

1016
00:53:33,119 --> 00:53:35,360
Speaker 5: As soon as props came out, I started hitting Chase

1017
00:53:35,400 --> 00:53:37,679
Brown stuff. I think Chase Brown has a big game

1018
00:53:37,719 --> 00:53:39,159
here against the Buffalo Bills.

1019
00:53:39,679 --> 00:53:42,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, so we're where these aren't locked in yet.

1020
00:53:42,280 --> 00:53:44,480
Speaker 5: Adam and I are recording the show coming up here

1021
00:53:44,480 --> 00:53:47,719
in about an hour. This Minnesota game probably is gonna

1022
00:53:47,719 --> 00:53:50,239
get pushed off of the card. I still like Minnesota

1023
00:53:50,360 --> 00:53:53,360
money line, but two and a half laying two and

1024
00:53:53,400 --> 00:53:55,159
a half in a contest when the line is flipped

1025
00:53:55,159 --> 00:53:58,039
in his almost four points the other way, it's just

1026
00:53:58,079 --> 00:53:59,360
easier to cross that one off.

1027
00:53:59,400 --> 00:54:00,679
Speaker 1: He's really high on.

1028
00:54:00,639 --> 00:54:03,360
Speaker 5: The Jaguars that he wants to tag in there. I

1029
00:54:03,360 --> 00:54:05,920
think Indianapolis might be blowing them out. To be honest

1030
00:54:05,960 --> 00:54:08,320
with you, I think this could be the Indie get

1031
00:54:08,360 --> 00:54:10,519
right spot that we've been waiting for.

1032
00:54:10,679 --> 00:54:12,599
Speaker 1: So that's one that we'll kind of go toes to

1033
00:54:12,599 --> 00:54:14,079
toes with other than that.

1034
00:54:14,159 --> 00:54:17,119
Speaker 5: Andy, this is looking at what happened last week, and

1035
00:54:17,159 --> 00:54:18,280
it was a lot of dogs.

1036
00:54:18,360 --> 00:54:19,840
Speaker 1: It was a lot of outright dogs.

1037
00:54:19,960 --> 00:54:22,519
Speaker 5: You're not saying that pendulum is gonna completely swing back,

1038
00:54:22,559 --> 00:54:24,840
but the betting public is probably going to get scared

1039
00:54:24,880 --> 00:54:27,400
off a lay in some numbers here. Atlanta is a

1040
00:54:27,400 --> 00:54:30,239
team that we were cashing in on early. The latest

1041
00:54:30,480 --> 00:54:33,000
form of Atlanta is a bad football team that's limp

1042
00:54:33,039 --> 00:54:35,360
into the finish. Drake London probably isn't gonna play again.

1043
00:54:35,679 --> 00:54:39,039
Kirk Cousins, he looks like he's ready to retire. Seattle.

1044
00:54:39,880 --> 00:54:42,519
That defense is great. Seattle is one of the teams who,

1045
00:54:42,559 --> 00:54:45,400
as an Eagles fan, I'm actually afraid of here in

1046
00:54:45,440 --> 00:54:48,679
the NFC, regardless if Sam Darnold turns into a pumpkin

1047
00:54:48,760 --> 00:54:51,400
or not. So we're laying the seven and keep the

1048
00:54:51,440 --> 00:54:55,360
hate coming. Chicago Bears fans, I'm fading them week after week.

1049
00:54:55,679 --> 00:54:58,039
This team is not good. Yes, you beat up on

1050
00:54:58,079 --> 00:55:01,039
the Eagles. I was dead wrong on that game. All

1051
00:55:01,079 --> 00:55:03,280
the advanced metrics say that this team is a fraud.

1052
00:55:03,440 --> 00:55:05,599
I believe that they're a fraud. I'm gonna keep betting

1053
00:55:05,599 --> 00:55:09,519
against them. Green Bay playing really well. Right now Chicago's there,

1054
00:55:09,599 --> 00:55:12,559
you know, the defense likely going to keep that offense struggling.

1055
00:55:12,599 --> 00:55:13,440
Speaker 1: So Andy.

1056
00:55:13,440 --> 00:55:15,159
Speaker 5: For me, my favorite play of the week is laying

1057
00:55:15,199 --> 00:55:17,559
the six and a half, and when Chicago's in the playoffs,

1058
00:55:17,599 --> 00:55:19,000
one of my biggest bets of the season is going

1059
00:55:19,039 --> 00:55:21,039
to betting against them. They're not a good football team.

1060
00:55:21,079 --> 00:55:23,960
Bears fans keep shredding me. I even wore the Bears

1061
00:55:24,000 --> 00:55:28,880
colors for you. They're not that guy pow ugly Game

1062
00:55:29,159 --> 00:55:30,719
eight and a half for New Orleans. If you want

1063
00:55:30,719 --> 00:55:32,719
to hear why we like that, watch the show. And

1064
00:55:32,760 --> 00:55:35,039
then I saw somebody say that Houston is the easy

1065
00:55:35,039 --> 00:55:39,480
play against this Kansas City offensive line. I'm just going

1066
00:55:39,519 --> 00:55:41,480
back to the well of Andy Reid with the teams

1067
00:55:41,559 --> 00:55:44,800
around or below five hundred. It's a trend year over

1068
00:55:44,880 --> 00:55:46,800
year that continues to cash since he was with the

1069
00:55:46,800 --> 00:55:48,800
Eagles way back in nineteen ninety nine.

1070
00:55:49,159 --> 00:55:52,119
Speaker 1: Team that needs it like blood. You know c J.

1071
00:55:52,280 --> 00:55:55,480
Speaker 5: Stroud, You know, is he as impressive on the road

1072
00:55:55,559 --> 00:55:59,599
having him back this Houston team, the defense, yes, they're incredible.

1073
00:56:00,000 --> 00:56:02,480
You're playing a team that's fighting for their livelihood in

1074
00:56:02,559 --> 00:56:05,239
Kansas City. I'm going to continue to keep riding Kansas

1075
00:56:05,239 --> 00:56:07,599
City because year over years, it's been good to.

1076
00:56:07,599 --> 00:56:10,039
Speaker 1: Play on them when their backs are up against the wall.

1077
00:56:11,000 --> 00:56:13,559
Speaker 2: All right, let's let's have a bounce back week, man,

1078
00:56:13,639 --> 00:56:14,320
let's have a bout.

1079
00:56:14,280 --> 00:56:15,159
Speaker 1: The bounce back week.

1080
00:56:15,239 --> 00:56:15,519
Speaker 4: Andy.

1081
00:56:15,559 --> 00:56:17,800
Speaker 5: I gotta find that fifth play, though, I gotta find

1082
00:56:17,800 --> 00:56:20,119
that fifth play because I don't think you can lay

1083
00:56:20,119 --> 00:56:22,000
two and a half with Minnesota. If you want to

1084
00:56:22,000 --> 00:56:24,559
bet them, you bet them on the money line. But

1085
00:56:24,599 --> 00:56:27,840
why you would want to bet on JJ McCarthy. I

1086
00:56:27,880 --> 00:56:30,840
will say the handicap that put me on Minnesota doesn't

1087
00:56:30,880 --> 00:56:33,159
really change much with Jayden Daniels because it's not like

1088
00:56:33,199 --> 00:56:35,440
Mariota's been playing bad, you know what I mean? Like

1089
00:56:35,480 --> 00:56:37,960
you like that play when it was Mariota who was

1090
00:56:38,039 --> 00:56:40,400
going to be in It's more just for me that

1091
00:56:40,599 --> 00:56:43,400
big letdown of you go to overtime, you push the

1092
00:56:43,400 --> 00:56:46,760
Broncos to overtime, and that was on prime time, And

1093
00:56:46,840 --> 00:56:48,920
now what do you really have to play for? Your

1094
00:56:48,920 --> 00:56:50,960
season's done, your quarterback's coming back.

1095
00:56:51,320 --> 00:56:51,559
Speaker 1: You know.

1096
00:56:51,639 --> 00:56:53,920
Speaker 5: It's just I find it a hard get up spot.

1097
00:56:53,960 --> 00:56:57,880
Whereas Minnesota, while they've been really bad, not all hope

1098
00:56:57,920 --> 00:56:59,480
is lost for them, you know.

1099
00:57:00,599 --> 00:57:00,760
Speaker 3: Here.

1100
00:57:00,880 --> 00:57:05,719
Speaker 2: So all right, well, I promised everyone I would break

1101
00:57:05,760 --> 00:57:06,559
down this cricket.

1102
00:57:06,960 --> 00:57:09,119
Speaker 1: Suh. I'm getting off the screen for this, Andy, I'll

1103
00:57:09,199 --> 00:57:10,119
leave the cricket to you.

1104
00:57:10,199 --> 00:57:10,599
Speaker 3: I'll leave it.

1105
00:57:10,639 --> 00:57:13,320
Speaker 2: Okay, all right, okay, Well, this marks the end of

1106
00:57:13,400 --> 00:57:15,679
the show. We have a five percent NFL best bet

1107
00:57:15,719 --> 00:57:17,239
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1109
00:57:20,119 --> 00:57:22,159
off a nice winner last night. It's now twenty four

1110
00:57:22,159 --> 00:57:26,400
and twelve prime time record for the twenty twenty five season.

1111
00:57:26,480 --> 00:57:29,039
An insane run. We get there by the hook. When

1112
00:57:29,039 --> 00:57:32,079
things are running great, things just happen to bounce your way.

1113
00:57:32,119 --> 00:57:34,440
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1114
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1118
00:57:46,199 --> 00:57:48,840
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1119
00:57:48,960 --> 00:57:51,760
So join us over at wt dot buzz slash al

1120
00:57:52,039 --> 00:57:53,840
and thank you so much for joining us. Hit the

1121
00:57:53,880 --> 00:57:56,079
like button please and make sure you subscribe to the

1122
00:57:56,079 --> 00:57:58,360
wager Talk channel. That way you get notified when all

1123
00:57:58,360 --> 00:58:00,599
of these breakdown videos are released as well all of

1124
00:58:00,599 --> 00:58:03,000
our live show. So thank you very much, guys, have

1125
00:58:03,079 --> 00:58:07,119
a great day and we'll be back on Monday. All right, now,

1126
00:58:07,199 --> 00:58:10,360
let's talk cricket. All right, here's how, here's how the.

1127
00:58:13,199 --> 00:58:14,280
Speaker 1: What is their crickets?

1128
00:58:14,320 --> 00:58:16,400
Speaker 5: I'm sorry, sorry, I just I thought I thought you

1129
00:58:16,480 --> 00:58:18,320
said I thought you said crickets.

1130
00:58:18,400 --> 00:58:18,960
Speaker 1: I'm sorry.

1131
00:58:19,599 --> 00:58:24,599
Speaker 2: That's okay, that's all right, okay. So the match started,

1132
00:58:24,920 --> 00:58:27,719
uh two nights ago, and what happens is the team

1133
00:58:27,719 --> 00:58:29,719
that bats first they get ten outs and they can

1134
00:58:29,760 --> 00:58:32,039
go as long as they won. Well, they went a

1135
00:58:32,199 --> 00:58:34,480
long time. They actually went into day two. So what

1136
00:58:34,639 --> 00:58:39,519
happened yesterday was England had started day and they only

1137
00:58:39,559 --> 00:58:42,079
had one out to go, so Australia needed to get

1138
00:58:42,119 --> 00:58:45,000
a quick out. If England could have grinded out a

1139
00:58:45,000 --> 00:58:47,440
bunch more runs, Australia would have been in trouble. Australia

1140
00:58:47,480 --> 00:58:49,760
got the out real quick, so now it's Australia's turned

1141
00:58:49,760 --> 00:58:52,679
to bat and the pitch that they're playing on is

1142
00:58:52,840 --> 00:58:56,480
really really gettable. So Australia went the entire day and

1143
00:58:56,519 --> 00:58:59,639
only used six outs and now they're forty four runs

1144
00:58:59,639 --> 00:59:02,639
ahead of England. So what's gonna happen later today when

1145
00:59:02,639 --> 00:59:05,159
they start is Australia is gonna start the day and

1146
00:59:05,199 --> 00:59:07,760
they have four outs to play with, so they're gonna

1147
00:59:07,760 --> 00:59:10,519
put up a pretty big number. Once they're done, England

1148
00:59:10,519 --> 00:59:12,760
goes again, they get ten more outs, and then Australia

1149
00:59:12,800 --> 00:59:14,840
goes and they get ten more outs. So all of

1150
00:59:14,880 --> 00:59:16,880
those that have been on Australia, what we're hoping for

1151
00:59:17,440 --> 00:59:21,519
is Australia just keeps those outs and runs a bunch

1152
00:59:21,559 --> 00:59:24,559
of runs and gets out to hopefully one hundred run lead.

1153
00:59:24,599 --> 00:59:26,079
They get they get to one hundred run lead, we

1154
00:59:26,079 --> 00:59:28,599
are looking really really good. So plays started off at

1155
00:59:28,599 --> 00:59:31,719
minus one ninety. Now it's minus four hundred. So that's

1156
00:59:31,760 --> 00:59:34,400
where we're sitting. So sitting really good. I mean you

1157
00:59:34,400 --> 00:59:36,239
start off at minus one ninety, now you're at minus

1158
00:59:36,320 --> 00:59:39,039
four hundred. It's about as good as you can get.

1159
00:59:39,079 --> 00:59:41,239
So but fingers crossed. If they have a big, big

1160
00:59:41,320 --> 00:59:43,840
day today, we are in the driver's seat. So that

1161
00:59:43,960 --> 00:59:47,480
is how cricket works. And Dan I will explain later

1162
00:59:47,599 --> 00:59:51,840
how they literally take a lunch, a dinner, and an

1163
00:59:51,880 --> 00:59:56,800
afternoon tea break like the not the audience, the players.

1164
00:59:57,519 --> 00:59:59,800
This is a tradition from one hundred years ago and

1165
00:59:59,800 --> 01:00:01,719
they just never got it. They never got it.

1166
01:00:01,960 --> 01:00:02,360
Speaker 4: You can't.

1167
01:00:02,400 --> 01:00:07,199
Speaker 5: You gotta stick with tradition, Gotta stick with Tea.

1168
01:00:07,440 --> 01:00:09,519
Speaker 2: Jon who does all of our cricket place. He's like,

1169
01:00:09,880 --> 01:00:14,119
have you ever heard anything more English?

1170
01:00:14,480 --> 01:00:17,719
Speaker 1: That's how you're riding. That's how you know. You're riding

1171
01:00:17,800 --> 01:00:19,440
with Andy Lang and his team.

1172
01:00:19,599 --> 01:00:23,079
Speaker 5: When you're the sport that you're betting has a tea

1173
01:00:23,159 --> 01:00:25,800
break in, you know, That's that's when you know your

1174
01:00:25,840 --> 01:00:31,519
bet darts and lacrosse and cricket and wheelbarrow racing. But

1175
01:00:32,119 --> 01:00:34,239
we got an ad, Shandy, We're gonna find it, so

1176
01:00:34,320 --> 01:00:34,719
let's go.

1177
01:00:34,960 --> 01:00:39,000
Speaker 2: Absolutely, let's go Australia, bring it home in the ashes.

1178
01:00:39,039 --> 01:00:41,599
All right, Thank you so much, guys, good luck on

1179
01:00:41,679 --> 01:00:44,159
all your bets. We'll see everyone Monday. Take care,