1
00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:06,679
Speaker 1: We've got four college football playoff quarterfinal matchups to break

2
00:00:06,719 --> 00:00:09,599
down today. Do not bet any of them before you

3
00:00:09,759 --> 00:00:13,039
watch this show. Welcome everyone to the Blitz Live here

4
00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:15,080
on the way to talk to YouTube channel. We're talking

5
00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:18,160
Miami Florida versus Ohio State and the Cotton Bowl, Oregon

6
00:00:18,239 --> 00:00:21,280
versus Texas Tech and the Orange Bowl, Alabama Versindiana and

7
00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:23,399
the Rose Bowl, and Ole Miss versus Georgia in the

8
00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:26,480
Sugar Bowl, plus any other games you want to talk

9
00:00:26,480 --> 00:00:28,960
about between now and Friday in the bowls. If you're

10
00:00:29,000 --> 00:00:31,719
watching us live, feel free to drop those questions in

11
00:00:32,039 --> 00:00:34,759
at any time. I am, of course, Brian Power, joined

12
00:00:35,200 --> 00:00:37,679
this week by the usual crew of Ross the Boss,

13
00:00:37,679 --> 00:00:40,719
Benjamin and Ralph Michaels. Ralph, great to have you back

14
00:00:40,759 --> 00:00:43,799
this week. Ross, I am going to go to you first. However,

15
00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:46,520
Miami Florida taking on Ohio State New Year's Eve, seven

16
00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:50,000
thirty pm Eastern on ESPN at eight and T Stadium

17
00:00:50,000 --> 00:00:54,240
in Arlington, Texas largest point spread of the four quarter

18
00:00:54,280 --> 00:00:58,000
final matchups and also the lowest total of the four

19
00:00:58,079 --> 00:01:00,560
quarter final matchups. So how are you breaking this one down?

20
00:01:00,560 --> 00:01:00,880
Speaker 2: My friend?

21
00:01:02,159 --> 00:01:05,920
Speaker 3: Well, you got two great defenses, right, Ohio State only

22
00:01:05,959 --> 00:01:09,640
allowing eight point two points per game and two hundred

23
00:01:09,640 --> 00:01:13,719
and thirteen yards per contests. Miami. I just think that

24
00:01:13,840 --> 00:01:17,560
they fly under the radar a bit, and they prove

25
00:01:17,599 --> 00:01:21,680
their worth at College in College Station last week and

26
00:01:21,719 --> 00:01:24,239
at winover Texas A, and I'm holding the egg Used

27
00:01:24,280 --> 00:01:27,719
to just three points on their home field. This is

28
00:01:27,719 --> 00:01:30,120
a Miami team that comes in red hot as well,

29
00:01:30,239 --> 00:01:33,040
five and zero in their last five in thurs this

30
00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:36,519
five game win streak, they're only allowing eight point eight

31
00:01:36,519 --> 00:01:40,680
points per contests, So this is Ohio State has.

32
00:01:40,519 --> 00:01:43,799
Speaker 2: Allowed sixteen or fewer in all thirteen games this year.

33
00:01:44,760 --> 00:01:51,120
Speaker 3: They're allowing an incredible just three point nine yards per play.

34
00:01:51,799 --> 00:01:53,280
Speaker 2: That's just unheard of.

35
00:01:53,959 --> 00:01:57,239
Speaker 3: And both of these teams are excellent in terms of

36
00:01:57,439 --> 00:02:03,000
stopping opponents on the third down, with Ohio State holding

37
00:02:03,040 --> 00:02:06,640
opponents to a twenty eight percent conversion rate in Miami

38
00:02:06,680 --> 00:02:09,560
at thirty one percent. I just think, I know the

39
00:02:09,599 --> 00:02:13,199
total is low, but it's low for a reason, and

40
00:02:13,520 --> 00:02:15,759
it opened to have forty two down to forty and

41
00:02:15,800 --> 00:02:18,599
a half forty one and a half break in that area.

42
00:02:19,280 --> 00:02:23,400
I'm going to go under the total with this one here, all.

43
00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:24,879
Speaker 2: Right, you know what?

44
00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:25,520
Speaker 4: I con cur you.

45
00:02:25,599 --> 00:02:27,400
Speaker 1: I'm going to be doing a full game preview of

46
00:02:27,439 --> 00:02:30,439
this matchup tomorrow on wager Talk Today with Andy Laying

47
00:02:30,479 --> 00:02:33,639
and Dan Alexander and just a little tease like Ross

48
00:02:33,719 --> 00:02:35,800
laid out, I expect this to be a low scoring affair,

49
00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:37,439
particularly early on.

50
00:02:37,840 --> 00:02:38,159
Speaker 2: Guys.

51
00:02:38,159 --> 00:02:41,800
Speaker 1: This is a fascinating stat that I found when breaking

52
00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:44,960
the matchdown. These two teams, Ohio State Miami are number

53
00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:49,080
one and number two in points allowed in the first half.

54
00:02:49,520 --> 00:02:51,960
Ohio State allows just three point nine points per game

55
00:02:51,960 --> 00:02:54,479
in the first half, Miami right behind it just four

56
00:02:54,560 --> 00:02:57,360
point five points per game in the first half. Of course,

57
00:02:57,759 --> 00:03:00,280
I did cash the first half under in Miami first

58
00:03:00,319 --> 00:03:02,919
round matchup with Texas A and m did not get

59
00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:04,879
any easy. It doesn't get an easier than that, literally,

60
00:03:04,919 --> 00:03:07,120
it can't. It was zero zero tie going into the

61
00:03:07,159 --> 00:03:09,080
break and also had the Canes outright in that game.

62
00:03:09,639 --> 00:03:12,479
I don't think Miami Ross is going to have a

63
00:03:12,479 --> 00:03:16,120
ton of success offensively in this game. You laid out

64
00:03:16,120 --> 00:03:19,280
some of the stats. This outstanding Ohio State defense quarterback

65
00:03:19,319 --> 00:03:21,719
Carson Beck for Miami. I don't think this guy's just

66
00:03:22,000 --> 00:03:26,120
that good against an m The only real success Miami

67
00:03:26,199 --> 00:03:29,599
had offensively was finding some creative ways to get the

68
00:03:29,599 --> 00:03:31,840
ball in the hands of melch Hi Tony. I think

69
00:03:31,879 --> 00:03:34,159
the Ohio State defense, with some extra time to prepare,

70
00:03:34,319 --> 00:03:37,120
is going to be prepared for that. On the flip side,

71
00:03:37,199 --> 00:03:39,919
if there is a concern for Ohio State in this game, guys,

72
00:03:40,000 --> 00:03:42,840
it's the right side of the offensive line going against

73
00:03:42,879 --> 00:03:45,800
a tremendous Miami pass rush. As we saw in that

74
00:03:45,800 --> 00:03:47,840
first round game against an m that Ross just mentioned

75
00:03:47,879 --> 00:03:51,400
a moment ago. This Miami defense is just elite with

76
00:03:51,520 --> 00:03:54,120
Keyante Scott on the field. I'm no NFL draft expert,

77
00:03:54,159 --> 00:03:56,840
but Scott seems like a guy who will play well

78
00:03:56,919 --> 00:03:59,159
on Sunday, So I too would lean the under here,

79
00:03:59,639 --> 00:04:03,360
possibly the first half under for the reason I laid

80
00:04:03,360 --> 00:04:06,639
out these teams again number one and number two in

81
00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:10,360
points per game allowed in the first half nationally. Ralph,

82
00:04:10,439 --> 00:04:11,960
I know you've got a big play on this game.

83
00:04:12,199 --> 00:04:13,800
I'll actually give you the floor right now if you

84
00:04:13,840 --> 00:04:17,120
just want to tell the people about it that you

85
00:04:17,160 --> 00:04:18,920
know you've got to. So I'm going to go to

86
00:04:18,959 --> 00:04:22,399
you next for Oregon Texas Tech. But if you wanted

87
00:04:22,439 --> 00:04:24,720
to take this time to talk about the game, you

88
00:04:24,759 --> 00:04:25,040
know what.

89
00:04:25,000 --> 00:04:29,000
Speaker 5: Brian, I will mention you talked about the defenses. If

90
00:04:29,040 --> 00:04:32,000
you look at the Ohio State and Miami defenses for

91
00:04:32,040 --> 00:04:36,879
this year, it is likely that between the two defenses,

92
00:04:36,959 --> 00:04:40,680
we are going to have six first round players drafted

93
00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:45,720
and twenty defensive players total drafted between these two teams

94
00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:48,959
in this upcoming draft. That shows you just how talented

95
00:04:48,959 --> 00:04:50,920
they are. You know, I do have a big five

96
00:04:50,959 --> 00:04:54,040
percent on this play AT's thirty five dollars. I do

97
00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:57,639
want to mention my bowals number one last year twelve

98
00:04:57,639 --> 00:05:00,839
and three. This year, my bulls a seven and two

99
00:05:01,000 --> 00:05:04,920
run that is a nineteen and five combination, seventy nine

100
00:05:04,959 --> 00:05:08,040
percent my NFL thirteen and six. And I want to

101
00:05:08,040 --> 00:05:11,560
mention this. If you're viewing live or you watch this tomorrow.

102
00:05:12,120 --> 00:05:16,279
Exmus twenty five is still valid for any purchase any

103
00:05:16,399 --> 00:05:21,040
Kapper any package through New Year's Eve. Try college football

104
00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:24,600
in the NFL normal price two nineteen with XMUS twenty

105
00:05:24,639 --> 00:05:27,319
five just one hundred and sixty nine dollars.

106
00:05:27,480 --> 00:05:28,680
Speaker 4: And I do want to mention this.

107
00:05:28,839 --> 00:05:32,560
Speaker 5: I was shocked Ohio State beat Oregon in the Cotton Bowl.

108
00:05:32,600 --> 00:05:34,439
I was there with my son, one of my best

109
00:05:34,439 --> 00:05:37,879
memories with him on the field as a photographer. This year,

110
00:05:38,319 --> 00:05:41,040
this game is going for thirty one dollars. These Buckeye

111
00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:43,319
fans are not showing up like they did last year.

112
00:05:43,480 --> 00:05:47,399
Why because they're saving their money for the next two rounds.

113
00:05:47,720 --> 00:05:51,759
The Orange Bowl New Year's Day average ticket forty six dollars.

114
00:05:52,000 --> 00:05:55,319
Keep his ticket forty six dollars. The Rose Bowl, Indiana

115
00:05:55,480 --> 00:06:00,839
very excited with Bama ninety eight dollars. Sec Cunt Georgia

116
00:06:01,240 --> 00:06:03,680
in the Sugar Dome, keep his ticket to get in

117
00:06:03,720 --> 00:06:06,120
one hundred and ninety dollars. So it shows you the

118
00:06:06,199 --> 00:06:09,800
level of excitement for these arenas where they are relative

119
00:06:09,879 --> 00:06:10,720
to the team's playing.

120
00:06:11,519 --> 00:06:16,959
Speaker 1: All right, so speaking of Miami of Florida, let's talk

121
00:06:16,959 --> 00:06:21,639
about the Orange Bowl noon eastern New Year's Day. Time

122
00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:24,160
to shake off that hangover everybody because it is our

123
00:06:24,160 --> 00:06:29,600
second quarterfinal. Oregon and Texas Tech. Interestingly, and I'm eager

124
00:06:29,680 --> 00:06:32,000
here if you guys agree or disagree with this assessment

125
00:06:32,079 --> 00:06:35,040
my power rate say the wrong team is favorite here.

126
00:06:35,120 --> 00:06:37,360
Oregon has taken a bit of money. They're up to

127
00:06:37,360 --> 00:06:39,279
minus two and a half. I have Texas Tech, ever

128
00:06:39,360 --> 00:06:41,680
so slightly rated as the better team. I know it

129
00:06:41,720 --> 00:06:43,920
was a really bad beat for Oregon, betters in the

130
00:06:43,959 --> 00:06:45,959
first round, the Ducks probably deserved to cover that twenty

131
00:06:45,959 --> 00:06:48,680
one point number against James Madison. That is the classic

132
00:06:48,759 --> 00:06:52,879
backdoor situation. Oregon had its way offensively early. But Texas

133
00:06:52,920 --> 00:06:55,879
Tech defense is for real, guys, And just like the

134
00:06:55,879 --> 00:06:58,959
first game that we talked about Ohio State and Miami,

135
00:06:59,399 --> 00:07:02,000
I think this is going to be lower scoring than expected.

136
00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:05,040
I just can't decide whether I'd rather bet first half

137
00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:07,920
or full game under. So Ralph, I'll go to you

138
00:07:07,959 --> 00:07:09,759
because I know your best bet for the show is

139
00:07:09,839 --> 00:07:12,160
actually on this game, So you can lay that out

140
00:07:12,240 --> 00:07:14,160
right now for everybody it is.

141
00:07:14,279 --> 00:07:16,680
Speaker 5: Let me just start with my best bet for the

142
00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:22,399
show is this game first half under the total. Now,

143
00:07:23,879 --> 00:07:27,920
it's tough to quantify defenses when you're playing such weird schedules,

144
00:07:28,199 --> 00:07:30,319
but if you look at what a team does compared

145
00:07:30,319 --> 00:07:33,319
to what their opponents averaged on the year, it gives

146
00:07:33,319 --> 00:07:35,879
you a very good assessment of the team. Well, this

147
00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:40,600
Texas Tech defense is number three in the country. They're

148
00:07:40,639 --> 00:07:43,399
holding their opponents to one hundred and twenty four yards

149
00:07:43,439 --> 00:07:46,600
per game under what they've averaged the rest of the season.

150
00:07:47,120 --> 00:07:50,639
By the way, they have held eight opponents to either

151
00:07:50,680 --> 00:07:55,639
a season though, or a season number two low. We

152
00:07:55,759 --> 00:07:59,199
always talk about the Oregon offense. We know they're electric.

153
00:07:59,519 --> 00:08:02,720
In fact, they're the most efficient offense in the country.

154
00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:05,199
They're number one in the country, averaging one hundred and

155
00:08:05,279 --> 00:08:08,519
forty two yards per game more than their opponents average.

156
00:08:08,560 --> 00:08:10,959
But we don't talk about their defense enough. They are

157
00:08:11,079 --> 00:08:14,560
top ten holding their opponents under their average. They are

158
00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:18,839
actually number nine in the country. Now I actually have

159
00:08:19,000 --> 00:08:24,199
Oregon power rated one point better because of this Oregon

160
00:08:24,319 --> 00:08:29,560
statistically dominant guys. They played the number seventeen schedule and

161
00:08:29,600 --> 00:08:33,000
they're number one in the country at plus two point

162
00:08:33,080 --> 00:08:37,120
nine yards per play. So remember that Oregon the number

163
00:08:37,159 --> 00:08:43,759
seventeen schedule. Texas Tech has played the sixty seventh schedule.

164
00:08:44,080 --> 00:08:47,159
That is incredible to have a playoff team play that

165
00:08:47,360 --> 00:08:50,240
week of a schedule, and they were only number five

166
00:08:50,639 --> 00:08:54,720
in yards per play diff. But the real reason these

167
00:08:54,799 --> 00:09:00,360
defenses and explosive plays. Texas Tech is number one eleven

168
00:09:00,759 --> 00:09:03,600
allowing plays of ten yards or more. They've allowed the

169
00:09:03,639 --> 00:09:08,080
eleventh fewest and versus plays twenty or more, they are

170
00:09:08,200 --> 00:09:12,559
number five in the country. You look at Oregon, they're

171
00:09:12,679 --> 00:09:17,480
explosive plays on defense. They have been dominated as well.

172
00:09:17,919 --> 00:09:22,519
They are actually number four in ten yard in plays

173
00:09:22,600 --> 00:09:26,639
ten yards or higher and number three in plays twenty

174
00:09:27,080 --> 00:09:30,600
yards or higher. We're going to have a big feeling

175
00:09:30,639 --> 00:09:35,000
out party here. It's early game. Remember Oregon's going to

176
00:09:35,039 --> 00:09:38,759
be starting this game at nine am local timer. At

177
00:09:38,840 --> 00:09:41,360
or ten am I may be heading. I'm about an

178
00:09:41,360 --> 00:09:43,559
hour and fifteen minutes outside of Miami. It's going to

179
00:09:43,600 --> 00:09:45,639
be a beautiful day here. I'm going to go take

180
00:09:45,679 --> 00:09:49,200
this game and enjoy a New Year's day of football.

181
00:09:49,639 --> 00:09:53,360
But I do think that remember Texas Tech has not

182
00:09:53,480 --> 00:09:57,399
been there. Oregon has been there and done that. Yes,

183
00:09:57,639 --> 00:10:00,919
last year again the Rose Bowl, the play Ohio State.

184
00:10:01,000 --> 00:10:03,480
They struggled early. They only had one hundred and thirty

185
00:10:03,519 --> 00:10:06,399
nine yards and eight points in the first quarter. They

186
00:10:06,480 --> 00:10:09,320
ended up bringing that over Texas Tech, brand new to

187
00:10:09,360 --> 00:10:13,120
the playoff situation. I think both teams are gonna run lot,

188
00:10:13,519 --> 00:10:15,000
run often run early.

189
00:10:15,279 --> 00:10:16,960
Speaker 4: I do like the first half under here.

190
00:10:17,279 --> 00:10:21,000
Speaker 1: Okay, so question answered there from Ralph. His best bet

191
00:10:21,279 --> 00:10:23,279
is for the show was on the first half under

192
00:10:23,320 --> 00:10:26,679
here in the Orange Bowl. What do you think, Ross,

193
00:10:27,399 --> 00:10:29,000
You also think it's gonna be a low scoring game.

194
00:10:29,279 --> 00:10:32,639
By the way, Ralph brings up made a point about

195
00:10:32,639 --> 00:10:35,480
Oregon being here before. I just let's note this right now.

196
00:10:35,519 --> 00:10:36,840
I think it's a good time to throw this in.

197
00:10:37,080 --> 00:10:39,679
Last year, as you guys both remember, and I'm sure

198
00:10:39,720 --> 00:10:42,639
most of you watching remember, all four teams that received

199
00:10:42,639 --> 00:10:47,080
a buy into the quarterfinal round lost their first game. Now,

200
00:10:47,120 --> 00:10:49,320
of course, the playoff format has been retooled this year.

201
00:10:49,480 --> 00:10:51,720
Instead of the four top conference champions, it's the four

202
00:10:51,879 --> 00:10:56,000
just highest rated teams, so perhaps a little different. But Oregon,

203
00:10:56,080 --> 00:10:58,840
of course was one of those four teams that gotta

204
00:10:58,840 --> 00:11:02,360
buy ross and lost in the quarterfiles. They ran into

205
00:11:02,399 --> 00:11:06,759
the eventual national champion Ohio State buck Eyes. So I

206
00:11:06,759 --> 00:11:08,080
know you think this is gonna be a great game.

207
00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:09,759
Tell me what you're thinking about this.

208
00:11:09,840 --> 00:11:10,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's the best.

209
00:11:11,159 --> 00:11:13,000
Speaker 3: I think it's going to be the best game of

210
00:11:13,039 --> 00:11:17,720
the four quarterfinal matchups. And my best bet in this

211
00:11:17,840 --> 00:11:20,840
game is since I've found out that Ralph is going

212
00:11:20,919 --> 00:11:25,679
to be attending this matchup is according to Dan Alexander,

213
00:11:25,759 --> 00:11:31,799
our producer, the total on Ralph's drinking beers is under

214
00:11:32,679 --> 00:11:36,279
twenty nine and a half over under twenty nine and

215
00:11:36,320 --> 00:11:36,879
a half.

216
00:11:36,759 --> 00:11:40,039
Speaker 2: Miller of lights. I'm going over to total with that, But.

217
00:11:40,360 --> 00:11:42,799
Speaker 5: Those are twelve ounce cans, right, so if I'm drinking

218
00:11:42,799 --> 00:11:45,519
twenty four ouncers, that counts as two correct.

219
00:11:45,600 --> 00:11:51,120
Speaker 2: Yes, that yeah, you know I don't want to lp,

220
00:11:51,600 --> 00:11:51,879
you know.

221
00:11:52,120 --> 00:11:56,039
Speaker 3: So anyway, Ralph Ralph drinks like beer to save calories.

222
00:11:56,080 --> 00:11:58,559
But you know he drinks twenty nine of them. It's

223
00:11:58,639 --> 00:12:01,480
just like me heavy two thinks and saying I'm not

224
00:12:01,519 --> 00:12:05,879
going to eat the next day. Anyway, let's get to

225
00:12:06,679 --> 00:12:09,399
let's get to the specific sit a game. Ill kidding

226
00:12:09,440 --> 00:12:13,879
a side. Guys. Look, I really like this Texas Tech team,

227
00:12:14,320 --> 00:12:17,120
and I think they're not getting enough respect.

228
00:12:17,679 --> 00:12:18,240
Speaker 2: I know that.

229
00:12:19,960 --> 00:12:24,919
Speaker 3: On paper, Oregon has played the tougher schedule, but you know,

230
00:12:25,120 --> 00:12:29,919
defense doesn't lie in this Texas Tech defense. Oregon's defense

231
00:12:30,039 --> 00:12:35,559
is really good too. However, Okay, let's not forget last

232
00:12:35,600 --> 00:12:39,399
week in their win over Or in the first round.

233
00:12:39,399 --> 00:12:42,120
I should say, in their win over James Madison, they

234
00:12:42,120 --> 00:12:45,440
allowed thirty four points in over five hundred yards of

235
00:12:45,480 --> 00:12:49,240
total offense to JMU. Now, they might have played softer

236
00:12:49,399 --> 00:12:53,399
in the second half with it big lead they had,

237
00:12:53,399 --> 00:12:58,159
but still that to me is alarming because Texas Tech

238
00:12:59,360 --> 00:13:02,600
not only are they great defensively, but they could score.

239
00:13:02,879 --> 00:13:04,600
Speaker 2: This is a team that's.

240
00:13:04,960 --> 00:13:08,600
Speaker 3: Scored thirty points or more in each of their last

241
00:13:09,559 --> 00:13:14,159
seven games, and the Texas Tech defense is I think

242
00:13:14,240 --> 00:13:15,960
the key here Number one.

243
00:13:16,039 --> 00:13:17,679
Speaker 2: I look for little advantages.

244
00:13:17,799 --> 00:13:23,360
Speaker 3: Okay, in even matchups such as these. Texas Tech has

245
00:13:23,399 --> 00:13:31,320
forced seventeen turnovers. Seventeen turnover turnovers.

246
00:13:29,840 --> 00:13:35,360
Speaker 2: Over their last I believe. Let me see here, Texas Tech.

247
00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:43,679
Speaker 3: Yeah, over their last six games, they forced seventeen turnovers,

248
00:13:44,519 --> 00:13:48,320
while Oregon is forced only seventeen turnovers all season.

249
00:13:49,279 --> 00:13:52,720
Speaker 2: So you know that. To me, it's a telling sign

250
00:13:52,799 --> 00:13:55,039
to keep an eye on Texas Tech.

251
00:13:55,080 --> 00:13:57,519
Speaker 3: I like to win the turnover battle, and as we got,

252
00:13:57,639 --> 00:14:01,960
as we know as handicappers or just as in general

253
00:14:01,960 --> 00:14:06,559
as football fans, usually the team that wins the turnover battle,

254
00:14:06,840 --> 00:14:10,600
especially in an even matchup such as this, comes out

255
00:14:10,600 --> 00:14:14,759
on top. And all twelve of Texas Tech wins this

256
00:14:14,840 --> 00:14:18,639
year if come by twenty two points or more. So

257
00:14:19,039 --> 00:14:22,480
I have a small lean here at this point. I

258
00:14:22,559 --> 00:14:25,279
may make this a bigger lean on the premium side

259
00:14:26,080 --> 00:14:29,720
with Texas Tech, and I agree, Brian, I think the

260
00:14:29,799 --> 00:14:34,559
wrong team is favored, and I very rarely say that

261
00:14:34,639 --> 00:14:37,320
because I have the ultimate respect for the odds makers.

262
00:14:37,840 --> 00:14:39,480
Speaker 2: But this is one of those cases.

263
00:14:40,000 --> 00:14:41,440
Speaker 4: I think you're spot on.

264
00:14:41,559 --> 00:14:42,480
Speaker 2: Let's put it that way.

265
00:14:42,679 --> 00:14:45,600
Speaker 1: Well, I appreciate that. You know, Ross brings up the

266
00:14:45,600 --> 00:14:48,840
point about the turnovers back, and let's stick with that

267
00:14:48,919 --> 00:14:51,600
here because that could play in Ralph to what we're saying.

268
00:14:51,600 --> 00:14:54,519
You know, turnovers obviously if they're if you know, Oregon's

269
00:14:54,559 --> 00:14:57,200
driving the ball and then Texas Tech en force turnover, hey,

270
00:14:57,519 --> 00:15:00,000
that could be beneficial to an under. On the flip,

271
00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:02,360
I'll throw one more thing in, one more statafic because

272
00:15:02,639 --> 00:15:05,240
Texas Tech. If there was one weakness with this Texas

273
00:15:05,279 --> 00:15:09,919
Tech team, they were not particularly efficient in the red zone.

274
00:15:10,279 --> 00:15:12,080
Should they settled for field goals a lot. We saw

275
00:15:12,120 --> 00:15:14,519
that in that first BYU game. I don't know if

276
00:15:14,519 --> 00:15:17,399
you guys remember the regular season game against BYU where

277
00:15:17,399 --> 00:15:19,919
they settled for a lot of field goals. So settling

278
00:15:19,960 --> 00:15:24,799
for field goals obviously also beneficial for an under as well.

279
00:15:24,919 --> 00:15:28,720
So there you go, some voats face a low scoring game. Yes,

280
00:15:28,759 --> 00:15:29,320
I want to.

281
00:15:29,279 --> 00:15:31,679
Speaker 3: Share one more thing with the viewers because we were

282
00:15:31,799 --> 00:15:35,519
talking off here and Ralph said, uh, you know, I'm

283
00:15:35,519 --> 00:15:38,279
glad it's a twelve o'clock game because I have trouble

284
00:15:38,799 --> 00:15:45,360
driving at night, so he's going to consume thirty plus beers,

285
00:15:45,559 --> 00:15:46,759
but because.

286
00:15:46,360 --> 00:15:48,440
Speaker 2: He's driving during the day, he's going to be a

287
00:15:48,519 --> 00:15:50,200
lot safer anyway.

288
00:15:50,279 --> 00:15:53,960
Speaker 4: You you don't be saying that I said that. You

289
00:15:54,200 --> 00:15:57,120
the one that said that. No, you said I can't

290
00:15:57,200 --> 00:15:58,000
drive it at night.

291
00:15:58,559 --> 00:16:01,559
Speaker 1: I'm picking Ralph up. That's the story.

292
00:16:03,120 --> 00:16:05,960
Speaker 5: It's just not seating, right, So, Brian, I do have

293
00:16:06,000 --> 00:16:09,120
one thing, okay, sure, Well those people that say money

294
00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:11,440
cannot buy happiness, that's bullshit and lobbick.

295
00:16:12,799 --> 00:16:16,120
Speaker 1: Happiness buys the defensive line.

296
00:16:16,159 --> 00:16:17,399
Speaker 4: If defensive lines.

297
00:16:17,159 --> 00:16:20,519
Speaker 1: Make you happy, then it is bullshit. Yes, because that Yeah,

298
00:16:20,559 --> 00:16:23,320
they paid a lot for that. That's uh. The New

299
00:16:23,399 --> 00:16:25,559
York Jets didn't spend that much on the defensive line

300
00:16:25,559 --> 00:16:27,320
this year, I think, or at least the Raiders didn't,

301
00:16:27,360 --> 00:16:29,639
but maybe both who knows. So yeah, all right, there

302
00:16:29,639 --> 00:16:31,840
we go. That is the order which we may have.

303
00:16:32,120 --> 00:16:34,279
Ralph Michael's president of the game. Look for look for

304
00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:37,120
the ped on the broadcast when you guys are tuning

305
00:16:37,159 --> 00:16:42,240
in doing Eastern there uh on e sp Ad guys,

306
00:16:42,399 --> 00:16:44,759
if you're catching us live, thank you very much for

307
00:16:44,840 --> 00:16:48,159
tuning in. We appreciate that. Don't forget to both smash

308
00:16:48,240 --> 00:16:50,519
that like button that thumbs up below me and the

309
00:16:50,559 --> 00:16:52,320
subscribe button if you already haven't done so, if you're

310
00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:55,039
a regular here on wager talk uh's YouTube channel, you

311
00:16:55,039 --> 00:16:57,200
should have probably already click subscribed. That way you get

312
00:16:57,200 --> 00:17:00,000
instantly alerted when we go live each and every week.

313
00:17:00,080 --> 00:17:03,679
I believe this is not confirmed. They will, I'm sure

314
00:17:03,720 --> 00:17:05,519
speak into my ear by the end of the hour,

315
00:17:05,680 --> 00:17:07,000
but I think we're going to be back in our

316
00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:10,599
normal time slot one pm Thursday next week for the

317
00:17:10,680 --> 00:17:16,079
college football Playoff sem E finals. Ross, I'm gonna let

318
00:17:16,119 --> 00:17:18,240
you have the floor here for a moment to talk

319
00:17:18,279 --> 00:17:20,680
about obviously one of the busiest times of the year,

320
00:17:20,759 --> 00:17:23,880
lots of not just college football, but we've got the

321
00:17:23,920 --> 00:17:26,960
final week of the NFL regular season coming up as well,

322
00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:28,720
So why don't you talk about what you've got going

323
00:17:28,759 --> 00:17:31,079
on in your neck of the woods over at wager

324
00:17:31,319 --> 00:17:33,599
talk dot com before we get to the next two

325
00:17:33,960 --> 00:17:35,079
quarterfinal matchups.

326
00:17:35,119 --> 00:17:39,279
Speaker 3: Well, thank you, Brian. I'm gonna have picks in all

327
00:17:39,720 --> 00:17:44,799
premium picks, that is, in all four college football quarterfinal games.

328
00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:48,319
I will have a five percent best bet as well,

329
00:17:48,599 --> 00:17:51,880
and I've done terrific with my college football five percent

330
00:17:52,000 --> 00:17:55,119
best bets this year. I believe I'm twelve and three

331
00:17:55,519 --> 00:18:00,200
with those picks this season. Also college football postseason and

332
00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:02,799
picks eight and three so far to start the year,

333
00:18:02,839 --> 00:18:04,839
including three and zero in the.

334
00:18:04,839 --> 00:18:06,480
Speaker 2: College football playoffs.

335
00:18:07,039 --> 00:18:10,720
Speaker 3: Nothing new because since twenty twenty two, forty eight and

336
00:18:10,839 --> 00:18:15,359
twenty four with my college football bowl game in playoff picks,

337
00:18:15,359 --> 00:18:20,480
that's sixty seven percent, folks. And again this year in

338
00:18:20,559 --> 00:18:24,960
college football, I'm hitting sixty three percent of my play

339
00:18:25,079 --> 00:18:28,440
since it started the season. That's number one and win

340
00:18:28,559 --> 00:18:33,200
percentage and also a net profit of over sixty one units,

341
00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:38,640
which is number two in units earned. And since twenty

342
00:18:38,759 --> 00:18:41,599
twenty three, I've made one hundred and forty units of

343
00:18:41,720 --> 00:18:44,440
net profit in college football.

344
00:18:44,279 --> 00:18:46,720
Speaker 2: And hit sixty percent of my place.

345
00:18:46,799 --> 00:18:52,640
Speaker 3: That's number one in both win percentage and units earned

346
00:18:52,680 --> 00:18:53,599
over the last.

347
00:18:53,319 --> 00:18:54,880
Speaker 2: Three seasons in college football.

348
00:18:54,920 --> 00:19:01,039
Speaker 3: And right now, NFL heading into Sunday's action on a

349
00:19:01,119 --> 00:19:05,160
twenty four and fourteen run, which is pretty good sixty

350
00:19:05,200 --> 00:19:08,480
three percent, So a lot of good things happening right now.

351
00:19:08,519 --> 00:19:11,960
You got the NFL the NFL playoffs coming up. My

352
00:19:12,079 --> 00:19:15,960
Weekend Warrior packaged last week for those of you who

353
00:19:16,279 --> 00:19:19,799
joined in, Congratulations, We went eight and three and made

354
00:19:19,799 --> 00:19:23,920
over fifteen units, so a lot too. Like You can

355
00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:27,240
go right to my direct link over at wager Talk,

356
00:19:27,279 --> 00:19:33,240
which is WT dot buzz Forward slash rbwt Dot buzz

357
00:19:33,599 --> 00:19:35,359
Forward slash rb.

358
00:19:36,319 --> 00:19:40,359
Speaker 1: All right, lots of like like that Buffalo Sabers.

359
00:19:40,119 --> 00:19:41,359
Speaker 2: How about that shit got it?

360
00:19:41,480 --> 00:19:43,720
Speaker 1: I just I just I just noticed that.

361
00:19:43,759 --> 00:19:46,880
Speaker 2: There you go the baby.

362
00:19:47,519 --> 00:19:49,880
Speaker 5: You want to, you know, for a guy that gives

363
00:19:49,880 --> 00:19:52,000
me crap all show long. I don't know why I'm

364
00:19:52,039 --> 00:19:54,680
trying to help him with his promos, but I'm just

365
00:19:54,759 --> 00:19:59,039
throwing couple five percent records as well. Ross, you're twelve

366
00:19:59,039 --> 00:20:02,160
and four seventy percent your last sixteen to five percent

367
00:20:02,279 --> 00:20:06,559
overall in college football, you're six and one eighty six

368
00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:11,000
percent and twelve and three eighty percent on top rated

369
00:20:11,039 --> 00:20:12,880
five percent college football plays.

370
00:20:13,599 --> 00:20:17,359
Speaker 2: Thank you, Rolf. Just imagine if I treated Gralph could I.

371
00:20:17,359 --> 00:20:18,359
Speaker 1: Know, that'd be unbelievable.

372
00:20:18,480 --> 00:20:22,960
Speaker 5: It wouldn't change one thing, my friend, It wouldn't change

373
00:20:22,960 --> 00:20:23,400
one thing.

374
00:20:23,680 --> 00:20:23,960
Speaker 3: I know.

375
00:20:24,599 --> 00:20:28,559
Speaker 1: All right, we're all friends here, and uh, you know interesting,

376
00:20:28,599 --> 00:20:32,119
you know we talk about you know, the weather could

377
00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:32,720
be a factor.

378
00:20:32,759 --> 00:20:33,079
Speaker 2: I don't know.

379
00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:34,720
Speaker 1: There's really no way to transition to this, so let's

380
00:20:34,759 --> 00:20:36,480
just get in. Weather could be a factor at the

381
00:20:36,559 --> 00:20:40,559
Rose Bowl. Guys, have you seen these reports? It's you know,

382
00:20:40,799 --> 00:20:44,160
usually I'm settling in, I'm, you know, kind of still

383
00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:46,480
shaking off New Year's Eve, a little bit of the

384
00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:48,920
bubbly when I'm watching the Rose Ball on the couch,

385
00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:51,920
and uh, it's just a beautiful scene to look at

386
00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:55,559
Pasadena at that game every year. Well, apparently there's the forecast.

387
00:20:55,680 --> 00:20:58,359
Isn't going to be that great on New Year's Day

388
00:20:58,720 --> 00:21:01,519
for Alabama Indiana. I just keep checking that forecast to

389
00:21:01,559 --> 00:21:06,920
see if those reports proved true. But this is probably

390
00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:09,559
the most anticipated matchup of the day. I don't know

391
00:21:09,559 --> 00:21:11,240
if that's fair to say, but I'll say it anyway.

392
00:21:11,240 --> 00:21:14,359
It's for PM Eastern on ESPN, and I'm gonna just

393
00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:15,799
come out and say, I think this is a changing

394
00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:18,559
in the guard game. As far as I'm concerned, I

395
00:21:18,640 --> 00:21:21,039
do not want to bet against Kurt Signetti here at all.

396
00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:26,079
I think you know this is going to be Indiana.

397
00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:27,960
There's been a lot of doubters. This is a team

398
00:21:28,000 --> 00:21:30,799
I bet in the Big Ten Championship game. People didn't

399
00:21:30,839 --> 00:21:33,000
think that they could handle Ohio State. They didn't two

400
00:21:33,079 --> 00:21:35,000
years ago. They came back, they beat Ohio State knocked

401
00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:36,799
them off for the Big Ten championship game. Let's go

402
00:21:36,839 --> 00:21:38,720
back two weeks ago on this very program, guys, it

403
00:21:38,799 --> 00:21:40,839
was all three of us we talked about the first

404
00:21:40,920 --> 00:21:43,559
round matchup between Alabama and Oklahoma. Everyone was bet in

405
00:21:43,599 --> 00:21:46,640
Oklahoma in that game, the line had flipped, the Sooners

406
00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:49,599
went off as the favorite. I believe our general consensus,

407
00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:51,519
I know I felt this way, and I believe you

408
00:21:51,519 --> 00:21:53,920
guys both did as well, was that Oklahoma was kind

409
00:21:53,920 --> 00:21:58,960
of getting overrated in that game. Now we've got a

410
00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:02,680
situation where Aliba just burned a lot of betters, okay,

411
00:22:02,839 --> 00:22:04,960
and here they are an underdog again. But I look

412
00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:07,759
at the wager talk on screen, and when I look

413
00:22:07,799 --> 00:22:10,279
at how this game is being bet, the ticket splits,

414
00:22:10,279 --> 00:22:12,759
if you will. A lot of the same betters who

415
00:22:12,799 --> 00:22:16,759
were burned fading the tide against Oklahoma, they now seem

416
00:22:16,799 --> 00:22:19,559
to be looking to take the points with the Crimson

417
00:22:19,599 --> 00:22:22,880
tide here. Yet this number has crept up from minus

418
00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:28,720
six and a half to minus seven. Ralph, your thoughts

419
00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:32,640
on what we've seen, on what I just laid out there,

420
00:22:32,640 --> 00:22:34,799
are just your thoughts on the Rose bull in general.

421
00:22:34,519 --> 00:22:37,640
Speaker 5: Sir, well, you know what, the only way I could

422
00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:39,720
go is under Brian, and you brought it up and

423
00:22:39,759 --> 00:22:42,880
it was a great point. Let me just say this,

424
00:22:43,759 --> 00:22:47,640
The forecast for Pasadena New Year's Day is one hundred

425
00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:51,039
percent chance of rain with up to two inches. That

426
00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:53,960
is crazy to have a grass field that type of

427
00:22:54,079 --> 00:22:57,359
rain coming down. We might see just an old Pittsburgh

428
00:22:57,400 --> 00:23:00,720
Steelers Cleveland Browns where you know, between the hash marks

429
00:23:00,759 --> 00:23:01,559
is nothing but dirt.

430
00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:02,880
Speaker 4: It could really be that bad.

431
00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:07,000
Speaker 5: So to me, that does change the game significantly. Now

432
00:23:07,000 --> 00:23:09,720
the wins aren't going to be horrible. So sometimes that

433
00:23:09,799 --> 00:23:13,200
actually helps the offenses, you know, more so on artificial

434
00:23:13,240 --> 00:23:15,519
turf because the receivers know where they want to go.

435
00:23:15,799 --> 00:23:20,759
Sometimes quarterbacks slip and fall down. But with a grass turf,

436
00:23:20,759 --> 00:23:22,880
it really just depends. I mean, we really don't have

437
00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:25,079
any history. How many times do we have grass games

438
00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:28,720
for UCLA that are pouring rain or on New Year's Days?

439
00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:31,599
So I don't know that. So Number one for me,

440
00:23:32,319 --> 00:23:35,720
the overs out of the equation. No matter who you like, now,

441
00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:38,880
I actually think if you like the under bett now,

442
00:23:39,079 --> 00:23:41,279
because when we get to tomorrow and the big hitters

443
00:23:41,279 --> 00:23:43,319
start coming in and betting the playoff games with Ohio

444
00:23:43,319 --> 00:23:45,960
State those that haven't yet, I think the under is

445
00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:48,519
going to be the way to go, especially for an

446
00:23:48,519 --> 00:23:51,799
Alabama offense that the last three weeks. I mean, this

447
00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:55,359
is crazy. I'm not talking about Alabama A and M guys.

448
00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:59,079
I'm talking about Alabama. Two hundred and eighty yards, two

449
00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:03,119
hundred and nine yards, two hundred and sixty yards. That

450
00:24:03,319 --> 00:24:07,000
is seven hundred and forty nine yards in three games

451
00:24:07,480 --> 00:24:12,519
and only forty one first downs. That is scary. The

452
00:24:12,680 --> 00:24:16,319
rush attack against Georgia minus three yards. The rush attack

453
00:24:16,359 --> 00:24:21,720
against Oklahoma twenty five carries twenty eight yards one point

454
00:24:21,799 --> 00:24:26,039
one yards per carry. So do I think Indiana is

455
00:24:26,079 --> 00:24:29,319
going to be able to run the ball. Well, They're

456
00:24:29,359 --> 00:24:32,359
averaging two hundred and twenty one yards per game this season.

457
00:24:32,839 --> 00:24:36,799
They're averaging five point five yards per carrying. While we

458
00:24:36,839 --> 00:24:39,240
don't think him in Doze as a mobile quarterback, as

459
00:24:39,279 --> 00:24:42,720
the Heisman winner, he rushed seventy five times, so he

460
00:24:42,839 --> 00:24:46,039
is very capable of taking off, which means either you

461
00:24:46,079 --> 00:24:49,039
have to put a spy on him or you know,

462
00:24:49,559 --> 00:24:52,839
you have to worry about containing his rush attack. So

463
00:24:53,039 --> 00:25:00,720
to me, running game big advantage Indiana quarterback advantage Indiana.

464
00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:05,559
When I look at the defenses, Alabama's rush defense down

465
00:25:05,599 --> 00:25:08,400
the stretch one hundred and fifty two to four point

466
00:25:08,440 --> 00:25:11,680
two to Auburn, one forty one, three point four to Georgia.

467
00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:15,319
They did slow Oklahoma to fifty five yards. You look

468
00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:19,880
at Indiana. We made a joke about this couple weeks ago.

469
00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:23,880
Indiana allowed two hundred and eighteen yards rushing to hold

470
00:25:23,920 --> 00:25:25,000
dominion in the opener.

471
00:25:25,640 --> 00:25:28,480
Speaker 4: Since that time, only one team.

472
00:25:28,519 --> 00:25:31,559
Speaker 5: Has topped one hundred yards, and that was Penn State,

473
00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:35,559
and they still only gained three point five yards per carry.

474
00:25:36,559 --> 00:25:38,359
Speaker 4: Rain has me going only one way.

475
00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:42,359
Speaker 5: I originally liked Alabama in this game plus the points,

476
00:25:42,359 --> 00:25:45,160
figuring they can get a back door touchdown, but with

477
00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:47,920
a sloppy field and rain, that can get a team

478
00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:51,519
that's down at halftime very disenchanted early in the second half.

479
00:25:52,359 --> 00:25:56,440
Slight lean Indiana neither side or total will make my card.

480
00:25:57,319 --> 00:26:01,279
Speaker 1: And you know, ross with the rain and the kind

481
00:26:01,279 --> 00:26:03,240
of the scenario that Ralph layed out there for us,

482
00:26:03,440 --> 00:26:06,680
it made me thinking, I've said this before, I said

483
00:26:06,680 --> 00:26:08,599
it in my right up for the Big Ten Championship game.

484
00:26:08,599 --> 00:26:10,359
I'm going to say it again right here on the blitz.

485
00:26:10,599 --> 00:26:12,359
I think Indiana is the strongest team in the trenches

486
00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:15,079
in the entire country. That is where that is the

487
00:26:15,119 --> 00:26:17,440
strength of this Indiana football team. I think a lot

488
00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:20,240
of people underestimated that going into the Ohio State game.

489
00:26:20,319 --> 00:26:23,039
So what do you think you're about the grand daddy

490
00:26:23,160 --> 00:26:24,839
of them all?

491
00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:29,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, let's take a look at this first. First of all,

492
00:26:29,920 --> 00:26:33,400
two weeks ago when we talked on this the first

493
00:26:33,519 --> 00:26:37,480
round matchups, Brian, you brought up a good point. You said,

494
00:26:38,079 --> 00:26:42,200
not only was Oklahoma overvalue, but they were the weakest

495
00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:46,119
Power conference team in the field. And I agreed with

496
00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:50,759
you wholeheartedly. And boy, oh boy, nothing changed when you

497
00:26:50,799 --> 00:26:51,759
looked at their result.

498
00:26:51,839 --> 00:26:53,920
Speaker 2: However, let's think about this.

499
00:26:54,279 --> 00:26:58,400
Speaker 3: Alabama wins thirty four to twenty four at Oklahoma. Impressive, right,

500
00:26:59,119 --> 00:27:02,039
Well that fast, I mean a little bit to see

501
00:27:02,119 --> 00:27:05,359
me because in that game, the Sooners out gained them

502
00:27:05,440 --> 00:27:09,079
three sixty two to two sixty. And Ralph brings up

503
00:27:09,079 --> 00:27:11,319
a good point, not only two hundred and sixty yards

504
00:27:11,319 --> 00:27:15,599
in that game, but two hundred and nine yards against

505
00:27:15,599 --> 00:27:18,640
Georgia and two hundred and eighty yards against Auburn. And

506
00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:21,240
this is a team that just has had a hell

507
00:27:21,279 --> 00:27:24,880
of a time running the football. I mean one, two, three, one,

508
00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:28,440
five out of the last seven they've rushed for eighty

509
00:27:28,519 --> 00:27:30,359
yards or less. And then you look at the other

510
00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:34,000
side of the ball, Indiana's defense. They've allowed eighty nine

511
00:27:34,119 --> 00:27:40,119
yards or fewer rushing in eleven of their last twelve games.

512
00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:43,559
And this is the more balanced team in terms of

513
00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:48,559
running pass production in Indiana. You can make a case

514
00:27:48,640 --> 00:27:53,079
of Alabama, uh played in the SCCY. I get that,

515
00:27:53,240 --> 00:27:56,599
but Indiana, you know, number one team in the country.

516
00:27:56,680 --> 00:27:59,799
Ohio State's not too bad as well, so it's not

517
00:28:00,079 --> 00:28:03,079
like they played cream puffs. They won at Oregon thirty

518
00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:09,359
to twenty. So I like Indiana here. I don't think Ella.

519
00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:12,599
I said it on this show two weeks ago, and

520
00:28:12,640 --> 00:28:15,519
I'll say it again. Alabama should not have been in

521
00:28:15,599 --> 00:28:19,039
this field. They're in the field because of their brand.

522
00:28:19,839 --> 00:28:24,079
There's no way they should have chosen Alabama, who had

523
00:28:24,160 --> 00:28:28,279
a bad loss at Florida State this year against a

524
00:28:28,319 --> 00:28:31,039
team like or over a team like Notre Dame. But

525
00:28:31,319 --> 00:28:34,720
now that that it's done and over with, that discussion

526
00:28:34,799 --> 00:28:39,599
is over. Indiana to me clearly the better team on

527
00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:43,279
both sides of the ball, and I'm going to lay

528
00:28:43,319 --> 00:28:45,759
a seven here with Indiana over Alabama.

529
00:28:46,480 --> 00:28:51,000
Speaker 1: Okay, guys, we've got one more quarterfinal matchup.

530
00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:53,039
Speaker 4: To go, Ralph.

531
00:28:53,079 --> 00:28:56,920
Speaker 5: I just want to bring something up. You know, we

532
00:28:57,039 --> 00:29:01,279
know the volatility of college football, so we don't talk

533
00:29:01,279 --> 00:29:05,440
about teasers, but there's some college football teasers where you

534
00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:08,000
can lay minus one twenty. So if you're like an

535
00:29:08,039 --> 00:29:10,839
Oregon fan or an Indiana fan and a Georgia fan,

536
00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:13,519
perhaps there's some teaser situations that you want to look

537
00:29:13,559 --> 00:29:16,119
at that you know, or the money line parlays, but

538
00:29:16,839 --> 00:29:18,759
you know you don't want to pay the overdues price.

539
00:29:19,000 --> 00:29:21,759
A lot of the NFL places are high, but college football,

540
00:29:21,799 --> 00:29:25,480
some people still off offered a very reasonable prices, and

541
00:29:25,559 --> 00:29:28,480
these lines, the way they are set up, puts a

542
00:29:28,519 --> 00:29:31,559
possibility out there if you're looking for that type of situation.

543
00:29:32,119 --> 00:29:34,759
Speaker 1: Very good point right there. We do have one more

544
00:29:35,400 --> 00:29:38,319
quarterfinal matchup to break down. I want to let everyone

545
00:29:38,359 --> 00:29:41,440
who's watching live now or if you're watching us on replay,

546
00:29:41,599 --> 00:29:43,559
you can ask us about any of the other games

547
00:29:43,559 --> 00:29:47,240
that are taking place on New Year's Eve or Friday,

548
00:29:47,519 --> 00:29:51,480
January the second as well. Of course, this is you know,

549
00:29:51,519 --> 00:29:54,640
after this, guys, we've only got three more college football

550
00:29:54,680 --> 00:29:56,960
games to talk about, of course, the semi finals and

551
00:29:57,240 --> 00:29:59,480
National Championship game. So there's a lot of other college

552
00:29:59,480 --> 00:30:01,240
football if you much as live you know, I know

553
00:30:01,279 --> 00:30:03,599
we've got some games today as well. I can tell

554
00:30:03,599 --> 00:30:06,359
you that I don't have any strong takes on Tuesday's games,

555
00:30:06,359 --> 00:30:09,440
but I have a best bet coming up for my show.

556
00:30:09,440 --> 00:30:10,680
Best bet is going to be on a New Year's

557
00:30:10,720 --> 00:30:13,279
Eve game. Ross has a best bet coming up for

558
00:30:13,319 --> 00:30:16,079
a Friday game, so we'll have you covered Wednesday, Thursday,

559
00:30:16,119 --> 00:30:20,519
and Friday with our best bets hanging on for those.

560
00:30:20,640 --> 00:30:24,599
But as I mentioned, one more quarterfinal matchup to break down,

561
00:30:24,680 --> 00:30:28,079
and it is an all SEC affair in the Sugar Bowl.

562
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:32,200
Ralph mentioned it's a hot ticket in New Orleans earlier

563
00:30:32,319 --> 00:30:36,119
as ole Miss takes on Georgia eight pm Eastern on

564
00:30:36,599 --> 00:30:39,200
espnn's neutral site game close. Not a far trip for

565
00:30:39,319 --> 00:30:43,640
either team. Obviously very interesting handicap here my power ratings.

566
00:30:43,759 --> 00:30:45,440
I actually say this number is a little too big,

567
00:30:45,599 --> 00:30:47,759
but it is worth pointing out when these teams played

568
00:30:47,759 --> 00:30:51,440
earlier in the season in Athens, Georgia closed minus seven

569
00:30:51,440 --> 00:30:53,519
and a half at home. Now they're minus six and

570
00:30:53,559 --> 00:30:56,119
a half on a neutral field, maybe saying to yourself,

571
00:30:56,119 --> 00:30:59,440
you're watching AYVP. Georgia won that first meeting forty three

572
00:30:59,519 --> 00:31:03,039
thirty five and covered spread fair point. However, let us

573
00:31:03,079 --> 00:31:06,079
not forget something and that is Ole miss led that

574
00:31:06,200 --> 00:31:09,559
game most of the way. Furthermore, I pulled this trend

575
00:31:09,599 --> 00:31:13,519
from Mark Lawrence's playbook Bull Rematches involving teams from the

576
00:31:13,519 --> 00:31:16,279
same conference. The team playing with revenge is seven and

577
00:31:16,319 --> 00:31:19,079
one against the spread. Now that one loss actually happened

578
00:31:19,079 --> 00:31:23,039
to be yesterday with app State, but vast majority of

579
00:31:23,079 --> 00:31:26,119
the others took place in these higher profile bows, most

580
00:31:26,119 --> 00:31:30,599
of them with national title implications. So that all being said,

581
00:31:31,359 --> 00:31:34,559
I do wonder Ross and Ralph, if you know, I

582
00:31:34,599 --> 00:31:37,119
mentioned my power ratings, say this number is a little big,

583
00:31:37,119 --> 00:31:40,920
but I wonder if George is peaking at the right

584
00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:42,960
time and my power ratings are selling a little bit short.

585
00:31:43,000 --> 00:31:45,319
A lot of sharp people I talk to seem to

586
00:31:45,359 --> 00:31:47,640
feel that Georgia is peaking at the right time. Ralph,

587
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:50,519
you're a very sharp individual. How do you feel about

588
00:31:50,519 --> 00:31:51,079
the sugar bar?

589
00:31:52,319 --> 00:31:56,599
Speaker 4: I'm on Georgia. You know, listen, when.

590
00:31:57,960 --> 00:31:59,839
Speaker 5: You know Indiana knew they were going to play all

591
00:31:59,880 --> 00:32:02,119
of Bama or Oklahoma, but you didn't know who was

592
00:32:02,160 --> 00:32:03,640
going to win, so you had to prep for.

593
00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:05,319
Speaker 2: Both of them.

594
00:32:05,440 --> 00:32:07,839
Speaker 4: Old Miss was playing Tulane. Georgia knew who they had

595
00:32:07,880 --> 00:32:08,880
a prep for. That's it.

596
00:32:08,920 --> 00:32:11,799
Speaker 5: Their entire week off was prepped on one team, while

597
00:32:11,799 --> 00:32:14,960
Old Miss did have to prep for Tulane last week.

598
00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:20,720
I same season revenge. Listen, you could throw revenge out

599
00:32:20,720 --> 00:32:23,200
the freaking window. With the playoffs, you don't need. There

600
00:32:23,319 --> 00:32:26,240
is no more motivation than being in the playoff quarterfinals.

601
00:32:26,359 --> 00:32:28,319
Doesn't matter if you lost twenty times of this team

602
00:32:28,359 --> 00:32:30,519
as a favorite, there's that's not going to give you

603
00:32:30,559 --> 00:32:33,319
extra motivation to win a playoff game. I just think this.

604
00:32:33,839 --> 00:32:36,400
I think George has been here, done that. We have

605
00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:40,000
stability at the coach. Yes, you know, Gunner Stockton has

606
00:32:40,599 --> 00:32:44,119
has struggled a little bit down the road. You know

607
00:32:44,160 --> 00:32:46,359
when they when they paid two hundred and sixty yards

608
00:32:46,400 --> 00:32:49,440
against Georgia Tech, I said, well, hell, they played Charlotte

609
00:32:49,480 --> 00:32:52,359
the week before. You know, they had the SEC Championship

610
00:32:52,400 --> 00:32:54,880
on game. But in the SEC Championship they only had

611
00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:57,440
two hundred and ninety seven yards. What I do love

612
00:32:57,480 --> 00:33:00,400
to see is a defense over the last four weeks

613
00:33:00,720 --> 00:33:03,440
that has allowed two hundred and twenty six yards per

614
00:33:03,480 --> 00:33:07,880
game and eleven point eight first downs per game. You

615
00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:11,680
look at Old Miss. Old Miss allowed four hundred and

616
00:33:11,720 --> 00:33:16,599
twenty one yards and twenty first downs to Tulane the

617
00:33:16,680 --> 00:33:20,160
week before against Mississippi State four hundred and forty yards.

618
00:33:20,559 --> 00:33:24,480
Yes they survived without Lane Kiffin. Yes they're excited at

619
00:33:24,519 --> 00:33:27,039
at the new head coach, but they played that game

620
00:33:27,079 --> 00:33:29,920
at home. Now they have to prep the pressure of

621
00:33:29,920 --> 00:33:33,480
a quarterfinal. You don't have your traditional coaching staff in

622
00:33:33,519 --> 00:33:35,200
place to get ready for the next game.

623
00:33:35,680 --> 00:33:40,319
Speaker 4: Georgia's been there, done that. To me, it's Georgia. Uh, Georgia.

624
00:33:41,000 --> 00:33:42,359
I have not loaded it yet.

625
00:33:42,559 --> 00:33:44,680
Speaker 5: I can tell you guys, this Georgia will be a

626
00:33:44,720 --> 00:33:46,680
client play for me in one way or the other.

627
00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:51,440
Speaker 1: Okay, I want Ross Rouths made a very good point there.

628
00:33:51,519 --> 00:33:53,519
I'm glad he brought it up because I think people

629
00:33:54,400 --> 00:33:57,039
remember back. They think back to the Old Miss Tulane

630
00:33:57,119 --> 00:33:58,599
game and it was quite one sided.

631
00:33:58,599 --> 00:34:01,119
Speaker 4: But Tulane did move the ball in that game.

632
00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:04,359
Speaker 1: They just bogged down once they got inside the forty

633
00:34:04,440 --> 00:34:07,480
and just weren't you know, in today's in modern football,

634
00:34:07,480 --> 00:34:10,599
that's if you're not efficient inside the red zone. Inside

635
00:34:10,639 --> 00:34:12,480
the forty, you're gonna lose, and that was the deal.

636
00:34:12,519 --> 00:34:15,760
Tou Lane did have some success getting inside the forty

637
00:34:15,840 --> 00:34:19,800
at least. I see RJ, one of our top people

638
00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:22,079
who've watched us, who's joined us all throughout the year.

639
00:34:22,119 --> 00:34:25,280
He likes Georgia's team total over in this game. What

640
00:34:25,320 --> 00:34:28,760
do you think here? The rematch the All SEC affair

641
00:34:28,840 --> 00:34:30,519
between Georgia and All missing the Sugar Bowl.

642
00:34:30,679 --> 00:34:34,119
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean Tulane four and twenty one yards of

643
00:34:34,119 --> 00:34:36,880
offense in that game. They were plagued by three turnovers,

644
00:34:36,960 --> 00:34:39,000
you know, and not being able to convert on fourth

645
00:34:39,039 --> 00:34:42,119
down a couple of times in scoring territory. But having

646
00:34:42,239 --> 00:34:47,079
said all that, look, revenge comes into play here, right,

647
00:34:47,119 --> 00:34:51,599
But Ralph, I'd love to know if you can come

648
00:34:51,719 --> 00:34:55,119
up with this stat but same season revenge when it's

649
00:34:55,159 --> 00:34:58,719
a team's only loss, and that's the case. So miss

650
00:34:58,760 --> 00:35:01,159
is playing with revenge from forty three to thirty five

651
00:35:01,280 --> 00:35:05,440
loss at Georgia and that's the only loss of the season.

652
00:35:05,880 --> 00:35:06,920
Speaker 2: However, I'm gonna.

653
00:35:06,679 --> 00:35:09,559
Speaker 3: Look at the total because I agree with with Ralph's

654
00:35:09,599 --> 00:35:15,960
assessment on everything points toward Georgia here in all logical reasoning,

655
00:35:16,079 --> 00:35:20,360
why okay, especially the way they played defensively. But again,

656
00:35:20,440 --> 00:35:22,880
I can't lose sight of the fact we're looking at

657
00:35:22,960 --> 00:35:27,519
seventy eight points scored in this first matchup and an

658
00:35:27,840 --> 00:35:32,880
ole Miss team that's really extremely good offensively, and I

659
00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:35,360
don't think losing their head coach is going to change that.

660
00:35:36,280 --> 00:35:40,159
The same talents there, the same philosophy is there. And

661
00:35:40,199 --> 00:35:42,719
by the way, I can't talk about an ole Miss

662
00:35:42,760 --> 00:35:47,519
game without talking about Lane Kiffin. Okay, So here's a

663
00:35:47,559 --> 00:35:51,199
guy who now jumps ship before his team goes to

664
00:35:51,239 --> 00:35:56,400
the playoffs and gets this multi million dollar contract, mega

665
00:35:56,480 --> 00:35:57,800
million dollar contract.

666
00:35:58,280 --> 00:36:00,000
Speaker 4: He goes shopping for the first time.

667
00:36:00,039 --> 00:36:04,320
Speaker 3: I'm in Louisiana his grouchery, and he takes a bag

668
00:36:04,360 --> 00:36:07,480
and they tell him and he says, they tell him

669
00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:08,360
it's twenty cents.

670
00:36:08,400 --> 00:36:10,000
Speaker 4: He says, I'm not paying for the bag.

671
00:36:10,320 --> 00:36:13,159
Speaker 3: You believe this piece of crampliable?

672
00:36:15,199 --> 00:36:18,280
Speaker 1: So I saw the Twitter and I was gonna send

673
00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:24,320
it to you ross the guy. Yet he he just

674
00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:26,880
walked home with the basket. I'll tell you what's.

675
00:36:28,079 --> 00:36:30,440
Speaker 2: Schools Keep paying him, Go ahead, keep paying him.

676
00:36:30,440 --> 00:36:32,920
Speaker 3: The guy hasn't won a national championship yet, and he's

677
00:36:33,280 --> 00:36:36,800
the highest paid coach ever in college football seems like anyway.

678
00:36:37,760 --> 00:36:42,039
Having said all that, I just think, even with Georgia's

679
00:36:42,039 --> 00:36:46,599
gaudy offensive numbers of late, I just think the total

680
00:36:46,599 --> 00:36:50,199
of fifty five and a half considering what the first

681
00:36:50,320 --> 00:36:55,519
matchup produces low. I'm not crazy about this total, but

682
00:36:55,599 --> 00:36:57,400
I have a very small lean.

683
00:36:57,320 --> 00:36:59,960
Speaker 2: Toward going over the total in this matchup.

684
00:37:00,599 --> 00:37:04,840
Speaker 3: And I just can't pull the trigger on Georgia right now, Ralph.

685
00:37:05,000 --> 00:37:08,960
Speaker 2: It's just that revenge factor and being their only loss in.

686
00:37:10,079 --> 00:37:12,199
Speaker 3: I just think, I, Oh, this has got to be

687
00:37:12,400 --> 00:37:15,239
very motivated, and yet they only played too lane in

688
00:37:15,280 --> 00:37:16,000
the last game.

689
00:37:16,039 --> 00:37:18,639
Speaker 2: But they have a chip on her shoulder, I think,

690
00:37:18,679 --> 00:37:20,480
and I can't get by that.

691
00:37:21,960 --> 00:37:26,440
Speaker 5: You know, Brian Missus Ross's secretary chiming in here. Oh,

692
00:37:26,480 --> 00:37:28,840
of course I have those numbers for you, as you

693
00:37:28,880 --> 00:37:32,840
asked for, sir. Since two thousand and seven, there's only

694
00:37:32,840 --> 00:37:37,639
been seventeen times where a team has lost and it's

695
00:37:37,639 --> 00:37:39,559
their only loss of the season. They're now playing with

696
00:37:39,679 --> 00:37:45,159
revenge eight and nine straight up eight eight and one ats.

697
00:37:45,199 --> 00:37:48,599
They are three thirteen and one over under, so eighty

698
00:37:48,639 --> 00:37:51,400
one percent eighty one percent of the under in the

699
00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:56,159
rematch BYU Texas Tech was one this year, George Alabama

700
00:37:56,320 --> 00:38:00,000
was one. Those both went under last year. George Alabama,

701
00:38:00,159 --> 00:38:03,800
Texas Georgia, and Oregon Washington. All four have gone under

702
00:38:03,840 --> 00:38:07,039
the last couple of years in those rematches with one loss.

703
00:38:07,320 --> 00:38:11,199
Speaker 3: Well, thank you Ruff as usual, you don't disappoint not

704
00:38:12,119 --> 00:38:15,320
you know, those numbers are pretty uninspiring either way.

705
00:38:15,679 --> 00:38:19,199
Speaker 6: But still realize we're talking about seventeen times since two

706
00:38:19,239 --> 00:38:21,639
thousand and seven. So yeah, you're never You're never going

707
00:38:21,719 --> 00:38:23,920
to base it on a situation that is that small

708
00:38:23,960 --> 00:38:26,400
a sample size. But again, a three and thirteen over

709
00:38:26,480 --> 00:38:27,920
under number does make sense.

710
00:38:28,239 --> 00:38:31,480
Speaker 5: You notice team, well, you're you're likely a conference opponent,

711
00:38:31,800 --> 00:38:33,800
you're playing them for the second time, just like the

712
00:38:33,800 --> 00:38:38,360
second meeting. In NFL Division games, that familiarity does lean tend.

713
00:38:38,119 --> 00:38:39,079
Speaker 4: To lean to unders.

714
00:38:39,800 --> 00:38:43,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely so my thought yo, as I'm sitting here

715
00:38:43,360 --> 00:38:45,760
and thinking more about the game listening to you guys,

716
00:38:45,800 --> 00:38:49,079
I think if you do like the old miss side,

717
00:38:49,079 --> 00:38:50,679
I think you can only bet them first half. I

718
00:38:50,920 --> 00:38:53,199
don't see a scenario. Because we've talked about this on

719
00:38:53,239 --> 00:38:55,440
the program. All your Georgia has gotten has had that

720
00:38:55,639 --> 00:38:58,559
nasty habit of getting off the slow starts. I don't

721
00:38:58,599 --> 00:39:00,880
necessarily they've sort of got over that a little bit.

722
00:39:01,079 --> 00:39:03,800
It wasn't a case in the SEC championship game, obviously,

723
00:39:04,079 --> 00:39:07,000
But I don't see a situation at least and again,

724
00:39:07,079 --> 00:39:09,519
all mis led the majority of the first three quarters

725
00:39:09,800 --> 00:39:12,199
in the regular season matchup in Athens. I just don't know.

726
00:39:12,239 --> 00:39:16,719
If there's a scenario, guys, where you know, Georgia gets

727
00:39:16,800 --> 00:39:19,079
up big and then ole Miss claws its way back.

728
00:39:19,320 --> 00:39:21,639
That's sort of the game script in my head that

729
00:39:21,719 --> 00:39:23,960
I don't envision. I do see a world where if

730
00:39:24,000 --> 00:39:26,000
ole Miss gets up early, Georgia might be a good

731
00:39:26,440 --> 00:39:29,519
live bet to come from behind and win like they

732
00:39:29,559 --> 00:39:35,079
did the first time around. So that, ladies and gentlemen,

733
00:39:35,400 --> 00:39:40,039
are your previews for all four quarter final matchups in

734
00:39:40,079 --> 00:39:42,159
the College Football Playoff. You are on the midst please

735
00:39:43,599 --> 00:39:45,960
smash that like button show your support for the show.

736
00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:47,880
If you have any questions on any of the other

737
00:39:47,960 --> 00:39:50,400
bowl games this week, any specific bowl games you would

738
00:39:50,440 --> 00:39:55,960
like to hear about, please comment down below or forever

739
00:39:56,000 --> 00:39:59,840
hold your piece. But Ross and I both have game

740
00:40:00,519 --> 00:40:02,639
that we are going to talk about here for our

741
00:40:02,719 --> 00:40:05,159
best bet in case you missed it earlier. Ralph is

742
00:40:05,199 --> 00:40:07,760
already chiming with his best bet. It was the first

743
00:40:07,760 --> 00:40:12,280
half under on Texas Tech Oregon in the Orange Bowl

744
00:40:12,519 --> 00:40:15,360
New Year's Day. I'll get ross of Fitz all right,

745
00:40:15,400 --> 00:40:17,440
I'll start us off because my game is on New

746
00:40:17,679 --> 00:40:22,079
Year's Eve. Here's a trend for you, Ralph. I think

747
00:40:22,119 --> 00:40:24,320
you know this one. It's probably not in your database though,

748
00:40:24,320 --> 00:40:27,400
because it's not very technical. Bowl teams this year that

749
00:40:27,480 --> 00:40:29,760
had to fire their head coach for the hanky panky

750
00:40:29,920 --> 00:40:33,000
or one and aller against the spread after Ohio University

751
00:40:33,320 --> 00:40:37,400
beat UNLV. Look, it's no joking matter, it's no laughing matter.

752
00:40:37,440 --> 00:40:40,599
What happened with Sharon Moore at Michigan. However, I'm going

753
00:40:40,679 --> 00:40:42,440
to punch back at the market. I don't think anyone

754
00:40:42,440 --> 00:40:44,119
wants to bet Michigan this game. Well, you know what,

755
00:40:44,679 --> 00:40:49,280
I'm going to bet Michigan in this game very similar

756
00:40:49,559 --> 00:40:51,519
to the game I just mentioned a game I broke

757
00:40:51,559 --> 00:40:55,000
down on wager Talk today last week, the Ohio UNLV

758
00:40:55,039 --> 00:40:56,800
Bowl game, the Frisco Bolt.

759
00:40:57,159 --> 00:40:57,840
Speaker 2: I not didn't.

760
00:40:57,880 --> 00:41:00,920
Speaker 1: I said, look, yes, I'm at Ohio Universe Steelum. I said,

761
00:41:01,039 --> 00:41:04,079
it's no homer. I'm not being a homer. The coach

762
00:41:04,159 --> 00:41:07,599
is gone. It was under scrupulous circumstances, but the players

763
00:41:07,599 --> 00:41:09,920
are all still there, and I didn't agree with the

764
00:41:09,960 --> 00:41:12,679
line move there. You take a look at this Michigan Texas.

765
00:41:12,880 --> 00:41:17,440
It's not apples to apples necessarily, but they're not opting

766
00:41:17,480 --> 00:41:20,559
out for Michigan really, unless if there's some sort of

767
00:41:20,719 --> 00:41:22,760
mass exodus that's gonna happen in the last minute we

768
00:41:22,920 --> 00:41:28,599
don't know about. Meanwhile, Texas is without seven defensive starters

769
00:41:29,079 --> 00:41:33,119
for this game. I think that these kind of situations

770
00:41:33,159 --> 00:41:36,800
have a galvanizing effect with the players that stay. If

771
00:41:36,800 --> 00:41:39,800
this was a regular season game on a neutral field,

772
00:41:40,119 --> 00:41:42,360
I would only have Texas favored by one and a half.

773
00:41:42,639 --> 00:41:46,800
I think Michigan stays within the number here. I'll take

774
00:41:46,840 --> 00:41:53,039
the points with Michigan against Texas on New Year's Eve

775
00:41:53,280 --> 00:41:56,079
in the I believe that is the cheese it bowl

776
00:41:56,800 --> 00:41:59,599
to be said while we're getting our sponsors right, So

777
00:42:00,079 --> 00:42:02,400
Michigan plus seven and a half my show.

778
00:42:03,840 --> 00:42:07,119
Speaker 3: You know, Brian, we often talk about in games that

779
00:42:07,159 --> 00:42:11,760
are non are not college football playoff contest, what team

780
00:42:11,920 --> 00:42:14,320
is motivated the most?

781
00:42:14,519 --> 00:42:15,440
Speaker 2: And think about it.

782
00:42:15,480 --> 00:42:20,320
Speaker 3: You know, Texas number one in the preseason ratings, and

783
00:42:20,400 --> 00:42:22,920
here they are, you know, nine to three and playing

784
00:42:22,960 --> 00:42:25,639
in a Bowl game against a Michigan team that's also

785
00:42:25,760 --> 00:42:26,920
nine and three.

786
00:42:27,639 --> 00:42:30,920
Speaker 2: Let'd me be interested to hear you guys comments on this.

787
00:42:31,599 --> 00:42:36,079
Speaker 3: I'm not crazy about Kyle Whittingham being named head coach.

788
00:42:36,960 --> 00:42:41,000
Now let me clarify. I think he's an excellent head coach.

789
00:42:41,199 --> 00:42:44,440
I think in the short term it's going to pay

790
00:42:44,480 --> 00:42:47,400
dividends for Michigan. But when you hire a sixty eight

791
00:42:47,480 --> 00:42:50,119
year old head coach, and I'm sixty eight, so I

792
00:42:50,159 --> 00:42:52,760
don't want to throw stones at a fellow senior.

793
00:42:53,400 --> 00:42:55,719
Speaker 2: But you know, how long is he going to be around?

794
00:42:56,599 --> 00:42:59,239
How many players are going to get talked out of.

795
00:43:00,639 --> 00:43:04,639
Speaker 3: Going to Michigan by opposing coaches because who knows how

796
00:43:04,639 --> 00:43:07,639
long this guy is gonna last. So you know, again,

797
00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:11,880
I like the hire on the surface, but I don't

798
00:43:12,000 --> 00:43:15,360
like it in terms of future. So we'll see.

799
00:43:16,679 --> 00:43:20,280
Speaker 1: You know what I think it was, Ross Ralphie, you

800
00:43:20,280 --> 00:43:22,679
could chime in. I think it was. It's an obvious

801
00:43:22,760 --> 00:43:26,239
and it's so funny because I joked my father in

802
00:43:26,360 --> 00:43:28,360
law came in on Christmas and he said Michigan hired

803
00:43:28,360 --> 00:43:32,000
winning him, and I said, take a drink. Every time

804
00:43:32,000 --> 00:43:34,000
you hear someone on sports that I go, well, this

805
00:43:34,079 --> 00:43:36,320
is a guy who runs a clean program, and my

806
00:43:36,360 --> 00:43:38,320
father in law goes, they already said that, and I said, well,

807
00:43:38,360 --> 00:43:40,199
there you have it. I think that's what this one.

808
00:43:40,239 --> 00:43:44,119
They wanted to hire a guy. It's a messy situation.

809
00:43:43,760 --> 00:43:47,119
Speaker 2: Obviously Mormon country, right, Yeah, yeah, he's got and he is.

810
00:43:47,280 --> 00:43:49,760
Speaker 1: Kyle Whittingham is a has a kind of a spotless resume,

811
00:43:50,280 --> 00:43:52,920
and I think they wanted to hire someone like that.

812
00:43:53,920 --> 00:43:56,039
You know, again, it is a short term thing. Obviously

813
00:43:56,079 --> 00:43:58,039
he's not gonna be around. Well, he even said himself,

814
00:43:58,280 --> 00:44:01,039
this is kind of you know, the last ants for me.

815
00:44:01,400 --> 00:44:03,280
I think he I think it's a situation for him

816
00:44:03,320 --> 00:44:07,159
to get to a team that can can win a

817
00:44:07,280 --> 00:44:08,960
national championship.

818
00:44:08,360 --> 00:44:08,800
Speaker 2: You know better.

819
00:44:08,880 --> 00:44:11,159
Speaker 1: I mean Utah, they better.

820
00:44:10,960 --> 00:44:13,840
Speaker 3: Be real good in or transfer portal to brant you know,

821
00:44:14,000 --> 00:44:18,480
because I just don't see a lot of kids committing

822
00:44:18,639 --> 00:44:22,159
four and five star athletes committing to a coach that

823
00:44:22,719 --> 00:44:25,119
he may retire in two or three years, you know

824
00:44:25,199 --> 00:44:25,760
what I'm saying.

825
00:44:25,840 --> 00:44:27,880
Speaker 4: So that was my that was my thought.

826
00:44:28,000 --> 00:44:30,239
Speaker 5: Is the age and he's not known as a great

827
00:44:30,239 --> 00:44:33,840
recruiter because at Utah he could get players in the

828
00:44:33,880 --> 00:44:36,440
one hundred to two hundred rankings that were good for

829
00:44:36,639 --> 00:44:39,880
Utah and can get them wins. That doesn't get you

830
00:44:39,920 --> 00:44:41,840
wins in the Big Ten. When you're Michigan. You need

831
00:44:41,840 --> 00:44:44,400
the top one hundred, top fifty players. You need those

832
00:44:44,400 --> 00:44:47,000
five star recruits to be able to compete with Indiana,

833
00:44:47,039 --> 00:44:50,639
Oregon and Ohio State. So that that is my concern.

834
00:44:50,760 --> 00:44:53,559
But the transfer portal doesn't concern me as much because

835
00:44:53,599 --> 00:44:55,800
Michigan has as much money as anyone and they're willing

836
00:44:55,840 --> 00:44:56,239
to share.

837
00:44:56,599 --> 00:44:59,960
Speaker 4: They just you know, it's it's but you can't.

838
00:45:00,440 --> 00:45:03,800
Speaker 5: Well, Texas Tech sort has proved that you can transform

839
00:45:03,920 --> 00:45:05,719
one side of the ball in the transfer port of

840
00:45:05,760 --> 00:45:07,639
them one year, but it's tough to do that on

841
00:45:07,679 --> 00:45:09,360
both sides of the ball in one season.

842
00:45:10,840 --> 00:45:12,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, and you know, I want to bring up one.

843
00:45:13,039 --> 00:45:14,719
You know, let's talk about the coaches that are gone

844
00:45:14,760 --> 00:45:19,519
now for Michigan, obviously Whittingham coming in. I gotta be honest,

845
00:45:19,559 --> 00:45:21,760
you know, people, you know, we've talked a lot here

846
00:45:21,880 --> 00:45:23,679
on the show the last couple of weeks about these

847
00:45:23,719 --> 00:45:26,480
teams that have these interim stabs and how they're laying ducks,

848
00:45:26,519 --> 00:45:29,320
some of them basically just showing a completely ill prepared

849
00:45:29,360 --> 00:45:33,519
to play their bowl. I'll say this. People around Michigan's

850
00:45:33,519 --> 00:45:35,480
program and tell you this, to More was not the

851
00:45:35,519 --> 00:45:38,079
greatest head coach. He was far from it. And Chip Lindsay,

852
00:45:38,159 --> 00:45:41,639
the OC, who is also gone, he's stunk too. To

853
00:45:41,679 --> 00:45:44,000
be honest with you, I think Biff Pogey's gonna have

854
00:45:44,039 --> 00:45:46,280
this team. But you know, Biff is kind of a

855
00:45:46,280 --> 00:45:48,400
wild guy. I think you're like, he's the kind of

856
00:45:48,400 --> 00:45:50,360
guy you want as an interim in a bowl. I

857
00:45:50,440 --> 00:45:52,719
think he'll have you motivated for He's not a good

858
00:45:52,800 --> 00:45:54,880
long he's not a good long term head coach solution either,

859
00:45:54,880 --> 00:45:57,800
but he'll have a motivated And there's a lot of

860
00:45:57,800 --> 00:46:00,000
people who follow this Michigan team will tell you Raw

861
00:46:00,159 --> 00:46:03,400
and Ralph, they played better in the games that Moore

862
00:46:03,480 --> 00:46:07,360
was suspended. The offense looked better. Now some of that

863
00:46:07,440 --> 00:46:10,239
as the opponents they were against. They faced some lightweights,

864
00:46:10,639 --> 00:46:15,679
So we'll see obviously more more Ralph, I see smiling, Yes, more.

865
00:46:15,719 --> 00:46:17,880
We'll always have that record against Ohio State that he

866
00:46:17,880 --> 00:46:19,480
can look at his wall. But he is I think

867
00:46:19,480 --> 00:46:22,920
bigger problems, bigger fish to fry right now than that.

868
00:46:23,960 --> 00:46:25,960
Speaker 5: Yeah, well, you know I was going to say that

869
00:46:26,880 --> 00:46:29,960
you know, Mexico four hundred and fifty two yards, Central

870
00:46:30,000 --> 00:46:33,159
Michigan six hundred and sixteen yards and who is their

871
00:46:33,199 --> 00:46:35,480
other one? Oh in Oklahoma they had two hundred and

872
00:46:35,480 --> 00:46:38,559
eighty eight yards. So yeah, he looked better, but it

873
00:46:38,679 --> 00:46:41,480
is what it is. But remember remember how Bryce young.

874
00:46:41,840 --> 00:46:44,960
Bryce Underwood started as a young quarterback, so it takes

875
00:46:44,960 --> 00:46:47,280
time to build that. So you know, like I said,

876
00:46:47,440 --> 00:46:50,559
I think you're one hundred percent right. Michigan needed the

877
00:46:50,599 --> 00:46:53,039
integrity higher and this was the integrity higher.

878
00:46:53,320 --> 00:46:53,840
Speaker 2: All right.

879
00:46:53,880 --> 00:46:56,960
Speaker 1: So we've got two best bets here for the show.

880
00:46:57,360 --> 00:47:01,000
Ralph Michaels first half under Morgan Texas Tech I Brian

881
00:47:01,000 --> 00:47:04,440
Popper taking the points with Michigan against Texas. Ross the

882
00:47:04,519 --> 00:47:07,519
Boss please round us out here and give us the

883
00:47:07,599 --> 00:47:09,800
third leg of our show.

884
00:47:10,039 --> 00:47:15,079
Speaker 3: Best Bet Holladay Bowl on Friday, January second, between Arizona

885
00:47:15,159 --> 00:47:17,679
and SMU, two teams that come in at nine and

886
00:47:17,800 --> 00:47:22,119
three identical records. In a very rare situation here for

887
00:47:22,159 --> 00:47:24,440
a bowl game, not a playoff game, but a bowl

888
00:47:24,480 --> 00:47:28,119
game where both teams, at least in the last five years,

889
00:47:28,679 --> 00:47:32,480
where both teams are pretty much not affected by either

890
00:47:32,559 --> 00:47:36,119
the transfer portal or opt outs. Both rosters stay in tech.

891
00:47:36,239 --> 00:47:40,239
Now here's the thing I really impressed with the way

892
00:47:40,440 --> 00:47:42,119
Arizona finished the season.

893
00:47:43,679 --> 00:47:47,639
Speaker 2: To me, is very vulnerable here.

894
00:47:47,719 --> 00:47:50,440
Speaker 3: I mean you're looking at an SMUT team that had

895
00:47:50,559 --> 00:47:51,320
two bad.

896
00:47:51,119 --> 00:47:52,000
Speaker 2: Losses this year.

897
00:47:52,400 --> 00:47:55,840
Speaker 3: Out of their three losses, they lose at wake Forest

898
00:47:56,480 --> 00:47:59,199
thirteen to twelve, is a four and a half point favorite,

899
00:47:59,239 --> 00:48:01,360
and then with an op opportunity to go to the

900
00:48:01,480 --> 00:48:06,360
ACC title game, is a thirteen and a half point

901
00:48:06,400 --> 00:48:08,760
favorite on the road at kill They lose the game,

902
00:48:08,800 --> 00:48:09,880
and lost it handily.

903
00:48:10,119 --> 00:48:11,400
Speaker 2: They were outplayed thoroughly.

904
00:48:12,159 --> 00:48:15,000
Speaker 3: So but Arizona finish as a season five and oh

905
00:48:15,039 --> 00:48:18,079
straight up, and I just think that they have all

906
00:48:18,119 --> 00:48:21,880
the momentum right now. And those five wins came by

907
00:48:21,920 --> 00:48:25,360
seventeen points per game. In a virtual even matchups such

908
00:48:25,400 --> 00:48:28,760
as this, if you can get minus one forty or

909
00:48:28,920 --> 00:48:32,880
lower as a money line on Arizona, take the money line.

910
00:48:32,920 --> 00:48:35,400
If not, don't hesitate the late of two and a

911
00:48:35,440 --> 00:48:39,639
half or three on Arizona. Here over SMU, I like

912
00:48:39,760 --> 00:48:42,679
that play quite a bit here.

913
00:48:42,840 --> 00:48:46,719
Speaker 1: Oops, sorry, Dan, I got atlet you trigger finger part

914
00:48:46,800 --> 00:48:49,039
and me there there it is, Okay, there we go.

915
00:48:49,159 --> 00:48:51,440
That's Shell's may for trying to do it, somebody you

916
00:48:51,519 --> 00:48:56,760
need me for, Brian, I got very excited to do that.

917
00:48:56,920 --> 00:48:59,679
Then I that, of course I just showed the wrong graphic.

918
00:48:59,719 --> 00:49:01,880
All right, the Blitz squad right there, you see it

919
00:49:01,960 --> 00:49:04,760
right there. You just heard the man Ross, the boss Benjamin.

920
00:49:04,760 --> 00:49:06,760
He likes Arizona on the money line against SFU and

921
00:49:06,760 --> 00:49:09,599
the holiday bawl Ralph. He's talking New Year's Day. He

922
00:49:09,639 --> 00:49:12,039
might be there, folks rooting this one home for US

923
00:49:12,039 --> 00:49:15,320
Oregon Texas Tech first half under twenty five and a half,

924
00:49:15,360 --> 00:49:18,760
and then I like the Michigan Wolverines getting seven and

925
00:49:18,800 --> 00:49:20,559
a half against Like that number, by the way, is

926
00:49:20,559 --> 00:49:23,519
now trickled down to seven. If you're in the comments,

927
00:49:23,559 --> 00:49:26,480
I'll save you, guys. Yes, I still like Michigan at seven.

928
00:49:26,519 --> 00:49:28,840
I would like them even down to six, to be

929
00:49:28,880 --> 00:49:31,320
honest with you. In this game, you know, Ross added

930
00:49:31,360 --> 00:49:33,639
a very salient point in there that you know Texas,

931
00:49:33,800 --> 00:49:35,360
I don't know how thrilled they are to be in

932
00:49:35,400 --> 00:49:37,039
this game. Why I think the Michigan side's going to

933
00:49:37,079 --> 00:49:39,480
be galvanized, Guys, I neglected. I do see some of

934
00:49:39,480 --> 00:49:41,440
the questions on today's games. We'll get to those in

935
00:49:41,480 --> 00:49:43,599
just one second. We do all just want to remind

936
00:49:43,599 --> 00:49:46,320
you what we've got going on this week wagertalk dot com.

937
00:49:46,679 --> 00:49:48,920
Shame on me, I forgot to mention here during the

938
00:49:48,920 --> 00:49:52,280
program eight and two start to the Bulls over all

939
00:49:52,400 --> 00:49:55,599
twenty three and ten with all college football since November first.

940
00:49:55,599 --> 00:49:58,920
If you are watching this live, well thank you, and

941
00:49:59,039 --> 00:50:00,719
you can get my next college ball ball winner for

942
00:50:00,719 --> 00:50:03,119
just five dollars today only. Of course, that price will

943
00:50:03,239 --> 00:50:07,039
change at midnight Pacific time. It will go up. But

944
00:50:07,119 --> 00:50:09,480
we do have a four percent best bet our next

945
00:50:09,480 --> 00:50:13,119
bowl winner. It is for New Year's Eve, going right now.

946
00:50:13,159 --> 00:50:15,639
So again eight and two in the Bulls twenty three

947
00:50:15,639 --> 00:50:19,320
and ten all college football since November first. Seeing it, well,

948
00:50:20,199 --> 00:50:21,039
so there you go.

949
00:50:21,119 --> 00:50:24,599
Speaker 4: So Brian, let me recap. You are eight and three.

950
00:50:26,119 --> 00:50:28,360
Speaker 1: Bull run eight and two, eight and two.

951
00:50:28,480 --> 00:50:31,679
Speaker 5: Ain't too ross? You're eight and three. Yes, my ball

952
00:50:31,760 --> 00:50:34,119
run is seven and two. That is a combined twenty

953
00:50:34,159 --> 00:50:37,079
three and eight for the Blitz Handicappers college football bawls.

954
00:50:37,159 --> 00:50:37,960
Speaker 2: Nice job, gentlemen.

955
00:50:38,199 --> 00:50:42,119
Speaker 1: Why they passed to be on the show. We love

956
00:50:42,119 --> 00:50:44,440
it so yeah, and you heard these guys. Ralph has

957
00:50:44,480 --> 00:50:48,960
the big five percent play ross locked and loaded as well.

958
00:50:50,239 --> 00:50:51,760
Is there anything else you guys would like to talk

959
00:50:51,760 --> 00:50:52,840
about I did see that there was.

960
00:50:52,840 --> 00:50:54,480
Speaker 2: A quick question here Dan.

961
00:50:54,559 --> 00:50:57,320
Speaker 1: I will grab this yere if you'd allow me. Somebody,

962
00:50:57,320 --> 00:51:00,599
there are some ball I have nothing on the bulls today.

963
00:51:00,480 --> 00:51:03,719
There are this is like opt out city on Tuesday

964
00:51:03,800 --> 00:51:05,920
on the balls, and there is a lot of variance.

965
00:51:06,199 --> 00:51:09,760
We've got questions about Tennessee and USC. Did any of

966
00:51:09,800 --> 00:51:11,440
you guys, Did either of you guys have anything to

967
00:51:11,440 --> 00:51:14,239
say about today's bowl games? Because I'm gonna throw my

968
00:51:14,239 --> 00:51:16,159
hands up and say I hate all these matchups. I'm

969
00:51:16,199 --> 00:51:16,760
not betting them.

970
00:51:17,480 --> 00:51:18,639
Speaker 4: I broke I broke.

971
00:51:18,400 --> 00:51:21,519
Speaker 5: Down Tennessee and the USC game on wager Talk today,

972
00:51:21,599 --> 00:51:23,239
so we don't have to rehash it.

973
00:51:23,480 --> 00:51:25,840
Speaker 4: Go watch the wager Talk replay for both of those games.

974
00:51:25,840 --> 00:51:28,519
Speaker 5: For me, nothing on the Coastal Carolina and I did

975
00:51:28,559 --> 00:51:31,199
pass as well today in college football, guys, there's three

976
00:51:31,239 --> 00:51:33,679
games that's on all day. But do the smart thing

977
00:51:33,840 --> 00:51:37,480
money management. If this bowl game were played on a

978
00:51:37,639 --> 00:51:40,920
traditional Saturday with sixty games, would it be one of

979
00:51:40,920 --> 00:51:44,159
your top five plays? That's basically my rule if I

980
00:51:44,239 --> 00:51:45,199
use a bowl game or not.

981
00:51:48,039 --> 00:51:52,000
Speaker 3: Anything, Hi, you, I do have a premium pick selection

982
00:51:52,239 --> 00:51:55,920
on the Music City Bowl today between Tennessee and Illinois.

983
00:51:55,920 --> 00:51:58,599
Speaker 2: It's up right now. It's only five dollars.

984
00:51:58,679 --> 00:52:02,480
Speaker 3: It's Tuesday fight out there are Tuesday folks in Like.

985
00:52:03,159 --> 00:52:05,639
Speaker 2: You know, Rulph has brought up our records in the

986
00:52:05,679 --> 00:52:08,719
college football both games and I'm not going to bring

987
00:52:08,760 --> 00:52:09,320
that up again.

988
00:52:09,360 --> 00:52:13,320
Speaker 3: But I am you know, number one in college football

989
00:52:13,320 --> 00:52:16,239
over the last three seasons in both win percentage in

990
00:52:16,440 --> 00:52:19,679
units an hitting sixty three percent this year. On my

991
00:52:19,719 --> 00:52:23,679
college Football bring Me picks Tennessee Illinois winning side up

992
00:52:23,760 --> 00:52:26,639
right now. And for those of you who follow me

993
00:52:26,679 --> 00:52:29,760
on wager Talk TV on my solo videos where I

994
00:52:29,880 --> 00:52:31,880
do a deep dive on games, I do have a

995
00:52:31,920 --> 00:52:37,679
deep dive on USC and TCU today and you can

996
00:52:37,719 --> 00:52:40,599
get that by going to wager Talk TV. I do

997
00:52:40,679 --> 00:52:43,079
have the winning side and I break it down and

998
00:52:43,159 --> 00:52:45,800
tell you exactly why I came to the conclusion.

999
00:52:46,239 --> 00:52:47,000
Speaker 2: So there you have it.

1000
00:52:47,039 --> 00:52:52,239
Speaker 5: Brent Briant, O next next year, if you have Ross

1001
00:52:52,280 --> 00:52:53,119
and I back again.

1002
00:52:53,480 --> 00:52:56,280
Speaker 4: Uh, you know, if we pay you enough.

1003
00:52:56,559 --> 00:52:58,960
Speaker 5: Let me say this, if we bribe you enough to

1004
00:52:59,039 --> 00:53:01,760
allow you to be back on the show next year.

1005
00:53:01,599 --> 00:53:03,800
Speaker 4: Again, here's what I'm gonna do for the offseason.

1006
00:53:04,000 --> 00:53:05,559
Speaker 5: Well, let you know, let's do a couple of summer

1007
00:53:05,639 --> 00:53:08,639
shows like we did, you know, doing some things next

1008
00:53:08,719 --> 00:53:11,400
year when we have our early bird for college football,

1009
00:53:12,039 --> 00:53:14,280
I will make one for three of us. You buy two,

1010
00:53:14,320 --> 00:53:16,000
you get one freeze, so you get all three of

1011
00:53:16,079 --> 00:53:18,360
us if you're interested in following us. Now that means

1012
00:53:18,360 --> 00:53:20,840
you may get some opposite plays, and that happens. But

1013
00:53:21,199 --> 00:53:24,559
again it's not like we all handicap exactly the same way,

1014
00:53:24,639 --> 00:53:26,679
So keep an eye for that. We'll make sure to

1015
00:53:26,719 --> 00:53:28,599
bring that up in the summer when we do some

1016
00:53:28,599 --> 00:53:29,639
summer preview shows.

1017
00:53:30,079 --> 00:53:33,000
Speaker 1: Absolutely, and we're all looking forward to a big finish

1018
00:53:33,119 --> 00:53:35,039
to this year as well. I remember I think I'm

1019
00:53:35,039 --> 00:53:36,599
gonna have a pretty big play on New Year's Eve,

1020
00:53:36,719 --> 00:53:39,400
just to pardon me, New Year's Day, just a little

1021
00:53:39,400 --> 00:53:42,280
preview that some some might say that you might want

1022
00:53:42,320 --> 00:53:45,280
to go to WT do buzz slash VP for that.

1023
00:53:45,559 --> 00:53:48,079
Of course, last year on New Year's Day, well, we

1024
00:53:48,079 --> 00:53:49,679
didn't have many better plays than we had on the

1025
00:53:49,719 --> 00:53:51,599
first day of the year, guys when we had Ohio

1026
00:53:51,639 --> 00:53:54,519
State money line over Oregon in the Rose Bawl. That

1027
00:53:54,559 --> 00:53:56,639
was a five percent play. Great way to kick off

1028
00:53:56,639 --> 00:53:59,719
the year. We're gonna finish twenty twenty five strong, start

1029
00:53:59,760 --> 00:54:02,960
twenty six strong as well, all three of us. We'll

1030
00:54:02,960 --> 00:54:06,440
be back next Thursday. We will have two games, just

1031
00:54:06,480 --> 00:54:09,239
two to discuss. It might be a truncated addition of

1032
00:54:09,239 --> 00:54:10,760
the Let's who knows. We could probably talk for an

1033
00:54:10,760 --> 00:54:12,480
hour about two games, but it'll be the College Football

1034
00:54:12,480 --> 00:54:15,679
Plaoffs semi finals to handicap. We will see you then.

1035
00:54:16,480 --> 00:54:19,639
Until next time, let's cash some tickets