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<v Speaker 1>Dave Fraser from Fox thirty one. I'm sorry, Dave Frasier.

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<v Speaker 1>I was discombobulated there for a moment, but now I'm back.

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<v Speaker 2>How are you? I'm good?

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<v Speaker 3>How are you?

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<v Speaker 1>I am well now that I am back on the

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<v Speaker 1>show and a little bit toasty today.

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<v Speaker 4>When are we getting our fall?

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<v Speaker 1>Are we just going to go straight from ninety degrees

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<v Speaker 1>to snow?

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<v Speaker 4>Because I feel like that's what's going to happen here.

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<v Speaker 2>It could, Mandy. Honestly, the pattern we're in, I just

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<v Speaker 2>don't see any breaks coming for the next ten.

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<v Speaker 3>To maybe thirteen.

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<v Speaker 2>I think we could put at a ten percent chance

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<v Speaker 2>of a shower in our forecast, maybe a week from

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<v Speaker 2>this Saturday, which would be what the twelve thirteenth, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>so that weekend. So yeah, it's just that we've got

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<v Speaker 2>this persistent high. The jet stream with the storm track

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<v Speaker 2>is way too far north. There's just not a lot

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<v Speaker 2>going on. And sometimes in these patterns, what can happen

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<v Speaker 2>at this time of the year, days are getting shorter

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<v Speaker 2>as the cold there gets bottled up, and eventually it'll

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<v Speaker 2>break loose and come our way. But that's a building process.

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<v Speaker 2>So this dominant high just kind of keeping us dry, sunny,

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<v Speaker 2>and kind of ebbs and flows from warm to.

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<v Speaker 3>Seasonal, from warm to seasonal.

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<v Speaker 2>That's going to continue in the seven day and in

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<v Speaker 2>the ten day forecast with no change.

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<v Speaker 4>So it sounds like I need to water my trees.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. We just did a We did

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<v Speaker 2>a story on that yesterday because people were asking, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>it's this time of the year where the conversation usually

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<v Speaker 2>would start with the cooler nights about length of the

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<v Speaker 2>appropriate time to blow out the sprinklers.

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<v Speaker 3>But with the dry.

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<v Speaker 2>Pattern we've been in September was you know.

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<v Speaker 3>A little below normal for moisture.

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<v Speaker 2>We really only had the one good weekend of rain.

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<v Speaker 2>October looks to be dry for the next ten days.

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<v Speaker 2>You're not going to get a lot of growth. So

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<v Speaker 2>in other words, you're launch is probably looking pretty good,

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<v Speaker 2>but it's not growing like it does in the summer.

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<v Speaker 2>So when you molway, you get the tiniest little clippings,

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<v Speaker 2>but your trees and your shrubs and stuff are definitely

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<v Speaker 2>gonna want that drink. You just don't need to water

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<v Speaker 2>as much. We talked with Denver Water and instead of

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<v Speaker 2>doing every three days, they're suggesting maybe every you know,

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<v Speaker 2>once a week or maybe twice a week just to keep.

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<v Speaker 3>The moisture flow going.

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<v Speaker 2>But overall, you shouldn't have to panic and run it

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<v Speaker 2>like you would in hype eat of some summer.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, I understand that about the you know, about

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<v Speaker 1>watering just a couple of times a week, but for

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<v Speaker 1>those of us that live in neighborhoods to throw out

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<v Speaker 1>water restrictions, right, so it's like you have to water

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<v Speaker 1>on the right day or the water police are going

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<v Speaker 1>to come get you. Actually, we don't have water police,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's it is interesting that a more efficient way

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<v Speaker 1>would be the water a couple times a week and

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<v Speaker 1>then call it a day. But that's not what is

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<v Speaker 1>allowed in some situations.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I think, I think my personal you know, in

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<v Speaker 2>talking with people at Denver Water for twenty years. Listen,

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<v Speaker 2>we're semi arid climate. Water is a precious commodity anywhere

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<v Speaker 2>in the country, but certainly more so here in the West,

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<v Speaker 2>and we struggle with drought from times. We're dealing with

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<v Speaker 2>that now, so you know, to be fair, and everybody

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<v Speaker 2>you know wants to keep their lawn in their yard

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<v Speaker 2>looking great, every third day should be ample and it's

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<v Speaker 2>just a matter of everybody has different watering systems, so

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<v Speaker 2>some have sophisticated timing systems where they can set for

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<v Speaker 2>every third day to match whatever the schedule is for

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<v Speaker 2>the hoa or the neighborhood. Others they may only be

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<v Speaker 2>able to do it. Some have to do it manually.

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<v Speaker 2>But just if you can just do it every three days,

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<v Speaker 2>that's probably ample and you're going to save money. And

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<v Speaker 2>you pok a book too.

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<v Speaker 3>All right, need to overwalk.

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<v Speaker 4>So let me ask you a couple of questions.

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<v Speaker 1>I was out walking the dog yesterday and today we

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<v Speaker 1>got some hazy skies.

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<v Speaker 4>What's going on with that right now?

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<v Speaker 2>So there was a fire just east of Salt Lake

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<v Speaker 2>City and a little bit of that smoke, not a lot,

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<v Speaker 2>A little bit of that smoke kind of got pulled

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<v Speaker 2>into the atmosphere, so as you were looking from a

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<v Speaker 2>great distance, you probably did nose a little bit of haze.

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<v Speaker 2>I can see it, hinted it today.

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<v Speaker 3>It's just not the.

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<v Speaker 2>Wildfire smoke we were dealing with earlier in the summer, where

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<v Speaker 2>the fires were just huge and massive and the smoke

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<v Speaker 2>was thick and made it all the way down and

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<v Speaker 2>there were health concerns. Just enough of the haze on

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<v Speaker 2>the horizon that you're right in your eye probably picked

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<v Speaker 2>it up.

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<v Speaker 1>So I got a couple questions from listeners on the

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<v Speaker 1>text line now, and one of them came in some

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<v Speaker 1>time ago before I started talking about last night's debate.

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<v Speaker 1>Here it is where does Dave get the data to

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<v Speaker 1>determine the average high and low temperatures for a particular day.

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<v Speaker 2>So the average records are kept by the National Weather Service.

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<v Speaker 2>You can find them on their website. It is a

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<v Speaker 2>record database that goes back to eighteen seventy two when.

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<v Speaker 3>Records were first started.

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<v Speaker 2>To be kept here in Denver. The official station has

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<v Speaker 2>moved four times during its history.

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<v Speaker 3>It is now housed out at the Airport.

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<v Speaker 2>Denver International, Orgain, depending on your preference. And so we

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<v Speaker 2>go through that record database and in there you can

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<v Speaker 2>find the daily records. You can look at months, you

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<v Speaker 2>can look at yearly.

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<v Speaker 3>Records, you can look at streaks. There's all sorts.

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<v Speaker 2>Of climatological data that is in there. So for instance, today.

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<v Speaker 3>We're looking at two records.

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<v Speaker 2>One is if we reach ninety degrees, which we think

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<v Speaker 2>we will between two and three o'clock we're sitting at

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<v Speaker 2>eighty six. We would set a new record high for

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<v Speaker 2>today October two, beating the old record which was set

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<v Speaker 2>back in two thousand and five. And if we hit

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<v Speaker 2>ninety degrees, it's the latest ninety degree temperature that Denver

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<v Speaker 2>has ever recorded in that record keeping history of eighteen

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<v Speaker 2>seventy two, gone all the way back to that time.

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<v Speaker 3>The old record was yesterday.

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<v Speaker 4>Oh there you go. So somebody's asking this question, when

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<v Speaker 4>are the leaves gonna fall?

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<v Speaker 1>This is an interesting question because I just noticed yesterday

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<v Speaker 1>as I was driving around and really starting to see

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<v Speaker 1>in the metro, we're starting to see leaves change, right,

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<v Speaker 1>So this is like it happened so fast. And usually

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<v Speaker 1>when they get really pretty, that's when we get our

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<v Speaker 1>first snowstorm to knock all the leaves off. So we

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<v Speaker 1>have nice leaves for like ten minutes. That's not going

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<v Speaker 1>to happen this year. So somebody said, don't want a

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<v Speaker 1>ton of tree damage. Always seems like they hang on

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<v Speaker 1>just a couple of days too long. But we're not

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<v Speaker 1>in danger of having any snow or big weather knock

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<v Speaker 1>our leaves off this year.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, those are the two things we look for. One

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<v Speaker 2>would be a wind event, which would clearly rip the

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<v Speaker 2>trees of their leaves, because they're getting to that point

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<v Speaker 2>where they're dropping. I mean the leaves are dropping out.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm looking on my window. Neighbor's tree is hanging over

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<v Speaker 2>my fence line, and the leaves are dropping a little

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<v Speaker 2>bit here and there. There's some neighborhood trees where you

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<v Speaker 2>can see they turn to red and you drive down.

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<v Speaker 3>The streets and you can see the leader bee. So

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<v Speaker 3>they're already doing that.

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<v Speaker 2>They're struggling a little bit with the drought, but the

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<v Speaker 2>trees and the grass and the you know, the natural

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<v Speaker 2>vegetation everything. Even though we're warm and dry, the cooler

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<v Speaker 2>nights of the signal to it too. It's that time

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<v Speaker 2>of the year to start thinking about going dorm it. Right,

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<v Speaker 2>They tend to shed their leaves and so we're going

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<v Speaker 2>to see that. The other thing would be like you're

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<v Speaker 2>talking about, we've had that happen in early October where

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<v Speaker 2>we will get a blast of cold there and the

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<v Speaker 2>trees have not leaped out, and that can cause damage.

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<v Speaker 2>In certainly a heavy wet snow if the trees are

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<v Speaker 2>still holding their leaves, would cause problems with broken branches.

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<v Speaker 2>So right now, you are correct. We just don't have

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<v Speaker 2>those threats, so just watch them gently fall and you know,

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<v Speaker 2>blow them up as you can.

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<v Speaker 1>Got a couple of hurricane questions for you. Obviously, Helene

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<v Speaker 1>has been the big topic of conversation as it's done

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<v Speaker 1>just wrought incredible destruction in the Carolinas and in Tennessee.

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<v Speaker 1>This question is why do hurricanes move east to west

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<v Speaker 1>when the normal storms move west to east.

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<v Speaker 2>So the flow where the hurricanes form in the Atlantic

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<v Speaker 2>South think of Florida, is in the opposite direction.

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<v Speaker 3>You have to come north of Florida for the flow

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<v Speaker 3>to go the other way.

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<v Speaker 2>So west to east is our dominant flow across the

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<v Speaker 2>country jet stream when we usually bring storms in from

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<v Speaker 2>the west or the Pacific northwest and then move them

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<v Speaker 2>in an easterly direction, sometimes southeasterly, sometimes northeasterly, but the

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<v Speaker 2>general flow in the mid latitude where the United States

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<v Speaker 2>sits is west to east. However, as you transition south

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<v Speaker 2>and get down, then you enter into a part of

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<v Speaker 2>the flow where you've between there like the tip of Florida,

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<v Speaker 2>Florida itself, and to the equator, where the flow goes

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<v Speaker 2>the other way. So the of the storms the hurricanes

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<v Speaker 2>form in the Atlantic. The flow is to bring them

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<v Speaker 2>towards to the west, towards Florida, into the Gulf of

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<v Speaker 2>next Ago, And as they turned towards the US, then

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<v Speaker 2>they get caught up in the predominant flow and turned

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<v Speaker 2>back to the east. And that's what happened with Helene.

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<v Speaker 2>Alene came up to.

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<v Speaker 3>The Gulf across Florida.

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<v Speaker 2>And then was pushed to the north and east and that's.

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<v Speaker 3>Why it hit where it did across Asheville and parts

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<v Speaker 3>of Tennessee.

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<v Speaker 4>Here's the question for you, Dave. Is the rain in

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<v Speaker 4>a hurricane salt water.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, salt particulars helped to make it more efficient, but

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<v Speaker 2>the salt itself will be wrung out if you understand. So, yes,

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<v Speaker 2>salt water is fueling the hurricane. Remember we talked about

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<v Speaker 2>what's called condensation nuclei, smoke, dust particles, salt particles. They

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<v Speaker 2>allow the rain drops to adhere to those particles and grow.

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<v Speaker 2>So salt water is part of the machine that is

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<v Speaker 2>fueling it. But the rain falling has been purified as

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<v Speaker 2>the salt is being wrung out, Where does.

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<v Speaker 4>The salt go?

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, here's the thing, Like some of that moisture

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<v Speaker 1>is getting is evaporated.

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<v Speaker 4>So what happens to the salt? I guess the salt

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<v Speaker 4>gets left behind. That's how they actually harvest salt dissolved yet.

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<v Speaker 2>And listen, we're talking about microscopic party, right, we're talking.

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<v Speaker 3>We're not talking about.

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<v Speaker 2>Something's coming out of your salt shaker. Yeah, we're talking

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<v Speaker 2>about the finest of particles that are mixed in with

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<v Speaker 2>the atmosphere.

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<v Speaker 1>For the person who asks, what am I going to

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<v Speaker 1>get rained for a wheat crop? Not anytime soon, right, Dave?

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<v Speaker 3>Nope, Yeah, No.

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<v Speaker 2>Unfortunately, I feel for anybody trying to do that late

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<v Speaker 2>season we cry out any of that kind of stuff.

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<v Speaker 3>We just don't have it.

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<v Speaker 2>Yep. Unfortunately, we're just stuck. We've got no big storm

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<v Speaker 2>coming down the west coast to bump this big high

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<v Speaker 2>pressure which is sitting to our south and west. We

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<v Speaker 2>need something to move in, powerful cold front, powerful storm center,

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<v Speaker 2>something to just move it along. And like I said,

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<v Speaker 2>the long range models, I can tell you I looked

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<v Speaker 2>at them. I do every time before you call me.

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<v Speaker 3>The long range mode.

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<v Speaker 2>Models for the month of October, seventy percent chance the

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<v Speaker 2>temperatures will be above normal and a sixty percent chance

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<v Speaker 2>that moisture will be below normal.

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<v Speaker 4>All right, there we go.

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<v Speaker 1>You can of course, see Dave's full forecast at Fox

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<v Speaker 1>thirty one.

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<v Speaker 4>Our partner again. Great to talk to you. We'll talk

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<v Speaker 4>to again next week, my friend.

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<v Speaker 3>Have a great weekend, all right.

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<v Speaker 4>That is Dave Frasier