1 00:00:02,680 --> 00:00:03,120 Speaker 1: What's up? 2 00:00:03,160 --> 00:00:03,520 Speaker 2: Everybody? 3 00:00:03,600 --> 00:00:06,960 Speaker 1: Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. If you are new, 4 00:00:07,000 --> 00:00:11,000 we always start this show by being transparent. Yesterday was 5 00:00:11,039 --> 00:00:15,119 a good day for me overall, three and two day. Overall, 6 00:00:15,199 --> 00:00:19,760 my four percent was the Lions, three percent was South 7 00:00:19,800 --> 00:00:24,920 Florida and NBA. I did go one and two, so 8 00:00:25,120 --> 00:00:28,079 those were three two percent, So overall profitable day for me. 9 00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:32,240 Yesterday be no good to be back with you again here? 10 00:00:32,399 --> 00:00:35,119 How was yesterday for you? How you doing today? 11 00:00:35,520 --> 00:00:39,479 Speaker 2: Doing good? Today? Ski? Big weekend up ahead? Uh? Yesterday 12 00:00:39,600 --> 00:00:41,200 was the third profitable day in a row for me 13 00:00:41,479 --> 00:00:45,079 at two and one, encompassing all sports that the good 14 00:00:45,159 --> 00:00:48,159 were cal State Northridge and College Hoop. Had a team 15 00:00:48,200 --> 00:00:51,520 total there that got over pretty easily. You and I, 16 00:00:52,159 --> 00:00:55,240 we could have parlayed our thoughts on the Thursday night 17 00:00:55,280 --> 00:00:57,640 football game last night because I had Dallas team total 18 00:00:57,719 --> 00:01:00,159 over over twenty four and a half, which got you 19 00:01:00,200 --> 00:01:02,119 know up to thirty. So that was a winner. The 20 00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:06,120 bad was NBA. I got involved in that Philadelphia Golden 21 00:01:06,159 --> 00:01:09,719 State game, and you know how that goes. If finals 22 00:01:09,799 --> 00:01:11,680 ninety nine to ninety eight, there's a good chance I 23 00:01:11,680 --> 00:01:12,120 didn't win. 24 00:01:15,439 --> 00:01:19,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, I get you, but that football game, and it 25 00:01:19,079 --> 00:01:21,439 was beautiful. They almost thought they were gonna give it 26 00:01:21,519 --> 00:01:23,519 up at the end, but you know, they did what 27 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:25,519 they had to do, right, Let's get to it. You know, 28 00:01:25,599 --> 00:01:28,239 a lot of games on the slate, don't necessarily have 29 00:01:28,359 --> 00:01:31,120 enough time to talk about all of them, so we're 30 00:01:31,200 --> 00:01:33,719 gonna talk about, you know, maybe some of the ones 31 00:01:33,719 --> 00:01:36,799 that stand out to us, and we will start at 32 00:01:36,799 --> 00:01:39,760 the top of the car. No shocker that I want 33 00:01:39,799 --> 00:01:42,519 to talk about. The Lakers and the Celtics opened up 34 00:01:42,640 --> 00:01:45,439 minus seven for Boston. I see eight and a half 35 00:01:46,159 --> 00:01:49,120 total open two twenty three and a half, and I 36 00:01:49,159 --> 00:01:52,400 see it as high as two twenty six and a half. 37 00:01:52,799 --> 00:01:54,400 There are two twenty five and a halfs out there 38 00:01:54,439 --> 00:02:00,400 as well. Injury report, and I'm gonna hear refreshed because 39 00:02:00,400 --> 00:02:04,840 I'm pretty sure Lebron got rolled out. It says Lebron doubtful. 40 00:02:05,040 --> 00:02:09,439 I'm pretty sure he's not playing out smart out for Boston. 41 00:02:09,680 --> 00:02:13,919 Nobody's been rolled out yet. It is the second of 42 00:02:13,960 --> 00:02:15,599 a back to back for both of these teams. 43 00:02:16,000 --> 00:02:20,319 Speaker 2: You know, I agree with the market. 44 00:02:20,439 --> 00:02:25,000 Speaker 1: You know this, This total still went up even with 45 00:02:25,159 --> 00:02:27,800 Don and James out. I don't think. I don't really 46 00:02:27,840 --> 00:02:32,360 care about Lebron out there anymore right now. I mean, 47 00:02:32,719 --> 00:02:35,159 the defense does get worse with Lebron out there. But 48 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:40,639 we've seen the Lakers without Luca, without Lebron a few times. 49 00:02:40,639 --> 00:02:42,759 We've seen him even on the back to backs, without 50 00:02:42,800 --> 00:02:46,039 both of those guys a couple of times, and they're 51 00:02:46,080 --> 00:02:48,280 still able to score. They're now they able to get 52 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:52,199 the most stops, they're able to score. So I like, 53 00:02:52,280 --> 00:02:54,400 I like the over in this game. That's what I'm 54 00:02:54,400 --> 00:02:56,080 saying when I say I agree with the market here. 55 00:02:56,199 --> 00:02:57,479 You know how you see this one? 56 00:02:58,960 --> 00:03:01,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you. I just isolated it to the 57 00:03:02,039 --> 00:03:05,080 Lakers themselves. I thought one oh nine was a cheap 58 00:03:05,159 --> 00:03:09,199 price for the Lakers team total here. I think yesterday 59 00:03:09,280 --> 00:03:14,800 when we talked about Boston Washington, you had mentioned maybe 60 00:03:14,840 --> 00:03:18,000 I agreed with you that the Boston defense just isn't 61 00:03:18,039 --> 00:03:19,840 a very good defense right now, and now you're gonna 62 00:03:19,840 --> 00:03:22,199 get it on back to back days. Up until last night, 63 00:03:22,919 --> 00:03:27,599 Boston had allowed one thirteen or more in six straight games. 64 00:03:28,159 --> 00:03:30,039 And here I'm only asking the Lakers to get to 65 00:03:30,080 --> 00:03:33,400 one oh nine and we get no Downtich, no Lebron. 66 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:35,479 But I still don't think that matters the Lakers got 67 00:03:35,479 --> 00:03:37,520 a lot of scoring on that team, and if you're 68 00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:42,039 gonna combine that with a tire defense, that's already a 69 00:03:42,199 --> 00:03:45,280 defense that and again we'll put it into context. We're 70 00:03:45,319 --> 00:03:49,319 going over one oh nine here, and Boston had allowed 71 00:03:49,360 --> 00:03:52,400 that six straight games up until last night against the 72 00:03:52,439 --> 00:03:54,639 sorry Wizards, who could only get one oh one. But 73 00:03:54,719 --> 00:03:57,400 I think the Lakers win or lose in this game. 74 00:03:57,439 --> 00:03:59,800 I think they can get to one ten. So it's 75 00:03:59,840 --> 00:04:02,840 a it was a client release. I bet it myself. 76 00:04:02,879 --> 00:04:04,439 I like that play quite a bit. 77 00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:10,199 Speaker 1: Man, I like it. I think the full get I 78 00:04:10,199 --> 00:04:12,240 think they're gonna give up some points. I think they 79 00:04:12,240 --> 00:04:14,560 can score. I like the full game over in this 80 00:04:14,599 --> 00:04:18,079 one got my wallet open here Robino searching first and 81 00:04:18,279 --> 00:04:20,800 some good numbers. But I know we're pressed for time. 82 00:04:20,879 --> 00:04:22,639 I won't I won't hope to show up too much, 83 00:04:22,639 --> 00:04:24,600 but I like that over. We're gonna get down on 84 00:04:24,639 --> 00:04:29,600 that over for sure. Next game up, let's talk a 85 00:04:29,639 --> 00:04:34,639 little bit about heat and Magic opened up minus five 86 00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:38,079 and a half, still sitting there totally one from two 87 00:04:38,120 --> 00:04:41,480 forty and a half to two forty one and a half. 88 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:45,959 You have Polo back in the lineup for this Magic team. 89 00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:50,399 Still know Mo Wagner for the Heat Heroes, doubtful. Good 90 00:04:50,399 --> 00:04:57,000 old tar Rolls here not gonna make an appearance. I'll 91 00:04:57,040 --> 00:04:59,720 worry about Polo coming back in the lineup for this 92 00:04:59,759 --> 00:05:03,720 Magic A team. They're playing solid basketball with them off 93 00:05:03,759 --> 00:05:07,959 the court, now, you know, I always worry when you 94 00:05:08,000 --> 00:05:11,800 integrate that high usage player back into the lineup. I 95 00:05:11,800 --> 00:05:17,040 couldn't lay in the spot with the Magic. Yeah, this 96 00:05:17,120 --> 00:05:19,480 is this is a tough one. Maybe I agree with 97 00:05:19,560 --> 00:05:22,439 the total going up. I know Miami wants to play 98 00:05:22,439 --> 00:05:25,199 with pace. I know they can play regardless of Heroes 99 00:05:25,240 --> 00:05:27,040 in or not. They've been doing it all year long. 100 00:05:27,839 --> 00:05:32,560 And Howlo should bring some more points of anything. Maybe 101 00:05:32,600 --> 00:05:33,920 over here, Rob, you know what do you think? 102 00:05:34,839 --> 00:05:37,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you there. And and to the point 103 00:05:37,000 --> 00:05:40,720 of Tyler hero being absent. When I look at Miami, 104 00:05:40,759 --> 00:05:43,040 and I've looked at them a lot this season from 105 00:05:43,120 --> 00:05:46,360 a totals perspective, as long as they have one of 106 00:05:46,399 --> 00:06:01,279 those guys, specially it could be and Orlando probably gets 107 00:06:01,279 --> 00:06:03,279 a little bit of edge on the glass here too 108 00:06:03,279 --> 00:06:07,879 against Miami. Almost everybody does because Miami's just small and fast. 109 00:06:09,480 --> 00:06:11,040 But I thought it would get away. I think my 110 00:06:11,079 --> 00:06:14,600 original point was even without Hero, as long as they 111 00:06:14,600 --> 00:06:17,920 have Hero or Powell, I'm good with them scoring points. 112 00:06:18,000 --> 00:06:20,759 They'll have Norman Powell to and I believe so even 113 00:06:20,759 --> 00:06:22,800 if Tyler Hero doesn't play, which it doesn't look like 114 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:25,160 he will, I still think they'll be able to they'll 115 00:06:25,199 --> 00:06:27,680 push pace. And it's interesting ski. I think for the 116 00:06:27,720 --> 00:06:32,839 first I don't know, first fifteen sixteen games whatever, when 117 00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:36,959 Orlando was playing really really fast and we were wondering 118 00:06:36,959 --> 00:06:39,120 do you really want to continue doing it? And then 119 00:06:39,600 --> 00:06:44,160 as recently as you know, within a week ago, I 120 00:06:44,279 --> 00:06:47,879 read that they still want to play fast. It brings 121 00:06:47,879 --> 00:06:50,399 me to a high paced game here. Orlando's not going 122 00:06:50,439 --> 00:06:52,959 to change that type of philosophy. They want to go. 123 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:56,399 Miami's going to push pace. They've done it against everybody. 124 00:06:56,600 --> 00:07:01,720 Orlando's not old men in walkers with tennis, but they 125 00:07:01,759 --> 00:07:03,759 can get up and down and score two. Desmond Bain 126 00:07:03,839 --> 00:07:05,959 has been really really good as of late, fitting into 127 00:07:05,959 --> 00:07:09,120 this team. So I think over Miami, the baseline for 128 00:07:09,240 --> 00:07:12,920 Miami totals nowadays is two forty. Anyway, I don't we 129 00:07:12,959 --> 00:07:15,560 don't see too much under two forty when they're involved. 130 00:07:15,759 --> 00:07:17,920 I think they probably get there today. It's a huge 131 00:07:17,959 --> 00:07:20,839 game inside that division too. I think maybe one game 132 00:07:21,759 --> 00:07:23,759 separates the two of them from first place. 133 00:07:25,240 --> 00:07:28,519 Speaker 1: Yeah, it is a big game in our regard. Mario 134 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:32,800 says he has slowed down their pace. Casey not a 135 00:07:32,839 --> 00:07:35,800 fan of points in this game. We shall see how 136 00:07:35,800 --> 00:07:43,040 it shakes out. Let's move over to Hornets and Raptors and. 137 00:07:44,759 --> 00:07:45,480 Speaker 2: Not that here. 138 00:07:46,000 --> 00:07:49,319 Speaker 1: Gotta get over to this one. Opened up minus eight 139 00:07:49,720 --> 00:07:52,199 birth Brono, and it's come down. I'll see seven and 140 00:07:52,199 --> 00:07:55,279 a half pretty much everywhere. Total open two thirty three 141 00:07:55,319 --> 00:07:58,360 and a half looks like two twenty eight and a half. 142 00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:05,319 Injuries for Charlotte, LaMelo is probable, called Brenner, Trey Man, 143 00:08:06,000 --> 00:08:12,160 Brandon Miller all questionable, No Colling, Sexton, no Connaton. For Toronto, 144 00:08:12,399 --> 00:08:15,959 Lebagi and RJ. Barrett are out. Jacopertos back in the 145 00:08:15,959 --> 00:08:20,319 lineup after missing yesterday, and we'll see if they rule 146 00:08:20,360 --> 00:08:23,439 anybody else out throughout the day. It is, like I said, 147 00:08:23,519 --> 00:08:25,399 second of a back to back for this Raptors team. 148 00:08:26,600 --> 00:08:29,720 Fifth game and seven nights, all that good stuff. They 149 00:08:29,800 --> 00:08:32,080 did lose to the Hornets last time they played, so 150 00:08:32,440 --> 00:08:38,080 revenge game for them and the Hornets. They have covered 151 00:08:38,120 --> 00:08:43,799 both meetings so far this season, Vino, my past this 152 00:08:43,840 --> 00:08:48,200 win of you first. Actually, I'm curious this this Raptors team, 153 00:08:48,360 --> 00:08:51,519 fifth game and seven nights, No, RJ. Barrett. I mean 154 00:08:51,519 --> 00:08:54,240 that offense they've looked they've looked bad. They've been the 155 00:08:54,240 --> 00:08:56,440 worst offense in the league last five games. Do you 156 00:08:56,440 --> 00:08:57,679 think they should be laying. 157 00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:01,480 Speaker 2: No? In fact, that came like the rested underdog here 158 00:09:01,519 --> 00:09:04,279 a little bit. Ski Toronto's four and one against the 159 00:09:04,279 --> 00:09:08,120 spread last five games, and I guess we should have 160 00:09:08,200 --> 00:09:10,799 seen that they would be due for some sort of regression. 161 00:09:10,799 --> 00:09:14,080 They were so red hot, like thirteen and one straight up, 162 00:09:14,120 --> 00:09:17,159 and they were on a really good point spread run 163 00:09:17,200 --> 00:09:19,240 at that time. And it's cooled off a little bit. 164 00:09:19,960 --> 00:09:23,720 What's interesting is we talked a lot about Yaka Perle 165 00:09:24,120 --> 00:09:26,759 yesterday not being at the rim to defend. Probably not 166 00:09:26,840 --> 00:09:30,159 there again tonight. You know, when Charlotte beat them this season, 167 00:09:30,240 --> 00:09:34,480 Pardle did play, So they've even beaten this team with Purdle. Here, 168 00:09:34,480 --> 00:09:36,960 we're gonna get seven and a half. We're rested. They're not. 169 00:09:37,120 --> 00:09:41,759 They're kind of on the downslide right now. Charlotte's gonna 170 00:09:41,759 --> 00:09:43,879 push pace a little bit here. We know that for 171 00:09:43,960 --> 00:09:46,480 a fact, so I don't know that they can win 172 00:09:46,519 --> 00:09:48,720 the game. Ski. I'm not willing to say go ahead 173 00:09:48,720 --> 00:09:50,879 and bet money line, but I just thought seven and 174 00:09:50,879 --> 00:09:52,600 a half was too much here. You don't want to 175 00:09:52,639 --> 00:09:58,120 bet a team that's not playing well at all and 176 00:09:58,240 --> 00:10:00,360 lay seven and a half on top of that when 177 00:10:00,360 --> 00:10:02,320 they're in a back to back situation. So for me, 178 00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:05,519 all the situational angles favor with Charlotte. And then, like 179 00:10:05,559 --> 00:10:07,279 I say, when I looked it up and saw Purtle 180 00:10:07,320 --> 00:10:10,039 played the first time in Toronto still lost to this team, 181 00:10:10,480 --> 00:10:14,080 I figured maybe the matchup is, you know, just advantageous 182 00:10:14,080 --> 00:10:16,480 for Charlotte here. So I'll take Charlotte plus seven and 183 00:10:16,519 --> 00:10:18,120 a half in that one. 184 00:10:18,919 --> 00:10:21,559 Speaker 1: I'm in agreement with you there. Toronto is one in 185 00:10:21,679 --> 00:10:23,960 three ats on back to back so far this season, 186 00:10:24,000 --> 00:10:26,519 and like you said, they're just not playing well enough 187 00:10:26,559 --> 00:10:28,840 for me to expect them to get a separation like this, 188 00:10:30,000 --> 00:10:33,480 especially on the back to back. So Hornets would be 189 00:10:33,480 --> 00:10:36,360 the preferred side for me as well. Let's talk a 190 00:10:36,399 --> 00:10:41,759 little bit of Jazz and Nicks. It's when open minus 191 00:10:42,120 --> 00:10:45,639 fifteen looks like fifteen and a half total has gone up. 192 00:10:46,240 --> 00:10:48,519 Two thirty six and a half was the opener as 193 00:10:48,600 --> 00:10:50,360 high as two forty one and a half, but there 194 00:10:50,360 --> 00:10:52,240 are also two forty and a halfs. You know what 195 00:10:52,279 --> 00:10:55,799 you like, make sure you line shop for Utah. Nurgics 196 00:10:55,919 --> 00:11:00,960 is questionable, kniang is out for New York Shammick, but 197 00:11:01,120 --> 00:11:06,080 og is questionable. Color is questionable as well. You know, 198 00:11:06,320 --> 00:11:10,039 to start this season, Rob, you know, this Utah Jazz 199 00:11:10,080 --> 00:11:16,639 team was nine day homing road all overs, you know, 200 00:11:16,720 --> 00:11:19,720 at home, all unders on the road. I mean that's 201 00:11:19,759 --> 00:11:23,519 changed a little bit lately, and it's just probably you know, yes, 202 00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:27,200 I think they play up tempo their top five and 203 00:11:27,240 --> 00:11:30,240 paced last five games, but the defense has just been terrible, 204 00:11:30,639 --> 00:11:35,080 bottom five defensive verted team in that same span. So 205 00:11:35,519 --> 00:11:38,480 they've gone over in four straight road games because of that. 206 00:11:39,200 --> 00:11:42,200 The Knicks, they're playing a little bit. They're the opposite. 207 00:11:42,240 --> 00:11:44,759 They're playing at the slowest place in the league last 208 00:11:44,799 --> 00:11:49,039 five games, in the top five defensive rated team. Both 209 00:11:49,080 --> 00:11:52,320 teams are top ten offensive rated teams in the last 210 00:11:52,320 --> 00:11:55,120 five games. So what style do you think is going 211 00:11:55,159 --> 00:11:57,799 to prevail here? Is going to be New York at 212 00:11:57,840 --> 00:12:02,240 home with that slow, you know, slow, grinded out defensive 213 00:12:02,279 --> 00:12:04,960 type game, or is going to be more of a 214 00:12:05,080 --> 00:12:10,240 jazz up, tempo less defense game here, Ralphio, Yeah, you know. 215 00:12:10,320 --> 00:12:12,919 Speaker 2: It came down to a choice between the two. Ski, 216 00:12:13,000 --> 00:12:15,799 I really like the Knicks in this game Utah on 217 00:12:15,840 --> 00:12:17,759 the back to back. Yeah, you get to play Brooklyn 218 00:12:17,879 --> 00:12:20,159 last night' score your one twenty three. That's all well 219 00:12:20,159 --> 00:12:23,279 and good New York. Even though they're slow, they do 220 00:12:23,320 --> 00:12:26,679 still score points. Pretty efficient basketball team. The choice game 221 00:12:26,720 --> 00:12:29,159 down to do I want to lay points with New 222 00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:31,639 York fifteen and a half, which I generally don't do, 223 00:12:32,600 --> 00:12:34,679 or do I want to play their team total over 224 00:12:34,720 --> 00:12:36,480 one twenty eight and a half and just fade the 225 00:12:36,480 --> 00:12:40,960 bad defense of Utah. But asking the team nothing you 226 00:12:40,960 --> 00:12:43,039 can't get to one thirty against the Jazz. But that 227 00:12:43,639 --> 00:12:47,639 seemed a little too high for me, so I chose 228 00:12:47,679 --> 00:12:50,240 to lay fifteen and a half this morning with the Knicks, 229 00:12:50,639 --> 00:12:53,399 thinking they could win this game by twenty. Utah has 230 00:12:53,519 --> 00:12:58,440 not has or they have shown us the ability to 231 00:12:58,480 --> 00:13:02,080 lose by this number quite a few times this year. 232 00:13:02,159 --> 00:13:04,679 So when they're good, they're good offensively. When they're not 233 00:13:04,720 --> 00:13:07,440 good offensively, and maybe they run into a tight, tougher 234 00:13:07,480 --> 00:13:10,000 defense here and don't score their points. When they don't 235 00:13:10,039 --> 00:13:13,360 score their points. They're not close in games, So for me, 236 00:13:13,399 --> 00:13:15,320 it's going to be Nick ninety's fifteen and a half. 237 00:13:15,559 --> 00:13:20,200 Wouldn't be mad at anybody playing a Knick team total 238 00:13:20,600 --> 00:13:22,799 full game total for me is a little bit scary 239 00:13:22,799 --> 00:13:25,679 because I just don't know what the Jazz would contribute here. 240 00:13:25,759 --> 00:13:27,399 I mean, if the Knicks get to one thirty, the 241 00:13:27,480 --> 00:13:29,919 Jazz have to get to one eleven. I'm not sure 242 00:13:29,960 --> 00:13:30,320 they do. 243 00:13:33,720 --> 00:13:35,960 Speaker 1: I mean, they've been able to score. This Jazz team, 244 00:13:36,120 --> 00:13:38,120 They've been able to score versus everybody. I want to 245 00:13:38,120 --> 00:13:40,639 get there with the over in this one, Robi, you know, honestly, 246 00:13:42,360 --> 00:13:44,639 the Jazz, Yes, they played the next last game, they 247 00:13:44,639 --> 00:13:47,360 played the Rockets game before that. We're able to come 248 00:13:47,360 --> 00:13:49,639 out with an outright weed as a double digit underdog, 249 00:13:50,519 --> 00:13:52,679 and a lot of what they're doing right is just 250 00:13:52,720 --> 00:13:55,960 sharing the basketball, you know, back to back games, I'm 251 00:13:56,000 --> 00:13:59,480 seeing thirty plus assists. I like to see that as 252 00:13:59,519 --> 00:14:03,639 far as you know, expecting good offense. They've scored what 253 00:14:04,000 --> 00:14:08,600 one seventeen plus Florida last five games? All right? As 254 00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:11,559 the Knicks defense better than the Rockets, I mean, are 255 00:14:11,559 --> 00:14:13,919 they that much better that the Jazz are? Just the 256 00:14:14,000 --> 00:14:18,080 Rockets did hold the Jazz down one time, actually to 257 00:14:18,159 --> 00:14:22,639 one on one. But I don't know, Rob No, I 258 00:14:22,679 --> 00:14:28,080 think I think we get points here. The chat saturated 259 00:14:28,080 --> 00:14:30,080 reminded us that the Knicks are number one against the 260 00:14:30,080 --> 00:14:32,120 spread at home, number thirty on the road. That's why 261 00:14:32,159 --> 00:14:37,039 we have this humungus point spread here. All right, let's 262 00:14:37,159 --> 00:14:38,120 keep going down the list. 263 00:14:38,399 --> 00:14:40,919 Speaker 2: Somebody had Nick's built to ask the other night, and 264 00:14:40,960 --> 00:14:46,279 the comment six saying how good they are at home? 265 00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:49,080 All right? 266 00:14:50,200 --> 00:14:52,120 Speaker 1: Net Bett says he was on Jazz yesterday and they 267 00:14:52,200 --> 00:14:54,720 only won because Nets intentionally tanked the fourth by twenty 268 00:14:54,759 --> 00:14:58,559 two fourth quarter. Boy, I mean, you can call it that, 269 00:14:58,879 --> 00:15:01,200 or you can call it the Nets ran out of 270 00:15:01,200 --> 00:15:03,159 gas on the back to back and the Jazz are 271 00:15:03,200 --> 00:15:05,399 coming off two days rest. I mean that's where that 272 00:15:05,399 --> 00:15:09,320 stuff comes into play. All right, all right, the next game, 273 00:15:10,519 --> 00:15:12,240 and I think the last game in the NBA we'll 274 00:15:12,240 --> 00:15:16,840 probably talk about today. It's gonna be the Mavericks and 275 00:15:16,879 --> 00:15:21,639 the Thunder. This one, Open Minds fifteen hasn't really moved 276 00:15:21,840 --> 00:15:26,279 total open two twenty five and a half. I think 277 00:15:26,320 --> 00:15:29,759 consensus now is two twenty eight and a half to 278 00:15:29,960 --> 00:15:36,639 twenty nine. Maybe injuries. Let's go take a look there, 279 00:15:37,440 --> 00:15:43,159 prok S Mardenstein, Dork Caruso out. Isaiah Joe was downgrade 280 00:15:43,200 --> 00:15:51,000 to questionable for the MAVs. Pj's questionable gaffers questionable, Lively's out. 281 00:15:51,960 --> 00:15:55,200 I like, I like this this game over Rob. You know, 282 00:15:57,759 --> 00:15:59,480 I'm gonna check the numbers, but I feel like the 283 00:15:59,519 --> 00:16:04,120 MAVs have been playing faster. And also I just like 284 00:16:04,360 --> 00:16:07,600 that they actually have competent point guard play. Now, so 285 00:16:07,759 --> 00:16:14,039 let me just glance here. That's far for them, just 286 00:16:14,080 --> 00:16:18,840 to make sure last five, they're actually eleventh in pace, 287 00:16:19,399 --> 00:16:23,360 which is all right, Thunder shixte and pace, but yeah, 288 00:16:23,440 --> 00:16:25,799 they got competent point guard play, and that just makes 289 00:16:25,840 --> 00:16:29,039 the offense ahead of a lot better for this Thunder team. 290 00:16:29,120 --> 00:16:32,519 We know they'll play up tempo. They're usually a good 291 00:16:32,519 --> 00:16:35,799 defensive team. They're missing a lot of that defense tonight. 292 00:16:36,039 --> 00:16:40,240 Dork Crusoe, Hardenstein. I don't like that Joe has been 293 00:16:40,279 --> 00:16:43,600 downgraded because that's one of the shooters for them, But 294 00:16:43,720 --> 00:16:46,639 I think this game will be played up tempo, and 295 00:16:47,639 --> 00:16:50,360 I like over the total here, Ra, how do you 296 00:16:50,399 --> 00:16:51,120 see this one? 297 00:16:52,559 --> 00:16:54,639 Speaker 2: You know, Ski, I would comp it to the game 298 00:16:54,720 --> 00:16:57,759 that okay see played the other night, and I got 299 00:16:57,799 --> 00:17:01,120 involved in with okay see team total against Golden State. Right, 300 00:17:01,159 --> 00:17:04,519 Golden State was missing some pieces. Oklahoma State was missing 301 00:17:04,559 --> 00:17:09,640 that same defensive trio. No Hartenstein, no Dort, no crew. 302 00:17:09,799 --> 00:17:13,160 So and it doesn't really matter offensively to them, but 303 00:17:13,200 --> 00:17:17,240 it doesn't matter defensively because the Warriors without Steph still 304 00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:19,319 scored one hundred and twelve on them the other day, 305 00:17:19,599 --> 00:17:23,200 and okay See put up one twenty fourth Dallas. To me, 306 00:17:24,920 --> 00:17:28,200 I know you said Gafferd's only Gafford is only questionable, 307 00:17:28,200 --> 00:17:34,119 but no Lively potentially no Gafford only ad really means 308 00:17:34,799 --> 00:17:38,720 little rim protection for Dallas in stretches of this game. 309 00:17:39,039 --> 00:17:42,759 Okay See likes to attack the rim. One of the Nembhard's, 310 00:17:43,440 --> 00:17:47,480 the famous Nembhard guard family doing the job now for 311 00:17:47,640 --> 00:17:51,359 Dallas at the point, and they've scored their last four games. 312 00:17:51,359 --> 00:17:54,279 I think I saw one nineteen one. There is enough 313 00:17:54,319 --> 00:17:56,599 to get this one over. And that's half the reason 314 00:17:56,599 --> 00:17:58,279 why you'd like to play over here is that the 315 00:17:58,359 --> 00:18:02,279 number is just appealing. Nine is not a large number 316 00:18:03,240 --> 00:18:05,759 this season for teams to climb over. So to me, 317 00:18:05,960 --> 00:18:08,079 I really did. I compared it to the Golden State 318 00:18:08,079 --> 00:18:11,079 game the other day that Oklahoma City played that game 319 00:18:11,119 --> 00:18:14,400 got to two thirty six. I think Dallas is very 320 00:18:14,559 --> 00:18:17,640 much in the same boat as Golden State is as 321 00:18:17,640 --> 00:18:20,400 far as offense and defense are concerned. With the lineup 322 00:18:20,480 --> 00:18:23,240 Dallas will throw out there, so I can see it 323 00:18:23,319 --> 00:18:27,279 getting to two thirty here, it's Oklahoma Cities. It was 324 00:18:27,319 --> 00:18:29,599 only a two game road swing and then they went home, 325 00:18:29,640 --> 00:18:30,799 so I don't know that we're going to hold that 326 00:18:30,880 --> 00:18:34,640 against them. And they score on everybody anyway, So for me, 327 00:18:35,440 --> 00:18:37,680 i'd be with you here over two twenty nine to 328 00:18:37,839 --> 00:18:40,599 twenty nine and no, not even a half, just playing 329 00:18:40,599 --> 00:18:41,920 two twenty nine. I would play it over. 330 00:18:43,759 --> 00:18:50,079 Speaker 1: We're in agreement on that. And yeah, d Hughes saying 331 00:18:50,319 --> 00:18:52,400 that's not like the maps didn't find the Sparky likes 332 00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:56,559 some plusza points and argue, I just I don't like 333 00:18:56,599 --> 00:19:00,519 to bet against OKAC anymore right now, but they definitely 334 00:19:00,599 --> 00:19:03,119 have found a spark and have been playing well well 335 00:19:03,200 --> 00:19:04,599 enough to cover fifteen and a half points. 336 00:19:04,640 --> 00:19:06,279 Speaker 2: Can deny that, all. 337 00:19:06,240 --> 00:19:13,440 Speaker 1: Right, let's see Rovino. I mean, I don't think we're 338 00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:15,880 gonna get too much. But there's one game actually, no, 339 00:19:15,960 --> 00:19:21,279 that's Monday. We can talk about that on Monday. NFL. 340 00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:24,279 There's not really appealing to me this week. I don't know, 341 00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:28,039 do you think this is a good week? Like, is 342 00:19:28,039 --> 00:19:30,680 it appealing to you at all? 343 00:19:31,920 --> 00:19:34,440 Speaker 2: I found a couple, but I will admit ski that 344 00:19:34,519 --> 00:19:38,680 I didn't dig real deep as of yet. I'll just 345 00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:40,359 go out there and give you the two that I 346 00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:43,759 found that I think I'll end up playing here real quick. 347 00:19:43,799 --> 00:19:47,279 I'm gonna play the Commanders, I think with Jayden Daniels back, 348 00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:50,759 and what the Commanders showed me against the Broncos in 349 00:19:50,799 --> 00:19:52,920 that Monday night game is that they haven't quit on 350 00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:57,079 the season. They're going nowhere. But they played hard against Denver, 351 00:19:57,200 --> 00:20:00,319 forced that game to overtime to they go over the 352 00:20:00,319 --> 00:20:03,119 two point conversion to try to win the game, but 353 00:20:03,160 --> 00:20:06,279 it ends up twenty seven to twenty six. Denver's defense, 354 00:20:06,359 --> 00:20:10,000 for all its accolades, was pretty much sliced up by 355 00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:13,279 Marcus Mariota and that quick passing game of Washington. It 356 00:20:13,359 --> 00:20:16,880 was a really good game plan that they had. Minnesota's 357 00:20:16,920 --> 00:20:20,000 offense is just an entire mess. You see justin Jefferson 358 00:20:20,039 --> 00:20:23,160 slam and his helmet because not any of their three 359 00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:26,440 quarterbacks can get him the ball. I just to me, 360 00:20:26,559 --> 00:20:29,799 they're the opposite of what I saw in Washington Monday night. 361 00:20:29,880 --> 00:20:32,920 Washington still wants to play. They'll get their starting quarterback back. 362 00:20:32,960 --> 00:20:36,839 It makes a difference. Minnesota offensively looks like they're just 363 00:20:37,559 --> 00:20:40,160 done with what's been going on there, So I like 364 00:20:40,240 --> 00:20:47,039 that side. If I pushed down the card a little bit, 365 00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:49,920 I had a check mark next to the Cincinnati Buffalo 366 00:20:50,000 --> 00:20:52,319 over game. But I don't think that would surprise anybody. 367 00:20:52,599 --> 00:20:56,039 I've been fading Cincinnati's defense all season long, and now 368 00:20:56,039 --> 00:20:59,559 with Joe Burrow back and Buffalo having the defensive problems 369 00:20:59,599 --> 00:21:02,119 they've had this year, I think that game just gets 370 00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:05,359 into a little bit of a score fest. Need you 371 00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:09,000 need something in the vicinity of thirty one twenty four 372 00:21:09,799 --> 00:21:12,319 to get yourself there in that game. I think those 373 00:21:12,319 --> 00:21:15,839 two can do it. And then an underdog, maybe you'll 374 00:21:15,920 --> 00:21:18,000 like it, maybe you won't. I'm not so sure, but 375 00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:21,440 I think Houston with more than a field goal against 376 00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:24,240 Kansas City, I kind of like the underdog here. Houston's 377 00:21:24,279 --> 00:21:28,559 defense is so good and Kansas City's offense, as much 378 00:21:28,599 --> 00:21:30,319 as I thought it was going to take off and 379 00:21:30,359 --> 00:21:33,920 be really really good once everybody was healthy, it hasn't 380 00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:36,839 done that. Houston was here last year for the playoff 381 00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:41,240 game and played Casey really tough. Kansas City grinded out 382 00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:45,000 a victory in that game. But I see CJ. Stroud 383 00:21:45,079 --> 00:21:47,599 and the offense getting better each and every week. I 384 00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:51,799 know the pass protection was an absolute horror show early 385 00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:54,680 on for Houston, but it seems like they're making more 386 00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:56,920 plays in the passing game right now. I think they 387 00:21:56,920 --> 00:21:59,160 can stay within a field goal of Kansas City. Casey 388 00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:02,799 just not exactly separating from teams the way I thought 389 00:22:02,839 --> 00:22:06,119 they would be at this point. 390 00:22:06,440 --> 00:22:10,480 Speaker 1: The only other game I mentioned Green Band in Chicago 391 00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:13,279 that stands out to me. Chicago has won five games 392 00:22:13,319 --> 00:22:16,279 in a row and they are plus six and a half. 393 00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:18,400 Speaker 2: In general. 394 00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:21,119 Speaker 1: When I think about those teams, like, I wasn't a 395 00:22:21,119 --> 00:22:24,359 believer in anything Chicago has been doing, and then they 396 00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:26,759 beat the Eagles, and I'm like, are they are Chicago 397 00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:30,319 good or like? I don't know. At this point, Spread 398 00:22:30,400 --> 00:22:32,720 is telling me that I shouldn't believe I was right 399 00:22:32,759 --> 00:22:35,000 to not believe everything I was seeing, and that they're 400 00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:37,359 going to get blown out in this game. So we'll 401 00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:40,279 try to find reasons to back the Packers. I also 402 00:22:40,319 --> 00:22:42,880 want to try to find reasons to fade the bucks. 403 00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:46,319 But like Robino said earlier, I'm a little slow to 404 00:22:46,319 --> 00:22:48,200 get into the NFL this week, so I need to 405 00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:52,519 do some more research on that note, we'll move it 406 00:22:52,559 --> 00:22:55,359 on over or before we do this best bet. Actually, 407 00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:56,759 let's see if we could toss some of this stuff 408 00:22:56,839 --> 00:23:01,200 up here. We do have Weekend Warrior right, so Saturday, 409 00:23:01,240 --> 00:23:06,759 Sunday and Monday night football, College football, NFL all releases 410 00:23:06,759 --> 00:23:09,240 including five percent you can get for forty nine bucks. 411 00:23:09,319 --> 00:23:11,920 If you want to take a look at the hardwood, 412 00:23:12,319 --> 00:23:14,359 you can get a full court all access past three 413 00:23:14,400 --> 00:23:17,640 days of college basketball and NBA for only forty nine bucks. 414 00:23:17,960 --> 00:23:21,160 And if you want to go longer, you can get 415 00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:23,599 five hundred bucks off of one year past comes out 416 00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:25,839 to just one twenty five a month. And if you 417 00:23:25,839 --> 00:23:27,319 were to go get rob you know for a year, 418 00:23:27,319 --> 00:23:30,039 you can come back with a twenty five percent or yeah, 419 00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:32,680 twenty five percent bonus coupon and you can use that 420 00:23:32,759 --> 00:23:35,759 on something for myself. So with that said, you know, 421 00:23:36,319 --> 00:23:38,440 I will also ask you if there's anything else you 422 00:23:38,559 --> 00:23:41,119 like promote, and if you have a best bet for 423 00:23:41,160 --> 00:23:42,079 the show, we'd love to hear it. 424 00:23:42,119 --> 00:23:46,039 Speaker 2: If you don't sow good, I think you got promotions 425 00:23:46,079 --> 00:23:49,200 covered pretty good for the weekend. Ski, So guys, if 426 00:23:49,200 --> 00:23:52,920 you want to take a shot, selection packages up and 427 00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:57,359 available one more time, I will say this NFL. I 428 00:23:57,400 --> 00:24:01,880 believe I'm number two on wager Talk Andy Kappers. It's 429 00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:05,319 been a great NFL season, up over forty units for 430 00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:08,880 the years. So again, wager talk dot com for all 431 00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:11,240 those specials, Skie. I've made three bets, and I have 432 00:24:11,279 --> 00:24:12,920 a choice here to make. Which one I want to 433 00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:15,000 leave is the best bet here? I like them all, 434 00:24:15,039 --> 00:24:17,039 but I'll go right back to the top of the card. 435 00:24:17,079 --> 00:24:20,279 I just thought the Lakers team total was priced too 436 00:24:20,319 --> 00:24:23,200 low at one O nine, considering the way the Boston 437 00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:26,240 defense has been playing, and considering the fact that Boston's 438 00:24:26,279 --> 00:24:31,720 on back to back nights here. So for me, la 439 00:24:32,200 --> 00:24:34,000 I did, this game may turn out to be all 440 00:24:34,079 --> 00:24:37,839 offense on both sides, kind of the way Lakers Toronto was. 441 00:24:38,559 --> 00:24:41,200 I could see that happening again. So give me Lakers 442 00:24:41,279 --> 00:24:43,319 over one O nine as best bet for the show. 443 00:24:44,799 --> 00:24:47,240 Speaker 1: You know what we've done well when we do, you know, 444 00:24:47,519 --> 00:24:50,160 kind of a double up. So I'm gonna you know, 445 00:24:50,640 --> 00:24:52,799 I said I was opening up and opening up my 446 00:24:52,839 --> 00:24:56,079 wallet earlier let's do it two twenty five and a half. 447 00:24:56,119 --> 00:24:58,480 It's the best number I see. I think it's an 448 00:24:58,480 --> 00:25:01,519 offensive game as well. Might not even be the fastest pace, 449 00:25:01,839 --> 00:25:03,680 but I think there's a lot of buckets to be had. 450 00:25:03,839 --> 00:25:06,200 Not so much defense from either side in this game. 451 00:25:06,319 --> 00:25:09,519 Over to twenty five and a half. Lakers and Celtics 452 00:25:09,599 --> 00:25:11,880 will be my best bet for the show and also 453 00:25:13,079 --> 00:25:15,079 rob City's number two in NFL. I am number two 454 00:25:15,119 --> 00:25:18,200 in college basketball so far fifteen and five to start 455 00:25:18,240 --> 00:25:20,759 the year, so we'll try to keep that going. And 456 00:25:20,799 --> 00:25:23,359 I will have a good play for tomorrow. If you know, 457 00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:25,759 you know, maybe more than one good play, but if 458 00:25:25,799 --> 00:25:30,079 you know, you know, all right, you know, I always 459 00:25:30,119 --> 00:25:33,480 appreciate you taking the time to come break these games 460 00:25:33,519 --> 00:25:36,319 down with me. Everybody in the chat, we appreciate you 461 00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:39,200 pulling up hit the light button for us helps us out. 462 00:25:39,240 --> 00:25:41,160 If you want to subscribe so you know when we're live, 463 00:25:41,319 --> 00:25:44,799 that's good too, and just enjoy your weekend. We'll catch 464 00:25:44,799 --> 00:25:48,279 you guys again on Monday.