Speaker 1: What's up?
Speaker 2: Everybody?
Speaker 1: Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. If you are new,
we always start this show by being transparent, and yesterday,
I mean it's fortunate for me. I had my fingers
when I got off the show. They would not let me.
They were shaken. My hand was I couldn't even push
confirm on Chicago Sky and I saved myself some money,
so I know I left that on the show, but
I didn't push confirm. I ended up three you Oh, yesterday,
I had the Over and the Mystics game. I had
airy over four and a half assists, and I had
under one sixty five in the Storm game. So all
three were pretty good. And we'll see if we can
do that again here today. Veno, good to be back
with you. How was everything for you yesterday? How are
you feeling today?
Speaker 2: I'm good. Today's ski Yesterday was a good day. Probably
could have been better. I got a little bit too
cute and tried to play the Sparks Washington Revenue just
take in full game. Over tried first half and obviously
the second half was the biggest scorer in half where
both teams went crazy. Nine points second quarter out of
the Mystics in that particular game, but the rest were winners.
The Liberty fever once again. Third game played, third easy
over between those two teams. Really doesn't matter who's on
the floor, but I think it's important to note that
John Quwel Jones twenty two and a half minutes eighteen
and nine almost had a double double first game back,
So look out for New York hit fourteen threes yesterday.
They can all shoot, and when you have them all
out there, they're they're a tough team. And then, funny
you talked about the Chicago sky the way you did,
because mine wouldn't let me press Dallas team total under
and it went the full game under. And thank goodness
because a little while later Skyler Diggins got ruled out. Yeah,
and Dallas took off in a second. I've stayed way
under only a one fifty game, but Dallas's team total
did get over, so I got a winner there. And
of course the best bet for the show you so
they was mystics first quarter, and they did get their
first quarter. It was the second quarter that turned out back,
So good day overall. Ski will take it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you did, you did right to get in and
get out on that game, so good stuff there. Today
we only have one game to talk about here, and
it's my bad because I didn't even make a banner
for it. But yeah, we'll just we'll just get into it.
First off, I'll fix it as we go. It's the
Atlanta Dream heading into Phoenix to take on the Mercury.
And this one opened up minus six and a half.
We now see minus seven and a half and the
total looks like it open one sixty and a half
mostly see one sixty three and a half. So boom,
there we go right there. Injury report for the Mercury,
I see Killiney Brown as list it as probable. Mcconnie
is out starting point guard there. And then for the
Dream they're still without Ryan Howard. The Dream are on
the back to back. You never know if you can
get others rolled out throughout the day, but as of
right now, that is the injury report. I would think,
you know, they're not too exhausted coming off of All
Star break, but going into All Star they did play
I think three straight road games, come out and play
last night, have to travel again here to the Phoenix.
Still not in ideal spot for the Dream for the Mercury,
finally getting a little bit more death, getting healthier. Side
to it looks like she'll be back. Kalia Copper will
be back. Just really missing that that guard position there.
So I can't help but think, you know, I mean,
Mercury are the well rested team. Mercury are the better team.
They're at home. Why should we look any anyway other
than the Phoenix Mercury tonight, Rob you know.
Speaker 2: You know, initially the money didn't ski. They pushed this
thing all the way to eight and a half, and
steadily it's come back down to seven and a half.
Some Atlanta dream money showing up within the last out
of sixty minutes or so. Potentially just some take back
from guys who are trying to middle this thing. You
get in at minus six and a half and then
come back and take plus eight and a half and
look for a middle that goes on every single day.
I can't you know, here, here's the reasons. If you
want to try and make the case for Atlanta, you
simply say they're back from All Star break. Now they
got one under their belt. Unfortunately for them, it's a
travel situation, right back to back. We travel, not that
Las Vegas, the Phoenix is anything difficult, but it's still
back to back. We travel the for the dream. And
if you want to look at the negative side of Phoenix,
first game in seven days and first game in sixteen
days for Satu and Clear Copper. Also, I think Lexi
held is back for that. They've got everybody back now.
They added to Wana Bonner in the process, who actually
looks like she realized now that you get paid to
play and not complain. She had a great game or
last game out. So Phoenix is extremely deep. I look
at the guard play for at Lanta Ski and they
were taxed last night minutes wise in a blowout situation.
Jordan Canada thirty six and a half minutes and Alicia
Gray thirty five almost thirty six minutes. That's a lot
of minutes for the backcourt who's going to have to
chase very fast. Phoenix team number two in pace in
the league, right, and it's good to have a home
team with pace catching a team back to back with travel,
you want to just run and hopefully gas them in
the second half. I don't see any real reason to
play against Phoenix in this particular game. Atlanta's defensive numbers
are questionable. I mean, if you look at overall numbers
in this league, you'll find that the dream are number
six in defensive rating, pretty good, number four points allowed,
pretty good. But when you dig through the twenty three
games that they played, you'll find that four times they
held teams to fifty five, fifty eight, fifty six, and
forty nine. So their numbers are kind of skewed by four,
you know, abnormal defensive efforts. The other nineteen games, fifteen
times they've allowed eighty plus, including last night they gave
up eighty seven. We know Phoenix when healthy can score.
I mean, before Satu and Copper went out of the lineup,
they had a ten game stretch where they were averaging
almost eighty nine per and they looked like the best
offensive team in the league at some point. So I
don't know, matchup wise on the floor fundamentally looks like
Phoenix situation. It looks like Phoenix. And I'll just say
one more thing in Phoenix's favor. They sit one game
in the standings. They're the three seed right now. New
York is two, one game behind New York, and they
play New York in two days. A win here and
a win against New York. Even though it's a travel situation,
they would be alone in second place. This is kind
of this is the time second half of everybody's gonna
push for a playoff spot, and even if they don't
get the second it creates some separation between Seattle and Atlanta,
the two teams chasing them with a win here. So
I have to play Phoenix team total eighty five and
a half ski for the Mercury probably doable in this
situation considering pace and lack of rest for the Dream.
So it maybe a look that way too for Phoenix
get to get to eighty six.
Speaker 1: So eighty five and a half you said that's the number.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean.
Speaker 1: I do think Phoenix should be able to score here tonight.
I do think they'll play up tempo as well. I'm
not mad at that team total. I mean, I'm kind
of in agreement with the total going up in this game.
The only thing for me is do we have to
worry about the Dream maybe dying in the second half?
But oddsmakers maybe see it a little bit different. The
first half is only eighty and the full game is
one sixty three and a half or one sixty four now,
so shaded a little bit more towards points in the
second half as far as with odds makers think, but
it's Phoenix are over for me. Uh to Casey in
the chat says, haircut gusky, looking like Ronald.
Speaker 2: Man. Way, we need a side by side so I
can understand that comment, because.
Speaker 1: Case I just want to some kind of jab you know,
you know how it goes. You guys haven't seen me
since I got my haircut. I don't think though, Actually no,
you saw me yesterday. I got a haircut last Tuesday.
But anyway, mercury or over Mark likes the Mercury, and
he also says, I think this is some kind of
like alternate parlay for them to win in over one
fifty four and a half of minus one fifteen, So
he's taking them a couple different ways there. Prop Wise,
it was nothing I really loved tonight. I'll say it
does look like size advantage. As far as atol, maybe
grabbing rebounds, maybe I would look towards three Jones rebounds.
But other than that, you know, maybe actually you get
saw two back, you get Khalia copperback. I mean, unless
the Thomas not gonna have to do so much scoring anymore.
Maybe we look towards either her points prop under, or
we look towards her or assists prop over because she
has more help. Those are ways I would think to
look at for props anything for you in that regard,
you know, I know you're not prop heavy.
Speaker 2: Yeah, And I think Phoenix is hard where points player
points are concerned because they can disperse them. So many
different ways could be sought to could I mean, for
all we know, Sammy Wickham could come out and it
hit six threes, you get, you know what I mean.
So they've got so many weapons now, so deep, and
it just reminds me that what was it, seventh seventeen
to one? What'd you get price tag on them.
Speaker 1: To win eighteen to one?
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I mean that's when they're healthy. They look
really good. So for me, it's hard for them points
wise size advantage. I'm not so sure that it's clear
here for Atlanta because Natasha Mac also grabbing rebounds for Phoenix.
So probably, you know, for me, if I probably have
to look at somebody to make threes, probably if you're Atlanta,
you need a big night out of one of the guards.
The guards didn't do a heck of a lot last
night for Atlanta, and if they're going to stay in
this thing, it's got to be one of those two Jordan,
Canada or Gray. If I had to, I would look
that way. But let's say I'm not going to play
anything propwise, all.
Speaker 1: Right, fair enough? That is uh, that is the game
for today tomorrow. Let's see, I mean we have tomorrow.
I think we have three. Yeah, we have three tomorrow
and three on Friday, so it should be a more
more pack show, more to choose from. But that's all
we have for today. So before we move to best bets,
let's go ahead and let's toss this up there. And
I didn't even read it, but I know kind of
what it is. It's a chance to get involved with
both Rovino and myself for the rest of the WNBA season.
Looks like the total is two eighty eight, saves you
ninety one bucks off the regular price, and it comes
out to just three dollars per day, and you'll get
every selection from both Robno and myself WNBA. If it
goes the full season, it would end on October nineteenth.
So that's what we have there, all right. Now, you
know it's time for Best bets. I'll ask you if
there's anything else you would like to promote, and if
you would like to leave a best bet for the show,
feel free. If not, it's all good.
Speaker 2: Yeah, the promotion for the two of us. Obviously, I'll
say one more time, like we did yesterday, if you
purchased a month of August, you'll get the rest of
July absolutely free from wager talk, and August brings a
lot more to choose from day in July. Does this
football becomes a real thing in a couple of weeks
two with the NFL preseason in college football a couple
of weeks included in that offer because there's a couple
of weeks of college football before August, and so once again,
you can buy an all access package every play either
one of us releases from now to then in any sport,
including the five percent, and you'll get the rest of
July absolutely free. Ski I'm not going to release the
best bet here just because I didn't play the game.
I do like the Mercury side, and I could very
well on a personal level get there later on. That
would be the way I lean here is Phoenix Mercury
And also, as I said earlier, perhaps over eighty five
and a half looks a little bit too low for
me for a team like Phoenix that can when they're
all together, they can really score, and that first half
second half might be tilted towards the second half. We
total is concerned. Odds makers may think it might take
Phoenix a little bit to get going here, but if
they get going, eighty six doesn't seem that hard. So
those are two leans I'll leave you with, but nothing
in the best bat category.
Speaker 1: All right, Well, for myself, I'm gonna go ahead and
give it to you guys, because yesterday it was kind
of kind of dirty. I felt pretty bad because I
talked about the sky and I didn't end up getting there,
and I did feel bad for anybody who took the
guy itself. Today we are taking the Mercury. I still
think seven and a half is solid. I think it's
a double digit win, So Mercury. Somebody in the chat
is asking first half a full game for them. I
would go full game personally. And also, you never know,
you could get somebody rode out for Atlanta throughout the day,
So that will be my best bet for the show.
Veno appreciate you taking the time to come break down
this game with me. Tomorrow we'll have a little bit
more to talk about. It's always good breaking them down
with you. Everybody in the chat, you guys helped make
the show it is, and I always want to let
you know how much you are appreciated as well everybody
else out there. Twitch x, YouTube, shorts, YouTube kick, Spotify, Apple,
It's a lot of different ways to listen to the
show and we appreciate everybody who's tuning in. So tomorrow
we'll be back to talk about the three games at
ten thirty am Pacific standard time, and we will catch
you all then.