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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is Monday morning.

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Speaker 2: It is full Court Press, guys. I took the liberty

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of tweaking today's show a little bit because we only

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have six We only have six games on the slate

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for today, but we've got a lot more tomorrow, and

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we're at the point where sportsbooks are putting up numbers

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for Tuesday, a full day early for the bigger games.

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So in an effort to get you guys more games,

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we are gonna do two Tuesday games today that there's

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already lines for, and then that'll leave us time on

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Tuesday to hit what is a much better slate on Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: So welcome in. Hope everyone had a great weekend.

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Speaker 2: I'm still on Twitter defending the Pete Carroll and the

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Raiders for all the bad luck I had recently. I

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guess I can't complain anymore because I was on the

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Raiders yesterday. Improbable cover right there at the end. But

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let's get you guys in here. I'm gonna I'm gonna

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go to Brian Power first. We're gonna go to MSG

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great doubleheader in New York City tomorrow is part of

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the Jimmy V Classic, and let's start with the sort

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of night game first, but the bigger matchup first.

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Speaker 1: Florida Yukon VP.

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Speaker 2: You've kind of had strong opinions on these two teams

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so far this year. Now they collide here on a

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neutral court, which we know is not neutral. We know

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it's all Yukon bands. So talk to me about Florida

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Yukon Tuesday. But this game's already up at a lot

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of the legal spots ready for you to fire on.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, just real quick, I'll rant wine covech, complain about

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it later. Apologize anyone who's on the five percent play

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yesterday and the bills. We missed the cover by half

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a point. Of course, they had to taunt to us

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at the end by thinking we could cover, but alas

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it did not. But we dust ourselves off. It's a

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new week. We're already talking Tuesday. We're gonna hit on

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Monday's games, but the big one on Tuesday, obviously Yukon

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Florida trid. Yes, glad that you pay attention when I talk,

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because I have been a little lower on these teams

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than the market. I guess I every time we talk

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about them, I guess I'm saying, ah, I'm showing a

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little value on the other side. Here, here's where I started. Okay,

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I look at before you even sent over the actual

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lines that are posted. I looked at Ken Palm. They

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made it a three point game, I believe, I'm if

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it was a true neutral, a true neutral, I would

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have made it a two point game. And my thought was,

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this line's opening higher than three, and it has four

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and a half. So I'm not surprised. MSG. You mentioned

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Yukon's already played here. They've had a tremendous amount of

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success here. They certainly will be motivated. This is the

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team that ended their quest for the three peat last

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year in the second round of the NCAA Tournament, Florida

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beats Yukon. That was the pardon me, Florida, Well, no,

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I guess Houston that one. Florida wasn't looking so good

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in either the actualampionship game, but Yukon gave him a

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hell of a run in the second round. Florida one

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by what was it by two? Was that game, tod

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Was that a two point game? That was the side

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that was so my thought is, who's betting Florida in

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this game? I feel we had a discussion about this

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last week where you know there was an underdog, I

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can't now the game is escaping. We were like, well,

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who's betting this team? I think Yukon's gonna be a

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popular choice tomorrow, guys. And what does that mean? Well,

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for me, it usually means I look at the other side.

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But this game is going to come down to one thing.

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Florida's three point shooting. They've been terrible from behind the art,

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terrible cost him against Duke. It's why they were in

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a big hole against Duke. Remember they lost to Duke close,

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They had a chance to win, but they were down

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by what fifteen betting is fifteen in that game. So

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Yukon's defended the three. Well, my thought on this it's

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very It's kind of a week take, certainly the opposite

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of a hot one. It's interesting. Ken Palm project one

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hundred and fift two points, which would would be a

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signal to the over. I believe the totals what one

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forty five and a half right now as we're sitting

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at here on Monday morning. This game will only go

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over and Florida will only stay close if they are

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hitting their threes. If Florida's not hitting their threes. I

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don't see this game going over and I don't see

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them obviously covering, let alone winning. So that's my take.

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If we if we could, If you think you have

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a good handle on Florida's three point variants, have that

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that's because that's where this game is could be decided.

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Speaker 4: The MVP.

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Speaker 5: And to that point, Yukon's played three really solid offensive

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teams tournament teams already. Arizona scored seventy one, Illinois scored

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sixty one with that offense, and they were fully healthy

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in that game. Ku scored fifty six, no Peterson. But

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you get the idea on Yukon defense, Guys, I don't know.

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This is a very very early projection, but I don't

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know that there's a better one through nine in the

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country than what Yukon's throwing out there right now.

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Speaker 4: When you take into.

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Speaker 5: Effect with the freshman Braylen Williams just did last game,

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I think it was a leading scorer seventeen nineteen points.

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Speaker 4: It's almost like having Leam McNeely never leave.

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Speaker 5: And for Florida, we always start with the front line,

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right can you match up with their front line?

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Speaker 4: That's the key here.

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Speaker 5: Yukon certainly matches up with the front line, and it's

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kind of wild.

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Speaker 4: They're probably they could be.

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Speaker 5: You could argue, let's say that that they might be better.

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Question I guess for Yukon is do you go if

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you're Dan Hurley, do you go with all three bigs?

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Do you play Caravan? Do you play Riba? Do you

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play terrorists Reid all together? Or do terrorist read and

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Riba jam up the same space. I think that question

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holds the same for Florida, although they're a little more

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used to it. But the point guard situation here is great.

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At Yukon, the shooting guard situation is and it's deep

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at every position.

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Speaker 4: Small forward, shooting guard.

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Speaker 5: They got two guys that are all interchangeable in every

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single position. And you know what else, they got guys

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they can get to the rim. In college basketball, if

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you have guards that can get to where they want

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to go when they want to go there, then it's

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a huge advantage. I just Florida is a good team,

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and we're harping early this season on their backcourt not

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being Walter Clayton. I think in that discussion we lose

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the fact that they also had Elijah Martin and Will

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Richard and Will Richard's getting starters minutes at Golden State

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right now. I mean that that threesome right there. Elijah

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Martin had some highlight dunks that were crazy. So they're

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probably going to get better as they go along and

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they'll develop more continuity.

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Speaker 4: But I don't know that it's there now.

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Speaker 5: I do think it's there for Yukon, both offensively and defensively.

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I would lay this price with U kind of msg

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Adam said it's going to be all Yukon.

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Speaker 4: They will travel. I don't know. MSG holds like eighteen thousand.

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Speaker 5: They'll put fifteen thousand Huskie fans in that place without fails.

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Speaker 4: So to me, I would lay the price.

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Speaker 5: I think Brian, you're probably on I actually wish or no,

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actually the reverse. I'm happy that the total is that high.

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I just listed off the defensive efforts Yukon had against

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teams equally as good as Florida offensively, and those games

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got nowhere close to one fifty one and a half,

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nowhere near close. So probably a look at the under,

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but definitely a look at Yukon here. I think they've

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both been through the riggers early this season. Both played

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some really tough teams. But when I go personnel and

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start matching this thing up, Yukon's every bit. They do

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what Florida does best just as well, and then they're

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better in the backcourt.

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Speaker 3: Real quick, trig it's Monday morning, little lah math mistake

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by yours truly. Then I just want to pick up

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because people in the comments section may already be yelling

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Ken Palm has as projected at one forty seven. I

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had it at one to fifty. It's that sounds like, man,

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he's usual that it's usually not that off this weekend,

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or are pardon me, Ken pump is usually not that

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off on a total, And I was like, it's kind

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of weird, but no, he projected at one forty seven.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, and in fact I just did it wrong, Brian,

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I'm telling people that under one fifty one and a half.

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Speaker 3: With ye number, Well no, because I said because I

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had said one fifty two, so one fifty one. So yeah,

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so there we go.

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Speaker 4: You get the idea you kind of under if you're.

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Speaker 2: Me, Yeah, we have we have lines for this game.

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Four and a half is what the uh uh sort

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of very popular books. I know we're trying not to

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say sportsbook games, but the ones that are most popular

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that are probably on your phone have four and a

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half and one forty six and a half one forty

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six on the total. So it's hard to think that

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this is anything other than the Yukon. If Joey Cheese

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are in the chat right now, he'd be like, yeah,

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you gone by double digits, and we would He wouldn't

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even allow us to think anything and honestly probably be right.

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Last time he said that was the Illinois game, and

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I believe that was also at MSG and they they

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sort of easily won that game.

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Speaker 1: Uh, Yukon, They're one loss this year. They didn't have

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Terris read.

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Speaker 2: Then they got out rebound at thirty nine to nineteen

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by Arizona. That's probably the only way Florida wins this

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game or even covers. So to go back to Rob's sport, like,

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Hurley doesn't mess stuff like this up.

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Speaker 1: I've said this a million times.

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Speaker 2: Like one of his biggest straints at Yukon is he's

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he essentially retains his coaching staff every year. So it's

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like all these Yukon assistants could go and take jobs

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like in.

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Speaker 1: The NC or in the Patriot League. Or in the

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MAC like they would be.

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Speaker 2: They would all get jobs instantly as head coaches, but

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they would rather stay at Yukon because they've literally built

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I mean, Rob, as you know, they call stores the

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basketball capital of the world. They've literally built like a

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destination where it's like they're only gonna leave for like

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an elite job at this point. And because of that,

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he's got this excellent coaching staff, and I trust Dan

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Hurley won't get it wrong. Right, Like, go back to

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the NCAAA tournament last year. Dan Hurley had as good

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of a game plan for Florida as anyone did that

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whole tournament, and arguably should have. I mean, a couple

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shots fall in that game. Florida's not your national champs.

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Reid should play and sot of go back to your point, Rob,

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I do think they go big. That would be Florida's

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only path to victory here, in my opinion, is being

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able to dominate upfront and win through their bigs, and

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so I think Hurley will do anything in his power

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to take that away. You probably look at Demery guarding

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Boggie Flann and that's gonna leave our guy Princeton transfer

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Zavi and Lee. Listen, If Xavi and Lee can can

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have a day and beat them, I think you tip

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your cap if you're Yukon. I've said this since the

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beginning of the year. He's shown absolutely nothing, even last

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year at Princeton, Like I felt like he regressed a

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little bit last year from the sweet sixteen Princeton team

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when he was surrounded by better players.

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Speaker 1: If Zavian Lee can go to the.

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Speaker 2: Garden and just like ball out and win, you got

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to tip cap. I don't see how that happens. And

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so for that reason, I don't see how Florida covers.

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What do you think VP?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, we talked about Florida's three point shooting,

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how I did, how woeful it's been, and you guys

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have both mentioned the offensive glass kind of being a

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pat really Florida's only path to victory here and Rob

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mentioned and you did too, trick how it can be

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neutralized by Yukon is one of the few teams in

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the front court that can neutralize If Florida is number

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four in the country, Guys, just put numbers on this

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in offensive rebounding percentages. Offensive rebounding is how they got

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back in that game against Duke in the second particularly

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in the second half. I think they had what thirteen

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second chance points in the second half alone. They outrebounded

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Duke by eleven, including twenty two to eleven on the

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offensive glass. You mentioned Lee, I just want to he's

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not even averaging double figures this year, is he? I mean,

237
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he had a horrible game against Duke, one for ten

238
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from the field, and he is averaging now, yeah, eight

239
00:11:56,399 --> 00:11:58,679
point four points per game. And so that's another thing.

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I mean, can't he step up? There's a lot? I mean, man,

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the more we talk about this, things almost have to

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line up perfectly for Florida. It feels like it's kind

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of scary how much we're writing them off.

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Speaker 1: Listen, like that is what Xavi and Lee is like.

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Speaker 2: Not everyone can play up like you can be, and

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I think like guys have to probably. I think a

247
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lot of these mid major guys need to like think

248
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twice before they like go and transfer to a like

249
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like an SEC school, because they're more likely to, in

250
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my opinion, get exposed than they are to just become

251
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like a like Walter Clayton is a is not the norm, right,

252
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like leaving Iona, But also like you kind of look

253
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at Walter Clayton and you're like, yeah, this guy could

254
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probably play at the next level.

255
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Speaker 1: You look at xavi and Lee.

256
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Speaker 2: I mean he looks like a high schooler a lot

257
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of times out there, Like he's not very big, and

258
00:12:49,559 --> 00:12:51,960
it's like, you know, it's one thing to dominate in

259
00:12:52,039 --> 00:12:55,080
the IVY, but now you're playing in the SEC. It's

260
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it's just I think he's exposed and I think what

261
00:12:58,519 --> 00:13:00,559
you're seeing is what you're gonna get him all year.

262
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Speaker 1: I don't think it gets better than that. So would

263
00:13:03,240 --> 00:13:05,639
you know what I mean, Yeah.

264
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Speaker 5: Just to just to reverse what you said about Xavian Lee,

265
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and if he has a big game offensively, so be it.

266
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Speaker 4: I'd worry more.

267
00:13:15,759 --> 00:13:18,360
Speaker 5: I mean yeah, I would worry more about him on

268
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the defensive end against these penetrating Yukon guards because if

269
00:13:22,240 --> 00:13:23,600
Xavian League gets in foul.

270
00:13:23,480 --> 00:13:26,039
Speaker 4: Trouble here, where are they going? As far as ball

271
00:13:26,080 --> 00:13:29,200
handling is concerned, Florida, It's going to be a big deal.

272
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The Yukon backcourt.

273
00:13:31,799 --> 00:13:35,000
Speaker 5: The pair of point guards are the leading free throw

274
00:13:35,000 --> 00:13:37,840
attempt guys on this team, sixty three free throws combined.

275
00:13:37,879 --> 00:13:40,600
They'll get to the rim and I don't know that

276
00:13:40,679 --> 00:13:43,480
Todd Golden is going to go to any zone against

277
00:13:43,480 --> 00:13:44,759
the Yukon Husky.

278
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Speaker 4: So I don't know, I'd worry about Leon.

279
00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:49,759
Speaker 5: Both ends tell you the truth, and if Yukon can

280
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neutralize the front court, I said that wouldn't be surprised

281
00:13:52,840 --> 00:13:54,679
if this four and a half elevates. Guys, if you

282
00:13:54,720 --> 00:13:56,039
want to bet it, beat it now, you might be

283
00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:57,519
seeing five and a half tomorrow.

284
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Speaker 4: And I was just.

285
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Speaker 3: Going to say that, you know, well, I'm sure we'll

286
00:14:01,159 --> 00:14:03,759
just mention the line at least on tomorrow's show. Trick,

287
00:14:03,879 --> 00:14:05,279
you know, we'll just kind of come back to this.

288
00:14:05,919 --> 00:14:08,440
I'm very interested to see because the way we're talking,

289
00:14:08,879 --> 00:14:11,720
the way the chats talking, the way that I don't

290
00:14:11,720 --> 00:14:17,799
think we're you know, uncovering, you know, any shocking viewpoints

291
00:14:17,799 --> 00:14:19,879
here what we've been talking about. I think I think

292
00:14:19,879 --> 00:14:21,720
a lot of people are gonna look at this matchup

293
00:14:21,960 --> 00:14:23,679
and assess it the same way. I think it does.

294
00:14:23,720 --> 00:14:26,639
Stand the reason that over the next twenty four hours

295
00:14:26,679 --> 00:14:29,120
Yukon will take money, and yeah, I think Rob's points

296
00:14:29,159 --> 00:14:30,799
will take and a few like Yukon, I would probably

297
00:14:30,799 --> 00:14:33,320
bet them sooner much rather than later, because this line,

298
00:14:33,320 --> 00:14:34,200
to me only goes up.

299
00:14:36,440 --> 00:14:38,399
Speaker 2: All right, let's go to Garth. We are going to

300
00:14:38,480 --> 00:14:41,480
rattle through these six Monday games. We are are parlay.

301
00:14:41,519 --> 00:14:43,720
Even though we're going to talk to Tuesday games today,

302
00:14:44,200 --> 00:14:46,679
we will find a parlay that's all entirely tonight.

303
00:14:46,679 --> 00:14:48,080
Speaker 1: I don't know how we're gonna do that, but we're

304
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gonna do it.

305
00:14:48,720 --> 00:14:51,759
Speaker 2: So we will get you a three teamer out of

306
00:14:51,799 --> 00:14:54,720
the six thrillers that are on the slate tonight. I

307
00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:57,720
was gonna use this as the as today's feature.

308
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Speaker 1: This is on.

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Speaker 2: SEC Network, so we'll start here for Garth. He's his

310
00:15:02,039 --> 00:15:05,519
thoughts on Southern team total under sixty seven and a

311
00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:11,320
half Tonight. I'll go to Rob here for the total angle.

312
00:15:11,919 --> 00:15:15,480
I was tempted when this hit twenty two to take Southern.

313
00:15:15,960 --> 00:15:20,240
I know BP would would probably agree with that reason

314
00:15:20,320 --> 00:15:23,120
being Southern. Southern hasn't played in a while, and a

315
00:15:23,120 --> 00:15:25,919
lot of times with these swax schools that get hammered

316
00:15:25,919 --> 00:15:28,399
with like all the bye games and stuff, at this

317
00:15:28,519 --> 00:15:30,240
time of year, I start to not want to play

318
00:15:30,240 --> 00:15:33,279
them because they're like running ragged. It's like they're on

319
00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:38,840
their you know, seventh road trip and be I'll let

320
00:15:38,879 --> 00:15:39,799
you sort of hamma.

321
00:15:39,879 --> 00:15:41,399
Speaker 3: We have team, and I was gonna, I was gonna say,

322
00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:42,960
just real quick, yeah, and I'll let you go again.

323
00:15:43,039 --> 00:15:45,399
We have teams like that on today's slate. Yes, that

324
00:15:45,399 --> 00:15:48,279
that that are just probably like please let this road

325
00:15:48,320 --> 00:15:49,519
trip BETD for the love of god.

326
00:15:51,000 --> 00:15:51,240
Speaker 1: Yeah.

327
00:15:51,240 --> 00:15:54,279
Speaker 2: But Southern, you know they haven't they haven't played a

328
00:15:54,480 --> 00:15:57,840
Division one game since the twenty ninth of November.

329
00:15:58,279 --> 00:15:58,480
Speaker 5: Uh.

330
00:15:58,519 --> 00:16:01,360
Speaker 2: And they actually beat Northwest State in that game. Who

331
00:16:01,360 --> 00:16:04,120
that's a That's actually what I consider to be a

332
00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:05,919
pretty good win for Southern.

333
00:16:06,440 --> 00:16:06,679
Speaker 1: Uh.

334
00:16:06,759 --> 00:16:09,679
Speaker 2: Then they played a non board team, so really plenty

335
00:16:09,759 --> 00:16:12,240
of time to sort of rest, make sure guys are

336
00:16:12,240 --> 00:16:15,519
healthy for this game. Now, Rob, I don't know if

337
00:16:15,559 --> 00:16:18,399
they go into Austin and win, but twenty two didn't

338
00:16:18,399 --> 00:16:19,600
seem like a terrible.

339
00:16:19,320 --> 00:16:22,399
Speaker 1: Bat to talk to Garth though. He wants to know

340
00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:24,519
about the under and then anything you have on the side.

341
00:16:25,519 --> 00:16:27,879
Speaker 5: Okay, so let's do this. I'm gonna knock out a

342
00:16:27,879 --> 00:16:29,679
lot of birds with one stone here.

343
00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:33,399
Speaker 3: Okay, I'll start got quotes, don't we We've got quotes here.

344
00:16:33,519 --> 00:16:37,039
I mean, if I said Rob's got these guys said

345
00:16:37,159 --> 00:16:40,039
I'm not. I said, Rob is gonna. I saw the quotes.

346
00:16:41,840 --> 00:16:44,159
Speaker 5: There's only one guy we're gonna quote here, and that's

347
00:16:44,159 --> 00:16:47,840
Sean Miller, and it might give you to Garth's point

348
00:16:47,879 --> 00:16:51,200
here looking at Southern team total under if he has

349
00:16:51,240 --> 00:16:53,600
his way, that'll come true, Garth, because here's what he said.

350
00:16:53,639 --> 00:16:56,639
It's becoming a pattern with us. We're too easy to

351
00:16:56,679 --> 00:16:59,399
score on. We have to fix that. We have to

352
00:16:59,440 --> 00:17:01,320
be better. We have to just have more of an

353
00:17:01,360 --> 00:17:03,600
inner fight and toughness on that side of the ball

354
00:17:04,160 --> 00:17:07,000
to be able to defend the shot, challenge the shot,

355
00:17:07,240 --> 00:17:09,599
rebound the ball, defend the man in front of you.

356
00:17:10,119 --> 00:17:12,759
We're at a crossroads. You can't lose at home and

357
00:17:12,799 --> 00:17:14,680
be down by twenty five or thirty in a big

358
00:17:14,720 --> 00:17:16,519
game early in the year with a great crowd and

359
00:17:16,559 --> 00:17:18,240
not feel like that's a problem.

360
00:17:18,720 --> 00:17:20,000
Speaker 4: That's where we're at.

361
00:17:20,640 --> 00:17:23,319
Speaker 5: I mean, go pick a swack team and try and

362
00:17:23,359 --> 00:17:25,480
straighten it out right. I mean, that's what they're going

363
00:17:25,559 --> 00:17:29,400
to try and do. But I'll say this, I was shocked,

364
00:17:29,400 --> 00:17:34,000
guys that this Texas team total was eighty seven and

365
00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:37,599
a half consensus across the board. I mean, Texas has

366
00:17:37,640 --> 00:17:40,839
been in the nineties in more than a handful of

367
00:17:40,880 --> 00:17:45,440
games so far this year. Southern in a couple of

368
00:17:45,440 --> 00:17:48,440
their defeats gave up over one hundred to teams that

369
00:17:48,480 --> 00:17:52,680
could score. It just seems like an ultimate beat down

370
00:17:52,799 --> 00:17:56,839
here where Texas as far as their offensive end is concerned.

371
00:17:56,839 --> 00:18:00,359
Not the full game, but ninety doesn't seem the realm

372
00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:03,559
of possibility at all in this matchup. Adam just mentioned

373
00:18:03,559 --> 00:18:07,279
that Southern's resume at least the wind column is built

374
00:18:07,359 --> 00:18:13,720
on Juco's and Nia Naia teams, so not.

375
00:18:13,720 --> 00:18:14,960
Speaker 4: A looted to judge from there.

376
00:18:16,119 --> 00:18:19,720
Speaker 5: I think that Southern for the most part, because they

377
00:18:19,720 --> 00:18:25,240
play track meet style. It's thirty ninth in adjusted offensive

378
00:18:25,279 --> 00:18:28,160
pace so far this season for Southern. If you're gonna

379
00:18:28,160 --> 00:18:30,480
give Texas that many opportunities, and when and when Sean

380
00:18:30,519 --> 00:18:34,640
Miller starts quoting defense, honestly, I think you can calculate

381
00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:39,079
into your handicap some steals that lead to buckets, you know,

382
00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:41,960
not turnovers, but steals where they poke the ball away

383
00:18:42,000 --> 00:18:43,680
and get out on the break, et cetera, et cetera,

384
00:18:43,799 --> 00:18:47,000
defensive rebounding. So when I said I'm gonna kill a

385
00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:49,279
few birds with one stone, I'll take the first pick

386
00:18:49,559 --> 00:18:50,079
of this.

387
00:18:50,039 --> 00:18:53,240
Speaker 4: Parlay out of our huge litter cat litter pile that

388
00:18:53,279 --> 00:18:53,880
we have here.

389
00:18:53,720 --> 00:18:58,799
Speaker 5: To choose from, and I'll give you Texas offensively team

390
00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:01,079
total over eighty seven and a half tonight. Whether or

391
00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:03,920
not twenty two comes into play, I'm not sure, because

392
00:19:04,400 --> 00:19:07,599
they are that ragged defensively to start the season, and

393
00:19:08,319 --> 00:19:09,799
maybe the time off Southern.

394
00:19:09,799 --> 00:19:12,519
Speaker 4: But yeah, these swax schedules are wild.

395
00:19:15,279 --> 00:19:17,119
Speaker 3: I think, you know, I'm like you, Drigg and that

396
00:19:17,240 --> 00:19:18,960
I thought the number. I thought the spread was a

397
00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:22,519
little too high, but I also would go through. I

398
00:19:22,559 --> 00:19:24,079
think the better way to play this would be looking

399
00:19:24,119 --> 00:19:27,039
at a team total like you said. Just you know,

400
00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:30,119
Sean Miller were going off on his defense the quotes

401
00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:32,279
Rob Red that had to do with the fact, you know,

402
00:19:32,359 --> 00:19:36,240
Texas was just horrible against Virginia. They were down by

403
00:19:37,000 --> 00:19:39,559
as many as twenty seven in that game. They let

404
00:19:39,599 --> 00:19:42,240
the Who's go fifty percent from three to twelve of

405
00:19:42,319 --> 00:19:46,640
twenty four, so decent volume that they shot fifty percent

406
00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:49,599
at and then thirty eight points from Virginia's bench. Now,

407
00:19:49,640 --> 00:19:54,279
I don't think Southern's bench is particularly deep, so you

408
00:19:54,279 --> 00:19:57,079
know that that's you know, I think that's the thing.

409
00:19:57,160 --> 00:20:00,359
So the tea, it's interesting that Garth was thinking Southern

410
00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:03,000
team total under because to me, I initially I was thinking, well,

411
00:20:03,559 --> 00:20:06,759
if you like Texas to bounce back, maybe that's the angle.

412
00:20:06,759 --> 00:20:08,599
And then Rob threw you the kind of the curve

413
00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:13,519
ball there with Texas over, it's team total. So glad

414
00:20:13,559 --> 00:20:14,759
that he made a pick on this now that I

415
00:20:14,759 --> 00:20:16,759
don't have, so I don't have to I'll always scramble

416
00:20:16,799 --> 00:20:17,680
to pick another one.

417
00:20:18,119 --> 00:20:19,599
Speaker 4: You get the other five to choose from.

418
00:20:19,680 --> 00:20:23,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, I see by you in the chat and I

419
00:20:23,720 --> 00:20:25,640
know he's done. This is so Southern is located in

420
00:20:25,680 --> 00:20:30,240
Baton Rouge, Louisiana forever if you're wondering, and he's kind

421
00:20:30,279 --> 00:20:33,319
of our Louisiana plug right now by you. He's always

422
00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:36,759
he's on believe he went to Southeast Louisiana. He's always

423
00:20:36,759 --> 00:20:39,799
on these the smaller Louisiana schools. So what I would

424
00:20:39,839 --> 00:20:41,480
want to know about this game, which I think is

425
00:20:41,559 --> 00:20:45,599
very very important, is Southern's got two guys that haven't

426
00:20:45,599 --> 00:20:52,160
played recently, Damari Jones and Rande Hill, and neither of

427
00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:54,400
them have played in their last two games. The reason

428
00:20:54,440 --> 00:20:57,799
that's important is to your point, Brian, Southern without those

429
00:20:57,799 --> 00:21:01,240
two is not very deep. And so you know, a

430
00:21:01,279 --> 00:21:03,720
game against Northwestern State the depth is not going to

431
00:21:03,759 --> 00:21:06,839
be a huge deal, right, Like, but like you're trying

432
00:21:06,839 --> 00:21:10,519
to play Texas and then a Texas team where Sean

433
00:21:10,559 --> 00:21:13,799
Miller's like, hey, like we're gonna like go and play

434
00:21:13,839 --> 00:21:16,839
forty minutes of hard basketball because we're pissed off that

435
00:21:16,920 --> 00:21:18,079
we just know showed.

436
00:21:17,839 --> 00:21:18,640
Speaker 1: The Virginia game.

437
00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:21,119
Speaker 2: And now you have to like worry about playing them

438
00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:24,200
with six guys or six guys that actually get minutes

439
00:21:24,240 --> 00:21:27,000
because when you take Jones and Hill out of there, no,

440
00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:30,559
I mean, there's really not a ton of minutes outside

441
00:21:30,559 --> 00:21:34,440
of like the starting five that actually probably garth. That's

442
00:21:34,519 --> 00:21:37,960
probably another reason for you to like you're under Southern

443
00:21:38,000 --> 00:21:39,839
may need to try to slow it down a little bit,

444
00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:42,519
just limit the number of possessions, just you know.

445
00:21:42,519 --> 00:21:43,880
Speaker 1: And that's why I would really want to know the

446
00:21:43,880 --> 00:21:44,839
status of those two.

447
00:21:45,240 --> 00:21:47,240
Speaker 2: But the reason I like Southern plus the points here,

448
00:21:47,279 --> 00:21:50,519
I mean, they're they're probably gonna win this conference. Like

449
00:21:50,559 --> 00:21:52,519
if you were to power right out the swack right now,

450
00:21:52,559 --> 00:21:55,599
like I got Southern one in what is like a

451
00:21:55,640 --> 00:21:59,480
swack conference that's on the rise, right Like we already

452
00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:01,759
saw the Thune Cookman with a couple of really good results.

453
00:22:02,240 --> 00:22:05,720
I believe Southern had Washington like dead to right, so

454
00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:09,440
almost earlier this year, ended up losing that game up

455
00:22:09,519 --> 00:22:14,119
in Seattle, but I believe, Yeah, it went to double overtimes,

456
00:22:14,160 --> 00:22:14,799
double overtime.

457
00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:18,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, took Washington.

458
00:22:17,799 --> 00:22:21,759
Speaker 2: To double ot They were competitive with Marquette, although I'm

459
00:22:21,799 --> 00:22:23,000
not sure what you want to make of that. At

460
00:22:23,039 --> 00:22:25,880
this point Marquette hasn't been great, but you know the win,

461
00:22:26,000 --> 00:22:28,640
I again winning on the road at Northwestern State. Believe

462
00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:32,400
Northwestern State won a big game this weekend in their conference,

463
00:22:32,519 --> 00:22:36,039
So I lean towards the points. I kind of missed

464
00:22:36,039 --> 00:22:39,000
the if it was still twenty two, I may just

465
00:22:39,400 --> 00:22:41,559
say the hell with that. I'll take the twenty two

466
00:22:41,559 --> 00:22:43,480
and have a little action for tonight. It's now back

467
00:22:43,759 --> 00:22:45,880
to twenty one. But we'll see where that goes throughout

468
00:22:45,880 --> 00:22:47,839
the day. There's only six games, so a lot of

469
00:22:47,839 --> 00:22:51,599
these games are bouncing back and forth today. But yeah,

470
00:22:51,680 --> 00:22:55,200
I can't I do lean towards Southern. I'm not gonna

471
00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:58,079
talk Rob off of like he's probably right. Texas is

472
00:22:58,079 --> 00:23:01,279
probably gonna do their absolute that's to put as many

473
00:23:01,319 --> 00:23:03,440
points on the border as they can tonight. And I

474
00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:06,119
also don't really mind the underlook for Southern because you

475
00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:07,480
know they're trying to slow it down.

476
00:23:08,039 --> 00:23:10,880
Speaker 3: Interesting game VP, What do you But Texas has Yukon

477
00:23:11,119 --> 00:23:14,759
on Friday too, So I don't know how how that

478
00:23:14,839 --> 00:23:16,720
affects the mind. I mean, if this, if they get

479
00:23:16,799 --> 00:23:19,880
up big in this game, do the I mean, they

480
00:23:19,880 --> 00:23:21,319
obviously want to work the kings out, they want to

481
00:23:21,319 --> 00:23:24,799
build up some you know, Rob rattled off Miller's quotes.

482
00:23:25,160 --> 00:23:27,200
You got the big game on deck, you want to

483
00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:31,400
look good. I thought Texas and the you know, Texas

484
00:23:31,440 --> 00:23:33,279
in the first half. To me, if they're not covered early,

485
00:23:33,319 --> 00:23:35,759
they're not covering late. Maybe I don't know. But at

486
00:23:35,799 --> 00:23:37,480
the same time, I don't like playing favorites in the

487
00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:40,039
first half because if you want to take if you

488
00:23:40,079 --> 00:23:42,440
want all forty minutes, if you're on the superior side,

489
00:23:42,519 --> 00:23:44,920
right So, oh that's funny. Somebody actually just mentioned Texas

490
00:23:44,960 --> 00:23:45,839
first half in the chat.

491
00:23:46,200 --> 00:23:47,240
Speaker 1: But I don't know.

492
00:23:47,279 --> 00:23:50,480
Speaker 3: I mean, well, how does that affect like like for

493
00:23:50,599 --> 00:23:53,000
either of you. I'll just open the floor up the

494
00:23:53,079 --> 00:23:55,359
Yukon game being on deck, How does that affect if

495
00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:57,960
at all you're handicapped here, because I mean I could

496
00:23:58,000 --> 00:24:01,920
see Tech maybe letting up a little bit at the end,

497
00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:02,319
I don't know.

498
00:24:04,079 --> 00:24:07,279
Speaker 5: Yeah, I think to know Sean Miller, guys, and he's

499
00:24:07,279 --> 00:24:10,519
been a head coach long enough, I don't know that

500
00:24:10,599 --> 00:24:13,240
the foot would come off the pedal here. And I

501
00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:17,559
also would say that whatever he throws in there, you know,

502
00:24:17,640 --> 00:24:20,200
let's say they end up playing five through nine, it's

503
00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:22,319
as good as what Southern's going to put on the floor.

504
00:24:22,920 --> 00:24:25,680
So even if it's neutralized at that point. In other words,

505
00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:28,000
I don't know that Southern's going to be able to

506
00:24:28,039 --> 00:24:31,039
do much at that point in time to close a

507
00:24:31,079 --> 00:24:34,319
gap if there is one, And I don't know they'd

508
00:24:34,319 --> 00:24:37,640
be able to do much to gain ground on a

509
00:24:37,680 --> 00:24:38,839
gap if there is one.

510
00:24:39,000 --> 00:24:40,359
Speaker 4: If there is no gap.

511
00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:42,480
Speaker 5: Guys, they're going you know, if plus twenty one comes

512
00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:44,519
into play, and let's say this is a fifteen point

513
00:24:44,599 --> 00:24:47,279
game with four minutes left, starters aren't coming off the

514
00:24:47,279 --> 00:24:50,880
floor anyway. So I just think the pace at this game,

515
00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:53,640
and Adam mentioned maybe Southern shorthanded would try to slow

516
00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:54,000
it down.

517
00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:57,559
Speaker 4: I'm just not a believer that an underdog can go.

518
00:24:57,480 --> 00:25:01,799
Speaker 5: Into somebody else's building a sizeable underdog like this and

519
00:25:01,839 --> 00:25:04,519
dictate pace for any length of time.

520
00:25:04,920 --> 00:25:07,599
Speaker 4: Maybe a little bit, but you know Southern is what

521
00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:08,200
Southern is.

522
00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:11,519
Speaker 5: They're gonna run Texas, gonna run back because they're unafraid

523
00:25:11,599 --> 00:25:15,000
of this team. So hopefully eighty seven and a half

524
00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:17,319
eighty eight points get us there. But I thought it

525
00:25:17,319 --> 00:25:18,880
should have been in the nineties somewhere.

526
00:25:20,759 --> 00:25:23,359
Speaker 2: I mean, listen, don't don't tell Southern they have no

527
00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:26,319
shot in this game, like they're going to show up

528
00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:27,599
and think that they can compete.

529
00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:30,599
Speaker 1: Listen, they're all seniors and grad transfers.

530
00:25:30,880 --> 00:25:33,400
Speaker 2: They've got they've got a guy scoring that that's averaging

531
00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:36,119
twenty two points per game that can absolutely fill it

532
00:25:36,160 --> 00:25:37,359
up in Michael Jacobs.

533
00:25:37,880 --> 00:25:40,359
Speaker 1: Their entire starting five is seniors.

534
00:25:41,000 --> 00:25:43,640
Speaker 2: They've already played Arkansas, They've already played Marquette, they took

535
00:25:43,720 --> 00:25:47,000
Washington to doublet. Like, don't don't tell Southern who's probably

536
00:25:47,000 --> 00:25:47,759
gonna win their league.

537
00:25:47,759 --> 00:25:48,359
Speaker 1: That's the other thing.

538
00:25:48,799 --> 00:25:50,599
Speaker 2: They might be four and four right now, and like

539
00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:53,920
a twenty point dog. They're likely an NCAA tournament team

540
00:25:54,079 --> 00:25:57,000
like they are probably if you've watched like Jackson State

541
00:25:57,039 --> 00:25:58,400
and some of the other ones that are up in

542
00:25:58,440 --> 00:26:01,240
the mix there, like they're the best of this group

543
00:26:01,279 --> 00:26:04,359
of swack teams that's all like considered to be relatively equal.

544
00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:07,240
So it's like, don't tell Southern they can't hang on them.

545
00:26:07,480 --> 00:26:10,000
It's still Zero's game starts zero zero.

546
00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:11,559
Speaker 1: I wouldn't play Texas.

547
00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:14,359
Speaker 3: First, and can Palm backs you up with that trig

548
00:26:14,759 --> 00:26:16,880
if you if that you know, makes you feel any better,

549
00:26:16,960 --> 00:26:17,839
or maybe it doesn't.

550
00:26:17,920 --> 00:26:21,079
Speaker 5: And I do think the point, Adam, that their ticket

551
00:26:21,119 --> 00:26:24,200
to a cover is to reach seventy. Honestly, it's why

552
00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:25,960
I have a hard time at sixty seven and a half.

553
00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:28,400
I think that's their way to get there. Play their brand,

554
00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:31,559
get the seventy, maybe lose ninety one to seventy ninety

555
00:26:31,599 --> 00:26:32,519
seventy and get a cover.

556
00:26:33,319 --> 00:26:36,079
Speaker 2: Yeah, And to Bayou's point, this is probably the only

557
00:26:36,279 --> 00:26:38,640
like listen I was. I had a cueued up Southern

558
00:26:38,680 --> 00:26:42,079
plus twenty two. And the reason that I was like, man,

559
00:26:42,079 --> 00:26:45,160
do I really want to do that? Is not if

560
00:26:45,200 --> 00:26:47,599
they if they still are without Joe, and maybe those

561
00:26:47,599 --> 00:26:50,480
guys will play because Jones and Hill like when the

562
00:26:50,519 --> 00:26:52,440
new thing now is if you have guys that are

563
00:26:52,480 --> 00:26:55,079
a little bit you know, dealer with injuries or just

564
00:26:55,160 --> 00:26:56,920
not guys you want to risk, you don't play them

565
00:26:56,960 --> 00:26:59,640
against the non board teams. Right if you're playing a

566
00:26:59,680 --> 00:27:02,519
nond one team, you just keep them out. So I'm

567
00:27:02,519 --> 00:27:05,799
not really but they also missed I believe the Northwestern

568
00:27:05,839 --> 00:27:07,599
State game, or at least one of them did that.

569
00:27:07,599 --> 00:27:08,519
Speaker 1: That's my concern.

570
00:27:08,960 --> 00:27:10,960
Speaker 2: If they had those two and they and they had

571
00:27:10,960 --> 00:27:14,039
an eight man rotation, then going to buy you this point,

572
00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:16,039
Southern would be able to push the pace, which is

573
00:27:16,119 --> 00:27:18,119
what they want to do. And if they're dropped, if

574
00:27:18,119 --> 00:27:21,039
the shots are falling, they're probably in this game. My

575
00:27:21,240 --> 00:27:23,400
only concern, the reason I haven't bet this yet is

576
00:27:23,519 --> 00:27:25,640
they're still a little bit shorthanded. They're trying to do

577
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:28,000
it with five or six guys, and then over forty

578
00:27:28,039 --> 00:27:31,119
minutes they just run on a gas and suddenly they're

579
00:27:31,119 --> 00:27:34,880
down twenty and you're you're sweating out those final couple possessions,

580
00:27:34,880 --> 00:27:37,880
hoping the Texas walk on Dribble's office foot so you

581
00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:38,759
can cover twenty two.

582
00:27:39,400 --> 00:27:42,880
Speaker 3: So just real quick with the lay of the land

583
00:27:42,880 --> 00:27:45,279
and the slack drig. You know, Southern is the top

584
00:27:45,359 --> 00:27:48,759
rated slack team at ken Palm to number two hundred

585
00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:52,519
net rating. The only other slack team higher than two

586
00:27:52,599 --> 00:27:55,079
seventy in net rating is Pathune Cookman. We've talked about

587
00:27:55,079 --> 00:27:57,960
before After that, it's kind of a precipitous drop to

588
00:27:58,000 --> 00:27:58,559
the rest.

589
00:27:58,319 --> 00:27:58,720
Speaker 4: Of the pack.

590
00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:03,960
Speaker 2: All right, let's move it along. There's another Power conference

591
00:28:03,960 --> 00:28:07,200
team playing today. I need to be publicly shamed on

592
00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:10,200
this show. I bet Kansas State over the weekend, after

593
00:28:10,279 --> 00:28:12,920
all the after all the shit I talked about that.

594
00:28:12,839 --> 00:28:16,319
Speaker 1: Team, right, which I'm right about. Listen.

595
00:28:16,720 --> 00:28:19,519
Speaker 2: I couldn't get over the fact that I thought Seaton

596
00:28:19,519 --> 00:28:20,960
Hall was the perfect matchup for them.

597
00:28:21,160 --> 00:28:21,799
Speaker 1: I really did.

598
00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:27,799
Speaker 2: Like team that doesn't you know, offensively isn't elite. Kansas

599
00:28:27,839 --> 00:28:29,720
State can shoot over them a little bit in agatest

600
00:28:29,720 --> 00:28:32,519
some of their their defensive edge the games in Manhattan,

601
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:35,400
and Seaton Hall just went and punched him in the mouth.

602
00:28:35,839 --> 00:28:40,039
Kansas State had no shot, no answer. I'm gonna I

603
00:28:40,079 --> 00:28:42,559
need Rob to co sign on this because I don't

604
00:28:42,599 --> 00:28:46,880
just give out team totals. That's not a TRIG type play.

605
00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:49,000
But there's been a pretty big move on the spread here.

606
00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:52,000
I saw someone in the chat say Kansas State's probably

607
00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:54,559
closer to one hundred than ninety tonight. I very much

608
00:28:54,599 --> 00:28:56,920
agree with that. I think Kansas State can name their

609
00:28:56,960 --> 00:29:00,440
score tonight against Mississippi Valley State. I think they probably will.

610
00:29:01,079 --> 00:29:03,799
I would be shocked if Kansas State doesn't drop one hundred.

611
00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:06,400
And the reason why is, like, I still think this

612
00:29:06,480 --> 00:29:09,119
team sucks like they are there. They're a bottom five

613
00:29:09,200 --> 00:29:11,440
team in that Big twelve like that, they're they're not

614
00:29:11,480 --> 00:29:13,920
a good basketball team, but they've got guys that can

615
00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:16,480
shoot the three. They haven't made a three in like

616
00:29:16,759 --> 00:29:20,440
three games, but you know we're two games Bowling Green

617
00:29:20,480 --> 00:29:24,519
Thoes very good defensively and Seaton Hall just they they

618
00:29:24,519 --> 00:29:26,160
will defend the crap out of you, and I think

619
00:29:26,200 --> 00:29:28,359
that really like PJ Haggerty look like you wanted to

620
00:29:28,359 --> 00:29:31,319
cry on Saturday, like coming off when when he had

621
00:29:31,359 --> 00:29:35,119
one point. Today, here's what's gonna happen today, Mississippi Valley

622
00:29:35,119 --> 00:29:37,640
State plays his zone. It's like they will play zone

623
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:40,960
for forty minutes. Uh, and they essentially are gonna go

624
00:29:41,000 --> 00:29:41,799
out Kansas State.

625
00:29:41,839 --> 00:29:42,359
Speaker 1: It's gonna be.

626
00:29:42,319 --> 00:29:45,680
Speaker 2: Shooting practice because Mississippi Valley State's gonna sit in their

627
00:29:45,759 --> 00:29:48,119
zone and essentially just let them take threes.

628
00:29:48,160 --> 00:29:48,480
Speaker 1: It's there.

629
00:29:48,519 --> 00:29:51,480
Speaker 2: It's their only that that's what they will do. I'm

630
00:29:51,480 --> 00:29:53,720
telling you that that's what they will do. They have

631
00:29:53,799 --> 00:29:55,720
no other choice and it's and it's what they do

632
00:29:55,759 --> 00:30:00,359
every game anyway. So to me, Kansas State, you know,

633
00:30:00,599 --> 00:30:02,039
part of the reason they haven't been able to make

634
00:30:02,079 --> 00:30:04,119
a shot is Bowling Green's a good defensive team.

635
00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:05,680
Speaker 1: Seaton Hall is a very good defensive team.

636
00:30:06,160 --> 00:30:08,400
Speaker 2: Now the shots are going to be wide open, and

637
00:30:08,480 --> 00:30:10,319
I think there's going to be no end in side.

638
00:30:10,319 --> 00:30:12,119
Speaker 1: I think once they start falling, they're going to be like,

639
00:30:12,119 --> 00:30:12,720
this is fun.

640
00:30:13,119 --> 00:30:15,519
Speaker 2: We remember that the ball can go through the hoop,

641
00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:17,640
and it's going to be a party, and they're going

642
00:30:17,680 --> 00:30:20,160
to score one hundred. So unless Rob talks me off

643
00:30:20,200 --> 00:30:22,759
of it, my parlay leg will be Kansas State team

644
00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:25,880
total over at any number, as long as it's lower

645
00:30:25,880 --> 00:30:26,480
than one hundred.

646
00:30:28,000 --> 00:30:31,640
Speaker 5: And first thing I'll say, Adam is absolutely correct on

647
00:30:31,720 --> 00:30:35,839
the assessment of Kansas State and the reason why I

648
00:30:36,279 --> 00:30:38,440
when I looked at that Kansas State Seaton Hall game,

649
00:30:38,559 --> 00:30:41,359
and I think we saw it just confirmed everything about

650
00:30:41,440 --> 00:30:42,079
Kansas State.

651
00:30:42,960 --> 00:30:44,279
Speaker 4: And they're in the Big Twelve.

652
00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:47,400
Speaker 5: To your point about them being bottom five, bottom five team,

653
00:30:47,880 --> 00:30:50,880
they might be bottom three because in the Big Twelve,

654
00:30:50,880 --> 00:30:53,000
if you don't play defense, you don't win a game.

655
00:30:53,680 --> 00:30:57,359
In that conference in particular, it's all defense all the time,

656
00:30:57,559 --> 00:31:01,000
and they just have no desire to defend, and Seaton

657
00:31:01,079 --> 00:31:05,519
Hall is tenacious, Kansas State is not. They don't you know.

658
00:31:05,799 --> 00:31:08,559
They're in a street fight. They're the guy running the

659
00:31:08,599 --> 00:31:13,160
other direction. They're gonna try and score their finesse and

660
00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:15,200
against this team. I guess they could do it right

661
00:31:15,440 --> 00:31:18,279
that the number is a hair bit. You know, you're

662
00:31:18,319 --> 00:31:20,359
asking for one hundred now, right, ninety six and a

663
00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:21,799
half ninety seven, whatever it.

664
00:31:21,759 --> 00:31:24,200
Speaker 2: Is, I'll be shot. It's probably gonna be one ten

665
00:31:24,279 --> 00:31:26,400
or one twenty. I really think they could put one

666
00:31:26,440 --> 00:31:29,839
twenty up tonight. The other side doesn't think one hundred

667
00:31:29,920 --> 00:31:30,240
is well.

668
00:31:31,440 --> 00:31:34,400
Speaker 5: Not that Kansas State is ferocious on the boards, but

669
00:31:34,440 --> 00:31:36,920
they're gonna get some of these long rebounds tonight and

670
00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:40,920
second third chances to boot, So yeah, I could see it.

671
00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:45,160
They're gonna dictate pace Mississippi Valley real quick, guys. I've

672
00:31:45,160 --> 00:31:48,519
always said that rather than adjusted tempo, if you're just

673
00:31:48,559 --> 00:31:52,359
looking at analytics, what's better to look at is the

674
00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:56,599
average link of possession and Mississippi Valley let's team shoot

675
00:31:56,640 --> 00:32:00,759
the ninth fastest in the nation, and for AU that's

676
00:32:00,759 --> 00:32:03,119
a dream matchup to be able to just come down

677
00:32:03,599 --> 00:32:05,920
launch maybe board score again.

678
00:32:06,000 --> 00:32:10,200
Speaker 4: So there's no way I'm playing Kansas State under and.

679
00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:12,799
Speaker 5: Mississippi Valley is a real good target to get to

680
00:32:12,880 --> 00:32:13,359
one hundred with.

681
00:32:14,359 --> 00:32:15,960
Speaker 2: I want to go to Brian, what do you think

682
00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:18,400
the better bet is here, laying what's now a dad

683
00:32:18,480 --> 00:32:20,839
number on Kansas State on the spread or the team

684
00:32:20,839 --> 00:32:21,440
total over.

685
00:32:22,839 --> 00:32:25,200
Speaker 3: I would take the team total over, to be honest

686
00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:28,279
with you, because now what's interesting is when you get

687
00:32:28,319 --> 00:32:32,400
into this, this territory of spread, I almost always show

688
00:32:32,480 --> 00:32:34,480
value on the underdog, which I hate, and I just

689
00:32:34,599 --> 00:32:36,799
wind up not playing any of them because you either

690
00:32:36,799 --> 00:32:38,720
play them all or you play not, and I choose

691
00:32:38,720 --> 00:32:40,799
the latter, and that's it. I actually don't show much

692
00:32:40,880 --> 00:32:42,920
value at all here on Mississippi Valley State, which would

693
00:32:42,920 --> 00:32:46,359
scare the hell out of them. Jerome Tang, by the way,

694
00:32:46,440 --> 00:32:49,640
Rob he had a lot to say about his team

695
00:32:50,039 --> 00:32:53,559
after the loss to Seaton Hall. He talked about the

696
00:32:53,599 --> 00:32:56,160
points off turnovers. That was really key. That was why

697
00:32:56,440 --> 00:32:59,119
Seaton Hall was plus fifteen and points on turners. Also,

698
00:33:00,480 --> 00:33:03,160
if Kansas State can figure they've got to figure out

699
00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:07,240
the charity stripe. They missed twenty free throws in that game.

700
00:33:08,400 --> 00:33:12,799
That that's insane. So you know that that's that's an

701
00:33:12,839 --> 00:33:15,359
area obviously to get a team total, you would think,

702
00:33:15,599 --> 00:33:17,839
I mean, what's Kansas State at for the year, let's

703
00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:19,839
just go real quick to let me just look at

704
00:33:19,839 --> 00:33:21,920
their free throw shooting, because that that is key. I

705
00:33:21,960 --> 00:33:26,039
mean you, I mean if Okay Street, uh they in

706
00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:27,680
terms of free throw that they're not a good free

707
00:33:27,720 --> 00:33:29,640
throw shooting team. But still, I mean that was like

708
00:33:29,680 --> 00:33:32,160
an important effort against Seat Paul. So I don't know, Yeah,

709
00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:36,640
I would rather take the team total over than latest number.

710
00:33:36,640 --> 00:33:39,839
And laying this number, it's just you're not going to

711
00:33:39,880 --> 00:33:44,359
be in the money probably until halfway through the second half.

712
00:33:44,400 --> 00:33:47,039
That's just not it's just not a bet. I like

713
00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:48,759
making real VP.

714
00:33:49,039 --> 00:33:51,519
Speaker 2: I never really like lay thirty It's not my style

715
00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:54,680
to like ladies thirty point spreads. I'm actually furious at

716
00:33:54,720 --> 00:33:58,079
myself that I didn't just lay thirty one on the opener,

717
00:33:58,279 --> 00:34:01,200
even like even like thirty after it was quickly bent

718
00:34:01,319 --> 00:34:03,559
up in my head, I was like, I was like,

719
00:34:03,680 --> 00:34:06,559
this should probably be thirty eight, thirty nine, and it's

720
00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:09,679
it's pretty much there now. So I'm kind of kicking

721
00:34:09,760 --> 00:34:12,639
myself because that is a Kansas State like at like

722
00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:15,760
thirty four or better as event I would absolutely love

723
00:34:15,800 --> 00:34:19,039
to have right now, So a little bit upset upset

724
00:34:19,119 --> 00:34:21,480
with myself by you makes a good point, I forget

725
00:34:21,519 --> 00:34:23,760
you can do stuff like this on some of these

726
00:34:24,840 --> 00:34:27,039
you know, the books that we will remain nameless on

727
00:34:27,159 --> 00:34:30,280
this show. He says, you could honestly parlay the team

728
00:34:30,360 --> 00:34:32,800
total down and spread down even money. Yeah, if you

729
00:34:32,960 --> 00:34:34,719
have a book, if you're if you do, if you

730
00:34:34,800 --> 00:34:37,239
could do the same game parlay type stuff or prop

731
00:34:37,320 --> 00:34:39,079
builder or whatever you have on your book, and you

732
00:34:39,159 --> 00:34:43,679
can do that, that sounds pretty good. Like that's that,

733
00:34:43,840 --> 00:34:46,360
you know, because if they're basically the same thing, if

734
00:34:46,400 --> 00:34:50,280
you can get good numbers on bolt down to close

735
00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:52,719
to even money, that's another way to look at it.

736
00:34:52,840 --> 00:34:55,519
But I'm with Trevor, game's gonna be something like one

737
00:34:55,599 --> 00:34:58,320
o three to sixty one. You're probably good either way,

738
00:34:59,159 --> 00:35:01,760
if you know, if that's the way you want to

739
00:35:01,800 --> 00:35:06,960
go tonight, Okay, let's go to actually what I would

740
00:35:06,960 --> 00:35:09,519
consider probably for me, probably the most interesting game on

741
00:35:09,599 --> 00:35:12,800
this slate is gonna happen at the Polester tonight.

742
00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:16,519
Speaker 1: That's because it's a pen team. I'm very high on

743
00:35:16,639 --> 00:35:17,000
this year.

744
00:35:17,119 --> 00:35:20,440
Speaker 2: I think that Fran McCaffrey is going to be very

745
00:35:20,599 --> 00:35:25,760
very good in the IVY sooner than later. However, he

746
00:35:25,840 --> 00:35:28,039
got dealt a tough blow this weekend. It looks like

747
00:35:28,119 --> 00:35:31,800
Ethan Roberts may miss considerable time. And one thing this

748
00:35:31,960 --> 00:35:36,519
Pen team lacks is depth. So BP, your hand is up.

749
00:35:36,599 --> 00:35:39,239
Talk to me a little bit about Penn laugh Iett

750
00:35:39,280 --> 00:35:41,400
and what Roberts out of that lineup.

751
00:35:41,119 --> 00:35:41,920
Speaker 1: Means to this game.

752
00:35:42,400 --> 00:35:45,079
Speaker 3: Well, yeah, I actually didn't know. And before the show

753
00:35:45,159 --> 00:35:48,280
I said, I assume someone's out for Pendrig because I

754
00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:50,280
don't understand this line the way it's moving. And then

755
00:35:50,320 --> 00:35:53,559
you talked about that before we went on the show.

756
00:35:53,639 --> 00:35:56,039
And it's a point because you know, I looked at

757
00:35:56,119 --> 00:35:58,119
Pen when I had circles. This is a team that

758
00:35:58,199 --> 00:36:01,079
comes in the failed to cover three in a row.

759
00:36:01,199 --> 00:36:03,239
They're at home. It's kind of a short number. I

760
00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:05,320
was like, okay, but that I mean, this injury concerns

761
00:36:05,400 --> 00:36:07,840
very real. And the other thing too, and Drig they

762
00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:11,519
are they've shot the lights out so far from three, uh,

763
00:36:12,159 --> 00:36:14,360
I believe like top ten in the country right now

764
00:36:14,440 --> 00:36:17,199
from behind the arc, can you contell? And it's at

765
00:36:17,199 --> 00:36:20,599
a very high percentage. You're talking about almost forty two percent,

766
00:36:20,760 --> 00:36:23,280
that's something you're not going to sustain over.

767
00:36:23,199 --> 00:36:23,920
Speaker 4: The long haul.

768
00:36:24,320 --> 00:36:27,679
Speaker 3: So with the injury, likely three point regression, I'm just

769
00:36:27,760 --> 00:36:31,400
walking away from this game. Uh in general, I don't know.

770
00:36:31,559 --> 00:36:33,519
Would have you know? I knew something had to be

771
00:36:33,639 --> 00:36:35,840
up when I saw this number was way too generous,

772
00:36:35,920 --> 00:36:37,559
So no, thank you, I got nothing.

773
00:36:37,639 --> 00:36:37,760
Speaker 4: Now.

774
00:36:40,639 --> 00:36:44,920
Speaker 5: You know, even without Roberts, they do have a trio

775
00:36:45,880 --> 00:36:48,320
that shoots forty two percent or better all three. Again,

776
00:36:48,400 --> 00:36:52,199
they're gonna do what they do, and it's very possible,

777
00:36:53,320 --> 00:36:55,079
you know, you look at what Penn puts up for

778
00:36:55,199 --> 00:36:58,400
points here that this game could still get over the

779
00:36:58,519 --> 00:37:02,519
total A. I think what gets lost in the shuffle

780
00:37:02,679 --> 00:37:05,920
a lot when a star player, a star offensive player

781
00:37:06,280 --> 00:37:09,679
is out is that it also affects Adam mentioned depth

782
00:37:10,039 --> 00:37:12,280
and defense. So the other side is probably going to

783
00:37:12,320 --> 00:37:14,920
score more than they normally would against Penn, which is

784
00:37:15,000 --> 00:37:16,639
not a good defensive team to begin with. It's not

785
00:37:16,760 --> 00:37:20,599
necessarily something that Frank caf and Fran McCaffrey has in

786
00:37:20,679 --> 00:37:21,039
the bag.

787
00:37:22,199 --> 00:37:23,800
Speaker 4: It's generally outscored the opponent.

788
00:37:24,239 --> 00:37:26,880
Speaker 5: I could almost see this game still getting over despite

789
00:37:26,960 --> 00:37:32,039
the injuries. Guys are the injury Lafayette somewhat weak schedule,

790
00:37:32,079 --> 00:37:35,480
but when you look at teams that can score a

791
00:37:35,519 --> 00:37:37,599
little bit, Saint Jose isn't even really a scoring team

792
00:37:37,719 --> 00:37:41,480
eighty five against Lafayette Texas ninety seven, Cornell ninety seven.

793
00:37:42,079 --> 00:37:45,440
Cornell and Penn somewhat similar in the style that they'll

794
00:37:45,480 --> 00:37:47,039
play from an offensive brand.

795
00:37:47,880 --> 00:37:48,840
Speaker 4: Monmouth eighty eight.

796
00:37:49,360 --> 00:37:52,320
Speaker 5: They give up a lot of points and their games

797
00:37:52,360 --> 00:37:54,840
get up there in totals when they're against the team

798
00:37:54,920 --> 00:37:59,119
that plays this sort of offensive minded basketball. So for me,

799
00:37:59,239 --> 00:38:02,119
I might still look get this total getting over. I mean,

800
00:38:02,159 --> 00:38:04,800
it's on my list and it is interesting. Real quick here,

801
00:38:04,840 --> 00:38:08,199
I'll say to open at one fifty three, know that

802
00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:11,440
Ethan Roberts isn't playing, and the total still sits at

803
00:38:11,480 --> 00:38:13,599
one fifty one and a half, it's only adjusted one

804
00:38:13,639 --> 00:38:15,400
and a half points. Tells Joe, you really need to

805
00:38:15,480 --> 00:38:18,119
know when you break this game down, it could be

806
00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:20,440
higher scoring for Lafaelle. Let's just take a quick look

807
00:38:20,480 --> 00:38:23,719
at their team total seventy three and a half. I

808
00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:26,119
mean to get seventy four against Penn, which would be

809
00:38:26,199 --> 00:38:28,880
depth shy is not really an issue. And then the

810
00:38:28,920 --> 00:38:30,840
other side it gets there, so I could still see

811
00:38:30,880 --> 00:38:34,400
one fifty one and a half being an overplay here, yeah.

812
00:38:34,280 --> 00:38:36,519
Speaker 2: And listen, I can still see Penn being a play

813
00:38:36,639 --> 00:38:39,159
like if I I'll be perfectly honest, if I was run,

814
00:38:39,440 --> 00:38:41,199
if I was running better, and now I did go

815
00:38:41,280 --> 00:38:43,519
two and oh yesterday, I have to stop the presses.

816
00:38:44,360 --> 00:38:47,440
I did go two and oh college basketball. But if

817
00:38:47,519 --> 00:38:49,119
I was running better, I would just say, to hell

818
00:38:49,199 --> 00:38:49,880
with that, I'll lay.

819
00:38:49,800 --> 00:38:50,679
Speaker 1: Five with pen.

820
00:38:51,719 --> 00:38:54,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean it got down. One of the books

821
00:38:54,079 --> 00:38:55,320
was as low as four and a half, and I

822
00:38:55,719 --> 00:38:58,079
was looking at that, I'm like, you know what, do twice?

823
00:38:58,199 --> 00:38:58,480
Speaker 1: Still?

824
00:38:58,840 --> 00:38:59,280
Speaker 2: Just do it.

825
00:39:00,199 --> 00:39:02,079
Speaker 3: Someone in the chat brought this up. I'm glad I

826
00:39:02,159 --> 00:39:03,920
did because I was gonna bring it up and forgot.

827
00:39:04,559 --> 00:39:04,679
Speaker 2: Uh.

828
00:39:05,559 --> 00:39:08,440
Speaker 3: Lafayette and ball State earlier this year played a game

829
00:39:09,599 --> 00:39:13,320
that probably made doctor James Nasmith God rest his soul,

830
00:39:13,360 --> 00:39:15,920
wish he never hung the first peach basket. This was

831
00:39:15,960 --> 00:39:18,719
one of the worst shooting games, and it's one of

832
00:39:18,800 --> 00:39:23,159
three Lafayette wins this year. But the teams combined were

833
00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:26,679
like fifteen percent from three. I mean it was like

834
00:39:26,840 --> 00:39:29,639
a almost like it was even lower than that. I

835
00:39:29,679 --> 00:39:31,280
think it was like it was some like four for

836
00:39:32,360 --> 00:39:34,239
forty or so. It was some of it was a

837
00:39:34,280 --> 00:39:36,639
fifty five to thirty seven final. I think one of

838
00:39:36,719 --> 00:39:40,599
Lafaytte's other wins was against a non board team as well.

839
00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:42,320
So I mean, this is not a team of cust.

840
00:39:42,480 --> 00:39:44,800
I mean you just look at the Lafayette side, and

841
00:39:44,840 --> 00:39:46,480
you don't have to lay a short number against a

842
00:39:46,519 --> 00:39:51,000
team like that, even without their leading scorer. I don't know.

843
00:39:51,199 --> 00:39:56,000
I guess it is penner pass if the number gets lower, Trigg,

844
00:39:56,679 --> 00:40:00,280
I mean, it's gonna tempt me. I'll say that right now. Good.

845
00:40:00,559 --> 00:40:04,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, So I guess, Like again, the reason the only

846
00:40:04,639 --> 00:40:06,360
reason I didn't play this when it hit four and

847
00:40:06,360 --> 00:40:08,119
a half, because I always had the presence of mind

848
00:40:08,159 --> 00:40:10,400
to be like, okay, got to play back at that move.

849
00:40:10,480 --> 00:40:13,280
That's that's too big of a move, is because going

850
00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:16,079
into the season, I said, all right, Penn has no depth,

851
00:40:16,360 --> 00:40:21,679
but that trio of Roberts, TJ. Power and then uh

852
00:40:22,079 --> 00:40:26,519
Zenoni are really good and so basically and and so basically,

853
00:40:26,639 --> 00:40:28,679
Penn's got like three or four guys that are studs.

854
00:40:29,320 --> 00:40:30,800
Speaker 1: Everyone else is a traffic cone.

855
00:40:30,960 --> 00:40:33,039
Speaker 2: Like there's not much, there's not much else that they're

856
00:40:33,119 --> 00:40:36,599
they're just out there right, They're they're not really contributing

857
00:40:37,199 --> 00:40:38,199
to like the greater good.

858
00:40:38,239 --> 00:40:41,119
Speaker 1: It's it's really just all like if you've watched.

859
00:40:40,920 --> 00:40:44,320
Speaker 2: Penn, like you know, it's it's really like everything revolves

860
00:40:44,360 --> 00:40:47,360
around those three and that's like that's what kind of

861
00:40:47,440 --> 00:40:49,519
keeps me off here is like Roberts is like the hub.

862
00:40:49,960 --> 00:40:52,400
He's the guy that was was there last year. He's

863
00:40:52,480 --> 00:40:55,199
the guy that like fran kind of like built the

864
00:40:55,280 --> 00:40:58,960
offense around. So to take him out that's tough. With

865
00:40:59,119 --> 00:41:01,679
that being said, this, I don't know that Lafayette can

866
00:41:01,760 --> 00:41:05,079
really do anything about it. They're gonna be one of

867
00:41:05,119 --> 00:41:07,800
the worst teams in the Patriot League. They were bad

868
00:41:07,920 --> 00:41:10,119
last year, but they still had Justin Vanderband, who is

869
00:41:10,159 --> 00:41:12,559
a seven footer that like, you know, sort of gave

870
00:41:12,679 --> 00:41:15,239
you like he was a real band aid for them

871
00:41:15,280 --> 00:41:16,639
at both ends of the floor. Because it's like, you

872
00:41:16,679 --> 00:41:18,599
have this bad team, but you've got a seven footer

873
00:41:18,960 --> 00:41:20,480
that can guard the rim and shoot a little bit.

874
00:41:20,559 --> 00:41:21,360
Speaker 1: Now he's not there.

875
00:41:23,000 --> 00:41:26,000
Speaker 2: Franz still plays no defense that hasn't changed, So that

876
00:41:26,159 --> 00:41:28,639
might speak to like, you know, why this total hasn't

877
00:41:28,679 --> 00:41:32,119
moved and why Rob likes the over We look at

878
00:41:32,159 --> 00:41:35,440
games that are a little bit comparable. I bet Cornell

879
00:41:35,639 --> 00:41:38,400
earlier this year when they played Lafayette in this same

880
00:41:38,519 --> 00:41:42,119
price range. Lafayette gave up ninety seven points to a

881
00:41:42,199 --> 00:41:44,920
Cornell team that just is out there. They just chuck

882
00:41:45,079 --> 00:41:47,960
like that team. They're a less skilled version of what

883
00:41:48,000 --> 00:41:51,239
they were last year too, but they just they're just

884
00:41:51,360 --> 00:41:54,960
chucking shots up. Put up ninety seven against Lafayette no problem.

885
00:41:56,239 --> 00:41:58,440
And I remember watching that game and it was like,

886
00:41:59,639 --> 00:42:02,159
I just want to see if I can pull Yeah,

887
00:42:02,280 --> 00:42:04,960
Like Cornell just cry out redound in them and they're

888
00:42:05,000 --> 00:42:07,440
not even a great rebounding team. It's like, that's what

889
00:42:07,559 --> 00:42:09,679
I think you're gonna see here. So this is one

890
00:42:09,800 --> 00:42:15,079
scenario where I don't think Roberts out is gonna like

891
00:42:15,199 --> 00:42:17,320
I still make the number nine and a half with

892
00:42:17,559 --> 00:42:18,039
him out.

893
00:42:18,199 --> 00:42:20,599
Speaker 1: I was at twelve and a half with him in.

894
00:42:20,880 --> 00:42:24,880
So it's it's tempting. It's tempting BP.

895
00:42:27,360 --> 00:42:29,920
Speaker 3: So I don't know, I guess check back. I'm guys,

896
00:42:30,000 --> 00:42:31,440
I don't know. I may play it later. I'm not

897
00:42:31,519 --> 00:42:34,920
ready to play it now then. But I think the

898
00:42:35,079 --> 00:42:38,239
rules of the show Trig and Robert that I have

899
00:42:38,320 --> 00:42:39,719
to give out something to complete.

900
00:42:39,480 --> 00:42:41,079
Speaker 2: The Yeah three, why don't why don't you give out

901
00:42:41,079 --> 00:42:42,519
a parlay league and mobile clubs.

902
00:42:42,559 --> 00:42:44,039
Speaker 4: Let's I think that works.

903
00:42:44,079 --> 00:42:46,039
Speaker 3: So let's do it now. Let's it's one of the

904
00:42:46,039 --> 00:42:48,559
games we haven't hit on. Let's go over one fifty

905
00:42:48,679 --> 00:42:52,119
three on Southern Carolina State Charleston Southern. I think this

906
00:42:52,239 --> 00:42:55,000
is going to be an absolute track. These teams play fast,

907
00:42:55,039 --> 00:42:57,119
you're talking top eighty five in the country and to

908
00:42:57,239 --> 00:43:00,480
justin tempo. Neither of them play any defense. And here

909
00:43:00,519 --> 00:43:04,519
are the keys further key to the matchup. Guys, South

910
00:43:04,559 --> 00:43:06,280
Carolina State, they're gonna get a break here. They're not

911
00:43:06,320 --> 00:43:08,559
going to have a lot of empty possessions, at least

912
00:43:08,920 --> 00:43:12,719
relatives to with they normally Charleston Southern guys dead last

913
00:43:13,280 --> 00:43:17,280
in the country enforcing turnovers. So that's huge for the

914
00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:20,280
South Carolina State side. Now big for Charleston Southern is

915
00:43:21,320 --> 00:43:24,480
very much better as most college basketball teams are much

916
00:43:24,559 --> 00:43:27,880
better three point shooting team at home. As a matter

917
00:43:27,920 --> 00:43:32,599
of fact, they're three point shooting jumps ten at home

918
00:43:32,920 --> 00:43:37,079
relative to where it is overall, so that's noteworthy. Also,

919
00:43:38,000 --> 00:43:40,920
in addition to the three, where Charleston Southern can be

920
00:43:41,440 --> 00:43:44,400
can pick up some points offensive glass, South Carolina State

921
00:43:44,519 --> 00:43:45,960
is one of the worst defensive rebounding teams in the

922
00:43:46,119 --> 00:43:49,320
entire country. They're one of the worst defensive teams in

923
00:43:49,440 --> 00:43:53,000
the country period. So I look at this matchup, it's

924
00:43:53,039 --> 00:43:55,320
two up tempo teams. Neither of them are worth a

925
00:43:55,400 --> 00:43:57,519
damn defensively. I think they're going to go up and

926
00:43:57,599 --> 00:44:00,199
down the court, not a lot of stops, a lot

927
00:44:00,239 --> 00:44:02,880
of empty possessions as long as they as long as

928
00:44:02,960 --> 00:44:05,400
one of these two teams doesn't have an ice cold

929
00:44:05,519 --> 00:44:08,000
night that I see no reason why we don't get

930
00:44:08,119 --> 00:44:12,079
up and over the one fifty three on South Carolina.

931
00:44:12,079 --> 00:44:14,800
To say, Charleston Southern, my like a the parlay to

932
00:44:14,880 --> 00:44:15,480
close things out.

933
00:44:17,880 --> 00:44:18,880
Speaker 1: I don't disagree with that.

934
00:44:18,960 --> 00:44:22,519
Speaker 2: I thought about laying it with Charleston Southern, especially after

935
00:44:22,960 --> 00:44:25,639
like I do think there was some some significant like

936
00:44:25,960 --> 00:44:29,280
market manipulation going on earlier. Since there's only six games,

937
00:44:29,320 --> 00:44:31,840
a lot of these games are like bouncing up two points,

938
00:44:31,880 --> 00:44:34,599
bet back down like they're still eight and a half's

939
00:44:34,639 --> 00:44:37,400
out there with Charleston Southern, like there's this is a

940
00:44:37,440 --> 00:44:39,719
pretty they're capable offensive team.

941
00:44:39,760 --> 00:44:42,000
Speaker 1: I mean they have I think it's.

942
00:44:42,000 --> 00:44:44,719
Speaker 2: Ala On Summler is still there from last year, like

943
00:44:44,760 --> 00:44:47,880
they had better scorers last year on the Charleston Southern roster,

944
00:44:48,400 --> 00:44:50,559
but he was one of them and he's still there,

945
00:44:50,800 --> 00:44:55,079
like he'll be the best player on the floor. Feels

946
00:44:55,119 --> 00:44:58,159
a little square to be like, well, let's just lay

947
00:44:58,199 --> 00:45:01,159
it against the oh to nine team, But it's hard

948
00:45:01,239 --> 00:45:04,880
to believe that it's tardably south South Carolina State keeps

949
00:45:04,960 --> 00:45:08,159
us within single digits, and that's basically what you're asking

950
00:45:08,239 --> 00:45:10,280
them to do. If you were to take South Carolina State,

951
00:45:10,320 --> 00:45:11,559
so I would lay the eight and a half. Eight

952
00:45:11,559 --> 00:45:12,440
and a half some good number.

953
00:45:12,880 --> 00:45:17,239
Speaker 3: Trust we talked about swack also applies to the MIAC

954
00:45:17,320 --> 00:45:20,559
where South Carolina State from. You know, these these road trips,

955
00:45:20,559 --> 00:45:23,559
these really South Carolina State. Just for those who haven't

956
00:45:23,559 --> 00:45:26,840
been following, they're zero to nine. Eight of those games

957
00:45:26,880 --> 00:45:28,719
have played on the been played on the road. This

958
00:45:28,800 --> 00:45:34,559
will be their fifth straight road game. They've gone South Dakota, Missouri, Winthrop, Bethune, Cookman.

959
00:45:35,000 --> 00:45:38,119
They've been blown, i mean just annihilated in each of

960
00:45:38,280 --> 00:45:41,320
the last three. You have to wonder, you know, and

961
00:45:41,400 --> 00:45:43,440
again I think this it speaks wal to not only

962
00:45:43,480 --> 00:45:45,119
what you just said trick about maybe wanting Leah, but

963
00:45:45,360 --> 00:45:48,000
to my play on the over you have to wonder

964
00:45:48,039 --> 00:45:50,800
what South Carolina State has left in the tank and

965
00:45:50,920 --> 00:45:52,920
that where does that affect your rob defensively?

966
00:45:53,119 --> 00:45:53,199
Speaker 4: Right?

967
00:45:53,239 --> 00:45:55,159
Speaker 3: I think I think we're gonna see higher legs from them.

968
00:45:55,480 --> 00:45:57,280
I just don't think we see a lot of defense

969
00:45:57,880 --> 00:46:00,320
in a fifth straight road game from a bad team

970
00:46:00,360 --> 00:46:02,719
that is bad defensively to begin with.

971
00:46:05,079 --> 00:46:07,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I think it was DJ, it was Patrick

972
00:46:07,400 --> 00:46:08,960
maybe that was on the team last year. That's no

973
00:46:09,039 --> 00:46:11,360
longer there. But as Keith points out in the.

974
00:46:11,400 --> 00:46:15,079
Speaker 2: Chat, Bryce and Blaine is awesome, like he think he's

975
00:46:15,119 --> 00:46:17,639
averaging like twenty one points a game, So they've they've

976
00:46:17,760 --> 00:46:21,519
replaced the scoring from last year. Like I actually, I

977
00:46:21,599 --> 00:46:24,400
actually think they're gonna be They're going to be better

978
00:46:24,719 --> 00:46:26,480
than a lot of people think once they get into

979
00:46:26,519 --> 00:46:29,199
conference play. I think they're going to surprise some folks

980
00:46:29,320 --> 00:46:32,320
in the Big South. So again, they're not They've never

981
00:46:32,400 --> 00:46:34,639
been a team on dying to like lay eight and

982
00:46:34,679 --> 00:46:37,119
a half with But I think this is one scenario

983
00:46:37,239 --> 00:46:40,000
where they're probably the right side laying a big number.

984
00:46:42,400 --> 00:46:44,159
Speaker 1: Let's go so two.

985
00:46:44,079 --> 00:46:46,199
Speaker 2: More, let's let's talk about well, you know know this,

986
00:46:46,360 --> 00:46:50,000
this one definitely deserves to be discussed, increnit word. New

987
00:46:50,119 --> 00:46:54,719
Orleans is a Southland Conference game. I have I have

988
00:46:54,880 --> 00:46:57,480
talked about how much I like this increnit word team.

989
00:46:57,840 --> 00:46:59,920
Oh there's your pen money, Brian back up the six

990
00:47:00,079 --> 00:47:04,320
and a half, just like that all again, Like there's

991
00:47:04,320 --> 00:47:07,280
still I don't think anything. There's no revelation there, like

992
00:47:07,320 --> 00:47:09,000
they're still going to be without Eth the Roberts. But

993
00:47:09,079 --> 00:47:11,719
I do think that the opener was probably more appropriate there.

994
00:47:14,159 --> 00:47:16,960
Uh incredit word listen increnet word is really good. Like

995
00:47:17,039 --> 00:47:19,039
I gave them out a week ago on this show

996
00:47:19,079 --> 00:47:21,719
as an eleven point underdog against McNee state. They won

997
00:47:21,800 --> 00:47:24,159
the game out right. That was a client play for me.

998
00:47:24,920 --> 00:47:28,119
The problem is they're on the road still and they

999
00:47:28,239 --> 00:47:31,559
they did the Louisiana road trip in conference, which was

1000
00:47:32,199 --> 00:47:34,400
I think they were the They may have played Northwestern

1001
00:47:34,480 --> 00:47:38,000
State the other day and lost that game, and now

1002
00:47:38,039 --> 00:47:40,840
they've got to play New Orleans. Yes they low I'm sorry,

1003
00:47:40,920 --> 00:47:46,239
Nicholas Nichols. Still a Louisiana team. So they lose to Nichols.

1004
00:47:46,960 --> 00:47:50,079
Not the easiest road trip, having to go play Saturday Monday,

1005
00:47:50,679 --> 00:47:52,679
And like New Orleans is a team that I think

1006
00:47:52,800 --> 00:47:55,000
all the priors for them were out of whack. Because

1007
00:47:55,039 --> 00:47:58,480
of like the game throwing last year, and now of

1008
00:47:58,599 --> 00:48:02,400
course you know they've got the influx of resources for

1009
00:48:02,559 --> 00:48:02,960
master p.

1010
00:48:03,440 --> 00:48:06,360
Speaker 1: We're always getting a chuckle out of map there. But

1011
00:48:06,519 --> 00:48:07,440
they've been really good.

1012
00:48:07,559 --> 00:48:09,760
Speaker 2: Like my number kind of comes out right here on

1013
00:48:09,920 --> 00:48:12,360
pick like I love this incredate Word team. I don't

1014
00:48:12,360 --> 00:48:14,440
know if I want to play against New Orleans on

1015
00:48:14,480 --> 00:48:17,559
the road. That's my sort of conundrum with this game.

1016
00:48:17,599 --> 00:48:21,119
Does anyone have anything to add incredit word New Orleans?

1017
00:48:23,199 --> 00:48:26,280
Speaker 5: I'd say quick, Adam, because I'm a bounce back type

1018
00:48:26,280 --> 00:48:28,480
of guy and not that incarnate Word is the best

1019
00:48:28,519 --> 00:48:30,440
three point shooting team in the land, but they're one

1020
00:48:30,480 --> 00:48:33,480
of fourteen the other day against Nichols, and one of

1021
00:48:33,559 --> 00:48:36,880
fourteen is hard to do, so you would expect a

1022
00:48:36,920 --> 00:48:40,599
little bit of an increase there in New Orleans. I'm

1023
00:48:40,800 --> 00:48:43,679
just trying to look it up now, because that schedule

1024
00:48:43,760 --> 00:48:45,400
that they've played is insane.

1025
00:48:45,760 --> 00:48:46,119
Speaker 4: It tuk.

1026
00:48:46,280 --> 00:48:49,960
Speaker 5: I mean Johnny Jones of Texas Southern is usually the

1027
00:48:50,119 --> 00:48:53,960
kingpin of playing these ridiculous non conference schedules where he

1028
00:48:54,079 --> 00:48:57,079
just gets his team battered and battered so that they're

1029
00:48:57,119 --> 00:48:59,920
ready to play the swack and when that time comes

1030
00:49:00,000 --> 00:49:03,239
when conference time comes, they're generally in the mix in

1031
00:49:03,360 --> 00:49:04,559
some way, shape or form.

1032
00:49:05,079 --> 00:49:09,519
Speaker 4: Ford New Orleans. Strength of schedule overall in the nation.

1033
00:49:10,840 --> 00:49:14,360
Speaker 5: Non conference, it's the seventh toughest in the land overall,

1034
00:49:14,440 --> 00:49:15,920
the fourteenth toughest scheduled in.

1035
00:49:15,960 --> 00:49:16,679
Speaker 4: The land so far.

1036
00:49:16,800 --> 00:49:19,960
Speaker 5: So they're more than battle tests that they've seen. Whatever

1037
00:49:20,039 --> 00:49:24,199
Incarnate Word has New Orleans has already seen tenfold. I

1038
00:49:24,320 --> 00:49:27,159
would you know, I think this team is prepping to

1039
00:49:27,280 --> 00:49:30,760
make a Southland run. I think I said Swack earlier. Well,

1040
00:49:30,840 --> 00:49:33,239
Johnny Jones in the Swack, this is Southland, New Orleans.

1041
00:49:33,760 --> 00:49:35,639
They're prepping to make a south Land run here, and

1042
00:49:35,639 --> 00:49:37,519
I wouldn't be surprised if they get this win here.

1043
00:49:37,559 --> 00:49:41,920
But like you, that game against McNeice, because McNeice had

1044
00:49:41,960 --> 00:49:45,840
been blowing people out in that weight class and Incarnate

1045
00:49:45,920 --> 00:49:47,719
Word really went wired to wire in that game.

1046
00:49:47,760 --> 00:49:50,880
Speaker 4: Shit makes the decision tough. But I'd probably lean a

1047
00:49:50,920 --> 00:49:52,239
little bit to unl here.

1048
00:49:54,159 --> 00:49:56,639
Speaker 5: Just based off of what they've played so far this year.

1049
00:49:56,639 --> 00:49:59,320
I think they're ready and prepped for a team like this.

1050
00:50:00,920 --> 00:50:03,119
Speaker 3: Just a couple of things real quick. Number one to

1051
00:50:03,199 --> 00:50:06,000
buy you why did Nichols change their name from Nichols

1052
00:50:06,039 --> 00:50:08,280
State that's always about That's bothered me for several years.

1053
00:50:08,280 --> 00:50:10,400
I don't under that there's a lot of changes. I'm like, oh, okay,

1054
00:50:10,480 --> 00:50:12,519
that whatever, I get it. Whatever. It's times a little bit,

1055
00:50:12,719 --> 00:50:15,400
but Nichols just dropping the States is very odd to me.

1056
00:50:15,840 --> 00:50:19,480
And then on a more serious note, Rob brings up

1057
00:50:19,559 --> 00:50:23,159
New Orleans schedule. They played eight straight on the road

1058
00:50:23,519 --> 00:50:26,440
to open the year and then they lose the home

1059
00:50:26,519 --> 00:50:31,760
opener to Houston Christian. Situationally, I you know, I say that,

1060
00:50:31,920 --> 00:50:34,920
I speak that into the air and I say they're

1061
00:50:34,960 --> 00:50:36,800
going to be fired up here. You know, you lost

1062
00:50:36,840 --> 00:50:39,679
the first one at home. This is a big deal.

1063
00:50:40,519 --> 00:50:40,880
Speaker 1: I don't know.

1064
00:50:40,960 --> 00:50:43,519
Speaker 3: I think situationally, I kind of I lean the home

1065
00:50:43,639 --> 00:50:46,000
team as well. I made the game a pick them,

1066
00:50:46,440 --> 00:50:50,000
So I don't know. I uh, that's kind of where

1067
00:50:50,000 --> 00:50:52,559
I'm at. I just think that, you know, this is

1068
00:50:52,599 --> 00:50:55,360
a big one for the privateers, can.

1069
00:50:55,320 --> 00:50:57,079
Speaker 4: I say real quick? Guys? And I don't know.

1070
00:50:57,159 --> 00:51:00,760
Speaker 5: I don't want to correlate college basketball to NBA basketball,

1071
00:51:01,599 --> 00:51:05,360
but general rule of thumb, a handicapping adage with the

1072
00:51:05,559 --> 00:51:08,039
NBA is when you come off of a long road trip,

1073
00:51:08,119 --> 00:51:10,679
you don't want to play that team first game back home.

1074
00:51:10,719 --> 00:51:13,519
They're back home, They're back to comfortable there in college.

1075
00:51:13,519 --> 00:51:16,360
They're probably going to see their girlfriends, et cetera, et cetera.

1076
00:51:16,480 --> 00:51:19,960
The mind isn't on Houston Baptist or Houston Christian, excuse me,

1077
00:51:20,039 --> 00:51:20,599
as much.

1078
00:51:20,519 --> 00:51:23,039
Speaker 4: As it should be here.

1079
00:51:23,119 --> 00:51:25,360
Speaker 5: It probably will be bry second time, and they can

1080
00:51:25,400 --> 00:51:26,840
probably get a little more focused out.

1081
00:51:26,760 --> 00:51:27,199
Speaker 4: Of U n OL.

1082
00:51:27,840 --> 00:51:30,679
Speaker 3: Yeah, especially and you got Houston on deck. I believe

1083
00:51:30,840 --> 00:51:33,360
for New Orle which spoiler alert, Neworld is probably not

1084
00:51:33,400 --> 00:51:35,519
gonna win that game, so that they may want to

1085
00:51:35,559 --> 00:51:37,360
build their confidence up a little bit here even though

1086
00:51:37,360 --> 00:51:38,440
it won't be it won't be easy.

1087
00:51:39,440 --> 00:51:41,920
Speaker 5: And maybe you were so Houston Christian short, Adam, I mean,

1088
00:51:41,960 --> 00:51:44,000
Houston Christian might not be a bad team in that

1089
00:51:44,119 --> 00:51:44,679
league this year.

1090
00:51:46,480 --> 00:51:49,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, you were talking about the lack of three point

1091
00:51:49,039 --> 00:51:52,079
shooting for incredent word in the game over the weekend,

1092
00:51:52,199 --> 00:51:55,239
Like I mean, that is how you that is how

1093
00:51:55,280 --> 00:51:57,880
you want to play incredent word, Like you want them

1094
00:51:57,920 --> 00:52:01,039
to shoot threes because like they they'd prefer to go

1095
00:52:01,159 --> 00:52:03,519
off the dribble. Like tash Taveski is the guy that

1096
00:52:03,639 --> 00:52:07,079
I talked about that transferred there canisious guy. Then he

1097
00:52:07,159 --> 00:52:10,360
went to Cleveland State. Cleveland State coach leaves from North Texas.

1098
00:52:10,440 --> 00:52:13,679
He decides to go find a new home, third different

1099
00:52:13,679 --> 00:52:16,360
school in four years down an increnet word, but he

1100
00:52:16,719 --> 00:52:19,639
like there, they don't you don't that team doesn't want

1101
00:52:19,679 --> 00:52:22,639
to just be chucking threes. They want him going off

1102
00:52:22,719 --> 00:52:25,000
the dribble, Jordan Pike getting in, you know, kind of

1103
00:52:25,079 --> 00:52:27,639
getting in the lane and creating Bailey like, they're all

1104
00:52:27,719 --> 00:52:30,280
guys that are probably better served taking you off the

1105
00:52:30,360 --> 00:52:32,639
dribble trying to get to the hoop. So the fact

1106
00:52:32,679 --> 00:52:34,559
that you know, Nicholas was able to force him into

1107
00:52:34,599 --> 00:52:38,639
some threes, this great New Orleans does have some bigger

1108
00:52:38,719 --> 00:52:41,079
bodies that they can you know, I saw they they

1109
00:52:41,159 --> 00:52:44,519
finally started playing the seven to four transfer from Oral Roberts.

1110
00:52:45,000 --> 00:52:48,159
I believe he's now played in like four games for them,

1111
00:52:48,320 --> 00:52:50,360
So you know, you can deny the rim a little

1112
00:52:50,400 --> 00:52:53,800
bit there. And they have some athletes Buckley and Benson,

1113
00:52:53,920 --> 00:52:57,039
like are the two best players on this team. If

1114
00:52:57,079 --> 00:53:00,159
their guards can just defend the increnet word guard a

1115
00:53:00,199 --> 00:53:02,800
little bit, turned them into like a kick three type team,

1116
00:53:02,920 --> 00:53:06,760
Like that's a recipe where they could potentially win the game.

1117
00:53:07,079 --> 00:53:08,960
Very interesting game. I don't know if I can get

1118
00:53:08,960 --> 00:53:10,719
involved either way. There that's a that's gonna be a

1119
00:53:10,760 --> 00:53:11,119
good one.

1120
00:53:13,519 --> 00:53:16,880
Speaker 1: One right, yeah, one left. I don't know if we'll

1121
00:53:17,079 --> 00:53:18,920
you know, I I we don't.

1122
00:53:18,800 --> 00:53:20,679
Speaker 2: Need to get to more Tuesday stuff today because there

1123
00:53:20,719 --> 00:53:22,960
is a Tuesday show, So we might as well just

1124
00:53:23,079 --> 00:53:26,000
finish out the Monday slate and then recap the parlay.

1125
00:53:27,119 --> 00:53:31,039
So the final game is a Grambling Southern miss Brian,

1126
00:53:31,199 --> 00:53:32,599
is this where you were going to kind of bring

1127
00:53:32,719 --> 00:53:36,480
up some some scheduling stuff. This is another swack school

1128
00:53:37,280 --> 00:53:39,079
in Grambling that's played a lot of basketball.

1129
00:53:39,840 --> 00:53:42,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, well, yeah, we've talked about you know,

1130
00:53:42,119 --> 00:53:45,480
South Carolina State so far, we just talked about New

1131
00:53:45,679 --> 00:53:49,119
Orleans and then with Grambling. Let's bring up the schedule

1132
00:53:49,159 --> 00:53:53,800
here real quick. Uh, they have played this will be

1133
00:53:53,840 --> 00:53:56,360
their fifth straight road game as well. Now there's been

1134
00:53:56,400 --> 00:53:58,599
some time that goes back all the way to November eighteenth,

1135
00:53:59,800 --> 00:54:02,400
they played San Diego Cal Baptist. Was that that might

1136
00:54:02,440 --> 00:54:04,239
have been an empty Was that an MPT or were

1137
00:54:04,239 --> 00:54:07,039
those true road games here? I don't have that up. Actually, unfortunately,

1138
00:54:07,079 --> 00:54:10,800
hold on, I can bring that up real quick though, Rambling. No,

1139
00:54:10,920 --> 00:54:13,639
those were all true road games South San Diego cal Baptist.

1140
00:54:13,679 --> 00:54:15,679
You see, So they go out to the West Coast

1141
00:54:16,079 --> 00:54:18,280
for three games, then they kind of come back a

1142
00:54:18,320 --> 00:54:21,119
little closer to the home against Tulane, gave it all

1143
00:54:21,159 --> 00:54:23,880
they could and a two point loss. Now you're against

1144
00:54:23,920 --> 00:54:26,480
Southern Miss, and this is a I believe a revenge

1145
00:54:26,599 --> 00:54:29,400
minded Southern Miss team. Correct me if I'm wrong. They

1146
00:54:29,559 --> 00:54:33,000
lost to Grambling, you know earlier in the year.

1147
00:54:33,159 --> 00:54:37,400
Speaker 1: Yes, so little home and home here, Brian home.

1148
00:54:37,800 --> 00:54:39,639
Speaker 3: Yeah, what an interesting spot. I knew I have this

1149
00:54:39,679 --> 00:54:41,760
written out, Sorry I did. I put it away the

1150
00:54:42,000 --> 00:54:43,800
notes that I had taken earlier in the game. But

1151
00:54:43,920 --> 00:54:46,960
that what an interesting You don't see this very often,

1152
00:54:47,800 --> 00:54:51,119
an in season revenge spot. Here doing a home and

1153
00:54:51,199 --> 00:54:56,800
home in the month of December. I would lean, I

1154
00:54:56,960 --> 00:55:00,280
lean Southern Miss. But the number, I mean, we're up

1155
00:55:00,320 --> 00:55:02,000
to seven and a half now, I don't know if

1156
00:55:02,039 --> 00:55:06,320
I necessarily want to lay it. It was Grambling minus

1157
00:55:06,559 --> 00:55:09,719
two for the first being they covered, so seven and

1158
00:55:09,760 --> 00:55:13,719
a half feels like in adjustments. Maybe I say it

1159
00:55:13,760 --> 00:55:15,400
over adjustment. I don't know, what do you guys think?

1160
00:55:18,039 --> 00:55:22,320
Speaker 5: You know, just looking that's an interesting loss, guys. It's

1161
00:55:22,480 --> 00:55:25,519
It's not like it was third and four days like

1162
00:55:25,599 --> 00:55:28,880
a tournament style game. It's not like they were it

1163
00:55:29,039 --> 00:55:32,760
travel weary or anything, because those that Grambling State game

1164
00:55:32,840 --> 00:55:36,960
is spaced out with four days prior next game five

1165
00:55:37,039 --> 00:55:39,480
days after. There was no look at there's nothing there,

1166
00:55:40,039 --> 00:55:42,079
and Grambling still beat Southern Miss. And on the other end,

1167
00:55:42,079 --> 00:55:45,760
it's a little bit confusing because Southern Miss has actually

1168
00:55:46,320 --> 00:55:50,199
got some decent wins here that are above Grambling States

1169
00:55:50,960 --> 00:55:51,559
weight class.

1170
00:55:51,679 --> 00:55:54,639
Speaker 4: So I think the revenge angle will taken here.

1171
00:55:55,280 --> 00:55:59,719
Speaker 5: Southern Miss likely remembers that in that particular game, guys

1172
00:55:59,840 --> 00:56:03,199
just go through some numbers. Twenty five percent from three,

1173
00:56:03,639 --> 00:56:08,679
only forty two percent from two, Grambling shot lights out.

1174
00:56:09,199 --> 00:56:12,960
For what it's worth, overall twenty one of yeah, twenty

1175
00:56:13,079 --> 00:56:16,199
seven of fifty guys better than fifty percent from the field.

1176
00:56:16,280 --> 00:56:18,559
So I think you probably get a little bit of

1177
00:56:18,639 --> 00:56:21,280
payback here from the Southern Miss side. Their results are

1178
00:56:21,280 --> 00:56:24,320
too good. That's just a quirky result in my mind

1179
00:56:24,719 --> 00:56:28,239
looking at it now, that probably gets rectified here by

1180
00:56:28,440 --> 00:56:32,880
by Southern Miss. Interesting that I don't know, Southern mispaid

1181
00:56:32,920 --> 00:56:35,360
Grambling to come there and then Grambling pay Southern Miss

1182
00:56:35,440 --> 00:56:36,159
back to go there.

1183
00:56:36,280 --> 00:56:38,559
Speaker 4: That's kind of a crazy home and home.

1184
00:56:40,440 --> 00:56:42,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, something that usually you'll you'll see it from some

1185
00:56:43,079 --> 00:56:45,719
of these like schools that are in very remote parts

1186
00:56:45,760 --> 00:56:48,000
of the country, like ol do you you tap in?

1187
00:56:48,039 --> 00:56:50,199
New Mexico State did this for a lot. That's right,

1188
00:56:50,639 --> 00:56:53,679
that's right, they would play a home and home. It's

1189
00:56:53,840 --> 00:56:56,000
just because it's like it's hard to get teams to

1190
00:56:56,039 --> 00:56:58,039
come out to play you, so, you know, I wonder

1191
00:56:58,119 --> 00:57:01,000
if I wonder if Southern miss did this so they

1192
00:57:01,039 --> 00:57:03,480
didn't have to cut Grambling a check and they kind

1193
00:57:03,519 --> 00:57:05,039
of gave them a home game because it's hard to

1194
00:57:05,519 --> 00:57:08,159
h it's it's Penn State and New Haven are kind

1195
00:57:08,199 --> 00:57:10,840
of doing that. That's why Penn State went to New

1196
00:57:10,880 --> 00:57:13,519
Haven to play so they didn't have to like pay

1197
00:57:13,599 --> 00:57:16,480
I don't know why Penn State can't write a check

1198
00:57:16,599 --> 00:57:17,199
at this point.

1199
00:57:17,400 --> 00:57:19,039
Speaker 1: Maybe they're just still paying James Franklin.

1200
00:57:19,039 --> 00:57:21,920
Speaker 2: I don't know, but like, but like, I think that's

1201
00:57:22,000 --> 00:57:24,920
also and Grambling will take that because Grambling obviously is

1202
00:57:24,960 --> 00:57:28,320
gonna have a hard time getting home games and it's

1203
00:57:28,360 --> 00:57:30,519
like nice to play a home game every once in

1204
00:57:30,559 --> 00:57:33,679
a while. My number was right sort of in this range,

1205
00:57:33,719 --> 00:57:35,880
so I didn't show much of an edge here. But

1206
00:57:37,360 --> 00:57:39,800
like it's hard to believe for me that this game

1207
00:57:39,920 --> 00:57:43,480
is so drastically different than that first game. Like maybe

1208
00:57:43,559 --> 00:57:46,320
Southern Miss bounces back and gets the win, but like

1209
00:57:46,880 --> 00:57:48,880
it still feels like a kind of a competitive game

1210
00:57:48,960 --> 00:57:51,239
to be Now, you can look at the schedule and

1211
00:57:51,360 --> 00:57:55,320
this is an awful Like so I played Samford last

1212
00:57:55,440 --> 00:57:57,480
night and part of the reason I made that play

1213
00:57:57,719 --> 00:58:00,760
was Cornell was in their fourth road game in like

1214
00:58:00,880 --> 00:58:04,639
eight days. And also it was this long stretch that

1215
00:58:05,320 --> 00:58:07,880
they finally had a big break after the Samford game,

1216
00:58:07,920 --> 00:58:09,480
I thought they might run out of gas some point.

1217
00:58:09,559 --> 00:58:09,880
Speaker 1: They did.

1218
00:58:11,079 --> 00:58:13,920
Speaker 2: That's kind of the position that Grand Blake is in

1219
00:58:14,079 --> 00:58:18,239
right here, where it's like San Diego cal Baptists. They

1220
00:58:18,280 --> 00:58:21,239
went to California, they went to it played too Lan

1221
00:58:21,280 --> 00:58:24,239
into a three point game the other night. Now they

1222
00:58:24,360 --> 00:58:29,000
finally they're playing like their fifth road game since like

1223
00:58:29,159 --> 00:58:33,519
Thanksgiving weekend, and they've got like ten days off after this.

1224
00:58:33,960 --> 00:58:35,679
Speaker 1: So is this like you know what I mean, Like

1225
00:58:35,719 --> 00:58:36,239
do you get this?

1226
00:58:36,480 --> 00:58:38,480
Speaker 2: Is this the point where like if they go behind,

1227
00:58:39,039 --> 00:58:41,480
it's almost like, man, we really need that ten days

1228
00:58:41,519 --> 00:58:43,719
off and they just kind of get smashed.

1229
00:58:44,119 --> 00:58:45,079
Speaker 1: That's the concern.

1230
00:58:45,599 --> 00:58:50,480
Speaker 2: But nothing basketball wise makes me think that Southern Mistress

1231
00:58:50,480 --> 00:58:53,559
wins this game by double digits, so I would probably

1232
00:58:53,639 --> 00:58:57,000
lean toward the dog, although you know by you saying yeah,

1233
00:58:57,360 --> 00:58:59,599
after all the Grambling road games to get ten days

1234
00:58:59,679 --> 00:59:03,000
off like they might, that could be. This could be

1235
00:59:03,039 --> 00:59:05,599
a Grambling first half Southern Miss second half type deal.

1236
00:59:07,360 --> 00:59:10,639
Speaker 1: Interesting game. Tough to figure that one out in my opinion.

1237
00:59:11,440 --> 00:59:14,039
Speaker 5: Guys, real quick here, I know we're pressed on time here,

1238
00:59:14,119 --> 00:59:16,840
but the total came out a little bit shy. I mean,

1239
00:59:16,880 --> 00:59:19,559
they play one time, they hit one, forty five, total

1240
00:59:19,599 --> 00:59:21,760
comes out in the high one thirties, gets bed up.

1241
00:59:21,840 --> 00:59:23,599
It's still only at forty two and a half. You

1242
00:59:23,639 --> 00:59:28,000
go through their schedules, just weed out the non Division

1243
00:59:28,079 --> 00:59:32,519
one teams, and both sides are five and two above

1244
00:59:32,639 --> 00:59:35,000
this particular number one forty two and a half, ten

1245
00:59:35,079 --> 00:59:37,039
and four combined. Seventy one percent of the time these

1246
00:59:37,039 --> 00:59:39,480
teams are getting over this number. So maybe the early

1247
00:59:39,559 --> 00:59:41,360
money was right. Maybe the early money saw a little

1248
00:59:41,360 --> 00:59:43,840
bit of value since the first game hit seventy five

1249
00:59:43,920 --> 00:59:47,719
seventy one, forty five, and that was with Southern Miss

1250
00:59:47,840 --> 00:59:51,079
horrific shooting. Maybe Grambling numbers come down a little bit,

1251
00:59:51,079 --> 00:59:52,840
but you have to think Southern Misses go up a

1252
00:59:52,880 --> 00:59:54,480
little bit in this game. Maybe we get the same

1253
00:59:54,559 --> 00:59:56,719
type of total. Maybe that's a play here as well.

1254
00:59:58,679 --> 00:59:59,760
Speaker 1: All right, let's call it.

1255
01:00:00,039 --> 01:00:02,159
Speaker 2: It's just about the hour mark, Rob, what is that

1256
01:00:02,320 --> 01:00:04,079
Kansas State team total over?

1257
01:00:04,440 --> 01:00:06,639
Speaker 1: So I can appropriately read it off here?

1258
01:00:06,880 --> 01:00:09,119
Speaker 5: I think I had it earlier at ninety six and

1259
01:00:09,199 --> 01:00:11,480
a half, but let's get it correct right now.

1260
01:00:13,320 --> 01:00:18,719
Speaker 4: It shows Oh wow, Adam, they bet it even harder. Now, Well,

1261
01:00:18,800 --> 01:00:20,880
let yeah, you consensus, I see in.

1262
01:00:20,960 --> 01:00:23,480
Speaker 3: Ninety six and a half, you got it? Probably, Yeah,

1263
01:00:23,880 --> 01:00:25,119
I see in ninety six and a half.

1264
01:00:25,519 --> 01:00:27,679
Speaker 2: All right, we're gonna roll in ninety six and a half.

1265
01:00:28,079 --> 01:00:30,719
I'm fine, Yeah, shop around. I there's gonna bee hundred

1266
01:00:30,719 --> 01:00:32,199
point in that game. I'm not really worried about that,

1267
01:00:34,079 --> 01:00:37,079
but by just Kansas State. So I'm gonna go my

1268
01:00:37,239 --> 01:00:41,079
parlay like Kansas State team total over ninety six and

1269
01:00:41,119 --> 01:00:44,639
a half. Rob Bino's gonna go Texas team total over

1270
01:00:44,760 --> 01:00:48,000
eighty seven and a half, and uh, Brian Powers is

1271
01:00:48,119 --> 01:00:51,719
over South Carolina State Charleston Southern over one fifty three

1272
01:00:52,000 --> 01:00:52,440
and a half.

1273
01:00:52,599 --> 01:00:55,360
Speaker 1: It looks like there's that the sort of standard right now.

1274
01:00:56,360 --> 01:00:57,639
We need points tonight boys.

1275
01:00:57,719 --> 01:01:02,800
Speaker 2: Yea, let's let's fill up the statu sheet start the

1276
01:01:02,840 --> 01:01:04,320
week off with a nice three teamer.

1277
01:01:05,480 --> 01:01:06,599
Speaker 1: We will be back tomorrow.

1278
01:01:06,920 --> 01:01:09,199
Speaker 2: We also hit if you missed the beginning of the show,

1279
01:01:09,239 --> 01:01:11,840
We hit the Yukon Florida game to start the show,

1280
01:01:12,440 --> 01:01:15,440
so check that out. There's already that's already offered at sportsbooks.

1281
01:01:16,360 --> 01:01:19,000
Don't forget to like and subscribe at a comment while

1282
01:01:19,119 --> 01:01:20,559
you know, if you want to watch the replay.

1283
01:01:21,480 --> 01:01:22,159
Speaker 1: It all helps.

1284
01:01:22,239 --> 01:01:24,599
Speaker 2: And yeah, we'll see you back here in the morning

1285
01:01:24,679 --> 01:01:26,320
for more full court press. Take care everyone,

