1
00:00:00,720 --> 00:00:01,199
Speaker 1: You're alive.

2
00:00:02,919 --> 00:00:04,040
Speaker 2: We are live.

3
00:00:04,360 --> 00:00:07,240
Speaker 3: That means start firing off those questions right now.

4
00:00:07,320 --> 00:00:08,119
Speaker 2: Welcome to the.

5
00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:12,439
Speaker 3: Blintz Week one of college football. We're talking Texas, Ohio State, LSU, Clemson,

6
00:00:12,519 --> 00:00:15,560
nor To Day, Miami and whatever else you want to

7
00:00:15,599 --> 00:00:20,239
talk about. Games tonight, Friday, Saturday, Sunday, even Monday.

8
00:00:21,000 --> 00:00:21,320
Speaker 1: What else?

9
00:00:22,199 --> 00:00:25,039
Speaker 3: Ross Benjamin and Ralph Michael's boat per saw it standing

10
00:00:25,079 --> 00:00:27,640
on last week's show that they are back in the

11
00:00:27,679 --> 00:00:28,719
saddle with me again.

12
00:00:28,839 --> 00:00:29,079
Speaker 2: Ross.

13
00:00:29,079 --> 00:00:31,039
Speaker 3: I'm gonna throw it to you right away, because, like

14
00:00:31,079 --> 00:00:33,920
I said, we got some big games tonight Boise State

15
00:00:34,759 --> 00:00:37,560
in a weekend in the group of five that kicks

16
00:00:37,600 --> 00:00:39,320
off five thirty.

17
00:00:39,039 --> 00:00:41,159
Speaker 2: Eastern on ESPN.

18
00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:44,560
Speaker 3: Once upon a time, Ross, you could have bet South

19
00:00:44,600 --> 00:00:46,439
Florida at plus nine and a half. Well, guess what,

20
00:00:46,520 --> 00:00:48,560
you can't do that anymore. Line is all the way

21
00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:50,520
down to five and a half. What do you think

22
00:00:50,560 --> 00:00:52,240
of the line move, Ross, and what do you think

23
00:00:52,280 --> 00:00:52,840
about the game?

24
00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:56,240
Speaker 1: Yeah? For whatever reason, they're catching a lot of money too,

25
00:00:56,359 --> 00:00:59,200
you know. I mean that's a it might be a

26
00:00:59,200 --> 00:01:01,719
little bit of a show, but I think it's mostly

27
00:01:01,799 --> 00:01:06,599
money induced. And I'm not so sure if you do

28
00:01:06,760 --> 00:01:09,359
like South Florida. You certainly have lost the value there.

29
00:01:09,439 --> 00:01:13,519
These are two veteran teams. Brian, You know that last

30
00:01:13,599 --> 00:01:18,280
year offensively they were pretty good, but South Florida's defense

31
00:01:18,400 --> 00:01:20,959
last year left a lot to be desired. Yes, they

32
00:01:20,959 --> 00:01:23,560
have a lot of returning starters on defense, but it's

33
00:01:23,599 --> 00:01:28,879
a defense that allowed thirty points or more on like

34
00:01:29,079 --> 00:01:32,599
seven different occasions. Excuse me, thirty five points or more.

35
00:01:32,640 --> 00:01:37,519
They scored on seven different occasions. And then defensively they

36
00:01:37,560 --> 00:01:41,040
allowed thirty points or more like six times last year.

37
00:01:41,159 --> 00:01:44,519
So this is a South Florida team is poorest defensively.

38
00:01:44,599 --> 00:01:48,280
They should be very good offensively though. In Boise State,

39
00:01:48,439 --> 00:01:51,000
although they had their moments last year, the strength of

40
00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:54,680
their team last year was their offense, and I think

41
00:01:54,719 --> 00:01:56,719
that's going to be the case again this year when

42
00:01:56,719 --> 00:02:01,480
you look at the return of quarterback Manx Madson, and

43
00:02:01,719 --> 00:02:05,200
they got a real good red shirt freshman running back

44
00:02:05,239 --> 00:02:07,280
to keep an eye on two hundred and twenty five

45
00:02:07,359 --> 00:02:12,319
pounds Sire Gains. This kid is a star in the future.

46
00:02:12,360 --> 00:02:16,560
I know they lost Ashton Giant, but I think he's

47
00:02:16,599 --> 00:02:19,800
not going to replace Gianty right away. Maybe he won't

48
00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:23,000
even amount to the quality of back that Giante was,

49
00:02:23,520 --> 00:02:25,879
but he's certainly a good one and somebody to keep

50
00:02:25,879 --> 00:02:29,360
an eye on. This is a Boyse State team last

51
00:02:29,439 --> 00:02:32,919
year offensively day four hundred and fifty yards or more

52
00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:36,439
on eight separate occasions, six hundred yards or more on

53
00:02:36,599 --> 00:02:40,159
three of those occasions, and they scored thirty four points

54
00:02:40,280 --> 00:02:44,039
or more eight times. I think both teams will be

55
00:02:44,159 --> 00:02:47,599
able to move the ball consistently and score. I mean,

56
00:02:47,680 --> 00:02:51,039
the total has come down to sixty one and a half.

57
00:02:52,080 --> 00:02:55,000
It is a high number, especially for a season opener,

58
00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:56,879
But I'm going to take a little bit of a

59
00:02:57,000 --> 00:03:01,960
risk here, very small lean here, guys, toiance offenses, two

60
00:03:02,080 --> 00:03:06,240
questionable defenses. I'm gonna go over the total sixty one

61
00:03:06,280 --> 00:03:09,000
and a half as a small lean in this contest.

62
00:03:09,919 --> 00:03:12,120
Speaker 3: M All right there, he had a little lean on

63
00:03:12,240 --> 00:03:14,879
the total for Boise South Florida. I'm gonna throw this

64
00:03:14,960 --> 00:03:17,520
in as much love as South Flora's getting the market. Guys,

65
00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:23,719
I hope you're aware that Alex golt Ye Bowles have

66
00:03:23,879 --> 00:03:27,080
just one win against the team with a winning record

67
00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:30,719
Boise State. Obviously we're all zero and zero at this point,

68
00:03:30,840 --> 00:03:33,400
but Boise State once again to presume favorite to represent

69
00:03:33,439 --> 00:03:34,120
the G five in.

70
00:03:34,120 --> 00:03:35,680
Speaker 2: The College Football Playoff. Ralph.

71
00:03:36,159 --> 00:03:38,479
Speaker 3: I know you had a little bit to say on

72
00:03:38,560 --> 00:03:41,000
this game earlier this week on Wage Talk Today. Is

73
00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:44,039
there anything else you'd like to add your SIDER total

74
00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:47,560
before we start talking about some other games.

75
00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:50,319
Speaker 4: Well, I was a huge fan of Byron Brown two

76
00:03:50,400 --> 00:03:53,120
years ago. Remember he had a great season in twenty

77
00:03:53,159 --> 00:03:55,919
twenty three, got injured after the third or fourth start

78
00:03:56,039 --> 00:03:59,080
last year. But he adds a whole nother dynamic to

79
00:03:59,159 --> 00:04:02,759
this team. I like Oulskin his third year. I agree

80
00:04:02,759 --> 00:04:05,520
with Ross don't just because Genti's gone and I think

81
00:04:05,520 --> 00:04:08,280
he was what twenty seven yards short of Barry Sanders

82
00:04:08,360 --> 00:04:11,280
all time record. Boise is one of the best o

83
00:04:11,879 --> 00:04:13,960
lines in the country, the best in the conference.

84
00:04:14,000 --> 00:04:14,360
Speaker 5: For sure.

85
00:04:14,439 --> 00:04:16,240
Speaker 4: They're going to be able to run the ball. So

86
00:04:16,279 --> 00:04:19,399
it just depends if USF can keep it close. I

87
00:04:19,439 --> 00:04:21,040
think they can. There's a couple of things you got

88
00:04:21,040 --> 00:04:23,519
to remember here. This game is at five thirty, got

89
00:04:23,519 --> 00:04:26,680
moved up for TV. You have a Boise team that's traveling,

90
00:04:26,759 --> 00:04:28,800
is going to be wearing their dark blue jerseys, playing

91
00:04:28,800 --> 00:04:31,680
in ninety percent humidity, feels like one hundred and fourteen

92
00:04:31,720 --> 00:04:34,920
degrees At two thirty local time on a Friday.

93
00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:38,240
Speaker 5: I think that gives USF at least a point edge.

94
00:04:38,519 --> 00:04:41,040
Speaker 4: I do like USF plus the points here and by

95
00:04:41,079 --> 00:04:43,000
the way, you know, I had to go to the

96
00:04:43,120 --> 00:04:48,720
database this twenty fourteen in game one, if an FBS

97
00:04:48,759 --> 00:04:50,920
team is playing an FBS team and one is a

98
00:04:50,959 --> 00:04:54,319
home dog, they've gone fifty eight and thirty six sixty

99
00:04:54,360 --> 00:04:57,920
one percent against the spread. So not earth shattering. But again,

100
00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:02,959
FBS home dogs in the last ten years over sixty percent.

101
00:05:03,120 --> 00:05:06,639
Speaker 3: Game number one, yeah, we have some home dogs. Now,

102
00:05:06,720 --> 00:05:09,079
keep in mind this game is in Tampa. It's technically

103
00:05:09,199 --> 00:05:11,519
Raymond James is not technically at Raymond James Tingams. It

104
00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:14,120
is at Raymond James Stadium as a matter of fact,

105
00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:16,040
So just make a note of that. But there's some

106
00:05:16,079 --> 00:05:19,240
other home dogs on the docket for tonight. If you

107
00:05:19,240 --> 00:05:22,959
guys have any questions on those, please ask away in

108
00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:25,439
the common section blow We will be happy to answer

109
00:05:25,519 --> 00:05:29,680
any of your questions. Friday, though, again, what a weekend

110
00:05:29,720 --> 00:05:33,759
this is of games, ross as We've got games Thursday, Friday, Saturday,

111
00:05:33,759 --> 00:05:36,639
Sunday and Monday big national TV games and the big

112
00:05:36,639 --> 00:05:39,279
one on Friday. I think everyone wants to know about

113
00:05:39,519 --> 00:05:42,240
is Auburn and Baylor. It's not a game where money

114
00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:46,639
has definitely spoken and coming on one side. Auburn favored

115
00:05:46,720 --> 00:05:51,480
in Waco. I know that you are shaking your head

116
00:05:52,120 --> 00:05:55,480
almost in disgust. Dar, I say at that line, movee,

117
00:05:55,519 --> 00:05:57,040
so please, sir, the floor is yours.

118
00:05:58,160 --> 00:06:02,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, I just thick the SEC in the brand name

119
00:06:02,079 --> 00:06:05,480
of Auburn is getting way too much respect here. I

120
00:06:05,720 --> 00:06:09,759
very seldom disagree with the odds makers who set the lines.

121
00:06:10,040 --> 00:06:12,360
But you know, if you're gonna catch the odds makers

122
00:06:12,399 --> 00:06:15,439
in a soft spot. It's early on in college football

123
00:06:15,519 --> 00:06:20,879
because right now it's all about projection and perception when

124
00:06:21,040 --> 00:06:25,040
setting lines in Look, this is a Baylor team. Last year.

125
00:06:25,120 --> 00:06:28,279
They started two and four. One of their losses was

126
00:06:28,319 --> 00:06:33,519
that Hail Mary loss against Colorado. Then they founded to

127
00:06:33,560 --> 00:06:36,040
go six and zero straight up in ats in their

128
00:06:36,120 --> 00:06:41,279
last six games. They have a veteran quarterback last six

129
00:06:41,360 --> 00:06:44,399
regular season games, that is, until they lost to LSU

130
00:06:44,519 --> 00:06:47,800
forty two thirty one. Now people will say, you're contradicting

131
00:06:47,839 --> 00:06:50,920
yourself for us, that's an SEC team. But let's not

132
00:06:51,079 --> 00:06:55,680
mistake Auburn is not LSU this year and they're not

133
00:06:57,279 --> 00:07:00,279
LSU last year. So I just think Baylor, there's an

134
00:07:00,319 --> 00:07:04,439
explosive offensive team scored twenty eight points or more in

135
00:07:04,839 --> 00:07:08,920
all six home games last year, veteran quarterback who's going

136
00:07:08,959 --> 00:07:10,920
to be one of the best in the Big Twelve.

137
00:07:11,560 --> 00:07:14,560
And you're looking at an Auburn team those one in

138
00:07:14,759 --> 00:07:18,879
three straight up in ats and true road games last year,

139
00:07:18,920 --> 00:07:23,199
Baylor five and one at home last year there only

140
00:07:23,279 --> 00:07:26,480
lost coming to BYU, a very good BYU team thirty

141
00:07:26,480 --> 00:07:30,319
four to twenty eight. Give me the Baylor Bears here, Brian,

142
00:07:30,519 --> 00:07:32,879
I have lost that small number.

143
00:07:33,560 --> 00:07:34,439
Speaker 2: All right. I like it.

144
00:07:34,519 --> 00:07:36,199
Speaker 3: Yeah, And you know I talked to people with their

145
00:07:36,240 --> 00:07:38,439
ear to the ground, the things that we're hearing about

146
00:07:38,519 --> 00:07:41,560
quarterback Jackson Arnold to Auburn, they're not good quite.

147
00:07:41,920 --> 00:07:43,120
Speaker 2: There's a team that he.

148
00:07:43,560 --> 00:07:45,439
Speaker 3: Not grasping the offense as much as they would like

149
00:07:45,800 --> 00:07:50,199
their Ralph you heard it. Ross disagrees with Auburn being

150
00:07:50,240 --> 00:07:53,120
favorite things. There might be a little sec bias going

151
00:07:53,160 --> 00:07:56,519
on here in Week one. Do you have any here.

152
00:07:58,759 --> 00:07:59,720
Speaker 5: I agree with Ross.

153
00:07:59,720 --> 00:08:01,439
Speaker 4: I mean, let's look at Auburn in the last five

154
00:08:01,519 --> 00:08:06,240
years six wins, six wins, five wins, six wins, and

155
00:08:06,360 --> 00:08:10,519
five wins last two years under freeze eleven wins. I

156
00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:14,720
will say this, though they did show improvement statistically, they

157
00:08:14,720 --> 00:08:17,240
were minus six yards per game in twenty twenty three.

158
00:08:17,600 --> 00:08:20,120
They didn't get the plus ninety eight yards per game

159
00:08:20,399 --> 00:08:22,600
that is more like a seven or eight win team.

160
00:08:23,040 --> 00:08:27,439
The issue was nine turnovers. Now, is Jackson Arnold an

161
00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:30,120
upgrade over Peyton Thorn. I don't think so. I agree

162
00:08:30,120 --> 00:08:32,679
with you. I think we have the better quarterback in

163
00:08:32,759 --> 00:08:37,200
Soyer Robinson. Auburn is missing ten of their top fifteen tacklers.

164
00:08:37,639 --> 00:08:42,159
They're very weak in quarterback, running back, and linebacker. I

165
00:08:42,200 --> 00:08:45,639
will take Baylor into situation at home getting the points.

166
00:08:45,840 --> 00:08:49,039
Agree with mister Ross Benjamin the Boss Brian.

167
00:08:49,120 --> 00:08:51,840
Speaker 1: If I could add, I'm not a big Hugh Freeze

168
00:08:51,840 --> 00:08:54,039
guy either. You know, you look at his first two

169
00:08:54,080 --> 00:08:59,879
years at Auburn less than inspiring, right, And I just

170
00:09:00,080 --> 00:09:03,600
think the guy is an excellent recruiter. But when it

171
00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:06,360
comes to a game day manager and xCE and O guy,

172
00:09:06,399 --> 00:09:10,279
he leaves a lot to be desired. And so I'm

173
00:09:10,279 --> 00:09:12,679
not a big I'm not a big Hugh Freeze guy.

174
00:09:13,320 --> 00:09:16,320
I'm not a big Dave a random fan either, but

175
00:09:18,159 --> 00:09:21,399
the lesser of two evils. I like the coaching edge

176
00:09:21,720 --> 00:09:22,840
in this game as well.

177
00:09:23,360 --> 00:09:25,919
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm doing this because I think Hugh Freeze's seat

178
00:09:26,000 --> 00:09:29,080
is getting a little bit hot down there at Auburn.

179
00:09:29,639 --> 00:09:32,799
Speaker 2: So we got some questions coming in here, guys in the.

180
00:09:32,759 --> 00:09:40,200
Speaker 6: Chat, like, by the way, but Jay, Bob, my buddy Jay, Buff, Jeffrey,

181
00:09:40,480 --> 00:09:43,399
I see you there in the chat asking me to

182
00:09:43,519 --> 00:09:45,080
head to the Akron Wyoming game.

183
00:09:45,399 --> 00:09:47,600
Speaker 3: I do do request, But no, I am not making

184
00:09:47,600 --> 00:09:49,960
the drive down I seventy seven to go watch an

185
00:09:49,960 --> 00:09:52,080
Akron Wyoming game tonight. There are too many good games

186
00:09:52,080 --> 00:09:53,759
on television. I have too much studying to do in

187
00:09:53,799 --> 00:09:56,879
week one. I wish that my in person understreak. I

188
00:09:56,919 --> 00:09:59,519
wish I could bring those powers to you, Buff. But

189
00:10:00,360 --> 00:10:02,879
and by the way, Akron, look, I am a proud

190
00:10:02,960 --> 00:10:06,399
MAC graduate, guys, Ralph and Ross of Ohio University. No

191
00:10:06,440 --> 00:10:08,200
one goes to the MAC for an education. I can

192
00:10:08,279 --> 00:10:11,320
tell you that. That being said, they're all drinking. That

193
00:10:11,440 --> 00:10:15,159
being said, Akron, what are you doing? You're ineligible, not

194
00:10:15,200 --> 00:10:17,519
that you were gonna get to a bowl. You're ineligible

195
00:10:17,519 --> 00:10:20,200
for the postseason because your team's grades are so bad.

196
00:10:20,559 --> 00:10:21,639
Speaker 2: What are you doing?

197
00:10:21,720 --> 00:10:21,960
Speaker 5: Gay?

198
00:10:22,679 --> 00:10:24,639
Speaker 3: What in the name of Brian Leonard is going on

199
00:10:24,679 --> 00:10:27,039
down at Akron. Oh my goodness, gracious.

200
00:10:26,759 --> 00:10:29,919
Speaker 1: Yeah, what's the world coming to when Akron is catching

201
00:10:30,000 --> 00:10:32,840
most of the money in a game in her season

202
00:10:32,919 --> 00:10:37,440
opener and wyomings a road favorite against a power four

203
00:10:37,519 --> 00:10:40,679
team in her season opener. You know something? You know

204
00:10:40,799 --> 00:10:42,240
the way to go?

205
00:10:42,360 --> 00:10:43,840
Speaker 2: I guess yeah, that's a no.

206
00:10:43,960 --> 00:10:46,279
Speaker 3: Thanks for me, Ralph, you talked about the home dogs

207
00:10:46,360 --> 00:10:48,559
in Week one, but I'm kind of with Ralph, that

208
00:10:48,639 --> 00:10:50,360
is not a game that I am looking to bet

209
00:10:50,360 --> 00:10:52,799
because Akron. I question what the motivation is coming to

210
00:10:52,799 --> 00:10:55,600
the season with the Bowl in eligibility. And then, like

211
00:10:56,080 --> 00:10:59,080
Ross mentioned, Wyoming was atrocious last year. This has gotta

212
00:10:59,080 --> 00:11:02,240
be one of the worst four point road favorites in

213
00:11:02,279 --> 00:11:05,200
Week one we've seen in recent memory.

214
00:11:05,320 --> 00:11:08,240
Speaker 4: You know, you guys are talking about Akron like they're

215
00:11:08,279 --> 00:11:09,120
a piece of craft.

216
00:11:09,360 --> 00:11:10,919
Speaker 5: This is the longest.

217
00:11:10,480 --> 00:11:13,799
Speaker 4: Winning streak the affrons Hips have had since twenty and eighteen.

218
00:11:14,120 --> 00:11:16,480
Speaker 5: They won the last two games of last year. That's

219
00:11:16,639 --> 00:11:17,759
two winning streak.

220
00:11:17,879 --> 00:11:21,480
Speaker 4: So hey again, twenty eighteen was the last time Akron

221
00:11:21,519 --> 00:11:22,679
went back to back games.

222
00:11:22,879 --> 00:11:24,600
Speaker 5: No wonder they're chomping in the streets.

223
00:11:25,279 --> 00:11:28,000
Speaker 3: And I know, if we have any Akron fans, I

224
00:11:28,039 --> 00:11:30,720
will shower you with this. At least you're not Kent

225
00:11:30,759 --> 00:11:32,559
State this year. I'll tell you what, you're better than

226
00:11:32,559 --> 00:11:35,120
your rival. I think you'll keep the wagon wheel will

227
00:11:35,120 --> 00:11:39,200
stay there. We've got some FCS questions here. Ulm has

228
00:11:39,240 --> 00:11:40,600
been Wow, that's been steamed.

229
00:11:40,320 --> 00:11:42,360
Speaker 2: All the way up to thirty thirty one. I had

230
00:11:42,399 --> 00:11:43,919
a feeling that might happen.

231
00:11:44,639 --> 00:11:46,960
Speaker 3: I I don't know that's Saint France.

232
00:11:47,279 --> 00:11:47,559
Speaker 2: I don't know.

233
00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:49,279
Speaker 3: If you guys have any take up this, mine would

234
00:11:49,320 --> 00:11:52,200
be bet Saint Francis at your own discretion. I would

235
00:11:52,200 --> 00:11:55,759
not bet Saint Francis in that matchup. Ulm under vincent

236
00:11:55,759 --> 00:11:58,320
that it's one of those situations, guys. There's maybe some

237
00:11:58,360 --> 00:12:01,159
other instances of this tonight. Even at the f BSFBS level,

238
00:12:01,639 --> 00:12:04,759
coaches who need to make a statement in the first

239
00:12:04,799 --> 00:12:07,279
game they're not maybe not gonna be many wins on

240
00:12:07,320 --> 00:12:09,200
the season. Ulm, that's a game that they got to

241
00:12:09,200 --> 00:12:12,360
make a statement. I know it's not exactly the strongest

242
00:12:12,360 --> 00:12:14,200
support they get in the crowd, but they need to

243
00:12:14,240 --> 00:12:15,000
win that game day.

244
00:12:15,799 --> 00:12:20,360
Speaker 1: You know, speaking of an FCS first FBS game, you

245
00:12:20,399 --> 00:12:22,440
know what caught my eye right off the bad is

246
00:12:22,480 --> 00:12:24,919
Iowa State just as a fourteen and a half point

247
00:12:24,960 --> 00:12:28,639
home favorite against South Dakota, And you look at this

248
00:12:28,759 --> 00:12:31,840
if you're ever going to have the audacity to bet

249
00:12:31,879 --> 00:12:35,080
an FCS team in a situation. South Dakota, a team

250
00:12:35,120 --> 00:12:38,679
that wanted the best in the FCS, currently ranked number

251
00:12:38,679 --> 00:12:42,320
four in the preseason poll, and Iowa State coming off

252
00:12:42,360 --> 00:12:46,519
a big win over Kansas State, had played in Dublin,

253
00:12:46,679 --> 00:12:51,320
Ireland last week, and up next, Brian in Ralph. There

254
00:12:51,320 --> 00:12:54,200
are hated rivals in the Iowa Hawkeye So if you're

255
00:12:54,200 --> 00:12:56,559
ever going to take I'm not saying I'm going to,

256
00:12:57,080 --> 00:12:59,919
but that certainly seems like an awful inviting spot.

257
00:13:01,360 --> 00:13:03,960
Speaker 4: You know, Brian, I did a TNA video for bet

258
00:13:04,000 --> 00:13:07,639
on It today and how many times have our viewers

259
00:13:07,759 --> 00:13:10,720
read this team has an advantage because they have a

260
00:13:10,759 --> 00:13:13,799
game under their belt. So people think, all of a sudden,

261
00:13:13,919 --> 00:13:17,000
if you played a game, you are better off in

262
00:13:17,039 --> 00:13:19,440
the second game. But I have this data and I

263
00:13:19,480 --> 00:13:22,279
did post it on my Twitter at cal Sports LV.

264
00:13:22,879 --> 00:13:27,519
When an FBS team is playing game one against a

265
00:13:27,600 --> 00:13:31,039
team playing their second game of the year, the team

266
00:13:31,120 --> 00:13:34,720
playing a season opener thirty seven and twenty nine fifty

267
00:13:34,759 --> 00:13:38,320
six percent since twenty sixteen, So just the opposite of

268
00:13:38,320 --> 00:13:40,320
what you can expect. And the answer might be as

269
00:13:40,320 --> 00:13:45,039
simple as this, Iowa State spent all August prepping for

270
00:13:45,879 --> 00:13:46,559
Kansas State.

271
00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:48,759
Speaker 5: If they had some free time.

272
00:13:48,879 --> 00:13:52,039
Speaker 4: They probably likely look to prep at Iowa coming back

273
00:13:52,080 --> 00:13:54,399
for a short week and then another week. So while

274
00:13:54,440 --> 00:13:56,720
you think, oh my god, they have experience, they got

275
00:13:56,759 --> 00:13:59,639
their playbook. This other team has prepped for this opponent

276
00:13:59,679 --> 00:14:03,159
the entire higher August. So a game under Belt rest

277
00:14:03,279 --> 00:14:07,000
versus Rust and college football game number one. It surprises

278
00:14:07,039 --> 00:14:10,000
a lot of people that those guys playing a season

279
00:14:10,039 --> 00:14:13,639
opener have a sizeable advantage of fifty six point one

280
00:14:13,679 --> 00:14:15,320
percent in twenty sixteen.

281
00:14:16,159 --> 00:14:17,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, good stuff there.

282
00:14:17,600 --> 00:14:19,799
Speaker 3: We've already got a comment in the chat there that

283
00:14:19,840 --> 00:14:22,519
somebody's got Iowa circled for next week, a little look ahead.

284
00:14:22,559 --> 00:14:25,440
I know that Iowa, they've certainly got that one circled

285
00:14:25,720 --> 00:14:30,200
in Iowa City there against their in state rival. Here's

286
00:14:30,200 --> 00:14:32,960
a question on another game for tonight. There's a lot

287
00:14:33,000 --> 00:14:35,840
of trendy underdogs. I think on Thursday, guys, as I

288
00:14:35,840 --> 00:14:37,679
look at the odd screen, a lot of people looking

289
00:14:37,679 --> 00:14:41,840
to take the points here on Thursday. Buffalo is one

290
00:14:41,879 --> 00:14:45,960
of those teams they're taking on Minnesota. This is so obviously. Look,

291
00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:47,559
I just talked about the MAC. I'm from the MAC.

292
00:14:47,639 --> 00:14:49,679
You guys all know, everybody knows there's a big gap

293
00:14:49,720 --> 00:14:50,679
between the Big Ten and the MAC.

294
00:14:50,720 --> 00:14:51,480
Speaker 2: We all understand this.

295
00:14:51,519 --> 00:14:54,080
Speaker 3: But in this instance, it's one of the better teams

296
00:14:54,120 --> 00:14:58,600
from the MAC, Buffalo against middle of the road Big

297
00:14:58,639 --> 00:15:00,600
Ten team at best in Minnesota.

298
00:15:00,759 --> 00:15:01,440
Speaker 2: I don't know. PJ.

299
00:15:01,600 --> 00:15:05,679
Speaker 3: Fleck and his Jim Tressel junior approach have never really

300
00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:06,600
yes rolled the boat.

301
00:15:06,960 --> 00:15:08,360
Speaker 2: I don't know. That kind of wears a little thin

302
00:15:08,440 --> 00:15:09,840
with me. Ross.

303
00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:12,039
Speaker 3: Did he think Buffalo's live in the spot?

304
00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:13,279
Speaker 2: A lot of people do.

305
00:15:13,480 --> 00:15:17,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, PJ. Fleck, he just rubs me the

306
00:15:17,440 --> 00:15:20,240
wrong way. I'm glad you said that, Brian, and it

307
00:15:20,279 --> 00:15:23,080
was you instead of me that brought that topic up. Anyway,

308
00:15:23,799 --> 00:15:27,039
you know, Buffalo last year they won nine games. You

309
00:15:27,080 --> 00:15:30,039
know again, they played in the MAC, they won a

310
00:15:30,080 --> 00:15:33,039
Bowl game. This is going to be one of the

311
00:15:33,120 --> 00:15:37,120
better defensive teams in the MAC this year. They're one

312
00:15:37,159 --> 00:15:42,080
of the favorites in the MAC this year, catching seventeen

313
00:15:42,159 --> 00:15:45,080
or eighteen. I believe Brian right now. I mean again,

314
00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:48,120
I would not there's a lot of better games on

315
00:15:48,159 --> 00:15:52,559
the board this coming five days than this one. But

316
00:15:53,120 --> 00:15:55,759
having said that, if you put the proverbial gun to

317
00:15:55,840 --> 00:15:59,360
my head, I would have a small lean taking the

318
00:15:59,399 --> 00:16:04,759
points on Buffalo and also going under the total in

319
00:16:04,799 --> 00:16:07,120
this contest, I think we could see a low scoring

320
00:16:07,159 --> 00:16:09,519
game here. So Ralph, do you have anything in the

321
00:16:09,639 --> 00:16:11,960
database correlated?

322
00:16:12,279 --> 00:16:15,080
Speaker 4: I don't, but you know you look at with a

323
00:16:15,159 --> 00:16:18,080
total this low, you know, I clearly do like the under.

324
00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:22,039
And just fyi, game one in college football, they are

325
00:16:22,279 --> 00:16:24,960
fifty five percent to the under, so not a while number. Again,

326
00:16:25,000 --> 00:16:27,039
but just so you guys know the data, so it's

327
00:16:27,240 --> 00:16:29,080
you know, we're just sharing with that.

328
00:16:29,399 --> 00:16:32,000
Speaker 5: You know, this is a game where too many new.

329
00:16:31,840 --> 00:16:34,759
Speaker 4: Pieces for both I'm going to be very conservative week

330
00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:35,360
number one.

331
00:16:35,720 --> 00:16:38,080
Speaker 5: I like doing a lot of reading before and after

332
00:16:38,200 --> 00:16:38,759
to catch up.

333
00:16:38,879 --> 00:16:42,120
Speaker 4: So again I'll give you my opinions, but my card,

334
00:16:42,240 --> 00:16:44,399
besides a five percent I have for tomorrow, I might

335
00:16:44,440 --> 00:16:46,559
only have two or three plays this entire weekend. In

336
00:16:46,559 --> 00:16:50,360
college football because the transfer portal, how things have changed

337
00:16:50,879 --> 00:16:56,000
and we're we're here to make educated decisions. But if

338
00:16:56,000 --> 00:16:58,000
you have a team with that many new starters and

339
00:16:58,039 --> 00:17:00,559
bringing in that type of transfer portal, there's not a

340
00:17:00,600 --> 00:17:02,960
person in the world that can make that educated decision

341
00:17:03,000 --> 00:17:05,640
how good or how much that team can improve or

342
00:17:05,720 --> 00:17:06,480
will fall back.

343
00:17:07,240 --> 00:17:10,039
Speaker 3: I will share one data point on this game here.

344
00:17:10,279 --> 00:17:12,039
Minnesota was a great team to bet on last year.

345
00:17:12,039 --> 00:17:13,799
They I think they finished nine to three and one

346
00:17:13,799 --> 00:17:17,039
against the number. However, they did not close north of

347
00:17:17,119 --> 00:17:21,480
seventeen against any FBS opponent. They were minus seventeen against Nevada,

348
00:17:21,519 --> 00:17:23,839
who was terrible last year, and the only game that

349
00:17:23,839 --> 00:17:29,759
they closed higher than that was against an FCS opponent. Wow,

350
00:17:29,799 --> 00:17:31,799
we got a lot of FCS questions rolling in here.

351
00:17:31,799 --> 00:17:33,200
We're going to get to those in just a little bit.

352
00:17:33,240 --> 00:17:35,519
But guys, there's a very big game taking place on Saturday.

353
00:17:35,559 --> 00:17:37,359
I'm going to make an executive decision and get to

354
00:17:37,400 --> 00:17:41,440
that one first. Perhaps you have heard, at noon Eastern

355
00:17:41,519 --> 00:17:44,759
on Saturday in Columbus, Ohio, the Buck guys will be

356
00:17:44,839 --> 00:17:50,839
hosting Texas, a rematch of last year's national semi final Ross.

357
00:17:50,960 --> 00:17:53,880
There will be a lot of eyes on this one, obviously,

358
00:17:53,920 --> 00:17:55,839
and there are a lot of question marks to Ralph's

359
00:17:55,880 --> 00:17:59,599
point very well taken, you know about being cautious here

360
00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:01,119
in the first game of the year, because there's so

361
00:18:01,119 --> 00:18:04,920
many unknowns. Look, everyone just presumes arch Manning is gonna

362
00:18:04,920 --> 00:18:06,640
come in and be you know, the second coming.

363
00:18:07,559 --> 00:18:08,400
Speaker 1: Oh. I mean, this is a.

364
00:18:08,319 --> 00:18:10,279
Speaker 3: Hard spot to play. And then the O'llhio State quarterback

365
00:18:10,319 --> 00:18:12,680
situation is even more of a question mark. There's question

366
00:18:12,720 --> 00:18:15,839
marks along both lines here, the offensive defensive lines for

367
00:18:15,880 --> 00:18:18,200
hid State and Texas. Talk to me about how you're

368
00:18:18,240 --> 00:18:20,240
looking at this very very big game.

369
00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:24,119
Speaker 1: Again, I think there's more value on the board than

370
00:18:24,200 --> 00:18:27,680
this game. I mean there's too many unknowns and uncertainties

371
00:18:28,039 --> 00:18:32,519
heading into this matchup, too highly touted teams, Texas consensus

372
00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:36,160
number one, and just about every poll and opinion that

373
00:18:36,240 --> 00:18:39,799
you you hear these days. I agree with you on

374
00:18:39,960 --> 00:18:43,279
arch Manning. He hasn't proven a thing yet and we'll see.

375
00:18:43,599 --> 00:18:46,240
I mean this, I'm gonna take Ralph's approach here. It's

376
00:18:46,279 --> 00:18:49,680
a wait and see. Uh and uh. This is too

377
00:18:49,759 --> 00:18:52,319
tough a call for me, and I'm not too proud

378
00:18:52,359 --> 00:18:55,240
to say that. And it's not gonna get any of

379
00:18:55,279 --> 00:18:57,720
my money. I can tell you that. But if I

380
00:18:57,880 --> 00:19:00,799
did have any kind of lean here, I would say,

381
00:19:00,839 --> 00:19:04,119
based on just what you said, Brian, I think I

382
00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:06,720
would have a lean toward the under in this contest

383
00:19:07,079 --> 00:19:11,799
too highly hyped teams in to a lot of unknown

384
00:19:11,839 --> 00:19:15,640
on the offense, especially on Ohio State side, so we'll see.

385
00:19:16,599 --> 00:19:18,920
Speaker 3: I'm really interested to see how the line moves guys

386
00:19:19,680 --> 00:19:22,240
on game day because that's going to be pretty telling

387
00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:25,319
to me. Ralphie, I know you know Ohio State pretty well.

388
00:19:25,839 --> 00:19:28,079
Is there any thoughts you have here on the obviously

389
00:19:28,119 --> 00:19:30,319
Texas the big rate. Is there anything that the database

390
00:19:30,319 --> 00:19:33,279
says about revenge? This is a very unique situation that

391
00:19:33,319 --> 00:19:35,240
we have here where the teams just finished the season

392
00:19:35,279 --> 00:19:38,119
again or Texas the season ended against Ohio State and

393
00:19:38,160 --> 00:19:40,440
now they're opening the next season against them.

394
00:19:41,359 --> 00:19:43,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, can you call it revenge if the better if

395
00:19:43,480 --> 00:19:45,640
the favorite one? Not really, I mean, yes, it's a

396
00:19:45,680 --> 00:19:47,680
playoff revenge. But I'm going to put you two on

397
00:19:47,720 --> 00:19:50,480
the spot. I don't mean to do this, but this

398
00:19:50,559 --> 00:19:52,200
is sort of a wild number and it needs to

399
00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:56,440
be discussed. Since two thousand, so we're talking twenty five years.

400
00:19:56,960 --> 00:19:58,200
Speaker 5: How many top.

401
00:19:58,079 --> 00:20:01,880
Speaker 4: Five regular season nine non conference matchups have there been

402
00:20:02,160 --> 00:20:03,039
since two thousand?

403
00:20:04,319 --> 00:20:08,799
Speaker 3: Top five regular season non conference since two thousand two?

404
00:20:10,160 --> 00:20:14,079
Speaker 1: How many wait, see repeat it again, Ralph, I'm sorry.

405
00:20:14,240 --> 00:20:17,559
Speaker 5: Regular season non conference AP top.

406
00:20:17,359 --> 00:20:23,240
Speaker 1: Fives oh top five. Okay, ah, I'm gonna say I mean,

407
00:20:23,759 --> 00:20:26,279
I'm not gonna say two, but I would say closer

408
00:20:26,319 --> 00:20:28,319
to ten. Between five and ten.

409
00:20:28,720 --> 00:20:31,480
Speaker 5: You guys are close. There's been six since two thousand.

410
00:20:31,559 --> 00:20:34,799
Speaker 4: That's in Ohio State Notre Dame in twenty twenty two,

411
00:20:35,079 --> 00:20:39,079
Ohio State Oklahoma in twenty seventeen, Florida State Notre Dame

412
00:20:39,119 --> 00:20:42,400
back in twenty fourteen. By the way, the home team

413
00:20:42,519 --> 00:20:45,240
is one in five against the spread and those games

414
00:20:45,279 --> 00:20:48,079
are zero five and one over. Under makes sense, right,

415
00:20:48,319 --> 00:20:50,240
two good teams. If you have a top five team,

416
00:20:50,279 --> 00:20:53,119
you likely have a big defense. You're playing in a playoff,

417
00:20:53,359 --> 00:20:56,519
playoff type atmosphere. I do like the under in this one.

418
00:20:56,599 --> 00:20:59,640
You got to remember that, you know, no matter how

419
00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:03,000
good are Manning is, the offensive line returns one starter.

420
00:21:03,119 --> 00:21:05,079
It's a good one in DJ Campbell, who has thirty

421
00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:09,279
career starts. The Ohio State offensive line much better position

422
00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:14,200
for Julian Ceylon. Problem is Ohio State's defense. That d

423
00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:17,640
line is the weakest part of that unit. But to me,

424
00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:20,559
I do like under. I would lean under first half

425
00:21:20,599 --> 00:21:23,720
here as these two young quarterbacks try to get situated

426
00:21:24,079 --> 00:21:26,400
with a rush attack that they're going to try to

427
00:21:26,519 --> 00:21:29,559
establish under first half. For me, as far as the

428
00:21:29,599 --> 00:21:32,400
game goes to me, it's a toss up. I'll enjoy

429
00:21:32,480 --> 00:21:34,240
watching it. I'm going to root for the buck Eyes.

430
00:21:34,720 --> 00:21:37,000
But if you force me to give a best bet

431
00:21:37,400 --> 00:21:40,359
first half under the total on Saturday at noon.

432
00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:42,720
Speaker 2: You know, each week here I'm gonna want to give.

433
00:21:43,039 --> 00:21:44,880
Speaker 3: I think we all will want to give big picture

434
00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:46,519
now as well, not just the game, but things to

435
00:21:46,559 --> 00:21:48,519
look for down the road in the season.

436
00:21:48,559 --> 00:21:51,759
Speaker 2: With Ohio State, I'm going to say this right now.

437
00:21:52,160 --> 00:21:55,079
Speaker 3: I think even the most ardent fan in Columbus has

438
00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:58,519
to agree massive downgrade at the two coordinators this year

439
00:21:58,519 --> 00:22:01,440
coming to the you go from chipcas and Jim Knowles

440
00:22:01,559 --> 00:22:05,319
to Brian Hartline and Matt Patricia. Yeah, I think I

441
00:22:05,319 --> 00:22:07,079
think it's the defensive side of the ball too. That's

442
00:22:07,079 --> 00:22:09,559
the watch. I think you're going from Noles to Patricia's

443
00:22:09,599 --> 00:22:13,160
a big time downgrade in the coordinator spot there. So

444
00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:16,359
we shall see how that affects the team. Those FCS

445
00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:17,880
questions that we had, I'll just want to get I

446
00:22:17,920 --> 00:22:20,960
don't want to forget about them. I like San Diego State.

447
00:22:21,039 --> 00:22:23,920
I think Stonybrook absolutely stinks. So if you're looking to

448
00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:26,000
play San Diego State. I will sign off on that,

449
00:22:26,720 --> 00:22:28,640
and then we have a question. Damn A State plus

450
00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:32,359
twenty one they're playing you. Look, I'm never gonna bet

451
00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:35,759
UAD with Trent Dilfirs the head coach. Ever, I've had

452
00:22:35,759 --> 00:22:38,319
some good vets going against the UA B, but what

453
00:22:38,440 --> 00:22:41,359
a terrible higher. I can't believe he's stealing a paycheck there. Still,

454
00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:43,599
I don't know if there's any if there's any thoughts

455
00:22:43,599 --> 00:22:44,599
on the FCS guys.

456
00:22:44,599 --> 00:22:46,279
Speaker 2: If not, we can move on.

457
00:22:46,599 --> 00:22:49,680
Speaker 1: To brook is the top twenty team this year in

458
00:22:49,680 --> 00:22:54,599
the FCS preseason poor watch out, baby, I don't know.

459
00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:58,680
Speaker 3: San Diego State is another one that again they need

460
00:22:58,720 --> 00:23:01,799
to show something. The bottom half of the Mountain West

461
00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:05,440
last year was important, so I think there's a lot

462
00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:08,759
of those teams that need to show something. So there

463
00:23:08,759 --> 00:23:11,079
you go, hopefully with your FCS questions the chat. Also,

464
00:23:11,160 --> 00:23:13,440
they seem to concur with that under forty seven. I

465
00:23:13,440 --> 00:23:17,839
would co sign that as well. On Ohio State and Texas.

466
00:23:17,920 --> 00:23:21,759
All right, some other big games here on Saturday? How

467
00:23:21,759 --> 00:23:24,200
about Alabama and Florida State. Guys, I'm gonna go out

468
00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:26,160
on a limb here and say Florida State's gonna better

469
00:23:26,200 --> 00:23:28,480
than they were last year. I know that that's.

470
00:23:28,359 --> 00:23:29,400
Speaker 2: A really hard tame.

471
00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:31,559
Speaker 3: My god, did the bottom drop out in tally asking

472
00:23:31,559 --> 00:23:34,640
it drop out all the way and starting in week zero, Ralph,

473
00:23:34,680 --> 00:23:35,960
I'm gonna go to you because I know Ross, I

474
00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:38,400
believe you're gonna be doing a video elsewhere here.

475
00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:41,759
Speaker 1: You input book, go ahead, Roel, sure.

476
00:23:41,599 --> 00:23:43,559
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll kick it to Ralph first. By the way, guys,

477
00:23:43,799 --> 00:23:45,400
we talk about some of these other videos we do.

478
00:23:45,559 --> 00:23:48,440
Ralph does nurfy videos. Obviously every day in baseball I

479
00:23:48,519 --> 00:23:51,000
do the power five Ross. You could see his insight

480
00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:53,079
every day here on the Wayge talk to YouTube channel.

481
00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:55,440
A good time for me to remind you to click

482
00:23:55,440 --> 00:23:58,039
that bell down below that subscribe button. That way you're

483
00:23:58,039 --> 00:24:01,240
instantly notified when all of the fine shows drop.

484
00:24:01,440 --> 00:24:04,640
Speaker 2: But Ralph, Bama and Florida State, Florida State.

485
00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:06,839
Speaker 3: Yes, I kid, they're obviously going to be better than

486
00:24:07,039 --> 00:24:09,119
they were a year ago. But are they gonna be

487
00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:11,880
able to stay within two touchdowns the Crimson tide in

488
00:24:12,079 --> 00:24:12,519
at home?

489
00:24:14,920 --> 00:24:17,720
Speaker 4: Well, you know, and if you read the gold sheet

490
00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:20,359
which was free, which is only five dollars this week,

491
00:24:20,759 --> 00:24:22,880
that did you know was? Did you know bal has

492
00:24:22,920 --> 00:24:25,920
won set twenty six straight season openers, and they're seventeen

493
00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:29,079
and two against the spread in Week number one. I

494
00:24:29,240 --> 00:24:32,480
like Alabama. I bet Alabama to win the national championship.

495
00:24:32,799 --> 00:24:35,119
I think Alabama's O line is one of the best

496
00:24:35,119 --> 00:24:37,799
in the SEC. You got an All American at center

497
00:24:37,839 --> 00:24:41,480
in Bradford, you got Proctor, You've got other returning starters.

498
00:24:41,920 --> 00:24:44,759
Speaker 5: Ty Simpson. Yes, you don't know what you have a quarterback.

499
00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:48,960
Speaker 4: Florida State new quarterback with Castellanos, twenty starts at BC

500
00:24:49,160 --> 00:24:50,119
the last two years.

501
00:24:50,480 --> 00:24:52,440
Speaker 5: But I really think their old line's going to struggle.

502
00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:52,640
Speaker 1: Now.

503
00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:56,279
Speaker 4: You know, Florida State is a team that returns very

504
00:24:56,319 --> 00:24:59,039
few returning starters. But let me give you an example

505
00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:01,759
of their O line of what they brought in this year.

506
00:25:03,559 --> 00:25:06,200
They have Medley, who's going to be one starter, who

507
00:25:06,240 --> 00:25:09,359
has seventeen career starts. He's the only returning starter back.

508
00:25:09,680 --> 00:25:13,359
But the experience is this pet about twenty two starts

509
00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:14,400
at Wake Forest.

510
00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:18,960
Speaker 5: We have lettered fourteen.

511
00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:21,640
Speaker 4: Starts at Florida two years, three starts here last year,

512
00:25:21,920 --> 00:25:26,079
twenty starts at Old Miss for Pettis and Hampston, thirty

513
00:25:26,119 --> 00:25:29,079
five starts three years at Indy so you have a

514
00:25:29,279 --> 00:25:32,799
very experienced group. If they were playing anyone else in

515
00:25:32,839 --> 00:25:36,079
Week one except as Bama team with a you know,

516
00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:39,519
with a D line that's very strong, I would give

517
00:25:39,559 --> 00:25:43,079
an edge to Florida State in this instance, with this

518
00:25:43,240 --> 00:25:47,039
coaching staff coming off the season they did no team.

519
00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:50,559
I mean, you would think you would think Bama went

520
00:25:50,599 --> 00:25:53,200
to and ten as hungry as they are versus being

521
00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:55,720
a four loss team, which is rare and you know

522
00:25:55,839 --> 00:25:59,680
down in that area of the woods seeing four losses

523
00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:02,720
on a win total. To me, Bama still has a

524
00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:05,279
shot to be one of my client releases. I've got

525
00:26:05,319 --> 00:26:07,039
to do some more reading on the game, but no

526
00:26:07,240 --> 00:26:07,799
question for.

527
00:26:07,799 --> 00:26:09,039
Speaker 5: Me, it's the Tide.

528
00:26:10,079 --> 00:26:10,559
Speaker 2: I like that.

529
00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:14,200
Speaker 3: Look Ralph on Bama to win the national championship. Yes,

530
00:26:14,279 --> 00:26:17,440
let's not sleep on Kylend Boor is very good coach.

531
00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:19,359
I know he's following the legendary Nick Sabe and that's

532
00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:21,079
a very mean that's a tough gig. I would have

533
00:26:21,119 --> 00:26:24,000
signed up for it. Ross, But hey, Kaylen, do bor

534
00:26:24,079 --> 00:26:26,440
I think he can get it done? You said that

535
00:26:26,519 --> 00:26:28,440
we talked about you're gonna doing a video breakdown of

536
00:26:28,440 --> 00:26:28,759
this game.

537
00:26:28,839 --> 00:26:29,640
Speaker 2: Ross also here.

538
00:26:29,960 --> 00:26:33,240
Speaker 1: It just went up on wager Talk TV, so you

539
00:26:33,240 --> 00:26:36,759
could get that right now, folks, WT Dot Buzz Slash

540
00:26:37,160 --> 00:26:39,880
Ross TV to get right to that video. But just

541
00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:42,200
a couple of notes. I mean, I couldn't agree with

542
00:26:42,440 --> 00:26:45,880
everything that Ralph said. You know, you're talking about an

543
00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:50,440
FC Florida state program that's bringing in a lot of transfers.

544
00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:54,039
Those four offensive linemen that Ralph referred to combined one

545
00:26:54,079 --> 00:26:57,480
hundred and five starts at the FBS level. That's certainly

546
00:26:57,519 --> 00:26:59,839
going to be an improvement, right. But by the same toke,

547
00:27:00,039 --> 00:27:04,599
And you're playing Alabama in a defense that returns thirteen

548
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:08,599
returning defenders from last year that played two hundred or

549
00:27:08,599 --> 00:27:12,799
more snaps each. So not only are they a great defense,

550
00:27:13,240 --> 00:27:16,559
not only are they great and season openers, like Ralph

551
00:27:16,680 --> 00:27:20,720
just said, in their last nine season openers, six of

552
00:27:20,759 --> 00:27:24,799
which came against Power four conference teams, they've allowed an

553
00:27:24,839 --> 00:27:28,960
average of six point nine points per game. So again,

554
00:27:29,079 --> 00:27:31,720
for a more detail than Nils send this game, Uh

555
00:27:31,920 --> 00:27:34,319
what I'll take in too much more time back to you, Brian.

556
00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:36,960
Speaker 3: All Right, We've got a ton by the way of

557
00:27:37,000 --> 00:27:39,480
great game previews, standalone game previews you could check out

558
00:27:39,519 --> 00:27:42,079
on the wedge Talk YouTube channel. Make sure to do

559
00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:44,759
that now and by the way, of course, after your

560
00:27:44,960 --> 00:27:46,960
you can do that after you're done watching the Blitz here.

561
00:27:47,279 --> 00:27:50,839
Speaker 2: Please don't forget to like smash that like button.

562
00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:53,359
Speaker 3: We always appreciate your support here on the Blitz and

563
00:27:53,440 --> 00:27:57,200
keep those comments coming like this one, Adam. We're gonna

564
00:27:57,200 --> 00:27:59,200
go back to Thursday, guys. We were talking Saturday a

565
00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:01,559
little bit here, but of course there are games tonight

566
00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:04,640
since Cinnati and Nebraska that's been stuck at six and

567
00:28:04,680 --> 00:28:07,240
a half for a while now, any expectation on the

568
00:28:07,319 --> 00:28:11,119
line move here, guys, coaches.

569
00:28:10,839 --> 00:28:11,359
Speaker 5: I don't like.

570
00:28:13,519 --> 00:28:17,400
Speaker 3: We got Satterfield is not on my Christmas card list.

571
00:28:17,480 --> 00:28:17,799
Speaker 1: Personally.

572
00:28:17,799 --> 00:28:19,480
Speaker 3: I don't think he's done a very good job there.

573
00:28:19,720 --> 00:28:21,920
But it's also put up for shut up time for

574
00:28:22,039 --> 00:28:25,039
Matt Ruhle in Lincoln. They need to start winning and

575
00:28:25,039 --> 00:28:27,480
he's going to start winning close games. It's almost statistically

576
00:28:27,759 --> 00:28:31,319
impossible how poor this program has been in close games.

577
00:28:31,799 --> 00:28:34,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, first off, this game's at Arrowhead Stadium

578
00:28:34,839 --> 00:28:38,880
in Kansas City. It's a neutral site games, so you know,

579
00:28:39,000 --> 00:28:43,720
Nebraanska high expectations this year, Cincinnati coming off an off

580
00:28:43,839 --> 00:28:45,960
year last year. I agree with you. I'm not a

581
00:28:45,960 --> 00:28:49,680
big Saderfield guy. I think they pulled the trigger too

582
00:28:49,759 --> 00:28:52,079
quick on him. It's not like he had a ton

583
00:28:52,160 --> 00:28:56,720
of success at Louisville, although he had some, and he's

584
00:28:56,720 --> 00:28:58,960
certainly to me he had more success when he was

585
00:28:59,000 --> 00:29:02,319
at he was at Appalachian State. Correct, Ralph, if I'm

586
00:29:02,319 --> 00:29:07,480
not mistaken Sanderfield initially? Yeah? So yeah, And I again,

587
00:29:08,079 --> 00:29:12,480
I just think there's not enough value here either way,

588
00:29:13,480 --> 00:29:17,839
too much uncertainty. You just mentioned, Brian, Nebraska has to

589
00:29:17,880 --> 00:29:21,599
start winning some close games. Well, with that being in mind,

590
00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:24,119
how willing and are you to lay six and a

591
00:29:24,160 --> 00:29:26,559
half in a neutral site game and a season opener

592
00:29:26,960 --> 00:29:31,880
against a team that you're probably better than on paper

593
00:29:31,960 --> 00:29:34,680
obviously when you look at the line in a neutral

594
00:29:34,720 --> 00:29:37,240
site game. But I just don't have a lot of

595
00:29:37,279 --> 00:29:39,960
faith in Nebraska covering a number right off the bat.

596
00:29:40,279 --> 00:29:42,519
This is another one of those games, like Ralph was

597
00:29:42,559 --> 00:29:46,400
just mentioning, watch it, learn, move on and have a

598
00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:48,079
better assessment going forward.

599
00:29:49,079 --> 00:29:50,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a pass for me, Ralph.

600
00:29:50,720 --> 00:29:53,319
Speaker 3: Anything that you would like to share here on Nebraska

601
00:29:53,319 --> 00:29:55,799
Cincinnati again, Arrowhead Stadium, it is a neutralsyde game.

602
00:29:56,680 --> 00:29:59,319
Speaker 4: I did not buy the hyphen the Nebraska two years ago.

603
00:29:59,400 --> 00:30:02,079
I did not the hype into Nebraska last year, but

604
00:30:02,119 --> 00:30:05,839
I'll tell you what, I started sipping the Nebraska brew

605
00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:09,039
a little bit this year. You know, we'll see obviously

606
00:30:09,079 --> 00:30:11,920
Liver or Dye with a quarterback Roll who everyone keeps

607
00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:14,480
thinking is going to be a superstar, and we'll see,

608
00:30:14,759 --> 00:30:16,880
you know, I do like the coordinator upgrades and the

609
00:30:16,960 --> 00:30:19,119
QB coaches they brought in to help the kids, so

610
00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:22,119
I would lean Nebraska. But again, I'm not gonna bet

611
00:30:22,200 --> 00:30:25,480
money on, like you said, a team that only outgained

612
00:30:25,480 --> 00:30:28,759
their foes by five yards per game last year. And

613
00:30:29,400 --> 00:30:32,480
let's see games decided by seven or lesson you said, Brian.

614
00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:35,680
They lost to Illinois, they lost to Ohio State, they

615
00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:38,440
lost to UCLA, they lost to USC by eight, they

616
00:30:38,480 --> 00:30:39,920
lost to Iowa by three.

617
00:30:40,039 --> 00:30:41,799
Speaker 5: Oh, they did win the bowl game by five.

618
00:30:41,920 --> 00:30:44,559
Speaker 4: But maybe they learned their lesson in the bowl game

619
00:30:44,599 --> 00:30:46,519
and that's going to transfer forward to this year.

620
00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:49,559
Speaker 3: Yeah, it is it just an unspeakable Again, I'll check

621
00:30:49,559 --> 00:30:51,720
it in just a second. Guys what the exact records,

622
00:30:51,759 --> 00:30:54,839
but it is unspeakably bad. Nebraska's record in close games

623
00:30:54,839 --> 00:30:58,119
going back to the Scott Frost era. Uh, we talked

624
00:30:58,119 --> 00:31:01,440
about Ohio State earlier. They are, of course playing Texas

625
00:31:01,480 --> 00:31:05,039
at noon Eastern on Saturday. Ohio State's rival Michigan a

626
00:31:05,039 --> 00:31:07,839
little bit of an easier one, Guys, hosting New Mexico

627
00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:12,920
in the Big House Saturday night. Do we think Michigan

628
00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:15,039
can cover a forty one and a half team total.

629
00:31:15,079 --> 00:31:17,680
Here's the deal, guys, I don't know if New Mexico

630
00:31:17,759 --> 00:31:20,559
is going to score point in this game. I'm interested

631
00:31:20,559 --> 00:31:22,960
to see the five star recruit Brice Underwood, a quarterback.

632
00:31:23,480 --> 00:31:28,400
But I looked at my power ratings and the spread

633
00:31:28,440 --> 00:31:30,400
here of thirty four and a half last night that

634
00:31:30,519 --> 00:31:33,480
I saw that looked low. And Ralph, I don't know

635
00:31:33,480 --> 00:31:36,000
if you have anything in the database, but these big

636
00:31:36,039 --> 00:31:40,039
favorites in week one, these really big favorites. I'm talking

637
00:31:40,119 --> 00:31:43,759
thirty plus. I think they tend to do pretty well. Actually,

638
00:31:43,799 --> 00:31:45,640
I mean people look at they're like, oh my god,

639
00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:48,680
I don't want to lay that number. But in this instance,

640
00:31:49,079 --> 00:31:51,559
I mean Michigan against New Mexico, this is about as

641
00:31:51,559 --> 00:31:53,160
big a mismatch as it gets.

642
00:31:54,519 --> 00:31:57,799
Speaker 4: You know, Brian, on the video I did today, let

643
00:31:57,880 --> 00:32:01,559
me share with you that I'm trying to find it.

644
00:32:01,839 --> 00:32:06,240
Speaker 5: This doesn't quite apply to Michigan, But in game one.

645
00:32:07,000 --> 00:32:11,160
Speaker 4: If you're playing an FBSFO, they do much better versus FCS.

646
00:32:11,160 --> 00:32:12,000
Speaker 5: Those big favorites.

647
00:32:12,039 --> 00:32:15,480
Speaker 4: Why because they're concentrating on people they know they're gonna play.

648
00:32:15,640 --> 00:32:18,240
Speaker 5: It's more important they're not playing an FCS team.

649
00:32:18,680 --> 00:32:24,519
Speaker 4: Since twenty and thirteen, favorites in game one of thirty

650
00:32:24,640 --> 00:32:28,039
seven or more are nineteen and two against the spread

651
00:32:28,240 --> 00:32:30,960
that applies to Georgia and Penn State.

652
00:32:30,720 --> 00:32:34,160
Speaker 5: This week, and the only two teams that failed to cover.

653
00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:40,400
Speaker 4: Tennessee played Bowling Green in twenty twenty one. They were

654
00:32:40,480 --> 00:32:42,960
laying thirty seven. They won by thirty two, so they

655
00:32:42,960 --> 00:32:46,160
failed to cover by five. And Ohio State played Afron

656
00:32:46,200 --> 00:32:48,759
a few years ago they were laying forty eight and

657
00:32:48,759 --> 00:32:54,200
a half. They won by forty six. So there's times, Brian,

658
00:32:54,319 --> 00:32:57,079
when you said the statement, and let's remember, guys, this

659
00:32:57,119 --> 00:32:59,440
isn't the days when Ross and I were young that

660
00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:01,440
we could bet that you had a better.

661
00:33:01,279 --> 00:33:04,440
Speaker 1: Side and if it, Brent.

662
00:33:05,680 --> 00:33:06,599
Speaker 5: Can't compare to us.

663
00:33:07,480 --> 00:33:09,880
Speaker 4: Remember the days where you could bet the side and

664
00:33:09,920 --> 00:33:11,519
you could only bet the total if it was on

665
00:33:11,599 --> 00:33:14,039
national TV, right, you had to call it your bookie,

666
00:33:14,039 --> 00:33:17,759
And oh yeah, cool, I got a total. Well with

667
00:33:17,799 --> 00:33:21,119
what we have now, take a look at Brian, you said,

668
00:33:21,160 --> 00:33:24,119
what you think, what you think Michigan's is going to score?

669
00:33:24,359 --> 00:33:26,799
What you think New Mexican is going to store? Perhaps

670
00:33:26,839 --> 00:33:30,359
betting against New Mexico team total first half or team

671
00:33:30,440 --> 00:33:33,440
total full game gives you more value with having the

672
00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:36,319
same thought breaking down a game. So when we break

673
00:33:36,359 --> 00:33:38,640
down a game now, it could take six or seven

674
00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:42,119
paths on which way we find the most value with

675
00:33:42,279 --> 00:33:45,519
that line and with that total first quarter, first half,

676
00:33:45,799 --> 00:33:48,000
player props, team totals.

677
00:33:48,039 --> 00:33:50,119
Speaker 5: All of that is open to all of us now.

678
00:33:50,200 --> 00:33:52,720
Speaker 4: So I think that's why we've all become better college

679
00:33:52,759 --> 00:33:55,200
football betters as I speak to the number one and

680
00:33:55,279 --> 00:33:59,200
number five three top five way to talk college football

681
00:33:59,200 --> 00:34:00,480
handicappers from my season.

682
00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:05,200
Speaker 3: All right, yes, that is exactly So all right, Michigan,

683
00:34:05,240 --> 00:34:07,640
I've ross. Is there anything you want to add on this?

684
00:34:07,920 --> 00:34:12,199
Speaker 1: Yeah? Something? And then I'm gonna give Ralph a challenge here, Brian,

685
00:34:13,119 --> 00:34:15,679
since he called me old, you know, and since we're

686
00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:19,679
both old, so two veterans. I looked this up. I'm

687
00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:22,360
gonna challenge Ralph on his spare time. I did a

688
00:34:22,400 --> 00:34:26,880
study like about five years ago, and whenever you get

689
00:34:26,920 --> 00:34:29,960
a game like this where you have a team where

690
00:34:29,960 --> 00:34:34,400
they're point spread is thirty three percent or better of

691
00:34:34,440 --> 00:34:38,639
what the game total is, you play the favorite and

692
00:34:38,800 --> 00:34:43,559
over and the underdog and under, two separate sports books.

693
00:34:43,880 --> 00:34:47,199
And if you do that, okay, that you're gonna get

694
00:34:47,239 --> 00:34:49,679
your rate of it, or your return on investment is

695
00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:51,800
going to be very good. It was somewhere around nine

696
00:34:51,840 --> 00:34:55,159
percent when I checked this, and I did a study

697
00:34:55,199 --> 00:34:59,400
over like ten years, and that goes back to again,

698
00:34:59,440 --> 00:35:01,760
I know this a little off the coff, Brian, but

699
00:35:02,840 --> 00:35:05,360
I just, you know, because Ralph loves this kind of stuff.

700
00:35:05,400 --> 00:35:07,159
I like to get Ralph excited, you know.

701
00:35:09,519 --> 00:35:12,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, well, you know, I'm going back. I looked in

702
00:35:12,480 --> 00:35:14,719
the database if I had something saved, Ross. I don't

703
00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:18,760
have anything like that saved, but I pulled up a

704
00:35:18,800 --> 00:35:20,039
trend that I had saved.

705
00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:22,519
Speaker 5: When there's a line.

706
00:35:22,280 --> 00:35:25,239
Speaker 4: Of thirty or more with a total of forty eight

707
00:35:25,320 --> 00:35:27,880
or less, like your ULM game, Brian, that you were

708
00:35:27,920 --> 00:35:31,960
talking earlier, the over is seventy five.

709
00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:35,039
Speaker 5: And thirty three sixty nine point four percent of the over.

710
00:35:35,719 --> 00:35:38,280
Speaker 4: So you know, when you have a team that is

711
00:35:38,280 --> 00:35:40,639
that much better than another opponent with a low total.

712
00:35:40,960 --> 00:35:43,679
It has been an overplay. But sorry, Ross, you did

713
00:35:43,719 --> 00:35:45,039
catch me off guard on that one.

714
00:35:45,079 --> 00:35:47,719
Speaker 1: My apology, Yeah, well that I mean having said that

715
00:35:47,880 --> 00:35:50,519
on a serious note, I mean the gentleman who just

716
00:35:50,559 --> 00:35:54,360
wrote in Brian wanted to know who we look how

717
00:35:54,760 --> 00:35:57,719
we feel about Michigan going over their team total forty

718
00:35:57,719 --> 00:35:59,960
one and a half, and Ralph, you just hit upon it.

719
00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:05,599
I mean, that's a sure clad backing for going over

720
00:36:05,639 --> 00:36:07,440
forty one and a half, which you just said.

721
00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:10,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean you one would think if Michigan's to

722
00:36:10,840 --> 00:36:13,000
cover the spread, they're going to go over that to

723
00:36:13,039 --> 00:36:16,000
all Again, though I think New Mexico may not score

724
00:36:16,039 --> 00:36:17,320
in this game. That is the only thing you would

725
00:36:17,320 --> 00:36:19,920
have to be careful about if Michigan maybe call. They

726
00:36:19,920 --> 00:36:22,480
do have a big game on deck against Oklahoma, so

727
00:36:22,519 --> 00:36:25,000
there is a chance if they're up big, like we

728
00:36:25,039 --> 00:36:27,639
all presume they will, that they could call off the dogs.

729
00:36:28,360 --> 00:36:29,920
Speaker 4: You know, I want to bring up one thing not

730
00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:32,320
related to a game we're doing, but I remember talking

731
00:36:32,320 --> 00:36:33,960
to a lot of people and I proved them wrong

732
00:36:34,039 --> 00:36:34,840
every time.

733
00:36:35,000 --> 00:36:35,639
Speaker 5: Like they would be.

734
00:36:35,719 --> 00:36:38,280
Speaker 4: I don't want to lay four touchdowns with Wisconsin. They're

735
00:36:38,280 --> 00:36:41,280
a running team. But remember this guy's early in the year,

736
00:36:41,639 --> 00:36:44,559
when you're playing nobody's, you are going to bring in

737
00:36:44,599 --> 00:36:46,679
your number twos, maybe your number three is to get

738
00:36:46,679 --> 00:36:49,679
some experience with a big lead. It is much easier

739
00:36:49,679 --> 00:36:53,079
for a team that always runs the ball, that has

740
00:36:53,119 --> 00:36:56,000
a second and third string team that plays the exact

741
00:36:56,039 --> 00:36:59,679
same offense. They practice every day together. So when Wisconsin

742
00:36:59,719 --> 00:37:01,440
has a big lead and in the third quarter or

743
00:37:01,440 --> 00:37:04,000
fourth quarter the running ball, that's a big edge for

744
00:37:04,039 --> 00:37:06,360
them versus a team that's bringing in a second or

745
00:37:06,360 --> 00:37:09,320
third string quarterback that hasn't played with this offensive line,

746
00:37:09,440 --> 00:37:12,360
that's trying to not play their normal pace or play

747
00:37:12,360 --> 00:37:15,000
their normal playbook. So don't always think that an air

748
00:37:15,079 --> 00:37:18,440
raid offense is the right way to lay points late.

749
00:37:18,880 --> 00:37:21,440
I actually like those running teams that do score some

750
00:37:21,559 --> 00:37:24,679
points and they can pull away in the second half.

751
00:37:26,480 --> 00:37:30,559
Speaker 1: Just one other quick point, Brian, if I could you

752
00:37:30,679 --> 00:37:33,440
mentioned a look ahead I'm a big look ahead guy,

753
00:37:33,519 --> 00:37:36,400
right But I will tell you this, I am not

754
00:37:36,480 --> 00:37:41,320
a proponent of look ahead spots and season openers because

755
00:37:41,760 --> 00:37:43,920
if you're not ready to play in your season opener,

756
00:37:43,960 --> 00:37:46,440
there's something wrong. It's not a good sign for the season.

757
00:37:47,199 --> 00:37:50,760
And I'm not talking about losing your season opener, saying, well,

758
00:37:50,800 --> 00:37:53,239
they were looking ahead to week two. You don't look

759
00:37:53,320 --> 00:37:57,000
beyond your season opener. You prepared for this all year long. So,

760
00:37:57,199 --> 00:38:00,639
although I do agree with you, look ahead are a

761
00:38:00,679 --> 00:38:05,679
crucial part of sports handy capping, especially when it comes

762
00:38:05,719 --> 00:38:06,639
to college football.

763
00:38:07,119 --> 00:38:08,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, one more thing on Michigan.

764
00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:11,000
Speaker 3: I'll throw us and after all these sanctions and the

765
00:38:11,119 --> 00:38:13,920
talk about the program, they might have a little chip

766
00:38:13,960 --> 00:38:15,960
on their shoulder and they might want to embarrass somebody

767
00:38:16,039 --> 00:38:18,639
on national television Saturday night. I believe that game is

768
00:38:18,679 --> 00:38:21,480
on NBC. We will be talking about Notre Dame Miami

769
00:38:21,519 --> 00:38:23,480
coming up in just a little bit. But from Michigan

770
00:38:23,519 --> 00:38:24,920
New Mexico, we're going to go to a game that's

771
00:38:24,920 --> 00:38:26,960
going to be a little bit more competitive, I think.

772
00:38:27,360 --> 00:38:33,000
On Saturday, LSU and Clemson LSU. Obviously, everybody knows that

773
00:38:33,000 --> 00:38:35,920
Brian Kelly has not done well in season openers, oh

774
00:38:36,000 --> 00:38:38,719
and three. I believe that's straight up, and I believe

775
00:38:38,760 --> 00:38:41,800
he was favored in all three he does.

776
00:38:42,719 --> 00:38:43,559
Speaker 2: It's even worse.

777
00:38:44,119 --> 00:38:49,239
Speaker 4: Oh five six straight six twenty nineteen Notre Dame. His

778
00:38:49,280 --> 00:38:51,159
first game was Louisville when he lost that as well.

779
00:38:51,559 --> 00:38:54,199
Speaker 3: Okay, Yeah, I was just talking LSU. Yeah, he did

780
00:38:54,239 --> 00:38:56,719
that bad Cajun accent when he got hired at LSU.

781
00:38:56,840 --> 00:38:57,199
Speaker 1: I know that.

782
00:38:57,400 --> 00:38:58,880
Speaker 2: You know that's something I can't get out of my

783
00:38:58,920 --> 00:38:59,599
head as well.

784
00:39:00,000 --> 00:39:00,840
Speaker 3: It was so phony.

785
00:39:00,840 --> 00:39:01,639
Speaker 2: Who fell for that?

786
00:39:02,000 --> 00:39:02,519
Speaker 1: Anyway?

787
00:39:03,239 --> 00:39:08,559
Speaker 3: All getting aside, Ross, do we think that LSU? I

788
00:39:08,559 --> 00:39:10,679
mean you can Kelly get off the Schneider. Clemson did

789
00:39:10,760 --> 00:39:12,559
not look good in their season opener last year, by

790
00:39:12,559 --> 00:39:14,960
the way against Georgia, they got taken to the wood shed.

791
00:39:14,960 --> 00:39:17,000
Of course, they still want to winning the ACC But

792
00:39:17,880 --> 00:39:21,000
you're read on this battle of Tigers that I feel

793
00:39:21,079 --> 00:39:22,840
a lot of people are interested in Saturday night.

794
00:39:24,280 --> 00:39:27,119
Speaker 1: I have a strong opinion on the side it's going

795
00:39:27,199 --> 00:39:29,360
to be one of my picks on Saturday. So I'm

796
00:39:29,400 --> 00:39:32,920
gonna just be real limited as to say that both

797
00:39:32,920 --> 00:39:38,039
of these quarterbacks are considered serious Heisman Trophy candidates. Nuss

798
00:39:38,159 --> 00:39:42,719
Meyer for LSU and then it seems like Cade club

799
00:39:42,840 --> 00:39:46,360
Nick's been there for about twenty years at Clemson. Both

800
00:39:46,360 --> 00:39:50,159
of these teams are projected to have explosive offenses. In

801
00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:54,719
I agree with that assessment. You're looking at a Clemson

802
00:39:54,800 --> 00:39:57,880
team that returns just about everybody on offense as matter

803
00:39:57,920 --> 00:40:02,920
of fact, they're number one in returning production on offense

804
00:40:03,519 --> 00:40:06,920
and LSU is going to be dynamic on offense. And

805
00:40:07,239 --> 00:40:10,079
I you know, if I'm gonna give anybody a free

806
00:40:10,119 --> 00:40:13,440
pick on this play, which I did on my video earlier,

807
00:40:13,639 --> 00:40:16,480
it's going to be on over to total. So I

808
00:40:16,519 --> 00:40:18,679
think we're going to see a very high scoring and

809
00:40:18,880 --> 00:40:20,159
very entertaining game.

810
00:40:20,239 --> 00:40:23,719
Speaker 3: Brian all right, I see Titan CT there in the chat.

811
00:40:23,800 --> 00:40:27,519
He likes l s U plus three. Ralph Ross put

812
00:40:27,599 --> 00:40:29,719
up a very good point because you look at all

813
00:40:29,760 --> 00:40:37,000
of the top three top but not with.

814
00:40:37,000 --> 00:40:37,599
Speaker 2: These two teams.

815
00:40:37,800 --> 00:40:40,679
Speaker 3: These are two of the best signal callers, uh, returning

816
00:40:40,679 --> 00:40:44,159
signal callers in the country. I would say, so what

817
00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:46,039
do we got? What do you think here Clemson and

818
00:40:46,239 --> 00:40:48,480
l s U. We've we've got some people talking about

819
00:40:48,480 --> 00:40:50,800
the total, uh talking about the side.

820
00:40:50,840 --> 00:40:51,639
Speaker 2: How are you looking at this?

821
00:40:52,679 --> 00:40:56,119
Speaker 4: I think Clemson's legit national championship team this year.

822
00:40:56,199 --> 00:40:57,480
Speaker 5: I mean, what what they have back?

823
00:40:57,800 --> 00:41:00,679
Speaker 4: Everyone's talking about the most experienced tea. I mean, that's

824
00:41:00,800 --> 00:41:03,320
just a number that someone's throwing out. But to me,

825
00:41:03,360 --> 00:41:07,239
it's easy, guys, it is gayme. One, you're playing a

826
00:41:07,320 --> 00:41:10,960
ranked opponent, and when you have a significant edge on

827
00:41:11,039 --> 00:41:13,119
both the O line and the D line. With a

828
00:41:13,239 --> 00:41:16,119
quarterback in Klutonac who is as good as any that

829
00:41:16,199 --> 00:41:19,559
has twenty eight career starts, it's easy for me. Clemson

830
00:41:19,599 --> 00:41:22,360
returns four of their five offensive lineman starters.

831
00:41:22,679 --> 00:41:25,599
Speaker 5: And listen to this. They have had twenty eight I'm

832
00:41:25,599 --> 00:41:25,960
adding it.

833
00:41:26,000 --> 00:41:30,880
Speaker 4: Up fifty six, fifty sixty two, eight ninety. They've had

834
00:41:30,920 --> 00:41:33,679
one hundred and twenty three starts just the five starters.

835
00:41:33,920 --> 00:41:36,400
The only returning starter that is not back is a

836
00:41:36,440 --> 00:41:39,320
guy who was injured last year and started the year before.

837
00:41:39,679 --> 00:41:45,079
The D line returns three starters and the reliever. The

838
00:41:45,239 --> 00:41:48,239
last person that wasn't a starter started twelve games at Purdue.

839
00:41:48,639 --> 00:41:54,920
LSU returns one offensive lineman starter, one defensive end that

840
00:41:54,960 --> 00:41:57,639
returns that started eight games. Yes, they brought in a

841
00:41:57,679 --> 00:42:00,320
lot of recruits, but no question for me with the

842
00:42:00,320 --> 00:42:04,719
teams being close to even in my power ratings, having

843
00:42:04,719 --> 00:42:07,519
the home field edge, the O line, the D line,

844
00:42:07,679 --> 00:42:11,480
and a quarterback and riders Stephen Crewe, which is maybe

845
00:42:11,519 --> 00:42:13,559
better than LSU's I am.

846
00:42:13,519 --> 00:42:15,440
Speaker 5: On me Orange Tigers.

847
00:42:16,519 --> 00:42:20,039
Speaker 3: All right, there you go, club some love for Clemson

848
00:42:20,440 --> 00:42:24,480
there in the chat. I believe we had a question

849
00:42:24,639 --> 00:42:29,079
on Virginia Coastal Carolina. I will say this about that

850
00:42:29,199 --> 00:42:32,559
game on the Power Five, which I of course do

851
00:42:32,679 --> 00:42:34,639
every day here on the Wage Talk two channel had

852
00:42:34,639 --> 00:42:38,800
a special college football Futures edition, of course, I would

853
00:42:38,800 --> 00:42:40,400
make the case for Virginia to go over six and

854
00:42:40,400 --> 00:42:42,400
a half wins, because that's what we do on the

855
00:42:42,400 --> 00:42:44,599
Power five often make those cases that no one else

856
00:42:44,639 --> 00:42:46,199
wants to make. I don't know if you guys have

857
00:42:46,239 --> 00:42:48,199
a take on this game, but I think again, Virginia

858
00:42:48,280 --> 00:42:49,880
is one of those teams that needs to make a

859
00:42:49,880 --> 00:42:53,239
statement in the season, in its season opener.

860
00:42:53,039 --> 00:42:54,039
Speaker 2: I would actually lay it.

861
00:42:54,079 --> 00:42:55,480
Speaker 3: I know that Virginia is not a team that many

862
00:42:55,480 --> 00:42:58,280
people want to lay double digits with, but it would

863
00:42:58,320 --> 00:43:00,480
be It would be lay it or PA for me

864
00:43:00,480 --> 00:43:00,920
in that one.

865
00:43:02,079 --> 00:43:05,480
Speaker 1: I have a breakdown on this one. I don't like

866
00:43:05,519 --> 00:43:08,239
the game. That's where I'm gonna leave it. And Ralph,

867
00:43:08,679 --> 00:43:11,119
you know, I hate to take the lazy man's root here,

868
00:43:11,679 --> 00:43:14,119
but I'll leave it to you to give a breakdown here.

869
00:43:15,639 --> 00:43:18,280
Speaker 5: Well, you know I'm gonna make I'm gonna make one change.

870
00:43:18,320 --> 00:43:20,480
Speaker 4: Brian and I don't have an opinion on this, and

871
00:43:20,800 --> 00:43:22,920
it's by no means going to get to my window.

872
00:43:23,519 --> 00:43:28,280
And you know when Ross said, you know there's no

873
00:43:28,440 --> 00:43:32,239
look ahead in week one because you got to win

874
00:43:32,280 --> 00:43:33,239
your conference opener.

875
00:43:34,519 --> 00:43:35,840
Speaker 5: I think there can.

876
00:43:35,679 --> 00:43:40,079
Speaker 4: Be a look ahead going into halftime if you just

877
00:43:40,119 --> 00:43:43,079
blew out your opponent Coastal Carolina and you know you

878
00:43:43,199 --> 00:43:45,800
have to go to at NC State on deck. I'm

879
00:43:45,840 --> 00:43:49,079
afraid to lay that type of points with the superior

880
00:43:49,159 --> 00:43:51,840
team if they pull away. Now I don't think they'll

881
00:43:51,840 --> 00:43:54,360
pull away, but just in case they do, I.

882
00:43:54,280 --> 00:43:56,320
Speaker 5: Want to bring that up. That will take a look.

883
00:43:56,360 --> 00:43:58,840
Speaker 4: You know, I've never done that ross looking at if

884
00:43:58,880 --> 00:44:01,400
teams were a favor by twenty one or more and

885
00:44:01,400 --> 00:44:03,960
they led by seventeen or more at halftime, did they

886
00:44:04,039 --> 00:44:06,760
end up covering or not? That'll be interesting. So you know,

887
00:44:06,800 --> 00:44:09,119
maybe I'll bring that up on next week's show as well,

888
00:44:09,119 --> 00:44:11,960
because you know, maybe I'm wrong in that thought. And

889
00:44:12,000 --> 00:44:13,320
that's what's great about the database.

890
00:44:13,360 --> 00:44:13,599
Speaker 5: Guys.

891
00:44:13,599 --> 00:44:16,519
Speaker 4: We talk about these situations. We think we're experienced and

892
00:44:16,559 --> 00:44:18,679
we think we know what will happen, but until we

893
00:44:18,880 --> 00:44:21,320
really run those numbers, we don't know. We're just like

894
00:44:21,559 --> 00:44:25,079
espnists talking that breaking down games. But that's why the

895
00:44:25,199 --> 00:44:27,440
database is so important. I don't care if you bet

896
00:44:27,599 --> 00:44:31,719
the information, fade the information, but just knowing what the

897
00:44:31,760 --> 00:44:34,679
true information is is the only important thing that you

898
00:44:34,760 --> 00:44:35,599
have to pay attention to.

899
00:44:36,000 --> 00:44:38,159
Speaker 1: It makes a lot of sense, Ralph. And you know

900
00:44:38,239 --> 00:44:41,599
what I mean. Even I'm gonna go one step further

901
00:44:41,760 --> 00:44:44,880
beyond that is you might want to make a live

902
00:44:45,000 --> 00:44:47,840
better at halftime. If that big favorite opens up a

903
00:44:47,960 --> 00:44:51,239
huge lead and they're close to covering or are covering

904
00:44:51,280 --> 00:44:55,760
at the half, you know they're more more than likely

905
00:44:55,880 --> 00:44:59,159
gonna pull their starters. Okay, and look ahead to that

906
00:44:59,440 --> 00:45:03,199
next game that you're referring to, and the other team

907
00:45:03,280 --> 00:45:06,039
is you know they're not gonna want to be thoroughly embarrassed.

908
00:45:06,039 --> 00:45:08,960
They're going to be reluctant to polar starters. So uh,

909
00:45:09,360 --> 00:45:12,519
very good point, my friend. You're right on the ball.

910
00:45:12,719 --> 00:45:15,480
Speaker 5: Is always rough, Brian. Are you are you doing a

911
00:45:16,079 --> 00:45:16,719
pod tomorrow?

912
00:45:17,960 --> 00:45:20,639
Speaker 3: You're Power five doing the Power five? Absolutely yes.

913
00:45:20,679 --> 00:45:22,519
Speaker 4: I'll tell you what, how about if I get you

914
00:45:22,519 --> 00:45:24,559
that information tonight and you can share.

915
00:45:24,320 --> 00:45:25,679
Speaker 5: It on Power five tomorrow.

916
00:45:25,920 --> 00:45:27,920
Speaker 4: We'll look my favorites of twenty win or more and

917
00:45:27,960 --> 00:45:30,119
I'll give you the lead parameters and we'll actually look

918
00:45:30,119 --> 00:45:32,639
in game one what those records are and if they

919
00:45:32,639 --> 00:45:34,760
have a conference game on deck as well, I'll run

920
00:45:34,760 --> 00:45:35,480
that data tonight.

921
00:45:35,519 --> 00:45:37,320
Speaker 5: I'll have it for you first thing in the morning, Brian,

922
00:45:37,519 --> 00:45:39,079
so awesome to your show tomorrow.

923
00:45:39,480 --> 00:45:39,880
Speaker 2: Awesome.

924
00:45:39,920 --> 00:45:41,519
Speaker 3: Just another reason to check out the Power five.

925
00:45:41,519 --> 00:45:41,679
Speaker 5: Oh.

926
00:45:41,679 --> 00:45:43,320
Speaker 3: By the way, I'm fourteen and oh with free plays

927
00:45:43,320 --> 00:45:45,639
the last three days. Thank you very much, nice man,

928
00:45:45,639 --> 00:45:48,480
and only eight straight winners and baseball for your eight

929
00:45:48,519 --> 00:45:50,840
straight winners in baseball. Yes, I joked on Twitter this

930
00:45:50,880 --> 00:45:53,000
morning guys, and I've I'm on my best run in

931
00:45:53,039 --> 00:45:55,559
baseball just in time for the college football season. But hey,

932
00:45:55,639 --> 00:45:56,920
it doesn't matter what sport it is.

933
00:45:56,960 --> 00:46:00,079
Speaker 2: If it's winning, we like it something.

934
00:46:00,559 --> 00:46:03,960
Speaker 3: I agree Thomas Lynch in the Chats, Coastal is slipping

935
00:46:03,960 --> 00:46:06,400
and UVA is on the come up. Tony, Ellie, you

936
00:46:06,440 --> 00:46:08,679
talk about guys on a.

937
00:46:07,960 --> 00:46:09,840
Speaker 2: Hot seat there. He needs to get to a ball

938
00:46:09,840 --> 00:46:10,119
this year.

939
00:46:10,159 --> 00:46:13,920
Speaker 3: Otherwise I think they're kicking him out of Charlotteesville Ordre

940
00:46:14,079 --> 00:46:17,320
Dame in Miami. I think we have one more big

941
00:46:17,360 --> 00:46:22,519
game to discuss here. It is on Sunday. I think, Ralph,

942
00:46:22,840 --> 00:46:26,079
I'll let you hit on this in a second.

943
00:46:26,519 --> 00:46:26,840
Speaker 2: The try.

944
00:46:26,920 --> 00:46:28,519
Speaker 3: I know a lot of people say oh, Notre Dame

945
00:46:28,599 --> 00:46:31,519
their record against Miami. I don't think it's worth the

946
00:46:31,519 --> 00:46:32,079
price of eggs.

947
00:46:32,079 --> 00:46:32,480
Speaker 2: It's old.

948
00:46:32,639 --> 00:46:35,440
Speaker 3: You know, none of those players are suiting up in

949
00:46:35,519 --> 00:46:39,199
this game on Sunday. I had I had some questions

950
00:46:39,199 --> 00:46:40,559
on this game earlier in the week when I was

951
00:46:40,559 --> 00:46:43,400
on wager Talk. Today, I don't really like a side, guys,

952
00:46:43,519 --> 00:46:46,599
I think this is an undergame. However, ross, do you

953
00:46:47,360 --> 00:46:48,079
agree with me?

954
00:46:50,519 --> 00:46:53,000
Speaker 1: I won't don't disagree with you. I don't have a

955
00:46:53,000 --> 00:46:56,480
strong opinion in that regard. I will say this, Miami

956
00:46:56,599 --> 00:47:00,239
to me is like a child that keeps doing in

957
00:47:00,320 --> 00:47:04,880
the same thing and it's wrong, okay, and you scold

958
00:47:04,920 --> 00:47:07,000
them for it, and they come back and say, I

959
00:47:07,079 --> 00:47:12,440
promise it won't happen again. Every year Miami gets highly touted,

960
00:47:12,800 --> 00:47:18,159
is always somewhere somehow in the top ten rankings, and

961
00:47:18,360 --> 00:47:23,559
they thoroughly disappoint. Okay, So you won't catch me taking

962
00:47:23,599 --> 00:47:26,079
Miami in this game. If I have a lean, it's

963
00:47:26,119 --> 00:47:29,760
on Notre Dame. And you know what, rough, how do

964
00:47:29,800 --> 00:47:33,360
you bet on a Catholic school against a Catholic school

965
00:47:33,360 --> 00:47:35,760
on a Sunday, Buddy? I mean, there's got to be

966
00:47:35,880 --> 00:47:39,039
something in the database for that I heard the Catholic

967
00:47:39,079 --> 00:47:42,519
schools are like sixteen and one against the spread since

968
00:47:42,639 --> 00:47:45,880
nineteen eighty when playing on a Sunday. But you could

969
00:47:45,880 --> 00:47:46,840
tell it's better rou.

970
00:47:47,800 --> 00:47:51,639
Speaker 4: You know, in the eighties and nineties and two thousands

971
00:47:51,719 --> 00:47:54,480
ross I never lost on a BYU play in college

972
00:47:54,480 --> 00:47:56,719
basketball and college football that was playing on a Sunday

973
00:47:56,960 --> 00:48:02,559
because there wasn't that, you know, I this is a

974
00:48:02,599 --> 00:48:06,239
situation where I think Notre Dame is the better team.

975
00:48:06,719 --> 00:48:09,480
Carson Beck is very manageable. They cost what you know,

976
00:48:09,519 --> 00:48:11,719
what can for a million dollars get you. Well, Miami

977
00:48:11,760 --> 00:48:14,320
fan knows it's Carson Beck coming from Georgia to be

978
00:48:14,360 --> 00:48:15,000
your quarterback.

979
00:48:15,039 --> 00:48:17,119
Speaker 5: That's the price he got paid on the nil money.

980
00:48:17,519 --> 00:48:20,199
Speaker 4: But you know, the Notre Dame team to me, just

981
00:48:20,960 --> 00:48:22,639
you know, you want to talk about a team that

982
00:48:22,800 --> 00:48:26,039
just re keeps rehashing their defense and keeps getting better

983
00:48:26,119 --> 00:48:28,679
every year. And you know, when you have a running back,

984
00:48:29,159 --> 00:48:31,079
you know, when you have a running back like you

985
00:48:31,119 --> 00:48:33,760
do in Jeremiah Love. But I'll tell you what, don't

986
00:48:33,760 --> 00:48:36,360
get Miami's running back crew gone. They're just as strong.

987
00:48:36,719 --> 00:48:39,519
But Notre Dame to me, has a strong O line

988
00:48:39,559 --> 00:48:42,920
in the running game. So the question is can CJ.

989
00:48:43,079 --> 00:48:45,480
Carr do what he's supposed to do well? You know,

990
00:48:45,599 --> 00:48:47,599
it's interesting, you would think that it's you know, a

991
00:48:47,679 --> 00:48:50,239
true freshman is going to be a game manager with

992
00:48:50,440 --> 00:48:52,960
love in the backfield and this big O line. But

993
00:48:53,559 --> 00:48:56,039
he keeps saying the coach and the OC keeps saying,

994
00:48:56,039 --> 00:48:58,000
we're gonna let this kid throw. So we'll see what

995
00:48:58,079 --> 00:49:01,079
happens if he does have the ability to hit any

996
00:49:01,519 --> 00:49:05,199
passes twenty yards or thirty yards downfield, no name roles

997
00:49:05,199 --> 00:49:07,519
in this game. If he struggles with the deep ball

998
00:49:07,559 --> 00:49:09,760
and all they're getting are dinks and dunks and counting

999
00:49:09,800 --> 00:49:12,280
on the run game, I think Miami's d even though

1000
00:49:12,280 --> 00:49:13,679
it's not very experienced.

1001
00:49:13,920 --> 00:49:17,119
Speaker 5: They do have a solid D line, you know, I like.

1002
00:49:17,239 --> 00:49:19,760
Speaker 4: I like their returning starters in the front there with

1003
00:49:19,800 --> 00:49:21,599
a couple experienced linebackers.

1004
00:49:21,599 --> 00:49:24,239
Speaker 5: So I will sit and watch. If CJ.

1005
00:49:25,079 --> 00:49:27,599
Speaker 4: Carr looks good to me early and maybe they don't

1006
00:49:27,599 --> 00:49:29,960
have a big lead, this is the situation that I

1007
00:49:29,960 --> 00:49:32,119
would look to live bet. But I'm gonna be with

1008
00:49:32,239 --> 00:49:34,239
Ross on this. I'm gonna agree with again. I'm never

1009
00:49:34,280 --> 00:49:36,480
gonna be on the Miami side live betting this game.

1010
00:49:36,800 --> 00:49:39,079
If I like what I see out of CJ earlier,

1011
00:49:39,199 --> 00:49:42,559
it's potentially a live bet for Notre Dame. And I

1012
00:49:42,599 --> 00:49:44,559
agree with the under as well. I would That's the

1013
00:49:44,599 --> 00:49:47,119
only way I would look at this. Yeah, it is

1014
00:49:47,199 --> 00:49:49,000
the close game, real quick ross.

1015
00:49:49,000 --> 00:49:50,840
Speaker 3: If this is a close game, here's something you have

1016
00:49:50,880 --> 00:49:52,440
to be aware of if you're betting, if you're holding

1017
00:49:52,440 --> 00:49:57,079
the Miami ticket. Mario Christobal always does something dumb at

1018
00:49:57,119 --> 00:49:59,719
the end of games. He's not quite as dumb as

1019
00:49:59,719 --> 00:50:01,079
he used to be, but he's still dumb.

1020
00:50:01,159 --> 00:50:02,559
Speaker 2: At the end of games. I just wanted to add

1021
00:50:02,599 --> 00:50:02,800
at it.

1022
00:50:03,199 --> 00:50:06,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, Mario Crystobaal is another Hugh Freeze in my opinion,

1023
00:50:06,840 --> 00:50:11,559
a really good recruiter, excellent recruiter, but an EXSCE and

1024
00:50:11,639 --> 00:50:15,320
no guy and game day coach. No good point, Brian.

1025
00:50:15,639 --> 00:50:19,159
And the other thing is on CJ. Carr. Let's not

1026
00:50:19,239 --> 00:50:22,639
forget this is a guy who beat out Steve Angeli

1027
00:50:22,719 --> 00:50:25,840
in the spring, and Steve Angeli, if you remember, in

1028
00:50:25,880 --> 00:50:30,039
the Penn State game in the National semi final, came

1029
00:50:30,079 --> 00:50:33,119
in and put together a great drive before the half ended.

1030
00:50:33,639 --> 00:50:38,639
And Steve Angeli has since transferred to Syracuse, so they're

1031
00:50:38,800 --> 00:50:41,760
very high on CJ. Carr and I'm really anticipating and

1032
00:50:42,440 --> 00:50:45,599
I should say I'm looking forward to see how he

1033
00:50:45,679 --> 00:50:47,559
does in this spot.

1034
00:50:49,440 --> 00:50:51,920
Speaker 3: Danny, thank you for your kind words in the chat.

1035
00:50:51,960 --> 00:50:56,599
We like that you're appreciating the help. And Ralph, I'm

1036
00:50:56,599 --> 00:50:57,800
gonna throw this one to you because we had a

1037
00:50:57,840 --> 00:51:00,360
question about Georgia and Marshall. You reference to trend earlier

1038
00:51:00,360 --> 00:51:03,960
about these big favorites. Adam Watt is trying to find

1039
00:51:04,000 --> 00:51:07,559
a reason not to hammer the Bulldogs Earlier in the summer,

1040
00:51:07,639 --> 00:51:12,280
I talk about absolute humpster fire. This Marshall program is

1041
00:51:12,320 --> 00:51:15,000
heading into twenty twenty five. Their whole team left. If

1042
00:51:15,079 --> 00:51:16,920
you liked the Marshall team last year, well then you

1043
00:51:16,920 --> 00:51:19,159
should be betting on Southern Miss this year because the

1044
00:51:19,280 --> 00:51:21,840
entire team left and is now Southern Miss. But we've

1045
00:51:21,840 --> 00:51:23,599
got a thirty eight and a half point favorite again

1046
00:51:23,599 --> 00:51:27,639
big spread. You mentioned the trend favorites of thirty eight

1047
00:51:27,840 --> 00:51:28,480
or higher.

1048
00:51:28,920 --> 00:51:30,440
Speaker 2: Those teams have done quite well.

1049
00:51:31,159 --> 00:51:31,480
Speaker 1: Jordan.

1050
00:51:34,599 --> 00:51:36,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, I'm not going to get on to

1051
00:51:37,039 --> 00:51:38,760
Jill or I'm not gonna get on Penn State with

1052
00:51:38,800 --> 00:51:40,679
that trend. Just because it's a trend doesn't mean you're

1053
00:51:40,679 --> 00:51:42,920
gonna play it again. People ask all the time, and

1054
00:51:43,039 --> 00:51:45,920
I'll mention this a few times. I would say my

1055
00:51:46,000 --> 00:51:48,039
trends are about twenty percent of my plays. So I

1056
00:51:48,039 --> 00:51:50,239
look at situations, I look at matchups, I look at

1057
00:51:50,239 --> 00:51:53,679
line value, I look at situational handicapping.

1058
00:51:53,719 --> 00:51:55,440
Speaker 5: Put them all together. Each one is.

1059
00:51:55,440 --> 00:51:57,639
Speaker 4: About a fifth and they if they all line up,

1060
00:51:57,679 --> 00:51:59,840
then it's basically a five percent.

1061
00:52:00,239 --> 00:52:01,760
Speaker 5: That's basically how I go about it.

1062
00:52:01,960 --> 00:52:04,280
Speaker 4: If four out of five line up, I take a look,

1063
00:52:04,519 --> 00:52:09,159
do those four outvalue these? To me, George is the

1064
00:52:09,199 --> 00:52:12,360
only way I go with a with a Marshall, with

1065
00:52:12,480 --> 00:52:14,320
a Marshall O line, that is going to be a

1066
00:52:14,360 --> 00:52:17,559
train wreck. I'm gonna put the Georgia over under sacks

1067
00:52:17,599 --> 00:52:21,000
at about seven. So when you when you can get

1068
00:52:21,000 --> 00:52:22,800
that kind of pressure and probably hold a team to

1069
00:52:22,840 --> 00:52:25,599
one hundred and twenty total yards, you know, are you

1070
00:52:25,599 --> 00:52:26,800
gonna be able to score that much?

1071
00:52:27,079 --> 00:52:27,360
Speaker 5: Likely?

1072
00:52:27,480 --> 00:52:30,880
Speaker 4: So we'll see what happens over under seven sacks for George.

1073
00:52:30,880 --> 00:52:33,119
I'm going over all right.

1074
00:52:33,199 --> 00:52:37,199
Speaker 1: I think Marshall would be an underdog in their season

1075
00:52:37,280 --> 00:52:41,280
opener against any top fifteen team in the FCS right now.

1076
00:52:42,239 --> 00:52:44,519
That's how bad I think they are. I mean, it's

1077
00:52:44,559 --> 00:52:47,519
it's nothing against the kids, but they got put in

1078
00:52:47,599 --> 00:52:50,000
a tough spot. I mean, the coach leaves for Southern

1079
00:52:50,000 --> 00:52:53,440
miss takes what how many transfers with them from Marshall

1080
00:52:53,880 --> 00:52:56,000
after they had a great year. It's it's gonna be

1081
00:52:56,000 --> 00:52:59,679
a long year for Marshall. And you know, I don't

1082
00:52:59,719 --> 00:53:01,880
see any other way but to lay the thirty eight

1083
00:53:01,880 --> 00:53:05,000
and a half, although you'll never catch me playing that

1084
00:53:05,079 --> 00:53:05,760
kind of number.

1085
00:53:07,039 --> 00:53:10,119
Speaker 3: Ralph earlier mentioned these two guys number one and two

1086
00:53:10,239 --> 00:53:12,440
last year in college football. I'm gonna be letting them

1087
00:53:12,719 --> 00:53:15,559
talk about what they've got on tap for the weekend

1088
00:53:16,239 --> 00:53:18,480
in just a moment. But I just want to wrap

1089
00:53:18,559 --> 00:53:21,920
up these questions here before we do that Titan ct

1090
00:53:22,519 --> 00:53:25,000
any thoughts on USC in general?

1091
00:53:25,039 --> 00:53:26,400
Speaker 2: Could they win the Big Ten? I don't know if

1092
00:53:26,400 --> 00:53:27,360
they can win the Big ten.

1093
00:53:27,639 --> 00:53:30,599
Speaker 3: But on the AF fourmentioned Power five, I took a

1094
00:53:30,639 --> 00:53:33,199
long shot. I said USC north of four to one

1095
00:53:33,239 --> 00:53:36,559
to make the playoff. I think they do that.

1096
00:53:36,800 --> 00:53:38,079
Speaker 2: I think they're going to be a step up.

1097
00:53:38,159 --> 00:53:39,880
Speaker 3: This was a team that was a couple of plays

1098
00:53:39,920 --> 00:53:42,079
away from being a few plays away I should say

1099
00:53:42,119 --> 00:53:42,960
from being eleven and one.

1100
00:53:43,039 --> 00:53:43,360
Speaker 2: Last year.

1101
00:53:43,360 --> 00:53:46,800
Speaker 3: They had horrible close game luck. Georgia team total. I

1102
00:53:46,840 --> 00:53:48,800
guess that kind of goes again. We had that discussion

1103
00:53:48,800 --> 00:53:51,960
with Michigan New Mexico. I think Georgia would be a

1104
00:53:51,960 --> 00:53:55,880
similar situation there. And then John, we did talk earlier

1105
00:53:55,880 --> 00:53:58,360
about Alabama and FSU. I think all three of us

1106
00:53:58,360 --> 00:54:02,960
were in agreement. That could be a long, long afternoon

1107
00:54:03,280 --> 00:54:06,320
for the Knowles against an Alabama team that I know

1108
00:54:06,440 --> 00:54:08,480
Ralph has bet to win the national championship. I like

1109
00:54:08,599 --> 00:54:12,079
that Bets and Ross I believe had positive things to

1110
00:54:12,119 --> 00:54:14,119
say about it as well. Ross, how about you say

1111
00:54:14,119 --> 00:54:17,199
some positive things about yourself right now and talk to

1112
00:54:17,199 --> 00:54:19,760
the fine people about what you've got going on at

1113
00:54:19,760 --> 00:54:21,719
wagertalk dot com this weekend.

1114
00:54:22,599 --> 00:54:26,760
Speaker 1: Well, Brian, I am very glad that you asked number

1115
00:54:26,840 --> 00:54:29,840
one college football last year and both units earned and

1116
00:54:30,039 --> 00:54:33,239
win percentage number two two years ago. Over the last

1117
00:54:33,280 --> 00:54:37,079
two college football seasons, number one at wager talk dot

1118
00:54:37,119 --> 00:54:41,000
com and combined units earned. So why should you buy

1119
00:54:41,039 --> 00:54:44,920
my college football annual package for just five ninety nine

1120
00:54:45,039 --> 00:54:48,320
and get one hundred dollars off right now by using

1121
00:54:48,360 --> 00:54:53,679
the promo code blitz bli tz the name of his program.

1122
00:54:54,079 --> 00:54:57,519
Use the name of his program promo code at checkout

1123
00:54:57,880 --> 00:55:01,199
and that'll take that price down at four nine ninety nine. Wow,

1124
00:55:01,719 --> 00:55:04,760
and I gave it in numbers. Why would you want

1125
00:55:04,800 --> 00:55:09,480
to go anywhere else? Nothing against you, guys, but right here,

1126
00:55:10,239 --> 00:55:12,159
matter of fact, why don't you take all three of

1127
00:55:12,239 --> 00:55:14,320
us because we were in the top five, all three

1128
00:55:14,480 --> 00:55:17,920
last year. It'll cost you four ninety nine a piece.

1129
00:55:17,960 --> 00:55:19,880
How much does that added up to? Ralph will give

1130
00:55:19,880 --> 00:55:23,679
you that number. He's a got a calculator in his head.

1131
00:55:23,960 --> 00:55:26,480
And also number one in Major League Baseball right now.

1132
00:55:26,559 --> 00:55:29,519
I know we're talking college football, but number one for

1133
00:55:29,679 --> 00:55:33,280
the season in Major League Baseball right now in all sports,

1134
00:55:33,400 --> 00:55:37,880
Brian sixty one percent, Sin's May thirteenth and up one

1135
00:55:37,960 --> 00:55:40,840
hundred and one units. So a lot to like about

1136
00:55:41,880 --> 00:55:43,239
buying from me right now.

1137
00:55:44,199 --> 00:55:46,400
Speaker 3: All right, there you have it. They don't call the

1138
00:55:46,400 --> 00:55:48,840
Boss for nothing. Ladies and gentlemen. You heard it right there.

1139
00:55:49,360 --> 00:55:49,760
Speaker 2: Ralph.

1140
00:55:50,320 --> 00:55:54,199
Speaker 3: You mentioned you have a five percent play going this week.

1141
00:55:55,360 --> 00:55:56,320
Speaker 5: It is up Friday.

1142
00:55:56,559 --> 00:56:02,400
Speaker 4: It's a Friday night game, guys, and I humbly will

1143
00:56:02,440 --> 00:56:05,000
follow the Boss because I was number two in college

1144
00:56:05,000 --> 00:56:08,400
football nine to zero run on college football four percent

1145
00:56:08,400 --> 00:56:09,480
and five percent.

1146
00:56:09,159 --> 00:56:12,559
Speaker 5: Plays college totals last year four percent and five percent.

1147
00:56:12,639 --> 00:56:14,559
I only had four of them win a perfect four

1148
00:56:14,559 --> 00:56:16,280
to zero NFL.

1149
00:56:15,960 --> 00:56:18,840
Speaker 4: And college football regular season best bets four percent and

1150
00:56:18,880 --> 00:56:23,599
five percent seventeen and two eighty nine percent. Get my

1151
00:56:23,639 --> 00:56:27,360
five percent on Friday and the entire season four four

1152
00:56:27,519 --> 00:56:30,639
ninety nine. Again, the code blitz b l I TZ

1153
00:56:31,119 --> 00:56:34,199
works for Ross myself and mister Brian Power.

1154
00:56:34,440 --> 00:56:36,800
Speaker 5: Tell us about your weekend package.

1155
00:56:37,239 --> 00:56:40,159
Speaker 3: Oh well, thank you, Ralph. That was an excellent transition.

1156
00:56:40,639 --> 00:56:43,679
I would love to do so. Look, guys, we are

1157
00:56:43,719 --> 00:56:46,840
talking college football here. Top five finished last year, got

1158
00:56:46,840 --> 00:56:49,400
some play? I have a play up four tonight. I

1159
00:56:49,440 --> 00:56:52,519
have a play up for Sunday, already a four percent

1160
00:56:52,559 --> 00:56:55,320
best bet by four percent game of the week. If

1161
00:56:55,360 --> 00:56:57,920
you are a subscriber, you already have that play. You

1162
00:56:57,960 --> 00:57:00,800
will have the full rite up here, oh in about

1163
00:57:00,800 --> 00:57:02,360
an hour, and the rest of you will be. If

1164
00:57:02,360 --> 00:57:04,719
you're catching us on the replay, it should be available

1165
00:57:04,800 --> 00:57:06,840
for sale. Also, if you're catching us live, there are

1166
00:57:06,960 --> 00:57:09,239
benefits to watching the show live. Not only can you

1167
00:57:09,239 --> 00:57:11,559
get your comments in, guys, but day you got a

1168
00:57:11,559 --> 00:57:14,239
few minutes left to get my four percent best bet.

1169
00:57:14,320 --> 00:57:17,719
In Major League Baseball, As I mentioned earlier, Major League

1170
00:57:17,760 --> 00:57:20,519
Baseball has gone very well this week. We're on a

1171
00:57:20,519 --> 00:57:23,599
perfect eight to er run on the Diamond since Saturday.

1172
00:57:23,679 --> 00:57:25,840
Number one in MLB last seven days, number one overall

1173
00:57:25,840 --> 00:57:29,719
at wageer Talk the last three days. So WT dot

1174
00:57:29,800 --> 00:57:32,679
Buzz slash BP and yes, these guys both mentioned I

1175
00:57:32,679 --> 00:57:35,280
will reiterate it as well. Take one hundred dollars off

1176
00:57:35,320 --> 00:57:38,599
a college football season package with coupon.

1177
00:57:38,320 --> 00:57:40,480
Speaker 2: Code Blitz feed l Z.

1178
00:57:40,960 --> 00:57:43,000
Speaker 3: We spell it right up top on the screen there

1179
00:57:43,039 --> 00:57:46,679
for you. All Right, guys, I think we're done with

1180
00:57:46,719 --> 00:57:50,199
another edition of the Blitz two shows in. I think

1181
00:57:50,440 --> 00:57:52,440
we did a very fine job, if I do.

1182
00:57:52,400 --> 00:57:53,440
Speaker 2: Say so myself.

1183
00:57:53,760 --> 00:57:57,119
Speaker 3: Every Thursday, guys, we are live one pm Eastern immediately

1184
00:57:57,159 --> 00:57:58,239
following Andy Laying on.

1185
00:57:58,199 --> 00:57:59,079
Speaker 2: Wager Talk today.

1186
00:57:59,679 --> 00:58:02,880
Speaker 3: Thank you all for your participation. We'll see you next week.

1187
00:58:03,000 --> 00:58:05,280
Until that, let's cash some tickets.

1188
00:58:07,719 --> 00:58:07,960
Speaker 1: Yeah,