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<v Speaker 1>Here's your channeline weather forecast. Nice, nice forecast, uh cloud free,

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<v Speaker 1>low humidity, sunny day to day with the highest seventy

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<v Speaker 1>six overnight little fifty eight clear sky, sunny again tomorrow

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<v Speaker 1>with the high of eighty two overnight clear and sixty

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<v Speaker 1>and Thursday we'll go up to eighty eight degrees and

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<v Speaker 1>sunny skies. It's sixty three right now. Let's get a

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<v Speaker 1>travel update.

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<v Speaker 2>Chuck from the uc UP Traffic Center from the Size

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<v Speaker 2>Therapy to Stress Relief and Cancer Surveillan. It's the u

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<v Speaker 2>SEE Cancer Center, office of the region's largest supportive services

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<v Speaker 2>program for cancer patients and survivors called five one three

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<v Speaker 2>five eighty five u SEE ce See South Bend seventy

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<v Speaker 2>five continues slowly through walkland and it broken down blocks

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<v Speaker 2>the left lane South seventy five in the cut backing

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<v Speaker 2>traffic towards downtown in ben seventy four continues to improve

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<v Speaker 2>after problems earlier. Chuck Ingram on fifty five KR seat

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<v Speaker 2>the talk station.

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<v Speaker 1>Hey twenty nine fifty five krc DE talk station. It

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<v Speaker 1>is that time. Regular listeners, no apployment listening. The Daniel

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<v Speaker 1>Davis Deep Dive retired Lieutenant Colonel Daniel Davis, been a

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<v Speaker 1>well warfare analysis and on the same topic We've been

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<v Speaker 1>on for probably longer than Daniel and I care to agree,

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<v Speaker 1>are to admit Russia and Ukraine. Daniel Davis, Welcome back

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<v Speaker 1>to the fifty five Caressey Morning Show. My friend's always

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<v Speaker 1>a real pleasure having you on. Always a delight to

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<v Speaker 1>be here. Thanks for inviting me. I sure appreciate it.

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<v Speaker 1>And well, it happened over the weekend. I guess on

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<v Speaker 1>overnight Saturday or maybe your Sunday, Russia launched four hundred

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<v Speaker 1>and seventy nine drones at Ukraine, the biggest overnight bombardment

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<v Speaker 1>of the three year war. As it's been reported, some

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<v Speaker 1>of the drones were shot down, some of the missiles

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<v Speaker 1>were shot down. They've also escalated their attacks on the

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<v Speaker 1>eastern and north eastern parts of the front line.

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<v Speaker 3>I have a quote here.

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<v Speaker 1>I think we'll call this an understatement Ukraine President Vladimir

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<v Speaker 1>Zelensky calling the situation very difficult.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I would say so.

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<v Speaker 1>A week after week, Russia keeps going more territory, keeps

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<v Speaker 1>bombing more of Ukraine. Ukraine fires back some Russian some

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<v Speaker 1>drones into the Russian territory, accomplishing not a whole lot.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe some sort of moral victory when you blow some

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<v Speaker 1>blow up a plane, But as far as the war's going,

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<v Speaker 1>things are getting worse, aren't they.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, that's exactly right, and you've characterized it perfectly. This

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<v Speaker 4>is in some sense, I think that this is the

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<v Speaker 4>evidence of a side that realizes the war is nearing

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<v Speaker 4>its endpoint and they're just throwing in all this. They're

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<v Speaker 4>pulling out all the stops and throwing everything into this.

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<v Speaker 4>And that's why you've seen attacks inside Russia on railroad bridges,

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<v Speaker 4>one of which took down a civilian train and killed

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<v Speaker 4>a lot of civilian people. They hit the Crimean bridge again,

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<v Speaker 4>it didn't succeed, but they did hit it. And then

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<v Speaker 4>these you're talking about, this strategic bomber fleet through many

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<v Speaker 4>sites inside of Russia, and then they've continued even since

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<v Speaker 4>that time to attack air bases and engles and other things.

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<v Speaker 4>This shot you're talking about here over the weekend of

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<v Speaker 4>four hundred and seventy nine missiles.

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<v Speaker 3>That was just the day.

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<v Speaker 4>They have been since that bomber time. About two or

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<v Speaker 4>three days later they appear to have started on an

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<v Speaker 4>air campaign, meaning instead of coming up with some big

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<v Speaker 4>shock and all kinds of deal as retaliation for this.

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<v Speaker 4>They just said, we're gonna escalate our normal routine and

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<v Speaker 4>we're gonna saturate you with bombs. And it is being

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<v Speaker 4>devastating because there's just way too many bombs, drones and

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<v Speaker 4>missiles that Ukraine simply doesn't have the air power to

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<v Speaker 4>knock down, so it is starting to really cripple them.

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<v Speaker 4>And then, as you said, all that is having impact

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<v Speaker 4>on the front line because Russia is accelerating its conquest

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<v Speaker 4>of territory in the Sumi area in the north and

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<v Speaker 4>a couple of areas in the eastern flank. And there's

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<v Speaker 4>nothing that I can see that's gonna reverse any of

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<v Speaker 4>those trends well.

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<v Speaker 1>And of course, every time you read an article about this,

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<v Speaker 1>you know Ukraine desperately needs additional Western aid, but that

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<v Speaker 1>would only be in the form of military hardware. You

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<v Speaker 1>gotta have somebody behind the wheel of a tank, you

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<v Speaker 1>gotta have somebody operating the hardware. They're running out of people.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, again a continuing theme of our regular discussions, Daniel,

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<v Speaker 1>but nobody's volunteering troops. I don't want to see NATO

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<v Speaker 1>volunteering troops because this will escalate the situation to a

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<v Speaker 1>World War three event. And I know that the leaders

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<v Speaker 1>in the Western European countries appreciate that, and I think

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<v Speaker 1>that's why they haven't stepped up and send some of

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<v Speaker 1>their own guys to the front line. So this war

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<v Speaker 1>of attrition looks like Russia's on the winning side of it.

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<v Speaker 1>So are they just going to capitulate and roll over?

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<v Speaker 1>Are they going to concede the Russia's demands to you know,

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<v Speaker 1>disarm or denazify. I don't know how you do that.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a political ideology. If they're Nazis in Ukraine, I

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<v Speaker 1>don't know how you get them to stop being Nazis.

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<v Speaker 1>But whatever, they're gonna have to concede these demands, are

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<v Speaker 1>they not?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, and listen, I think that at the Istanbul meetings

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<v Speaker 4>a week ago Monday, Russia made very clear its statements.

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<v Speaker 4>You've had dimitrium ADVEDIV in the last forty eight hours.

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<v Speaker 4>I think clarify further, and that is they are going

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<v Speaker 4>to military victory.

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<v Speaker 3>The twelve point piece plan, so called it.

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<v Speaker 4>Russia gave the memorandum that each side was supposed to

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<v Speaker 4>exchange Russia was basically terms of surrender. I mean, you

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<v Speaker 4>can't look at it and see it any other way

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<v Speaker 4>because basically you have to do everything that we say,

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<v Speaker 4>and it is an egregious list. And then Dimet Medvedev said,

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<v Speaker 4>we are going to continue going on, probably all the

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<v Speaker 4>way to the Nepper River.

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<v Speaker 3>Others have added in there from Russian sources, so they.

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<v Speaker 4>Are marching forward and they have no intent to stop

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<v Speaker 4>because they don't think that there's a partner they can

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<v Speaker 4>deal with and negotiate with.

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<v Speaker 3>Because I got to be honest with it.

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<v Speaker 4>Even though I know most of your listeners really like

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<v Speaker 4>the Ukraine side and don't like Russia, the fact is

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<v Speaker 4>there were many political and diplomatic off ramps that either

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<v Speaker 4>Zelenski or Biden, or really even the current leaderships, they

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<v Speaker 4>have not yet taken. And things continue to go forward,

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<v Speaker 4>and then Russia says, then the only thing left to

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<v Speaker 4>us is to fight until we win on the battlefield,

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<v Speaker 4>and that may take six months, nine months, a year,

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<v Speaker 4>I don't know. But Russia is prepared if it takes

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<v Speaker 4>even longer than that, and they're resourced for it and

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<v Speaker 4>they can do it. But I'll just add that I

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<v Speaker 4>don't think the Ukraine army can survive that long, to

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<v Speaker 4>your point, because they're already now starting to say they're

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<v Speaker 4>going to forcibly mobilize eighteen year olds in the very

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<v Speaker 4>soon and according to like Ben Hodges, your former US general,

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<v Speaker 4>he thinks they should start taking women as well, anything

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<v Speaker 4>to just keep the fight going, which I consider to

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<v Speaker 4>be immoral because there is no possibility that they can

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<v Speaker 4>win and all they're doing is sacrifice in another generation

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<v Speaker 4>of Ukrainians.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, and what would the situation look like for my

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<v Speaker 1>friend my listeners aren't familiar with the geography all the

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<v Speaker 1>way that river. Does that mean Russia is going to

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<v Speaker 1>be an occupying force in areas where it does not

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<v Speaker 1>have predominantly pro Russian communities like Crimea? We've talked about

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<v Speaker 1>that a lot. They started there because most of the

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<v Speaker 1>people there were sympathetic with Russia and would have rather

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<v Speaker 1>been in the Russian umbrella than the Ukrainian umbrella. So

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<v Speaker 1>is this just regions like that or are they going

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<v Speaker 1>to keep pushing and pushing and then have to be

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<v Speaker 1>an occupying force with hostile hostile people around them constantly,

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<v Speaker 1>sort of like that guerrilla warfare concept you and I

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<v Speaker 1>have talked about before.

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<v Speaker 4>My reading of the situation and of the demographics inside

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<v Speaker 4>of Ukraine says that Russia is probably going to annex

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<v Speaker 4>and seas not just occupied, but annex into the Russian

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<v Speaker 4>Federation all the regions that.

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<v Speaker 3>Have predominantly Russian personnel.

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<v Speaker 4>That are living there right now, and that means on

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<v Speaker 4>the other side of the current line of contact, there's

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<v Speaker 4>quite a number of other provinces that have a majority

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<v Speaker 4>or substantial percentage of Russian speakers, and I think that

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<v Speaker 4>they're going to continue to go until they capture all

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<v Speaker 4>of those, and that means past the Danepa River in

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<v Speaker 4>some places like in the Odessa area, and I just

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<v Speaker 4>don't see anyway we can stop them, we meaning the

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<v Speaker 4>West at large, Ukraine, Europe, et cetera, unless we do

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<v Speaker 4>as you said and enter the fight, and of course

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<v Speaker 4>in that catastrophe that we should never ever do, and

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<v Speaker 4>because we almost certainly won't do that, that's in the cars.

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<v Speaker 4>There's just nowhere else for this to go, but in

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<v Speaker 4>an ugly end for Ukraine.

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<v Speaker 1>So the map is going to be redrawn ultimately, that's

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<v Speaker 1>really what we're talking about here. It's going to be

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<v Speaker 1>a completely different looking country. And I think I guess

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<v Speaker 1>the rename part of Ukraine when they take it over,

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<v Speaker 1>like they did with the Eastern countries after World War Two.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, and you know it will be the case to

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<v Speaker 4>where Russia will put out its maps whatever, and nobody

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<v Speaker 4>in the West will acknowledge it that the maps in

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<v Speaker 4>the West will continue to show Ukraine and they'll just

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<v Speaker 4>say occupied territory whatever.

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<v Speaker 3>So everyone will go on with fiction whatever they prefer.

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<v Speaker 4>But the hard facts on the ground is Russia is

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<v Speaker 4>almost certainly going to own it.

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<v Speaker 1>How long do you think this is gonna take? Because

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<v Speaker 1>this bloodbath, it's it's a crime against humanity. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>people are just like lambs to the slaughter in this conflict.

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<v Speaker 1>Right now, the way things are unfolding, I just saw

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<v Speaker 1>that they have one thing that they have agreed on

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<v Speaker 1>is exchanging the dead and seriously wounded, and there are

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<v Speaker 1>thousands and thousands of those exchanges going on. Just one

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<v Speaker 1>little illustration of how horrific this has been in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of loss of life.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, they kind of agree to it, but they haven't

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<v Speaker 3>actually done it.

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<v Speaker 4>And in fact, so far the Ukraine side categorically said yeah,

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<v Speaker 4>we would do that, but then Russia moved a bunch

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<v Speaker 4>of these, like huge eighteen wheeler refrigeration trucks filled with

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<v Speaker 4>six thousand Ukrainian bodies, and the Ukraine side is not

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<v Speaker 4>willing to take them now, they claim because they don't

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<v Speaker 4>know who they are. They claim that only fifteen percent

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<v Speaker 4>we can identify, and they like it could just be

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<v Speaker 4>Russian guys or something, so they're not taking them. There's

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<v Speaker 4>a different interpretation it could be because that will now

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<v Speaker 4>take those soldiers from being missing an action to confirmed killed.

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<v Speaker 4>And now then they have to pay you know, the

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<v Speaker 4>severance and not severance. I'm sorry that the money to

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<v Speaker 4>the soldiers for being killed in contact, just like we do.

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<v Speaker 4>And according to most calculations that somewhere around two billion dollars.

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<v Speaker 4>Ukraine doesn't have two billion dollars, so they can't pay them.

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<v Speaker 4>Then that's going to make angry relatives, so they're trying

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<v Speaker 4>to avoid taking care of that.

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<v Speaker 3>Now.

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<v Speaker 4>One final thing, I know, we're running short on time.

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<v Speaker 4>This morning, it was announced or actually last night revealed

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<v Speaker 4>rather by Budano of the leader for the Security Services

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<v Speaker 4>in Ukraine that Ukraine Russia is now getting help from

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<v Speaker 4>North Korea on the production of the guarantee. The twos

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<v Speaker 4>or threes the most modern long range drone that Russia has,

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<v Speaker 4>And now then they're producing around two thousand total, two

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<v Speaker 4>thousand per month, and with this new capability it could

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<v Speaker 4>expand to five thousand per month. And this is the

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<v Speaker 4>top of the line stuff that's causing most of the

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<v Speaker 4>damage right now. So everywhere you look, it's just going

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<v Speaker 4>downhill for the Ukraine side.

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<v Speaker 1>So and I understand the reasons for the demand for

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<v Speaker 1>those weapons. I guess I'm kind of wondering North Korea's

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<v Speaker 1>what do they have in this game that they'd be

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<v Speaker 1>so willing to assist Russia. I guess it's just the

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<v Speaker 1>creation of jobs for the North Koreans and the forms

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<v Speaker 1>of weapons production and making money off the purchase.

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<v Speaker 3>Of so part of it.

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<v Speaker 4>The other part is they want they are getting some

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<v Speaker 4>very valuable scientific help from the Russian side.

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<v Speaker 3>They were getting help there.

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<v Speaker 4>I think it's the Huassong eleven kN twenty three we

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<v Speaker 4>call the missile. They gave some of those to Russia

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<v Speaker 4>early on, and apparently they were wildly inaccurate. Well, Russian

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<v Speaker 4>scientists have now gone to help them repross or re

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<v Speaker 4>calibrate that and reprogramming and now then all of a sudden,

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<v Speaker 4>they're very very effective, so that technology is going to

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<v Speaker 4>Ukraine to right North Korea as well. And then there's

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<v Speaker 4>also they get combat experience, so this increases the capacity

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<v Speaker 4>of North Korea, which worries South Korea.

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<v Speaker 1>I guess it would Daniel Davis. Find them online Daniel

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<v Speaker 1>Davis Deep Dive check out the podcast. I always enjoy

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<v Speaker 1>our conversations. Man is as sad and and and and

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<v Speaker 1>disheartening as sometimes they are. At least you're speaking truth

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<v Speaker 1>and reality about the whole thing. That's all we can do.

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<v Speaker 1>Appreciate it your time today, as always, Daniel, look forward

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<v Speaker 1>to look forward to next Tuesday.

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<v Speaker 3>As always, see you next week.

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<v Speaker 1>Have a great week coming up at eight forty fifty

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<v Speaker 1>five KRC, the talk station stick around folks, get a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit to talk about. Feel free to call me

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<v Speaker 1>if you have a comment.

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<v Speaker 3>I'll be right back. This is fifty five KARC and

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<v Speaker 3>iHeartRadio station. Big news for drivers