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Speaker 1: Love another Sunday that I regret going out last night.

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Speaker 2: Happy Sunday, it's a football Sunday.

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Speaker 1: Very excited to take you guys through the next hour

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giving you the edge here at wayger Talk's last call.

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Speaker 2: I'm the prop Queen Ary Epstein. Happy New Year to

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you guys as well as I guess what I wasn't

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here last week. I don't remember.

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Speaker 1: Anyway, I hope that we are going to give you

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guys a great edge going into this slate of games.

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I know we've already got the game going on in

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Dublin with the Steelers taking a lead going at half,

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but we're going to go through the one o'clock, the

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four o'clock, eight o'clock, some primetime slots, and we've got

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the best guys to do it. We've got Yanni the

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Greek to kick things off, John Murray joining us from

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over at the West Gate to take you behind the counter,

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and then Carmel Bianco going to give us some NFL action.

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Thanks for everyone tuning in, by the way, especially on

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our various social channels, Kick Rumble, Wager Talk YouTube channel,

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So if you are new here, hit the subscribe button

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so you never missed a show at the wager Talk

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YouTube If you have any questions too, We love to

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interact with you guys. That's what this show is all about.

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So make sure to write in the chat and you

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can ask any of our wager Talk handicappers any of

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the questions you have going into today's slate of games,

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also have your odds Logic screen open and ready to go.

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You can use Oddslogic dot com slash prop queen. It's

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created by Don Bess, the sports option guys. Odds Logic

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creates all of your real time odds screen. It's the

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ultimate one to really use because you could see all

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the lines, how they've moved throughout the week. You could

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see how they open, how they close, which books have

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the best numbers. It's designed with cutting edge technology, delivers

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unparalleled customization, lightning fast updates to give you a winning edge.

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Send your game rotation numbers along with all of your

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questions too. So let's start with the guy who joins

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us all the time every week here on a Sunday.

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You see him all the time on wager Talk platforms.

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He's not in his normal location, but is wearing a

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Phillies at again, how are you Yanni degree.

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Speaker 3: Good morning, good morning, great Saturday of college football. So

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we're rolling in the Sunday excited for the NFL.

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Speaker 2: Is the Phillies really good luck charm or something.

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Speaker 3: It's been good? Yeah, it's really good.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: Every week of college football we've won every week zero,

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week one, week two, week three, week four. Every week

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has been profitable. And so far regular season of NFL

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has been good too. So I like today's games.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so you like today's games. We've got this game

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going on in Dublin. I don't know if live action

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is something you think about, but it is halftime.

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Speaker 2: Anything live coming in?

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Speaker 1: Not?

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Speaker 3: Actually, that's what I was just looking for to see

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if anything was coming in. I'm seeing the under getting

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bet a little bit, the under twenty. It was a

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low scoring first half, not really sticking out on the side.

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Before the game started, it was all Minnesota. So this

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would be a really good result for the books. It

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would wipe out a lot of the early parlays that

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are tied into you know that one pm kickoffs, because's

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a lot of betters. That's what they'll do. They'll tie

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in that early game over in Europe with a little

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later games and see if they could have some action already.

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But so far it doesn't look good for Minnesota. They're

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minus three and a half in the second half and

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I'm not seeing them getting any respect at all, So

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it doesn't look good for Minnesota in the second half.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to ask you some of my questions.

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Speaker 1: Then I'm going to see what you like today, and

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then we'll get to some of the questions in the chat.

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Speaker 2: I was watching bet on it.

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Speaker 1: Here at Ways to talk with you are always on.

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You gave out a scary play and I'm curious if

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you're still backing it those Giants, You still liking them.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not afraid of the Here's the thing that

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that spreads the great equalizer, and I think with that

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game right there, it's you're paying such a premium right

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now for the Chargers. And I'm high on the Chargers.

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I have season win totals over I have them to

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win the Super Bowl future, so I want to see

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the Chargers continue to do well. But this line is

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just way too because it's a reflection of the drop

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off in quarterback from Russell Wilson to now the number

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one guy, a rookie, number one draft pick, but if

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you look at what Russell Wilson's done this season, where's

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the dropoff? Look at his quarterback rating he's got like

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a in two or three games he threw for below

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fifty percent completion rad he threw the ball thirty seven times,

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had fifteen catches. Like, It's not like he's going out

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there and winning games single handedly. So the drop off

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between the number one and number two is negligent at best.

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If anything, I think it may be an upgrade at

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the quarterback position, where you know that the kid's probably

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not going to be as gutsy as Russell Wilson thrown

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into quadruple coverage and getting picked off every third pass. So,

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if anything, I think it's an upgrade coupled with the

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rest of the team knows they got to step up,

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like we now have a rookie at quarterback. So if anything,

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I think it's the perfect storm to get a motivated

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Giants team at home against a team traveling cross country,

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playing at a conference who's already undefeated, and there's a

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lot of recency bias. That's just how well the Chargers

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have been playing arguably the best team in football. I

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don't think so, and I want them to be, but

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just power rating wise, that just isn't the case. They're

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just not the best team in the NFL. In fact,

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Chargers are barely top ten. And again this is coming

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from someone who's biased on the Chargers, but power rating wise,

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there's ten twelve teams that would be favored over the

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Chargers on a neutral field. Now, again the books, they're

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going to manage their risk. It's kind of like I

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talked about Alabama. They got to manage their risk. I

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thought Alabama was better team than Georgia based on my

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power ratings. Again, the game could have turned out Georgia winning,

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and I still would have trusted my power ratings. What

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I'm trying to say is like, at the end of

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the day, that's all I can look at. And when

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I look at the Chargers, like I said, they're they're

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a lot stocks, a lot higher than it should be

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this early in the season, and I think the Giants

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is a lot lower than it should be. So win

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or lose, I think getting six and a half it's

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a gift.

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Speaker 1: The best part about sports betting is that you're gonna

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watch some games that you normally wouldn't watch because who

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cares You've got the Vegas Raiders. No offense to you

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living in Vegas, but you've got the Vegas Raiders and

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the Chicago Bears. This was one of the most intriguing

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games of the week to me. I know that my

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friends in the group chat are all on the Raiders today.

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Kelly was saying she thinks this would end up being

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a pros versus Joe's kind of game recency biases on

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the Bears after what they looked like against Dallas. But

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the Bears really aren't that good of a team. Vegas

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is at home, short spread and minus one and a half.

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I think it flipped too early in the week. What

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are you seeing here?

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Speaker 4: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: This is a to me, this has stay away written

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all over it. You just touched it. Chicago's coming off

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such a big win against the Dallas Cowboys and it

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must win almost at home. You know, they had already

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gone behind in their Division zero and two. They had

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lost the Minnesota, they lost to Detroit. Now here come

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the Dallas Cowboys and other confidence at least fall and

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they beat them. So are you expect to let down?

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Speaker 4: Maybe?

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Speaker 3: But are you comfortable laying points with this Vegas team?

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I'm not again. They just lost by seventeen to Washington.

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They lost by eleven at home to this Chargers team.

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I just don't feel comfortable betting the Raiders in the

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favorite spot, Like it's not a team. I feel all

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warm and fuzzy walk into the window to put my

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hard earned cash on the Raiders as favorites. So yeah,

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I'm here in Vegas that the city's excited for him.

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In fact, the casino across the street had a big

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Raiders helmet as their low light logo this morning, bright

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and early.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, we're dying into those Golden Knights.

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Speaker 3: They're excited, they're excited, But yeah, I don't like it.

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Speaker 1: I'll you don't like that Vegas game. Another game people

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are intrigued by is this Eagles Bucks game. What do

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you see there?

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Speaker 3: I like the under. I bet the under. I went

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under forty four and a half immediately. I like the

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Eagles as well. Here's a Super Bowl winner that you know,

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you expect the team to have a little Super Bowl

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hangover and because of that, like they're performing the betting market.

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They're a three and oh team that's covered two of

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their three games already, and that shouldn't be the case.

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Because again, they're Super Bowl champs. They're supposed to be overvalued,

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and what happens, they haven't been more than except for

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the opening game against Dallas, they haven't been what a

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field goal favorites against the Rams all pick them at

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Kansas City. So I think Philly's still being discounted coming

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off that Super Bowl win. And I think Tampa Bay

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got lucky last week against New York Jets. Real quickly,

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this is a team that could very easily be zero

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to three instead of three and oh. They've got three

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wins by a combined five points. To me, with that

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kind of point differential, I'm looking to fade Tampa. I'm

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looking for spots to fame them because their points scored

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points allow tells me this should not be a three

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and oh team. They're phony. They're either getting lucky with

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turnovers with the other team committing penalties, but they're not

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They're not winning by any kind of margin where the

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Eagles are. I like Philly in that spot sound square,

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but I like Phillian.

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Speaker 1: Under Speaking of square, the chat's asking what are the

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heavy sides of the week that I guess forfeed the

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public purposes, we should be fading.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and be careful with that in the NFL, because

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I promise you, by the time the game kicks off,

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there's so many opinions that the books make money. There's

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so much. I don't think you could go back the

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last ten years, I promise you. And so fifty two weeks, right,

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there's five hundred plus weeks over the last ten years.

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Over five hundred weeks, I would venture a guess that

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the books lost less than two percent of those less

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than two percent of those weeks. So they don't need anything.

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They just need us to go in there and bet

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we're laying eleven to ten, we're already taking the worst

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of it. They really don't need anything like the fact

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if we're all lining up on one side, that it's

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going to lose because we're doing that. I just never

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understood that. But I know everybody loves to know what

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the books need. And again, when you're getting eleven to ten,

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you really don't need much except the book action. But

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the one sided games that are sticking out are Baltimore

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Baltimore over Kansas City, and usually with a coin flip

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kind of game, you don't expect that road favorites. You

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don't expect that, But I just think that the stock

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on Kansas City is so low right now. Betters are

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looking for a reason to fade Casey and Mahomes, and

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they're doing it today with Baltimore. They're also already tying

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in Denver for Monday Night, so the books are probably

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gonna have to go to teaser protection on the Denver Broncos.

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Pay attention to that line, because I'm already seeing the

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parlays on the point spread, the money line parlays, and

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the teasers tied into Monday Night with the Denver Broncos

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like they already have Tuesday's newspaper. And Denver won that

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game by forty points. The betters are that sure. Minnesota.

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That was an early game that got a ton of

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one sided action. Like I said, it's going to wipe

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out a lot a lot of parlays already. Houston, Houston,

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Texans getting money. Dallas and Detroit. So it's the usual suspects.

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Speaker 2: You know.

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Speaker 3: Detroit, they going out there, they're playing a bad Cleveland team.

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They got to win by double digits. No one's afraid

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of laying it. They're teasing it. They're money lining it. Detroit.

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I'm sure Detroit's Survivor pick of the week. So Detroit's

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that sexy pick for sure, But Baltimore, Denver, Houston, Dallas, Detroit,

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those are the public signs that are sticking out the most.

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But again, unless you see the line move is what

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you need to be paying attention to, Like, how are

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the books respecting that money? Because youve got to remember,

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if ten guys walk up and bet ten dollars on

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Team AY, and then I walk up and I bet

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a thousand on Team B, they may have ninety percent

243
00:11:39,320 --> 00:11:42,559
of the tickets on Team A, but they want teammate

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to win. Just because they have ninety percent of the

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tickets on Team A means nothing. Where's the money, what's

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00:11:48,039 --> 00:11:51,720
the money show? Where's that balance? Because that's what's going

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to move the market. The ticket count means absolutely nothing,

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and that's what most of the data out there is

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like where they're one sided with ticket count because again,

250
00:12:01,200 --> 00:12:03,840
ten people could bet Team A. I bet fifty x

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on Team B and the ticket count means nothing. So

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always keep that in the back of your mind.

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Speaker 2: Now, let we know where the public is going, Yanni,

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where are you and those sharp groups going?

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Speaker 3: All right, we took this is going to scare batters.

256
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We banged New Orleans immediately. I bet New Orleans probably

257
00:12:19,919 --> 00:12:22,879
seven different ways. I bet New Orleans from seven plus

258
00:12:22,960 --> 00:12:25,639
seventeen at minus one fifteen, I gave them ount to

259
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subscribers at plus sixteen or sixteen and a half. I

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bet them at plus fifteen and all the way down, though.

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I think fifteen and a half was the last bet

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I have on New Orleans. You know, I like the Giants.

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I already liked Kansas City. I like Kansas City from

264
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before that line even came out. I thought Kansas City

265
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was gonna be undervalued. They are a couple of sharp

266
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sides to sixty Atlanta plus one and a half. Detroit

267
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got steamed again. That's public and Sharps on the Detroit team,

268
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which again shows you Sharps don't care what the public's doing.

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They don't pay attention to what the public's doing. What's

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the number and it is in an efficient number, that's it.

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They're on the Rams, two seventy rams. They like the

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Rams a lot, and like I said, they like Philadelphia

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and Houston another side that's public also and sharp betters

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as well, So Philly, Houston, Atlanta, Detroit sharp giants sharp

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New Orleans sharp case sharp. But again they with sharps

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lose too. Just cash more than we trash.

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Speaker 2: That's all cash more than we trash. I love it.

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This chat's asking also any teaser legs that you would bet?

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00:13:30,039 --> 00:13:32,720
Speaker 3: Oh, right now, the teasers has been so good. Jump

280
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into the steam room. You'll get the teasers for free

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about fifteen minutes before kickoff right now, seven and one

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00:13:37,279 --> 00:13:39,679
this year, if the games were going off right now,

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00:13:39,720 --> 00:13:42,159
do we even have a teaser? The only leg I

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could possibly Yeah, the teaser I would give would be Chicago.

285
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I'd take Chicago up to seven and a half, and

286
00:13:48,080 --> 00:13:49,919
I take Kansas City up to eight and a half,

287
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and I take Washington, Washington.

288
00:13:52,399 --> 00:13:54,039
Speaker 2: Do you think it's a little fishy that.

289
00:13:54,039 --> 00:13:55,440
Speaker 3: The line is going to three?

290
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Speaker 2: Don't you think it's what's going to three?

291
00:13:58,039 --> 00:14:00,799
Speaker 3: I think Washington's gone, Atlanta's going to so I wouldn't

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tease Washington.

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Speaker 1: I think it's fishy that the book is welcoming those

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teasers on the chiefs.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it is, it is.

296
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Speaker 4: It is.

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00:14:09,399 --> 00:14:11,639
Speaker 2: I thought maybe they would move it today and it's

298
00:14:11,679 --> 00:14:13,639
still two and a half, and I just find it

299
00:14:13,679 --> 00:14:16,799
to be a very fishy line. That the Ravens are

300
00:14:16,799 --> 00:14:19,000
on the road. You would think that's an easy teaser

301
00:14:19,039 --> 00:14:21,480
spot to go take the Chiefs at home in a

302
00:14:21,519 --> 00:14:23,879
close like I just think it's wait it is.

303
00:14:24,480 --> 00:14:27,480
Speaker 3: But here's here's the predicament. The book is in. Okay,

304
00:14:27,759 --> 00:14:32,440
they're getting bet Baltimore by recreational betters. They like Baltimore,

305
00:14:32,440 --> 00:14:36,679
and they should they like Baltimore. Okay, they power rating wise,

306
00:14:36,679 --> 00:14:37,320
it makes sense.

307
00:14:38,200 --> 00:14:41,679
Speaker 2: But so there's a lot on both sides.

308
00:14:41,759 --> 00:14:44,840
Speaker 3: Sharp betters are taking the three when the three pops up.

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00:14:44,879 --> 00:14:46,960
If you look at the Oddsway logic screen and you

310
00:14:47,039 --> 00:14:49,399
click it, you'll see whenever three is popped up at

311
00:14:49,399 --> 00:14:51,919
the Sharp books, it's been picked off. So throughout the

312
00:14:51,919 --> 00:14:54,799
week they popped up three, they pushed three, and whenever

313
00:14:54,799 --> 00:14:57,759
they got three, someone took k C plus three. So

314
00:14:57,840 --> 00:15:00,759
they know if they want to manage the risk, all

315
00:15:00,759 --> 00:15:02,360
they have to do is move with the three and

316
00:15:02,399 --> 00:15:05,240
they'll balance it. It looks to me like they're almost

317
00:15:05,360 --> 00:15:08,919
welcoming Baltimore at minus two and a half. That's a

318
00:15:08,919 --> 00:15:12,360
little worried some on the Baltimore side, because again just

319
00:15:12,399 --> 00:15:16,440
seeing the action already, not only is the ticket side

320
00:15:16,279 --> 00:15:20,120
on Baltimore, but the money is on Baltimore two, even

321
00:15:20,200 --> 00:15:22,879
with the plus three being bought by Sharps. It's just

322
00:15:23,000 --> 00:15:26,600
more public money than sharp money always in the NFL,

323
00:15:26,679 --> 00:15:28,960
and by the time that game kicks off later, I

324
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think it's just going to grow. It'll be interesting to

325
00:15:32,000 --> 00:15:34,360
see if they go to three. If they go to three,

326
00:15:34,440 --> 00:15:37,600
that tells you they're trying now. They're scared of Baltimore

327
00:15:37,639 --> 00:15:40,159
on that Baltimore money and they want to limit that risk.

328
00:15:40,320 --> 00:15:42,799
But if that game stays two and a half, that's

329
00:15:42,840 --> 00:15:45,360
not a great sign for Baltimore with the money that's

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00:15:45,360 --> 00:15:45,799
coming in.

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Speaker 2: Interesting. Okay, good to know.

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00:15:48,960 --> 00:15:51,000
Speaker 1: There are two other games we haven't really touched on yet,

333
00:15:51,039 --> 00:15:54,240
the Panthers and the Patriots, and then the Colts and

334
00:15:54,279 --> 00:15:54,840
the Rams.

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Speaker 2: What do you think?

336
00:15:55,759 --> 00:15:58,399
Speaker 3: All right? I like the Rams. I do like the Rams.

337
00:15:58,960 --> 00:16:01,879
That game got themed over, Okay, soon is that total?

338
00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:05,399
That's what's interesting. This total got steamed over by multiple groups.

339
00:16:05,799 --> 00:16:09,720
And then this morning this group that destroys team totals,

340
00:16:09,759 --> 00:16:12,960
destroys like all those little derivatives, first half total, like

341
00:16:13,000 --> 00:16:16,840
the crazy stuff. They came in and blasted under Colts

342
00:16:17,240 --> 00:16:19,879
first half team total. So they expect the Colts to

343
00:16:19,919 --> 00:16:21,639
score less than ten and a half points in the

344
00:16:21,679 --> 00:16:24,240
first half, but somehow they do like the game to

345
00:16:24,279 --> 00:16:26,159
go over forty seven and a half. Try to make

346
00:16:26,200 --> 00:16:28,399
that make sense in your head. I don't know. I'm

347
00:16:28,440 --> 00:16:31,519
not smart enough. It'll blow my brain. So I just

348
00:16:31,519 --> 00:16:33,879
bet everything. That's what I do. When the dust settles,

349
00:16:33,879 --> 00:16:35,720
I hope to be ahead. I don't try to figure

350
00:16:35,759 --> 00:16:39,480
out the puzzle like that. But they like the Colts

351
00:16:39,600 --> 00:16:42,480
under team total first half, but they did steam the

352
00:16:42,519 --> 00:16:45,720
game over. I personally like the Rams. I think three

353
00:16:45,799 --> 00:16:49,399
and a half's a gift. I think even minus four

354
00:16:49,480 --> 00:16:52,200
uncomfortable welighing the Rams anything less than a touchdown. I

355
00:16:52,240 --> 00:16:55,399
think they covered this game. That's my opinion. The other

356
00:16:55,440 --> 00:16:57,480
one Carolina, I don't really have an opinion on it.

357
00:16:57,519 --> 00:17:00,960
I think that's a really ugly game against too you know,

358
00:17:01,080 --> 00:17:05,440
one win football teams. The difference is you have Carolina

359
00:17:05,519 --> 00:17:08,039
coming in off of what a thirty to nothing win

360
00:17:08,240 --> 00:17:12,480
against Atlanta, so, you know, maybe a little recency bias there.

361
00:17:12,519 --> 00:17:15,039
Maybe looked at UH, New England because of that. I

362
00:17:15,039 --> 00:17:17,559
don't like the game. Gun the head. I bet New England,

363
00:17:18,079 --> 00:17:19,039
but it's probably a pass.

364
00:17:19,720 --> 00:17:22,039
Speaker 1: There was an interesting spot that Marco brought up when

365
00:17:22,039 --> 00:17:25,000
you guys were on bet on It this week when

366
00:17:25,119 --> 00:17:29,240
he was saying the the forty nine ers are in

367
00:17:29,279 --> 00:17:32,279
a really bad scheduling spot because they have to face

368
00:17:32,319 --> 00:17:35,440
the Rams on a short week on Thursday. So with

369
00:17:35,559 --> 00:17:39,039
them getting Jacksonville at home, super banged up San Francisco,

370
00:17:39,160 --> 00:17:42,119
brock Purdy coming back under center, how would you play

371
00:17:42,200 --> 00:17:43,440
the Jaguars and the Niners?

372
00:17:43,920 --> 00:17:47,240
Speaker 3: Yeah? I wouldn't, to be honest with you. Yeah, that's

373
00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:52,119
because because of the party situation. His backup came in

374
00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:55,400
and won two football games. So quantifying the worth is

375
00:17:55,559 --> 00:17:59,680
very difficult because now the backup came in played great.

376
00:18:00,519 --> 00:18:03,960
Did he just outperform, Like would he have regressed towards

377
00:18:03,960 --> 00:18:06,920
his mean had he played five, six, seven, eight games.

378
00:18:07,200 --> 00:18:10,920
That's the question that's hard to figure out. And the

379
00:18:10,960 --> 00:18:14,160
more you have to guess, the better the return has

380
00:18:14,200 --> 00:18:17,039
to be. And in this spot, I just don't see that,

381
00:18:17,279 --> 00:18:19,319
Like I'm taking more risks because I got to figure

382
00:18:19,359 --> 00:18:22,759
more things out and the return just isn't there. So

383
00:18:22,880 --> 00:18:24,839
again I think it's it's just one of those stay

384
00:18:24,880 --> 00:18:29,240
away games. Probably Dogger pass gunned the head just because

385
00:18:29,279 --> 00:18:33,240
again the forty nine ers that have definitely been outperforming

386
00:18:33,279 --> 00:18:37,039
the betting market. But it's not a game I'm really

387
00:18:37,079 --> 00:18:39,519
interested in, and I don't really see much sharp action

388
00:18:39,960 --> 00:18:44,079
or even public action. It's kind of like not much risk.

389
00:18:44,119 --> 00:18:46,960
That's why I'm not seeing much movement. Just not a

390
00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:50,279
big game for the books. The outcome won't matter too much.

391
00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:52,599
That's why it's sitting on three. Not much movement.

392
00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:56,680
Speaker 2: Sunday Night Football Packers Cowboys. What do you say.

393
00:18:57,480 --> 00:19:01,119
Speaker 3: Dallas and the Packers? I haven't touched that game yet.

394
00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:06,079
Pactors have been playing really well. The question we all

395
00:19:06,079 --> 00:19:10,880
have to ask ourselves is simple. Is the look ahead

396
00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:13,039
the right line or is the adjustment the right line?

397
00:19:13,119 --> 00:19:14,720
Because the line was supposed to be about four and

398
00:19:14,759 --> 00:19:16,599
a half. Now you're looking at six and a half

399
00:19:16,680 --> 00:19:20,319
seven Now is that warranted? I think it's too early

400
00:19:20,440 --> 00:19:23,960
for that. Like, I don't think so yet. I really

401
00:19:24,000 --> 00:19:27,240
don't like Again, I'm impressed with how well Green Bay's played.

402
00:19:28,400 --> 00:19:30,799
And anytime a team's, you know, a seven and a

403
00:19:30,839 --> 00:19:33,240
half point favorite and loses outright and then comes back

404
00:19:33,279 --> 00:19:36,759
and is a heavy favorite the next week, they usually

405
00:19:36,799 --> 00:19:39,599
do well in that spot. That's what worries me about

406
00:19:39,599 --> 00:19:44,160
fading green Bay here. But this Dallas as a home

407
00:19:44,240 --> 00:19:46,759
dog seems attractive to me, And that might just be

408
00:19:46,920 --> 00:19:51,440
old school thinking, but it does. Dallas is up for me.

409
00:19:51,960 --> 00:19:53,680
If I had to bet the game, it would be

410
00:19:53,799 --> 00:19:58,319
Dallas or Pass. I just think even if if green

411
00:19:58,319 --> 00:20:01,079
Bay we knows the better team, and on paper, it's primetime,

412
00:20:01,279 --> 00:20:05,000
it's Sunday night, it's green Bay coming to town. If

413
00:20:05,119 --> 00:20:07,880
Dallas has anything, you got to show up for this game,

414
00:20:08,079 --> 00:20:10,839
especially the way they lost to Chicago last week and

415
00:20:10,880 --> 00:20:13,559
their only wins against the Giants by only three points.

416
00:20:13,599 --> 00:20:16,200
In the game they didn't cover. Like Dallas looked as

417
00:20:16,200 --> 00:20:18,599
good as you could look losing to the Eagles in

418
00:20:18,640 --> 00:20:20,559
Week one, and then I looked as bad as you

419
00:20:20,559 --> 00:20:23,319
could possibly look in back to back weeks. So if anything,

420
00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:26,640
I think their stocks low, Dallas are pass. If you

421
00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:28,920
could get seven, I think it's a good bet.

422
00:20:29,200 --> 00:20:31,359
Speaker 1: Johanni the Greek, thank you as always for coming on

423
00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:33,839
here on a Sunday with us, giving us those winners.

424
00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:35,640
Speaker 2: What are you promoting today before I let you go?

425
00:20:35,920 --> 00:20:38,319
Speaker 3: Yeah, we'll be in the steam room in about forty minutes.

426
00:20:38,599 --> 00:20:41,119
We're gonna go final hour going into the NFL. Will

427
00:20:41,160 --> 00:20:44,920
go over as much information as possible share some bets

428
00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:48,240
with you guys, Answer any questions and go over week

429
00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:50,599
to date, year to date, month to date. So far,

430
00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:53,839
so good, and again, just keep grinding away. Football is

431
00:20:53,839 --> 00:20:55,559
being good. I came in and saying it's going to

432
00:20:55,599 --> 00:20:58,119
be the best football season I've had since twenty twenty,

433
00:20:58,200 --> 00:21:01,599
and so far it's living off. So lets just keep going.

434
00:21:02,200 --> 00:21:03,880
Speaker 2: She loves to hear it, and it's an honor to

435
00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:06,440
have you here with us. Yanni the Greek. Good luck today,

436
00:21:06,559 --> 00:21:11,720
see you next week coming up. Now, we've got one

437
00:21:11,759 --> 00:21:14,960
of my great friends who maybe will help my little

438
00:21:14,960 --> 00:21:17,319
hangover that I've got going on today. He knows a

439
00:21:17,359 --> 00:21:19,680
thing or two about me being in bad moods the

440
00:21:19,759 --> 00:21:23,559
day after I go out. John Murray joining the show

441
00:21:23,759 --> 00:21:26,480
from the Super Book in Las Vegas.

442
00:21:26,559 --> 00:21:30,559
Speaker 4: Hi, Jam, you're hungover on the morning you're hosting a

443
00:21:30,599 --> 00:21:33,079
show for your friend Kelly. I can't believe that. What

444
00:21:33,079 --> 00:21:33,519
are you doing?

445
00:21:33,920 --> 00:21:36,000
Speaker 2: She said she hasn't had alcohol in a week.

446
00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:39,079
Speaker 4: Really, I don't believe that. I don't believe that she

447
00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:41,440
could get through a Saturday of college football without drinking.

448
00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:44,599
Speaker 1: I know, right, and she's went her dad and like

449
00:21:44,640 --> 00:21:47,839
the maybe she doesn't consider certain things alcohol that most

450
00:21:47,839 --> 00:21:49,319
would like.

451
00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:51,920
Speaker 4: If it's a light beer, then that's.

452
00:21:51,759 --> 00:21:54,279
Speaker 1: Not right, Like then it doesn't count for maybe like one,

453
00:21:54,400 --> 00:21:56,039
Margarita doesn't count.

454
00:21:56,359 --> 00:21:56,920
Speaker 4: I can see that.

455
00:21:57,079 --> 00:22:00,400
Speaker 1: I can see that Margarita on the Kelly and Murray

456
00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:03,759
pod and she's, you know, fine, Well.

457
00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:06,440
Speaker 4: She's fine at one. But if she goes to two,

458
00:22:06,559 --> 00:22:09,359
then then the wheels come off the show. Yes, I

459
00:22:09,440 --> 00:22:13,759
agree one one is acceptable. What were you celebrating the

460
00:22:13,839 --> 00:22:16,319
Yankees playoff clinch?

461
00:22:17,640 --> 00:22:22,200
Speaker 1: While the Yankees have to win today, Toronto has to

462
00:22:22,279 --> 00:22:22,960
lose today.

463
00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:27,200
Speaker 4: We know, you know, we know, and I think that's

464
00:22:27,200 --> 00:22:30,640
something that people probably wouldn't understand. Some of our biggest

465
00:22:30,640 --> 00:22:33,640
decisions today are we want the Yankees to win the

466
00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:35,640
American League East and we want the Guardians to win

467
00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:39,559
the American League Central. So obviously, you know, we're keeping

468
00:22:39,559 --> 00:22:40,640
an eye on the NFL, and.

469
00:22:41,599 --> 00:22:44,000
Speaker 1: I feel like, I mean, the Guardians, I understand, but

470
00:22:44,079 --> 00:22:46,559
why the Yankees. They seem like they'd be public over

471
00:22:46,559 --> 00:22:46,880
the blue.

472
00:22:47,559 --> 00:22:49,519
Speaker 4: It's not that we really win on the Yankees, it's

473
00:22:49,559 --> 00:22:51,319
that we would get We would lose a good number

474
00:22:51,319 --> 00:22:54,200
on Toronto. Toronto was a long shot pick and there

475
00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:55,799
was a bunch of tickets on them. And if they

476
00:22:55,839 --> 00:22:58,400
win the division, we take a hit, so we'll be watching.

477
00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:01,279
We also want the Reds to make playoffs. The Reds

478
00:23:01,279 --> 00:23:04,079
can make the playoffs with a win today or a

479
00:23:04,119 --> 00:23:07,240
Mets loss, so we've got a number of moving parts

480
00:23:07,759 --> 00:23:12,079
on the diamond as we're also navigating the NFL. Luckily,

481
00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:13,839
Team USA did us a favor. We don't have to

482
00:23:13,839 --> 00:23:17,000
worry about watching the Ryder Cup today. One less thing

483
00:23:17,039 --> 00:23:20,599
to sweat. They didn't do too well, but we have

484
00:23:20,640 --> 00:23:23,079
a lot of baseball needs in addition to the NFL

485
00:23:23,079 --> 00:23:23,640
stuff today.

486
00:23:24,000 --> 00:23:26,839
Speaker 1: Okay, I like it, and I know that someone in

487
00:23:26,839 --> 00:23:29,039
the chat asked what happened to Liverpool, which is probably

488
00:23:29,039 --> 00:23:30,279
not gonna make you who.

489
00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:32,480
Speaker 4: Asked that that person should be banned from the chat

490
00:23:32,720 --> 00:23:33,200
get rid of.

491
00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:38,880
Speaker 2: Let me get the name, Jose, Jose, you're.

492
00:23:38,759 --> 00:23:42,319
Speaker 4: Out of the show. That's I don't like that.

493
00:23:42,319 --> 00:23:47,119
Speaker 2: That know what happened to Liverpool. I don't follow soccer,

494
00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:48,440
but it clearly wasn't good.

495
00:23:49,039 --> 00:23:51,680
Speaker 4: They lost two to one yesterday against Crystal Palace, a

496
00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:54,079
tough game they lost. They didn't look too good actually,

497
00:23:54,160 --> 00:23:57,400
So now it's okay, So Jose, I apologize for my outburst.

498
00:23:58,039 --> 00:23:59,079
You can still be on the show.

499
00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:00,640
Speaker 2: I'm sorry, Well, let's.

500
00:24:00,440 --> 00:24:02,480
Speaker 1: Make some other people happy, because I do like to

501
00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:06,079
see others happy. If we can't be talking about the

502
00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:09,200
sport that you love the most, the NFL, What do

503
00:24:09,279 --> 00:24:11,559
you guys need, because I know Kelly wants me to.

504
00:24:11,680 --> 00:24:13,720
This is all Kelly cares about is make sure to

505
00:24:13,799 --> 00:24:15,480
tell me what John needs.

506
00:24:16,319 --> 00:24:18,359
Speaker 4: She can't watch the show. I don't know.

507
00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:20,319
Speaker 2: I don't with her dad at breakfast, she said. And

508
00:24:20,359 --> 00:24:21,720
she doesn't really have good service.

509
00:24:23,519 --> 00:24:26,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, I noticed she face times me a lot, and

510
00:24:26,240 --> 00:24:28,319
I'm like, why are you facetiming me? Just call me.

511
00:24:28,559 --> 00:24:31,079
Speaker 2: You know that your service in her house doesn't really work.

512
00:24:31,480 --> 00:24:33,119
Speaker 4: That's what it is. I guess. I think we're gonna

513
00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:35,799
need I mean, it's it's it's a long way off,

514
00:24:35,839 --> 00:24:39,680
but I'm sure we'll need Dallas tonight. Dallas about right now,

515
00:24:39,759 --> 00:24:43,319
six and a half point underdog at home. Well unusual,

516
00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:45,039
we'll see the im that big of a dog at home.

517
00:24:45,519 --> 00:24:48,240
Very similar game to Kansas City, New York last week.

518
00:24:48,279 --> 00:24:50,960
Can't say it was about the same big or same

519
00:24:51,039 --> 00:24:53,519
level of a favorite in that game. We'll need the

520
00:24:53,559 --> 00:24:56,799
Cowboys in the morning. Oh, we really need the Steelers,

521
00:24:56,799 --> 00:24:58,640
but it's too late for that one. That doesn't help anybody.

522
00:24:58,680 --> 00:25:01,960
We'd love to see the Steelers. We'll need Cleveland, We'll

523
00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:05,519
need anybody in the afternoon. It looks like we'll need

524
00:25:06,319 --> 00:25:09,240
San fran Yeah, San Francisco, which would have surprised me

525
00:25:09,279 --> 00:25:11,519
a little bit. I wouldn't have expected that. And we'll

526
00:25:11,559 --> 00:25:15,079
need the Giants. Chargers will be in a lot of

527
00:25:15,119 --> 00:25:18,400
parlays for sure. Right now, we need Washington. You know,

528
00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:20,279
there's a lot of money that came in on Atlanta

529
00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:22,319
during the week because of the news about Jade and

530
00:25:22,400 --> 00:25:26,960
Daniels and McLaurin being out for the Commanders area, they

531
00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:28,240
call themselves the Commanders.

532
00:25:28,279 --> 00:25:31,880
Speaker 1: Now do you see any line speaking of Washington, because

533
00:25:31,880 --> 00:25:34,480
that is a team that I feel like the Lions

534
00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:37,599
have been moving a bunch on. That's because obviously injuries.

535
00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:40,240
What lines do you see moving before we get to

536
00:25:40,319 --> 00:25:40,720
kick off?

537
00:25:41,279 --> 00:25:43,200
Speaker 4: Well, there's a lot of sharp money on New Orleans,

538
00:25:43,480 --> 00:25:45,599
New Orleans. The you know they keep betting New Orleans down.

539
00:25:45,640 --> 00:25:47,880
We actually took a bet this morning from an account

540
00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:50,119
that we respect a lot on the Saints at ten

541
00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:53,400
to one to win the game. Outright, thought it was

542
00:25:53,559 --> 00:25:55,920
a pretty interesting bit. Yeah, it's a respected account. I mean,

543
00:25:55,920 --> 00:26:00,839
you can't ignore it obviously, that would that would cause

544
00:26:00,880 --> 00:26:04,039
a lot of upheaval in these survivor contests that I

545
00:26:04,079 --> 00:26:06,400
know you and I love New Orleans. I think that

546
00:26:06,559 --> 00:26:10,240
there's a lot of support for Philadelphia as well. This morning,

547
00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:13,799
there's sharp and public support for Philadelphia. Tampa Bay gets

548
00:26:13,839 --> 00:26:17,599
some key guys back this week. But the Tampa Bay

549
00:26:17,599 --> 00:26:19,880
has been fortunate to be three and oh. You know,

550
00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:22,119
they really could have lost all three of their games

551
00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:25,039
this season, and they're a little bit I like Baker

552
00:26:25,079 --> 00:26:26,960
Mayfield a lot. I like the Buccaneers, but I do

553
00:26:26,960 --> 00:26:28,720
think they're a little bit fraudulent as a three and

554
00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:32,839
oh team. But I think Philadelphia is one that you

555
00:26:33,039 --> 00:26:35,400
maybe I don't. I doubt it would go to four.

556
00:26:35,519 --> 00:26:36,960
But there's a lot of there's a lot of money

557
00:26:37,000 --> 00:26:39,599
from both the public and the sharps on Eagles.

558
00:26:40,240 --> 00:26:43,319
Speaker 1: Okay, San Francisco. They also, I know you said you

559
00:26:43,359 --> 00:26:46,400
need them Rock Purdy back under center. They are on

560
00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:49,160
a short week when like coming up, they'll be on

561
00:26:49,200 --> 00:26:51,400
a short week going to get the Rams on Thursday.

562
00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:55,960
So with the Niners and all the injuries, how do

563
00:26:56,039 --> 00:26:58,480
you see that game playing out with Jacksonville? I know

564
00:26:58,519 --> 00:27:01,559
you need them, but think that they could actually come through.

565
00:27:01,720 --> 00:27:03,799
I kind of liked the Jacks this week.

566
00:27:04,279 --> 00:27:06,880
Speaker 4: I feel like we're always every year talking about all

567
00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:11,599
the injuries San Francisco is dealing with. I mean, yeah,

568
00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:13,200
that just seems to be a common theme. And now

569
00:27:13,200 --> 00:27:15,319
you got Bosa. I believe he's out for the season,

570
00:27:15,359 --> 00:27:18,000
which is devastating for their defense. Yeah, it's a lot

571
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:24,440
of sharper support on Jacksonville and even public support as well. Jacksonville.

572
00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:27,079
There is I mean San Francisco is included in a

573
00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:29,799
number of money win parlays in the afternoon, but there's

574
00:27:29,799 --> 00:27:32,240
a lot of support for Jacksonville, which is not what

575
00:27:32,279 --> 00:27:34,839
I would have expected. To be honest with you, I

576
00:27:34,839 --> 00:27:38,559
would not have seen that coming. Jacksonville has been They've

577
00:27:38,559 --> 00:27:41,720
looked okay this season, but that's not a team I

578
00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:44,680
would have expected the public to get behind. But right, yeah,

579
00:27:44,759 --> 00:27:46,240
right now, we need the forty nine ers. But we

580
00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:48,119
do have about what four and a half hours so

581
00:27:48,240 --> 00:27:50,160
that game kicks off, so that could change.

582
00:27:50,599 --> 00:27:51,640
Speaker 2: We also have some time.

583
00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:54,440
Speaker 1: But the Chiefs and the Ravens, you know me big

584
00:27:54,519 --> 00:27:56,759
Ravens fan, and I just spoked to Yanni the Greek

585
00:27:56,799 --> 00:27:59,759
about this thought it was very suspicious that that Chiefs

586
00:27:59,799 --> 00:28:01,759
line has stayed at two and a half, welcoming all

587
00:28:01,799 --> 00:28:05,279
the teasers. So to Yanni's point, he said, well, if

588
00:28:05,279 --> 00:28:07,440
the book doesn't move that two and a half because

589
00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:09,680
of all the money they're getting on Baltimore, then it's

590
00:28:09,799 --> 00:28:12,839
probably not great and not a great sign for Baltimore. However,

591
00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:15,960
if they move the line to three, then it's a

592
00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:18,839
good sign for Baltimore because they're trying to welcome in

593
00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:20,920
as much possible action to balance it out on the

594
00:28:21,000 --> 00:28:21,640
chief side.

595
00:28:22,400 --> 00:28:24,599
Speaker 2: What say you about this Ravens Chiefs game.

596
00:28:25,200 --> 00:28:27,640
Speaker 4: We've taken a lot of money on Kansas City in

597
00:28:27,720 --> 00:28:30,000
that game. Right now, I mean right now, I.

598
00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:32,079
Speaker 2: Thought Baltimore with the public side.

599
00:28:31,799 --> 00:28:35,279
Speaker 4: Well, we got the game at plus three, so we're

600
00:28:35,319 --> 00:28:38,319
doing We got a minus one oh five juice on

601
00:28:38,359 --> 00:28:41,400
these big games on Sundays, so we've got Chiefs plus

602
00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:44,119
three minus one fifteen Baltimore minus three plus one oh

603
00:28:44,119 --> 00:28:45,079
five ten cents.

604
00:28:45,119 --> 00:28:46,000
Speaker 2: We did move to three.

605
00:28:46,279 --> 00:28:48,680
Speaker 4: Yeah, we're at three. That's that's why our ticketcount is

606
00:28:48,680 --> 00:28:50,400
going to be a little misleading. I think it's important

607
00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:53,359
too that the audience understands when they get a ticket

608
00:28:53,359 --> 00:28:57,960
account number from one of these smug sportsbook directors like me.

609
00:28:58,720 --> 00:29:00,880
They should know that if you have a number that's

610
00:29:00,920 --> 00:29:04,599
different than the market, your Ticke account information is basically meaningless. Right,

611
00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:07,640
So of course we have more tickets on the Chiefs

612
00:29:07,680 --> 00:29:10,759
will need the Ravens right now. I don't know what

613
00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:13,720
to say about your Ravens. They never should have lost

614
00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:16,519
to Buffalo week one. They never should have lost that game.

615
00:29:16,759 --> 00:29:19,359
But they could not stop the run at all last

616
00:29:19,359 --> 00:29:22,079
Monday night against Detroit. That was not a fraudulent win

617
00:29:22,160 --> 00:29:24,160
by Detroit. That was a very good win by Detroit.

618
00:29:24,279 --> 00:29:26,359
So we'll see what they can do today. The loser

619
00:29:26,440 --> 00:29:28,440
of this game is going to be one in three,

620
00:29:29,400 --> 00:29:32,559
a big one in the afternoon. Right now, we need Baltimore.

621
00:29:32,559 --> 00:29:34,440
We'll see what happens in next four and a half

622
00:29:34,440 --> 00:29:35,079
five hours.

623
00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:39,279
Speaker 1: Okay, so you guys do need Baltimore. Is that a

624
00:29:39,279 --> 00:29:42,000
real need or is that like a somewhat need.

625
00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:45,359
Speaker 4: Small need, not one of the significant ones. The significant

626
00:29:45,359 --> 00:29:47,559
ones are going to be more Like I said, Giants,

627
00:29:48,240 --> 00:29:51,680
we'll need Dallas tonight. I know we will. Right now,

628
00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:55,960
we need the Commanders, the Browns, the Steelers.

629
00:29:56,880 --> 00:29:59,279
Speaker 2: Okay, so the Niners aren't as big of a need.

630
00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:03,160
Speaker 4: Either not as big as those steel steelers out in

631
00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:05,359
your your friend Kelly's favorite city, Doublin.

632
00:30:06,279 --> 00:30:09,160
Speaker 2: I know she did really well there. She really thrived

633
00:30:09,200 --> 00:30:09,720
in Dublin.

634
00:30:10,039 --> 00:30:12,119
Speaker 1: In fact, that phone call I got from her when

635
00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:14,440
she was on the way to the airport, she really

636
00:30:14,519 --> 00:30:17,000
sounded like she was going She was like kind of

637
00:30:17,039 --> 00:30:18,240
hoping her plane would go down.

638
00:30:19,079 --> 00:30:21,039
Speaker 4: Yeah. Well, you know, she really handles the feat with

639
00:30:21,240 --> 00:30:22,839
a lot of grace. You know, she's got a little

640
00:30:22,839 --> 00:30:27,640
bit of grace. Any favors, no, no, well that yeah,

641
00:30:27,680 --> 00:30:29,960
that that would be worth having a plane go down

642
00:30:30,039 --> 00:30:32,400
your your team losing in Dublin, I think would be

643
00:30:32,599 --> 00:30:35,759
after I think, what like eleven day vacation overseas, What

644
00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:37,279
a tough way to go through life.

645
00:30:37,599 --> 00:30:39,079
Speaker 2: And she flew first class?

646
00:30:39,319 --> 00:30:41,079
Speaker 4: What oh, I didn't even know that part.

647
00:30:41,799 --> 00:30:47,279
Speaker 1: I go because we only do vacation one way. It's

648
00:30:47,279 --> 00:30:52,200
either extremely great or it's no go. Why don't you

649
00:30:52,240 --> 00:30:53,920
do like the middle ground of like, oh, you can

650
00:30:53,960 --> 00:30:56,799
have an average vacation, Kelly and I don't do average.

651
00:30:57,440 --> 00:31:02,640
Speaker 4: Why don't you guys just be normal, Just have normal accommodation. Okay,

652
00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:04,559
I want the.

653
00:31:04,519 --> 00:31:07,240
Speaker 2: Super buck, then we'll be normal. With you.

654
00:31:07,279 --> 00:31:10,359
Speaker 4: Oh yeah right. Kelly complains about her accommodations every time

655
00:31:10,400 --> 00:31:12,079
she stays here unless I have her in like one

656
00:31:12,119 --> 00:31:16,759
of the nicest sweets on the property. That well, no,

657
00:31:16,839 --> 00:31:19,519
that's my fault. I've shown her how nice our sweets

658
00:31:19,559 --> 00:31:21,680
can be here because some of the you know, some

659
00:31:21,720 --> 00:31:25,559
of the theme suites are awesome. I've made the mistake.

660
00:31:25,720 --> 00:31:27,960
Speaker 2: The one that wanted like the pink, wasn't it like

661
00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:29,039
a pink one or something.

662
00:31:29,359 --> 00:31:32,880
Speaker 4: I think she was in the bunny suite, I believe, yeah,

663
00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:33,319
I think so.

664
00:31:33,480 --> 00:31:35,559
Speaker 2: There was another one though that you couldn't put us in,

665
00:31:35,599 --> 00:31:36,440
but she wanted it.

666
00:31:37,240 --> 00:31:40,319
Speaker 4: I can't believe she was demanding. I don't remember. I'm

667
00:31:40,319 --> 00:31:42,359
sure I think there is a something like that a

668
00:31:42,400 --> 00:31:45,440
pink suite, or there's a lot of them. The marketing

669
00:31:45,480 --> 00:31:46,400
team does a good job.

670
00:31:46,880 --> 00:31:49,720
Speaker 2: They do. Your suites are awesome. Nick from New York

671
00:31:49,799 --> 00:31:52,599
City wants to know the need in the Patriots Carolina.

672
00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:55,880
Speaker 4: Game right now. It's actually New England because we took

673
00:31:55,920 --> 00:31:59,079
some bigger bets on Carolina plus five and a half.

674
00:31:59,480 --> 00:32:03,000
So now not like a significant game, but we would

675
00:32:03,000 --> 00:32:05,279
be rooting for like our best case scenario right now

676
00:32:05,359 --> 00:32:08,759
looks like if New England could cover the spread, win

677
00:32:08,799 --> 00:32:10,880
by six or more and actually have the game go

678
00:32:11,079 --> 00:32:14,799
under the total, very low total, so not a lot

679
00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:17,160
of margin for error there for us. We wouldn't really

680
00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:19,559
want too many points out of Carolina. We're going to

681
00:32:19,599 --> 00:32:20,880
get both those sides, right.

682
00:32:22,079 --> 00:32:25,359
Speaker 2: Okay, Well, Carolina is a terrible Rundi as well, So

683
00:32:25,440 --> 00:32:27,880
if the Patriots can just get Remondro Stevenson to hold

684
00:32:27,920 --> 00:32:30,680
onto the football or choose another running back to run

685
00:32:30,720 --> 00:32:32,920
the football, then maybe they will have a chance to

686
00:32:32,960 --> 00:32:34,880
cover saw the steam on them as well. For and

687
00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:35,799
a half to five and a half.

688
00:32:35,839 --> 00:32:38,759
Speaker 1: Move John Murray over at the super Book in Las Vegas.

689
00:32:38,799 --> 00:32:40,440
Make sure to go say hello to him at the

690
00:32:40,480 --> 00:32:42,880
West Gate. He loves talking to people, very social.

691
00:32:43,079 --> 00:32:43,119
Speaker 2: You.

692
00:32:43,680 --> 00:32:45,160
Speaker 4: I'm a man of the people. I love it man.

693
00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:48,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, everybody, make sure to go check it out over there.

694
00:32:48,799 --> 00:32:51,480
It's the best sports book in Las Vegas. We have

695
00:32:51,519 --> 00:32:55,160
a great time, except for when our Super Bowl bets lose,

696
00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:58,480
which is a great time. John Murray, thanks for always

697
00:32:58,480 --> 00:33:00,559
coming on with us. We love yall, and we'll see

698
00:33:00,559 --> 00:33:01,240
you next week.

699
00:33:01,559 --> 00:33:02,079
Speaker 4: Next week.

700
00:33:03,279 --> 00:33:06,319
Speaker 2: Last, but certainly not least, our next guest is from

701
00:33:06,319 --> 00:33:08,440
here at Wager talk. You see them all the time

702
00:33:08,480 --> 00:33:11,440
talking soccer, hockey and NFL.

703
00:33:11,839 --> 00:33:16,599
Speaker 1: Carman and Bianco joining the show from Canada, Canada. How

704
00:33:16,839 --> 00:33:18,799
is it over there in Canada, Carmen.

705
00:33:19,079 --> 00:33:23,079
Speaker 5: We are sweating as a nation here Ario, because you

706
00:33:23,079 --> 00:33:25,640
know what, today is three three pm today, even though

707
00:33:25,640 --> 00:33:28,279
football is on. I know you're gonna have the Yankees

708
00:33:28,319 --> 00:33:30,440
game on on one TV. We're gonna have the Jay's

709
00:33:30,519 --> 00:33:33,359
game on on the other. It's a shame one of these.

710
00:33:37,680 --> 00:33:39,519
Speaker 2: Do you guys all love the Blue Jays over there?

711
00:33:39,759 --> 00:33:41,440
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's like the Raptors.

712
00:33:42,279 --> 00:33:43,079
Speaker 4: The nation.

713
00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:48,160
Speaker 5: Takes to adopts the Raptors as their own during the playoffs.

714
00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:50,759
When the Raptors are actually in the playoffs, they set

715
00:33:50,839 --> 00:33:57,279
up Jurassic Parks throughout the arenas in Canada so where

716
00:33:57,279 --> 00:33:59,279
people can watch on big screens. And I think it's

717
00:33:59,279 --> 00:34:01,920
the same thing with the with the Blue Jays, maybe

718
00:34:01,920 --> 00:34:06,519
outside of Montreal, who are still Montreal Expo fans even

719
00:34:06,519 --> 00:34:10,559
though they're not no longer in the league. But yeah,

720
00:34:10,679 --> 00:34:13,239
it's it's gonna be a dicey one today, to say

721
00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:15,079
the least. We'll see if Gosman can get it done

722
00:34:15,199 --> 00:34:18,679
at home. If not, the Yankees just have to keep

723
00:34:18,760 --> 00:34:19,719
rolling the way they are.

724
00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:21,199
Speaker 2: Yeah, it kind of scares me.

725
00:34:21,159 --> 00:34:23,360
Speaker 1: At the Yankees around this wind streak going into the playoffs,

726
00:34:23,400 --> 00:34:26,039
but it's fine. We'll see hopefully that it doesn't die

727
00:34:26,079 --> 00:34:29,119
out before we get to NFL. Adam Schefter just tweeted

728
00:34:29,199 --> 00:34:34,079
actives for today. Baker Mayfield, Tristan Wurfs, Chris Godwin a

729
00:34:34,119 --> 00:34:39,119
big active today. Christian Gonzalez, Derek Stingley, and Shubba Hubbard

730
00:34:39,119 --> 00:34:43,199
are all active today in the NFL. Chris Godwin a

731
00:34:43,199 --> 00:34:45,320
big one for those bucks. But Carmine, what do you

732
00:34:45,440 --> 00:34:46,320
like today on the board.

733
00:34:47,519 --> 00:34:50,280
Speaker 5: So I'm gonna go with some props, because if I'm

734
00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:52,000
wrong with the prop, Queen, you know, I want to

735
00:34:52,039 --> 00:34:56,679
go props, and I'll toss out a couple. I'll toss

736
00:34:56,719 --> 00:35:00,519
out a couple of QB passing ones. I like taking

737
00:35:00,559 --> 00:35:03,679
passing ones and over the passing yards in games in

738
00:35:03,719 --> 00:35:07,119
which I think are going to be competitive. And the

739
00:35:07,119 --> 00:35:09,360
first one is a surprise because it is the Bills

740
00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:11,719
game and it's Josh Allen. He's at two undred nineteen

741
00:35:11,760 --> 00:35:14,760
and a half yards. You know. The caution sign here

742
00:35:14,840 --> 00:35:17,079
is if the Bills get out to a huge lead

743
00:35:17,800 --> 00:35:21,480
in this one, do they go to a running game

744
00:35:21,519 --> 00:35:25,480
in the second half, do they bring in Trbitsky as well?

745
00:35:25,519 --> 00:35:27,599
To Josh the competitor, he wants to be in there,

746
00:35:27,639 --> 00:35:31,639
So you have to think that absince of a huge lead,

747
00:35:31,679 --> 00:35:33,239
he's going to be in there for at least three

748
00:35:33,320 --> 00:35:36,519
quarters of this game. But he could very well have

749
00:35:36,519 --> 00:35:39,000
two hundred nineteen or two undred and twenty at halftime,

750
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:40,440
because I think the Bills are going to go after

751
00:35:40,480 --> 00:35:43,280
the Saints early in this one and try and step

752
00:35:43,320 --> 00:35:45,199
on their throats. The Saints have hung around in a

753
00:35:45,239 --> 00:35:48,360
couple of games this season, so I think what you

754
00:35:48,400 --> 00:35:50,840
want to do is trying to avoid kind of like

755
00:35:50,840 --> 00:35:53,679
what Gianni said, because he likes the Saints, trying to

756
00:35:53,760 --> 00:35:59,480
avoid keeping any team in a game. I still remember

757
00:35:59,480 --> 00:36:02,360
a few years back the Bills pre Josh Allard. I

758
00:36:02,360 --> 00:36:05,159
think it was Josh Allen's first year, a sixteen or

759
00:36:05,199 --> 00:36:08,639
seventeen point dog going into Minnesota, and they won the

760
00:36:08,639 --> 00:36:12,440
game out right. So to say that a sixteen point

761
00:36:12,519 --> 00:36:15,280
dog can't win, I wouldn't agree with that, but I

762
00:36:15,320 --> 00:36:20,079
hopefully it doesn't happen today. Justin Herbert over two hundred

763
00:36:20,079 --> 00:36:23,639
and fifty one and a half yards, I think the

764
00:36:23,679 --> 00:36:25,159
Giants are going to give him a game today as

765
00:36:25,199 --> 00:36:27,320
well too. I think Herbert's going to put up his thing.

766
00:36:27,480 --> 00:36:30,239
The Giants have allowed the third most passing yards. You

767
00:36:30,239 --> 00:36:32,960
look at the three qbs they face. Dak put up

768
00:36:33,000 --> 00:36:36,320
three hundred and sixty one, Daniel's turner in thirty three

769
00:36:36,320 --> 00:36:39,519
and a half, and Mahomes, who hasn't been really past

770
00:36:39,599 --> 00:36:41,719
happy and didn't have it, doesn't have the wide receivers,

771
00:36:41,719 --> 00:36:44,440
still put up twouner in twenty four. Herbert's got a

772
00:36:44,480 --> 00:36:47,960
lot more tools to him in that one. And you

773
00:36:48,000 --> 00:36:50,440
look at his three games toder and eighteen versus Casey,

774
00:36:50,440 --> 00:36:53,920
two hundred and forty two against Las Vegas and three

775
00:36:54,000 --> 00:36:57,239
hundred against Denver, so two fifty one and a half.

776
00:36:57,280 --> 00:37:02,320
I think is doable for Justin Herbert umm agree or

777
00:37:02,360 --> 00:37:05,880
disagree before I keep before I keep rambling on.

778
00:37:06,519 --> 00:37:09,559
Speaker 1: So I think, based on what I've heard, John Murray

779
00:37:09,599 --> 00:37:13,360
says they need the Giants, Yanny the Greek likes the Giants.

780
00:37:13,679 --> 00:37:16,719
If that's the case, and the Giants do keep this

781
00:37:16,800 --> 00:37:19,599
game close, the Chargers are going to have to throw

782
00:37:19,639 --> 00:37:21,519
the football, and we know that the Chargers love to

783
00:37:21,559 --> 00:37:22,559
throw the football anyway.

784
00:37:23,599 --> 00:37:24,199
Speaker 2: I like it.

785
00:37:24,320 --> 00:37:26,800
Speaker 1: I know the Giants also have a terrible secondary, so

786
00:37:27,079 --> 00:37:29,199
it makes a lot of sense for Justin Herbert to

787
00:37:29,239 --> 00:37:30,039
go over pasting yards.

788
00:37:30,039 --> 00:37:32,440
Speaker 5: I like it, so we should see a good one

789
00:37:32,480 --> 00:37:38,400
they are now the Bears game. Ashton Johnty over sixty

790
00:37:38,440 --> 00:37:40,920
eight and a half rushing yards in this one, Ariol

791
00:37:41,440 --> 00:37:45,440
the Bears second worst through three weeks against the rush,

792
00:37:45,920 --> 00:37:49,880
allowing US most rushing yards allowed, one hundred and twenty

793
00:37:49,960 --> 00:37:53,039
versus Minnesota, one hundred and seventy seven versus the Lions,

794
00:37:53,119 --> 00:37:56,320
and one hundred and twenty one versus Dallas in a

795
00:37:56,360 --> 00:37:59,119
game in which Dac also had three hundred and sixty

796
00:37:59,159 --> 00:38:02,960
one yards. I think in that one, no, that was

797
00:38:03,000 --> 00:38:05,960
a different game, but one hundred and twenty one versus Dallas.

798
00:38:06,440 --> 00:38:08,440
I think he gets over that number. Sixty eight and

799
00:38:08,480 --> 00:38:11,960
a half. It's a little if you look at his

800
00:38:12,039 --> 00:38:15,679
numbers thus far this season, a little more in this

801
00:38:16,119 --> 00:38:18,480
number seems a little inflated, but I think he had

802
00:38:18,519 --> 00:38:21,079
sixty eight in his last game, or sixty five. I

803
00:38:21,079 --> 00:38:25,800
think he gets over this number against the Bears and

804
00:38:26,760 --> 00:38:29,719
that rush defense. The last one is an under, and

805
00:38:29,760 --> 00:38:32,760
it's the Cuba Hubbard one under fifty one and a

806
00:38:32,760 --> 00:38:37,960
half rushing yards. He was limited practice on Thursday and Friday.

807
00:38:38,039 --> 00:38:41,239
He's gonna play today. But the Pats defense have done

808
00:38:41,280 --> 00:38:45,960
a fantastic job with their rush defense. They allowed only

809
00:38:46,000 --> 00:38:48,679
fifty six to the Raiders, only sixty one to Miami,

810
00:38:48,719 --> 00:38:53,639
and only sixty four to the Steelers this season. If

811
00:38:53,719 --> 00:38:57,280
that calf injury is a little more serious than we

812
00:38:57,360 --> 00:38:59,679
think it is and he doesn't get the touches, I

813
00:38:59,679 --> 00:39:02,559
don't think he gets close to that number of fifty

814
00:39:02,599 --> 00:39:04,760
one and a half unless he breaks a couple of

815
00:39:04,760 --> 00:39:06,480
big ones. So I'm going to go under the total

816
00:39:06,480 --> 00:39:06,960
in that one.

817
00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:10,119
Speaker 2: I do like that as well. I was looking at it.

818
00:39:10,159 --> 00:39:12,840
Speaker 1: I just wasn't sure until now if Jebba Hubbard was

819
00:39:12,880 --> 00:39:16,400
going to be active or not, and he is, I

820
00:39:16,400 --> 00:39:18,880
would say Chebba Hubbard under his rushing yards against the

821
00:39:18,880 --> 00:39:20,880
Pat Steve that's allowed the second least rushing yards for

822
00:39:20,960 --> 00:39:23,800
games running backs. You could look to maybe his receptions

823
00:39:23,840 --> 00:39:25,920
because the Pats have been bad the last couple of

824
00:39:26,000 --> 00:39:30,199
years against past catching backs. So that's a very intriguing

825
00:39:30,280 --> 00:39:33,559
number as well. Carmine, when it comes to sides in

826
00:39:33,639 --> 00:39:35,559
totals anything.

827
00:39:35,159 --> 00:39:35,880
Speaker 2: He got there.

828
00:39:38,400 --> 00:39:41,880
Speaker 5: A couple of them. I'm kind of like Jeohnny, I

829
00:39:41,960 --> 00:39:45,360
do like the the Rams today, you know, I mean

830
00:39:45,440 --> 00:39:47,400
we look at like and I'll just like sort of

831
00:39:47,400 --> 00:39:50,920
preface some of my circa plays for for this week.

832
00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:54,920
Last week four and one a good week three. This

833
00:39:54,960 --> 00:39:57,159
week we started off with I had Seattle on a

834
00:39:57,159 --> 00:40:01,239
couple of my entries, so those ones are in the

835
00:40:01,280 --> 00:40:02,599
Pats laying the five and a half.

836
00:40:02,599 --> 00:40:03,679
Speaker 4: That line hasn't.

837
00:40:03,360 --> 00:40:08,639
Speaker 5: Really moved, but I just can't see the Pats going

838
00:40:08,760 --> 00:40:11,880
zero to three at home under new coach Mike Rabel.

839
00:40:11,920 --> 00:40:14,000
But they're in the position to do so today if

840
00:40:14,039 --> 00:40:18,519
they lose the Texans. I have them on one of

841
00:40:18,559 --> 00:40:21,320
my tickets. The Rams I have on both my tickets.

842
00:40:21,360 --> 00:40:24,239
I have the Miami Dolphins on both of my tickets

843
00:40:24,360 --> 00:40:28,239
against New York Jets. I just this is like a

844
00:40:28,320 --> 00:40:33,280
battle of two very bad teams. But I still think,

845
00:40:33,360 --> 00:40:36,039
you know, Miami at home maybe a little more upside.

846
00:40:36,119 --> 00:40:38,440
But if they were to lose to the Jets today,

847
00:40:39,400 --> 00:40:42,960
is that the end of coach McDaniels.

848
00:40:43,639 --> 00:40:46,840
Speaker 1: That's what I've been hearing from a few people, not

849
00:40:47,199 --> 00:40:49,599
that are necessarily close to the team, but I have

850
00:40:49,719 --> 00:40:52,519
a few friends of mine who like the Dolphins, and

851
00:40:52,800 --> 00:40:54,320
a lot of them are calling for his head if

852
00:40:54,320 --> 00:40:55,400
they do lose to the Jets.

853
00:40:55,480 --> 00:40:57,159
Speaker 2: I mean that's kind of rock bottom.

854
00:40:57,760 --> 00:41:01,679
Speaker 5: Yeah, your Ravens, I think, are a better team. I

855
00:41:01,679 --> 00:41:04,440
think Ravens should get to win. I think that's a

856
00:41:04,480 --> 00:41:08,199
game that's going to get teased like crazy, if it

857
00:41:08,239 --> 00:41:09,400
hasn't been already.

858
00:41:09,840 --> 00:41:10,199
Speaker 2: I just.

859
00:41:11,760 --> 00:41:12,920
Speaker 5: With with with Chiefs.

860
00:41:14,320 --> 00:41:15,800
Speaker 1: Then you have a Ravens ticket, though I have a

861
00:41:15,840 --> 00:41:17,639
Ravens minus two and a half and I have the

862
00:41:17,719 --> 00:41:20,239
Chiefs now plus eight and a half in a teaser.

863
00:41:20,360 --> 00:41:22,039
Speaker 2: So yeah, maybe I'll hit up.

864
00:41:23,119 --> 00:41:25,000
Speaker 5: You know, I think when you look at a couple

865
00:41:25,000 --> 00:41:26,679
of teams, and you look at teams and you say, wow,

866
00:41:26,719 --> 00:41:27,960
one of these teams is going to be one in

867
00:41:28,119 --> 00:41:31,840
three after this game, absent of a tie where they're

868
00:41:31,880 --> 00:41:35,400
won two one. But both teams are equipped to easily

869
00:41:35,440 --> 00:41:38,519
come back from one in three seasons and make the playoffs.

870
00:41:38,960 --> 00:41:42,679
We're not talking about a team like who's you know,

871
00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:47,800
a nine year or ten projected team. Yeah, absolutely they could.

872
00:41:48,639 --> 00:41:49,119
Speaker 4: They could do it.

873
00:41:49,760 --> 00:41:51,559
Speaker 2: One ticket on the Ravens to win the Super Bowl

874
00:41:51,639 --> 00:41:52,039
last year.

875
00:41:52,159 --> 00:41:54,280
Speaker 1: Obviously it was still a loser, but I did end

876
00:41:54,400 --> 00:41:57,679
up getting that after their loss of the Raiders.

877
00:41:57,719 --> 00:42:00,719
Speaker 5: Yeah, and if they were to lose here, I would

878
00:42:00,719 --> 00:42:02,320
think if they were to lose here, you're gonna get

879
00:42:02,360 --> 00:42:03,639
a really good price on them.

880
00:42:05,119 --> 00:42:05,599
Speaker 2: Right now.

881
00:42:05,880 --> 00:42:07,920
Speaker 1: So I do think if they lose to the Chiefs,

882
00:42:07,960 --> 00:42:11,360
then you would probably get at least nine plus nine

883
00:42:11,480 --> 00:42:13,360
fifty maybe like around there.

884
00:42:13,719 --> 00:42:15,760
Speaker 2: But I still don't trust the Ravens.

885
00:42:15,800 --> 00:42:18,480
Speaker 1: I tell everybody all the time that the regular season

886
00:42:19,159 --> 00:42:22,199
bets are better to make than their postseason ones.

887
00:42:23,199 --> 00:42:23,440
Speaker 4: Yeah.

888
00:42:23,599 --> 00:42:26,719
Speaker 5: No, the I was on the Ravens against Detroit, it

889
00:42:26,760 --> 00:42:29,000
was that was a total shocker to me in that game.

890
00:42:29,639 --> 00:42:30,880
I just listen.

891
00:42:31,320 --> 00:42:33,519
Speaker 2: I was actually looking at Mahomes passing yards.

892
00:42:33,760 --> 00:42:36,559
Speaker 5: Yeah, Detroit's a great team, but I didn't expect them

893
00:42:36,559 --> 00:42:40,400
to get to Lamar seven times and sack them seven times.

894
00:42:40,559 --> 00:42:43,920
I just did not see that happening. And if we

895
00:42:43,960 --> 00:42:45,920
could just get a little stick them for those gloves

896
00:42:46,000 --> 00:42:49,880
or hands of Henry, he'll be fine. A couple of

897
00:42:49,960 --> 00:42:55,119
key fumbles. But I'm sorry. You were looking at the

898
00:42:55,320 --> 00:42:58,320
Mahomes passing yards? Did you say, looking.

899
00:42:58,159 --> 00:43:01,119
Speaker 1: At Mahomes passing yards? Yeah, already went up. It went

900
00:43:01,239 --> 00:43:05,639
from let me see where it was. The Mahomes number

901
00:43:05,719 --> 00:43:07,599
was two twenty nine and a half a few days

902
00:43:07,599 --> 00:43:11,360
ago and now it's two thirty eight. Now, Yeah, these

903
00:43:11,400 --> 00:43:14,360
are one hundred and ninety plus passing yards in home

904
00:43:14,360 --> 00:43:17,320
games against bottom ten secondaries and all three last year.

905
00:43:17,639 --> 00:43:20,079
And then he also has had two of the three

906
00:43:20,119 --> 00:43:22,360
go over against the Ravens. The only one that didn't

907
00:43:22,440 --> 00:43:23,559
was the last one last year.

908
00:43:24,760 --> 00:43:27,920
Speaker 5: Yeah. Never right off, Casey, I know a lot of

909
00:43:27,920 --> 00:43:30,440
people are they're like, well, one in three, but they're

910
00:43:30,440 --> 00:43:33,599
gonna get They're gonna get Rice back, They're gonna get

911
00:43:33,599 --> 00:43:35,639
healthy at some point, and.

912
00:43:35,599 --> 00:43:38,960
Speaker 1: Just underratedly, Travis Kelsey has had one hundred yard games

913
00:43:38,960 --> 00:43:40,519
against the Ravens and two of three.

914
00:43:40,920 --> 00:43:44,920
Speaker 2: So just saying, okay, you never know, never know.

915
00:43:45,199 --> 00:43:47,039
Speaker 1: I'm going to go through some props with everybody else,

916
00:43:47,039 --> 00:43:48,760
But what are you promoting today, Carmen.

917
00:43:49,400 --> 00:43:54,000
Speaker 5: Five percent play up in the NFL today and a

918
00:43:54,039 --> 00:43:56,679
couple other plays as well to which are four percent plays.

919
00:43:56,679 --> 00:43:59,039
You can get them all in one package for thirty

920
00:43:59,119 --> 00:44:00,719
nine dollars. I've got that they still on the site

921
00:44:00,800 --> 00:44:02,079
or just a five percent.

922
00:44:02,320 --> 00:44:03,360
Speaker 4: On its own.

923
00:44:03,639 --> 00:44:06,599
Speaker 5: And the last three years with my four and five

924
00:44:06,599 --> 00:44:09,679
percent plays, the last three years since the started the

925
00:44:09,719 --> 00:44:12,960
twenty twenty three season, one hundred and eighteen units with

926
00:44:13,039 --> 00:44:15,000
four and five percent plays, which is number one at

927
00:44:15,000 --> 00:44:18,480
wager Talk amongst all kappers. So let's keep the NFL

928
00:44:18,559 --> 00:44:19,199
ball rolling.

929
00:44:20,119 --> 00:44:20,639
Speaker 2: We love it.

930
00:44:20,719 --> 00:44:23,199
Speaker 1: Carmen, thanks for coming on with us as always here

931
00:44:23,239 --> 00:44:25,800
on last call on wager Talk. Good luck to your

932
00:44:25,840 --> 00:44:27,320
bets today and we'll see you against you.

933
00:44:28,360 --> 00:44:28,760
Speaker 4: Take care.

934
00:44:29,760 --> 00:44:31,639
Speaker 1: And I'm not saying good luck to his turn onto

935
00:44:31,639 --> 00:44:35,440
Blue Jays because I hope that my Yankees don't est

936
00:44:35,480 --> 00:44:35,920
this up.

937
00:44:36,320 --> 00:44:38,519
Speaker 2: Whatever. Honestly, I don't care that much about the division.

938
00:44:38,559 --> 00:44:39,199
It is what it is.

939
00:44:39,239 --> 00:44:41,679
Speaker 1: They'll be home anyway in the wild card the Yankees.

940
00:44:41,800 --> 00:44:44,599
I'd rather than lose a game before the playoffs than

941
00:44:44,599 --> 00:44:47,440
lose a wild card game. But whatever, I like hot streaks,

942
00:44:47,440 --> 00:44:49,679
I'll come to an end. You asked about the over

943
00:44:49,719 --> 00:44:52,039
four and a half rush attempts for Patrick mahomes Jack.

944
00:44:52,480 --> 00:44:55,159
I kind of like the over on Lamar more for

945
00:44:55,239 --> 00:44:57,320
his rush attempts. Even though it's up to eight and

946
00:44:57,360 --> 00:44:59,239
a half now you can get around plus one hundred.

947
00:44:59,280 --> 00:45:01,480
It was seven and a half earlier this week. Lamar's

948
00:45:01,480 --> 00:45:03,559
had sixteen rush attempts in two of his last three

949
00:45:03,599 --> 00:45:05,679
against the Chiefs last week, it looked like the game

950
00:45:05,679 --> 00:45:07,519
plan was really to keep Lamar in the pocket. He

951
00:45:07,599 --> 00:45:10,800
looked really hesitant to run. But the Chiefs are allowing

952
00:45:10,840 --> 00:45:13,199
the second most rush attempts per game to quarterbacks this year.

953
00:45:13,320 --> 00:45:15,559
Spencer Ratler, Kyler Murray, they all went over their rush

954
00:45:15,599 --> 00:45:19,800
attempt props. And Lamar's much better runner, obviously, but also

955
00:45:21,159 --> 00:45:24,159
like the Ravens can't go one at three, and Lamar

956
00:45:24,280 --> 00:45:26,239
is going to take matters into his own hands because

957
00:45:26,280 --> 00:45:28,280
he was even mad at like Derrick Henry last week,

958
00:45:28,320 --> 00:45:29,559
and they're like good buddies.

959
00:45:29,719 --> 00:45:32,320
Speaker 2: They were getting into it on the sideline. So if

960
00:45:32,400 --> 00:45:34,199
Lamar just wants to run, I think he's just gonna

961
00:45:34,280 --> 00:45:36,280
run this week. But some other plays that I like

962
00:45:36,360 --> 00:45:39,199
for props. So Jalen Hurts over his longest rush is

963
00:45:39,239 --> 00:45:41,840
fifteen and a half yards. Dating back to last season,

964
00:45:41,840 --> 00:45:44,519
when Hurts faced the team bottom ten against mobile quarterbacks,

965
00:45:44,920 --> 00:45:47,880
he averaged a longest rush of eighteen yards per game.

966
00:45:48,480 --> 00:45:50,599
The problem is that Hurts doesn't run so much on

967
00:45:50,679 --> 00:45:54,320
the road, so like it drops off a decent amount

968
00:45:54,360 --> 00:45:56,920
when he's on the road. But all we need is

969
00:45:56,960 --> 00:46:01,480
won And if you look at Tempa Bay Buccaneers the

970
00:46:01,519 --> 00:46:04,920
first few weeks of the season, the Bucks are allowing

971
00:46:05,679 --> 00:46:07,679
running backs. Sue, where was it?

972
00:46:07,920 --> 00:46:10,000
Speaker 1: The Bucks are bottom ten in rush of temps allowed

973
00:46:10,000 --> 00:46:12,679
to running backs last year and this year. So you

974
00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:15,440
could look to Jalen Hurts over his fifteen and a

975
00:46:15,480 --> 00:46:20,320
half yards on his longest rush in the Houston Jag

976
00:46:20,599 --> 00:46:23,840
the Houston Texans game, I would look to either wide

977
00:46:23,880 --> 00:46:27,039
receiver Xavier Hutchinson or Jaden Higgins to go over their

978
00:46:27,079 --> 00:46:30,880
longest reception. Both receivers or tied with Nico Collins for

979
00:46:30,920 --> 00:46:32,840
the most big catches this year for Texans.

980
00:46:33,239 --> 00:46:35,280
Speaker 2: They also booked didn't catch a deep bult last week.

981
00:46:35,400 --> 00:46:39,360
Speaker 1: Hutchinson's got more targets with eight, Higgins five, but look

982
00:46:39,400 --> 00:46:41,400
at one of them. Because the Titans defense has allowed

983
00:46:41,400 --> 00:46:43,639
the fourth most receiving yards per game to wide receivers.

984
00:46:43,960 --> 00:46:46,119
Looking at all three games against the Titans this year,

985
00:46:46,440 --> 00:46:48,800
multiple receivers have had at least a fifteen yard catch

986
00:46:48,840 --> 00:46:50,679
nonetheleass eight and a half or eleven and a half.

987
00:46:50,719 --> 00:46:53,519
So I would definitely look to Jayden Higgins or Xavier

988
00:46:53,599 --> 00:46:59,119
Hutchinson to go over their longest reception of us do

989
00:46:59,199 --> 00:47:01,679
I think it's pretty much all the big ones. Patrick

990
00:47:01,760 --> 00:47:04,079
mahomes I just said that his passing yards prop went

991
00:47:04,079 --> 00:47:06,320
from two twenty nine and a half to two thirty

992
00:47:06,360 --> 00:47:07,159
eight and a half.

993
00:47:07,320 --> 00:47:09,679
Speaker 2: The book I think is wrong on this.

994
00:47:09,760 --> 00:47:12,239
Speaker 1: Mahomes averages twenty more yards a game at home then

995
00:47:12,280 --> 00:47:14,840
on the road. He's only played one game this season

996
00:47:14,880 --> 00:47:17,840
at home. It's a short spread. So in a closely

997
00:47:17,840 --> 00:47:21,360
contested game, if the Ravens potentially do take leads, Mahomes

998
00:47:21,400 --> 00:47:23,920
averaging two hundred and ninety two passing yards a game

999
00:47:23,960 --> 00:47:27,320
against the Ravens at home. Last season against bottom ten secondaries,

1000
00:47:27,360 --> 00:47:29,280
Mahomes had at least two hundred and ninety one passing

1001
00:47:29,360 --> 00:47:32,159
yards in all three of those home games. So again,

1002
00:47:32,280 --> 00:47:34,079
for a team like Baltimore, who lost the fifth most

1003
00:47:34,119 --> 00:47:37,760
passing yards per game, I would look to the over

1004
00:47:37,880 --> 00:47:39,840
on the Mahomes passing yards prop.

1005
00:47:40,360 --> 00:47:41,880
Speaker 2: So those are some of the props that I like

1006
00:47:41,920 --> 00:47:44,760
the most. Go Yankees today. I will be watching at

1007
00:47:44,760 --> 00:47:48,400
three o'clock Eastern time, and we've got this game going

1008
00:47:48,440 --> 00:47:51,400
on right now in Dublin. For everybody tuning in, thanks

1009
00:47:51,400 --> 00:47:53,440
so much. Make sure to subscribe and like on the

1010
00:47:53,480 --> 00:47:55,880
YouTube page. It helps a lot. On Wayitter Talk. We

1011
00:47:55,920 --> 00:47:57,719
will see you all next week here. I'm last call.

1012
00:47:57,760 --> 00:48:01,000
Good luck to those bets