1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:00,600 Speaker 1: Welcome. 2 00:00:00,720 --> 00:00:04,599 Speaker 2: It's Tuesday, Christmas Eve, Eve, December the twenty third, the 3 00:00:04,599 --> 00:00:08,480 best betting show ever, and hey, early Christmas gift. The 4 00:00:08,519 --> 00:00:10,919 PRES is not here, but you get me instead. Steve 5 00:00:10,919 --> 00:00:12,880 Merrill filled in for the PRES. You got Joe Vernay. 6 00:00:13,199 --> 00:00:15,560 Look at that hoppy holidays festivus to the rest of us, 7 00:00:15,679 --> 00:00:18,000 Arthur de Caesar. Because the PRES is not here, no 8 00:00:18,079 --> 00:00:21,280 aerin of grievances. We will still have feats of strength, though, 9 00:00:21,320 --> 00:00:24,000 because all three of us are pretty powerful. Let's get 10 00:00:24,039 --> 00:00:25,320 right to it though. We will have a lot of 11 00:00:25,320 --> 00:00:27,320 content by the way here on wager Talk TV throughout 12 00:00:27,320 --> 00:00:29,679 the holidays, free play videos for all the games, but 13 00:00:30,079 --> 00:00:32,399 many live shows the next two days. So enjoy these 14 00:00:32,799 --> 00:00:34,759 while you can get them, and a right let's get 15 00:00:34,799 --> 00:00:37,000 right too. We got three Bowl games today on Tuesday, 16 00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:39,759 December the twenty third, As is the case with a 17 00:00:39,799 --> 00:00:42,640 lot of these minor Bowl games, uncertainty on opt outs, 18 00:00:42,679 --> 00:00:46,439 coaching changes, all the other delightful things we get in December, 19 00:00:47,039 --> 00:00:49,159 but a lot of action. Three ESPN games. What are 20 00:00:49,159 --> 00:00:50,520 you seeing here on your side of the counter. 21 00:00:51,399 --> 00:00:53,159 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm going to touch on the two later Bowl 22 00:00:53,159 --> 00:00:56,000 games and then the Hawaii Bowl as well. Steve Western 23 00:00:56,079 --> 00:00:58,359 Kentucky Southern Miss. We took Sharp money on Solar Mess 24 00:00:58,399 --> 00:01:02,119 at plus five plus four, got to pick and then 25 00:01:02,159 --> 00:01:05,680 even even got Southern Miss minus one at one point, 26 00:01:05,719 --> 00:01:08,640 so Southern Miss was a slight favorite that was short lived. 27 00:01:08,680 --> 00:01:11,079 We're back to pick on the game. We opened that 28 00:01:11,159 --> 00:01:14,359 total at fifty six, got to his high as sixty 29 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:17,319 and a half now creeped back down to forty nine 30 00:01:17,359 --> 00:01:19,519 and a half. That was early Sharp money on the 31 00:01:19,560 --> 00:01:22,519 over and then late Sharp money on the over, so 32 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:24,239 they're kind of maybe trying to find a little bit 33 00:01:24,280 --> 00:01:27,359 of a middle there. UNLV obviously the home team, there 34 00:01:27,359 --> 00:01:30,400 will be a little bit of interest on UNLV Hawaii 35 00:01:30,879 --> 00:01:34,680 open UNLV five got to his high as seven. Sharps 36 00:01:34,719 --> 00:01:38,000 actually took Ohio at seven, so we're now at six 37 00:01:38,079 --> 00:01:40,000 and a half on the game. And then the Sharp 38 00:01:40,079 --> 00:01:42,680 spent the over sixty four and a half now up 39 00:01:42,680 --> 00:01:45,840 to sixty six and a half. The Hawaii Bowl cal 40 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:49,840 and Hawaii Sharp's took Hawaii plus two. WHI is now 41 00:01:49,879 --> 00:01:53,280 a one point home favorite basically because that is their 42 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:56,640 home bowl, and we moved with the market on the total. 43 00:01:56,680 --> 00:01:59,560 It wasn't necessarily Sharp or public action here, but it 44 00:01:59,599 --> 00:02:01,920 was fifty four and a half on an opener. We've 45 00:02:01,959 --> 00:02:04,719 now seen under money come in, pushing us to fifty 46 00:02:04,760 --> 00:02:05,560 two and a half. 47 00:02:07,040 --> 00:02:09,199 Speaker 1: I know it's yeah, I do. 48 00:02:10,319 --> 00:02:14,680 Speaker 4: I'm just gonna ask Art before obviously the Sugar Bowl 49 00:02:14,719 --> 00:02:17,599 and everything else comes up next week. Did you see 50 00:02:17,639 --> 00:02:21,199 anybody after the results of the quarterfinals. 51 00:02:21,199 --> 00:02:21,840 Speaker 1: Did you see. 52 00:02:21,639 --> 00:02:24,520 Speaker 4: Anybody run into the window to back one team or 53 00:02:24,680 --> 00:02:27,759 the other. Have you seen any interest for the bigger 54 00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:28,560 picture games? 55 00:02:30,319 --> 00:02:30,360 Speaker 1: No? 56 00:02:30,560 --> 00:02:32,919 Speaker 3: I mean, I will say this is the favorite so 57 00:02:33,159 --> 00:02:36,879 far the public, especially the three big favors. I'll take 58 00:02:36,919 --> 00:02:39,680 Oregon and Texas Tech out of it, but we've already 59 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:45,080 seen the three team money line parlays on Ohio State, Indiana, 60 00:02:45,120 --> 00:02:48,120 and Georgia, and we know out of those three games, 61 00:02:48,159 --> 00:02:50,120 we'll probably need an upset out of one of them 62 00:02:50,159 --> 00:02:54,080 because that is going to be a very popular money 63 00:02:54,120 --> 00:02:57,599 line parlay moving forward here, even a three legger where 64 00:02:57,719 --> 00:03:00,520 maybe they add an NFL game, whatever the case may be. 65 00:03:00,719 --> 00:03:03,759 So we'll be fighting against those three big favorites, whereas 66 00:03:03,759 --> 00:03:06,400 obviously Oregon Texas tack you know, one point one and 67 00:03:06,400 --> 00:03:08,879 a half point game that will probably see pretty good 68 00:03:08,879 --> 00:03:11,520 two way action, but it's probably a little too early 69 00:03:11,560 --> 00:03:14,159 to kind of see where really the public or the 70 00:03:14,199 --> 00:03:16,520 sharps lean for us in these playoff games. 71 00:03:18,240 --> 00:03:20,240 Speaker 2: Talking to Arthur de Caesar, of course from the Westgates 72 00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:22,400 super Book in Las Vegas and Nevada, I should have 73 00:03:22,439 --> 00:03:24,240 told some people that we might have some new viewers 74 00:03:24,439 --> 00:03:27,599 art but definitely getting the other side of the counter here. 75 00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:31,199 And you mentioned the NFL tried to delay talking about 76 00:03:31,199 --> 00:03:33,319 these Thursday games as long as possible because there are 77 00:03:33,360 --> 00:03:37,159 some ugly games. Who better Roger de Guell getting a 78 00:03:37,159 --> 00:03:39,319 glump of coal? Who could deserve them more right on 79 00:03:39,400 --> 00:03:42,919 Christmas Day? As of now, we could have all three 80 00:03:43,039 --> 00:03:47,719 underdogs with third string quarterbacks on Christmas. Netflix and Amazon 81 00:03:47,800 --> 00:03:49,879 Prime getting what they paid for with one hundreds of 82 00:03:49,919 --> 00:03:53,840 millions of dollars for these streaming games. But the reality 83 00:03:53,919 --> 00:03:55,840 is are going to be heavily bet people will find 84 00:03:55,879 --> 00:03:58,120 a way to play them. What have you seen so 85 00:03:58,280 --> 00:04:02,840 far on these three Christmas Day Thursday games? 86 00:04:03,639 --> 00:04:05,319 Speaker 3: Yeah, and they certainly will. And it's gonna have a 87 00:04:05,360 --> 00:04:07,120 feel of the playoff games. We're gonna need one of 88 00:04:07,159 --> 00:04:12,000 these dogs outright, because I listen, these are tough games. 89 00:04:12,439 --> 00:04:12,639 Speaker 1: You know. 90 00:04:12,840 --> 00:04:15,680 Speaker 3: Cowboys in Washington six and a half now seven for 91 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:18,879 US total of fifty one. The public has creeped Dallas 92 00:04:18,959 --> 00:04:22,120 up to a seven point favorite. Detroit has been six, 93 00:04:22,199 --> 00:04:25,480 and we really haven't budged off that, and the public 94 00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:28,240 is on Detroit as well. There is sharp action on 95 00:04:28,279 --> 00:04:30,319 this game. On the under, we were forty six now 96 00:04:30,399 --> 00:04:32,639 forty four and a half, and then Denver as big 97 00:04:32,680 --> 00:04:36,480 as a thirteen point favorite. Here on the road total 98 00:04:36,560 --> 00:04:38,959 is creeped down. With the market thirty seven and a 99 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:42,319 half now thirty six and having a seven to six 100 00:04:42,399 --> 00:04:46,439 and thirteen point favorites, we're gonna just need They're gonna 101 00:04:46,439 --> 00:04:49,600 be moneyline parlays all day on this. It's just it's 102 00:04:49,639 --> 00:04:52,519 not gonna end. They might even just say Dallas and 103 00:04:52,600 --> 00:04:56,279 Detroit and maybe leave Denver out of it. Two teamers, teasers, 104 00:04:56,360 --> 00:04:59,000 all that type of stuff. So we're gonna need one 105 00:04:59,000 --> 00:05:01,160 of these dogs to win out right on Christmas Day. 106 00:05:01,160 --> 00:05:02,279 I don't think there's any question. 107 00:05:02,959 --> 00:05:05,920 Speaker 1: Good luck with that, art, Yeah, good luck with that. 108 00:05:05,959 --> 00:05:08,040 I don't even think anything that you can't even teaser 109 00:05:08,120 --> 00:05:10,639 protect that. Guys are just gonna be playing ten point d. 110 00:05:11,000 --> 00:05:12,920 Speaker 4: They're gonna do whatever they gotta do to try to 111 00:05:12,920 --> 00:05:15,079 get attion on those games there. 112 00:05:15,680 --> 00:05:17,560 Speaker 2: Joe, I gotta ask gart real quick. I mean, we've 113 00:05:17,560 --> 00:05:19,360 all been doing this a long time. I did my 114 00:05:19,439 --> 00:05:21,439 videos yesterday are for these three games. And something I 115 00:05:21,439 --> 00:05:23,879 thought about last night as I was just laying down 116 00:05:23,879 --> 00:05:25,680 and relaxing. I didn't mention in the video, so I 117 00:05:25,680 --> 00:05:28,079 want to mention it now. Kansas City was a four 118 00:05:28,079 --> 00:05:31,160 point road favorite like a month ago. They're now a 119 00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:32,879 thirteen point home dog. 120 00:05:33,000 --> 00:05:33,160 Speaker 1: Now. 121 00:05:33,160 --> 00:05:35,279 Speaker 2: I know home field isn't worth three each way like 122 00:05:35,319 --> 00:05:37,920 it used to be, but Denver and Casey are two 123 00:05:37,959 --> 00:05:39,759 of the stronger home field so let's just say two 124 00:05:39,839 --> 00:05:43,279 each way. That's a seventeen point plus four. It's a 125 00:05:43,399 --> 00:05:48,399 twenty one point difference in one month basically because one 126 00:05:48,439 --> 00:05:50,399 player is out. I mean, I know the Chiefs have 127 00:05:50,399 --> 00:05:52,199 been terrible. I know they shouldn't have been minus four 128 00:05:52,199 --> 00:05:54,839 a month ago. Maybe they'd be plus four with Mahomes 129 00:05:54,839 --> 00:05:57,759 now at Denver, But have you ever seen anything like 130 00:05:57,800 --> 00:05:59,879 that in your life? Basically, one player is worth twenty 131 00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:02,199 one point? And I'm not saying I like the Chiefs. 132 00:06:02,439 --> 00:06:03,920 I mean I probably that'd be the only way I 133 00:06:03,959 --> 00:06:06,639 play it, probably at this point. But how insane is that? 134 00:06:07,639 --> 00:06:07,959 Speaker 1: It is? 135 00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:11,720 Speaker 3: Endlessen no one is worth twenty one points. And as 136 00:06:11,759 --> 00:06:13,759 great as my home is, you know, as great as 137 00:06:13,800 --> 00:06:16,560 Josh Allen is, you know, all these great quarterbacks, it 138 00:06:16,680 --> 00:06:19,399 is just such a First of all, no one knows 139 00:06:19,439 --> 00:06:22,399 who this chief quarterback is. It's not Gardner Minshew. We 140 00:06:22,439 --> 00:06:25,079 have history with him, we just know. Like we were 141 00:06:25,079 --> 00:06:27,600 sitting in the wrisk room on Sunday and when Minshew 142 00:06:27,639 --> 00:06:29,720 got hurt and they brought this kid and we were like, 143 00:06:29,720 --> 00:06:32,959 who is this Michael olawagandhy like what like. We were 144 00:06:33,040 --> 00:06:35,439 like making up names and we were joking around like, well, 145 00:06:35,439 --> 00:06:37,800 no one had ever heard of this guy. So I mean, 146 00:06:38,000 --> 00:06:41,959 clearly it's an overreaction, I guess. And I'm with you, Steve. 147 00:06:42,240 --> 00:06:43,519 I think the only way I could play it is 148 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:46,360 Kansas City. But it's just such a tough game. 149 00:06:46,920 --> 00:06:51,199 Speaker 4: Finally, the market is out on Kansas City art. I 150 00:06:51,199 --> 00:06:54,240 think it's official. We were wondering when it was gonna happen. 151 00:06:54,639 --> 00:06:55,160 Speaker 1: I believe. 152 00:06:55,240 --> 00:06:59,519 Speaker 4: Also, the biggest spread that Kansas City has had an arrowhead. 153 00:06:59,879 --> 00:07:02,920 Speaker 1: I believe they said in fifty years it's just. 154 00:07:02,920 --> 00:07:06,000 Speaker 4: Their harrowhead was supposed to be one of these big 155 00:07:06,000 --> 00:07:09,000 home field advantages, but not anymore. 156 00:07:09,160 --> 00:07:09,959 Speaker 1: When it comes. 157 00:07:09,759 --> 00:07:12,519 Speaker 2: Different won two games by double digits all season. They 158 00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:15,399 see your thirteen wins, they've only won two by double digits. 159 00:07:15,439 --> 00:07:19,319 Speaker 4: I think this season it's crazy. Yeah, unbelievable. It's it's 160 00:07:19,319 --> 00:07:22,079 gonna be gros Art. It's a good luck there, but 161 00:07:22,319 --> 00:07:24,680 you do at least have an opportunity. If you're going 162 00:07:24,720 --> 00:07:27,079 to play at parlay, you might as well do our 163 00:07:27,120 --> 00:07:29,720 parlay of the day coming up here at Art because 164 00:07:29,800 --> 00:07:34,120 we're gonna focus just on the games here today and Merril, 165 00:07:34,279 --> 00:07:36,160 you are the guest tost so guess what you. 166 00:07:36,079 --> 00:07:38,480 Speaker 1: Get to throw out any game you want. 167 00:07:38,519 --> 00:07:42,240 Speaker 4: Today to start off our three team parlay here, which 168 00:07:42,680 --> 00:07:44,519 are and I have been pretty good all season long. 169 00:07:44,759 --> 00:07:46,360 I don't have to tell you the pres has been 170 00:07:46,439 --> 00:07:49,600 total Well you know exactly what happens there. 171 00:07:49,680 --> 00:07:52,959 Speaker 2: Borrow the Frisco Ball Not in San Francisco. This is Frisco, 172 00:07:53,079 --> 00:07:55,160 Texas where they used to play the one double A 173 00:07:55,240 --> 00:07:58,480 championship for several years, the FCS Championship. And you know, 174 00:07:58,600 --> 00:08:02,240 Vien Ohio to good off defensive teams, two questionable defensive teams. 175 00:08:02,279 --> 00:08:05,240 The Ohio head coach is out. He pulled a Michigan 176 00:08:05,759 --> 00:08:08,560 with an affair with the undergrad, so a lot of 177 00:08:08,639 --> 00:08:10,839 uncertainty there. I don't look for much defense in this game, 178 00:08:10,879 --> 00:08:13,000 and his art will tell you, being a UNLV local, 179 00:08:13,000 --> 00:08:15,600 there lots of offense no defense with them. You know, 180 00:08:15,639 --> 00:08:17,959 these minor bowl games have a tendency to be high scoring. 181 00:08:18,360 --> 00:08:19,720 This is as big of a total as we're going 182 00:08:19,759 --> 00:08:21,800 to see this bowl season. It opened sixty two and 183 00:08:21,800 --> 00:08:23,839 a half. It's up to sixty six and a half. But, 184 00:08:23,879 --> 00:08:26,439 as I'd love to say, the highest totals go over, 185 00:08:26,480 --> 00:08:28,319 and I think this is a textbook example of that. 186 00:08:28,680 --> 00:08:30,519 The only way I would play the Frisco Bowl tonight 187 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:32,240 is up and over sixty six and a half. 188 00:08:34,039 --> 00:08:36,600 Speaker 1: Art, what are you thinking? Yeah, I love it. 189 00:08:36,639 --> 00:08:39,639 Speaker 3: Steve's right, UNV scores and they play zero defense. I'm 190 00:08:39,639 --> 00:08:42,519 going to the NHL Big Slate. I'm taking the Bruins 191 00:08:42,840 --> 00:08:46,519 minus one fifteen short home favorite against Montreal. 192 00:08:47,159 --> 00:08:48,879 Speaker 4: Oh I kind of like that one too as well. 193 00:08:48,960 --> 00:08:51,799 All Right, so then I'll go to the I'll go 194 00:08:51,879 --> 00:08:55,600 to the NBA. I'll take the eight points with the Knicks. 195 00:08:55,759 --> 00:08:57,639 I got no problem with that. I'll do it. I've 196 00:08:57,679 --> 00:09:01,799 been pretty decent. I will do not trust the Timberwolves 197 00:09:01,799 --> 00:09:04,559 to finish off people in games, especially at home. So 198 00:09:04,720 --> 00:09:07,960 Nicks plus eight for me, and that seems to be 199 00:09:07,960 --> 00:09:10,159 a pretty darn good parlay of the day, Meryl, what 200 00:09:10,200 --> 00:09:10,639 do you think? 201 00:09:12,279 --> 00:09:13,879 Speaker 2: Yeah, I was gonna say, what am I missing there? 202 00:09:13,879 --> 00:09:15,919 In that next game? I'm still digging into the NBA. 203 00:09:16,120 --> 00:09:18,759 But that's a big number. I'm considering they've got Jalen 204 00:09:18,799 --> 00:09:22,519 Brunton is ruled out, right, yeah, and is ruled out? 205 00:09:22,519 --> 00:09:23,799 Speaker 1: So yeah, I figured. 206 00:09:23,840 --> 00:09:25,559 Speaker 2: Figured there were some injuries there because that looked like 207 00:09:25,559 --> 00:09:28,279 a pretty big number for the NBA Cup champs. It's 208 00:09:28,320 --> 00:09:29,759 kind of like the Kansas City Chiefs. Let's do a 209 00:09:29,840 --> 00:09:30,799 Nicks Chiefs parlay. 210 00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:34,720 Speaker 4: Yeah, right, exactly, Yeah, Yeah, I'm willing to. I'm willing 211 00:09:34,759 --> 00:09:36,759 to take on the depth here of the Knicks. It's 212 00:09:36,759 --> 00:09:40,399 good to go there. Don't trust Minnesota at all. Art 213 00:09:40,399 --> 00:09:42,080 get out of here. A big day for you, man. 214 00:09:43,120 --> 00:09:46,320 Enjoy your holiday. We'll be back. You'll be back Friday. Right, 215 00:09:46,360 --> 00:09:48,399 we'll do the show getting everyone ready for the weekend. 216 00:09:49,279 --> 00:09:52,039 Speaker 3: Absolutely, listen, Happy holidays, boys, and yeah, Friday will be 217 00:09:52,039 --> 00:09:54,000 a big show, man. We'll break down all the Saturday 218 00:09:54,039 --> 00:09:57,120 Bowl games. Yeah, we'll try to touch us in. I 219 00:09:57,159 --> 00:09:59,879 guess really as many NFL as we can maybe even 220 00:10:00,080 --> 00:10:01,960 all of them. So yeah, Friday will be a nice 221 00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:02,679 lot of information. 222 00:10:02,919 --> 00:10:05,200 Speaker 4: Yeah, all right, Artur sees that we're gonna get to 223 00:10:05,200 --> 00:10:06,759 see him on Friday. 224 00:10:06,919 --> 00:10:08,039 Speaker 1: Double R one l. 225 00:10:08,080 --> 00:10:12,519 Speaker 4: Steve Merrill at his time for our fade or not 226 00:10:12,759 --> 00:10:16,320 to fade segment here. And I think it's pretty easy, 227 00:10:16,360 --> 00:10:19,360 certainly in the NFL, because we got a handful of 228 00:10:19,399 --> 00:10:23,000 bubble teams thanks to Indies defense crap in the bed 229 00:10:23,399 --> 00:10:25,919 last night. Looks like a whole lot of teams clinched 230 00:10:26,360 --> 00:10:30,159 their playoff spots, Buffalo being one of them there has 231 00:10:30,200 --> 00:10:33,919 already gone ahead and punched their ticket now, so that 232 00:10:34,039 --> 00:10:38,039 leaves a couple of teams on the outside maybe looking in. 233 00:10:38,200 --> 00:10:41,919 Speaker 1: And let's start with this indie team here. 234 00:10:42,039 --> 00:10:46,480 Speaker 4: Now they're not mathematically dead, but it certainly hasn't been 235 00:10:46,519 --> 00:10:49,840 Philip Rivers problem as to why they have gone zero 236 00:10:49,840 --> 00:10:51,759 to two in these last couple of games. 237 00:10:52,159 --> 00:10:53,519 Speaker 1: Do we look to back them? 238 00:10:53,559 --> 00:10:56,039 Speaker 4: Do you think this team rallies around them or are 239 00:10:56,039 --> 00:10:58,679 we looking just to fade Indie moving forward here? 240 00:11:00,679 --> 00:11:02,639 Speaker 2: No, I mean Indy was a fade for me going 241 00:11:02,639 --> 00:11:06,159 into last night on Monday. But Philip Rivers played well. 242 00:11:06,480 --> 00:11:08,799 He averaged about four yards of pass a week ago 243 00:11:08,799 --> 00:11:11,679 in Seattle, and actually played much better in the loss 244 00:11:11,840 --> 00:11:14,120 last night, even though it was a bigger loss. Averaged 245 00:11:14,120 --> 00:11:16,960 almost eight yards per pass a ninety seven QB rating. 246 00:11:17,519 --> 00:11:20,360 He looked serviceable, and I think the Colts have a 247 00:11:20,440 --> 00:11:23,000 chance now because of that, not a team I would 248 00:11:23,000 --> 00:11:25,759 write off. I believe there's only one playoff spot up 249 00:11:25,799 --> 00:11:28,799 for grabs between these two. The two teams have a 250 00:11:28,879 --> 00:11:31,559 chance of still grabbing one of the playoff spots. Well, 251 00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:34,200 I guess there's you know, there's seven teams now. Houston 252 00:11:34,240 --> 00:11:36,480 is in the seventh spot. Indianapolis and Baltimore the only 253 00:11:36,519 --> 00:11:38,559 other two teams I could get that spot right now, 254 00:11:39,120 --> 00:11:41,200 And I do feel like it's an uphill battle because 255 00:11:41,200 --> 00:11:44,279 there are two wins behind Houston. Not gonna happen, But 256 00:11:44,320 --> 00:11:45,759 I think the Colts will still play hard, and I 257 00:11:45,799 --> 00:11:49,120 thought Philip Rivers looked serviceable and against a Jacksonville team 258 00:11:49,159 --> 00:11:51,440 coming off that big Denver win, might not be a 259 00:11:51,480 --> 00:11:53,000 terrible spot for the Colts this week. 260 00:11:53,759 --> 00:11:57,600 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, listen, it's a division rivalry coming up, right, 261 00:11:57,919 --> 00:12:00,639 It'll be kitchen sake and feels like kind of game 262 00:12:00,679 --> 00:12:02,519 they're gonna lay it all out there one way or 263 00:12:02,519 --> 00:12:06,039 the other. It feels like, I don't know, Houston, is 264 00:12:06,720 --> 00:12:09,279 they what they started? Oh and free? And then they've 265 00:12:09,279 --> 00:12:12,039 brattled off all of these wins and some of them 266 00:12:12,080 --> 00:12:15,080 are a bit head scratching, but there is no doubt 267 00:12:15,480 --> 00:12:17,600 they are gonna have to get it done in a big, 268 00:12:17,639 --> 00:12:21,080 big way and need some help if they're going to advance. 269 00:12:21,559 --> 00:12:24,240 And then you switch it and you go to a 270 00:12:24,279 --> 00:12:27,720 couple of other teams here much like I don't know, 271 00:12:27,799 --> 00:12:32,360 let's talk about Carolina. Carolina holds their destiny in their 272 00:12:32,399 --> 00:12:34,279 own hands, which I guess is where you want to. 273 00:12:34,279 --> 00:12:35,919 Speaker 1: Be at this point. 274 00:12:35,600 --> 00:12:37,879 Speaker 4: I still I'm still listening to a lot of guys 275 00:12:37,919 --> 00:12:39,720 telling me they're not buying Carolina. 276 00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:42,159 Speaker 1: They win today, this. 277 00:12:42,039 --> 00:12:45,919 Speaker 4: Week coming up, it really might it matter what happens 278 00:12:45,960 --> 00:12:49,919 in that final game against Tampa because Carolina, I'm looking 279 00:12:49,919 --> 00:12:51,399 the back Tampa. 280 00:12:52,279 --> 00:12:54,159 Speaker 1: Is it too late for him? Steve at this. 281 00:12:54,200 --> 00:12:57,759 Speaker 2: Point, yeah, I'm not a big believer in Carolina, But 282 00:12:57,799 --> 00:12:59,639 then again, I don't like Tampa any better. It's a 283 00:12:59,759 --> 00:13:02,120 terror division and they're going to win it by default. 284 00:13:02,159 --> 00:13:04,120 You remember the Bucks won this division a few years ago. 285 00:13:04,120 --> 00:13:06,039 I think with a losing record that one season, they 286 00:13:06,039 --> 00:13:09,080 get a home game still with the playoff format. Seattle 287 00:13:09,159 --> 00:13:11,080 not a great spot for the Seahawks this week, traveling 288 00:13:11,120 --> 00:13:14,639 across the country after that emotional, high scoring, incredible Thursday 289 00:13:14,679 --> 00:13:16,720 night win against the Rams, but it was some extra 290 00:13:16,799 --> 00:13:18,960 time off, so we'll see how that This is a 291 00:13:18,960 --> 00:13:22,679 one o'clock Eastern start, that's ten am Seahawk time. So yeah, 292 00:13:22,720 --> 00:13:24,759 Carolina's probably gonna be live again this week, and then 293 00:13:24,759 --> 00:13:26,480 it comes down to that game at Tampa next week. 294 00:13:26,519 --> 00:13:29,000 And by the way, Houston plays at the Chargers this 295 00:13:29,039 --> 00:13:30,720 week and then they play the Colts next week. 296 00:13:30,960 --> 00:13:31,120 Speaker 1: Yep. 297 00:13:31,159 --> 00:13:34,080 Speaker 2: So the schedule makers didn't get it right for Christmas Thursday, 298 00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:36,159 but they got it right for next week. Perhaps is 299 00:13:36,399 --> 00:13:38,960 some really good playoff elimination games on deck. 300 00:13:39,120 --> 00:13:41,320 Speaker 1: There are going to be some huge ones here. 301 00:13:41,679 --> 00:13:44,559 Speaker 4: I think Tampa is just at this point it doesn't 302 00:13:44,559 --> 00:13:47,440 look like Baker Mayfield's healthy at all, and I think 303 00:13:47,519 --> 00:13:49,679 that's going to be a big problem for them. It 304 00:13:49,679 --> 00:13:53,039 looks like that shoulders a big, big issue for them. 305 00:13:53,080 --> 00:13:57,840 But another big issue is not mathematically eliminated. But are 306 00:13:57,879 --> 00:14:01,559 we really backing the Ravens in any shape or form here? 307 00:14:01,679 --> 00:14:05,879 Meryll moving forward? I can't watch them throw up all 308 00:14:05,919 --> 00:14:08,320 over themselves anymore. But the good news is they're taking 309 00:14:08,320 --> 00:14:10,919 on a Green Bay team that might also have a 310 00:14:10,960 --> 00:14:14,720 third string quarterback having to go here. So I don't know, 311 00:14:14,879 --> 00:14:17,879 is that maybe short run we looked to back the Ravens. 312 00:14:17,960 --> 00:14:21,200 They ain't dead until I guess somebody sticks a fork 313 00:14:21,200 --> 00:14:23,240 in a mere or can you just not trust them 314 00:14:23,240 --> 00:14:23,759 at this point? 315 00:14:23,879 --> 00:14:24,039 Speaker 1: Yeah. 316 00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:27,279 Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson has officially listed as questionable as of Tuesday 317 00:14:27,320 --> 00:14:29,000 with the back injury, so I don't know if he's 318 00:14:29,000 --> 00:14:31,360 gonna go. I can't imagine he's fully healthy. He looked 319 00:14:31,399 --> 00:14:34,120 really pained up at halftime there when he left the 320 00:14:34,120 --> 00:14:36,159 game on Sunday night. The one thing the Ravens have 321 00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:38,639 been doing better recently, he's playing better defense, and the announcers 322 00:14:38,639 --> 00:14:41,200 were talking about that. Then of course the floodgates open. 323 00:14:41,240 --> 00:14:42,919 We had a team total play for my free play 324 00:14:43,039 --> 00:14:45,320 video on the Patriots over twenty three and a half. 325 00:14:45,399 --> 00:14:46,960 I had a best bet for my clients on the 326 00:14:47,000 --> 00:14:49,639 game over, so I was happy with that result. And 327 00:14:49,679 --> 00:14:51,799 one thing I pointed out last week was that the 328 00:14:51,879 --> 00:14:54,240 Ravens have not stepped up well against good teams. All 329 00:14:54,240 --> 00:14:57,720 those recent wins and better defensive performances have come against 330 00:14:57,720 --> 00:15:00,639 some of the weaker teams in the NFL. Believer in 331 00:15:00,679 --> 00:15:04,879 the Ravens Huntley is serviceable at quarterback. It'll be a test, though, 332 00:15:04,879 --> 00:15:07,360 because the Packers have not been good offensively and what 333 00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:10,000 a terrible loss. One of the best bets of the year, 334 00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:11,879 Joe was an end game on the Bears. When that 335 00:15:11,919 --> 00:15:14,639 game went to overtime, you just knew Green Bay had 336 00:15:14,720 --> 00:15:17,480 no chance of coming back after blowing a sixteen to 337 00:15:17,519 --> 00:15:20,240 six lead with a few minutes to go. Packers, I believe, 338 00:15:20,279 --> 00:15:22,360 have to win out and Detroit has to lose out 339 00:15:22,639 --> 00:15:24,879 and the Lions likely are not losing at Minnesota. So 340 00:15:24,879 --> 00:15:27,639 by the time this game takes place on Sunday, Packers 341 00:15:27,639 --> 00:15:29,399 will likely be eliminated from the playoffs. 342 00:15:29,799 --> 00:15:32,399 Speaker 1: Kind of crazy and listened. 343 00:15:32,519 --> 00:15:34,720 Speaker 4: I mean, a lot of teams got that injury bug 344 00:15:34,799 --> 00:15:37,279 this year and it's just it's it's kind of set 345 00:15:37,279 --> 00:15:40,799 them off the rails here in a big, big way. 346 00:15:40,960 --> 00:15:45,720 But now then there's Detroit. So Detroit screwed the pooch there, 347 00:15:45,799 --> 00:15:49,559 played with its food and Pittsburgh caught them. Are we 348 00:15:49,720 --> 00:15:51,240 believing Detroit here? 349 00:15:51,360 --> 00:15:53,480 Speaker 1: Moving forward? It feels like Dan Campbell's not a guy. 350 00:15:53,559 --> 00:15:54,480 Nobody's quitting. 351 00:15:54,799 --> 00:15:57,080 Speaker 4: It doesn't feel like it doesn't mean they're a good 352 00:15:57,279 --> 00:15:59,720 play because I still feel like the public is going 353 00:15:59,759 --> 00:16:02,879 to want back Detroit as best they can, especially coming 354 00:16:02,960 --> 00:16:03,559 up against the. 355 00:16:03,519 --> 00:16:06,039 Speaker 1: Bears, I think on the fourth of January. 356 00:16:06,120 --> 00:16:10,120 Speaker 4: But I don't it feels like Detroit might be still 357 00:16:10,159 --> 00:16:12,039 a little old valued in the market. 358 00:16:12,080 --> 00:16:14,480 Speaker 1: What do you think correct? 359 00:16:14,519 --> 00:16:17,279 Speaker 2: But then there's a lot of uncertainty with Minnesota right now, 360 00:16:17,320 --> 00:16:20,200 Brosmer likely going to be the starter the University of Minnesota. 361 00:16:20,240 --> 00:16:22,480 Rookie will get to start maybe in Minnesota and in 362 00:16:22,639 --> 00:16:25,360 NFL game. And that's why we see this line go 363 00:16:25,399 --> 00:16:27,639 from three and a half look ahead last week to 364 00:16:27,759 --> 00:16:30,799 now six even some six and a half's out there 365 00:16:30,840 --> 00:16:33,919 starting to show total big drop as aren't mentioned earlier, 366 00:16:33,919 --> 00:16:35,440 from forty eight and a half down to forty four 367 00:16:35,480 --> 00:16:38,399 and a half. And that's because McCarthy is out, and 368 00:16:38,879 --> 00:16:40,519 you know he wasn't that good this season anyway. He 369 00:16:40,559 --> 00:16:42,080 had started to play a little bit better. But the 370 00:16:42,080 --> 00:16:44,840 big question is which Detroit team shows up. Is the 371 00:16:44,840 --> 00:16:47,120 team that got the number one seed last year, had 372 00:16:47,120 --> 00:16:49,639 that bad loss to the Commanders with five turnovers in 373 00:16:49,679 --> 00:16:52,200 the playoffs, and it's kind of lingered all season this year. 374 00:16:52,519 --> 00:16:54,159 You know, it's amazing, Joe, when we see teams with 375 00:16:54,200 --> 00:16:56,360 bad losses in the playoffs, like the Chiefs last year, 376 00:16:56,399 --> 00:16:58,799 or the Lions or the Commanders in the title game, 377 00:16:58,799 --> 00:17:00,480 how they kind of regress the file in a year. 378 00:17:01,080 --> 00:17:03,039 With that said, it'd be Detroit or passed. For me, 379 00:17:03,080 --> 00:17:05,559 it's going to probably be a public square side. Yeah, 380 00:17:05,599 --> 00:17:07,519 but I don't trust the Vikings, and I think Detroit 381 00:17:07,559 --> 00:17:08,799 does step up this Thursday. 382 00:17:09,079 --> 00:17:11,359 Speaker 4: You know, Art and I have talked all year long 383 00:17:11,440 --> 00:17:14,920 here on the show Stave about for whatever reason, especially 384 00:17:14,960 --> 00:17:18,839 early on in the season, the Sharps loved the Saints and. 385 00:17:18,759 --> 00:17:20,319 Speaker 1: They were looking to back them everywhere. 386 00:17:20,359 --> 00:17:22,119 Speaker 4: Again, there was always a lot of valid because nobody 387 00:17:22,160 --> 00:17:25,640 the public didn't expect anything from the Saints. But here 388 00:17:25,680 --> 00:17:29,559 they are now rattling off, you know, a bunch of wins. 389 00:17:29,799 --> 00:17:33,519 Tyler Schuck actually looks like he's getting it, believe it 390 00:17:33,640 --> 00:17:36,440 or not. Here with this team are they are you 391 00:17:36,559 --> 00:17:37,839 continuing to back them? 392 00:17:37,880 --> 00:17:39,559 Speaker 1: I mean, what have they got coming up Tennessee? 393 00:17:39,920 --> 00:17:42,559 Speaker 4: I mean it is New Orleans, a you know, a 394 00:17:42,640 --> 00:17:44,960 team that you don't want to look to fade here 395 00:17:45,079 --> 00:17:46,000 the rest of the way. 396 00:17:47,519 --> 00:17:49,480 Speaker 2: So last week, one of the games that just missed 397 00:17:49,519 --> 00:17:52,039 done in my Fade the Public video was the Saints. 398 00:17:52,440 --> 00:17:53,240 Speaker 1: How crazy is that? 399 00:17:53,359 --> 00:17:56,200 Speaker 2: The Saints were almost a public play last week and 400 00:17:56,319 --> 00:17:58,000 luckily it didn't make the video because they covered. And 401 00:17:58,000 --> 00:18:00,079 I always liked to fade the public and what do 402 00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:01,440 you want anything to do the Jets? I think that 403 00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:03,160 was more people just fading the Jets. But it was 404 00:18:03,200 --> 00:18:05,519 weird to me because, like you said, for weeks in 405 00:18:05,559 --> 00:18:07,680 and weeks out, the Saints have been a play against 406 00:18:07,680 --> 00:18:10,240 team from the public, and you look at what they've done. 407 00:18:10,559 --> 00:18:12,880 They did lose what was it eight seven or eight 408 00:18:12,880 --> 00:18:15,720 straight games there in October through mid November, but they 409 00:18:15,759 --> 00:18:18,519 covered half of them. And even now I think they're 410 00:18:18,640 --> 00:18:21,480 just two and eight their last ten, but they've gone 411 00:18:22,279 --> 00:18:24,599 five and two ats their last seven, so they've been 412 00:18:24,599 --> 00:18:28,400 better as an underdog recently than is a favorite. And Tennessee, 413 00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:30,640 what do we make of that win last week against 414 00:18:30,680 --> 00:18:32,599 Kansas City? I mean, that's how bad the Chiefs have become. 415 00:18:32,599 --> 00:18:34,880 They held them to nine points. Tennessee had only won 416 00:18:34,920 --> 00:18:37,319 two other games all season. Not in a hurry to 417 00:18:37,359 --> 00:18:38,960 late points with either one of these teams. But I 418 00:18:38,960 --> 00:18:40,680 do think New Orleans is probably the better squad. By 419 00:18:40,720 --> 00:18:42,920 the way, the look ahead a week ago or this summer, 420 00:18:42,920 --> 00:18:45,440 the look ahead was going to be Titans minus three 421 00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:47,519 and a half, and then just a week ago it 422 00:18:47,559 --> 00:18:49,759 was about two Saints. Now it's two and a half. 423 00:18:50,200 --> 00:18:51,759 We'll see where it closes. If it hits that key 424 00:18:51,799 --> 00:18:52,880 number of three by Sunday. 425 00:18:53,119 --> 00:18:56,400 Speaker 4: Yeah, kind of crazy like the Saints getting it rolling 426 00:18:56,559 --> 00:19:00,599 here towards the end of the season, and it feels like, 427 00:19:00,680 --> 00:19:03,000 I don't know, I mean Borrow with all these cryptic, 428 00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:07,359 you know, messages and all these things. You can't it 429 00:19:07,400 --> 00:19:11,480 feels like Cincinnati and especially Joe Burrow, if no other reason, 430 00:19:12,079 --> 00:19:15,119 they're tired of lose it. So are they a team 431 00:19:15,119 --> 00:19:17,599 where looking the back here? Because it felt like Miami 432 00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:20,559 got an awful lot of love this week in the. 433 00:19:20,440 --> 00:19:22,119 Speaker 1: Marketplace against them. 434 00:19:22,519 --> 00:19:25,440 Speaker 4: But I don't know, did that look like a Bengals 435 00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:27,000 team that had no interest in winning? 436 00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:30,400 Speaker 2: I had a strong best bet on Cincinnati for my 437 00:19:30,440 --> 00:19:32,920 clients last week at waiter talk dot com. So I'm 438 00:19:32,920 --> 00:19:35,680 definitely a believer that the Bengals are still playing hard 439 00:19:36,200 --> 00:19:38,400 and that was one of our top plays last week. 440 00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:41,559 Never in doubt forty five to twenty one win, and 441 00:19:41,720 --> 00:19:43,400 one of the reasons because they're coming off the shutout. 442 00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:45,039 I like the back teams off a shut In fact, 443 00:19:45,079 --> 00:19:47,000 the week before, Joe I had a best bet on 444 00:19:47,039 --> 00:19:48,880 the Ravens in a twenty four to nothing win. So 445 00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:52,279 I've had a good feel for this Cincinnati team. I 446 00:19:52,319 --> 00:19:54,640 don't think the spot's as good this week, obviously, as 447 00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:56,839 that was kind of their focused game last week. But yeah, 448 00:19:56,880 --> 00:20:00,920 back at home, Arizona's nothing special should a high scoring game. 449 00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:03,680 Neither team has anything to play for. Cardinals off six 450 00:20:03,759 --> 00:20:06,319 seven straight losses and they failed to cover six of 451 00:20:06,359 --> 00:20:08,640 the last seven. Talk about a team to maybe fate. 452 00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:11,119 Arizona's quietly been the biggest money burner in the NFL 453 00:20:11,160 --> 00:20:13,400 the last couple months. This line was five and a 454 00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:15,920 half a week ago. Now it's seven, even seven and 455 00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:17,559 a half starting to show. So there's probably not a 456 00:20:17,599 --> 00:20:19,480 lot of value left at this point with Cincinnati. 457 00:20:19,880 --> 00:20:23,680 Speaker 4: No they're not, but borrow now, if you're tired of losing, 458 00:20:23,759 --> 00:20:25,519 you're gonna have to show up here in these last 459 00:20:25,559 --> 00:20:29,079 couple of games. That's that's for sure. So there you 460 00:20:29,160 --> 00:20:31,440 got a lot of teams on the bubble. You got 461 00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:34,000 some teams with nothing to play for, but look like 462 00:20:34,759 --> 00:20:37,880 they're a little more interested in finishing off the season 463 00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:41,319 strong than maybe mailing it in. Unfortunately, I don't see 464 00:20:41,359 --> 00:20:45,160 any of those games happening on Christmas. But that's you 465 00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:47,839 got to take the good with the bad, there, Meryl. 466 00:20:48,519 --> 00:20:51,599 All right, before we get to some early NFL bets here, 467 00:20:52,039 --> 00:20:53,799 we'll put the clock on. We'll go over to the 468 00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:57,640 NBA games here tonight, some college basketball games, and then 469 00:20:57,680 --> 00:21:00,400 we'll take a look ahead to any Bowl game that 470 00:21:00,519 --> 00:21:03,880 might peat your interest. You're gonna love this. It is 471 00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:07,039 time for a little business here Maryland. Who doesn't love 472 00:21:07,079 --> 00:21:11,480 a good picture of Saturday night fever pres there? And 473 00:21:12,000 --> 00:21:15,519 it's all about what you got rolling over at wager Talk. 474 00:21:15,559 --> 00:21:19,759 Plus a great Christmas twenty five deal coming up here 475 00:21:19,799 --> 00:21:20,519 for clients. 476 00:21:22,039 --> 00:21:24,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's gonna be a fantastic special, which I believe 477 00:21:24,799 --> 00:21:27,400 goes live midlight for everybody. I mentioned it early in 478 00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:29,599 my videos, so you can get a sneak peek on 479 00:21:29,640 --> 00:21:32,240 a Christmas special by watching my videos. Don't forget I 480 00:21:32,279 --> 00:21:34,759 do every Bowl game free here on wager Talk TV, 481 00:21:35,319 --> 00:21:38,839 including all three games Tuesday, the Hawaii Bow tomorrow, also 482 00:21:38,880 --> 00:21:41,559 those Friday games, all the NFL games Thursday up free 483 00:21:41,640 --> 00:21:43,559 right now. We'll keep in mind when I'm giving you 484 00:21:43,599 --> 00:21:45,039 every game for free, a lot of those are light 485 00:21:45,160 --> 00:21:47,000 TV Leans only. I'm letting you know how I'm looking 486 00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:48,960 at every single game on the board, maybe one percent 487 00:21:48,960 --> 00:21:50,400 of bank. Well, if you play them all, if you 488 00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:52,880 want my official best bets, those are the strong Plays 489 00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:56,519 four percent best bets four hundred percent stronger than the 490 00:21:56,599 --> 00:21:59,640 light Leans, and those are available exclusively at wager talk 491 00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:02,039 dot com. I do have a strong bowld best bet 492 00:22:02,079 --> 00:22:04,079 for one of the Tuesday games up on my page, 493 00:22:04,160 --> 00:22:06,400 along with four to five Advanced Bowl games for the 494 00:22:06,400 --> 00:22:08,559 next couple of weeks. It's another reason to be a 495 00:22:08,559 --> 00:22:10,680 direct client because you get them the minute they're released. 496 00:22:10,759 --> 00:22:12,920 You lock in on the best number and you never 497 00:22:12,960 --> 00:22:15,519 miss out. Also daily free plays on my page. The 498 00:22:15,599 --> 00:22:18,079 last Cut just a bit outside goes up as a 499 00:22:18,079 --> 00:22:20,799 bonus free play, so check it out. Steve Merrill wager 500 00:22:20,880 --> 00:22:23,680 talk dot com and hey get there quicker with shortcut 501 00:22:23,799 --> 00:22:26,880 WT dot buzz slash sm. 502 00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:27,319 Speaker 1: Good stuff there, Meryl. 503 00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:30,440 Speaker 4: Yeah, take advantage of the deals coming up here, guys, 504 00:22:30,519 --> 00:22:33,799 great opportunity to do so. I believe the final one 505 00:22:33,839 --> 00:22:36,240 of the final days here I think that ends at midnight. 506 00:22:36,319 --> 00:22:40,319 The opportunity to buy three get one free, So that's 507 00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:44,920 also a great opportunity. Five percent College Bowl game today 508 00:22:45,359 --> 00:22:49,119 locked loaded up at the page at wager talk dot com, 509 00:22:49,400 --> 00:22:52,440 so you guys can head over there and check that out. Plus, 510 00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:55,799 got a couple of college basketball games and an NBA 511 00:22:55,920 --> 00:22:59,079 game on what is a loaded card coming up at 512 00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:03,119 wager talk dot com. Take advantage of it, guys, as 513 00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:06,759 we looked around out the year. Here on a profitable note. 514 00:23:07,200 --> 00:23:09,559 Meryl a Joe, we buried the lead. I forgot to 515 00:23:09,599 --> 00:23:15,839 mention something very important. Shot five. Yes, he was like, 516 00:23:15,920 --> 00:23:17,920 what are you doing? What are you doing? 517 00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:21,440 Speaker 2: Yes, my goodness, I've been drinking too much Joe for 518 00:23:21,559 --> 00:23:24,160 my my Steve fret. 519 00:23:23,799 --> 00:23:27,400 Speaker 1: Fer I like that very nice, Meryll. 520 00:23:27,519 --> 00:23:33,559 Speaker 4: That is Look at that right there, baby, that is 521 00:23:33,640 --> 00:23:36,160 outstanding right there, very good. 522 00:23:36,480 --> 00:23:39,119 Speaker 2: Look at that comment from one of the videos this morning. 523 00:23:39,160 --> 00:23:43,319 They said, Steve Ferrell or Will Merrilyn, I never, I 524 00:23:43,319 --> 00:23:44,279 don't think you've even thought. 525 00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:48,279 Speaker 1: I never came up with that. That is outstanding? Did 526 00:23:48,799 --> 00:23:49,599 that for decades? 527 00:23:49,799 --> 00:23:54,200 Speaker 4: Outstanding that somebody put that together? That is the chat 528 00:23:54,279 --> 00:23:57,480 room never loses. I gotta love that man. Outstand wills 529 00:23:57,680 --> 00:24:00,599 of crowds, Will Merrill and Steve. 530 00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:02,039 Speaker 1: That's all right, Well, don't worry. 531 00:24:02,079 --> 00:24:03,680 Speaker 2: I don't know how we've I don't know how we've 532 00:24:03,720 --> 00:24:06,920 missed this, no idea, but I promise you. 533 00:24:06,839 --> 00:24:08,839 Speaker 4: That, well, there will be a graphic next time you're 534 00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:10,920 on the show. With that, I can assure you there 535 00:24:10,920 --> 00:24:12,319 will be something ready to row. 536 00:24:12,440 --> 00:24:14,839 Speaker 2: And that's going to be like squirrel you've been. I've 537 00:24:14,839 --> 00:24:17,119 been a lot of extra fifteen minutes of that episode 538 00:24:17,119 --> 00:24:18,359 with press correct. 539 00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:19,039 Speaker 1: I love it. 540 00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:24,079 Speaker 4: All right, let's go with the early NFL bets here again. 541 00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:29,200 Three games on Christmas doesn't mean listen, they're not exciting games, 542 00:24:29,240 --> 00:24:31,720 but it doesn't mean that there's not value somewhere to 543 00:24:31,759 --> 00:24:34,839 be had in there. So we'll put two minutes on 544 00:24:34,920 --> 00:24:39,279 the clock Merrill and sixty seconds each talk about a 545 00:24:39,319 --> 00:24:41,839 game coming up this week here that you might have 546 00:24:41,920 --> 00:24:43,359 interest in taking a look at. 547 00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:47,799 Speaker 2: Look, they're three ugly NFL games. Of course, had broken 548 00:24:47,839 --> 00:24:50,240 all three down in my Free Thursday video of the 549 00:24:50,279 --> 00:24:52,720 Prime games this year, by the way, are thirteen and 550 00:24:52,839 --> 00:24:56,279 three for free thirteen and two on Thursdays because I 551 00:24:56,319 --> 00:24:58,680 missed the Friday Prime game on Thanksgiving weekend. 552 00:24:59,119 --> 00:25:00,400 Speaker 1: So let's look at the game. 553 00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:03,119 Speaker 2: Let's put that thirteen and two Thursday prime record on 554 00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:06,160 the line with this ugly game, Kansas City Denver. But 555 00:25:06,160 --> 00:25:07,480 I'll tell you what, the more i've been looking at 556 00:25:07,519 --> 00:25:09,640 it the last couple of days, I'm starting to warm 557 00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:11,160 up more to the Chiefs. And I'm not a big 558 00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:12,519 fan of catching fallen knife. 559 00:25:12,559 --> 00:25:13,000 Speaker 1: You know that. 560 00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:16,759 Speaker 2: But this is such an overreaction. Last week, the look 561 00:25:16,759 --> 00:25:19,240 aheadline was projected to be Denver by five and a half. 562 00:25:19,319 --> 00:25:21,960 Now it's thirteen thirteen and a half. So right there, 563 00:25:22,559 --> 00:25:25,559 Minshee being out is eight points. Minshoe ain't worth eight 564 00:25:25,599 --> 00:25:28,960 points even in his short shorts. The backup I'll a 565 00:25:29,039 --> 00:25:31,079 duke and Laca Lucan whatever is I don't have it 566 00:25:31,079 --> 00:25:33,519 in front of me is it's a no name. We 567 00:25:33,519 --> 00:25:35,599 don't know anything about him, but there's upside. He could 568 00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:38,160 perform well. He actually threw all right last week, almost 569 00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:41,759 seven yards per pass in that backup performance. And the 570 00:25:41,759 --> 00:25:44,000 bottom line is this is a twenty one point adjustment 571 00:25:44,039 --> 00:25:46,039 from a month ago. They were a four point road favorite, 572 00:25:46,079 --> 00:25:48,119 now thirteen point dog factor in a couple points, so 573 00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:50,680 that it's a twenty one point adjustment. I think it's 574 00:25:50,680 --> 00:25:53,200 an overreaction. Broncos have only won twice by double digits 575 00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:55,400 all season. Chiefs have only lost by more than ten 576 00:25:55,440 --> 00:25:57,400 points once all season. I know that was last week. 577 00:25:57,960 --> 00:25:59,799 Kansas City plus thirteen is the only way I would 578 00:25:59,799 --> 00:26:00,720 play on Prime. 579 00:26:01,559 --> 00:26:02,400 Speaker 1: Ooh, I like that? 580 00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:06,400 Speaker 4: All right, I'm gonna I'll keep it simple, because exactly 581 00:26:06,519 --> 00:26:09,319 where in the hell are the points coming from in 582 00:26:09,400 --> 00:26:13,119 this Pittsburgh and Cleveland game coming up this week? 583 00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:16,240 Speaker 1: And I have no idea Judkins is out. 584 00:26:16,319 --> 00:26:19,799 Speaker 4: Poor guy snaps his leg in that game against Buffalo, 585 00:26:19,960 --> 00:26:22,799 So there goes the running game for the Browns. And 586 00:26:22,839 --> 00:26:27,680 now Pittsburgh has got players, their star wide receiver players, 587 00:26:27,680 --> 00:26:30,680 by the way, the only wide receiver player. Oh yeah, 588 00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:32,839 he's just gonna take swings to people in the stands 589 00:26:32,880 --> 00:26:36,359 and get and get suspended there. So it feels like 590 00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:39,720 with these two teams who don't like one another, this 591 00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:42,720 feels like a dead under to me. I'm not expecting 592 00:26:42,759 --> 00:26:45,400 a whole lot of points from either. It would only 593 00:26:45,480 --> 00:26:47,640 be an under for me, merrill when it comes to 594 00:26:47,680 --> 00:26:49,440 Pittsburgh and Cleveland this weekend. 595 00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:52,519 Speaker 2: No see, I mean there's certain teams, as you know, Joe, 596 00:26:52,559 --> 00:26:54,720 in the league that are just pure under or overplays 597 00:26:54,759 --> 00:26:57,799 for you, like that Cowboy Commander game Thursday afternoon. Yep, 598 00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:00,200 you know it's a pure it's an overpass and you 599 00:27:00,200 --> 00:27:02,359 don't know who the quarterback's gonna be for Washington, which 600 00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:04,759 makes it dicey. But yeah, the Browns are one of 601 00:27:04,799 --> 00:27:07,799 those teams, like, how can you make a case ever 602 00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:10,160 for the over with the terrible offense and actually a 603 00:27:10,160 --> 00:27:14,119 pretty good defense all season long? And that just smells 604 00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:15,480 like an undergame in December? 605 00:27:16,079 --> 00:27:17,160 Speaker 1: How about this too? 606 00:27:17,319 --> 00:27:21,720 Speaker 4: Now he needs one, Miles Garrett needs one sack right 607 00:27:21,839 --> 00:27:26,000 to set the league single season record. Aaron Rodgers, former 608 00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:31,000 Green Bay Packer quarterback, might be laying down, making it 609 00:27:31,039 --> 00:27:33,000 real easy for him, because. 610 00:27:32,720 --> 00:27:35,119 Speaker 1: We know Aaron ain't gonna be running around and. 611 00:27:35,079 --> 00:27:37,599 Speaker 4: Trying to outrun him, so it'll be interesting to see 612 00:27:37,640 --> 00:27:41,519 if he ends up sacking Aaron Rodgers for the record. 613 00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:45,000 Let's do the same thing with the NBA run down here, 614 00:27:45,079 --> 00:27:47,400 Merrill two minutes. We'll just go over a bunch of 615 00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:50,920 these games tonight, loaded card because once again, we all 616 00:27:50,920 --> 00:27:53,599 know the NBA season doesn't start until Christmas. But in 617 00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:57,960 the meantime, no games tomorrow, ton of games tonight. I'll 618 00:27:57,960 --> 00:28:01,799 start it off here, Meryll, let's talk about the Sixers 619 00:28:01,839 --> 00:28:06,039 taking on the Nets and listen. Brooklyn has gotten a 620 00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:09,240 little bit feisty here over the last couple of weeks. 621 00:28:09,240 --> 00:28:12,480 But the seventy six Ers finally look like they have 622 00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:16,400 Maxi healthy at Edgecomb and Paul George looks like he's 623 00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:18,839 getting back into the swing of things. You don't have 624 00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:21,039 to look any further, guys than what this line is 625 00:28:21,119 --> 00:28:23,759 telling you about how healthy the seventy six Ers are. 626 00:28:23,759 --> 00:28:26,440 Getting nine and a half to eighteen and a half 627 00:28:26,519 --> 00:28:30,000 is a total. I think the Sixers rolling into this 628 00:28:30,160 --> 00:28:33,880 Christmas start of the season on a pretty good note. 629 00:28:33,960 --> 00:28:36,480 I love the Charlotte Hornets, loved them last night getting 630 00:28:36,559 --> 00:28:39,200 nine and a half. They're laying five and a half 631 00:28:39,240 --> 00:28:42,079 here against the Wizards. Question is who the hell is 632 00:28:42,119 --> 00:28:44,440 playing for the Charlotte Hornets here tonight? 633 00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:45,720 Speaker 1: How about the Bulls? 634 00:28:45,759 --> 00:28:49,160 Speaker 4: They go rattle off what nine losses, seven losses, something 635 00:28:49,160 --> 00:28:52,440 along those lines, and now they refuse to lose taking 636 00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:56,759 on the Hawks again at the State Farm Arena. When 637 00:28:56,960 --> 00:28:59,000 are they going to get rid of Trey Young? I 638 00:28:59,119 --> 00:29:01,519 just this team is not good with him. They're a 639 00:29:01,599 --> 00:29:04,480 different team, and it shows the last couple of games 640 00:29:04,480 --> 00:29:08,119 since he's been available. To me, I like the Bulls 641 00:29:08,240 --> 00:29:10,039 keep doing what they're doing, and I'd score a lot 642 00:29:10,039 --> 00:29:13,079 of points, Meryl. That would be a Chicago Bulls team 643 00:29:13,119 --> 00:29:16,720 total up and over for me. And don't mind the 644 00:29:16,759 --> 00:29:19,720 Bucks getting a point or two at the Pacers either tonight. 645 00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:22,359 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a huge NBA card tonight on Tuesday. And that, 646 00:29:22,440 --> 00:29:25,359 of course is because there are no games tomorrow on Wednesday, 647 00:29:25,400 --> 00:29:27,960 and that's because we do have five big matchups for 648 00:29:28,039 --> 00:29:31,279 Christmas Thursday. Lines are already available for those games. But 649 00:29:31,319 --> 00:29:33,759 look at the board tonight on two. One move that 650 00:29:33,839 --> 00:29:36,160 jumped out to me was the over move in that 651 00:29:36,200 --> 00:29:38,319 game between New Orleans and Cleveland tonight at seven to 652 00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:40,480 forty Eastern open two thirty seven and a half, it's 653 00:29:40,559 --> 00:29:43,680 up to two forty five now second biggest total on 654 00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:46,799 the board, of course, after that Chicago Atlanta game that's 655 00:29:46,799 --> 00:29:49,160 now up to two fifty three, two fifty three and 656 00:29:49,200 --> 00:29:51,880 a half in a lot of locations. About this New 657 00:29:51,960 --> 00:29:53,640 Orleans Cleveland game, not only should it be a high 658 00:29:53,640 --> 00:29:57,359 scoring game, but the New Orleans Pelicans quietly having a 659 00:29:57,400 --> 00:30:00,519 fantastic season. This is a team that had lo seven 660 00:30:00,559 --> 00:30:03,400 games in a row late November early December and now 661 00:30:03,480 --> 00:30:05,200 have won six games in a row. And I guess 662 00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:07,759 we should have seen it coming because during that extended 663 00:30:07,759 --> 00:30:11,880 losing streak, they still covered five of the final six losses, 664 00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:13,920 and now they've gone to perfect five and oh straight 665 00:30:13,960 --> 00:30:16,079 up in ATS the last five. That means this team 666 00:30:16,720 --> 00:30:19,240 is now a ten and one against the spread their 667 00:30:19,319 --> 00:30:21,720 last eleven games. Are catching nine and a half points 668 00:30:21,720 --> 00:30:24,519 tonight against a Cleveland team that's won in three straight 669 00:30:24,599 --> 00:30:28,519 up oh and six against the spread their last six games, 670 00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:31,200 and of course, with the big Christmas card coming on 671 00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:34,240 board Thursday, Cleveland is going to New York, so they 672 00:30:34,279 --> 00:30:35,599 have a big look ahead. So that'll be a game 673 00:30:35,680 --> 00:30:37,880 very extry to meet tonight to see if the Cavs 674 00:30:37,880 --> 00:30:39,519 get back on track, which you're laying nine and a 675 00:30:39,559 --> 00:30:41,039 half points with a team that's on an OH to 676 00:30:41,160 --> 00:30:44,160 six ATS slide. And then what maybe is the best 677 00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:46,480 game of the night is Oklahoma City against San Antonio. 678 00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:48,200 You know, Joe, you and I a few weeks ago 679 00:30:48,279 --> 00:30:50,079 in Sports Grede we're talking about with the thunder lose 680 00:30:50,119 --> 00:30:51,880 again all season when they were like twenty two and 681 00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:54,240 one at the time, I think, well, they're now twenty 682 00:30:54,279 --> 00:30:56,640 six and three straight up, and this is a team 683 00:30:56,680 --> 00:30:59,880 that has alternated wins and losses their last four games, 684 00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:03,880 also alternated wins and covers wins and losses against the spread. 685 00:31:04,519 --> 00:31:06,400 Not a lot of movements so far in the spread 686 00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:09,279 in this one. By the way, these teams will play 687 00:31:09,319 --> 00:31:11,799 again on Thursday, which is interesting to me, So keep 688 00:31:11,799 --> 00:31:14,640 a close eye on this game tonight, as Oklahoma City's 689 00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:15,839 gone from six and a half to five and a 690 00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:17,599 half total, though from two thirty four and a half 691 00:31:17,599 --> 00:31:20,160 down to two thirty three makes sense because it should 692 00:31:20,160 --> 00:31:23,640 be a playoff atmosphere. Both teams are definitely capable defensively. 693 00:31:24,039 --> 00:31:26,839 And what's strange to me, Joe's the look aheadline for Thursday. 694 00:31:27,240 --> 00:31:30,680 The total is around anywhere from to two thirty three. 695 00:31:30,720 --> 00:31:32,920 It's jumped all around nine and a half, ten and 696 00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:35,440 a half, eleven and a half. Is Oklahoma City at home, 697 00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:37,119 So maybe we'll get a little bit of that playoff 698 00:31:37,200 --> 00:31:40,000 zigzag angle to use on Thursday in the Christmas game, 699 00:31:40,039 --> 00:31:42,759 depending on how tonight's game plays out in San Antonio. 700 00:31:43,000 --> 00:31:44,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, like that one a lot. 701 00:31:44,319 --> 00:31:47,279 Speaker 4: I think there's some very interesting spots in the NBA 702 00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:52,160 card here tonight. Maybe not so much in college basketball, though, 703 00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:55,000 there were a couple of games that stuck out to 704 00:31:55,039 --> 00:31:58,319 me here Merrill, and I'll start with the one coming 705 00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:00,920 up seven o'clock Eastern Times, and that's going to be 706 00:32:01,519 --> 00:32:06,839 Villanova taking on Seaton Hall. Listen, it's a new Villanova team, right, 707 00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:10,440 Kevin Weller comes over from Maryland. He's got these guys 708 00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:14,279 playing a little different style of basketball. But yes, they 709 00:32:14,359 --> 00:32:17,960 love to shoot the three here. Now, the question is 710 00:32:17,960 --> 00:32:19,960 is that when you go to Shaheath Holloway, they are 711 00:32:19,960 --> 00:32:23,519 over its Seaton Hall. His teams like to bully you, 712 00:32:23,599 --> 00:32:25,400 like to make sure that you can't get into paint. 713 00:32:25,680 --> 00:32:28,559 They like them slow things down. They're very long, they're 714 00:32:28,640 --> 00:32:32,839 very athletic. But once again, shockingly, they don't do a 715 00:32:32,960 --> 00:32:36,440 great job of scoring here. And that's the problem. The 716 00:32:36,519 --> 00:32:39,799 question is are we buying Villanova good enough to make 717 00:32:39,920 --> 00:32:43,200 enough threes and to make enough jump shots in order 718 00:32:43,240 --> 00:32:45,759 to get it done. I think styles make fights Maryland. 719 00:32:45,799 --> 00:32:49,200 In this game tonight, it's just not a good style 720 00:32:49,319 --> 00:32:52,200 fight for Seaton Hall. They'd much rather have a team 721 00:32:52,200 --> 00:32:54,240 that's going to try to get inside and. 722 00:32:54,200 --> 00:32:56,960 Speaker 1: Score that way. Villanova's not going to do that. 723 00:32:57,039 --> 00:32:59,839 Speaker 4: They're not gonna get swallowed up by the physicality here 724 00:33:00,160 --> 00:33:03,200 of Seaton Hall. So I do think point point and 725 00:33:03,240 --> 00:33:05,599 a half. I think you can get with Villanova. I 726 00:33:05,599 --> 00:33:07,960 don't mind looking at him in this one here. I'll 727 00:33:07,960 --> 00:33:10,119 take the Cats to Night over the Pirates. 728 00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:12,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, a little bit of money on the over in 729 00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:15,119 that game too, Joe. At seven Eastern night Open one 730 00:33:15,240 --> 00:33:17,799 thirty one, it's up to one thirty four. So we 731 00:33:17,839 --> 00:33:20,079 have seen some sharp money on the over under in 732 00:33:20,079 --> 00:33:21,920 the Villanova's Seaton Hall game. There's yeah, a lot of 733 00:33:22,000 --> 00:33:24,000 daytime games, so I'll look at the other night time 734 00:33:24,039 --> 00:33:26,640 game on the main betting rotation for you. At six 735 00:33:26,799 --> 00:33:30,279 Eastern Harvard and Saint John's a very little movement on 736 00:33:30,319 --> 00:33:32,200 the side in the Saint John's Open twenty five and 737 00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:33,759 a half, it's pretty much twenty five and a half, 738 00:33:33,759 --> 00:33:35,880 So so twenty six is out there. But we have seen 739 00:33:35,880 --> 00:33:37,559 money on the over in this one as well, open 740 00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:39,839 one forty three and a half and now it's up 741 00:33:39,920 --> 00:33:42,400 to one forty seven and a half. And the tempo 742 00:33:42,480 --> 00:33:44,599 is gonna be the key in this game because Saint 743 00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:47,799 John's likes to play fast up tempo. As always under Patino, 744 00:33:48,200 --> 00:33:51,359 Harvard plays slow down half court basketball, and they're gonna 745 00:33:51,400 --> 00:33:54,319 have a tough time. They don't shoot many threes, they 746 00:33:54,359 --> 00:33:56,680 don't get to the free throw line much. So if 747 00:33:56,680 --> 00:33:58,799 you're gonna play the over, the sharp money likes the over, 748 00:33:58,839 --> 00:34:02,000 I'd much rather have the Saint John's team total over instead. 749 00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:04,680 Eighty six and a half is what I'm seeing there. 750 00:34:04,960 --> 00:34:07,240 And oh, by the way, Saint John's coming in off 751 00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:10,039 a loss against Kentucky. I think they'll be extra focused 752 00:34:10,039 --> 00:34:12,440 in this game. And they gave up seventy eight points 753 00:34:12,440 --> 00:34:14,159 in that loss. They're still one of the best defensive 754 00:34:14,159 --> 00:34:15,920 teams in the country. So while the sharp money likes 755 00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:18,159 the over, I would rather just take slow down and 756 00:34:18,239 --> 00:34:20,719 bad offensive Harvard out of the equation and look at 757 00:34:20,760 --> 00:34:23,400 the Saint John's team total up and over eighty six 758 00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:24,760 and a half tonight at six Eastern. 759 00:34:25,039 --> 00:34:27,400 Speaker 1: Love that look there, Steve Yep. 760 00:34:27,480 --> 00:34:30,119 Speaker 4: Not the biggest of cards in college hoops, but a 761 00:34:30,159 --> 00:34:34,000 couple of late night games certainly we're taking a look at. 762 00:34:34,039 --> 00:34:37,280 And of course we do have three bowl games coming 763 00:34:37,360 --> 00:34:40,119 up here a little bit later today. In fact, Merrill, 764 00:34:40,559 --> 00:34:43,440 if I bring a can of Bush's beans to Boca Ratone, 765 00:34:43,480 --> 00:34:46,320 I might actually get to watch that disaster that is 766 00:34:46,400 --> 00:34:49,960 Louisville taking on Toledoll. But if there is a college 767 00:34:49,960 --> 00:34:54,639 football game that we're looking ahead to, I'll start. I'll 768 00:34:54,679 --> 00:34:57,960 take a look here at the Sheridan Hawaii Bowl where 769 00:34:58,079 --> 00:35:00,800 California and Hawaii are to go at it. 770 00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:01,880 Speaker 1: And listen. 771 00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:05,480 Speaker 4: I mean, it's been an amazing year for Chang and 772 00:35:05,599 --> 00:35:08,840 for this Hawaii team. They've done an amazing job. It's 773 00:35:08,880 --> 00:35:11,320 taken a few years to get it going, but they 774 00:35:11,360 --> 00:35:15,960 have absolutely turned it around. Cal got rid of Justin Wilcox. 775 00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:20,440 Obviously they've had a pretty good end to the season, 776 00:35:21,199 --> 00:35:24,519 but it's still a team that has way too many 777 00:35:24,599 --> 00:35:28,079 questions marks not to mention, you're in the back yard 778 00:35:28,239 --> 00:35:32,320 here of the University of Hawaii. To me in Honolulu, 779 00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:34,719 there's only one way I would lock Maryland. That is 780 00:35:34,800 --> 00:35:38,519 Hawaii and a small number against this Cal team, how 781 00:35:38,559 --> 00:35:39,000 about you. 782 00:35:40,280 --> 00:35:40,480 Speaker 1: Yeah. 783 00:35:40,519 --> 00:35:42,000 Speaker 2: So I did a video for this game and we 784 00:35:42,079 --> 00:35:44,559 posted it last night, and I mentioned the under It 785 00:35:44,559 --> 00:35:47,000 was around fifty two and now it's fifty and a 786 00:35:47,039 --> 00:35:49,480 half in most spots. So maybe my videos show or 787 00:35:49,559 --> 00:35:51,960 moving the market, but my point is fifty one is 788 00:35:52,000 --> 00:35:54,320 a very key number, so there's definitely less value now 789 00:35:54,320 --> 00:35:57,039 for those that watch the video early, it's now down 790 00:35:57,079 --> 00:35:58,920 to fifty and a half, but there's still some fifty 791 00:35:58,920 --> 00:36:01,199 ones floating around there. By the way, there's about a 792 00:36:01,199 --> 00:36:03,679 three to four percent chance this Hawaii ball lands. 793 00:36:03,559 --> 00:36:04,840 Speaker 1: Exactly on fifty one points. 794 00:36:04,880 --> 00:36:06,559 Speaker 2: There's a lot of scores that gets you there, twenty 795 00:36:06,599 --> 00:36:09,360 seven to twenty four, thirty one to twenty forty one 796 00:36:09,400 --> 00:36:13,119 to ten. What's interesting is both teams cannot run the ball. 797 00:36:13,400 --> 00:36:15,760 Col's one of the worst rushing attacks in college football. 798 00:36:16,079 --> 00:36:18,239 Both teams like to throw the ball, both teams defend 799 00:36:18,239 --> 00:36:18,679 the pass. 800 00:36:18,760 --> 00:36:19,119 Speaker 1: Well. 801 00:36:19,480 --> 00:36:21,159 Speaker 2: That's one of the reasons I like the under, And 802 00:36:21,199 --> 00:36:23,239 normally when you got teams throwing the ball the entire game, 803 00:36:23,280 --> 00:36:25,400 it makes you nervous with the under. But then keep 804 00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:27,920 in mind also both teams have been off for several weeks, 805 00:36:28,400 --> 00:36:31,519 and you know these precision passing attacks sometimes falter a bit. 806 00:36:31,880 --> 00:36:34,000 We saw all those teams with the bye last year 807 00:36:34,079 --> 00:36:36,280 losing the college playoffs versus the teams that had the 808 00:36:36,280 --> 00:36:38,920 game with the week before. So yes, I like the 809 00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:41,280 under in this The sharp money seems to agree. It's 810 00:36:41,280 --> 00:36:43,280 gone from fifty five down to fifty and a half 811 00:36:43,320 --> 00:36:46,480 now it was fifty two yeah, yesterday still would lean under, 812 00:36:46,480 --> 00:36:47,639 but like it more if you can get that key 813 00:36:47,760 --> 00:36:49,480 number of fifty one on Christmas Eve. 814 00:36:49,760 --> 00:36:53,039 Speaker 4: Yeah, and that crazy enough is your only game there 815 00:36:53,159 --> 00:36:58,360 tomorrow on Christmas Eve. And that's Steve Merril is what 816 00:36:58,400 --> 00:37:01,760 they call a rap on the best betting show ever. 817 00:37:01,880 --> 00:37:04,599 So a little something for everyone coming up here over 818 00:37:04,679 --> 00:37:05,960 the next couple of days. 819 00:37:06,239 --> 00:37:07,760 Speaker 1: We'll be back again. 820 00:37:07,480 --> 00:37:10,840 Speaker 4: Tomorrow and then of course on Friday, we'll get you 821 00:37:10,880 --> 00:37:13,360 guys all set up for what should be a great 822 00:37:13,440 --> 00:37:16,840 weekend with art and I believe the pres is getting 823 00:37:16,920 --> 00:37:20,280 dental work done or I don't know, well, who knows. 824 00:37:20,519 --> 00:37:22,800 Maybe that Nova candle kick in should be fun to 825 00:37:22,840 --> 00:37:25,960 watch that show here. But remind the folks Steve what 826 00:37:26,039 --> 00:37:28,079 you got rolling over at wager talk dot com. 827 00:37:28,119 --> 00:37:31,079 Speaker 1: It's a big weekend. Yeah, it's a huge weekend. 828 00:37:31,079 --> 00:37:32,679 Speaker 2: I mean, we have four major sports going on a 829 00:37:32,760 --> 00:37:35,199 daily basis right now, college and pro football, College and 830 00:37:35,239 --> 00:37:37,440 pro basketball. So it's a great time to get a 831 00:37:37,440 --> 00:37:39,199 one day, a one week, a one month, even a 832 00:37:39,199 --> 00:37:41,119 one year all sport all access. And we do have 833 00:37:41,159 --> 00:37:44,000 special prices and promos on my page along with that 834 00:37:44,079 --> 00:37:45,239 bonus daily free play. 835 00:37:45,360 --> 00:37:45,760 Speaker 1: Check it out. 836 00:37:45,800 --> 00:37:49,079 Speaker 2: Steve Merrill wager Talk dot com, including a strong best 837 00:37:49,079 --> 00:37:52,000 bet in the Bowl action tonight. Steve merrillwagter Talk dot com, 838 00:37:52,039 --> 00:37:55,679 Get there, quicker, wt dot Buzz, slash sm and while 839 00:37:55,679 --> 00:37:58,079 you're here on wager Talk TV, make sure you click subscribe. 840 00:37:58,119 --> 00:38:00,320 You click the bell for insis alerts because I'm giving 841 00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:03,000 you every Bowl game video for free. I'm also giving 842 00:38:03,039 --> 00:38:04,960 you all the NFL games almost every week, all the 843 00:38:04,960 --> 00:38:08,239 primetime games, all the Thursday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday night games. 844 00:38:08,800 --> 00:38:11,239 Lots of free content here. Click subscribe, click the bill, 845 00:38:11,519 --> 00:38:13,280 and if you're liking it, hey thumbs up like this 846 00:38:13,440 --> 00:38:15,960 video and show, and a quick comment below because we 847 00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:17,880 do truly read the comments and we reply back here 848 00:38:17,920 --> 00:38:18,840 on wait for Talk TV. 849 00:38:19,239 --> 00:38:20,360 Speaker 1: Yes we do. Man. 850 00:38:20,440 --> 00:38:23,480 Speaker 4: It should be an awful lot of fun. Uh Merrill, 851 00:38:23,760 --> 00:38:26,639 enjoy the holiday you and the family. Of course, we'll 852 00:38:26,639 --> 00:38:29,760 see you again soon on the show. In the meantime, guys, 853 00:38:30,320 --> 00:38:32,679 enjoy the games here today, come back and join us 854 00:38:32,760 --> 00:38:36,199 again for another edition of the best betting show. 855 00:38:36,480 --> 00:38:37,159 Speaker 1: Let's Cash It