Speaker 1: Welcome to wager Talk today, the gold state of the
sports betting shows, where we talk the talk and we
walked the walk foot Ball Friday. Let's go, people. We
got everything needed from massive weekend of football. Yanni's gonna
get it started with the Steam Report. Teddy Covers is
gonna talk USC Oregon Colts, Chiefs, and we're gonna do
sell me. And we got a surprise coming up for
all you fine folks when we do sell me.
Speaker 2: This week.
Speaker 1: Marco is gonna join us talk Eagles, Cowboys, Pitt Georgia Tech.
He's gonna give us our Sauce of the week, and
Dan is gonna jump in and we are going to
do our super contest pick five segment at the end.
Buckle up, guys, huge, huge weekend of sports. We got
free plays in all around the world. Let's get going.
Hit the like button, please boost this algorithm. We got
a great show. Yanni. Let's bring in Yanni. Yeah, Yanni.
We talked yesterday like how big is the uh the
difference between C. J. Stroud and Davis Mills.
Speaker 3: It turns out not much at all.
Speaker 4: Yeah, That's how I felt, and that's why I was
on a four percent on Houston.
Speaker 3: I just thought that the droplets was warranted.
Speaker 1: Let's go. Great call. I was just telling Dan, I'm
mad I didn't use him in the super contest. I
just felt that that was a really obvious spot. And
Dan just said, what they're eleven bills are eleven and
twelve on the road in the last twenty three games.
So great call for you. All right, let's talk steam
report here, huge, huge Friday, Big Saturday, big Sunday. What
are you seeing right now? Let's start with what sport
you want to start with?
Speaker 3: College football?
Speaker 1: College football is do it?
Speaker 3: Why not? Let's jump into some college football.
Speaker 5: Now.
Speaker 4: We have two games tonight, two primetime games. I have
a package up to four percent in there already. Again,
you know how we're doing in college football early game,
Florida State and C State. Surprisingly, even though you're seeing
the Florida State at minus six, even some juice there,
public money's coming in opposite, they're taking the points with
in C State at least early on again, this one
opened five, went to five and a half, went the
six went is high as six and a half this morning.
That's when you saw some take back at six and
a half. So they didn't wait to get seven on
NC State, so it seems like six and that's why
some of the sharper shops are putting juice. So obviously
some sharp money early on Florida State Hawaii UNLV. This
line is sitting right where it opened. Some shops open
three and a half, but that got taken out immediately,
and we've been looking at three across the board. Some
two and a half's also as another primetime game where
the dog's getting a little more love than the favorite,
so not too much risk. And this is a good
spot to be a book maker because they're getting good
two way action and the line's not moving significantly, so
they're not going to get middled and they could pretty
much just sweep up that big unless the betting syn
tickets come in and take a huge position, you probably
won't see too big of a line movement on either
of these two games tonight. That's not the case tomorrow.
Real Quickly, let's go over some of the more one
sided steam moves in college football where I haven't seen resistance,
haven't seen take back. Instead, we're seeing follow through and
piggybackers as well. Real Quickly won nineteen ruckers over that
number one team Ohio State. They took them at thirty three.
They took them at thirty two as well. Old Domingion
that just keeps getting bet ten ten and a half,
eleven against Georgia Southern, another real popular bet, Michigan uh Steam.
Multiple groups laid the twelve, laid the thirteen, came back,
laid thirteen and a half against Maryland under the radar game.
They laid twenty six and twenty seven and twenty seven
and a half on Toledo against Ball State, Miszoo against Oklahoma. Dude,
this one's down the six and a half. I was
so surprised this morning.
Speaker 3: Nine and a half.
Speaker 4: They took out nine, they took out eight and a half,
they took out eight, they took out seven and a half,
they took seven, they took out they took out the sevens.
And now why you're looking at six and a half now,
And you gotta remember, the books are in a tough
spot when the keeps getting limit bets like that, like
you don't want to overmove, like move a whole point
point and a half and then get middle. So they're
doing a half point increments instead because it's around near
that key number, and because of that they were just
getting hit limit limit, limit limit.
Speaker 3: So a lot of love on MISSOO.
Speaker 4: My power ratings showed Oklahoma was actually undervalued under a touchdown.
Speaker 3: So we'll see Arkansas plus ten plus nine and a
half against Texas.
Speaker 4: Louisville against SMU, they took out the three and a half,
and more importantly, they took out the plus three also
on Louisville. Wisconsin Illinois. Want to bring this up because
I used Wisconsin on bet on It. We took Wisconsin
at nine and a half, took Wisconsin at nine eight
and a half and eight. I saw Illinois money come
in though yesterday at minus seven and a half, so
they didn't wait for Illinois to get down to seven
seven and a half, you saw another group come in
and take the Illinois side. So that's a difference of
opinion on Wisconsin and Illinois. LSU one sided wise guys
and the public lane twenty one and a half, twenty two,
twenty two and a half, and finally late game New
Mexico bringing it up because they laid the key number three.
They laid the two late the two and a half,
then laid the three as well against Air force.
Speaker 3: That's some of the college football steam for you.
Speaker 4: And also Oregon Oregon at nine and a half bringing
that up because that's also one sided from the public.
They're also betting Oregon. So there's some of that college
football info for you. Don't forget Last call tomorrow on Saturday,
and I will be releasing the first five percent college
football in a long time. This is only the fifth
five percent this entire season, and I've been sitting at
number one since about Week one, so haven't taken advantage
of promoting those big plays. But I do have a
bet that's warranted for a five percent play. That package
will be up today. I couldn't put it up early
because everybody would be crying, what's the five percent?
Speaker 3: What's the five percent?
Speaker 4: Sometimes timing on when the place to bet is as
important as what bet you're placing. So that'll be in
there today with that Saturday college football package, so you're
ready to go for tomorrow.
Speaker 1: That Missouri is action is really curious. That's a lot.
I mean, those are a lot of numbers that got
gobbled up. You an what they're seeing.
Speaker 4: No, I was looking at are there a bunch of
key injuries? I'm not seeing that like I'm not seeing
where it like. There's not that cluster injuries where you're like, okay,
they got two key wide receivers in are running back out.
They have no skill position players who are gonna throw
the ball to who's going to run.
Speaker 3: It's not like that.
Speaker 4: And like I said, even my power ratings show that
Oklahoma is now the right side at minus six and
a half. That's one of those games.
Speaker 3: Listen, if you.
Speaker 4: Got h plus nine eight and a half eight, you
place the good bet. You can't really, you know, argue
with it now where it sits. I do think it's
probably Oklahoma or Pass. I couldn't take missoo now at
six and a half. To me, that makes absolutely no sense.
And anyone that argues, really, I just need to share
this real quickly. Anyone in twenty twenty five that still
argues with you about closing line value, just ask them.
Why are the major books given promotions that are only
geared towards the final hour, final two hours, final day
of betting.
Speaker 3: In fact, I saw a big book.
Speaker 4: That a lot of recreational betters bet at, and they
are doing NFL on Sunday. I think like two or
three hours before kickoff at minus one.
Speaker 3: Oh two odds.
Speaker 4: Here's the difference between minus one oh two and minus
one ten and minus one oh two, you only have
to hit about fifty and a half percent to break even.
At minus one ten, you have to hit fifty two
point four percent. So they're giving you a two percent
break on uh, what your break even is because they
don't think an hour before, two hours before, three hours
before kickof that, the NFL is beatable. If anybody argues
with you in twenty twenty five, CLV doesn't matter. Tell
that to these billion dollar corporations that are taking advantage
of CLB and their betters.
Speaker 1: I'm looking at my draft kings right now. Let's see
what they're offering. Mystery Friday offer, So.
Speaker 3: You don't even know what you're gat just to get
something good.
Speaker 4: As long as you're losing to us, we're gonna give
you something mystery.
Speaker 1: It's on the front page NBA Mystery Friday Offer. Well,
all right, let's let's move. I'll pass, thank you, Draft Kings.
Let's take a look at NFL. Looks like biggest move
is probably Detroit. Here open at nine and a half,
you're seeing thirteens pop up. What else you're seeing in
the NFL.
Speaker 4: Yeah, some some solid games in the NFL as well.
Speaker 3: Here's the thing about.
Speaker 4: The Detroit that that it looks like off that look
ahead Detroit got money, but I saw it eleven and
a half the Giants getting picked off. That's interesting to
me because the public's gonna come in heavy on Detroit,
so there's no reason to have to get down on
the dog in that game early. Kind of the same
thing in that, like Seattle versus Tennessee. They knew the
public's gonna jump on Seattle, so what did they do.
They got out ahead and laid the minus twelve twelve
and a half on Seattle. Now, if you're able to
get fourteen come Sunday, rest ashore, that's what's gonna happen.
So here's what I'm seeing so far already in NFL.
Two forty three Jet Jets plus fourteen and a half
and plus fourteen two forty five Giants, like I talked about,
that was at plus eleven and a half, though two
forty seven New England one of the most one sided
teams this week. Wise, guys got out ahead, they laid
the four and a half and five since then, the
public's been.
Speaker 3: Driving that line up one of the more one.
Speaker 4: Sided bets, like Buffalo yesterday, seeing a lot of New
England against Cincinnati two forty nine, Seattle against Tennessee, we
touched on that they got out ahead of the.
Speaker 3: Public, but they bet the under as well.
Speaker 4: Usually you think a minus you know, twelve thirteen double
digit spread is correlated to the over, and a lot
of sportsbooks won't even let you parlay it. In fact,
a lot of those college football games that are have
those big spreads and low totals, they won't let you
parlay it.
Speaker 3: Because it's correlated.
Speaker 4: If a team covers minus thirty and the totals forty
one and a half, it's highly probable that it's going.
Speaker 3: To go over.
Speaker 4: And when it's correlated like that, they won't even let
you parlay it. Here, they're going opposite of the correlation.
They're going under forty two, under forty one, under forty
and a half.
Speaker 3: After laying double digits on Seattle.
Speaker 4: New Orleans, New Orleans because of the situation in Atlanta,
be careful because that's an injury move that's now been
factored into the price. That's why you saw take back
so New Orleans got bet early. They got bet as
a dog at the look ahead. They got betted pick
them when the line open. But at two and a
half in two I saw Atlanta money, which makes sense.
I thought they'd wait till but that didn't happen. And
why because it's the Saints. In what world should the
Saints be road favorites or favorites anyway? But it's the
Pennock situation. And finally, no team finer than the forty
nine ers. They laid the five and a half, they
laid the six and a half, and they are going
over over over over forty five and a half, over
forty six and a half, forty seven and a half,
forty eight and a half.
Speaker 3: So they really like that over.
Speaker 4: In San Francisco. And they also took the Raiders, the
LV Raiders minus three. And finally Arizona opposite one of
the more one sided bets, Jacksonville, they took the threes
with Arizona. Wow, we gave a lot of information today
for football. You guys just drop?
Speaker 1: Did you just drop? And nobody's finer than the forty
nine ers? You like, I caught that you weren't gonna
slide that by me, very very had to get that
in there.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 1: Yeah, so I just you.
Speaker 4: Just wait for their turn to talk in shows. I
noticed that when I'm doing shows most because they don't
even know what I just said. Like a lot of
times I'll be sitting next to the co host that
they'll just like bring up something. It's like, wait, didn't
I just spend eight minutes explaining that, But everyone kind
of just waits for their turn to talk.
Speaker 3: But my man pays attention. I love it.
Speaker 1: I just want to point out in the Saints game
that if you have a bet going, you're either wagering
on Kirk Cousins or the New Orleans Saints. And that
is one of the most terrifying phrases I've used all week,
that is that, yeah that's Gary. Let's move to basketball.
Speaker 6: Here.
Speaker 1: Are you seeing anything in college basketball? You see anything
in NBA? We can start with college basketball. I know
it's early in the day, but anything that we can
we can kind of pay to.
Speaker 3: Real fast here the early game.
Speaker 4: This one goes early sharp money on Butler public on
South Carolina. That's one of those if you're fade the
public guy want to lay the points with Butler that's
an early game also BYU sharp money three and a
half and four on BYU. Public's opposite. They're taking Wisconsin.
They're betting Wisconsin like that's one of the more heavily
one sided bets, especially early in the day. A lot
of Wisconsin money line action parlayed the later games, so
they think Wisconsin should not be a dog to BYU.
Speaker 3: Those usually stick out.
Speaker 4: Virginia against Northwestern, that line got away from US. Virginia
is now up, you know through that key two and
a half three in that's in basketball. But another sharp
sign that you're seeing the public opposite. They're taking Northwestern.
So the public's on South Carolina, Wisconsin and Northwestern, and
yet you have wise guys opposite that, and the same
thing later Florida State got steamed on the overnights and
then again this morning. And yet the Georgia State, Southern
whatever they're they're getting the public money now up over
seventeen eighteen.
Speaker 3: And finally where was that last one?
Speaker 2: Oh?
Speaker 4: Another one Coastal Carolina where the public's Western Illinois.
Speaker 3: So this is a weird day, man.
Speaker 4: Where I'm seeing pretty much most of the steam on
college basketball is opposite with the publics on. Now again,
I've lowered my volume a lot. But in the steam
sheet that went off yesterday, a lot of these moves
that have been confirmed will be in there. So those
guys that are handicapping, you want to check that out.
There'll be a lot of college basketball. There's already in there,
some Saturday college football or Sunday NFL that we got
out ahead. So you guys that handicap, you want to
make sure you check that out if you're you know,
following line moves and stuff like that. And at NBA
real quickly, let me see what sticks out where where
we Oh, cavaliers, Cavaliers got steamed? Another one opposite of
what the public they're taking Indiana with all those points.
Speaker 3: Nets.
Speaker 4: Publics on the nets. That's opposite sharp money on the Celtics.
And then where was it, Oh, where.
Speaker 2: Was that.
Speaker 3: Thunder?
Speaker 5: Thunder?
Speaker 4: Oklahoma City minus fourteen and a half, fifteen sixteen, sixteen
and a half. Public's on the jazz, but the wise
guys are on the thunder. It's gonna be funny when
the dust settles tonight, who wins, whether the sharps come
out ahead or the public comes out ahead.
Speaker 3: Going in the Saturday.
Speaker 1: Yeah. God, that's that's a real tough one. It's amazing
how good this Thunder team is. I mean they're just
casually laying seventeen points like every single game. Yeah, let's
go to UFC real quick before we let you go.
It's football Friday. We had the we had the gassy
of gets a new opponent Acosta, and I'm seeing money
come in on gasy Of at which I agree with.
This fight stinks to me, just just reeks of something
wonky going on. I don't see any massive line moves, anything,
any new information for UFC before No.
Speaker 3: I agree with you as a dog. I like Gazee. Listen,
I get it.
Speaker 4: Acosta didn't get no damage or anything. His fight was quick,
he was in shape. But dude, you're turning around in
less than you know, two weeks. The edge has to
be great on the Gazelle's side, that's just the bottom line,
and getting him at a dog.
Speaker 3: I don't think he's any worse than a coin flip.
I like that side.
Speaker 4: We talked about Loader, we both gave Loader. I want
to know your opinion. Before we were all on Horror,
Gucci and on back Off, I thought that the favorite
I lean the favorite, but I'm seeing a lot of
sharps on the Horror Gucci side saying he should have
never left the UFC. His only loss in the UFC
was against Mighty Mouse during Mighty Mouse's run and you
know rising and where he was fighting our elite and
stuff like that.
Speaker 3: So he's a live dog. What do you think?
Speaker 1: Yeah, he is a live dog. Tajir is just a
master at winning rounds. They're not spectacular, but he just
he just controls a minute left, he gets a takedown,
wins the round. So those rounds are close, and you're
in that area of the world where they like grappling
and wrestling. I think Cora Gucci is in a tough,
tough spot. He's gonna be all gas, no breaks. He's
gonna push the issue. Uh, it's it's dogg or pass
on that one. But the over two, I mean, y'all
either telling you what's gonna happen. Over two and a
half is minus three hundred's it's a gear fight, so
it's you know, it's probably going the distance. I would
say dog or pass, but I think there's better betting opportunities.
But I'm not getting in front of Tajer. He just
knows how to eke out those runs.
Speaker 3: That's what I thought too, That's what I thought.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's what I like too. Yeah, all right, y'at
a great football Friday. What do you have up for everybody?
It's a huge, huge weekend. What do you have up
for everybody?
Speaker 4: I had the college football pass the night already two
four percent on those primetime games. I have my college
basketball package up again, only I combine college basketball in
NBA because I'm only putting the four percents in there.
The strongest won. Yesterday's package won the package the day before.
I really liked well, it took seven years.
Speaker 3: To figure it out.
Speaker 4: Me and Johnny were lamping yesterday, but I think we
got the solution to get all this stuff out there
and not destroy, you know, the premium stuff with too
much volume. Saturday's College Football will be up within the
next sixty to ninety minutes. NFL Sunday's already up and availuable.
UFC's already up with four plays. Huge huge weekend ahead,
Let's do some damage. Best of luck to all you guys,
and again thanks for your support.
Speaker 1: Thanks Johnnie, appreciate it. Great week of segments.
Speaker 6: Good luck.
Speaker 1: Let's have a big, big weekend. So all right, we
are going to bring in Teddy covers a couple things
in the chat. But first guys, nice winner for us
last night in the NFL sweep the board. In NBA,
we lost our NHL, but we'll take a three in
one night every single day of the week, and we're
back at it today. NBA best bets are up. We
got a couple of props that are up, and I'm
going to do some research once we get some more
information on some of the injuries. But NBA Prop pack
is up. Our Sunday NFL Props pack is up. There's
one play in there now and plays are gonna come
out today tomorrow, Sunday, all the way up until kickoff
on Sunday, so you want to grab that. And then
we have our boxing best bet. We talked about boxing
last week and we're doing half price again. So now
we know it's a huge, huge week of sports, So
Johnny and them, we're letting us do half price on boxing.
That play goes off tomorrow. But really NBA and NFL props,
that's where it's at. That's where we build bankrolls. We're
at fifty eight percent in the NBA, and we continue
hitting fifty eight percent of our bets for the rest
of the season, we're gonna be in beautiful, beautiful shape.
So go grab that WT Dot Buzz slash al and
you can still get seven days of our NBA and
NHL props, both of them included. So seven days again,
get one pack. That's fine. Really really encourage everyone to
get a package seven days of those plays so you
can see what we can do for your bank roll
in the props market. All right, somebody says in the chat, Andy,
you have low eyes, and I didn't know what low
eyes is. Apparently low eyes is like if you're high.
I am not guys, Andy, Andy with the low eyes.
So it has been raining and cold NonStop here. My
allergies are up, and I freaking hate it when my
eyes swallow up. I literally have an ice pack here
trying to ice my eyes down so I don't look
high and it if I was high, that would be
one thing, and I get really really mad that I'm
not high, and I get accused of it, But no,
I am not high. If I did smoke anything this morning,
I would be in bed asleep and nobody would be
hosting this show. So but yes, think I didn't know
what low eyes was. Let's bring in Teddy. Hopefully his
eyes aren't low. Teddy, you eyes low this morning? Drinking
and smoking pot all morning? Are you feeling good?
Speaker 7: It's a little bit early in the day, you know,
with at nine am here on the Left coast. And sure,
you know, I felt like I never waked and banked
in my life. I have but on a football Friday
that I never waked, a big a football Friday. And
I'm not gonna start today. So uh, I appreciate the comments.
And of course I was reading. Never see that I
get mad at anything that I'm always mad. No, that
was just just with Press. You know, Press and Reds
makes me crazy more than anybody. You know, I'm normally,
I'm a you know, it's sure, I'm maybe I'm a
grumpy old man, but I'm not crazy grumpy.
Speaker 2: But Press makes me crazy grumpy.
Speaker 7: It's just he's just one of those guys, you know,
he's just when I see him, I'm already on edge.
Speaker 1: You know, I waked and baked once and I will
never forget it. They're like you when awaken bake, I
was like, yeah, I've never done that before. I was
asleep within five minutes.
Speaker 2: It's a short day.
Speaker 7: Waking bank makes for Yeah, you wake up, you hang out,
and then I'm past out.
Speaker 2: Yeah. Sure, It's not anything we need during season, you know,
in the middle of the summer. Maybe no way, you.
Speaker 1: Know, no, not on football Fridays, no way, no way.
I want to get to college football and NFL. But
last week, last week we talked about out the Thunder.
I'm having so much fun watching the Thunder and the
Denver Nuggets this season. I just think there's so fun.
I think they're so entertaining. And now you have the
Houston Rockets wondering if what do you think of these
three teams. I don't remember a three team race in
the Western Conference like this. I think they're They're all
three amazing and I love watching them.
Speaker 7: And right now they're one, two three in my Power
Ratings full league. You know, nobody in the East is
there yet. And again, we'll see what Cleveland looks like
or New York looks like as the season progresses. But
right now, the best three teams in the NBA are
all in the Western Conference.
Speaker 2: And you know, none of them are the None of
them are the legas the Lakers.
Speaker 7: You make an argument the Lakers are fourth with Lebron
back in the lineup, So we say, right now, maybe
the four best teams in the NBA are all in
the West.
Speaker 2: So for what it's worth, but entertaining basketball.
Speaker 1: Yeah, they're great. The NBA is having a resurgence. I
love the coverage that NBC and Amazon is doing.
Speaker 2: You love it.
Speaker 1: You watch the game and all they do is talk
x's and o's talk. There's no hot takes. I think
they're doing a fantastic job. Yeah, Teddy's always in his prime.
Teddy's always I was still people, Teddy. I wouldn't be
in this business if it wasn't for you. I listened
to you on a podcast and I was like, all right,
all right, I like that guy. I want to follow
that path. So I always appreciate for you.
Speaker 3: Curse me.
Speaker 7: You'll be cursing me in about ten years or so,
but for now it's fine.
Speaker 1: I didn't say I was staying in the industry, but
I think you got me in the industry. Let's talk
college football here. Let's go to USC Oregon. Really entertaining game.
This one should be fun. How do you break this
one down?
Speaker 8: Sure, so we're talking twelve thirty Pacific time, three thirty
Eastern time on CBS this Saturday, Oregon USC Top twenty
five Showdown, Oregon nine and one, USC eight and two.
Speaker 7: They're both six and one in the Big Ten. Dante
Love still Dante, I just stay, he's still getting love
in the hyphen races average one eight point six yards
per past that, but twenty one to five touchdown interception ratio.
Speaker 2: But something really stands.
Speaker 7: Out, at least it did to me when I started
looking at the Oregon Ducks full season schedule, and at
this time of year, that's what we're doing. It's not
about what you did last week, is what have you
done this year? Let's just go through the Duck schedule
real quick. In the Big Ten, well, any major conference team,
they played Oklahoma State, we can team in the Big twelve,
Northwestern Oregon State, now they're having a banner season. Rutgers, Wisconsin, Minnesota,
Penn State in overtime. The competitive games, well, Iowa eighteen
to sixteen, and they lost that home to Indiana. But
when you go through that list of opponents, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Rutgers,
Penn State, Oregon State, Northwestern oklahom mis date. That's a
weak slate, man, for being in mid November, that's a
really weak slate. And the two games where they had
to step up in class even a little bit, Indiana
lose out right, Iowa scored eighteen points and we're lucky
to win that game. So my gut reaction is not
to lay double digits with the Oregon Ducks. So can
we take USC in this ballgame? Heck yeah we can't.
The thing that us I mean, Jade and Mayava has
had a really good year at the QB position, But
as much as Mayava, it's the skilpish and talent around him.
You know, You've got Lemon who's been a monster this season.
I mean, you know, Makaya Lemon has been as good
as any receiver in the conference. And then you have
Jao Jacobe Lane, and then you have the tight ends
Lei McCree and Walker Lions. This is an offense that
I believe can trade points with Oregon. And defensively, I mean, look,
USC's biggest issue in big games for the last decade
plus has been on the defense side of the football.
And that's the question here is can that defense contain
the Ducks enough to keep this game close? But given
Oregon's track record or lack thereof, I can only take
USC plus two points in here. I'm not a Ducks
believer when it comes to laying double digits with this squad.
Speaker 2: I guess quality folks.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like where you're going with that. It's it's
really interesting to bring up bring up that schedule, RJ.
In the chat he says, yeah, it's big ten BS schedules.
I'm just looking at LA r J. I'm just looking
at LSU schedule. You know that tough Southeastern Louisi in
a game that you guys had, that tough Louisiana Tech
game that LSU had. But yes, I understand what you're
saying about about the scheduling. So, uh, Teddy, let's go
to NFL Colts Chiefs. Let's go the ramifications of this game.
It looked like a pretty good game before the season started.
But walk us through this game. What happens if either
team wins or loses? This is this is the big
one for me, Like in the playoff rates here in
the AFC, what do you make of this game?
Speaker 7: So look at my os Logic Live odd screen. Right
now we have a split line. There's Kansas City minus
three and a half is really the prevailing number right now,
but there's three with juice for the chief. So if
you like Indy, you want to take plus three and
a half. If you like Kansas City, you want to
lay minus three. And of course that's one of the
big advantages of the Odds Logic Live Odds screens. You
can see exactly what the book, what each individual book
has at their shop at that moment. Say all right,
I'm going to bet this here there and bet that
you know, bet that over here. So anyhow, Oslogic screen
showing us that there is a split line here total
mostly fifties, a little bit juice to the under forty
nine and a half out there as well for colts
and chiefs. And from a spots standpoint, in these eight
and two they're off a win versus Jagson overtime in
Berlin and a bye week. In theory, that's supposed to
be a good spot. I'm not convinced as the case.
I like teams going into their bye week off a loss,
not off a win. I like teams going to the
bye week not sitting at eight and two and feeling
like they're in position to get the number one seed
in the AFC, and he's not the best team in
the AFC. And we talk about impact injuries. In my mind,
to Forest Buckner is as impact an injury as you're
gonna find in the league that's not reflected in the
point spread. You know, Buckner has been a monster for
Indian defense. Their strength this season has all been about
their dominance in the trenches on both sides.
Speaker 2: Of the football. Buckner got hurt, Colt's.
Speaker 7: Defense has not been the same since, and that, to me,
that is something.
Speaker 2: Of a problem.
Speaker 7: Now. They should be getting Shavarius Ward back at cornerback
this week, but don't look like they're getting Kenny warback
this week. And that's a problem when you're talking about
Kansas City with submergency. I mean, there's nothing fraudened about
the Chiefs being five and five. Denver out gained them
by more than a half yard per play last week.
The Broncos had one hundred and forty seven penalty yards.
The Broncos went one to five in the red zone,
and Casey still couldn't beat them. And of course last
year they won every close game twelve and ZHO won
one score games this year, zero to five in one
score games. And when you don't have that confidence of yeah,
we've been doing this over and over again, it's not
necessarily easy to pick up that confidence here in mid November,
even with.
Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes behind center.
Speaker 7: That being said, every quote out of Kansas City that
I've seen this week is urgency now. Urgency now. Those
are the type of quotes I would rather pay attention
to than ignore. Am I thrilled about laying three and
a half with KC?
Speaker 2: No?
Speaker 7: When I lay three, that's the only way I can
look at this one Chiefs or pass for this better.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's crazy to think the Chiefs could
potentially be five and six.
Speaker 2: Of course they I mean.
Speaker 7: Even you know, so Kansas City won nine straight division titles,
all right, and when you do that, there's always a
hiccup season. The Patriots had hiccup seasons throughout the Tom
Brady year. It wasn't like they were in the super
Bowl every single year, in the conference championship game every
single year.
Speaker 2: And this could well be that for KC. You know,
there's not a client play for me.
Speaker 7: It's not going to be a client play for me,
because that's how little I trust the chiefs right now.
But if I had to play it, I can only
look at the Kansas City side.
Speaker 2: But they live here.
Speaker 7: They're five and six, and maybe we start to say,
let's let's start fade.
Speaker 2: You know, there's urgency the questions. Are they good enough?
Speaker 1: The Browns are just a hiccup. They don't have picked
up seasons, pick up franchise. So all right, it's time
for sell me. And we got something special to announce
to everybody. All right, so Teddy, here's here's a special announcement. Yeah, yeah,
it is.
Speaker 2: It is.
Speaker 1: So I called Johnny to ask him if this was okay.
Johnny made the mistake of not calling me back. So
we're just gonna do it. So we're gonna do sell Me.
And in the comments section after the show, type the
name Andy or Teddy, which side you think is right,
and put your wager talk user name, and whoever wins,
we're gonna go in and we're gonna pick a winner
and they get a free three day pass. How's that.
So we're gonna make this interesting. We're gonna make this
interesting for the people. So let's bring in Dan. We're
gonna do sell me. So Dan, first off, explain the
segment and also show let's explain this very easy for
people to.
Speaker 6: Under Yes, we'll break it down, and Andy, you'll show
those usernames and how they should do it. One thing
I want to say before we transition fully into sell
me is as an Eagles fan, I saw many of
Andy Reid teams at around five hundred or below five hundred.
If Andy Reid still has some juice, that's when he's
at his best five hundred or lower. Andy Reid teams
seventy four and forty nine straight up, eighty forty seven
and one against the spread, so nearly double the amount
of wins and covers when his teams are at five
hundred below. How do you get such a sample size?
You're the head coach of the Philadelphia Eagles. That's how
all right, guys sell me time and what we do
if you never watch this segment before I choose a
side or two sides, and these guys have to sell
us on the spread of which team will cover the game.
So these guys we're not sure which games, I give
them a little list of what it might be so
that they can prepare and they don't know which side
they're gonna break down. So the new little wrinkle that
we're gonna do is after the show goes live, not
in the chat right now. After the show goes live,
comment below whether you think Andy is correct or Teddy
is correct, and also share your wager talk username, so
you write it just like this, I think Teddy's right.
Then you write Titan CT or whatever your wager talk
username is, or do you like the San Antonio Panthers?
And Andy you comment below with your username, so now
you know the rules, and what do you get if
your guy wins? Who you back wins, We're randomly gonna
select one of the people who chose them for a
free three day pass. That easy. All you do is
comment below wager talk username who you think is gonna
cover and here we go, gentlemen, I think this one's
actually a little intriguing. Who would have thought that late
November we're talking about these Steelers and the Bears as
an in intriguing, you know, division leading type matchup here,
and we got we'll grade this one at two and
a half. It's pretty much yeah, it's painted two and
a half total is forty five and a half and
I was looking at the injury report. Aaron Rodgers was
limited yesterday. Does he play? I haven't seen him officially
be ruled out. So, Teddy, you're the one that gets
the question mark at quarterback. I always do it to Andy.
So you get the quarterback question mark of the Pittsburgh
Steelers as the road dog, and Andy, you let us
know why Chicago's gonna cover. But Teddy, you're up first.
Pittsburgh Steelers sell me on this side.
Speaker 7: So from a power rating perspective, the difference between Aaron
Rodgers and Mason Rudolph is maybe a half a point
a point at the most. You can argue that it's
worth nothing. So I'm comfortable with Pittsburgh, regardless of whether
it's Rudolph, who's been a starter in this league before
for multiple seasons, or Rogers. Doesn't matter who's at QB.
What does matter is that we got Pittsburgh coming off
of lost Kigo, coming off another division win, you know,
And we think about Chicago this season. I understand they've
been remarkable at finding ways to win close games, at
finding ways to steal games in the fourth quarter.
Speaker 2: But it's not say it's all about turnovers. But it's
been a lot about turnovers.
Speaker 7: And when you have the best turnover difensional in the league,
when you created more takeaways than the other team in
the league, those are not necessarily things that translate from
one week to the next, from one game to the next. Therefore,
look powering standpoint, these two teams are basically even catching
two and a half. I'm all Ears with the Steelers
Pittsburgh plus the points, steel curtain time.
Speaker 6: And if it is Mason Rudolph, as Marco has pointed
out many times on bet on It here on the
channel around the holidays, with a name like Rudolph, that
could be part of the handicap.
Speaker 3: That's all I'm saying.
Speaker 6: Andy, So you're fighting against that Rudolph with his nose,
so red, you're taking It's Williams two and a half.
What do we think?
Speaker 1: Not even December? It's not hey, but you're prepping already.
Speaker 6: You're prepping already. You think Rudolph sleeps. Rudolph never sleeps.
Speaker 1: All right, Well, I will take the Bears to beat
the stuffing out of the Steelers here this week. Listen,
this Bears team started off oh to two and they
put it together. New coach is starting to figure it out.
Caleb Williams playing much better. They're only lost since that
to two start is at the Ravens. They've benefited from
an easy schedule. Is this really a tough game? You're
you're facing an either injured old Aaron Rodgers or Mason Rudolph.
I just like what this Bears team is doing. I
like their coach. Have you seen the coach in his
post game talks where he's like, I don't care how
we win, It's all about winning. This is what we do.
This is we're not apologizing for winning. Yeah, the Steelers
team is completely fraudulent. DK metcalf is upset, he's old.
Jalen Warren is banged up. Steele Kurtin. I'm just not
buying into the defense. And this is a home game
for the Bears, their last few home games. Nice win
against the Giants, nice win against the Saints, nice win
against the Cowboys. I'm in on this Bears team. This
is a Bears team that is seven to three. And
I put this Bears team in the same category as
the Patriots where sometimes you just have those really lucky
years where the schedule falls your way, you win some
of the close games. Teddy brought up a good point
about the Chiefs. Hey, this is like a hiccup season.
This is the opposite of the hiccup season for the
Patriots and the Bears. I'm not gonna get out of
the way of this Bears team. They win, they cover.
I'm completely out on the Steelers right now.
Speaker 6: All right, so you heard the please everyone for the side.
So do you think Teddy and the Pittsburgh Steelers cover
or do you think Andy and the Chicago Bears cover?
Comment below after the video goes live, Andy and your
wager Talk user name, or do you think Teddy is
gonna be covering? Comment below, Teddy with your wager Talk username,
and you're automatically entered in. If your guy wins, your
side covers, you're gonna be getting the potential three day
free pass here from a handicappers. Good stuff, gentlemen, well done.
I like the new wrinkle. I'm excited to see. We're
gonna have lines in the sand now.
Speaker 2: In the comments.
Speaker 1: I'm excited.
Speaker 6: Now I don't have to be the one to decide.
Speaker 1: Johnny doesn't call me back. We're giving away free stuff,
Teddy tell everyone. What you have for everyone at wager
Talk Huge weekend.
Speaker 7: Sure, sure, I mean this is this is the time
of year where you want all access. We got all
access a great deal for the rest of the football season.
If you want to get board. We got the Weekend
Warrior Packages forty nine dollars for football or hoops or both.
My homepage, Dot Buzz, Backslash, TC and of course always
follow me on x at Teddy Underscore covers.
Speaker 1: Teddy covers huge part of football Friday. Thank you so much,
Teddy have a big weekend. Go check him out at
wager talk dot com. Let's bring in Marco. We gotta
break down some games. And after Marco, we're gonna get
do some free plays and then we're gonna you're gonna
break down our pick five Marco. I really wish people
had a chance to be in the green room here.
One of my favorite things is just watching you waiting.
Marco logs in early and we can see him and
he's just like he was just like stretching. You sit
with your arms folded, like you're judging us on how
good our segments are.
Speaker 6: Well the arms you've given stuff away? Do you remember,
do you remember what you tried to.
Speaker 3: Do last week.
Speaker 5: Okay, at least this time you preference it will pull
one name. Okay, So Johnny didn't get back to you that.
Speaker 6: That's fine.
Speaker 5: When I broke down Denver in Kansas City last week,
you wanted to be funny and make a reference to
the deli, and you said, if I nail the score,
because I gave the score, you said, free sandwiches for everybody.
Do you remember what my score was? I predicted twenty
three to twenty. The final score was twenty two to nineteen.
Speaker 1: Oh wow, that's pretty Yeah.
Speaker 5: Yeah, you almost gave away my intelligence, my entire deli
last week.
Speaker 6: Okay.
Speaker 5: So yeah, I'm sitting back like, what the hell are
you doing?
Speaker 1: Andy, I'm just getting listen. All you do is call
me back and I'll stop giving stuff away.
Speaker 6: Just having fun with you.
Speaker 1: Oh this is great, This is great. All right, let's
jump in. Eagles, Cowboys, Dan's Eagles. I don't know if
you've watched the show Marco, we've nicknamed the Eagles. They're
now called the Philadelphia Tango and Cashes, named after a
movie that's terrible but really fun to watch, and that's
kind of what the Eagles are They're just not very good,
except they just keep winning. Three and a half line
is curious to me. Over under forty seven and a
half cannot wait for your breakdown. What do you think
of this one?
Speaker 5: Well, first of all, Philadelphia is the twenty twenty five
version of the twenty twenty four version of the Kansas
City Chiefs.
Speaker 6: You know this is a team.
Speaker 5: You know that seven of their eight wins have been
by seven points or less. You know, didn't we talk
about that all last year with Kansas City? How they
just kept squeaking by, squeaking by. They got all the
way to the super Bowl. So that would make Dan happy.
But if it follows suit the ending in the Super
Bowl wouldn't be so happy for Dan because Kansas City
ended up getting blown out. I look at this one
and Philadelphia last two games, they've scored ten and sixteen points.
That's got to be a little bit of a concern
if you're a Philadelphia Eagle fan. But in fairness, they
did have to go two weeks ago to Green Bay
play at lambeau Field, not a tough place or not
an easy place to play. And then last night or
last Sunday night, I should say, playing against Detroit. Yeah,
holding the Lions to the small total that they did
nine points. But let's put everything in. You know, it's
a proper.
Speaker 6: Set.
Speaker 5: You had Dan Campbell just keep passing up on you know,
kicking field goals and stuff on fourth downs. You had
weather conditions. It was windy on Sunday night, and so
it turned into a, you know, a defensive game. I
don't see that this time. You remember when these two
played back in Week one, that was the Thursday night
game and total was about the same. And I remember
it well because I had the over in that game.
Score at halftime was twenty one twenty. I'm like, oh,
this thing's soaring over the total. I don't even have
to watch the second half. And actually I wasn't watching.
I was checking on my phone because the WNBA was
still running and I was at Amandalay Bay watching the Aces.
Speaker 6: And then we had that.
Speaker 5: Long delay in that game, that weather delay, and it
seemed like just to derail both teams, and they only
scored three points in the second half. I think you're
gonna see a much different game this time. Yeah, let's
not get excited about the new Dallas defense. Everybody on
Monday Night football, you know with their acquisition. Oh yeah,
look how much better they are. Did you see who
they were playing? That was Geno Smith and the Raiders. Okay, yeah,
any defense is gonna look good. I think this is
the breakout game for Philadelphia to score, but I don't
trust them laying the points on the road because as
we know, Dallas can score points. So where am I going?
I'm going over the total, guys, I think it's going
to be a track meet on Sunday, and I'm going
over forty seven and a half.
Speaker 2: For the show.
Speaker 1: I was. I'm so glad you brought that up. I
was dying on the on the on the game against
Geno's Smith, Like Gino Smith takes the ball and just
holds it and holds it and holds it and holds
it and he gets sacked. And there's collins Worth. Oh
look at Quinnin Williams getting pressure on the cornerback. I
could have gotten pressure on the quarterback. What are you
talking about? Uh, Marco, have you ever seen kneel downs
at the end of a game?
Speaker 5: Like?
Speaker 1: I thought that was embarrassing that professional franchises kneeling down
with like with like almost three minutes left, in the game.
It was absolutely terrible.
Speaker 5: If you remember earlier in the year when they got
steam raised by Kansas City thirty one to nothing, Kansas
City was taking knees with three minutes to go. They
it was they didn't want to embarrass him anymore, you know,
Andy Reid out of respect to Pete Carroll.
Speaker 6: Yeah, yeah, it's it's bad.
Speaker 2: It is really bad.
Speaker 5: And I don't know, you know, you know, I do
radio here and when we talk about the Raiders, why
Pete Carroll is married to Gino Smith. You know, at
some point, you know, he convinced him to come here there,
and that's the problem when you know you've got a
coach and a quarterback. It's a bad situation here. But
the options aren't great either. You know, your your backup quarterbacks,
Kenny Pickett.
Speaker 1: Could could it be worse? I don't know. It might
take a drive, might take it for a test drive.
All right, let's go to college football. Pitt Georgia Tech.
I just love this Georgia Tech team. They they just
their quarterbacks. He's kind of a maniac. I can't believe
that they keep running him the way that they do.
His touchdown prop has been amazing. You know me, I'm
a Props guy. He's touchdown. Prop's been incredible this season.
They have this huge game coming up against Georgia where
like they beat Georgia, I mean, they're just they're in
What do you make of this Georgia Tech team minus
two and a half against Pitt over under sixty one,
big total this week.
Speaker 5: Big total this week. I'm gonna take you right through
my thought process on this game, because I'm gonna be
honest with you. I looked at this game a lot
this week, and I've been back and forth on this
game all week. I'll tell you how where I settled
at and I'll tell you how I started out. Let's
start with the line. You look at this Georgia Tech team.
They're ranked inter playing an unranked Pitt Panther team, and
they're only a two and a half point home favorite.
Georgia Tech is the only team this week in the
ACC that actually controls their own death. They win Saturday,
they are locked into the ACC Championship game. Now, there's
a lot of debate if this year an ACC team
winning the conference as an automatic into the playoffs or not,
because the ACC has not been deemed a strong Conference.
That's another debate for another day. But they do control
their own destiny in early laying two and a half points.
Then you have when I talked about it last week
when we broke down the pit Notre Dame game. Pat
Nardoozy in his comments last week, okay, prior to the
Notre Dame game, he said, I don't care if Notre
Dame beats US one hundred and three to ten. The
only thing that matters is the next two ACC games. Okay,
So if you really buy into that, then all right,
you know this is what Pitt was working for. This
is what Pitt was pointing to. They're gonna show up.
Then you look at Georgia Techs game last week. They
were a sixteen and a half point favorite in they
only one thirty six to thirty four against Boston College.
What the hell's going on? Well, if you look at
that game, and even though they had two weeks to
prepare for that game, it was their first game after
their first loss of the season. We always talk about
that carryover effect. Did they come out flat, did they
have that hangover? But they found a way in the
end to win. The game wasn't pretty, but they got
the win. I do like taking good teams that have
a major scare because that next week you've got a
totally focused team. They're going to hit the practices, they're
going to be in the film room. You're going to
get one hundred percent effort for sure. So that starts
swaying me to the Georgia Tech side. Then I looked
at the x's and o's guys, and I don't know
how Pitt stops this running game of Georgia Tech. They've
got a running game that is scary, and what's even
more scary is then you look at the passing game.
But Pitt has had problems this year against some good
running teams. West Virginia ran for one hundred and seventy four,
Florida State ran for one seventy, and NC State ran
for one sixty one. And once the running game's going,
it just sets up that passing game. Only one team
has held Georgia Tech under one hundred and fifty yards
rushing this year. That was Clemson. And as I said
that passing game, six of ten games this year over
two hundred and twenty three yards passing.
Speaker 1: But did you look at their last.
Speaker 5: Three games three oh four four oh eight and three
seventy one that ended up putting me on Georgia Tech
in this one.
Speaker 6: Being the Pitt.
Speaker 5: Panther fan, you know, I don't bet with my heart.
I bet with my head and it landed me on
Georgia Tech.
Speaker 1: Love it, Love it, Yeah, Haines King last game was
the only game this year he hasn't rusted for a touchdown.
He still us fifteen times guys one hundred and forty
eight carries. He's a quarterback, that's what quarterback. Uh, let's do.
I can't wait for Sauce of the Week. I think
it's becoming my favorite segment. And next week we're gonna
do we did Halloween, Katie. Next week we're gonna do
your favorite Thanksgiving dish and we're going to compare that
to a team. But let's do Sauce of the week
before we do Sauce of the Week. Televerroone, what we have?
We got Weekend Warrior that's still going on. We had
a big, big weekend teleroone.
Speaker 2: What you have up?
Speaker 5: Yeah, guys, we've got a special going a way And
of course the Weekend Warrior is always a great way
to go if you're looking at just football, college and pro,
and guys, we have been absolutely smoking thirty four and
seventeen last twenty two days with all of our plays
up forty forty four hundred dollars a little over forty
four hundred dollars in just three weeks. My five percent plays.
We cashed another one last week with Seattle. Had to
sweat a little bit, but we got there in the end.
That's all that matters. And we're now thirty seven and
sixteen with those plays since February of twenty twenty four.
We're gonna have another one of those college four percent
and five percent plays this year, eighteen and six in
college football, and I've got one going tonight, guys, So
check that out over at a wager talk. But if
you won a long term deal with football, you want
to go through the Super Bowl, get all of the
college plays, all of the NFL plays, all those five
percent plays. Any cap wager talk right now this week,
you can get it for three hundred and seventy nine dollars.
That's best way to go if you want to lock
up all the football, because guys, you've got Thanksgiving next week,
You've got football from Thursday through Monday, NonStop action. You know,
Black Friday, you got all of those great rivalry games.
And then of course once bullseason starts, man, it's like
football every day. So jump on board a long term,
save yourself some money, and continue the winning.
Speaker 1: All right, Marco sauce me, let's do the sauce. Let's
do the favorite wing sauce of the week. And what
team player, coach? Who are we comparing it to?
Speaker 5: Okay, well, you know I like to pick on people,
so my target of my rant might be at directed
squarely at maybe the dumbest human being in sports.
Speaker 6: That's gonna be Jamar Case.
Speaker 2: What in the.
Speaker 5: World it's stupid and disgusting enough to spit on another player,
you know, Jalen Ramsey of my Pittsburgh Steelers last Sunday.
But if that's not bad enough or dumb enough to
stand in front of all of the postgame reporters and
sit there and deny that you spit on Ramsey. When
you're playing in the National Football League, they got as
many cameras on the field as casinos here in Vegas
have cameras in the casino. Okay, you're not getting away
with anything. And then to sit there and just deny
it absolutely stupid. Okay, but you know what, I am
the bigger man here, Okay, I am going to take
the high road against mister Chase, and you know what,
bring Andy back in because I want, you know, I
want to explain this to Andy. I'm taking a little
bit of a side turn here. I'm gonna give you
my favorite restaurant because I'm gonna buy mister Chase dinner. Okay,
I'm gonna give him my favorite chicken wing place from
Pittsburgh and give him the wing sauce. But I'm gonna
go a step further. I'm even gonna set him up
with the perfect date for his magical evening. Okay, we're
gonna go to We're going to Quaker Steak in Loup Okay.
It's a wing chain here in Pittsburgh, all right, we
originated here. I love their wings. And because mister Chase
went to lsu the wing sauce that we're gonna order
for him is going to be Quaker Steak in Lube's
Louisiana Liquors. Okay, it's a spicy cage and sauce with
a little bit of barbecue. But he needs somebody to
go to the restaurant with him on this date. And
I thought and thought about it, Andy and I got
the perfect date for him. They've got so much in common, okay,
because they both became famous for basically the same act.
And I'm gonna set him up with the poor girl,
so you know what, they both can just spit on
that thing.
Speaker 6: I'm sorry, there it is.
Speaker 5: I think it is where I'm supposed to drop the
mic and just leave.
Speaker 1: But oh, should we have a meeting with human resources
at two o'clock or three o'clock today? Marco?
Speaker 5: All right, all right, at least I'm buying the dinner, okay,
I'm paying for the magical night.
Speaker 1: Chase in the Hawk to a girl going to the
quake because they loom. Oh my god, I didn't see
that coming a mile away.
Speaker 6: Marco.
Speaker 1: That was That's your best week sauce of the week
spent on that thing. You feel me? All right? Mar Well, now,
I definitely Johnny's definitely gonna call me. We're giving away
stuff and all right, Marco, that was fantastic. I god, damn,
there's no there's no besides, you're awesome and you make
football Fridays the absolute best. But if that doesn't earn
a week can Warrior by I don't know what does like.
Come on, people, listen. If you're gonna buy my stuff,
don't go buy Marco because that was just that was
the best, absolutely incredible Marco D'Angelo. Thank you so much, man,
you make football Fridays better. Thank you so much, Marco D'Angelo.
I have a good one, guys, Thank you Marco. Dan,
you want to jump in for this.
Speaker 6: Well done, Well done.
Speaker 1: I didn't see that coming.
Speaker 6: The chat was bewildered. I just like Rob Maddock. Oh lord,
it was bewildered.
Speaker 1: Who I was. I thought he was gonna I thought
he was gonna take your guy from the Eagles who's
spent on the player in week one?
Speaker 2: Uh?
Speaker 1: But no, he goes for the absolutely absolutely we have
a bet here, uh that we're gonna make it here
the chat here, What do we got? Says David's gonna
challenge me for a three day package?
Speaker 6: David, dem Johnny's really gonna be happy. We're just giving
last packages like crazy. Yes, you gotta win this one, Andy,
so he has to buy it.
Speaker 1: Okay, all right, we'll do it, all right, I know
what I'm gonna do, Dan, let's do all around the world,
and then let's bring you back on and let's do
our Pick five super contest. Let's give aways some free plays,
and David, I'll pick the game here, all right, some
free plays here. We're gonna start with the NFL Cardinals Jags.
Give me Jacoby Brissette over two forty seven and a
half passing. What more do we need to see? This
Cardinals team just really can't run the ball. Brissett over
and all starts. This season, the Jags are twenty fifth
in pass defense. Jacoby Brissett over his passing. Oh, here's
under the radar. Tajy Spears over two and a half reception.
He's gone over in his last five games. Seahawks third
worst in the league giving up receptions to running backs.
They give up five point four catches. It's a little
bit juicy. You're looking at minus one forty, minus one fifty,
But I do love this Tygie Spears over his receptions.
And then we're gonna go tonight to the Pelicans and
Mavericks Zion under twenty two and a half points. Keep
in mind, guys, he played last game, but he is
coming back from a handstring injury. He didn't even play
thirty minutes. He came in at twenty nine minutes. He
only had fourteen points thirteen shot attempts. This is Zion
maygo down. Is one of the biggest what ifs. I
called this from the very beginning. I thought his NBA career,
sadly was gonna be a disaster, and it kind of
has been. I just don't think he's gonna get the
minutes and the production here. This line is way overinflated.
So I'll take Zion under twenty two and a half
points as the free plays. So again, let's do the
pick five and I'm gonna use one of my games
for David. So, David, I'm gonna take the head wis. Yeah,
I'm gonna take the Eagles minus three and a half.
And I think, Dan, you're you're against me on this.
I went to Eagles minus minus three giving.
Speaker 6: The Birds, So what Yeah, David has the Cowboy.
Speaker 1: David, you have the Cowboys plus three and a half.
We're using the lines that were locked in on Wednesday
from bed online. So that you, David, you get Cowboys
plus three and a half. I get Eagles minus three
and a half. I will walk you through my picks here, Cole,
there were two plays that I immediately said, yes, I
want those plays. The first one was the Browns plus
fourth the Raiders. I don't care if Marco's the quarterback.
The Raiders getting four points is ludicrous, just ludicrous. It
is a Browns defense. You don't think that Browns defense
is gonna have troubled slowing down that Raiders offense. Give
me the Browns plus four and a little sprinkle on
the money line against Geno Smith there and then are
we still under the assumption that the Panthers are a
terrible team? Dan, They're not. They're competent. I get a
touchdown against a forty nine Ers defense that is held
together with duct tape and a prayer. This line is
way way too overinflated here for me. So the Browns
and Panthers I immediately wanted. So then I needed some help.
Last night we were doing a live stream, A lot
of people said the Colts plus three and a half.
That half is what sells me on this one. I
think this is a really close game. This could be
a classic like twenty one to twenty type of game
where the Chiefs win but don't quite cover I'm just
not laying over a field goal with this Chief team.
Patrick Mahomes is missing long passes, he's not hitting his
receivers in stride. So I'll take the Colts here. The
Bears minus two and a half versus Steelers, that was
funny because you gave me that one. I just don't
buy the Steelers team. The quarterback situation is dire at best,
and I want to be on the side of the
good luck teams like the Patriots who get to play
the Bengals without Jamar Chase randomly getting suspended. And then
this Eagles team, this three and a half line. I
think the books are telling us a story. All you
hear from the media is how bad your team is, dan,
how much the locker room doesn't like Jalen Hurts, how
unhappy AJ Brown is, how Saquon Barkley sucks. And then
the books are like, oh, they're gonna go on the
road and we're gonna give them three and a half.
Your team is good, man, your defense is so freaking good.
And I just you know me, I'm not betting against
Jalen Hurts. I'm just not doing it. I love your team.
I love everything about him. They're just they're just they're
the twinkle in my eye, Dan, I love your.
Speaker 6: Eg the tango and cash is in your eye. Well yeah, Andy,
as all bring up my picks and you can hear
the breakdowns for these on our Let's Make Millions show.
They're on YouTube right now so you can just you
can check that out right after the video's done. If
you like what we do here, it would be a
nice Thanks for being my partner, Adam Rosenberg. These are
entries in the circum Million contest. And you see, Andy,
we're we're going to blows on on two of these games.
And yes you see the bottom pick there, I'm picking
against my Philadelphia Eagles, or as I like calling him
on the show. If you zoom into my shirt, this
was generated by Ai.
Speaker 2: Andy.
Speaker 6: So you see that little wood aer in wah wah.
If you look in it says full adept to five
Eagles because Ai is great. So on the show we
call them the full adept of five Eagles. But so
here here's I get what you're saying. But also the
line was four and a half and then quickly became
three and a half. I don't think they budge off
of three because then it's just botloads of money, you know,
coming in on the Eagles. Then. But twenty seventeen, Andy,
twenty seventeen is the last time that Dak Prescott lost
a home divisional game. Not only just failed to cover
lost a home divisional game. He has owned the NFC
East at home twenty one and two. And I know
Eagles defense is great, But something that hasn't been great
in the Nick Sirianni era is the Eagles going on
the road to face divisional teams. It wasn't all that
long ago. They lost to the New York Football Giants. Yes,
that was a Thursday night game, but how about two
five and one against the number in the eagles last
eight divisional road games. Not a great stat you want
to be bringing in when there's all this consternation in
your locker room. You're missing Lane Johnson. So David, don't worry.
Dan and Adam, we are on your team. We are
going with the Dallas Cowboys plus the three and a half.
Any thoughts on that, Andy, Any thoughts on the on
the worries for me about the Eagles because I agree
with you. I just I feel like the get right
offensive spot is actually coming next week against the Bears.
I think this is maybe the like the Eagles could
use a little bit of a slap in the face,
and Dallas is usually the team who does it to.
Speaker 1: I just, first off, you having the perfect read on
Jacksonville just continues to be the greatest story of.
Speaker 6: We bet against them, on them again against them or
fliplop that ye last three weeks. Yeah, we've had a
great read on Jacksonville. I like Arizona outright on that one.
Speaker 1: And listen, in all seriousness, we do this in UFC.
We just have these reads on certain fighters. If we
just we can pick when they're gonna win, when they're
gonna lose, like you just ride it.
Speaker 6: And that's the thing that I I and again I'm
throwing down the gauntlet, you know, knock on wood or whatever.
But eight and two the Eagles are on this season.
I'm ten and zero in picking on or against them
against the spread. I have hit every single Eagles game
correctly this year. And it's because I'm not a homer.
Like I told people, I think on this show they're
gonna lose out right to the Broncos. I told them
on Thursday Night Football they were gonna lose out right
to the Giants, So you know, you can't be beholden
to being a homer or thinking, oh this team, I'm
just gonna keep riding them whatever. That's why we've had
such a good read on Jacksonville is because we pay
attention to them. They're a team that not everyone in
the marketplace wants to be betting on or against. It's
usually just a cross off the card. So it's a
rare like value spot. And Andy, I know we went
a little bit long so on the only pushback that
we'll talk is the other game that we're head to
head on and that's his Kansas City in Indianapolis. I
talked to you earlier just about how I like Andy
Reid when his team is around five hundred or below
five hundred, does that play itself out? When they're finally
at five hundred, that's when I want to take the shot.
And the Colts they are off a bye, which which
should be a positive. However, the tough part for me
is when was the last time the Colts got to
come out of a bye feeling like good about their team?
You know what I mean? Like, when is the last
time that they're sitting in the driver's seat comfortably and
they're saying, oh my goodness. And now they're playing a
team who needs it like blood. They also have a
divisional game they're playing next week. Shane Steichen one in
five against the number the week before hosting a divisional opponent.
So he's not great at these look ahead spots, and
you're playing a team who needs it. Bade Andy that
I'll that I'll give in this one. What's your thoughts?
Speaker 2: What?
Speaker 5: What?
Speaker 1: What?
Speaker 6: What?
Speaker 1: What was that? Bstet One in five the week before division.
Speaker 6: Come on divisional home games? Yeah, the week the week
before a divisional home game. So you think, if you
think about it, it doesn't it's not that crazy if
you think about it, because it's.
Speaker 1: You know, it's insane. That's an insane stack.
Speaker 6: You think that you think divisional games don't matter more
than you even added home, Yeah, because you get to
be home in your own bed. You get to you know,
Oh okay, and I'm not I'm not sure which divisional
game it is, but I think there's credence to it. Okay,
all right, I just laugh if it was well and
then and then the last time is the line leading
the way?
Speaker 2: Andy?
Speaker 6: You can scoff at this one, but it goes back
to nineteen ninety teams who are five hundred or worse
facing an opponent who's a winning opponent, So why are
they favorites if they're a bad team? Fourteen straight up,
twelve though and two against the spread since nineteen ninety,
So typically the odds makers are correct when they're saying,
this is a five hundred or below team facing an
eighty percent better win percentage works well, let the line
lead the way is the way that I looked at
that one.
Speaker 1: I love your Detroit spot. Mine was like thirteen and
a half on.
Speaker 6: Yeah what because that was once Dart was announced out.
These ones lock on Thursday. But you just you bet
it every time until it until it fails, you.
Speaker 1: Know what I mean? Absolutely absolutely three and two.
Speaker 6: Card for the for the Eagles, Homer and I bet
the other one that he likes is probably the Indianapolis
Colts because he hates the Chiefs. That's why he thinks
it's three crazy. But I'll take three and two. Can't
lose going, you can't go broke going three and two, Andy.
Speaker 1: No way, no way, no way. So all right, we
just crossed two thousand live viewers. Thank you so much.
Thank you long but what a great football Friday. Thank
you so much.
Speaker 2: Guys.
Speaker 1: NBA Props pack is up tonight, guys, coming off a
really nice win, easy win on Witty Marks over is Rushing.
That was our only play on Thursday Night football. You
can get our Sunday Props pack now over at wager
talk dot com. And we have two UFC best bets
that are up. We're seven and oh A seven and
oh run in UFC. Let's make it nine and O
this weekend and that card starts at ten a m
Eastern tomorrow. Thank you to all the guests. Yanni, Marco, Teddy,
incredible show you guys in the chat. Absolutely rock. And
remember in the comment section below, type Andy or Teddy,
which side do you think is gonna win? In the
sell me segment, put your wager talk use your name,
and whoever wins Andy or Teddy, we're gonna pick someone
to get a free three day pass and David, you
and I are going to head head and Eagles and Cowboys.
Thank you so much, guys. Good look on your bets
this weekend. We'll be back on Monday. Good luck, Take care,