Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is Monday morning.
Speaker 2: It is full Court Press, guys. I took the liberty
of tweaking today's show a little bit because we only
have six We only have six games on the slate
for today, but we've got a lot more tomorrow, and
we're at the point where sportsbooks are putting up numbers
for Tuesday, a full day early for the bigger games.
So in an effort to get you guys more games,
we are gonna do two Tuesday games today that there's
already lines for, and then that'll leave us time on
Tuesday to hit what is a much better slate on Tuesday.
Speaker 1: So welcome in. Hope everyone had a great weekend.
Speaker 2: I'm still on Twitter defending the Pete Carroll and the
Raiders for all the bad luck I had recently. I
guess I can't complain anymore because I was on the
Raiders yesterday. Improbable cover right there at the end. But
let's get you guys in here. I'm gonna I'm gonna
go to Brian Power first. We're gonna go to MSG
great doubleheader in New York City tomorrow is part of
the Jimmy V Classic, and let's start with the sort
of night game first, but the bigger matchup first.
Speaker 1: Florida Yukon VP.
Speaker 2: You've kind of had strong opinions on these two teams
so far this year. Now they collide here on a
neutral court, which we know is not neutral. We know
it's all Yukon bands. So talk to me about Florida
Yukon Tuesday. But this game's already up at a lot
of the legal spots ready for you to fire on.
Speaker 3: Yeah, just real quick, I'll rant wine covech, complain about
it later. Apologize anyone who's on the five percent play
yesterday and the bills. We missed the cover by half
a point. Of course, they had to taunt to us
at the end by thinking we could cover, but alas
it did not. But we dust ourselves off. It's a
new week. We're already talking Tuesday. We're gonna hit on
Monday's games, but the big one on Tuesday, obviously Yukon
Florida trid. Yes, glad that you pay attention when I talk,
because I have been a little lower on these teams
than the market. I guess I every time we talk
about them, I guess I'm saying, ah, I'm showing a
little value on the other side. Here, here's where I started. Okay,
I look at before you even sent over the actual
lines that are posted. I looked at Ken Palm. They
made it a three point game, I believe, I'm if
it was a true neutral, a true neutral, I would
have made it a two point game. And my thought was,
this line's opening higher than three, and it has four
and a half. So I'm not surprised. MSG. You mentioned
Yukon's already played here. They've had a tremendous amount of
success here. They certainly will be motivated. This is the
team that ended their quest for the three peat last
year in the second round of the NCAA Tournament, Florida
beats Yukon. That was the pardon me, Florida, Well, no,
I guess Houston that one. Florida wasn't looking so good
in either the actualampionship game, but Yukon gave him a
hell of a run in the second round. Florida one
by what was it by two? Was that game, tod
Was that a two point game? That was the side
that was so my thought is, who's betting Florida in
this game? I feel we had a discussion about this
last week where you know there was an underdog, I
can't now the game is escaping. We were like, well,
who's betting this team? I think Yukon's gonna be a
popular choice tomorrow, guys. And what does that mean? Well,
for me, it usually means I look at the other side.
But this game is going to come down to one thing.
Florida's three point shooting. They've been terrible from behind the art,
terrible cost him against Duke. It's why they were in
a big hole against Duke. Remember they lost to Duke close,
They had a chance to win, but they were down
by what fifteen betting is fifteen in that game. So
Yukon's defended the three. Well, my thought on this it's
very It's kind of a week take, certainly the opposite
of a hot one. It's interesting. Ken Palm project one
hundred and fift two points, which would would be a
signal to the over. I believe the totals what one
forty five and a half right now as we're sitting
at here on Monday morning. This game will only go
over and Florida will only stay close if they are
hitting their threes. If Florida's not hitting their threes. I
don't see this game going over and I don't see
them obviously covering, let alone winning. So that's my take.
If we if we could, If you think you have
a good handle on Florida's three point variants, have that
that's because that's where this game is could be decided.
Speaker 4: The MVP.
Speaker 5: And to that point, Yukon's played three really solid offensive
teams tournament teams already. Arizona scored seventy one, Illinois scored
sixty one with that offense, and they were fully healthy
in that game. Ku scored fifty six, no Peterson. But
you get the idea on Yukon defense, Guys, I don't know.
This is a very very early projection, but I don't
know that there's a better one through nine in the
country than what Yukon's throwing out there right now.
Speaker 4: When you take into.
Speaker 5: Effect with the freshman Braylen Williams just did last game,
I think it was a leading scorer seventeen nineteen points.
Speaker 4: It's almost like having Leam McNeely never leave.
Speaker 5: And for Florida, we always start with the front line,
right can you match up with their front line?
Speaker 4: That's the key here.
Speaker 5: Yukon certainly matches up with the front line, and it's
kind of wild.
Speaker 4: They're probably they could be.
Speaker 5: You could argue, let's say that that they might be better.
Question I guess for Yukon is do you go if
you're Dan Hurley, do you go with all three bigs?
Do you play Caravan? Do you play Riba? Do you
play terrorists Reid all together? Or do terrorist read and
Riba jam up the same space. I think that question
holds the same for Florida, although they're a little more
used to it. But the point guard situation here is great.
At Yukon, the shooting guard situation is and it's deep
at every position.
Speaker 4: Small forward, shooting guard.
Speaker 5: They got two guys that are all interchangeable in every
single position. And you know what else, they got guys
they can get to the rim. In college basketball, if
you have guards that can get to where they want
to go when they want to go there, then it's
a huge advantage. I just Florida is a good team,
and we're harping early this season on their backcourt not
being Walter Clayton. I think in that discussion we lose
the fact that they also had Elijah Martin and Will
Richard and Will Richard's getting starters minutes at Golden State
right now. I mean that that threesome right there. Elijah
Martin had some highlight dunks that were crazy. So they're
probably going to get better as they go along and
they'll develop more continuity.
Speaker 4: But I don't know that it's there now.
Speaker 5: I do think it's there for Yukon, both offensively and defensively.
I would lay this price with U kind of msg
Adam said it's going to be all Yukon.
Speaker 4: They will travel. I don't know. MSG holds like eighteen thousand.
Speaker 5: They'll put fifteen thousand Huskie fans in that place without fails.
Speaker 4: So to me, I would lay the price.
Speaker 5: I think Brian, you're probably on I actually wish or no,
actually the reverse. I'm happy that the total is that high.
I just listed off the defensive efforts Yukon had against
teams equally as good as Florida offensively, and those games
got nowhere close to one fifty one and a half,
nowhere near close. So probably a look at the under,
but definitely a look at Yukon here. I think they've
both been through the riggers early this season. Both played
some really tough teams. But when I go personnel and
start matching this thing up, Yukon's every bit. They do
what Florida does best just as well, and then they're
better in the backcourt.
Speaker 3: Real quick, trig it's Monday morning, little lah math mistake
by yours truly. Then I just want to pick up
because people in the comments section may already be yelling
Ken Palm has as projected at one forty seven. I
had it at one to fifty. It's that sounds like, man,
he's usual that it's usually not that off this weekend,
or are pardon me, Ken pump is usually not that
off on a total, And I was like, it's kind
of weird, but no, he projected at one forty seven.
Speaker 5: Yeah, and in fact I just did it wrong, Brian,
I'm telling people that under one fifty one and a half.
Speaker 3: With ye number, Well no, because I said because I
had said one fifty two, so one fifty one. So yeah,
so there we go.
Speaker 4: You get the idea you kind of under if you're.
Speaker 2: Me, Yeah, we have we have lines for this game.
Four and a half is what the uh uh sort
of very popular books. I know we're trying not to
say sportsbook games, but the ones that are most popular
that are probably on your phone have four and a
half and one forty six and a half one forty
six on the total. So it's hard to think that
this is anything other than the Yukon. If Joey Cheese
are in the chat right now, he'd be like, yeah,
you gone by double digits, and we would He wouldn't
even allow us to think anything and honestly probably be right.
Last time he said that was the Illinois game, and
I believe that was also at MSG and they they
sort of easily won that game.
Speaker 1: Uh, Yukon, They're one loss this year. They didn't have
Terris read.
Speaker 2: Then they got out rebound at thirty nine to nineteen
by Arizona. That's probably the only way Florida wins this
game or even covers. So to go back to Rob's sport, like,
Hurley doesn't mess stuff like this up.
Speaker 1: I've said this a million times.
Speaker 2: Like one of his biggest straints at Yukon is he's
he essentially retains his coaching staff every year. So it's
like all these Yukon assistants could go and take jobs
like in.
Speaker 1: The NC or in the Patriot League. Or in the
MAC like they would be.
Speaker 2: They would all get jobs instantly as head coaches, but
they would rather stay at Yukon because they've literally built
I mean, Rob, as you know, they call stores the
basketball capital of the world. They've literally built like a
destination where it's like they're only gonna leave for like
an elite job at this point. And because of that,
he's got this excellent coaching staff, and I trust Dan
Hurley won't get it wrong. Right, Like, go back to
the NCAAA tournament last year. Dan Hurley had as good
of a game plan for Florida as anyone did that
whole tournament, and arguably should have. I mean, a couple
shots fall in that game. Florida's not your national champs.
Reid should play and sot of go back to your point, Rob,
I do think they go big. That would be Florida's
only path to victory here, in my opinion, is being
able to dominate upfront and win through their bigs, and
so I think Hurley will do anything in his power
to take that away. You probably look at Demery guarding
Boggie Flann and that's gonna leave our guy Princeton transfer
Zavi and Lee. Listen, If Xavi and Lee can can
have a day and beat them, I think you tip
your cap if you're Yukon. I've said this since the
beginning of the year. He's shown absolutely nothing, even last
year at Princeton, Like I felt like he regressed a
little bit last year from the sweet sixteen Princeton team
when he was surrounded by better players.
Speaker 1: If Zavian Lee can go to the.
Speaker 2: Garden and just like ball out and win, you got
to tip cap. I don't see how that happens. And
so for that reason, I don't see how Florida covers.
What do you think VP?
Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, we talked about Florida's three point shooting,
how I did, how woeful it's been, and you guys
have both mentioned the offensive glass kind of being a
pat really Florida's only path to victory here and Rob
mentioned and you did too, trick how it can be
neutralized by Yukon is one of the few teams in
the front court that can neutralize If Florida is number
four in the country, Guys, just put numbers on this
in offensive rebounding percentages. Offensive rebounding is how they got
back in that game against Duke in the second particularly
in the second half. I think they had what thirteen
second chance points in the second half alone. They outrebounded
Duke by eleven, including twenty two to eleven on the
offensive glass. You mentioned Lee, I just want to he's
not even averaging double figures this year, is he? I mean,
he had a horrible game against Duke, one for ten
from the field, and he is averaging now, yeah, eight
point four points per game. And so that's another thing.
I mean, can't he step up? There's a lot? I mean, man,
the more we talk about this, things almost have to
line up perfectly for Florida. It feels like it's kind
of scary how much we're writing them off.
Speaker 1: Listen, like that is what Xavi and Lee is like.
Speaker 2: Not everyone can play up like you can be, and
I think like guys have to probably. I think a
lot of these mid major guys need to like think
twice before they like go and transfer to a like
like an SEC school, because they're more likely to, in
my opinion, get exposed than they are to just become
like a like Walter Clayton is a is not the norm, right,
like leaving Iona, But also like you kind of look
at Walter Clayton and you're like, yeah, this guy could
probably play at the next level.
Speaker 1: You look at xavi and Lee.
Speaker 2: I mean he looks like a high schooler a lot
of times out there, Like he's not very big, and
it's like, you know, it's one thing to dominate in
the IVY, but now you're playing in the SEC. It's
it's just I think he's exposed and I think what
you're seeing is what you're gonna get him all year.
Speaker 1: I don't think it gets better than that. So would
you know what I mean, Yeah.
Speaker 5: Just to just to reverse what you said about Xavian Lee,
and if he has a big game offensively, so be it.
Speaker 4: I'd worry more.
Speaker 5: I mean yeah, I would worry more about him on
the defensive end against these penetrating Yukon guards because if
Xavian League gets in foul.
Speaker 4: Trouble here, where are they going? As far as ball
handling is concerned, Florida, It's going to be a big deal.
The Yukon backcourt.
Speaker 5: The pair of point guards are the leading free throw
attempt guys on this team, sixty three free throws combined.
They'll get to the rim and I don't know that
Todd Golden is going to go to any zone against
the Yukon Husky.
Speaker 4: So I don't know, I'd worry about Leon.
Speaker 5: Both ends tell you the truth, and if Yukon can
neutralize the front court, I said that wouldn't be surprised
if this four and a half elevates. Guys, if you
want to bet it, beat it now, you might be
seeing five and a half tomorrow.
Speaker 4: And I was just.
Speaker 3: Going to say that, you know, well, I'm sure we'll
just mention the line at least on tomorrow's show. Trick,
you know, we'll just kind of come back to this.
I'm very interested to see because the way we're talking,
the way the chats talking, the way that I don't
think we're you know, uncovering, you know, any shocking viewpoints
here what we've been talking about. I think I think
a lot of people are gonna look at this matchup
and assess it the same way. I think it does.
Stand the reason that over the next twenty four hours
Yukon will take money, and yeah, I think Rob's points
will take and a few like Yukon, I would probably
bet them sooner much rather than later, because this line,
to me only goes up.
Speaker 2: All right, let's go to Garth. We are going to
rattle through these six Monday games. We are are parlay.
Even though we're going to talk to Tuesday games today,
we will find a parlay that's all entirely tonight.
Speaker 1: I don't know how we're gonna do that, but we're
gonna do it.
Speaker 2: So we will get you a three teamer out of
the six thrillers that are on the slate tonight. I
was gonna use this as the as today's feature.
Speaker 1: This is on.
Speaker 2: SEC Network, so we'll start here for Garth. He's his
thoughts on Southern team total under sixty seven and a
half Tonight. I'll go to Rob here for the total angle.
I was tempted when this hit twenty two to take Southern.
I know BP would would probably agree with that reason
being Southern. Southern hasn't played in a while, and a
lot of times with these swax schools that get hammered
with like all the bye games and stuff, at this
time of year, I start to not want to play
them because they're like running ragged. It's like they're on
their you know, seventh road trip and be I'll let
you sort of hamma.
Speaker 3: We have team, and I was gonna, I was gonna say,
just real quick, yeah, and I'll let you go again.
We have teams like that on today's slate. Yes, that
that that are just probably like please let this road
trip BETD for the love of god.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 2: But Southern, you know they haven't they haven't played a
Division one game since the twenty ninth of November.
Speaker 5: Uh.
Speaker 2: And they actually beat Northwest State in that game. Who
that's a That's actually what I consider to be a
pretty good win for Southern.
Speaker 1: Uh.
Speaker 2: Then they played a non board team, so really plenty
of time to sort of rest, make sure guys are
healthy for this game. Now, Rob, I don't know if
they go into Austin and win, but twenty two didn't
seem like a terrible.
Speaker 1: Bat to talk to Garth though. He wants to know
about the under and then anything you have on the side.
Speaker 5: Okay, so let's do this. I'm gonna knock out a
lot of birds with one stone here.
Speaker 3: Okay, I'll start got quotes, don't we We've got quotes here.
I mean, if I said Rob's got these guys said
I'm not. I said, Rob is gonna. I saw the quotes.
Speaker 5: There's only one guy we're gonna quote here, and that's
Sean Miller, and it might give you to Garth's point
here looking at Southern team total under if he has
his way, that'll come true, Garth, because here's what he said.
It's becoming a pattern with us. We're too easy to
score on. We have to fix that. We have to
be better. We have to just have more of an
inner fight and toughness on that side of the ball
to be able to defend the shot, challenge the shot,
rebound the ball, defend the man in front of you.
We're at a crossroads. You can't lose at home and
be down by twenty five or thirty in a big
game early in the year with a great crowd and
not feel like that's a problem.
Speaker 4: That's where we're at.
Speaker 5: I mean, go pick a swack team and try and
straighten it out right. I mean, that's what they're going
to try and do. But I'll say this, I was shocked,
guys that this Texas team total was eighty seven and
a half consensus across the board. I mean, Texas has
been in the nineties in more than a handful of
games so far this year. Southern in a couple of
their defeats gave up over one hundred to teams that
could score. It just seems like an ultimate beat down
here where Texas as far as their offensive end is concerned.
Not the full game, but ninety doesn't seem the realm
of possibility at all in this matchup. Adam just mentioned
that Southern's resume at least the wind column is built
on Juco's and Nia Naia teams, so not.
Speaker 4: A looted to judge from there.
Speaker 5: I think that Southern for the most part, because they
play track meet style. It's thirty ninth in adjusted offensive
pace so far this season for Southern. If you're gonna
give Texas that many opportunities, and when and when Sean
Miller starts quoting defense, honestly, I think you can calculate
into your handicap some steals that lead to buckets, you know,
not turnovers, but steals where they poke the ball away
and get out on the break, et cetera, et cetera,
defensive rebounding. So when I said I'm gonna kill a
few birds with one stone, I'll take the first pick
of this.
Speaker 4: Parlay out of our huge litter cat litter pile that
we have here.
Speaker 5: To choose from, and I'll give you Texas offensively team
total over eighty seven and a half tonight. Whether or
not twenty two comes into play, I'm not sure, because
they are that ragged defensively to start the season, and
maybe the time off Southern.
Speaker 4: But yeah, these swax schedules are wild.
Speaker 3: I think, you know, I'm like you, Drigg and that
I thought the number. I thought the spread was a
little too high, but I also would go through. I
think the better way to play this would be looking
at a team total like you said. Just you know,
Sean Miller were going off on his defense the quotes
Rob Red that had to do with the fact, you know,
Texas was just horrible against Virginia. They were down by
as many as twenty seven in that game. They let
the Who's go fifty percent from three to twelve of
twenty four, so decent volume that they shot fifty percent
at and then thirty eight points from Virginia's bench. Now,
I don't think Southern's bench is particularly deep, so you
know that that's you know, I think that's the thing.
So the tea, it's interesting that Garth was thinking Southern
team total under because to me, I initially I was thinking, well,
if you like Texas to bounce back, maybe that's the angle.
And then Rob threw you the kind of the curve
ball there with Texas over, it's team total. So glad
that he made a pick on this now that I
don't have, so I don't have to I'll always scramble
to pick another one.
Speaker 4: You get the other five to choose from.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I see by you in the chat and I
know he's done. This is so Southern is located in
Baton Rouge, Louisiana forever if you're wondering, and he's kind
of our Louisiana plug right now by you. He's always
he's on believe he went to Southeast Louisiana. He's always
on these the smaller Louisiana schools. So what I would
want to know about this game, which I think is
very very important, is Southern's got two guys that haven't
played recently, Damari Jones and Rande Hill, and neither of
them have played in their last two games. The reason
that's important is to your point, Brian, Southern without those
two is not very deep. And so you know, a
game against Northwestern State the depth is not going to
be a huge deal, right, Like, but like you're trying
to play Texas and then a Texas team where Sean
Miller's like, hey, like we're gonna like go and play
forty minutes of hard basketball because we're pissed off that
we just know showed.
Speaker 1: The Virginia game.
Speaker 2: And now you have to like worry about playing them
with six guys or six guys that actually get minutes
because when you take Jones and Hill out of there, no,
I mean, there's really not a ton of minutes outside
of like the starting five that actually probably garth. That's
probably another reason for you to like you're under Southern
may need to try to slow it down a little bit,
just limit the number of possessions, just you know.
Speaker 1: And that's why I would really want to know the
status of those two.
Speaker 2: But the reason I like Southern plus the points here,
I mean, they're they're probably gonna win this conference. Like
if you were to power right out the swack right now,
like I got Southern one in what is like a
swack conference that's on the rise, right Like we already
saw the Thune Cookman with a couple of really good results.
I believe Southern had Washington like dead to right, so
almost earlier this year, ended up losing that game up
in Seattle, but I believe, Yeah, it went to double overtimes,
double overtime.
Speaker 1: Yeah, took Washington.
Speaker 2: To double ot They were competitive with Marquette, although I'm
not sure what you want to make of that. At
this point Marquette hasn't been great, but you know the win,
I again winning on the road at Northwestern State. Believe
Northwestern State won a big game this weekend in their conference,
So I lean towards the points. I kind of missed
the if it was still twenty two, I may just
say the hell with that. I'll take the twenty two
and have a little action for tonight. It's now back
to twenty one. But we'll see where that goes throughout
the day. There's only six games, so a lot of
these games are bouncing back and forth today. But yeah,
I can't I do lean towards Southern. I'm not gonna
talk Rob off of like he's probably right. Texas is
probably gonna do their absolute that's to put as many
points on the border as they can tonight. And I
also don't really mind the underlook for Southern because you
know they're trying to slow it down.
Speaker 3: Interesting game VP, What do you But Texas has Yukon
on Friday too, So I don't know how how that
affects the mind. I mean, if this, if they get
up big in this game, do the I mean, they
obviously want to work the kings out, they want to
build up some you know, Rob rattled off Miller's quotes.
You got the big game on deck, you want to
look good. I thought Texas and the you know, Texas
in the first half. To me, if they're not covered early,
they're not covering late. Maybe I don't know. But at
the same time, I don't like playing favorites in the
first half because if you want to take if you
want all forty minutes, if you're on the superior side,
right So, oh that's funny. Somebody actually just mentioned Texas
first half in the chat.
Speaker 1: But I don't know.
Speaker 3: I mean, well, how does that affect like like for
either of you. I'll just open the floor up the
Yukon game being on deck, How does that affect if
at all you're handicapped here, because I mean I could
see Tech maybe letting up a little bit at the end,
I don't know.
Speaker 5: Yeah, I think to know Sean Miller, guys, and he's
been a head coach long enough, I don't know that
the foot would come off the pedal here. And I
also would say that whatever he throws in there, you know,
let's say they end up playing five through nine, it's
as good as what Southern's going to put on the floor.
So even if it's neutralized at that point. In other words,
I don't know that Southern's going to be able to
do much at that point in time to close a
gap if there is one, And I don't know they'd
be able to do much to gain ground on a
gap if there is one.
Speaker 4: If there is no gap.
Speaker 5: Guys, they're going you know, if plus twenty one comes
into play, and let's say this is a fifteen point
game with four minutes left, starters aren't coming off the
floor anyway. So I just think the pace at this game,
and Adam mentioned maybe Southern shorthanded would try to slow
it down.
Speaker 4: I'm just not a believer that an underdog can go.
Speaker 5: Into somebody else's building a sizeable underdog like this and
dictate pace for any length of time.
Speaker 4: Maybe a little bit, but you know Southern is what
Southern is.
Speaker 5: They're gonna run Texas, gonna run back because they're unafraid
of this team. So hopefully eighty seven and a half
eighty eight points get us there. But I thought it
should have been in the nineties somewhere.
Speaker 2: I mean, listen, don't don't tell Southern they have no
shot in this game, like they're going to show up
and think that they can compete.
Speaker 1: Listen, they're all seniors and grad transfers.
Speaker 2: They've got they've got a guy scoring that that's averaging
twenty two points per game that can absolutely fill it
up in Michael Jacobs.
Speaker 1: Their entire starting five is seniors.
Speaker 2: They've already played Arkansas, They've already played Marquette, they took
Washington to doublet. Like, don't don't tell Southern who's probably
gonna win their league.
Speaker 1: That's the other thing.
Speaker 2: They might be four and four right now, and like
a twenty point dog. They're likely an NCAA tournament team
like they are probably if you've watched like Jackson State
and some of the other ones that are up in
the mix there, like they're the best of this group
of swack teams that's all like considered to be relatively equal.
So it's like, don't tell Southern they can't hang on them.
It's still Zero's game starts zero zero.
Speaker 1: I wouldn't play Texas.
Speaker 3: First, and can Palm backs you up with that trig
if you if that you know, makes you feel any better,
or maybe it doesn't.
Speaker 5: And I do think the point, Adam, that their ticket
to a cover is to reach seventy. Honestly, it's why
I have a hard time at sixty seven and a half.
I think that's their way to get there. Play their brand,
get the seventy, maybe lose ninety one to seventy ninety
seventy and get a cover.
Speaker 2: Yeah, And to Bayou's point, this is probably the only
like listen I was. I had a cueued up Southern
plus twenty two. And the reason that I was like, man,
do I really want to do that? Is not if
they if they still are without Joe, and maybe those
guys will play because Jones and Hill like when the
new thing now is if you have guys that are
a little bit you know, dealer with injuries or just
not guys you want to risk, you don't play them
against the non board teams. Right if you're playing a
nond one team, you just keep them out. So I'm
not really but they also missed I believe the Northwestern
State game, or at least one of them did that.
Speaker 1: That's my concern.
Speaker 2: If they had those two and they and they had
an eight man rotation, then going to buy you this point,
Southern would be able to push the pace, which is
what they want to do. And if they're dropped, if
the shots are falling, they're probably in this game. My
only concern, the reason I haven't bet this yet is
they're still a little bit shorthanded. They're trying to do
it with five or six guys, and then over forty
minutes they just run on a gas and suddenly they're
down twenty and you're you're sweating out those final couple possessions,
hoping the Texas walk on Dribble's office foot so you
can cover twenty two.
Speaker 3: So just real quick with the lay of the land
and the slack drig. You know, Southern is the top
rated slack team at ken Palm to number two hundred
net rating. The only other slack team higher than two
seventy in net rating is Pathune Cookman. We've talked about
before After that, it's kind of a precipitous drop to
the rest.
Speaker 4: Of the pack.
Speaker 2: All right, let's move it along. There's another Power conference
team playing today. I need to be publicly shamed on
this show. I bet Kansas State over the weekend, after
all the after all the shit I talked about that.
Speaker 1: Team, right, which I'm right about. Listen.
Speaker 2: I couldn't get over the fact that I thought Seaton
Hall was the perfect matchup for them.
Speaker 1: I really did.
Speaker 2: Like team that doesn't you know, offensively isn't elite. Kansas
State can shoot over them a little bit in agatest
some of their their defensive edge the games in Manhattan,
and Seaton Hall just went and punched him in the mouth.
Kansas State had no shot, no answer. I'm gonna I
need Rob to co sign on this because I don't
just give out team totals. That's not a TRIG type play.
But there's been a pretty big move on the spread here.
I saw someone in the chat say Kansas State's probably
closer to one hundred than ninety tonight. I very much
agree with that. I think Kansas State can name their
score tonight against Mississippi Valley State. I think they probably will.
I would be shocked if Kansas State doesn't drop one hundred.
And the reason why is, like, I still think this
team sucks like they are there. They're a bottom five
team in that Big twelve like that, they're they're not
a good basketball team, but they've got guys that can
shoot the three. They haven't made a three in like
three games, but you know we're two games Bowling Green
Thoes very good defensively and Seaton Hall just they they
will defend the crap out of you, and I think
that really like PJ Haggerty look like you wanted to
cry on Saturday, like coming off when when he had
one point. Today, here's what's gonna happen today, Mississippi Valley
State plays his zone. It's like they will play zone
for forty minutes. Uh, and they essentially are gonna go
out Kansas State.
Speaker 1: It's gonna be.
Speaker 2: Shooting practice because Mississippi Valley State's gonna sit in their
zone and essentially just let them take threes.
Speaker 1: It's there.
Speaker 2: It's their only that that's what they will do. I'm
telling you that that's what they will do. They have
no other choice and it's and it's what they do
every game anyway. So to me, Kansas State, you know,
part of the reason they haven't been able to make
a shot is Bowling Green's a good defensive team.
Speaker 1: Seaton Hall is a very good defensive team.
Speaker 2: Now the shots are going to be wide open, and
I think there's going to be no end in side.
Speaker 1: I think once they start falling, they're going to be like,
this is fun.
Speaker 2: We remember that the ball can go through the hoop,
and it's going to be a party, and they're going
to score one hundred. So unless Rob talks me off
of it, my parlay leg will be Kansas State team
total over at any number, as long as it's lower
than one hundred.
Speaker 5: And first thing I'll say, Adam is absolutely correct on
the assessment of Kansas State and the reason why I
when I looked at that Kansas State Seaton Hall game,
and I think we saw it just confirmed everything about
Kansas State.
Speaker 4: And they're in the Big Twelve.
Speaker 5: To your point about them being bottom five, bottom five team,
they might be bottom three because in the Big Twelve,
if you don't play defense, you don't win a game.
In that conference in particular, it's all defense all the time,
and they just have no desire to defend, and Seaton
Hall is tenacious, Kansas State is not. They don't you know.
They're in a street fight. They're the guy running the
other direction. They're gonna try and score their finesse and
against this team. I guess they could do it right
that the number is a hair bit. You know, you're
asking for one hundred now, right, ninety six and a
half ninety seven, whatever it.
Speaker 2: Is, I'll be shot. It's probably gonna be one ten
or one twenty. I really think they could put one
twenty up tonight. The other side doesn't think one hundred
is well.
Speaker 5: Not that Kansas State is ferocious on the boards, but
they're gonna get some of these long rebounds tonight and
second third chances to boot, So yeah, I could see it.
They're gonna dictate pace Mississippi Valley real quick, guys. I've
always said that rather than adjusted tempo, if you're just
looking at analytics, what's better to look at is the
average link of possession and Mississippi Valley let's team shoot
the ninth fastest in the nation, and for AU that's
a dream matchup to be able to just come down
launch maybe board score again.
Speaker 4: So there's no way I'm playing Kansas State under and.
Speaker 5: Mississippi Valley is a real good target to get to
one hundred with.
Speaker 2: I want to go to Brian, what do you think
the better bet is here, laying what's now a dad
number on Kansas State on the spread or the team
total over.
Speaker 3: I would take the team total over, to be honest
with you, because now what's interesting is when you get
into this, this territory of spread, I almost always show
value on the underdog, which I hate, and I just
wind up not playing any of them because you either
play them all or you play not, and I choose
the latter, and that's it. I actually don't show much
value at all here on Mississippi Valley State, which would
scare the hell out of them. Jerome Tang, by the way,
Rob he had a lot to say about his team
after the loss to Seaton Hall. He talked about the
points off turnovers. That was really key. That was why
Seaton Hall was plus fifteen and points on turners. Also,
if Kansas State can figure they've got to figure out
the charity stripe. They missed twenty free throws in that game.
That that's insane. So you know that that's that's an
area obviously to get a team total, you would think,
I mean, what's Kansas State at for the year, let's
just go real quick to let me just look at
their free throw shooting, because that that is key. I
mean you, I mean if Okay Street, uh they in
terms of free throw that they're not a good free
throw shooting team. But still, I mean that was like
an important effort against Seat Paul. So I don't know, Yeah,
I would rather take the team total over than latest number.
And laying this number, it's just you're not going to
be in the money probably until halfway through the second half.
That's just not it's just not a bet. I like
making real VP.
Speaker 2: I never really like lay thirty It's not my style
to like ladies thirty point spreads. I'm actually furious at
myself that I didn't just lay thirty one on the opener,
even like even like thirty after it was quickly bent
up in my head, I was like, I was like,
this should probably be thirty eight, thirty nine, and it's
it's pretty much there now. So I'm kind of kicking
myself because that is a Kansas State like at like
thirty four or better as event I would absolutely love
to have right now, So a little bit upset upset
with myself by you makes a good point, I forget
you can do stuff like this on some of these
you know, the books that we will remain nameless on
this show. He says, you could honestly parlay the team
total down and spread down even money. Yeah, if you
have a book, if you're if you do, if you
could do the same game parlay type stuff or prop
builder or whatever you have on your book, and you
can do that, that sounds pretty good. Like that's that,
you know, because if they're basically the same thing, if
you can get good numbers on bolt down to close
to even money, that's another way to look at it.
But I'm with Trevor, game's gonna be something like one
o three to sixty one. You're probably good either way,
if you know, if that's the way you want to
go tonight, Okay, let's go to actually what I would
consider probably for me, probably the most interesting game on
this slate is gonna happen at the Polester tonight.
Speaker 1: That's because it's a pen team. I'm very high on
this year.
Speaker 2: I think that Fran McCaffrey is going to be very
very good in the IVY sooner than later. However, he
got dealt a tough blow this weekend. It looks like
Ethan Roberts may miss considerable time. And one thing this
Pen team lacks is depth. So BP, your hand is up.
Talk to me a little bit about Penn laugh Iett
and what Roberts out of that lineup.
Speaker 1: Means to this game.
Speaker 3: Well, yeah, I actually didn't know. And before the show
I said, I assume someone's out for Pendrig because I
don't understand this line the way it's moving. And then
you talked about that before we went on the show.
And it's a point because you know, I looked at
Pen when I had circles. This is a team that
comes in the failed to cover three in a row.
They're at home. It's kind of a short number. I
was like, okay, but that I mean, this injury concerns
very real. And the other thing too, and Drig they
are they've shot the lights out so far from three, uh,
I believe like top ten in the country right now
from behind the arc, can you contell? And it's at
a very high percentage. You're talking about almost forty two percent,
that's something you're not going to sustain over.
Speaker 4: The long haul.
Speaker 3: So with the injury, likely three point regression, I'm just
walking away from this game. Uh in general, I don't know.
Would have you know? I knew something had to be
up when I saw this number was way too generous,
So no, thank you, I got nothing.
Speaker 4: Now.
Speaker 5: You know, even without Roberts, they do have a trio
that shoots forty two percent or better all three. Again,
they're gonna do what they do, and it's very possible,
you know, you look at what Penn puts up for
points here that this game could still get over the
total A. I think what gets lost in the shuffle
a lot when a star player, a star offensive player
is out is that it also affects Adam mentioned depth
and defense. So the other side is probably going to
score more than they normally would against Penn, which is
not a good defensive team to begin with. It's not
necessarily something that Frank caf and Fran McCaffrey has in
the bag.
Speaker 4: It's generally outscored the opponent.
Speaker 5: I could almost see this game still getting over despite
the injuries. Guys are the injury Lafayette somewhat weak schedule,
but when you look at teams that can score a
little bit, Saint Jose isn't even really a scoring team
eighty five against Lafayette Texas ninety seven, Cornell ninety seven.
Cornell and Penn somewhat similar in the style that they'll
play from an offensive brand.
Speaker 4: Monmouth eighty eight.
Speaker 5: They give up a lot of points and their games
get up there in totals when they're against the team
that plays this sort of offensive minded basketball. So for me,
I might still look get this total getting over. I mean,
it's on my list and it is interesting. Real quick here,
I'll say to open at one fifty three, know that
Ethan Roberts isn't playing, and the total still sits at
one fifty one and a half, it's only adjusted one
and a half points. Tells Joe, you really need to
know when you break this game down, it could be
higher scoring for Lafaelle. Let's just take a quick look
at their team total seventy three and a half. I
mean to get seventy four against Penn, which would be
depth shy is not really an issue. And then the
other side it gets there, so I could still see
one fifty one and a half being an overplay here, yeah.
Speaker 2: And listen, I can still see Penn being a play
like if I I'll be perfectly honest, if I was run,
if I was running better, and now I did go
two and oh yesterday, I have to stop the presses.
I did go two and oh college basketball. But if
I was running better, I would just say, to hell
with that, I'll lay.
Speaker 1: Five with pen.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean it got down. One of the books
was as low as four and a half, and I
was looking at that, I'm like, you know what, do twice?
Speaker 1: Still?
Speaker 2: Just do it.
Speaker 3: Someone in the chat brought this up. I'm glad I
did because I was gonna bring it up and forgot.
Speaker 2: Uh.
Speaker 3: Lafayette and ball State earlier this year played a game
that probably made doctor James Nasmith God rest his soul,
wish he never hung the first peach basket. This was
one of the worst shooting games, and it's one of
three Lafayette wins this year. But the teams combined were
like fifteen percent from three. I mean it was like
a almost like it was even lower than that. I
think it was like it was some like four for
forty or so. It was some of it was a
fifty five to thirty seven final. I think one of
Lafaytte's other wins was against a non board team as well.
So I mean, this is not a team of cust.
I mean you just look at the Lafayette side, and
you don't have to lay a short number against a
team like that, even without their leading scorer. I don't know.
I guess it is penner pass if the number gets lower, Trigg,
I mean, it's gonna tempt me. I'll say that right now. Good.
Speaker 2: Yeah, So I guess, Like again, the reason the only
reason I didn't play this when it hit four and
a half, because I always had the presence of mind
to be like, okay, got to play back at that move.
That's that's too big of a move, is because going
into the season, I said, all right, Penn has no depth,
but that trio of Roberts, TJ. Power and then uh
Zenoni are really good and so basically and and so basically,
Penn's got like three or four guys that are studs.
Speaker 1: Everyone else is a traffic cone.
Speaker 2: Like there's not much, there's not much else that they're
they're just out there right, They're they're not really contributing
to like the greater good.
Speaker 1: It's it's really just all like if you've watched.
Speaker 2: Penn, like you know, it's it's really like everything revolves
around those three and that's like that's what kind of
keeps me off here is like Roberts is like the hub.
He's the guy that was was there last year. He's
the guy that like fran kind of like built the
offense around. So to take him out that's tough. With
that being said, this, I don't know that Lafayette can
really do anything about it. They're gonna be one of
the worst teams in the Patriot League. They were bad
last year, but they still had Justin Vanderband, who is
a seven footer that like, you know, sort of gave
you like he was a real band aid for them
at both ends of the floor. Because it's like, you
have this bad team, but you've got a seven footer
that can guard the rim and shoot a little bit.
Speaker 1: Now he's not there.
Speaker 2: Franz still plays no defense that hasn't changed, So that
might speak to like, you know, why this total hasn't
moved and why Rob likes the over We look at
games that are a little bit comparable. I bet Cornell
earlier this year when they played Lafayette in this same
price range. Lafayette gave up ninety seven points to a
Cornell team that just is out there. They just chuck
like that team. They're a less skilled version of what
they were last year too, but they just they're just
chucking shots up. Put up ninety seven against Lafayette no problem.
And I remember watching that game and it was like,
I just want to see if I can pull Yeah,
Like Cornell just cry out redound in them and they're
not even a great rebounding team. It's like, that's what
I think you're gonna see here. So this is one
scenario where I don't think Roberts out is gonna like
I still make the number nine and a half with
him out.
Speaker 1: I was at twelve and a half with him in.
So it's it's tempting. It's tempting BP.
Speaker 3: So I don't know, I guess check back. I'm guys,
I don't know. I may play it later. I'm not
ready to play it now then. But I think the
rules of the show Trig and Robert that I have
to give out something to complete.
Speaker 2: The Yeah three, why don't why don't you give out
a parlay league and mobile clubs.
Speaker 4: Let's I think that works.
Speaker 3: So let's do it now. Let's it's one of the
games we haven't hit on. Let's go over one fifty
three on Southern Carolina State Charleston Southern. I think this
is going to be an absolute track. These teams play fast,
you're talking top eighty five in the country and to
justin tempo. Neither of them play any defense. And here
are the keys further key to the matchup. Guys, South
Carolina State, they're gonna get a break here. They're not
going to have a lot of empty possessions, at least
relatives to with they normally Charleston Southern guys dead last
in the country enforcing turnovers. So that's huge for the
South Carolina State side. Now big for Charleston Southern is
very much better as most college basketball teams are much
better three point shooting team at home. As a matter
of fact, they're three point shooting jumps ten at home
relative to where it is overall, so that's noteworthy. Also,
in addition to the three, where Charleston Southern can be
can pick up some points offensive glass, South Carolina State
is one of the worst defensive rebounding teams in the
entire country. They're one of the worst defensive teams in
the country period. So I look at this matchup, it's
two up tempo teams. Neither of them are worth a
damn defensively. I think they're going to go up and
down the court, not a lot of stops, a lot
of empty possessions as long as they as long as
one of these two teams doesn't have an ice cold
night that I see no reason why we don't get
up and over the one fifty three on South Carolina.
To say, Charleston Southern, my like a the parlay to
close things out.
Speaker 1: I don't disagree with that.
Speaker 2: I thought about laying it with Charleston Southern, especially after
like I do think there was some some significant like
market manipulation going on earlier. Since there's only six games,
a lot of these games are like bouncing up two points,
bet back down like they're still eight and a half's
out there with Charleston Southern, like there's this is a
pretty they're capable offensive team.
Speaker 1: I mean they have I think it's.
Speaker 2: Ala On Summler is still there from last year, like
they had better scorers last year on the Charleston Southern roster,
but he was one of them and he's still there,
like he'll be the best player on the floor. Feels
a little square to be like, well, let's just lay
it against the oh to nine team, But it's hard
to believe that it's tardably south South Carolina State keeps
us within single digits, and that's basically what you're asking
them to do. If you were to take South Carolina State,
so I would lay the eight and a half. Eight
and a half some good number.
Speaker 3: Trust we talked about swack also applies to the MIAC
where South Carolina State from. You know, these these road trips,
these really South Carolina State. Just for those who haven't
been following, they're zero to nine. Eight of those games
have played on the been played on the road. This
will be their fifth straight road game. They've gone South Dakota, Missouri, Winthrop, Bethune, Cookman.
They've been blown, i mean just annihilated in each of
the last three. You have to wonder, you know, and
again I think this it speaks wal to not only
what you just said trick about maybe wanting Leah, but
to my play on the over you have to wonder
what South Carolina State has left in the tank and
that where does that affect your rob defensively?
Speaker 4: Right?
Speaker 3: I think I think we're gonna see higher legs from them.
I just don't think we see a lot of defense
in a fifth straight road game from a bad team
that is bad defensively to begin with.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I think it was DJ, it was Patrick
maybe that was on the team last year. That's no
longer there. But as Keith points out in the.
Speaker 2: Chat, Bryce and Blaine is awesome, like he think he's
averaging like twenty one points a game, So they've they've
replaced the scoring from last year. Like I actually, I
actually think they're gonna be They're going to be better
than a lot of people think once they get into
conference play. I think they're going to surprise some folks
in the Big South. So again, they're not They've never
been a team on dying to like lay eight and
a half with But I think this is one scenario
where they're probably the right side laying a big number.
Speaker 1: Let's go so two.
Speaker 2: More, let's let's talk about well, you know know this,
this one definitely deserves to be discussed, increnit word. New
Orleans is a Southland Conference game. I have I have
talked about how much I like this increnit word team.
Oh there's your pen money, Brian back up the six
and a half, just like that all again, Like there's
still I don't think anything. There's no revelation there, like
they're still going to be without Eth the Roberts. But
I do think that the opener was probably more appropriate there.
Uh incredit word listen increnet word is really good. Like
I gave them out a week ago on this show
as an eleven point underdog against McNee state. They won
the game out right. That was a client play for me.
The problem is they're on the road still and they
they did the Louisiana road trip in conference, which was
I think they were the They may have played Northwestern
State the other day and lost that game, and now
they've got to play New Orleans. Yes they low I'm sorry,
Nicholas Nichols. Still a Louisiana team. So they lose to Nichols.
Not the easiest road trip, having to go play Saturday Monday,
And like New Orleans is a team that I think
all the priors for them were out of whack. Because
of like the game throwing last year, and now of
course you know they've got the influx of resources for
master p.
Speaker 1: We're always getting a chuckle out of map there. But
they've been really good.
Speaker 2: Like my number kind of comes out right here on
pick like I love this incredate Word team. I don't
know if I want to play against New Orleans on
the road. That's my sort of conundrum with this game.
Does anyone have anything to add incredit word New Orleans?
Speaker 5: I'd say quick, Adam, because I'm a bounce back type
of guy and not that incarnate Word is the best
three point shooting team in the land, but they're one
of fourteen the other day against Nichols, and one of
fourteen is hard to do, so you would expect a
little bit of an increase there in New Orleans. I'm
just trying to look it up now, because that schedule
that they've played is insane.
Speaker 4: It tuk.
Speaker 5: I mean Johnny Jones of Texas Southern is usually the
kingpin of playing these ridiculous non conference schedules where he
just gets his team battered and battered so that they're
ready to play the swack and when that time comes
when conference time comes, they're generally in the mix in
some way, shape or form.
Speaker 4: Ford New Orleans. Strength of schedule overall in the nation.
Speaker 5: Non conference, it's the seventh toughest in the land overall,
the fourteenth toughest scheduled in.
Speaker 4: The land so far.
Speaker 5: So they're more than battle tests that they've seen. Whatever
Incarnate Word has New Orleans has already seen tenfold. I
would you know, I think this team is prepping to
make a Southland run. I think I said Swack earlier. Well,
Johnny Jones in the Swack, this is Southland, New Orleans.
They're prepping to make a south Land run here, and
I wouldn't be surprised if they get this win here.
But like you, that game against McNeice, because McNeice had
been blowing people out in that weight class and Incarnate
Word really went wired to wire in that game.
Speaker 4: Shit makes the decision tough. But I'd probably lean a
little bit to unl here.
Speaker 5: Just based off of what they've played so far this year.
I think they're ready and prepped for a team like this.
Speaker 3: Just a couple of things real quick. Number one to
buy you why did Nichols change their name from Nichols
State that's always about That's bothered me for several years.
I don't under that there's a lot of changes. I'm like, oh, okay,
that whatever, I get it. Whatever. It's times a little bit,
but Nichols just dropping the States is very odd to me.
And then on a more serious note, Rob brings up
New Orleans schedule. They played eight straight on the road
to open the year and then they lose the home
opener to Houston Christian. Situationally, I you know, I say that,
I speak that into the air and I say they're
going to be fired up here. You know, you lost
the first one at home. This is a big deal.
Speaker 1: I don't know.
Speaker 3: I think situationally, I kind of I lean the home
team as well. I made the game a pick them,
So I don't know. I uh, that's kind of where
I'm at. I just think that, you know, this is
a big one for the privateers, can.
Speaker 4: I say real quick? Guys? And I don't know.
Speaker 5: I don't want to correlate college basketball to NBA basketball,
but general rule of thumb, a handicapping adage with the
NBA is when you come off of a long road trip,
you don't want to play that team first game back home.
They're back home, They're back to comfortable there in college.
They're probably going to see their girlfriends, et cetera, et cetera.
The mind isn't on Houston Baptist or Houston Christian, excuse me,
as much.
Speaker 4: As it should be here.
Speaker 5: It probably will be bry second time, and they can
probably get a little more focused out.
Speaker 4: Of U n OL.
Speaker 3: Yeah, especially and you got Houston on deck. I believe
for New Orle which spoiler alert, Neworld is probably not
gonna win that game, so that they may want to
build their confidence up a little bit here even though
it won't be it won't be easy.
Speaker 5: And maybe you were so Houston Christian short, Adam, I mean,
Houston Christian might not be a bad team in that
league this year.
Speaker 2: Yeah, you were talking about the lack of three point
shooting for incredent word in the game over the weekend,
Like I mean, that is how you that is how
you want to play incredent word, Like you want them
to shoot threes because like they they'd prefer to go
off the dribble. Like tash Taveski is the guy that
I talked about that transferred there canisious guy. Then he
went to Cleveland State. Cleveland State coach leaves from North Texas.
He decides to go find a new home, third different
school in four years down an increnet word, but he
like there, they don't you don't that team doesn't want
to just be chucking threes. They want him going off
the dribble, Jordan Pike getting in, you know, kind of
getting in the lane and creating Bailey like, they're all
guys that are probably better served taking you off the
dribble trying to get to the hoop. So the fact
that you know, Nicholas was able to force him into
some threes, this great New Orleans does have some bigger
bodies that they can you know, I saw they they
finally started playing the seven to four transfer from Oral Roberts.
I believe he's now played in like four games for them,
So you know, you can deny the rim a little
bit there. And they have some athletes Buckley and Benson,
like are the two best players on this team. If
their guards can just defend the increnet word guard a
little bit, turned them into like a kick three type team,
Like that's a recipe where they could potentially win the game.
Very interesting game. I don't know if I can get
involved either way. There that's a that's gonna be a
good one.
Speaker 1: One right, yeah, one left. I don't know if we'll
you know, I I we don't.
Speaker 2: Need to get to more Tuesday stuff today because there
is a Tuesday show, So we might as well just
finish out the Monday slate and then recap the parlay.
So the final game is a Grambling Southern miss Brian,
is this where you were going to kind of bring
up some some scheduling stuff. This is another swack school
in Grambling that's played a lot of basketball.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, well, yeah, we've talked about you know,
South Carolina State so far, we just talked about New
Orleans and then with Grambling. Let's bring up the schedule
here real quick. Uh, they have played this will be
their fifth straight road game as well. Now there's been
some time that goes back all the way to November eighteenth,
they played San Diego Cal Baptist. Was that that might
have been an empty Was that an MPT or were
those true road games here? I don't have that up. Actually, unfortunately,
hold on, I can bring that up real quick though, Rambling. No,
those were all true road games South San Diego cal Baptist.
You see, So they go out to the West Coast
for three games, then they kind of come back a
little closer to the home against Tulane, gave it all
they could and a two point loss. Now you're against
Southern Miss, and this is a I believe a revenge
minded Southern Miss team. Correct me if I'm wrong. They
lost to Grambling, you know earlier in the year.
Speaker 1: Yes, so little home and home here, Brian home.
Speaker 3: Yeah, what an interesting spot. I knew I have this
written out, Sorry I did. I put it away the
notes that I had taken earlier in the game. But
that what an interesting You don't see this very often,
an in season revenge spot. Here doing a home and
home in the month of December. I would lean, I
lean Southern Miss. But the number, I mean, we're up
to seven and a half now, I don't know if
I necessarily want to lay it. It was Grambling minus
two for the first being they covered, so seven and
a half feels like in adjustments. Maybe I say it
over adjustment. I don't know, what do you guys think?
Speaker 5: You know, just looking that's an interesting loss, guys. It's
It's not like it was third and four days like
a tournament style game. It's not like they were it
travel weary or anything, because those that Grambling State game
is spaced out with four days prior next game five
days after. There was no look at there's nothing there,
and Grambling still beat Southern Miss. And on the other end,
it's a little bit confusing because Southern Miss has actually
got some decent wins here that are above Grambling States
weight class.
Speaker 4: So I think the revenge angle will taken here.
Speaker 5: Southern Miss likely remembers that in that particular game, guys
just go through some numbers. Twenty five percent from three,
only forty two percent from two, Grambling shot lights out.
For what it's worth, overall twenty one of yeah, twenty
seven of fifty guys better than fifty percent from the field.
So I think you probably get a little bit of
payback here from the Southern Miss side. Their results are
too good. That's just a quirky result in my mind
looking at it now, that probably gets rectified here by
by Southern Miss. Interesting that I don't know, Southern mispaid
Grambling to come there and then Grambling pay Southern Miss
back to go there.
Speaker 4: That's kind of a crazy home and home.
Speaker 2: Yeah, something that usually you'll you'll see it from some
of these like schools that are in very remote parts
of the country, like ol do you you tap in?
New Mexico State did this for a lot. That's right,
that's right, they would play a home and home. It's
just because it's like it's hard to get teams to
come out to play you, so, you know, I wonder
if I wonder if Southern miss did this so they
didn't have to cut Grambling a check and they kind
of gave them a home game because it's hard to
h it's it's Penn State and New Haven are kind
of doing that. That's why Penn State went to New
Haven to play so they didn't have to like pay
I don't know why Penn State can't write a check
at this point.
Speaker 1: Maybe they're just still paying James Franklin.
Speaker 2: I don't know, but like, but like, I think that's
also and Grambling will take that because Grambling obviously is
gonna have a hard time getting home games and it's
like nice to play a home game every once in
a while. My number was right sort of in this range,
so I didn't show much of an edge here. But
like it's hard to believe for me that this game
is so drastically different than that first game. Like maybe
Southern Miss bounces back and gets the win, but like
it still feels like a kind of a competitive game
to be Now, you can look at the schedule and
this is an awful Like so I played Samford last
night and part of the reason I made that play
was Cornell was in their fourth road game in like
eight days. And also it was this long stretch that
they finally had a big break after the Samford game,
I thought they might run out of gas some point.
Speaker 1: They did.
Speaker 2: That's kind of the position that Grand Blake is in
right here, where it's like San Diego cal Baptists. They
went to California, they went to it played too Lan
into a three point game the other night. Now they
finally they're playing like their fifth road game since like
Thanksgiving weekend, and they've got like ten days off after this.
Speaker 1: So is this like you know what I mean, Like
do you get this?
Speaker 2: Is this the point where like if they go behind,
it's almost like, man, we really need that ten days
off and they just kind of get smashed.
Speaker 1: That's the concern.
Speaker 2: But nothing basketball wise makes me think that Southern Mistress
wins this game by double digits, so I would probably
lean toward the dog, although you know by you saying yeah,
after all the Grambling road games to get ten days
off like they might, that could be. This could be
a Grambling first half Southern Miss second half type deal.
Speaker 1: Interesting game. Tough to figure that one out in my opinion.
Speaker 5: Guys, real quick here, I know we're pressed on time here,
but the total came out a little bit shy. I mean,
they play one time, they hit one, forty five, total
comes out in the high one thirties, gets bed up.
It's still only at forty two and a half. You
go through their schedules, just weed out the non Division
one teams, and both sides are five and two above
this particular number one forty two and a half, ten
and four combined. Seventy one percent of the time these
teams are getting over this number. So maybe the early
money was right. Maybe the early money saw a little
bit of value since the first game hit seventy five
seventy one, forty five, and that was with Southern Miss
horrific shooting. Maybe Grambling numbers come down a little bit,
but you have to think Southern Misses go up a
little bit in this game. Maybe we get the same
type of total. Maybe that's a play here as well.
Speaker 1: All right, let's call it.
Speaker 2: It's just about the hour mark, Rob, what is that
Kansas State team total over?
Speaker 1: So I can appropriately read it off here?
Speaker 5: I think I had it earlier at ninety six and
a half, but let's get it correct right now.
Speaker 4: It shows Oh wow, Adam, they bet it even harder. Now, Well,
let yeah, you consensus, I see in.
Speaker 3: Ninety six and a half, you got it? Probably, Yeah,
I see in ninety six and a half.
Speaker 2: All right, we're gonna roll in ninety six and a half.
I'm fine, Yeah, shop around. I there's gonna bee hundred
point in that game. I'm not really worried about that,
but by just Kansas State. So I'm gonna go my
parlay like Kansas State team total over ninety six and
a half. Rob Bino's gonna go Texas team total over
eighty seven and a half, and uh, Brian Powers is
over South Carolina State Charleston Southern over one fifty three
and a half.
Speaker 1: It looks like there's that the sort of standard right now.
We need points tonight boys.
Speaker 2: Yea, let's let's fill up the statu sheet start the
week off with a nice three teamer.
Speaker 1: We will be back tomorrow.
Speaker 2: We also hit if you missed the beginning of the show,
We hit the Yukon Florida game to start the show,
so check that out. There's already that's already offered at sportsbooks.
Don't forget to like and subscribe at a comment while
you know, if you want to watch the replay.
Speaker 1: It all helps.
Speaker 2: And yeah, we'll see you back here in the morning
for more full court press. Take care everyone,