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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is Monday. It is time

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for full court press, Robino. The snow has taken over

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the country. A whole bunch of games canceled. There's cancelations

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as we as we speak, games are getting canceled.

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Speaker 2: I think Long Island and Wagner got called off this morning.

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Speaker 1: But fortunately for us, it feels like the two big

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games today are gonna go on without a hitch.

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Speaker 2: You know. Louisville Duke Arizona BYU.

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Speaker 1: We complained a couple of mondays ago about hey, man,

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like we all there is is extra board, there's not,

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there's nothing, you know, It's it's almost like a throwaway day.

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Tonight we got two huge games that almost deserved the stage, right, Like,

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it's almost good that there's not much up against them.

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Speaker 2: Two huge games.

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Speaker 1: Let's start in the acc Robino. I was at this

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game a couple of weeks ago, Louisville Duke. I was

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at the KFC Young Center. It was a I still

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have the rally towel right here, go cards beat Duke

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from the game. If anyone wants this, let me know.

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I know we got a couple of Louisville fans. I'll

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send it to you, Rob, I have a rule. I

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can't if something's got a logo on it, I can't

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throw it out.

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Speaker 2: Just you know what I mean.

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Speaker 1: If there's a logo on a date, can't throw it out.

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But anyway, that game listen, you never know, right, But

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I know we have like actual fans of Louisville. I

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got my Louisville jacket on right here that I got

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at the game. That's good enough for me. So if

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you want the rally towel, hit me up, send me

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a DM. I'll mail it to you first, first one

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that wants it. But in that game, Rob Vino go

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cards beat Duke. They thought they were going to do

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that for the first twenty minutes. They hit ten threes

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in the first half. The Young Center was rocking, and

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I think I texted you and I posted this to Twitter.

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Speaker 2: With two minutes and thirty seconds to go.

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Speaker 1: In the second half of that game, the Young Center

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was emptying out, Like eight thousand people were walking out

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there was It was an eleven point game with two

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minutes and thirty seconds left, and it was like Duke

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just demoralized this team in the second half. And I

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think that's where we'll start the handicaff right, this team

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is so good. I looked, you know, Rob. Right around

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this time of year, people like to bring up the

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whole Ken pom oh the champion, the winner of the tournament.

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Winner ends up being top twenty five in offensive and

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defensive efficiency on Ken pom. Duke is top five in

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both of those metrics. You can't have a bad half

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against Duke. Louisville hit ten threes in the first half,

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had like an eight point lead at halftime, still came

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nowhere near winning that game. Now they go on the road.

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Here they do get mckel brown back. I think that's important.

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But talk to me a little bit about Louisville Duke.

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How are you seeing this one?

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Speaker 3: Well, let's get into mckel brown real quick. Came back

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on Saturday, immediate impact. I know it's only Virginia Tech,

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but twenty eight minutes didn't seem like there was much

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issue with the back. Twenty points seven of eleven from

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the floor in that game, sixty four, shooting three of

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six from threes. I mean, he looked every bit the

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part and did not play like I say against Duke

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the first time around. So here's an added piece. That

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and the primary piece as far as key personnel goes

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for Louisville aside from conwell that you know, this one's

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on the road, so it's gonna be a little bit different,

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But certainly Louisville now at full strength, we'll see if

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they can carry over what they did in the first

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half in Louisville for full game here in Duke. You know,

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the great thing about Duke, Adam is that Louisville game

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wasn't the first time that they've been behind the eight

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ball at halftime and come back to win. They've been

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great in the second half on a lot of occasions

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where they needed to be. The front line is the

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front line of me boozer, probably front runner for your

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national player of the year right now, or at least

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in the mix of the top three. The front line

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for Duke has been tremendous. The three point shooting when

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necessary has been tremendous. You can't find a weakness. I

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think you just pointed out that they're top five in

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two major categories. It's hard to find a weakness on

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this particular team. So Louisville is gonna have to be

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their best, especially on the road. As far as weather

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is concerned. I don't know that the travel situation was

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all that tough to get to Durham. I know I

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have family in Raleigh who said there was about an

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inch of ice, but really not a bunch of snows,

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so not a weather effected Game four, Duke, you start

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looking at what they've done against the spread, and it's

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seven games in a row now where they've won eight

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games in a row where they've won but three, four

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and four against the spread. So sometimes over priced. We

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have to keep that into the equation in our line

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of work. Are the odds makers over pricing Duke? Are

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they fairly priced? They think at this point in time.

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You use the phrase paying a tax on this team,

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and you probably are. But seven and a half doesn't

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seem und not doable for them at this point in time,

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especially if the game gets late in there ahead and

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they need to stretch. They shoot free throws fairly well.

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All depends who you get to the free throw line,

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But when you get the right guys to free throw line,

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they're gonna be good. I would say this from a

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point spread perspective. I semilean Duke just because for Duke.

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Here's here's a couple of things real quick. We'll say

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I'm gonna say almost the same exact things about Arizona

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later on. Their record is their record. Their statistics are

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their statistics. But they've done it against the fourteenth toughest

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schedule in the nation. It's not some kind of fluke

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where they're beating up garbage night in and night out.

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Duke's been doing this for a long time this season,

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so I don't know that that changes here. And again,

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they seem unfazed when they're hit with a first punch.

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They retaliate to the first punch. Their retaliation has been

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better than what the opponent's first punch was, and it's

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for due. Look, if you're a duke in this conference,

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there's certain teams that are going to walk in and

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you're going to have that game. I won't say circled

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because you're a duke, but you're going to pay extra focus,

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extra attention to So I think Duke is fully aware

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who's going to be in their building. I think Brown

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is a bit of a difference maker for sure. Seven

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and a half. I would probably lean, well, let's just

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look at this, and we talked about this Saturday, how

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the lines moved during our show. I now see eight

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eight and a half across the board. Somebody just hit

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Duke at seven and a half. I was about to

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say I would lean Duke. We'll take another look at

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it at this price tag total one fifty six up

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to one fifty seven. In all honesty, I don't think

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there's any way Louisville could win a defensive minded game.

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It's got to get up and down for Louisville, and

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they just have to shoot better than Duke in order

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to win the game. Entirely. Duke's defense is good enough

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to not make that happen, so and maybe a little

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bit too tall of a hill to climb. I haven't

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played either thing here, Adam side or total, and we

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do talk a lot about giving full analysis and just

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maybe not having a play. I can give you arguments

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for both sides here. Duke is the better team at

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this point in time, and everything they've shown me is

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that they're not phased by any situation or circumstance. So

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maybe slight lean Duke, but the price has changed, and

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maybe slight lean under if you're shopping it, guys that

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are viewing right now, and that we'll see this later.

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At this point in time, there are one fifty seven

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and a half's out there as opposed to one to

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fifty seven. So we know the hook makes a difference

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if you're going to shop and you do, like under

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find some of those one fifty seven and a half

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they're available out there.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, listen, I right, this is going to I see

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the eight and a half starting to pop up. From

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a number standpoint, I was kind of right in that range. Actually,

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I think there's at eight and a half. I think

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there's a little bit of value to Louisville. The thing is, though,

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like I think the numbers is close. I think it's

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really gonna come down to what your handicap of the

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game is. I'll say this, I do think, you know,

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the second half of that game, the first game was

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I So here's here's what I felt like happened in

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that first game. The first half, Duke kind of went

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through the motions on defense, which is something that you

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and I have noted that they've done this year. Right,

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it go back, maybe not recently, but go back to

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that game was January sixth. So leading into that game, Rob,

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you had the you know, the Georgia Tech game where

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they gave up a whole bunch of points someone else,

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someone else, I think Florida State maybe like hung around

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and scored a bunch of points on Duke. And we

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had actually talked about the defensive effort for Duke just

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not being there in a couple of those games December

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into January. I don't think that that's really an issue

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for them anymore. I think Duke's defensive effort has been fine.

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You don't get to, you know, a top five defensive

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efficiency rating on Kempom without a good defensive effort. Louisville

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struggled to space the floor big time in the second

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half of that game. And so once those threes stopped

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going in, they hit ten threes in the first half.

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Believe they had an eight point lead. Once those three

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stopped going in, they had no way to get off

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a good shot. The spacing was all messed up. Duke

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started to get into the passing lanes, and suddenly it

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was like every shot in the second half of that

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game was contested, and Duke was able to get a

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bunch of stops and turn an eight point deficit into

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like a ten point lead in a matter of about

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fifteen minutes. Mckel Brown Junior is gonna cure a lot

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of that, right, Like, So he was out for really

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over a month and he comes back over the weekend,

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plays twenty nine minutes, scores twenty points, six assists. The

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floor spacing looked great for Louisville. They handled Virginia Tech

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no problem. So for me, like that to me is

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very makes Louisville very appealing here because they did space

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it out well.

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Speaker 2: I think two things you could say.

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Speaker 1: One, maybe Duke didn't quite have the intensity on defense

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in the first half of that game that they should

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have They probably do at home. But I think Brown

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being on the floor helps the floor spacing. The question

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will be, and this is the million dollar question, Rob,

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you know, Ken, Louisville shoot the ball good enough on

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the road because that's where they struggle a little bit

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this year, shooting the ball on the road, and they'll

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have to do it in the most hostile of environments here,

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So that I think is where you know it makes

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it difficult.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll say this about Louisville and take it with

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a grain of salt because a ton of this was

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without MIKEL. Brown on the floor. But they're totals numbers, right,

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now one in eight under in their last nine games,

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and again a batch of those were without Brown. So

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it's hard to put any real substance into that because

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there's so much different of an offensive team with him there.

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The second thing I'll say is because when you said

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maybe they didn't have the defensive intensity or focus first

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time around, and that crept up again Adam against SMU,

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Duke played SMU here, Booby Miller didn't play and SMU

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was going crazy and actually SMU pressed them most of

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the game. Game only finished as a seven point final

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eighty two seventy five. It's almost as if Duke said, ah,

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you know what, their best guy there, point guard, he's

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not involved. We'll just go out there and win the game.

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And that's kind of I think what maybe you were

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alluding to about their first half against or yeah, their

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first half against Louisville. I just don't think that's happening here.

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I think Louisville's gonna come in. Duke knows who they are. Further,

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look at this number. I'm gonna say one more thing

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about the total, because I just happened to check recent

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team total on this game. Louisville's number Adam is seventy

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four and a half, and I had said previously that

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the only way I think they can win this game

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is if they get it into a higher scoring matchup.

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Seventy four and a half might be low. I know

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I've said a couple of things about under here, and

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maybe it sounds contradictory, but as I work through the

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weeds here, I think seventy four and a half could

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be doable for a Louisville team that first time around

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got to seventy three without Brown, and so you start

240
00:12:22,000 --> 00:12:24,519
putting that into perspective, and you say, can they get

241
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an extra bucket with him on the floor even though

242
00:12:26,399 --> 00:12:29,840
it's away and maybe Duke has a little more focused

243
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maybe so, So I'll probably look further into that play

244
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potential for a Louisville team.

245
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Speaker 1: Total over here, Yeah, Robino, Louisville scored twenty six points

246
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in the second half of that game.

247
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Speaker 2: Just you know, again, I think those are all good points.

248
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Speaker 1: And for me just to put a bow on it,

249
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as we like to say, and give a lean, I

250
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would say it's strong. It's something I would consider Louisville

251
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at eight and a half, I think that they can

252
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hang around here. Like I think if I was gonna

253
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play this, I'd have to think that I can stay

254
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within that number.

255
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Speaker 2: I just I just don't think.

256
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Speaker 1: That p k our boy Pat Kelsey is gonna allow

257
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them to sort of give up the way they did

258
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in the second half to do on their home floor.

259
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Speaker 2: So uh, and they've been playing much better.

260
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Speaker 1: If you remember that stretch going into that game, it

261
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was that was that was not the best stretch for Louisville.

262
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I believe they came out after that barely like kind

263
00:13:23,039 --> 00:13:26,960
of met like barely beat Boston College, struggled with Virginia.

264
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So I think Louisville's playing better ball right now.

265
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Speaker 2: All Right.

266
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Speaker 1: The other big game tonight, rob Let's go out West.

267
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Number one Arizona heads to one of the one of

268
00:13:38,360 --> 00:13:40,399
my favorite buildings that I've been to this point. There's

269
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not many like going to so many, rob there's not

270
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many at this point that I just feel like I

271
00:13:46,200 --> 00:13:48,320
have to get back to at some point in time,

272
00:13:48,960 --> 00:13:51,759
the Marriotte Center in Provo, Utah. I will absolutely get

273
00:13:51,759 --> 00:13:55,240
that back there at some point in time. B YU

274
00:13:56,399 --> 00:13:59,039
huge game, biggest home game of the season probably for them.

275
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They take on number one Arizona. That metric that I

276
00:14:02,480 --> 00:14:05,960
brought up with Duke right like where it's like, okay,

277
00:14:06,720 --> 00:14:09,639
every year start end of January, you'll hear you'll hear

278
00:14:09,679 --> 00:14:12,240
this on all your you know, if you watch a

279
00:14:12,279 --> 00:14:13,799
lot of these other shows, this is going to be

280
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a favorite of like people that just strolled in to

281
00:14:17,159 --> 00:14:21,039
talk about basketball, like mid January, they love the Ken

282
00:14:21,080 --> 00:14:23,960
Palm Top. You know, the winner always comes from the

283
00:14:23,960 --> 00:14:28,559
top twenty five top. If your offensive efficiency defensive efficiency

284
00:14:28,799 --> 00:14:32,279
on Ken POB is in the top twenty five on both,

285
00:14:32,759 --> 00:14:36,679
usually someone from that group wins the NCAA tournament. Well,

286
00:14:37,360 --> 00:14:39,360
like I said, Duke's in the top five and both

287
00:14:39,639 --> 00:14:42,320
so is Arizona Robino. Do you think Arizona maybe doesn't

288
00:14:42,320 --> 00:14:46,279
get enough credit for how good defensively they are because

289
00:14:46,279 --> 00:14:50,200
this is a team that's been outstanding defensively. We've called

290
00:14:50,240 --> 00:14:52,480
them the number one team in the in the country

291
00:14:52,759 --> 00:14:54,720
from a power rating standpoint on this show for a

292
00:14:54,720 --> 00:14:57,320
couple of weeks now. But you want to talk about

293
00:14:57,320 --> 00:14:59,120
another thing that happens all the time when the show,

294
00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:02,200
the money is creeping in BYU is getting back. This

295
00:15:02,240 --> 00:15:07,279
is down to one some places, Arizona BYU Marriott Center tonight.

296
00:15:07,320 --> 00:15:10,279
Speaker 3: How do you see this one, such a great game

297
00:15:10,320 --> 00:15:12,919
and so much to talk about, Adam. But first, because

298
00:15:12,960 --> 00:15:16,679
I had a list made just to further the point.

299
00:15:16,720 --> 00:15:19,799
I mean, for those who haven't been introduced to Arizona yet,

300
00:15:20,639 --> 00:15:24,639
let's just introduce them to Arizona. Number two, these are

301
00:15:24,720 --> 00:15:27,559
specialized statistics, because I was thinking of ways this morning.

302
00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:31,519
How is BYU going to beat these guys? Right? Arizona's

303
00:15:31,559 --> 00:15:35,240
offense number two in Division one in points in the paint,

304
00:15:35,919 --> 00:15:40,320
so they're difficult offensively inside the arc. Number five in

305
00:15:40,399 --> 00:15:43,399
the nation in fast breakpoints, so not only can they

306
00:15:43,399 --> 00:15:44,840
play close to the rid, but they get out into

307
00:15:44,879 --> 00:15:50,039
the open floor too. Thirty one points off turnovers, as

308
00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:53,919
you said, number four offensive rank, offensive rating in the country,

309
00:15:54,000 --> 00:15:58,440
number eleven, defensive rating, number five on the offensive glass

310
00:15:58,480 --> 00:16:03,240
rebound percentage, number eleven on the defensive class rebound percentage.

311
00:16:03,240 --> 00:16:06,080
So they get second shots and you don't. Basically they

312
00:16:06,080 --> 00:16:09,960
shut you down there, and they've played a top fifty schedule.

313
00:16:11,159 --> 00:16:13,840
Next thing, I'll say, just to introduce them even further,

314
00:16:13,919 --> 00:16:16,519
is there a better freshman class than what Arizona has

315
00:16:16,519 --> 00:16:19,360
put on the floor this year. I mean, honestly, Braden

316
00:16:19,440 --> 00:16:23,399
Burry's been tremendous. CoA Pete's been the best of them all.

317
00:16:24,440 --> 00:16:29,639
Ivan Kirchenkoff been great at the forward, Dwayne Aristote has

318
00:16:29,679 --> 00:16:32,039
come off the bench. I mean, they've got these guys

319
00:16:32,120 --> 00:16:34,440
all over the place, and they're all freshmen, and they've

320
00:16:34,480 --> 00:16:37,559
beaten yu kon. The one thing I guess we could

321
00:16:37,679 --> 00:16:42,120
nitpick at Arizona four is not really going to a

322
00:16:42,200 --> 00:16:44,919
true home floor and beating a true elite team. Right.

323
00:16:44,919 --> 00:16:48,559
They've done it on Semis, on neutrals, et cetera, et cetera,

324
00:16:48,639 --> 00:16:51,919
because the Connecticut win, the Florida win, all this stuff

325
00:16:51,919 --> 00:16:55,799
that they've accomplished, is it really going to Marriott Center,

326
00:16:56,480 --> 00:17:00,240
you know, watching baby races and seeing a human among

327
00:17:00,279 --> 00:17:05,279
his donuts and beating BYU inside that building. All that

328
00:17:05,400 --> 00:17:10,759
said about Arizona, I'll say this again or as well

329
00:17:11,200 --> 00:17:15,920
for everybody in basketball who thinks all these analytics lovers

330
00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:19,000
who think that three point shooting is your ticket to

331
00:17:19,039 --> 00:17:23,960
a national title. Arizona ranks three hundred and fifty ninth

332
00:17:24,480 --> 00:17:29,240
in the country on three point distribution as being part

333
00:17:29,279 --> 00:17:31,519
of their total scoring. They don't use the three as

334
00:17:31,519 --> 00:17:34,680
a weapon whatsoever. It's there, but they don't use it

335
00:17:34,720 --> 00:17:37,599
they're eleven and two point scoring. That's a complete contradiction

336
00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:41,000
to what all these trade threes for twos. People will

337
00:17:41,000 --> 00:17:42,640
tell you they're a little bit of an outlier in

338
00:17:42,680 --> 00:17:49,400
a regard. That's the advantage they have here, Adam is

339
00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:52,799
they have depth. But BYU starting five, I don't know

340
00:17:52,839 --> 00:17:54,839
that I would trade it if somebody was just going

341
00:17:54,880 --> 00:17:56,359
to drop in and say, Adam, I'm going to give

342
00:17:56,359 --> 00:17:58,720
you a team. I'm gonna give you Robert Wright at

343
00:17:58,720 --> 00:18:01,880
point guard. I'm gonna give you Richie Saunders to shoot

344
00:18:01,880 --> 00:18:03,880
beyond the arc. He'll be your shooting guard. I'm gonna

345
00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:06,079
give you the best freshman in the country, highest recruited

346
00:18:06,119 --> 00:18:08,720
freshman in the country, aj Debansta. I'm gonna give you

347
00:18:08,799 --> 00:18:11,720
Kibakata to keep the rim defense. And then you know,

348
00:18:12,279 --> 00:18:15,160
Cannar Davis will be your fifth player. You probably take it.

349
00:18:15,519 --> 00:18:19,039
The problem for BYU is beyond that. They don't play

350
00:18:19,079 --> 00:18:21,920
a lot of people. There's not a lot of huge

351
00:18:21,920 --> 00:18:27,359
contribution from the bench. But those starters are electric. A

352
00:18:27,400 --> 00:18:30,119
lot of the offensive numbers I went through with Arizona

353
00:18:30,240 --> 00:18:33,640
you could match with BYU. They're that good offensively. At home,

354
00:18:33,680 --> 00:18:37,720
we know what that crowd is like to me, this

355
00:18:37,839 --> 00:18:40,839
game probably does get to the over one sixty five

356
00:18:40,920 --> 00:18:44,319
and a half. I just don't know if CAD is

357
00:18:44,440 --> 00:18:48,039
enough rim defense to stop what Arizona does on the glass,

358
00:18:48,079 --> 00:18:50,839
what Arizona does and second chances, what Arizona does in

359
00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:55,359
offensive scoring and on the other end. Is there an

360
00:18:55,359 --> 00:18:58,240
answer on the other side for Debansta. I'm not sure

361
00:18:58,279 --> 00:19:01,119
there is. Defensively as good as Arizona's been. I think

362
00:19:01,119 --> 00:19:04,680
they'll be tested on all levels of the floor like

363
00:19:04,759 --> 00:19:09,119
they haven't been tested all season long. You know, if

364
00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:14,640
we're being real about it, when Arizona excuse me, yeah,

365
00:19:14,640 --> 00:19:18,079
when Arizona played Florida, the guards weren't playing well. That

366
00:19:18,200 --> 00:19:20,039
was way back in the beginning of the season. Right

367
00:19:20,079 --> 00:19:23,119
BYU's guards are going to play well. When they played Yukon,

368
00:19:23,240 --> 00:19:27,119
we're seeing now Yukon just doesn't have the offensive firepower

369
00:19:27,119 --> 00:19:30,480
that Byu brings to the table. This is a unique opponent.

370
00:19:30,599 --> 00:19:35,160
It's a conference game. Arizona's been untested in conference. I

371
00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:38,079
think side is really difficult here, but I think there's

372
00:19:38,119 --> 00:19:42,039
gonna be points. Adam Byu is gonna show Arizona some

373
00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:46,559
things overall that maybe they haven't seen yet. Because they'll

374
00:19:46,559 --> 00:19:50,440
have to handle everything defensively. Everything BYU comes at you

375
00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:51,000
with all of it.

376
00:19:53,000 --> 00:19:56,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean you could look at Arizona schedule and

377
00:19:56,200 --> 00:19:58,680
say that they were fortunate in a couple of spots.

378
00:19:58,680 --> 00:20:01,640
Of course, Florida getting them opening night. That team's come

379
00:20:01,680 --> 00:20:05,079
a long way since then. Specifically the backcourt. Terras Reid

380
00:20:05,240 --> 00:20:08,119
did not play for Yukon in the game against Yukon,

381
00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:10,680
so that was a that was at stores. So I

382
00:20:10,680 --> 00:20:12,240
mean you got to give him, got to give him

383
00:20:12,240 --> 00:20:16,400
credit for a road win against Yukon. But yeah, no, no,

384
00:20:16,559 --> 00:20:19,960
Terris Reid is is certainly notable. I think that that

385
00:20:20,079 --> 00:20:23,319
game could have It was a seventy one sixty seven final.

386
00:20:23,599 --> 00:20:25,319
It was a great game throughout, and they did it

387
00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:29,000
without one of the better bigs in that conference, maybe

388
00:20:29,039 --> 00:20:31,519
in the country. So yeah, I mean, all all of

389
00:20:31,559 --> 00:20:35,039
those things I think are are notable in my opinion

390
00:20:35,960 --> 00:20:38,119
for Arizona. Here's here's what I noticed when I was

391
00:20:38,200 --> 00:20:40,920
kind of looking through BYU, trying to make a case

392
00:20:40,960 --> 00:20:44,480
for BYU, because I think when this was two and

393
00:20:44,559 --> 00:20:47,079
a half plus, you know, plus b YU plus two

394
00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:49,160
and a half, I even think there may have been

395
00:20:49,200 --> 00:20:52,640
a rogue three some places. Last night, I was like, Okay,

396
00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:54,400
I think I can make a case for BYU here

397
00:20:54,440 --> 00:20:56,880
because I maybe you know, I make them a very

398
00:20:56,920 --> 00:20:59,279
slight favorite, right, like minus one minus one and a

399
00:20:59,319 --> 00:21:03,200
half favorite in this game. But then I'm looking at

400
00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:06,319
their scoring rob and it's so concentrated to Devance to

401
00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:10,359
Saunders Rob right. And then I look at Arizona's defense

402
00:21:10,400 --> 00:21:13,240
and I'm like, well they could they theoretically should be

403
00:21:13,279 --> 00:21:15,960
able to like eliminate one of those guys, right, like

404
00:21:16,000 --> 00:21:19,799
they may have an answer for DEBANSA and force BYU

405
00:21:19,839 --> 00:21:23,240
to beat them with option number two, number three. And

406
00:21:23,279 --> 00:21:25,960
then where it concerns me is like option four or

407
00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:29,799
five and six for BYU because canar Davis barely played

408
00:21:29,799 --> 00:21:32,920
against Utah? I would want to know what the deal

409
00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:35,880
is there? He only played twelve minutes, didn't score a point?

410
00:21:36,319 --> 00:21:37,240
Speaker 2: Is he out right?

411
00:21:37,279 --> 00:21:40,200
Speaker 1: Because like, once you get past the big three for BYU,

412
00:21:40,720 --> 00:21:43,799
no one's like scoring in bunches. And so my concern

413
00:21:43,920 --> 00:21:47,079
here for the BYU side is that Arizona is good

414
00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:50,079
enough defensively to take like let's say they can take

415
00:21:50,119 --> 00:21:53,039
Devans their away. It could BYU score enough to beat

416
00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:57,400
Arizona with the other two and then like whatever other

417
00:21:57,440 --> 00:22:01,799
option needs to step up probably like yeah, I guess so,

418
00:22:02,079 --> 00:22:03,960
Like they're certainly one of the teams that could do it.

419
00:22:04,079 --> 00:22:06,359
I think that's why this makes such a good watch tonight.

420
00:22:06,440 --> 00:22:09,519
But you're talking about only catching a point and a half.

421
00:22:10,279 --> 00:22:12,680
That's where I'm like having a hard time thinking do

422
00:22:12,759 --> 00:22:14,640
I want to do? I want to go to battle

423
00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:17,880
here with BYU getting less than a bucket and knowing

424
00:22:17,880 --> 00:22:21,240
that Arizona might be equipped defensively to take away our superstar.

425
00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:24,480
I think that's the conundrum that you're running into with

426
00:22:24,559 --> 00:22:24,960
this game.

427
00:22:26,319 --> 00:22:29,279
Speaker 3: Yeah, and depth is a it's a difference maker, Adam right,

428
00:22:29,319 --> 00:22:32,000
Arizona can come at and they can come at you

429
00:22:32,039 --> 00:22:34,599
with eight guys. If there's any let's just say Kata,

430
00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:37,640
who has a tendency to get into foul trouble against

431
00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:39,640
the Arizona bigs here, Let's say he gets into some

432
00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:44,119
foul trouble. There's not really an answer for BYU where

433
00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:48,079
rim protection is concerned, where you know he's pretty good.

434
00:22:48,920 --> 00:22:51,200
His offensive claim to fame would be, you know, the

435
00:22:51,799 --> 00:22:56,519
penetrate in lob dunks, that sort of thing. So for BYU,

436
00:22:56,559 --> 00:22:58,400
they've got to stay out of foul trouble because they're

437
00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:02,039
depth shy. They've got to shoot really well. Arizona doesn't

438
00:23:02,039 --> 00:23:04,839
face those problems. Like I said before, they scored their

439
00:23:04,839 --> 00:23:08,079
points inside the ark. They're not three point dependent. This

440
00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:11,000
isn't one of those games where you come on the

441
00:23:11,039 --> 00:23:14,279
show and say they have to go absolutely ballistic from three.

442
00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:17,559
Arizona doesn't have to do that against anybody. And it's

443
00:23:17,599 --> 00:23:20,519
still they get points off fast breaks. I think I

444
00:23:20,519 --> 00:23:23,000
said they were number five in the nation in fast breakpoints.

445
00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:27,319
So it's a tough ask for BYU. It's the right

446
00:23:27,359 --> 00:23:30,319
building for them to play this game in because if

447
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:31,880
it were any other building, I don't know that we

448
00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:35,839
would try to build a case against Arizona at this point.

449
00:23:36,240 --> 00:23:39,839
The Arizona freshmen on the road, I just they've been

450
00:23:40,880 --> 00:23:45,279
to hostile environments already and come through. I mean, co

451
00:23:45,319 --> 00:23:49,640
Opete has been amazing. And I'll say this, I really

452
00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:53,000
don't think that Bradley gets enough recognition as a point guard,

453
00:23:54,000 --> 00:23:55,720
one of the best point guards in the country that

454
00:23:55,759 --> 00:23:57,880
a lot of other guys do. He just sort of

455
00:23:57,920 --> 00:24:01,839
goes unnoticed. But his leadership is tremendous. So I'm gonna

456
00:24:01,839 --> 00:24:04,680
look at this from some sort of totals perspective, and

457
00:24:06,079 --> 00:24:09,480
I'll lead the game to the game because did b

458
00:24:09,559 --> 00:24:13,359
why you, I don't know. Did they overlook Utahs semi

459
00:24:13,759 --> 00:24:16,839
on Saturday? They had already beaten them once, although Uta

460
00:24:16,960 --> 00:24:19,759
gave him trouble the first time, gave them a little bit,

461
00:24:19,839 --> 00:24:21,359
not a little bit of trouble for a while the

462
00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:23,119
second time. Then they pulled away. But I don't know

463
00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:25,440
if they had their eyes on this game or not.

464
00:24:25,759 --> 00:24:28,799
We'll see. I just think Arizona's the deeper team at

465
00:24:28,799 --> 00:24:30,400
this point in time, and that may come into play

466
00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:30,880
here tonight.

467
00:24:32,960 --> 00:24:35,400
Speaker 1: Two awesome games, no matter how how you look at

468
00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:37,599
the card. Maybe we'll find something to bet in the

469
00:24:37,640 --> 00:24:42,079
other Saturday eight games tonight, but two tremendous games that

470
00:24:42,279 --> 00:24:44,519
totally deserved the time.

471
00:24:44,319 --> 00:24:45,200
Speaker 2: We spent on them.

472
00:24:45,240 --> 00:24:47,759
Speaker 1: In my opinion, it's just you don't get this is

473
00:24:47,799 --> 00:24:49,880
like the first Monday where we've really had like two

474
00:24:50,039 --> 00:24:53,400
huge games to talk about. So yeah, well we'll see

475
00:24:53,440 --> 00:24:57,200
what happens there. Let's go to Terry too, he he says, Adam,

476
00:24:57,200 --> 00:25:00,839
please comment on your big big in caps right five

477
00:25:00,920 --> 00:25:05,160
unit blowout loss last night? Another blown big call. Please

478
00:25:05,160 --> 00:25:07,519
address it. Yeah, we can address that. I had Florida

479
00:25:07,519 --> 00:25:09,839
Atlantic yesterday at a good number. Rob I had Florida

480
00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:14,640
Atlantic plus six. They were up three at half. They

481
00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:19,680
got destroyed in the second half. Listen, the number five

482
00:25:19,759 --> 00:25:22,359
comes after the number four, Okay. So like on Saturday

483
00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:25,400
I went four and one, all four percenters and one,

484
00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:29,079
and I think won like eleven point six units, five

485
00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:32,400
percent five unit, Like it's only one more unit, okay,

486
00:25:32,839 --> 00:25:36,720
it's really it's really just marketing. I feel like that

487
00:25:36,759 --> 00:25:39,720
doesn't get thrown out. You know, Dave Cochin, the goat,

488
00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:42,440
the greatest ever to one of the greatest to ever

489
00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:45,519
do this, toward the end of his career, just straight

490
00:25:45,599 --> 00:25:47,799
up didn't want to do five percenters anymore. He's like,

491
00:25:47,839 --> 00:25:50,200
people just don't get it, like they just they they

492
00:25:50,319 --> 00:25:52,359
unload and bet the house. He's like, it's really just

493
00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:54,559
one more unit. So they used to have to almost

494
00:25:54,559 --> 00:25:56,240
like beg him to put a five percenter out because

495
00:25:56,279 --> 00:25:58,240
he's like, I just don't feel like, like listen to it.

496
00:25:58,279 --> 00:26:02,720
If it loses point is all that is is marketing, okay.

497
00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:06,640
And like, if you're a personal injury lawyer, like you

498
00:26:06,720 --> 00:26:08,799
probably don't want your face on a billboard on the

499
00:26:08,799 --> 00:26:10,440
side of the road, But you just do it to

500
00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:13,279
get the word out. So like at this point in

501
00:26:13,319 --> 00:26:15,599
the show, that's what Rob and I do, Like we

502
00:26:15,640 --> 00:26:19,079
don't like we probably think that two times the fireball

503
00:26:19,119 --> 00:26:21,440
firepower thing is a little bit dumb, but that's you know,

504
00:26:21,480 --> 00:26:23,000
we got to we gotta do something to get your

505
00:26:23,000 --> 00:26:25,920
attention because remember, like we come on here for an hour,

506
00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:27,319
but we still sell picks.

507
00:26:27,319 --> 00:26:29,119
Speaker 2: That's that's, that is what we do for a living.

508
00:26:29,240 --> 00:26:31,920
Speaker 1: So without further ado, Rob, I'm gonna do a promo

509
00:26:32,079 --> 00:26:34,680
right now, Rob and I if you want all of

510
00:26:34,680 --> 00:26:37,720
our plays for three days, any stretch of three days,

511
00:26:37,799 --> 00:26:39,160
it's on both of our pages.

512
00:26:39,720 --> 00:26:42,720
Speaker 2: One low price, all the plays. Rob makes, all the plays.

513
00:26:42,799 --> 00:26:47,440
Speaker 1: I make five percenter, four percent or three percenter, doesn't matter.

514
00:26:47,640 --> 00:26:51,440
But guys like don't don't get to like four four

515
00:26:51,480 --> 00:26:53,799
comes after five, it's one more unit. There's no like,

516
00:26:53,839 --> 00:26:57,519
you shouldn't get like be going nuts on the five percenters.

517
00:26:58,079 --> 00:27:00,440
Just you know that that's so tear. You wanted me

518
00:27:00,519 --> 00:27:02,160
to address it, So I addressed it.

519
00:27:02,200 --> 00:27:02,799
Speaker 2: So there you go.

520
00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:05,359
Speaker 1: I had a good weekend. I went, I went four

521
00:27:05,400 --> 00:27:07,839
and two, made like six or seven units. We're just

522
00:27:07,839 --> 00:27:09,920
trying to grind this out every day here, Rob Veno,

523
00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:11,799
how was your weekend? I saw you hitting a few

524
00:27:11,799 --> 00:27:13,640
totals on Saturday at one point.

525
00:27:14,240 --> 00:27:18,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, we're It wound up being it's an interesting day,

526
00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:21,000
Adam five and oh to start the day, and then

527
00:27:21,079 --> 00:27:24,440
wind up seven and six with a couple of things

528
00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:26,319
that just did not go. It probably should have been

529
00:27:26,400 --> 00:27:28,799
more like a nine and four, but the SMU free

530
00:27:28,799 --> 00:27:31,000
throw shooting at the very end kept me a point

531
00:27:31,039 --> 00:27:33,480
away from going over that total. Et cetera, et cetera.

532
00:27:33,480 --> 00:27:35,559
I won't drill down into it. I will say that

533
00:27:35,640 --> 00:27:39,039
over seven week periods is December the first up over

534
00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:44,039
forty one units playing small Terry, you know, in my instance,

535
00:27:44,039 --> 00:27:46,480
it's been smaller plays one and a half two percent

536
00:27:46,559 --> 00:27:49,359
the whole way through long season, trying to grind through.

537
00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:54,680
But over forty one units in college basketball over seven

538
00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:59,480
week period hitting fifty nine percent. I don't know all

539
00:27:59,519 --> 00:28:03,200
I would like Terry's listen, we take it. First off,

540
00:28:03,599 --> 00:28:06,559
we're gonna take criticism in the line of work that

541
00:28:06,599 --> 00:28:10,799
we do. You're gonna take criticism. You're recommending selections to people.

542
00:28:10,799 --> 00:28:13,880
You're gonna take criticism. That's cool. But I feel like

543
00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:16,480
you had a huge five percent winner right before the

544
00:28:16,519 --> 00:28:20,240
five percent loss. And all I'm asking Terry, is one

545
00:28:20,279 --> 00:28:23,400
time when Adam wins come out and congratulating for hitting

546
00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:26,480
a five percent, don't always come out with the negativity.

547
00:28:26,599 --> 00:28:28,359
There's a lot of stuff going on here. And the

548
00:28:28,440 --> 00:28:29,720
last thing I'll say it, I'll give you the floor

549
00:28:29,759 --> 00:28:32,680
at is we bet these games too. For those of

550
00:28:32,720 --> 00:28:34,319
you who don't think it, For those of you who

551
00:28:34,400 --> 00:28:38,000
think that it's just two hacks coming on here and

552
00:28:38,039 --> 00:28:41,559
trying to talk about something to sell picks, it's really not.

553
00:28:42,359 --> 00:28:44,039
And I won't even say it's really it's not true.

554
00:28:44,319 --> 00:28:46,559
And I got like eight accounts here, So we're betting

555
00:28:46,599 --> 00:28:51,119
these same plays every single day. It hurts us the

556
00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:53,319
way it hurts you. But if you're gonna make it

557
00:28:53,359 --> 00:28:57,920
in this business or in the sports betting line of

558
00:28:58,000 --> 00:29:01,720
work over a long period of time, you have to

559
00:29:01,799 --> 00:29:06,319
have a real short memory and just come back the

560
00:29:06,359 --> 00:29:08,440
next day. You can't dwell on these things. I learned

561
00:29:08,480 --> 00:29:11,480
the years of God's taught by a lot of gentlemen

562
00:29:11,519 --> 00:29:13,000
who knew better than I did when I was in

563
00:29:13,079 --> 00:29:16,200
my twenties. So you know, we appreciate the feedback all

564
00:29:16,240 --> 00:29:16,480
the time.

565
00:29:16,519 --> 00:29:16,960
Speaker 2: We always do.

566
00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:20,920
Speaker 3: We appreciate you watching the show. Obviously we'll take the

567
00:29:20,920 --> 00:29:23,440
good with the bad, but throw us a little good

568
00:29:23,440 --> 00:29:25,400
one time. That's what we're going to ask here. And

569
00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:31,640
once again, because the company does exist upon sales Full

570
00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:35,000
Court Press, you get every play at them releases, you

571
00:29:35,119 --> 00:29:38,400
get every play I release. The package is called double

572
00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:42,839
the CBB Firepower three Days, all the selections, including five

573
00:29:42,880 --> 00:29:45,200
percenters for just fifty nine dollars. They reduced that price

574
00:29:45,279 --> 00:29:47,039
really nice for you. And as I said, it's been

575
00:29:47,039 --> 00:29:49,279
a really good season for me so far, and Adam

576
00:29:49,319 --> 00:29:52,599
has been hot as of late as well. So double

577
00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:55,559
the CBB Firepower fifty nine bucks three day package.

578
00:29:56,160 --> 00:29:58,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, make no mistake about it. I'm not here out

579
00:29:58,200 --> 00:30:00,000
of the goodness of my heart six days a week.

580
00:30:00,519 --> 00:30:03,079
I'm here because I want you to buy our picks

581
00:30:03,079 --> 00:30:05,799
off the website. I could think of I have a

582
00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:08,039
I think I have three feet of snow on my

583
00:30:08,119 --> 00:30:10,359
driveway right now, so I could be doing that, But instead,

584
00:30:10,799 --> 00:30:13,720
I'm here because I want to share some good info,

585
00:30:13,799 --> 00:30:15,279
but I also want you to buy the pick. So

586
00:30:15,640 --> 00:30:17,759
back to the picks here, Rob. You know, there's still

587
00:30:17,759 --> 00:30:20,559
more games to talk about today. We still we hit

588
00:30:20,599 --> 00:30:22,319
a we hit a two team or on Friday. We

589
00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:25,400
hit two of three on on Saturday, so that was

590
00:30:25,400 --> 00:30:27,720
a loss. But we're still so chasing a couple of

591
00:30:27,799 --> 00:30:30,480
units on the parlay, A couple, you know, we have,

592
00:30:30,680 --> 00:30:33,680
we have different options that we can lock in. I

593
00:30:33,759 --> 00:30:38,200
didn't see I did. I didn't really see anyone recommend

594
00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:40,119
a game in the chat. So I'll throw it out

595
00:30:40,160 --> 00:30:42,119
there that interests me because I may use this for

596
00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:49,960
the parlay. We have whack basketball tonight down in in Stephenville, Stephenville, Texas,

597
00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:55,240
home of Jarrett Stidham and home of the Tarletan State Texans. Uh,

598
00:30:55,319 --> 00:30:58,680
they're gonna take on They're gonna take on Abilene Christian

599
00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:01,799
Charlton State in a little bit of a swoon these days.

600
00:31:02,119 --> 00:31:05,559
They've lost four straight games, which Robino and in the

601
00:31:05,920 --> 00:31:08,119
conference this year is not that hard to do because

602
00:31:08,599 --> 00:31:11,839
there's only seven teams and they're all pretty good, like

603
00:31:11,880 --> 00:31:15,519
they're all pretty even. So it's like, you know, Tarleton

604
00:31:15,519 --> 00:31:17,799
State was ride and high, they were two and one,

605
00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:20,240
they lost a close one, and and it kind of

606
00:31:20,240 --> 00:31:24,440
snowballs quickly and suddenly they're they're you know, suddenly they're

607
00:31:24,480 --> 00:31:26,079
they're two and five and they're at the bottom of

608
00:31:26,079 --> 00:31:28,599
the league. They're a slight favorite four and a half

609
00:31:28,640 --> 00:31:33,119
point favorite at home here. Man, if I knew they

610
00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:34,960
were gonna if I if I could really know, and

611
00:31:35,240 --> 00:31:38,000
I feel like I followed this program as closely as

612
00:31:38,039 --> 00:31:40,720
just about anyone. If I knew Deor Johnson was gonna

613
00:31:40,720 --> 00:31:43,519
play like more than twenty minutes and play all of

614
00:31:43,559 --> 00:31:46,319
his minutes, Tarleton would be like a true no brainer

615
00:31:46,359 --> 00:31:50,279
here for me. But his minutes have been sporadic, and

616
00:31:50,519 --> 00:31:53,319
when he's not on the floor, Tarleton doesn't score the

617
00:31:53,359 --> 00:31:55,319
way that they do when he's on the floor. Because

618
00:31:55,400 --> 00:31:57,480
right now, Robino, he's the leading scorer in the country.

619
00:31:58,119 --> 00:32:02,680
So what do you make of that, Tarlton? Do you

620
00:32:02,680 --> 00:32:03,799
have anything on the total there?

621
00:32:03,839 --> 00:32:04,119
Speaker 2: For me?

622
00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:07,519
Speaker 3: I think they took the best part of the total away. Adam.

623
00:32:07,599 --> 00:32:10,200
I would think this game goes under, but it opened

624
00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:12,160
one forty nine. It's down to one forty five and

625
00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:16,000
a half. A couple of reasons why in Abilene on

626
00:32:16,039 --> 00:32:19,519
the defensive end, because of the pressure that they like

627
00:32:19,599 --> 00:32:22,799
to apply. They really I don't want to call them.

628
00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:25,400
I use the phrase one trick pony a lot for

629
00:32:25,480 --> 00:32:29,000
teams that do one thing well and then the rest is,

630
00:32:29,599 --> 00:32:32,240
you know, a crapshoot. Whether they can do it well

631
00:32:32,319 --> 00:32:36,240
or not. Generally they can't for Abilene, if they can

632
00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:38,079
get their hands on balls and they can steal the

633
00:32:38,119 --> 00:32:40,960
ball and they can turn you over, then they're a

634
00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:43,920
much better defensive unit than they are when they can't.

635
00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:48,759
Tarleton inside league has handled the ball really well. And

636
00:32:49,000 --> 00:32:53,640
so from that perspective, if Abilene can't get can't stop

637
00:32:53,720 --> 00:32:57,079
the number of possessions that Tarleton gets by turning them over,

638
00:32:57,680 --> 00:32:59,960
can't steal the ball and get cheap points on there,

639
00:33:00,079 --> 00:33:02,559
and I don't know what their scoring output could be

640
00:33:02,640 --> 00:33:06,079
in this game. Other side of that coin, Abilene's just

641
00:33:06,119 --> 00:33:09,480
not a good offensive team at all, and so they

642
00:33:09,519 --> 00:33:12,880
probably don't score much here on the road. I would

643
00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:16,920
say look towards the total here, but I will also

644
00:33:17,039 --> 00:33:19,319
say that I think the people who got there early

645
00:33:19,400 --> 00:33:23,000
got the best of this number. The York Johnson question

646
00:33:23,240 --> 00:33:26,640
is a good one, Adam, because if you find out

647
00:33:27,000 --> 00:33:29,440
that he's going to go his full compliment of minutes,

648
00:33:29,480 --> 00:33:33,480
you might reverse course and say, well, wait a minute,

649
00:33:33,559 --> 00:33:36,480
now that number has been taken down because of his potential,

650
00:33:36,599 --> 00:33:39,200
you know, not playing full compliment of minutes, not playing

651
00:33:39,240 --> 00:33:41,119
at all, and maybe you want to turn around and

652
00:33:41,119 --> 00:33:45,759
play Tarleton state team total or full game team total

653
00:33:45,799 --> 00:33:47,680
now that you can punch back a little bit at

654
00:33:47,720 --> 00:33:50,880
a lesser number. Tough game to call from that perspective.

655
00:33:51,079 --> 00:33:53,359
I do think Abilene's in a little bit of trouble

656
00:33:53,400 --> 00:33:57,359
here simply because they don't score, and they don't I

657
00:33:57,400 --> 00:33:59,559
don't think they're going to be able to turn Tarleton

658
00:33:59,680 --> 00:34:02,519
over the way they need to to get cheap points

659
00:34:02,759 --> 00:34:05,359
and to take away some Tarleton possessions.

660
00:34:07,119 --> 00:34:10,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, der stuff is interesting because I watched I watched

661
00:34:10,320 --> 00:34:13,480
most of the Utah Tech game and he he was

662
00:34:13,519 --> 00:34:16,480
on the bench. He seemed fine, but he didn't come

663
00:34:16,519 --> 00:34:18,519
in for I mean, he was out for like ten

664
00:34:18,880 --> 00:34:20,599
ten minutes in the second half of a game that

665
00:34:20,679 --> 00:34:23,239
was close, and so like, to me, that says, okay, well,

666
00:34:23,280 --> 00:34:24,440
there's clearly something's up.

667
00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:24,639
Speaker 3: Now.

668
00:34:24,639 --> 00:34:26,559
Speaker 1: He came in at the end of the game, played

669
00:34:26,599 --> 00:34:28,920
a little bit those final couple possessions, and I'm thinking

670
00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:30,639
to myself, did he tweak something?

671
00:34:30,760 --> 00:34:32,480
Speaker 2: Is it? Is it? You know? Is it hard for

672
00:34:32,559 --> 00:34:33,360
him to move around?

673
00:34:33,360 --> 00:34:35,840
Speaker 1: And then they realized they had a chance at the end,

674
00:34:35,840 --> 00:34:38,079
and they were just like, hey, can you go in

675
00:34:38,119 --> 00:34:41,840
for like two possessions and get up a shot. It's

676
00:34:41,920 --> 00:34:44,079
just so odd to see that he's come off the

677
00:34:44,079 --> 00:34:45,840
bench all year because he is I mean, he's the

678
00:34:45,960 --> 00:34:49,079
leading scorer in the country. He is, he is a

679
00:34:49,159 --> 00:34:51,280
clear I mean, he's gonna play at the next level

680
00:34:51,320 --> 00:34:52,960
where I have no doubt about it. The question will

681
00:34:52,960 --> 00:34:55,000
be is it in the NBA or is it somewhere?

682
00:34:55,079 --> 00:34:58,239
I mean, he he has got the scoring ability to

683
00:34:58,320 --> 00:35:01,119
make an NBA roster, So why you would have him

684
00:35:01,159 --> 00:35:04,719
come off the bench is kind of beyond me. Last

685
00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:08,480
game against Arlington, he played twenty two minutes, didn't have

686
00:35:08,559 --> 00:35:10,519
his best game, but he still played twenty two minutes.

687
00:35:10,599 --> 00:35:13,800
That was I think five days ago on the twenty Yeah,

688
00:35:13,840 --> 00:35:19,840
the twenty first. So back in Stevenville tonight, a game

689
00:35:19,880 --> 00:35:22,760
they absolutely need. My gut says he's probably gonna play,

690
00:35:22,840 --> 00:35:25,719
Like my gut says, he's probably fine, and well, we'll

691
00:35:25,719 --> 00:35:28,599
play most of his minutes. And you know the thing

692
00:35:28,599 --> 00:35:32,480
about Abilene, they just they do not score. And it's

693
00:35:32,519 --> 00:35:35,360
actually like interesting, It's it's kind of crazy that Tarleton

694
00:35:36,159 --> 00:35:38,440
gave up eighty four points to them. But the other

695
00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:42,559
thing is Charlton in general, their defenses has suffered of late.

696
00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:44,719
The one oh six to one oh five game against

697
00:35:44,719 --> 00:35:48,320
Southern Utah is is almost inexcusable. I thought they played

698
00:35:48,320 --> 00:35:51,440
better defensively against Arlington, but that's a team that's gonna

699
00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:54,480
get you into a defensive type game. So they lose

700
00:35:54,519 --> 00:35:57,000
that game seventy one to sixty four. But Arlington's a

701
00:35:57,000 --> 00:36:00,639
pretty good defensive team. I I really do like the

702
00:36:00,679 --> 00:36:03,199
Tarleton side here. You've got an Abilene team that ranks

703
00:36:03,199 --> 00:36:05,960
outside the top three hundred in points per game. They

704
00:36:06,159 --> 00:36:09,400
they you know, if you if you get Tarleton showing

705
00:36:09,480 --> 00:36:12,320
up with a little bit of defensive intensity here, even

706
00:36:12,360 --> 00:36:15,000
if Dior plays twenty minutes and doesn't have his best game,

707
00:36:15,039 --> 00:36:17,280
I think, I think this is a Tarleton win and cover.

708
00:36:17,440 --> 00:36:20,440
So because I have not found anything better yet, well,

709
00:36:20,639 --> 00:36:22,840
you know, I want to talk about a couple other games,

710
00:36:23,400 --> 00:36:25,199
but I think Tarleton mine is four and a half.

711
00:36:25,239 --> 00:36:27,039
Speaker 2: It's going to either be a play for me, a

712
00:36:27,039 --> 00:36:27,920
parlay leg.

713
00:36:27,840 --> 00:36:30,719
Speaker 1: Or something, because I just I think this is a

714
00:36:30,719 --> 00:36:32,679
good spot for them to bounce back and get a win,

715
00:36:33,079 --> 00:36:36,280
and four and a half is manageable. I wish it

716
00:36:36,320 --> 00:36:39,559
was a little bit better, but you know, at home,

717
00:36:39,719 --> 00:36:45,639
I think if they win, they can cover that number firefighters.

718
00:36:45,679 --> 00:36:48,360
Iss Aveline can't score with Tarlton. That's yeah, that's very true.

719
00:36:48,360 --> 00:36:51,199
If Tarleton is is full strength and they have their

720
00:36:51,639 --> 00:36:54,000
you know, normal complement of players, yeah, I would, and

721
00:36:54,119 --> 00:36:57,280
any little bit of defensive intensity in this game.

722
00:36:57,320 --> 00:36:59,119
Speaker 2: I think that is going to be the case.

723
00:36:59,320 --> 00:37:01,480
Speaker 1: I think Tarlton will score and pull away in that

724
00:37:01,559 --> 00:37:05,039
game by the tune of more than four points. So

725
00:37:07,119 --> 00:37:09,239
by you, Betts, he says, by you says, why are

726
00:37:09,280 --> 00:37:11,360
both of these games being played at Tarleton State? I

727
00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:14,159
believe everyone in this league this year plays three times.

728
00:37:14,400 --> 00:37:16,719
So some of the teams you're gonna play twice at home,

729
00:37:16,760 --> 00:37:18,679
once on the road. Some of the teams are gonna

730
00:37:18,679 --> 00:37:20,320
play once at home twice on the road. I believe

731
00:37:20,320 --> 00:37:23,519
it's a seven team league with eighteen league games, So

732
00:37:23,559 --> 00:37:26,960
I think you play everyone in the league three times.

733
00:37:28,119 --> 00:37:30,400
And by you asked if Bill, Yeah, Billy GILLEPSI wasn't

734
00:37:30,400 --> 00:37:32,719
on the sideline for the Utah games. Like again, I

735
00:37:32,719 --> 00:37:36,400
don't know how much that really matters, but I mean,

736
00:37:36,400 --> 00:37:39,320
they played awful on that Utah trip. So a lot

737
00:37:39,360 --> 00:37:42,079
of good talking points here, Rob Bino. Let's go to

738
00:37:42,079 --> 00:37:45,000
the Big ten, the Big ten's trying to sneak in

739
00:37:45,039 --> 00:37:48,679
a game that probably would have been more of a

740
00:37:48,679 --> 00:37:50,920
feature if either of these teams are really any good

741
00:37:50,920 --> 00:37:54,199
this year. But when you've got Duke Louisville, and you've

742
00:37:54,239 --> 00:37:57,800
got you Know, and you've got Arizona BYU, suddenly Penn

743
00:37:57,840 --> 00:37:59,960
State Ohio State is a little bit of an afterthought,

744
00:38:00,039 --> 00:38:04,519
but it is National TV at the Value City Arena, Columbus, Missi,

745
00:38:04,559 --> 00:38:10,360
Columbus Ohio eleven and a half with the Buckeyes. Do

746
00:38:10,400 --> 00:38:12,800
you have any interest in Penn State Ohio State? And

747
00:38:12,800 --> 00:38:14,079
do you have anything on the total here?

748
00:38:15,800 --> 00:38:18,159
Speaker 3: Well, my initial lean was to go ahead and play

749
00:38:18,199 --> 00:38:22,559
Ohio State team total to the over adam quick check

750
00:38:22,559 --> 00:38:25,119
of that number as we speak, so we get it right.

751
00:38:25,719 --> 00:38:27,880
I haven't looked at in a couple hours. Eighty one

752
00:38:27,920 --> 00:38:32,599
and a half down from eighty three and a half opener.

753
00:38:32,800 --> 00:38:34,760
Some eighty two and a half's out there right now,

754
00:38:34,800 --> 00:38:38,679
but the overall game total has gone up to one

755
00:38:38,800 --> 00:38:41,119
fifty four and a half. My initial thought is, you know,

756
00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:44,840
Ohio State, after seeing enough of them, is an offensive

757
00:38:44,880 --> 00:38:47,880
oriented team that's got scores all over the floor, that

758
00:38:47,920 --> 00:38:50,119
can put points up in Penn State just hasn't been

759
00:38:50,159 --> 00:38:53,679
good defensively for the most part this season, so you

760
00:38:53,719 --> 00:38:57,920
would think that at home in a conference where you know,

761
00:38:58,000 --> 00:39:00,480
Ohio State just is showing that they're not going to

762
00:39:00,519 --> 00:39:03,519
beat the top tier. They might play them close, but

763
00:39:03,559 --> 00:39:06,559
they're not gonna beat them, which in turn makes all

764
00:39:06,679 --> 00:39:09,840
these winnable games so important to them for seeding when

765
00:39:09,840 --> 00:39:13,159
it comes into the Big Ten tournament. You gotta win

766
00:39:13,199 --> 00:39:17,199
these ones that you that you are capable of winning.

767
00:39:18,000 --> 00:39:22,119
They're losing streak right now is six games, three and

768
00:39:22,159 --> 00:39:26,280
three against the spread and those and three and five

769
00:39:26,679 --> 00:39:29,440
to the under in a lot of their recent games.

770
00:39:29,440 --> 00:39:32,559
But let me go over their recent games. Michigan good defense,

771
00:39:32,639 --> 00:39:37,719
Perdue good defense, UCLA good defense, Maryland Wisconsin. The last

772
00:39:37,719 --> 00:39:41,840
two games they've played that don't play tremendous defense a

773
00:39:41,920 --> 00:39:45,360
one sixty nine and a one sixty nine full game total,

774
00:39:45,960 --> 00:39:49,760
with Ohio State posting seventy one and seventy three. Excuse me,

775
00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:51,800
that's the Penn State side. I'm reading you right now.

776
00:39:52,239 --> 00:39:56,880
Their inability to stop people to allow ninety plus points

777
00:39:56,920 --> 00:39:59,400
in their last two games just leads me to believe

778
00:39:59,400 --> 00:40:01,480
that Ohio State can do the same. With Bruce Thoreton

779
00:40:01,519 --> 00:40:03,159
and company. It's not a team that's going to slow

780
00:40:03,199 --> 00:40:05,920
it down. It's not a team that lets off the gas.

781
00:40:06,800 --> 00:40:09,400
So that's the way I'm looking at him. It's not

782
00:40:09,480 --> 00:40:12,719
one that I've played so far this morning, but I

783
00:40:12,800 --> 00:40:15,079
may get there. This number now is crept into a

784
00:40:15,079 --> 00:40:18,519
position where you're asking me to score eighty two points

785
00:40:18,519 --> 00:40:21,239
with Ohio State. I seriously think I could get there

786
00:40:21,239 --> 00:40:24,039
with that the Penn State side. If I trusted them more,

787
00:40:24,039 --> 00:40:27,039
I would go full game total. I haven't done that

788
00:40:27,199 --> 00:40:30,800
yet either, so again, it's a lot of analysis without

789
00:40:30,840 --> 00:40:34,039
a lot of conviction. Nothing came out of my wallet

790
00:40:34,119 --> 00:40:36,880
or I didn't open up any tabs to go ahead

791
00:40:36,880 --> 00:40:39,239
and press send yet with a play. But that's the

792
00:40:39,280 --> 00:40:41,159
way I would look. I would look towards Ohio State

793
00:40:41,400 --> 00:40:42,599
team total over.

794
00:40:42,400 --> 00:40:50,320
Speaker 1: Here, sorry as muted. Yeah, it's difficult to disagree with

795
00:40:50,679 --> 00:40:52,960
any of that. I've kind of commented on a couple

796
00:40:53,039 --> 00:40:55,880
of different times, like I've had just zero interest in

797
00:40:55,920 --> 00:40:59,079
getting involved with Penn State. I know they played, I

798
00:40:59,119 --> 00:41:02,159
know they had a string of playing a couple of

799
00:41:02,159 --> 00:41:05,480
close games earlier in conference play. I believe ahead of

800
00:41:05,480 --> 00:41:07,920
that UCLA game, we talked on this show that UCLA

801
00:41:07,960 --> 00:41:11,519
would probably beat them and beat them handedly, and they did,

802
00:41:12,039 --> 00:41:14,559
and now they have to go, you know, go on

803
00:41:14,599 --> 00:41:19,119
the road play Ohio State. I guess, like, you know,

804
00:41:19,159 --> 00:41:21,239
you could say, okay, well, Ohio State kind of had

805
00:41:21,239 --> 00:41:24,920
like a max effort type game on Friday, which they did.

806
00:41:25,320 --> 00:41:27,679
I thought they were I thought they were okay in

807
00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:28,840
that game against Michigan.

808
00:41:29,480 --> 00:41:32,079
Speaker 2: They hung around. Believe they ended up covering the number.

809
00:41:32,559 --> 00:41:36,679
Speaker 1: That was a pretty close game for like more of

810
00:41:36,679 --> 00:41:37,960
the game than I kind of thought it was going

811
00:41:38,000 --> 00:41:43,559
to be close rob Michigan Ohio State on Friday. But yeah,

812
00:41:43,599 --> 00:41:46,280
like it kind of feels like a spot where this

813
00:41:46,400 --> 00:41:49,280
kind of feels like a spot where they bounce back pen.

814
00:41:50,599 --> 00:41:51,199
Speaker 2: Penn State.

815
00:41:51,280 --> 00:41:53,960
Speaker 1: I don't have their road numbers in front of me

816
00:41:54,039 --> 00:41:56,599
right here, but I think they've been worse, like from

817
00:41:56,599 --> 00:41:59,719
A from a defensive standpoint on the road, which would

818
00:41:59,719 --> 00:42:02,559
consider me for them like A keeping this close and

819
00:42:02,639 --> 00:42:05,880
B your your team total probably makes some sense if

820
00:42:05,920 --> 00:42:08,280
that's the case. Steve Duke says he makes Ohio State

821
00:42:08,719 --> 00:42:11,440
minus fifteen and a half. I just realized they didn't

822
00:42:11,599 --> 00:42:14,679
finish my calculation on this one. I'm probably in the

823
00:42:14,719 --> 00:42:19,119
fourteen ish range, So not gonna have a huge edge there.

824
00:42:19,920 --> 00:42:22,119
I haven't bet many of these Big Ten games this year,

825
00:42:22,199 --> 00:42:24,840
so I doubt I'll bet this one. But yeah, Penn

826
00:42:24,920 --> 00:42:27,280
State won, you know, only their fifth true road game

827
00:42:27,280 --> 00:42:30,000
this year. That's interesting to me if Penn State managed

828
00:42:30,000 --> 00:42:33,119
to avoid playing like road games all non conference play

829
00:42:33,719 --> 00:42:36,719
only one in three in four true road games this year.

830
00:42:36,800 --> 00:42:39,519
Now they have to go to Columbus.

831
00:42:40,960 --> 00:42:41,239
Speaker 2: Yeah.

832
00:42:41,480 --> 00:42:44,679
Speaker 1: I mean, Ohio State's defense concerns me, but I think

833
00:42:44,679 --> 00:42:46,679
they could score it well here against Penn State. So

834
00:42:47,719 --> 00:42:50,079
I think i'll lean with you, rob team total over.

835
00:42:50,400 --> 00:42:51,760
I kind of like that for Ohio State.

836
00:42:52,880 --> 00:42:55,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, two conference road games for Penn State so far

837
00:42:55,800 --> 00:42:58,880
this year. Adam ninety six and ninety three allowed Purdue

838
00:42:58,880 --> 00:43:02,360
in Maryland. Here, you're asked to get to eighty two.

839
00:43:03,320 --> 00:43:04,880
I'm with you. I don't know that I could lay

840
00:43:04,880 --> 00:43:07,639
eleven and a half of Ohio State because they're just

841
00:43:07,800 --> 00:43:10,440
not a team that you want to give that many

842
00:43:10,480 --> 00:43:13,800
points with. But you can generally speak and trust that offense.

843
00:43:13,800 --> 00:43:15,360
There as a lot of scorers on that team, So

844
00:43:15,760 --> 00:43:17,599
maybe it's a way that we'll look. I'll go right now,

845
00:43:17,639 --> 00:43:19,480
real quick. I'll just give you my leg of the parlor,

846
00:43:19,519 --> 00:43:20,760
so I can get mine out of the way, then

847
00:43:20,800 --> 00:43:22,159
you can go ahead and get yours out of the way.

848
00:43:22,159 --> 00:43:27,719
But I'll go and point toward our good friend reggieis

849
00:43:27,719 --> 00:43:30,480
down there at Bethune Cookman where I do have a

850
00:43:30,519 --> 00:43:32,840
play on a team total, one that I made this morning.

851
00:43:32,840 --> 00:43:35,559
It's one of only two plays I've had so far

852
00:43:35,679 --> 00:43:37,960
personally here today. And I don't know that the list

853
00:43:38,039 --> 00:43:39,599
is going to get any bigger just because of the

854
00:43:39,639 --> 00:43:42,800
short board list, but we do tack on during the

855
00:43:42,880 --> 00:43:45,039
day for those that want to purchase full court Press

856
00:43:45,039 --> 00:43:48,360
three days fifty nine dollars. I'm going to play the

857
00:43:48,360 --> 00:43:51,880
Bititune Cookman side here Adam up and over their team total,

858
00:43:52,159 --> 00:43:54,519
which currently sits at seventy nine and a half. You

859
00:43:54,599 --> 00:43:56,760
will see some eighty and a half's out there if

860
00:43:56,800 --> 00:44:00,000
that's all you can get, if you only have one outlet,

861
00:44:00,119 --> 00:44:02,079
if it's the there's only one place you can play,

862
00:44:02,559 --> 00:44:04,239
and they show you eighty and a half, I would

863
00:44:04,280 --> 00:44:07,920
still play it here. It's in essence, it's one of

864
00:44:07,920 --> 00:44:11,320
the best offenses, if not the best offense inside the

865
00:44:11,360 --> 00:44:13,840
swack against one of the worst defenses, if not the

866
00:44:13,880 --> 00:44:16,360
worst defense. What Alcorn State will try to do because

867
00:44:16,400 --> 00:44:20,159
Bethune Cookman, this is a high tempo league, but Beethune

868
00:44:20,159 --> 00:44:23,360
Cookman will want to get out and run here at home,

869
00:44:24,000 --> 00:44:28,239
and al Corn's really only defense mechanism is to try

870
00:44:28,280 --> 00:44:31,280
and slow games down a little bit because they don't

871
00:44:31,280 --> 00:44:34,840
shoot it and they don't defend. Bethune Cookman's been on

872
00:44:34,920 --> 00:44:37,760
a pretty good role as of late where point production

873
00:44:37,920 --> 00:44:41,960
is concerned. Seventy nine against Misissippi Valley, eighty seven against

874
00:44:42,000 --> 00:44:44,960
pine Bluff, although that was in overtime. I do take

875
00:44:45,000 --> 00:44:47,239
that one seriously because pine Bluff's a pretty good team

876
00:44:47,280 --> 00:44:50,000
in that league. So to get eighty seven there, I think,

877
00:44:50,320 --> 00:44:52,760
and that was I'm done on the road. Came home

878
00:44:52,800 --> 00:44:56,360
the other day, absolutely destroyed Jackson State, scored eighty five.

879
00:44:57,360 --> 00:45:00,159
You're gonna ask him to get and again, if all

880
00:45:00,159 --> 00:45:01,599
you can get is eighty and a half, you need

881
00:45:01,599 --> 00:45:03,639
them to get to eighty one. I just don't see

882
00:45:03,679 --> 00:45:06,559
the problem with that here against this team. So for me,

883
00:45:07,679 --> 00:45:11,320
just based on matchups, just based on fundamentals, there really

884
00:45:11,360 --> 00:45:15,719
is no situation here, no look ahead or anything like that,

885
00:45:15,760 --> 00:45:18,599
because the Dune Cookman doesn't play for six days. So

886
00:45:18,719 --> 00:45:21,400
this is just a home game where they can follow

887
00:45:21,480 --> 00:45:23,920
up to what they did on Saturday and go out

888
00:45:23,920 --> 00:45:27,119
and beat another team for the However, many are in

889
00:45:27,199 --> 00:45:29,559
attendance at the home for the home crowd here, but

890
00:45:29,639 --> 00:45:32,519
I think the Dune Cookman I have the number of

891
00:45:32,519 --> 00:45:35,400
seventy nine and a half. Again, there are some eighty

892
00:45:35,400 --> 00:45:36,719
and a halfs out there. I play them over.

893
00:45:39,119 --> 00:45:40,199
Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't argue with that.

894
00:45:40,239 --> 00:45:42,320
Speaker 1: I've said on a couple of occasions in this league

895
00:45:42,360 --> 00:45:45,400
and the swack that I thought Alcorn you know, was

896
00:45:47,280 --> 00:45:50,039
kind of along down at the bottom with Mississippi Valley State,

897
00:45:50,320 --> 00:45:53,000
maybe not quite as bad as them, but I noticed

898
00:45:53,239 --> 00:45:56,760
that they kind of get priced they they don't get

899
00:45:56,760 --> 00:45:59,360
priced as much of a bottom option as I feel

900
00:45:59,360 --> 00:46:01,400
like they should be. I actually took I believe it

901
00:46:01,440 --> 00:46:03,920
was a week ago today, kind of took an unlucky

902
00:46:03,960 --> 00:46:06,960
loss on fading Alcorn State. They won a game at

903
00:46:06,960 --> 00:46:09,800
the buzzer that that really like they needed to get

904
00:46:09,800 --> 00:46:13,079
a stop, they needed to stop and then to go

905
00:46:13,119 --> 00:46:15,360
to length of the floor and score to win that

906
00:46:15,440 --> 00:46:19,559
game at the buzzer that was I believe they beat

907
00:46:19,599 --> 00:46:22,440
maybe Prairie View in that game. Who again, Prairie View

908
00:46:22,519 --> 00:46:24,239
is probably one of the lesser teams in this league

909
00:46:24,239 --> 00:46:26,519
as well. I think we've kind of established that of

910
00:46:26,559 --> 00:46:30,519
that top crew of swack teams that are all decent

911
00:46:30,719 --> 00:46:33,519
this year, that Dune Cookman definitely has the most talent,

912
00:46:33,599 --> 00:46:35,400
and I think they could emerge as the best of

913
00:46:35,440 --> 00:46:37,960
the bunch when it's all said and done. So yeah,

914
00:46:38,000 --> 00:46:40,400
like Steve's saying he got a you know, oh, I

915
00:46:40,440 --> 00:46:42,079
don't know if that means that's what.

916
00:46:42,079 --> 00:46:43,119
Speaker 2: He made the number.

917
00:46:43,199 --> 00:46:46,639
Speaker 1: But like at the open at twelve, if you if

918
00:46:46,639 --> 00:46:48,880
you could have got but Thune twelve, that's probably a

919
00:46:48,880 --> 00:46:50,880
pretty good bet it's fourteen. Now, I'm not sure I

920
00:46:50,920 --> 00:46:54,280
would chase those two points, But Robin, I think that

921
00:46:54,440 --> 00:46:57,320
makes your case on the team total that much stronger,

922
00:46:57,400 --> 00:46:59,599
you know, just a way to sort of play beafun

923
00:46:59,639 --> 00:47:02,239
without how and to lay a number that's two point worse.

924
00:47:02,400 --> 00:47:03,280
Speaker 2: What was the number on that?

925
00:47:03,320 --> 00:47:07,599
Speaker 3: Again, the consensus number here is seventy nine and a

926
00:47:07,639 --> 00:47:09,760
half at them, but I see a lot of eighty

927
00:47:09,800 --> 00:47:12,440
and a half, so again at places that are available

928
00:47:12,480 --> 00:47:15,159
to most folks across the country, around the world. So

929
00:47:16,400 --> 00:47:19,079
I think in fairness to the audience, we probably should

930
00:47:19,119 --> 00:47:22,199
say eighty nine and a half. Excuse me, eighty and

931
00:47:22,239 --> 00:47:24,039
a half rather than the seventy nine and a half

932
00:47:24,079 --> 00:47:24,599
that I got.

933
00:47:27,760 --> 00:47:30,639
Speaker 1: All right, we can call it eighty and a half. Yeah,

934
00:47:30,679 --> 00:47:34,039
that that'll work. And again I think that that one

935
00:47:34,039 --> 00:47:36,480
could get out of hand. The dune at home. I

936
00:47:36,519 --> 00:47:39,679
feel like that might get out of hand, all right,

937
00:47:39,840 --> 00:47:42,280
So I know we have a couple, So I'm gonna

938
00:47:42,280 --> 00:47:44,320
lock my parlay legre in right now and it's gonna

939
00:47:44,320 --> 00:47:48,360
cover We got a couple of donations here and so

940
00:47:48,519 --> 00:47:51,679
mine will cover this one. So Garth jumps in and

941
00:47:51,719 --> 00:47:53,960
he says, thoughts on the moyn money line. I'm gonna

942
00:47:53,960 --> 00:47:55,719
give you that in a second, and then after that

943
00:47:56,239 --> 00:47:58,119
we'll go to mad Max and we'll talk about Texas

944
00:47:58,159 --> 00:48:01,760
A and m Corpus Christy game. But I was going

945
00:48:01,800 --> 00:48:05,440
to sell this one, but you know what, As you know,

946
00:48:05,559 --> 00:48:07,840
I did lose a five percent of yesterday, and I

947
00:48:07,880 --> 00:48:10,559
know that was was devastating to some folks in the chat.

948
00:48:10,599 --> 00:48:12,360
So I'm just gonna give this one out for free, Robino,

949
00:48:12,400 --> 00:48:14,960
and it's gonna be my leg of the parlay. I

950
00:48:15,360 --> 00:48:18,440
played Lemoyne on the money line. I did it a

951
00:48:18,480 --> 00:48:23,559
few minutes ago. They are minus. I minded the system

952
00:48:23,559 --> 00:48:26,199
gave me minus one ten. I think it's like minus

953
00:48:26,199 --> 00:48:28,840
one ten minus one fifteen. This actually just got down

954
00:48:29,440 --> 00:48:32,599
as low as pick, and I'm just double checking because again,

955
00:48:32,719 --> 00:48:35,920
and we've talked about this, very difficult to actually put

956
00:48:35,920 --> 00:48:38,119
plays in like on the show, which is what I

957
00:48:38,159 --> 00:48:38,960
was trying to do here.

958
00:48:39,039 --> 00:48:41,159
Speaker 2: So yeah, I saw the screen get hit.

959
00:48:41,559 --> 00:48:44,079
Speaker 1: I disagreed with the move, and when this got down

960
00:48:44,119 --> 00:48:46,239
to pick, I decided I was going to play the

961
00:48:46,320 --> 00:48:49,800
Lemoyne money line because it was two and a half earlier.

962
00:48:49,960 --> 00:48:51,800
I liked it at two and a half rob and

963
00:48:51,800 --> 00:48:54,400
then as soon as I didn't have to lay two

964
00:48:54,440 --> 00:48:56,079
and a half with leamoy And, I said, all right,

965
00:48:56,280 --> 00:48:58,960
let's let's go. Let's let's just lock that in. So

966
00:48:59,400 --> 00:49:01,480
this is a client play for me. This will also

967
00:49:01,599 --> 00:49:05,760
be my leg of the parlay. It's coming back to one,

968
00:49:05,920 --> 00:49:08,159
but still you should be able. It looks like it

969
00:49:08,159 --> 00:49:10,719
looks like there's plenty of minus one ten minus one fifteen,

970
00:49:10,760 --> 00:49:13,320
so we'll call it minus one fifteen on the money

971
00:49:13,360 --> 00:49:18,280
line for the show. Lemoyne is quietly becoming one of

972
00:49:18,280 --> 00:49:20,639
the one of the sort of dark horses in this league.

973
00:49:20,679 --> 00:49:22,840
So I'll go back to our show on Friday, we

974
00:49:22,880 --> 00:49:27,039
talked about how the books priced that the NC. They've

975
00:49:27,039 --> 00:49:29,440
got Long Island up there as the top option, which

976
00:49:29,480 --> 00:49:32,920
is which is deserved. Long Island is by far the

977
00:49:32,920 --> 00:49:35,199
best team in this league in my opinion, they deserve

978
00:49:35,239 --> 00:49:38,440
to be the top option in the NEC. But after that,

979
00:49:39,880 --> 00:49:43,280
the league just prices all these teams the same. And

980
00:49:43,320 --> 00:49:45,840
on Friday I pointed out that that probably shouldn't have

981
00:49:45,840 --> 00:49:48,280
been the case with mercy Hurst and New Haven, and

982
00:49:48,400 --> 00:49:50,840
mercy Hurst got the win in that game, and I

983
00:49:50,920 --> 00:49:53,400
kind of feel the same here, like Lemoyne, in my opinion,

984
00:49:54,119 --> 00:49:55,719
is a better team than Fairleigh Dickinson.

985
00:49:55,760 --> 00:49:57,840
Speaker 2: Like I've watched both these teams play a ton.

986
00:49:58,280 --> 00:50:01,519
Speaker 1: I did lose on Friday night, rob fading Fairley Dickinson,

987
00:50:01,559 --> 00:50:04,440
but I don't think I've ever quite seen a team

988
00:50:04,480 --> 00:50:07,360
give up like I did Central Connecticut State in that game.

989
00:50:07,519 --> 00:50:09,840
They had an eleven point lead with three minutes to

990
00:50:09,880 --> 00:50:13,559
go in the first half. They gave up fourteen straight

991
00:50:13,639 --> 00:50:16,880
points to end the half. Fairley Dickinson hit like five

992
00:50:16,960 --> 00:50:18,960
threes in a row, four or four or five threes,

993
00:50:19,079 --> 00:50:21,559
gave up fourteen straight points to end the half, and

994
00:50:21,800 --> 00:50:24,159
Central Connecticut State came out in the second half and

995
00:50:24,239 --> 00:50:27,880
just straight up gave up. Never seen anything like it was.

996
00:50:28,239 --> 00:50:30,960
It looked like they were going to blow fairly Dickinson

997
00:50:30,960 --> 00:50:34,719
out and it turned into a blowout win for FDU.

998
00:50:35,039 --> 00:50:37,679
So again credit to FDU for going on the road

999
00:50:37,719 --> 00:50:40,400
getting that win. Back to back wins for them over

1000
00:50:40,440 --> 00:50:43,280
Wagner and CCSU. But it doesn't make me like I

1001
00:50:43,320 --> 00:50:45,119
still don't think they're a better team than Lamoyne, who

1002
00:50:45,199 --> 00:50:48,239
actually is has been the best defensive team in this

1003
00:50:48,360 --> 00:50:51,119
conference from an efficiency standpoint this year. So you have

1004
00:50:51,119 --> 00:50:53,880
a really good defensive team. Lamoyne's four and seven on

1005
00:50:53,920 --> 00:50:55,960
the road, which doesn't seem like much. But some of

1006
00:50:56,000 --> 00:50:59,119
those road games were earlier in the year, games that

1007
00:50:59,159 --> 00:51:01,880
they were never gonna win anyway. So they've actually won

1008
00:51:01,920 --> 00:51:04,159
some on the road in conference, which is encouraging. They

1009
00:51:04,199 --> 00:51:07,039
won the Chicago State game, they won at Saint Francis,

1010
00:51:07,639 --> 00:51:09,639
so a couple of conference road games. Won at Binghamton

1011
00:51:09,679 --> 00:51:11,960
earlier this year. That's a rivalry game that was before,

1012
00:51:12,320 --> 00:51:15,840
I believe, before Binghamton had all of their injuries. I

1013
00:51:15,920 --> 00:51:18,320
went to the Bowling Green game when Leamoyne played Bowling Green,

1014
00:51:18,559 --> 00:51:19,800
and they were pretty good in that game.

1015
00:51:19,800 --> 00:51:20,639
Speaker 2: For twenty five minutes.

1016
00:51:20,679 --> 00:51:23,280
Speaker 1: That's of course a far superior opponent than what they're

1017
00:51:23,280 --> 00:51:25,679
playing today. So you're gonna give me lamoyn at pick

1018
00:51:26,039 --> 00:51:29,039
they're the better team. I love Fairley Dickinson's gym, but

1019
00:51:29,079 --> 00:51:30,679
I don't think they're gonna get like some sort of

1020
00:51:30,719 --> 00:51:34,480
crazy turnout tonight. So yeah, I just think that this

1021
00:51:34,639 --> 00:51:38,639
is like very this is very Mercyhurst esque from Friday,

1022
00:51:38,840 --> 00:51:41,400
where I just think I'm not too worried about the

1023
00:51:41,480 --> 00:51:44,400
quote unquote road game. I know they they were worried

1024
00:51:44,400 --> 00:51:46,599
about getting there, but I was just on the on

1025
00:51:46,800 --> 00:51:49,440
I ninety a little while ago, and the roads are plowed.

1026
00:51:49,639 --> 00:51:51,679
So I think Lamoyne, even those schools closed, I think

1027
00:51:51,679 --> 00:51:54,760
they're gonna have no problem getting down to Jersey. Ninety

1028
00:51:54,760 --> 00:51:57,840
has been plowed. And yeah, I just think they're the

1029
00:51:57,880 --> 00:52:00,599
better team. So I'm gonna go with the same handicapped

1030
00:52:00,599 --> 00:52:02,480
from Friday that got us a winner on the show

1031
00:52:02,480 --> 00:52:05,760
on Friday, Lamoine pick to the better team. They're going

1032
00:52:05,800 --> 00:52:08,320
to go to believe it's hack and sack New Jersey

1033
00:52:08,400 --> 00:52:10,719
Robino and take care of business tonight. So that'll be

1034
00:52:10,719 --> 00:52:11,559
my leg at the barlay.

1035
00:52:13,239 --> 00:52:16,280
Speaker 3: And I'll just add real quick, Adam, because I talk

1036
00:52:16,320 --> 00:52:19,840
a lot about bounce back in my handicapping. You pointed

1037
00:52:19,840 --> 00:52:22,679
out the fourteen points at the end of the half

1038
00:52:22,679 --> 00:52:25,880
put up by FU and it was done on the

1039
00:52:25,920 --> 00:52:29,639
backs of three point shooting. For that game, they shot

1040
00:52:29,679 --> 00:52:33,199
eleven of twenty two fifty from three, Fairley Dickinson did.

1041
00:52:33,199 --> 00:52:36,480
They're the worst shooting team in conference play from three

1042
00:52:37,559 --> 00:52:41,239
overall this season, only hitting thirty two percent. They ranked

1043
00:52:41,239 --> 00:52:43,480
tenth out of ten teams, and yet they came up

1044
00:52:43,519 --> 00:52:46,119
with eleven out of twenty two for fifty percent against

1045
00:52:46,119 --> 00:52:48,719
Central Connecticut State, who, by the way, is the second

1046
00:52:48,800 --> 00:52:51,760
worst three point defense in the league. Now you get Leamoine,

1047
00:52:52,360 --> 00:52:55,199
who actually does defend the three, their number two inside

1048
00:52:55,199 --> 00:52:58,239
conference play. I'm not using overall statistics here, guys, because

1049
00:52:58,880 --> 00:53:01,280
the overalls are so skew by the non conference schedule.

1050
00:53:01,360 --> 00:53:03,679
Let's just stick to what these teams do inside their

1051
00:53:03,760 --> 00:53:07,920
own league. Here DC eleven of twenty two coming from

1052
00:53:07,960 --> 00:53:10,800
Fairley Dickinson, again against a team that does defend the three.

1053
00:53:10,880 --> 00:53:15,400
So Lemoyne should have fundamental edges here as well, so

1054
00:53:15,519 --> 00:53:18,519
I could totally agree with that spot here. It just

1055
00:53:18,559 --> 00:53:21,360
seems like maybe the eleven of twenty two was the

1056
00:53:21,480 --> 00:53:24,840
random one off for Fairley Dickinson beyond the ark, and

1057
00:53:24,840 --> 00:53:27,800
if they don't get those tonight, I don't know, are

1058
00:53:27,840 --> 00:53:29,719
they gonna get enough to win this game? Probably not.

1059
00:53:31,039 --> 00:53:32,519
Speaker 2: Yeah, And I think there's a case to be made.

1060
00:53:32,519 --> 00:53:34,599
Speaker 1: I've teased it a couple of times this year that

1061
00:53:34,639 --> 00:53:37,719
Central Connecticut State just is not that doesn't have the

1062
00:53:37,760 --> 00:53:39,679
talent that they did last year. They lost the player

1063
00:53:39,679 --> 00:53:41,800
of the year in this league. I love Pat Sellers,

1064
00:53:41,800 --> 00:53:43,719
He's a great coach. But the more I watch that

1065
00:53:43,760 --> 00:53:47,039
team play, the more it's just like not last year's team,

1066
00:53:47,239 --> 00:53:51,000
like from a talent standpoint, and they've been clipped a

1067
00:53:51,039 --> 00:53:53,079
couple of times now in league play. Mercy Hurst got

1068
00:53:53,119 --> 00:53:55,599
him a couple of weeks ago. So you know, I

1069
00:53:55,599 --> 00:53:57,320
think I maybe had a little bit of a of

1070
00:53:57,360 --> 00:54:01,960
an inflated kind of thought on CCSU going into that game,

1071
00:54:02,000 --> 00:54:04,079
and then, like you said, Fairley Dickinson was just straight

1072
00:54:04,159 --> 00:54:06,639
up unconscious in the second half. Just have to tip

1073
00:54:06,639 --> 00:54:09,039
the cap there, all right, Rob, you know I'm gonna

1074
00:54:09,039 --> 00:54:11,559
go to you. This is the final game we'll talk

1075
00:54:11,559 --> 00:54:14,559
about on the show, Mad Max, He says, Leaning Texas

1076
00:54:14,719 --> 00:54:17,880
m Corpus CHRISTI minus one only lost at home was

1077
00:54:17,880 --> 00:54:21,239
to McNeice and Nichols UTRGV three.

1078
00:54:21,079 --> 00:54:23,519
Speaker 2: Game winning streak. What do you think in.

1079
00:54:23,519 --> 00:54:27,440
Speaker 1: The Southland tonight, Corpus CHRISTI Rio Grand Valley.

1080
00:54:28,920 --> 00:54:32,920
Speaker 3: I will say this, the victory the McNee State is impressive.

1081
00:54:33,639 --> 00:54:37,000
I think you were on Rio Grand Valley at one

1082
00:54:37,079 --> 00:54:41,239
point here on the show, Adam. I forget if it

1083
00:54:41,280 --> 00:54:43,960
was a fade or a play on them.

1084
00:54:44,039 --> 00:54:46,679
Speaker 2: No, I like that, but I'd like them this year.

1085
00:54:47,840 --> 00:54:52,679
Speaker 3: Yeah. They're a team that I don't know if offensively

1086
00:54:53,920 --> 00:54:56,320
kind of a mixed bag, but defensively really really good

1087
00:54:56,400 --> 00:55:00,960
here and in these types of leagues. I'll just say this,

1088
00:55:01,039 --> 00:55:03,400
and this is my own opinion when looking at sides

1089
00:55:03,440 --> 00:55:08,840
in this league, I count win streaks as a positive.

1090
00:55:08,960 --> 00:55:11,960
When a team starts to get hot in conference that

1091
00:55:12,159 --> 00:55:16,519
wasn't a really good team overall throughout non conference. To me,

1092
00:55:16,599 --> 00:55:20,159
it triggers one thing. They played the non conference to

1093
00:55:20,199 --> 00:55:22,000
get tested, and this is the case for a lot

1094
00:55:22,000 --> 00:55:23,920
of SWACK and south FN teams. You play that non

1095
00:55:23,920 --> 00:55:26,639
conference to get tested and be ready for the step

1096
00:55:26,679 --> 00:55:31,280
down in competition when you get into league play. To

1097
00:55:31,320 --> 00:55:36,159
beat McNeese, to beat Southeastern Louisiana than to pretty much

1098
00:55:36,199 --> 00:55:42,599
stomp Houston Christian. It's fairly impressive on the UTGR side. However,

1099
00:55:43,079 --> 00:55:46,039
the win over Incarnate Word by Corpus Christie. We've talked

1100
00:55:46,039 --> 00:55:49,480
about Incarnate Word as being one of the individually more

1101
00:55:49,519 --> 00:55:52,639
talented teams in this league at them, so that becomes

1102
00:55:52,639 --> 00:55:55,719
fairly impressive too. I would not look at side here.

1103
00:55:55,960 --> 00:55:59,199
I would lean that to Adam, although there's a huge

1104
00:55:59,199 --> 00:56:02,280
move here Adam towards the Dog Rio Grand Valley the

1105
00:56:02,360 --> 00:56:04,320
Road Dog from three and a half down to one

1106
00:56:04,320 --> 00:56:08,519
and a half. The total was probably appropriately placed at

1107
00:56:08,519 --> 00:56:11,239
one thirty three, but I'll say this, I agree with

1108
00:56:11,280 --> 00:56:14,159
the total move up to one thirty four and a half.

1109
00:56:14,239 --> 00:56:16,679
I have this thing kind of slotted for the one

1110
00:56:16,800 --> 00:56:20,280
thirty six plus range, So there's a little bit of

1111
00:56:20,280 --> 00:56:23,480
wiggle room about a three point one bucket now worth

1112
00:56:23,519 --> 00:56:25,800
of wiggle room in that game where total is concerned.

1113
00:56:25,960 --> 00:56:28,800
I might look over there, Adam for a very small play,

1114
00:56:28,840 --> 00:56:32,880
but interesting as I look down as these lines pop

1115
00:56:33,000 --> 00:56:38,000
while we talk, that game moves significantly, and the game

1116
00:56:38,039 --> 00:56:40,559
we just talked about, or the team we just talked about.

1117
00:56:40,559 --> 00:56:44,440
CCSU took a lot of money today against stone Hill.

1118
00:56:45,000 --> 00:56:47,559
I don't know if that's an injury related situation or not.

1119
00:56:47,679 --> 00:56:49,079
But to go from one and a half all the

1120
00:56:49,119 --> 00:56:52,119
way up to four on the road is kind of interesting.

1121
00:56:52,119 --> 00:56:55,199
But where this game's concerned, my best take would be

1122
00:56:55,320 --> 00:56:57,400
to play this game over the one thirty four and

1123
00:56:57,440 --> 00:56:58,920
a half. You had a little bit of wiggle room there,

1124
00:56:58,960 --> 00:57:01,760
I think.

1125
00:57:00,960 --> 00:57:02,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, I guess maybe.

1126
00:57:02,239 --> 00:57:05,079
Speaker 1: I wonder if Mason Gibson is out for Texas A

1127
00:57:05,079 --> 00:57:07,480
and m Corpus CHRISTI. He I saw you only played

1128
00:57:07,480 --> 00:57:09,639
like fifteen minutes in their last game. He's one of

1129
00:57:09,639 --> 00:57:11,960
the guards, one of the one of the leading scorers

1130
00:57:12,000 --> 00:57:15,559
for that team. Doesn't mean doesn't mean Corpus Christy can't

1131
00:57:15,559 --> 00:57:19,119
win this game, no, because I part of the thing

1132
00:57:19,199 --> 00:57:21,599
with with Rio Grand Valley like they they have to

1133
00:57:21,679 --> 00:57:24,760
hit threes, like to have any like. Their offense is

1134
00:57:24,800 --> 00:57:27,960
so predicated out hitting threes. They do not generate good

1135
00:57:27,960 --> 00:57:30,800
looks from close range at all. So because they're a

1136
00:57:30,800 --> 00:57:32,800
good three point shooting team, they can get by on that,

1137
00:57:33,239 --> 00:57:34,880
but that tends to be a little bit tougher to

1138
00:57:34,920 --> 00:57:36,320
do on the road. So three and seven on the

1139
00:57:36,400 --> 00:57:38,800
road this year, and that would be My only real

1140
00:57:38,840 --> 00:57:42,840
concern with the UTR RGV side is if they're not

1141
00:57:43,000 --> 00:57:45,719
hitting their three point shot. They have a really hard

1142
00:57:45,760 --> 00:57:48,360
time generating like good looks near the near the rim.

1143
00:57:48,400 --> 00:57:49,119
Speaker 2: I got stuck.

1144
00:57:49,360 --> 00:57:51,840
Speaker 1: I got caught with them in a game earlier this

1145
00:57:51,920 --> 00:57:54,800
year where like they the three wasn't falling and they

1146
00:57:54,920 --> 00:57:57,880
just could not get near the rim. And that's my

1147
00:57:57,960 --> 00:58:00,599
concern with them in this game. Can they go on

1148
00:58:00,639 --> 00:58:02,079
the road? Are they going to go on the road

1149
00:58:02,119 --> 00:58:04,920
and just like bombs away from three against Corpus Christy?

1150
00:58:05,480 --> 00:58:06,480
Speaker 2: I guess I don't really know.

1151
00:58:06,559 --> 00:58:09,400
Speaker 1: So tough game there, I would have you know, in hindsight,

1152
00:58:09,480 --> 00:58:11,280
would I have loved to have what I love to

1153
00:58:11,320 --> 00:58:14,119
have that plus three and a half with RGV at

1154
00:58:14,119 --> 00:58:17,199
this point? Yeah, right, like that would be great, But

1155
00:58:17,679 --> 00:58:19,280
since I don't have it, I don't know if I

1156
00:58:19,320 --> 00:58:21,519
want to take a bad number with them here. So

1157
00:58:24,400 --> 00:58:28,039
Corpus Christy, I would think that move is likely due

1158
00:58:28,039 --> 00:58:30,320
to Gibson not playing. That's that's the only thing that really,

1159
00:58:30,599 --> 00:58:34,400
in my opinion, would cause a move like that. Over

1160
00:58:34,480 --> 00:58:37,840
two points, he matters, but again he's not like I mean,

1161
00:58:37,840 --> 00:58:40,440
there's he's one of like three or four options for them.

1162
00:58:40,519 --> 00:58:42,559
Speaker 2: So can they still win? Yeah?

1163
00:58:42,599 --> 00:58:46,280
Speaker 1: I think probably that should be a pretty competitive game

1164
00:58:46,280 --> 00:58:48,599
in the Southland, which is I feel like a lot

1165
00:58:48,679 --> 00:58:50,840
of those games are are competitive games that can go

1166
00:58:50,880 --> 00:58:52,920
either way once you get McNeice out of that mcnease

1167
00:58:52,960 --> 00:58:55,880
and Stephen F. Austin like that middle of that league

1168
00:58:55,960 --> 00:58:58,719
is quite competitive as well, and both these teams fall

1169
00:58:58,760 --> 00:58:59,519
into the mix there.

1170
00:59:02,760 --> 00:59:05,159
Speaker 2: All right, we've reached the end of the show, Robino.

1171
00:59:05,159 --> 00:59:06,800
Speaker 1: We hit a two team er on Friday, so we

1172
00:59:06,880 --> 00:59:08,719
got to try to do it again today as we

1173
00:59:08,960 --> 00:59:11,559
claw back toward even on the parlays, I thought, I

1174
00:59:11,639 --> 00:59:14,320
thought Kelly was gonna get us home with a back

1175
00:59:14,360 --> 00:59:16,880
door would have been an all time back door. Closely,

1176
00:59:17,079 --> 00:59:21,519
they were down by a trillion and they cut it

1177
00:59:21,559 --> 00:59:23,719
to like ten. I think she had ten and a half.

1178
00:59:24,639 --> 00:59:26,679
It just needed one more three to fall at the

1179
00:59:26,760 --> 00:59:29,840
end there. Just could not get that last one to go,

1180
00:59:30,400 --> 00:59:33,679
which that cost us the parlay on Saturday. So we're

1181
00:59:33,679 --> 00:59:37,199
back here, two team er today, Robino. It's Bethune Cookman

1182
00:59:37,519 --> 00:59:42,000
team total over eighty and a half correct, correct, So

1183
00:59:42,039 --> 00:59:45,039
we've got Bethune Cookman team total over eighty and a half.

1184
00:59:45,480 --> 00:59:47,679
I'm gonna go with Lemoyne on the money line minus

1185
00:59:47,679 --> 00:59:48,360
one fifteen.

1186
00:59:49,000 --> 00:59:49,920
Speaker 2: That is a client play.

1187
00:59:50,000 --> 00:59:53,280
Speaker 1: For me, and we will be back tomorrow ten am

1188
00:59:53,360 --> 00:59:56,199
Eastern for more full court press. As we said earlier

1189
00:59:56,239 --> 01:00:00,400
in the show, Double the Firepower CDB, all of my plays,

1190
01:00:00,440 --> 01:00:02,880
all of Rob's plays. I'm looking right now, I'm probably

1191
01:00:02,880 --> 01:00:04,880
gonna have more than that le Moine play for today,

1192
01:00:05,119 --> 01:00:08,519
So let's cash some tickets. Robino, I'm gonna go shovel

1193
01:00:08,559 --> 01:00:11,360
some snow. We'll see you guys tomorrow ten am Eastern

1194
01:00:19,199 --> 01:00:19,239
Speaker 3: H