Speaker 1: What up, y'all?
Speaker 2: Welcome in to another episode of Profit Picks. If you
are new, we do always start the show by being transparent,
but there hasn't been a show for a while. The
NBA has been on break, so not really a whole
lot going on. I've still been betting some college I'm
sure Robert's been probably betting a lot more than me.
But last couple of days, two plays, two winners. That's
been good. College in general has been good for me.
So I think I'm forty forty seven and thirty one
so far this season, So try to keep that going
and try to get back to work in the NBA.
I think so far in the NBA pretty sure up
a little bit over twenty units, So try to get
back to it after the break. You know, good to
be back with you. How's everything going for you?
Speaker 3: Things are good, Ski. I'll just quick recap because, like
you say, we haven't had any NBA to talk about
for a while. College basketball season has been good. Number
four for the year on the wager Talk leaderboard profit
wise number two since December, the first of about fifty
about forty eight units. I think it is right now,
surviving a rough day from yesterday. NBA though, is like
a sixteen and three streak the last nineteen So the NBA,
which started out really rough to start the year, has
come around almost. I think you said it too. Kind
of hated to see the All Star break come because
things were going pretty well and then you take the break,
and like we were talking off air, it's like starting
brand new. When you have six days off. You have
to sit here and learn about the new squads, the
new rotations, whether it's rest or rust. We'll get into
all of it here today, but it's not the easiest
day of all when they come back from break.
Speaker 2: I agree, And yeah, today, my bad. You guys are
not gonna have banners.
Speaker 1: It is my fault. I didn't make any banners today.
Speaker 2: But big Slate, we're not going to go through every
game today. We will talk about a few of the
main game see if we can find some money.
Speaker 1: So let's start at the top.
Speaker 2: We'll go Atlanta and Philly opened up minus four and
a half. For Philly is down in two or one
and a half. Total open two thirty five and a half.
It looks like two thirty six or two thirty six
and a half looking at the injury report. Kamina is
still not ready to be out there for Atlanta. Everybody
else is available for Philly, they'll be with up both
Embiid and Paul George.
Speaker 1: This line is crashing.
Speaker 2: Was it maybe just because in bead was rolled out?
Speaker 1: You know?
Speaker 2: Honestly, right now, I do think I just prefer the
Atlanta side. I think that they're pretty deep team right now,
you know, the healthier team. I think that they can
win this game. What about you, Ravino, Yeah, I think
so as well.
Speaker 3: Ski. It'll be the third time that they played this
season one to one seventeen Atlanta. Last time that's two
thirty seven for them. Was looking at the total tonight,
which is at two thirty seven and a half, two
thirty eight and a half anywhere in between those two numbers,
and they played a double overtime one forty two to
one thirty four, So a couple of high scoring games
between these two went back just to make sure what
the Sixers have done without Joel Embiid played eighteen games
and only five of the eighteen have gone over this
number to thirty seven and a half. So it shows
you how large this one is. I find it interesting
that you know going through some quotes the way I do.
Dyson Daniels had a little bit to say about their
defensive execution. He talked about having a lot of breakdowns
on defense the last game they played, not being able
to guard pick and roll, the fact that the communication
was bad, and I know, and you know it's not
earth shattering news, but I know you'd like to say
all the time when a team starts talking about something,
the focus the next game around should be on that,
and you would think Atlanta's focus here would be on defense.
I think Atlanta also needs the game a little bit
more ski. You know, their intense spot in the East,
and they're not that secure in that spot, only one
and a half games ahead, one and a half games out.
I should probably put it that way of being out
of the playing spot. So Atlanta's got to rattle off
some wins here. Nick Nurse talked about the team adding
some variety to their offense during the break, but again,
I don't know how much of that comes to fruition
here right off the bat, first game back after six
It is also interesting to me that Joel Embiid, with
all this time off and no game tomorrow, can't even
play tonight, so I don't know what the deal is
with him. You would think with no game tomorrow he
would play here, but he's not Phil He gets quicker
when he's not on the floor, But I don't know
that that means they're higher scoring. So for me, I
think I would lean Atlanta here despite the fact that
you are getting the ass end of the number at
this point in time, you're only taking one and a
half and you could have taken four and a half. Well,
I just feel like Atlanta is one of those teams
and I'll talk about a couple today that need the
surge here in the second half. They made moves at
the trade deadline for a reason, they're deep at this
point in time. I would lean toward the Hawks.
Speaker 2: We're in agreement on that marking. The chat likes the
over leaning towards the Hawks as well. Yeah, I do
think they're the right side. The market, you know, is
pushing it that way, whether it's that or or injury news.
I think the numbers move in the right direction. Another
game we can talk about here that is going to
be Detroit and New York. It did open up minus
three except to four or four and a half total
went from two twenty one and a half as high
as two twenty four and a half.
Speaker 1: Injuries.
Speaker 2: I see everybody actual actually I see McBride out and
Annobe is probable. Other than that, Nick's pretty good to
go for the pistons during and Stewart are out so
still suspended, you know from that fight could costume here.
I mean it should, I don't know.
Speaker 1: You know, it.
Speaker 2: Feels very very easy to go and take the next
here tonight. And you know one plus one equals too.
I can understand the next winning by big margin, but.
Speaker 1: I don't know.
Speaker 2: Something just it's not sitting right with me. How do
you feel about this game?
Speaker 3: Well, I may fall into the one and one equals
to tracks because it looks like a Knicks First of all,
from a fundamental standpoint, whild you just mentioned. The two
bigs are going here for Detroit, New York should be
able to do some damage inside, they should be able
to do some work on the boards both ends of
the floor. But beyond that, the Knick has been embarrassed
by Detroit twice now by insane amounts of points. And
if there's ever you know these two are going to
see each other or likely to see each other in
the playoffs at some point in time. And for the Knicks,
this has to be kind of a sense of urgency game,
like we've been blown out by these dudes twice. At
some point we have to show up. So if you're
not going to show up when Duran and Stewart aren't
in the middle clogging up the paint, protecting the rim,
then at that point I'll know I'll lose a bet,
and I'll know that Detroit is just flat out the
better team than the Knicks. Miserable matchup never going to
work for the Knicks. So you've got home floor. We
know the Knicks are a better team on their home floor.
And again, I just think that the focus level for
New York should be one hundred percent motivated tonight and
ready to go against this team in particular. So for me,
it would be the Knicks. And that's taken nothing away
from Detroit because we've said oftentimes here on the show
that Detroit's just one of those teams like, Okay, see
last year, that's gonna give you effort every game, and
I'm sure Detroit's gonna come to play. Just think being shorthanded,
having the Knicks in kind of a revenge type mode.
Nick's at home, small price. I'll try Nicks minus three
and a half. I get it.
Speaker 1: I get it.
Speaker 2: Like I said, if one plus win it goes two,
you'll be at that window tonight.
Speaker 3: Route it makes too much sense, right.
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know how it gets sometimes in the NBA. Yeah,
my bad over here, I'm trying desperately to I just
DoorDash the charge it from my book because I can't
find whatever went out. I thought I packed for when
I left, So I got it here. At least my
computer won't die. But if you see me looking down
and messing around, and that's what I'm doing, I'm still listening.
Speaker 1: We get it over quick, all right? Next game, Yeah,
let's just let's go to the bottom. We'll talk.
Speaker 2: Nuggets and Clippers open up minus three and a half and.
Speaker 1: Four four and a half pretty much. I mean, I
think mostly four and a half.
Speaker 2: But you can't get a four if you were like
the Nugget side to open two twenty five and a
half sitting right around there. Injury report, you do have
Peyton Watson are in Gordon both out pick it is
probable for the Clippers.
Speaker 1: No Garland.
Speaker 2: You know this is one of those games where I'm
hearing a lot of how do I say, hear a
lot of the team that hosted the All Star break.
Speaker 1: That usually you know, don't play well in that first
game afterwards. And I don't know.
Speaker 2: I just got Yoke your minus Peyton Watson and there
In Gordon, who are both big deals defensively, offensively in general,
just big deals for the Denver team. How are you
replacing that forward position?
Speaker 1: I don't know.
Speaker 2: And then you have Yo Kitchen and Murray both coming
back from All Star as well. You know they participated.
Speaker 1: I don't know.
Speaker 2: I don't know if you know something that I feel
like this is more of a Clipper spot. I feel
like Kawhi can keep them in the game and keep
this one respectable if not winning. Like I wouldn't be
surprised if Kawhi is like the best player on the
court tonight. We know Jokic is the you know, the
best player, but I wouldn't be surprised if Kawhi has
a Knight and I think that could be enough to
keep this.
Speaker 1: One within four points. What do you think about that?
Speaker 3: You know, I don't doubt it. I think that Denver
is one of these teams. And I love when you
said participated, because participated can be in different activities over all,
Stock Breakwake, you could participate in the game, you could
participate in the seventy five parties that are going on.
You'll getch is one of those guys that's yo. Kitch
isn't going to these parties. He's participating in the game,
and he's letting the Hennessy and everything else to other people.
So don't I don't really doubt Denver coming back and
being ready to make a second half push. In fact,
I actually count on Denver to come back ready to
make a second half push. That being said, you said
something last week when the Clippers made a couple of trades,
and I think it was that Kawhi plays better with
Brook Lopez than he did with Zubos at center, and
it kind of turned out that way that one game
or so that they've had together. And so I don't
want to discount the Clippers here either, because, to tell
you the truth, I don't know that Kawhi is one
of those that's running around the parties either. I think
the Clippers are ready to make some kind of run.
For me, this one was fairly simple. You talked about
how you're going to replace the defense that's missing for Denver,
and I agree. Denver's not a good defensive team to
start with. Kauwhai has been scoring like crazy as of late.
We have Madin off the bench now. For this team,
the Clippers just look like a better group personnel wise
than they did before as far as pecking order is concerned,
I'll put it that way. So I think Denver's going
to give up points. I think they'll win the game.
I think they'll give up points, and I think they'll
score points because it's what they do best. It's very
difficult to stop them, and I don't know that aside
from Kawhi. You know, Derek Jones Junior is a nice
defensive player as well, But I don't know that the
Clippers are as strong a defensive unit as we're used to.
So to me, two twenty six looked a little bit low.
They betted up from two twenty five and a half
to two twenty six. I think is more than doable here.
I could see like a one seventeen, one thirteen, one sixteen,
one thirteen, which would put me over the numbers. So
I do like Denver Clippers over the total tonight.
Speaker 1: I'm surprised you're not. Well.
Speaker 2: I guess you can include both sides here. You know
that Clippers team total could be a little nice price.
I'm trying to see what we get here for Clippers
team total.
Speaker 1: Let me get over here. Clippers team total one eleven
and a half. Very doable.
Speaker 2: I feel like Denver gives that up routinely, and especially minus.
I mean, let me just take another look here at Denver.
When's the last time, I mean, all of February they've
given up one to sixteen plus first game after the break,
they're gonna be that interested offensively. Clippers team total could
could be a very good look there.
Speaker 3: I should have said two Ski real quick, because I
made a big deal out of the Knicks having a
double revenge spot. But the Knicks revenge spots they were
blown out twice. But the Clippers have lost twice to
the Nuggets already. And so for two teams that you
know are likely to see each other somewhere down the road,
you would think Lea would have a little bit of
something in them here tonight to say to Denver after
going zero and two against them, And by the way,
the most recent one score two thirty one was one
twenty two one oh nine Denver on January the thirtieth,
not all that long ago.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Clippers sitting at twenty six and twenty eight, tenth
in the West, they should be a hungry team at home.
That's what I would think.
Speaker 1: All right, you know what you know?
Speaker 2: On that note, I kind of feel like I haven't
pushed a whole lot of buttons today, But I'm pushing
a button.
Speaker 3: Out my dog.
Speaker 2: That's my dog, and anybody gotta say anything you let
me know that's my dog.
Speaker 1: Those four and a half points are calling my name.
You know.
Speaker 3: I have to say. When you said push a button
that that took me by surprise. I did not know
that was you. I thought you were going to make
a betting, and I heard that I do.
Speaker 2: I want to bet the Clippers. That's my dog of
the day right there. I think that's the right side.
Everybody want to go, I don't. I don't think you
have to rush. I mean everybody's running to the window
to go say, you know, a team that hosted the
All Star Break sucks the first game after and just
just fading it. I think that the Clippers can can
be in this game, So I.
Speaker 1: Wait, I'll see what I what I can get.
Speaker 2: But that's my dog for today, all right, you know,
anything else you want to add before we wrap it up.
Speaker 3: No, I think that we did the most we could
do here. There's a lot of other games on the slate. Guys.
We apologize, but it's just it's hard to work with
these games, the rest versus Russ stuff. Who's going to
come out, How these lineups are going to work, probably
take us a day or two before we get back
into full, full blown schedule coverage. But those three I
thought I had a little insight into.
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, like I said before, I'm not the
kind of person I don't like when rhythm is disrupted.
So I'm not This is not the day where you're
going to see a lot of bets from Ski, you know.
I'm just trying to pick and choose. And yeah, that's
why we didn't talk about all the games today. But
probably by next week, you know, we'll be good to
go again. We'll have a good flow going again. On
that note, though, before we get to best bets, I'm
pretty sure this is still good here. Ten day all
access for the price of seven you save sixty nine
bucks there.
Speaker 1: I know they still I deleted the graphic.
Speaker 2: I guess I shouldn't have, but they still do have
that the one year you get was it five hundred
dollars off? And you get the bonus coup on? I
remember we got that one. That one is still up
and yeah, on that note, I'm going to pass it
to you. You know, if there's anything else you'd like
to promote, feel free and if you have a best bet,
we love to hear it.
Speaker 1: If you don't, all good, all.
Speaker 3: Right, so let's go ahead and get the best bets here, Skiing.
I'm gonna, you know, maybe wrong for doing the one
plus one equals too, but I have to play the
Knicks here tonight. I just if the Knicks have any
pride whatsoever, you show up and you win this game
at home by five or more points against Detroit, especially
when they're shorthanded here Indian t it's kind of a
cluster injury at the rim for the Pistons. Paul Reid
is your center in this game, so Cat and company
should be able to do some damage here. And like
I say, the mindset, I'm not applying rest Or rush
to this under the assumption that the Knicks are just
going to be so motivated that it won't matter in
front of the home crowd. So give me the next
best bet today minus three and a half. We'll see
how it goes and hopefully they get there by four
or five plus.
Speaker 2: All right, good stuff from Veno. You know, for myself,
I'm taking it slow today. So I made one bet,
but it's it's I just can't give it out because
you know, I gave it out on five dollars Tuesday,
and it just wouldn't be right to those people to
just give it out here on the show. So I'm
not going to have a best bet. But I will
promote one more thing.
Speaker 1: On my page.
Speaker 2: There is NBA through the finals for three forty nine
and I'm pretty sure. I mean with February, March, April
May until June. I mean that's less than one hundred
bucks a month if you want to be involved, so
and you'll get them as I release everything throughout the day.
That's kind of how I bet anyway. So appreciate you
guys for rocking with us. Appreciate you Robno for taking
the time to catch the games with us. Cayle Trace
says much love, welcome back. Lee Vig says two of
the best to do it. Appreciate you guys, and Mark said,
a great show as usual, so appreciate you. On the
chat Veno, we'll do it again tomorrow. We'll see if
we can might like a little things a little bit better. Tomorrow,
we'll see. But good to be back with you, so
everybody will catch you tomorrow. Until then, best of luck,