Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we always start the show by
being transparent. Yesterday I made one play. I had one winner,
the Magic got a bad number on it minus ten
and a half, got to the window. They won easily.
Kings are just that bad, you know. I am disappointed
that I didn't add the Clippers because that was my dog.
But hopefully you had a good day as well, you know,
good to be back with you.
Speaker 2: Well, no, because I walked into that one plus one
class and walked out with a fifteen point laws with it.
I mean, Detroit absolutely destroyed that team. They were really
never behind from the first quarter on. The Knicks could
never close the margin. It just kept expanding quarter by quarter.
And without Jalen Durhan and without Isaiah Stewart, it was
I mean, Cade was out of his mind. He's he's
just that good and they couldn't handle him. So something
to look forward to down the road. Here. That's three
straight where Detroit has absolutely destroyed New York by large margins.
It's just not a good matchup for that team. They're
gonna have to hope they don't have to face them
in the playoffs because it's tough. Aside from that, I
felt a little bit short on a Atlanta Hawks team total.
I don't know why I played team total instead of
sid in that game. Ski, we talked about the side
with Atlanta probably being right. I got too cute, played
over one nineteen and a half. They got to one seventeen,
so that lost as well. So we weren't off to
the best NBA start last night.
Speaker 1: Prolific. I'm not sure if this is he's telling me
the NBA stinks or are you saying skis NBA stinks.
Let me know who's one it is, prolific. Let me know.
All right, we have a good amount of games today.
We'll talk about them. It's going to be more of
me trying to cap the games, you know, talk out
the games really right. I don't like when we have
these breaks, like I said, but I did end up
with one winner yesterday. Let's see if we can find
some others today. So first game up, we'll go with
Jazz and Grizzlies. Opened up minus five and a half
for Memphis down as low as one and a half.
And I actually need to refresh that injury report because
it has to be.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 1: I mean Pip and Jr. Moran, Jerome, Edie Coward, Clark
Aldama all out, Walter Clayton Junior also doubtful. No, I mean,
I don't even know why we've been talking about this game.
Darkiss out. Can't say George's out marketing is questionable. I mean,
does anybody want to win this game? You know what
are we doing right here?
Speaker 2: We know Utah doesn't want to win games because they
got fined for it by the league. I don't know
if you know, that's something that crossed my mind. Ski
the couple of teams that got fined, I think it
was Indiana and Utah, And we know Utah has benched
like marketing in in company for an entire fourth quarter
prior to the All Star break. But I wonder if
getting fined is enough to force them to think, you
know what, we might as well just play these games.
As the NBA tries to figure out how to alter
the draft, I don't know what that answer is, because
you know, Indiana came out last night and got whacked
by the Wizards, so maybe you just though I don't
know these teams, it's going to be tough to figure
I'll have to watch one game of Utah, and this
isn't even the best game to watch, because, like you say,
the injury list is just filled with players that you
want to have if you have Utah. The way we've
talked about them most of the season is toward the
over I'm probably not going to argue anybody all of that,
but there's too many pieces missing for me to get
to over here. So good game to skip. We can
move on.
Speaker 1: Yeah, if I'm betting this one, it's probably Philipowski rebounds
or something, just because there's they're missing. Nurki is probably
gonna miss marketing and there's no Bigs on the other side.
I mean, who's playing center, Gg Jackson, Kyle Anderson should
be some rebounds to grab, so I would I would
likely look at him. B I'm betting something in this game.
Pacers and Wizards. We just saw this game yesterday. This
time it opened the minus two and a half we've
seen for the Pacers, and we've seen a flip of favorites,
not a Wizards or the short favorite total came down
from two thirty five and a half to two twenty nine.
You know, I understand why this total is crashing I
mean you even have Nimhart doubt for now. See I
come out, Zubac out, topping out and Eastmith out, McConnell questionable,
Jones questionable. Nobody wants to play. You know, George for
the Wizards has been rolled out now as well. I mean,
this is just terrible. This is this is so they
were saying NBA stinks. This is what they're talking about.
You know, it wasn't Ski this NBA right here. What
do you think about this game?
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's almost as if since these teams got fined,
they decided, well, you know, we'll just put everybody on
the out list, and that way we don't have to
worry about getting accused of benching guys not trying hard.
I saw guys shifted to the I l out for
the year over the course of the All Star break. So,
you know, when two of these teams are playing each other,
it's difficult. You almost feel like maybe Indiana and Washington
got together last night and said, listen, let's just make
a pact and you know, you win one, will win one,
and we'll be back where we started. But I don't
even know if Indiana can win this one. Nobody on
the floor. Siakam is personal that he's not playing. It's
it's kind of crazy. There's two players on Indiana for
personal reasons. So I don't know exactly what that means,
but it's not worth us wasted any more time talking
about that when if somebody has an angle on it,
we wish you luck.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it won't be getting my money. I'll tell you that.
We'll go over to the next game. That looks like
Calves and Hornets opened up minus four and a half,
looks like five five and a half total, came down
another one from two thirty four and a half as
low as two twenty eight and a half for the Hornets.
You got Bridges out, Diabat out, mcmilly, Kobe White and
Williams for the Calves, Max Struce Evan Mobley are both out.
Tomlin is probable. Calves have looked pretty good since uh,
you know James Harden. You know Honeymoon Harden is usually
pretty good. You got to wait to get a little
bit later in playoff territory. But you know, the Hornets
have been playing well too. They are shorthanded here. It's
just with the guys suspended, it's going to be They're
going to have enough here to with this Cavaliers team
that's playing really well.
Speaker 2: It's a good question because you know what the Calves
played last night, but they did not Their starting unit
didn't play hardly at all as far as minutes are concerned.
So there's no reason to think that the Calves would
be suffering from any fatigue on back to back games here.
They should have everybody ready to go. We see a
little bit of a bump in the number here Ski
four and a half up to five now, so there
is some Calves money. You know, just who's going to
be on the floor tonight. They're the better team and
I'm with you, it seems like. And Donovan Mitchell commented
on it before yesterday's game. He said, James Harden, we
haven't had a lot of time to sit together talk
about our system, watch film together, but he said, Harden
just came here and fit right in immediately. So James Harden,
like you say, Honeymoon Harden, as you call them right
here within an instant melting right in cohesion, not affected
whatsoever of this team. Charlotte has been playing better, but
I don't know. There's something about Cleveland right now that
I wouldn't want to go against and especially since nobody
played numbers wise, Jerry Dillen played Now excuse me, Harden
played the most last night, twenty eight minutes. No reason
to think they wouldn't be ready to go again tonight.
Speaker 1: Yeah. I think if I'm betting this one, it would
be Calves or or over something like that. It's tough,
tough sledding today here, Rob. You know, MAVs and Tea Wolves.
These are two teams that didn't play all right. They're
still very arrested. Opened up minus thirteen, went up even
higher fourteen fourteen and a half. Total contains to climb
as well, from two thirty five and a half as
high as two thirty nine and a half for the Mavericks.
Gafford is questionable, Cooper flag is out, Christie's doubtful, Martin
is questionable. Is it starting to tank in Dallas too?
I mean, does anybody want to play? Anybody want to win?
The only thing is I mean there's nobody on the
entryport for Minnesota, but they just haven't shown that you
should lay points with them all year, and I don't
think they're going to be too interested to play. The
guys on the other side tonight, I would double check
and see if I'll double check while I pass it
to you to see if Minnesota also plays again tomorrow.
I don't think they do. Know they don't, but I
don't think they're interested. I don't think they will cover.
I would prefer to still put my money on the Mavericks.
What do you think?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I wouldn't put my money on the Mavericks,
but I wouldn't put it on Minnesota either. I think
if I was going to play, I would just play
for points in this game. Like you say, the path
to the rim against Dallas should be pretty easy. Now.
They went out and got Marvin Bagley junior, who's somewhat
of a shot blocker, but not enough to deter anybody
on Minnesota here. If we knew Minnesota was interested, I
would play Minnesota. They certainly are capable of winning by
twenty against this team, no question. Dallas plays a little
to no defense. Reiterate again that if Gaffer doesn't go,
there's basically zero rim defense from this team and it
just becomes an up and down score fest. And Minnesota,
I mean you've said it one hundred times this year.
They just don't stop anybody, and it's hard. You can't
lay fourteen and a half when you can't trust them
to stop people. But I do think points will be
scored now. They bet this thing up from two thirty
five and a half to two thirty nine and a half,
which means we have to get to two forty or
I would have to take the angle of Minnesota team
total over but that number is one twenty six and
a half, which is probably out of my range. So
I wouldn't argue anybody off an over here. But I
don't see a side that I would be interested in.
Speaker 1: Heat and Hawks open minus two and a half for
the Heat up to four three and a half, depending
where your shop total went up from two forty one
to two forty four and a half. I did see
Hero was upgraded, right, He's actually in. Yeah, he's in.
And the only person missing for Atlanta so far is coming.
Atlanta is on the back to back. Atlanta did win
yesterday in Philadelphia. I don't think that is bothering Atlanta
too much. You know, I talked about liking him yesterday
and I should have. I should have been on Atlanta,
should have been on the Clippers, like this Atlanta team
got deeper. They've had time to practice now with all
the new pieces. This Heat team, I don't know, they've
just been unimpressive all year. Said I would want to
get the points with Atlanta. That's my first thought here
at home. I know Miami, I think it's six and
two as a real favorite this year, But I just
don't see it tonight. What do you think? You know?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's tough to see how they're laying
that many. I mean, anything beyond pick them in this
game is somewhat of a surprise to me. I get
the Atlanta having to play back to backs. You know
the Philly game last night. I watched it and it
wasn't as if the Hawks were really pressed. They opened
it up in the fourth quarter. Philadelphia made a couple
of pushes at them, but not enough to really tax
the Atlanta Hawks. Minutes here Daniels and Alexander Walker, Jalen
Johnson thirty six, thirty seven minutes. What was clutch was
CJ off the bench last night. When you have a
guy like that off the bench now, he's probably happy
as heck can be here. Twenty three points played really
really well. It doesn't matter if you start the games,
who ends the game, and you could see they're gonna
have a column on the floor at the end of
games here for extra scoring. Jalen Johnson was tremendous. I
think Miami's gonna run and probably try and run with Atlanta,
but again, Atlanta's death at this point in time, if
everybody's gonna go, it's pretty good. So I could see
a high score game. Last night, the money pushed the
Philly Atlanta total way up to I think two forty
one by game time. It's just a constant climb, constant
surge of money toward over. It didn't get there tonight.
May be a little bit different here because Miami's gonna
go a lot faster than Philly will. Maybe it gets
to the over in this game. Two forty four and
a half is a big number. I would try the
Hawks at home. Ski. They didn't make those moves at
the break for no reason. And I believe this is
this is a divisional battle. I'm trying to check the
conference standings here really quick. Yeah, these teams are eight
and nine in the standings. The Heat are two and
a half games ahead of the Hawks, So big home
game for the Hawks here taking points seems like it
wouldn't be a bad idea with them.
Speaker 1: Yeah, we're on the same page here. I do disagree that.
You know, as far as the total, I don't know.
Are he still gonna play fast? I feel like they
play a little different when Hero plays. I don't know.
I might need to look into some more, you know,
maybe maybe I can look into some numbers that will
help me out with that. But if I'm playing, I'm
grabbing those points with the home dog for sure. Casey
in the building. Good to see. Casey says good matchup
for the Hawks as well. Mark agrees that the Hawks
are getting too many points. All right, next game we
have Bucks and Pelicans opened up I think opened up three.
We're looking at four or four and a half. Another
total that went up from two twenty one, as so
as two twenty four. Looking at the injuries, you have
Murphy out, Murry out, Pavvy out, me see out, no Johannis,
no mouse turner, no tiring prints for Milwaukee. I don't
like that Murphy's out, but still but almost I still
prefer or the Pelicans at home. Like Sadik Bates been
playing well, Zion, I mean Who's who's protecting the room
for the for the Bucks tonight? Who starts Derrick Sims
and who else? Who starts Who's stopping Zion.
Speaker 2: And Bobby Porters? Right?
Speaker 1: Yeah, man, I think the Pelicans should be able to score.
Maybe this is an over game. You know, what do
you think here?
Speaker 2: Yeah? This and this isn't a good price range ski
tow twenty four even with the money that's come in.
It's only two twenty four. They just played the beginning
of February. Game went overtime, but Miles Turner played a
big hand in that game for Milwaukee, and without him tonight,
you'd have to lean a little bit towards New Orleans
in this case if you're looking side, you know, I
hate to play New Orleans as a favorite, not that
I love playing the Bucks as a dog, but I
do think that the better look here is probably an
over no real rim protection on one side the Bucks do.
If nothing else, the Bucks still have some scores, and
we saw Cam Thomas come off the bench with like
thirty plus for them in his second game. So I
would have to agree that two twenty four seems like
a bit of and I see a lot of two
twenty three and a half's out there as well. To me,
that would be the in fact, everything we've talked out
here so far, I think that looks the best to me. Milwaukee,
New Orleans over two twenty three and a half.
Speaker 1: Why do we not just isolate the Pelicans here.
Speaker 2: Well, I think because then I'm isolating Cam Thomas in
thirty points.
Speaker 1: On the other side, Thomas contribute, he could contribute.
Speaker 2: Kuzma obviously, I think we said before, nobody's there to
stop Kyle Kuzma from taking twenty five shots tonight.
Speaker 1: I understand Pelicans an over ways that I'm looking as well.
In this game, it seems like the chat likes to
over a lot of over love. Almost a little bit
too much much for me. Wait a second, you know,
hold on.
Speaker 2: I've been walking into those buildings.
Speaker 1: Ladies will keep it moving to the nets and the
thunder opened up sixteen and a half. Looks like seventeen
and a half total came down from two eighteen as
low as two twelve and a half. Injury report, you
have Sga, aj Mitchell, and Jada all out for the thunder.
It's a lot of points missing. Brooklyn, you have Claxton questionable.
Michael Porter Junior questionable. That's a lot of points missing.
It makes sense why this total opener was low and
why it continues to drop. Has it dropped too far?
Is there still enough bucket getters on OKC? What do
you think about this game?
Speaker 2: You know, I mean they can get buckets off their
defense too. The Nets are horrible, absolutely horrible last night. Again,
the first thing I did ski with this game was
look at the Nets team total, just thinking that okay,
see could d them up because Brooklyn's on back to backs.
But their team total is ninety seven and a half,
and I mean, you know they probably yeah, there you
go telling us how low is it. It's ninety seven
and a half and they probably you know, they probably
could score less than ninety in this game against Oklahoma City.
Just no scoring on the floor for them. And if
MPJ doesn't go, I mean, I don't know, I'd probably
rather attach myself to full game over because OKC might
ease up on them. But even without SGA, even without
Jalen Williams, they're scary enough against that Brooklyn defense to
think that they can score their Sure, I just don't
think Brooklyn can get Theirs I don't know. Ninety seven
and a half just as out of my range. You know,
I don't like to play unders anyway, but ninety seven
and a half, I'm certainly not in that market.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I don't know. Man, it definitely could hit,
especially if well I don't. Yeah, I don't like it.
I don't like doing it. It's too love for me.
It definitely it could hit still, but I don't think
I'm putting my money on that one. Next game Clippers
and Lakers. Clippers on the back to back, Lakers spread
continues to climb as high as eight eight and a half,
even total up from two to twenty four, its high
as two twenty seven. I would probably agree. I mean,
we know the Lakers don't play a whole lot of defense.
We know the Lakers can score spread wise. I just
can't lay if I don't trust you defensively. It's just
how I feel, and I don't trust Lakers that much
to lay. I'll probably bet Luca points just because you know,
probably first quarter points. I mean, if you watch Lakers
basketball games, you know what Luca does in the first quarter.
If you watch Mavericks games, you know what he does
in the first quarter. If you watch them versus Clippers,
you know he doesn't like them either, So I'd probably
be the way I look at this game. You know,
how do you see it?
Speaker 2: Yeah? I could almost see a Laker team total in
this one because the Clippers are on back to back,
so off a one point win against them or last night,
you know, really quickly, Ski when we talked about the
Clippers yesterday, just kind of mentioned the reconstruction of this
team and would Mathering off the bench now it just
looked like a better group. And Benedic Matherin at thirty
eight last night in that game went absolutely crazy against
the Nuggets. That was a seventy four point fourth quarter.
To get me over the total, I had to twenty six.
Never thought it was going to get their game got
to to twenty nine because of the fourth quarter. But
the Clippers had to extend themselves in that game. There's
no question they had to extend themselves so defensively, I
don't know that they'll be all there tonight. I think
the Lakers, for the most part, to get to one
eighteen at home isn't really asking much off of rest
here and with everybody back in the lineup, A lot
of scorers here. But like you say, defense, so I'm
not going to argue people off of full game, but
I think I'd prefer to isolate Lakers to get to
one eighteen tonight.
Speaker 1: I think that's the smart way to play it, all right,
last game here, you know, Nuggets and Blazers open up
minus two and a half for Denver down to one
or one and a half. Total went up from two
thirty eight and a half to two forty. It's highest
two forty one and a half. Murray Tybal both questionable
sharpest out for the Blazers. Baits S Gordon and Peyton
Watson continue to be out for this Denver Nuggets team.
They could get some other people rolled out. I mean,
they did play yesterday and they're traveling. This is This
is tough because I almost want to bet the Nuggets,
but I don't know. Something is holding me back from
pushing a button there. Do you have any feelings Nuggets
and Blazers.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's kind of the same feeling that I just
had from last game I played the home team team
total over. I don't know if Portland's gonna win the
game or not, but they're one nineteen and a half
against a team that, like you say, I had the
same thought that maybe Denver has other guys ruled out tonight.
But Portland has played with a lot of pace as
of late, and Denver's in back to back situation here
with defensive guys missing. We talked about the defense that
they were missing last night, same defensive players missing here tonight.
You're in a back to back. You played extensive minutes
or at least taxing minutes. I don't know. To me,
Portland at home has been a better team than they've
been on the road, and it's a team that gives
you a full forty eight ski So it might be
a lot to ask of them to get to one twenty.
But I'm pretty sure you ran down yesterday. The number
of points Denver has given up in the last one
I mean per game, given up one twenty is nothing
to them. They'll score one twenty one. So to me,
the safest way was to take Portland over one nineteen
and a half.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I could absolutely see that one Portland team total niggas.
I mean, they don't play any defense either. We do
trust them the score, I could, I could, I could
be interested in an over in this game.
Speaker 2: You just need them all to play right. Hopefully nobody
gets ruled out on that side.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know how that goes, so I will it.
Speaker 2: I was thinking too, but you have to be proactive.
Maybe Donovin Klingen has been so good if yo kids
didn't go clinging would be kind of a steal in
that spot. But you don't know what's gonna happen until
you know thirty minutes before tip off with injuries.
Speaker 1: All right, Well that is uh, that looks like the
show for today. Not a whole lots of light. So
for me at least maybe for other people, we'll wrap
it up. Let's go ahead, and let's go ahead and
toss this up on the screen, the ten days all
access for the price of seven you'll say, sixty nine bucks.
It's a good way to get involved. I know, I've
had three straight winning days three and oh I know
I'm one hundred and seventy two. It's a little bit
over fifty eight percent last one hundred and seventy two
basketball players. So good way to get involved there. And
I'll pass it to Vino on that note. You know,
I know things have been going well for you too.
There's anything else you like, promote, feel free and if
you have a best bet for the show, we'd love
to hear it.
Speaker 2: Yeah, really quick, smaller sample size, Ski, But the last
seventeen days, NBA, last three weeks or so, sixteen and
eight sixty seven percent winners plus twenty three units, and
that includes what happened last night with the with the
with the goose sak. So it's been a really good run.
Get back at it tonight with this one thing I'll
plug really quick. Here is for those who are gonna
be looking at the huge college basketball slate tomorrow, Wager
Talk Last Call eleven am to twelve noon tomorrow, right
before tip off of all the big games. Kelly Stewart host,
myself and Adam Trigger will be there for forty five
minutes going over college games for everybody. Check gets involved,
get to ask your questions, get your games answered. So
once again, join us tomorrow morning on wager Talk TV
for Last Call Best bet Here, Ski, I will leave
you one because I'm pretty confident in this play of
the Lakers team total over tonight. Just feel like they've
got so much scoring and the Clippers could be a
step slow tonight. We're not gonna call them walkers and
tennis balls, but we'll say in a back to back
they could be a step slow in this game. And
I don't think Matherin has another thirty eight point outburst
in him. Lake Show can't trust him to lay the points,
but I think I could trust him to get over
this number. Let me get you the exact current here.
Pakers are one seventeen and a half for a team total,
so we'll need one eighteen to win. But I'll leave
that as the best bet because it's when I played
Lakers team total over one seventeen and a half.
Speaker 1: All right, good stuff.
Speaker 2: You know.
Speaker 1: One more thing for me to promote is that I
do have the NBA through the finals available for three
forty nine. It's less than one hundred bucks a month
for the rest of the NBA, and things are rolling.
I just told you how you know I've been doing
in basketball, so that is a good way to get involved.
And I also mentioned to you guys before that I
don't always you know, especially when there's a break in
the schedule or rhythm, I'm not loading up a lot
of players earlier, or you know, in general, it's not
the high volume load up early ski these first couple
of days after the break. I like to wait and
maybe my play is a little bit closer to game time.
So I can't give you guys anything that I've actually played.
What I will do? You know you made some money
yesterday if you listen, so we'll go.
Speaker 3: My dog, there's my dog, and anybody gotta say anything,
you let me know. That's my dog.
Speaker 1: Dog here. I mean, I think I see a I
see I have to look at the Hornets. I have
to consider the Hornets. I mean, yes, they have guys suspended.
Let's not forget these are a lot of young players.
How good they've been on the second of a back
to back. I think they're what nine to two on
the second of a back to back this season. They've
been good over years on the second of a back
to back, and now catching points here at home versus
Cavaliers team who, yes, they've looked good, but who if
they played the Nets? Come on, man, I mean we've
seen them get out blown out by fifty multiple times
this season. The Wizards, who absolutely don't care to try
to win any games. They did beat the Nuggets, who
I'm not sure who's playing, but they did beat the Nuggets,
but too, I'll give them that. The Kings come on, man,
I mean they haven't been anything impressive. I think that
the Hornets can show up and give them a competitive
game here tonight. So if anybody was gonna be my
dog for tonight and I might get to the window,
I do see a five and a half with those Hornets.
That's what I'll leave you guys with for the show.
You know, I do always appreciate you taking the time
to do these shows with me. Helps my process. I'm
sure it helps everybody else out there as well. Chat
we appreciate you all a lot of great cappers and
great people who are all just trying to help you
have to get to the window. So no shows on
the weekend for me, if you know. Told you if
you want to hear some college basketball, where to catch
him at tomorrow. But we'll be back doing this show
on Monday. So best of luck everybody on all your action.
We'll catch you all then.