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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in five dollars Tuesday at wager talk

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it All.

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Speaker 2: It cost me more than five bucks.

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Speaker 1: I replaced some of my cables so I won't be

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crashing out during the show today, at least hopefully. Although

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we are about four inches into I think like another

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eight inches of snow. I got twenty two over the weekend, Brian,

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twenty two inches of snow over the weekend. We're getting

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another like six today, so hopefully no power outage. But

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we're here, it's Tuesday, there's a million games we're getting

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right into it.

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Speaker 2: Let's start.

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Speaker 1: I didn't even really pick up each your game, but

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I think I think Yukon Kansas probably should be the

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feature here out at fog Allen Fieldhouse. Brian Power, I

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think you and I were together the last time these

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two teams played in Kansas. I believe it was a

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Friday night. I believe we were Encore Sportsbook in Massachusetts,

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and I feel like you had the winner in that game.

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I think it was Yukon Kansas and Kansas maybe pulled

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a mild upset if I remember correctly.

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Speaker 2: I could be wrong, but I could have score that

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I was saying.

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Speaker 3: I remember, Okay, I'm trying to remember. That was a

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good weekend for me. I was actually one of my

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best betting weekends ever. I went on a nineteen and

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one run. I don't remember. I'm trying hard to remember

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that one. But let's you know, who cares about when

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I was sitting probably drinking heavily at the Encore a

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couple of years ago. Let's talk about tonight. I guess look, Yukon.

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I don't know if Joey Cheese has blessed us with

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his presence.

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Speaker 2: In the chat. I know that if he was right

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over the weekend.

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Speaker 3: He was right over the weekend that you the money

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that Yukon was taking against Illinois, that was they were

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the right side. And you know, I I have this

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as a pick them. I'm just gonna come out and

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say a trick. I'm not betting this game. I don't

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know if I'll actually let Rob take it first, because

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I don't want to waste people's time just babbling about

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stuff they probably know about these two teams per a game,

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I'm not gonna bet. You know, do I think Yukon's

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the fifth best team in the country. No, I'm actually

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still a little bit lower on him. So she's can

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yell at me if he's in the chat on that

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or not. But I'm not showing a ton of value here.

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It's a true pick them contest for me.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll say this, guys, I think Yukon is the

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better team. Whether or not they're the better team in

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fog Allen is a different story. I think the return

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of Terras Reid was a huge deal the other day.

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It doesn't show up in points in the box score,

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but it does show up in defense at the rim

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and in watching the KU Tennessee game in that second

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half comeback by Ku in whichever tournament that was, Melvin

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Council kind of took over in the second half. So

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I think when push came to shove, Kansas had their

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guy that they were going to go to. Think YU

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kind needs to be aware of that. They're a pretty

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good defensive team perimeter wise, at the rim wise. So

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there's a lot for Kansas with a don't I don't

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want to call them a two man team at this point,

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maybe three, but it's a lot for them to overcome.

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I think if Yukon is on top of their game,

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two really good defenses, I might look, you know, toward

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under in this game, guys, that there's been a little

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bit of a push toward the over. It's not high

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enough though that total for me to get to under.

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I would like it to be a little bit higher,

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have a little bit of wiggle room. I don't know

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that there's a lot there right now, but as you said, Brian,

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there's not a lot to say about two top tier

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teams that most everybody knows about.

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Speaker 2: There.

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Speaker 4: You know there's going to be advantages and disadvantages for

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Yu Kon. I do think I'll just say where I

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think the advantages lie for them. I think the advantage

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lies in the depth across the back court. Malachi spit

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at point has been tremendous coming over from Dayton, I

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think at nine to one assist to turnover numbers the

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other day, giving you kind of really good passing threat

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for all of their shooters, Ball Demory, et cetera, et cetera.

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Alex Caravan of course, So I think depth wise they're

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the better team. Again, it's a tough crowd and Yukon

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at this point in time, guys, they should be venue proof,

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right There's no venue that Yukon should walk into that

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they should be in awe of including this one. However,

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you know, big game, it's tough to tell, but I

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do think yu Kon's the better team due to depth,

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and we'll see how that works.

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Speaker 3: Out real quick, Trigg. And then I'll just broke to you,

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I just because the something that I did want to

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throw in that Rob was just kind of alluding to

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I saw in the chat by you mentioned Kansas sixty

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three and six at home since twenty twenty one. This

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is technically not technically it is Yukon's first true road game.

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They've played in Boston, they've played in Madison Square Garden,

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but this is the first time leaving Eastern time zone

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for the Huskies. Now, I do think Yukon is you

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know again, if Cheese is lurking, I do want to say, yes,

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Yukon's the better team. They're getting especially healthy now that

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they're healthier too. That's worth mentioning as well. I thought

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that was clearly the key health in that Illinois game.

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But just wanted to mention this is Yukon's first true

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road game, and Kansas historically has been great in Lawrence.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the reason I brought up is so it was

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it was December one, twenty twenty three.

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Speaker 2: I remember I joined you guys. It was a nine

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km tip.

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Speaker 1: I joined you guys late because I went and saw

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Brown play Bryant in Rhode Island, and I pulled up

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late and the.

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Speaker 2: Game was on.

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Speaker 1: And the reason I bring that, the reason I want

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to go back to that game is it was it

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was such a similar setup to this year where it's like, actually,

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Yukon came into that game, I think even a little

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bit more highly touted because that was, of course Yukon

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coming off of their national title win going into year

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number two where they ended up winning another national title,

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and it was like, I don't remember the exact spread,

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but I want to say it was very close to this.

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It was almost probably considered a very slight upset that

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Kansas won that game, even though it's kind of crazy

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to say that they were.

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Speaker 2: They were they were.

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Speaker 3: Actually slight favorites. If this is true. Yeah, Kansas was

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a three and a half point favorite. I'm gotcha according

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to ye and mate database I use, and.

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Speaker 2: They covered because they won by four. I actually remember

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that now.

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Speaker 1: The reason I had brought up the favorite underdog thing

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is I think Kansas has only been a dog at

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home like two or three times, and like the last

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couple of years, they've won every single time. So every

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time in like the last three or four seasons that

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they've been a home underdog, they've won. And I just

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remember last, you know, the last meeting for them. It

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kind of being like a favorable matchup for Kansas the

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way it played out against what's probably a little bit

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better of.

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Speaker 2: A Yukon team.

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Speaker 1: Now you may get Darren Peterson here, I read like,

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I don't know if that's a game time decision with

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the deal with that's gonna be, that would obviously help

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My number comes out right on two, like right kind

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of where it is, so I won't waste any more

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time on it, but I'll leave it with this. I

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think that wasn't a horrible matchup for Kansas, and this

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Yukon team would read a little bit banged up and

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some other guys banged up. It is probably not as

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good as the Yukon team that Bill self had a

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game plan for that he beat two years ago. What

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you do with that, I don't know, but it profiles

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to be a pretty good game.

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Speaker 3: I think, Yeah, I think your points will take a

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trig about you know, hey, laying points against the team.

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You know that that doesn't lose at home. I mean

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the Kansas. You're right, you can count on one hand

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the number of time Kansas has been a home dog

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over probably the last ten years. Also, but making a

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case for the Yukon side, guys, remember Kansas while they're

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coming off the win over Tennessee, they were down in

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that game. They were down by seven and a half.

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So you know, as impressive a win as that looks,

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if you didn't catch that game, they were losing, uh

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for a good deal of it.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, real quick, I don't We talked about not dragging

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these games out, and here I am dragging this one out, guys,

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But real quick, this.

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Speaker 2: Is this is a feature. Though that's okay. The feature

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is okay.

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Speaker 4: Illinois has so many more offensive weapons than Kansas. Put

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the evasitches, Stoya, all the bitches, right, Perkin, bitch, all

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these guys that can score. And yet there's six of

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twenty nine from three in that game. And I get

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it was at MSG, but I think it shows the

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type of defense Yukon can be in. Defense does travel.

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So again, we're giving you a bunch of you know

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thoughts that run through our heads when handicapping this game,

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and really no plays. I'm just not sure, but that

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would be a pretty good case for you, yukon shutting

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down that offense of Illinois is not easy when totally.

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Speaker 3: Healthy, and it will always a better team than Kansas. Well,

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I think we would all agree on that. Yeah, Sarah,

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I agree.

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Speaker 2: Yes, I do have the orange John today. We'll get

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to that game.

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Speaker 1: BA bets thank you for the donation, he says, thank

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you for all the hard work.

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Speaker 2: Boys. We very much appreciate that.

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Speaker 1: We do have a couple of early tips, and I

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see people asking about those, so we'll get to those

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in a minute. I want to go to Garth another donation,

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much appreciated. I think we've done pretty good on Garth's

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games for.

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Speaker 2: The most part. I don't know we got over at

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the Horn.

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Speaker 1: We got it in and at the Horn yesterday, but

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West Georgia ended up winning that game outright. I think

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we said we kind of lead, you know, I said

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my number leans toward them with the points they were catching,

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like eighteen points. They won that game in double overtime,

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So I don't know if anyone took West Georgia. But

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if you did yesterday, congrats to you. Also, Bowling Green

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knocking off Kansas State. Another bunch of big upsets yesterday.

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But but Garth wants to go back to the what

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I believe is is being billed the sec ACC Challenge.

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I'll be at one of those games tonight up here

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in Central New York. But he wants to talk about

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Missouri Norre Dame. I'm gonna go to Rob here because

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Rob is our Missouri guy. So can we put Garth

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on a winner here Missouri Nordre Dame.

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Speaker 4: You know, I tried to get there, guys with Miszoo,

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and the one thing that holds me back is they

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just haven't been on the road yet, totally untested home

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home home home, home home home against not so great

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competition either. Dennis Gates's team has looked really really good

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to start the season, and they look pretty complete, good

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three point shooting team, Jacob Cruz stepping in and taking over.

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But they've got some long range bombers on that team,

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and they've done really really well inside as well. We

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talked about Mark Mitchell. They've got all the components. But

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it's scary to me because Shrewsbury wants to slow the game.

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Gates wants to speed the game. You're on the other

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team's home floor. You know my feeling about that, the

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home team probably can dictate tempo for the majority of

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the game, better than fifty percent being the majority, And

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with Maszoo being untested against his team, Notre Dame's had

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a couple of games here already where they've been through

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some tough squads, So I think Massoo is better, guys,

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But I just until I see a road effort out

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of them. I talked earlier about Yukon probably being venue proof.

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I'm not sure Missouri at this point in time is

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venue proof.

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Speaker 2: You know.

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Speaker 4: I mean, it's it's yet to be determined. We'll see

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how it goes. I'd love to be on that side

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because I have a little bit of an allegiance to

241
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the Miszoo Tigers, but couldn't get there.

242
00:11:11,320 --> 00:11:13,639
Speaker 3: Yeah, Missouri pointed out in the chest, so we pointed

243
00:11:13,639 --> 00:11:15,639
on the chat through the Missouri's got Kansas on deck too,

244
00:11:16,000 --> 00:11:19,480
you know, I mean, you know, if this acc SEC challenge,

245
00:11:19,679 --> 00:11:22,120
it's important to these teams, I think, you know, So

246
00:11:22,159 --> 00:11:23,720
I don't think you can call this as a lot.

247
00:11:23,759 --> 00:11:26,919
I think Missouri's just looking past Notre Dame. Rob mentioned

248
00:11:26,919 --> 00:11:30,000
it being the first true road game Missouri. Look, the

249
00:11:30,039 --> 00:11:33,120
offensive numbers are really impressive, but you have to understand

250
00:11:33,120 --> 00:11:35,200
that the average ken Pom ranking of their opponents so

251
00:11:35,279 --> 00:11:38,759
far as two eighty one. That is very very low.

252
00:11:39,399 --> 00:11:42,320
They just beat Dennis Gates's old team Trigg Cleveland State,

253
00:11:42,879 --> 00:11:46,799
and that this Cleveland State team, just as an aside,

254
00:11:46,919 --> 00:11:51,440
is just shambolic. Missouri started that game with a twenty

255
00:11:51,480 --> 00:11:54,559
three to nothing run. I mean it was over before

256
00:11:54,600 --> 00:11:58,000
it started. I mean the Cleveland State come absolutely in

257
00:11:58,039 --> 00:12:01,039
the pits. I know, imagine to me up twenty three

258
00:12:01,120 --> 00:12:03,600
don eart of the game off and then saying oh,

259
00:12:03,759 --> 00:12:05,320
and then checking the score at the end. Oh, I

260
00:12:05,320 --> 00:12:09,759
didn't cover order game. On the other hand, guys, their

261
00:12:09,799 --> 00:12:12,879
game against Houston was the complete opposite. They were down

262
00:12:12,919 --> 00:12:15,360
in a twenty six to four hole and fought their

263
00:12:15,399 --> 00:12:19,120
way back. Notre Dame is not lost at home. Rob

264
00:12:19,120 --> 00:12:22,759
mentioned it's Missouri's first road game. I think that's uh so.

265
00:12:22,840 --> 00:12:25,279
I think that's notable. I think that that is the

266
00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:27,519
key to the CACRA. How is Missouri going to handle

267
00:12:27,559 --> 00:12:30,240
a hostile road environment. I've got an angler. I would

268
00:12:30,240 --> 00:12:32,799
look at the under. Very interesting that the Unders taking

269
00:12:32,919 --> 00:12:37,519
money here on a game involving Missouri, considering those offensive numbers.

270
00:12:37,600 --> 00:12:40,159
That's not public money, guys. And you know it's been

271
00:12:40,200 --> 00:12:44,159
bet down about three points actually so far, which I

272
00:12:44,240 --> 00:12:47,639
think is really really eye opening for me. So I

273
00:12:47,639 --> 00:12:49,320
would take a look maybe here at the under. I

274
00:12:49,320 --> 00:12:52,039
think Missouri, you know, they're better than Notre Dame, as

275
00:12:52,120 --> 00:12:58,639
Rob pointed out, but you know, can the offense be

276
00:12:58,679 --> 00:13:02,240
as efficient on the road as we've we've seen so far?

277
00:13:02,279 --> 00:13:03,240
My answer is probably not.

278
00:13:04,320 --> 00:13:04,600
Speaker 2: Guys.

279
00:13:04,600 --> 00:13:07,279
Speaker 4: I'll spend forty seconds real quick here just being a

280
00:13:07,320 --> 00:13:10,120
missoo parent. And Brian mentioned the Kansas game for those

281
00:13:10,159 --> 00:13:13,600
who look to bet that game upcoming. Sitting in my

282
00:13:13,679 --> 00:13:18,960
first freshman orientation meeting with the dean as the speaker

283
00:13:19,080 --> 00:13:22,399
in Missouri auditorium, not coming from that area, right, lived

284
00:13:22,440 --> 00:13:25,200
in Connecticut thirty years, Las Vegas twelve years, were coming

285
00:13:25,200 --> 00:13:28,600
from Pennsylvania, my kids going to school. He opens up

286
00:13:28,600 --> 00:13:31,679
the speech with they want to talk about the border

287
00:13:31,720 --> 00:13:34,639
war all the time, and he says, yeah, those people

288
00:13:34,639 --> 00:13:37,039
from Kansas, they used to walk right up to the

289
00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:41,039
to the borderline and throw sticks of dynamite across into

290
00:13:41,080 --> 00:13:43,759
Missouri at us, he said, and then we would like

291
00:13:43,799 --> 00:13:46,120
to fuse and throw them back. And the whole place

292
00:13:46,200 --> 00:13:48,360
is laughing like crazy, and I'm looking at my wife.

293
00:13:48,399 --> 00:13:52,200
I'm like, wow, this is really This border war is something.

294
00:13:52,240 --> 00:13:55,399
And my son, four years in that place, comes home

295
00:13:55,720 --> 00:13:58,320
with a hatred of KU. So just to point out

296
00:13:58,399 --> 00:14:02,720
that game upcoming is a severe rivalry. So we'll see

297
00:14:02,720 --> 00:14:04,679
if Maszoo doesn't have a little look ahead to that.

298
00:14:04,679 --> 00:14:06,840
That's a good point bringing up the KU game.

299
00:14:06,840 --> 00:14:07,120
Speaker 2: Next.

300
00:14:09,000 --> 00:14:11,320
Speaker 1: All right, let's Andrew was in here early and he

301
00:14:11,360 --> 00:14:14,039
wants to talk about a game that starts in forty

302
00:14:14,080 --> 00:14:19,039
five minutes in West Point. We've got some early afternoon basketball.

303
00:14:19,080 --> 00:14:22,600
George Washington and Army. I'll start this one off. Army

304
00:14:22,639 --> 00:14:26,600
Manhattan was probably the most frustrating basketball game I've ever watched.

305
00:14:27,200 --> 00:14:30,679
Speaker 2: I was on man maybe ever. I was on Manhattan

306
00:14:30,840 --> 00:14:31,440
in the game.

307
00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:34,559
Speaker 1: Army is one of the worst three point shooting teams

308
00:14:34,600 --> 00:14:35,120
in the country.

309
00:14:35,159 --> 00:14:36,720
Speaker 2: I think they made fourteen threes.

310
00:14:37,480 --> 00:14:41,159
Speaker 1: They banged a step back three to tie the game

311
00:14:41,320 --> 00:14:44,000
at the buzzer. Why they were even allowed to shoot

312
00:14:44,000 --> 00:14:45,360
it when they were in the one and one is

313
00:14:45,440 --> 00:14:47,919
also beyond me, and then they won the game in overtime.

314
00:14:48,519 --> 00:14:51,200
It was just it was as frustrated as I think

315
00:14:51,200 --> 00:14:53,879
I've ever been watching a basketball game. And the reason

316
00:14:53,879 --> 00:14:56,159
I bring that up is because I've kind of talked

317
00:14:56,159 --> 00:14:59,679
about Army, like, listen, Army is a bad basketball team.

318
00:14:59,720 --> 00:15:02,759
From a talent standpoint, That team has no talent. The

319
00:15:02,799 --> 00:15:04,759
reason I came on here and said Army is going

320
00:15:04,840 --> 00:15:06,399
to be a bottom ten team in the country this

321
00:15:06,519 --> 00:15:09,519
year is because they just don't have any talent on

322
00:15:09,559 --> 00:15:12,759
the roster and they weren't good last year. They lose

323
00:15:12,840 --> 00:15:17,080
Josh Govin's to Davidson and Jalen Rucker I believe graduated finally,

324
00:15:17,240 --> 00:15:20,000
So like, you take those two guys off a team

325
00:15:20,000 --> 00:15:23,799
that was already not great and don't really replace him

326
00:15:23,799 --> 00:15:26,639
with anyone not a great team from a talent perspective,

327
00:15:26,960 --> 00:15:29,879
where I will give Army credit and I can confidently

328
00:15:29,879 --> 00:15:33,120
say this the past couple games and basically anytime they've

329
00:15:33,159 --> 00:15:37,360
been a big underdog is they Like I always think

330
00:15:37,360 --> 00:15:39,399
the term, oh, they wanted it more is a little

331
00:15:39,399 --> 00:15:42,080
bit overrated. It's something that like broadcasters love to throw

332
00:15:42,120 --> 00:15:46,639
out there without a doubt they they wanted it more.

333
00:15:46,639 --> 00:15:50,200
Against both Manhattan and Fairley Dickinson. I watched every minute

334
00:15:50,240 --> 00:15:54,360
of those two games. Like they hustled to every loose ball,

335
00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:58,080
like they beat Fairly Dickinson to every loose ball they did.

336
00:15:58,120 --> 00:16:01,759
They did not shoot a free throw against Manhattan in regulation.

337
00:16:02,120 --> 00:16:05,279
They did not shoot a free throw internet regulation against Manhattan,

338
00:16:05,399 --> 00:16:08,919
yet found a way to be in position to tie

339
00:16:08,960 --> 00:16:11,399
that game and take it into overtime. Now, do I

340
00:16:11,440 --> 00:16:14,120
recommend betting on Army in a scenario where they have

341
00:16:14,159 --> 00:16:16,240
to win a game? No, I still think they're a

342
00:16:16,240 --> 00:16:19,639
bad basketball team with no talent. Do I mind them

343
00:16:19,919 --> 00:16:23,799
catching twenty plus points knowing that they're probably gonna scratch

344
00:16:23,840 --> 00:16:26,759
and claw all forty minutes of the game. They covered

345
00:16:26,799 --> 00:16:30,960
against Saint Thomas, they covered against Maris, they covered against Cornell.

346
00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:33,279
Like so, they're the type of team where it's like,

347
00:16:33,879 --> 00:16:36,120
my number kind of came out right on this twenty

348
00:16:36,200 --> 00:16:38,960
twenty one, twenty one and a half. I'm not gonna

349
00:16:39,039 --> 00:16:41,360
lay twenty one and a half with George Washington. Yea,

350
00:16:41,480 --> 00:16:45,279
even though if they if George Washington wanted to, they

351
00:16:45,320 --> 00:16:48,399
probably like could win by thirty. But in that final

352
00:16:48,399 --> 00:16:51,159
five to ten minutes when like GW's just like, all right,

353
00:16:51,200 --> 00:16:53,799
we've got this win, and Armies out there still just

354
00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:57,159
battling for no pun intended. But like they're just out

355
00:16:57,200 --> 00:17:00,240
there battling right Like, I don't know, I have to

356
00:17:00,320 --> 00:17:01,120
lean toward the dog.

357
00:17:01,159 --> 00:17:01,440
Speaker 2: I don't.

358
00:17:01,799 --> 00:17:03,799
Speaker 1: I want no part of an Army bet. But Jesus,

359
00:17:03,840 --> 00:17:06,880
they they're relentless when the game is like over a

360
00:17:06,920 --> 00:17:08,440
lot of times, so lean Army.

361
00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:11,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, who wants the latest number with GW in the

362
00:17:11,200 --> 00:17:15,119
morning too, a noon tip on a Tuesday. You know,

363
00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:17,480
you mentioned Army their resume a little bit. You went

364
00:17:17,519 --> 00:17:19,519
through a trigg. The only two times they've lost by

365
00:17:19,519 --> 00:17:23,400
a margin greater than this was against Duke and Harvard.

366
00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:28,480
So obviously you know GW not in that class. I actually, yeah,

367
00:17:28,480 --> 00:17:31,680
I'm gonna maybe GW. I kind of was thinking under

368
00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:34,440
because you talked about Army and how just you were

369
00:17:34,480 --> 00:17:37,039
pulling your hair out watching the threes. They take a

370
00:17:37,039 --> 00:17:39,279
lot of threes, but this is not an efficient offense,

371
00:17:39,519 --> 00:17:42,079
and you perhaps you see them come back down to

372
00:17:42,119 --> 00:17:45,359
earth after the performance against Manhattan you spoke.

373
00:17:45,119 --> 00:17:49,359
Speaker 1: Of, I wouldn't be surprised if if GW scored some

374
00:17:49,400 --> 00:17:51,880
points like that, wouldn't surprise me. But yeah, I could

375
00:17:51,880 --> 00:17:55,240
see Army not scoring much, which ultimately puts me off

376
00:17:56,160 --> 00:17:56,880
of this game.

377
00:17:57,799 --> 00:17:59,640
Speaker 2: Brian Power, I'm gonna I'm gonna throw this to you.

378
00:17:59,680 --> 00:18:01,640
Maybe we can loop Robin just me.

379
00:18:01,799 --> 00:18:03,119
Speaker 1: You know, I know you wanted to make a couple

380
00:18:03,240 --> 00:18:05,160
general points, and I feel like these were teams that

381
00:18:05,200 --> 00:18:08,680
were like on your your list. And Jacob asked an

382
00:18:08,680 --> 00:18:12,519
interesting question. He said, by low Spots on Loyola Chicago,

383
00:18:13,519 --> 00:18:15,240
I'm gonna let you take it away and then maybe

384
00:18:15,240 --> 00:18:17,599
we can talk about either one or both of those games.

385
00:18:17,839 --> 00:18:18,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, you guys want to have a we can have

386
00:18:19,000 --> 00:18:22,240
a discussion here on by Low or sell high because

387
00:18:22,319 --> 00:18:25,799
I had written down days ago that today was a

388
00:18:25,920 --> 00:18:28,200
very interesting day on the dock because you have a

389
00:18:28,319 --> 00:18:30,759
number of teams playing today, guys that are either perfect

390
00:18:30,839 --> 00:18:34,640
against the spread or winless against the spread. Jacob Hefner

391
00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:36,200
right there, you see the comment on your screen by

392
00:18:36,240 --> 00:18:38,440
low Spots on LOYALI in Chicago and Oregon tonight. What

393
00:18:38,440 --> 00:18:41,200
he's referring to is these two teams are combined zero

394
00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:43,279
to fifteen against the spread to start the year. So

395
00:18:43,359 --> 00:18:46,480
if you've been betting either Loyola Chicago or Oregon, Mike

396
00:18:46,480 --> 00:18:50,640
Condoles is to your bank roll because it has been hurt.

397
00:18:51,759 --> 00:18:53,720
I'm not ready to lay points with Loyola Chicago, and

398
00:18:53,880 --> 00:18:56,759
they took money. Oil in Chicago took money. I get

399
00:18:56,799 --> 00:19:00,960
that Central Michigan stinks, but do you really want to

400
00:19:01,079 --> 00:19:05,839
lay points with Loyalist Chicago based on what we've seen?

401
00:19:06,480 --> 00:19:09,640
Like to me, what when a team has been so

402
00:19:09,920 --> 00:19:12,880
poor like that, hass has fallen so short of the mark, Rob,

403
00:19:13,160 --> 00:19:14,920
I want to wait till they're an underdog. I want

404
00:19:14,920 --> 00:19:17,039
to wait till the market is completely turned against them.

405
00:19:17,279 --> 00:19:20,920
And that brings me to Oregon. I'll say that they

406
00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:25,119
are a home dog tonight against USC, a slight home

407
00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:27,720
dog unless if that number has Nope, it's still we're

408
00:19:27,720 --> 00:19:28,960
looking at one and night and their plus one and

409
00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:31,480
a half plus two depending on your book, and they're

410
00:19:31,480 --> 00:19:34,519
getting USC off mau off the win in Maui at

411
00:19:34,640 --> 00:19:38,319
USC just won the Maui Invitational. Of the two, I

412
00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:42,039
would say Oregon is the better buy low spot tonight.

413
00:19:42,880 --> 00:19:44,039
Speaker 2: But I want to get Rob.

414
00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:46,000
Speaker 1: I want to get Rob in here and ask him

415
00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:50,519
a question because off memory, I think USC typically struggles

416
00:19:50,599 --> 00:19:52,160
with the Oregon trip.

417
00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:54,400
Speaker 2: Like I think they've never played well in this building.

418
00:19:54,599 --> 00:19:56,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, rivalry.

419
00:19:57,960 --> 00:20:00,400
Speaker 1: I know Rob's kind of are like resident packed to

420
00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:03,359
rip the Packed twelve. But hey, we got Conference Basketball

421
00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:06,920
Big Ten after dark here, so let's talk Oregon at USC.

422
00:20:08,079 --> 00:20:10,960
Speaker 4: Well, here's my problem, guys, And I think that I've

423
00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:14,640
talked about this before. This is so reminiscent of Oregon's

424
00:20:14,680 --> 00:20:18,599
start to last year where Dana Autman told anybody who

425
00:20:18,640 --> 00:20:22,359
would listen, this team is rated way too high. We're

426
00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:26,400
not that team right now, quotes from Dana Autman. We

427
00:20:26,480 --> 00:20:29,759
are behind where we need to be, especially with our defense. Now,

428
00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:32,200
Nate Biddle didn't even play the last game. Do we

429
00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:35,319
know Nate Biddle's playing tonight? I saw him listed as questionable.

430
00:20:35,319 --> 00:20:39,480
Without Nate Biddle, Oregon's even worse. And they've got another

431
00:20:39,519 --> 00:20:42,200
injury to Devin Pryor. They could be without two guys

432
00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:47,839
here against USC. You know, if it was I'm gonna

433
00:20:47,839 --> 00:20:51,599
go into coaching here, if it was Andy Enfeld USC

434
00:20:52,119 --> 00:20:55,319
making this trip, I might think a little bit differently.

435
00:20:55,799 --> 00:20:58,759
But it's Eric Musselman USC making this trip, and I

436
00:20:58,839 --> 00:21:00,559
really like him as a head coach, which I don't think.

437
00:21:00,599 --> 00:21:03,880
He brings his team in there unprepared, and Altman again

438
00:21:04,079 --> 00:21:06,359
is trying to light a fuse under his team. It

439
00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:08,640
would be a big challenge to face USC with our

440
00:21:08,799 --> 00:21:11,480
entire team. It's a bigger challenge if some of these

441
00:21:11,480 --> 00:21:15,160
guys aren't able to play god like USC here. I

442
00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:17,559
think they're the better team. I'm not going to say

443
00:21:17,559 --> 00:21:19,599
they're the better coach team, but I think the coach

444
00:21:19,640 --> 00:21:22,720
that they currently have is better than the previous in

445
00:21:22,759 --> 00:21:25,000
this type of situation where you have to go and

446
00:21:25,039 --> 00:21:27,319
get a conference road win in a place where you

447
00:21:27,359 --> 00:21:31,279
haven't been successful before. Shelstad's going to be up against

448
00:21:31,319 --> 00:21:33,960
it here if he's on his own against USC. So

449
00:21:34,319 --> 00:21:36,559
for me, it would probably be USC in this game.

450
00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:40,400
Until you know, last year, Oregon righted the ship maybe

451
00:21:40,440 --> 00:21:43,480
mid January, they got the better to where Altman wanted

452
00:21:43,519 --> 00:21:46,799
them to be. But to me, it's just so reminiscent

453
00:21:46,839 --> 00:21:48,720
of where they were last year. They're just not good

454
00:21:48,799 --> 00:21:50,839
right now. They're not what they were previewed to be

455
00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:51,440
right now.

456
00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:56,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, just to follow up on Rob's point, Trigg, Altman

457
00:21:56,519 --> 00:21:59,519
said that both Bill and Bryer are quote very questionable

458
00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:01,359
to play tonight. So that's not I mean that that

459
00:22:01,839 --> 00:22:03,759
kind of takes a hit out of this. Anyone who

460
00:22:03,759 --> 00:22:06,039
thinks this is a Bilow spot. And also you talk

461
00:22:06,079 --> 00:22:08,400
about the defense, how Walton it was so critical of it, Well,

462
00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:10,720
it was obviously for good reason. They let San Diego

463
00:22:10,759 --> 00:22:12,599
state the other uh, you know last week, and that

464
00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:16,599
players here tever shoot sixty seven percent from the field

465
00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:21,279
highest field goal percentage allowed by Oregon under Dana Altman.

466
00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:25,119
And just to also put a number trick because you asked,

467
00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:28,039
you said you kind of had a memory of USC

468
00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:30,960
struggling with the trip up to Eugene and struggling with Oregon.

469
00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:33,480
In general, the Ducks have one and covered the last

470
00:22:33,519 --> 00:22:35,039
five times these teams have played.

471
00:22:36,079 --> 00:22:38,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, do you any anything for you guys? By you says,

472
00:22:39,039 --> 00:22:39,920
you know, I don't know.

473
00:22:40,759 --> 00:22:42,680
Speaker 3: That's why I don't want to play USC. That's why

474
00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:44,359
I don't want to play USC because they're coming off

475
00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:45,079
the win in Maui.

476
00:22:45,759 --> 00:22:47,799
Speaker 1: How about MTS in general, You've got a lot of

477
00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:49,759
teams that are coming in off of these like they

478
00:22:49,799 --> 00:22:51,880
just played three games in three days. Sometimes you know,

479
00:22:52,039 --> 00:22:54,519
maybe not Maui, but they were in a tropical setting.

480
00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:58,519
Like it's definitely preaking to my thought process with some

481
00:22:58,599 --> 00:23:05,519
of these. Yeah, the ones, I guess agree, I would

482
00:23:05,519 --> 00:23:08,240
agree with that the one thing I'll point out with

483
00:23:08,279 --> 00:23:08,880
with USC.

484
00:23:09,200 --> 00:23:11,680
Speaker 2: I also read that Rodney Rice is banged up.

485
00:23:11,920 --> 00:23:15,200
Speaker 1: I'm assuming he's gonna play, but I do think it's important, Like,

486
00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:17,880
if you're gonna get involved with USC Oregon tonight, I

487
00:23:17,920 --> 00:23:20,119
would have an eye on the injury news throughout the

488
00:23:20,200 --> 00:23:24,240
day because those are those are players bid all Rodney

489
00:23:24,279 --> 00:23:26,839
Rice on the other side, their status is very very

490
00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:30,400
important to that matchup though. It changes things if one

491
00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:32,960
is out, both is out. One has their best player,

492
00:23:33,000 --> 00:23:37,039
one doesn't. That's yeah, that's important. Let's go to Garth. Oh,

493
00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:37,680
go ahead, Rob.

494
00:23:38,279 --> 00:23:39,839
Speaker 4: I was just gonna say, real quick, guys, I think

495
00:23:39,880 --> 00:23:42,799
we have one example. It wasn't Maui, right, but remember

496
00:23:42,839 --> 00:23:45,359
the tad boyle Quach yesterday they were off a tournament

497
00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:48,599
win at home against cal Baptist. Last night they did

498
00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:51,200
not cover. So to your point point, off of a

499
00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:54,519
big tournament win, you know, they win by eight, but

500
00:23:54,599 --> 00:23:56,319
that wasn't enough to get the money last night.

501
00:23:58,119 --> 00:24:00,319
Speaker 1: I have an opinion on this one, but I'll let

502
00:24:00,359 --> 00:24:02,720
Brian go first. Just to just sort of the other

503
00:24:02,799 --> 00:24:05,119
side of the coin here. Brian Garth says, do we

504
00:24:05,319 --> 00:24:10,319
back the six in oh against the spread? University of

505
00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:13,480
San Diego Tritons tonight, who could not miss a shot

506
00:24:13,519 --> 00:24:15,319
at their mt So you've got a six and o

507
00:24:15,519 --> 00:24:20,519
team against the spread that also just was throwing flames

508
00:24:20,599 --> 00:24:23,039
that they just could not miss a shot at their MTE.

509
00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:25,680
Now they get they have to play tonight, I believe,

510
00:24:25,680 --> 00:24:27,839
on the road in Reno. So talk to you a

511
00:24:27,880 --> 00:24:29,880
little bit about that setup right.

512
00:24:29,759 --> 00:24:32,200
Speaker 3: There, the littlest big time. Yeah, I'll tell you what

513
00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:34,279
they're making you pay a tax here if you want

514
00:24:34,279 --> 00:24:37,759
to fade this UCSD team, easy for me to say,

515
00:24:37,759 --> 00:24:39,480
you see San Diego, let's go at that. It's less

516
00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:42,160
of a tongue twister. The Tritons not only are perfect

517
00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:44,319
against the spread, they have not lost a game, one

518
00:24:44,319 --> 00:24:47,640
of twenty four unbeaten teams still left in college basketball,

519
00:24:47,839 --> 00:24:51,079
but they are an underdog here in Areno and you

520
00:24:51,079 --> 00:24:55,200
know Nevad. You know these Mountain West teams, correct me

521
00:24:55,240 --> 00:24:58,240
if I'm wrong, rob or drag. I just feel all

522
00:24:58,279 --> 00:25:00,319
of them are just way better at home than on

523
00:25:00,359 --> 00:25:01,960
the road. I you know, I don't. I don't think

524
00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:05,480
there's a single one of them that that would you know,

525
00:25:05,559 --> 00:25:08,119
go against thatd like I mean, most college basketball teams

526
00:25:08,119 --> 00:25:09,920
that's the case, but I feel with the Mountain West

527
00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:13,200
it's a little more pronounced. But man, odds makers are

528
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:15,480
making I mean, and Nevada has taken money last time

529
00:25:15,519 --> 00:25:17,599
I looked. Yeah, they're up to five and a half.

530
00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:18,880
Speaker 2: Now, that's crazy.

531
00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:21,359
Speaker 3: I don't I don't think I And you know what

532
00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:24,519
did I say about Loyola Chicago a few moments ago?

533
00:25:25,559 --> 00:25:28,480
I get that we want we're thinking by low by low.

534
00:25:28,519 --> 00:25:30,319
When's the by low spot on the team? A by

535
00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:32,440
low spot with an zero and eight against the spread

536
00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:36,160
team isn't when they're favored laying multiple possessions. Conversely, a

537
00:25:36,359 --> 00:25:38,920
sell high spot on a team that's a that's perfect

538
00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:41,400
against the number, like you see San Diego isn't when

539
00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:42,160
they're a dog.

540
00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:44,119
Speaker 2: So I don't know.

541
00:25:44,119 --> 00:25:46,880
Speaker 3: I'm probably gonna refrain from betting this game because I

542
00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:48,680
do want to find a spot to fade the Triton's

543
00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:53,400
trig But laying points, especially a number that's already taking money,

544
00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:54,319
probably ain't it.

545
00:25:56,359 --> 00:26:01,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, other Dan Ben, you guys, what's the difference between

546
00:26:02,039 --> 00:26:05,480
going to Fresno State and beating Fresno straight up and

547
00:26:05,519 --> 00:26:07,720
now going to Nevada. I mean, to me, Fresno and

548
00:26:07,759 --> 00:26:12,440
Nevada are comparable, but the altitude, Reno, the different venue.

549
00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:15,160
I mean, I know, northern California as opposed to upstate

550
00:26:16,279 --> 00:26:19,559
Nevada is a little bit different. I don't understand the

551
00:26:19,599 --> 00:26:22,200
reason for taking money here. It's interesting that for Nevada,

552
00:26:22,680 --> 00:26:24,559
and not that they're going to the NCAA tournament, but

553
00:26:24,599 --> 00:26:27,640
anybody who plays them beating U see San Diego could

554
00:26:27,640 --> 00:26:29,839
be considered a resume builder at this point in time.

555
00:26:29,960 --> 00:26:34,519
They're that good. I don't know that there is recognized

556
00:26:35,519 --> 00:26:39,000
by the betting public. However, as you say often Brian,

557
00:26:39,039 --> 00:26:41,880
we do this show ten am Eastern times, seven am

558
00:26:41,920 --> 00:26:44,920
Pacific time. When these numbers are moving at this time

559
00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:47,559
of day, it's not public money moving these numbers. They're

560
00:26:47,599 --> 00:26:50,480
not awake betting these games at this point in time, right,

561
00:26:50,519 --> 00:26:53,440
It's a syndicate groups that are pushing these numbers. They

562
00:26:53,480 --> 00:26:56,799
may believe that Nevada is untested, they haven't really. Their

563
00:26:57,160 --> 00:27:00,279
results are so up and down and so inconsistent. I mean,

564
00:27:00,279 --> 00:27:04,200
you beat San Francisco by sixteen, but you lose to

565
00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:07,039
Santa Clara, you lose to UC Davis. I mean, there's

566
00:27:07,079 --> 00:27:11,960
no rhyme or reason to their early season results obviously

567
00:27:12,400 --> 00:27:17,319
they're capable, but UCSD is capable as well, and I

568
00:27:17,359 --> 00:27:19,759
would probably choose to play the dog here. I mean,

569
00:27:19,799 --> 00:27:23,839
I just don't think that they're as recognized personnel wise, Adam.

570
00:27:23,880 --> 00:27:28,319
And I mean, you know, as well as anybody personnel wise,

571
00:27:28,400 --> 00:27:31,039
this is a good, well rounded team. They shoot the basketball,

572
00:27:31,079 --> 00:27:33,799
they rebound the basketball, they defend all three things, and

573
00:27:33,839 --> 00:27:36,319
I just don't know that that's fully recognized by everybody

574
00:27:36,319 --> 00:27:37,240
as of yet.

575
00:27:38,519 --> 00:27:40,440
Speaker 3: Trig, do you do you have UCSD as the better

576
00:27:40,480 --> 00:27:44,119
team on a neutral floor here? I'm guessing you do. Okay, yes,

577
00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:44,559
because I do.

578
00:27:44,960 --> 00:27:47,640
Speaker 1: That's the thing I went like, So I'll say this

579
00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:50,640
about the about the market and the numbers moving, I

580
00:27:50,759 --> 00:27:54,079
would take any move early in the day with a

581
00:27:54,079 --> 00:27:58,160
grain of salt because what betters have realized. So here's

582
00:27:58,279 --> 00:28:01,799
here's the problem with like trying to evaluate a market

583
00:28:01,839 --> 00:28:05,359
move early in the day. The books have made it

584
00:28:05,400 --> 00:28:08,880
almost impossible to bet games overnight at this point. So

585
00:28:09,079 --> 00:28:11,319
like what you'll see now is like a lot of

586
00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:14,759
times like there's just the line move that you have,

587
00:28:14,920 --> 00:28:16,680
Like I think some groups are trying to fake. I

588
00:28:16,720 --> 00:28:18,960
think there's a lot of fakes in the market. And

589
00:28:19,359 --> 00:28:21,920
just because a game was bet up, does not mean

590
00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:24,720
that that was necessarily the sharp money that you want

591
00:28:24,759 --> 00:28:27,279
to follow. Because I'm seeing a lot of these games

592
00:28:27,319 --> 00:28:30,480
get hit late. I think it's because it's it's it's

593
00:28:30,599 --> 00:28:35,119
it's you can actually get down the size of a

594
00:28:35,240 --> 00:28:38,440
bet that like professional groups need to get down. So

595
00:28:38,480 --> 00:28:40,319
if like, if you're gonna bet fifty bucks one hundred

596
00:28:40,359 --> 00:28:42,559
bucks bucks a game, go bet your overnights, that's fine,

597
00:28:42,759 --> 00:28:44,240
or you want to bet super early in the game,

598
00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:45,599
But like a lot of these groups are trying to

599
00:28:45,599 --> 00:28:48,680
get down bigger than that, and they're getting so limited

600
00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:51,480
trying to bet, or they're they're getting accounts clipped trying

601
00:28:51,480 --> 00:28:53,480
to a bet at ten eleven in the morning that

602
00:28:53,559 --> 00:28:56,440
they're just trying to like they're almost like so I

603
00:28:56,440 --> 00:28:59,359
talked about this yesterday when McNee state an Incrinet word,

604
00:28:59,359 --> 00:29:02,039
I said, I think they're just trying to push that

605
00:29:02,119 --> 00:29:05,079
number up and they know that the betting public will

606
00:29:04,799 --> 00:29:08,039
will do it for them because McNeice is gonna be

607
00:29:08,039 --> 00:29:10,920
the popular favorite, that the betting public will just steam

608
00:29:11,000 --> 00:29:13,319
that up and then they can go take increnet word

609
00:29:13,400 --> 00:29:15,240
later in the day. Now, I don't know that that

610
00:29:15,319 --> 00:29:18,000
actually like totally happened. It did stop at eleven and

611
00:29:18,039 --> 00:29:19,480
then kind of went back down to ten and a

612
00:29:19,519 --> 00:29:22,480
half and ten. But like you could see something similar

613
00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:25,960
with Nevada here. Why because people love betting these Mountain

614
00:29:26,000 --> 00:29:28,799
West teams at home, so it's like you can fake it,

615
00:29:29,160 --> 00:29:32,519
let the everyone jump on and take Nevada at a

616
00:29:32,519 --> 00:29:34,559
worse number, get it up to five and a half.

617
00:29:34,839 --> 00:29:37,240
You might see the UC San Diego money come back

618
00:29:37,359 --> 00:29:39,160
and take the good number there. So I wouldn't really

619
00:29:39,200 --> 00:29:41,039
read too much into the line move in this one.

620
00:29:41,119 --> 00:29:43,799
What I will say for me personally, I wish it

621
00:29:43,839 --> 00:29:45,839
was a better spot for UC san Diego. I wish

622
00:29:45,880 --> 00:29:50,240
they weren't. They played so good that it's like almost

623
00:29:50,559 --> 00:29:53,200
unfatt it's almost impossible for them to play as good

624
00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:55,680
as they played the last three days. And then of

625
00:29:55,680 --> 00:29:59,440
course you go and do that on the road. Maybe

626
00:29:59,480 --> 00:30:01,759
you have an off game and Nevada can win that game.

627
00:30:01,759 --> 00:30:04,319
But I'm with Bayou. He said he's watched Avata twice,

628
00:30:04,319 --> 00:30:06,160
so have I Like, I don't think that they're like

629
00:30:06,200 --> 00:30:09,000
an overly talented team. I think this is a middling

630
00:30:09,039 --> 00:30:11,920
team the Mountain West this year. I think I would

631
00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:13,480
still have you forced me to bet this game, I

632
00:30:13,480 --> 00:30:15,839
would take UC San Diego plus the points.

633
00:30:16,960 --> 00:30:20,000
Speaker 3: San Francisco John's last time out, though Nevada did an

634
00:30:20,079 --> 00:30:21,039
upset they were five and a half.

635
00:30:21,359 --> 00:30:23,119
Speaker 2: Brian, that was part of a Wasn't that part of

636
00:30:23,160 --> 00:30:23,960
an mte though?

637
00:30:24,000 --> 00:30:26,640
Speaker 1: Like these second and third games in three days, Like

638
00:30:26,640 --> 00:30:29,160
I don't even care, Like it's like that's you know,

639
00:30:29,240 --> 00:30:31,400
it's like how much can you look like some of

640
00:30:31,440 --> 00:30:32,759
these teams having to play three?

641
00:30:33,000 --> 00:30:33,920
Speaker 2: Like am I gonna did?

642
00:30:34,039 --> 00:30:34,200
Speaker 3: Well?

643
00:30:34,200 --> 00:30:36,559
Speaker 1: Here's like we'll parrot, We'll go into this game, like

644
00:30:36,759 --> 00:30:40,319
how much am I gonna hold Syracuse accountable for getting

645
00:30:40,359 --> 00:30:44,039
absolutely boat raced by Iowa State playing the third game

646
00:30:44,359 --> 00:30:45,960
in three days when they were already a.

647
00:30:45,960 --> 00:30:46,920
Speaker 2: Little bit banged up.

648
00:30:47,200 --> 00:30:49,160
Speaker 1: Really, you could say the same thing about I think

649
00:30:49,160 --> 00:30:54,279
it was what Tennessee and Kansas. Tennessee comes out, beats Houston,

650
00:30:54,759 --> 00:30:58,400
great game, turns around and just loses to Kansas, But like,

651
00:30:58,720 --> 00:31:01,279
are you really gonna hold either of them like totally

652
00:31:01,279 --> 00:31:04,680
accountable for either of those losses playing the third game

653
00:31:04,720 --> 00:31:07,519
in three days, Syracuse being forced to play early in

654
00:31:07,519 --> 00:31:10,119
the day. So here's our segue to this game. I'll

655
00:31:10,119 --> 00:31:13,599
be at this game tonight out in the JM JMA

656
00:31:13,680 --> 00:31:15,880
Wireless Dome still kills me. Then it's not the Carrier

657
00:31:15,920 --> 00:31:21,200
Dome anymore. Tennessee coming to town. Yeah, I don't even know.

658
00:31:21,279 --> 00:31:23,160
I always like a track phone or something. I don't

659
00:31:23,160 --> 00:31:25,599
even know, but like you know, they're coming to town.

660
00:31:25,759 --> 00:31:28,759
It's the Dome. Probably twenty five thousand if people can

661
00:31:28,799 --> 00:31:31,039
get there because we've got some snow in the area,

662
00:31:31,119 --> 00:31:33,240
but it should be a lively crowd. Syracuse has had

663
00:31:33,279 --> 00:31:36,240
about twenty thousand for each of like the smaller games

664
00:31:36,359 --> 00:31:40,519
Monmouth Delaware State, So I expect probably twenty five thousand

665
00:31:40,519 --> 00:31:44,039
a good crowd at the Dome tonight. But they're like,

666
00:31:44,119 --> 00:31:47,079
that's almost how you have to evaluate both of these teams.

667
00:31:47,279 --> 00:31:49,440
I don't think Donnie Freeman's gonna play, but I think

668
00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:50,519
that's already sort of known.

669
00:31:50,559 --> 00:31:52,920
Speaker 2: He didn't play at all in the MT.

670
00:31:52,920 --> 00:31:55,400
Speaker 1: So do either of you want to jump in, and

671
00:31:55,440 --> 00:31:57,680
then I'll kind of give my thoughts on Tennessee Syracuse.

672
00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:01,759
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll go first real quick here, and before I

673
00:32:01,799 --> 00:32:06,119
even start, I'm just going to expand theoretically, philosophically on

674
00:32:06,200 --> 00:32:07,680
what you were saying here. I know we got a

675
00:32:07,720 --> 00:32:10,200
lot of really smart educated betters in our chat, but

676
00:32:10,279 --> 00:32:12,480
maybe there's some guys who are just getting into college

677
00:32:12,559 --> 00:32:14,480
basketball betting. I'm going to tell you, just give you

678
00:32:14,519 --> 00:32:17,160
a piece of advice that I got and when I

679
00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:20,000
first moved to Las Vegas and back in nineteen ninety

680
00:32:20,079 --> 00:32:22,519
one and I'm staring at a college football board, just

681
00:32:22,559 --> 00:32:26,559
talking to a guy I didn't even know, somewhat skilled

682
00:32:26,559 --> 00:32:29,599
at sports betting. And to your point, Adam, what he

683
00:32:29,680 --> 00:32:32,079
told me was we were talking about line moves. I

684
00:32:32,119 --> 00:32:34,920
was impressed by line moves, and he told me, if

685
00:32:34,960 --> 00:32:37,559
you bet every single line move, you'll grow to be

686
00:32:37,599 --> 00:32:40,160
a fifty to fifty better. Some of them are true,

687
00:32:40,759 --> 00:32:43,680
some of them are for bandwag, for public bandwagon money,

688
00:32:43,759 --> 00:32:45,920
so they can outsmart you and come back the other way.

689
00:32:46,000 --> 00:32:49,559
So to your point, well taken, they all can't be trusted.

690
00:32:49,920 --> 00:32:52,119
If you just follow them blindly, you probably will be

691
00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:54,119
a fifty to fifty better and wind up losing big

692
00:32:54,160 --> 00:32:56,680
money along the way. In this game, guys, what I

693
00:32:56,720 --> 00:33:01,160
had noted here, especially on the Tennessee side, and Adamy

694
00:33:01,240 --> 00:33:04,480
talked about playing multiple games in multiple days. But the duo,

695
00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:08,720
the Tennessee offensive dual of Jacoby Gillespie and Nate a

696
00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:12,640
meant they're two best guys. They were miserable in that

697
00:33:12,720 --> 00:33:16,039
Kansas game, ten of thirty four combined from the floor.

698
00:33:16,519 --> 00:33:20,400
They took thirty four of the team sixty three shots. Okay,

699
00:33:20,440 --> 00:33:22,359
that's a high percentage of the team shots, more than

700
00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:24,680
fifty percent of the shots they missed. Twenty four of

701
00:33:24,680 --> 00:33:26,480
those they missed, seventy one percent of the time they

702
00:33:26,480 --> 00:33:29,720
shot the basketball, they missed, and they came close. They

703
00:33:29,759 --> 00:33:32,400
still almost won the game. But those two guys, I

704
00:33:32,440 --> 00:33:35,279
think Lesbie was one for ten from the floor from three,

705
00:33:35,359 --> 00:33:38,599
excuse me. And they're better than that. They're a lot

706
00:33:38,599 --> 00:33:41,839
better than that. So we'll see if Syracuse can defend

707
00:33:41,839 --> 00:33:44,240
them here. Of course, the points spread always the great

708
00:33:44,240 --> 00:33:47,839
equalizer in Tennessee. With their defense, can they go into

709
00:33:47,839 --> 00:33:52,440
Syracuse and put the clamps down? What I saw and

710
00:33:52,519 --> 00:33:55,680
I mentioned it earlier from Melvin Council in that game

711
00:33:55,720 --> 00:34:00,559
against Kansas's KU might have some flaws guarding guard quidickness

712
00:34:00,799 --> 00:34:02,920
and perhaps Syracuse can use a little of that to

713
00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:06,680
their advantage here in this game at home. Didn't play.

714
00:34:07,519 --> 00:34:09,199
I do think you're going to get a better effort

715
00:34:09,239 --> 00:34:11,400
out of Tennessee. I put a look into their team

716
00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:13,880
total thought it was a little high for my liking,

717
00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:17,360
so I refrained from making a play side or a total.

718
00:34:17,440 --> 00:34:19,719
But you know, for those who are gonna play, I

719
00:34:19,920 --> 00:34:22,639
just be on the lookout for Gillespie and A meant

720
00:34:22,639 --> 00:34:25,440
to have much better games than what they just posted

721
00:34:25,440 --> 00:34:27,960
against KU. And on the Syracuse side, I think what

722
00:34:27,960 --> 00:34:30,400
I want to watch closely here, guys, again, is ken

723
00:34:30,440 --> 00:34:34,559
Syracuse's guards beat Tennessee off the dribble the way that

724
00:34:34,599 --> 00:34:37,199
Melvin Council was able to in that game the other day.

725
00:34:39,159 --> 00:34:41,280
Speaker 3: I would go a small lean towards the under in

726
00:34:41,360 --> 00:34:44,360
this game for two reasons. Both on the Syracuse side.

727
00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:46,039
This is not a team that shoots a three well

728
00:34:46,679 --> 00:34:48,239
and then is noted in the chat. This is a

729
00:34:48,280 --> 00:34:53,519
team that is horrific from the free Oh okay, did

730
00:34:53,599 --> 00:34:55,679
did they move ahead? Did they move below? Whoever I

731
00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:57,559
had of at second last? Okay?

732
00:34:58,440 --> 00:34:59,880
Speaker 2: I saw him last this morning?

733
00:35:00,199 --> 00:35:03,320
Speaker 3: Okay, Okay, So it's it's obviously changed somebody. Okay, somebody

734
00:35:03,360 --> 00:35:06,440
obviously improved there. Whoever else was knocked the feed out

735
00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:08,480
for the charity stripe. So yeah, I mean that that's

736
00:35:08,519 --> 00:35:11,639
a bet. That's not a team just and again, while

737
00:35:11,679 --> 00:35:14,320
I'm not you know, we're also we also like to

738
00:35:14,320 --> 00:35:16,119
give you guys information that you can hold on to

739
00:35:16,679 --> 00:35:20,159
use for future use. The Syracuse team is not someone

740
00:35:20,199 --> 00:35:25,559
I would want to bet overson because the combination of

741
00:35:25,639 --> 00:35:27,960
bad free throw shooting, bad three point shooting, that's just,

742
00:35:28,000 --> 00:35:31,199
you know, obviously not a recipe for an over. Well

743
00:35:31,199 --> 00:35:32,280
and the Beacons score.

744
00:35:32,360 --> 00:35:36,679
Speaker 1: Though, credit Syracuse for for how good they've been defensively

745
00:35:36,719 --> 00:35:38,880
this year. They're playing all man. They bring in William

746
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:42,519
Kyle from I Believe UCLA. He's been like, what a

747
00:35:42,719 --> 00:35:47,119
massive upgrade defensively over Eddie Lampkin, like just just night

748
00:35:47,199 --> 00:35:50,960
and day, Like that's the one thing. So my number

749
00:35:51,039 --> 00:35:52,880
came out right on the nose here pretty much. I

750
00:35:52,880 --> 00:35:54,639
made eight. I think it's like seven and a half

751
00:35:54,760 --> 00:35:58,800
right now. J Buff noted, Yeah, Freeman is out. I

752
00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:01,719
don't think that that was like a huge surprise. He

753
00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:05,639
didn't play at all in the MTE for Syracuse. But

754
00:36:05,960 --> 00:36:09,519
Syracuse's defense has been awesome, like they have their their

755
00:36:09,559 --> 00:36:12,719
their interier defense has been fantastic. Their guards are playing

756
00:36:12,960 --> 00:36:14,920
tight d So you want to talk just to add

757
00:36:14,960 --> 00:36:19,480
another layer to your under sort of philosophy. Brian bad

758
00:36:19,480 --> 00:36:22,480
three point shooting, no like fifty seven point one percent

759
00:36:22,519 --> 00:36:25,079
as a team from the foul line, which if it's listen,

760
00:36:25,199 --> 00:36:28,440
even if it's not absolute dead last, that's still absolutely atrocious.

761
00:36:28,440 --> 00:36:31,519
Should be embarrassed like to I mean, it's just as

762
00:36:31,559 --> 00:36:34,320
bad as it gets. But a good defensive team, and

763
00:36:34,519 --> 00:36:36,679
you know the thing that sort of has me lean

764
00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:39,559
ever so slightly to Syracuse on the number, especially if

765
00:36:39,559 --> 00:36:42,480
it gets to eight. Tennessee and Houston are are a

766
00:36:42,599 --> 00:36:45,599
little bit similar in my opinion, like the way they play,

767
00:36:46,079 --> 00:36:50,000
and Syracuse had Houston b they went twelve for twenty

768
00:36:50,119 --> 00:36:51,719
nine or something from the file line. I mean, they

769
00:36:51,719 --> 00:36:55,480
had Houston beat in that game, so I leave cuse,

770
00:36:55,559 --> 00:36:57,199
but but not a huge not.

771
00:36:59,159 --> 00:37:00,800
Speaker 3: We should know both the Sames kept coming off the

772
00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:03,760
players era in Vegas. It was not a successful run

773
00:37:03,800 --> 00:37:07,079
there for QS, while Tennessee made it the third place game.

774
00:37:07,119 --> 00:37:09,760
They were up on Kansas, as we mentioned earlier before,

775
00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:12,039
kind of just fading. Maybe that was just a case

776
00:37:12,079 --> 00:37:14,239
of tired legs in the second half.

777
00:37:15,519 --> 00:37:17,400
Speaker 2: I'll go to Utah, you guys for this one.

778
00:37:17,440 --> 00:37:21,480
Speaker 1: The chat is having a conversation about Michigan State in Iowa.

779
00:37:22,079 --> 00:37:24,440
Speaker 3: There's a lot of good games today. There's a lot

780
00:37:24,440 --> 00:37:25,000
of good games.

781
00:37:24,960 --> 00:37:28,360
Speaker 1: Our guy Ethan has jumped in. He said he'll be

782
00:37:28,440 --> 00:37:31,840
there boots on the ground for Iowa Michigan State. We

783
00:37:31,880 --> 00:37:34,519
saw Ethan a couple of weeks ago out of Bowling Green.

784
00:37:35,119 --> 00:37:37,639
Brian Power and I went to East Lanton that weekend

785
00:37:37,920 --> 00:37:40,880
to see Michigan State play Iowa, and I'll let Brian

786
00:37:40,960 --> 00:37:44,000
kick this one off. Since we left there, I continue

787
00:37:44,039 --> 00:37:47,199
to be more and more impressed with SPARTI what about you.

788
00:37:47,880 --> 00:37:49,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, I remember that game tipped off. You and I

789
00:37:50,000 --> 00:37:53,519
were kind of st Michigan State whatever they were ranked

790
00:37:53,519 --> 00:37:57,000
going into that game. We're like, accurate. Well, you know,

791
00:37:57,280 --> 00:38:00,679
Izzel's doing it again. They they they could I with concurating.

792
00:38:00,760 --> 00:38:03,159
They continue to impress me. They they're you know that

793
00:38:03,199 --> 00:38:05,519
they deserve to be where they're ranked at now. Still

794
00:38:05,559 --> 00:38:07,639
not shooting the three, well, you know, it's kind of

795
00:38:07,639 --> 00:38:11,079
an old school approach to basketball. Maybe rockkintent on that

796
00:38:11,079 --> 00:38:13,159
as well. They just don't take a high volume from

797
00:38:13,159 --> 00:38:17,920
behind the arc. Sparty and then Iowa. This is something

798
00:38:17,920 --> 00:38:20,639
we mentioned on one of our very first shows of

799
00:38:20,679 --> 00:38:23,800
the year, the massive change we were going to see

800
00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:26,760
in pace, going from one of the fastest tempos in

801
00:38:26,760 --> 00:38:29,920
the country to one of the slowest under McCollum, and

802
00:38:31,159 --> 00:38:33,079
I like that. I kind of lean under here based

803
00:38:33,119 --> 00:38:37,119
on you know, first conference game. Iowa their new style,

804
00:38:37,480 --> 00:38:40,119
Michigan State not a three heavy team. I think it's

805
00:38:40,119 --> 00:38:42,719
gonna be a close game. I don't really, I don't.

806
00:38:43,079 --> 00:38:45,679
Michigan State obviously deserve favorite in East Lansing, no doubt

807
00:38:45,679 --> 00:38:47,519
about it. But I have a slight lean towards the

808
00:38:47,639 --> 00:38:50,239
under in this one second straight game. I would lean

809
00:38:50,280 --> 00:38:50,599
that way.

810
00:38:52,920 --> 00:38:56,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think for me, there's not enough wiggle room

811
00:38:57,039 --> 00:39:00,519
in that under. You're asking for sixty six aside sixty

812
00:39:00,519 --> 00:39:03,119
seven sixty six, you end up losing. I would be

813
00:39:03,199 --> 00:39:05,800
on the under if it was maybe mid to higher thirties.

814
00:39:05,840 --> 00:39:06,239
Speaker 2: It's not.

815
00:39:07,039 --> 00:39:11,159
Speaker 4: Iowa does have one example against a very slow paced

816
00:39:11,159 --> 00:39:14,360
team in Ole Miss. That game hit one forty three.

817
00:39:14,840 --> 00:39:19,119
Michigan State probably is a little more rugged defensively than

818
00:39:19,119 --> 00:39:21,559
All Miss, but again Ole Miss is a Chris Beard team,

819
00:39:21,639 --> 00:39:25,400
so they're gonna have a pretty good defensive ability as well.

820
00:39:25,480 --> 00:39:27,760
So scares me off right, doesn't put me on over,

821
00:39:28,679 --> 00:39:32,800
keeps me away from under. I think the side prices impressed,

822
00:39:32,800 --> 00:39:34,719
as I have been with Michigan State. I don't know

823
00:39:34,719 --> 00:39:38,639
how you lay it here with the guesswork that they're

824
00:39:38,679 --> 00:39:41,559
gonna have to make some threes against Ben. Can I

825
00:39:41,599 --> 00:39:46,079
say this right, Ben McCollums team, Ben McCollums team is

826
00:39:46,159 --> 00:39:51,960
gonna defend the three. And they've been just as impressive,

827
00:39:51,960 --> 00:39:55,199
and they've they've actually as slow as they're going, their

828
00:39:55,239 --> 00:39:58,800
efficiency has been good enough to push their point totals

829
00:39:58,840 --> 00:40:01,960
beyond seventy and most diinstance is now they haven't played

830
00:40:01,960 --> 00:40:04,840
a great slate of teams. I get it, but I

831
00:40:04,880 --> 00:40:08,400
think that their games are showing that he's a little

832
00:40:08,400 --> 00:40:11,480
bit adaptable with better athletes than what he had at

833
00:40:11,559 --> 00:40:13,840
Drake to be able to put more points on the scoreboard.

834
00:40:13,880 --> 00:40:15,719
I think I would be on the dog here. I

835
00:40:15,800 --> 00:40:18,920
just don't believe that Iowa will go in there. You know,

836
00:40:18,920 --> 00:40:22,360
if it was a Fran McCaffrey team, again, nothing against Fran,

837
00:40:22,440 --> 00:40:23,440
but we know what he was good.

838
00:40:23,480 --> 00:40:24,159
Speaker 3: He would do here.

839
00:40:24,559 --> 00:40:27,519
Speaker 4: He'd try and run, run, run, run, run, and MSU

840
00:40:27,559 --> 00:40:31,480
would stop that running game and probably blow him out.

841
00:40:32,239 --> 00:40:34,000
And I don't know that that happens you. I think

842
00:40:34,039 --> 00:40:35,519
I would lean underdog in this game.

843
00:40:36,280 --> 00:40:39,119
Speaker 3: I also undefeated, just like Michigan State for obviously that's

844
00:40:39,159 --> 00:40:40,360
you know something I think a lot of people in

845
00:40:40,360 --> 00:40:42,159
the chat no. But and they've covered five straight the

846
00:40:42,199 --> 00:40:44,760
Hawkeyes as well, so they've been a good bet on

847
00:40:44,880 --> 00:40:45,679
team so far.

848
00:40:47,239 --> 00:40:49,719
Speaker 1: I'll just quickly say that I agree with you on

849
00:40:49,760 --> 00:40:52,920
the under I rarely have total's opinions, but I think

850
00:40:53,000 --> 00:40:56,039
if if Michigan said, like I trust is Ota game

851
00:40:56,039 --> 00:40:59,320
plan well for starts and if you can take if

852
00:40:59,360 --> 00:41:02,360
you can like disrupt him and take him out of

853
00:41:03,000 --> 00:41:05,360
sort of the game for Iowa, I think it's really

854
00:41:05,400 --> 00:41:07,559
going to mess with their offense. And I trust Izzo

855
00:41:07,719 --> 00:41:11,679
to do that defensively, game plan for Bennett starts and

856
00:41:11,719 --> 00:41:13,880
sort of disrupt the Iowa offense that way.

857
00:41:14,159 --> 00:41:15,559
Speaker 2: And I'm with you, Brian, I still don't.

858
00:41:15,599 --> 00:41:18,039
Speaker 1: I still think that, like Michigan, State has a little

859
00:41:18,039 --> 00:41:20,360
bit of trouble shooting the ball, that can always be

860
00:41:20,400 --> 00:41:23,559
an issue. So yeah, that one thirty three, one thirty

861
00:41:23,559 --> 00:41:25,239
two and a half, that makes a lot of sense.

862
00:41:25,480 --> 00:41:27,559
Speaker 2: I'm with you on that. Under That makes a lot

863
00:41:27,559 --> 00:41:27,840
of sense.

864
00:41:27,920 --> 00:41:31,039
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's it's getting low with that understand it's taken money.

865
00:41:31,119 --> 00:41:33,559
Speaker 1: Yeah, Well there's so so if you want that under

866
00:41:33,599 --> 00:41:35,679
go find a book that still has one thirty two

867
00:41:35,679 --> 00:41:38,239
and a half because FanDuel just went to like one

868
00:41:38,320 --> 00:41:40,000
thirty one. But it looks like there's still a bunch

869
00:41:40,039 --> 00:41:42,159
of one thirty two and a half's up there. It

870
00:41:42,199 --> 00:41:44,639
looks like I don't know if how my screen sort

871
00:41:44,639 --> 00:41:48,800
of flashing on that game, but I believe go ahead.

872
00:41:50,119 --> 00:41:53,000
Speaker 3: By you, who apparently has his schedule open on every

873
00:41:53,039 --> 00:41:54,880
single team, all three hundred and sixty five teams in

874
00:41:54,920 --> 00:41:58,320
the country. Here this morning, while watching the program, is

875
00:41:58,360 --> 00:42:01,599
noting SPARTI look if they're not looking past Iowa. Okay,

876
00:42:01,639 --> 00:42:05,360
this is a this is a conference game, a conference opener,

877
00:42:05,400 --> 00:42:08,639
Top twenty five matchup, national television. Michigan State does have

878
00:42:08,719 --> 00:42:11,320
Duke gun deck. Let's let's point that out.

879
00:42:12,400 --> 00:42:15,039
Speaker 4: And real, speaking of Duke, to our according to our

880
00:42:15,079 --> 00:42:20,119
odds logic screen guys thirty threes depending upon where you

881
00:42:20,159 --> 00:42:23,400
have accounts thirty threes. And there's even I see a

882
00:42:23,480 --> 00:42:25,519
trio of one thirty three and a half's out there.

883
00:42:25,639 --> 00:42:27,280
If you like the under, you can get a better

884
00:42:27,320 --> 00:42:29,760
price and go ahead and play under one thirty three

885
00:42:29,840 --> 00:42:30,239
and a half.

886
00:42:32,559 --> 00:42:34,199
Speaker 2: We should probably hit Duke Florida.

887
00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:37,719
Speaker 1: So, speaking of Duke Duke Florida, I'll say about this one, and.

888
00:42:37,800 --> 00:42:39,239
Speaker 2: I'll kind of let you guys have at it.

889
00:42:39,320 --> 00:42:42,440
Speaker 1: Like if I saw this number three or four weeks ago,

890
00:42:42,480 --> 00:42:44,039
I'd probably be all over Florida.

891
00:42:44,360 --> 00:42:45,840
Speaker 2: Uh now, not so sure.

892
00:42:46,440 --> 00:42:50,320
Speaker 1: I feel like something we brought up early in the season,

893
00:42:50,360 --> 00:42:53,239
maybe the first show of the year was like Boogie

894
00:42:53,280 --> 00:42:56,079
Flann and Xavi and Lee are not Walter Clayton and

895
00:42:56,199 --> 00:42:57,840
the guards that Florida had last year.

896
00:42:57,960 --> 00:43:01,840
Speaker 2: It is becoming very apparent. Can they hang around with Duke? Yeah?

897
00:43:01,840 --> 00:43:03,960
They probably can. They have the bigs to do it.

898
00:43:04,039 --> 00:43:06,679
Speaker 1: And you know, I wouldn't be surprised if if it

899
00:43:06,719 --> 00:43:08,440
was a respectable game.

900
00:43:08,559 --> 00:43:10,320
Speaker 2: I wouldn't even be surprised if they found a way

901
00:43:10,360 --> 00:43:10,599
to win.

902
00:43:10,679 --> 00:43:14,039
Speaker 1: But I just don't have much confidence in this Florida

903
00:43:14,079 --> 00:43:15,800
team right now, and I know you really haven't either.

904
00:43:15,880 --> 00:43:16,119
Speaker 4: Brian.

905
00:43:16,800 --> 00:43:18,960
Speaker 3: No, I'm gonna throw it to Rob real quick, because guys,

906
00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:21,840
if you want a very extended breakdown from me on

907
00:43:21,880 --> 00:43:23,400
this game, guess what you can tune in a wager

908
00:43:23,440 --> 00:43:25,920
talk today in the New Eastern you Go, I will

909
00:43:25,960 --> 00:43:30,119
be talking about this game with Andy laying. My view

910
00:43:30,199 --> 00:43:32,599
is this. I'm interested to see if Rob agrees I

911
00:43:32,639 --> 00:43:36,880
think that some sharper quote unquote sharper people are gonna

912
00:43:36,880 --> 00:43:38,599
take are gonna wait and see how high this number

913
00:43:38,639 --> 00:43:42,159
goes and try to buy back on Florida. I am

914
00:43:42,239 --> 00:43:45,599
probably just going to sit on the sidelines. I actually

915
00:43:45,639 --> 00:43:47,599
think the numbers should be higher than where it's at currently.

916
00:43:48,000 --> 00:43:50,119
Even if it goes up a couple points, it's not

917
00:43:50,159 --> 00:43:52,320
going to be high enough for me because, as you mentioned, trap,

918
00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:55,519
I am a little bit lower on Florida than the market.

919
00:43:55,559 --> 00:43:59,199
I've consistently been all season. Whereas you know, I think Duke,

920
00:43:59,400 --> 00:44:02,920
you know, is good. Does any team in the country.

921
00:44:03,000 --> 00:44:05,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, And I think what it comes down to, guys,

922
00:44:05,119 --> 00:44:07,199
is it's gonna I mean, Adam, you kind of hit

923
00:44:07,280 --> 00:44:13,079
on it. The guard situation for Florida. You can grade

924
00:44:13,119 --> 00:44:15,960
it however you want. You can grade it as neutral,

925
00:44:16,079 --> 00:44:18,400
or you can grade it towards Duke. I would probably

926
00:44:18,480 --> 00:44:23,320
great advantage Duke, but you just as good as Duke's

927
00:44:23,400 --> 00:44:26,760
bigs have been. It's very hard for me to play

928
00:44:26,800 --> 00:44:30,079
against that Florida front line, especially with this many points.

929
00:44:30,400 --> 00:44:32,800
Duke's been killing people on the boards. They've been very

930
00:44:32,800 --> 00:44:34,480
good on the boards, but they're not going to kill

931
00:44:34,519 --> 00:44:36,599
this team on the boards. And again we're talking about

932
00:44:36,639 --> 00:44:39,400
another team marched in by Todd Golden that won a

933
00:44:39,480 --> 00:44:43,000
national championship that will be venue proof. Cameron indoor is

934
00:44:43,039 --> 00:44:46,000
as difficult as it gets. The fans are like eight

935
00:44:46,039 --> 00:44:49,079
feet away from you, and it's a difficult crowd to

936
00:44:49,119 --> 00:44:52,880
play in front of. But how can company across that

937
00:44:52,960 --> 00:44:56,599
front line? I just don't see Duke dominating that portion

938
00:44:56,719 --> 00:44:59,159
of the game. I think Florida can defend the rim

939
00:45:00,239 --> 00:45:02,000
well here or well enough to hang with an eight

940
00:45:02,039 --> 00:45:03,880
and a half. It is going to come down to

941
00:45:03,960 --> 00:45:07,079
that guard play. And again it was something we mentioned.

942
00:45:07,079 --> 00:45:09,880
You don't have Walter Clayton to lean on for buckets

943
00:45:09,880 --> 00:45:13,360
when you need buckets. I don't know, you know where

944
00:45:13,400 --> 00:45:17,639
they go nowadays. It's not the backcourt that they're going

945
00:45:17,679 --> 00:45:21,800
to until Boogie Flann becomes you know, in that in

946
00:45:21,840 --> 00:45:25,599
this particular offense, what Walter Clayton was, it's gonna be

947
00:45:25,679 --> 00:45:28,119
that way. You're gonna be dependent totally on your front line.

948
00:45:28,280 --> 00:45:31,280
I don't however, I'll say this, guys, I don't think

949
00:45:31,360 --> 00:45:33,519
Duke is going to pressure Florida into a lot of

950
00:45:33,559 --> 00:45:36,840
turnovers and get easy buckets in this game, which I

951
00:45:36,840 --> 00:45:39,079
think is what it would require to win by more

952
00:45:39,119 --> 00:45:41,360
than you know. You're asking them to win by nine.

953
00:45:41,679 --> 00:45:44,840
Florida is down, I don't know. Ten late they get

954
00:45:44,840 --> 00:45:47,960
a meaningless three, they lose seven. It's a hard bet

955
00:45:48,000 --> 00:45:50,559
to make from the from a duke perspective, at least

956
00:45:50,599 --> 00:45:53,880
in my eyes, it would be Florida or nothing. Right now,

957
00:45:53,920 --> 00:45:57,920
it's nothing total wise, It's interesting because I could make

958
00:45:57,920 --> 00:45:59,840
a case for both sides. I could make a case

959
00:46:00,000 --> 00:46:01,679
play it over. I could make a case to play

960
00:46:01,679 --> 00:46:04,800
it under. When it comes to that point, I just

961
00:46:04,960 --> 00:46:07,079
don't play at all. So I think the best thing

962
00:46:07,119 --> 00:46:08,880
I can say is I would lean floor to plus

963
00:46:08,920 --> 00:46:09,599
the eight and a half.

964
00:46:11,320 --> 00:46:12,519
Speaker 2: All right, let's go to Garth.

965
00:46:13,039 --> 00:46:15,400
Speaker 1: Another big game, trying to get to as many as possible,

966
00:46:15,440 --> 00:46:16,679
he says unc Kentucky.

967
00:46:17,280 --> 00:46:18,519
Speaker 2: He leans with the Heels.

968
00:46:19,159 --> 00:46:21,440
Speaker 1: I'll I'm gonna give my parlay legout after this, so

969
00:46:21,440 --> 00:46:22,960
I'll let you two kind of have at this one.

970
00:46:23,000 --> 00:46:25,360
All I'll say is I believe first true road game

971
00:46:25,719 --> 00:46:29,039
for the Tar Heels, Brian power my number. Lean Kentucky

972
00:46:29,039 --> 00:46:31,679
a little bit, But I don't know if I want

973
00:46:31,679 --> 00:46:32,440
to lay the points.

974
00:46:32,440 --> 00:46:33,000
Speaker 2: What are you thinking?

975
00:46:33,440 --> 00:46:36,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean again, injuries are something worth monitoring here,

976
00:46:37,199 --> 00:46:40,119
because I agree I think Kentucky's the better team here

977
00:46:41,039 --> 00:46:44,559
for sure. North Carolina. You know, it seems like a spot,

978
00:46:44,639 --> 00:46:46,920
the first true road game where you would want to

979
00:46:47,039 --> 00:46:50,599
fade North Carolina. You know, I mean North Carolina being

980
00:46:50,599 --> 00:46:53,519
the higher ranked team in this situation, I don't think

981
00:46:53,599 --> 00:46:56,280
is an accurate depiction of It's not an accurate depiction

982
00:46:56,280 --> 00:46:58,719
of where I have them in the power ratings. So

983
00:46:59,599 --> 00:47:03,639
I yeah, I don't know. I would want to play

984
00:47:03,679 --> 00:47:06,199
Kentucky here, but I don't know. The spread is a

985
00:47:06,199 --> 00:47:08,800
touch high.

986
00:47:08,880 --> 00:47:13,079
Speaker 4: Yeah, guys, I would lean Kentucky here for no fundamental reason,

987
00:47:13,800 --> 00:47:19,280
no situational reason, but for an exterior reason because after

988
00:47:19,320 --> 00:47:23,159
the Michigan State game, in that postgame press conference, we

989
00:47:23,239 --> 00:47:27,880
saw Mark Pope stand up there and basically say that

990
00:47:28,199 --> 00:47:31,360
until his team starts to play, he basically blamed himself

991
00:47:31,400 --> 00:47:35,880
for failing to create a culture of team basketball rather

992
00:47:35,960 --> 00:47:40,800
than me me me basketball. Since then, they've played Loyola Maryland,

993
00:47:40,920 --> 00:47:44,000
they've played Tennessee Tech. But this is the first real

994
00:47:44,119 --> 00:47:46,800
test for Mark Pope, who said I'm going to straighten

995
00:47:46,840 --> 00:47:48,639
this out. Believe me, I'll straighten this out, and if

996
00:47:48,639 --> 00:47:50,719
we have to weed guys out, we'll weed guys out,

997
00:47:51,119 --> 00:47:54,159
and I think this being the first test in front

998
00:47:54,159 --> 00:47:59,840
of the home fans, I would expect Kentucky motivationally, focus wise,

999
00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:03,519
mindset wise to be there tonight. Brian, you talked about

1000
00:48:03,519 --> 00:48:05,360
you and see going on the road again. I don't

1001
00:48:05,400 --> 00:48:09,519
know that they'll be disrupted by Lexington, but I do

1002
00:48:09,599 --> 00:48:12,880
think that the other side, for what it's worth, could

1003
00:48:12,920 --> 00:48:15,400
be a little more motivated and get off to a

1004
00:48:15,480 --> 00:48:17,800
quick start. For that reason, I would look Kentucky first

1005
00:48:17,800 --> 00:48:22,159
half just based on the head coach and what he

1006
00:48:22,519 --> 00:48:24,440
was telling us a couple of games ago. And if

1007
00:48:24,440 --> 00:48:27,960
he's going to prove, if he's right about that point,

1008
00:48:28,199 --> 00:48:31,519
that he's gonna make this thing right again, then it

1009
00:48:31,559 --> 00:48:33,760
has to happen against a good basketball team, and this

1010
00:48:33,840 --> 00:48:36,559
is his first try since that statement against a good

1011
00:48:36,599 --> 00:48:37,360
basketball team.

1012
00:48:38,079 --> 00:48:39,920
Speaker 3: I see we're split in the chat on the total.

1013
00:48:40,599 --> 00:48:42,800
I see one love this over and then one love

1014
00:48:42,840 --> 00:48:47,559
this under. Correct me if a wrong gang, But Kentucky

1015
00:48:47,639 --> 00:48:50,199
last year was way better at home than on the road.

1016
00:48:50,280 --> 00:48:54,519
Like that, I thought that their home road splits were

1017
00:48:54,559 --> 00:48:57,000
as stark as any team in the country. If memory

1018
00:48:57,039 --> 00:48:58,079
serves correct.

1019
00:49:00,239 --> 00:49:03,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean you're probably gonna get a scenario where yeah,

1020
00:49:03,960 --> 00:49:05,840
I think I think both teams are gonna have to

1021
00:49:05,840 --> 00:49:09,440
shoot it particularly well, like jump shot wise to get

1022
00:49:09,480 --> 00:49:11,800
this one over. So I don't know, like you know,

1023
00:49:11,800 --> 00:49:14,760
how much to trust that, Like I think North Carolina

1024
00:49:14,800 --> 00:49:17,079
can be a little bit sketchy shooting the ball at times.

1025
00:49:17,079 --> 00:49:19,119
So I'm not even gonna spend more time on that.

1026
00:49:19,159 --> 00:49:21,719
I really have no opinion on it, but it's a

1027
00:49:22,000 --> 00:49:25,800
I love polarizing discussion, right because that's all betting is. Like,

1028
00:49:25,840 --> 00:49:28,760
if we all agreed, we wouldn't there would be no market,

1029
00:49:28,800 --> 00:49:30,480
there'd be no we wouldn't have we didn't be able

1030
00:49:30,519 --> 00:49:33,159
to do so. So I'm glad that we're we have

1031
00:49:33,239 --> 00:49:34,679
some disagreement on these games.

1032
00:49:34,679 --> 00:49:37,119
Speaker 2: That's good, all right. So we have ten minutes of

1033
00:49:37,119 --> 00:49:38,599
the show left. We're gonna go around the horn.

1034
00:49:38,639 --> 00:49:40,880
Speaker 1: We'll give our parlay legs if we can. If we

1035
00:49:40,920 --> 00:49:43,440
still have time after that, we'll see if we can

1036
00:49:43,440 --> 00:49:45,199
get more chat questions. I mean, we're gonna get a

1037
00:49:45,199 --> 00:49:48,039
couple of different games here with the parlays. I was

1038
00:49:48,079 --> 00:49:49,880
just I'm gonna give out one of my client plays.

1039
00:49:50,559 --> 00:49:53,679
I guess I've got really good CLV on both of

1040
00:49:54,079 --> 00:49:58,639
my releases already. I'm gonna give one of them out. Unfortunately,

1041
00:49:59,039 --> 00:50:00,840
this is like kind of getting hit as we speak.

1042
00:50:00,920 --> 00:50:06,199
So I played Binghamton plus four. It's a three percent play.

1043
00:50:06,239 --> 00:50:10,039
It is down to two and a half, which literally

1044
00:50:10,119 --> 00:50:12,840
is like just happening. So what I'm gonna do is

1045
00:50:12,840 --> 00:50:16,440
play at Binghamton plus three minus one twenty for the parlay.

1046
00:50:17,079 --> 00:50:19,239
And again I don't I don't hate being I think

1047
00:50:19,280 --> 00:50:23,159
Binghamton's gonna win this game, So like I just you

1048
00:50:23,159 --> 00:50:24,760
can take the money line if you if you want,

1049
00:50:24,800 --> 00:50:25,320
and just go.

1050
00:50:25,639 --> 00:50:26,920
Speaker 2: You'll give yourself some odds.

1051
00:50:26,960 --> 00:50:30,840
Speaker 1: But I did play Binghamton plus four for clients, and

1052
00:50:31,039 --> 00:50:33,119
that is a three percent play for me. So for

1053
00:50:33,159 --> 00:50:35,920
the parlay, we're gonna go three minus one twenty, uh,

1054
00:50:36,079 --> 00:50:39,280
because I think it's relatively easy to get that to

1055
00:50:39,320 --> 00:50:41,800
three minus one twenty. Looks like it's either three or

1056
00:50:41,800 --> 00:50:44,320
two and a half places right now. This game is

1057
00:50:44,360 --> 00:50:49,119
in Binghamton, So this sort of fits the possibly having

1058
00:50:49,159 --> 00:50:52,840
a little bit of a hangover after an MTE sort

1059
00:50:52,920 --> 00:50:56,079
of what we were talking about for Lehigh, and I

1060
00:50:56,239 --> 00:50:59,440
actually think Lehigh could be affected by this. So Lehigh

1061
00:50:59,480 --> 00:51:04,079
actually went out to Vegas last weekend played two games,

1062
00:51:04,360 --> 00:51:07,039
and they played as good as I think they could

1063
00:51:07,039 --> 00:51:10,519
have ever expected to play they they. I believe they

1064
00:51:11,039 --> 00:51:14,360
lost to UC Santa Barbara by two as a relatively

1065
00:51:14,360 --> 00:51:17,440
big underdog and then came out and upset Texas State.

1066
00:51:17,599 --> 00:51:21,000
So by all accounts, Lehigh played great in their MTE,

1067
00:51:21,159 --> 00:51:23,880
big dog in both games get an outright win, and

1068
00:51:23,920 --> 00:51:25,679
the other one was like a two point loss to

1069
00:51:26,000 --> 00:51:30,440
a very good Santa Barbara team. But sometimes he's mtes,

1070
00:51:30,599 --> 00:51:33,400
especially like I don't you know, you couldn't get people

1071
00:51:33,440 --> 00:51:36,039
at the players Era in Vegas. Who was at Lehigh

1072
00:51:36,079 --> 00:51:40,079
Santa Barbara in Vegas last week? Probably no one, Like

1073
00:51:40,159 --> 00:51:44,000
sometimes these mtes produced like very wacky results, And so

1074
00:51:44,280 --> 00:51:47,079
I'm willing to trust my my rating on a Lee

1075
00:51:47,159 --> 00:51:50,199
High team that I just don't I don't see how

1076
00:51:50,199 --> 00:51:52,599
it's possible that they can be like better than what

1077
00:51:52,639 --> 00:51:54,920
the market says they're going to be this year. They

1078
00:51:55,000 --> 00:51:59,159
lose Tyler Whitney, Sidney Keith Higgins, like they lost good

1079
00:51:59,199 --> 00:52:02,519
players from a team last year that was underachieved anyway,

1080
00:52:02,960 --> 00:52:04,440
So like this is a team that I think is

1081
00:52:04,480 --> 00:52:06,920
probably near the bottom of the Patriot League again this year,

1082
00:52:06,960 --> 00:52:09,599
maybe middle of the pack in that league, and now

1083
00:52:09,639 --> 00:52:11,880
they need to turn around and go play a true

1084
00:52:12,000 --> 00:52:15,000
road game at Binghamton, and yet they were a four

1085
00:52:15,039 --> 00:52:16,039
point favorite.

1086
00:52:15,679 --> 00:52:16,639
Speaker 2: At one point in time.

1087
00:52:16,920 --> 00:52:19,559
Speaker 1: So the market I think is moving in the correct direction.

1088
00:52:19,639 --> 00:52:21,920
I actually make Binghamton a slight favorite in this game.

1089
00:52:22,440 --> 00:52:26,400
And like you talk about Binghamton, they're not anything special

1090
00:52:26,440 --> 00:52:29,199
this year either. They'll probably be middle of the pack

1091
00:52:29,239 --> 00:52:31,719
in the a America East at best. But they bring

1092
00:52:31,760 --> 00:52:34,800
in I think it's Lily from He came in from LaSalle,

1093
00:52:35,119 --> 00:52:38,000
kind of a six to nine act. He's kind of

1094
00:52:38,000 --> 00:52:40,840
plays like a big, like a true center, and at

1095
00:52:40,840 --> 00:52:43,880
this level, you know at LaSalle he was okay. At

1096
00:52:43,880 --> 00:52:46,800
this level playing like when you talk about Patriot League

1097
00:52:46,840 --> 00:52:51,360
anc America East, these like low major Northeast conferences, he's

1098
00:52:51,360 --> 00:52:54,920
a pretty like solid post presence and I think he's

1099
00:52:54,960 --> 00:52:58,159
really been Binghamton's best player to this point. So again,

1100
00:52:58,480 --> 00:53:02,760
you got two teams that are pretty even. One just

1101
00:53:02,760 --> 00:53:04,440
got from Vegas and then has to go and hit

1102
00:53:04,480 --> 00:53:06,199
the road now to Binghamton, New York.

1103
00:53:07,800 --> 00:53:08,320
Speaker 2: Like it.

1104
00:53:08,800 --> 00:53:10,760
Speaker 1: Binghamton does get a few fans. I've been to some

1105
00:53:10,800 --> 00:53:12,800
games there. They'll have some people there for that game.

1106
00:53:13,280 --> 00:53:15,519
I just don't see how Binghamton was an underdog and

1107
00:53:15,599 --> 00:53:19,159
Binghamton played up. They played in their MTE in Buffalo

1108
00:53:19,239 --> 00:53:23,199
against Canisius. No one was there, like so you look

1109
00:53:23,239 --> 00:53:27,000
at those losses to Canisius and the like Maryland Eastern Shore.

1110
00:53:27,280 --> 00:53:30,400
I watched like some of the Canicious game. I don't

1111
00:53:30,400 --> 00:53:33,239
think anyone gave a shit about that NTI. I think

1112
00:53:33,280 --> 00:53:35,079
I was looking around and I think they were like,

1113
00:53:35,079 --> 00:53:35,800
why are we here?

1114
00:53:36,079 --> 00:53:36,360
Speaker 2: Like what?

1115
00:53:36,400 --> 00:53:39,559
Speaker 1: Who even put this together? So I really do like

1116
00:53:39,559 --> 00:53:42,159
the Binghamton Bearcats tonight. I think they bounced back from

1117
00:53:42,199 --> 00:53:45,199
their horrendous performance in Buffalo that no one cared about,

1118
00:53:45,360 --> 00:53:47,320
and I think they get a win here and that

1119
00:53:47,440 --> 00:53:49,559
is gonna be my parlay leg I'm going to pass

1120
00:53:49,599 --> 00:53:52,079
it over to Brian Power and then we'll go to

1121
00:53:52,159 --> 00:53:53,960
Veno to get your guys legs to the parlot.

1122
00:53:55,000 --> 00:53:58,400
Speaker 3: I'm gonna make the short sweet guys. There's an all

1123
00:53:58,440 --> 00:54:01,000
expression if they ain't broke down and fix it, Well,

1124
00:54:01,880 --> 00:54:04,440
we're gonna modify that expression and say it's been broke,

1125
00:54:05,119 --> 00:54:07,119
but we're not gonna bother fix it. We're gonna keep

1126
00:54:07,119 --> 00:54:09,719
going with what we like to do here. We're gonna

1127
00:54:09,719 --> 00:54:12,239
take ugly underdogs, every single one of you in the

1128
00:54:12,320 --> 00:54:15,719
chat will probably hate this play, but I'm gonna give

1129
00:54:15,719 --> 00:54:17,440
it out anyway because I like it. It's the kind

1130
00:54:17,440 --> 00:54:19,639
of style of handicapping. I believe we're gonna take the

1131
00:54:19,760 --> 00:54:25,159
four touchdowns trig with Fairley Dickinson at Providence. Fairly Dickinson

1132
00:54:25,159 --> 00:54:27,519
has not covered a spread this year. That's obviously very bad.

1133
00:54:27,800 --> 00:54:30,320
They are a very bad basketball team. I'm not gonna

1134
00:54:30,320 --> 00:54:33,159
tell you that they're even a mediocre basketball team. Okay,

1135
00:54:33,199 --> 00:54:35,400
they're one of the worst fifteen teams in the country.

1136
00:54:35,599 --> 00:54:41,719
But twenty eight is a lot of points, especially when

1137
00:54:41,880 --> 00:54:45,519
Providence do you talk about the empties. What is Providence

1138
00:54:45,519 --> 00:54:47,800
done in the last three games? They've played Penn State,

1139
00:54:48,079 --> 00:54:51,880
they played Wisconsin, they played Florida, now they're back home

1140
00:54:52,400 --> 00:54:56,119
after you know, after the holiday weekend. I think this

1141
00:54:56,159 --> 00:55:00,159
is I couldn't get higher than twenty five on this spread.

1142
00:55:00,480 --> 00:55:03,760
So you know, Providence also has rode the big in

1143
00:55:03,880 --> 00:55:09,159
state game against Rhode Island on deck. So look, I

1144
00:55:09,280 --> 00:55:12,199
realize I know what's been happening, and let me address

1145
00:55:12,239 --> 00:55:13,679
this because it's going to be follow up in the chat.

1146
00:55:13,719 --> 00:55:15,760
Should I bet this first half? Because what we had

1147
00:55:15,800 --> 00:55:18,960
last night with Temple was yet another instance betting a

1148
00:55:19,000 --> 00:55:22,280
double digit dog. They were winning outright at the half,

1149
00:55:22,320 --> 00:55:23,960
and then they just fall apart with the second half.

1150
00:55:24,039 --> 00:55:26,119
This has happened, I believe my last two parlors. It

1151
00:55:26,159 --> 00:55:30,159
happened with Wright State against Butler on Friday as well.

1152
00:55:30,519 --> 00:55:32,719
If you want to split the wager, put half of

1153
00:55:32,760 --> 00:55:34,199
it on the first half, half of it on the

1154
00:55:34,239 --> 00:55:36,840
full game, by all means, if that's what makes you

1155
00:55:36,880 --> 00:55:39,960
feel comfortable to do it. But my official leg of

1156
00:55:40,000 --> 00:55:42,800
our three team parlay will be fairly Dickinson. A team

1157
00:55:42,800 --> 00:55:44,639
that was very kind to trigger and I once upon

1158
00:55:44,679 --> 00:55:48,000
a time at Turning Stone when they pulled the shocker

1159
00:55:48,039 --> 00:55:50,920
of all shakers against Purdue and we danced around and

1160
00:55:50,960 --> 00:55:51,920
were very loud and.

1161
00:55:51,840 --> 00:55:54,159
Speaker 2: Obnoxiousness in a nice restaurant.

1162
00:55:54,280 --> 00:55:57,679
Speaker 3: Yeah, yes, that was very poor behavior, but that's okay.

1163
00:55:57,800 --> 00:56:02,519
It was fairly Dickinson beating Purdue. So FDU plus twenty eight.

1164
00:56:02,920 --> 00:56:05,760
Speaker 2: I don't disagree with that. I think Providence is garbage.

1165
00:56:05,840 --> 00:56:07,679
I be just frank about it.

1166
00:56:07,760 --> 00:56:09,599
Speaker 1: Like a for a Big East team, I think they're

1167
00:56:09,599 --> 00:56:11,639
gonna be like a bottom three or four Big East team.

1168
00:56:11,719 --> 00:56:16,599
So I concur with your fairly Dickinson call. Let's go

1169
00:56:16,639 --> 00:56:18,880
to Robino to close out the three team or we

1170
00:56:18,880 --> 00:56:20,320
need to hit one of these. I think today is

1171
00:56:20,320 --> 00:56:22,000
going to be the day, rob What are we looking

1172
00:56:22,039 --> 00:56:23,280
at to close it out?

1173
00:56:23,559 --> 00:56:26,159
Speaker 4: So torn guys, so torn already have played two games.

1174
00:56:26,159 --> 00:56:28,639
By the way, that GW game that starts in a

1175
00:56:28,639 --> 00:56:31,320
few minutes. I actually had a client play on so

1176
00:56:31,400 --> 00:56:34,119
you can beat the buzzer here. You're about three minutes

1177
00:56:34,119 --> 00:56:37,840
from tip if you want to get in on that. Yeah,

1178
00:56:37,880 --> 00:56:40,559
I was stuck between two guys, but I'm gonna go

1179
00:56:40,599 --> 00:56:43,519
with except it's been broke and I'm gonna try and

1180
00:56:43,559 --> 00:56:46,000
fix it because I'm gonna go back to another team total.

1181
00:56:46,639 --> 00:56:52,079
But I just can't see SIU Edwardsville not getting to

1182
00:56:52,159 --> 00:56:56,000
the eighty one mark against North Florida. North Florida guys,

1183
00:56:56,000 --> 00:56:59,440
for what it's worth, the worst defensive rebounding team in

1184
00:56:59,480 --> 00:57:04,000
the nation, the worst team in points allowed second chance

1185
00:57:04,039 --> 00:57:07,159
points allowed. They allow like twenty four points per game

1186
00:57:07,199 --> 00:57:12,159
second chance points, so they've given up over eighty in

1187
00:57:12,239 --> 00:57:16,280
every single game they've played. That's seven straight times over eighty.

1188
00:57:16,880 --> 00:57:19,760
SIU Edwardsville not the fastest paced team in the country,

1189
00:57:19,840 --> 00:57:22,719
but still the last couple of games they've been up

1190
00:57:22,800 --> 00:57:26,679
in over eighty have played Wisconsin, have played Drake, have

1191
00:57:26,840 --> 00:57:30,960
played UTSA, some better teams than North Florida. Anybody's really

1192
00:57:31,000 --> 00:57:34,440
better than North Florida defensively. So North Florida wants to

1193
00:57:34,440 --> 00:57:36,599
play with pace as well. And around their home Florida,

1194
00:57:36,719 --> 00:57:39,679
I always have the feeling that, you know, if you're

1195
00:57:39,719 --> 00:57:43,000
not a pace team, but you're gonna play one that

1196
00:57:43,320 --> 00:57:45,840
allows you to get buckets, then you tend to go

1197
00:57:45,920 --> 00:57:48,000
with them. Guys love stats, you know what I mean.

1198
00:57:48,039 --> 00:57:50,079
Offensive guys love to score, and if they see a

1199
00:57:50,079 --> 00:57:52,320
team that wants to run that can't stop you, then

1200
00:57:52,360 --> 00:57:54,440
they're gonna go score. So for me, it's gonna be

1201
00:57:54,559 --> 00:57:58,000
SIU Edwardsville team total tonight over eighty and a half

1202
00:57:58,480 --> 00:58:01,199
against North Florida. Think they'll probably make it to the

1203
00:58:01,199 --> 00:58:04,000
eighty three eighty four range here, and North Florida has

1204
00:58:04,039 --> 00:58:07,880
allowed everybody they've played so far, including some real drigs,

1205
00:58:07,920 --> 00:58:09,239
to get up and above this number.

1206
00:58:10,159 --> 00:58:11,039
Speaker 2: What's that number again?

1207
00:58:11,119 --> 00:58:17,679
Speaker 1: Rob for the eighty and a half, So over eighty

1208
00:58:18,000 --> 00:58:21,559
point five team total. All right, we've got like two

1209
00:58:21,559 --> 00:58:23,760
minutes left. I'm gonna recap the parlay in a minute.

1210
00:58:23,800 --> 00:58:27,360
I do see some folks talking about Rhode Island and Brown.

1211
00:58:27,920 --> 00:58:32,519
All I'll say about that game is Brown got a

1212
00:58:32,559 --> 00:58:36,719
little bit healthier, so they were Brown was severely shorthanded

1213
00:58:36,719 --> 00:58:38,639
for like the first four or five games of the season.

1214
00:58:39,119 --> 00:58:42,239
I still think they're without Alex Lesbert, but I think

1215
00:58:42,360 --> 00:58:46,000
Landing is it landon Lewis and then last name is

1216
00:58:46,119 --> 00:58:49,719
Rochester on another one that were like they basically were without.

1217
00:58:49,440 --> 00:58:51,719
Speaker 2: Three starters for like the first four games of the season.

1218
00:58:52,280 --> 00:58:54,599
Speaker 1: So I forget who said it in the chat, but

1219
00:58:54,679 --> 00:58:56,800
someone was like, that number looks like a touch high. Like,

1220
00:58:56,800 --> 00:58:59,000
I know Rhode Island's been good, but that number looks

1221
00:58:59,000 --> 00:58:59,800
a touch high.

1222
00:59:00,280 --> 00:59:01,639
Speaker 2: I would probably agree with that.

1223
00:59:01,719 --> 00:59:04,400
Speaker 1: I don't know if I want to, Like, I don't

1224
00:59:04,400 --> 00:59:07,039
think this Brown team is very good even at full strength,

1225
00:59:07,039 --> 00:59:09,119
and I know that there's still I think Lesper might

1226
00:59:09,119 --> 00:59:11,840
be done for the year. I haven't heard anything about him, so,

1227
00:59:12,480 --> 00:59:15,079
but like, I would agree with the thought process that

1228
00:59:15,239 --> 00:59:18,840
maybe Rhode Island is getting a little bit overvalued in

1229
00:59:18,880 --> 00:59:20,440
the market. So I thought i'd throw that out there.

1230
00:59:20,440 --> 00:59:24,079
Anything on Rhode Island or Brown for you guys, No.

1231
00:59:24,239 --> 00:59:25,639
Speaker 3: Just one game, and I think I saw this one

1232
00:59:25,679 --> 00:59:27,360
in the chat too, just so we cleaned the subtrict.

1233
00:59:27,679 --> 00:59:30,960
I can't wait to watch Charleston Southern and UT Martin

1234
00:59:30,960 --> 00:59:33,079
at noon Eastern. And I really mean that, guys. This

1235
00:59:33,119 --> 00:59:35,079
is a game where you've got one team that doesn't

1236
00:59:35,320 --> 00:59:38,800
doesn't force turnovers against another team that always turns it over.

1237
00:59:38,880 --> 00:59:41,480
Bull shoot a ton of threes. It's a new East.

1238
00:59:41,559 --> 00:59:45,039
It's the second Neon Eastern tip off besides George Washington Army.

1239
00:59:45,280 --> 00:59:47,079
I agree with the lot, I agree with the way

1240
00:59:47,119 --> 00:59:48,880
the markets move. I like the over in that game.

1241
00:59:48,920 --> 00:59:51,159
I think there's gonna be a ton of points Charleston

1242
00:59:51,360 --> 00:59:53,920
Southern UTA mart I can't wait. I was gonna watch

1243
00:59:53,920 --> 00:59:57,320
the DFP Pocal this afternoon until I saw that game

1244
00:59:57,400 --> 01:00:01,239
on this plate drag. You're the German Cup. Can wait

1245
01:00:01,400 --> 01:00:03,519
till three o'clock. I'll watch Charleston Southern.

1246
01:00:05,079 --> 01:00:05,400
Speaker 2: Listen.

1247
01:00:05,480 --> 01:00:08,159
Speaker 1: I don't condone taking like awful numbers, but I do

1248
01:00:08,199 --> 01:00:10,440
have a client play on Charleston Southern plus five and

1249
01:00:10,440 --> 01:00:12,039
a half, So that was one of the ones that

1250
01:00:12,079 --> 01:00:14,880
I got a good number on three percent play bet

1251
01:00:14,880 --> 01:00:17,519
at this morning plus five and a half, it's down

1252
01:00:17,519 --> 01:00:19,079
to three and a half, so you know what that means,

1253
01:00:19,119 --> 01:00:23,239
Probably a surefire loss, But like if you know, any

1254
01:00:23,280 --> 01:00:26,440
anytime I beat a number significantly, it's an instant loser.

1255
01:00:26,679 --> 01:00:29,639
But if you if you do you know I did

1256
01:00:29,679 --> 01:00:32,360
play that Charleston Southern plus five and a half, you

1257
01:00:32,440 --> 01:00:34,480
might be able to end game it that. That's another

1258
01:00:34,519 --> 01:00:36,920
client play for me. So just I wasn't going to

1259
01:00:36,960 --> 01:00:38,599
bring it up, but Brian Power brought it up. So

1260
01:00:39,119 --> 01:00:40,000
there's one at the horn.

1261
01:00:40,239 --> 01:00:42,440
Speaker 2: No, it's okay. I wasn't selling it. It's at noon.

1262
01:00:42,639 --> 01:00:44,519
Speaker 1: I mean it's I was selling it to my long

1263
01:00:44,599 --> 01:00:47,239
term subscribers and didn't put a.

1264
01:00:46,559 --> 01:00:49,280
Speaker 2: Brick up for it. But all right, we have reached

1265
01:00:49,360 --> 01:00:51,480
the end of the show. We have a three teamer.

1266
01:00:51,559 --> 01:00:52,840
We need to hit one to get back.

1267
01:00:52,880 --> 01:00:54,880
Speaker 1: We're slightly in the red for the first time this

1268
01:00:55,000 --> 01:00:57,800
year on parlays, so we've got to hit one.

1269
01:00:57,840 --> 01:00:58,119
Speaker 2: Today.

1270
01:00:58,199 --> 01:01:01,880
Speaker 1: We have Binghamton plus US three and I attached minus

1271
01:01:01,880 --> 01:01:03,639
one twenty juice to that, so you can buy the

1272
01:01:04,079 --> 01:01:08,079
half point on that one Binghamton plus three. We've got

1273
01:01:08,079 --> 01:01:11,320
Brian Power going with Fairley Dickinson plus twenty eight and

1274
01:01:11,320 --> 01:01:14,000
a half, and then Rob is gonna go with the

1275
01:01:14,000 --> 01:01:18,760
team total SIU Edwardsville team total over eighty and a

1276
01:01:18,760 --> 01:01:22,559
half plus five forty odds. That's your three teamer, that's

1277
01:01:22,559 --> 01:01:26,239
your show. It's five dollars Tuesday. There was no time

1278
01:01:26,239 --> 01:01:28,239
to promote stuff today, but it is five dollars Tuesday.

1279
01:01:28,239 --> 01:01:30,000
We're all gonna have five dollars plays up. Go check

1280
01:01:30,119 --> 01:01:33,599
Rob's page out, check out Brian's page and mind for

1281
01:01:34,320 --> 01:01:36,599
something that will go out for sale for five bucks.

1282
01:01:36,760 --> 01:01:40,119
And we also have great specials throughout the week, so like, subscribe,

1283
01:01:40,480 --> 01:01:42,679
do all that fun stuff for us, Drop a comment

1284
01:01:43,000 --> 01:01:45,159
and we'll be back ten am tomorrow morning for more

1285
01:01:45,199 --> 01:01:45,920
Full Court Press.

1286
01:01:46,000 --> 01:01:46,480
Speaker 2: You guys don