Speaker 1: What's so, everybody, welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we do always start this show
by being transparent. Yesterday I went backwards two and three,
and my day was pretty much decided by uh. I
had a push on the NFL game that should have
been a win in my opinion with the over forty nine.
And then I had a MAXI rebounds at three and
a half, He got four rebounds, they had it at four.
Somehow rebound got taken away. Somehow, I rebound got taken
away once again. So I tried the props again and
the same thing happens that decides my day. You no,
hopefully he had a better day than me.
Speaker 2: Yesterday made a little bit, Ski made a little bit,
could have made more. The Minnesota team total stopped me
from making even more of one twenty two and a
half ninety eight after three quarters, don't really play the fourth.
He get to one twenty so that didn't make it.
But the NFL game was good to me. Had the
Dallas team total over Winter in college basketball winner in
the NBA as well. With If I go back to
yesterday real quick day to day, I can't remember what
the heck I had pushed with Miami. As a matter
of fact, I got to the bad end of that
lead too and actually lost the Denver bet outright credit
to Chicago because I don't think I saw that even coming.
So it made a little bit because the NFL bet
and the college basketball bet were bigger.
Speaker 3: But to two in.
Speaker 1: A push, yeah, one plus one ego seven sometimes, Rob,
you know, as we see with the Chicago Bulls game,
I mean, how did the team coming off double overtime,
no rest look like the most energized group on the floor.
It just shouldn't be that way in the NBA, But
a lot of these guys don't care on a nightly basis. Regardless,
We'll move on to today, and we can't blame Yokic
hitm Me can't blame Jokic. I mean, what do you
have like thirty thirty something, eighteen and thirteen, Like, we're
not blaming yokis not Joki's fault. There's a lot of
guys sitting around watching other people take threes. I'll tell
you that. But all right, let's move to today. Whereas
in Magic Open two and a half for Golden State,
I see threes. I see a couple three and a
half total, but from two twenty four and a half,
and I see this got line shop anywhere between two
twenty two and a half and two twenty four. As
far as who's available, I should hit the refresh year
we are after that that first injury report, time follow out.
Mo Wagner out sucks questionable, buddy, he'll probable kaminga out
melting out the Warriors, I mean after they it is
first of all, it is the first of a back
to back and I think this is their fourth straight
road game something like that. And then for the magic
you do have them coming off of that overtime game.
The Warriors, though, ever since that's spanking they got from
the Thunder, they've looked. They've looked pretty good the past
few games. Granted the last one was versus the Pelicans,
but three straight wins for this Warriors team, the magic
they've been uh, I mean they won three of the
last four. They did fall off in their last one
versus the Rockets, who you know, Rockets have looked damn
good this year, So I mean they look solid. I
guess to say without Paolo now they'll be at home
versus Warriors team who could have a little bit of
travel fatigue, has to save a little bit of energy
for tomorrow. You know, when I think about both of
these teams as the who's available right now, I think
that the Warriors are better, but this line is just
really short, and I know the Magic can play defense,
they should still have some size advantage. I feel like, inside,
how are you seeing Warriors in Magic?
Speaker 2: Well, I didn't play mainly because of what you said. First,
it's a back to back. I would like to think
that Golden State's the right side here because I don't
know how much interest they'll have tomorrow other than Jimmy
Butler's going to be playing in Miami. It'll be back
to back in the fifth of a five game road trip.
I think there are three and one on this trip
so far, so you can lock up a winning trip
with a win tonight. I just personally think they'll put
more effort in. They're better rested into tonight's matchup than
they will tomorrow, especially if they win tonight. I'll probably
come back with Miami tomorrow against them. A lot of
things you said I agree with. You know, for what
it's worth, Orlando looked really good without ban Caro. I mean,
is that going to be sustainable. Probably not. They take
Houston into ot We see it all the time. We
shouldn't have to repeat ourselves, but we will, because it
happens every night star player goes down, the team that
shouldn't get there gets there. Houston looked like they lacked
a little interest until the game was getting away from them,
and then they came back and wound up winning it
home after what Orlando was on a road trip, right,
it's the first one back home. I think, trying to
look up in my notes here how long they were
on the road for they were.
Speaker 1: I mean they're on the road versus Rockets game before
that home versus the Nets. Yeah, not much.
Speaker 3: Of a return to home here.
Speaker 2: Then I'm going to stick with I didn't play it
for the particular reason that I'd like to come back
against Golden State tomorrow. So I'm going to be rooting
for Golden State tonight to win this game so that
they can play Miami in tomorrow's game. I think Golden
State that's the one we'll probably let go of the
rope a little bit. Other than Jimmy, you might want
to play his props tomorrow night. But as for tonight,
I think Golden State's the right side, just can't get
there with it.
Speaker 1: Mark, Yes, Ski is off minutes restriction. Now, I appreciate
you asking LJ. He likes Curry over twenty six and
a half points tonight, says thirty nine points for the
last five games in Orlando, So matchup that has been
pretty well for him, sucks doesn't play, could look even
better for Steph Curry out there on the perimeter. Yeah,
this game, another thing I wanted to mention. Both teams
are five and oho to the first half under did
you see a full game total of twenty we'll call
it two twenty three and a half. First half is
one on nine. Is there any reason to think we
don't have another slow start out the gate here? That's
kind of what I'm thinking pace wise, last five games,
Magic are twenty six, Warriors kind of middle of the pack.
Both teams are top ten defensive rated teams. Last five
games not the best offensively, But when I look at
the Warriors, I mean, I mean they held the Pacers down.
Who everybody's holding the Pacers down? And they held them
to eighty three. Outside of that, I mean Spurs and
Pelicans one time I don't know if I can trust
numbers from the Warriors side. Any last thoughts there on
that maybe first half wonder.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's just too low for me to play ski
one o nine fifty five fifty five.
Speaker 3: I don't know the way these games are played nowadays.
Speaker 2: And for what it's worth, Orlando wasn't the best defensively
the other day without being Caro, so there's no Kaminga
on the other side as well, so maybe points would
be lessened.
Speaker 3: But for me, that number is just too low for
me to go under.
Speaker 2: If I see like one, and this is outrageous, but
if I had seen something, you know, around the one
thirteen and a half mark, probably would look But at
one on nine, I can.
Speaker 1: All right, we'll move it over to the next game.
And that looks like Boston and Brooklyn opened up minus
ten and a half or the Celtics looks like eleven
right now, we'll open two twenty nine. I'm not sure
if I saw two twenty nine ever, but it is
it's looking like two twenty three right now. Between two
twenty three and two twenty two and a half. As
far as injuries are concerned here, Tatum is out, high
Smith is out. Thomas is out. Let me just refresh this.
Let me make sure this is not behind, because I
literally just looked at this and I don't see any injuries.
That's not behind, all right, So we do have I
like under in this game. You know, both teams off wins.
Both teams shot like forty something percent from three, so
I'm thinking there could be some chewting regression for both nets.
Also got to shoot like thirty something freight throws in
that game, so it's hard for me to see that
offense repeat, especially without Kem Thomas. We know that the
pace slows without him, there's less scoring without him. In general,
when you look at both of these teams, I mean,
I keep saying Jayleen Brown was lying Raveno, I mean,
last five games is the slowest pace in the second
slowest pace teams. So I'm not expecting this one, you know,
to be attract meet. They could be slower. I also
look at both teams do like to shoot a lot
of above the break threes, but if we're looking at
how they've been defending lately, both teams pretty good as
far as above the break three point field goal PERCENTA
shall out. I like under in this one. Raveno, what's
say you?
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Boston side, Ski, it's two good, really good
shooting games in a row. I mean prior to that.
They played Memphis before they played the Clippers on Sunday
and shot fifty one percent and made twenty one threes. So,
all of a sudden, Boston last two games forty one
percent from beyond the arc in both. Peyton Pritchard, the
guy we've talked about quite a bit on the show,
is not really being as good as a shooter as
a starter as he was as a reserve.
Speaker 3: Hit eight threes the other day.
Speaker 2: So maybe things are coming around for Boston as far
as that three point shooting is concerned, because we know
they like the chuck and we know the Nets don't
necessarily defend that. Well, Michael Porter Junior has been the
big gun for them without Cam Thomas, he'll take more shots.
I would have played Boston if the price was in
some sort of decent range. But who's going to lay
eleven points with the Celtics. Honestly, you can't do it
at this point in time. Don't really want to grab them.
With the Nets total to twenty two and a half,
I don't know if I expect the same regression that
you do, because I don't like either defense, but the
pace that you mentioned certainly would dictate less possessions. We'll
see how the three pointers here go.
Speaker 3: Ski.
Speaker 2: That's always such a variable how good teams are going
to shoot from three. But it looks to me like
Boston's heating up a little bit. Maybe their team.
Speaker 3: Total side up and over. I haven't played it.
Speaker 2: I might consider it just because maybe I'm getting in
on the low end of their starting to heat up
a little bit offensively. That being said, that number is
one seventeen, not that huge of a hurdle against Brooklyn.
But if I'm wrong and they're not shooting better they
just had two games that are a mirage, then I'd
be off. But that's probably the only way I could look.
Speaker 3: Their game doesn't interest me too much.
Speaker 1: All right, we know, uh, maybe looking a little different
than I am, I will be. I am on that under.
Next game up, we have Grizzlies and Spurs. Opened up
five and a half for the Spurs, that's like six total.
Hasn't moved that much from two thirty four. As far
as who was available, we know suspects for the Grizzlies
plus jaw Now out for the Spurs, no Mby mc laughlin,
Harper or Castle. Sounds like a lot of offense, a
lot of playmaking out for the Spurs team. I mean,
you still do have Deer and Fox there. Devin Vessel
probably will have a good night tonight fortis Memphis team.
You know, I still think these guys care. If anybody
didn't care would be Joe right now. So I'm not
trying to say they're better without jow but I think
you're still going to get a really good effort from
everybody out there on the court tonight. I think Zach
eedieback for this Grizzlies team is pretty big for them,
especially without Winby down there for the Spurs. I'm thinking
this is too many points to be laying with the
Spurs team minus Castle, Harper and Winby. Honestly, I would
be grabbing a plus six from with the Grizzlies rather
than laying in this one. You know what do you
think about it?
Speaker 2: Well, I think it's hard for me to get to
the Grizzlies because they have no point guard. Every single
point guard is out, and you're coming in here with
Vince Williams probably playing for we have shooting guards playing point.
It's just not really conducive if you wanted to play
a prop. The Aaron Fox maybe could have his way
tonight offensively. That being said, the other matchup on the
other side is just as significant because Memphis should crush
the boards here, right, I mean Zach Geede, like you say,
he came back yet I think thirteen points, and their
head coach said their rim protection instantly changed with him
coming back the other day. Team him up with Jaron
Jackson Junior, and all you have on the other side
is Luke Cornett, who played well the other day in
place of Wemby. I think he had a low double double,
maybe thirteen and eleven, something like that, fourteen and eleven.
But Luke Cornett on his own isn't going to contest
Jackson and Edie, So the interior advantage goes to Memphis here.
I like your first point most of all about a
lot of offense missing in this game. Two thirty four,
two thirty three and a half now just seems like
a large number for both of these to get to.
If san Antonio had a real ability to get to
the rim against just Luke Cornette, I would like it
maybe a little more points of like maybe a little
more points to be scored here. But the other side,
like I say, Fox should have his way with the guards,
but when he gets to the rim, he's.
Speaker 3: Met by a couple of shot blockers too.
Speaker 2: So this thing total might interest me here Ski as
far as under his concern, they haven't really pushed it
down as far as I think it deserves to be
pushed down because of the lack of point guard play
on Memphis side. So I would lean right now with
Memphis San Antonio under.
Speaker 1: The number and not going to understand that what the
angur report the way it is, Yeah, a little bit,
a little bit of a top one there. Going down
the list, Pistons and Hawks open Pistons minus one and
a half, we've seen a flip of favorites. We now
have the Hawks looks like minus one. As far as
the total open two twenty nine and a half. Not
a whole lot of movement there. Injury report for Atlanta
A Kungo's questionable, Pa Zinga's is questionable. Zachary Receschet after
that fall you had as questionable as well. No Tree
Young for Detroit Cade, Tobias, Asar Thompson all questionable, no Ivy,
LeVert Sasser or Clintman. This Detroit team is on the
second of a back to back. For the Hawks, it's
their first game home after the road trip, and they
do have a little bit of a rest advantage for
this game. I don't like the question marks, I'll tell
you that for the Hawks, and I don't like the
idea of really fading the Pistons. Right now. This Pistons
team is playing, you know, very scrappy, playing with a
lot of confidence, and it's very hard step in the
way of that. Right now, they're sitting at twelve and two.
The Hawks have been a better defensive team since Trey
Young has been out of the lineup, and I do
think of Detroit as a solid defense too. I want
to consider under any reason to talk me off of that,
you know.
Speaker 3: Probably not.
Speaker 2: Detroit's been really good on the defensive side. I think
we brought up the point the other day. I forget
which coach it was who said that Detroit is just
flat out one of the most physical teams in the NBA.
They like to throw their bodies around and make you
feel them, so to speak.
Speaker 3: And I don't like.
Speaker 2: As you said, I don't like the injury list for
Atlanta with all those questions all being interior players against Detroit,
you may want to look Jalen Duran's way where rebounds
are concerned.
Speaker 3: He's an interior beast.
Speaker 2: I would definitely lean towards Detroit in this game, first
game back, as you mentioned, after four West Coast games
for Atlanta, Detroit being the more physical of the two,
I think the Detroit injury report probably will be okay.
I could see Cade playing here, and like you said,
I don't want to step in front of it either.
They've just been They look like a team each night
out that wants to win games. We talk often here
about teams don't care results happen because guys don't care.
Speaker 3: But Detroit looks like a team that.
Speaker 2: Just wants to prove a point and maybe they're working
for playoff seeding right now in November, trying to just
stack wins so they can be there at the end.
I like their side at this price, I would probably
play Detroit. Haven't yet, but it's on my short list
of things to play.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Mike asking if they're twelve and two, why are
they an underdog. I mean they're on the back to
back and have a lot of question marks as far
as you know, questionables and injury report stuff, box stuff
and talking about you off. He's gonna have a lot
of responsibility in this game, so I can't talk of
any of that good stuff. All right, Lakers in Jazz
keep going up. I see thirteens right now, totally went
from two thirty six as high as two thirty nine.
Injury report. Lebron may make his debut, he's questionable, so
is Gabe Vincent. Then for Utah, Kyle Anderson, Lapowski, hendrixs
all questionable and kneeing looks like he's out. And these
Jazz games look like night and day. As far as
homing road road games not scoring at all, really the
Lakers the opposite. Every single home game has gone over
the Lakers, a team that I always say I don't
trust the most defensively, but they have shown inability to
beat up on some of these bad teams. The Lakers
have the rest advantage here, at least two days, I
believe for them. It is their first game off of
a road trip. Not the best situation there, but you
do have a Jazz team traveling coming off of an
overtime game that they wanted an underdog, so it could
be a letdown spot for them, you know. I mean
I do always say I don't trust this Lakers defense
that much, But if you look at the numbers, the
defense top ten, last five is the offense has been
keeping an offense ranked twentieth. If the Lakers come with
that kind of defense, I can see don't win this
game by margin. How are you viewing Lakers Jazz?
Speaker 3: It was definitely my first inclination. What stops me here? Ski?
And I'll ask you.
Speaker 2: If Lebron plays, we often talk about star wars players,
star players returning to the lineup.
Speaker 3: Do they clog things up?
Speaker 2: Does you know? Does it throw the offense out of sync?
If Lebron comes back tonight, do you want to lay
twelve and a half for thirteen with them? Is it
a positive or is it somewhat of a neutral force
him coming back?
Speaker 1: I think Lebron can fit into whatever is going on.
I don't think he'll come back and try to be
ball dominant. I think he understands in that scene what
the team is doing. I think he's smart enough to
just do you know, come in fit in do whatever
the team needs. So I don't think he will throw
off the Lakers.
Speaker 2: And if that's the case, I think again I said, yes,
I don't like playing these large numbers. I play a
large number yesterday Denver goes down out right, So I
might be a jinx when it comes to that, But
I do think the Lakers might as twelve and a half.
Even if Lebron is on the floor and he works
in with the rest of the team, I think they
probably could win by twenty. To tell you the truth, the.
Speaker 3: Point you made about Jazz home and road.
Speaker 2: We've discussed it before. The road offense is just non existent, period.
And at home, all of a sudden, you can, you know,
score one hundred and thirty at will. So to me,
Jazz on the road here not a spot. I want
to be on Lakers at home. And maybe Lebron does
bring a boost, who knows, But it's the only way I.
Speaker 3: Could play this game. SKI totals moving upward two thirty nine.
Speaker 2: Don't know what to make of that, but LA as
far as the society is concerned, to me, they're better
at every position, to tell you the truth, and so
I would look that way.
Speaker 1: All right, we have one more game on the slate.
That is the Suns and Blazers open three and a
half for Portland down to two and a half. Not
a lot of movement on the total at all for Phoenix.
There will be no Grayson Allen or Jalen Green for Portland. Yeah,
Drew doubtful, Scoot Malati's table and Wesley all out. This
is honestly the game that I like the least on
the slate. But you know the Sons who are coming
off with loss of a favorite. Actually, both teams are
so bounceback situation for both, first of a back to
back for the Blazers, first game home, off off a
road trip, and they're coming off of an overtime game
this Blazers team. So it sounds like a lot going
on for the Blazers there. It's interesting to see them
open as three and a half point favorites. I just
don't view the Blazers as a favorite kind of team,
So honestial thought is to lean towards the Suns. How
do you feel about Blazers?
Speaker 2: If they had Drew Holliday, I probably would play Blazers
just because of all the guard offense.
Speaker 3: That's missing on the other side.
Speaker 2: For Phoenix real quick without those two players. The other day,
without Grayson Allen, without Jalen Green, Dylan Brooks and Devin
Booker became the back court. They had sixty one points.
The team scored one hundred and twenty two, so they
scored fifty of the team's points. They took forty eight
combined shots. It just shows you where the offense is
going to come from.
Speaker 3: Brooks and.
Speaker 2: Devin Booker to shoot the basketball relentlessly. There's really no
other scoring threats, legitimate scoring threats outside of those two.
Speaker 3: In this game.
Speaker 2: For Portland, however, you get the same thing Ski, I mean,
Drew doesn't play. The other day, their bench scores fifteen
points against Dallas. That was the overtime game. Dallas wins
one thirty eight, one thirty three. They couldn't stop Dallas defensively.
Dallas can't get out of their own way as an offense.
Yet they shoot fifty percent.
Speaker 3: Counting overtime in that contest.
Speaker 2: So Portland's defense is no good. Phoenix is down a
couple of big scorers. I just don't know what to
make of this. We talked about another game earlier, Memphis
and Antonio, where the injuries to both sides kind of
make it a which side of the defense that he's
standing on because both sides are flawed. I think it's
the same thing here. Both sides are flawed. You may
get I don't know, you may get an over out
of this somehow, some way because of lack of defense.
But I won't play either side.
Speaker 1: I mean, Blazers have been giving it up one thirty
eight to the Mavericks, like the Mavericks can't score on anybody,
one forty to the Rockets, one seventeen to the Pellies,
one fifteen to the Magic, one thirty six to the Heat.
They've been giving it up, and the Suns have shown
the ability to score one twenty one plus in their
last four games. I don't know that Grayson Allen is
is that much of that offense that they're putting up there.
I think Suns team total could absolutely be worth the look.
Let me see what it is Suns team total is.
Especially you can get his one seventeen. It looks like
tonight they scored one twenty one plus. Four straight. The
Blazers have given up one seventeen plus and what is
this six of their last seven games. I mean, it
does look pretty easy. I don't like when they look
that easy. But it's just it's one plus one equals too.
But you know, we know sometimes at equals seven. But
then this team total over does seem pretty appealing in
this one. That's it. That's it for the NBA for today.
So on that note, we'll wrap it up. We'll go
to the best bets. I'll throw these things that we usually
do pretty sure. Full court pass is still available and
can get college basketball and NBA for only forty nine dollars.
If you want to go a little bit further than that,
ten days of picks for less than ten dollars per day,
and the longer one Roveno was talking about yesterday, you
can get five hundred dollars off of one year past
comes out to one twenty five a month, and including
that will be a twenty five percent bonus. Keep on,
Let's say you get Ravino for a year, you can
use the twenty five percent bones. Keep on to come
check out my stuff. So I think we can wrap
it up with that there, Veno, I'll pass it to
you for best bets. If you have anything else you
would like to promote for free, and if you have
a best bet for the show, we would love to
hear it.
Speaker 2: Last thing I'll say Ski as far as promotion is concerned,
it is five dollars Tuesday over at wager talk dot com.
Five dollars plays from each and every handicap or you
can get those. Go over to wager talk dot com.
If you've ever tried any selection packages Tuesdays generally the
day that you would like to do it.
Speaker 3: Cost is obviously.
Speaker 2: Next to nothing at five bucks per play, so go
ahead and check it out over at wager talk dot com.
Speaker 3: Best bets.
Speaker 2: I mean, if the audience is going to allow me here,
if they chat room is going to allow me, I'm
going to skip right through the NBA because I don't
feel strongly enough about any of it. I did bet
the Pistons minus one for what it's worth. I'll go
directly to college football with my strongest play of the day. Here, guys,
it's going to be Ohio you now, Tuesday maction going on.
Speaker 3: Here, Ohio you team total, they're making a state.
Speaker 2: Just keep jacking up the big I think in late
thirty five or forty cents now. If they won't come
off of forty one and a half. So I played
their team total over forty one and a half against
the you team that might as well have high school
uniforms on. They've been that bad this season. Last week
Northern Illinois hadn't scored over twenty one points in a game.
I don't think they scored thirty one in the first
half against this team. Just and Ohio, you's playing for
something as they try to get into the MAC title game.
They're at home allful loss. So for me, best BET's
gonna get out of the NBA for the day get
into college football. Ohio University team total over forty one
and a half.
Speaker 1: All right, good stuff from Vino. I did not put
anything up for five dollars Tuesday yet because I'm waiting
for tomorrow's lines. There's some games I'm looking at for Wednesday,
and you know, I like those plays a little bit
stronger than today. So if you're interested, it will be
up in the afternoon once they dropped these lines for Wednesday,
so to take advantage before it goes back up, you know,
at midnight. That's what I'm trying to say. There my
best bet for the show. I didn't place one bet
and that is under twenty two and a half. Boston
and Brooklyn, you can get it two twenty three right now,
we can even get two twenty three and a half.
So it's starting to go back up. But I told
you guys why I like it. Two of the teams
playing the slowest pace in the league last five games
coming off of really good shooting performances. Both teams shot
forty percent from three plus, so I'm expecting regression on that,
and I'm expecting the Nets not to live at the
freedom line shooting like thirty something free throws like they
did in their last game. Outside of that, they've been
a team really struggling to score. Boston has had some guys,
you know, some guys step up and be good defenders,
whether it's or not, whether it's what is it wash,
They've had some guys step up and be good defensively.
And for Brooklyn, Claxton finally starting to look like, you know,
he's getting his timing back, able to swash some of
those shots and protect the rim. So I like under
Boston and Brooklyn that'd be my best bet for the show.
You know, I always say, appreciate you taking the time
to come cap these games with us, everybody in a chat,
We appreciate you all as well. Best of luck you
guys on all of your action. We'll see you go
again tomorrow