Speaker 1: Dave Fraser from Fox thirty one. I'm sorry, Dave Frasier.
Speaker 1: I was discombobulated there for a moment, but now I'm back.
Speaker 2: How are you? I'm good?
Speaker 3: How are you?
Speaker 1: I am well now that I am back on the
Speaker 1: show and a little bit toasty today.
Speaker 4: When are we getting our fall?
Speaker 1: Are we just going to go straight from ninety degrees
Speaker 1: to snow?
Speaker 4: Because I feel like that's what's going to happen here.
Speaker 2: It could, Mandy. Honestly, the pattern we're in, I just
Speaker 2: don't see any breaks coming for the next ten.
Speaker 3: To maybe thirteen.
Speaker 2: I think we could put at a ten percent chance
Speaker 2: of a shower in our forecast, maybe a week from
Speaker 2: this Saturday, which would be what the twelve thirteenth, Yeah,
Speaker 2: so that weekend. So yeah, it's just that we've got
Speaker 2: this persistent high. The jet stream with the storm track
Speaker 2: is way too far north. There's just not a lot
Speaker 2: going on. And sometimes in these patterns, what can happen
Speaker 2: at this time of the year, days are getting shorter
Speaker 2: as the cold there gets bottled up, and eventually it'll
Speaker 2: break loose and come our way. But that's a building process.
Speaker 2: So this dominant high just kind of keeping us dry, sunny,
Speaker 2: and kind of ebbs and flows from warm to.
Speaker 3: Seasonal, from warm to seasonal.
Speaker 2: That's going to continue in the seven day and in
Speaker 2: the ten day forecast with no change.
Speaker 4: So it sounds like I need to water my trees.
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. We just did a We did
Speaker 2: a story on that yesterday because people were asking, you know,
Speaker 2: it's this time of the year where the conversation usually
Speaker 2: would start with the cooler nights about length of the
Speaker 2: appropriate time to blow out the sprinklers.
Speaker 3: But with the dry.
Speaker 2: Pattern we've been in September was you know.
Speaker 3: A little below normal for moisture.
Speaker 2: We really only had the one good weekend of rain.
Speaker 2: October looks to be dry for the next ten days.
Speaker 2: You're not going to get a lot of growth. So
Speaker 2: in other words, you're launch is probably looking pretty good,
Speaker 2: but it's not growing like it does in the summer.
Speaker 2: So when you molway, you get the tiniest little clippings,
Speaker 2: but your trees and your shrubs and stuff are definitely
Speaker 2: gonna want that drink. You just don't need to water
Speaker 2: as much. We talked with Denver Water and instead of
Speaker 2: doing every three days, they're suggesting maybe every you know,
Speaker 2: once a week or maybe twice a week just to keep.
Speaker 3: The moisture flow going.
Speaker 2: But overall, you shouldn't have to panic and run it
Speaker 2: like you would in hype eat of some summer.
Speaker 1: You know, I understand that about the you know, about
Speaker 1: watering just a couple of times a week, but for
Speaker 1: those of us that live in neighborhoods to throw out
Speaker 1: water restrictions, right, so it's like you have to water
Speaker 1: on the right day or the water police are going
Speaker 1: to come get you. Actually, we don't have water police,
Speaker 1: but it's it is interesting that a more efficient way
Speaker 1: would be the water a couple times a week and
Speaker 1: then call it a day. But that's not what is
Speaker 1: allowed in some situations.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think, I think my personal you know, in
Speaker 2: talking with people at Denver Water for twenty years. Listen,
Speaker 2: we're semi arid climate. Water is a precious commodity anywhere
Speaker 2: in the country, but certainly more so here in the West,
Speaker 2: and we struggle with drought from times. We're dealing with
Speaker 2: that now, so you know, to be fair, and everybody
Speaker 2: you know wants to keep their lawn in their yard
Speaker 2: looking great, every third day should be ample and it's
Speaker 2: just a matter of everybody has different watering systems, so
Speaker 2: some have sophisticated timing systems where they can set for
Speaker 2: every third day to match whatever the schedule is for
Speaker 2: the hoa or the neighborhood. Others they may only be
Speaker 2: able to do it. Some have to do it manually.
Speaker 2: But just if you can just do it every three days,
Speaker 2: that's probably ample and you're going to save money. And
Speaker 2: you pok a book too.
Speaker 3: All right, need to overwalk.
Speaker 4: So let me ask you a couple of questions.
Speaker 1: I was out walking the dog yesterday and today we
Speaker 1: got some hazy skies.
Speaker 4: What's going on with that right now?
Speaker 2: So there was a fire just east of Salt Lake
Speaker 2: City and a little bit of that smoke, not a lot,
Speaker 2: A little bit of that smoke kind of got pulled
Speaker 2: into the atmosphere, so as you were looking from a
Speaker 2: great distance, you probably did nose a little bit of haze.
Speaker 2: I can see it, hinted it today.
Speaker 3: It's just not the.
Speaker 2: Wildfire smoke we were dealing with earlier in the summer, where
Speaker 2: the fires were just huge and massive and the smoke
Speaker 2: was thick and made it all the way down and
Speaker 2: there were health concerns. Just enough of the haze on
Speaker 2: the horizon that you're right in your eye probably picked
Speaker 2: it up.
Speaker 1: So I got a couple questions from listeners on the
Speaker 1: text line now, and one of them came in some
Speaker 1: time ago before I started talking about last night's debate.
Speaker 1: Here it is where does Dave get the data to
Speaker 1: determine the average high and low temperatures for a particular day.
Speaker 2: So the average records are kept by the National Weather Service.
Speaker 2: You can find them on their website. It is a
Speaker 2: record database that goes back to eighteen seventy two when.
Speaker 3: Records were first started.
Speaker 2: To be kept here in Denver. The official station has
Speaker 2: moved four times during its history.
Speaker 3: It is now housed out at the Airport.
Speaker 2: Denver International, Orgain, depending on your preference. And so we
Speaker 2: go through that record database and in there you can
Speaker 2: find the daily records. You can look at months, you
Speaker 2: can look at yearly.
Speaker 3: Records, you can look at streaks. There's all sorts.
Speaker 2: Of climatological data that is in there. So for instance, today.
Speaker 3: We're looking at two records.
Speaker 2: One is if we reach ninety degrees, which we think
Speaker 2: we will between two and three o'clock we're sitting at
Speaker 2: eighty six. We would set a new record high for
Speaker 2: today October two, beating the old record which was set
Speaker 2: back in two thousand and five. And if we hit
Speaker 2: ninety degrees, it's the latest ninety degree temperature that Denver
Speaker 2: has ever recorded in that record keeping history of eighteen
Speaker 2: seventy two, gone all the way back to that time.
Speaker 3: The old record was yesterday.
Speaker 4: Oh there you go. So somebody's asking this question, when
Speaker 4: are the leaves gonna fall?
Speaker 1: This is an interesting question because I just noticed yesterday
Speaker 1: as I was driving around and really starting to see
Speaker 1: in the metro, we're starting to see leaves change, right,
Speaker 1: So this is like it happened so fast. And usually
Speaker 1: when they get really pretty, that's when we get our
Speaker 1: first snowstorm to knock all the leaves off. So we
Speaker 1: have nice leaves for like ten minutes. That's not going
Speaker 1: to happen this year. So somebody said, don't want a
Speaker 1: ton of tree damage. Always seems like they hang on
Speaker 1: just a couple of days too long. But we're not
Speaker 1: in danger of having any snow or big weather knock
Speaker 1: our leaves off this year.
Speaker 2: Yeah, those are the two things we look for. One
Speaker 2: would be a wind event, which would clearly rip the
Speaker 2: trees of their leaves, because they're getting to that point
Speaker 2: where they're dropping. I mean the leaves are dropping out.
Speaker 2: I'm looking on my window. Neighbor's tree is hanging over
Speaker 2: my fence line, and the leaves are dropping a little
Speaker 2: bit here and there. There's some neighborhood trees where you
Speaker 2: can see they turn to red and you drive down.
Speaker 3: The streets and you can see the leader bee. So
Speaker 3: they're already doing that.
Speaker 2: They're struggling a little bit with the drought, but the
Speaker 2: trees and the grass and the you know, the natural
Speaker 2: vegetation everything. Even though we're warm and dry, the cooler
Speaker 2: nights of the signal to it too. It's that time
Speaker 2: of the year to start thinking about going dorm it. Right,
Speaker 2: They tend to shed their leaves and so we're going
Speaker 2: to see that. The other thing would be like you're
Speaker 2: talking about, we've had that happen in early October where
Speaker 2: we will get a blast of cold there and the
Speaker 2: trees have not leaped out, and that can cause damage.
Speaker 2: In certainly a heavy wet snow if the trees are
Speaker 2: still holding their leaves, would cause problems with broken branches.
Speaker 2: So right now, you are correct. We just don't have
Speaker 2: those threats, so just watch them gently fall and you know,
Speaker 2: blow them up as you can.
Speaker 1: Got a couple of hurricane questions for you. Obviously, Helene
Speaker 1: has been the big topic of conversation as it's done
Speaker 1: just wrought incredible destruction in the Carolinas and in Tennessee.
Speaker 1: This question is why do hurricanes move east to west
Speaker 1: when the normal storms move west to east.
Speaker 2: So the flow where the hurricanes form in the Atlantic
Speaker 2: South think of Florida, is in the opposite direction.
Speaker 3: You have to come north of Florida for the flow
Speaker 3: to go the other way.
Speaker 2: So west to east is our dominant flow across the
Speaker 2: country jet stream when we usually bring storms in from
Speaker 2: the west or the Pacific northwest and then move them
Speaker 2: in an easterly direction, sometimes southeasterly, sometimes northeasterly, but the
Speaker 2: general flow in the mid latitude where the United States
Speaker 2: sits is west to east. However, as you transition south
Speaker 2: and get down, then you enter into a part of
Speaker 2: the flow where you've between there like the tip of Florida,
Speaker 2: Florida itself, and to the equator, where the flow goes
Speaker 2: the other way. So the of the storms the hurricanes
Speaker 2: form in the Atlantic. The flow is to bring them
Speaker 2: towards to the west, towards Florida, into the Gulf of
Speaker 2: next Ago, And as they turned towards the US, then
Speaker 2: they get caught up in the predominant flow and turned
Speaker 2: back to the east. And that's what happened with Helene.
Speaker 2: Alene came up to.
Speaker 3: The Gulf across Florida.
Speaker 2: And then was pushed to the north and east and that's.
Speaker 3: Why it hit where it did across Asheville and parts
Speaker 3: of Tennessee.
Speaker 4: Here's the question for you, Dave. Is the rain in
Speaker 4: a hurricane salt water.
Speaker 2: Well, salt particulars helped to make it more efficient, but
Speaker 2: the salt itself will be wrung out if you understand. So, yes,
Speaker 2: salt water is fueling the hurricane. Remember we talked about
Speaker 2: what's called condensation nuclei, smoke, dust particles, salt particles. They
Speaker 2: allow the rain drops to adhere to those particles and grow.
Speaker 2: So salt water is part of the machine that is
Speaker 2: fueling it. But the rain falling has been purified as
Speaker 2: the salt is being wrung out, Where does.
Speaker 4: The salt go?
Speaker 1: I mean, here's the thing, Like some of that moisture
Speaker 1: is getting is evaporated.
Speaker 4: So what happens to the salt? I guess the salt
Speaker 4: gets left behind. That's how they actually harvest salt dissolved yet.
Speaker 2: And listen, we're talking about microscopic party, right, we're talking.
Speaker 3: We're not talking about.
Speaker 2: Something's coming out of your salt shaker. Yeah, we're talking
Speaker 2: about the finest of particles that are mixed in with
Speaker 2: the atmosphere.
Speaker 1: For the person who asks, what am I going to
Speaker 1: get rained for a wheat crop? Not anytime soon, right, Dave?
Speaker 3: Nope, Yeah, No.
Speaker 2: Unfortunately, I feel for anybody trying to do that late
Speaker 2: season we cry out any of that kind of stuff.
Speaker 3: We just don't have it.
Speaker 2: Yep. Unfortunately, we're just stuck. We've got no big storm
Speaker 2: coming down the west coast to bump this big high
Speaker 2: pressure which is sitting to our south and west. We
Speaker 2: need something to move in, powerful cold front, powerful storm center,
Speaker 2: something to just move it along. And like I said,
Speaker 2: the long range models, I can tell you I looked
Speaker 2: at them. I do every time before you call me.
Speaker 3: The long range mode.
Speaker 2: Models for the month of October, seventy percent chance the
Speaker 2: temperatures will be above normal and a sixty percent chance
Speaker 2: that moisture will be below normal.
Speaker 4: All right, there we go.
Speaker 1: You can of course, see Dave's full forecast at Fox
Speaker 1: thirty one.
Speaker 4: Our partner again. Great to talk to you. We'll talk
Speaker 4: to again next week, my friend.
Speaker 3: Have a great weekend, all right.
Speaker 4: That is Dave Frasier