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Speaker 1: Welcome to the best sports betting show on the planet.

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This is wager Talk Today. I am your host, Adie Lang.

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It is Thursday. We got a loaded show. We've got

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NFL preseason talk, We've got MLB, we've got CFL, and

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of course we've got the loaded card UFC three to nineteen.

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Let's get into it. If you guys could please hit

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like button inscribe to the wager Talk YouTube channel and

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shout out to everyone that's joined us early in the chat.

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You guys be the first to hit that like button. Please.

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We got Gianni. He's gonna get a starter with the

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Steam report. Steve Merrill's gonna join us. We're gonna talk

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an MLB game and an NFL preseason game, Tigers and

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Twins and then Jets and Giants. Nick Parsons is going

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to join us and talk CFL. Hey, Kyleie Anthony is

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going to join us and talk UFC at three nineteen.

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Don't sleep on Nick Parsons. Give it out free play

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winners left and right, and it's CFL segment absolutely crushing.

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Let's bring on Gianni first, Let's talk a little Steam.

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I want to ask you a contender series after this,

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but let's give the people what they want. Let's talk

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about and line moves. Let's talk about some steam. I

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guess we can start in NFL. You want to start

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an NFL preseason. See if anything jumps out to you

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on this one. I see some curious lines that don't

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really make a whole lot of sense to me. Curious

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your thoughts.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I can tell you two signs that we got

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down on right away immediately in the NFL for Week

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two with Seattle at a pick them and it was

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the Dallas Cowboys at plus three. Neither of those lines

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are readily available now. The majority of this stuff's going

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to come in on game day once you get past

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week one. Most of it comes through confirmed information, who's playing, motivation,

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that kind of stuff. When you're talking about the NFL preseason.

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A couple of the things that are sticking out. Let

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me look at the book, pull that up for you.

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Some of the most one sided bet public teams going

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into Week two that jump off the page. Falcons on

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Friday Night lines moving against them, meaning Titan's got steamed.

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So you have Sharp's on one, signed public on the other,

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the public's love and the Falcons as home dogs another

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one Seattle I gave you. Not only are there Wise

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guys on it, but the public's on it as well.

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Keep in mind, we're on him at a pick them.

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We're not on him in minus three, where some of

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the Sharp books are at, which is why my subscribers

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did not receive that as a premium play, because the

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line moved on us too quickly, moving down further, another

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dog jumping off the page. Publics all over the Green

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Bay Packers. They're taking them plus six, even sprinkling a

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little money line action. But I touched on it earlier

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in the week. Cult were one of the first teams

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that got seen when Week two lines went up. Also,

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Texans Panthers, Panthers getting one sided public money wise guys

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on the Texans at minus one moved down. What else

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do I have? Giants? Giants that's public and sharpe, So

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be careful there, oh, Buccaneers, Steeler Steelers, Steelers, Steelers, all

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Steeler action from the public. They really like the Steelers

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as home dogs over the Buccaneers. But that's been bet

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up to that key number of three by the Sharp betters,

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and that's pretty much it. Ravens money keeps coming in again,

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I told you we're on the Cowboys. My subscribers on

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the Cowboys. We took the plus three on the Cowboys

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Ravens now down to one one and a half. And

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like I said, the public's heavy on the Ravens. So

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that's But when it comes to preseason, from what I've

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learned years betting for the groups, after Week one, our

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strongest stuff's going to come in game day. For interesting

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these preseason lines. So when you're looking at that screen

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game day, you'll see a lot of significant moves, for sure,

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get your thoughts.

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Speaker 1: I like to over and the Chargers and the Rams game.

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Both those offfenses look like they're they're playing well in

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the preseason. You know you're not going to see Stafford. Uh,

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so you get their backup who played really well. I

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still love Philly even at the line move. Look, it's

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very unlikely that Shuter Standers is going to play. Miles

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Garrett didn't play on defense for Cleveland last week. The

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rookie looked good, but I don't know how many reps

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he's gonna get. And uh, listen, McKee look great for

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Philly and he's gonna he's gonna get all the is

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all or most of the reps, and they said they're

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gonna play some of their starters. So those are a

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couple of looks. I don't know if you have any

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thoughts on the over and the Chargers.

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Speaker 2: And every game is being bet over this week, I

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think I look at the back at the back, every

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single game is being bet over. The only game that

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I see more bets on the under than the over

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is Chief Seahawks. That's the only risk that the books have,

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at least the book I have access to, which is

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again it's it's it's a good sample size because it's

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it's West coast, East coast, and it's ninety nine recreational betters,

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one percent sharp. It's a lot of volume, and that's

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the only total that as of today he has more

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money bet on the under than the over, and not

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sharp money, not sharp money on that one.

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Speaker 1: I knew I was gonna sound square when I said over,

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but I really don't like it.

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Speaker 2: Why is it square? That's what that's what's been happening.

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That's yeah, that's square, especially if you're not waiting until

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game day and going over forty when it was thirty

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five and a half earlier in the week. That's square.

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But going over thirty six is thirty sevens and they're

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closing forties, that's not a square bet. Again, you know

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you're getting the best of the of the number. Then

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the line keeps climbing. Not much more you could ask for.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I've I watched those Charger games because I had

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bets on him and Trey Lances just he's like the

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ultimate preseason quarterback. He's accurate enough and if they get

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to the they get to him, he just runs out

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of trouble. So he's the perfect preseason quarterback to bet on.

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So let's move. There's no w NBA tonight, let's move

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to baseball. Not a ton of baseball games in this

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one anything of note. You were going yesterday and I talked,

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I mean the Brewers. I think they opened minus one

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ninety and they closed like minus two seventy. They just

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keep winning, no sweat, no sweat, easy money.

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Speaker 3: Is just brilliant.

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Speaker 2: Just keep winning. And that's one of those outliers that

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that's going on here, because if you remember, even up

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the last week, my guy with the projections had the

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Cubs finishing ahead of Milwaukee. That's no longer the case.

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Updated right now he has Milwaukee finishing won almost two

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full games ahead of the Cubs now off of this run,

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where up until then that wasn't the case. But still

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they still won't win sixty games. He has them at

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like fifty nine, fifty nine percent, fifty nine points something.

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He has them winning ninety six games, and I think

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they got to get the ninety seven to win sixty percent.

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From what I've seen, zero teams does he have cashing

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at sixty percent? And zero teams does he have below

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twenty five percent the lowest he has And this is

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another outliers Colorado, where he spects Colorado to cash about

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twenty seven to twenty eight. Uh, you know when when

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all the dust settles, and that's usually you know they're

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they're above that thirty thirty five percent, even the worst teams.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, So what are some main moves here that we have.

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Speaker 4: I'm not really mostly totals, So always be cautious with

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the totals because they move.

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Speaker 2: And again you'll see a lot of middles open up,

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especially around those king numbers seven, nine and eleven. One

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of the signs that did jump out Washington plus one

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seventy five and Cleveland minus one ten the totals for

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Major League Baseball nine oh six over eleven and a

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half and twelve Arizona, Colorado nine to twelve under eight

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and a half, Chicago Toronto nine oh seven over nine

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and a half, Seattle and nine ten under seven and

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a half, Detroit, Minnesota so over in Arizona, under in

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the Cubs over in Seattle, under in Detroit. So far.

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That's what they got down on as far as Major

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League Baseball goes.

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Speaker 1: I got to ask, what was your thoughts on the

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first week a contender series? I know I have thoughts.

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I took my phone and went outside and I said,

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I had a life lesson. I literally had an aha

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moment watching what was the mood in there.

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Speaker 2: It was a lot of chaos, A lot of chaos

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in the first week. Even though we've done it now,

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you know, so many seasons, it just always gets chaotic

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in that first week. Like they had to send makeup

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up like thirty second before I was going live because

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like the outlets weren't working for my computer. I couldn't

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get updated lines like I was under the table. It

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was like just one of those kind of wild nights.

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And I expected this season. Remember we had an outlier

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season last year in Contender Series, going into Week ten,

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the favorites were eighty percent. They had won eighty percent.

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They were thirty five and nine if you remember, going

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into Week ten, and then the Dolgs went four and

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one and still finished with the favorites winning seventy three percent.

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And now let me explain to you why that's such

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a big out flyer, because if you look at historically

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what they've done, like twenty twenty three, the year before,

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they had only one fifty five percent, twenty twenty two

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sixty five percent. You have to go back to twenty

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twenty one for favors to a one hired than sixty

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five percent on Contender Series, and they went seventy three percent.

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So I expected them to be a little overvalued this season,

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coming in at least early on. That was kind of

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the case. They went three and two. I didn't do good.

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I split. I went two and two, and on the sides,

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I went two and one on totals, but I didn't

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release any premiums to my subscribers. I just didn't feel

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all that confident in that Week one. As the season

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goes on, I feel better and I get good information

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there just being there throughout the day. But again, it

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was just one of those weeks that I didn't love anything,

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and even the fights didn't turn out all that great.

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But I'm excited about the next nine weeks ahead for Contender,

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and it's a tough job, don't get me wrong. I

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have to send them just so you understand, on t

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Tuesday morning, by nine am, I have to send the

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producer a pick for every single fight and then three

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totals out of the five fights. They're gonna use the

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three totals as my parlay to start the show, and

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then depending on how the show goes, like are there

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finishes are their decisions, they'll pick if there's time, put

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me in to give a pick, like it's a I

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love doing it, but it isn't easy because of the

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big line moves on the on the Contender series.

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Speaker 1: Well, the guy, uh, the guy that that won, Susan

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Kayev that now is gonna fight UFC three nineteen. We

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were doing our live show and we were watching and

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he walks out in me and I was just like, yeah,

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he just did a full camp with Hamzat Chimayev.

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Speaker 5: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: We all were like, well, we got a bet on

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this guy, Yeah, you just did a full camp. What's

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my My biggest takeaway from that is uh jeohnny I

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did a social media video about this. We don't get

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huge opportunities in life very often. We all get some

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good opportunities. When you get a good opportunity, at least

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make the most of it, at least walk away with

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no regrets. Some of those guys who come on Contender

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Series in week one and laid an absolute egg as

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far as trying to be entertaining was heartbreaking to watch.

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It was like, you know what you have to do

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on Contender Series. You don't even have to win, you

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have to be entertaining. And to watch some of those

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guys like Da Silva, I don't know what that was.

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I don't know what the guys in the final fight

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were going. It was brutal to watch because I was like,

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these guys have the greatest opportunity of their fighting and

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finishes yea, and they're messing it up. They're just they

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messed it up, and you just know Dana was not

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happy and they got a long road ahead of them

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if they want to see it again. That was my

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big takeaway was just how brutal, brutal. It was to

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watch those guys really blow a huge opportunity.

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Speaker 2: Wins not enough, wins, not enough.

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Speaker 1: We've seen people lose and get contracts because hey, you

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were interesting, you put on a good fight. Yeah, we

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see a lot of people win, don't get don't we

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get contracts. So it was an interesting night. And I

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can't wait to see you got steam room coming up?

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Speaker 2: Correct, Yeah, that's going to be on Friday. That's tomorrow,

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right after here. I'm doing this at nine am, nine

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point thirty. We're launching that steam room. It's just been

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such a busy week. Want to make sure though, I

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meet up with my subscribers, so we go over everything

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because it's a lot coming up over the next couple

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of weeks. So I'm going to have that on Friday,

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and excited about Saturday's pay per view and all that.

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Speaker 1: Well, speaking of which, I am not going to be

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here tomorrow because I am going to be at the

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Live Golf Championships. It's twenty minutes away from my house,

248
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so I'm going to the Living Golf of it, so

249
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I don't get to talk to UFC tomorrow. Give me

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just a couple thoughts we'll see if we agree or

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disagree on any fights. Anything you like.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, again, I got down on Chamaiev earlier. I like Jamaiev.

253
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I'm tired of all the talk that if this gets

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out of the first round, he's finished. He's a professional athlete,

255
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he's fighting for he's competing for a world title. I

256
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rest the short he's working on his cardio. Now, don't

257
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get me wrong. The guy comes goes all out in

258
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the very first round, so he's not going to be

259
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able to sustain that kind of energy for twenty five minutes.

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But I don't think that if this goes in the

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third round, all of a sudden, he's going to look

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like a heavyweight that could barely throw a punch. Like,

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I get it as the fight progresses and it gets

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into deeper waters. Du Plus, he has the advantages because

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of the experience. We haven't seen what Hamza can do

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in round four and five, and we've seen him kind

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of gas in past fights. But again, this is a

268
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title fight. He's training for five rounds, not three rounds.

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I think you're going to get a prepared cardio wise Hamza,

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and I just think his wrestling's just to a lead.

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I do you know what's coming? And it's just so

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hard to stop. And at one eighty five he's even

273
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got popped. His stand up's good. From what Kabib said,

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it's his boxing that impresses them. He's training with Sarukian

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in California. He's been here a while. Again, I can't

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overlook the fact that dude PLESSI opened is the dog

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against Strickling. The first fight opened is the dog against

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how to sign it? In their fight against Whittaker, uh,

279
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he was a plus what three hundred dog and CHAMAIAV

280
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was closed minus two two twenty. Just those comparisons tell

281
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me why Shamaia's favorite. I think he's warranted. I don't

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want to go along. I broke it down so many times,

283
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but I like SHAMAIAV. It's like a super Bowl though.

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When you get the elite guys, you're gonna have sharp

285
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betters on both sides. You're gonna have opinions on both sides.

286
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So if you disagree with me, bet what you like.

287
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I'm just telling you what I like. Jamiah there and

288
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the dog that I already had bet I talked about

289
00:14:39,559 --> 00:14:41,840
it a while back is Jeff Neil. It's one of

290
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those plus two forty dogs that I don't think cash

291
00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:46,600
but are too good of a bet to pass off

292
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again will probably get the w because of damage. But

293
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I just think Neil's just too dangerous everywhere to be

294
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getting this kind of plus money. And if you're gonna

295
00:14:56,799 --> 00:14:59,519
throw two to uh, you know, accept two punches to

296
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land on against Neil, that's not a good a good approach.

297
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He's got too much bang, too much power. So I'll

298
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love Neil as a dog.

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Speaker 1: I'll throw it you. Laren Murphy plus money over Aaron Pico,

300
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I don't get it. Murphy's undefeated, He's getting better. Pico

301
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has been kind of a disappointment. His last two wins

302
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have been guys that are like nowhere near UFC caliber.

303
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I don't get my Pico's the big favorite. He's got

304
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this big, swooping left hook. Murphy's footwork is out of

305
00:15:26,399 --> 00:15:28,879
this world good. We saw it against Emmett.

306
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Speaker 2: It's potential credentials in that fight. It's all in the

307
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potential ego versus the credentials of Lauren Murphy. That's what

308
00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:37,840
that comes down to.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he's had his chance to be put the potential.

310
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I just I haven't seen every time he steps up,

311
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he loses, and I'm getting plus one forty five right now, beautiful.

312
00:15:46,240 --> 00:15:48,879
I'll take it. I'll take it. So all right, Johnny,

313
00:15:48,919 --> 00:15:50,720
have a great weekend. Tele everyone. What you have up

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00:15:50,799 --> 00:15:52,000
right now for clients?

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00:15:52,480 --> 00:15:55,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have the UFC package up with a five

316
00:15:55,399 --> 00:15:58,159
percent big move three bets in there now. As you

317
00:15:58,200 --> 00:16:00,240
guys know that are bought in the past. We will

318
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be loading that package up between now and a fight night.

319
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I have my seasons win totals and futures for college

320
00:16:09,279 --> 00:16:12,799
football for NFL. I put Super Bowl futures in there yesterday.

321
00:16:12,960 --> 00:16:15,919
I put division winners in there yesterday, the strongest ones

322
00:16:15,919 --> 00:16:19,559
that I like. It's a lot of volume, but historically

323
00:16:19,759 --> 00:16:23,240
we've turned such a high ROI on those futures. I

324
00:16:23,320 --> 00:16:25,759
gotta lock up money, like I'm willing to lock up

325
00:16:25,960 --> 00:16:30,120
twenty five percent of my bank role in those kind

326
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of futures as far as NFL college football goes. Because

327
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I bet sized correctly, you know, throughout the season, So

328
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it's okay. And also, if you're here in Vegas for

329
00:16:38,799 --> 00:16:41,240
bet Bash, make sure you say hello. I will be

330
00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:44,960
down there. I'm on the panel for MMA, so I

331
00:16:45,000 --> 00:16:48,080
will be talking some MMA betting. Make sure you stop by.

332
00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:52,159
It'll be a lot of fun. Me Nikolikas Andrew gombis

333
00:16:52,159 --> 00:16:55,159
an originator, so make sure you say hello if you're

334
00:16:55,200 --> 00:16:58,120
down at bet Bash and yeah, looking forward to the

335
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next couple of days.

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Speaker 6: Brother.

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Speaker 1: All right, Gianni, thank you so much. Have a great weekend.

338
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Like I said, we'll get after it again on Monday.

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Ethan says, eighty six will be tomorrow. Any NASCAR for

340
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Saturday night. Just to sprinkle on Alex Bowman top tenies

341
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two to one. This is a rinse and repeat. You're

342
00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:18,440
on an oval, you're playing Alex Bowman, especially at plus money.

343
00:17:18,839 --> 00:17:20,880
Recent history at Richmond hasn't been good, but this guy

344
00:17:20,920 --> 00:17:23,319
won in twenty twenty one. Hendricks cars are dialed in

345
00:17:23,359 --> 00:17:27,440
two to one before they qualify. All right, let's let's

346
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bring in Steve Merril. Let's get going with some MLB

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and then we'll talk a little NFL preseason, because an

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amazing Steve like the the NFL season is. You know,

349
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they play seventeen games, eighteen weeks betting wise twenty what

350
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twenty one week bettings betting season for NFL these days,

351
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like preseason is almost as popular. But I want to

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go to MLB first, and let's talk the Tigers and

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the Twins. Here it's you know, happy Schoob all day,

354
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but school Well, he's been roughed up a couple times. Overall,

355
00:18:03,920 --> 00:18:06,440
pretty lape it's gonna happen. How do you break down

356
00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:07,680
the Tigers and the Twins today?

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Speaker 7: Yeah, so every day I post my last cut as

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a free play on my page at wager talk dot com.

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And a game that just missed the card today is

360
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actually this game. It is my free places you can

361
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go get some deep dive analysis on my page. Right now,

362
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I'll give you a little synopsis as well here for

363
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this game between the Tigers and Twins. Schoobl is one

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of the best pitchers in baseball. You always keep an

365
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eye on these guys to see if maybe they're starting

366
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to wear down as the season progresses. Doesn't appear to

367
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be the case of school Well. He overall in the year,

368
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he has a two point four ERA, one hundred and

369
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forty five innings pitched his last seven starts going back

370
00:18:41,799 --> 00:18:45,559
to the end of June two point five ERA, and

371
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he is coming off probably one of his weakest efforts,

372
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though his last out against the Angels on the eighth

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a week ago last Friday, in which he only lasted

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over four innings, gave up six hits and four earned runs.

375
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I don't think anything is wrong though, is just one

376
00:18:59,319 --> 00:19:00,960
of those off out whatever I can get one of

377
00:19:00,960 --> 00:19:03,960
the best pitchers in baseball coming off a bed showing,

378
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as long as something's not wrong, which I don't think

379
00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:08,920
it is here, that always makes my short list. Not

380
00:19:09,000 --> 00:19:11,079
a fan of laying almost two dollars on the road

381
00:19:11,079 --> 00:19:13,079
though in baseball, so I think the total is the

382
00:19:13,119 --> 00:19:16,519
better approach here, and if Scooble bounces back as I

383
00:19:16,559 --> 00:19:18,559
expect him to do, I like the under seven and

384
00:19:18,599 --> 00:19:21,119
a half in this game. Not a lot of value

385
00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:23,160
playing the Twins team total under here, so I think

386
00:19:23,160 --> 00:19:26,240
the full game under makes some sense, and my pitcher

387
00:19:26,319 --> 00:19:28,720
projection ratings look for Scooble to have a solid outing

388
00:19:29,240 --> 00:19:32,200
and Minnesota's lineup, the current lineup that'll be facing him tonight,

389
00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:35,480
has hit just one fifty nine for sixty, a one

390
00:19:35,519 --> 00:19:39,240
to fifty batting average career against the Tigers ACE. So

391
00:19:39,279 --> 00:19:40,799
I like under seven and a half in this game

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tonight between Detroit and Minnesota, and that is at seven

393
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forty eastern.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Tigers seem to be back to their winning ways

395
00:19:47,799 --> 00:19:50,839
after a pretty miserable start after the break, ten and

396
00:19:50,880 --> 00:19:53,920
six in their last sixteen. And I don't know if

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you knew this. We have a lot of Tigers fans

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in the Wagard talk chat, in the and in the office.

399
00:20:00,079 --> 00:20:04,480
The Detroit offices are big Tigers fans. So you threw

400
00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:06,720
a rope a dope my way, Steve. I looked up

401
00:20:06,759 --> 00:20:09,799
the Titans preseason game. I had a couple notes, and

402
00:20:09,799 --> 00:20:12,079
then five minutes before you were like, I'm talking Jets

403
00:20:12,079 --> 00:20:15,799
in the Giants. So I have not looked at this game.

404
00:20:15,839 --> 00:20:17,880
I actually this is one game in the preseason I

405
00:20:17,920 --> 00:20:20,400
have not looked at at all. So I'm really interested

406
00:20:20,480 --> 00:20:23,160
in the breakdown. I don't know what starters or backups

407
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we're going to see. So break this one down for us.

408
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Who were we going to see and how are we

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going to play it?

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Speaker 7: Well, we can discuss both because I actually wanted the

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00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:32,039
talk Jets Giants for Saturday because I have a full,

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00:20:32,039 --> 00:20:35,720
deep dive twelve minute video on Friday night's game between

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the Falcons and Titans. And by the way, Andy, in

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that video, I talk about there's heavy line moves on

415
00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:42,720
both the side and total. I don't thoroughly agree with them,

416
00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:45,319
and I explain why. So be sure to check out

417
00:20:45,359 --> 00:20:47,720
the Titans Falcons video here on wager Talk TV. And

418
00:20:47,759 --> 00:20:49,400
of course when you click the bell when you subscribe,

419
00:20:49,400 --> 00:20:50,960
you get an instant alert when all these free play

420
00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:53,559
videos are posted. Also want to look at this Jets

421
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Giants game because I also don't fully agree with this

422
00:20:55,799 --> 00:20:59,519
line move on Saturday. This is also the NFL Network

423
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game on Saturday night. I gave the Titans Falcons Friday

424
00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:04,400
night NFL Network game. As I mentioned in the free

425
00:21:04,440 --> 00:21:07,119
play video, Giants opened is about a one and a

426
00:21:07,160 --> 00:21:09,680
half point technically a home dog. It's they both teams

427
00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:11,480
play in the meadow lands. There's really no home field

428
00:21:11,480 --> 00:21:13,759
advantage in this game. But Giants opened as a one

429
00:21:13,799 --> 00:21:15,480
and a half point dog. But now they're a three

430
00:21:15,480 --> 00:21:17,079
and a half point favorite. And there's a lot of

431
00:21:17,119 --> 00:21:20,279
debate that one and two's are more important than threes

432
00:21:20,319 --> 00:21:22,839
in the preseason. But Teddy Covers and I talked about

433
00:21:22,839 --> 00:21:25,160
this last week in on Last Call, and Teddy's been

434
00:21:25,160 --> 00:21:27,559
one that's preached that. He said, now the games can

435
00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:30,039
end in a tie once again. He thinks one and

436
00:21:30,160 --> 00:21:32,279
two are less important than they used to be in

437
00:21:32,279 --> 00:21:34,160
the preseason, and three is becoming more of a key

438
00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:36,400
number like we've always seen in regular season games. So

439
00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:39,279
this is a substantial line move, going from plus one

440
00:21:39,279 --> 00:21:41,200
and a half to minus three and a half, and

441
00:21:41,279 --> 00:21:43,400
I have no problem jumping in on the Jets now

442
00:21:43,400 --> 00:21:45,559
getting more than a field goal over that key number.

443
00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:48,880
They were dominant last week in the preseason. Nothing misleading

444
00:21:48,880 --> 00:21:52,319
about the thirty to ten win at Green Bay. Head

445
00:21:52,319 --> 00:21:54,279
coach Aaron Glenn making an effort to win here in

446
00:21:54,319 --> 00:21:56,240
the preseason. I think he wants to start off on

447
00:21:56,279 --> 00:21:59,960
the right foot. And we also saw an excellent defensive

448
00:22:00,039 --> 00:22:02,279
play by the team last week, and that's where I

449
00:22:02,279 --> 00:22:05,160
want to go in this handicap. Packers were held to

450
00:22:05,279 --> 00:22:07,519
just twelve first downs and only one hundred and eighty

451
00:22:07,559 --> 00:22:09,920
eight total yards. There's four yards per play. Jets out

452
00:22:09,920 --> 00:22:13,000
gained them four hundred and three to one eighty eight.

453
00:22:13,039 --> 00:22:15,039
The reason I bring that up is because the Giants

454
00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:17,680
also a high scoring game thirty four to twenty five

455
00:22:17,759 --> 00:22:21,160
at Buffalo underdog win. Sean McDermott and the Bills usually

456
00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:23,240
make an effort in the preseason, so on the surface,

457
00:22:23,279 --> 00:22:25,079
that seems like an impressive way. But did you dig

458
00:22:25,119 --> 00:22:28,880
into that box score. The Giants, despite winning that game,

459
00:22:29,279 --> 00:22:31,759
gave up almost four hundred yards, gave up three eighty nine,

460
00:22:31,799 --> 00:22:34,079
but they gave up seven point one yards per play.

461
00:22:34,119 --> 00:22:37,000
They got out gained seven point one to five point

462
00:22:37,079 --> 00:22:39,880
two yards per play in that thirty four to twenty

463
00:22:39,920 --> 00:22:43,160
five win. So I don't thoroughly agree with this line

464
00:22:43,160 --> 00:22:45,519
move here. I think we're getting definitely the better defensive team.

465
00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:47,960
Both teams. Young coaches, I think are making an effort

466
00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:51,039
to win here. Basically a neutral sight, so three and

467
00:22:51,039 --> 00:22:52,799
a half or more, i'd lean towards the Jets.

468
00:22:52,839 --> 00:22:53,160
Speaker 8: Now.

469
00:22:53,400 --> 00:22:56,680
Speaker 7: Quarterback rotations obviously very important. I will say the Giants

470
00:22:56,680 --> 00:22:59,759
on the surface have a really nice quarterback rotation. I

471
00:22:59,839 --> 00:23:01,720
do think that's one of the reasons we've seen money

472
00:23:01,759 --> 00:23:03,359
come in on them. But I also feel like it's

473
00:23:03,359 --> 00:23:07,359
a bit of an overreaction. Three NFL starters and then

474
00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:11,440
a rookie. You've got Russell Wilson, Tommy DeVito, Jamis Winston

475
00:23:11,519 --> 00:23:14,640
even sneaking in at times. But Jackson Dart is the

476
00:23:14,680 --> 00:23:16,240
guy that's going to get the majority of the heavy

477
00:23:16,279 --> 00:23:17,880
lifting in this game, and he did so in the

478
00:23:17,960 --> 00:23:21,000
last game. As well. He threw nineteen pass attempts. Team

479
00:23:21,039 --> 00:23:24,559
threw fifty one pass attempts overall. Dart was decent twelve

480
00:23:24,599 --> 00:23:26,680
for nineteen. He of course is the first round draft

481
00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:29,359
pick out of Mississippi, but once again a lot of

482
00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:31,799
uncertainty there with a rookie quarterback against what looks like

483
00:23:31,839 --> 00:23:34,839
a pretty strong defensive team with the Jets. So while

484
00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:37,119
you have three other NFL starters in that rotation, I

485
00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:40,680
think Jackson Darts will be playing more than anybody else.

486
00:23:41,119 --> 00:23:43,440
So I'm not huge on that rotation. And the Jets

487
00:23:43,519 --> 00:23:48,359
also a very capable quarterback rotation. Obviously Russell Wilson and

488
00:23:48,519 --> 00:23:50,680
Justin Fields. I don't expect either of them to see

489
00:23:50,759 --> 00:23:52,599
much action. Fields. By the way, it was three for

490
00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:56,160
four last week and they he got in, got out,

491
00:23:56,759 --> 00:23:59,279
Adrian Martinez and Brady Cook. The rookie a little bit

492
00:23:59,279 --> 00:24:02,960
of uncertainty. Adrian Martinez looked pretty good last week eleven

493
00:24:03,039 --> 00:24:05,240
for sixteen. Keep in mind he was undrafted a few

494
00:24:05,279 --> 00:24:07,480
years ago, could not stay in the NFL. Believe he

495
00:24:07,519 --> 00:24:10,240
played for Burmington in the UFL and had a very

496
00:24:10,240 --> 00:24:12,200
good run there, But he's a mobile quarterback. In the

497
00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:15,279
former Nebraska quarterback these are the type of guys in

498
00:24:15,400 --> 00:24:17,319
Kansas State as well. These are the type of guys

499
00:24:17,319 --> 00:24:21,200
that can do pretty well in the preseason and cause havoc.

500
00:24:21,880 --> 00:24:23,799
So I think this is an even matchup. I disagree

501
00:24:23,799 --> 00:24:25,720
with the line move. I'd lean Jets plus three and

502
00:24:25,759 --> 00:24:28,519
a half nothing on the total here. If you just

503
00:24:28,599 --> 00:24:30,759
blindly play these big totals of thirty seven and a

504
00:24:30,759 --> 00:24:32,400
half for more than the under, you've hit about fifty

505
00:24:32,400 --> 00:24:35,359
seven percent. But as I said, both teams have excellent

506
00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:38,279
quarterback rotations, so that's giving me a little bit of

507
00:24:38,319 --> 00:24:40,559
pause on the total, which is also moved by the way,

508
00:24:40,559 --> 00:24:42,960
from thirty seven and a half up to thirty nine

509
00:24:43,039 --> 00:24:45,279
even thirty nine and a half. I would probably lean

510
00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:46,599
under if I had to play it, but I think

511
00:24:46,599 --> 00:24:48,279
the Jets plus three and a half is probably the

512
00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:51,440
best value at seven Eastern Saturday nine on NFL Network.

513
00:24:51,640 --> 00:24:53,680
And once again, if you're liking these breakdowns, I'm doing

514
00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:56,519
preseason videos each and every week Baseball free play videos

515
00:24:56,519 --> 00:24:59,160
on a daily basis. Make sure you click subscribe. He

516
00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:02,160
clicked the Belford in so alert thumbs up like in

517
00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:04,640
a positive comment below, because we read the comments here

518
00:25:04,799 --> 00:25:05,799
on wager Talk TV.

519
00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:09,839
Speaker 1: Can you imagine saying the Giants have a great quarterback

520
00:25:09,960 --> 00:25:11,960
rotation in the regular season?

521
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:15,759
Speaker 7: No, he what's the old saying you have two quarterbacks,

522
00:25:15,839 --> 00:25:18,400
you have no quarterback. The Giants have three and a

523
00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:22,240
half quarterbacks, three NFL starters, and a highly drafted rookie

524
00:25:22,279 --> 00:25:24,119
wh's supposed to be better than all of them, right,

525
00:25:24,559 --> 00:25:26,759
and they still have no quarterback for the regular season.

526
00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:28,559
I will say this. I know you guys broke down

527
00:25:28,599 --> 00:25:30,440
the what is it five and a half season win total?

528
00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:32,559
You said it's impossible to make a case for the over.

529
00:25:33,079 --> 00:25:35,319
I can't make a case for the over, but I've

530
00:25:35,319 --> 00:25:37,519
seen nobody make a case for the over. This almost

531
00:25:37,559 --> 00:25:40,880
seems like the most square, you know, regular season underplay

532
00:25:40,920 --> 00:25:43,440
we've ever had. Let's fade the I don't know, is

533
00:25:43,480 --> 00:25:45,880
it a fade the public preseason style?

534
00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:51,240
Speaker 1: A the public bets everything? Steve, you can do fade

535
00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:53,839
the public on any sport. That's a that's a that

536
00:25:54,039 --> 00:25:56,799
that transitions into anything I was going to ask you,

537
00:25:56,839 --> 00:25:59,559
So it's completely overreaction time in the preseason. We all

538
00:25:59,559 --> 00:26:02,240
have to do it, right, do I ask you? Should

539
00:26:02,279 --> 00:26:06,440
or Sanders Jackson Dart both looked really good. I was

540
00:26:06,519 --> 00:26:08,640
kind of surprised Jackson Dart wasn't a little bit more

541
00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:12,359
highly touted. Feels like he's got the goods. He played

542
00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:16,160
against tough teams, he had plenty of experience in college.

543
00:26:16,319 --> 00:26:19,000
I wasn't surprised that he came out and played good.

544
00:26:19,039 --> 00:26:21,039
If you had to pick one or the other, Shador

545
00:26:21,200 --> 00:26:24,000
or Jackson Dart only one game, I think one of

546
00:26:24,039 --> 00:26:26,599
them is going to be good. I'd roll with Jackson Dart.

547
00:26:26,599 --> 00:26:27,839
Speaker 7: What do you think, Oh, yeah, no question. I was

548
00:26:27,880 --> 00:26:29,880
just gonna say that's the X factor, right. It's just

549
00:26:29,920 --> 00:26:33,319
like not my Washington Commanders last year. Jayden Daniels was

550
00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:35,400
lights out and changed that offense, right, and they make

551
00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:36,599
the NFC Championship game?

552
00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:36,960
Speaker 4: What were they?

553
00:26:36,960 --> 00:26:40,359
Speaker 7: A four win team? And they win double digits. That's

554
00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:42,359
the catalysts this year. As I said, nobody could make

555
00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:44,920
a case for Giants over five and a half. If

556
00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:47,000
Dart looks really good this week against what looks like

557
00:26:47,039 --> 00:26:50,240
a good Jets defense so far this preseason, that could

558
00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:51,960
be the by sign to maybe take a fly or

559
00:26:52,039 --> 00:26:53,680
with them over five and a half, because that's probably

560
00:26:53,720 --> 00:26:56,799
the catalyst you need. They've had a terrible offense now

561
00:26:56,799 --> 00:26:59,519
for several seasons. Not all of it's on the quarterback.

562
00:26:59,519 --> 00:27:02,519
They've had really bad offensive line play. Losing the best

563
00:27:02,599 --> 00:27:05,480
running back in football with Barkley didn't help in recent years.

564
00:27:05,759 --> 00:27:08,920
Just shows how bad that O line probably was. But yeah,

565
00:27:09,079 --> 00:27:11,319
Jackson Darks looks like the real deal here the next

566
00:27:11,319 --> 00:27:13,119
couple of weeks. Maybe you take a flyer with them

567
00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:15,839
on that over on your season. Win to be a contrarian,

568
00:27:16,279 --> 00:27:18,640
and I just think there's more outside with him than Sanders.

569
00:27:19,079 --> 00:27:21,440
And I don't always agree with the way teams draft,

570
00:27:21,559 --> 00:27:23,200
but the fact he fell as much as he did

571
00:27:23,279 --> 00:27:25,559
tells me the Skelter seeing something that maybe the average

572
00:27:25,559 --> 00:27:27,720
fan isn't love it.

573
00:27:27,839 --> 00:27:31,680
Speaker 1: Love it. Steve Merrill, you're gonna be hosting tomorrow, but

574
00:27:31,799 --> 00:27:35,640
first off, tell everyone we wrap up on this Thursday. Yes, yes,

575
00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:36,759
Steve Merrill gets.

576
00:27:36,559 --> 00:27:39,119
Speaker 7: The Joe live a little tomorrow, Andy go live atone day.

577
00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:41,400
Speaker 1: Absolutely. I can't wait.

578
00:27:41,880 --> 00:27:43,440
Speaker 7: Yeah, now looking forward to it. And he's going to

579
00:27:43,480 --> 00:27:46,160
be a handicapp in the golf real time tomorrow and Friday,

580
00:27:46,160 --> 00:27:48,960
so I'll step in and host wager Talk today. Will

581
00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:50,640
not be on last call this week and guess goes

582
00:27:50,680 --> 00:27:52,319
to that last Saturday. But don't forget. We also have

583
00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:54,839
last called eleven am, I mean Eastern this Saturday. So lots

584
00:27:54,839 --> 00:27:57,920
of live programming as always here on the network, but

585
00:27:57,960 --> 00:28:00,400
more importantly all the free play content and videos on

586
00:28:00,400 --> 00:28:03,079
a daily basis, and make sure you subscribe. Click the

587
00:28:03,079 --> 00:28:05,960
bell for instant alerts and right now seven days for

588
00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:08,799
just sixty nine, dude, it's normally ninety nine. Get an

589
00:28:08,839 --> 00:28:11,920
instant thirty percent discount. Seven days all access or a

590
00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:15,160
seven day flex pass in which you can choose different

591
00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:18,319
capers every day is just sixty nine dollars. No promo

592
00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:20,799
co needed. It's on every capers page, including Mind and

593
00:28:20,839 --> 00:28:24,279
don't forget the daily free play Steve Merrillwager Talk dot

594
00:28:24,319 --> 00:28:28,839
com and get there quicker WT dot slash sm.

595
00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:32,079
Speaker 1: Great segment Steve as always great knowledge and have fun

596
00:28:32,119 --> 00:28:34,359
tomorrow and yes I will be out with the live

597
00:28:34,480 --> 00:28:38,440
players following everyone around. Cannot wait. Should be a blast.

598
00:28:38,480 --> 00:28:41,079
Weather looks to be perfect. It's a championship for live,

599
00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:44,279
so really really excited about that. The only thing I'm

600
00:28:44,279 --> 00:28:47,200
more excited about is the two five percent plays that

601
00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:50,160
we have in MMA. How is that for a segue? Listen?

602
00:28:50,200 --> 00:28:53,680
In all seriousness, five percent in our MMA plays have

603
00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:57,000
been absolutely fantastic this year, seventy one point four percent

604
00:28:57,079 --> 00:29:00,200
in twenty twenty five, not a small sample size. We

605
00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:02,640
have not one, but two of them that are up

606
00:29:02,720 --> 00:29:05,440
right now. They are in one packs. That's almost buy one,

607
00:29:05,519 --> 00:29:07,960
get one free. Normal price for one of them is

608
00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:09,799
thirty five. You can get both of them for thirty nine,

609
00:29:09,839 --> 00:29:12,279
and that is going to include any other plays that

610
00:29:12,319 --> 00:29:15,559
we have. We're waiting for weigh ins and face offs. Again,

611
00:29:15,599 --> 00:29:18,039
you gotta be patient. We already had a UFC fight canceled,

612
00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:20,759
so any plays that we get for PFL and for

613
00:29:21,039 --> 00:29:23,759
UFC are going to be included. So when we put

614
00:29:23,839 --> 00:29:26,839
up a five percent MMA play, we're hitting seventy one

615
00:29:26,920 --> 00:29:29,839
point four percent of them this year. So it's a huge,

616
00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:32,680
huge weekend of fights. So if you want to profit

617
00:29:32,720 --> 00:29:34,559
off of it, jump on board with us. We got

618
00:29:34,599 --> 00:29:37,279
two of those bad boys that are up. All right,

619
00:29:37,400 --> 00:29:40,079
let's go all around the world. Let's do some free plays.

620
00:29:40,079 --> 00:29:43,279
I had a late addition to All around the World

621
00:29:43,319 --> 00:29:45,279
because I needed to put a live play in there.

622
00:29:45,279 --> 00:29:48,319
If I'm going to the event dant, I gotta give

623
00:29:48,359 --> 00:29:51,799
him a free play here. So let's start with MLB though,

624
00:29:52,119 --> 00:29:56,839
let's go to Cubs at Blue Jays. Drew Martin likes

625
00:29:56,839 --> 00:29:58,960
the Blue Jays money line only minus one oh five.

626
00:29:59,000 --> 00:30:01,319
Sures Er for Toronto look sharp each of the last

627
00:30:01,359 --> 00:30:04,640
two times. Out boyd for the Cubs much worse on

628
00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:07,480
the road than at home. Blue Jays at home have

629
00:30:07,559 --> 00:30:11,000
been fantastic this season thirty nine and twenty. We're gonna

630
00:30:11,000 --> 00:30:12,960
look for the bats of the Blue Jays to heat

631
00:30:13,039 --> 00:30:15,960
up and get this minus one oh five here, there's

632
00:30:16,000 --> 00:30:18,160
a plus money playoff to bring up. In PFL. Robert

633
00:30:18,160 --> 00:30:21,079
Whtley over Mads Burnell. Breakdown's pretty easy. MADD's Burnell last

634
00:30:21,079 --> 00:30:23,119
fought in April. He was exhausted at the end of

635
00:30:23,160 --> 00:30:26,039
the first round. He's been kind of a disappointment since

636
00:30:26,119 --> 00:30:28,880
joining PFL. This is not a tournament fight. This is

637
00:30:28,960 --> 00:30:31,680
just some showcase fight. And the guy he's f fighting

638
00:30:32,079 --> 00:30:35,079
Robert Wattlee. This guy has cardio for days. He just

639
00:30:35,160 --> 00:30:37,039
fought a guy and submitted him in the fourth round.

640
00:30:37,240 --> 00:30:39,759
If Mads Burnell gets tired in the first round, Wattley

641
00:30:39,839 --> 00:30:43,200
is gonna maybe finish him. And Wattley has all the

642
00:30:43,240 --> 00:30:45,440
motivation in the world. This guy used to fight in PFL.

643
00:30:45,480 --> 00:30:48,160
He got cut. He's getting his second chance. So madds Burnell,

644
00:30:48,240 --> 00:30:50,880
no motivation, no cardio, and I'm getting Robert wide A

645
00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:55,440
plus one forty five. Excuse me, Live Golf, I mean

646
00:30:55,920 --> 00:30:59,720
walkiem Neeman minus one thirty over Terrell Hatton is insane.

647
00:30:59,759 --> 00:31:02,480
This is a gift for us from DraftKings. Joam Neeman

648
00:31:02,599 --> 00:31:05,400
is the points leader. The only guy that can beat

649
00:31:05,440 --> 00:31:07,440
him is John Rahm, and John Rahm is right behind him.

650
00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:09,880
Jam Neeman has to play good this week. He can

651
00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:12,759
lose the title. Terrell Hatton. If you watch Terrell Hatton,

652
00:31:12,799 --> 00:31:15,400
he throws clubs, he cusses at the sand, he cusses

653
00:31:15,440 --> 00:31:18,240
at the cut, at the patrons, he cusses his caddy,

654
00:31:18,279 --> 00:31:21,039
he cusses at his clubs, and the guy's an absolute lunatic.

655
00:31:21,359 --> 00:31:23,920
He's given up on the on the season, outside the

656
00:31:23,920 --> 00:31:26,960
top twenty his last three finishes. So let's do live golf.

657
00:31:27,039 --> 00:31:31,599
Joam Nemon minus one thirty over Terrell Hatton and Steve

658
00:31:31,640 --> 00:31:34,799
Merrill already mentioned it. Seven days of NonStop action for

659
00:31:35,279 --> 00:31:38,119
just sixty nine dollars. It's less than ten bucks a

660
00:31:38,200 --> 00:31:40,799
day for every single play. You can pick your handicapper

661
00:31:41,160 --> 00:31:43,519
and just ride with one handicapper for seven days. You

662
00:31:43,519 --> 00:31:47,039
can pick multiple handicappers. These are our flex plays. You

663
00:31:47,039 --> 00:31:48,920
can ride with somebody that's got a bunch of NFL

664
00:31:48,960 --> 00:31:51,920
preseason plays. You can ride with somebody that's got UFC plays,

665
00:31:52,279 --> 00:31:56,599
CFL plays, WNBA, whatever you like, your choice, you get

666
00:31:56,599 --> 00:31:59,480
the power. So seven days this is discounted from ninety

667
00:31:59,559 --> 00:32:01,640
nine dollars all the way down to sixty nine dollars,

668
00:32:01,920 --> 00:32:04,440
same price as three days flex pass. So seven days,

669
00:32:04,480 --> 00:32:07,039
all the plays, one low price. Jump on it. Now,

670
00:32:07,079 --> 00:32:09,960
pick your favorite handicapper, move around, or just stick with

671
00:32:10,000 --> 00:32:12,319
one for all those seven days flex picks. Those are

672
00:32:12,319 --> 00:32:15,440
on the deals page over at wager talk dot com.

673
00:32:16,039 --> 00:32:20,599
Let's bring in Nick Parsons and get our weekly CFL fix. Nick,

674
00:32:20,599 --> 00:32:24,400
you're casually giving us teams with the points every single week,

675
00:32:24,640 --> 00:32:28,960
and you've been doing absolutely fantastic. But you're throwing a

676
00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:32,680
little bit of wrench in our schedule this week. Are you?

677
00:32:32,759 --> 00:32:33,720
How are you this week?

678
00:32:34,599 --> 00:32:34,799
Speaker 6: Yeah?

679
00:32:34,839 --> 00:32:36,799
Speaker 8: I'm doing great. Andy, Yeah, getting off a little bit

680
00:32:37,079 --> 00:32:40,920
of the script here from what previous weeks. But you know,

681
00:32:40,960 --> 00:32:45,279
I don't necessarily always love the underdogs, but you know,

682
00:32:45,319 --> 00:32:48,559
it's all about a situational thing for me, and so

683
00:32:48,680 --> 00:32:51,000
that's for this Thursday night game. I really love the

684
00:32:51,000 --> 00:32:54,160
way that this one sets up for the favorite Winnipeg.

685
00:32:55,359 --> 00:32:57,599
Speaker 1: Well, walk us through. We got the Blue Bombers, I

686
00:32:57,640 --> 00:32:59,799
got the Red Black. Neither team has been super impressive

687
00:32:59,799 --> 00:33:01,720
this year, but at least one of them made it

688
00:33:01,759 --> 00:33:05,559
to five hundred at this point this season. So walk

689
00:33:05,640 --> 00:33:07,240
us through. Why you like the favorite this week?

690
00:33:08,079 --> 00:33:09,799
Speaker 8: Well, the Blue Bombers. You know, they've made it to

691
00:33:09,839 --> 00:33:14,000
the Great Cup five years in a row. But basically,

692
00:33:14,079 --> 00:33:16,079
as I said, this is a great situational play I

693
00:33:16,079 --> 00:33:18,839
think here for Winnipeg. Ottawa's been playing really well the

694
00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:21,920
last couple of weeks, but I just think that I

695
00:33:22,000 --> 00:33:24,440
hate to use the word due, but I really do

696
00:33:24,480 --> 00:33:27,920
think that a letdown is imminent here. So yeah, Winnipeg,

697
00:33:27,960 --> 00:33:30,759
it's four and three after losing three of its last

698
00:33:30,839 --> 00:33:33,119
four and so that includes a tough twenty eight twenty

699
00:33:33,200 --> 00:33:35,759
seven loss at Calgary last weekend. They were a four

700
00:33:35,759 --> 00:33:38,480
point underdog, so they did cover, and then previous to

701
00:33:38,519 --> 00:33:41,839
that they beat Toronto on their home field forty to

702
00:33:41,920 --> 00:33:46,440
thirty one. They do have an historic home field advantage.

703
00:33:46,720 --> 00:33:48,640
They are three and one straight up and against the

704
00:33:48,680 --> 00:33:52,519
spread at home, So if you're a situational capper like me,

705
00:33:52,680 --> 00:33:55,920
then scheduling plays a big part in your process. And

706
00:33:56,000 --> 00:33:58,640
so when you look at Winnipeg's upcoming schedule here they

707
00:33:58,680 --> 00:34:02,920
have two really tough upcoming road games at Montreal and Saskatchewan,

708
00:34:03,759 --> 00:34:07,000
and so this one clearly takes on added importance here

709
00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:10,119
for the Bombers Outawat's three and six. As I mentioned,

710
00:34:10,360 --> 00:34:12,440
two of those wins have come in the last two weeks.

711
00:34:13,079 --> 00:34:16,119
But with nearly sixty percent of the public money now

712
00:34:16,159 --> 00:34:20,360
on the underdog, I just I think it's really unfounded here. Actually,

713
00:34:21,280 --> 00:34:23,639
the Red Blacks they beat Calgary thirty one to eleven,

714
00:34:23,840 --> 00:34:28,719
but Calgary was out starting quarterback was injured. They exploded

715
00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:31,519
for the forty six forty two win at Toronto last

716
00:34:31,559 --> 00:34:36,440
weekends three point dogs. But as I say, it put

717
00:34:36,440 --> 00:34:40,320
together the two okay looking games, but their defense last

718
00:34:40,360 --> 00:34:44,960
week it was completely atrocious. So this is the first

719
00:34:45,039 --> 00:34:48,239
meeting of the year between the clubs. Last year the

720
00:34:48,239 --> 00:34:51,800
home side one in each game. But so anyways, yeah,

721
00:34:51,800 --> 00:34:56,159
I just cannot see Drew Brown, Ottawa's quarterback, putting up

722
00:34:56,199 --> 00:34:58,760
five touchdowns again like he did last week against that

723
00:34:58,800 --> 00:35:01,960
pooress Toronto defense. Winnipeg is good at home. They have

724
00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:04,840
a good defense, and so yeah, this is a bounce

725
00:35:04,880 --> 00:35:06,639
back game for them. I'm gonna say lay the points.

726
00:35:06,639 --> 00:35:08,400
I have minus four and a half, but I like

727
00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:09,800
it all the way up to minus six.

728
00:35:10,920 --> 00:35:13,199
Speaker 1: Ooh, I like that. Like I said, Nick, you've been

729
00:35:13,239 --> 00:35:14,960
on fire with these free plays. There's a lot of

730
00:35:14,960 --> 00:35:18,280
money be made in CFL, and congratulations for coming on

731
00:35:18,360 --> 00:35:20,719
and giving out all these winners. You've got some cool

732
00:35:20,760 --> 00:35:23,679
things going on at Sports Memo and the Betting Memo

733
00:35:23,760 --> 00:35:24,679
show tell us about that.

734
00:35:25,960 --> 00:35:28,559
Speaker 8: Well, yeah, some of the specials guys going on over

735
00:35:28,760 --> 00:35:31,440
at Sports Memo, there's a few unique ones. There's five

736
00:35:31,480 --> 00:35:35,079
dollars Wednesdays at Sports Memo. Throughout the summer, every handicapper

737
00:35:35,119 --> 00:35:38,400
releases one five dollars package and then fifty percent off Fridays.

738
00:35:38,440 --> 00:35:40,880
So that's tomorrow, you guys want to take advantage of

739
00:35:40,920 --> 00:35:44,559
that same thing as five dollars Wednesdays, every handicapper releases

740
00:35:44,599 --> 00:35:47,760
one fifty percent off package. But guys, also the same

741
00:35:47,880 --> 00:35:51,159
as what Andy and Steve were just talking about. Over

742
00:35:51,360 --> 00:35:55,000
at Sports Memo, we have the Flex Pass seven day

743
00:35:55,000 --> 00:35:58,360
Flex Pass or seven day All Access Pass running for

744
00:35:58,440 --> 00:36:01,400
just sixty nine dollars. So that's under ten dollars a day.

745
00:36:01,440 --> 00:36:03,920
As Andy said, you can just choose with one capper

746
00:36:03,960 --> 00:36:06,559
or you can choose a different caper every day. And

747
00:36:06,599 --> 00:36:08,960
so those are the three specials going on. And then yeah,

748
00:36:09,000 --> 00:36:12,039
the Betting Memo Show. That's a show that is aired

749
00:36:12,079 --> 00:36:14,639
on the wager Talk TV channel and it's a show

750
00:36:14,760 --> 00:36:18,920
about Sports Memo and just some of the hottest handicappers,

751
00:36:18,920 --> 00:36:21,800
the biggest plays. I give out some client picks and

752
00:36:21,880 --> 00:36:24,639
some free plays. And one of the new features is

753
00:36:24,679 --> 00:36:27,639
we have a featured handicapper that comes on each show

754
00:36:27,679 --> 00:36:29,679
to talk about their own free pick. And so the

755
00:36:29,760 --> 00:36:32,159
last few days we've had on a featured handicapper and

756
00:36:32,199 --> 00:36:34,840
we do it again today looking at an NFL Week

757
00:36:34,840 --> 00:36:35,840
two pick this weekend.

758
00:36:36,840 --> 00:36:39,519
Speaker 1: All right, great stuff, Nick Parsons, thanks again for another

759
00:36:39,599 --> 00:36:42,760
free play. Let's get this one home on a Winnipeg tonight.

760
00:36:43,119 --> 00:36:45,760
Continued success, Good luck, and go check out Nick and

761
00:36:45,800 --> 00:36:48,599
everyone else at Sports Memo. All right, if you have

762
00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:50,320
not hit the like button, make sure you do that

763
00:36:50,360 --> 00:36:53,000
and make sure you subscribe to the wager Talk YouTube channel.

764
00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:56,559
Two hundred and eleven thousand subscribers. Our goal is two

765
00:36:56,679 --> 00:36:59,639
hundred and thirty thousand at the end of NFL season.

766
00:37:00,719 --> 00:37:05,119
Kelly thinks we can do it quicker. We'll see, We'll

767
00:37:05,119 --> 00:37:08,480
see how dedicated our audience really really is. Uh No,

768
00:37:08,639 --> 00:37:10,960
just kidding you guys are dedicated. Appreciate you, all right,

769
00:37:11,000 --> 00:37:15,800
you know, also dedicated, Kyle Anthony, this is just one

770
00:37:15,840 --> 00:37:18,639
of the most insane main events of the year. Kyle,

771
00:37:19,239 --> 00:37:22,719
we're talking Duplessy and Chamaiah. It was almost like I

772
00:37:22,800 --> 00:37:24,920
just didn't think the fight was gonna happen because it's

773
00:37:24,920 --> 00:37:27,840
always something with Tremaiah of like these guys like pulled

774
00:37:27,840 --> 00:37:30,639
out of fights because the sickness illness visa like the

775
00:37:30,719 --> 00:37:34,119
ultimate trifecta here. So, uh, you have two fights that

776
00:37:34,159 --> 00:37:36,679
you're gonna break down. But it's such an incredible imoan event.

777
00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:38,440
I have to get your thoughts on this main event

778
00:37:38,480 --> 00:37:38,880
real quick.

779
00:37:39,400 --> 00:37:41,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, I think one of the things here

780
00:37:41,440 --> 00:37:43,480
and I heard Gianni talk about it too before. And

781
00:37:43,960 --> 00:37:46,920
obviously anyone who talks about this fight is gonna be cardio.

782
00:37:47,079 --> 00:37:49,760
That's that's the that's the big thing here. What's the

783
00:37:49,840 --> 00:37:53,480
cardio for TREMAIAV and he tremiath to me is such

784
00:37:53,559 --> 00:37:57,079
a good round one, a great round one fighter that

785
00:37:57,159 --> 00:38:01,360
you almost forget his cardio is shit, like you almost

786
00:38:01,639 --> 00:38:04,079
like you almost forget it now. I understand you. There's

787
00:38:04,079 --> 00:38:06,320
a lot of things you can change in MMA. One

788
00:38:06,360 --> 00:38:09,519
thing that's very difficult to change is your cardio. And

789
00:38:09,599 --> 00:38:12,960
for a guy that consistently gases outside of round one,

790
00:38:13,719 --> 00:38:17,079
you know, it's to me that makes this line wide

791
00:38:17,079 --> 00:38:18,960
as it is. Yes, can Schmick go out there winning

792
00:38:18,960 --> 00:38:21,360
the first two rounds. Absolutely, the guy's elite. He can

793
00:38:21,360 --> 00:38:23,960
get the takedowns, look for back control. But you look

794
00:38:24,000 --> 00:38:26,679
at really what Dricus has done, and drici is over

795
00:38:26,679 --> 00:38:29,880
his last three fights, you know, two full hard five rounds,

796
00:38:29,960 --> 00:38:32,199
you know, submitted out of Sonia in the fourth round.

797
00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:33,639
Speaker 6: You know, we've seen what he can do.

798
00:38:33,679 --> 00:38:37,000
Speaker 4: He's unorthodox, he's you know, you know, awkward, but it

799
00:38:37,079 --> 00:38:39,320
really works for him. So I think this guy, he's

800
00:38:39,440 --> 00:38:41,360
very well rounded as much as people forget it, and

801
00:38:41,440 --> 00:38:44,119
Dricus can be kind of wild out there. He is

802
00:38:44,400 --> 00:38:47,159
elite on the ground, he has elite kickboxing, so there's

803
00:38:47,199 --> 00:38:48,280
a lot of things that he can do.

804
00:38:48,360 --> 00:38:50,440
Speaker 6: I think that he can survive that first round. He

805
00:38:50,519 --> 00:38:51,159
knows what's coming.

806
00:38:51,239 --> 00:38:54,920
Speaker 4: Tremiath is blatantly saying I'm gonna bum rush forward and

807
00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:55,719
look to take him down.

808
00:38:55,800 --> 00:38:57,599
Speaker 6: He's not going to change that all of a sudden

809
00:38:57,599 --> 00:38:58,159
to be timid.

810
00:38:58,239 --> 00:39:01,480
Speaker 4: So I think that this is something where DDP can

811
00:39:01,480 --> 00:39:03,719
get through the first round with you know, get through

812
00:39:03,800 --> 00:39:06,000
whether the storm, and I think he picks up momentum.

813
00:39:06,000 --> 00:39:07,800
So I think at this price you're talking plus two

814
00:39:07,880 --> 00:39:10,880
hundred plus one eighty, I think the current champion is

815
00:39:10,920 --> 00:39:13,599
the side here between these two. But like I said,

816
00:39:13,639 --> 00:39:16,000
you know, there's just Tormaia is so good round one.

817
00:39:16,159 --> 00:39:18,559
You forget he doesn't have really that great cardio, and

818
00:39:18,599 --> 00:39:20,760
we've seen it. There's it's not debatable. We have seen

819
00:39:20,840 --> 00:39:24,159
him second round slows down, third round slows down, very

820
00:39:24,199 --> 00:39:25,519
close fights.

821
00:39:25,159 --> 00:39:27,039
Speaker 6: With Usman and burns.

822
00:39:27,119 --> 00:39:30,039
Speaker 4: So you know, I think that this is a spot

823
00:39:30,079 --> 00:39:32,239
where I think DDP can get the job done, especially

824
00:39:32,239 --> 00:39:32,880
at this price.

825
00:39:34,440 --> 00:39:36,000
Speaker 1: All right, well, let's talk about a couple of fights,

826
00:39:36,000 --> 00:39:37,960
and then of course we're gonna play sell me. That's

827
00:39:37,960 --> 00:39:40,519
where Dan assigns us a fight and assigns us the fighter,

828
00:39:40,559 --> 00:39:43,400
and we have to make the case. You almost pulled

829
00:39:43,400 --> 00:39:45,719
off the gigantic almost.

830
00:39:46,079 --> 00:39:46,800
Speaker 6: I almost.

831
00:39:47,559 --> 00:39:51,760
Speaker 1: Oh God, that was last week.

832
00:39:52,360 --> 00:39:52,639
Speaker 3: Wild.

833
00:39:52,840 --> 00:39:55,960
Speaker 1: Okay, you're gonna talk about two fights that I agree

834
00:39:56,000 --> 00:39:59,800
with you. You're gonna talk Barbosa and Close and then

835
00:40:00,119 --> 00:40:03,639
go to the women, Gadinez and Androdge. Let's start with

836
00:40:03,679 --> 00:40:06,360
Barbosa and Close. I could not agree with you more.

837
00:40:06,440 --> 00:40:08,280
This is a strong opinion that I have as well.

838
00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:09,119
Break this one down.

839
00:40:10,039 --> 00:40:12,159
Speaker 4: Yeah, so you got it. Some Barbosa here, he's minus

840
00:40:12,159 --> 00:40:14,480
one forty on the comeback. Here, we've got your car

841
00:40:14,519 --> 00:40:17,199
Close plus one fifteen and Close, you know, is a

842
00:40:17,199 --> 00:40:19,480
well rounded guy. You know, he's got some good boxing,

843
00:40:19,559 --> 00:40:21,840
He fights well behind the job. He's pretty good in

844
00:40:21,880 --> 00:40:23,480
the clinch. You know, he's done some good work in

845
00:40:23,519 --> 00:40:25,480
the clinch. And he's got the wrestling, and we've seen

846
00:40:25,480 --> 00:40:27,199
that if he can mix it up like that, he

847
00:40:27,280 --> 00:40:30,480
can definitely find success. The biggest issue for me here,

848
00:40:30,920 --> 00:40:33,280
you know, is that he has to use that wrestling.

849
00:40:33,440 --> 00:40:35,119
Speaker 6: He has to have that happen. He cannot.

850
00:40:35,239 --> 00:40:36,679
Speaker 4: You know, he's got to push forward, he's got to

851
00:40:36,719 --> 00:40:39,159
smother up against the fence. He's got to look for takedowns.

852
00:40:39,400 --> 00:40:42,239
Slow Barboza down. There's no way he wants to stand

853
00:40:42,320 --> 00:40:43,599
at range with Barbosa.

854
00:40:43,760 --> 00:40:43,920
Speaker 5: Now.

855
00:40:43,960 --> 00:40:47,000
Speaker 4: The issue really for Close is the fact that you know,

856
00:40:47,119 --> 00:40:49,559
he struggles with the wrestling. Even though he has wrestling,

857
00:40:49,559 --> 00:40:51,719
he has struggled with it. Over his last four fights,

858
00:40:51,800 --> 00:40:55,400
He's only three for eighteen on takedown attempts, not very good.

859
00:40:55,480 --> 00:40:58,239
Over his twelve fight UFC career, he only has this

860
00:40:58,400 --> 00:41:01,840
twenty seven percent takedown a success rate, not very good.

861
00:41:01,920 --> 00:41:04,599
And you've got Barbosa, who, yes, you know that's the path.

862
00:41:04,639 --> 00:41:06,199
You know, everyone wants to take him down. But he

863
00:41:06,199 --> 00:41:09,360
has consistently gotten better with his takedown defense. He has

864
00:41:09,360 --> 00:41:12,079
a seventy percent takedown defense rate and it's pretty good.

865
00:41:12,079 --> 00:41:15,000
And yes, he was just taken down recently against Laron

866
00:41:15,119 --> 00:41:16,719
Murphy a couple of times, but that was at one

867
00:41:16,880 --> 00:41:17,440
forty five.

868
00:41:17,480 --> 00:41:19,400
Speaker 6: This is at one fifty five. I think this is.

869
00:41:19,679 --> 00:41:23,119
Speaker 4: Way much a better a weight class for Barboza. He's

870
00:41:23,159 --> 00:41:25,440
not draining himself. He's not trying to cut the weight

871
00:41:25,519 --> 00:41:27,039
and get down to it. He's not you know, it's

872
00:41:27,079 --> 00:41:29,079
not going to hurt his cardio, his their ability. I

873
00:41:29,079 --> 00:41:31,519
think at one fifty five it's a great weight class

874
00:41:31,519 --> 00:41:33,039
for him. And if this plays out in the feet,

875
00:41:33,159 --> 00:41:35,960
you know, I think that Barbosa has massive advantages in

876
00:41:36,000 --> 00:41:38,760
the striking. I think that is his kickboxing is better.

877
00:41:38,880 --> 00:41:41,360
He's got these snapping kicks. He can chop at the leg,

878
00:41:41,440 --> 00:41:43,280
work the body. We've seen what he's done with his

879
00:41:43,599 --> 00:41:46,199
incredible you know headshot finishes here, and I think it's

880
00:41:46,239 --> 00:41:49,280
just the more dangerous fighter between the two. We've seen

881
00:41:49,760 --> 00:41:52,639
your Kar close. He doesn't absorb shots very well. You know,

882
00:41:52,679 --> 00:41:55,320
he's been dropped and rocked even in wins. I think

883
00:41:55,360 --> 00:41:57,880
that this is Barbosa all day here again the line

884
00:41:57,920 --> 00:41:59,559
has you know, come in a little bit here, but

885
00:41:59,760 --> 00:42:02,159
at minus one, I think it's Barbosa here.

886
00:42:03,639 --> 00:42:05,599
Speaker 1: I would also throw in Jakar close.

887
00:42:06,519 --> 00:42:06,639
Speaker 8: Uh.

888
00:42:06,920 --> 00:42:09,000
Speaker 1: He beat some real bums after by the way, he

889
00:42:09,039 --> 00:42:12,239
got injured at faceoffs. He got he had whiplash at

890
00:42:12,280 --> 00:42:15,360
face offs. Misty Year came back beat some bums. They

891
00:42:15,400 --> 00:42:18,079
interviewed him in the in the cage and they said,

892
00:42:18,119 --> 00:42:19,480
who do you want to fight next? He said, I

893
00:42:19,480 --> 00:42:22,840
want to keep fighting easy guys. It's easy paychecks. So

894
00:42:22,880 --> 00:42:28,320
they gave him Joe L. Alvarez and he got absolutely murdered. So, yeah,

895
00:42:28,559 --> 00:42:30,719
go tell Dana White, you want to keep fighting easy

896
00:42:30,760 --> 00:42:33,440
guys for easy pay, make.

897
00:42:33,880 --> 00:42:35,559
Speaker 6: A little bit quicker here in the UFC. We're going

898
00:42:35,599 --> 00:42:36,039
to make sure.

899
00:42:36,880 --> 00:42:39,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm I'm all aboard. The fade close train when

900
00:42:39,440 --> 00:42:41,639
he's fighting guys with a pulse. All right, let's take

901
00:42:41,639 --> 00:42:45,679
a look at Lupy Gadinez and Jessica Androge. Jessica Androge

902
00:42:45,679 --> 00:42:48,239
fresh off of the I think it was the twenty

903
00:42:48,320 --> 00:42:52,119
twenty four divorce fighting to her where she took every

904
00:42:52,119 --> 00:42:54,800
fight humanly possible to pay for her divorce. She was

905
00:42:54,840 --> 00:42:56,679
open about it. I give her all the credit in

906
00:42:56,719 --> 00:42:59,639
the world. She comes in as the underdog against Loopy.

907
00:42:59,679 --> 00:43:01,920
Who's a favorite? WODI break, Who do you like in

908
00:43:01,960 --> 00:43:02,280
this one?

909
00:43:03,239 --> 00:43:03,440
Speaker 6: Yes?

910
00:43:03,559 --> 00:43:05,719
Speaker 4: You got Loopy here she's the favorite at minus about

911
00:43:05,719 --> 00:43:07,159
minus one sixty two.

912
00:43:07,480 --> 00:43:09,280
Speaker 6: Androge around that plus.

913
00:43:08,920 --> 00:43:11,840
Speaker 4: One twenty six mark here And to your point here,

914
00:43:11,920 --> 00:43:12,679
I mean, you know, we've.

915
00:43:12,559 --> 00:43:14,960
Speaker 6: Seen Androge and she has definitely had a rough run.

916
00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:17,639
Speaker 4: You know, there was a point where, as you said,

917
00:43:17,639 --> 00:43:20,039
there was this public divorce, there was money issues, there

918
00:43:20,079 --> 00:43:20,840
was all these things.

919
00:43:20,920 --> 00:43:22,800
Speaker 6: She was taking short.

920
00:43:22,519 --> 00:43:25,760
Speaker 4: Notice fight after short notice fight, terrible matchups, didn't care.

921
00:43:25,920 --> 00:43:28,639
Was just looking for money basically, And you know that

922
00:43:28,840 --> 00:43:30,760
is what it is there. But I do think though,

923
00:43:30,800 --> 00:43:32,800
we are seeing Androdge get back to it. And that

924
00:43:32,880 --> 00:43:34,320
was a couple of years ago. Now we're starting to

925
00:43:34,320 --> 00:43:36,360
see her be a little bit more focused. She went

926
00:43:36,400 --> 00:43:38,960
out there, she ran through McKenzie Dern. She goes out there,

927
00:43:39,000 --> 00:43:43,199
she beats Marina Rodriguez, and her two losses I think

928
00:43:43,239 --> 00:43:45,559
are kind of, you know, a little bit over reaction

929
00:43:45,679 --> 00:43:47,760
to the market here where you're seeing androg. You know,

930
00:43:47,880 --> 00:43:50,679
she loses to Natalia Silva, who is an absolute surging star,

931
00:43:51,280 --> 00:43:53,079
you know, elite when it comes to her striking, and

932
00:43:53,119 --> 00:43:55,920
then even Jasmin shoot Vicious is a very tough out.

933
00:43:56,000 --> 00:43:58,519
You know, she is big, she's a freak size for

934
00:43:58,599 --> 00:44:00,519
the division here, and she's a good wrestler. She was

935
00:44:00,559 --> 00:44:03,079
able to just implement the game plan and get you know,

936
00:44:03,159 --> 00:44:04,559
Onrodge down and get the finish.

937
00:44:04,639 --> 00:44:06,440
Speaker 6: And you know, Luke the other side, she lost to

938
00:44:06,480 --> 00:44:07,159
mackenzie Dern.

939
00:44:07,320 --> 00:44:09,679
Speaker 4: I thought she didn't look good against Julia Palastri and

940
00:44:09,679 --> 00:44:12,440
Plastie I think is a very low level fighter.

941
00:44:12,119 --> 00:44:14,280
Speaker 6: And the strikes landed were even in that fight.

942
00:44:14,400 --> 00:44:17,079
Speaker 4: It was the takedowns that really helped Lupy, you know,

943
00:44:17,159 --> 00:44:19,079
find that success and be able to get the victory.

944
00:44:19,360 --> 00:44:21,719
And you know, that's the other thing with Androge is that,

945
00:44:21,840 --> 00:44:24,199
you know, her strength of schedule is elite. She has

946
00:44:24,239 --> 00:44:26,519
faced the who's who of two divisions. I mean, she

947
00:44:26,639 --> 00:44:29,440
definitely has had the Who's who on her resume, but

948
00:44:29,559 --> 00:44:31,519
also the fact that she's fighting at Strawway here, and

949
00:44:31,519 --> 00:44:34,519
this is another situation where I do like her moving

950
00:44:34,559 --> 00:44:36,239
down and wait, I think that this is a spot,

951
00:44:36,320 --> 00:44:38,039
this is where she should be. She could be a

952
00:44:38,119 --> 00:44:41,639
size bully here Leverigshire size, have the physicality, have the

953
00:44:41,639 --> 00:44:43,679
strength advantage, and have some of those things that she

954
00:44:43,719 --> 00:44:45,639
can do against Lupy. I don't think Lupy's gonna find

955
00:44:45,679 --> 00:44:48,400
the takedowns. I think Androge can find her own takedowns here.

956
00:44:48,559 --> 00:44:51,079
Lupy's hit able in the pocket. I think Androge can

957
00:44:51,119 --> 00:44:53,599
come forward. She blitz this forward with these big shots.

958
00:44:53,880 --> 00:44:55,840
I think that this is Androge here. I think again,

959
00:44:56,000 --> 00:44:58,280
the back to back losses against two very good fighters

960
00:44:58,440 --> 00:45:00,480
have made her the dog here. I think she should

961
00:45:00,480 --> 00:45:02,280
be the favorite in this spot. So I do like

962
00:45:02,320 --> 00:45:04,000
jesh Gun Drodge at the plus money number.

963
00:45:05,079 --> 00:45:08,239
Speaker 1: Me too, Mike are likes Sloopy to win. I'm with

964
00:45:08,280 --> 00:45:11,760
you though the plus money on Grodge. Listen we she

965
00:45:11,800 --> 00:45:13,679
gets put in a choke, she could absolutely give up,

966
00:45:13,840 --> 00:45:18,639
but she puts Snoopy in trouble. Loopy doesn't have a

967
00:45:18,639 --> 00:45:20,440
whole lot to fall back on if she ain't wrestling.

968
00:45:20,639 --> 00:45:23,000
All right, Dan, come on in here, let's play sell

969
00:45:23,079 --> 00:45:31,360
me ye, wake up Dan? Uh just kidding, I'd say

970
00:45:31,400 --> 00:45:34,480
wake up mean while Dan's doing a million things live

971
00:45:36,519 --> 00:45:39,079
and then we say come on camera. By the way,

972
00:45:39,440 --> 00:45:43,679
so all right, fight, the coffee is working. Yeah, yeah,

973
00:45:43,800 --> 00:45:45,920
so you a fight, You give us a fighter. And

974
00:45:46,000 --> 00:45:52,079
last week, holy cow, I almost it. Oh man. You

975
00:45:52,119 --> 00:45:55,079
could argue he did do it because I did not

976
00:45:55,159 --> 00:45:57,079
feel comfortable going into that.

977
00:45:57,079 --> 00:45:58,679
Speaker 5: All right, listen, I knew it.

978
00:45:58,840 --> 00:46:00,599
Speaker 6: I knew it, guys, the whole time.

979
00:46:00,719 --> 00:46:02,639
Speaker 5: I knew That's why I was.

980
00:46:02,880 --> 00:46:05,920
Speaker 4: There was so much like conviction in my voice about

981
00:46:06,039 --> 00:46:06,960
him getting the victory.

982
00:46:07,000 --> 00:46:08,199
Speaker 6: So you know, we'll see.

983
00:46:08,000 --> 00:46:12,000
Speaker 1: How all right, Dan, who we got?

984
00:46:12,639 --> 00:46:13,320
Speaker 5: So andy?

985
00:46:13,360 --> 00:46:15,599
Speaker 3: Typically we go with these I mean a lot of

986
00:46:15,639 --> 00:46:17,920
times on these cards. It's just these huge favorites against

987
00:46:17,960 --> 00:46:20,719
huge dogs. So typically we have a big, you know,

988
00:46:20,840 --> 00:46:23,800
difference in uh in odds, But this one's a little

989
00:46:23,800 --> 00:46:27,360
bit tighter. We only have a large difference in in

990
00:46:27,519 --> 00:46:29,199
names and pronunciations.

991
00:46:29,239 --> 00:46:32,480
Speaker 5: For this one, we have maybe the most American name

992
00:46:32,559 --> 00:46:34,880
I've ever heard in Brian.

993
00:46:34,599 --> 00:46:38,280
Speaker 3: Battle taking on the most Uzbeka Stanny name I have

994
00:46:38,400 --> 00:46:40,679
ever heard, which is let me try and hit this

995
00:46:40,719 --> 00:46:43,599
one their Sultan Ruza Bayev.

996
00:46:44,320 --> 00:46:49,519
Speaker 5: How do you do pretty? We'll take it. So that's

997
00:46:49,519 --> 00:46:50,159
gonna be the fight.

998
00:46:50,199 --> 00:46:52,920
Speaker 3: I pronounced it right once, So you're gonna get thes

999
00:46:52,960 --> 00:46:57,440
Becca Stanny, Andy Lang and Kyle Anthony, you're getting the American.

1000
00:46:57,519 --> 00:46:59,519
So again you're giving us a breakdown on the dog.

1001
00:46:59,559 --> 00:47:01,239
But this one a little bit tighter. I mean we're

1002
00:47:01,239 --> 00:47:04,239
looking at what, uh you know one seventy the favorite

1003
00:47:04,280 --> 00:47:07,559
for Brian Battle. I misspoke there, Ruzabayev getting the plus

1004
00:47:07,599 --> 00:47:11,800
one forty five. Also, if you're looking at the total

1005
00:47:11,840 --> 00:47:14,920
in this fight, guys, the under is juice two and

1006
00:47:14,920 --> 00:47:18,159
a half. So maybe a finish expected in this one

1007
00:47:18,639 --> 00:47:22,920
is the finish expected to come from mister Battle. Kyle,

1008
00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:25,920
why is this favorite? Rightfully so? And maybe a little

1009
00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:26,639
bit too short?

1010
00:47:26,679 --> 00:47:27,280
Speaker 1: What do you think?

1011
00:47:28,400 --> 00:47:28,639
Speaker 6: Yeah?

1012
00:47:28,679 --> 00:47:32,039
Speaker 4: You know Rusa Boyev, you know, coming to the UFC,

1013
00:47:32,119 --> 00:47:33,639
I was not a fan of him, and I think

1014
00:47:33,639 --> 00:47:36,960
one of the biggest issues that he has is really

1015
00:47:36,960 --> 00:47:39,280
his low volume, you know, and Battle is a guy

1016
00:47:39,360 --> 00:47:42,079
I think that has been a grinder, can move forward

1017
00:47:42,239 --> 00:47:45,199
and can really grind out some of these victories. Sometimes

1018
00:47:45,199 --> 00:47:47,360
it's not pretty, sometimes it's not the best, but he's

1019
00:47:47,400 --> 00:47:49,519
able to do it pretty successfully. He'll push you up

1020
00:47:49,519 --> 00:47:52,119
against the cage. He'll push the volume out, which again

1021
00:47:52,119 --> 00:47:54,079
I think is another big thing. If he can cage push,

1022
00:47:54,239 --> 00:47:56,079
he needs to be all the way in, push him

1023
00:47:56,119 --> 00:47:58,159
up against the fence or all the way out and.

1024
00:47:58,079 --> 00:48:00,760
Speaker 6: Really utilizing his volume and just keep pushing that pace.

1025
00:48:00,880 --> 00:48:03,440
Speaker 4: And I think he could chip away on Zaboyev. He

1026
00:48:03,599 --> 00:48:05,559
got the power in use boy. But I think that

1027
00:48:05,679 --> 00:48:08,280
battle is more of the surging guy here. I think

1028
00:48:08,320 --> 00:48:10,880
that the UFC likes this guy as well, so I

1029
00:48:10,920 --> 00:48:12,920
gotta go battle here. I do think he gets a

1030
00:48:13,000 --> 00:48:14,800
job done, and I think the price isn't that bad.

1031
00:48:14,840 --> 00:48:21,079
Speaker 3: Actually, battle to win the battle, says mister Anthony. All right,

1032
00:48:21,480 --> 00:48:23,639
Rouse Boyev, what do you what do you think here?

1033
00:48:23,679 --> 00:48:27,760
Also discrepancy in the nicknames as well. I'm just looking

1034
00:48:27,840 --> 00:48:31,079
up these fighters. We have Black is the nickname for

1035
00:48:31,199 --> 00:48:34,280
Rouse Boyev. And then you have versus the butcher, I

1036
00:48:34,320 --> 00:48:35,679
mean the butcher, Andy.

1037
00:48:36,679 --> 00:48:38,800
Speaker 5: You should have started that, I should have started with that.

1038
00:48:40,199 --> 00:48:42,280
Pretty hard to sell me on on Black.

1039
00:48:42,440 --> 00:48:46,360
Speaker 1: So what easy easy there, Kyle? Tell him what Brian

1040
00:48:46,400 --> 00:48:47,960
Battle's nickname used to be.

1041
00:48:49,320 --> 00:48:54,960
Speaker 3: Now, let's say the Ballerina Brian the Ballerina Battle pooh Bear.

1042
00:48:55,360 --> 00:49:00,199
Speaker 1: I'm not making that up. Poo Bear was anyway, Okay.

1043
00:49:01,239 --> 00:49:03,320
I love Brian Battle, so this is hard for me.

1044
00:49:03,519 --> 00:49:06,400
I have corrected it correctly predicted not one, but all

1045
00:49:06,440 --> 00:49:08,280
of his fights because I loved him coming out of

1046
00:49:08,280 --> 00:49:11,800
the Ultimate Fighter, even the fight that he lost. This

1047
00:49:11,880 --> 00:49:13,400
is what it says. A lot of is I don't

1048
00:49:13,440 --> 00:49:15,199
want to bet on him in this fight with my

1049
00:49:15,840 --> 00:49:18,639
own money. He has a gigantic hole in his game,

1050
00:49:18,639 --> 00:49:20,679
and that's a striking defense. He gets hit a lot.

1051
00:49:20,880 --> 00:49:22,960
He has not faced guys with the power to really

1052
00:49:23,000 --> 00:49:25,880
knock him out, and Rusa Boyev does have that power.

1053
00:49:26,159 --> 00:49:28,800
If this fight goes the distance, it will be Brian

1054
00:49:28,880 --> 00:49:32,760
Battle by decision. If there is a finish, I think

1055
00:49:32,800 --> 00:49:35,239
it's more likely that Ruza Boyev gets to the chin

1056
00:49:35,360 --> 00:49:37,039
of him. It's it's one of those things that he

1057
00:49:37,119 --> 00:49:39,159
has to work on, and I think he almost has

1058
00:49:39,199 --> 00:49:40,840
to get knocked out in order for him to know

1059
00:49:40,880 --> 00:49:43,079
that he has to fix it. This is the biggest

1060
00:49:43,119 --> 00:49:45,840
guy he's ever fought. This is the longest reach he's

1061
00:49:45,880 --> 00:49:49,000
ever fought. He just fought Randy Brown, and besides the

1062
00:49:49,079 --> 00:49:51,559
We're not Fakartina fight, Randy Brown took him to the distance,

1063
00:49:51,599 --> 00:49:55,039
and some argue that Randy Brown won again long limbs,

1064
00:49:55,480 --> 00:49:58,719
pretty dynamic striker, so plus money on Ruza Boyev. But

1065
00:49:58,760 --> 00:50:01,000
it's gonna come. It's gonna ruse a boy by Ko.

1066
00:50:01,119 --> 00:50:02,719
So don't even mess around with the money line. Take

1067
00:50:02,800 --> 00:50:05,000
ruse a boy by Ko if you like that side.

1068
00:50:06,039 --> 00:50:10,480
Speaker 3: Wow throwing down the callt Unfortunately, though, Andy, I may

1069
00:50:10,599 --> 00:50:14,519
have to go with the favorite here, simply because number one,

1070
00:50:14,559 --> 00:50:16,639
you let off with the fact that I absolutely love

1071
00:50:16,679 --> 00:50:19,480
Brian Battle, and I know that I love him. You

1072
00:50:19,480 --> 00:50:21,679
don't want to bet on a in this fight. You

1073
00:50:21,719 --> 00:50:23,199
don't want to bet on him in this fight. But

1074
00:50:23,280 --> 00:50:25,119
one thing that did stand out for me. You guys think, I,

1075
00:50:25,320 --> 00:50:27,239
you know, just sit back here and and so that,

1076
00:50:27,320 --> 00:50:29,440
But I do. I like listening to the breakdowns. E's

1077
00:50:29,519 --> 00:50:31,400
or two of the best UFC guys you're gonna find.

1078
00:50:31,679 --> 00:50:34,599
And one of the things that you said, Andy was

1079
00:50:34,679 --> 00:50:39,199
that you know what what Battle maybe struggles with is

1080
00:50:39,199 --> 00:50:41,599
is his strike defense. And one of the points that

1081
00:50:41,679 --> 00:50:45,360
Kyle made was Ruz Boye isn't really a volume guy.

1082
00:50:45,760 --> 00:50:48,159
So sure he might have the knockout power, but is

1083
00:50:48,239 --> 00:50:50,880
that one knockout hitting in a land that's what you're

1084
00:50:50,920 --> 00:50:53,159
betting on, and you're betting on it at a price

1085
00:50:53,199 --> 00:50:55,920
that maybe sounds like it should be it should be

1086
00:50:55,960 --> 00:50:56,559
north of two.

1087
00:50:56,719 --> 00:50:59,440
Speaker 5: So I actually I'm going with Kyle. I'm going with

1088
00:50:59,480 --> 00:51:04,079
Brian bad. I'm not only going.

1089
00:51:03,840 --> 00:51:06,599
Speaker 3: With Brian Battle because it's the one name I can

1090
00:51:06,639 --> 00:51:09,719
properly pronounce. I think I think that might be the

1091
00:51:09,760 --> 00:51:12,000
side that you're seeing here, and guys correct me if

1092
00:51:12,000 --> 00:51:14,559
I'm wrong. You know, we saw this thing open at

1093
00:51:14,559 --> 00:51:17,960
one ninety. It came down, so you know, some some

1094
00:51:18,039 --> 00:51:21,480
love for rusa boyev you think that maybe comes back

1095
00:51:21,599 --> 00:51:24,800
on Brian come come fight day once once, maybe some

1096
00:51:24,840 --> 00:51:27,199
public money comes starts coming in or what do you think?

1097
00:51:28,159 --> 00:51:30,960
Speaker 1: Well, he's gotta I gotta tell the story about Brian Battle.

1098
00:51:30,960 --> 00:51:33,639
He's got the ultimate chip on his shoulder, the ultimate fighter.

1099
00:51:33,920 --> 00:51:36,920
He got warded the championship and the other guy said, no,

1100
00:51:37,039 --> 00:51:39,360
you didn't. I should have been the champion because the

1101
00:51:39,360 --> 00:51:42,199
fight got canceled. So they fought again. Brian Battle brought

1102
00:51:42,199 --> 00:51:45,400
the trophy to the ring and said, if you beat me,

1103
00:51:45,440 --> 00:51:47,679
I'll hand it to you, and then Brian Battle kicked

1104
00:51:47,679 --> 00:51:51,039
his ass. And then Brian Battle went into France and

1105
00:51:51,199 --> 00:51:55,320
beat the ship out of the French guy. And afterwards

1106
00:51:55,400 --> 00:51:58,239
the crowd was just lighting him up. And he goes

1107
00:51:58,480 --> 00:52:05,360
the butcher into no frenchman is iconic, epic, Like Spring interview.

1108
00:52:05,679 --> 00:52:09,880
I love Brian Battle like it's just he's great. He's great,

1109
00:52:09,880 --> 00:52:10,760
you should and he's.

1110
00:52:10,599 --> 00:52:13,679
Speaker 3: Fighting for Christopher Robbins and all of what's the what's

1111
00:52:13,719 --> 00:52:14,599
the town they live in?

1112
00:52:14,639 --> 00:52:15,400
Speaker 1: With poovert?

1113
00:52:15,440 --> 00:52:19,320
Speaker 3: But no, well done, Well done, both, gentlemen, Well done both.

1114
00:52:20,440 --> 00:52:24,440
Speaker 1: Thank you Dan, Thank you Dan. All Right, let's get serious, Kyle.

1115
00:52:24,559 --> 00:52:27,159
It's UFC three nineteen. There are a lot of betable

1116
00:52:27,199 --> 00:52:29,840
opportunities on this card. I know you have something up,

1117
00:52:29,880 --> 00:52:32,199
so tell everyone what we can invest in with you

1118
00:52:32,239 --> 00:52:32,719
this weekend.

1119
00:52:33,559 --> 00:52:33,760
Speaker 2: Yeah.

1120
00:52:33,840 --> 00:52:36,239
Speaker 4: So I do have a five percent play up. It's

1121
00:52:36,280 --> 00:52:39,079
a money line play. We've done well on the money

1122
00:52:39,079 --> 00:52:40,000
line plays.

1123
00:52:40,320 --> 00:52:41,320
Speaker 6: For our max bet.

1124
00:52:41,320 --> 00:52:45,039
Speaker 4: We're around seventy one seventy two percent on those plays,

1125
00:52:45,119 --> 00:52:47,679
and I love the spot here have that. This is

1126
00:52:47,719 --> 00:52:50,320
definitely gonna be one of those events where it probably

1127
00:52:50,519 --> 00:52:54,199
will be the most units I bet for one particular event.

1128
00:52:54,239 --> 00:52:56,119
I only have two bets up right now, but I'm

1129
00:52:56,119 --> 00:52:58,360
definitely have a I just saying Andy, there is a

1130
00:52:58,360 --> 00:53:01,280
ton of opportunities here that I really do like. There's

1131
00:53:01,280 --> 00:53:03,719
always great opportunities on the pay per views, there's great

1132
00:53:03,719 --> 00:53:06,079
opportunities on the small cards as well, but this one

1133
00:53:06,119 --> 00:53:09,239
particularly I do like. So check it out wagertalk dot com.

1134
00:53:09,400 --> 00:53:11,639
We'll be loading up that pack as be closer to

1135
00:53:11,639 --> 00:53:12,519
Fight night Saturday.

1136
00:53:13,519 --> 00:53:17,480
Speaker 1: Kyle Anthony best bets five percent at UFC pay per

1137
00:53:17,519 --> 00:53:20,039
View three nineteen. Go grab that. Thank you, Kyle. Good

1138
00:53:20,119 --> 00:53:22,920
luck this weekend. So all right, guys, I am off tomorrow.

1139
00:53:22,960 --> 00:53:25,360
I will be at the live event. I will see

1140
00:53:25,400 --> 00:53:28,960
you guys Monday on this show. But we have our

1141
00:53:29,199 --> 00:53:32,000
PFL breakdown video that is up and our UFC breakdown

1142
00:53:32,039 --> 00:53:33,559
videos up, so you want to see us break down

1143
00:53:33,960 --> 00:53:37,400
all those videos. Those are up as well as tons

1144
00:53:37,480 --> 00:53:40,760
of NFL preseason games from all of your favorite handicappers.

1145
00:53:40,760 --> 00:53:42,719
So make sure you subscribe to the channel. Hit that

1146
00:53:42,760 --> 00:53:45,920
bell you get notified these when these videos go up,

1147
00:53:45,960 --> 00:53:49,960
and please hit the like button. Excellent show today, Dan's

1148
00:53:50,000 --> 00:53:53,119
great to have you back and just love you guys. Man.

1149
00:53:53,159 --> 00:53:55,719
You guys left some really cool comments in the comments

1150
00:53:55,719 --> 00:53:58,920
section yesterday, so leave a comment again today. Let's send

1151
00:53:58,960 --> 00:54:02,199
some positive vibes out everybody. So have a great weekend everyone.

1152
00:54:02,280 --> 00:54:04,119
We'll be back and doing it again on Monday. Steve

1153
00:54:04,199 --> 00:54:06,760
Merrill is going to be here tomorrow. Don't forget to

1154
00:54:06,800 --> 00:54:09,079
get seven days of flex picks. What a great weekend

1155
00:54:09,119 --> 00:54:12,159
to get flex picks with UFC nineteen and such a

1156
00:54:12,199 --> 00:54:16,199
loaded NFL preseason and WNBA is back tomorrow. Oh, take

1157
00:54:16,239 --> 00:54:18,199
advantage when we have some of these specials up. So

1158
00:54:18,480 --> 00:54:20,960
seven days of flex picks, just sixty nine dollars, that's

1159
00:54:20,960 --> 00:54:22,760
going to do it for today. A great job everyone,

1160
00:54:23,039 --> 00:54:24,639
good look on all your bets and take care