Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude podcast. I'm your host,
Corey Evans. This week's episode is titled Dynasty Christmas Gift List.
Speaker 2: It's as if I am asking for.
Speaker 1: These five topics to come true putting them on my
Dynasty gift or wish list. If it was a Christmas present.
Happy Holidays, Marry Christmas to all that celebrates. This should
be a fun episode with some speculation on my end.
These are players that I am a fan of, still
confident in, and for better or worse, their careers have
not gone as advertised due to injury, core production things
of that nature.
Speaker 2: Let's get right to it.
Speaker 1: Number one for my gift list is that Javonte Williams
leaves Denver as a pending free agent. Javonte will turn
twenty five this upcoming April. He was a former second
round pick back in twenty twenty one as a rookie
in twenty twenty one, the PPR RB seventeen twenty twenty two,
he was the RB eighty two. It was only in
four games played had the ACL and LCL tear, and
quite honestly, has not been the same explosive version of
himself post ligament damage twenty twenty three did return though
RB twenty nine and so far in twenty twenty four
and fifteen games played for Denver, Javontain Williams is the
PPR RB thirty one, so he is not in RB one,
he is not in RB two, but he is in
the RB three mix. Coming off a solid effort in
Week sixteen against the Chargers, four rushes twenty four yards,
seven receptions twenty nine yards, eleven targets that set out
to me most. The involvement is a pass catcher, and
that's the area of Javonte's game that I think is
the most underappreciated. This was without Julia McLaughlin, who was
inactive on the year. Javonte is one thirty four four
to eighty five four rushing touchdowns, a suboptimal two point
six yards per tote, forty seven receptions for two hundred
and ninety six scoreless yards across sixty four targets. Jaliel
is under contract with Denver until twenty twenty six. Meanwhile,
the Notre Dame product autric Estimate is on his rookie
contract and continues to see more work as the season
has progressed. At times it seems or as left Javonte
as the ottoman out in the Broncos running back rotation
or room, despite his immense talent. Hence, while I'm hoping
or putting Javonte Williams leaving Denver as a penny free
agent in twenty twenty five on my Christmas gift list,
he has an ideal build or frame at five ten
to twenty plenty of versatility to be a feature back
on another NFL team. Sure, he lacks rushing efficiency with
a career three point nine Yarbi Kerry average on six
one hundred and one rushes to date, yet is more
than capable of providing a fantasy ceiling with his one
hundred and fifty three career total receptions. If Denver re
signs Javonte, I think it spells more of the same
middleing RB three D flex value. However, if he leaves
and signs with another team I've been projecting Cleveland makes
a lot of sense on paper. Nick Chubb's seuture with
the team is up in the air. Jerome Ford has
been good, not great as the replacement level option. Javonte
needs more volume, and at this point he will be
two full years recovered from the ACL and LCL. Tear
come twenty twenty five, should be in the driver's seat
to excel on a second NFL contract, and still is
only twenty five come this April. My Christmas gift list
number two item is that t Higgins remains with Cincinnati.
T will turn twenty six in January of twenty twenty five.
He has been on a hot streak since returning from
injury Week eleven at the Chargers nine receptions, a buck
forty eight and a touchdown Week twelve the Bengals. By
Week thirteen versus Pittsburgh five sixty nine and a touchdown
Week fourteen at Dallas. The only real dud in this
sample size two receptions twenty three yards Week fifteen at
Tennessee five eighty eight in a touchdown, and Week sixteen
versus Cleveland eight fifty eight and another touchdown. On the year, collectively,
t has delivered fifty eight seven to twenty seven and
seven scores. It's twelve and a half yards per reception
ninety two targets in ten games played on a per
game or point per game basis, te Higgins is surely
a widout one in fantasy circles. The issue is availability
always has been. Hopefully it won't always be that case.
Higgins has acknowledged what Christian Watson did over the offseason,
which was go to Wisconsin and have his hamstrings soft
tissue injuries analyzed in a study.
Speaker 2: And as we all know, Christian Watson.
Speaker 1: Learned that one of his hamstrings was larger than his
other and that differential was what believed to have led
to all of his injuries.
Speaker 2: In the NFL.
Speaker 1: So far, Watson allocating time in the offseason to address
into medical research for his onfield health has worked. Hopefully
te Higgins does the same and can limit the hamstring
ailments that have plagued him in his NFL tenure to date.
All that being said, I bought into the concept of
Higgins leaving Cincinnati becoming Alpha or wide receiver one elsewhere. However,
I'm now more than ever convinced that t is better
off as the one be for the Bengals.
Speaker 2: Through the presence of Joe.
Speaker 1: Burrow, who has even hinted himself at restructuring in his
contract in order to make room for Cincinnati to sign
Higgins to a long term extension, the waters have been muddy.
Higgins requested a trade and did not come to fruition.
It sounds like there could be water under the bridge
in terms of a healthy relationship between T and the
front office to get a mega deal done, because T
is going to command that in the open market, especially
given the mediocre rookie Wyatt class twenty twenty five and
rather weak free agent class in twenty twenty five as well.
Let's look at TI Higgins the player, though from a
fantasy lens, stat wise, his PPR wide receiver finishes since
anentwony the NFL twenty twenty. I've been twenty eight, twenty four,
eighteen fifty one, only twelve games played that year, and
currently Slotton is the wide receiver thirty one in ten
games played. That is pretty much a wide receiver two,
if not wide receiver three, with one standout Ca pagn
being wide receiver eighteen. I will say that I don't
believe we've seen the ceiling of T Higgins in the NFL.
It all boils down to availability, health, limiting the soft
tissue injuries, and if he is committed to conducting research
or getting his body examined like Christian Watson did, then
I'm bought in. I've always remained and been a huge
Higgins advocate the issue of dilemma is if you roster
him anywhere, you know the ups and downs and he
has and flows of him missing time. But I will
say on my Christmas gift list, remaining with Cincinnati seems
like the best career outlook for Higgins and particularly his
dotty stock Number three on my Christmas gift list it
is Jacksonville Trades travesy ten junior. He is being given
a disservice with less than ideal usage in twenty twenty four.
His talent services are being underutilized this year. He's twenty
six in January. His mileage on an NFL resume for
most running backs, let alone a twenty twenty one draft pick,
is less than you might expect. I can't forget his
first years of pro was a sexually a red shirt
year because of the Liz Frank foot injury.
Speaker 2: Twenty twenty two.
Speaker 1: ETM is the PPR RB seventeen twenty twenty three RB
three of the commodity so we thought twenty twenty four
and thirteam has played so far PPR RB thirty eight.
It is such a three to sixty from how ETM
began his NFL career, arc I crowded it to a
few variables, one being Doug Peterson and two being Tank Bigsby.
More to come on both those topics soon. Et and
himself is under contract with Jacksonville till twenty twenty six.
He was the subject of trade rumors speculation at this
year's deadline, but ultimately we all know was not dealt.
He has not been a work course in twenty twenty four,
playing simple for the Jaguars like in previous seasons. Keep
in mind twenty twenty two, Etn had two hundred and
twenty rushes.
Speaker 2: Twenty twenty three twohundred and sixty seven rushes.
Speaker 1: This year he has one hundred and twenty two rushes
for four hundred and seventy eight yards on the ground,
two Russian scores three point nine yards per clip, thirty
five receptions for a buck, ninety nine forty five targets.
Speaker 2: Etn started the year off strong.
Speaker 1: He's scored rushing touchdowns in weeks one to two, nothing
since then, zero rushing touchdowns after those first two weeks.
His snap rate has also not exceeded seventy five percent
in the contest, which is not a major surprise because
Doug Peterson did in the offseason project the likelihood of
Etn's overall worklow being scaled back. I thought that meant
more total volume, not necessarily snapshare being below eighty percent.
That threshold is very important for a feature back to hit.
Tank Bigsby, who I alluded to the sophomore role, has expanded.
There's no denying it. He has better rushing production efficiency
than ETN. Bigsby is one forty three six P ninety
four and six in the ground for four point nine
yards per carry, six grabs fifty one yards with ten targets.
Tank has been effective on his touches because his snap
rate has not surpassed sixty.
Speaker 2: Seven percent in a game. This is a true RBBC
on paper.
Speaker 1: Right now, the better running back in Jacksonville looks to
be Tank Bigsby. He has fumbling we saw again in
week sixteen on film. I do think that when ETN
gets going, he's a really rhythm based rusher who needs
volume to get in a groove, which then enables him
to showcase the burst and elusiveness we all come accustomed to,
whereas Take Bigsby is more physical and initiate grds at
their contact also has plenty of burst upfield. They're different
running backs, different skill sets. They do complement each other well.
But the issue is Etn is not solely a receiving weapon.
He can carry a load as a rusher with ample volume,
and that's a dilemma right now. That's why I want,
for the sake of this episode a gift list item
ETN to be traded, and it almost happened. From all
the rumors I saw at this year's deadline, there are
plenty of running back needy teams, and like I mentioned
with Javonte Williams, who hopefully leaves Denvers free agents, there
are landing spots for running backs to go to. The
only possible problem could be how loaded the twenty twenty
five rookie running back classes. A lot of NFL teams
will just hit the reset button spend a Day two
or Day three draft pick, less cost obviously in the
short and long term than investing heavily in a free
agent running back or trading future draft capital for a.
Speaker 2: Veteran like Etn Junior.
Speaker 1: But I will say in terms of buying low assets
and dynasty, ETN Junior is one of my favorite targets
right now as we close out this twenty twenty four
regular season, and with how bad ETN has been compared
to expectations ADP, you might be able to acquire him
for a twenty twenty five second A first I think
is most fair, but start with a second, leave room
for negotiation, time for quick break, and I have two
more Christmas gifts or wishes that I want to see
come true. Before I get to that, they'll forget my
bonus content. Over on Patreon, which is a platform for
content creators to monetize their work, I have three tiers,
Rookie five dollars per month, Veteran twelve dollars per month,
and MVP twenty five dollars per month. You can view
all the perks the benefits within each tier on my
Patreon page, which is accessible in my Spotify or Apple
show notes, as well as all my social media bios
that's Dynasty on Instagram.
Speaker 2: X or Facebook. If you like my work and you're
a fan of.
Speaker 1: My Rookie offseason content, patreons a spot to b don't
miss out. If you want a direct link and you're
not on social media, then hit me up with an
email dynastydupogemail dot com and I'll send it directly to
you quick break be right back. Number four for a
gift in Dynasty that I'm on for Christmas is that
I want to see Xavier Worthies recent role become the
norm his future value in the Chiefs offense.
Speaker 2: If you will.
Speaker 1: On the season fifty one five fifty nine to five
eleven yards per catch, eighty nine targets so far as
a rookie, he burst as you might remember on the
NFL scene and Fantasy football World in Week one versus
Baltimore two catches forty seven yards and a touchdown, one
rush twenty one yards and a score.
Speaker 2: He delivered a few other.
Speaker 1: Notable performances between now and then, but no doubt hit
a rookie wall while recording single digit PPR output seven
times over the span of weeks two to fourteen. That
is a consistency at its finest over the past two weeks. However,
Worthy's role has been a direct reflection of his twenty
eighth overall draft capital out of Texas and oh Ce
Matt Nagy of the Chiefs. Recently compared were these recent
emergence and consistency like Rashid Rice, who was a rookie
not too long ago, and how it takes wideouts time
to acclimate, but when they hit their stride then its
full system all go. Let's recap those past two games
Week fifteen at Cleveland Worthy six forty six receiver three
for thirty and one touchdown as a rusher Week sixteen
vers Houston seven sixty five and a touchdown.
Speaker 2: Three for ten.
Speaker 1: As a rusher, he is being used in a variety
of ways outside inside, preaching that motion quick rub routes,
allowing his speed and vision to take over after the catch.
His snap percentage of past three games for case eighty
three percent eighty one to eighty That is where you
want to see it. Basically a full time player. He
did not eclipse seventy five percent from HEAs one of thirteen.
So clearly Matt Naggy is true in his observation of
Worthy finally having it all come together and things clicking
on all cylinders for him. The tough conversation I have
about Worthy's role is that the chief's wide out room
is suddenly crowded with Worthy himself, DeAndre Hopkins, Marquise Hollywood Brown,
and Rashi Rice now. Keep in mind, however, this is
not necessarily talked about enough. DeAndre Hopkins and Marquise Brown
are both unrestricted free agans come twenty twenty five.
Speaker 2: They could resign, they could go elsewhere.
Speaker 1: Meanwhile, Rashi Rice is recovering from a serious knee injury,
not to mention face the suspension from his off field
issues with the speeding that has not yet been dealt
a direct suspension. So even if Hopkins Hollywood one of
the two are both are resigned, the odds that Rashid
Rice is back even at mid season in twenty twenty
five seems like a long shot at best. So the
role exiited Worthy hopefully is going nowhere but up, and
if you haven't bought in, now might be the final
time to do so. Because we're all focused on the
NFL postseason. Worthy's going to be a big part of
the chief game plan. And Number five for my Christmas
gift list is to acquire Marvin Harrison Junior in as
many Dynasty leagues as possible. I am buying the rookie
year production dip and bust label he's receiving. He has
certainly underwhelmed or underachieved with the receiving log so far
our fifty one, seven, twenty six and seven v one
hundred targets tart shares actually not bad. Catch rates along
with other metrics I'll touch on here soon, are what
have been the issue. His fourteen point two yards per
catch are solid. Seven touchdowns is the first year pro.
That's impressive. The frustration boils down to a lack of consistency.
Four of Harrison Junior's seven touchdowns in the year came
from weeks two to four. It was a small peaking
value that has since been a downturn trend in week
tweak value. He turns twenty three in August, and I
can say with confidence, absolute confidence, there is no wide
receiver rookie wise twenty twenty five that I would prefer
and or take over Harrison Junior in a trade or
a startup draft. Asking gente verse hair, that's a strong
debate when you look at running back for squide receiver
career arc and longevity, Different time, different conversation. Let's focus
on here's a junior. He was viewed as a superstar
after being the fourth overall pick of how States. He
had a spectacular college resume of output on the career
one fifty five twenty six thirteen thirty one touchdowns, sixteen
point nine yards per catch. Where Marvin a struggle at
the pro level is creating separation and that is evident
from watching Arizona Cardinals football games and looking at ESPN's
Open Receiver Rating or metric. Really cool stat that just
proves what wideouts can create separation or rout running, whether
it be to gainst nuance and fluidity, agility in and
out of breaks, or just their body frame. Unfortunately, Harris
Junior has ranked outside of the top sixty entering Week fifteen,
and I don't have the week sixteen data yet, but
I'd be surprised if he increased it all that much.
And if you watch when he is being targeted, he
always has defenders close to him, so perhaps that is
why him and Kyler Murray have not been on the
same page in twenty twenty four. This is fixable, I believe,
because it was never a full issue or as prominent
for Harris Junior at the college level. Ohio State was
formidable level competition. The main problem could just be press coverage.
This requires a deeper dive once we have a full
rookie season for Harris Junior to dissect and analyze.
Speaker 2: Let's look though at some positives.
Speaker 1: The highs have been great four one point thirty and
two touchdowns versus the Rams, five sixty four and one
touchdown versus Troit, five forty five and one score versus
Washington six for one to eleven in a score against Miami,
five fifty four and one versus Jets, and five for
sixty and one at Minnesota. The lows, though, have been
incredibly frustrating. He's had nine single digit PPR showings. Now
is the perhaps only and best time to swoop in
and buy shares low of Harris Junior because Arizona is
a limited in playoff contention after their lost to Carolina
this past weekend, so it'll be out of site, out
of mind with them now in the postseason. There could
be a sour taste in the mouths of anyone who
spent the one point oh one in Super Flex or
a one quarterback league on Aerson Junior over the likes
of Lak Neighbors or a quarterback like Jaden.
Speaker 2: Daniels Caleb Williams.
Speaker 1: You get the picture that this is the opportunity to
perhaps cash in on could still be an elite asset
in Dynasty. It's still going to cost you a premium,
no doubt, a first if not more than that, or
a premier player on your roster.
Speaker 2: But I'm going to.
Speaker 1: Take that risk because the fifty one to seven to
twenty six to seven logs so far for a rookie
most years, is really good with still two more weeks
out to play. The downside of Harrison Junior has been
the lack of separation, and I do think that could
be a byproduct of Arizona's offense, which quite honestly has
not been all that consistent in and of itself this year.
Trey McBride is the number one receiver in Arizona right now,
no touchdowns this year so far. That could change, but
there's positive aggression coming for its entire offense. So only
the other Christmas Gift list items on this episode. I
can't control where the players will end up, if they'll
be traded, sign elsewhere, et cetera. But I can't control
trying to acquire Here's Junior in as many leagues as possible.
Hope you all enjoyed the Christmas themed episode. A quick
recap of my five gift list items. Number one Javonte
Williams leaves Denver as a penning free agents. Number two
Tiehiggins remains with Theincinnati Number three Jacksonville Trades travesy TM Junior.
Number four exaber Worthy's recent role becomes the norm, and
number five I want to acquire Marvinerser Junior and as
many Dynasty leagues as possible.
Speaker 2: Happy holidays.
Speaker 1: Thank you all for being a huge part of my
success on the show. It isn't as large as other
Dynasty shows or fans football podcasts in the marketer industry,
but because I have loyal listeners like you, it makes
it all worthwhile. And again, the best way to support
me financially keep this going both free and paid shows
so I can keep the lights on and everything behind
the scenes going that do require costs keep a podcast
up running, consider joining Patreon or investing in a roster
call roster calls of thirty bucks, thirty.
Speaker 2: Minutes or one hour fifty dollars.
Speaker 1: Thank you so much, and if you did advance to
your week seventeen championship matchup, good luck, take home a
title and let me know if you win. Until next time.
This is the diners you're checking out. Be back next
week with my annual New Year's Resolutions episode that's always
a fun one.
Speaker 2: Talk to you soon, see you