Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody?
Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. If you are new,
we do always start this show by being transparent.
Speaker 1: See if I can fix that alert. I got right there.
Speaker 2: Yesterday I went one and two. It's not let me
fix it, so she got to leave that off. I
went one and two. I did a little bit too much.
I like the Clippers. I wanted to think about it
a little bit longer. As soon as I ended the show,
like I said, James Harden gets pulled up on the
injury report, I think about it some more. I still
ended up taking them at plus three, so that was
the one winner. I bet the over and the OKC game,
and they looked terrible on their side. I thought Charlotte
would be able to put up some points and I think, okay,
see would look that bad.
Speaker 1: And let's see. What was the other game?
Speaker 2: I had Houston. I bet Houston in that one and
it did not get there. So I feel a little
bit better here today.
Speaker 1: You know how you doing.
Speaker 3: I'm doing good. Yesterday wasn't great. The Knicks obviously Detroit
wire to wire, so the Knicks was a dead wrong call.
And the College Football FCS playoffs at Montana State, which
looked like a celebration dance at halftime and turned into
a loss by the end of the game, did not
cover the number. A great game over time one point win,
but didn't cover the number so oh and two yesterday.
I have to get back up on track here tonight.
Speaker 1: All right, we're good, my bad? You ready to go?
Very still?
Speaker 3: I can't, I can't. The production crew is just trying
to get some stuff straight here.
Speaker 1: It's not a cooperator here. But let's do these games
for today. All right?
Speaker 2: We got Cleveland and Indiana opened up minus eight and
a half for Cleveland. Looks like it's six total open
two thirty six and it's down to two thirty five
and I actually no.
Speaker 1: It's all over the place. We'll call it still two
thirty six.
Speaker 2: We have Donothan, Mitchell, Darry Nance, Max Strus all out,
Tyson Wade questionable, Alan probable. For this Pacers team, Jackson
Matherin and Obi Topping look like they're all out. You know,
you know, I took the Pacers the other day versus
the Magic and I you know, I thought that, you know,
they're getting healthier, they start to be a little bit
more competitive. Been Mathuron back out. I don't know this
Pacers team can't catch a break. I guess it's tough.
You know how I feel about Cleveland. I don't trust him,
especially without Donovan Mitchell. So this is one where have
a hard time picking. Did you like anything in Cleveland, Indiana?
Speaker 3: Yeah, this one's tough because you have to lay points
with the road favorite and the one thing in their
favor The one thing I looked at this morning is
when these teams get beat, especially as favorites in a
playoff series, there's a looming revenge factor, and Cleveland's taking
it to Indiana twice already this season. As inconsistent as
Cleveland has been, the one thing they've been consistent about
is taking out some revenge on the Pacers. So that
pointed me in the Cleveland direction at first. I did
notice Cleveland this morning when going over some numbers. The
defensive side of the basketball, or defensive side of the
court has picked up a little bit for the Cavs
last five games, not giving up as many points, not
near as many points. And the Pacers, like you say,
just seem to be this group that looks at different
faces in the starting different rotations, different lineups, every single night.
Hard to get behind Indiana at this point in time.
So twelve straight losses for the Pacers. I know it's
straight up and not against the spread. Against the spread
has been a little bit better. I think that's three
and nine or four and eight. Excuse me, but I
don't know. I'd have a hard time playing Indiana. If
I had to, I'd probably look Cleveland's way, just noting
the fact that they've kind of been in revenge mode
against this team. They're not happy with what happened last year.
And if there's ever a team they get up for
this season, seems to be the Pacers.
Speaker 1: All right.
Speaker 2: Next game I like a lot better Magic and Wizards
opened up minus nine for the Magic looks like seven
and a half, but open two thirty four, hanging around
two thirty four and a half. Jalyn Suggs has been
listed out, Franz Bogner and Mo Wagner both out, Shawn
George Kisburgh and Whitmore are out for this Wizards team.
I like the Wizards probably, you know, plus seven and
a half.
Speaker 1: I think that.
Speaker 2: Well. I'll start with the Orlando side. Orlando just hasn't
been good laying points on the road. I think they're
we four and seven so far the season. They haven't
covered their last three ye Is World favorites minus the
France and you know, Sugs. It's just I don't know,
it's starting to become a little too much for me
as far as laying points with this team. They've also
had a really tough schedule, Like when I look at it,
you can go all the way back to.
Speaker 1: Christmas. Let me see here so or actually, I mean, okay, let's.
Speaker 2: Go back to since Christmas, they play back to back,
both at home. Then he had to go from Florida
all the way to uh Canada, then to Indiana, then
Chicago now back are then back down to Florida, now
to Washington. The Wizards, they've been playing a lot of
games at home. They haven't have to do a whole
lot of at all. I think six of their last nine,
six of their last eight, something like that, or I'll
say this, I'll kind them up rare. Six of their
last seven, I'm sorry, five of their last six have
all been at home. So they've had a pretty favorable
schedule and they've been playing better. When I look at
the Magic, I mean they are on the front end
of the back to back. They're one and five so
far this season.
Speaker 3: In that row.
Speaker 2: The Wizards, they've covered I believe, six of their last
nine games. They're playing a little bit better basketball right here.
They're a better defensive rated team. You're not gonna hear
that very often for the Wizards, but last five games,
even last ten games, they're a better defensive rated team.
But last five games, number eight, they are a top
ten defensive rated team in Magic are bottom ten. How
am I gonna lay on the road expecting them to
win by multiple position possessions if they can't get stops
and if I can't trust me to put the ball
in the basket, I won't.
Speaker 1: I'll grab the points with the Wizards. That's what I'll do. Robbie,
What do you think here?
Speaker 3: Yeah, quote Desmond Bane, Right, Desmond Bane. Off of their
last game. We played much better offensively, but we've still
got to figure out how to string together some stops
on the defensive end. We got a few when it mattered,
but we're better than that on that end, for sure.
And it's been an ongoing theme with Orlando all season long.
Right they just haven't been good on the defensive end.
At least not consistently good. It led me to over
in this game. I know that you just rattled off
the Washington defense, the fact that they've been better over
the course of their last half dozen whatever, But I
think Orlando can only play one way at this point,
and it's it's somewhat high scoring. I was a little
surprised that the total for a Washington game we're now
down in that two thirty four two thirty four and
a half area. That's probably because of the recent defensive
performance by the Wizards, But I still think this game
is going to get over ski. I would think that
both of these sides, I want to include both like
Washington here. CJ. McCollum had a lot of accolades for
the young guys just reading here. It was Keishaw George
who's been out for now four games be out again tonight,
and Alex Sar those two he mentioned specifically as guys
that are going to be potential All Stars a couple
of years from now. I think this game's high scoring,
I really do. I think Orlando can get whatever they want,
and I think Washington, while Orlando's trying to figure things
out self, admittedly trying to figure things out. Is a
good enough offensive team to go ahead and get over
the total. I think if they cover this number, it
probably will be because they scored enough here to get
this thing over the total.
Speaker 2: All right, let's keep it going down the list here, Robie,
know we have the Spurs and the Grizzlies opened up
minus five for san Antonio. Looks like six and a
half total went up from two thirty six. I'm looking
at as high as two forty and a half. As
far as injuries would be, is questionable if a sale
is out for the Grizzlies, Morant Williams both questionable, Clark Coward, Edie,
Jerome Contraard, Pippin all out for this Grizzlies team. This
is when I don't have the strongest opinion on I
think if Wimby did not play, it'll make me like
the over a little bit more. But right now I
just have too many question marks here, Rob, You know,
so I'll ask you you have an opinion on Spurs
and Grizzlies, not.
Speaker 3: Just anti Memphis at this point in time, Ski, I
think that even without when Minyama, san Antonio has enough firepower,
has enough scoring ability to you know, get to the
one twenty plus mark against a Memphis defense that really
hasn't been any good. We'll see if job goes or not.
They haven't really found a formula yet Memphis, and I
don't know that they're actually searching for one at this
point in time. That team game to game variance is
pretty significant with them. I don't like the way they
play defense. I would think that San Antonio and maybe
even a look at the San Antonio team total. I'm
gonna look it up while while I keep talking here,
real fast team total currently sits at one twenty three
and a half would surprise me. All that said, yeah,
until I knew about JAHI would probably leave Memphis out.
So I think the best I could say here is
probably a San Antonio team total over one twenty three
and a half, very capable. The pace of the game
is gonna be extremely fast. Money money's gone to the
over here full game two thirty six to two forty
and a half. In some spots, a little bit of
action on San Antonio, I could understand it. Not something
I played ski, but something I might look at san
Antonio team total.
Speaker 2: Over all, right, heat and Wolves. It opened my six
down to five or even four and a half's out there.
Even a four keeps going down. With the news of
Anthony Edwards downgraded to questionable, they will be without Terrence
Shannon Junior as well. For the heat side, Haimy Hakaz
is out. Other than that, looks like they'll be okay.
These teams did play the other day Timberwolves one by ten.
You know, two different thoughts. I know they just won
the other day, but I still don't think the Timberwolves
have been playing good enough basketball to be expected, you know,
to win and cover point spreads. But we see time
and time again star player gets rolled out and you
know what happens, Robno.
Speaker 1: I mean, we just saw it last night.
Speaker 2: So I'm not running to the window to go go
take those Miami Heat like everybody else. Minnesota is four
and three ats without Anthony Edwards this season, Robno, You
think they can do it here tonight?
Speaker 3: Yeah? And the counter to that is Miami's playing good again,
five and one against the spread. Their last six to
one loss was Minnesota. Do we count that as a
game that they want to atone for here? Maybe Miami's
got more motivation than Minnesota. Does I think that you
put it best with Minnesota. It's so hard to play
Minnesota as a favorite anymore. They just they're not very
good defensively. We say that at about a lot of teams.
They're one of them. Just not good defensively. And the
one thing the constant we know is Miami's gonna push
the pace, Miami's gonna score. Could see an over here.
I want to get back to what you said real
quick here, and it's the NBA to me last night,
I stopped to think about it. We've kind of alluded
to it over the past few years, how difficult it
is with the injury report being the way it is.
But this might be the craziest league I've ever handicapped.
I mean, this is this is a league where you
could march out there with zero starters and win a
game is a fifteen point underdog. It's just crazy. That
goes to what you said about not being willing to
just run to the window with Miami because of a
potential Anthony Edwards injury. I mean, these things backfire all
the time. I'd prefer to look at the total here.
Don't like a lot about the Minnesota defense, so it
would probably be something in a Miami team total or
maybe full game total here for me.
Speaker 2: Fair, very fair, all right, Lakers and Pelicans one from five,
and I actually know still sitting at five and a
half total moves slightly from two forty two. I'm looking
at some two forty four's out there actually now. Or
the Lakers gave Vincent his doubtful No Ruy Breeves or
Thiero for the Pelicans. Herb Jones is questionable. No Sadiq Bay,
no Dejonte Murray. The Pelicans, I feel like they were
playing really good until Zion came back and started trying
to play more. Isoball like when they were sharing the
ball more. I feel like that's when they were playing
veteran and covering points bridge with.
Speaker 3: That's it.
Speaker 2: I still want to lean towards the Pelicans. The Lakers,
I just don't really trust them defensively. That's what it
boils down to for me. So on the road here,
you know, it's not like it's not as easy to
just outscore everybody when you're without Ruy Reeves and you
know you're gonna need some defense and they're not playing
it or not enough for my liking. So I'll lean
Pelicans here or over any thoughts from you, you know.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean Pelican's side seven straight losses, six of
them by seven or more. So it hasn't been good
ever since they put together that hot stretch that you know,
we were able to ride a little bit while they
were playing well. So for New Orleans, it just hasn't
been good. Six of their last seven games that grouping.
Six of those their team total went under, so they've
lost some of their offensive punch. It's only one game
in that group of seven where they scored more than
one eighteen, and New Orleans have been scoring real well
before that, so I think you're probably you probably hit
on something here. With Zion's return has come the downfall
of this team as far as points spread covers, as
far as offensive success goes Lakers, it's not much right
two games against Memphis, since JJ Reddick supposedly blew his
stack about how you know team needs to be better.
Two wins over Memphis. I don't know that it proves
a lot, but certainly the schedule with New Orleans here,
tonight's offense up a little bit for them, and maybe
they can get another one of those victories under their belt.
The wins against Memphis, weren't decisive, lay five and a half,
win by six, win by seven, not decisive at all.
Hard to pick a side, Ski, I would think Lakers
team total is in play here though certainly they can
still do one thing and that score No Reeves No
Ruie might bring it down a little bit, but I
don't know that it brings it down enough. New Orleans
just not playing good at this point in time.
Speaker 2: Shout out to Adam Trigger. He's in the chest that's
just got put over from my windows being too tenant.
Speaker 1: Guy let me go.
Speaker 2: Says first W of the day, and that's a good W.
Right there, save you some money for sure? Is better
than I mean, yeah, I take that any day.
Speaker 3: Man.
Speaker 2: That's definitely a big dug.
Speaker 3: He's trying to speed his way to the Duke Louisville
game tonight is where he's trying to get to and
cops pull him over.
Speaker 2: I guess, yeah, that should be a good one, Aleen.
I don't know if Louisville still for the plus one
and a half they were, Yeah, I think I think
that they can. I think that's the side I would pick.
But go listen to Robin and Trick talk about it.
They've done more researching know those teams a little better
than me. I'm gonna have to study them for another
hour or two after I finished the shows. All right,
Mas and Kings opened up minus four and a half
for the mass looks like four and a half or
five total open two thirty and it's up to two thirty.
Two and a half.
Speaker 1: PJ.
Speaker 2: Washington is doubt for. Kyrie is out, Keegan Murray is out,
some bonus is out. I can understand and move up
in total. I mean, we do have Levigne back in
the lineup for the Kings. That's definitely gonna help their scoring.
I feel like when Murray they played a little bit
more defense. Without them, they don't play any defense at all.
I can understand the over as far as the side.
As much as I don't like the Kings, I can't
lay with this. I can't lay with the MAVs either,
especially on a road. I think they've covered one game
as a world favorite so far this year. It's just
not the team you want to be expecting to win
by margin. So slidest the liens to the Kings or
the over anything from you here ving on, Yeah, I.
Speaker 3: Think I would probably lean over in this one. Ski.
It hasn't been pretty for Sacramento offensively as of late
though and last five games here one oh one ninety
one O six one oh two ninety eight, Levine back
probably puts more, puts more buckets on their side of
the scoreboard for sure. Dallas team total fourteen and three
to the over last seventeen games, scoring an awful lot.
If Sacramento gets the additional production out of Levine tonight,
I would think over is the right play here as well.
I'm with you. You don't want to take a bad
team and lay points, even though Sacramento the host is
probably a worst team. Don't want to do it with
Dallas on the road. But I would think over makes
a lot of sense here. Dallas in good form as
far as scoring goes, Sacramento should get extra scoring help tonight.
So maybe over two thirty two and a half is
a good look here.
Speaker 1: Man.
Speaker 2: This comment, Trasha Mento, Yeah, man, it just makes me
think I have a sister, Robi, you know, who lives
in Sacramento. She keeps telling me come visit. Let's go
to a King's game.
Speaker 1: I'm like, you want to go to a king game?
That's supposed to be.
Speaker 2: Something, because that's not the way to get me over there.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's bad, it's bad.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 2: It makes me think about that one uh, that one
fan who has season tickets who is so fed up
he was he was was he telling Levine like this
shit is terrible, Like you're not even trying. Levine's like,
well go home. Then you don't even care.
Speaker 3: Yeah, And that's it to the point I was trying
to make earlier. It's hard for guys like us that
are involved in this every single day when we come
on day after day ski trying to figure out who cares? Yeah,
pretty bad in a professional league of guys being paid,
who really cares tonight? It's it's hard to navigate.
Speaker 2: I gotta tell you, well, that is the NBA card
for today, Ravino, So I will put this up there
because I know it is five dollars. Tuesday, you can
go to Ross's page or my page and we'll have
a best bet up and available for five dollars. Outside
of that veno, they didn't have a new promo. I
don't have the graphic for it, but I know it was.
You can get seven day all access pass for the
price three so they have that going right now. I
think that's the best one that they have. So if
you like to be involved and check out check it
out both of our profiles. Outside of that, you know,
I'm going to pass it to you if there's anything
else you like.
Speaker 1: Oh, you muted yourself and my mic. I don't know
what happened to my mic.
Speaker 2: But yeah, if you have a best bet, we'd love
to hear.
Speaker 3: It, boy Ski, I don't. I really can't leave a
best bet today because I don't have one in the
NBA and I don't even talking it through with you. Generally,
I could be convinced of something. I don't know that
there's anything there at this point in time to twelve
Eastern time that I haven't gone through the window yet
with anything, and I don't know that I will within
the next sixty minutes or so, so I'll leave that open.
Can't leave a best bet here, I will say, real quick.
Kind of promotional note. NFL playoffs coming this week. Lucky
enough to have finished number one in NFL playoffs over
at wager Talk two years in a Row twenty twenty three,
twenty twenty four. There is a promo package up and
available However, I don't think you'll find it on my page,
believe it or not. I'm the guy that's number one
two years in a row, and the package is on
somebody else's page. So I think you have to go
visit Jesse Schule in order to find this football package
for my playoff action. But again, if you want to
get involved with the NFL playoffs this weekend, I'll definitely
have a play. I think I'm gonna have a play
on every game to tell you the truth, them one
could be a five percenter. So NFL playoff action. As
for NBA tonight, I just can't do it. You know what,
I'll tell you this, My five dollars play is up,
and I'll halfway give it away. In college hoop Ski
will always tell you if you know, you know, for
those that are frequenters of this show, you could probably
avoid five bucks. Those who don't go get it for
five bucks over at wage you talk.
Speaker 2: Back, Yeah, you know what time it is today. It's
definitely a definitely in my pocket, all right. Best bet
for me, I will stay in the association and I
will go with those Washington Wizards for all the reasons
I said earlier in the show. Also the Magic on
the road without France, They've covered one game so far
this season. He's just very important to what they do
and they do not deserve to be laying points. So
a combination of that the Wizards playing a little bit
better lately, I think they can keep it competitive. So
Wizards plus seven and a half is the best you
can get right now. That will be my best bet
for the show.
Speaker 1: Bino.
Speaker 2: Always appreciate you taking the time to break these games
down with me. I know you'll get there with something.
A boy the end of the day, just got a
lot to get through. A lot of college action out there.
It's probably better college games today than NBA, honestly, But yeah,
I appreciate you. Everybody in the chat, we appreciate you
as well. If you enjoyed the show, did the like
button for us, and yeah, we'll be back tomorrow on
pretty short the NBA games and we'll catch you all then.
Be just to luck on all your action tonight.