Speaker 1: Here's your weather report.
Speaker 2: Let's see we got partly flatty day day going up
Speaker 2: to seventy six degrees overnight clear sky's fifty two Sunday,
Speaker 2: tomorrow's seventy seven clear overnight fifty three, and on Thursday,
Speaker 2: another Sunday day going up to eighty one.
Speaker 1: Right now sixty degrees. Time for Chuck with traffic.
Speaker 3: From the UC Health Triumphings Center with U see health
Speaker 3: of future of care is happening now through clinical trials
Speaker 3: and innovative treatments. Then give patients and chance for better outcomes.
Speaker 3: Visit u sehealth dot com. Southbound seventy one continues to
Speaker 3: run over a twenty minute delay between Field zero and
Speaker 3: Red Bank, with an accident at the Reagan Highway on
Speaker 3: the right hand side. Northbound seventy five continues close to
Speaker 3: a twenty minute delay out of Florence into downtown. Chuck
Speaker 3: ingramon fifty five krc the talk station.
Speaker 2: Fast approaching eight thirty fifty fifth KRCD talk station. I'm
Speaker 2: very happy Tuesday too. I'm back and I'm happy. If
Speaker 2: you see on the rundown this morning what I got
Speaker 2: in this morning, the return of Daniel Davis doing a
Speaker 2: Daniel Davis deep dive here on the fifty five Krsity
Speaker 2: Morning Show. I'm already to get a disadvantage, Daniel, because
Speaker 2: apparently you can see me, but I'm looking at a
Speaker 2: cartoon image of a guy behind a microphone, so I
Speaker 2: have a disadvantage. But hello, and I'm waving to you
Speaker 2: this morning. I hope you can see me. And yes,
Speaker 2: oh there you are. Now you popped up and disappeared again,
Speaker 2: so I think whenever you're talking, I get to see
Speaker 2: you anyway. Retired Lieutenant Colonel Daniel Davis. You can search
Speaker 2: for him online and find his podcast and interviews and discussion.
Speaker 2: Always an interesting conversation with him when he joins a
Speaker 2: fifty five KRSSEE morning show and today and perfect timing
Speaker 2: on this because I was really looking forward to talking
Speaker 2: with you about the situation currently unfolding between Ukraine and Russia.
Speaker 2: Ukraine has now entered Russia and in fact, as of yesterday,
Speaker 2: has blown up three bridges in the curse oblast, which
Speaker 2: oblast is a word that describes a division or region
Speaker 2: in Russia. So they're in curse. Now what does this mean?
Speaker 2: And does this the blowing up of bridges? I know
Speaker 2: they can replace them with Pontoon bridges on a moment's notice.
Speaker 2: So does this really do anything or is this actually
Speaker 2: a success story for Ukraine.
Speaker 4: Well, it really depends on what Ukraine is trying to accomplish,
Speaker 4: and that's a bit of a puzzler and a head scratcher.
Speaker 4: And the story keeps changing, frankly, because we've had Zelenski
Speaker 4: and since this thing unfolded, has said variously it's to
Speaker 4: teach Russia a lesson so they have the pain of war.
Speaker 4: He said it was to create a buffer zone. Apparently
Speaker 4: yesterday they said it wanted exchange prisoners, they wanted to
Speaker 4: improve negotiating positions, and those things are not mutually endorsement.
Speaker 4: I mean, they don't work together. So I'm not sure
Speaker 4: what you're trying to do if you're trying to improve
Speaker 4: negotiating position, but then you're losing in the East. And
Speaker 4: that's the biggest issue here is that Ukraine they definitely
Speaker 4: caught Russia with their pants down. That Russia did not
Speaker 4: expect an occursion into their country. They had then border
Speaker 4: units that were controlling the border because they just didn't
Speaker 4: think Ukraine would do this, and so Ukraine again surprised
Speaker 4: Russia by amassing a large number of troops, which they
Speaker 4: deceived Russian to thinking they were actually going to be
Speaker 4: defensive troops for a Russian incursion in the Sumi area,
Speaker 4: which is not far from there, but it turned out
Speaker 4: they didn't and they use those then to attack into Russia.
Speaker 4: So now they've carved out this relatively large area, but
Speaker 4: it's only three percent of the region of course, the
Speaker 4: oblast you referred to. But the big problem is it's
Speaker 4: come at the expense of what the Ukraine side is
Speaker 4: trying to hold on to in the east, and the
Speaker 4: Russian has not redeployed, according to most reports, at least
Speaker 4: sizeable numbers from that area to try and stop the
Speaker 4: Kurse area.
Speaker 1: They've used other troops.
Speaker 4: Meanwhile, they've continued, especially in a place called Pokrosk and Turetsk,
Speaker 4: They've continued to press on and they have it withdrawn
Speaker 4: their pressure now that Ukraine doesn't have a lot of
Speaker 4: troops or equipment to defend that, so they're starting to
Speaker 4: lose more.
Speaker 1: So I'm not sure this is going to work out
Speaker 1: good for Ukraine.
Speaker 2: Well, let me assist. Does this cause any supply chain
Speaker 2: problems for the Russians. I mean, they got the troops
Speaker 2: obviously in Ukraine and physical presence, they're gonna have to
Speaker 2: hold the land that they've taken, which requires an ongoing
Speaker 2: presence of troops. Correct me at any point if I'm
Speaker 2: wrong on military strategy on this, But I mean, you
Speaker 2: can roll through a city and say you took it
Speaker 2: over and I grabbed their flag, But if you move out,
Speaker 2: you're not there anymore. I kind of view that as
Speaker 2: back in the hands of the Ukrainian So does this
Speaker 2: thin out the available Russian troops to continue to advance,
Speaker 2: and does it stop supply lines from being refilled and
Speaker 2: supplies from being reaching the Russian troops.
Speaker 4: Actually it works the opposite direction, really, and in the
Speaker 4: disadvantage of Ukraine for nearly the same reasons you just mentioned.
Speaker 4: It's one thing to make an occursion into a Russian territory,
Speaker 4: but it's a very different thing to hold that terrain.
Speaker 4: So if you make this big penetration, which they have,
Speaker 4: and then here in four or five, six weeks, they
Speaker 4: end up being pushed out, and because Russia just has
Speaker 4: more forces up in that area, then I'm not sure
Speaker 4: what they've gained. And the only saying that it appears
Speaker 4: in terms of logistics, is that it's it is. There's
Speaker 4: a through a city called Druze, but I think it's
Speaker 4: called or Suja.
Speaker 1: I'm sorry. Suja. Is that the the.
Speaker 4: Gas lines from Russia to Europe run through there, which
Speaker 4: gives Ukraine control over them, although there's bypassed routes. But
Speaker 4: in terms of supply for the rest of the war,
Speaker 4: especially in the East, it's almost irrelevant. Doesn't even have
Speaker 4: any that it comes from elsewhere in Russia, So those
Speaker 4: supply lines are unchanged for Russia in the east, in
Speaker 4: the Pokrowskin Touretsk area.
Speaker 1: How are the Russians doing in terms of troops.
Speaker 2: I know we've talked before about there's only a finite
Speaker 2: number of human beings that are capable to fight, and
Speaker 2: they've they're blowing through all the younger men. I presume
Speaker 2: those are the casualties of war. And I hear the
Speaker 2: Russians are running around looking at all the four corners
Speaker 2: of the world trying to find Russian guys to you know,
Speaker 2: conscript and join the military. They're not at risk of
Speaker 2: running out of warm bodies, are they the Russians? No, No,
Speaker 2: they're not at all.
Speaker 4: Russia's going to do everything they can to get as
Speaker 4: many volunteers as they can get, or that they can
Speaker 4: scrape somewhere else without having to have a mobilization. That's
Speaker 4: in their interest to do so, and they have done it.
Speaker 4: They've been fairly successful, according to reports, anywhere from thirty
Speaker 4: to forty thousand per month in any given month. But
Speaker 4: obviously the much bigger issue is on the Ukrainian side,
Speaker 4: which doesn't have anywhere near the manpower pool from which
Speaker 4: to draw, and they are definitely in the fully coerced
Speaker 4: to mobilization mode. And I don't know if you've been
Speaker 4: able to see, but there is a lot of consternation
Speaker 4: within Ukraine. And now some of the recruiters themselves are
Speaker 4: being attacked by the people who feel that if they
Speaker 4: come and grab them, it's basically a death sentence, and
Speaker 4: so they don't want to go to the fight.
Speaker 2: But once they get there, they are fighting. So I
Speaker 2: do give them credit for that, but it is a
Speaker 2: big issue, and they just don't.
Speaker 1: Have enough troops to match Russia.
Speaker 2: I mean, is this going to be just has this
Speaker 2: come down to simple battle of attrition that it's a
Speaker 2: foregone conclusion Russia can win.
Speaker 1: That's exactly how I view it.
Speaker 4: Is a foregone conclusion, because whether you talk about manpower, missiles,
Speaker 4: artillery shells, the ability to create weapons to to get them.
Speaker 4: I mean, Russia has almost four times more than the
Speaker 4: cumulative West has. All of together, we can't match what
Speaker 4: Russia is making with North Korea and Iran is their
Speaker 4: allies and what they can produce domestically. And then you
Speaker 4: add somewhere between twelve to fifteen million more men from
Speaker 4: which to draw for potential troops, and you just see
Speaker 4: that there is no rational path for Ukraine to even
Speaker 4: hold the line, much less to ever win.
Speaker 2: Well, what of our members of Congress who want to
Speaker 2: continue to throw billions and billions of dollars If it's
Speaker 2: a foregone conclusion. And I have to assume that you
Speaker 2: know you obviously you served America honorably and our knowledge
Speaker 2: what about matters military and strategy. We have to have
Speaker 2: similarly versed folks within America's military that can see and
Speaker 2: perhaps have reached the same conclusion that you have. This
Speaker 2: is a foregone conclusion about electric that Russia is most
Speaker 2: certainly going to win if they just stick it out
Speaker 2: long enough. Is that a wake up call to people
Speaker 2: who keep thinking that somehow Ukraine is going to prevail
Speaker 2: on this.
Speaker 1: I just I don't see there's no wake up call coming.
Speaker 2: I mean, I had hoped that that would be the
Speaker 2: case after last year's offensive. The Ukrainian offensive in twenty
Speaker 2: twenty three utterly failed, I mean to even break through
Speaker 2: the first of five defensive lines of Russia.
Speaker 1: I thought that would be the wake up call. It wasn't.
Speaker 4: And then you see Lindsey Graham who continue to embarrass
Speaker 4: himself in our country by cheerleading what the Ukraine's doing
Speaker 4: here because he's going to quote kick you Putin's ass
Speaker 4: and all this kind of stuff, talking like a schoolyard
Speaker 4: kid with no concept at all of the fundamentals involved
Speaker 4: here in how by continuing to do that, all you're
Speaker 4: going to do is get more Ukrainian men killed and
Speaker 4: probably lose even more territory. There are many calls in
Speaker 4: Russia right now to say we don't want to just
Speaker 4: take the four old blast that we have illegally annexed.
Speaker 4: They want the whole country now. And whether that's going
Speaker 4: to be possible or not, it remains to be seen.
Speaker 1: It has to be done.
Speaker 4: But Russia does have the manpower and the equipment to
Speaker 4: make good on it, even if it takes another year
Speaker 4: or two or three or whatever. They seem willing to
Speaker 4: pay that price. And I just don't think this is
Speaker 4: going to work out good. And I don't want people
Speaker 4: to forget what people like Lindsey Graham, who are blind
Speaker 4: to these realities when.
Speaker 1: They're cheerleading this going on.
Speaker 4: When we could have a negotiated settlement so Ukraine could
Speaker 4: keep land, that's not happening. And that's why I'm so
Speaker 4: upset when I hear comments like Lindsay Graham's.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and that you anticipated where I wanted to go,
Speaker 2: which is okay, fine. Maybe Ukraine did this to show that,
Speaker 2: you know, Russia does have some vulnerabilities. They couldn't hold
Speaker 2: their own line, but maybe this opens up an opportunity
Speaker 2: to discuss peace on and negotiates some sort of resolution.
Speaker 2: I haven't heard those words really talked about with any
Speaker 2: level of seriousness now for quite some time.
Speaker 4: Well see now that's why I say at the open
Speaker 4: of your show here that there's some conflicting images and
Speaker 4: words coming out of Zelensky because his chief negotiator I'm sorry,
Speaker 4: Chief aid Yermak said, and I guess three days ago
Speaker 4: that this was to improve our negotiating position, so Russia
Speaker 4: can has to negotiate from a position from our strength,
Speaker 4: from our side, so that they know. Which is insane
Speaker 4: that because Russia got poked in the in the chest
Speaker 4: with this three percent of one oh bleasted, suddenly after
Speaker 4: two years are going to quit with all these advantages.
Speaker 1: That's absurd, But that's one of the things they're saying.
Speaker 4: But there's no evidence that they're going to actually do
Speaker 4: that to have a negotiate seldom because they could do
Speaker 4: it right now. They don't need to have negotiation Selim
Speaker 4: because Putin has been saying from the beginning he's willing
Speaker 4: to do that. But every day you delay Brian that
Speaker 4: he is less and less willing to negotiate, and may
Speaker 4: say I'm just going to solve this on the battlefield.
Speaker 2: That's my biggest worry for the people in Ukraine. Understood,
Speaker 2: And I just have to ask this question before we
Speaker 2: part company. Daniel Davis search from online Daniel davisteep dive.
Speaker 2: You'd be glad you did. What do we learn from this?
Speaker 2: We have one of the largest militaries in the entire planet.
Speaker 2: The Russians and you know, obviously well stocked with supplies
Speaker 2: from you know, rifles to nuclear way them. They have
Speaker 2: a large military, enough men you just mentioned, they have
Speaker 2: sufficient people to continue to wage this war. The land
Speaker 2: mass that we're talking about here, we're not talking about
Speaker 2: a country the size of the United States or the
Speaker 2: size of China. I mean, this is a comparatively small
Speaker 2: chunk of land.
Speaker 1: And yet here we are, how many years after the.
Speaker 2: Invasion, that there's still a fight going on, that this,
Speaker 2: this this small swath of the globe has not yet
Speaker 2: been overrun by the one of the world's largest, most
Speaker 2: powerful militaries.
Speaker 1: I just kind of scratched my head over that. I
Speaker 1: don't know why.
Speaker 2: It takes me over to a Feedo Castro fighting Batista
Speaker 2: from the mountains. You have an army versus some ragtag
Speaker 2: guys with an attitude, the ragtag guys in the attitude one.
Speaker 1: I mean, well, yeah, that's that certainly has been the case.
Speaker 4: I mean, you could even go to Taliban in Afghanistan,
Speaker 4: it's even more appropriate analogy.
Speaker 1: But this is different.
Speaker 4: This is not just insurgents running around in the in
Speaker 4: the jungles or in the mountains of Afghanistan. But it's
Speaker 4: an army, and armies have different fundamentals, and the fundamentals
Speaker 4: just don't make it work out for the little guy
Speaker 4: over time. It's a big question is why Russia hasn't
Speaker 4: used its power in larger ways up to this point.
Speaker 4: It's a head scratcher to me because I don't see
Speaker 4: an easy answer.
Speaker 1: But they have it, and they.
Speaker 4: Are methodically employing it, and even though it takes longer
Speaker 4: than we would think it should, it is still happening
Speaker 4: fair enough.
Speaker 2: Appreciate your thoughtful analysis as always, Daniel Davis search from
Speaker 2: online again Daniel Davis, Steve Dive. This podcast to be
Speaker 2: on my page fifty five cars dot com until next week, sir,
Speaker 2: have a great week.
Speaker 1: Great see you next time.
Speaker 2: Take care forty one fifty five car see the talk
Speaker 2: station and get in touch with Zimmer. Take great care
Speaker 2: of you HVAC. Everybody's got an HVAC needs a repair
Speaker 2: or service, maybe even a maintenance plan. You can get
Speaker 2: one with a Zimmer Heating and air conditioning. Get a
Speaker 2: maintenance plan that'll keep your units running longer. And it's summertime.
Speaker 2: Stating the obvious and of course heat means air conditioning
Speaker 2: and if your air conditioning needs to be serviced, they
Speaker 2: are the leader in twenty four hour days, seven eight
Speaker 2: week emergency HVAC Sir. It's more than seventy five years.
Speaker 2: Zim are helping their customers keep their home safe and
Speaker 2: efficient and comfortable. And if you get the bad news
Speaker 2: and it's time to get rid of that old air
Speaker 2: conditioner it's reached the end of its useful life, get
Speaker 2: the cool carrier, comfort rebate carrier, invented air conditioning and
Speaker 2: working through Zimmer, you can save up to twenty one
Speaker 2: hundred dollars when you get a new carrier at air
Speaker 2: Conditioning Unit. Awesome units and great folks at Zimmer. They
Speaker 2: really do a wonderful job. A plus with the BBB.
Speaker 2: Get in touch with them. It's easy to schedule appointment,
Speaker 2: do it online, makes it so simple. Go Zimmer dot com.
Speaker 2: You can learn more about all the services they offer.
Speaker 2: Go Zimmer dot com. This is fifty five karc and
Speaker 2: iHeartRadio station
Speaker 1: Biting his dead set to get as much done as