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Speaker 1: You are.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to Wade You Talk today, the gold standard of

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the sports betting shows, where we talked the talk and

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walk the walk. It is five dollars Tuesday, we got

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a loaded slate all around the World. Dan is gonna

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take over WTF LFG, Dan, come on in here. I

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did my job. Yeah, wow, just stubbing for you nicely.

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Pasta d have an assist three of them.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. I I checked the box score this morning while

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I was prepping up for the show, and I was

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just like, man, this is is a beautiful thing. We

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like said, do we count it towards the record? Do

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we not? So, for all intents and purposes, it doesn't

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go towards the record. But we know that we cast

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with Pasta yesterday in WTF and LFG. We got a

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Bundesliga play come your way in that one. But what

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else do we have here on the show? As Andy

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mentioned all around the world. Andy's gonna get you three

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free plays. But leading up to that, we got Jesse

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Schule coming on. He's going to piss off a fan

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base today. Who will it be this time? He's telling

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you to fade in college basketball. He's also got an

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NBA free play for you in Pistons versus Nuggets. And

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of course I don't care if the super Bowl is

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two weeks away. Andy, we have to continue checking in

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with these kappers on what they think about the Seattle

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Seahawks taking on the New England Patriots and Jesse. You'll

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get his thoughts there. Ralph Michael's got a doubleheader for

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you here on Sea in college basketball action. These are

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on Peacock and that is Nebraska and Michigan, Purdue and Indiana.

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And then Prez is gonna shut things down as he

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always does on Tuesday. He will likely derail the show

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when he comes on around twelve thirty if you're watching

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this live, but he will be talking to NHL Games

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for you and getting you free plays in these stars

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taking on the Blues in that one, excuse me, and

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then the Capitals and cracking. So Andy, we're running the gamut.

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We're covering everything on the program here today, so let's

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get into it. Then.

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Speaker 2: I will just say that this Purdue Indiana game, this

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kind of falls in the category of is this really

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necessary to play this game? It's a long drive from

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Perdue to Indiana, Like this is the steeling, It's it's

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it's interstates. I get it, but I know what the

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state of our roads are and I hope they left

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this morning just trying to get there take a while.

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So all right, well let's do WTFLFG. What's your play

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for today? Yeah, we have fifteen and knos.

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Speaker 1: So currently we're sitting at sixteen and ten if you

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want to count Andy's win yesterday another plus money win

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for you, and it was seventeen and ten, but we'll

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keep it at sixteen and ten. We said we weren't

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too sure. I'm coming off a loss on this one.

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I gave out Drake May interception as I alluded to yesterday.

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When you don't have to throw a pass in the

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second half, you're probably not going to throw an interception.

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But we're going back to the pitch, Andy, We're going

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back to the pitch with a soccer play, a football

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play for you. So the last two soccer plays we

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had for you here plus money winners. So let's continue

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to take a look at Germany Bundesliga. This one for

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the live view or as it goes at two thirty

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Saint Pauli versus RB Lepzig. I won't bore you with

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Bundesliga breakdowns. Let's just take the fact that RB Lepzig

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is a top team top five. They're playing a bottom feeder,

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and this club typically beats up on bottom feeders. The

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last time their last game out, actually they played the

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team that was in last place. Today in playing Saint Pauli,

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they're playing the team that is second to last place.

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They beat that last place team three nil, So this

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is not a team that lets up when they're playing

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bottom feeders. Sometimes that's the angle that we like looking at.

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This feels like a RB Lepzig pretty comfortable win, which

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I'm surprised that they're only minus one thirty on the

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money line. That concerns me that maybe odds makers think

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that Pauli can hang around here a little bit. So

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that's why I want to take the really bad team

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out of the equation and take a look at the

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top team here in Bundesliga and just look at the

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team total. I think you're looking at a two nil

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maybe three nil win here. If it's two to one,

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if it's two, if they end up pulling a draw out,

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we don't care because we're taking the team total of

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RBI Leipzig over one and a half. Don't care who wins.

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Let's just find the back of the net twice for

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a team who has scored with regularity on the road.

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Let's go over one and a half minus one ten

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is your WTFLFG.

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Speaker 2: Andy love the way you're attacking this one. I think

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most would go, oh, just money line. Oh, but then

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moneyline kind of looks a little weird and only two

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goals that seems it seems, it doesn't seem that difficult.

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Let's give this an lfg's let's go.

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Speaker 1: Let us know, folks, you're following our face the soccer players.

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Good here to us and Andy before we bring on

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Jesse Schule talk some basketball. Appreciate your Greg tuning in.

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Thank you man. We hit that like button while you're

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hanging out here. But he's asking, do you guys do

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the new NASCAR season? Well, you're talking to a guy

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who Andy and I got to know each other because

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we did the NASCAR Show. I would record it for

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Andy life in the Fast Plane. So it's kind of

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become something you don't bet as much with regular already,

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but it still is something that you're very well versed on.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I've never had a losing auto racing season. Somebody asked, like,

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what's your best sport. I've never had a losing auto

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racing season since joining wager Talk, so I guess that's

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probably but you would say that's my best score. Yeah,

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I'll tell you what. At the very end, I'll talk

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NASCAR on Formula one because I know that doesn't drive

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a lot of ratings. But I'll talk NASCAR and Formula

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at the very end of the show. Yeah. Great calling

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the TGL easy win yesterday. Yeah, absolutely, and blocked. I

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love that when you're from Texas. No drive is a

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long drive. It is when there's a foot of snow

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on the roads. Blocked.

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Speaker 1: Good boy.

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Speaker 2: It's it's not the distance from Predwe to Indiana. It's

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the elements.

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Speaker 1: Driving through Texas. I can confirm because it's like town

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that's so freaking big, and then nothing but wind mills,

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and then town that's so freaking big, nothing but wind mills.

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That's uh, that's Texas for you.

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Speaker 2: Absolutely. Absolutely, Well, let's bring in Jesse and let's kick

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things off here with some breakdown. Jesse, Welcome, Welcome Tuesday.

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Speaker 3: How are you doing well? Running hot? And it's a

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bit bittersweet though, just one more football game left, and

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we got we still got to wait a couple of

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weeks as well.

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Speaker 2: Speaking on behalf of myself and Dan, could you just

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refrain from using the phrase hot, Dan and I are

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freezing our plums all.

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Speaker 1: Right now we're hitting beds, so I guess we're hotting. Well.

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Negative one was like I woke up and that was

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our that was our our top temperature. Negative one. I'm

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basically living in Antarctica. So the move, Jesse, as you know,

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going from LA to Philly, I brought the absolute coldest

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winter in quite some time here to Philadelphia, so I'm lucky.

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Speaker 3: Then Thailand's still quite comfortable.

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Speaker 2: I gotta tell you you.

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Speaker 1: Always the Thailand on us, I always am jealous.

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Speaker 2: All right, Jesse, let's get into it. NBA Pistons Nuggets.

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We have a couple of questionable guys for Denver, but

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it looks like they're gonna play Valentuna, Peyton Watson and

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Jamal Murray. Seems like he's always a like full time

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questionable or probable guy, so I would expect full lineups

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on this one. So how we break this game down?

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Speaker 3: Well, Andy, I came on last week and we were

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talking about the totals. I said that I've noticed there's

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a lot of unders hitting lately. Scoring is down league wide.

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I cited an old New York Times article and a

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bunch of stats showing how most teams were playing at

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a slightly slower pace. Well, five of seven games went

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under their number last night. Again, nothing has changed. Still

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lower scores in the NBA. We got a really low

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number for this game. I was able to get it

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at two seventeen. But we're gonna look at this total.

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Detroit thirty three and eleven, first in the Eastern Conference,

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five games up on the Boston Celtics, and they're coming

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off a one thirty nine, one sixteen shootout win at

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home against the Sacramento Kings. Of course, the Kings are

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not known for their defense. They might be somewhat allergic

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to defense. But that game, of course, went well over

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the total. They'd gone under the total in nine straight

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previous They rank number three in the NBA and opponents

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scoring giving up an average of one hundred and ten

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points per game. But it's been a lot less than

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that lately. And Denver amazing how they keep getting it

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done without Nikola Jokic, without several of their starters in

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recent weeks. I think it's Aaron Gordon who's not going

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to play tonight. I didn't see that Murray and Valentunis

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are listed as probable, so we do expect those guys

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to play. They've won seven of their last ten games.

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They've gone under in seven of the last ten games.

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They're coming off a one toho two one hundred win

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at Milwaukee now they're back home. They've been playing far

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stronger defense of late, and they've been playing at a

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much slower pace. Their average pace of play for the

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season one oh two possessions per game. They're averaging just

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ninety eight possessions per game in their last three games.

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I like the way Denver looks. I like the defense

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they're playing. We got Detroit coming in as a pretty

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big favorite here, probably based a lot on the injuries.

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Mostly on the injuries, really, and I'm going to look

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at Detroit's team total under the number. I think it's

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quite possible that neither of these teams reach this number.

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The Pistons team total sits at one eleven and a half,

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and that's the bet Detroit under one hundred and eleven

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and a half points.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it was a great call. And I've seen some

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more than one team finishing without getting to one hundred points,

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which is a far cry from where we were at

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the beginning of the season. So it's a really good,

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really good thing that you picked up on last week.

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So I love that you look at the team totals.

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But let's look at the Super Bowl. Jesse, come on,

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we got to get your opinion here on the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: No time like the present.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, we're pretty much gonna get everybody's here. So

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you get the Seahawks minus four and a half, the

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total forty five and a half slash forty six. What

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you read on the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 3: Well, you know, I'm known for giving contrarian takes, and

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I got to tell you I'm not making any friends

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last week, despite the fact that Denver was starting a

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backup quarterback and JK. Dobbins was out and they had

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a pair of running backs that rank outside the top

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forty in the NFL, I said, take the points with

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the Denver Broncos, And man did I get attacked guys

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on Instagram, Guys in the YouTube comments they called me

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all sorts and names. And then when the Patriots won

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the game, by three points. They came in to laugh

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at me and I mentioned them. You realize they didn't

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cover right.

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Speaker 1: To me.

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Speaker 3: I'm not going to be contrarian here. This one is

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very straightforward in my opinion. The Patriots had to win

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three playoff games to get here, but did they really

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win any of those games or did their opponent lose

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those games? The first wild card game they face the

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La Chargers that had no offensive line. That offensive line

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was being held together by chewing gum and duct tape.

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Then they play the Houston Texans without their best receiver

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and CJ. Stroud throws four interceptions. And then last week

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in Denver in a snowstorm, a miss field goal. Denver's

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got a backup quarterback and they're starting running back is out.

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They've had so much luck to get here, and now

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I think the luck has got a run out. They're

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facing a Seattle team that, let's face it, this has

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to be the best team in the NFL. They beat

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everybody said the Rams were the best team in the NFL,

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and I faded the Rams here last week. Seattle beat

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the Rams three times this year, and the one game

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they lost they lost by just two points. I think

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Seattle is going to roll here. Anything under this Underseid,

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and it's got to be Seahawks.

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Speaker 1: For me, looks like we're fade. Even when we're just like,

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what do you think about the Super Bowl? Jesse comes

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up the angle of who can I piss off? And

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I love that Jesse. Never change, buddy, And we're gonna

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be talking to Jesse about a college basketball team that

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he would fade in just a moment. But before that, Jesse,

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it is five dollars Tuesday. This is one of my

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favorite days because it's a great chance for folks who

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maybe have never bought before to try out. See what

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a handicapper is like. Grab a couple, you know, twenty

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dollars gets you four different handicappers. What do you got

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locked and loaded? Going for five dollars Tuesday?

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Speaker 3: Today, I'm stepping up with a hockey play, a money

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line side in hockey, and I'm nine to one ninety

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percent with money line plays so far in twenty twenty six,

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number one since twenty twenty five, number one since twenty

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twenty four, twenty twenty three, all the way back to

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twenty twenty two. With money line sides on Wager Talk

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up one hundred and seven five units with those sides

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plays over the last four years. So yeah, that small

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sample size. You can't accuse me of giving you a

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small sample size on the streaks.

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Speaker 1: Love it, Jesse Schule WTF buzz backslash JS is where

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you can grab it, all right, Jesse, let's do it.

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I was talking to you before the show. Ralph is

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going to have a full breakdown of the Nebraska versus

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Michigan college basketball game coming your way. But heading here

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into the show, you're saying, one of these teams I

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think should be some fade material tonight and maybe even

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moving forward. Who are you pissing off today, Jesse Man.

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Speaker 3: This is such a big game, such an interesting game,

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And the reason I overlooked the fact that Ralph was

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also covering it today is because I've been looking at

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the schedule for days with anticipation for this spot. You

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got an undefeated Nebraska team at Michigan. This looks like

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an obvious fade spot to bet again, the undefeated Cornhowskers.

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They're twenty and oh twelve and eight against the spread,

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number five in the a People, just number twelve in

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Ken Palm, first in the Big Ten, but they're on

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the road at Michigan and Michigan eighteen and one, number

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three in the Apeopole and number two ranked in Ken Palm.

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Like I say, this looks like where that undefeated run

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ends for Nebraska. The problem is you look at the

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line ten and a half. Are you kidding me? You

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want me to lay ten and a half to bet

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against this Nebraska team. There's no way on God's green

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Earth that I'm betting against Nebraska and laying ten and

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a half. You know, if you're gonna lay ten and

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a half against a team that's twenty and oh, you

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got to look at their schedule and say, well, they

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haven't played anybody. But that's just not true with this

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Nebraska team. They beat Wisconsin ninety to sixty, they beat

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them by thirty points. They've got wins over Illinois and

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Michigan State. They rank number three in scoring defense in

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the Big Ten, giving up just sixty five points per game.

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They rank number eight in scoring, averaging just eighty point

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nine points per game. Now, Michigan leads the Big Ten

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in scoring. They're averaging almost ninety two points per game.

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But what I noticed about Michigan is they were blowing

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everybody out early in non conference play. Since conference play

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has started. I'm not saying that Michigan's not the best

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team in the Big Ten, certainly one of them. Again,

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if the line was smaller, I'd be looking at Michigan

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in this spot. But let's face it, the line is

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ten and a half. You look at the recent schedule

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for Michigan. They beat Washington by ten, they beat Oregon

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by ten, they beat Penn State by two, they beat

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Ohio State by a dozen, and the one loss came

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to that same Wisconsin team that Nebraska beat by thirty.

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As much as this looks like a fade Nebraska spot,

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it's just too many points. I'm fading the Michigan Wolverines.

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And if you ask me, the question is this Nebraska

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team do they mean to college basketball what the Indiana

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Hoosiers did to college football. I'm gonna say I don't

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know about that, but I believe that they believe they do.

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Speaker 1: Jesse Schule getting so pumped up that he almost dropped

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the other effort. That isn't fade. That's what I like

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to see out of you, Jesse, watching this show. Yeah exactly.

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We are a family show, after all. Yeah. Well, I

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hope there's not kids watching this show knock on Wood,

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but that's Jesse Jeule. You can check them out WT Buzz,

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00:16:39,440 --> 00:16:44,080
Backslash and Jay Ass. Good luck with that hockey play

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you got going the night and grab it for five dollars.

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Over at Jesse's page some good fade material. I always

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comes strong, he comes strong, ready to go, and that's

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that's for sure.

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Speaker 2: I love introducing people to new sports on the indoor golf,

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whatever it.

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Speaker 1: Is, whatever it is, that's what Andy Lang experience is like.

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I have no clue where to even find this on

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my on my book, but I will find it and

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I will tail it and wake up and there's more

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money in my account.

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Speaker 2: That's so I'll do a quick announcement. Me and Yan

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00:17:16,880 --> 00:17:19,480
did a live watch along for it last week and

332
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it was a lot of fun. We're gonna do these

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moving forward, so when we when they're there, it's it's

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a two hour thing on a weeknight when nothing's going on.

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We had a blast, so we'll give out plays on them.

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It's a great product to watch and we've cashed the

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last couple of weeks on them, so we'll be doing

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some live watch as I'll let you know when they're on.

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But you guys, keep me in and watch. That's really good.

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Speaker 1: That's that's gonna be awesome. Also got to give a

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00:17:41,279 --> 00:17:43,480
shout out to our man crack Man yesterday he hit

342
00:17:43,559 --> 00:17:46,599
his prop And whenever you get a positive comment from

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00:17:46,599 --> 00:17:48,599
our friend Mike R you have to bring that to

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the FO. So that's that's how you know it's cold

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00:17:51,599 --> 00:17:53,559
and hell might be freezing over. We even have a

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positive comment towards crack from our man Mike car So

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appreciate it. Man, Thanks for watching. Brother.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, let's see. Uh asking about the Joe Brady hire?

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, let's see. So what so it's official. I

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was as I saw that great point out by Rob,

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I was trying to refresh my my ex page to

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see I didn't see it from the bills, but I'm

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guessing that's one of the Beat reporters that wrote at Schefter. Yeah,

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here we go, Adam Schefter that they're moving towards hiring

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Joe Brady. What's your thoughts.

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Speaker 2: On this one?

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Speaker 1: Man? Because Okaye, like, yeah, you go first, what's what's

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your thoughts here?

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Speaker 2: So when you have when when you moved to hire

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the when you moved to fire the coach and moved

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to higher the offensive coordinator. But you also keep the

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GM to me that says there was a pretty overwhelming

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feeling in the organization that this coach was not the

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guy for him. And I think it's kind of pretty

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obvious it was dead man walking for him this year

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if he didn't win the Super Bowl. And it's just

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kind of been more of the same with them. All

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these seasons have looked the same. I know somebody mentioned like,

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it's when Andy Reid, you know, got fired. What if

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this looks more like when the Warriors got rid of

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Mark Jackson and there was kind of this kind of

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an uproar they bring in Steve Kurr. It was enough

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to get him over the hump.

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Speaker 1: And so it's just so this this feels like Andy

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Reid getting fired. Andy Reid went to a Super Bowl

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and had was basically in the NFC Championship game every

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single year. So you know, I get it he's from

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that coaching tree, but I think, you know a bit

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00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:38,799
of a false equivalency there. I'm with you and for me, Brady,

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do I think he's gonna be a good head coach? Yes,

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I think a change of scenery would have done everyone

382
00:19:45,839 --> 00:19:49,640
in this Bill situation better because Sean McDermott, I'm with you,

383
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was a dead man walking. It felt like he was

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a dead man walking for two three seasons because I was.

385
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I've been saying for you know, years that it feels

386
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like that window has closed for that team because it's

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00:19:58,359 --> 00:20:01,079
a message that's gone stale in the line room. Does

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hiring from inside the building change that message all that much?

389
00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:09,319
I'm not so sure. And David points out here Joe

390
00:20:09,319 --> 00:20:13,519
Brady great offensive mind. The offense in Buffalo wasn't the problem.

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The offense year in and year out, has absolutely overperformed statistically.

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They've been one of the absolute best football teams ever

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and they have nothing to show for it, and that's

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largely because what they're doing on the defensive side of

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the ball. Mcdernott was supposed to be a defensive guy.

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Does that change much? I'll be interested to see what

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00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:35,839
they do defensive coordinator wise, what they do with free agents,

398
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because the defense what's holding this Bills team back, not

399
00:20:38,599 --> 00:20:41,519
what they're doing offensively. In my opinion, you can run

400
00:20:41,559 --> 00:20:43,119
on them. Man. If you can run on a team,

401
00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:45,359
you're not gonna win. Come playoff time. That's it.

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Speaker 4: Yeh.

403
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Speaker 2: I would also just say we could get the Ralph.

404
00:20:49,799 --> 00:20:51,640
I just think you have a real big problem if

405
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there's not an immediate picture in your head, as did

406
00:20:54,599 --> 00:20:58,319
the style of team with your head coach, Dan Campbell.

407
00:20:58,759 --> 00:21:01,000
You can picture the style of head coach. Look at

408
00:21:01,039 --> 00:21:03,000
the teams. Look at the teams in the Super Bowl.

409
00:21:03,279 --> 00:21:08,400
Mike McDonald nasty defense, Mike Vrabel, never gonna make mistakes,

410
00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:11,079
Sean McVeigh. Like you just kind of go down the

411
00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:13,599
line of the best coach. You could just picture how

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00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:17,880
the team plays. And when you say Sean McDermott, what

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comes to mind you get?

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Speaker 1: Does Joe Brady the guy who would sit up in

415
00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:25,319
the booth and call a great game? Does he strike

416
00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:28,160
me as leader of men? I'm not so sure, but

417
00:21:28,319 --> 00:21:29,680
time will tell. I think he's a hell of a

418
00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:32,079
head coach. I think he's a very innovative offensive mine.

419
00:21:32,319 --> 00:21:34,720
Offense wasn't the issue in Buffalo. That's that's the big

420
00:21:34,759 --> 00:21:35,480
takeaway for me.

421
00:21:36,319 --> 00:21:38,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, so we'll say, and that's the thing. R J

422
00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:40,720
says Brady doesn't have a personality either. That could be

423
00:21:40,759 --> 00:21:44,759
the problem. But what if what if the organization says, oh,

424
00:21:44,759 --> 00:21:46,759
we know we got a sleeping giant and Joe Brady.

425
00:21:46,799 --> 00:21:47,880
We know we got our guy.

426
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Speaker 1: He just hasn't been he would have been. He would

427
00:21:51,039 --> 00:21:54,000
have been a head coach elsewhere if not or or certainly,

428
00:21:54,400 --> 00:21:55,880
you know, with every if they brought in a new

429
00:21:55,920 --> 00:21:57,839
head coach. I think that's probably what they looked at,

430
00:21:57,960 --> 00:22:00,319
is we don't want to part from Brady, but if

431
00:22:00,359 --> 00:22:02,279
a new head coach comes in, does he stay as

432
00:22:02,400 --> 00:22:05,039
offensive coordinator? So they said, we don't want to lose

433
00:22:05,039 --> 00:22:07,440
this guy. He's the reason or a huge reason that

434
00:22:07,480 --> 00:22:09,160
this offense has put up the numbers that they have.

435
00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:13,160
I'm just not sure if it's it's quite head coach

436
00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:16,200
in Buffalo kind of guy. You know, I thought for

437
00:22:16,359 --> 00:22:18,720
years he should have been going down and working with

438
00:22:18,799 --> 00:22:23,480
Joe Burrow again down over in Cincinnati and Zach Taylor

439
00:22:23,559 --> 00:22:25,440
the only one who survives that division this year. So

440
00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:29,119
the head coaching carousel this season Andy has been one

441
00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:32,759
of the most intriguing things. I've been more interested in

442
00:22:32,799 --> 00:22:36,000
it than the postseason. That's largely because my Eagles choked.

443
00:22:36,000 --> 00:22:37,680
But we don't have to talk about.

444
00:22:38,839 --> 00:22:41,519
Speaker 2: All right, we move on. It's five dollars Tuesday, Dan,

445
00:22:42,119 --> 00:22:43,720
we got a a lot of good things up. Every

446
00:22:43,759 --> 00:22:46,480
handicapper can put up a five dollars Tuesday play. I'm

447
00:22:46,480 --> 00:22:48,920
going back to the bread and butter four percent tennis

448
00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:50,720
best bet that is up. That is a six and

449
00:22:50,839 --> 00:22:54,559
oh yeah, six and oh run on four percent tennis

450
00:22:54,559 --> 00:22:57,480
plays and a six and oh run on Australian Open plays.

451
00:22:57,519 --> 00:23:00,000
It's been a fantastic Australian Open. You guys at a five,

452
00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:04,359
we're ten and four plus twelve units and as Joveniary says,

453
00:23:04,359 --> 00:23:07,240
if it ain't broke, don't fix it. So we're going back.

454
00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:09,039
We're going back to it. We haven't had a play

455
00:23:09,039 --> 00:23:10,599
in tennis in a couple of days. We were waiting

456
00:23:10,599 --> 00:23:13,319
for this spot and I love it. It's only five bucks.

457
00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:15,519
If you haven't seen our tennis plays, great way to

458
00:23:15,519 --> 00:23:17,759
see how we break it down. You see the analysis,

459
00:23:17,759 --> 00:23:20,000
you see the type of plays that we bet, and

460
00:23:20,279 --> 00:23:23,039
we're going back to what works best for us in tennis.

461
00:23:23,079 --> 00:23:25,599
This is a parlay and even though we're kind of

462
00:23:25,599 --> 00:23:27,640
getting down to the last few matches, there's still a

463
00:23:27,640 --> 00:23:30,039
couple really really good spots. So it's only five bucks.

464
00:23:30,079 --> 00:23:33,000
Get their WT do buzz slash Al Tennis has been

465
00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:37,720
a great great source of units over the Australian Open.

466
00:23:37,799 --> 00:23:40,759
So we're up twenty six units in January. I'm happy

467
00:23:40,799 --> 00:23:43,440
with that. Last few days have not been great, but

468
00:23:43,799 --> 00:23:46,160
anytime you can start off twenty twenty six with twenty

469
00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:48,519
six units, real happy and couldn't be happier with how

470
00:23:48,559 --> 00:23:50,880
the Australian Open has gone getting the tennesse season off well.

471
00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:53,480
So partner up with me. It's only five bucks. We

472
00:23:53,519 --> 00:23:55,559
can make money for you guys tonight and then we

473
00:23:55,599 --> 00:23:57,519
can look at a seven day pass, maybe a thirty

474
00:23:57,599 --> 00:24:02,079
day pass, something like that. All right, let's bringing Ralph.

475
00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:04,839
Speaker 1: Ralph.

476
00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:08,200
Speaker 4: Hey, at least at least the Buffalo Bills can find

477
00:24:08,240 --> 00:24:11,839
people to interview. Think about me from Ohio. The Ohio

478
00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:15,079
State Buckeyes get an NFL head coach to be the

479
00:24:15,119 --> 00:24:17,640
o C and the Browns can't even get anyone to

480
00:24:17,680 --> 00:24:19,480
interview and.

481
00:24:21,759 --> 00:24:25,519
Speaker 1: Ralph. It's been it's been brutal for us because I

482
00:24:25,559 --> 00:24:31,079
think there had been more reports that coaches have withdrawn

483
00:24:31,319 --> 00:24:36,319
from uh Brown's head coach consideration and Eagles offensive coordinator

484
00:24:36,599 --> 00:24:39,200
than some teams have even interviewed like people. People are

485
00:24:39,240 --> 00:24:42,119
like I don't want these jobs. That's that's the real.

486
00:24:43,799 --> 00:24:45,000
Speaker 4: Oh to be a Browns fan.

487
00:24:46,319 --> 00:24:49,720
Speaker 2: I mean, you basically have a NFL caliber a head

488
00:24:49,799 --> 00:24:51,680
coaching staff at Ohio State.

489
00:24:55,279 --> 00:24:57,759
Speaker 4: I'll happily join the buck Eyes, right, I mean Jim

490
00:24:57,839 --> 00:24:59,319
Kenley goes to the buck Eyes to be an o

491
00:24:59,519 --> 00:25:02,880
C Right, So you know you'll, hey nice to make

492
00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:05,640
a few million dollars, have a safe job, and hang

493
00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:07,640
around with kids and just work in the winner.

494
00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:10,920
Speaker 2: So fact, all right, all right, Ralph, we got a

495
00:25:10,960 --> 00:25:17,039
college at basketball Peacock doubleheader, Nebraska, Michigan, Purdue Indiana. Let's

496
00:25:17,039 --> 00:25:19,680
start with Nebraska Michigan. We heard Jesse break this game down.

497
00:25:19,799 --> 00:25:22,079
Let's see if we get some agreement here or disagreement.

498
00:25:22,119 --> 00:25:24,640
Michigan minus ten and a half over under one fifty

499
00:25:24,680 --> 00:25:26,240
six and a half. How do you break this game down?

500
00:25:26,720 --> 00:25:28,960
Speaker 4: Well, you know, let's take a look at Nebraska. This

501
00:25:29,079 --> 00:25:32,440
isn't a team that just all of a sudden became good.

502
00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:37,519
You know, you're looking at Hoiberg. Came here in twenty

503
00:25:37,599 --> 00:25:41,200
twenty I think they won seven games, seven games, ten games,

504
00:25:41,200 --> 00:25:44,960
sixteen games. And after those first four years, what is

505
00:25:45,039 --> 00:25:49,200
Nebraska done? Twenty three wins in twenty twenty four. They

506
00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:53,079
started slow last year, but remember they actually won the

507
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:57,920
College Basketball Crown postseason tournament, gave him momentum this year,

508
00:25:58,160 --> 00:26:00,960
and they've reeled off twenty straight wins. By the way,

509
00:26:00,960 --> 00:26:03,599
they have the nation's longest win streak at twenty four

510
00:26:03,799 --> 00:26:08,519
overall wins. You know, I look at Nebraska and they

511
00:26:08,519 --> 00:26:12,160
are balanced both offense and defense. They are top twenty

512
00:26:12,200 --> 00:26:15,960
five offense, they are top fifteen defense, so they are

513
00:26:16,079 --> 00:26:20,759
a legitimate team. Their D one experience, They are as

514
00:26:20,799 --> 00:26:25,559
experienced as anyone number twenty seven in the country. I

515
00:26:26,599 --> 00:26:29,720
look at them as a whole, and you say, you

516
00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:34,119
know what sets them apart, and it really is they

517
00:26:34,160 --> 00:26:38,200
don't make mistakes. They're number seven on offensive turnovers, they

518
00:26:38,279 --> 00:26:42,880
force turnovers. On d they're number seventy nine. They're a

519
00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:47,319
three point heavy shooting team top one hundred, and their

520
00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:52,039
defense top forty five, both two points and three points.

521
00:26:53,039 --> 00:26:55,759
You look at Nebraska, and I do want to say this.

522
00:26:56,319 --> 00:26:58,599
While I'm not going to talk about the total very

523
00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:02,160
much today, I do want to point out their splits

524
00:27:02,920 --> 00:27:06,000
away from home. Nebraska seven and one against the spread

525
00:27:06,400 --> 00:27:10,799
and five and three over under at home. They do

526
00:27:10,960 --> 00:27:14,920
host Illinois on Sunday. They are one and eleven over

527
00:27:15,039 --> 00:27:18,720
under with ten straight unders by seventeen point two points

528
00:27:18,759 --> 00:27:22,680
per game. So that note, make sure you keep on

529
00:27:22,759 --> 00:27:29,119
your notes for Sunday afternoon. Michigan eighteen and one popular team,

530
00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:31,880
number one or number two on every poll to start

531
00:27:31,920 --> 00:27:36,119
the season, and they've paid the price of being a

532
00:27:36,160 --> 00:27:40,559
good team. They've seen inflated numbers. People don't know Nebraska,

533
00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:45,319
people know Michigan and in their last in their last

534
00:27:45,319 --> 00:27:51,160
fifteen games, excuse me. Since December sixth, Michigan State has

535
00:27:51,240 --> 00:27:54,480
been a double digit favorite in every game and the

536
00:27:54,599 --> 00:27:58,519
average line was twenty point five points per game. So

537
00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:01,799
basically they've laid three touchdowns in every game for the

538
00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:05,720
last month and a half. But their last five games, guys,

539
00:28:05,720 --> 00:28:08,680
they've gone zero to five against the spread, and not

540
00:28:08,799 --> 00:28:11,880
only oh to five, they fail to cover by ten

541
00:28:12,039 --> 00:28:16,240
point three points per game. Michigan one of the fastest

542
00:28:16,279 --> 00:28:19,559
paced teams in the country. Their offense is number four

543
00:28:19,799 --> 00:28:23,599
on tempo, but what has that led to? They are sloppy.

544
00:28:23,880 --> 00:28:27,759
They are not disciplined at all. On offensive turnovers, they're

545
00:28:27,839 --> 00:28:31,720
number one thirty nine in the country. Forcing defensive turnovers

546
00:28:31,759 --> 00:28:35,880
they're number one, one hundred and seventy and non turnover

547
00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:39,359
steals they are number two hundred and sixty four in

548
00:28:39,440 --> 00:28:44,640
the country. Nebraska's defense slows people down. I think that's

549
00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:47,519
going to cause Michigan to have quite a few turnovers today. Again,

550
00:28:47,559 --> 00:28:52,279
Michigan number four on offensive tempo, Nebraska's defensive tempo number

551
00:28:52,319 --> 00:28:54,640
three forty two. So when you have a team that

552
00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:56,920
makes mistakes and likes to play fast and is now

553
00:28:57,000 --> 00:29:00,759
going to be forced to play slow with pressure defense, again,

554
00:29:01,079 --> 00:29:05,359
keep an eye on Michigan's turnovers tonight. Michigan's played only

555
00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:09,720
three top twenty five defenses. They did beat Auburn and

556
00:29:09,759 --> 00:29:13,240
they did beat Gonzaga early, but both of those games

557
00:29:13,279 --> 00:29:16,599
were a Thanksgiving turnament with no rest. Their other game

558
00:29:16,599 --> 00:29:22,559
against Ohio State, they only scored seventy four points. Nebraska.

559
00:29:23,119 --> 00:29:25,440
If a team does not force turnovers, and I told

560
00:29:25,519 --> 00:29:28,799
you Michigan was bad at that, Nebraska is nine and

561
00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:32,880
one against the spread. They are a completely sound team.

562
00:29:33,319 --> 00:29:36,799
The only reason this was not a client release for

563
00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:41,880
me is that the Cornhuskers will be out without freshman

564
00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:45,599
Brandon Frager. He's only made a few starts this year,

565
00:29:45,839 --> 00:29:48,960
but he's an important bench scorer. He's their number three

566
00:29:49,079 --> 00:29:53,079
scorer on the team this year. He got hurt last game.

567
00:29:53,160 --> 00:29:55,920
He's gonna miss this game. He may miss a few more.

568
00:29:56,279 --> 00:29:59,559
I still like Nebraska. I lean under, but again, the

569
00:29:59,599 --> 00:30:01,880
injury is enough to keep it from being a client.

570
00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:07,640
Speaker 2: Play, Ralph, you got a hell of a compliment from Justin.

571
00:30:07,759 --> 00:30:11,000
I met Ralph last March Madness at a bar in Vegas.

572
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:13,519
Bought us all drinks and was the coolest dude ever.

573
00:30:13,880 --> 00:30:16,079
Oh yeah, he damn well almost put this bar out

574
00:30:16,079 --> 00:30:17,559
of business with his keynot run.

575
00:30:18,960 --> 00:30:26,759
Speaker 4: Don't worry, I gave it back. Wait when you're sitting

576
00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:28,519
You know, when I lived in Vegas, there were so

577
00:30:28,559 --> 00:30:31,359
many friends that I had. The girls are working the bars.

578
00:30:31,559 --> 00:30:33,279
It's so easy to sit at the bar and start

579
00:30:33,279 --> 00:30:35,799
doing cocktails and just start throwing money on stupid Keino,

580
00:30:36,200 --> 00:30:38,759
which you know the odds are horrible, but hey, even

581
00:30:38,759 --> 00:30:40,359
when you know the odds, there's time. You have to

582
00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:41,880
have enjoyment and play those things.

583
00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:47,480
Speaker 2: Facts, absolutely, Ralph. Let's talk to this Indiana. That's Purdue

584
00:30:47,559 --> 00:30:51,799
Indiana team Perdue playing Indiana the football school now after

585
00:30:52,240 --> 00:30:56,319
is the favorite minus five and a half over under

586
00:30:56,759 --> 00:30:58,680
one fifty one and a half of that, I guess

587
00:30:58,680 --> 00:31:01,039
they're still playing. This one is gonna be a little bit,

588
00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:03,000
a little bit, a little bit murky here. It's gonna

589
00:31:03,000 --> 00:31:06,400
take a while to get get back and forth, but uh,

590
00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:08,400
they're still gonna play. How do you break this game down?

591
00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:12,440
Speaker 4: I can't believe that they're not gonna knock on your

592
00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:16,279
condo Andy once you shovel the snow and say, excuse me,

593
00:31:16,359 --> 00:31:19,079
you need to move out of Indiana if you think

594
00:31:19,119 --> 00:31:22,119
that Purdue Indiana basketball game should not be played. So

595
00:31:22,279 --> 00:31:24,920
shame on you for being a Hoosier and even saying

596
00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:26,279
something so ludicrous.

597
00:31:26,559 --> 00:31:27,680
Speaker 1: And he's a football guy.

598
00:31:27,720 --> 00:31:32,480
Speaker 2: Now, I'm sorry. I have the safety and well being

599
00:31:32,839 --> 00:31:35,200
in the back of my head for the players and

600
00:31:35,240 --> 00:31:39,880
the fans should be driving from Leslafayette to Bloomington. There's

601
00:31:39,960 --> 00:31:43,119
like there's like big hills and that are covered in

602
00:31:43,279 --> 00:31:45,839
snow and whatever. How do you break this game down? Ral,

603
00:31:45,960 --> 00:31:47,160
who's winning covering?

604
00:31:47,759 --> 00:31:50,680
Speaker 4: You know, let's look at the basics. First, Perdue seventeen

605
00:31:50,759 --> 00:31:54,319
and three. They've played the number nine schedule, so again,

606
00:31:54,440 --> 00:31:56,720
one of the toughest schedules in the country. But they

607
00:31:56,720 --> 00:31:58,839
did lose back to back games. They went out to

608
00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:02,720
UCLA and loss and then in a great game last

609
00:32:02,720 --> 00:32:06,920
week they lost to Illinois. Ended up losing by six

610
00:32:06,960 --> 00:32:08,920
points at home. So you do have Purdue off a

611
00:32:08,920 --> 00:32:12,440
home loss of situation that they usually play very well in.

612
00:32:13,440 --> 00:32:17,920
You look on the other side, Indiana comes in with

613
00:32:18,039 --> 00:32:21,880
a thirteen and seven record against the number sixty six schedule,

614
00:32:21,960 --> 00:32:25,680
so they played a very week non conference schedule number

615
00:32:25,720 --> 00:32:29,279
three hundred, while Perdue played the number thirty eighth, toughest

616
00:32:29,319 --> 00:32:33,440
non conference schedule. That certainly gets Purdue prepared more. And

617
00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:36,200
I think we've seen Indiana struggle because they were not

618
00:32:36,400 --> 00:32:40,319
tested early against that week schedule. What happens they get

619
00:32:40,359 --> 00:32:43,160
into Big Ten action and they lost four straight games

620
00:32:43,200 --> 00:32:47,960
the Nebraska, Michigan State, Iowa, and Michigan again very good teams,

621
00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:51,160
but two of those losses were at home. They did

622
00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:54,799
snap that four game win streak beating Rutgers on the

623
00:32:54,880 --> 00:33:01,519
road on Friday. Listen to these Purdue runs they started

624
00:33:01,559 --> 00:33:06,119
the season. Excuse me, Purdue started the season one in

625
00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:10,559
five against the spread. They then go eight and one

626
00:33:10,720 --> 00:33:16,079
ats Perdue in their last six games. Over They're zero

627
00:33:16,079 --> 00:33:21,079
to six against the spread since January seventh. Now, why

628
00:33:21,200 --> 00:33:25,759
is that? I'm actually surprised. There is no team that

629
00:33:25,920 --> 00:33:30,599
returned a better starting lineup than perdue. Listen to this, guys.

630
00:33:31,680 --> 00:33:37,039
Their four returning starters have started fifty six, fifty six,

631
00:33:37,599 --> 00:33:41,000
fifty four and forty three games the last two years,

632
00:33:41,839 --> 00:33:45,440
and the only new starter they have has fifty one

633
00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:49,400
starts the last two years at Washington State at South Dakota.

634
00:33:49,480 --> 00:33:51,799
So for them to go through stretches like that where

635
00:33:51,799 --> 00:33:55,079
they're not covering really does surprise me. I thought Purdue

636
00:33:55,119 --> 00:33:57,960
was the best team in the country preseason. We've seen

637
00:33:57,960 --> 00:34:02,240
that Arizona's freshman probably likely have them as the best team.

638
00:34:02,279 --> 00:34:05,640
Some people say Michigan, but watching Arizona last night in

639
00:34:05,680 --> 00:34:08,320
a great game against BYU, thank you for all that

640
00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:11,000
purchased a five percent winner. It got very close. But

641
00:34:11,679 --> 00:34:14,079
again I do have the Wildcats as the best team.

642
00:34:14,599 --> 00:34:19,079
I look at the splits and you look at Purdue

643
00:34:19,079 --> 00:34:21,519
the last five games. You may be a little bit

644
00:34:21,559 --> 00:34:25,840
concerned because they allowed over fifty percent three times, including

645
00:34:25,880 --> 00:34:29,320
allowing fifty seven point one percent to Penn State. But

646
00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:32,679
you have to remember this this Big Ten team season.

647
00:34:32,880 --> 00:34:37,119
This year, the Big Ten is loaded with incredible offenses.

648
00:34:37,400 --> 00:34:41,400
In Ken Palm, the Big Ten offenses one, two, seven,

649
00:34:41,519 --> 00:34:44,800
twenty two, twenty seven, and twenty eight. That is six

650
00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:47,800
of the top twenty eight teams in the country. Best

651
00:34:47,840 --> 00:34:51,719
offenses come from the Big ten. The Hoosiers, I said,

652
00:34:51,760 --> 00:34:55,880
thirteen and seven the number sixty four schedule. They're nine

653
00:34:55,880 --> 00:34:59,000
and ten against the spread, nine and eleven over under.

654
00:34:59,400 --> 00:35:05,360
No at ats streaks positive, no solid ats streaks negative. Now,

655
00:35:05,440 --> 00:35:09,039
while some of the defenses have given up fifty plus

656
00:35:09,119 --> 00:35:12,880
yards percentages shooting, excuse me the last few games. I

657
00:35:12,960 --> 00:35:16,599
look at this matchup and it clearly has me on

658
00:35:16,679 --> 00:35:21,280
the under again. Purdue's defense number thirty in the country,

659
00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:26,400
Indiana number fifty seven. But look at how the teams

660
00:35:26,519 --> 00:35:32,159
play temple wise Indiana two oh nine, Perdue two to

661
00:35:32,199 --> 00:35:36,880
eighty five. Tempo has me looking under when I look

662
00:35:36,920 --> 00:35:41,920
at turnovers on offense and defense. Perdue doesn't turn the

663
00:35:41,960 --> 00:35:45,920
ball over on offense and doesn't force turnovers on defense.

664
00:35:46,159 --> 00:35:50,719
They're fifteen on offense, two nineteen on defense. Same thing

665
00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:53,119
for the Hoosiers. They do not turn the ball over

666
00:35:53,199 --> 00:35:56,960
on offense, they do not force turnovers on defense, number

667
00:35:57,000 --> 00:36:00,960
sixty seven on offense, number two twenty four on defense,

668
00:36:01,559 --> 00:36:06,360
and both teams they passed the ball. They get a

669
00:36:06,400 --> 00:36:10,719
lot of assists. They do not go one on one

670
00:36:10,760 --> 00:36:14,519
most of their shots are assisted. In fact, assist per

671
00:36:14,519 --> 00:36:18,360
field goal made Purdue number eight in the country Indiana

672
00:36:18,440 --> 00:36:24,400
number thirteen. So turnovers, tempo and passing the ball with

673
00:36:24,480 --> 00:36:27,760
a lot of cysts, all of that adds up to

674
00:36:27,880 --> 00:36:31,320
Purdue in Indiana. This is meeting number two hundred and

675
00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:35,280
twenty three between these two schools. Goes under the total.

676
00:36:37,440 --> 00:36:40,039
Speaker 2: Nice call, Ralph, I have to agree with you completely

677
00:36:40,159 --> 00:36:42,679
on this one. So not a lot of points going

678
00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:44,280
to be scored in this one with this slow pace.

679
00:36:44,440 --> 00:36:46,519
So it's five dollars Tuesday, Ralph, what do you have

680
00:36:46,559 --> 00:36:47,199
about for everyone?

681
00:36:47,960 --> 00:36:52,239
Speaker 4: Well, college basketball number one the last thirty days, number

682
00:36:52,239 --> 00:36:57,440
one since December fifteenth, and a sixteen and four college

683
00:36:57,480 --> 00:37:02,360
basketball run that folks eighty percent. I have my sec

684
00:37:02,440 --> 00:37:06,960
game of the week up. It is five dollars take advantage.

685
00:37:08,519 --> 00:37:10,719
Speaker 2: Ralph Michaels, thank you so much for joining.

686
00:37:10,440 --> 00:37:12,440
Speaker 4: You know what, Eddie, you can I say one more thing.

687
00:37:12,800 --> 00:37:17,280
I just want to remind people tomorrow. Tomorrow after twelve noon,

688
00:37:17,360 --> 00:37:21,039
make sure you head to my homepage. I'll have my

689
00:37:21,199 --> 00:37:24,360
Super Bowl prop report. It has the grades from all

690
00:37:24,400 --> 00:37:27,320
the props for the last fifteen years. It breaks down

691
00:37:27,800 --> 00:37:32,519
what everything has occurred and it flies off the shelf.

692
00:37:32,559 --> 00:37:35,400
It's wild. I know the Westgate releases props tomorrow, so

693
00:37:35,440 --> 00:37:38,559
I'll have that out tomorrow. Well, so I'll shoot a

694
00:37:39,000 --> 00:37:41,559
note for you guys in here, and maybe every day

695
00:37:41,840 --> 00:37:44,159
you guys break down a prop and tell exactly what

696
00:37:44,199 --> 00:37:46,920
has happened over the last fifteen years with that prop

697
00:37:46,960 --> 00:37:48,119
in those situations.

698
00:37:48,639 --> 00:37:51,400
Speaker 1: Love it, Thank you, Ralph. I appreciate it, buddy.

699
00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:54,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely, Yeah, it's prop season, baby, super Bowl prop season.

700
00:37:55,079 --> 00:37:59,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know that. Even Ski is tuning in and

701
00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:01,639
dropping some Ralph love here. You know what I mean.

702
00:38:01,719 --> 00:38:04,320
And if you if you want a little bit more NBA,

703
00:38:04,400 --> 00:38:06,159
don't worry, Andy has I'm coming up in all around

704
00:38:06,199 --> 00:38:08,719
the World, prays, get the hell out of here, coming

705
00:38:08,800 --> 00:38:10,679
up in all around the world. We need to take

706
00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:12,960
the power away from this man. We need to take

707
00:38:12,960 --> 00:38:14,719
the power away from him. But coming up at one

708
00:38:14,880 --> 00:38:18,159
thirty today here on wager Talk TV, you can see

709
00:38:18,159 --> 00:38:22,039
Ski alongside Rob Ven on his daily show Profit Pick.

710
00:38:22,159 --> 00:38:24,800
So appreciate Ski tune in here, dropping in the chat.

711
00:38:25,039 --> 00:38:26,679
And we don't have a choice. Do we just bring

712
00:38:26,719 --> 00:38:31,320
on pres I mean, oh okay, yeah, we got winners

713
00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:35,719
present then you okay, just breathe, because Andy, you've been

714
00:38:35,760 --> 00:38:40,480
making people freakin' because Matt j twenty twenty, you're our winner,

715
00:38:40,519 --> 00:38:43,559
you commented below our uh in our head to head

716
00:38:43,760 --> 00:38:46,599
Denver taking on at the New England Patriots. Andy covered

717
00:38:46,639 --> 00:38:49,519
that game, so he won Matt Jay a free three

718
00:38:49,599 --> 00:38:52,880
day flex pass, and then Andy was forced to break

719
00:38:52,920 --> 00:38:56,239
down his own Pacers and take them. Not only do

720
00:38:56,320 --> 00:38:59,639
they cover, they win outright and ain't nobody was common

721
00:38:59,679 --> 00:39:02,159
and in except for two people. One of them was

722
00:39:02,159 --> 00:39:05,239
Cozy here, So twelve Colzy, you will also by the

723
00:39:05,360 --> 00:39:07,599
end of the show here have a free three day

724
00:39:07,599 --> 00:39:10,000
flex pass on your account. Andy, You've been cashing for

725
00:39:10,039 --> 00:39:11,639
these people in our little head to heads.

726
00:39:12,639 --> 00:39:15,559
Speaker 2: I mean, listen, there's no way I would have chosen

727
00:39:15,679 --> 00:39:17,840
to take the Pacers fifteen and a half and then

728
00:39:17,880 --> 00:39:20,320
to win outright is truly ludicrous, and it's one of

729
00:39:20,320 --> 00:39:23,079
the dumber wins of the season. Like, why would you

730
00:39:23,119 --> 00:39:25,400
win against the Thunder. That's the stupidest.

731
00:39:24,960 --> 00:39:25,920
Speaker 1: Because it's what they do.

732
00:39:26,679 --> 00:39:31,000
Speaker 2: It's the dumbest win. It's the dumbest win. You just

733
00:39:31,079 --> 00:39:34,039
let the Thunder win. You lose improve your draft. Every

734
00:39:34,079 --> 00:39:36,320
time they win. I get more and more frustrated. So

735
00:39:37,119 --> 00:39:39,480
all right, you know who, I don't get frustrated when

736
00:39:39,480 --> 00:39:41,079
he wins before.

737
00:39:40,840 --> 00:39:43,079
Speaker 1: It walks a blood vessel, bring his ass in here

738
00:39:44,400 --> 00:39:48,039
exactly like your your purple shirt underneath, and it just

739
00:39:48,079 --> 00:39:51,800
like blended. I thought you were going just sweatshirt chest puppies,

740
00:39:51,840 --> 00:39:53,519
but you do have a shirt underneath, and I love

741
00:39:53,559 --> 00:39:59,920
that thing. Man, you're looking good. What's going on? Dan?

742
00:40:00,079 --> 00:40:00,840
Speaker 2: Enjoying your hair?

743
00:40:00,960 --> 00:40:02,679
Speaker 5: Dude, you're looking very handsome today.

744
00:40:02,760 --> 00:40:04,079
Speaker 2: Andy. Nice to see you.

745
00:40:04,840 --> 00:40:08,239
Speaker 1: I listened to you friends. You said it because because

746
00:40:08,280 --> 00:40:12,039
like because because it was like we were recording the

747
00:40:12,079 --> 00:40:15,440
present dress, what was it three four weeks ago or whatever,

748
00:40:15,719 --> 00:40:17,599
you know, even longer than that. You were like, Dan,

749
00:40:17,719 --> 00:40:19,440
if you're gonna have long hair, get rid of the

750
00:40:19,559 --> 00:40:22,159
stupid bob and just grow it out. So I'm starting

751
00:40:22,159 --> 00:40:24,000
to get a little bit more length to it, just

752
00:40:24,079 --> 00:40:24,719
off of yourself.

753
00:40:24,920 --> 00:40:25,159
Speaker 2: Nice.

754
00:40:26,000 --> 00:40:30,159
Speaker 5: Yeah, I could never understand like that, Keith Urban like

755
00:40:30,239 --> 00:40:33,679
that like like grow it or don't grow it?

756
00:40:33,880 --> 00:40:36,280
Speaker 1: Well, they said that I looked like Lord Farquad, and

757
00:40:36,320 --> 00:40:38,239
that was that's the point that I was like, you

758
00:40:38,280 --> 00:40:39,880
know what, I think I probably got to grow this

759
00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:43,360
thing out again. I can't be far Quad adjacent.

760
00:40:43,000 --> 00:40:45,039
Speaker 2: You know, I don't even know who that is. Bro.

761
00:40:45,199 --> 00:40:47,639
Speaker 1: I'll pull up a picture by the end of your segment, Bres.

762
00:40:47,719 --> 00:40:50,119
Speaker 5: I've never been more excited. Can we just get there now?

763
00:40:50,800 --> 00:40:51,119
Speaker 2: All right?

764
00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:52,000
Speaker 1: Time?

765
00:40:52,679 --> 00:40:55,800
Speaker 2: Yes, all right, Laurd's you kind of got a couple

766
00:40:55,840 --> 00:40:58,639
of mad games here tonight. So it's your job to

767
00:40:58,639 --> 00:41:02,119
make these exciting, to make these breakdowns excited for us

768
00:41:02,159 --> 00:41:04,199
to bet on them if you can find an angle here.

769
00:41:04,280 --> 00:41:08,760
So you're dude, start with the Stars and the Blues.

770
00:41:10,519 --> 00:41:12,039
What are you making these two teams right now? I

771
00:41:12,079 --> 00:41:14,639
can't really find any interesting angles from them. What do

772
00:41:14,679 --> 00:41:16,559
you make of these two teams in this matchup tonight?

773
00:41:16,960 --> 00:41:20,400
Speaker 5: Well, I mean okay, so full disclosure. Dallas to me

774
00:41:20,559 --> 00:41:23,199
is a team that everyone should be looking to bet

775
00:41:23,280 --> 00:41:27,159
on moving forward. I like to speak more conceptually because

776
00:41:27,199 --> 00:41:29,599
it's more important to find teams to bet on over

777
00:41:29,639 --> 00:41:33,239
the next two weeks than it is to find games tonight.

778
00:41:33,679 --> 00:41:35,599
So the Dallas Stars are a team I'm looking to

779
00:41:35,639 --> 00:41:39,239
bet on moving forward. They play Saint Louis tonight, then

780
00:41:39,280 --> 00:41:43,239
they're in Vegas, Utah, and Winnipeg. They got quite a

781
00:41:43,320 --> 00:41:46,159
schedule coming up. This is an important game for them,

782
00:41:46,960 --> 00:41:49,320
and I think they're the right side here at minus

783
00:41:49,320 --> 00:41:52,960
one fifty ish. They just beat Saint Louis three to two.

784
00:41:53,000 --> 00:41:56,960
In their last game, they were out shot by Saint Louis.

785
00:41:57,280 --> 00:42:01,480
Saint Louis put up twenty two shots, Dallas nineteen. I mean,

786
00:42:01,480 --> 00:42:05,760
that is just anemic offense, and that's where we're gonna go.

787
00:42:05,840 --> 00:42:09,519
I like Dallas, but I prefer the under in this game,

788
00:42:09,519 --> 00:42:10,760
and I like the under a lot.

789
00:42:10,800 --> 00:42:10,960
Speaker 1: Here.

790
00:42:11,440 --> 00:42:13,599
Speaker 5: You take a look and there's just a lot of

791
00:42:13,760 --> 00:42:18,320
ones in play. Saint Louis and Dallas played last game.

792
00:42:18,360 --> 00:42:20,239
It went under the total of five and a half

793
00:42:20,320 --> 00:42:24,559
three to two score. Dallas played Columbus, won nothing score.

794
00:42:24,920 --> 00:42:28,119
They played Boston, they put up six, but they held

795
00:42:28,199 --> 00:42:31,639
Boston to two. They played Tampa Bay, they only put

796
00:42:31,719 --> 00:42:34,960
up one. They played Utah, they only put up one.

797
00:42:35,280 --> 00:42:38,719
They played Anaheim, they only put up one. They played

798
00:42:38,719 --> 00:42:42,159
the La Kings, they held them to one. There's a

799
00:42:42,239 --> 00:42:45,599
lot of ones involved in a Dallas Stars game. So

800
00:42:45,679 --> 00:42:49,000
what is going to happen tonight? Which team will only

801
00:42:49,079 --> 00:42:52,760
get one goal? Who cares because the other team ain't

802
00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:57,079
getting five? So that's where the underlies for me. You

803
00:42:57,119 --> 00:43:00,599
look at Saint Louis. Sure they went over against the

804
00:43:00,719 --> 00:43:03,760
La Kings five to four they went under the game,

805
00:43:04,079 --> 00:43:06,280
or that three to two against Dallas under the game,

806
00:43:06,320 --> 00:43:09,880
but wore that three to one against Winnipeg under the

807
00:43:09,920 --> 00:43:13,000
game before that five nothing against Edmonton under the game,

808
00:43:13,039 --> 00:43:15,119
but wore that three to two against Tapa Bay, three

809
00:43:15,239 --> 00:43:21,519
nothing against Carolina. Let's not overthink this, guys. Uh, Saint

810
00:43:21,559 --> 00:43:23,480
Louis ain't going to be playing to the over much

811
00:43:23,639 --> 00:43:26,920
moving forward, and Dallas is a team that is going

812
00:43:27,000 --> 00:43:30,440
to start locking their opponents down on a regular basis.

813
00:43:30,559 --> 00:43:35,639
Speaker 2: Take the under, we move on to the capitals in

814
00:43:35,679 --> 00:43:38,639
the crack in that's a that's a very very good

815
00:43:38,639 --> 00:43:40,960
way to look at that game. There. I was telling us, Hey,

816
00:43:40,960 --> 00:43:42,599
this is the team you're betting on, and you're taking

817
00:43:42,599 --> 00:43:45,599
the unders. Here we looked at Washington minus one thirty

818
00:43:45,679 --> 00:43:48,480
crack and plus one ten over under a six in

819
00:43:48,519 --> 00:43:51,159
this one under again or different takes.

820
00:43:51,239 --> 00:43:53,280
Speaker 5: Yeah, And not only am I looking to go under

821
00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:55,639
the total, Andy, but this is a two percent play

822
00:43:55,719 --> 00:43:59,679
for my clients, So no reason to grab my old

823
00:43:59,719 --> 00:44:03,159
axe package. I only have one other play. We'll talk

824
00:44:03,199 --> 00:44:05,599
about that in a little bit. So this is a

825
00:44:05,599 --> 00:44:09,599
play that I really really like and I would release

826
00:44:09,840 --> 00:44:13,519
under six in the Dallas Saint Louis game. But alas

827
00:44:14,320 --> 00:44:17,840
it's five and a half, and I do concern myself.

828
00:44:18,639 --> 00:44:21,400
You know, you have a situation where it's two nothing

829
00:44:21,920 --> 00:44:24,760
with five minutes left in the game, and then it

830
00:44:24,800 --> 00:44:27,440
goes to three nothing with three minutes left, and then

831
00:44:27,519 --> 00:44:29,639
a goalie is pulled. The next thing, you know, it's

832
00:44:29,679 --> 00:44:34,559
four to two. So I try not to bet under

833
00:44:34,599 --> 00:44:37,679
five and a halfs. I like under five and a halves,

834
00:44:37,719 --> 00:44:40,360
but I don't normally bet them. But this is a six,

835
00:44:40,840 --> 00:44:43,320
and this is an under two. And let's break this

836
00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:48,000
game down as well. Look, New Jersey just played Seattle

837
00:44:48,119 --> 00:44:51,599
four to two. Before that, Anaheim Seattle.

838
00:44:51,199 --> 00:44:51,719
Speaker 2: Four to two.

839
00:44:51,960 --> 00:44:55,280
Speaker 5: Those are both pushes up or one against the New

840
00:44:55,360 --> 00:44:58,800
York Islanders. But the bottom line here is that both

841
00:44:58,880 --> 00:45:04,199
of these teams want to play under games. Washington just

842
00:45:04,199 --> 00:45:07,280
played a five to six game against Eminton before that

843
00:45:07,400 --> 00:45:12,119
three to one. This is both these teams are structured

844
00:45:12,880 --> 00:45:16,800
to be low scoring games. Capitals do not have a

845
00:45:16,840 --> 00:45:19,639
whole lot of depth on offense. This is a team

846
00:45:19,639 --> 00:45:22,239
that's going to be struggling, struggled to score.

847
00:45:22,360 --> 00:45:23,480
Speaker 1: Really most of the year.

848
00:45:23,559 --> 00:45:26,760
Speaker 5: And you look down there, down what they're doing they

849
00:45:27,039 --> 00:45:29,800
put up five last game before that. In the seven

850
00:45:29,840 --> 00:45:33,360
games prior, they couldn't get over three. I think both

851
00:45:33,360 --> 00:45:36,679
of these teams want to play defense. I think it's

852
00:45:36,719 --> 00:45:40,960
the right spot for defense tonight. I think this is

853
00:45:41,000 --> 00:45:43,400
going to be a super low scoring game.

854
00:45:45,440 --> 00:45:47,800
Speaker 2: Two unders have to agree with you. Are you seeing

855
00:45:47,840 --> 00:45:53,599
trends across nhlick some teams? Okay, I don't.

856
00:45:54,639 --> 00:46:00,239
Speaker 5: I never pay attention to team wide stats, but but

857
00:46:00,320 --> 00:46:03,159
I I respect people who do. I do want to

858
00:46:03,199 --> 00:46:06,599
say one thing though, if I can, you know, hijack

859
00:46:06,679 --> 00:46:07,360
the show.

860
00:46:08,480 --> 00:46:12,440
Speaker 1: Cash and Andy, I told you, I told you as well,

861
00:46:13,000 --> 00:46:15,800
I will hijack this show, and verbatim, he goes, let

862
00:46:15,840 --> 00:46:16,840
me hijack this show.

863
00:46:16,880 --> 00:46:20,039
Speaker 5: So Andy, send me half my bet. Andy's send me

864
00:46:20,079 --> 00:46:22,360
the half the money that you well done that you

865
00:46:23,000 --> 00:46:27,000
bet on that. No, no, in all serious is We

866
00:46:27,079 --> 00:46:29,440
had a comment on the Best betting show ever yesterday

867
00:46:29,519 --> 00:46:32,880
about a guy who bought a few handicappers plays and

868
00:46:33,000 --> 00:46:39,239
three of them were on were on Louisville and Louisville lost,

869
00:46:39,360 --> 00:46:43,400
And the point that they made was when three handicappers

870
00:46:43,440 --> 00:46:45,880
are on the same play, I give it extra weight.

871
00:46:46,719 --> 00:46:47,079
Speaker 4: Andy.

872
00:46:47,159 --> 00:46:49,920
Speaker 5: This is a topic that I wanted to discuss, because

873
00:46:50,639 --> 00:46:54,159
what I want to say to everybody listening is nine

874
00:46:54,800 --> 00:46:57,840
of the time twenty handicappers are on the same play.

875
00:46:57,920 --> 00:47:03,199
They're all using the same handicap, so they've all noticed

876
00:47:03,360 --> 00:47:09,360
a similar angle trend situation that is leading them to

877
00:47:09,400 --> 00:47:14,239
make that decision. That play is not twenty times stronger

878
00:47:14,280 --> 00:47:18,199
because twenty people are using the exact same angle. It

879
00:47:18,280 --> 00:47:23,199
is still just as strong as only one person released it.

880
00:47:23,840 --> 00:47:28,039
Do not get caught up when sixty guys all like

881
00:47:28,199 --> 00:47:32,119
the same play, It does not make it stronger.

882
00:47:32,599 --> 00:47:38,840
Speaker 2: Sorry, personal announcement fair. I don't. I don't. I don't

883
00:47:38,840 --> 00:47:41,719
think I have a follow up because I would be

884
00:47:41,880 --> 00:47:44,639
truly stunned if I had the same play as anybody

885
00:47:44,679 --> 00:47:48,039
else on wager talk. I surely what I mean.

886
00:47:48,199 --> 00:47:51,679
Speaker 5: Both you and I bet Bob Barenko in Darnce last

887
00:47:51,760 --> 00:47:53,000
night Four Percenter.

888
00:47:54,519 --> 00:47:57,639
Speaker 2: I did not, But I guarantee you do not have

889
00:47:57,719 --> 00:48:01,480
the same play as my five to dollar tennis play today.

890
00:48:01,519 --> 00:48:03,760
I will. I will guarantee you one hundred percent.

891
00:48:03,760 --> 00:48:04,559
Speaker 1: We don't do locks.

892
00:48:04,760 --> 00:48:07,760
Speaker 2: That is a lock. Yeah, I know exactly what you're saying.

893
00:48:08,320 --> 00:48:10,360
I did some. I'll give you a perfect example. I

894
00:48:10,400 --> 00:48:13,280
did some experimenting with having just I just put in

895
00:48:13,400 --> 00:48:16,320
to AI, say hey, look up the starting lineups for

896
00:48:16,760 --> 00:48:20,320
NBA teams and run ten thousand simulations and give me

897
00:48:20,360 --> 00:48:23,360
your best player props for I ran it for two

898
00:48:23,440 --> 00:48:26,119
months every night, and it was exactly like fifty percent.

899
00:48:26,280 --> 00:48:28,639
They hit like fifty percent. And then I realized, Oh,

900
00:48:28,679 --> 00:48:32,360
all they're doing is looking up the same websites that

901
00:48:32,360 --> 00:48:35,119
that are giving it, giving the exact same information, the

902
00:48:35,199 --> 00:48:38,760
exact same trends. They're pulling the same stats that that

903
00:48:39,000 --> 00:48:41,519
every other person is. So yeah, you do have to

904
00:48:41,559 --> 00:48:44,480
be careful when everyone is pulling the same information. I

905
00:48:44,519 --> 00:48:45,400
get it, but.

906
00:48:45,440 --> 00:48:48,039
Speaker 5: I do, uh, I do like both unders in those

907
00:48:48,079 --> 00:48:51,559
two games tonight. Somebody wanted something on the leafs. I

908
00:48:51,639 --> 00:48:53,639
love the over in the leaf game tonight.

909
00:48:53,679 --> 00:48:56,119
Speaker 2: Guys, there you go, there you go, there you go.

910
00:48:56,199 --> 00:48:57,679
Five dollars Tuesday. What do you have up?

911
00:48:58,159 --> 00:49:01,840
Speaker 5: Oh Andy, think you were asking you.

912
00:49:02,199 --> 00:49:04,559
Speaker 2: Hit your last You hit your big one last week. Right,

913
00:49:05,039 --> 00:49:07,039
let's go make it two in a row. Give it

914
00:49:07,079 --> 00:49:10,760
to us. We're three in so three three in a row.

915
00:49:11,159 --> 00:49:12,559
Let's go three in a row.

916
00:49:12,639 --> 00:49:17,320
Speaker 5: All four percent NHL money line bets and guys, I've

917
00:49:17,320 --> 00:49:20,440
been telling you, guys, these are the best bets that

918
00:49:20,480 --> 00:49:23,639
I ever bet ever in my life. I had an

919
00:49:23,599 --> 00:49:27,360
four percent play last night in college basketball, my first

920
00:49:27,400 --> 00:49:33,320
one of the season. It was Arizona against BYU, crazy ending,

921
00:49:33,440 --> 00:49:37,320
but it cashed. I'm now on a nine and oh

922
00:49:37,599 --> 00:49:40,800
run in four percent plays, I'm sixty three percent since

923
00:49:40,920 --> 00:49:44,760
January first of twenty twenty five. But none of that

924
00:49:44,920 --> 00:49:47,920
is important. What is important is I have an four

925
00:49:47,960 --> 00:49:53,920
percent NHL money line bet forty three and eighteen in

926
00:49:54,000 --> 00:49:58,000
these bets since twenty twenty two. So nine and oh

927
00:49:58,159 --> 00:50:02,000
run twenty and sex run. There's your short term run,

928
00:50:02,039 --> 00:50:05,280
there's your medium term run, and your long term run.

929
00:50:05,360 --> 00:50:07,800
Forty three and eighteen. We won it last week, we

930
00:50:07,840 --> 00:50:13,000
won it the week before. We're rolling it back. Bet

931
00:50:13,119 --> 00:50:14,000
my play tonight.

932
00:50:14,039 --> 00:50:14,400
Speaker 2: Guys.

933
00:50:14,440 --> 00:50:17,679
Speaker 5: It is only five bucks. I am telling you it

934
00:50:17,800 --> 00:50:22,400
is a doozy. It is going to win outright. The

935
00:50:22,480 --> 00:50:28,400
other thing is Andy awbf or at Arizona minus one

936
00:50:28,440 --> 00:50:30,639
and a half, and I want to hijack the show again.

937
00:50:31,159 --> 00:50:31,519
Speaker 4: Guys.

938
00:50:31,599 --> 00:50:35,519
Speaker 5: We've been down this path a million times. If a

939
00:50:35,599 --> 00:50:40,280
basketball game is under two, you take it on the

940
00:50:40,400 --> 00:50:45,280
money line. Money line money line, you take it to

941
00:50:45,400 --> 00:50:49,119
minus one thirty five, So minus one thirty five instead

942
00:50:49,159 --> 00:50:53,360
of minus two, minus one thirty instead of minus won thirty,

943
00:50:53,639 --> 00:50:56,800
minus one and a half, minus one twenty instead of

944
00:50:56,840 --> 00:51:01,400
minus a half the money line, it will give you

945
00:51:01,559 --> 00:51:06,639
a two percent greater win rate over your life of betting.

946
00:51:07,119 --> 00:51:08,400
Speaker 1: So a w B.

947
00:51:09,199 --> 00:51:13,039
Speaker 5: Yeah, man, that play was scary, but take it on

948
00:51:13,199 --> 00:51:15,800
the money live, yeah and present.

949
00:51:16,119 --> 00:51:18,159
Speaker 1: You know, a lot of the time when when you know,

950
00:51:18,159 --> 00:51:19,840
you were hosting the show and we did that, you

951
00:51:19,880 --> 00:51:22,400
know what a Better's learner asked, you know, Teddy and Prez.

952
00:51:22,679 --> 00:51:24,039
One of the things that would come up all the

953
00:51:24,039 --> 00:51:27,519
time was the thought of, you know, buying points, buying

954
00:51:27,559 --> 00:51:29,719
half points when it's good to do when it's not.

955
00:51:30,079 --> 00:51:33,480
So it always was interesting to me that it was

956
00:51:33,519 --> 00:51:36,880
such a hard concept to grab about two and under

957
00:51:37,199 --> 00:51:39,559
betting because because you know, the same people are more

958
00:51:39,599 --> 00:51:41,800
than happy buying a half point and and you know,

959
00:51:41,840 --> 00:51:43,920
it's essentially what you're doing is you're just cutting down

960
00:51:44,239 --> 00:51:47,719
your your you know, potential exposure there laying that point

961
00:51:47,760 --> 00:51:49,320
in a half, you win by one, you're screwed. If

962
00:51:49,360 --> 00:51:50,920
you just bet the money line and paid the extra

963
00:51:50,960 --> 00:51:52,920
five cents, it made a hell of a lot of

964
00:51:52,960 --> 00:51:55,199
sense to do. So love when you come on here

965
00:51:55,199 --> 00:51:57,519
with that betting theory stuff, because that's that's the teach

966
00:51:57,519 --> 00:51:59,440
a man to fish kind of stuff that Wader talking

967
00:51:59,480 --> 00:52:00,760
is known for. People love.

968
00:52:01,519 --> 00:52:03,840
Speaker 5: I love it too, and Aw follows it up with

969
00:52:03,960 --> 00:52:06,800
I pick my spots. That would be even worse of

970
00:52:06,880 --> 00:52:09,800
a strategy to do is to pick your spots.

971
00:52:09,920 --> 00:52:12,599
Speaker 1: Just how do you pick them?

972
00:52:12,639 --> 00:52:12,760
Speaker 2: Like?

973
00:52:13,000 --> 00:52:16,000
Speaker 5: How do how did he know that last night was

974
00:52:16,039 --> 00:52:19,679
the spot to pick him and the time before that wasn't.

975
00:52:19,960 --> 00:52:25,119
This is a mathematical equation, so you don't try to

976
00:52:25,199 --> 00:52:29,400
pick your spots. Bet correctly. Johnny Detroit forty nine, ninety

977
00:52:30,000 --> 00:52:31,440
lots of love, my brother.

978
00:52:31,559 --> 00:52:33,800
Speaker 1: Real quick, press before you leave. Here's is what Lord

979
00:52:33,840 --> 00:52:34,800
Farquaad looks like.

980
00:52:35,159 --> 00:52:40,800
Speaker 5: That's my Oh wait, that's from for Shrek.

981
00:52:41,440 --> 00:52:41,639
Speaker 2: Yeah.

982
00:52:42,239 --> 00:52:45,800
Speaker 5: Let me tell you something, Dan, If you ever have

983
00:52:46,039 --> 00:52:49,840
bangs like that, I will never come on this show ever.

984
00:52:50,079 --> 00:52:58,360
Imagine when Brian Power meets It'd be like when Brian

985
00:52:58,440 --> 00:53:00,000
Power meets Dan Alexander.

986
00:53:00,480 --> 00:53:02,199
Speaker 4: Oh my god.

987
00:53:02,119 --> 00:53:06,760
Speaker 1: Oh my, there we go, fres You look so young there, dam.

988
00:53:10,280 --> 00:53:13,559
Speaker 4: Look this brilliant comment.

989
00:53:13,599 --> 00:53:15,960
Speaker 5: I picked my spots as well, especially when it comes

990
00:53:16,000 --> 00:53:17,000
to fading the press.

991
00:53:17,079 --> 00:53:17,280
Speaker 1: Laugh.

992
00:53:17,960 --> 00:53:21,480
Speaker 5: This is Mike, Mike, is it a maid today or

993
00:53:21,559 --> 00:53:22,760
is it not a maid today?

994
00:53:22,840 --> 00:53:26,119
Speaker 1: Let me know. Wait wait, he said, haven't needed that

995
00:53:26,159 --> 00:53:30,280
with his picks in forever. Oh, I just dropped the

996
00:53:30,800 --> 00:53:33,920
because you've been freaking rolling press. That's what I'm talking about.

997
00:53:33,960 --> 00:53:36,159
Speaker 5: Thank you, my brother. I love doing the show, you guys.

998
00:53:36,199 --> 00:53:38,960
I won't be on next Tuesday. I'm skiing in Park City.

999
00:53:39,480 --> 00:53:43,079
Anybody in Utah dm me on Twitter. I be delighted

1000
00:53:43,119 --> 00:53:48,679
to ski circles around you. So the whole of America

1001
00:53:48,719 --> 00:53:54,280
and Canada is under a freezing alert snow everywhere except

1002
00:53:54,920 --> 00:53:56,840
in Utah.

1003
00:53:58,280 --> 00:54:05,039
Speaker 1: Gone enjoy amazing, you enjoy your skiing. I love you, buddy, Pres. Yes,

1004
00:54:05,320 --> 00:54:08,920
it's the only only time you get hair handicapping is

1005
00:54:08,960 --> 00:54:11,039
when President's on. It's one thing that I love about

1006
00:54:11,039 --> 00:54:12,840
the man. I was good.

1007
00:54:12,880 --> 00:54:15,039
Speaker 2: I was gonna tell everybody, like, like President, I came

1008
00:54:15,079 --> 00:54:17,199
with the heat last week, we both cashed our four

1009
00:54:17,239 --> 00:54:22,320
percent bests, like get give both, get both, Pres Mike,

1010
00:54:22,320 --> 00:54:25,239
because they are completely different sports. We're both rocking four

1011
00:54:25,280 --> 00:54:27,000
percent plays like we did last week.

1012
00:54:27,119 --> 00:54:30,760
Speaker 1: So all right, and even even Steve, he used the

1013
00:54:31,039 --> 00:54:33,000
free play that you gave out on the show, cashed

1014
00:54:33,039 --> 00:54:34,639
in and he said, I'm gonna buy the four percent

1015
00:54:34,639 --> 00:54:37,199
of today. So love that, Steve. Appreciate and thanks for

1016
00:54:37,239 --> 00:54:39,639
being a way to talk insider. If you want to

1017
00:54:39,639 --> 00:54:43,840
be a way to talk insider wt up Buzz backslash Insiders.

1018
00:54:43,960 --> 00:54:46,880
W t up Buzz slash Insiders is how you can

1019
00:54:46,920 --> 00:54:49,360
get early access to all of our videos here and

1020
00:54:49,599 --> 00:54:53,400
extra perks like access to some steam room with Yanni

1021
00:54:53,480 --> 00:54:55,719
a couple of times a month here, so pace and

1022
00:54:55,880 --> 00:54:58,199
it's super low price for you, and it's a big

1023
00:54:58,239 --> 00:55:00,239
way to say thank you to the channel outside of

1024
00:55:00,280 --> 00:55:03,559
just liking and subscribing. Folks. We're under ten thousand away

1025
00:55:03,639 --> 00:55:06,239
Andy from a quarter of a million people in there

1026
00:55:06,239 --> 00:55:08,119
and subscribe here. So we're going to get there.

1027
00:55:08,719 --> 00:55:12,119
Speaker 2: Gonna get there all right, We're going all around the world.

1028
00:55:12,239 --> 00:55:14,800
I recorded the prop line earlier, gave out an eighteen

1029
00:55:14,840 --> 00:55:17,639
to one same game parlay. That's on the Wayja Talk

1030
00:55:17,679 --> 00:55:19,760
YouTube channel. Dan and I and Yan are going to

1031
00:55:19,800 --> 00:55:22,519
be recording the Golf show right after this. Let's do

1032
00:55:22,599 --> 00:55:24,840
some free plays. We're going to the Panthers and the Mammoth.

1033
00:55:24,920 --> 00:55:26,880
Sam Bennett over two and a half shots on goal.

1034
00:55:27,760 --> 00:55:30,000
He's on one of his heaters. When this guy gets

1035
00:55:30,079 --> 00:55:33,000
going on shots on goal. He's a monster. He can

1036
00:55:33,039 --> 00:55:35,239
get on a heater in points and shots on goal,

1037
00:55:35,320 --> 00:55:37,360
but right now it's shots on goal. Five overs in

1038
00:55:37,360 --> 00:55:40,599
a row, seven shot attempts per game and over and

1039
00:55:40,719 --> 00:55:44,639
five straight against this team Blazers and Wizards. This is

1040
00:55:44,679 --> 00:55:48,119
going to be a client play four percenter. Drew Holiday

1041
00:55:48,159 --> 00:55:51,280
over eleven and a half points, fourteen plus points in

1042
00:55:51,360 --> 00:55:54,519
three straight games. His minutes are around twenty three. Now

1043
00:55:54,519 --> 00:55:59,159
that he's healthy, Avdia should play tonight. It actually seems

1044
00:55:59,199 --> 00:56:01,320
to help Drew Holliday. He's gone over this number and

1045
00:56:01,360 --> 00:56:04,079
six out of the last seven times, making five field

1046
00:56:04,079 --> 00:56:06,679
goal attempts per game. Two of those are three pointers,

1047
00:56:06,719 --> 00:56:09,599
adding a couple free throws. And he's playing Washington, who

1048
00:56:09,639 --> 00:56:12,400
gives up fifty points per game to guards. They're awful

1049
00:56:12,800 --> 00:56:14,920
on defense. So Drew Holliday over eleven and a half

1050
00:56:14,920 --> 00:56:20,360
points and then Farmers Insurance open Ryan Girard top forty

1051
00:56:20,480 --> 00:56:22,960
including ties. I don't know, Dan, I just kind of

1052
00:56:22,960 --> 00:56:25,079
want the guy that's finished in second place the last

1053
00:56:25,119 --> 00:56:27,719
three tournaments he's played in. I just I kind of

1054
00:56:27,719 --> 00:56:30,119
want that guy. I want the guy that finished fifteenth

1055
00:56:30,159 --> 00:56:32,519
at this tournament last year. I'll just take that guy

1056
00:56:32,800 --> 00:56:35,320
at a fairy fair price including ties. I don't need

1057
00:56:35,360 --> 00:56:38,000
to go over any of his metrics. Just this guy's

1058
00:56:38,119 --> 00:56:41,320
finishing runner up and nobody's nobody's paying attention to him.

1059
00:56:41,360 --> 00:56:43,800
So Ryan Gerrard top forty. It's not even that great

1060
00:56:43,840 --> 00:56:46,159
of a field. It's a good field, but it's not

1061
00:56:46,239 --> 00:56:48,079
a great field. So he's not going up against the

1062
00:56:49,119 --> 00:56:51,360
In fact, the guy, the only guy I lost to

1063
00:56:51,519 --> 00:56:53,320
last week was a number one player in the world,

1064
00:56:53,559 --> 00:56:56,960
So take that for way. So there's your free plays there.

1065
00:56:57,159 --> 00:57:00,480
Speaker 1: So right, Andy, I know we got the off show

1066
00:57:00,519 --> 00:57:01,719
coming up that we're recording with ya.

1067
00:57:02,360 --> 00:57:04,599
Speaker 2: Hold on, I'm gonna I'm gonna cut you off, all right,

1068
00:57:04,639 --> 00:57:09,159
Douglas a few seconds, want a basketball trivia question while

1069
00:57:09,159 --> 00:57:11,480
we're closing out. Put it in the live chat. Let's go.

1070
00:57:11,519 --> 00:57:14,159
You got a few seconds before we get out of there.

1071
00:57:14,199 --> 00:57:18,039
I love a good basketball trivia question. Give it to me. Yes, Dan,

1072
00:57:18,119 --> 00:57:18,400
what were you?

1073
00:57:18,519 --> 00:57:20,559
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, I was going to ask you. I know

1074
00:57:20,599 --> 00:57:22,320
you teased it that you were going to talk a

1075
00:57:22,320 --> 00:57:24,000
little bit of F one and NASCAR, so I just

1076
00:57:24,000 --> 00:57:26,320
wanted to oh, yeah, yeah, this is perfectly shut down.

1077
00:57:26,440 --> 00:57:29,679
Speaker 2: Yeah, okay, So NASCAR and Formula one, both are getting

1078
00:57:29,719 --> 00:57:34,760
completely different cars. Okay, so we're starting from like basically zero,

1079
00:57:34,920 --> 00:57:37,159
pay no attention to what happened last year. On top

1080
00:57:37,199 --> 00:57:41,760
of that, NASCAR changed their format for how they're doing

1081
00:57:41,880 --> 00:57:45,079
the playoffs, so it's gonna be very, very different. It

1082
00:57:45,079 --> 00:57:47,199
looks like McLaren is going to take a step back.

1083
00:57:47,239 --> 00:57:49,599
It looks like Mercedes is going to be really good.

1084
00:57:50,039 --> 00:57:52,320
You're always going to take Max for Stopping to be

1085
00:57:52,440 --> 00:57:54,280
very good. I think we're gonna have a future on

1086
00:57:54,360 --> 00:57:58,280
we're stopping to win the championship. As far as NASCAR typically,

1087
00:57:58,320 --> 00:58:00,960
Hendrix starts off the year really strong than they cruise

1088
00:58:01,480 --> 00:58:03,400
in the first part of the year. You're gonna know

1089
00:58:03,480 --> 00:58:07,280
real early which teams have their cars dialed in, So

1090
00:58:07,719 --> 00:58:09,840
we're gonna take it patient. But once we see a

1091
00:58:09,880 --> 00:58:12,119
few races, we're going two pounds. Because there's gonna be

1092
00:58:12,119 --> 00:58:14,599
some teams that struggle and some teams that thrive. You're

1093
00:58:14,599 --> 00:58:16,800
gonna want to ride those teams that thrive for four

1094
00:58:16,920 --> 00:58:19,880
to six weeks. Those teams that struggle, they're gonna start

1095
00:58:19,880 --> 00:58:22,480
getting their act together and then they're gonna start climbing up.

1096
00:58:22,519 --> 00:58:24,960
So it's gonna be a cautious approach. There's gonna be

1097
00:58:24,960 --> 00:58:27,239
a lot of chaos at the beginning, but I'll be

1098
00:58:27,280 --> 00:58:30,960
on ver stopping. And we crushed the futures market on

1099
00:58:31,480 --> 00:58:35,119
season wins in NASCAR. That will be an important part

1100
00:58:35,119 --> 00:58:37,360
of the bank roll. Is our NASCAR futures when we

1101
00:58:37,400 --> 00:58:39,119
see them come out, we'll start to talk to you

1102
00:58:39,159 --> 00:58:42,840
guys testing official testing for Formula one not till the

1103
00:58:42,880 --> 00:58:47,760
second weekend in uh February, I believe, so we'll know

1104
00:58:47,800 --> 00:58:50,360
more than so. All right, what's the question? Who holds

1105
00:58:50,400 --> 00:58:53,719
the record for most consecutive free throws made in the NBA?

1106
00:58:53,920 --> 00:58:55,199
Not a current player?

1107
00:58:56,039 --> 00:58:56,199
Speaker 1: Is it?

1108
00:58:56,280 --> 00:59:05,039
Speaker 2: Jeff hornisek? I is it Jeff? I'm trying to say

1109
00:59:06,039 --> 00:59:10,960
that's gonna be That's that'll be my guess. Is Jeff Horn?

1110
00:59:11,000 --> 00:59:11,440
A second?

1111
00:59:11,440 --> 00:59:11,639
Speaker 1: Is it?

1112
00:59:12,639 --> 00:59:15,559
Speaker 2: Not a current player? That's that's the very first dat

1113
00:59:16,159 --> 00:59:18,280
he says. No, that was the very first name that

1114
00:59:18,320 --> 00:59:22,559
came to mind. John, Who is it?

1115
00:59:22,559 --> 00:59:25,920
Speaker 1: It's like, I'm not gonna I'm not gonna cheat and

1116
00:59:25,960 --> 00:59:26,360
look it up.

1117
00:59:27,760 --> 00:59:31,800
Speaker 2: I'm not gonna for Minnesota. I'll tell you what. Put

1118
00:59:31,840 --> 00:59:34,159
in the comments section. We got to get out of here.

1119
00:59:34,239 --> 00:59:35,440
Put it in the comments section.

1120
00:59:37,639 --> 00:59:41,039
Speaker 1: Is it? Mike Williams. Mike Williams is the name that

1121
00:59:41,159 --> 00:59:46,559
is popping up, so it says, will comment bellout and

1122
00:59:46,639 --> 00:59:47,920
let us know Mike Williams.

1123
00:59:48,000 --> 00:59:50,880
Speaker 2: Let me make a big time, big time name. I

1124
00:59:50,920 --> 00:59:53,519
remember when Steph Curry was on a hlacious street to

1125
00:59:53,559 --> 00:59:56,239
make his to set records for free throws and then

1126
00:59:56,280 --> 00:59:59,960
he gagged one. Uh so yeah it's Mike Michael Williams.

1127
01:00:00,039 --> 01:00:02,559
All Right, Douglas, good trivia question. That's a that's a

1128
01:00:02,559 --> 01:00:03,639
really good question.

1129
01:00:03,679 --> 01:00:04,800
Speaker 1: Well done, Douglas.

1130
01:00:04,840 --> 01:00:07,719
Speaker 2: Thanks for watching, brother all right, that's gonna do it

1131
01:00:07,760 --> 01:00:10,280
for us. We'll be back, same time, same place tomorrow

1132
01:00:10,320 --> 01:00:12,519
again the prop Line Golf Show. To get you ready,

1133
01:00:12,519 --> 01:00:15,800
We'll have more trivia tomorrow with Douglas. Douglas toy tomorrow.

1134
01:00:15,840 --> 01:00:18,039
Give us a trivia question that was fun. It was fun.

1135
01:00:18,079 --> 01:00:19,239
Douglas may have his own set.

1136
01:00:19,199 --> 01:00:22,119
Speaker 1: Rby Leptzig team total over Andy, don't forget that going

1137
01:00:22,159 --> 01:00:24,679
at two thirty RB Leipzig team total over one and

1138
01:00:24,719 --> 01:00:25,079
a half.

1139
01:00:25,559 --> 01:00:27,159
Speaker 2: All right, so in an hour and a half from now,

1140
01:00:27,199 --> 01:00:29,280
So if you want to get that one and get

1141
01:00:29,320 --> 01:00:31,199
it in now, we'll be back tomorrow. Don't forget that.

1142
01:00:31,239 --> 01:00:33,800
The like button please really helps the algorithm out almost

1143
01:00:33,800 --> 01:00:34,880
say everyone tomorrow, take care,