Speaker 1: Welcome everybody to the best betting show ever, the financial
show that makes you money using sports as its backdrop.
I'm Lawrence Presman, Art the Caesar, joining us Joe Ranieri
like always, and we got a ton of actuable betting
information coming to you today. There are sixty seven NBA
games today alone. Joe's going to take apart every single
one of them. I'm going to look at all three
NHL games, sixty seven. Joe, I counted a problem. I
got you sixty the Financial Show after all? So yes, Wait,
is that the term that these kids are? Is that
the is that sixty seven?
Speaker 2: Is that that? Art? What is that?
Speaker 3: And is that thing?
Speaker 2: Okay? Yeah, that's that thing? Okay.
Speaker 3: I don't know what it means.
Speaker 2: I don't I don't know what it means either.
Speaker 1: I didn't even mean to do it, but sixty of it?
Speaker 2: Maybe? Yes?
Speaker 1: Okay. We got so much to discuss today, including some
excellent comments in the chat room. We're gonna do a
double mail bag today. We're gonna do a mail bag
section with Art and one without him. And we're also
gonna discuss whether we should fade or bet on the
AFC teams that are in the playoff hunt Art. Let's
start with the sportsbook update right off the bat. You
got a huge slate to NBA going today, You want
to start there.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, listen, the NBA obviously we're you know,
this is day two. I think people, especially the public,
they need to kind of ease in the NBA. The
guys who bet a yearning, you know, from day one
to the end, they'll be in starting last night tonight.
Speaker 2: All that.
Speaker 3: The public, as they always say, doesn't really get involved
until around Christmas. It's usually when people start to warm
up to the NBA. But I mean, you know, you
just look at some of the games today. There's really
nothing that jumps out. There's a couple of big spreads,
you know, the Calvs flipped from a dog to a
favorite against the Knicks. So just a couple of notable things.
Nothing yet. I think once we get a couple of
weeks into this, I'll start to see some of the
teams people are fading or betting on, and we can
really jump into.
Speaker 2: That hell of away.
Speaker 4: By the way, to start the NBA season with a
double overtime dog winner, they are covering the spread art
last night with Houston, and it's so funny hearing that
song again. Art for the NBC NBA on NBC, it's
one to throwback it was last night. If they give
us more games like that in prime time where everybody
actually plays, it could be a good thing here this
season for the NBA and for the books.
Speaker 3: Actually, well, I texted a friend of mine, who listen
if you would have asked twelve year old Art what
his favorite sport was, it was the NBA. Yeah, I
love the NBA, the Hey you know, the Heyday of Jordan.
I was a Knicks fan, grown up, all that good stuff.
Now it's my least favorite sport because none of them play.
When I said that, I go, if we're going to
get this NBC nostalgia and these guys actually play, the
NBA might be back.
Speaker 2: Yep, I agree.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Well, I got to tell you I've never been
an NBA fan, but who cares. I've been killing at
the last three years as a sports better betting the NBA.
But as far as the sport goes, I can't stand
the NBA. And I'm happy to do an hour show
on why I can't stand the NBA. But that's not
the show. All that matters is how do we make
money art, Let's go to NFL Bills and Panthers, Giants
and Eagles, Bears and Ravens. Where's the money going on
those three games?
Speaker 3: Yeah? You look, a lot of these games this week
are in that touchdown range and this is three of them.
Bills off the by like we talked about last week.
They go to Carolina that has been pretty consistent at
seven and a half. But we've got actually juiced Carolina
a little bit on the seven and a half. So
you got to pay a little bit of a price
if you want to take seven in the hook with
the Panthers at home, Giants at Eagles, that was seven,
it is now seven and a half. It has ticked
up over that key number of seven. Obviously, the Eagles
played them a couple of weeks ago looking for a
revenge spot here at home, and then Bears at Ravens.
We talked about what's gonna happen with Lamar here. Now
this game was sitting basically seven. It did go down
to six and a half. I think this is gonna
be a game that kind of goes back and forth.
The total did go up though, that was forty eight
and a half, not up to as high as fifty
and a half. We're now fifty on the game, so
some movement to the over on that total.
Speaker 4: Well, let me ask you a heart, because you're right.
I mean I counted nine of the thirteen games when
they opened were at least, you know, laying six or
more points, and even those are starting to go up.
This feels like the mother of all weeks for teasers.
Given these prices that week out here, it looks like
they were.
Speaker 1: Across the board.
Speaker 4: Aret there's gonna be a lot of teaser liability for
the books this week.
Speaker 3: I'm guessing there's gonna be a ton And I mean,
you know, rarely do games land one, but you know,
with a lot of these games, maybe it's seven and
a half and people doing six point teasers, obviously we're
gonna do one of these dogs to win. Outright. If
a game ever would land one, that would be enormous.
So when you're in this range of like you said, Joe,
eight or nine of the thirteen games, because there's so
many buys this week that are in that touchdown range,
we're gonna be fighting teasers and we're gonna be fighting
money line parlays. But as I said, we always fight
money line parlays every week with these favorites.
Speaker 1: Well, it's gonna be a hol of a week, that
is for sure, and there will be some favorites that
go down. Let's figure out which ones ontomorrow's show. Let's
keep going on the sports book update College football LSU
at A and M Michigan at Michigan State. I think
Michigan State just kicked a field goal right now, like
this very second. And Oregon, which by the way, had
a grateful dead day recently, congratulations to them, smart smart
University at Wisconsin. So where's the money going in? These
three games?
Speaker 3: Areket LSU, A and M. Has been a complete flip
of our over the summer game of the year line
that was LSU minus six. Now it's A and M
minus three. They did take LSU at plus three, so
we're now two and a half on the game. A
and M is a favorite. That is one of those
games that will go back and forth between two and
a half and three, maybe even hit three and a half,
but they're just going to play with that number the
whole week up until kickoff. Michigan at Michigan State that
was fourteen. It's now fourteen and a half, so we've
seen a little bit of Michigan money come in. That
was nine on a look aheadline. So obviously Sparty has
really been downgraded. Michigan not really upgraded so much, but
it's really Sparty that's been downgraded in the power ratings.
And this Wisconsin team is an absolute joke. Oregon is
a thirty four point favorite on the road, but they
took Wisconsin plus thirty four with the load total like
they did last week against Ohio State when they took
almost four touchdowns. Now they're taking almost five touchdowns. But
Wisconsin did's score last week and it didn't matter. Look
aheadline on this was Oregon nineteen. We're now Wisconsin catching
thirty three after they took the thirty four.
Speaker 2: Crazy art.
Speaker 4: How about the big I think there's a something happening
on Friday? Oh yeah, the World Series Toronto taking on
the Dodgers. He or any early movement one way or
the other in.
Speaker 3: One, you know, because obviously we have almost the week
off here and the only movement really is we open
the Dodgers minus two thirty on the series price. We're
now minus two forty five. We might even go a
little bit hot, a little bit higher, And the real
reason for that is right now, in the future book,
we do really well in Toronto, and we do not
do so well on the Dodgers, So we actually have
some room to work with this price and might even
go up a little bit entice some Toronto.
Speaker 2: You know.
Speaker 3: It's just kind of one of those things where we
can work a little bit here.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 3: Once we get to Friday and it is game one,
I'll be able to give a little bit more of
an insight on what are they betting for exact series price,
what are they betting for a World Series MVP. I'll
be able to give a little bit more layout as
they've bet through the week. But really that's the big
move from minus two thirty up to minus two forty five.
Speaker 1: Wow, Art de Caesar, I want to jump. I want
to jump in here and just stay on baseball for
a second. We have a listener. I cannot mind their
aim right now. I'll look while you're answering who has
the Blue Jays at sixty to one, which.
Speaker 2: Is a hell of a ticket.
Speaker 1: My brother congratulations on that. He needs advice on how
to hedge that play to either of you. Art, you
go first to either of you have any suggestions on
how you would attack hedging that play, I mean it
seems pretty straightforward, but go ahead, Art.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean it seems pretty straightforward. You got to
find the cheapest pressure can on the Dodgers series price,
and you know, make sure you.
Speaker 1: Do you bet though, Let's say you have how much
a ticket for I can't. Let's say it's one hundred
dollars ticket.
Speaker 3: Okay, what are you going to win? Six grand?
Speaker 2: Oh?
Speaker 1: Yeah it is. It's one hundred US dollars. Anika is
the person's name. I've bought a blue Jay Future at
sixty to one hundred dollars. What's my best angle to
secure some cheddar?
Speaker 3: Well, obviously, so right there, if he doesn't do anything,
he's got a six thousand dollars ticket. I mean, you
got at least go play, you know, twenty five hundred
on the Dodgers. You know, let's say if it's minus
two fifty, but find the cheapest price. You gotta find
a way to get a profit out of that.
Speaker 2: I don't know that he's got a hedge.
Speaker 4: Now, if Toronto wins Game one, it's you're gonna be
able to get the Dodgers at a much better price
and a hedging opportunity, because I don't see them going
to Toronto and winning two games like Seattle did and
then going I don't see that happening.
Speaker 2: I mean, the minute.
Speaker 4: Toronto wins a game, I think you're gonna be able
to get them at a better price here price.
Speaker 1: Yeah, So I'm thinking maybe it's somewhere between what both
of you guys are saying, and I was thinking around
two thousand arts. So maybe the strategy would be one
thousand now and then wait and edge one thousand later.
Uh So that could be a strategy, And another strategy
could also be, you know, something really interesting, like putting
one hundred dollars down on a Dodger sweep, which will
give you a good plus money situation. But right now,
I think the way I would attack that is to
probably bet two thousand dollars on the Dodgers and do
one thousand now and one thousand after game wer game two,
if the lines are better and if it was, and
also put one hundred on the Dodger's sweep to protect
myself from if the Dodgers do win those first two
games and I can't come back later to find a
better number. So that's sort of how I would attack it.
I will say this, Aniko, A lot of people would
not touch your bet and wouldn't hedge it. And the
bottom line is you're sitting with better than market value.
That's literally what you want to be. Sometimes you don't
want to ruin that opportunity either, so maybe just headge
your one hundred dollars so that you can not lose
any money and ride the whole thing. That's not how
I would attack it in a futures market though, So guys,
hit that like button. Please subscribe to our channel, make
sure to comment. We got a lot to talk about.
We got the parlay of the Day coming. We're going
to discuss Fade or Not Fade. We've got NFL bets,
college football bets, NHL and NBA bets part Before we
get into our parlay the day. In the Fade or Not,
I want to focus on something that one of our
listeners put up and guys, this is why you comment
in our comment section. We're gonna read them, We're going
to discuss them. Thomas Fennel one seven zero. I've been
listening to the show for about five weeks I decided
to bet art sharp line sharp money plays betting games
off the closing line. The guy is thirty six and eleven.
I could not be happy or thank you Art. So firstly,
way to go Art. Secondly, what is he talking about?
Speaker 3: Well, I mean listen, right, I come on here four
times a week and talk about three NFL games and
three college games.
Speaker 1: So those are what he's talking about.
Speaker 3: That's got to be what he's talking about. Yeah, And
I mean listen. The whole point is to take the
information and use it as information, and if it a
lines up with what you think or what you've been seeing,
you can go that way. You could even fade the
other way if you know it doesn't line up with you.
But that's the whole point of what I'm doing. I'm
coming in and letting you know where the sharp money is.
The sharp money went all the time, of course not,
but it is just the information that I give out.
I think that's what he's talking about.
Speaker 1: Yeah, great, way to go Art, that is I mean,
that is why this is the best betting show ever.
And it's why And I don't even know if you
know this, Joe, I freaking pleaded with Art to do
this show like art, and.
Speaker 2: Art was like.
Speaker 1: Art literally is like I don't get paid.
Speaker 2: Yeah, that was his response.
Speaker 1: He's like no, no, And I'm like, okay, we'll take
care of that art and now art, you're being taken
care of, right, mm hmm.
Speaker 3: I love it art because I lost some money on
that little Yeah. Yeah, pressure like my little fairy Godmother.
Speaker 1: Yeah, is little older fairy Godmother more like a band
ran You just can't get rid of them.
Speaker 4: But yeah, I've got fairy Godmother's good too, though unreal.
Speaker 1: Okay, boys, supposedly I ruined yesterday's what else is no
double over?
Speaker 2: Yes, overtime screwed us?
Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, double over time. I like the Buffalo Sabers
tonight hosting the Detroit Red Wings. That's a client play
Buffalo my uh one O five one ten. There you go.
Speaker 2: Art.
Speaker 3: I just briefly talked about this is in the NBA.
The Knicks are going to be really good. The Calves
are better than them, and and this flipping to the
Calves as the favorite makes sense. Calves moneyline minus one
twenty Yeah.
Speaker 2: I like that one.
Speaker 4: And Joseph, Yeah, I'm gonna go with uh here in
Florida with the Orlando Magic taking on the Miami Heats.
I am not quite sure how this thing plans on
getting over two hundred and sixteen and a half points overtime. Yeah,
I'm not banking on that With these two teams, I'm thinking, yeah,
they must bet under to start the season with Orlando
and the Heat tonight to sixteen and a half.
Speaker 1: Let's keep the show moving along, guys, hit that like
button fade or not fade. We're looking at contenders in
the AFC. Let's start with the East, the Bills and
the Patriots. Look, I think they're both bet on teams
this week, and I think they're both bet on teams
moving forward, especially the Buffalo Bills. We've seen this play out.
You're in your out Buffalo and Philadelphia. They have their
mo where they look bad. Then Buffalo has a buy
and they come out and they beat teams by seventeen
to twenty points every week. I think there's gonna be distance.
I like Buffalo this week, I like Buffalo moving forward,
and New England is a team on the rise. This
is a team I'm gonna be looking to bet as well.
With that said, I am not going to bet them
with a hook coming this week Art.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I feel the same. I think both are you know,
bet on teams moving forward Buffalo coming out of the
buy I really got to get a lot healthier on defense.
We know that they are starting to get some guys back.
It would be a little weary of them on the
road this week laying seven and a half. But I
think moving forward, Buffalo definitely a good spot. And New
England too. I mean, listen, you know, New England's got
a chance to maybe be one of the best teams
in the AFC that we didn't think could be.
Speaker 2: Joe.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm waiting see on New England. I mean, you know,
Drake may looks the part, but he's played absolutely no
defense like he's about to play here this weekend with
the Cleveland with the Cleveland Brown. So while I think
they're on the right track, I'm not buying it just yet.
I still think there's a lot of holes on that team.
And as far as the Bills, I mean, listen, the
window of opportunity for them is closing quickly. I think
the Bills, more than anybody else, could be making some
moves at the deadline. If it ain't broke, don't fix it.
I'll back the Bills until I see otherwise.
Speaker 1: And DeAndre Hopkins or somebody, I mean probably not.
Speaker 2: They got to get somebody.
Speaker 1: They need a wide receiver really badly. Steelers and Bengals here, guys.
So look, from my perspective, Cincinnati is a wait, hold
your breath. They look phenomenal last week phenomenal. I wouldn't
call it that they look they won last week, but
Joe Flaco is not somebody that I could sit here
and say I'm going to back this team moving forward.
And this is an inconsistent quarterback, a deep inse that
is struggling. I do think they get it done against
the Jets. They'll likely be my Survivor pick, but I
don't know I can get there on the number. And
Pittsburgh is a team I'm looking to bet against right now.
Speaker 3: Art, Yeah, honestly, both teams I want to wait on,
especially Cincinnati. You hit it the quarterback situation. Who really knows,
but you're right. This week's a great spot for them.
And I'll say this, you mentioned survivor. Cincinnati will probably
be the most popular teas in moneyline parlay in everybody's
leg this week because everybody's going to try to fade
the Jets.
Speaker 4: Joe listen to Steelers are to me they're going to
be buyers at the deadline as well. I think it
was kind of a good litmus test to see what
you were going to get from a forty one, forty
two year old Aaron Rodgers. And quite honestly, he's kind
of turned the clock back here a little bit. He's
been impressive with what he's had to work with. They're
they're gone, although those guys on the defense they should
be better than what they have been. But I think
they're gonna be buyers, which leads me to believe I
should look at buying them as well.
Speaker 2: In Cincinnati, it is what it is.
Speaker 4: They have to do anything and everything to remain relevant
until the end of November and hopefully Joe Burrow will
be back. So I think it's picked your spots with
Cincinnati because I think Flacco is the right guy at
the right time given those receivers and assets they have.
Santo's playmakers. But I've picked your spots with Cincinnati.
Speaker 1: Definitely the best position Blaco has found himself in since
he left Baltimore, that's for sure. And look t Higgs
and Chase I mean, he's got weapons right now. Interesting.
The most interesting thing about the Cincinnati Pittsburgh game last
week was Pittsburgh came in five sacks three games in
a row. They only sacked Joe twice. Is that a
sign of Cincinnati's own line turning it around, or is
that a sign of Pittsburgh's defense just really not being
as good as we expected any either of you.
Speaker 3: That's probably a veteran quarterback known to get the ball out.
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, getting it in the right spot, getting it
out of his hands, knowing the plays, knowing the league,
making the throws.
Speaker 2: Get it to your guys.
Speaker 4: And they have figured out a sense of a running
game with Chase Brown, which is huge, and I think that, Yeah,
the more confidence they get, the better it is. But
it's not the offense I'm worried about. It's that defense
still sucks and it can't stop a nosebleed. So that's
the problem. Cincinnati.
Speaker 1: Good thing they're playing justin fields, the Colts and the Jaguars.
Guys out of the blue, this Indianapolis Colts team looks
like one of the best teams in the league. Their
O line against the Chargers was spectacular. Forever good Jonathan
Taylor is, and yes, he is one of the best.
That o line and created holes like I've never seen before.
I think this Indianapolis Colts team is a bet on
team moving forward. I'm not touching them at minus fourteen
this week. And the Jags are a team that I
think we might need to fade art.
Speaker 3: I'm with you, pres Colts are clearly one of the
best teams in the league. I think maybe you're gonna
start paying a Colts tax because he just I mean
they blow everybody out. I mean every week they just
murder teams. And their loss, Yeah.
Speaker 1: And their only loss was when the wide receiver dropped
the ball.
Speaker 3: In a touchback, No doubt about it, one hundred percent.
And Jacksonville that performance in London going into their buy
was I don't even know what that was. I know
the Rams are a really good team, one of the
better teams in the league. But I'm with you. I
think after the really good start for Jacksonville, now they're
starting to go the other way. It's now time to
fade them.
Speaker 1: Joe.
Speaker 4: Jacksonville, to me, was the perfect time to fadom was
this last couple of weeks because the market was getting
way too high on them. They should have lost to Cincinnati,
by the way, and what we two if it wasn't
for that ridiculousness there. But to me, Jacksonville is going
to have this up and down season with Liam Cohne
as the coach until they can figure some things out there.
As far as the Colts go, listen, they are with
the real deal. Offensively, they have a very very good
potent offense. The problem for them is going to be defense.
They can't get to the pass, they have no pass rush.
They need help in the secondary. But they are not
a team in the history here that has gone out
and made necessary moves during the season. So what you
see is what you might get. And I think that
defense could do them.
Speaker 1: In Well, it's going to be interesting to watch. And
what a turnaround by Danny Dimes. And as of now
he's my m v P. No, No, he just hasn't
done enough because there's too much balance with the running
back comeback player that yeah, but I hate comeback comeback
Player of the Year is like, you know, I had
cancer and then I can't like, I don't like, why
don't we go with you were shipped last year? So
this is an award for all ship players last year,
whoever ship is slightly better wins the you were ship
but not ship anymore, correct.
Speaker 4: But kind of ship, and a good award for him. Yeah,
it's like you read Comeback Player of the Year here
on this show.
Speaker 2: Art said, well, so.
Speaker 3: It's the one award that we don't book.
Speaker 1: Really, how you that award?
Speaker 3: It makes no sense.
Speaker 2: McCaffery right now talked about his mccy a combat player.
Speaker 3: Exactly, it's ridiculous.
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, well I wouldn't Rashid Rice be the comeback
player of exactly?
Speaker 2: Yeah, right, exactly.
Speaker 1: Bronco's Chargers Chiefs, which one is winning the division? Let's
go down them real quick. Broncos are a fade team
of me moving forward. This team is nowhere near as
good as their record. Their defense is nowhere near as
good as we expected at bow Nicks is the Joe
Flacco of of younger people. The Chargers are a mess
and the Chiefs are playing unbelievable ball right now, So
I'm going with a fade. The Chargers are bet on
this week, hold my nose, it's who they're playing, and
the Chiefs are a bet on team moving forward, Art.
Speaker 3: I think if I ranked them, I would go Chiefs, Chargers, Broncos.
Start with the Broncos. They are way too inconsistent, way
too Jeck. Yeah, yeah, yeah, the Chargers. Listen, they got
to get their offensive line together. Way too many injuries.
But I still believe in Herbert and I still believe
in Harball, and the Chiefs are the Chiefs. What's there
more to say? They got Rice back, The Chiefs are
just they're still one of the elite teams in the league.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Joe, if.
Speaker 4: We rewind the tap on this show, I'm just saying,
there were a lot of people on this show that
came out and be like, no, this team is a
faide ju.
Speaker 2: They're not a fade.
Speaker 4: It's the same crap all over again that we had
to deal with with Belichick and Brady for a decade.
It's exactly what we're gonna have to deal with with
the Chiefs. But I don't know about this Chargers team, man,
I really, I really don't. I don't know that they
can overcome all those injuries on the offensive line here.
I think Justin Herbert is back to being a sitting
duck having to throw what do you throw? For four
hundred yards in that game against Indy because he had
no choice because they were behind the entire time.
Speaker 1: And they also have no running game. There is no balance.
Speaker 4: They got all these injuries. It's awful here Denver, I
think is a listen overall. Are they gonna win the AFC? No,
But I do think there are gonna be opportunities to
back them here over the next couple of weeks. That
definitely keep an eye on them because I don't think
they're not as good as their best, but they're not
as bad as they've looked this year. They're somewhere between. Yes,
I think.
Speaker 1: That's well said. Guys. The Chargers line is moving right now.
Art We got three and a halfs almost everywhere real quick?
Speaker 2: Are you?
Speaker 1: Are you guys, either of you interested in the Chargers
in the spot? I mean I this Minnesota team just
does not look good.
Speaker 3: That defense against that offensive line that I wouldn't lay it.
I wouldn't lay it.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll steal back Herbert the better quarterback over Carson Wentz.
But it's and by the way, I do believe that
Jones will be back this week for him too. I
believe they'll have the running back back for Minnesota. So
that'll help at least kind of stabilize the offensive side
of things there. But what the hell was that with
the Chargers defense last I don't even know what to
make of that.
Speaker 2: I really don't know.
Speaker 1: I mean, they couldn't even tackle. It was like it
was like Indianapolis was Moses and the Chargers with the
Red Sea.
Speaker 2: Yep, awful.
Speaker 1: I like the under I think in the Thursday night game,
awesome segment. What an amazing time with Art the Caesar.
Are you kidding me?
Speaker 2: Art?
Speaker 1: What's going on at the West Gate?
Speaker 3: Oh? Listen, man, we got everything going on. NBA back couch.
Basketball will be back in a couple of weeks, you know,
so listen. Obviously we'll keep grinding away on these games
every day. We'll have a lot more to talk about tomorrow,
and I'll see you boys in the morning.
Speaker 1: Both there you go, Art to Caesar, everyone. Joe lot
still to do. Five segments left. Are going to go
through our NFL best bets one each. We got our
college football best bets one each. I'll go through all
three NHL games. Joe will attempt in a two minute
period to take apart the sixty seven NBA games and yeah,
I don't even understand that thing. But I'm so uncool
these days, dude. I have totally realized that cool has
left the building. Joe, Let's take care of some business
before we get into the NFL and college football best
bets NBA. Today, I got my first NBA play up
for this season. My NBA record has been outstanding the
last three years, Joe. Literally, I'm one of the top
NBA experts at wagertalk dot com in the last three years.
I'm over one hundred units of profit over that time period.
I had a winning season last year of the year
or the year for that we start tonight. I've got
one NBA play. I've also got three NHL bets, so
you can see find that all over at wager talk
dot com. What do you got going, brother.
Speaker 4: Pres I got a game. Originally that I was going
to make a top play at four percent in college football,
but the more I looked at it, the more it
has to be a five percent best bet.
Speaker 2: So that's why I made it.
Speaker 4: And it is up and it is ready to roll
there over at wager Talk. Kennesaw State got it done
for us again last night. Kudos and we cashed Helliboay
to start the NBA season, right. We had the points
plus seven in Houston last night and got it done there.
So I've got another NBA play today and I'll be
posting my Major League Baseball strategy as well as our
first big bet for the World Series a little bit
later as well.
Speaker 1: There we go, Joe, Let's go man, Let's turn out
the NFL best bets, one best bet each, one minute
each qu the clock, and I'm taking the Tampa Bay
a Buccaneers minus four. This is both to play on
Tampa Bay and to play against New Orleans. Let's start
with Tampa Bay coming off of one of the most
embarrassing losses of Baker Mayfield in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
career together, they could not get going in Detroit twenty
four to nine, and if you watch that game, it
was predominantly because Baker was out of sync. He was
overthrowing and underthrowing receivers and that's not something that regularly happens.
I think they have a huge bounce back. The last
time they lost a game was against Philadelphia. They came
back and beat Seattle in Seattle. The last time they lost.
They have not lost two games in a row in
a long time, and this New Orleans team is a
shell of a team. There's no reason for them to
put up w's right now. They can't beat anybody. They've
got their one already against the Giants. Minus four seems
short to take Tampa Bay in the spot.
Speaker 4: Joe, ooh interesting, Prez, all right, I am gonna go
the other way, Prez.
Speaker 2: I am gonna go where.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna lay a big number, but I don't care.
I am backing the Buffalo Bills here and I'll lay
the touchdown, touchdown and a half against Carolina.
Speaker 2: Coming off the bye week.
Speaker 4: I find it fascinating that the market has not moved
once they announced that it's the red rifle there. Andy
Dalton is stepping in and know Bryce Young. The line
never moves. So you're telling me there's no difference between
Bryce Young and Andy Dalton. I don't think so. I
think it's completely mispriced. I think the bill should be
a little bit higher, and I don't think coming off
and I lost a couple of weeks ago against New England,
they're gonna be in any mood to play with their
food here.
Speaker 2: And I don't think they will.
Speaker 4: I think they'll handle business, they'll keep their foot on
the gas, and they will win pres by double digits.
I'll lay it with the Buffer Bills.
Speaker 1: In this one, Joe, I really liked them in the
first half. Let's turn our attention to college football best
bets and que that clock. I'm going with Louisville here
Joe minus twenty five and a half against Boston College.
And let's start with this Boston College team. This team
isn't just bad, they are getting progressively worse. They're on
a five game losing streak. All five they lost against
the spread. They are twenty points worse than the average
team in college football over their last three games. They
just switched quarterbacks. That didn't matter. Their offense is broken.
They're averaging eight point five points per game per game,
eight and a half points per game. They've only maced
two good defenses, and now that dumpster virus. To go
on the road and face the Louisville defense, that is
legit nasty. This unit is allowing four point six yards
per play against real competition. Boston College might be lucky
to get the point six in that situation. This is
going to be a total blowout. I wouldn't be surprising
if they win by thirty five or more. Take Loui Evil.
Speaker 4: I love that one there, Prez Boston College. I've been
saying that Bill O'Brien will be fired before it's all
said and done. Speaking of fired, how about North Carolina
taking on Virginia this week?
Speaker 2: Virginia laying ten.
Speaker 4: Let's review how North Carolina just lost last week on
a road to col No big deal, right, they just
fumbled the game away, the game winning touchdown at the
one yard line as a big underdog. And those kinds
of losses, pres those are soul crushing losses. As they say,
this was a team, as a big underdog that could
have won the game, should have won the game, and
you know what didn't. That means they are very likely
to lose that game twice. And it starts with a
Virginia team who is dropping thirty five points a game
on very similar bad competition like North Carolina. You want
to talk about blowout, friends, Virginia will drop forty plus
points on this North Carolina team. I don't think it's
going to be close. I'll lay it with Virginia.
Speaker 1: Yeah, speaking of laying it, Bill Belichick just he doesn't
feel like a guy who should be coaching kids. He
feels like a guy who makes kids cry.
Speaker 2: Right, Yes, good point.
Speaker 1: NHL rundown, The NHL rundown, my brother. Three games today,
Minnesota going into New Jersey. I was on Toronto last
night with my clients, A big play, four percent play
in the Toronto may believes suck and they are just
like they have no identity. Something is wrong in Toronto,
but that is no relevance to this game. New Jersey
looked incredible and this team is absolutely on fire right now.
What a perfect spot to met against them. I love
Minnesota in the spot New Jersey, back to back situation
in a travel environ I understand, it's only an hour
and a half flight, doesn't matter. Gotta go there, gotta
then get on a flight, gotta go home. Got a
pack on an unpack. It throws you off. I like
Minnesota as a dog buffalo playing Detroit. Detroit kill a
run right now, congratulations to them. Talk about Detroit being
at the highest market value that they can possibly be at.
That is right now. This Detroit Red Wings team is
not winning five out of six or four out of
five or seven out of eight on a regular basis.
Take Buffalo, great spot for them, and Montreal playing Calgary.
We're gonna stay with the dogs here, Joe. Take the
Calgary Flames.
Speaker 2: I know.
Speaker 1: They're like one in five, one and six on the urine.
They can barely score. I get it. And this Montreal
team is better than everyone expected. I get it. Horrible
spot from Montreal, and Calgary is absolutely desperate. I think
Minnesota wins. I think Buffalo wins. I think Calgary wins.
That's all three dogs. Throw them in a small little
parlay for us as well, Joe, I got nineteen seconds
still to go.
Speaker 4: I know, did you say you had one or two
plays tonight in the NHL or three?
Speaker 1: I have three NHL plays, and you know what, Joe,
I gave them all out right here. All three of
those plays are my client plays, so you do not
need to buy them. Minnesota, Buffalo, Calgary, let's go.
Speaker 4: Get them done, all right, Let's go to the NBA.
Press a ton of games here. Brooklyn Nets taken on
to Charlotte Hornets, and listen, this is a much better
Charlotte Hornets team than we've seen in years past. You
got Miles Bridges you got a healthy LaMelo ball and
you've got you got Miller, You've got I think a
ton of points coming in this game. This is one
that I would spend some time looking at team totals
and possibly the over and the Calves taking on a
next Madison Square go and I thought Art said it perfectly. Listen,
the Knicks are gonna be good. They returned all five starters,
but you know now they got Mike Brown. There's going
to be an absolute push for some defense here by
the Knicks. But the Calves I think are just too
good in this spot. I don't think we're gonna get
a ton of points to twenty eight and a half.
I do like the under there, the heat and magic.
I told you, I don't see how this game goes
over this total. I will back the Heat and the under.
The Celtics, the new Celtics without adjacent datum, taking on
the seventy six ers, who will actually have Joe l
Embiid on the court. I like the Celtics at home
in this one. Toronto and the Hawks. Everybody loves the
Atlanta Hawks and Quinn Schneider.
Speaker 2: I don't.
Speaker 4: I'll take the points with the underdog Raptors in this one.
Here the Bulls and the Pistons, with the Bulls being
a home dog. The Bulls are terrible stop and the
Pistons are going to roll them in this game. Not
to mention, you want to talk about injuries, how about
the Pelicans and Grizzlies.
Speaker 2: Outside of Jaron Johnson Junior and John.
Speaker 4: Moran, everyone else is hurt for the Grizzlies, and the
Pelicans are a hot mess. But the Grizzlies are still
laying four and a half for a reason, and I
would lay it with them. The Bucks at home is
a double digit favorite over the Wizards. Wizards aren't gonna
win twenty games. I'll tell you what. The Bucks the
Jazz suck, but they're gonna be fun to watch. The
Clippers should cover that one. Mavericks and Spurs get ready
for web By Yama and taking on the Mavericks. I
like the Mavericks in this one. I also like the
Timberwolves as well as the Suns to get it done
here tonight, Prez awesome stuff.
Speaker 1: Joe. Let's keep going mailbag a section of the show,
and I first want to point out Bob Ross twenty seven.
He came into the chat room yesterday and he said
he was eighteen and three in his last three days
of NHL betting. Congratulations. Then he put up his bets
last night New Jersey plus one and a half winners,
Vancouver money Line Loser under Push, Ottawa Winner, Seattle plus
one and a half and over winners, San Jose plus
one and a half, Columbus plus one and a half,
National money Line, King's Bluss one and a half. He
had a great night yesterday too, Bob, keep putting your
picks up. Way to fricking go bro Joe, listen to this.
This is This is one of my favorite remarks ever
from Pat Love the show. By the way, Fellows just
made my wife watch with me since she couldn't understand
why I was laughing hysterically. Her response, Oh, I get it.
They're a holes like you keeping up Fellows outstanding. Nothing
makes me happier than people saying they laughed when if
I could make someone, I would rather make someone laugh
than make someone money, frankly, because that me is the
greatest compliment in the world. So Pat, so much, Love dude,
thank you so much. We have another great comment. I
love this show. Not gonna lie. I look forward to
the show every day. Jason Vogel, the fact that this
helps and you guys are real. I give you all props.
And then another guy, Steal Pumpkin, writes, Joe wants to
be Sunny Crockett. And Joe, that's where I want to stop,
because I see it and I agree, and I mean, clearly,
you live in a tanning salon?
Speaker 3: Do you?
Speaker 4: Or I live in South Florida, so that that could
be too.
Speaker 2: That's a buzz.
Speaker 1: Isn't that a tanning salon?
Speaker 4: Well it pretty much feels like it when it's ninety
five percent humidity again today, But yes, yes, I'll take it.
Speaker 1: So Sunny Crockett was a mentor in your life, right,
He was an iconic figure. He had an effect on you.
Speaker 4: You'd listen, who was that Steel Pumpkin? Okay, Steal Pumpkin
and the press half the people that are on in
the chatterel watching this have no idea. Who the hell
shut your asses the Baltiest, please stop showing your age, No,
Sonny Crockett, forget they even said anything along those lines.
But I do appreciate you guys watching, but it is
a compliment. Joe, Come on, man, I mean it was
a legend listen, greatest show ever on television, way ahead.
Speaker 2: Of its time, and it was. Yes, I was a
Don Johnson fan back in the day.
Speaker 1: I think twenty four was the greatest show on television.
Four being ahead of its.
Speaker 4: Time, well yeah, yo, Sonny Crockett was the eighties. So
I mean Miami Vice was the eighties and it.
Speaker 1: Was way ahead of its time. I mean I could
just see like and the.
Speaker 2: Heat is on, Glenn Fry, Yes, absolutely, Glen.
Speaker 1: I think going to.
Speaker 4: Joe, I got I got the undertaker, you name it, Press,
I got more.
Speaker 2: Than I know what to do. It got a lot.
Speaker 1: Yes, we got to use that Joe. We gotta do
undertake or pic of the day. It okay, what is
it today? Give me a pick undertaking a pick of the.
Speaker 2: Day under the Miami heat, getting eight.
Speaker 1: And a half points. See you tomorrow, my brother,