Speaker 1: All right, welcome in five dollars Tuesday at wager talk
it All.
Speaker 2: It cost me more than five bucks.
Speaker 1: I replaced some of my cables so I won't be
crashing out during the show today, at least hopefully. Although
we are about four inches into I think like another
eight inches of snow. I got twenty two over the weekend, Brian,
twenty two inches of snow over the weekend. We're getting
another like six today, so hopefully no power outage. But
we're here, it's Tuesday, there's a million games we're getting
right into it.
Speaker 2: Let's start.
Speaker 1: I didn't even really pick up each your game, but
I think I think Yukon Kansas probably should be the
feature here out at fog Allen Fieldhouse. Brian Power, I
think you and I were together the last time these
two teams played in Kansas. I believe it was a
Friday night. I believe we were Encore Sportsbook in Massachusetts,
and I feel like you had the winner in that game.
I think it was Yukon Kansas and Kansas maybe pulled
a mild upset if I remember correctly.
Speaker 2: I could be wrong, but I could have score that
I was saying.
Speaker 3: I remember, Okay, I'm trying to remember. That was a
good weekend for me. I was actually one of my
best betting weekends ever. I went on a nineteen and
one run. I don't remember. I'm trying hard to remember
that one. But let's you know, who cares about when
I was sitting probably drinking heavily at the Encore a
couple of years ago. Let's talk about tonight. I guess look, Yukon.
I don't know if Joey Cheese has blessed us with
his presence.
Speaker 2: In the chat. I know that if he was right
over the weekend.
Speaker 3: He was right over the weekend that you the money
that Yukon was taking against Illinois, that was they were
the right side. And you know, I I have this
as a pick them. I'm just gonna come out and
say a trick. I'm not betting this game. I don't
know if I'll actually let Rob take it first, because
I don't want to waste people's time just babbling about
stuff they probably know about these two teams per a game,
I'm not gonna bet. You know, do I think Yukon's
the fifth best team in the country. No, I'm actually
still a little bit lower on him. So she's can
yell at me if he's in the chat on that
or not. But I'm not showing a ton of value here.
It's a true pick them contest for me.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll say this, guys, I think Yukon is the
better team. Whether or not they're the better team in
fog Allen is a different story. I think the return
of Terras Reid was a huge deal the other day.
It doesn't show up in points in the box score,
but it does show up in defense at the rim
and in watching the KU Tennessee game in that second
half comeback by Ku in whichever tournament that was, Melvin
Council kind of took over in the second half. So
I think when push came to shove, Kansas had their
guy that they were going to go to. Think YU
kind needs to be aware of that. They're a pretty
good defensive team perimeter wise, at the rim wise. So
there's a lot for Kansas with a don't I don't
want to call them a two man team at this point,
maybe three, but it's a lot for them to overcome.
I think if Yukon is on top of their game,
two really good defenses, I might look, you know, toward
under in this game, guys, that there's been a little
bit of a push toward the over. It's not high
enough though that total for me to get to under.
I would like it to be a little bit higher,
have a little bit of wiggle room. I don't know
that there's a lot there right now, but as you said, Brian,
there's not a lot to say about two top tier
teams that most everybody knows about.
Speaker 2: There.
Speaker 4: You know there's going to be advantages and disadvantages for
Yu Kon. I do think I'll just say where I
think the advantages lie for them. I think the advantage
lies in the depth across the back court. Malachi spit
at point has been tremendous coming over from Dayton, I
think at nine to one assist to turnover numbers the
other day, giving you kind of really good passing threat
for all of their shooters, Ball Demory, et cetera, et cetera.
Alex Caravan of course, So I think depth wise they're
the better team. Again, it's a tough crowd and Yukon
at this point in time, guys, they should be venue proof,
right There's no venue that Yukon should walk into that
they should be in awe of including this one. However,
you know, big game, it's tough to tell, but I
do think yu Kon's the better team due to depth,
and we'll see how that works.
Speaker 3: Out real quick, Trigg. And then I'll just broke to you,
I just because the something that I did want to
throw in that Rob was just kind of alluding to
I saw in the chat by you mentioned Kansas sixty
three and six at home since twenty twenty one. This
is technically not technically it is Yukon's first true road game.
They've played in Boston, they've played in Madison Square Garden,
but this is the first time leaving Eastern time zone
for the Huskies. Now, I do think Yukon is you
know again, if Cheese is lurking, I do want to say, yes,
Yukon's the better team. They're getting especially healthy now that
they're healthier too. That's worth mentioning as well. I thought
that was clearly the key health in that Illinois game.
But just wanted to mention this is Yukon's first true
road game, and Kansas historically has been great in Lawrence.
Speaker 1: Yeah, the reason I brought up is so it was
it was December one, twenty twenty three.
Speaker 2: I remember I joined you guys. It was a nine
km tip.
Speaker 1: I joined you guys late because I went and saw
Brown play Bryant in Rhode Island, and I pulled up
late and the.
Speaker 2: Game was on.
Speaker 1: And the reason I bring that, the reason I want
to go back to that game is it was it
was such a similar setup to this year where it's like, actually,
Yukon came into that game, I think even a little
bit more highly touted because that was, of course Yukon
coming off of their national title win going into year
number two where they ended up winning another national title,
and it was like, I don't remember the exact spread,
but I want to say it was very close to this.
It was almost probably considered a very slight upset that
Kansas won that game, even though it's kind of crazy
to say that they were.
Speaker 2: They were they were.
Speaker 3: Actually slight favorites. If this is true. Yeah, Kansas was
a three and a half point favorite. I'm gotcha according
to ye and mate database I use, and.
Speaker 2: They covered because they won by four. I actually remember
that now.
Speaker 1: The reason I had brought up the favorite underdog thing
is I think Kansas has only been a dog at
home like two or three times, and like the last
couple of years, they've won every single time. So every
time in like the last three or four seasons that
they've been a home underdog, they've won. And I just
remember last, you know, the last meeting for them. It
kind of being like a favorable matchup for Kansas the
way it played out against what's probably a little bit
better of.
Speaker 2: A Yukon team.
Speaker 1: Now you may get Darren Peterson here, I read like,
I don't know if that's a game time decision with
the deal with that's gonna be, that would obviously help
My number comes out right on two, like right kind
of where it is, so I won't waste any more
time on it, but I'll leave it with this. I
think that wasn't a horrible matchup for Kansas, and this
Yukon team would read a little bit banged up and
some other guys banged up. It is probably not as
good as the Yukon team that Bill self had a
game plan for that he beat two years ago. What
you do with that, I don't know, but it profiles
to be a pretty good game.
Speaker 3: I think, Yeah, I think your points will take a
trig about you know, hey, laying points against the team.
You know that that doesn't lose at home. I mean
the Kansas. You're right, you can count on one hand
the number of time Kansas has been a home dog
over probably the last ten years. Also, but making a
case for the Yukon side, guys, remember Kansas while they're
coming off the win over Tennessee, they were down in
that game. They were down by seven and a half.
So you know, as impressive a win as that looks,
if you didn't catch that game, they were losing, uh
for a good deal of it.
Speaker 4: Yeah, real quick, I don't We talked about not dragging
these games out, and here I am dragging this one out, guys,
But real quick, this.
Speaker 2: Is this is a feature. Though that's okay. The feature
is okay.
Speaker 4: Illinois has so many more offensive weapons than Kansas. Put
the evasitches, Stoya, all the bitches, right, Perkin, bitch, all
these guys that can score. And yet there's six of
twenty nine from three in that game. And I get
it was at MSG, but I think it shows the
type of defense Yukon can be in. Defense does travel.
So again, we're giving you a bunch of you know
thoughts that run through our heads when handicapping this game,
and really no plays. I'm just not sure, but that
would be a pretty good case for you, yukon shutting
down that offense of Illinois is not easy when totally.
Speaker 3: Healthy, and it will always a better team than Kansas. Well,
I think we would all agree on that. Yeah, Sarah,
I agree.
Speaker 2: Yes, I do have the orange John today. We'll get
to that game.
Speaker 1: BA bets thank you for the donation, he says, thank
you for all the hard work.
Speaker 2: Boys. We very much appreciate that.
Speaker 1: We do have a couple of early tips, and I
see people asking about those, so we'll get to those
in a minute. I want to go to Garth another donation,
much appreciated. I think we've done pretty good on Garth's
games for.
Speaker 2: The most part. I don't know we got over at
the Horn.
Speaker 1: We got it in and at the Horn yesterday, but
West Georgia ended up winning that game outright. I think
we said we kind of lead, you know, I said
my number leans toward them with the points they were catching,
like eighteen points. They won that game in double overtime,
So I don't know if anyone took West Georgia. But
if you did yesterday, congrats to you. Also, Bowling Green
knocking off Kansas State. Another bunch of big upsets yesterday.
But but Garth wants to go back to the what
I believe is is being billed the sec ACC Challenge.
I'll be at one of those games tonight up here
in Central New York. But he wants to talk about
Missouri Norre Dame. I'm gonna go to Rob here because
Rob is our Missouri guy. So can we put Garth
on a winner here Missouri Nordre Dame.
Speaker 4: You know, I tried to get there, guys with Miszoo,
and the one thing that holds me back is they
just haven't been on the road yet, totally untested home
home home home, home home home against not so great
competition either. Dennis Gates's team has looked really really good
to start the season, and they look pretty complete, good
three point shooting team, Jacob Cruz stepping in and taking over.
But they've got some long range bombers on that team,
and they've done really really well inside as well. We
talked about Mark Mitchell. They've got all the components. But
it's scary to me because Shrewsbury wants to slow the game.
Gates wants to speed the game. You're on the other
team's home floor. You know my feeling about that, the
home team probably can dictate tempo for the majority of
the game, better than fifty percent being the majority, And
with Maszoo being untested against his team, Notre Dame's had
a couple of games here already where they've been through
some tough squads, So I think Massoo is better, guys,
But I just until I see a road effort out
of them. I talked earlier about Yukon probably being venue proof.
I'm not sure Missouri at this point in time is
venue proof.
Speaker 2: You know.
Speaker 4: I mean, it's it's yet to be determined. We'll see
how it goes. I'd love to be on that side
because I have a little bit of an allegiance to
the Miszoo Tigers, but couldn't get there.
Speaker 3: Yeah, Missouri pointed out in the chest, so we pointed
on the chat through the Missouri's got Kansas on deck too,
you know, I mean, you know, if this acc SEC challenge,
it's important to these teams, I think, you know, So
I don't think you can call this as a lot.
I think Missouri's just looking past Notre Dame. Rob mentioned
it being the first true road game Missouri. Look, the
offensive numbers are really impressive, but you have to understand
that the average ken Pom ranking of their opponents so
far as two eighty one. That is very very low.
They just beat Dennis Gates's old team Trigg Cleveland State,
and that this Cleveland State team, just as an aside,
is just shambolic. Missouri started that game with a twenty
three to nothing run. I mean it was over before
it started. I mean the Cleveland State come absolutely in
the pits. I know, imagine to me up twenty three
don eart of the game off and then saying oh,
and then checking the score at the end. Oh, I
didn't cover order game. On the other hand, guys, their
game against Houston was the complete opposite. They were down
in a twenty six to four hole and fought their
way back. Notre Dame is not lost at home. Rob
mentioned it's Missouri's first road game. I think that's uh so.
I think that's notable. I think that that is the
key to the CACRA. How is Missouri going to handle
a hostile road environment. I've got an angler. I would
look at the under. Very interesting that the Unders taking
money here on a game involving Missouri, considering those offensive numbers.
That's not public money, guys. And you know it's been
bet down about three points actually so far, which I
think is really really eye opening for me. So I
would take a look maybe here at the under. I
think Missouri, you know, they're better than Notre Dame, as
Rob pointed out, but you know, can the offense be
as efficient on the road as we've we've seen so far?
My answer is probably not.
Speaker 2: Guys.
Speaker 4: I'll spend forty seconds real quick here just being a
missoo parent. And Brian mentioned the Kansas game for those
who look to bet that game upcoming. Sitting in my
first freshman orientation meeting with the dean as the speaker
in Missouri auditorium, not coming from that area, right, lived
in Connecticut thirty years, Las Vegas twelve years, were coming
from Pennsylvania, my kids going to school. He opens up
the speech with they want to talk about the border
war all the time, and he says, yeah, those people
from Kansas, they used to walk right up to the
to the borderline and throw sticks of dynamite across into
Missouri at us, he said, and then we would like
to fuse and throw them back. And the whole place
is laughing like crazy, and I'm looking at my wife.
I'm like, wow, this is really This border war is something.
And my son, four years in that place, comes home
with a hatred of KU. So just to point out
that game upcoming is a severe rivalry. So we'll see
if Maszoo doesn't have a little look ahead to that.
That's a good point bringing up the KU game.
Speaker 2: Next.
Speaker 1: All right, let's Andrew was in here early and he
wants to talk about a game that starts in forty
five minutes in West Point. We've got some early afternoon basketball.
George Washington and Army. I'll start this one off. Army
Manhattan was probably the most frustrating basketball game I've ever watched.
Speaker 2: I was on man maybe ever. I was on Manhattan
in the game.
Speaker 1: Army is one of the worst three point shooting teams
in the country.
Speaker 2: I think they made fourteen threes.
Speaker 1: They banged a step back three to tie the game
at the buzzer. Why they were even allowed to shoot
it when they were in the one and one is
also beyond me, and then they won the game in overtime.
It was just it was as frustrated as I think
I've ever been watching a basketball game. And the reason
I bring that up is because I've kind of talked
about Army, like, listen, Army is a bad basketball team.
From a talent standpoint, That team has no talent. The
reason I came on here and said Army is going
to be a bottom ten team in the country this
year is because they just don't have any talent on
the roster and they weren't good last year. They lose
Josh Govin's to Davidson and Jalen Rucker I believe graduated finally,
So like, you take those two guys off a team
that was already not great and don't really replace him
with anyone not a great team from a talent perspective,
where I will give Army credit and I can confidently
say this the past couple games and basically anytime they've
been a big underdog is they Like I always think
the term, oh, they wanted it more is a little
bit overrated. It's something that like broadcasters love to throw
out there without a doubt they they wanted it more.
Against both Manhattan and Fairley Dickinson. I watched every minute
of those two games. Like they hustled to every loose ball,
like they beat Fairly Dickinson to every loose ball they did.
They did not shoot a free throw against Manhattan in regulation.
They did not shoot a free throw internet regulation against Manhattan,
yet found a way to be in position to tie
that game and take it into overtime. Now, do I
recommend betting on Army in a scenario where they have
to win a game? No, I still think they're a
bad basketball team with no talent. Do I mind them
catching twenty plus points knowing that they're probably gonna scratch
and claw all forty minutes of the game. They covered
against Saint Thomas, they covered against Maris, they covered against Cornell.
Like so, they're the type of team where it's like,
my number kind of came out right on this twenty
twenty one, twenty one and a half. I'm not gonna
lay twenty one and a half with George Washington. Yea,
even though if they if George Washington wanted to, they
probably like could win by thirty. But in that final
five to ten minutes when like GW's just like, all right,
we've got this win, and Armies out there still just
battling for no pun intended. But like they're just out
there battling right Like, I don't know, I have to
lean toward the dog.
Speaker 2: I don't.
Speaker 1: I want no part of an Army bet. But Jesus,
they they're relentless when the game is like over a
lot of times, so lean Army.
Speaker 3: Yeah, who wants the latest number with GW in the
morning too, a noon tip on a Tuesday. You know,
you mentioned Army their resume a little bit. You went
through a trigg. The only two times they've lost by
a margin greater than this was against Duke and Harvard.
So obviously you know GW not in that class. I actually, yeah,
I'm gonna maybe GW. I kind of was thinking under
because you talked about Army and how just you were
pulling your hair out watching the threes. They take a
lot of threes, but this is not an efficient offense,
and you perhaps you see them come back down to
earth after the performance against Manhattan you spoke.
Speaker 1: Of, I wouldn't be surprised if if GW scored some
points like that, wouldn't surprise me. But yeah, I could
see Army not scoring much, which ultimately puts me off
of this game.
Speaker 2: Brian Power, I'm gonna I'm gonna throw this to you.
Maybe we can loop Robin just me.
Speaker 1: You know, I know you wanted to make a couple
general points, and I feel like these were teams that
were like on your your list. And Jacob asked an
interesting question. He said, by low Spots on Loyola Chicago,
I'm gonna let you take it away and then maybe
we can talk about either one or both of those games.
Speaker 3: Yeah, you guys want to have a we can have
a discussion here on by Low or sell high because
I had written down days ago that today was a
very interesting day on the dock because you have a
number of teams playing today, guys that are either perfect
against the spread or winless against the spread. Jacob Hefner
right there, you see the comment on your screen by
low Spots on LOYALI in Chicago and Oregon tonight. What
he's referring to is these two teams are combined zero
to fifteen against the spread to start the year. So
if you've been betting either Loyola Chicago or Oregon, Mike
Condoles is to your bank roll because it has been hurt.
I'm not ready to lay points with Loyola Chicago, and
they took money. Oil in Chicago took money. I get
that Central Michigan stinks, but do you really want to
lay points with Loyalist Chicago based on what we've seen?
Like to me, what when a team has been so
poor like that, hass has fallen so short of the mark, Rob,
I want to wait till they're an underdog. I want
to wait till the market is completely turned against them.
And that brings me to Oregon. I'll say that they
are a home dog tonight against USC, a slight home
dog unless if that number has Nope, it's still we're
looking at one and night and their plus one and
a half plus two depending on your book, and they're
getting USC off mau off the win in Maui at
USC just won the Maui Invitational. Of the two, I
would say Oregon is the better buy low spot tonight.
Speaker 2: But I want to get Rob.
Speaker 1: I want to get Rob in here and ask him
a question because off memory, I think USC typically struggles
with the Oregon trip.
Speaker 2: Like I think they've never played well in this building.
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, rivalry.
Speaker 1: I know Rob's kind of are like resident packed to
rip the Packed twelve. But hey, we got Conference Basketball
Big Ten after dark here, so let's talk Oregon at USC.
Speaker 4: Well, here's my problem, guys, And I think that I've
talked about this before. This is so reminiscent of Oregon's
start to last year where Dana Autman told anybody who
would listen, this team is rated way too high. We're
not that team right now, quotes from Dana Autman. We
are behind where we need to be, especially with our defense. Now,
Nate Biddle didn't even play the last game. Do we
know Nate Biddle's playing tonight? I saw him listed as questionable.
Without Nate Biddle, Oregon's even worse. And they've got another
injury to Devin Pryor. They could be without two guys
here against USC. You know, if it was I'm gonna
go into coaching here, if it was Andy Enfeld USC
making this trip, I might think a little bit differently.
But it's Eric Musselman USC making this trip, and I
really like him as a head coach, which I don't think.
He brings his team in there unprepared, and Altman again
is trying to light a fuse under his team. It
would be a big challenge to face USC with our
entire team. It's a bigger challenge if some of these
guys aren't able to play god like USC here. I
think they're the better team. I'm not going to say
they're the better coach team, but I think the coach
that they currently have is better than the previous in
this type of situation where you have to go and
get a conference road win in a place where you
haven't been successful before. Shelstad's going to be up against
it here if he's on his own against USC. So
for me, it would probably be USC in this game.
Until you know, last year, Oregon righted the ship maybe
mid January, they got the better to where Altman wanted
them to be. But to me, it's just so reminiscent
of where they were last year. They're just not good
right now. They're not what they were previewed to be
right now.
Speaker 3: Yeah, just to follow up on Rob's point, Trigg, Altman
said that both Bill and Bryer are quote very questionable
to play tonight. So that's not I mean that that
kind of takes a hit out of this. Anyone who
thinks this is a Bilow spot. And also you talk
about the defense, how Walton it was so critical of it, Well,
it was obviously for good reason. They let San Diego
state the other uh, you know last week, and that
players here tever shoot sixty seven percent from the field
highest field goal percentage allowed by Oregon under Dana Altman.
And just to also put a number trick because you asked,
you said you kind of had a memory of USC
struggling with the trip up to Eugene and struggling with Oregon.
In general, the Ducks have one and covered the last
five times these teams have played.
Speaker 1: Yeah, do you any anything for you guys? By you says,
you know, I don't know.
Speaker 3: That's why I don't want to play USC. That's why
I don't want to play USC because they're coming off
the win in Maui.
Speaker 1: How about MTS in general, You've got a lot of
teams that are coming in off of these like they
just played three games in three days. Sometimes you know,
maybe not Maui, but they were in a tropical setting.
Like it's definitely preaking to my thought process with some
of these. Yeah, the ones, I guess agree, I would
agree with that the one thing I'll point out with
with USC.
Speaker 2: I also read that Rodney Rice is banged up.
Speaker 1: I'm assuming he's gonna play, but I do think it's important, Like,
if you're gonna get involved with USC Oregon tonight, I
would have an eye on the injury news throughout the
day because those are those are players bid all Rodney
Rice on the other side, their status is very very
important to that matchup though. It changes things if one
is out, both is out. One has their best player,
one doesn't. That's yeah, that's important. Let's go to Garth. Oh,
go ahead, Rob.
Speaker 4: I was just gonna say, real quick, guys, I think
we have one example. It wasn't Maui, right, but remember
the tad boyle Quach yesterday they were off a tournament
win at home against cal Baptist. Last night they did
not cover. So to your point point, off of a
big tournament win, you know, they win by eight, but
that wasn't enough to get the money last night.
Speaker 1: I have an opinion on this one, but I'll let
Brian go first. Just to just sort of the other
side of the coin here. Brian Garth says, do we
back the six in oh against the spread? University of
San Diego Tritons tonight, who could not miss a shot
at their mt So you've got a six and o
team against the spread that also just was throwing flames
that they just could not miss a shot at their MTE.
Now they get they have to play tonight, I believe,
on the road in Reno. So talk to you a
little bit about that setup right.
Speaker 3: There, the littlest big time. Yeah, I'll tell you what
they're making you pay a tax here if you want
to fade this UCSD team, easy for me to say,
you see San Diego, let's go at that. It's less
of a tongue twister. The Tritons not only are perfect
against the spread, they have not lost a game, one
of twenty four unbeaten teams still left in college basketball,
but they are an underdog here in Areno and you
know Nevad. You know these Mountain West teams, correct me
if I'm wrong, rob or drag. I just feel all
of them are just way better at home than on
the road. I you know, I don't. I don't think
there's a single one of them that that would you know,
go against thatd like I mean, most college basketball teams
that's the case, but I feel with the Mountain West
it's a little more pronounced. But man, odds makers are
making I mean, and Nevada has taken money last time
I looked. Yeah, they're up to five and a half.
Speaker 2: Now, that's crazy.
Speaker 3: I don't I don't think I And you know what
did I say about Loyola Chicago a few moments ago?
I get that we want we're thinking by low by low.
When's the by low spot on the team? A by
low spot with an zero and eight against the spread
team isn't when they're favored laying multiple possessions. Conversely, a
sell high spot on a team that's a that's perfect
against the number, like you see San Diego isn't when
they're a dog.
Speaker 2: So I don't know.
Speaker 3: I'm probably gonna refrain from betting this game because I
do want to find a spot to fade the Triton's
trig But laying points, especially a number that's already taking money,
probably ain't it.
Speaker 4: Yeah, other Dan Ben, you guys, what's the difference between
going to Fresno State and beating Fresno straight up and
now going to Nevada. I mean, to me, Fresno and
Nevada are comparable, but the altitude, Reno, the different venue.
I mean, I know, northern California as opposed to upstate
Nevada is a little bit different. I don't understand the
reason for taking money here. It's interesting that for Nevada,
and not that they're going to the NCAA tournament, but
anybody who plays them beating U see San Diego could
be considered a resume builder at this point in time.
They're that good. I don't know that there is recognized
by the betting public. However, as you say often Brian,
we do this show ten am Eastern times, seven am
Pacific time. When these numbers are moving at this time
of day, it's not public money moving these numbers. They're
not awake betting these games at this point in time, right,
It's a syndicate groups that are pushing these numbers. They
may believe that Nevada is untested, they haven't really. Their
results are so up and down and so inconsistent. I mean,
you beat San Francisco by sixteen, but you lose to
Santa Clara, you lose to UC Davis. I mean, there's
no rhyme or reason to their early season results obviously
they're capable, but UCSD is capable as well, and I
would probably choose to play the dog here. I mean,
I just don't think that they're as recognized personnel wise, Adam.
And I mean, you know, as well as anybody personnel wise,
this is a good, well rounded team. They shoot the basketball,
they rebound the basketball, they defend all three things, and
I just don't know that that's fully recognized by everybody
as of yet.
Speaker 3: Trig, do you do you have UCSD as the better
team on a neutral floor here? I'm guessing you do. Okay, yes,
because I do.
Speaker 1: That's the thing I went like, So I'll say this
about the about the market and the numbers moving, I
would take any move early in the day with a
grain of salt because what betters have realized. So here's
here's the problem with like trying to evaluate a market
move early in the day. The books have made it
almost impossible to bet games overnight at this point. So
like what you'll see now is like a lot of
times like there's just the line move that you have,
Like I think some groups are trying to fake. I
think there's a lot of fakes in the market. And
just because a game was bet up, does not mean
that that was necessarily the sharp money that you want
to follow. Because I'm seeing a lot of these games
get hit late. I think it's because it's it's it's
it's you can actually get down the size of a
bet that like professional groups need to get down. So
if like, if you're gonna bet fifty bucks one hundred
bucks bucks a game, go bet your overnights, that's fine,
or you want to bet super early in the game,
But like a lot of these groups are trying to
get down bigger than that, and they're getting so limited
trying to bet, or they're they're getting accounts clipped trying
to a bet at ten eleven in the morning that
they're just trying to like they're almost like so I
talked about this yesterday when McNee state an Incrinet word,
I said, I think they're just trying to push that
number up and they know that the betting public will
will do it for them because McNeice is gonna be
the popular favorite, that the betting public will just steam
that up and then they can go take increnet word
later in the day. Now, I don't know that that
actually like totally happened. It did stop at eleven and
then kind of went back down to ten and a
half and ten. But like you could see something similar
with Nevada here. Why because people love betting these Mountain
West teams at home, so it's like you can fake it,
let the everyone jump on and take Nevada at a
worse number, get it up to five and a half.
You might see the UC San Diego money come back
and take the good number there. So I wouldn't really
read too much into the line move in this one.
What I will say for me personally, I wish it
was a better spot for UC san Diego. I wish
they weren't. They played so good that it's like almost
unfatt it's almost impossible for them to play as good
as they played the last three days. And then of
course you go and do that on the road. Maybe
you have an off game and Nevada can win that game.
But I'm with Bayou. He said he's watched Avata twice,
so have I Like, I don't think that they're like
an overly talented team. I think this is a middling
team the Mountain West this year. I think I would
still have you forced me to bet this game, I
would take UC San Diego plus the points.
Speaker 3: San Francisco John's last time out, though Nevada did an
upset they were five and a half.
Speaker 2: Brian, that was part of a Wasn't that part of
an mte though?
Speaker 1: Like these second and third games in three days, Like
I don't even care, Like it's like that's you know,
it's like how much can you look like some of
these teams having to play three?
Speaker 2: Like am I gonna did?
Speaker 3: Well?
Speaker 1: Here's like we'll parrot, We'll go into this game, like
how much am I gonna hold Syracuse accountable for getting
absolutely boat raced by Iowa State playing the third game
in three days when they were already a.
Speaker 2: Little bit banged up.
Speaker 1: Really, you could say the same thing about I think
it was what Tennessee and Kansas. Tennessee comes out, beats Houston,
great game, turns around and just loses to Kansas, But like,
are you really gonna hold either of them like totally
accountable for either of those losses playing the third game
in three days, Syracuse being forced to play early in
the day. So here's our segue to this game. I'll
be at this game tonight out in the JM JMA
Wireless Dome still kills me. Then it's not the Carrier
Dome anymore. Tennessee coming to town. Yeah, I don't even know.
I always like a track phone or something. I don't
even know, but like you know, they're coming to town.
It's the Dome. Probably twenty five thousand if people can
get there because we've got some snow in the area,
but it should be a lively crowd. Syracuse has had
about twenty thousand for each of like the smaller games
Monmouth Delaware State, So I expect probably twenty five thousand
a good crowd at the Dome tonight. But they're like,
that's almost how you have to evaluate both of these teams.
I don't think Donnie Freeman's gonna play, but I think
that's already sort of known.
Speaker 2: He didn't play at all in the MT.
Speaker 1: So do either of you want to jump in, and
then I'll kind of give my thoughts on Tennessee Syracuse.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll go first real quick here, and before I
even start, I'm just going to expand theoretically, philosophically on
what you were saying here. I know we got a
lot of really smart educated betters in our chat, but
maybe there's some guys who are just getting into college
basketball betting. I'm going to tell you, just give you
a piece of advice that I got and when I
first moved to Las Vegas and back in nineteen ninety
one and I'm staring at a college football board, just
talking to a guy I didn't even know, somewhat skilled
at sports betting. And to your point, Adam, what he
told me was we were talking about line moves. I
was impressed by line moves, and he told me, if
you bet every single line move, you'll grow to be
a fifty to fifty better. Some of them are true,
some of them are for bandwag, for public bandwagon money,
so they can outsmart you and come back the other way.
So to your point, well taken, they all can't be trusted.
If you just follow them blindly, you probably will be
a fifty to fifty better and wind up losing big
money along the way. In this game, guys, what I
had noted here, especially on the Tennessee side, and Adamy
talked about playing multiple games in multiple days. But the duo,
the Tennessee offensive dual of Jacoby Gillespie and Nate a
meant they're two best guys. They were miserable in that
Kansas game, ten of thirty four combined from the floor.
They took thirty four of the team sixty three shots. Okay,
that's a high percentage of the team shots, more than
fifty percent of the shots they missed. Twenty four of
those they missed, seventy one percent of the time they
shot the basketball, they missed, and they came close. They
still almost won the game. But those two guys, I
think Lesbie was one for ten from the floor from three,
excuse me. And they're better than that. They're a lot
better than that. So we'll see if Syracuse can defend
them here. Of course, the points spread always the great
equalizer in Tennessee. With their defense, can they go into
Syracuse and put the clamps down? What I saw and
I mentioned it earlier from Melvin Council in that game
against Kansas's KU might have some flaws guarding guard quidickness
and perhaps Syracuse can use a little of that to
their advantage here in this game at home. Didn't play.
I do think you're going to get a better effort
out of Tennessee. I put a look into their team
total thought it was a little high for my liking,
so I refrained from making a play side or a total.
But you know, for those who are gonna play, I
just be on the lookout for Gillespie and A meant
to have much better games than what they just posted
against KU. And on the Syracuse side, I think what
I want to watch closely here, guys, again, is ken
Syracuse's guards beat Tennessee off the dribble the way that
Melvin Council was able to in that game the other day.
Speaker 3: I would go a small lean towards the under in
this game for two reasons. Both on the Syracuse side.
This is not a team that shoots a three well
and then is noted in the chat. This is a
team that is horrific from the free Oh okay, did
did they move ahead? Did they move below? Whoever I
had of at second last? Okay?
Speaker 2: I saw him last this morning?
Speaker 3: Okay, Okay, So it's it's obviously changed somebody. Okay, somebody
obviously improved there. Whoever else was knocked the feed out
for the charity stripe. So yeah, I mean that that's
a bet. That's not a team just and again, while
I'm not you know, we're also we also like to
give you guys information that you can hold on to
use for future use. The Syracuse team is not someone
I would want to bet overson because the combination of
bad free throw shooting, bad three point shooting, that's just,
you know, obviously not a recipe for an over. Well
and the Beacons score.
Speaker 1: Though, credit Syracuse for for how good they've been defensively
this year. They're playing all man. They bring in William
Kyle from I Believe UCLA. He's been like, what a
massive upgrade defensively over Eddie Lampkin, like just just night
and day, Like that's the one thing. So my number
came out right on the nose here pretty much. I
made eight. I think it's like seven and a half
right now. J Buff noted, Yeah, Freeman is out. I
don't think that that was like a huge surprise. He
didn't play at all in the MTE for Syracuse. But
Syracuse's defense has been awesome, like they have their their
their interier defense has been fantastic. Their guards are playing
tight d So you want to talk just to add
another layer to your under sort of philosophy. Brian bad
three point shooting, no like fifty seven point one percent
as a team from the foul line, which if it's listen,
even if it's not absolute dead last, that's still absolutely atrocious.
Should be embarrassed like to I mean, it's just as
bad as it gets. But a good defensive team, and
you know the thing that sort of has me lean
ever so slightly to Syracuse on the number, especially if
it gets to eight. Tennessee and Houston are are a
little bit similar in my opinion, like the way they play,
and Syracuse had Houston b they went twelve for twenty
nine or something from the file line. I mean, they
had Houston beat in that game, so I leave cuse,
but but not a huge not.
Speaker 3: We should know both the Sames kept coming off the
players era in Vegas. It was not a successful run
there for QS, while Tennessee made it the third place game.
They were up on Kansas, as we mentioned earlier before,
kind of just fading. Maybe that was just a case
of tired legs in the second half.
Speaker 2: I'll go to Utah, you guys for this one.
Speaker 1: The chat is having a conversation about Michigan State in Iowa.
Speaker 3: There's a lot of good games today. There's a lot
of good games.
Speaker 1: Our guy Ethan has jumped in. He said he'll be
there boots on the ground for Iowa Michigan State. We
saw Ethan a couple of weeks ago out of Bowling Green.
Brian Power and I went to East Lanton that weekend
to see Michigan State play Iowa, and I'll let Brian
kick this one off. Since we left there, I continue
to be more and more impressed with SPARTI what about you.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I remember that game tipped off. You and I
were kind of st Michigan State whatever they were ranked
going into that game. We're like, accurate. Well, you know,
Izzel's doing it again. They they they could I with concurating.
They continue to impress me. They they're you know that
they deserve to be where they're ranked at now. Still
not shooting the three, well, you know, it's kind of
an old school approach to basketball. Maybe rockkintent on that
as well. They just don't take a high volume from
behind the arc. Sparty and then Iowa. This is something
we mentioned on one of our very first shows of
the year, the massive change we were going to see
in pace, going from one of the fastest tempos in
the country to one of the slowest under McCollum, and
I like that. I kind of lean under here based
on you know, first conference game. Iowa their new style,
Michigan State not a three heavy team. I think it's
gonna be a close game. I don't really, I don't.
Michigan State obviously deserve favorite in East Lansing, no doubt
about it. But I have a slight lean towards the
under in this one second straight game. I would lean
that way.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think for me, there's not enough wiggle room
in that under. You're asking for sixty six aside sixty
seven sixty six, you end up losing. I would be
on the under if it was maybe mid to higher thirties.
Speaker 2: It's not.
Speaker 4: Iowa does have one example against a very slow paced
team in Ole Miss. That game hit one forty three.
Michigan State probably is a little more rugged defensively than
All Miss, but again Ole Miss is a Chris Beard team,
so they're gonna have a pretty good defensive ability as well.
So scares me off right, doesn't put me on over,
keeps me away from under. I think the side prices impressed,
as I have been with Michigan State. I don't know
how you lay it here with the guesswork that they're
gonna have to make some threes against Ben. Can I
say this right, Ben McCollums team, Ben McCollums team is
gonna defend the three. And they've been just as impressive,
and they've they've actually as slow as they're going, their
efficiency has been good enough to push their point totals
beyond seventy and most diinstance is now they haven't played
a great slate of teams. I get it, but I
think that their games are showing that he's a little
bit adaptable with better athletes than what he had at
Drake to be able to put more points on the scoreboard.
I think I would be on the dog here. I
just don't believe that Iowa will go in there. You know,
if it was a Fran McCaffrey team, again, nothing against Fran,
but we know what he was good.
Speaker 3: He would do here.
Speaker 4: He'd try and run, run, run, run, run, and MSU
would stop that running game and probably blow him out.
And I don't know that that happens you. I think
I would lean underdog in this game.
Speaker 3: I also undefeated, just like Michigan State for obviously that's
you know something I think a lot of people in
the chat no. But and they've covered five straight the
Hawkeyes as well, so they've been a good bet on
team so far.
Speaker 1: I'll just quickly say that I agree with you on
the under I rarely have total's opinions, but I think
if if Michigan said, like I trust is Ota game
plan well for starts and if you can take if
you can like disrupt him and take him out of
sort of the game for Iowa, I think it's really
going to mess with their offense. And I trust Izzo
to do that defensively, game plan for Bennett starts and
sort of disrupt the Iowa offense that way.
Speaker 2: And I'm with you, Brian, I still don't.
Speaker 1: I still think that, like Michigan, State has a little
bit of trouble shooting the ball, that can always be
an issue. So yeah, that one thirty three, one thirty
two and a half, that makes a lot of sense.
Speaker 2: I'm with you on that. Under That makes a lot
of sense.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's it's getting low with that understand it's taken money.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Well there's so so if you want that under
go find a book that still has one thirty two
and a half because FanDuel just went to like one
thirty one. But it looks like there's still a bunch
of one thirty two and a half's up there. It
looks like I don't know if how my screen sort
of flashing on that game, but I believe go ahead.
Speaker 3: By you, who apparently has his schedule open on every
single team, all three hundred and sixty five teams in
the country. Here this morning, while watching the program, is
noting SPARTI look if they're not looking past Iowa. Okay,
this is a this is a conference game, a conference opener,
Top twenty five matchup, national television. Michigan State does have
Duke gun deck. Let's let's point that out.
Speaker 4: And real, speaking of Duke, to our according to our
odds logic screen guys thirty threes depending upon where you
have accounts thirty threes. And there's even I see a
trio of one thirty three and a half's out there.
If you like the under, you can get a better
price and go ahead and play under one thirty three
and a half.
Speaker 2: We should probably hit Duke Florida.
Speaker 1: So, speaking of Duke Duke Florida, I'll say about this one, and.
Speaker 2: I'll kind of let you guys have at it.
Speaker 1: Like if I saw this number three or four weeks ago,
I'd probably be all over Florida.
Speaker 2: Uh now, not so sure.
Speaker 1: I feel like something we brought up early in the season,
maybe the first show of the year was like Boogie
Flann and Xavi and Lee are not Walter Clayton and
the guards that Florida had last year.
Speaker 2: It is becoming very apparent. Can they hang around with Duke? Yeah?
They probably can. They have the bigs to do it.
Speaker 1: And you know, I wouldn't be surprised if if it
was a respectable game.
Speaker 2: I wouldn't even be surprised if they found a way
to win.
Speaker 1: But I just don't have much confidence in this Florida
team right now, and I know you really haven't either.
Speaker 4: Brian.
Speaker 3: No, I'm gonna throw it to Rob real quick, because guys,
if you want a very extended breakdown from me on
this game, guess what you can tune in a wager
talk today in the New Eastern you Go, I will
be talking about this game with Andy laying. My view
is this. I'm interested to see if Rob agrees I
think that some sharper quote unquote sharper people are gonna
take are gonna wait and see how high this number
goes and try to buy back on Florida. I am
probably just going to sit on the sidelines. I actually
think the numbers should be higher than where it's at currently.
Even if it goes up a couple points, it's not
going to be high enough for me because, as you mentioned, trap,
I am a little bit lower on Florida than the market.
I've consistently been all season. Whereas you know, I think Duke,
you know, is good. Does any team in the country.
Speaker 4: Yeah, And I think what it comes down to, guys,
is it's gonna I mean, Adam, you kind of hit
on it. The guard situation for Florida. You can grade
it however you want. You can grade it as neutral,
or you can grade it towards Duke. I would probably
great advantage Duke, but you just as good as Duke's
bigs have been. It's very hard for me to play
against that Florida front line, especially with this many points.
Duke's been killing people on the boards. They've been very
good on the boards, but they're not going to kill
this team on the boards. And again we're talking about
another team marched in by Todd Golden that won a
national championship that will be venue proof. Cameron indoor is
as difficult as it gets. The fans are like eight
feet away from you, and it's a difficult crowd to
play in front of. But how can company across that
front line? I just don't see Duke dominating that portion
of the game. I think Florida can defend the rim
well here or well enough to hang with an eight
and a half. It is going to come down to
that guard play. And again it was something we mentioned.
You don't have Walter Clayton to lean on for buckets
when you need buckets. I don't know, you know where
they go nowadays. It's not the backcourt that they're going
to until Boogie Flann becomes you know, in that in
this particular offense, what Walter Clayton was, it's gonna be
that way. You're gonna be dependent totally on your front line.
I don't however, I'll say this, guys, I don't think
Duke is going to pressure Florida into a lot of
turnovers and get easy buckets in this game, which I
think is what it would require to win by more
than you know. You're asking them to win by nine.
Florida is down, I don't know. Ten late they get
a meaningless three, they lose seven. It's a hard bet
to make from the from a duke perspective, at least
in my eyes, it would be Florida or nothing. Right now,
it's nothing total wise, It's interesting because I could make
a case for both sides. I could make a case
play it over. I could make a case to play
it under. When it comes to that point, I just
don't play at all. So I think the best thing
I can say is I would lean floor to plus
the eight and a half.
Speaker 2: All right, let's go to Garth.
Speaker 1: Another big game, trying to get to as many as possible,
he says unc Kentucky.
Speaker 2: He leans with the Heels.
Speaker 1: I'll I'm gonna give my parlay legout after this, so
I'll let you two kind of have at this one.
All I'll say is I believe first true road game
for the Tar Heels, Brian power my number. Lean Kentucky
a little bit, But I don't know if I want
to lay the points.
Speaker 2: What are you thinking?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean again, injuries are something worth monitoring here,
because I agree I think Kentucky's the better team here
for sure. North Carolina. You know, it seems like a spot,
the first true road game where you would want to
fade North Carolina. You know, I mean North Carolina being
the higher ranked team in this situation, I don't think
is an accurate depiction of It's not an accurate depiction
of where I have them in the power ratings. So
I yeah, I don't know. I would want to play
Kentucky here, but I don't know. The spread is a
touch high.
Speaker 4: Yeah, guys, I would lean Kentucky here for no fundamental reason,
no situational reason, but for an exterior reason because after
the Michigan State game, in that postgame press conference, we
saw Mark Pope stand up there and basically say that
until his team starts to play, he basically blamed himself
for failing to create a culture of team basketball rather
than me me me basketball. Since then, they've played Loyola Maryland,
they've played Tennessee Tech. But this is the first real
test for Mark Pope, who said I'm going to straighten
this out. Believe me, I'll straighten this out, and if
we have to weed guys out, we'll weed guys out,
and I think this being the first test in front
of the home fans, I would expect Kentucky motivationally, focus wise,
mindset wise to be there tonight. Brian, you talked about
you and see going on the road again. I don't
know that they'll be disrupted by Lexington, but I do
think that the other side, for what it's worth, could
be a little more motivated and get off to a
quick start. For that reason, I would look Kentucky first
half just based on the head coach and what he
was telling us a couple of games ago. And if
he's going to prove, if he's right about that point,
that he's gonna make this thing right again, then it
has to happen against a good basketball team, and this
is his first try since that statement against a good
basketball team.
Speaker 3: I see we're split in the chat on the total.
I see one love this over and then one love
this under. Correct me if a wrong gang, But Kentucky
last year was way better at home than on the road.
Like that, I thought that their home road splits were
as stark as any team in the country. If memory
serves correct.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean you're probably gonna get a scenario where yeah,
I think I think both teams are gonna have to
shoot it particularly well, like jump shot wise to get
this one over. So I don't know, like you know,
how much to trust that, Like I think North Carolina
can be a little bit sketchy shooting the ball at times.
So I'm not even gonna spend more time on that.
I really have no opinion on it, but it's a
I love polarizing discussion, right because that's all betting is. Like,
if we all agreed, we wouldn't there would be no market,
there'd be no we wouldn't have we didn't be able
to do so. So I'm glad that we're we have
some disagreement on these games.
Speaker 2: That's good, all right. So we have ten minutes of
the show left. We're gonna go around the horn.
Speaker 1: We'll give our parlay legs if we can. If we
still have time after that, we'll see if we can
get more chat questions. I mean, we're gonna get a
couple of different games here with the parlays. I was
just I'm gonna give out one of my client plays.
I guess I've got really good CLV on both of
my releases already. I'm gonna give one of them out. Unfortunately,
this is like kind of getting hit as we speak.
So I played Binghamton plus four. It's a three percent play.
It is down to two and a half, which literally
is like just happening. So what I'm gonna do is
play at Binghamton plus three minus one twenty for the parlay.
And again I don't I don't hate being I think
Binghamton's gonna win this game, So like I just you
can take the money line if you if you want,
and just go.
Speaker 2: You'll give yourself some odds.
Speaker 1: But I did play Binghamton plus four for clients, and
that is a three percent play for me. So for
the parlay, we're gonna go three minus one twenty, uh,
because I think it's relatively easy to get that to
three minus one twenty. Looks like it's either three or
two and a half places right now. This game is
in Binghamton, So this sort of fits the possibly having
a little bit of a hangover after an MTE sort
of what we were talking about for Lehigh, and I
actually think Lehigh could be affected by this. So Lehigh
actually went out to Vegas last weekend played two games,
and they played as good as I think they could
have ever expected to play they they. I believe they
lost to UC Santa Barbara by two as a relatively
big underdog and then came out and upset Texas State.
So by all accounts, Lehigh played great in their MTE,
big dog in both games get an outright win, and
the other one was like a two point loss to
a very good Santa Barbara team. But sometimes he's mtes,
especially like I don't you know, you couldn't get people
at the players Era in Vegas. Who was at Lehigh
Santa Barbara in Vegas last week? Probably no one, Like
sometimes these mtes produced like very wacky results, And so
I'm willing to trust my my rating on a Lee
High team that I just don't I don't see how
it's possible that they can be like better than what
the market says they're going to be this year. They
lose Tyler Whitney, Sidney Keith Higgins, like they lost good
players from a team last year that was underachieved anyway,
So like this is a team that I think is
probably near the bottom of the Patriot League again this year,
maybe middle of the pack in that league, and now
they need to turn around and go play a true
road game at Binghamton, and yet they were a four
point favorite.
Speaker 2: At one point in time.
Speaker 1: So the market I think is moving in the correct direction.
I actually make Binghamton a slight favorite in this game.
And like you talk about Binghamton, they're not anything special
this year either. They'll probably be middle of the pack
in the a America East at best. But they bring
in I think it's Lily from He came in from LaSalle,
kind of a six to nine act. He's kind of
plays like a big, like a true center, and at
this level, you know at LaSalle he was okay. At
this level playing like when you talk about Patriot League
anc America East, these like low major Northeast conferences, he's
a pretty like solid post presence and I think he's
really been Binghamton's best player to this point. So again,
you got two teams that are pretty even. One just
got from Vegas and then has to go and hit
the road now to Binghamton, New York.
Speaker 2: Like it.
Speaker 1: Binghamton does get a few fans. I've been to some
games there. They'll have some people there for that game.
I just don't see how Binghamton was an underdog and
Binghamton played up. They played in their MTE in Buffalo
against Canisius. No one was there, like so you look
at those losses to Canisius and the like Maryland Eastern Shore.
I watched like some of the Canicious game. I don't
think anyone gave a shit about that NTI. I think
I was looking around and I think they were like,
why are we here?
Speaker 2: Like what?
Speaker 1: Who even put this together? So I really do like
the Binghamton Bearcats tonight. I think they bounced back from
their horrendous performance in Buffalo that no one cared about,
and I think they get a win here and that
is gonna be my parlay leg I'm going to pass
it over to Brian Power and then we'll go to
Veno to get your guys legs to the parlot.
Speaker 3: I'm gonna make the short sweet guys. There's an all
expression if they ain't broke down and fix it, Well,
we're gonna modify that expression and say it's been broke,
but we're not gonna bother fix it. We're gonna keep
going with what we like to do here. We're gonna
take ugly underdogs, every single one of you in the
chat will probably hate this play, but I'm gonna give
it out anyway because I like it. It's the kind
of style of handicapping. I believe we're gonna take the
four touchdowns trig with Fairley Dickinson at Providence. Fairly Dickinson
has not covered a spread this year. That's obviously very bad.
They are a very bad basketball team. I'm not gonna
tell you that they're even a mediocre basketball team. Okay,
they're one of the worst fifteen teams in the country.
But twenty eight is a lot of points, especially when
Providence do you talk about the empties. What is Providence
done in the last three games? They've played Penn State,
they played Wisconsin, they played Florida, now they're back home
after you know, after the holiday weekend. I think this
is I couldn't get higher than twenty five on this spread.
So you know, Providence also has rode the big in
state game against Rhode Island on deck. So look, I
realize I know what's been happening, and let me address
this because it's going to be follow up in the chat.
Should I bet this first half? Because what we had
last night with Temple was yet another instance betting a
double digit dog. They were winning outright at the half,
and then they just fall apart with the second half.
This has happened, I believe my last two parlors. It
happened with Wright State against Butler on Friday as well.
If you want to split the wager, put half of
it on the first half, half of it on the
full game, by all means, if that's what makes you
feel comfortable to do it. But my official leg of
our three team parlay will be fairly Dickinson. A team
that was very kind to trigger and I once upon
a time at Turning Stone when they pulled the shocker
of all shakers against Purdue and we danced around and
were very loud and.
Speaker 2: Obnoxiousness in a nice restaurant.
Speaker 3: Yeah, yes, that was very poor behavior, but that's okay.
It was fairly Dickinson beating Purdue. So FDU plus twenty eight.
Speaker 2: I don't disagree with that. I think Providence is garbage.
I be just frank about it.
Speaker 1: Like a for a Big East team, I think they're
gonna be like a bottom three or four Big East team.
So I concur with your fairly Dickinson call. Let's go
to Robino to close out the three team or we
need to hit one of these. I think today is
going to be the day, rob What are we looking
at to close it out?
Speaker 4: So torn guys, so torn already have played two games.
By the way, that GW game that starts in a
few minutes. I actually had a client play on so
you can beat the buzzer here. You're about three minutes
from tip if you want to get in on that. Yeah,
I was stuck between two guys, but I'm gonna go
with except it's been broke and I'm gonna try and
fix it because I'm gonna go back to another team total.
But I just can't see SIU Edwardsville not getting to
the eighty one mark against North Florida. North Florida guys,
for what it's worth, the worst defensive rebounding team in
the nation, the worst team in points allowed second chance
points allowed. They allow like twenty four points per game
second chance points, so they've given up over eighty in
every single game they've played. That's seven straight times over eighty.
SIU Edwardsville not the fastest paced team in the country,
but still the last couple of games they've been up
in over eighty have played Wisconsin, have played Drake, have
played UTSA, some better teams than North Florida. Anybody's really
better than North Florida defensively. So North Florida wants to
play with pace as well. And around their home Florida,
I always have the feeling that, you know, if you're
not a pace team, but you're gonna play one that
allows you to get buckets, then you tend to go
with them. Guys love stats, you know what I mean.
Offensive guys love to score, and if they see a
team that wants to run that can't stop you, then
they're gonna go score. So for me, it's gonna be
SIU Edwardsville team total tonight over eighty and a half
against North Florida. Think they'll probably make it to the
eighty three eighty four range here, and North Florida has
allowed everybody they've played so far, including some real drigs,
to get up and above this number.
Speaker 2: What's that number again?
Speaker 1: Rob for the eighty and a half, So over eighty
point five team total. All right, we've got like two
minutes left. I'm gonna recap the parlay in a minute.
I do see some folks talking about Rhode Island and Brown.
All I'll say about that game is Brown got a
little bit healthier, so they were Brown was severely shorthanded
for like the first four or five games of the season.
I still think they're without Alex Lesbert, but I think
Landing is it landon Lewis and then last name is
Rochester on another one that were like they basically were without.
Speaker 2: Three starters for like the first four games of the season.
Speaker 1: So I forget who said it in the chat, but
someone was like, that number looks like a touch high. Like,
I know Rhode Island's been good, but that number looks
a touch high.
Speaker 2: I would probably agree with that.
Speaker 1: I don't know if I want to, Like, I don't
think this Brown team is very good even at full strength,
and I know that there's still I think Lesper might
be done for the year. I haven't heard anything about him, so,
but like, I would agree with the thought process that
maybe Rhode Island is getting a little bit overvalued in
the market. So I thought i'd throw that out there.
Anything on Rhode Island or Brown for you guys, No.
Speaker 3: Just one game, and I think I saw this one
in the chat too, just so we cleaned the subtrict.
I can't wait to watch Charleston Southern and UT Martin
at noon Eastern. And I really mean that, guys. This
is a game where you've got one team that doesn't
doesn't force turnovers against another team that always turns it over.
Bull shoot a ton of threes. It's a new East.
It's the second Neon Eastern tip off besides George Washington Army.
I agree with the lot, I agree with the way
the markets move. I like the over in that game.
I think there's gonna be a ton of points Charleston
Southern UTA mart I can't wait. I was gonna watch
the DFP Pocal this afternoon until I saw that game
on this plate drag. You're the German Cup. Can wait
till three o'clock. I'll watch Charleston Southern.
Speaker 2: Listen.
Speaker 1: I don't condone taking like awful numbers, but I do
have a client play on Charleston Southern plus five and
a half, So that was one of the ones that
I got a good number on three percent play bet
at this morning plus five and a half, it's down
to three and a half, so you know what that means,
Probably a surefire loss, But like if you know, any
anytime I beat a number significantly, it's an instant loser.
But if you if you do you know I did
play that Charleston Southern plus five and a half, you
might be able to end game it that. That's another
client play for me. So just I wasn't going to
bring it up, but Brian Power brought it up. So
there's one at the horn.
Speaker 2: No, it's okay. I wasn't selling it. It's at noon.
Speaker 1: I mean it's I was selling it to my long
term subscribers and didn't put a.
Speaker 2: Brick up for it. But all right, we have reached
the end of the show. We have a three teamer.
We need to hit one to get back.
Speaker 1: We're slightly in the red for the first time this
year on parlays, so we've got to hit one.
Speaker 2: Today.
Speaker 1: We have Binghamton plus US three and I attached minus
one twenty juice to that, so you can buy the
half point on that one Binghamton plus three. We've got
Brian Power going with Fairley Dickinson plus twenty eight and
a half, and then Rob is gonna go with the
team total SIU Edwardsville team total over eighty and a
half plus five forty odds. That's your three teamer, that's
your show. It's five dollars Tuesday. There was no time
to promote stuff today, but it is five dollars Tuesday.
We're all gonna have five dollars plays up. Go check
Rob's page out, check out Brian's page and mind for
something that will go out for sale for five bucks.
And we also have great specials throughout the week, so like, subscribe,
do all that fun stuff for us, Drop a comment
and we'll be back ten am tomorrow morning for more
Full Court Press.
Speaker 2: You guys don