Speaker 1: A Welcome to the best sports betting show on the planet.
This is Wager Talk Today. I am your host, Andy Lang.
It's Thursday, Hall of Fame Game Day. It's NFL season
is officially here. We got a jam pack show. We
are gonna talk a little bit of about the Hall
of Fame Game. I'll be honest, as I got a
sign to talk about the Hall of Fame game, and
I'm like, what am I gonna talk about? So then
I started looking at props. I found what I love. Dan,
I've found a Hall of Fame game prop that I
absolutely love. Will go over that. We're gonna talk a
little UFC. We're gonna talk some CFL. Nick Parson's gonna
be here. He's gonna talk CFL, but he's also gonna
talk some college football sleepers. And we got Dave Mason
joining us. We're always gonna start with Johnny with the
Steam Report. Then we'll get to Dave Mason, Nick Parsons,
and Kyle Anthony's gonna join us, and of course we
got all around the world. Thank you so much for
joining today. Hit that like button and subscribe to the channel.
Our next goal two hundred and thirty thousand subscribers. Let's
get it started with Johnny and the Steam Report. I'm
gonna go out on a limb and say, probably not
a super busy day, Gianni. Not a whole lot of
games going on. What are we seeing with the Steam
Report today?
Speaker 2: No?
Speaker 3: And really quickly. Uh, there's a four percent free play up.
I just released it in tennis. It's a plus one
fifty five dog just sent out two subscribers and also
released it for free. Since there's a small board today.
If you agree fire, you got about thirty minutes till
that matchup starts. Head on over to Wagertalk dot com
for that free four percent best bet. Now, it has
been pretty busy, believe it or not, even though there's
only three games in Major League Baseball. But please let
me make this distinction. I hope this gets cut and
put on Instagram as well. With the wager Talk stuff,
the Steam that I'm releasing every morning.
Speaker 4: Okay, it's early. It's nine am here on the West Coast.
Speaker 3: Rarely do I release premium plays that early unless I
already have multiple confirmations. Because there's a lot going on
from overnights that I'm sharing and some of the early
stuff Now you got to keep in mind limits are
lower during overnights, so there's a lot of manipulation going
on from a lot of these betting syndicates. I don't
urge anyone to blindly piggyback the steam moves that I
released in the mornings.
Speaker 4: In fact, I'm not doing it.
Speaker 3: I urge you to handicap the board, write down your
sides and totals that you like, and then check and
see if there's been sharp money on or against it early,
and then follow the line throughout the day and see
whether that matchup did get manipulated, Is there middle or
scalp attent like, do a little of your own work.
Don't just blindly piggyback and throw up your hard earned
money because there's a steam play. You got to remember
there's a lot going on in the betting market, and
these betting center gets make their money from volume and
being able to get out ahead of markets and put
betting from position to strengths where they can then come
back and bet the other side a lot of time.
So again, I share a lot of this information, but
I don't want to see betters use it incorrectly.
Speaker 4: So here's what we got.
Speaker 3: So far in Major League Baseball, nine oh one Tampa
Bay and the under at nine up to minus one thirty.
Speaker 4: See right now it's eight and a half.
Speaker 3: So if this game ends five to four, it would
be like, oh, this team play loss.
Speaker 4: But it didn't. They pushed.
Speaker 3: Keep in mind the lines that I am using again,
if they're not betting it at minus one ten when
they took plus one ten, there's probably a reason. At
minus one ten, there's probably no more positive ev remaining.
That's the key. Finally, nine oh four Cincinnati up to
minus one sixty five and nine oh six Seattle up
the minus one. I know there's a Hall of Fame
game tonight. I have a two pack up two four
percent best bets only because preseason historically the betting synagons
have done a lot of damage.
Speaker 4: They're selective.
Speaker 3: They usually get out ahead of the market, get a
lot of respect, and when the dust settles, they find
themselves profitable in the preseason.
Speaker 4: So I'm not afraid the fire.
Speaker 3: Here's what I can share with you because the people
that pay for it, I don't want to disrespect them
and just give out the information.
Speaker 4: But here's what we know. We know that when it
comes to Detroit.
Speaker 3: They got a new offensive and defensive coordinator, so they
have a lot to work on there. Historically, Campbell hasn't
really cared. He's sat as starters and he's usually looking
at what rookies he's gonna keep and going through the
motions in preseason. But with that said, with the new
offensive defensive coordinators, they need to go out there and
implement their game plan. I think that's why we're seeing
over money from the Shark betters and this total is
creeping higher. Also, that battle for the second spot at
quarterback in Detroit between Allen and Hooker, so there's a
little competition that Detroit is trying to, you know, pick
that number two. And of course they have that new
offensive line that they have to work out. On the
flip side, he got the Chargers, Abris there a guy,
so it's Hanky and Lance coming in after that. The
offensive line is set, but they're saying now with the center,
there's a little bit of competition there, and they're really
excited about that. Rookie wide receiver.
Speaker 4: Smith NANJ. Smith is out. Harris soon Naja Harris is out.
Speaker 3: They're not sure he's even going to be back for
the preseason, so they're going to be looking at running
the football, seeing what backs they have for Nanja Smith
that Naja Harris keep that in mind. So with that said,
we have seen some sharp money come in on the over.
That's why you're looking at thirty four, where historically this game,
first game of the preseason has been bet under. So
that that's a difference that we're seeing with this first
game of the season. Historically this total is usually dropped.
It usually starts around thirty five. It goes off at
like thirty one and a half, thirty two. This year
a little bit of the opposite open thirty two up
the thirty fours right now with the over favorite at
the sharper outs.
Speaker 1: Are the are you seeing? I'm sure the public is
doing this, but are is the big money? Are we
just in blindly fade the Atlanta Braves. Now you mentioned
that the money's come in on the Reds. I mean this,
this poor Braves team. By the way, how would you
how would you like to have paid to go to
the game yesterday? One nothing in the in ten innings?
You get you get to sat through nine and a
half innings of absolutely no runs scored and then one
run in the bottom of the tenth seals it. But
again the Braves kicking anything going? Is this just what
you're blindly fading the Atlanta Braves until.
Speaker 5: They yeah that thing.
Speaker 3: That's what it looks like. Plus with a decent starter
for Cincinnati. I mean, look over his last five starts,
he's got less than the three e r A. He
only gave up one earned run in two of his
last three starts, throwing about ninety five pitches as well.
I think it's a it's a fade on Atlanta and
even a bet on with Cincinnati.
Speaker 4: You know, at home, they've played a lot better at home.
Speaker 3: They're about a five hundred team, but they're least seven
games above five hundred at home. So I like those splits,
and I think that's what you're seeing getting out uh,
fading Atlanta and.
Speaker 4: A bet on Cincinnati.
Speaker 3: I think the public's gonna bet it as well, so
that line will probably keep climbing. I'll be interesting to
see if there's any take back, Like as this keeps going,
will there be some resistance, because so far it's just
been one way action going up.
Speaker 1: Boy, you gotta have some plums to bet on the Braves.
Speaker 4: Yeah, you do this, That's what I mean. Like yesterday,
that was a steam move I didn't touch yet.
Speaker 3: You know that the only baseball I released yesterday was
the free play, which was a three percent play on
the runs, hits and errors. That was it, and that's
why you know this week eight two and one only
released eleven premium plays, staying very selective. But again, if
I if I don't have a strong lean on that
steam move, I'm not going to bet it. I'm gonna
move it for these guys because I take a percentage.
In long term, I make money with them. But I'm
not going to put out more of my risk, my
capital or urge my subscribers to without you know, having
a strong lean in that position.
Speaker 4: Get member man as a better.
Speaker 3: One of our biggest assets that we don't use enough
is our ability to pass. Like the bookmakers have to
put a lineup for everything or else you're gonna go
across the street and bet it. So competition forces them
to put out a number for everything they possibly could
find any kind of matchup. But we as better as
have the ability to just sit back and wait for
the very best, most advantageous positions to put our capital
down like, you have to really take that seriously. If
you're doing this for profit, If you're doing it for
entertainment and action, have at it. You know what I mean,
you know what you're willing to risk and have fun
with it. But if you're truly doing this for profit,
then use that. That's one of those tools on our
tool belt that I think enough betters just don't use enough.
Like yesterday there was a whole board of baseball Wednesday,
huge board.
Speaker 4: I have steam moves in front of me. I deal
with three different baseball groups right now. I didn't confirm
a single move.
Speaker 3: For my subscribers or bet on top for myself because
I just didn't feel strongly enough. Again, your business is
your capital as a sports better and if you treat
it like a business, it'll pay like a business. You
treat it like entertainment, it's going to cost you like entertainment.
So remember that your capital is your business. Protect it
at all costs. You don't have to bet because tonight's
the Hall of Fame game, because it's the first preseason game.
If you don't really like something, if you don't you
have an edge, Wait, there will be a better opportunity
for you to get your money down.
Speaker 4: That's all you gotta do.
Speaker 6: Yeah.
Speaker 1: Absolutely, when you give a shout out to Bill, says Andy,
if you remember, I had a bad couple weeks, but
this week nine and three since Monday four and oh
on Wednesday, Yes, Bill, absolutely, I remember Johnny had a
rough couple of weeks. I've had a miserable three months.
We had a bad week last week. But listen, Johnny,
sometimes I just need to get my energy and my
positivity up. I actually went and did I did it.
I had a Raikie session the other night. I needed
to get my chakras on point. And we won three
in a row since then, do whatever, do whatever it
takes to turn the tide. So shout out to you, Bill,
I'm glad to see that. And yes, we can talk
about our wins. We can talk about our losses on
this show. So congratulations to you on that one. Johnny
got steam room this weekend?
Speaker 4: Correct, Oh yeah, yeah, that's tomorrow.
Speaker 3: In fact that I've been knocking it out because it's
Summer's a little slower on Friday, so I don't keep
the guys there. But with preseason starting and NFL and
college football regular season is just around the corner. I
wanted to have it on Saturday, especially since there's a
UFC card tomorrow.
Speaker 4: We could go over to MMA.
Speaker 3: We could talk about the NFL and college football, how
I'm setting up the preseason, futures season win totals, and
obviously regular season. I'll be doing bet on it this year,
so I'm really excited for that. I've been digging in
every single day and it makes me a better better
having to prepare for those shows. I look back historically,
I've always done so much better in college football and
the NFL because I'm forced to have to really prepare,
and I love that. So we'll be in the steam
room talking football MMA, and of course they'll be Major
League Baseball tomorrow and any of the tennis that comes in.
I've had f one matchups come in that are very
time sensitive, like there'll be a lot of information that'll
be coming in. Because it's Saturday, we'll be able to bet.
Speaker 4: Live, so make sure you join me for that.
Speaker 3: It's ten Pacific, one pm Eastern, and any questions bring
them there.
Speaker 4: I'm there. I work for you. Anyone that's a subscriber,
long term subscribers, you get four of those a month
at minimum, and yeah, I love doing them.
Speaker 1: Awesome, awesome. What do you have up for clients today
on Thursday?
Speaker 3: Yeah, NFL two pack for tonight in the Hall of
Fame game four percent side, four percent total. I have
my NFL College Football Futures Pass with season win totals
yes or no, we'll teammate the playoffs and also five
percent in there the MMA package for tomorrow. UFC card
four percent best bet already, and I don't think I'll
have baseball today. Don't really have any strong leans. So
it's all going to be about football and getting ready
for a big weekend ahead.
Speaker 1: All right, great stuff, Giohnny, looking forward to a big,
big weekend and football season officially here. Yeah, best of
luck to you too on this Thursday. So all right, guys,
we have a cricket play at his up. This is
the only play that we have this week, probably going
to be the only one. It goes off a little
bit later today five o'clock Eastern. I would highly recommend
getting cricket plays. We don't have very many of them,
and when we have them, they're really good. Sixty one
percent lifetime. The cricket department has been doing fantastic work.
I believe we're on a twenty four and thirteen short
term run and yeah, hitting sixty one percent of these,
he has been absolutely lights out. So there's a cricket
play that is up WT dot buzz slash al. The's
available on everybody's off screen and number is still absolutely
one hundred percent playable. This line makes no sense, and
we're going to take advantage of it. So cricket this afternoon,
go grab that WT dot buzz slash al. All right,
let's do all around the world. We do have some
plays that we can get to here. We're gonna go
to MLB first. This is a play from the wager
Talk Free Picks page looking at the Rangers and the Mariners.
Drew Martin does like Mariners. Kirby for the Mariners has
only allowed six hits and two runs and thirteen innings
against the Rangers. And we got the rocker going for
the Rangers plus five ERA this season. And as Drew
points out, it's Harry Potter Knight. I don't know what
that means in the handicapping, but it is Harry Potter Knight.
So shout out to that Windham Championship. Take a Look
at Jake Napp under sixty seven and a half round one.
Score this for everyone that's watching live. Jake Napp under
sixty seven and a half round one conditions are perfect.
I've been watching it all morning. Guys are flying under
soft greens. There's no win and Jake Nappa shot sixty
four in the first round of his last two tournaments.
And then we'll go to PFL. There's an underdog we like,
Frederick Dupros plus one twenty four over Nathan Kelly. Nathan
Kelly trains in this terrible gym in Ireland. They have
no training for wrestling grappling submissions at this level. He's
been submitted in his last two fights at Dupras is
a grappler and submission specialist. He had to fight Gabriel
Braga a short notice last time out and he almost
got the submission, but he gassed out and got finished.
But this is his comeback fight and they're giving him
a dream matchup. So Frederick Duprass, you can get that
at plus one twenty four over Nathan Kelly. Let's let's
bring in Nick. Let's let's talk a little college football
and some CFL. Nick, I saw you were getting getting
that stretching in for your segments.
Speaker 6: Ready to go out of here.
Speaker 1: Now that you're all stretched out, let let's talk about
college football. You got three teams could be some sleeper teams.
Who are you looking at for this season?
Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean, just as far as a few sleeper
teams that have the potential to make the college football playoff.
I think one is the Boise State Broncos. You know
they're coming off at twelve and two season. They returned
there starting quarterback Maddox Madison. He had two and sixty
one passing yards and twenty two touchdowns. They also generated
fifty five sacks on the defensive end. They have a
consistent coaching staff moving into this year, so I think
that they are a team to look out for this year.
And then also the Navy Midshipman. They were ten and
three last year. They had an Armed Forces Bowl win.
Their heisman candidate quarterback Blake Corvath. He's back. He had
thirty total touchdowns last year. They averaged thirty one point
three points per game, and their defense only allowed twenty
two point two points per game. So yeah, I also
think the Navy Midshipman could possibly make some noise before
the end of the year, and then this is definitely
a bit of a dark horse. But perhaps the James
Madison Dukes. They were nine and three last year. They
have a dual threat quarterback in Alonzo Barnett. He had
twenty six passing touchdowns and just four interceptions. They also
have the coaching staff that returns to keep the continuity going,
and so perhaps they can repeat what Arizona State did
in twenty twenty four with a big surprise as well.
Speaker 1: Nice Nice got Navy and James Madison. I like those.
Those are those some sexy, juicy underdogs. I like those
a lot. Let's move to CFL real quick, and we're
going to talk to Alouette's of going up against Saskatchewan.
It's a Nick Parson special. Ain't no way you're coming
on and laying points. You So, I don't even know
what your pick is, but I'm guessing if there's points involved,
you're taking those points.
Speaker 7: Yeah, you guessed right there, Andy. I mean, we won
with the underdog last week. We've done really good with
the underdogs this year. But yeah, this is a this
is a game where I sort of see whichever team
has its hands on the ball last is going to win,
and so in a situation like that, I definitely want
to grab the points. This won't be easy the rough Riders.
They're six and one, but they're off that tighter than
expected win over Edmonton last week, and so I gave
out the Elks on this show and they went on
to post that solid backdoor cover for munch.
Speaker 5: Well.
Speaker 7: It did win its first three games and then it
dropped too straight, but it's now one two in a row,
and that includes a twenty three to twenty one win
at Calgary last weekend, and so I had the Alouettes
in that one as well. Their second string quarterback mccleoud
Bethel Thompson. He looked really great under center, and I
think he's going to be able to match whatever Riders
quarterback Trevor Harris does this weekend. The Riders defense has
looked much better at home than on the road as well.
One other factor that I also take into account always
is scheduling, and so I think that this one sets
up better for the home side as far as scheduling,
because the Alohetes play here next weekend against Edmonton, but
Saskatchewan could possibly get caught looking aheads to its bye
week in week ten, and so it sort of sets
up as a trap game after the extended win streaks
at home, now hitting the road back east with a
bye week next week. It's a bit of a trap,
I think, but not so much for Montreal. I think
that they have a possibility to win out right here,
and but my official call will be to grab as
many points as you can.
Speaker 5: Nice.
Speaker 1: I know you've been doing well in CFL. You're pretty
low volume, but listen, that's right up my alley.
Speaker 5: I love it.
Speaker 1: I'm looking for quality over quantity, especially in sports like CFL.
What's been the secret? Is it totals? Is it spreads?
Is it underdogs points? What's been your specialty this year?
Speaker 7: I've been playing both and just sort of sticking to
my systems and sticking to what has made me successful
over the past two decades, and so just sort of
taking it week by week and just not forcing anything
and just looking for really great situations.
Speaker 1: Great stuff. Nick, what do you guys have going on
over at sports Memo? I know you got specials and content, Yeah,
all kinds of great things.
Speaker 7: Absolutely, Yeah. I mean Sports Memo it's changed a lot.
There's a lot of new faces over there, guys, if
you haven't been over there in a while. And they
do have some summer specials running this summer. One of
the main ones is called flex Picks, and that's a
popular one that Andy's talked about in the past. They
have that running over at wager Talk. A flex Picks
pass allows you to choose any handicapper you want for
the day, and you don't need to use it consecutive
days in a row. It's a really flexible option. Also,
five Dollars Wednesdays, Andy, Every Wednesday throughout the summer they
have a five dollars Wednesday where every handicapper releases one
five dollars package. Lots of four and five percent packages
go up on that day, and then also tomorrow fifty
percent off Fridays, same thing as Wednesdays, every capper releases
one fifty off package.
Speaker 1: All right, what do you have up personally?
Speaker 7: What do you have going on? Well, we were talking
college football there, guys, And if you head on over
to Sports Memo and you dive into the leaderboards a
little bit, you'll see that I'm the number one college
football handicapper since twenty twenty three, and I have a
bunch of football picks already up for weeks zero guys,
and so yeah go check that out.
Speaker 1: Love it, love it. Nick Parsons doing great work over
at sports Memo. Thank you so much, continued success and
love it. Love it when he comes on, because you
know where you're always getting points, Justin says lol. The
cricket department. Yeah, listen with hey, Dan is the lacrosse department.
We have a tennis department, we have a PFL department,
and we have a cricket department. So that's what we
call all of the different Haiti kappers as part of
our team. So yeah, we like to listen. We're a
well buttoned we're well buttoned up. This is a very
tight organization that we're running over here. So all the
departments are locked and loaded. And yes, the cricket department
has been on fire. So shout out to the cricket department.
All right, let's bring in Kylie Anthony. Let's start talking
some UFC and I want to let's start with Zeleski
and Magni. They finally stopped giving Neil Magni these young
absolute killers. I think three of his last four fights
have been like legit title contenders, and so they were like,
all right, you're not fighting young athletic killers. Here's a
fellow old guy that you can buy in Zeleski. So,
uh break you break it down. Here is Aleski and Magni.
We got Zeleski is a pretty big favorite.
Speaker 8: Here.
Speaker 1: What's your breakdown on this one?
Speaker 9: Yes, he got del Santo's here, he's about minus one
ninety five. And the comeback we've got Neil Magni. He's
plus one at sixty five. Now, this is definitely a
battle for the ages. And when I say that, I
mean both these guys are getting old. You got his
thirty eight year old Dol Santos. You've got a thirty
seven year old Neil Magni here, and both of these
guys are coming off knockout losses. Now you look at
Dol Santos and you know, you know what we get
from this guy. He's a cappaweto striker. You know, he's
gonna have a lot of power early, He's gonna throw
everything with one hundred percent power. He will have the
strength I mean sorry, the power advantage here and the
striking advantage here over Neil Magni and one of the
best weapons probably for Del Santo's gonna be the light kicks.
And as we know, Andy, there's nothing that Neil Magni
hates more than like kicks. And he's a guy that
doesn't know how to check them. I don't think he
cares to check them. He's got these long, long legs.
It's a huge target. So it is something that Dos
Santos can look to work towards if he can get
inside that range. But one of the biggest real weapons
here for Neil Magni is his cardio. He's a just
he can weaponize that cardio. He's gonna move forward, he's
gonna stay in your face. And also not on top
of that is the fact that we have seen Dosantos
he can slow down. You know, he's a guy that
doesn't really support that type of gas tank overall. And
the fact that if he can kind of move forward
and he finds ways in Neil Magni to get this
up against the cage, he's very good pushing up against
defence cage, pushing getting him a working, working, working, and
that can really start to slow things down for Do Santos. Also,
you add in that the clinch, you know, I think
in the clinch. He's gonna do very well work the
elbows here, and you're gonna see him slow down. This
is gonna be in the Apex cage. I think that
really really favors Neil Magni and his game plan here
where it's a little bit shorter of a distance. You know,
it's thirty percent less than the larger cage, and I
think there's just gonna be not enough space really for
Do Santos to utilize a lot of the spinning shit
that he likes to do and all these flashy things.
Early he does it, then he starts.
Speaker 4: To slow down.
Speaker 9: And then you add and also that Neil Magnan is
gonna have the size advantage here. He's going to have
his seven entre eat your vantage. He's gonna have a
four inch height advantage. It is not that Neil Magni
is some great distance striker, but he is going to
be able to use a front kick a little bit,
utilize that job a little bit. Either keep those Santos
all the way out and really struggling to cut that distance,
or have him when he comes all the way in,
he's able to utilize the clinch a little bit and
really work on him.
Speaker 5: He's going to be the better.
Speaker 9: Wrestler between the two, and he's gonna have the higher volumes.
There's a lot of things you know that I do
like about Magni. And to your point, Andy also is
since twenty twenty two, he's only losing two elite level guys.
I mean, you go down. It's Carlos Prottes, Michael morales
I and Gary Schafcat. I mean, these guys are the
future of the division here in future title challengers. And
that's who Neil Magni's face. Finally he's facing a guy
his age. I think he can capitalize on that. I
think that the line is a little bit wider due
to Magni continues to lose, but he has not bought
anyone his age, as you were saying, So like Magni here,
I think the plus money is the right side here
in this spot.
Speaker 1: I also think Magne is just gonna have like Cardio. Yeah,
like Zeluski tends to fall apart here on this one.
So if it gets out of the first round, I
think Magne cruises in rounds two three. I'm with you
on that one. All right, here's another potential. This guy
may be the future in the division right, Kevin Viejos
versus Danny Silva. If you haven't watched the vie Hoos fight,
buckle up, break down this fight for us.
Speaker 5: Yes, we got Vieho's here.
Speaker 9: He is a minus four hundred the comeback Danny Silva
is plus three ten. Now, as you're saying this is
two guys, I think the UFC likes two rising prospects
fifteen to one in Kevin Blajos and ten and one
in Danny Silva here, and this is one of those ones.
I think if you can bet like Fight of the
Night or any of those things, I think this is
the spot where you could do that. I do think
this is a spot where you could do that because
I think that you're going to see total here. But
the one thing that you got to say here is
that although this line is why here, there is a
lot to like about Silva.
Speaker 5: You know, Silas guy's.
Speaker 9: Gonna come forward, he's gonna throw, he's gonna stay in
your face, he's gonna push out a ton of volume,
and he has a good box thing he can mix
in some takedown. So there are some things that he
can do here to make it tough on Kevin who
is he's young. You know, he's a rising prospect. Everyone
really has pegged him as kind of the next big
thing possible in that division. But with that being said,
one of the biggest red flags on the on the
Danny Stilva side is the fact he's extremely hedable. I mean,
this guy blocks punches with his face. He lands over
seven significant strikes per minute, which is very high, but
he still has a negative striking differential, so he's still
getting hit more than he is landing.
Speaker 5: Yet his output is very high.
Speaker 9: Now, if you go down over the last few fights,
I mean, one of the things that really sticks out
are those stats. I mean at Data White's contender series
against Angel Pacheco, who is not good, landed nearly two
hundred significant strikes on him. In his UFC debut Josh Coolibau,
who I don't rate very high at all, he landed
eighty seven significant strikes to Silva's forty five. Yet Silva
got the split decision. It was the takedowns that got
him for him. But really, you know, Bullbau doesn't have power.
You know, he's a guy that just pitter patters the shots,
has no power. And then lastly, most recently, you've got
lucasel Mada who landed seventy four significant strikes to Silva's
eighty two. Both of them were split decision wins for Silva.
And I just think if you are landing at that
high of a clip, if Kevin Blajos lands at that
high of a clip, he's getting the knockout. I think
that it's just going to materialize. You've got Silva, who's
a guy who's willing, who's like a willing participant in
the brawl, and he just is not defensively sound, not
defensively aware. So I think he's got the bigger power.
He's aggressive, he's gonna come forward. And I think getting
off the minus four hundred number, you're getting this at
roughly minus won ten for the knockout. I think that's
a strong play out of his fifteen victories, eleven come
by knockout. I think that's what he gets the job
done here and adds to that highlight real profile for him.
Speaker 1: I mean, blocks punches with his face is just the
perfect description of danby Silvi. He just stands there and just.
Speaker 5: Does the volume is there, Yeah, the volume is there.
It's like you it's like he just is a little
bit more defensively sound.
Speaker 9: I think it helps him a lot, but he's got
that tunnel vision and I think that's gonna cost him
on Saturday.
Speaker 1: Ye bad bad striking defense against a guy who hits
like a tank. Bad recipe, bad bad recipe. All right,
we're gonna do sell me, but real quick, tell everyone
what you have up for clients at wager talk.
Speaker 9: Yeah, so this weekend I have a four percent play up.
We're coming off a nice five percent win off of
Bryce Mitchell, nice cash at minus one twenty five, So
we're gonna rock and roll this weekend.
Speaker 4: Do have three plays up right now?
Speaker 5: Four percent.
Speaker 4: We'll be adding to it. But uh, you know, we're
ready to go here and there's a nice stretch of.
Speaker 5: Events coming up, so I'm excited about it.
Speaker 1: All right, let's do sell me. This is where Dan
comes in, picks a random fight off the card. Then
he assigns one side to me, signs the other side
to Kyle, and we have to try and make the
case for the fighter that we are signed. All right, Dan,
what is the fight and who are the fighters that
you're signing to us?
Speaker 10: Well, gentlemen, I wish this last fight you talked about
would have been eligible for sell me because if Kyle
would have used blocks punches with his face, Kyle would
have automatically won the debate.
Speaker 5: I mean that was that was terrific, out of out
of our man. A point on the judge of scorecards
right now?
Speaker 4: Do I get a little extra on the scorecards?
Speaker 8: So I get like a.
Speaker 4: I can not confirm more.
Speaker 10: Deny the bias that may be coming into the sell
me segment. I'm sorry, Andy, I'm an honest man. I'm
an honest man. I'm not a fair man as you see,
but an honest one. Let's get let's get some love
to the ladies on the card here, gentlemen, I'm looking
at this ketln Susa and Pierra Rodriguez flight. We're looking
at what about two twenty five around that for the
favorite here and p and Rodriguez and Susa.
Speaker 5: The TakeBack on her is.
Speaker 10: Around one eighty five. So Kyle, why is Pereira going
to make Susa block punches with her face and be
the favorite over two dollars that she deserves to be? Andy,
you gotta tell us how Susan might pull off this
plus one eighty five plus chickens action.
Speaker 5: Kyle, you're up first. Why is Rodriguez the favorite? And
is it is it fav Is it fair here to
be laying over two dollars?
Speaker 9: Yeah, this is a spot where I think that Rodriguez
really has a lot to like here, and obviously the
line is indicating that, but really the pack is going
to be there for is the wrestling, is getting the
wrestling going, is looking for the takedowns, getting that control time.
She just recently landed eight of ten takedowns in her
last fight, got that control time and Susa. You know,
she's she just doesn't have the gas to really and
the Cardinal you really go He's like zero to Gaston
sixty seconds. I mean, she is one of those ones
that just doesn't really keep going with it. She's gonna
be early, She's gonna throw those big, heavy shots, She's
gonna have the power. I think she will have that advantage.
But I do think that Rodriguez is gonna be able
to continually you know, it may not be the sexiest
way to get this victory for her, but I do
think she can go out there, get takedowns, get control time,
you know, and especially the fact that if Angela Hill
was able to get two takedowns the aged out Angela
Hill able to get two takedowns on SUSA. I think
that Rodriguez can get those will be free, I think
at a certain point there. But I don't think she
gets to finish here. I do think that it will
be by points, which is about minus one twenty right now.
But I do like Rodriguez here to get that job done.
Speaker 4: Well.
Speaker 10: Andy, there's an opening, as he says, it might be
by points that the wind gets done.
Speaker 5: So a case to be made here for the dog, mister,
mister lang.
Speaker 7: Uh.
Speaker 1: What Kyle left out is that his fighter is a cheater.
This is, this is this woman.
Speaker 10: Was disqualifying You ain't trying Andy for intention people.
Speaker 8: Dan.
Speaker 1: She had butted her opponent. The ref said, don't do that.
She looked at the ref and was like, hold my beer,
and did it again and we stopped the fighting. Disqualified her.
She can't control her emotions. She certainly can't control her weapons.
Speaker 11: If you're getting decued in the UFC, a literal sport
that is made on violence, you got dequed for being
too violent. You can't this this, Uh, listen, Pierre, it
would be awesome to party with because she's unhinged.
Speaker 1: But as far as betting your hard earned money, no way.
I I refuse to bet on a cheater.
Speaker 10: Well, Kyle, the funny thing is, if roles were reversed
and Andy had to make a case for the head butter,
he would have somehow explained why head butting is a
positive sou.
Speaker 3: For that.
Speaker 5: Great job all around, guys.
Speaker 10: Comment below, what do you think in this Rodriguez and
Susa fight, who do you think is going to win?
Speaker 5: You think the favorite is justified? Great stuff as always, Kyle.
It's nice to have you back, brother, and and good
luck this weekend, gentlemen.
Speaker 6: All right, guys, I'll see.
Speaker 1: Take it easy Kyle, and you know.
Speaker 5: Positive you know the other I was absolutely like, how
can I not bet on this girl? She had butts people?
Speaker 2: Right?
Speaker 10: Absolutely, It's a great This is a great comment from
Eric here, Andy, Johnny, Dan, Kyle.
Speaker 5: Obviously, you guys have to do this segment more often.
Speaker 10: Come football season, we're gonna be talking prime time games
things like that where Andy's gonna have a side.
Speaker 5: Maybe he'll go toe to toe with Teddy Covers. People
have really liked it.
Speaker 10: Kyle comes proper with the UFC breakdowns, but this is
a segment that we're going to continue into football season.
So when you like hearing good cases for both sides
and when you're handicapping games, you should handicap both sides.
Speaker 5: It's a great way to do it. So yes, definitely
more coming for sure.
Speaker 1: All Right, we're gonna bring in Dave Mason, but make
no mistake, we're gonna bring up what's going on in
the chat here. I see you guys talking about pizza
roles being dipped in ketchup and some other things. We
are we're definitely in insanity. I'm not I will.
Speaker 5: Not put up already has it already has pizza sauce
inside of it. Andy, why do you.
Speaker 1: Need another tomato? Let's bring in Dave Mason where we
will not be talking about pizza roles being dipped in ketchup.
Just absolute lunacy going on in the chat. Dave, how
are you?
Speaker 10: Yeah?
Speaker 6: That sounds disgusting, that's a vote. Yeah, it's like down
they put on everything.
Speaker 8: It's French fried and mayonnaise, every It drives me absolutely bonkers.
Speaker 6: But catch up on pizza. Now you have the tomato sauce,
but it's there already.
Speaker 8: It's like, then you're gonna put ghetto tomato sauce on conference?
Speaker 10: Yeah, not to divert the conversation, Andy, because I know
we have important things to get into with Dave Mason here,
but I will say when I when I lived in Ecuador,
I studied a broad an Ecuador for a while.
Speaker 5: Same thing. It's just like like a thing that they
do mayonnaise on everything.
Speaker 10: And my host brother who I was living with, he said,
let me make you my special possible. It was spaghetti
noodles with sliced up hot dogs in it and mayonnaise
as a sauce.
Speaker 5: So you could do worse to catch up with pizza rolls.
Speaker 1: Yeh oh, Well, ghetto tomato sauce is about as good
as it gets, Dave. But let's let's let's talk some
actionable info here. How's the handle on the Hall of
Fame game tonight?
Speaker 2: Good man?
Speaker 6: It's it's uh coming in.
Speaker 8: It's you know, it'll be the biggest bet you know
football though, he's king right.
Speaker 6: Well, we'll be doing more of that on a game
to night than any MLB game or anything else on
the betting board. Most likely. It's uh, what about fifty
eight percent.
Speaker 8: Of the cash is on the chargers is two way
sharp action all over the place. You know, it just
went back out to the line minus two after.
Speaker 6: It was minus one a little bit earlier this morning.
It's about an hour ago, so it's up to minus two.
Speaker 8: But yeah, I mean, you know, NFL preseason gets great
action nothing like the regular season, and and and a
lot of that is just still just such sharp.
Speaker 6: Dominated action too.
Speaker 8: I mean I checked about a half hour ago, like
fifty nine percent of money so far on tonight's game
is from sharper accounts counts that we have late bled,
as you know always show. So there's definitely it's not
proportionate from sharps to to square not squares recreational guys tonight.
Speaker 1: Baseball, any interesting sharp action you can tell us about,
it's a limited slate, probably what are you seeing?
Speaker 8: A little bit some reds minus one sixty eight and
minus one fifty five? Yeah, minus one fifty six, under
nine in the Yankees game.
Speaker 6: That's about it. A little bit here and there, but
that's that's some of the bigger stuff.
Speaker 1: We mentioned the braves earlier. Are you seeing the public
just it's just blindly fading the Atlanta Braves at this point.
Speaker 8: Yeah, I mean better's go you know better just go
going better on streaks too.
Speaker 6: So absolutely, that's we definitely see that trend. Let's see
what we got tonight.
Speaker 8: Let me have it hicked.
Speaker 6: What uh the es we need to braive tonight so far?
Speaker 8: I mean a lot of actions you have to come in,
but right now we definitely need to braive on both
the run lines.
Speaker 6: And the money line.
Speaker 1: What about NFL futures? Stan and I have been breaking down.
We're almost done with all of the teams. Any any
one sided action on a particular team that you've seen?
Speaker 6: Which NFL future? Do you want to talk about?
Speaker 5: Super Bowl season win totals?
Speaker 8: Let me bring that up real quick. Uh looking the
other day, but all this stuff changes so much real
season wins?
Speaker 6: Who do we need here? We have big losses on
let's see over eight and a half of the Patriots,
that's our biggest loss right now? Who else over eight
and a half? Or the Steelers over nine and a
half of the Chargers.
Speaker 8: Yes, I'm saying all over that's the people better, just
like they bet over over over over the other day
aftergat what it was, But I think more bets on
the under and only like sticks to the thirty two
teams or.
Speaker 1: So, wow, well count me in on the under on
the Giants and the Browns, go lock me in on
those on those couple ones. So let's see what about
Let's let's talk a little bit UFC. This is not
a great card. How does the handle on a UFC
card of this caliber or lack of compared to one
of the big pay per views.
Speaker 2: I mean, every UFC card gets good, great action with us,
but you know there's levels to it too, right, it's
not going to compare it nowhere close to in a
a big name event, right, So it'll take a little
bit of a hit. You know, we'll probably do about
fifty the action we would normally do.
Speaker 6: We you know, we bet count will be down a
lot more.
Speaker 2: But the money, the bomp me and we take such
big wise action on UFC that that boosted up. You
know that we're still getting a ton of volume on
these fights. Again, the two things, right, there's bet count tickets.
Speaker 6: And then there's money volume.
Speaker 2: So the volume will take a bit of a hit,
but the bet tickets will definitely take more of a
hit on a on a week card like this weekend.
Speaker 6: But it'll still be a big benevent. I mean our
usc action is that some sharp stuff already?
Speaker 1: Uh?
Speaker 4: What do I got here?
Speaker 2: To Sorrow minus three fifteen or better Boshi minus four four,
but not a lot of sharp action yet. I just
listen you guys break down of Magni and I'm gonna
bet them a bit like your.
Speaker 6: Breakdown of Magnie.
Speaker 7: So I'm on it.
Speaker 6: But we haven't at seventy we have them plus week
need to large for value.
Speaker 1: With us, love it, love it all right. Uh, me
and Dan are definitely gonna do the Survivor pool on
on bet online. Do you prefer Survivor or do you
do you prefer the spread like where you got to
pick five of them each week? What's your favorite one?
I'm a Survivor guy myself, I was gonna pick up.
Speaker 6: I'm doing both the Survivor. No, I definitely prefer Survivor.
Speaker 5: I don't know.
Speaker 6: The older I get, my mind gets more simple and
it's just you.
Speaker 10: Know what I mean?
Speaker 6: But picking one winner this week not five? And you
know I like both, but gun to head. If I
can only choose one, I'm going to Survivor.
Speaker 1: All right, tell everyone about the Survivor because Dan and
I are are going to be locked in for the
regular season for this one for sure.
Speaker 6: Two Survivor contests. The big one is the traditional Survivor contest.
Speaker 2: One million dollars and guarantee cash is up for up
for grabs.
Speaker 6: We doubled that from my last year salven guarantee.
Speaker 2: Last year, but we ended up going right around six
hundred thousand an overlay, so we're going forward this year.
Speaker 6: It's an overlay.
Speaker 2: There could be an overlay if if not, if we
get that million dollars, then we'll add on anything else
that a little thirty dollars to end here thirty one
entry fee. I can enter numerous times for a distance.
Early we're special now by.
Speaker 6: Three get one three yeah, man, and again every dollar
we collect.
Speaker 2: It was into the pool and there's a good chance
could be an overlay. So get over to better mind
dot ag and visit our contest page.
Speaker 1: Yeah, if you guys want to do it with us,
Be and Dan are going to do the bet online,
so absolutely join us. I love Survivor Pool, So Dave,
tell everyone where we can find you and tell us
a little bit about that online.
Speaker 2: At Dave Mason well on Twitter X, get bet online,
dot AG seasons here. Once again we're have some of
that early season long if you're a sharp, better get
at the competition, take your action. We take on the
sharp NFL action whatever to get on over to bettle
have high limit and revet functionality too, or that the
books that allow it allow it. You re bet the
limit every sixty seconds. We're aligned whenever the odds over. Technically,
there really aren't anyone.
Speaker 1: Love it love it. Yeah, And I've seen you repost
some of those bets on on social media. So Dave
Mason's always a great follow on social media and bet
Online one of the best books that's out there, if
not the best. So thanks for joining us, Dave, and
NFL season is here. Can't wait to uh to talk
Survivor and NFL throughout the season. Thanks for joining us.
All right, Dan, get in here. We have a lot
of we we we we have some we have some
things to discuss. This this this, this pizza role and
and Johnny Detroit apparently is a big fan of of
pizza with with with with catch up. I've never heard
of that.
Speaker 8: I do.
Speaker 1: We do have some good ones in here some comments
about what would the food truck name be, and somebody
said wager Guawk, which is which is just an absolutely
fantastic name of a food truck. But you said everyone
posted the comment section what's your weirdest combo? I'm trying
to think what my weirdest food combo?
Speaker 2: Oh?
Speaker 5: I know mine right off, right off the top of
my head, dude.
Speaker 10: For me, the after school snack I think I talked
about it before was Cheetos and s'mores pop tarts. Cheetos
and s'mores pop tarts went together like a fine wine
and a lovely pasta.
Speaker 5: So so yeah, that was that if it was a
weird food combo.
Speaker 10: You got a comment below after the video let us
know what are some of the strangest food combos you
rock with?
Speaker 5: But mine was?
Speaker 10: It was, yeah, Cheetos paired with some Smorest pop tarts
and andy I would wash that down with some nice
crisp two percent milk.
Speaker 5: So how about uh?
Speaker 1: I just figured out mine. In college we were broke obviously,
my times of chores. Uh So we would do beef
ramen noodles and we'd pour steak sauce in it.
Speaker 5: To spice it.
Speaker 10: Up.
Speaker 5: That actually sounds pretty good.
Speaker 1: It wasn't. It wasn't very good, but we did it anyway.
We were like, it's like steaks, We'll put steak sauce
in it. Nothing goes better with ramen noodles than this
globby steak sauce. So yeah, leave your leave in the comments.
What's what's an odd food food combo that you've had?
Eric mixed beef stew and clam chowder with crunch dumpion.
Speaker 5: Chips beef stew.
Speaker 10: You can't hear beef stew without thinking of like, uh,
what's that the the the bench warmers where where the
dudes ripped farts in their mouth they call it.
Speaker 5: Here's some beef stew for you. So I could never
eat beef stew. I just I can't do it.
Speaker 1: I get it. Yeah now now, thank you. I'll never
be able to eat beef stew ever again. Oh Jay's
got to go with toast, peanut butter, Bollonian onion.
Speaker 5: Wow, you actually had me until the onion.
Speaker 10: You had me until the onion because like a nice
little sweetness from the peanut butter, a nice little cream,
this this saltiness of the balogney. You know you got
the nice crunch of the toast, and then you threw
onion in. You had me until the.
Speaker 1: Craig like sardines and ice cream. A little salt with
the with the sweet.
Speaker 5: Alright, that's not salt with the sweet.
Speaker 1: That's just it's fish with the fish with the sweet.
Speaker 2: All right.
Speaker 1: Well, let's talk.
Speaker 5: You don't mix dairy with fish. You don't mix dairy
with fish.
Speaker 1: Andy, Well, let's talk Hall of Fame game here. I
actually found a prop that I absolutely love, and you
said you found one that you really like to I'll
let you go first. What's the play that you like
in the Hall of Fame game tonight?
Speaker 5: Yeah, the ones.
Speaker 10: So there's a lot of folks and you've seen the
over push up, so scoring is expected. You heard Giohanny
talk about it kind of atypical to what you expect
in the Hall of Fame game. So you know why
what I want to be chasing the steam on betting
the over. Maybe you find a way to attack the over.
If that's the way that you think this game will
go at a maybe plus money price. You know this
isn't anything I'm pulling the rubber band off for Andy.
But what do we know about the Chargers. We talked
about them with the season win total yesterday and how
they're a team who likes to ground and pound. And
that's not just the starting offense, that's top to bottom
what they do systematically with that offense. So running is
going to be a huge part of this game, and
if we think there's points going to be scored. A
prop that I saw that I thought was a little
bit crazy on the pricing. It was near three to
one for the Chargers to get into the end zone
twice via the ground, two rushing touchdowns for the Chargers.
Anywhere from around plus two point eighty to plus three
hundred is the price there. I think that, you know,
the new defensive coordinator for the Lions is probably why
a lot of these sharps are in on this over. Also,
Harbaugh's a guy who, much like his brother, loves the preseason.
I think he has a positive record in the preseason.
I think he's around like ten and six something like
that during his NFL tenure. So he's a guy who
isn't just going to roll over. He's going to have
his players try. And these running backs are also looking
to say I want to be paired with Najee Harris.
I want to be a part of this running back
by committee. That's going to be a huge feature for
this Chargers offense. Let's start it off. If everybody's chasing
steam on the over, give me some plus money action
Chargers to get in the end zone twice via the
ground rushing touchdowns two or more of them for the
Chargers plus two to eighty or higher.
Speaker 5: I think that's whereth a fly kerry.
Speaker 1: You and I did not talk about this. My prop
is the Chargers to rush for one hundred plus rushing yards.
Speaker 5: I love this.
Speaker 11: Five.
Speaker 5: I love this, And what's the price on that go ahead?
Speaker 1: It's minus win sixty five. This should be minus three hundred.
This is like you said, this is going to be
a running attack. Trey Lance is starting and Hardball's always
said he's gonna play well into the third quarter. So
I went and looked at the Chargers under Harball. Their
last two preseason games last season with Hardball as a coach,
easily rushed for over one hundred yards. They even had
a seventy yard rush in one of the games. I
went and looked at Trey Lance. He played three games
in the preseason for Dallas. He was the leading rusher
in all three games. He rushed twenty four times total
in those three games. They're going to be running the ball.
And we know what this Chargers team wants to be
in the regular season. They want to be a running team.
They're going to be working on their offensive line schemes.
Detroit's going to be putting a new defensive scheme in
there with their new defensive coordinator. I think they're going
to be a little bit rusty. Dan and I are
all in on the Chargers rushing attack. One hundred plus
rushing yards, a couple of rushing touchdowns. Those are your
props for the Hall of Fame game.
Speaker 5: Love it, Love this, Let's go.
Speaker 10: I like it to independently come up with the different
ways to skin the cat here.
Speaker 5: So yeah, I like it.
Speaker 10: Maybe even who knows if you're so. If you're so inclined,
sgp it, have a fun time.
Speaker 1: But bet responsively.
Speaker 5: This is the Hall of Fame game. Don't go crazy.
Speaker 10: I mean, Andy, this is how I know football season
is here is we have over twelve hundred people watching
us live right now. And that's how you know football
season is here. You know, and MLB season around. You know,
five hundred six hundred live viewers. It's a good show.
We have one game to talk about, and it's not
even gonna be a real football game, you know what
I mean. And we got almost thirteen hundred people watching.
So while you're hanging out, hit that like button if
you haven't subscribed, then let's get the rushing attack going
here for the Chargers.
Speaker 1: Andy absolutely absolutely, We mentioned it yesterday. Mondays during football
season is going to be the most important day to
watch the show because we're gonna talk about the opening
numbers and we're gonna talk about where the lines are moving.
If you're betting money, lines, you're betting spreads, Mondays is
gonna be where it's at. We will, of course talk
Monday Night football, but you want the best of the
lines and the best of the information. We got to
get it started on Monday, so that's gonna do it
for us again. Cricket Best Bet is Up, goes off
at five o'clock Eastern tonight.
Speaker 5: Go grab that.
Speaker 1: Cricket department has been absolutely on fire. Sixty one percent
lifetime winners in cricket. We're very low volume. We only
pick the best of the best spots This is going
to be our only play this week, so you don't
have to watch the cricket game. We will watch it
for you. All you need to do is check the
bank account at the end and get that cash. Friday
is tomorrow. We're gonna get you set for the weekend,
so make sure you join us here, same time, at
same place. Football season is here. Guys, good looking, all
your bets on the Hall of Fame game and take
care