Speaker 1: Ah, welcome away to Talk today, the gold standard of
sports betting shows where he talked the Talk and Walk
and Walk. It's Wednesday, mixing an NBA college basketball and
we gotta start talking about the super Bowl. As the
board continues to heat up, Dan, come on in here.
We got a loaded show, mean absolutely loaded show, and
we have our first ever official client LFG. WTF.
Speaker 2: Wow, Yeah, that is a seeze.
Speaker 3: That is yeah.
Speaker 1: So let's let's get into tell us what we have
on the show, and then let's let's let's let's give
out first official client free pick.
Speaker 2: And I'm I'm very excited because we're gonna have Brian
power right out of the gate here and he much
like I, we dabble here in the in the Champions League,
in the Premier League. So it'll be interesting to see
if Brian we get the Brian stamp of approval on
this WTF for LFG, so we'll get his thoughts on
a Champions League matchup. And he's also talking college back basketball,
Texas taken on Auburn. He's got a Lakers and Calves
breakdown here for you. He's also going to talk about
the illustrious Cornerstone program that is the Morning Wager alongside
our friend Mark Zeno. Drew Martin's going to join the show.
He's got a double header action for you, Butler taking
on Saint John's Za Seaton Hall, and then we're gonna
end things with Ross Benjamin. He's gonna give his early
thoughts on this super Bowl and then talk a little
spurs and rockets. So all of that and more. Andy,
we got great deals coming people's way, and of course
we're going all around the world with my friend here,
Andy Lang. So what more than ever folks reasons to
subscribe and hit that like button. Let's get into it, buddy.
Speaker 1: I want to start with the LFG WTF. Let's get this.
Let's get this free play going, man.
Speaker 2: Yes, it is a free play that has been entered
for clients of Andy Lang. So this is one that
I have bet with my own money and I suggest
that you do the same. Yesterday we took that loss
in Bundesliga, but like I told you, I don't love Bundesliga,
but we got to give a WTF and LFG every day.
This is a play that I do actually really like.
And we're taking a look at the Champions League and
probably the ugliest match on the board in Champions League.
Because that's what we do. Andy, Let's take a look
at Pafos FC and Slavia Prague here. What I'm seeing, Andy,
is that Slavia is a slight favorite. But I just
think you're getting way too much stock in what they
have done in all competitions as opposed to what they've
done in this competition. Because in Champions League winless, four losses,
three ties, averaging under a half a goal a match,
they're just not having an offensive output. They're not doing well.
Outside of that, and what they've done in First League
six game winning streak over two goals a game, they're amazing, right, Yeah,
the problem was that their last game in First League
was December thirteenth, So are they still in that current
form that they were on that got him six straight
winsos here? Yeah, they're in a three game losing streak
here in Champions League, but in this competition they've certainly
been the better side between these two five wins, five ties,
just three losses, averaging over a goal and a half
a game in Champions League. What we're doing, Andy, because
there's some draw potential here, Let's go with Pafos on
the draw no bet line plus one twenty five. So
if we get a draw, no harm, no failure, get
your money back and we add a little sweat. So
that plus one twenty five is interesting to me enough
when I think I have a live dog. Full disclosure, Andy,
I've also bet pafos on the money line that's plus
two to ten. But for the play today, for the
clients of Andy Lang and the live viewers here, we're
going with draw, no bet pafos. Thoughts here, Andy, are
we fading or five? I mean, I know that you're
probably following we better.
Speaker 1: No, No, we're absolutely, We're absolutely betting this. This is
an LFG. I like that we're coming off of a
week loss yesterday and a play that you clearly were
not that confident in. But this one we're firing on
all cylinders and this is an absolute LFG. I'll put
this one in for clients right after the show. So
let's go.
Speaker 2: Let's do it.
Speaker 1: Let's do it all right, all right, let's bring in
Brian Power. While we're doing that, please hit the like button, guys,
just a small token of your appreciation. Brian, how are
you today?
Speaker 4: I say, LFG on powfulls.
Speaker 5: By the way, I completely they still have they still
have an outside chance to get into the playoff, So yeah,
worth the shot especially. I think it's worth laying the
juice drawn.
Speaker 4: No bet too. I I co signed that completely.
Speaker 2: Let's go. That's that makes me feel good, Brian, Brian,
I mean you on the Morning Wager. Whenever you talk soccer,
you get grief. I usually get grief in the chat
here as well. But when we cash the bets, nobody's complaining.
So let's absolutely going.
Speaker 1: Uh. Brian Power reposted this treat thank you.
Speaker 2: I don't know why that shows. I always see them.
Speaker 4: I said yes, I did, yes, my phone number live.
Speaker 5: I say, let's let everyone know Andy subscribe.
Speaker 1: Everybody's doing it well the mail, and we're gonna start
with NBA and then college basketball. So let's do this
Lakers and Cavaliers team. I think it's a team that's
overachieving versus a team that's underachieving. And I don't really
know how the Lakers keep doing it, and I don't
really know how Cleveland keeps blowing it. I just every
time I'm like Cleveland, they're gonna they're gonna start and
know and then Meanwhile, the Lakers just keep squeaking out
wins and something's got to give. Here. We got Cleveland
minus three in and over under it two thirty five
and a half. How do you break this one down?
Looks like MOBILEI may be the only bigger name. Yeah,
that's probably out for tonight.
Speaker 5: M I agree with a lot of what you just
said there, Andy. I talked about this game on The
Morning Wager with the aforementioned marks. I know you, of
course catch that show every Monday through Friday on both
The Wager Talk and Picks and Barley's YouTube channels. Thank
you all for tuning into that. I'll let you here's
a more detailed breakdown, though. I'm gonna give you on
this show. From a side perspective, I like Cleveland to
win and cover here. Calves, they've been disappointing. We've talked
about that. I think I've been on the show before
you and I have talked to Calves, Andy, But they're
back up the fifth in the East, one fourth straight.
The last two both come at the expense of Orlando.
Prior to that, Kenny Atkinson's team beat Sacramento and Charlotte,
So I get it's not exactly a murderer's row of
opponents they've been facing recently. But four straight wins has
this team trending in the positive direction. I know they've
already lost more games this year than they did all
of last regular season. I know I've mentioned that before
on this show, but consider the fact.
Speaker 2: Why is that? Okay?
Speaker 4: There's a couple of reasons.
Speaker 5: One of the most obvious is the Calves have been
really banged up this year.
Speaker 4: More on that in just a minute. Andy mentioned the
mobile injury.
Speaker 5: Big picture, though, I still think the Calves finished fourth
at worst in the Eastern Conference. My projections have them
pretty close neck and neck with the Knicks for third
in wins by season's end in the East. And recently
Cleveland has turned around. I mentioned the four straight wins.
They're eleven and four overall straight up their last fifteen
games since January. First, you're talking about a team with
a net rating of plus four point four, sixth in
the league in points per one hundred possessions at the
offensive end, and injuries are never a good thing, guys,
but maybe a little bit of a blessing in disguise
for Cleveland. You've had guys like Jalen Tyson, come in,
step up, produce good numbers. That's gonna be big down
the stretch when they need. Here's a guy who's played
meaningful minutes, Tyson. He can now be a contributor when
it counts in April and May and maybe even.
Speaker 2: In the June.
Speaker 5: Meanwhile, I'm talking about the Lakers. I've set up before,
I'm gonna say it again. They're not finishing top six
in the Western Conference. Guys, look at the net rating.
Look at the year to eight point differential. The point
differential in particular sticks out casore thumb when compared to
the teams around him. It's a mediocre team at best.
And they're mediocre because defensive end, they have bottom six rating.
Only teams are the worst defensive rating in the league
than the Lakers are the Nets, the Pelicans, the Kings,
the Wizards, and the Jazz. You know, throw in Indiana
and that's those the worst teams in the league right there.
Sure LA's won three or four, Andy says, I don't
know how they keep doing it. I feel the same way.
This is their third road game in five nights, so
not a great spot situationally for LA. I have no
idea how this team's managed and goes sixteen to nine
straight up on the road. I'm not buying it from
a total's perspective tonight, guys, I do expect this to
be high scoring. Lakers defensive woes twenty six and nineteen
to the over. Now, Cleveland, we talked about being without Mobiley,
and here's the other issue for the Calves.
Speaker 4: Besides injuries, they.
Speaker 5: Are actually dead last in the league when it comes
to three point percentage allowed at home. So let's put
it all together, Okay. I like the Calves to win
and cover. I think it's a high scoring game. So
my bet Calves team total over one nineteen and a half.
I gave it out on the morning wager this morning.
Obviously it was at what eighteen and a half, So
taking a little bit of money, perhaps that's a good thing.
Speaker 4: Calves are gonna have no.
Speaker 5: Problem put the ball in the bucket, though, I think
tonight on esp I believe this game's on ESPN.
Speaker 1: Yeah, My Cleveland Cavaliers overseason win totals has been just
it just like a slow and painful like not even
like Oh, Donovan Mitchell and Jared Allen got suspended for
the year type of just rip it up, just like nah,
just your water torture.
Speaker 5: You know, the thing is with the Calves, with the Calves,
And I keep telling this to some friends of mine
who are lamenting why the team hasn't been as dominant
as they.
Speaker 4: Were last year.
Speaker 5: What would you rather have though the regular season that
they had last year and then they flame out early
in the playoffs to your pacers, Andy, Or maybe there's
a world where they finished fourth, like I said, in
the East, and Detroit does the same thing Cleveland did
last year and they flame out in the second round.
You'd obviously, you know, well, like I said, the Calves
last year peaked in December and January.
Speaker 4: You want to peak in April and May. Guys in
the NBA.
Speaker 1: You'd also like to win a few games in the
regular season.
Speaker 5: Like Brandy, win, win a few more guys for Andy. Okay,
but I'm just saying, yeah, no.
Speaker 1: You're one hundred percent right. It was part of the
handicap was Yeah, they went to concentrate on the playoffs
a lot more so they should, but we had a
six game drop in their season win totals. So but
I digress. We move on. Let's talk a little college
basketball here. We're talking Texas and Auburn. Don't know much
about these two teams. I don't followed college basketball like
you do. So tell me about these teams. Tell us
who you like for tonight.
Speaker 5: Well maybe I'm a little biased, but I think I'm
a pretty good person to talk about this Texas team
right now. I did go to and zero betting them
last week. Had the long Horns plus seven and a
half at Kentucky last Tuesday, pretty much a wire to
wire cover there to get a little harry.
Speaker 2: At the end.
Speaker 4: We got, We got a little nervous, but they.
Speaker 5: Stayed inside the number. And then on Saturday, a big
second half for the Horns. They shoot sixty eight percent
from the field at home in Austin that result in
an easy what turned out to be an easy eighty
seven to sixty seven winning cover for Sean Miller's team
as two and a half point favorites against Georgia. I
actually got that at one and a half. I bet
it pretty early. Thought it was a great smash spot
on Texas. Now, done patting myself on the back, let's
talk about Texas. What they've got on tap here for tonight,
Being an Auburn team. It's coming off a huge upset
win on Saturday. They go down to Gainesville did the Tigers,
and they've beat what had been a red hot Florida
team guys seventy six to sixty seven final. Auburn came
into that game as eleven and a half point underdogs.
That's three straight wins now for Auburn. Prior to beating Florida,
they beat Oul Miss and South Carolina. So gotta be
honest with you, this gives a tough call for me
in terms of the side I do lean Texas. I
think it's a lot of points for Auburn to by
lane to a competent conference foe, even at home. Four
of Texas's losses the season, guys have been by five
points or fewer, so they don't get blown out very often.
They've beaten both Vanderbilt was undefeated when Texas beat them,
and Texas has beating Alabama as well. My Power ratings,
they're right in line with Ken Palm. They say this
spread should be closer to minus five. Market seems to
disagree with me though on that when we've seen some
Auburn money come in. But you look at the total.
I do agree with the move to the under. Earlier
I mentioned Texas shooting sixty eight point eight percent in
the second half against Georgia on Saturday on the road
for a full game. No way they approached that number.
We all understand that. I know we're talking about a team,
a Texas team with a top ten offensive rating in
the country, Auburn not far behind, fourteenth highest offensive rating.
Speaker 2: But neither of these.
Speaker 5: Teams played particularly fast guys, and so far in conference play, Okay,
you always got to pay attention to three point shooting.
These teams rank fourteenth and fifteenth in three point shooting
and SEC play respectively. Only Mississippi State has been worse.
So I'll go with a lean towards the under in
this game. Small lean towards Texas on.
Speaker 1: The side, All right, leaning under on Texas and Auburn.
Great breakdowns here, tell us about morning wager.
Speaker 5: Yep, it is back, and it's better than Everson would say,
Mark Zenel and I know some some would I said
some damn.
Speaker 2: Some Yeah, But look.
Speaker 5: Anyway, great, we say it is certainly back, Brian, it
is certainly, and it's great to be back. And it
was nice to see when we came back. So many
people missed the show that always makes you feel good.
You can catch it, Like I said, both here on
the Wage to Talk To YouTube channel over or over
on the Picks and Parlays YouTube channel market. I give
out three free plays every single day, one that I like,
one that he likes, one that we both like. Uh,
and we're now that we've got some time, you know, uh,
you know, the Super Bowls still a while away, and
we've got a lot of time to dive deep into
both the NBA and college.
Speaker 4: Basketball carts over a course of a half hour. So
we do that every single day.
Speaker 2: Check it out.
Speaker 5: It's a lot of fun obviously, that show. If you've
never seen it, we started when I came on you
guys were talking Champions League. I do have a four
percent best bet. If you're catching this show live. You
still have time to get this. It was part of
the five dollars Tuesday promotion at Wagers Talk. But still
time to get down on it right now, four percent
best bet.
Speaker 4: In the Champions League.
Speaker 5: We're number one in units earned in all soccer over
the last twenty one months. Very proud of that, and
I'll be adding any basketball to that package as well
here over the next couple hours.
Speaker 4: So WT dot Buzz slash VP.
Speaker 5: If you want to get all of today's plays, I
have a soccer best bet and any basketball that I
play will be added to that package if you act
before three pm Eastern.
Speaker 1: All right, Brian Power love it, Brian, Thanks for the breakdowns,
Good luck today, have a good one. All right, let's
bring in. Actually, let's do something real quick, Dan, So
you and I were just masses messaging. So we have
a little little bit of a bold prediction about where
where is he Mitchell's touch for first basket? Okay, so
now now he won a three day pass. Correct, he did.
Speaker 2: He was one of our winners for I think he
tailed you on. It might have been the Pacers play.
But yesterday, yeah we got we got Colzy some some
three day free action for him.
Speaker 1: So yeah, all right, Well let's see if Colsey can
pay it forward. In the comment section after the show,
put your wager Talk user name. If Donovan Mitchell hits
the first basket, I will pick a winner for a
free three day pass.
Speaker 2: Oh all right, So anyone who is watching Colsey is
putting it out there for the wager Talk Live viewers
comment below and just you know, shout out the show
whatever your comment wants to be. But if your comment
includes your wager Talk user name, let's mark this down.
If Mitchell gets the first basket this evening in the
Cleveland Cavs game, somebody's winning something here on the program.
How about that Colsey putting his uh you know what's
it's on the HUO where's it's? Andy? And And you
can comment below and win a free three day flex
pass if you include with your comment your wager Talk
user name and Mitchell hits it, somebody's winning. I like that, Andy,
look at that viewers helping viewers here.
Speaker 1: Baby, let's go Jared Allen against DeAndre eating for the
opening tip. I like our chances. Jared Allen all right,
you good to get us that first possession, Baby, Yeah,
thank you, thank you, thank you. Colsey love that one.
Speaker 2: All right, let's bring in comus.
Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, let's let's bring and Drew Martin and let's
talk a little peacock doubleheader. Uh Drew, Happy Wednesday? How
are you?
Speaker 2: What is up? Andy? What is up?
Speaker 6: Dan?
Speaker 7: I'm doing good man.
Speaker 2: Good to see you guys.
Speaker 7: And I'll tell you I just heard you talking about
the Auburn Texas game tonight, and I got the chance
to go to, uh the Florida Auburn game in Gainesville.
Took a drive off and it was the first college
basketball game I've been able to go to live in
a couple of years. It was a great experience, and
UH to see the upset, it was great atmosphere in there.
Speaker 2: It's always nice.
Speaker 7: To kind of rejuvenate yourself and see some sports live.
Speaker 2: So it was a fun.
Speaker 1: Well let's tuck this doubleheader here on Peacock. We got
Butler I live. I live just down the street from
Butler nice campus. But boy, they are big, big underdogs here.
Saint John's is minus thirteen over under one sixty one
and a half. Can you make the case from Butler outright?
Can you make the case for them covering the spread?
What's your take on this game?
Speaker 7: You know, Andy, I can't. I like the Johnnies in
this one.
Speaker 2: And I'll tell you.
Speaker 7: I put up a free pet free play last night,
So I got down on the Johnnies at eleven.
Speaker 1: And a half.
Speaker 7: They're fifteen and five. Rick Patino Squad is a top
thirty offense and defensive efficiency team I love betting on
college basketball teams that are good on both sides of
the court. Sure enough, the Johnnys are that. They're great
offensive rebounding as well. They're centered Zubie, Bryce Hawkins. I
think they're gonna be able to crash the boards, get
second chance points. They're eight and one in the Big East,
whereas when you look at Butler, they're under five hundred
in the conference. Thad modest squad, you know, he made
the trip over from Ohio State a few years ago.
They do play fast, but they really struggle on defense.
And again I go back to the Johnny's. I think
they're going to be able to take advantage of that
top twenty five team, and they've dominated this series. They
already beat Butler by fourteen on the road earlier this season.
They've won seven straight in this series, covering six of
those games. All of that pointing too. I think St.
John's wins wins this one. I bet them eleven and
a half last night. Now we're seeing thirteen, so the
markets onto it. But I think they win by two touchdowns,
if not more.
Speaker 1: Three touchdowns is plus two sixty one. So if you're
really really.
Speaker 2: In an all line action. I like it.
Speaker 1: Well, we got one more football game left, so might
as well what was juice on the squeeze?
Speaker 2: And Andy? Real quick before we get to the second game,
we'll talk Xavier and Seaton Haul here in a second.
Drew said something at the top of that breakdown that
I think is just you know, worth worth mentioning. And
the fact that you know, he put out a free
play for folks over on his page wt Dot buzzbackslash
DM and he got eleven and a half. And sure,
we think this could be a potential blowout. So is
the two points really gonna matter all that much in
this matchup? Maybe not, But Drew subscribing and even just
checking the cappers pages on a daily basis or getting
that all access that you get the notification when they're
putting stuff up. That's so important when you're talking about
a sport like college basketball that is so volatile, man
like you'll have five six point line swings in just
a few hours. So more than ever, this is kind
of that season where you want to make sure if
you're hopping on board, don't just be just a play buyer.
Probably at least grab you know, the three day pass,
the seven day pass you get them right away, because
that makes a huge difference in college basketball, right, that's.
Speaker 7: A great point, Dan, I mean, particularly in college basketball.
You know, the NFL, A lot of people love to
bet it, but it just doesn't move as much in
terms of sides totals college basketball, like you talked about,
you know, five to six point moves, some of these
totals will move seven, eight, nine points oh in the
overnight market, and it doesn't take a whole lot of
money to do that. So when you can get on
the front end of those moves, it just changes your
win percentage over time. So yeah, and lastly on this, Dan,
you know, I would say eighty to ninety percent of
my college basketball bets that I that I put in
are in the overnight market, you know, at eight o'clock eastern,
nine o'clock eastern, ten o'clock eastern.
Speaker 2: Because of that, So if.
Speaker 7: You're buying the play, you know, right before tip off
you might have the number, but it's way better to
be on the three day, seven day, thirty day, one
year all access because you'll get the notification and be
able to get in at the better number. So that's
a great point, Dan.
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely. W T do buzz backslash DM is where
you can buy Drew's plays. We'll find out what he
has up here in just a few seconds. But Drow
Xavier Seaton Hall. Let's talk this match up here. A
little bit closer, you could say, but you still have
Seaton Hall over that touchdown. They talked about what are
you seeing in this one? Any thoughts side total? How
are you looking to bet this one?
Speaker 7: Yeah, we got the Wednesday Chris Sallen Peacock doubleheader. It
is also the Patino doubleheader as we get Rick Patino
and Richard Patino, his son, the coach of Xavier. And
I'll tell you, I'll do the Patino two step here, Dan,
I like Xavier plus six in the hook. Richard Patino's
team has played a much tougher schedule to this point,
and they have had a couple tough losses, no doubt
about it. They're only two games over five hundred, but
they've played some pretty good basketball. Tray Carroll, the FAU transfer.
He's scored ninety actually eighty nine points over the last
three games in college basketball. This guy is just hot
right now. He's their best player. He's not a guy
I'm looking to bet against by any means. And Xavier
won five of their last six versus Seaton Hall. They've
dominated this series. Seaton Hall has lost four straight games. Yes,
they are good on defense, but they kind of struggle
on offense. So laying a number here, you know, almost
a touchdown, I don't like it. They're averaging just over
sixty points the last four games. They're not scoring enough.
Therefore to lay this number. I'll actually fade that. I
like Xavier the Musketeers. Give me the Richard Patino special
here in the seven to thirty Peacock game. I like
Xavier plus six and a half in.
Speaker 2: I love it so on Peacock. The alliteration does itself.
The Peacock Patino parlay is the way that we're looking
at it. Here, we're laying and we're taking. I love it, Drew,
and you can always follow Drew. He's a great follow
on Twitter as well at Drew Martin Betts'll pop it
up there so you guys can see that Drew real
quick before we find out what you have up over
at wagertalk dot com Awesome college basketball breakdowns there. We
love it when you come on. You great bring a
great perspective. A lot of what you do is sides,
and that's what a lot of people like to bet.
So Drew is a great guy to follow if that's
your favorite way to to to be playing these games.
But Drew, correct me if I'm wrong. You're still gonna
be rocking with Drew's Daily Diamond. And while you're not
on the Diamond quite yet, do you do a lot
of college basketball on that show as you look as
you head towards obviously MLB because it's another thing people
should check out here subscribe. It's a daily show that
Drew likes dropping here for you guys, getting you some action.
And I think you do some college basketball in there too,
right Drew.
Speaker 7: Yeah, I've been doing the Saturday I just started it up,
Saturday college basketball. You know, we get I mean some Saturdays,
it's just crazy how many games we have. But yeah,
usually pick out you know, the the three games that
just missed the client card, break those down so you
can check that out out on the Wader Talk YouTube
channel and talk to the NFL as well, which is
coming to an end, But of course we got spring
training coming up right around the corner here, Dan And Yeah,
Drew's Daily Diamond. Definitely be hammering the MLB side of
things when that comes around.
Speaker 4: So are you starting to do a little bit of research.
Speaker 7: Haven't fired away on any season win totals yet, but
of course yeah, yeah, the Diamond always something that's fun.
And do have the college basketball Top play four Wednesday?
And I know we've talked about it before, but it's
been a heck of a run four to oh and
eighteen and three on Wednesdays, So we got the top
play just one solo play up and available for tonight midweek.
Speaker 2: Drew Martin is a thing to be reckon with, baby,
and when you wake up Saturday mornings and you're like, damn,
I don't get to see Andy and I and all
the gang on wager Talk Today, Droll Havy covered Drew's
Daily Diamond. Check it out this weekend this Saturday and
comment below and let him know that we sent you. Drill.
Always a pleasure, man, Thanks for letting us no continue
that hell of a run, brother, and we'll see you
next week.
Speaker 4: Thanks man, Thanks Dan, Thanks Andy.
Speaker 2: I have a good one. Guys, appreciate you. Wednesday special.
Speaker 1: Why are we not running a year worth of Drew's
Wednesday play specials Wednesdays.
Speaker 2: That's awesome, and Andy and and And the thing is
is people can say, oh, yeah, yeah, it's the same
thing was when you were when you were doing your
primetime run. Sometimes there are just things in sports betting
that you get dialed in. Maybe it's because you have
a little bit less to cap, you're kind of already
done your weekend look aheads and with you with primetime
with props, when you're able to just io in on
one game and go through the whole entire slate instead
of picking out sixteen games and which player do I like?
Which it was? It was the Secret Sauce man and
Drew just has the secret sauce. I love it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's it is funny. We Yeah, we've isolated. There's
been several times where it was like like Sundays and
Monday's tennis was great because that's the start of the tournament.
There's just a lot of games, you know, a lot
of matches to pick froms like, that's weird. So yeah,
there there is a method to the badness. So I
could go over some line moves here on odds Logic.
We got a couple of questions about that full disclosure.
I had a miserable day yesterday. Every free play I
gave out one, every client play I gave out lost.
It was just one of those days where if you
if you yeah, if you just watch my social media,
you're like, God, this guy is awesome. And then like
all access clients like thanks a lot. You lost, lost
at NBA, lost in tennis. So we get back on
track today. Those days happened. So let's go to college basketball.
A few line moves. There's a couple of aggressive ones.
The most aggressive was Florida State. They opened at minus
one and a half. I already see fours popping up there.
That's by far the most aggressive one today. Mississippi State
that LSU opened minus eight and a half. That's down
to minus six and a half. Again, we're kind of
early in the day here, so those are a couple
of them that I'm looking at. So, uh yeah, that's
a that's a couple of decent ones to look at.
Other than that, I can't say anything. There's nothing that's
moved in the super Bowl. Nothing props wise I've seen
that's moved, And you're it's too early in the day
to take a look at NBA and NHL, so those
are a couple of them. But that's about it. So
all right, let's bring in Ross the Boss.
Speaker 2: Benjamin the Boss is in the building, baby boys.
Speaker 3: What's up, man?
Speaker 2: How are you doing?
Speaker 1: How are you?
Speaker 3: Everything's good, Everything's good.
Speaker 1: Couldn't be better?
Speaker 2: You know?
Speaker 3: My sabers are rolling. Uh yeah, nineteen three and one
in the last twenty three. Look, you know, we're finally
starting to have some meaningful hockey around here in the
month of February, you know, because usually we're eliminated from
playoff contention by Now.
Speaker 1: That's all right. What's your thought on the Joe Brady
higher promotion.
Speaker 3: I guess I'm glad you asked Andy, because you just
are you just you know, intensified my current ulcer anyway,
only kidding, folks. I was not on board with the
Sean McDermott firing. You had a coach that took over
when we were on a seventeen year playoff drought, and
he proceeded to lead the Bills to eight of nine
playoff appearances the last seven years we've been in. Each time,
we've won playoff games. In each of the last six years,
we've won two division titles, advanced to two AFC Championship games,
and I guess, according to Terry Pagoula, we hit the
playoff wall. Okay, I get that. So having said all
that and accepting the fact that we must move on,
I think this was a good hire.
Speaker 2: I do.
Speaker 3: I think that they stayed away from the splash hiring
and bringing somebody outside the organization in because quite frankly,
continuity has been a key to the Bill's success over
the last eight or nine years, and Joe Brady brings
that continuity. And according to every source locally here, he
really knocked it out of the park in the interview
in one particular aspect where they were looking for a CEO,
a guy who could overlook the whole operation in terms
of coaching and what was his plan, And according to
Brandon Bean, he just absolutely knocked it out of the park.
And Ryan Fitzpatrick did confirm that yesterday on his podcast
as he had a long discussion with being in the
morning and that's what he indicated. So I think I
wasn't on board again with the firing, but I am
on board with the hiring.
Speaker 1: Okay, all right, fair enough, fair enough? Yeah, we were
talking about it yesterday, trying to make sense of it
and whether it was.
Speaker 3: Good or bout trying to make sense of it, Andy,
because it doesn't make sense. You know, the hiring does after,
but the firing. I don't know what kind of spin
you want to put on the firing, but at the
end of the day, I would think any objective observer
would say that doesn't make sense.
Speaker 1: All right, Well, let's let's start our attention to the
Super Bowl. You're doing a just just giving us a preview,
you're giving us some trends. Where do you want to
start with this?
Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, look at both teams. I mean, New
England went nine to zero on the road this year. Okay,
so it is a neutral psyche game, obviously so, but
still you can't ignore that, and you can't ignore the
fact that Seattle since last year has gone fourteen and
one in the last fifteen on the road. So sort
of wash there, something's got to give you. Look at
Super Bowl favorites over the last four years, oh and
four straight up in ats. You look at super Bowl
favorites of three and a half are greater oh and
six against the spread in the last six and one
in five straight up in those games. So super Bowl
favorites haven't done well of late Andy. And you know,
since the eighty one Super Bowl, favorites of five or
less have only gone seven and seventeen against the spread.
And since the eighty three Super Bowl totals of forty
seven or less those games have gone fifteen and three
to the over. That's eighty three point three percent. So
there's now Again, those are just trends, folks, and their
trends for the Super Bowl. And do I put a
lot of stock in those, Uh, probably very little. When
it comes to the match up itself, I will say
to be careful because I'm seeing a lot of money
going down early from the source that I use, in
terms of the point spread betting and the volume of
bets point spread betting on Seattle over seventy percent both ways.
I think a lot of that has to do with
if you listen to all the talking heads across the board,
whether it be on ESPN, any other major outlet, or
any podcast, a lot of people were selling the fact
that the NFC Championship game was going to produce the
Super Bowl winner and it was a Super Bowl. So
I wouldn't again that leaves me some hesn't hes intency
easy for you to say, Andy, In terms of taking
Seattle early, I've never been one to. I've found it.
I've done a lot better over the last twenty years
when I to the week leading up to the Super
Bowl to make my picks rather than trying to jump
in on an early line. And you know, Dan, you
mentioned a good point about getting down early. It's a
double edged sword with us, because, yeah, I do have
a lot of subscribers, and it's always nice to get
down early and get the better number. But getting down
early doesn't assure you you're gonna get the better number
every time. I'm more of a counterpuncher and I wait
a little bit before releasing my plays. And that's just
been my style and that's what works for me. You know,
some guys are real good getting down early and getting
a great number a vast majority of the time. I
haven't found that to be the case with me. Like
I said, if I could use a boxing analogy, I'm
more of a counterpuncher in that regard.
Speaker 1: Well, I was telling Dan yesterday there was a there
was a trend that we miss uh and we could
have played this at the beginning of the season. Ross,
did you see this thing about the last three times
or the last two times we've had a new pope elected,
the Seahawks have made it to the Super Bowl, And
sure enough this year full proof they get a new
they get a new pope, and the Seahawks have made
it to the Super Bowl three.
Speaker 2: Three straight, get three straight. Next time we got a
new pope, we got to put our Seattle to win
the NFC.
Speaker 3: We can't mix religion with with sports.
Speaker 1: Spender in Pittsburgh, the Holy Water Pittsburgh.
Speaker 2: Exactly exactly, Well, here's here's here's ah here's a ridiculous
one we can get ahead of as well. How about
uh no, starting quarterback Ross with a name less than
five letters long has ever won a Super Bowl. So
Drake may with only four letters, he can't possibly win
the Super Bowl. Getting even worse than that, starting quarterbacks
whose first and last name end in the se letter
Drake may ending in EH and six in the Super
Bowl era, if their names end with the same last letter,
that's going back to nineteen seventy and then the final
piece to resistance Ross, how about starting quarterbacks with the
initials D, m oh and two in the Super Bowl.
Dan Marino didn't win it, McNabb didn't win it, and
now Drake may according to that trend again and.
Speaker 3: Yellen will never win a Super Bowl.
Speaker 2: Then yeah, because you're right, five letters or less, you're screwed.
Speaker 3: The next quarterback because unscrewed.
Speaker 1: Six and oh is not nothing.
Speaker 2: I know, it's just like those are the ones. Those
are the ones that crack me up, though, Like someone
took time to research that, So I.
Speaker 3: We're staying five letters are less was a bad record?
Speaker 2: Yeah, so less than five letters long has never won
a Super Bowl if their last name is less than
I mean, I don't know what the sample size is
on that one. But the Owen six for first name,
last name ending in the same letter Owen six. Where
there's smoke, there's fire. Ross, you know, maybe Drake Man
needs a name change, maybe just needs to be drack
men draft.
Speaker 1: I wonder if it's because of like hereditary like like
your lineage like multiple like.
Speaker 2: Too soft and.
Speaker 3: Ancestries are bigger in the big in the spot, you know,
Hislian heritage heard him more than helped him.
Speaker 2: Huh, Ross is like, can we just get to the
action boys?
Speaker 6: I'm just here, so I don't get fine a little bit, right,
just talk about straight sports betting. I do that every
day in my solo videos. This is refreshing, all right.
Speaker 1: Well, let's talk the Spurs and Rockets game. This is
by far the marquee game of the night, kind of
butting into a nice little rivalry here. Actually, the Spurs
are picking up some rivalries with a couple of teams,
the Thunder and them arrivals, Spurs and Rockets. Nice rival
really really good game tonight, and it looks like we're
gonna get just about everybody except for Steven Adams. But
looks like all the starters are going Houston's small favor
here minus two and a half over under two twenty
and a half. What do you make of this one?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean you say it's turned into a good rivalry,
But it seems like even though San Antonio has been
through a resurgence in the last couple of years, Houston
has really owned them in recent meetings. However, let's get
to what I'm going to look at, and that's the
total to twenty and a half. Both of these teams
have played on the low side of the number a
lot recently, and how much have they played under the
total recently? Andy, I'm glad you asked. San Antonio has
played twelve and one to the under in their last
thirteen games, and eighteen and three to the under and
their last twenty one. Narrowing it down even further, the
Spurs have played ten and ozero to the under and
their last ten on the road, and in those ten
games on the road, they only allowed one hundred and
seven points per game. These teams just met last Tuesday
in Houston and the Rockets walked away with a one
to eleven one to ZH six win that game, easily
going under the total of to twenty one. I shouldn't
say easily, but it won comfortably under the total to
twenty one. The Houston Rockets, on the other hand, they've
played twelve and two to the under in their last fourteen,
including five straight unders at home. In those five home
games that all went under the total, the average combined
score was just two hundred and thirteen point four points
per game Rockets this year, when there's been a total
of two twenty three or less at home, five and
one to the under in those games in San Antonio.
By the way, number four in defensive efficiency in Houston
number five, so two of the better defensive teams in
terms of that category. And let's look at free throws, guys.
You know, I think when you look at NBA or
college basketball totals, to me, my perception is a lot
of people overlook this fast st for both teams, and
I look at it quite quite a lot, and it
weighs heavily for me. And you look at San Antonio,
They're allowing just twenty one point four free throw attempts
a game against them this season on the season, that's
an extremely low number by NBA standards. And then you
got a Houston team that has shot just six eight
point six percent from the free throw line over their
last seven games. So you got one team that doesn't
allow a lot of free throws and another team that
has a horrible free throw percentage in recent games. San
Antonio number two in the NBA and free throw attempts
allowed this season. I already touched upon that. In Houston,
by the way, they're number six, only allowing twenty two
point three field goal attempts per game Houston. Over their
last fifteen games, there's only been a combined thirty two
point two free throw attempts per contest between both teams.
So let me repeat that again. Houston's last fifteen games
a combined thirty two point two free throw attempts per
game ed EVERADS is about sixteen per game. And when
you're looking at a total, man, you can't ignore that stuff, folks,
I ain't ignoring it. I'm going under the total of
two twenty and a half.
Speaker 1: Great breakdown Ross, Yeah, Jesse's been talking about these unders
in NBA, and you're seeing it, like the first part
of the season. There's no way you would have seen
a two twenty and a half total, Like, no chance
you would see it. Not only we seeing it, we're
like actually playing it.
Speaker 3: So also, Andy to use another boxing analogy, and I'm
sorry I cut you off, but styles make fights, and
I just think that these two teams when they meet
each other, this is the type of style of game
they engage in. And it's low scoring, it's physical, but
both teams showing a lot of discipline on the defensive
end of the floor. And I say that not only
because of their defensive efficiency ratings, but I just mentioned
the amount of free throw attempts allowed. And if you
compare that to the amount of points they allow and
how good they are defensively. That equals to me very
very disciplined defensive team.
Speaker 1: So I agree with you one hundred percent, Rosso, And
you can cut me off anytime, just not.
Speaker 2: Ross the boss's ross loss.
Speaker 1: You will speak whenebody cuts me. You cut me off
a traffic und problem on the show. Yeah, whatever you want.
What do you have to promote, Ross.
Speaker 3: I have a lot to promote, but I'll do it
real quickly.
Speaker 2: NHL.
Speaker 3: I just started my NHL once football wound down. Now
you know, Dan, you mentioned this, and I'm glad you did.
Is sometimes when we got all the action going on
at the same time and then one sport gets or
two sports college football and NFL get out of the way,
it leaves you more time to address something you might
have not have addressed before. And my NHL seven and
four so far to start the year up seven units
all sports since May to thirteenth, up over one hundred
and seventy five units and that profit, folks, that's eight
and a half months. So when it goes that long
and it makes that much money, it's not a fluke, folks.
So that's why you should really entertain the thought of
getting my three hundred and sixty five day all Access
pass UH for fourteen ninety nine. That's five hundred dollars
off our normal price. That amounts to four dollars and
ten cents per day. And not only will you get
my three hundred and sixty five days all access pass,
you'll also get a twenty five percent bonus coupon that
you could use toward any other purchase at wager talk
dot com. Any other expert unlimited use twenty five percent
off for the entirety of that three hundred and sixty
five days. So take advantage of that and real quickly
again fifty nine point oh nine units and that profit
with my last two hundred and seventy totals in all
sports MBA sides up ninety one point five zero units,
with my last six hundred and thirty two picks college
basketball totals up forty five units over my last two
hundred and thirty In NFL with the Super Bowl right
around the corner, folks, I'm on the thirty two and
twenty NFL run sixty two percent, so a lot to
look forward to, a lot to take advantage of seven
day all access pass sixty nine dollars, less than ten
dollars a day. Folks take advantage of this, well, it's
those are limited time offers. Take advantage it went at.
Speaker 1: Last ross the Boss Benjamin always bringing the heat, and
he finally has some meaningful Sabers hockey.
Speaker 3: Yeah yeah, goody three and one with the last twenty three,
and they blew right by the Flyers.
Speaker 2: By the way, Dan got well luckily, luckily. You know,
I feel like I I've I've sworn off the Flyers.
I've sworn off the Sixers. Now the Sixers are of
course doing well, but yes, blow blow right past that team.
I need, I need to keep going down.
Speaker 3: Yeah, whatever you do, don't sign I find your beautiful wife.
Speaker 2: Okay, I'll thanks for loss the boss, baby.
Speaker 1: I wanted to go over a couple of things your
day before you go all around the world. So I
did two NBA plays and they both lost. But I
want to go over him and talk about strategies here
and what happened. So we'll go over the first one.
We had Drew Holliday over eleven and a half points. Okay, well,
I won't go over the right up, but checked all
the boxes. He went to of fourteen from the field
for five points. So you would look at that and
say it's horrible, right, Like it's terrible play. I look
at it and say, he got his normal minutes and
he got his normal shots. He just had a horrific
shooting night. Okay, So fourteen shot attempts Okay. The other
play that I had was Duncan Robinson to go over
two and a half three pointers. He went oh for
eight on srees. Okay, this is a guy who's shooting
forty eight forty five percent. Uh, depending on what metric
you look at for three pointers, be your short term
or long term, right.
Speaker 2: So you're looking at.
Speaker 1: Those two plays and you're going, okay, Drew Holliday two
of fourteen, dougle robson oh for eight. So I picked
two guys that went a combined two for twenty two
from the field, and you're going disgusting. You're going gross.
I'll never bet these guys again. I will be going
right back to him in their very next games. Yeah,
that's how you attack.
Speaker 2: Had a horrible shooting night, and maybe they'll go in
a horrible shooting slump. But I mean, Andy, that's why
you know, I give you credit when you're breaking down
these NBA games, because that's what kills me about the
variance of betting basketball is, in my opinion, the only
number that I heard was how many shots did he take?
The only number that I heard was how many minutes
did he play? Because that's what you can handicap. You
can't handicap a guy going two of fourteen. You can't
handicap a guy going oh for eight, especially if that
is well below the average that they typically do. You
just can't handicap it. Man.
Speaker 1: Yeah, the attempts were there, and the attempts will be
there in the next game, so they'll regress back to
the mean, and we'll make money off of him in
the next one, and I'll probably play him the next
few games. So that's that's how he attacked the props markets.
All right, let's go to all around the world. We
got some we got some unique markets here. Rust did
a good job break on the Spurs and the Rockets. Here,
great player prop here, Julian Chimpane, and he's been an
absolute cash cow. He's playing twenty nine minutes per game,
he's knocking down two to three three pointers, he's adding
one to two free throws, and he's averaging four point
four made field goals. Three of those are coming from
three point range. And he's not intimidated by Houston. He
scored twenty seven and twenty two in his last two
head to head matchups. So this guy's not scared of
this defense. Then he knows how to attack it. And
I think this is a few points too low. So
Champagnee over ten and a half points. We have to
go to the Farmers Insturance Open.
Speaker 2: Dan.
Speaker 1: One of my favorite theories ever is fade the baby
theory and Xander Schoff Xander Schaffley just did an interview
and Xander Schaffley talked about how he has a baby now.
He hasn't played since October except for some rounds with
his buddies, and he talked about how his shoulders have
been hurting from carrying around the baby and how he
doesn't know how his wife does it and he doesn't
know how. This week is gonna go and the very
first tournament he's gonna play is the longest course that
they play this year. He plays Tory Pines on the
South course. I am taking him over two and a
half Bogies in round one. The rough is very, very tough.
He's gonna have to swing for the fences to make
this course manageable, and I see a lot of rust
coming out. So Xander Schoffley over two and a half
bogies in round one, and then we're gonna start talking
Super Bowl props. We'll start talking the gimmicky, you know,
kind of fun ones. But if we're talking just game ones,
these are out right now. On the domestics. I'll take
a look at Kenneth Walker over twenty one and a
half receiving. He's had forty nine, twenty nine and thirty
six the last two weeks. There's no charbonne and he's
had eleven catches the last three weeks. So Kenneth Walker
is the guy in the backfield getting majority of these.
We saw a few other guys get some get some work.
But it's the Super Bowl, Dan, Yeah, well, it's not
taking Kenneth Walker off the field unless absolutely necessary. So
uh Champangnee over his points, Shaffley over his bogies. That
play is for tomorrow, and Kenneth Walker over his receiving.
Those are you free plays for all around the world?
Speaker 2: Love it you love to see it, Andy, let's get
after it. And for those of you who are just
tuning in now, the play that we gave out at
the top for our WTF n LFG is at play
in Champions League is one that we like enough that
we added to clients cards here today. For Andy Lang
wt dot Buzz slash a Allen, it's pofos FC taken
on Slavia Prague or Slavia prah. There's they're they're spelled
different ways depending on which book you're going to, but
pafos is either pa p h o S or p
a fo S. Domestic books you're probably gonna have pa fos,
but we're taking pafos draw no bet. That's plus twenty
one twenty five. Sprinkle a little bit for me on
pafos on the money line as well at plus two ten.
Speaker 1: And what's the league again? Real quick?
Speaker 2: That is Champions League, Champions League and Soccer. So it
should be the one that's right at the top of
that green book and the blue book.
Speaker 1: There you go, adw So, golf is the opposite of
other sports when players have a kid UFC and golf fade.
The baby fade. The baby theory, the reason, the reason
that you fade the baby in golf is golfers are
such creatures of habit. Yeah, and anybody that's had a
child knows your sleep is messed up, your routine is
messed up, and they cannot get their practice schedule and
their sleep schedule back. So anytime there's a baby, and
this has been this has been true for decades. Like
when I first started my very first golf podcast, the
second you see a guy have a Sergio Garcia was
the funny. He had his first baby. He wasn't right
for three months. It was just a cash cout like
weekend and week out, and UFC is the same thing.
You have a baby, your sleep is off, your practice
schedule is a little bit off. So those are the
two sports that we really implement the feed the baby theory.
So all right, we got our golf show that is up.
If you want a more detailed breakdown on the Farmer's
Insurance Open that is up. The prop line is up.
Dan and I gave out a twenty three to one
same Game parlay sprinkle for tonight that I'm pretty excited about.
So we got a good good amount of stuff going
Tomorrow's I believe they're now This is where they release
all the props at Westgate for Super Bowl right today.
Speaker 2: Yeah, today, So typically has been Thursday in previous years,
but I think they're kind of seeing what's happening. How
all these domestic books already have them up already. So
Wednesday night tonight is a big drop over at the
West Gate. If you guys are in Las Vegas, head
over to the Westgate because Teddy Covers is going to
be out there. Our friend John Hogan's going to be
out there doing filming, crack Man Yanni, all of them
are going to be out there. They'd love for you
to stop by say hello, but we're filming a hell
of a lot of content this Wednesday night that will
be coming your way. Teddy is going to have a
breakdown for insiders only, a big time prop that breakdown
on how he approaches prop betting, his tips for betting
Super Bowls, what he has done to cash year in
and year out in betting Super Bowl props and Super
Bowl side and total. So that video will be available
only for Wager Talk insiders, and you can become an
insider WT Dot Buzz Backslash insiders. So yes, tonight, Andy
is the night and if you're in Vegas, go on
over to the westgate say hi to the guys. They
would love to see you. Six pm, six pm okay
local time, yeah, six pm local time, so nine pm Eastern.
If you're on Eastern time, you're probably not gonna get
there in time, folks. So if you're you're in Las Vegas,
six pm Pacific time is when now the whole crew
will be out there, So go over there say hello.
Speaker 1: All right, thanks a lot, guys. Please hit the like button,
don't forget, leave your wager truck, use your name in
the chat. That's all you have to do. And if
Donovan Mitchell has the first basket tonight, we're gonna randomly
pick a winner for a three day pass. Thanks very
much for watching, guys. We're gonna do at the same time,
same place tomorrow. Good look on your bets. We'll serve
it tomorrow. Take care,