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Speaker 1: Welcome to Way Did You Talk Today, the gold standard

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of sports betting shows where we talk the talk and

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walk the walk.

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Speaker 2: Monday.

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Speaker 1: We have a big, big lineup today. Yanni the Greek

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is gonna join us with the Steam Report. We're gonna

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talk Monday night football, early action on college football in NFL.

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Crack Man's gonna join us. We're gonna talk on Monday

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night football. Prop for the Jaguars Chiefs. Steve Merrill, You're

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gonna give you two baseball breakdowns as well as a

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Monday night football breakdown and special treat but they were not.

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NHL is getting ready to start, so car Mine's gonna

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jump in here at the end, give us a couple

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of NHL futures and get us ready for the start

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of this season.

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Speaker 2: Got a big show. You guys know what to do.

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Hit that like button. Let's bring in Yannie. It's Monday.

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Speaker 1: We gotta get this day. It started off on the

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right foot. Yanni, how are you my friend?

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Speaker 3: Never better man?

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Speaker 4: God bless America. What a country just making eleven betting sports.

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It's a great, great country we live in. Waking up

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Monday and looking at the accounts, it's a beautiful thing. Man,

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it's a beautiful thing, but I think a couple are

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gonna be shut down by the end of the day.

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Speaker 3: They just crushed the.

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Speaker 4: College football and a lot of those live bets. I

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can't use them for subscribers. But once they start digging

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into those live screens and start beating up WNBA and

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beating up like NFL college football, they start shutting those

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down quickly.

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Speaker 3: So just throwing it out there.

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Speaker 4: Anybody got any good credit accounts, hit me up, let's

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make some money. But with that said, it's a busy day,

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busy week ahead. We have baseball today, two playoff games,

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two big playoff games. Especially for my Philadelphia Phillies, not

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in a good spot today at all.

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Speaker 3: Last thing, I wanted.

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Speaker 4: To see where the Dodgers has road favorites in a

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must win game for Philadelphia and starting to see some

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money coming in on Philadelphia. I do not like that.

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Just throwing it out there. I don't have a position

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on the game. You know, I have a future on

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the Phillies. I have a future on Seattle, so I'm

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a little bit biased on both of those teams. I'm

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hoping Philly can get it done as a home dog,

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But like I said, not liking what I see with

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that betting line as far as the Cubs in Milwaukee

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game goes.

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Speaker 3: Good balance, not one way action.

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Speaker 4: In fact, you're starting to see a little more Cubs

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money from the recreational betters that are expecting this series

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to get even out. I personally have a four percent

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on Milwaukee to win this series, so I'm hoping Milwaukee

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gets the job done today as well. But I don't

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have anything to report as far as sharp money goes,

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except for the over in that Milwaukee and the Cubs game,

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and the over after it dropped to seven and a

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half because it opened to eight, came down to seven

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and a half.

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Speaker 3: And then that's when you started seeing some over money.

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Speaker 4: So obviously a little difference of opinion on the total

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between the Cubs and Milwaukee, but again, not nothing really

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big to report there real quickly in the NFL, another

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game where you're seeing a low spread, so it's kind

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of good two way action even though it's the Chiefs

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as road favors, they're not as one sided as you

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would expect. Good balance for the books, and they don't

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have a lot of risk coming in off of yesterday.

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Yesterday's Sunday night game. Getting the cover for the Dog

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and keeping the game under was a good result for

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the books. We had a big four percent on the

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under that came in for us. You got two good defenses.

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That's what we're looking at with Kansas City and the

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Jacksonville Jaguars. The number three most efficient defense on Kansas City,

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number ten most efficient defense for Jacksonville. It's gonna be

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which offense shows up. Obviously, Kansas City's from papers offense

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is better than Jacksonville, which is, you know, barely in

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the in the top twenty right now. Home field advantage

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about one point eight points for Jacksonville. Strength of schedule

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so far has been about the same between the two,

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so it's a tough game to cap. It seems like

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from the recreational betters like they're not all diving in.

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So it seems like people have a lot more handicapping

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to do before they get to the window with tonight's game.

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Speaker 3: And we haven't seen any line movement either.

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Speaker 4: Sat three and a half was where the opener was

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sitting around three and a half. Knowing three is such

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a key number, that's a telling sigde that you're not seeing,

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you know, any real risk yet for the books. As

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far as the total goes, we saw the total come

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up and then come back down, meaning it got that

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up from forty four and a half to forty six,

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and at forty six you saw some under money as well.

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Speaker 3: So there's money all over the place.

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Speaker 4: In tonight's baseball and NFL game, which is gonna get

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all the action. And from a market perspective, this is

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a good day to be a book maker. You're gonna

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get a ton of volume and they're gonna end up

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not having all that much risk on either side, so

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they'll be able to sweep up that big It's twenty

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of those days again, that's good to be a book maker.

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Speaker 2: Let's do a couple of look aheads.

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Speaker 1: I know you said we got a little bit of

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action here opening Let well, Teddy just did. Yeah, Teddy

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just did opening line report where he goes over all

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the look aheads for this coming up week in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: What are you seeing for college and NF fell so far?

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Speaker 3: All right, Let's look at college football.

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Speaker 4: A couple of the marquee games now Oklahoma, Texas, Georgia, Auburn,

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no movement at all, Texas Open three sitting at three,

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Auburn open three and a half sitting at three and

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a half. But the marquee matchups that we did see movement.

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We saw Florida State go from the opener of nine

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and a half got bet and also minus ten against

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pitt We saw Missouri get money at plus four and

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plus three and a half also against Alabama as home dogs.

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We saw Arizona State grab six against Utah. We saw

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BYU minus one over Arizona Florida. They took eight and

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a half, and they took eight against A and M

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South Carolina. They took the ten against LSU and finally

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Indiana against a red hot and popular Oregon team. They

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took the nine and a half, they took the nine,

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they took the eight and a half, they took the

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eight on.

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Speaker 3: Indiana over Oregon.

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Speaker 4: So they bet Florida State, Missouri, Arizona State BYU, Florida,

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South Carolina, and Indiana in those marquee matchups real quickly

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in the NFL, A couple of the look ahead lines

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that had followed through that's what you want to pay

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attention to on your odds logic screen. Indianapolis minus three

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minus one twenty five was the look ahead. They opened

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it at five that got hit. Five and a half

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got hit as well. No surprise, a lot of recency

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bias around the Colts. The Rams. Baltimore is a team.

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They're fading, looking fade Baltimore. The look ahead was six

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and a half that got bet. The seven opener got

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bet as well. Miami, another team, Chargers starting to get faded.

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They took Miami at plus five and a half the

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open at the look ahead. They took five at the

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opener as well. Tampa Bay over San Francisco, fading the

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injured San Francisco team. They laid the one and a

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half look ahead. They laid the two opener. They laid

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the two and a half as well. Green Bay against

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Cincinnati they laid the points again, fading Cincinnati, which got

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blown out once again. They laid thirteen and a half

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was the look ahead. The opener was fourteen. They laid

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that as well. And next Monday night Atlanta over Buffalo,

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which did not look good last night on Sunday Night football,

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and no surprise, little recency bias there. They took the

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five look ahead on Atlanta. They took the four and

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a half opener and the four that was sitting up there.

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So that's some of the early NFL look ahead steam

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that got followed through.

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Speaker 3: On Monday, we talk.

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Speaker 2: About recency bias. Do you think the books react enough?

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Not enough? How do the syndicates handle this?

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Speaker 1: Because recency bias, obviously you can get some bloated numbers,

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but then you know there's some of these teams. Listen,

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I think this Baltimore team is a train wreck. I

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think they're saving everyone until after the bye week. They're

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gonna go in the buy one and five and then their.

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Speaker 2: Schedule get super super easy.

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Speaker 1: That was a I picked them in Survivor and I'm

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looking at this going, what have you seen from this

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Baltimore team?

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Speaker 2: This is not a This is not the Baltimore Ravens.

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Speaker 1: They have all their backups on defense and they have

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a backup quarterback.

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Speaker 2: It's just not the Ravens. I'm pretty surprised.

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Speaker 1: I would be surprised if this doesn't make it to

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double digits here. So what your take on recency bias

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or is it just game by game?

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Speaker 5: No.

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Speaker 4: I think what happens is the book is forced to

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shade towards that recency bias. They have to because betters

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remember what they saw last and they're going to react

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to it. So the books are forced to shade towards

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that bias. But it's then we, the market. I think

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that overreacts. That's what I think ends up happening. Kind

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of like the same thing with injuries, where the book

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knows this quarterback's worth four point five points to the

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betting line, we're going to adjust at four and a

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half points. But then we the market says, oh no,

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he's worth more than that, and next thing you know,

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it's a six and a half seven point adjustment. That

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wasn't the books adjusting it. That was we, the market,

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disagreeing with the books adjustment. And I think that's what

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you see. And a perfect case was Baltimore. Here's the

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difficulty of the books. Let's remember Week one, they lost

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the Buffalo in a game that was improbable to lose,

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meaning they had like a ninety nine point nine percent

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probability of winning very late in that game they lost.

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After that loss, they were still considered the best team

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on paper.

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Speaker 3: The weekend after that, they beat.

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Speaker 4: Cleveland by what twenty four points as thirteen point favorites.

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So Azov going into September twenty second. Just two three

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weeks ago, they were considered the best team in the NFL.

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In fact, they were four and a half point favorites

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over the best team in the NFL right now, the

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Detroit Lions. They lost that game by eight points. Still

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everyone thought, this is a team on paper, they're one

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and two, but they're arguably the best team in the NFL.

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Then they lose the KC and they get blown away

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by Houston and all that is forgotten that quickly. That's

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what the difficulty of the books is that two weeks ago,

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three weeks ago, on paper wise, guys are arguing this

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one in two Baltimore team should still be favored over

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more or less everyone on neutral field, but the market says, no,

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they suck. They're starting to fame Baltimore. That's the difficulty

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the books have with teams like that. So I give

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them kind of a break and they sometimes they're playing

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catch up. More times than not they're ahead, but sometimes

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they are caught playing catch up, and a team like Baltimore,

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I think that's what's happening right now, where betters are

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just lining up to fade them and they can't lower

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them quick enough on their power ratings.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I'm just looking at Yeah, I mean

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green Bay is what might's fourteen.

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Speaker 2: And a half against the Bengals.

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Speaker 1: What's the difference between the Bengals and the Ravens Exactly.

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They're both on backup quarterbacks. They both can't stop anybody.

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So I'm just I'm really surprised on that rams on

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the road.

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Speaker 2: Who cares? Going on like that?

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Speaker 1: Crowd's going to be excited to go watch Cooper Rush

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and that defense play.

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Speaker 2: A nice job.

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Speaker 1: You and I both hit our best bets in UFC.

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We all know five percents just just mean a little

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bit more in a little bit of industry. It just

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actually a lot more. So awesome stuff with that Happy

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Monday to you. What do you have up for everyone?

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Speaker 3: Thank you brother.

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Speaker 4: As of right now, the package that's going up within

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the next sixty minutes, the Monday night football game just

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was waiting for a little confirmation because I really have

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a strong, strong lean that I think is coming through

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that should be up, and of course I'll have my

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Saturday college football, my Sunday NFL UP already have some

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plays for subscribers ready to go. Tomorrow's Contender series. We

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have a big UFC card on Saturday. I think you

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got a five percent ready to pop there as well.

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Speaker 3: So it's a busy week.

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Speaker 4: We got a lot ahead, a good couple months to

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close out the year. Head on over to wages talk

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dot com. Jump on board another winning football season ahead.

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We've won every single week in college football so far.

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Let's just keep it going, keep grinding, all.

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Speaker 1: Right, Yanni the Greek, Let's get this week off to

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the right foot. Let's let's cash on Monday night football. So, Benjamin,

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how about them Colts? Listen, There's there's two things you

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want in a hometown team that you're rooting for. The

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first is can they just be likable? We like, Okay,

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we'll get to winning, but can they be likable and

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fun to watch? And then it's winning? And this Colts

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team has both of them. It is freaking awesome to

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watch this Colts team. Yeah, they beat up on a

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bad team, but yes, the Colts are such a pleasant surprise.

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And yes it is an indictment on the New York

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Giants that they were sitting on Daniel Jones, who looks

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this incredibly good? So it's it's it's it's it's awesome. Man,

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it's it's a lot of fun here in Indianapolis. So

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all right, Dan, let's do overreactions where the books won,

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where the public one and some props, fantasy winners and losers.

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All right, overreactions two week find Jackson Dart is not

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ready to start. They started him too early. The Jets

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are the worst team in the NFL. I don't know

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if that's an overreaction, like because they're actually putting out

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their starters like the other teams that are hurt.

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Speaker 2: I don't know.

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Speaker 1: Steelers are gonna win the AFC North and they didn't

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even play this week. I saw Josh Allen is not

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the MVP tweet last night, and.

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Speaker 2: Then Dan, we jumped the gun on Mark Sanchez.

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Speaker 1: The overreaction was Mark Sanchez was a victim of violence

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in a city full of chaos and anarchy.

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Speaker 6: That was almost like, you don't need to live tweet

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every single thing that happened in the world. We can

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shut up for five seconds and get some facts before

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we start live tweeting.

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Speaker 7: It's almost like we could do that.

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Speaker 1: I'm I'm being dead serious when I tell you the

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story first came out and the reaction every when the

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city was downtown is becoming too dangerous.

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Speaker 2: You can't go down there. That was literally a storyline

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in Indianapolis.

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Speaker 1: And then it was like and then it was like, oh,

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maybe it's just dangerous when Mark Sanchez is blacked out

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walking around attacking.

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Speaker 6: And then driver I don't know if you saw Andy

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that they released like the video of what went down, unhinged,

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unhinted is going to jail.

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Speaker 2: He is in jail. They released him from the hospital

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and took him to jail.

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Speaker 1: So anyway, shout out to downtown Indianapolis, not nearly as dangerous.

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Speaker 2: As uh as as as we said.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's go to where the books won and

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where the public one boy boy. The books won a

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lot on some teasers and money lines thanks to the

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Cardinals blowing it and the Bills blowing it. Vikings browns

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Under was a huge, huge play that did not get there.

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So the books did very, very well there and where

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the public won big Colts minus points and Lions minus points.

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Speaker 2: Those were huge, huge gets for the public.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to props and fantasy football winners and losers. Dan,

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your boy, DeVonta Smith is having a really good year.

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00:14:24,360 --> 00:14:27,919
Justin Jefferson is starting to click. He's starting to pay

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dividends in the props market. Rashid Shaheed Dan excellent call

311
00:14:31,799 --> 00:14:36,519
on Rashid Shaheed justin Fields. I mean, garbage time still counts.

312
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This guy is like a fantasy football monster. Even though

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00:14:40,039 --> 00:14:42,879
it's sometimes it's in time that doesn't even matter. This

314
00:14:43,039 --> 00:14:45,840
Ryan Floornoy for the Cowboys. Where did he come from?

315
00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:49,480
Never even heard of him? But congratulations to him. Ricodowbell

316
00:14:49,840 --> 00:14:52,679
comes in for Cchuba Hubbard two hundred yard day. Jalen

317
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Wattle something for Tyreek Hill. That was one that a

318
00:14:55,240 --> 00:14:56,879
lot of us in the props market were like, why

319
00:14:56,879 --> 00:14:59,039
didn't we play Jalen Watta with Tyreek Kill out?

320
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Speaker 2: CJ.

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Speaker 1: Stre is starting to put up some big numbers at

322
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Baker and Obuka.

323
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Speaker 2: What a duo, this, what a duo this team is.

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Speaker 1: I continue to say, at the end of the year,

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you're gonna have the Chiefs and the Bucks with the

326
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best wide receiving core if everyone's healthy and back. Jamar Chase,

327
00:15:15,399 --> 00:15:18,840
garbage time again still counts. Krosskey Merritt. He has wrapped

328
00:15:18,919 --> 00:15:21,320
up that job in Washington. He looks great and Stefan

329
00:15:21,399 --> 00:15:26,279
Diggs looks rejuvenated. Huge revenge game last night and fantasy

330
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football and props losers, Dan your boys. Saquon Barkley not

331
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getting it done right now. But again, the Eagles have.

332
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Speaker 2: Much bigger fish to fry.

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Speaker 1: I would would, I would expect his rate, his usage

334
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rate to go up a little bit, but he's not

335
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put up the stats. Derrick Henry, Holy cow, Derrick Henry

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Fantasy owners, prop betters, Yikes, this is getting bad. The

337
00:15:48,159 --> 00:15:54,039
Raiders are props and fantasy wasteland tough one. If you

338
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had a Mari de Mercado anytime touchdown, that's a brutal beat.

339
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Speaker 2: The Chargers there's just.

340
00:15:59,159 --> 00:16:02,159
Speaker 1: Too many injuries on the offensive line, and Woodie Marks

341
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look like you had the starting job in Houston. And

342
00:16:04,440 --> 00:16:06,600
then they're like, Nope, we're gonna run Nick Chubb. So

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those are your fantasy football and props winners and losers.

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All right, We're gonna bring in crack Man and get

345
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his thoughts on the weekend, and then we're going to

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talk a prop bill Happy Monday.

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Speaker 5: How are you, sir, betting a prop as we speak? Sorry?

348
00:16:23,919 --> 00:16:27,000
Speaker 2: Oh nice? Would you like to share with the rest

349
00:16:27,039 --> 00:16:27,840
of the class.

350
00:16:28,399 --> 00:16:30,399
Speaker 8: Yeah, let me just get into one more spot. Well,

351
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we're on a live show, but I don't care. I'll

352
00:16:32,000 --> 00:16:36,159
tell them now. I just paid that MGM over worthy

353
00:16:36,600 --> 00:16:42,600
receiving yards over worthy receiving yards fifty five and a

354
00:16:42,639 --> 00:16:44,559
half MGM fifty four and a half half a couple

355
00:16:44,600 --> 00:16:47,159
of I don't think his injuries that serious though, And

356
00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:51,360
to be honest with that's discount because of it. I

357
00:16:51,399 --> 00:16:55,200
also released that last week and it was a pretty

358
00:16:55,200 --> 00:16:58,600
easy winner, but it was a lot more yards. So yeah,

359
00:16:58,639 --> 00:17:02,120
there's a live live prop here guys.

360
00:17:02,159 --> 00:17:05,759
Speaker 2: Sorry, I'm I. I like these receptions.

361
00:17:05,799 --> 00:17:07,720
Speaker 1: I like his yards because, yeah, they seem to be

362
00:17:07,799 --> 00:17:09,720
trying to make a big deal out of this injury,

363
00:17:09,759 --> 00:17:12,640
and it doesn't really seem like that big, that big

364
00:17:12,640 --> 00:17:15,160
of a deal. So what they said spelling in his

365
00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:18,720
ankle on the flight, like, it's not it's not like

366
00:17:18,720 --> 00:17:19,160
he got.

367
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Speaker 2: Hit by a car or anything.

368
00:17:20,559 --> 00:17:23,559
Speaker 1: Uh so, uh, what was your thoughts on the weekend?

369
00:17:23,680 --> 00:17:26,400
We did some overreactions. What was your what was your taken?

370
00:17:26,720 --> 00:17:32,359
Speaker 8: Ever? You haven't mean anybody that had a nice weekend. Again,

371
00:17:32,759 --> 00:17:35,000
I've won like every week in college. I've had a

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00:17:35,000 --> 00:17:39,240
good week, good weekend in even NFL and props and stuff.

373
00:17:40,200 --> 00:17:42,839
Probably I'm up a lot of money so far and

374
00:17:43,160 --> 00:17:45,599
in this last month. And have you ever met anybody

375
00:17:45,680 --> 00:17:49,480
that is still sour? I am so sour. I am

376
00:17:49,519 --> 00:17:55,920
so upset about Arizona losing, knocking me out of the contest.

377
00:17:56,119 --> 00:18:00,880
Uh many contests I had. It costs me a lot

378
00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:03,559
of money, including Rendisimo, which I had a third of

379
00:18:03,559 --> 00:18:07,240
an entry. So it was a very expensive day as

380
00:18:07,279 --> 00:18:10,160
far as that goes. But even with the contest losing

381
00:18:10,599 --> 00:18:14,359
a lot of money, I'm still having a good financial

382
00:18:14,400 --> 00:18:17,839
seam a month. And but it's just the way Arizona lost.

383
00:18:17,880 --> 00:18:19,359
And I know it's in the moment. I usually don't

384
00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:22,200
live in the moment, in the moment losing the way

385
00:18:22,279 --> 00:18:25,400
Arizona lost and knock me out of these things. You're

386
00:18:25,400 --> 00:18:28,400
going in for the score twenty eight to six, it

387
00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:31,039
would have been and the guy just dropping the ball.

388
00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:33,279
These guys get millions of dollars and they want to

389
00:18:33,279 --> 00:18:36,079
like nonchalant and not don't even think like pull up

390
00:18:36,119 --> 00:18:38,440
before you go in the end zone, don't hold the

391
00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:44,079
ball like Yeah, it was a very upsetting day for me.

392
00:18:44,160 --> 00:18:45,799
The end of the day there Usually I don't go

393
00:18:45,880 --> 00:18:46,640
on on things too.

394
00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:49,079
Speaker 5: I wake up. It is what it is. You go on,

395
00:18:49,599 --> 00:18:51,039
and I am treating it that way.

396
00:18:51,079 --> 00:18:53,799
Speaker 8: As you can see, I'm betting props here, uh doing

397
00:18:53,839 --> 00:18:57,599
some other things, but uh yeah, pretty upset at that Arizona. Again,

398
00:18:57,599 --> 00:18:59,240
I don't know if you guys, Wow, I'm sure most

399
00:18:59,279 --> 00:19:01,440
of you guys probably know about it and what happened

400
00:19:01,440 --> 00:19:05,920
in the game. Tennessee's a terrible team just but then again,

401
00:19:06,480 --> 00:19:09,880
gotta be blunts. Not real fond than Arizona. I wasn't really,

402
00:19:10,519 --> 00:19:12,559
I didn't have a lot of faith putting my money

403
00:19:13,559 --> 00:19:17,759
on it was either Arizona or the Colts. I felt

404
00:19:17,880 --> 00:19:20,119
that's right. I felt the Colts have a better quarterback.

405
00:19:20,200 --> 00:19:24,240
Speaker 5: I just did. But schedule wise and.

406
00:19:24,160 --> 00:19:28,440
Speaker 8: To use Arizona, that was the best opportunity to use them.

407
00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:30,599
Both Colts and them were both seven seven and that

408
00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:34,279
point favorites. I already used the Bills, not that it mattered.

409
00:19:34,359 --> 00:19:35,119
Speaker 5: Bills lost.

410
00:19:35,759 --> 00:19:40,079
Speaker 8: The only other real survivor there is Detroit, and Detroit

411
00:19:40,240 --> 00:19:42,680
is on the road. I don't like using road teams

412
00:19:42,759 --> 00:19:46,319
in these type of contests. You know, I had a

413
00:19:46,319 --> 00:19:48,599
buddy of mine text me, I really respect this morning

414
00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:52,319
how Arizona was the optimal pick, and he actually said,

415
00:19:53,079 --> 00:19:55,480
you know that he just can't believe how so many

416
00:19:55,480 --> 00:20:00,079
of these people picked three point favorites and how they

417
00:20:00,079 --> 00:20:04,400
got through. It's the equivalent of risking whatever your equity

418
00:20:04,440 --> 00:20:06,799
is minus three hundred, because your implied value is only

419
00:20:06,799 --> 00:20:08,559
gonna go up twenty five thirty percent if you went

420
00:20:08,599 --> 00:20:10,519
on average. It's just a long and more of an

421
00:20:10,559 --> 00:20:14,480
analytical background. And I'm just trying to put some of

422
00:20:14,519 --> 00:20:17,680
his words in Layman's terms. He's very, very smart, very

423
00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:20,200
smart guy. He's a contest player, only he doesn't really

424
00:20:20,240 --> 00:20:24,880
gamble that much actually, But yeah, so it was it

425
00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:28,680
was really really upset, really upset, so that that I'm sorry,

426
00:20:28,759 --> 00:20:31,759
I was really upset, just that I have partners too.

427
00:20:31,799 --> 00:20:33,839
They're putting let me be blunt, and they're putting up

428
00:20:33,839 --> 00:20:36,440
thirty three thousand dollars. So I have two other partners

429
00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:39,359
put up thirty three thousand dollars each. They have faith

430
00:20:39,400 --> 00:20:42,319
in me having the right decision. But I do check

431
00:20:42,359 --> 00:20:44,720
with them, even though I get the final call. I

432
00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:48,119
do check with them before and both of them agreed

433
00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:51,839
with the pick. But there was a fraction of time

434
00:20:51,880 --> 00:20:54,960
we thought about the colts. So we looked at the

435
00:20:54,960 --> 00:20:56,920
schedule and we thought that this was the only time

436
00:20:57,000 --> 00:20:59,440
Arizona was going to have. You know, they're playing the

437
00:20:59,440 --> 00:21:02,359
worst team in ball argument, Yeah, no they are. I mean,

438
00:21:02,400 --> 00:21:05,640
Carolina's probably not the worst anymore, even before Yesterday's got

439
00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:07,519
into Tennessee's like the worst team in football.

440
00:21:07,559 --> 00:21:10,599
Speaker 5: So I think this is a good pick. I do

441
00:21:10,720 --> 00:21:13,839
it again and again. This is a freak thing. Man.

442
00:21:13,960 --> 00:21:17,279
Speaker 8: So many things had to go right for Tennessee. But

443
00:21:17,599 --> 00:21:20,039
you know, it's funny, Andy, it didn't stop me from

444
00:21:20,079 --> 00:21:22,799
going to one of the best restaurants last night, the Carbone.

445
00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:24,880
I went to Carbone last night after I lost that,

446
00:21:25,279 --> 00:21:26,839
because what are you gonna do. What are you gonna

447
00:21:26,880 --> 00:21:28,640
do is sit around and stuck about it all day.

448
00:21:28,799 --> 00:21:29,519
Speaker 5: But I walk up.

449
00:21:29,480 --> 00:21:32,480
Speaker 8: Today thinking about it a little bit, and I kind

450
00:21:32,480 --> 00:21:35,279
of feel bad for other Listen.

451
00:21:35,119 --> 00:21:37,079
Speaker 5: I lose my own money. I feel bad when other

452
00:21:37,119 --> 00:21:39,000
people lose money because of me.

453
00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:41,079
Speaker 8: But then again, I'm feeling bad for a guy that's

454
00:21:41,079 --> 00:21:44,319
got his own private jet restaurants. Strip club is the

455
00:21:44,319 --> 00:21:46,599
guys in multi league we're not even thinking about. I mean,

456
00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:49,240
I mean, but I just you know, they put their

457
00:21:49,279 --> 00:21:52,200
faith in me. And again we all agree, so.

458
00:21:52,839 --> 00:21:54,200
Speaker 5: Uh, it was it was a fun. It was a

459
00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:57,359
fun thing. Granted them all. I'll get them again next year,

460
00:21:57,920 --> 00:22:00,279
god willing. And even the.

461
00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:03,680
Speaker 8: Survivor though knocked me out of many entries on I'm

462
00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:05,200
down to one entry and survivor.

463
00:22:05,279 --> 00:22:08,240
Speaker 5: So, uh, this is a real big lot of carnage.

464
00:22:08,319 --> 00:22:12,079
Speaker 8: Yesterday this I'm sorry, it was only Sunday, bloody Sunday.

465
00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:15,559
Speaker 5: It was Thursday, bloody Thursday. The Rams lose it, which

466
00:22:15,559 --> 00:22:17,599
I thought I was a genius now had no Rams bick.

467
00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:20,079
I said, this is great. Rams is out. Lost a

468
00:22:20,079 --> 00:22:23,799
lot of the pool. And what happens. You know, you lose, uh,

469
00:22:24,279 --> 00:22:26,720
you know, you lose the big one with with Arinzona.

470
00:22:26,839 --> 00:22:28,519
So it happens. I'm over it.

471
00:22:28,799 --> 00:22:33,519
Speaker 8: Had a good day financially though, betting good weekend again,

472
00:22:33,720 --> 00:22:34,680
having a great season.

473
00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:37,039
Speaker 5: Which what's gonna happen. It's going to happen.

474
00:22:37,480 --> 00:22:40,119
Speaker 8: Uh, Like I've been telling people from the beginning over

475
00:22:40,119 --> 00:22:42,559
here on Wadier Talk, we're gonna win.

476
00:22:43,279 --> 00:22:45,599
Speaker 5: As long as you don't get thrown out or limited.

477
00:22:45,880 --> 00:22:49,440
Speaker 8: You're gonna win. So which is unfortunately when I get

478
00:22:49,480 --> 00:22:51,240
thrown out and limited. But there are a couple of

479
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:53,960
books in town that do take my bets. Thank God

480
00:22:54,039 --> 00:22:57,480
that the Westgate's taking a prop for me circus taking

481
00:22:57,480 --> 00:23:00,839
a prop from me. The wind take some straight good

482
00:23:00,839 --> 00:23:03,880
good totals, and and so does the other sports books

483
00:23:03,880 --> 00:23:05,720
I have. I have like three or four here in

484
00:23:05,839 --> 00:23:08,359
town that that takes some good prop bets off me.

485
00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:09,519
Speaker 5: So I'm happy about that.

486
00:23:10,839 --> 00:23:12,680
Speaker 2: Well, let's talk about some props that you know. You

487
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:14,799
gave us a quick little one on zeb You're worthy.

488
00:23:14,839 --> 00:23:16,079
What's another prop you're looking for?

489
00:23:16,559 --> 00:23:18,839
Speaker 5: No, just right now, it was just worthy, to be

490
00:23:18,880 --> 00:23:20,400
honest with, You're worthy. Was a problem.

491
00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:24,200
Speaker 8: Just so happens that I just started betting it when

492
00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:26,079
we got when we came on air. So there's as

493
00:23:26,079 --> 00:23:30,119
a free one for everyone worthy over. You know, Andy,

494
00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:32,440
I don't like bett I tell you, I'm still that

495
00:23:32,519 --> 00:23:33,640
old school mind.

496
00:23:33,799 --> 00:23:36,880
Speaker 5: I sometimes hate betting these overs. I'm an under guy.

497
00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:38,839
Speaker 8: I'm an under guy because I always think that the

498
00:23:39,839 --> 00:23:43,440
value is going against the public, going against the marquee team.

499
00:23:43,799 --> 00:23:48,480
But these books have adjusted to the point where I

500
00:23:48,559 --> 00:23:51,319
am playing more and more overs on player props.

501
00:23:51,559 --> 00:23:52,599
Speaker 5: Is it built in value?

502
00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:56,000
Speaker 8: Put betting under quarterback gets heard or something comes out

503
00:23:56,039 --> 00:23:59,480
for a couple of plays, or you know, and and

504
00:23:59,559 --> 00:24:02,440
also was the tax that you pay in the way

505
00:24:02,440 --> 00:24:07,200
of extra yardage? But However, now I'm noticing spots where

506
00:24:07,200 --> 00:24:09,160
I'm betting a lot of overs and they're cashing.

507
00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:12,960
Speaker 5: So it's a total different game. If you don't evolve

508
00:24:13,079 --> 00:24:16,640
every year, you will not win. It's that simple.

509
00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:19,640
Speaker 8: Even like Super Bowl props, my first ten, you're only

510
00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:21,799
allowed to bet two at the counter at west Gate.

511
00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:23,960
Speaker 5: I remember going up in the lottery, You're allowed to

512
00:24:23,960 --> 00:24:24,319
bet two.

513
00:24:24,319 --> 00:24:26,400
Speaker 8: I bet eleven. I had a circle and I only

514
00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:28,839
got the bet ten of them. I had like five

515
00:24:28,920 --> 00:24:30,680
or six overs. Now, I mean it ran good there,

516
00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:31,640
so it was nine to one on.

517
00:24:31,559 --> 00:24:34,519
Speaker 5: That first list. So but even going back from the

518
00:24:34,559 --> 00:24:36,680
count dump from the decks, I can't believe I'm betting

519
00:24:36,759 --> 00:24:40,559
like six overs out of eleven. It's just impossible. It's

520
00:24:40,559 --> 00:24:40,960
just never.

521
00:24:41,240 --> 00:24:43,559
Speaker 8: I've made a lot of money betting unders in my career,

522
00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:46,079
a lot of money and the reason why I get

523
00:24:46,079 --> 00:24:48,720
thrown at so many sportsbooks betting props. So we can

524
00:24:48,799 --> 00:24:53,640
bet overs now. Hopefully Worthy continues that streak of overs.

525
00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:56,559
And I know everyone wants to bet sides out there.

526
00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:57,200
Speaker 5: I get it.

527
00:24:57,279 --> 00:25:00,680
Speaker 8: I get it. Sides as fun as the biggest thing

528
00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:03,640
you talk about. Everyone loves betting sides. You know you

529
00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:06,759
want to bet your favorite team tonight. I released the

530
00:25:06,759 --> 00:25:09,480
other day on wader Talk minus three minus twenty I

531
00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:12,720
believe on KC a lot of terrain of hats. Now know,

532
00:25:12,839 --> 00:25:14,519
unless you buy it, unless you can find a spot,

533
00:25:14,759 --> 00:25:17,839
and it's very price sensitive. At minus three minus thirty,

534
00:25:17,839 --> 00:25:21,440
it's a no play. That's how tight these margins are.

535
00:25:21,799 --> 00:25:23,880
That's how tight they are. Now a lot of other

536
00:25:23,880 --> 00:25:27,400
people in general that I notice. I know a couple

537
00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:32,160
other people that sell picks and they say, oh, minus

538
00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:37,720
three minus twenty two or minus twenty five at rivers

539
00:25:38,119 --> 00:25:41,319
or at DraftKings where I'm not allowed to bet, you

540
00:25:41,319 --> 00:25:43,920
can bet two hundred fifty dollars. There's an old lady

541
00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:46,079
in Artur Rabitue in the Bronx that rent runs the

542
00:25:46,079 --> 00:25:46,759
hot dog part.

543
00:25:47,119 --> 00:25:50,000
Speaker 5: She takes more than that. So I mean, like, I.

544
00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:53,559
Speaker 8: Don't understand how these companies are in business. ESPN Bet,

545
00:25:53,640 --> 00:25:56,759
all these big companies. They don't take bets off winners,

546
00:25:57,279 --> 00:26:00,440
losers only dot com they should be named. It's really bad.

547
00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:03,119
And you know what, I do that at the risk

548
00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:06,079
of them sponsoring one of my shows down the line.

549
00:26:06,880 --> 00:26:08,559
Speaker 5: Thank God, I'm good in life. I don't have to

550
00:26:08,599 --> 00:26:09,319
worry about that.

551
00:26:09,519 --> 00:26:13,119
Speaker 8: Seriously, all the double birds to all these these places

552
00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:14,440
that uh you know.

553
00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:17,319
Speaker 5: Advertise and spend millions and millions on advertising.

554
00:26:17,599 --> 00:26:19,559
Speaker 8: Yet when it comes to taking bets off, someone that

555
00:26:19,559 --> 00:26:21,319
has a pulse gets for all the maut.

556
00:26:21,119 --> 00:26:23,960
Speaker 5: Alluming into a grocery dollar. All right, I'm ranting this morning.

557
00:26:23,960 --> 00:26:28,000
Speaker 8: Imagine I'm still rantom that makes me me though, I like.

558
00:26:27,960 --> 00:26:28,400
Speaker 7: To stick there.

559
00:26:28,440 --> 00:26:31,079
Speaker 2: You know, you're you're great. I actually just looked it

560
00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:32,599
up loosers dot com.

561
00:26:32,759 --> 00:26:36,400
Speaker 1: It's available, is it's it's it's owned by a group,

562
00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:37,119
but it's nothing.

563
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:41,559
Speaker 2: It's right they you you and let's let's talk after

564
00:26:41,559 --> 00:26:43,720
the show. Let's partner up. Let's buy losers.

565
00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:48,359
Speaker 1: Dot com, make a sports book out of it.

566
00:26:49,559 --> 00:26:53,720
Speaker 2: Be billionaires. That's awesome, Bill Monday. What do you have

567
00:26:53,839 --> 00:26:55,960
up for clients over at wager Talk Listen.

568
00:26:56,519 --> 00:26:58,240
Speaker 8: I'll say it again. I don't have to have to

569
00:26:58,240 --> 00:27:01,319
go to the site, but I know it. They're there's nowhere. Ever,

570
00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:06,359
I've sold the packages that that it's this cheap wager

571
00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:07,000
talk has.

572
00:27:08,559 --> 00:27:10,680
Speaker 5: I know. They told me, Bill, don't worry, we're gonna

573
00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:11,559
get a lot of volume.

574
00:27:11,599 --> 00:27:13,640
Speaker 8: And and and they have, they have, they have a

575
00:27:13,680 --> 00:27:16,400
lot of I mean these packages they have up though,

576
00:27:16,640 --> 00:27:19,400
there's nowhere where you can get a weekly package or

577
00:27:19,599 --> 00:27:23,440
or a season long package cheaper than wager talk for

578
00:27:23,599 --> 00:27:27,119
my stuff. I mean, like I said, and even the

579
00:27:27,119 --> 00:27:30,319
major league playoffs, we we've I shouldn't.

580
00:27:30,319 --> 00:27:32,680
Speaker 5: I shouldn't. I shouldn't do this shit. It's a bad

581
00:27:32,759 --> 00:27:33,119
old fan.

582
00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:33,319
Speaker 1: You know.

583
00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:33,759
Speaker 5: It's funny.

584
00:27:33,759 --> 00:27:35,079
Speaker 8: I was talking at one of my buddies last night,

585
00:27:35,119 --> 00:27:38,400
Teddy allis boxing guy. He's like, you never tell anyone

586
00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:41,720
it's over until it's absolutely over. And here I am

587
00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:43,799
opening my mouth already, so I give up. Of course,

588
00:27:43,839 --> 00:27:46,519
Toronto has a nice dog for the series. They're up

589
00:27:46,559 --> 00:27:50,279
to nothing. Hopefully they continue that. Yesterday Seattle a nice

590
00:27:50,279 --> 00:27:53,079
dog again. In baseball, I know we're a football season,

591
00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:57,599
but sometimes you get these these values against these marquee players.

592
00:27:57,640 --> 00:27:59,440
You know, I host a nationwide show on the weekend

593
00:27:59,480 --> 00:28:03,759
on Fox, and where I got this from was almost

594
00:28:03,799 --> 00:28:07,599
common sense. Yesterday everyone talking about school. Oh my god,

595
00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:08,279
this guy's great.

596
00:28:08,279 --> 00:28:08,680
Speaker 5: He's pitched.

597
00:28:08,720 --> 00:28:11,240
Speaker 8: Tonight they're up one nothing, they look great. This is

598
00:28:11,279 --> 00:28:13,680
a good spot for for a letdown and the dog here.

599
00:28:14,559 --> 00:28:16,279
Speaker 5: But anyway, going.

600
00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:18,200
Speaker 8: Back to that, what I was saying, uh, we got

601
00:28:18,200 --> 00:28:20,519
some baseball stuff up too, got football stuff up.

602
00:28:20,559 --> 00:28:24,880
Speaker 5: Of course, Like I said, the season is the best

603
00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:26,839
value there's there's nowhere else in the world. You're gonna

604
00:28:26,839 --> 00:28:27,640
get that value.

605
00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:30,440
Speaker 8: You know it's gonna We have some really good packages

606
00:28:30,599 --> 00:28:33,079
you can acquire within two to even get my package

607
00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:37,319
throughout Super Bowl, which, let me just tell you, super Bowl.

608
00:28:37,079 --> 00:28:40,240
Speaker 5: Props, playoff props, they are just money in the bank.

609
00:28:40,359 --> 00:28:41,799
So we got a lot of good stuff.

610
00:28:41,839 --> 00:28:44,200
Speaker 8: Andy here, uh go over the way to talk and

611
00:28:44,359 --> 00:28:45,839
find me over there and sign up.

612
00:28:47,119 --> 00:28:50,200
Speaker 2: Crack man joining us every Monday. Thank you so much.

613
00:28:51,039 --> 00:28:53,000
Do forget to go check out losing you dot Com.

614
00:28:53,079 --> 00:28:56,200
It's build and eyes next, next business measure.

615
00:28:56,359 --> 00:28:58,960
Speaker 1: So all right, guys, we have one best bet that

616
00:28:59,079 --> 00:29:02,599
is up for Monday football. Coming off a really nice

617
00:29:02,680 --> 00:29:04,920
run in NFL props, we're seeing the props really well.

618
00:29:05,119 --> 00:29:07,000
We're five and two so far this week, and we're

619
00:29:07,000 --> 00:29:10,079
six and one in primetime games this season, so we're

620
00:29:10,079 --> 00:29:13,440
seeing primetime really really well. Telling everybody my goal is

621
00:29:13,480 --> 00:29:15,440
fifty eight to fifty nine percent by the end of

622
00:29:15,480 --> 00:29:15,920
the season.

623
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:16,839
Speaker 2: We're almost there.

624
00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:19,160
Speaker 1: So if you want to jump on board, we're having

625
00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:22,279
a really really good week in NFL props also five percent.

626
00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:24,599
UFC best bet is up easy cash on a five

627
00:29:24,599 --> 00:29:27,319
percent on Saturday. We're coming right back with another one.

628
00:29:27,319 --> 00:29:29,759
The next two cards absolutely love. We will have five

629
00:29:29,759 --> 00:29:32,200
percent best bets in both of them. So you want

630
00:29:32,200 --> 00:29:34,480
to get the best number. Courage you to go grab

631
00:29:34,480 --> 00:29:35,200
that asap.

632
00:29:35,440 --> 00:29:37,519
Speaker 2: Lock in the bet. That way, you got the best number.

633
00:29:37,599 --> 00:29:40,680
Speaker 1: So NFL Prop of the Night we hit our last

634
00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:44,000
one on Monday Night Football, so take advantage, WT Dot,

635
00:29:44,039 --> 00:29:46,599
Buzz slash al come cash with us.

636
00:29:47,519 --> 00:29:49,039
Speaker 2: Let's do all around the world.

637
00:29:48,759 --> 00:29:52,039
Speaker 1: Here, give out some free plays and believe it or not,

638
00:29:52,960 --> 00:29:56,480
we got a darts play for tonight. That's right, free

639
00:29:56,559 --> 00:29:59,359
darts play coming. Let's do a prop in the Chiefs Jacks,

640
00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:03,240
Kareem Hunt over twenty seven and a half yards rushing.

641
00:30:03,920 --> 00:30:07,599
These Chiefs running backs have been bad, but I think

642
00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:09,880
this is too much of an overreaction. This is cream Hunt.

643
00:30:09,920 --> 00:30:12,519
He's had thirty plus yards the last three weeks and

644
00:30:12,799 --> 00:30:15,480
he leads the Chiefs in rush attempts this year. I

645
00:30:15,519 --> 00:30:18,960
don't think Pacheco's one hundred percent recovered from the injury

646
00:30:18,960 --> 00:30:21,960
from last year. For whatever reason, they trust Kaream Hunt.

647
00:30:22,039 --> 00:30:22,559
Speaker 2: They like him.

648
00:30:22,599 --> 00:30:25,039
Speaker 1: He's in there so I guess if the Vandy Reid

649
00:30:25,079 --> 00:30:28,359
Mahomes trust him, I guess we should too. Dodgers Phillies

650
00:30:28,359 --> 00:30:31,880
Ha sus Lozardo over fourteen and a half outs gone

651
00:30:31,920 --> 00:30:34,160
over in twenty seven out of thirty two games this season.

652
00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:37,400
Twenty one out's last couple games in the head to

653
00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:41,160
head matchup and the World Grand Prix of Darts that

654
00:30:41,319 --> 00:30:44,599
starts here at about thirty minutes. We're gonna take two

655
00:30:45,279 --> 00:30:47,920
players here, James Wade, and we're gonna parlay him with

656
00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:51,480
Gary Anderson. I don't want to bore you with dart stats.

657
00:30:51,519 --> 00:30:53,480
We're just getting the two best players in a format

658
00:30:53,480 --> 00:30:55,599
they're really good at. So we're gonna parlay James Wade

659
00:30:55,720 --> 00:30:58,240
and Gary Anderson and get these prices down to minus

660
00:30:58,279 --> 00:31:01,440
one twelve. It's a World Grand pre of darts, and

661
00:31:01,480 --> 00:31:04,160
we may or may not have client bets for darts

662
00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:09,039
up tomorrow. We'll see, all right, let's bring in Steve Merrill.

663
00:31:10,400 --> 00:31:12,720
Steve's gonna break down the Monday night football game.

664
00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:15,480
Speaker 7: I thought we were doing darts stats. I'm not at all.

665
00:31:16,839 --> 00:31:19,000
Speaker 1: Believe it or not. There are darts stats out there.

666
00:31:19,039 --> 00:31:21,599
And even though I find him fascinating, I know nobody

667
00:31:21,599 --> 00:31:22,200
wants to hear me.

668
00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:25,640
Speaker 7: Yeah, she was kind of curious. I'm not your average Joe.

669
00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:27,000
I would have loved to hear it, as you probably

670
00:31:27,000 --> 00:31:28,839
know what Andindy So it was actually kind of interesting.

671
00:31:29,839 --> 00:31:32,839
Speaker 1: Well, it's some interesting formats, Steve double in double at all?

672
00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:34,160
Speaker 2: Right, here we go, so.

673
00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:39,079
Speaker 1: Real quick, Steve, I always ask you the week five overreactions,

674
00:31:39,920 --> 00:31:41,920
Which wen do you like the best? Jackson Dart not

675
00:31:42,039 --> 00:31:44,240
ready to start in the NFL. The Jets are the

676
00:31:44,279 --> 00:31:47,079
worst team in the NFL. The Steelers are going to

677
00:31:47,119 --> 00:31:49,440
win the AFC North even though they didn't play this week.

678
00:31:50,039 --> 00:31:52,720
Josh Allen is now not the MVP. And then we

679
00:31:52,759 --> 00:31:56,119
did a jumping to conclusion that Indianapolis is a very

680
00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:59,640
dangerous city full of chaos and anarchy because of Mark

681
00:31:59,680 --> 00:32:02,119
sanch And then it turns out Mark Sanchez is the

682
00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:03,279
chaos and anarchy.

683
00:32:03,359 --> 00:32:04,480
Speaker 2: Which one's your favorite?

684
00:32:04,640 --> 00:32:06,599
Speaker 7: Yeah? I saw that headline. I know nothing else but

685
00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:09,759
it said former Fox News analysts and NFL player Mark

686
00:32:09,799 --> 00:32:12,880
Says says stabbed and arrested. That's what the headline said.

687
00:32:12,880 --> 00:32:16,319
I'm like, what stabbed and arrested? So I actually don't

688
00:32:16,319 --> 00:32:18,720
know what happened. I once again didn't apply to my

689
00:32:18,759 --> 00:32:20,920
handicap it at the game, so I didn't care, right,

690
00:32:20,960 --> 00:32:23,720
I just move on. But I did see that headline.

691
00:32:24,319 --> 00:32:26,680
I think the biggest overreaction has to be that SG

692
00:32:26,960 --> 00:32:29,480
s VG is the greatest NASCAR racer in history. Randy,

693
00:32:29,559 --> 00:32:31,160
I actually caught the end of the race yesterday for

694
00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:32,200
the first time all year.

695
00:32:32,480 --> 00:32:32,880
Speaker 5: What is it?

696
00:32:32,960 --> 00:32:34,799
Speaker 7: Five road course wins? He told me about this.

697
00:32:34,759 --> 00:32:38,960
Speaker 1: Guy, he's one same of them every real quick he's

698
00:32:39,240 --> 00:32:39,640
in the NAT.

699
00:32:39,759 --> 00:32:41,880
Speaker 7: You win a race, you get in the playoffs. I mean,

700
00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:43,799
are they think about next year? Just letting him run

701
00:32:43,839 --> 00:32:46,279
all the ovals just so he has enough races or

702
00:32:46,279 --> 00:32:47,480
whatever that you know the minimum what.

703
00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:48,240
Speaker 2: They're doing this year.

704
00:32:48,400 --> 00:32:50,559
Speaker 1: He just keeps advancing as long as there's a road

705
00:32:50,559 --> 00:32:51,920
course in the playoffs, he's.

706
00:32:51,880 --> 00:32:55,720
Speaker 7: I don't think he advanced. I heard the top eight. Yeah,

707
00:32:55,720 --> 00:32:57,119
but I don't think he's in the top eight. I

708
00:32:58,119 --> 00:33:00,720
see you saying, no, he's not advancing to the championship.

709
00:33:00,720 --> 00:33:00,960
He's not.

710
00:33:01,359 --> 00:33:03,680
Speaker 2: They just he advances to the playoffs every year. Every

711
00:33:03,720 --> 00:33:05,039
year they have a road course, right, Just.

712
00:33:05,000 --> 00:33:06,680
Speaker 7: You and I need to put a wager talk team together.

713
00:33:06,720 --> 00:33:08,680
This is our chance we get a guy like him.

714
00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:11,279
We just run fortieth in every oval race, and we

715
00:33:11,519 --> 00:33:14,039
have a ringer for one track, just one track exactly.

716
00:33:14,079 --> 00:33:15,960
Wager talk dot com on the side of the car.

717
00:33:16,240 --> 00:33:18,519
Picks and Parley seven dollars Fridays, by the way, would

718
00:33:18,519 --> 00:33:22,400
be a great practice promo. It'd be fantastic run the

719
00:33:22,559 --> 00:33:24,079
I didn't see him on the screen. I thought Dan

720
00:33:24,200 --> 00:33:25,480
was gonna throw him up there, so I didn't listen

721
00:33:25,480 --> 00:33:27,359
to a word you said. I heard about Jackson Dart

722
00:33:27,559 --> 00:33:28,839
and I heard Indian atat.

723
00:33:28,839 --> 00:33:31,240
Speaker 2: D not ready to start? Are the Jets the worst

724
00:33:31,279 --> 00:33:32,319
team in the NFL.

725
00:33:33,119 --> 00:33:35,480
Speaker 1: The Steelers are going to win the AFC North despite

726
00:33:35,519 --> 00:33:38,160
the play, So uh.

727
00:33:37,960 --> 00:33:39,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, he got some good ones.

728
00:33:39,720 --> 00:33:41,480
Speaker 1: I kind of like the I kind of like the

729
00:33:41,559 --> 00:33:44,920
Josh Allen is not the MVP because of one loss.

730
00:33:44,960 --> 00:33:46,240
Speaker 2: I kind of like that one.

731
00:33:46,160 --> 00:33:47,759
Speaker 7: Well, And I always like to look too, like, how

732
00:33:47,799 --> 00:33:49,119
did I feel the games are gonna play it? I

733
00:33:49,160 --> 00:33:51,279
had a best bet of the Patriots on Sunday night,

734
00:33:51,359 --> 00:33:53,079
and whenever I like a dog, I think they can

735
00:33:53,119 --> 00:33:55,240
win outright, just like the Titans, you know, I mean,

736
00:33:55,319 --> 00:33:57,079
I've always SAI if you're gonna play NFL dogs, you

737
00:33:57,119 --> 00:33:59,440
put some of it on the money line because majority

738
00:33:59,440 --> 00:34:00,839
of the time they do win straight up, so I'm

739
00:34:00,839 --> 00:34:03,799
not going to overreact to the Sunday Night result. Josh

740
00:34:03,880 --> 00:34:05,720
Allen probably does not win the MVP because he won

741
00:34:05,759 --> 00:34:07,640
it last year and we normally don't see guys win

742
00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:10,400
it back to back seasons. I thought that the Cowboys

743
00:34:10,400 --> 00:34:12,079
were a very public play this week. The Jets have

744
00:34:12,079 --> 00:34:14,519
looked awful. They're coming off the Monday Night game, but

745
00:34:14,559 --> 00:34:16,079
I thought they were in a decent spot, maybe to

746
00:34:16,119 --> 00:34:20,000
catch Dallas, who's been unable to stop anybody defensively except

747
00:34:20,039 --> 00:34:23,440
for the electricity or the lightning outage. Dart is ready

748
00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:25,199
to start that rhyme. So I kind of like that.

749
00:34:25,960 --> 00:34:27,960
You know, they're all overreactions. That's why we have fun

750
00:34:27,960 --> 00:34:29,960
with this on Monday. But the Jets are looking pretty bad.

751
00:34:30,000 --> 00:34:33,039
I don't think the Steelers win that division, although the

752
00:34:33,119 --> 00:34:35,159
Ravens have tapped out the Bengal I mean yeah, I

753
00:34:35,159 --> 00:34:37,440
mean they probably won it by default, right Mike Tomlin

754
00:34:38,039 --> 00:34:39,760
class well and Mary two years older than me. Man,

755
00:34:39,760 --> 00:34:41,159
he always seems to get it done. We always talk

756
00:34:41,159 --> 00:34:42,920
about how he always has a winning record no matter

757
00:34:42,920 --> 00:34:45,360
how bad they've been. I think they've been negative points

758
00:34:45,400 --> 00:34:47,119
in yardage like three years in a row. Now they've

759
00:34:47,119 --> 00:34:49,079
still had a winning record, so I guess they're due

760
00:34:49,239 --> 00:34:52,239
to have a breakout season there. Yeah, they probably is

761
00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:53,880
the Steelers to win or lose. I don't think they're

762
00:34:53,920 --> 00:34:54,480
that good though.

763
00:34:55,800 --> 00:34:57,360
Speaker 2: Uh, just a bit interesting.

764
00:34:58,480 --> 00:35:02,920
Speaker 1: NFL MVP Josh Allen plus one fifty Sean says, take

765
00:35:02,920 --> 00:35:05,079
a look at Jared Goff, he's fifteen to one. I

766
00:35:05,159 --> 00:35:09,000
like Baker at twelve to one. And listen forty five

767
00:35:09,039 --> 00:35:13,360
to one Daniel Jones. That's to many quarterbacks playing better

768
00:35:13,360 --> 00:35:16,800
than him. So I don't test to see interesting futures. Look,

769
00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:18,960
all right, Steve, let's talk this Monday night game. How

770
00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:22,039
do you break down the Chiefs and the Jaggy Wires.

771
00:35:22,480 --> 00:35:24,559
Speaker 7: Well, I broke it down about three days ago, side

772
00:35:24,559 --> 00:35:26,079
and total for free in a video. So what I'm

773
00:35:26,079 --> 00:35:27,800
gonna do, Andy, I'm gonna look at some props which

774
00:35:27,800 --> 00:35:29,320
I did not mention in the video. Once again, if

775
00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:31,320
you want my side in total breakdown for this Chiefs

776
00:35:31,360 --> 00:35:33,559
Jags game, it is free right here on wager Talk

777
00:35:33,639 --> 00:35:36,199
TV the Monday Night Breakdown. By the way, the Patriots

778
00:35:36,239 --> 00:35:38,400
were a client at last night on Sunday. I gave

779
00:35:38,400 --> 00:35:40,519
that to you free in the video as well, so

780
00:35:40,559 --> 00:35:41,679
I gave you a lot of the plays I end

781
00:35:41,800 --> 00:35:44,039
up using for my clients. Check out the Monday Night

782
00:35:44,079 --> 00:35:46,000
two for one with a side in Total free play video.

783
00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:48,000
But let's look at some props here for this segment.

784
00:35:48,639 --> 00:35:50,239
And one thing I like to do is always take

785
00:35:50,239 --> 00:35:52,280
a contrarian stance in the NFL. But I also don't

786
00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:55,079
like try to catch fully knives in any sport. And

787
00:35:55,119 --> 00:35:56,880
that's why with the fade the public video, I always

788
00:35:56,880 --> 00:35:59,079
say a lot of times we just passed. We don't

789
00:35:59,119 --> 00:36:01,480
fade by playing real ugly teams. We talked about the

790
00:36:01,480 --> 00:36:04,679
Cowboys were very public Sunday. The Jets have struggled. The

791
00:36:04,679 --> 00:36:07,159
Titans have struggled at times, although they did step up

792
00:36:07,159 --> 00:36:08,719
against the Cardinals had a best bet on that by

793
00:36:08,760 --> 00:36:10,800
the way, yesterday on Sunday that was more of a

794
00:36:10,840 --> 00:36:13,199
fate of Arizona. But in this game tonight, I think

795
00:36:13,239 --> 00:36:15,280
we could start to trust the Chiefs offense a bit.

796
00:36:15,599 --> 00:36:17,400
You know, they looked awful in the Super Bowl last

797
00:36:17,480 --> 00:36:19,519
year and I wasn't big on them coming into this season,

798
00:36:19,519 --> 00:36:21,880
but they did make some improvements in offensive line. They've

799
00:36:21,920 --> 00:36:24,400
gotten a little healthier. But the big change now that

800
00:36:24,400 --> 00:36:26,079
we're about a month into the seasons, they're getting some

801
00:36:26,119 --> 00:36:29,079
of their explosive playmakers back, especially at the wide receiver position.

802
00:36:29,719 --> 00:36:31,519
I don't read too much into the Brazil game. That

803
00:36:31,599 --> 00:36:33,679
was Week one A of the NFL season. It was

804
00:36:33,719 --> 00:36:37,199
a foreign game right after the preseason. Chargers are looking decent,

805
00:36:37,239 --> 00:36:38,599
and by the way, that was a phony win by

806
00:36:38,639 --> 00:36:42,559
not my Washington Commanders yesterday on Sunday. Chargers still one

807
00:36:42,599 --> 00:36:44,880
of the better teams in the AFC, Eagles one of

808
00:36:44,880 --> 00:36:46,920
the better teams in the NFC. But now that the

809
00:36:46,960 --> 00:36:48,800
Chiefs have started to step down in class a bit,

810
00:36:48,840 --> 00:36:50,679
the twenty two points against the Giants could have been

811
00:36:50,719 --> 00:36:52,920
a lot more. I thought they moved the ball okay offensively,

812
00:36:53,360 --> 00:36:55,400
and now I look for maybe a breakout game with

813
00:36:55,480 --> 00:36:56,960
some big plays here. And I think the way you

814
00:36:57,000 --> 00:37:00,800
can attack some big play opportunities is longest poletion, longest

815
00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:03,599
reception props over something I'll talk a lot about, but

816
00:37:03,719 --> 00:37:08,519
Patrick Mahomes's longest completion over thirty five and a half tonight.

817
00:37:08,559 --> 00:37:10,320
I like that one. And then if you want to

818
00:37:10,320 --> 00:37:12,960
tie that in with some reception props as well, maybe

819
00:37:13,000 --> 00:37:16,599
either Worthy or Thornton's longest reception over Also, if you

820
00:37:16,679 --> 00:37:19,199
have access to those, I'm gonna pull those up right now. Actually,

821
00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:22,199
longest reception for Worthy is about twenty two and a half.

822
00:37:22,800 --> 00:37:24,880
He's head along of thirty seven I believe this year.

823
00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:28,079
And also we're looking at some other guys here at

824
00:37:28,079 --> 00:37:30,559
Tai Kwan Thornton thirteen and a half. He's had one

825
00:37:30,599 --> 00:37:33,119
I believe of forty nine. I like Worthy over twenty

826
00:37:33,159 --> 00:37:35,679
two and a half for his longest Thornton over thirteen

827
00:37:35,719 --> 00:37:37,840
and a half or Mahomes over thirty five and a half.

828
00:37:37,880 --> 00:37:40,039
I think there'll be some big plays tonight against the

829
00:37:40,079 --> 00:37:41,920
Jacksonville defense is going to go one on one and

830
00:37:41,960 --> 00:37:44,320
get burt. This Kansas City offense is starting to break

831
00:37:44,320 --> 00:37:46,679
down now that they're getting healthy at the receiver position.

832
00:37:48,920 --> 00:37:50,079
Speaker 2: Awesome stuff, Steve.

833
00:37:50,119 --> 00:37:51,840
Speaker 1: You don't have to threaten me with a good time

834
00:37:51,880 --> 00:37:54,079
with props now you're talking.

835
00:37:53,960 --> 00:37:55,639
Speaker 7: Love the over props, right Andy, because like you can

836
00:37:55,639 --> 00:37:57,280
win it by like the second play of the game,

837
00:37:57,679 --> 00:37:59,920
whereas if you take the shortest or whatever, you're sweated

838
00:37:59,880 --> 00:38:01,280
to the final play of the game.

839
00:38:02,000 --> 00:38:03,639
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, it's interesting.

840
00:38:04,079 --> 00:38:05,800
Speaker 1: Crack Man was talking about this how he used to

841
00:38:05,800 --> 00:38:07,719
bet unders and now he's betting more overs.

842
00:38:07,880 --> 00:38:09,599
Speaker 2: I'm the same way I came here.

843
00:38:10,159 --> 00:38:12,400
Speaker 1: One of the one of the best props in all

844
00:38:12,440 --> 00:38:15,239
of sports was taking the under on the points, rebounds

845
00:38:15,239 --> 00:38:18,239
and assists on the Superstars in the playoffs because the

846
00:38:18,280 --> 00:38:21,800
books were just put this astronomical number out and everything

847
00:38:21,880 --> 00:38:25,039
had to go right for them to go to go over.

848
00:38:25,199 --> 00:38:29,079
So you just played the under, and now they're constantly

849
00:38:29,119 --> 00:38:30,760
going over. And it's the same in NFL.

850
00:38:31,599 --> 00:38:32,920
Speaker 2: They put they put these.

851
00:38:32,800 --> 00:38:36,440
Speaker 1: Lower like like totals up and one play blows it

852
00:38:36,440 --> 00:38:39,519
out of the water, and I end up gravitating more

853
00:38:39,559 --> 00:38:41,599
towards the overs these days.

854
00:38:41,679 --> 00:38:43,760
Speaker 7: Right, And I agree with you, Andy, and it's everyone's

855
00:38:43,800 --> 00:38:45,840
gonna say, well, the values with the under. And you

856
00:38:45,880 --> 00:38:47,880
see that with you know, over under total points for

857
00:38:47,960 --> 00:38:50,119
decades as well. The sharps always play unders, the public

858
00:38:50,119 --> 00:38:53,400
plays overs. The sharps play underdogs, the public plays favorites.

859
00:38:53,480 --> 00:38:54,920
And I talk about this a lot of my fade

860
00:38:54,920 --> 00:38:57,639
the public video that I use this as a filter. Right,

861
00:38:57,679 --> 00:38:59,719
we don't just blindly fade the public. I'm not looking

862
00:38:59,719 --> 00:39:02,320
to play crap teams, as I said earlier, and it's

863
00:39:02,320 --> 00:39:04,000
the same thing with these props. I'm looking to play

864
00:39:04,000 --> 00:39:06,559
over props. If the line isn't there, the values and

865
00:39:06,559 --> 00:39:08,760
there we just pass. But I'm the same way. I

866
00:39:08,800 --> 00:39:11,960
find myself playing more overs with totals in general, and

867
00:39:12,119 --> 00:39:14,320
it's because it's a cleaner handicap. If I'm looking for

868
00:39:14,360 --> 00:39:16,440
a game, I think where both offenses have the abilities

869
00:39:16,480 --> 00:39:19,119
to score both you know, teams have explosive abilities. This case,

870
00:39:19,360 --> 00:39:22,280
I think Kansas City has some big playabilities against Jacksonville

871
00:39:22,320 --> 00:39:24,239
to night, so that's going to correlate to a long

872
00:39:24,280 --> 00:39:26,679
pass reception. At some point Mahomes is going to have

873
00:39:26,719 --> 00:39:28,519
to throw it, so we get his over thirty five

874
00:39:28,559 --> 00:39:29,840
and a half. But then I sprinkle in a couple

875
00:39:29,840 --> 00:39:32,960
of the receivers at lower numbers as well. And it also,

876
00:39:33,000 --> 00:39:35,440
you know, I don't care about watching these games. But

877
00:39:35,519 --> 00:39:37,199
once again, it takes a little bit of the bad

878
00:39:37,239 --> 00:39:39,559
beat factor out because you've seen some andy where you

879
00:39:39,599 --> 00:39:41,000
can go a full game and all of a sudden,

880
00:39:41,000 --> 00:39:43,440
that last meaningless play is a big play throw or something.

881
00:39:43,519 --> 00:39:46,360
So there's a lot of reasons I gravitate towards overs

882
00:39:46,360 --> 00:39:48,880
as well. Now that the betty market has become more sophisticated,

883
00:39:49,199 --> 00:39:51,559
I'm not sure there's just intrinsic value anymore at the

884
00:39:51,599 --> 00:39:53,239
under like there used to be twenty years ago.

885
00:39:54,440 --> 00:39:57,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, agreed, agreed. We'll keep talking about props. We got

886
00:39:57,360 --> 00:40:00,119
a couple of really big baseball games here, Steve, want

887
00:40:00,159 --> 00:40:02,840
to get your breakdown on both of them. So it

888
00:40:02,840 --> 00:40:06,800
looks like we got Snell for the Dodgers, Zardo for Phillies,

889
00:40:07,280 --> 00:40:08,360
Amara e.

890
00:40:08,800 --> 00:40:09,280
Speaker 2: Moniga.

891
00:40:10,320 --> 00:40:12,480
Speaker 1: This guy's last name trips me up every single time.

892
00:40:12,519 --> 00:40:15,159
It's not even that difficult, and whatever reason, I can't

893
00:40:15,159 --> 00:40:16,639
do it. So I'm gonna let you talk about the

894
00:40:16,679 --> 00:40:19,239
Brewers and the Cubs. You're breaking down both games. I'm

895
00:40:19,239 --> 00:40:21,800
not gonna rupt you just so just just go back

896
00:40:21,800 --> 00:40:24,199
to back here, Dodgers, Phillies, Cubs and Brewers.

897
00:40:25,800 --> 00:40:27,760
Speaker 7: So we have two baseball games here tonight on Monday.

898
00:40:27,760 --> 00:40:30,280
First one is an early start at sixth Eastern Phillies Dodgers,

899
00:40:30,280 --> 00:40:32,719
and then a late start at nine o'clock Eastern Cubs Brewers.

900
00:40:32,760 --> 00:40:35,639
They're both on TBS and True TV, one of my

901
00:40:35,639 --> 00:40:38,079
favorite networks, and practical Jokers. I need to get on

902
00:40:38,119 --> 00:40:40,440
that show. Let's make it happen. Comment below if you

903
00:40:40,440 --> 00:40:42,320
want to see beyond in Practical Jokers. If you like

904
00:40:42,360 --> 00:40:45,000
True TV. Early game though at six Eastern is Dan

905
00:40:45,039 --> 00:40:48,440
Alexander's Phillies at home against the LA Dodgers. You know,

906
00:40:48,480 --> 00:40:51,239
the Dodgers were annoyted the World Series champs before the

907
00:40:51,280 --> 00:40:53,280
season began back in April. Like at two to one

908
00:40:53,280 --> 00:40:56,280
odds underperform most of the season, but to say they've

909
00:40:56,280 --> 00:40:59,800
turned it on recently would be an understatement. Eight straight wins,

910
00:41:00,119 --> 00:41:02,400
what was it five straight to finish the regular season,

911
00:41:02,400 --> 00:41:04,559
including beating Seattle three straight. Is one of the best

912
00:41:04,599 --> 00:41:07,119
teams in baseball on the road. And then maybe the

913
00:41:07,119 --> 00:41:09,480
biggest mismatch we've seen in recent years in the MLB

914
00:41:09,559 --> 00:41:12,480
Playoffs was against the Reds in Round one. I took

915
00:41:12,519 --> 00:41:15,239
advantage two and zero sweep using the Dodger run line.

916
00:41:15,239 --> 00:41:17,239
And we talk about this. If you play the Dodgers,

917
00:41:17,320 --> 00:41:18,760
you played the minus one and a half, they usually

918
00:41:18,760 --> 00:41:21,719
win by margin or they lose outright. Well, we play

919
00:41:21,800 --> 00:41:24,280
Dodger run line in both games one and two, and

920
00:41:24,280 --> 00:41:26,119
we're off to a one hundred percent starting the l

921
00:41:26,159 --> 00:41:29,480
playoff MLB Playoffs because of that rare opportunity here where

922
00:41:29,519 --> 00:41:31,559
you get the Dodgers at a pretty reasonable price, about

923
00:41:31,559 --> 00:41:34,800
a dollar twenty five road favor tonight, I'm gonna look

924
00:41:34,800 --> 00:41:37,880
at the total though instead under eight. It opened seven

925
00:41:37,880 --> 00:41:39,280
and a half. It's now up to eight in some

926
00:41:39,360 --> 00:41:41,079
spots still seven and a half over, so you can

927
00:41:41,119 --> 00:41:43,719
get under seven and a half, even under eight minus

928
00:41:43,719 --> 00:41:45,840
fifteen minus twenty. By the way, that half run is

929
00:41:45,880 --> 00:41:48,519
worth about twenty cents on average. Is eight is what

930
00:41:48,519 --> 00:41:50,199
we call a less likely I don't want to say

931
00:41:50,199 --> 00:41:52,840
it's a dead number. It's less likely than seven or nine.

932
00:41:53,159 --> 00:41:55,239
The way baseball's played, if it's three to three, it

933
00:41:55,280 --> 00:41:56,880
has to land seven or more. Four to ford, it

934
00:41:56,880 --> 00:41:58,760
has to land none or more because of extra ding.

935
00:41:58,840 --> 00:42:02,840
So an even money or under eight minus fifteen minus

936
00:42:02,840 --> 00:42:05,320
twenty is fine with me either way. Battle of lefties here.

937
00:42:05,679 --> 00:42:09,480
My concern is that the Dodgers have been explosive offensively.

938
00:42:09,519 --> 00:42:11,679
I talked about the eighteen runs they put up against

939
00:42:11,679 --> 00:42:14,199
the Reds. Well, they put up five runs against Philly

940
00:42:14,480 --> 00:42:17,519
in Game one that landed on exactly eight runs. Both

941
00:42:17,519 --> 00:42:20,039
pitcherso have been solid. Blake Snell at two point four

942
00:42:20,119 --> 00:42:23,119
ERA on the season, Lozardo not quite as much three

943
00:42:23,159 --> 00:42:24,880
point nine, but if you look at his last seven

944
00:42:24,920 --> 00:42:27,840
starts going back to mid August, three point zero ERA,

945
00:42:28,039 --> 00:42:30,440
so he has dialed in even though he's pitched a

946
00:42:30,440 --> 00:42:32,440
lot more innings than he did last year. Last year

947
00:42:32,480 --> 00:42:34,960
only sixty six innings, one hundred and seventy eighth the

948
00:42:35,039 --> 00:42:37,840
year before that one hundred and eighty three. This year, meanwhile,

949
00:42:37,880 --> 00:42:40,599
Snell has been limited, so he only has sixty one

950
00:42:40,639 --> 00:42:43,239
innings after going one to four and one eighty. If

951
00:42:43,280 --> 00:42:44,920
you want to take a little bit of that Dodger

952
00:42:45,039 --> 00:42:46,840
uncertainty of their hot offense and a little bit of

953
00:42:46,920 --> 00:42:49,679
Lozardo uncertainty out of the equation, maybe a better way

954
00:42:49,719 --> 00:42:51,800
to attack this one is just a team total instead

955
00:42:51,800 --> 00:42:54,480
of under eight for the game, we play the Phillies

956
00:42:54,599 --> 00:42:56,679
under three and a half. So I do like Philly

957
00:42:56,679 --> 00:42:58,280
team total under three and a half if you're a

958
00:42:58,280 --> 00:43:01,440
little hesitant as I am, to fade that red hot

959
00:43:01,519 --> 00:43:05,239
Dodger offense at six oh five Eastern tonight on Monday,

960
00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:08,440
other game at nine o'clock eastern, also left he lefty.

961
00:43:08,519 --> 00:43:10,960
All four pitchers starting pitchers tonight are south pause. I

962
00:43:10,960 --> 00:43:12,719
can't remember the last time I've seen that happen, so

963
00:43:12,760 --> 00:43:15,440
it'll be interesting. And this is an interesting game as

964
00:43:15,440 --> 00:43:17,400
well because we've seen the money come in on Milwaukee

965
00:43:17,519 --> 00:43:19,679
early on opening about a dollar twenty five favorite through

966
00:43:19,719 --> 00:43:22,199
up to a dollar thirty dollars thirty five now, and

967
00:43:22,239 --> 00:43:24,280
it's hard to disagree Brewers were the best team in

968
00:43:24,320 --> 00:43:27,159
baseball this season. It wasn't the Dodgers, it was the Brewers,

969
00:43:27,559 --> 00:43:30,559
and they're in pretty good current form as well. You

970
00:43:30,599 --> 00:43:33,920
always worry about the long layoff, and the Padres had

971
00:43:33,920 --> 00:43:36,679
that momentum edge, or the Cubs rather had the momentum

972
00:43:36,719 --> 00:43:39,719
edge coming in after the Padre three game series, and

973
00:43:39,800 --> 00:43:42,119
we have seen in recent years the wildcard teams do

974
00:43:42,239 --> 00:43:45,519
quite well with this expanded baseball playoff format. But it

975
00:43:45,519 --> 00:43:48,800
didn't matter. Brewers nine to three win on Saturday, it

976
00:43:48,880 --> 00:43:51,519
was easy, and I think that was the difficult spot

977
00:43:51,559 --> 00:43:53,599
for him. A little bit of a pitching edge here

978
00:43:53,679 --> 00:43:56,519
maybe on the season for the Cubbies. But then again,

979
00:43:56,559 --> 00:43:59,239
Aaron Ashby's been solid, only sixty six innings of work,

980
00:43:59,280 --> 00:44:02,519
but a two point to er, and I think he's

981
00:44:02,559 --> 00:44:04,679
a solid guy. Not a lot of playoff experience, which

982
00:44:04,719 --> 00:44:07,119
is a concern, but he's rested. And the fact that

983
00:44:07,119 --> 00:44:09,559
Milwaukee won easily nine to three on Saturday and what

984
00:44:09,639 --> 00:44:12,360
was maybe a flat spot after being off for a

985
00:44:12,400 --> 00:44:14,880
full week. I think they carry that momentum here not

986
00:44:14,960 --> 00:44:17,079
in a hurry to fade the best team in baseball,

987
00:44:17,440 --> 00:44:19,880
and the betting markets agree. Brewers are gone from a

988
00:44:19,920 --> 00:44:21,960
dollar twenty five up to a dollar thirty five. I

989
00:44:21,960 --> 00:44:24,320
think there's still value. They win this game. They take

990
00:44:24,320 --> 00:44:26,119
the two to zero lead tonight, so take a look

991
00:44:26,159 --> 00:44:28,039
at the Brewers as well in the late game at

992
00:44:28,159 --> 00:44:30,559
nine oh five Eastern. And don't forget if you're liking

993
00:44:30,559 --> 00:44:33,119
these free play videos. I do free play videos throughout

994
00:44:33,159 --> 00:44:36,239
the week for baseball, college and pro football. Basketball starts

995
00:44:36,239 --> 00:44:37,840
in a few weeks here in the channel as well.

996
00:44:38,159 --> 00:44:40,239
All you have to do is subscribe and click the

997
00:44:40,280 --> 00:44:42,119
bill for an instant a learn on wager Talk TV

998
00:44:42,159 --> 00:44:44,400
and you will never miss out when a free play

999
00:44:44,440 --> 00:44:47,440
video is posted, including my Monday night football free play

1000
00:44:47,519 --> 00:44:50,199
video both side and total for the Chiefs Jags game

1001
00:44:50,199 --> 00:44:53,039
for free right here, right now on wager Talk TV.

1002
00:44:53,400 --> 00:44:55,360
And if you're liking free plays, check out a bonus

1003
00:44:55,440 --> 00:44:57,239
NFL free play for next week which is on my

1004
00:44:57,280 --> 00:45:00,679
page right now. Nice and early, Steve Merrill wager talk

1005
00:45:00,719 --> 00:45:02,920
dot com. Go get the daily free play right now

1006
00:45:03,159 --> 00:45:06,960
and get there quicker with shortcut wt dot Buzz slash

1007
00:45:07,239 --> 00:45:07,639
s M.

1008
00:45:09,639 --> 00:45:12,519
Speaker 1: All right, Steve, all right, we have something funny developing

1009
00:45:12,519 --> 00:45:17,480
in the chat Immoga.

1010
00:45:16,880 --> 00:45:19,639
Speaker 7: So I didn't try to say it. I couldn't remember either.

1011
00:45:20,079 --> 00:45:23,039
Speaker 1: They're trying to help help me do this, so I

1012
00:45:23,119 --> 00:45:24,760
brought up I have a buddy.

1013
00:45:25,559 --> 00:45:28,000
Speaker 2: He he can't say Hideki Matsuyama.

1014
00:45:28,320 --> 00:45:37,079
Speaker 1: It always comes, he says, Hideki matsui Ethan has a friend.

1015
00:45:37,119 --> 00:45:38,840
Do you Is there a name or a word that

1016
00:45:38,880 --> 00:45:39,519
you struggle with that?

1017
00:45:39,639 --> 00:45:41,320
Speaker 7: Oh, there's half the players in the league.

1018
00:45:41,320 --> 00:45:41,480
Speaker 5: Now.

1019
00:45:41,679 --> 00:45:43,719
Speaker 7: I watch less games than I ever watched. I can't

1020
00:45:43,719 --> 00:45:46,079
stand watching these games. I feel like I jinks teams

1021
00:45:46,079 --> 00:45:48,400
when I watch the games, even though I'm not superstitious.

1022
00:45:48,840 --> 00:45:50,840
So yeah, I butcher these names all the time. And

1023
00:45:50,840 --> 00:45:54,039
what I love, Andy is the ten fifteen thousand viewers

1024
00:45:54,039 --> 00:45:55,519
we get on all the videos. You know, ninety nine

1025
00:45:55,519 --> 00:45:57,800
percent of the comments are positive, like thanks Steve, let's

1026
00:45:57,800 --> 00:45:59,920
all go get them, let's win together. And Steve, you

1027
00:46:00,239 --> 00:46:02,840
pronounced the backup second string catcher who's in the game

1028
00:46:02,840 --> 00:46:05,559
tonight for the Padres. It's like, yeah, thanks, buddy, find

1029
00:46:05,559 --> 00:46:08,119
something else to troll. So yeah, I don't even try anymore.

1030
00:46:08,320 --> 00:46:10,320
And you will notice that I said the Cubs starter

1031
00:46:10,519 --> 00:46:11,440
that's a great way to go.

1032
00:46:12,079 --> 00:46:15,840
Speaker 2: It's it's really good. Try and pronounce in UFC when

1033
00:46:15,840 --> 00:46:17,400
they got a Russian fighting in Asian.

1034
00:46:17,639 --> 00:46:19,440
Speaker 7: Oh yeah, well, I mean it's.

1035
00:46:19,000 --> 00:46:21,320
Speaker 2: Impossible, like this guy was this guy?

1036
00:46:21,360 --> 00:46:21,599
Speaker 6: All right?

1037
00:46:21,800 --> 00:46:23,519
Speaker 7: That's another trick, is you know? Andy? Like, well you

1038
00:46:23,559 --> 00:46:25,239
do UFC. I don't follow it, so I don't know

1039
00:46:25,239 --> 00:46:26,599
any of the names. But what I used to like,

1040
00:46:26,639 --> 00:46:28,159
you know, I guest host for you on Thursday or

1041
00:46:28,199 --> 00:46:30,039
Friday we have it. I'll be like, what are your

1042
00:46:30,039 --> 00:46:32,280
thoughts in this MMA UFC main event, and then I'll

1043
00:46:32,280 --> 00:46:34,719
just let them roll with the Teddy used to love

1044
00:46:34,719 --> 00:46:36,800
that as well. Teddy was like me, he had no clue.

1045
00:46:37,559 --> 00:46:38,119
Speaker 2: That's great.

1046
00:46:38,239 --> 00:46:40,440
Speaker 1: What do you think about the third fight of the night?

1047
00:46:40,760 --> 00:46:42,559
All right, Steve, what do you have up for clients

1048
00:46:42,599 --> 00:46:43,400
onwhere wager you tuck?

1049
00:46:43,960 --> 00:46:46,800
Speaker 7: Yeah? I mean, don't forget Tomorro's five dollars Tuesday, Andy,

1050
00:46:46,840 --> 00:46:49,960
I gotta show you the five dollar Tuesdays year. I'm

1051
00:46:50,000 --> 00:46:52,280
still waiting for my nine dollar bill. As queer as

1052
00:46:52,280 --> 00:46:54,280
a nine dollar bill. You can't say that anymore, right,

1053
00:46:54,320 --> 00:46:58,480
but nine dollars. Baseball plays MLB every day. Every play

1054
00:46:58,559 --> 00:47:01,400
is nine dollars, So I mean five dollar Tuesday's fantastic,

1055
00:47:01,440 --> 00:47:03,920
but get every baseball play right out through the World

1056
00:47:04,000 --> 00:47:06,440
Series for just nine dollars. It's a great offer. And

1057
00:47:06,480 --> 00:47:09,000
I talked about the free plays as well. Hockey starts

1058
00:47:09,039 --> 00:47:11,280
tomorrow on Tuesday. We're really gonna try to make wager

1059
00:47:11,360 --> 00:47:14,760
talk to hockey source this year for free plays, free information, Baseball,

1060
00:47:14,800 --> 00:47:17,239
free plays up. I've got that advanced NFL play as

1061
00:47:17,280 --> 00:47:20,280
well right now for next Sunday. And oh yeah, some

1062
00:47:20,360 --> 00:47:22,519
best bet specials as well. So check out my page

1063
00:47:22,519 --> 00:47:25,199
Steve merrilllwager talk dot com and get there quicker with

1064
00:47:25,280 --> 00:47:31,119
shortcut WT dot Buzz slash sm.

1065
00:47:29,559 --> 00:47:32,480
Speaker 1: Great work Steve, great breakdowns. Don't forget to check out

1066
00:47:32,519 --> 00:47:35,159
all of his free play videos. He's does the Fade

1067
00:47:35,159 --> 00:47:37,960
the Public NFL video which the fae the public plays

1068
00:47:37,960 --> 00:47:39,039
are going, well, aren't they.

1069
00:47:39,079 --> 00:47:41,440
Speaker 2: I watched last video that those yeah kind of hitting.

1070
00:47:41,800 --> 00:47:43,719
Speaker 7: Yeah, it's interesting. And you know last year the public

1071
00:47:43,760 --> 00:47:45,639
got off to really start strong start I think the

1072
00:47:45,679 --> 00:47:48,159
first three or four weeks of September and then remember

1073
00:47:48,239 --> 00:47:50,039
I was like that first or second week in October,

1074
00:47:50,079 --> 00:47:51,880
the sportsbook said, like one of the worst weeks ever

1075
00:47:51,920 --> 00:47:55,039
with all favorites. It's been slow and steady this year.

1076
00:47:55,039 --> 00:47:56,559
It's just been like you know, the public's been like

1077
00:47:56,599 --> 00:47:59,320
one and two, one and three, one and two. So yeah,

1078
00:47:59,320 --> 00:48:01,159
they're only hitting abou thirty five percent right now in

1079
00:48:01,159 --> 00:48:02,719
those best bets that I put in the video. And

1080
00:48:02,960 --> 00:48:04,639
you know, once again just for the new viewers, as

1081
00:48:04,679 --> 00:48:06,719
you know, is like we're not saying to play them

1082
00:48:06,800 --> 00:48:09,840
or fato. I'm just giving you the information. But it's

1083
00:48:09,880 --> 00:48:11,800
been working well this year, and I have a feeling

1084
00:48:11,840 --> 00:48:14,119
that's not a coincidence because the public did really well

1085
00:48:14,119 --> 00:48:16,480
out of the gate last year and only three games

1086
00:48:16,559 --> 00:48:18,920
qualified this past week Andy, whereas when they get hot,

1087
00:48:18,920 --> 00:48:21,840
they'll be five or six really public games. So we'll

1088
00:48:21,880 --> 00:48:23,519
see how that goes here in the month of October.

1089
00:48:24,280 --> 00:48:26,760
Speaker 2: All right, Steve Merrill, everyone, thank you, great job.

1090
00:48:27,599 --> 00:48:32,199
Speaker 1: All Right, another sports coming coming up here, guys, NHL starts.

1091
00:48:32,280 --> 00:48:35,159
We got to bring in Carmin and Biaco. I can't

1092
00:48:35,159 --> 00:48:37,599
believe it's here, Carmie, we get to bet on NHL,

1093
00:48:37,719 --> 00:48:40,079
we get to bet on NHL props.

1094
00:48:40,199 --> 00:48:42,599
Speaker 2: My gosh, it's it's here. How excited are you?

1095
00:48:43,679 --> 00:48:47,639
Speaker 9: I'm very excited. It's a great time to be in

1096
00:48:47,679 --> 00:48:49,760
Toronto right now. Believe it or not, even though I'm

1097
00:48:49,800 --> 00:48:52,199
not a Leaves fan. I was downtown Toronto yesterday the

1098
00:48:52,239 --> 00:48:58,280
Blue Jays and Yankees and then watching football pretty much

1099
00:48:58,360 --> 00:49:00,360
all of you one o'clock in four o'clock games while

1100
00:49:00,400 --> 00:49:05,440
my wife was getting a six hour tattoo done Andy.

1101
00:49:05,599 --> 00:49:09,760
So yeah, yeah, I tried to bribe the girl into

1102
00:49:09,760 --> 00:49:14,400
putting Wteth buzz Backslash CD on there, but it didn't work.

1103
00:49:16,800 --> 00:49:20,400
But I'm looking forward to it. Listen, NHL is here,

1104
00:49:20,519 --> 00:49:22,800
NFL is here. It's been a great run in the

1105
00:49:22,840 --> 00:49:26,800
NFL as well, to seven straight winners for me. I

1106
00:49:26,800 --> 00:49:29,760
think I must have been the square yesterday because three

1107
00:49:29,840 --> 00:49:35,159
and oh sweep yesterday I had Tennessee, so I'm pretty

1108
00:49:35,199 --> 00:49:36,320
happy about that as well too.

1109
00:49:36,320 --> 00:49:37,360
Speaker 7: But NHL.

1110
00:49:37,679 --> 00:49:41,519
Speaker 9: Yeah, NHL is kicking off on Tuesday, only three games,

1111
00:49:41,599 --> 00:49:44,159
but it is going to be It's going to be

1112
00:49:44,199 --> 00:49:47,360
action packed. Because of the Olympics, they're going to start

1113
00:49:47,360 --> 00:49:52,000
squeezing in a lot of games before that break comes up,

1114
00:49:52,039 --> 00:49:55,599
so it'll be interesting to see. Nonetheless, but it is

1115
00:49:55,639 --> 00:49:59,000
a great season. I got a couple client plays that

1116
00:49:59,119 --> 00:50:01,320
are season long prop plays for you.

1117
00:50:02,480 --> 00:50:04,400
Speaker 1: I can't wait. We're going to support a team and

1118
00:50:04,480 --> 00:50:07,119
we're going to fade a team. We always love fading.

1119
00:50:07,199 --> 00:50:09,800
I always say it's so much easier for bad teams

1120
00:50:09,840 --> 00:50:11,679
to be bad that it is for good teams to

1121
00:50:11,719 --> 00:50:14,960
be great every single night. So let's talk about the

1122
00:50:15,000 --> 00:50:16,000
Pittsburgh Penguins.

1123
00:50:16,000 --> 00:50:18,239
Speaker 2: Why are you fading them? Yeah?

1124
00:50:18,280 --> 00:50:21,280
Speaker 9: So, you know, I initially put this one out because

1125
00:50:21,320 --> 00:50:23,159
I thought the number was at least a couple of

1126
00:50:23,159 --> 00:50:26,639
points too high. The Pittsburgh Penguins under seventy eight and

1127
00:50:26,639 --> 00:50:28,960
a half points. It's now down to seventy six and

1128
00:50:28,960 --> 00:50:32,280
a half at the DraftKings. And this is a team,

1129
00:50:32,519 --> 00:50:35,280
and it's just a team that is I think is

1130
00:50:35,320 --> 00:50:39,280
going to be near the bottom of the Eastern Conference

1131
00:50:39,280 --> 00:50:41,599
standings and near the bottom of the standings overall. I

1132
00:50:41,599 --> 00:50:46,719
think they're projected probably now I saw just this past

1133
00:50:46,719 --> 00:50:50,480
weekend they're projected to be in the top or the

1134
00:50:50,519 --> 00:50:53,039
bottom four overall in points. This is a team that

1135
00:50:53,079 --> 00:50:56,440
three years ago ninety one points, two years ago eighty

1136
00:50:56,480 --> 00:50:59,559
eight points, last year eighty points, and they only got

1137
00:50:59,599 --> 00:51:01,599
to those points by winning three of the last four

1138
00:51:02,760 --> 00:51:07,599
four games. Obviously, Mike Sullivan gone new coach, first year

1139
00:51:07,679 --> 00:51:10,800
coach as well too in Dan Mues. But this is

1140
00:51:10,800 --> 00:51:13,639
a team that it's going to be a retooling season

1141
00:51:13,639 --> 00:51:15,480
for the Pittsburgh Penguins, is going to be a long

1142
00:51:15,519 --> 00:51:19,639
year for them aging stars. Listen, I love Sidney Crosby,

1143
00:51:19,679 --> 00:51:23,079
but he's thirty eight and could be a player that

1144
00:51:23,440 --> 00:51:26,199
they move at the trade deadline as a rental player

1145
00:51:26,199 --> 00:51:29,440
and then he returns to Pittsburgh for another season if

1146
00:51:29,440 --> 00:51:31,920
they're able to win that first round pick and get McKenna.

1147
00:51:32,320 --> 00:51:36,880
He's the perfect mentor for a young superstar in their

1148
00:51:36,880 --> 00:51:38,800
first year. You got le Tang thirty eight years old,

1149
00:51:38,800 --> 00:51:43,440
Malcolm thirty nine, Carlson thirty five, Rust thirty three. So

1150
00:51:43,480 --> 00:51:46,800
there's a lot of players I hate to say, but

1151
00:51:46,840 --> 00:51:50,199
they're on their last legs with this Pittsburgh team and

1152
00:51:50,239 --> 00:51:54,039
it's just a long season for them. So I released

1153
00:51:54,079 --> 00:51:56,000
it's under seventy eight and a half, but it's at

1154
00:51:56,000 --> 00:51:57,559
seventy six and a half, and I still like it.

1155
00:51:57,599 --> 00:51:59,039
Andy at seventy six and a half.

1156
00:52:00,360 --> 00:52:02,440
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to a team we're going to

1157
00:52:02,800 --> 00:52:06,880
support Interact. This is an interesting one, but we're going

1158
00:52:06,880 --> 00:52:09,480
to We're going to your own talent team here with Toronto.

1159
00:52:10,880 --> 00:52:12,599
A little bit of changes with the roster, but you

1160
00:52:12,639 --> 00:52:14,079
still think they're going to be strong this year.

1161
00:52:14,880 --> 00:52:18,360
Speaker 9: Yeah, you know, I think the biggest takeaway is outside

1162
00:52:18,400 --> 00:52:22,639
of Toronto people. The first thing that comes with people's

1163
00:52:22,639 --> 00:52:25,000
minds is Mitch Martner is no longer in Toronto. How

1164
00:52:25,039 --> 00:52:28,480
do you replace one hundred and two points from him?

1165
00:52:29,079 --> 00:52:33,519
It is by committee. They have enough talent on that team.

1166
00:52:33,719 --> 00:52:35,519
And this is a team that three years ago one

1167
00:52:35,559 --> 00:52:38,599
hundred and eleven points, two years ago one hundred and

1168
00:52:38,639 --> 00:52:41,519
two points, last year one hundred and eight points. I

1169
00:52:41,559 --> 00:52:44,440
think the second year under Craig Barube, he is putting

1170
00:52:44,440 --> 00:52:46,480
it in a plan on this team and how he

1171
00:52:46,519 --> 00:52:48,639
wants them to play and play a better defensive game

1172
00:52:49,159 --> 00:52:52,639
as well too, So it is not about just scoring

1173
00:52:52,679 --> 00:52:58,159
a ton of goals, It is about minding the team defensively.

1174
00:52:58,519 --> 00:53:00,679
You have stol Arts who is injured in the playoffs.

1175
00:53:00,840 --> 00:53:02,880
You know, they were the only team to take Florida

1176
00:53:03,880 --> 00:53:07,679
basically to seven games with a chance to knock them out.

1177
00:53:07,719 --> 00:53:10,440
But goaltending issues became a problem in the playoffs for

1178
00:53:10,519 --> 00:53:14,239
them with still Art's getting injured and having a wall

1179
00:53:14,719 --> 00:53:17,079
and Hill deeby. But this is a team ninety nine

1180
00:53:17,119 --> 00:53:19,519
and a half points. I think the numbers short here

1181
00:53:19,920 --> 00:53:21,880
and a couple of reasons. I think the white noise

1182
00:53:21,960 --> 00:53:25,360
around the whole Mitch Martiner thing that was with the

1183
00:53:25,400 --> 00:53:28,320
team all season long last year is now gone. They

1184
00:53:28,320 --> 00:53:31,920
can focus on playing hockey. And then I think from

1185
00:53:31,920 --> 00:53:35,920
a divisional perspective, you have teams in their division that

1186
00:53:36,000 --> 00:53:38,559
I think are going to are going to get off

1187
00:53:38,559 --> 00:53:40,119
to slow starts.

1188
00:53:40,119 --> 00:53:41,079
Speaker 7: The Boston Bruins.

1189
00:53:41,480 --> 00:53:44,519
Speaker 9: This is a team that the Boston Bruins are in

1190
00:53:44,519 --> 00:53:47,760
the same boat, you know as the Pittsburgh Penguins. I

1191
00:53:47,800 --> 00:53:49,559
don't think as bad, but this is a team that

1192
00:53:49,679 --> 00:53:53,559
is projected to get eighty points. Eighty and a half

1193
00:53:53,559 --> 00:53:55,679
points is that the Bruins projection this year. And this

1194
00:53:55,719 --> 00:53:58,039
is a team that I think two or three years

1195
00:53:58,079 --> 00:54:01,079
ago won the President's Troll with one hundred and thirty

1196
00:54:01,079 --> 00:54:04,639
two points. So it is I think it's going to

1197
00:54:04,679 --> 00:54:06,440
be a tough season for the Bruins. Leafs get to

1198
00:54:06,440 --> 00:54:08,840
play them. Bruins normally have their number, but this is

1199
00:54:09,920 --> 00:54:12,559
I think this is where the Leafs get a leg

1200
00:54:12,639 --> 00:54:15,360
up on them. And then the Florida Panthers, two time

1201
00:54:15,440 --> 00:54:18,880
Stanley Cup champions, this is a team that is again

1202
00:54:19,320 --> 00:54:21,639
always stacked, but they're pretty much going to go the

1203
00:54:21,639 --> 00:54:25,280
whole season with El Barkov, who as it looks like

1204
00:54:25,320 --> 00:54:30,000
a season long injury and no sick and Matthew Schuck

1205
00:54:30,039 --> 00:54:33,559
are likely going to start the season on long term

1206
00:54:33,559 --> 00:54:37,920
injury reserves. So you have a couple big pieces of

1207
00:54:37,920 --> 00:54:40,559
that team that aren't and it's another one. It's another

1208
00:54:41,639 --> 00:54:46,400
next man up scenario for Paul Maurice and the Florida Panthers.

1209
00:54:46,400 --> 00:54:49,440
But being in that division, I think the two best

1210
00:54:49,440 --> 00:54:53,760
teams in that division after the injuries, not before the injuries,

1211
00:54:54,320 --> 00:54:57,559
after the injuries, are going to be Toronto and the

1212
00:54:57,599 --> 00:55:00,519
Tampa Bay Lightning. Expect a good season from the Tampa

1213
00:55:00,559 --> 00:55:03,199
Bay Lightning as well too. I think it was one

1214
00:55:03,199 --> 00:55:05,159
of those seasons where Florida just wants to get into

1215
00:55:05,159 --> 00:55:07,880
the playoffs. They'll be one of the top three in

1216
00:55:07,920 --> 00:55:10,039
the Atlantic. They'll make the playoffs. They know they can

1217
00:55:10,079 --> 00:55:13,639
win on the road. This team is built for the playoffs.

1218
00:55:13,679 --> 00:55:16,760
But we're not talking about playoffs. We're talking about the

1219
00:55:16,880 --> 00:55:19,360
regular season. In over ninety nine and a half points

1220
00:55:19,480 --> 00:55:21,599
is doable for the Leafs. And you guys know how

1221
00:55:21,639 --> 00:55:24,480
tough I am on the leafs Andy, I am tough

1222
00:55:24,480 --> 00:55:25,039
on the press.

1223
00:55:25,119 --> 00:55:27,119
Speaker 2: We've seen and we've heard.

1224
00:55:27,960 --> 00:55:30,679
Speaker 9: Yeah, you know the last time the Leafs won the

1225
00:55:30,719 --> 00:55:33,000
Stanley Cup. Andy, here's some facts for you that you

1226
00:55:33,119 --> 00:55:35,400
might not have known and the viewers might not have known.

1227
00:55:35,920 --> 00:55:39,480
The Leafs last won the Stanley Cup in nineteen sixty seven.

1228
00:55:39,639 --> 00:55:43,119
Gas was thirty three cents a gallon, a slice of

1229
00:55:43,159 --> 00:55:46,400
pizza was fifteen cents, there was only six teams in

1230
00:55:46,440 --> 00:55:52,239
the league, and a house cost fourteen thousand dollars. That is,

1231
00:55:52,920 --> 00:55:55,440
those are the prices of the last time the Leafs

1232
00:55:55,440 --> 00:55:58,360
won a Stanley Cup. But apparently they are hockey town,

1233
00:55:59,360 --> 00:56:02,480
or they'll tell you they are, so I would kill

1234
00:56:02,559 --> 00:56:04,639
for a fifteen cent slice of pizza right now. Let

1235
00:56:04,719 --> 00:56:05,159
me tell you.

1236
00:56:06,760 --> 00:56:10,280
Speaker 2: That sounds good. Now I'm getting hungry, but I'm in

1237
00:56:10,320 --> 00:56:10,880
their corners.

1238
00:56:11,199 --> 00:56:14,800
Speaker 1: Points I take the fourteen thousand dollars house, honest with

1239
00:56:15,480 --> 00:56:16,679
that'd be my pick, so.

1240
00:56:17,679 --> 00:56:21,880
Speaker 2: Smaller for me. Tell everyone about puck time and what

1241
00:56:21,920 --> 00:56:22,800
you have up for everyone.

1242
00:56:23,559 --> 00:56:25,639
Speaker 9: Yeah, puck Time is going to be exciting this year, guys.

1243
00:56:25,840 --> 00:56:29,000
We kick it off tomorrow eleven am live. It's always

1244
00:56:29,079 --> 00:56:32,079
Monday to Fridays unless there are no games on which,

1245
00:56:32,320 --> 00:56:34,639
oddly enough, on Friday of this week there are no

1246
00:56:34,760 --> 00:56:38,639
games but brand new segments this season. I'm going to

1247
00:56:38,679 --> 00:56:42,880
do a season long bank roll builder with a play

1248
00:56:42,880 --> 00:56:45,920
of the day if one is available, and we will

1249
00:56:46,000 --> 00:56:49,119
keep a running count on it every single day of

1250
00:56:49,159 --> 00:56:53,119
the show. More game coverage, much like Wager Talk Today

1251
00:56:53,119 --> 00:56:54,960
in the way you're running this show, Andy, which is

1252
00:56:55,000 --> 00:56:59,960
absolutely fantastic. We'll bring guests like the pres Brian Leonard

1253
00:57:00,039 --> 00:57:03,079
Drew does fantastic in NHL, a don buster and they'll

1254
00:57:03,079 --> 00:57:06,239
come on and break down a single game, and then

1255
00:57:06,280 --> 00:57:08,440
Andrew and I will cover some games as well too.

1256
00:57:08,559 --> 00:57:11,320
So it is the and of course the swag. We

1257
00:57:11,360 --> 00:57:14,159
always have some swag, and we'll do some giveaways all

1258
00:57:14,159 --> 00:57:19,079
season long. But it is the best damn hockey show around,

1259
00:57:19,119 --> 00:57:23,920
so you gotta tune in and watch it. With that said, Andy,

1260
00:57:25,280 --> 00:57:29,239
I have a great promo NHL two hundred. NHL two

1261
00:57:29,280 --> 00:57:31,400
hundred will get you two hundred dollars off the entire

1262
00:57:31,559 --> 00:57:35,000
NHL season. That is a great deal, likely not going

1263
00:57:35,039 --> 00:57:39,239
to be any lower than that all season long. So

1264
00:57:39,440 --> 00:57:42,079
if you want to take advantage of it, NHL two

1265
00:57:42,159 --> 00:57:44,159
hundred and let's kick it off with some winners on

1266
00:57:44,199 --> 00:57:45,519
the ice tomorrow night.

1267
00:57:46,840 --> 00:57:49,199
Speaker 2: Love It, Love It. Carbon Bianco it is the best

1268
00:57:49,199 --> 00:57:49,840
hockey show.

1269
00:57:50,119 --> 00:57:53,000
Speaker 1: Can't wait to get these hockey bets and hockey props

1270
00:57:53,000 --> 00:57:53,280
and so.

1271
00:57:53,280 --> 00:57:56,320
Speaker 2: Thank you Carmine. Great breakdown for everyone.

1272
00:57:56,559 --> 00:57:58,679
Speaker 1: Before we go, Dan, I just have to give you

1273
00:57:58,719 --> 00:58:04,800
a shout out one of your best, if not best

1274
00:58:04,840 --> 00:58:08,880
weekend of predictions. You navigated survivor you gave out like

1275
00:58:09,000 --> 00:58:11,199
a hillacious what was it like a thirty seven to

1276
00:58:11,199 --> 00:58:12,519
one parlay?

1277
00:58:12,639 --> 00:58:15,400
Speaker 2: So Dan, you were you were absolutely on fire.

1278
00:58:15,559 --> 00:58:15,760
Speaker 5: It was.

1279
00:58:16,199 --> 00:58:18,719
Speaker 6: It was a nice weekend. That's that's for sure, Andy,

1280
00:58:18,760 --> 00:58:21,519
And you have to celebrate them when they come along,

1281
00:58:21,679 --> 00:58:23,719
you know what I mean. So the folks who the

1282
00:58:23,719 --> 00:58:26,199
folks who are watching on Wager Talk last call, we

1283
00:58:26,320 --> 00:58:29,039
gave out the Dallas godd at anytime touchdown score the

1284
00:58:29,079 --> 00:58:32,119
wall or anytime touchdown score. And then we liked rashid

1285
00:58:32,119 --> 00:58:34,960
sha heat over as long as reception. I didn't expect

1286
00:58:34,960 --> 00:58:37,039
as long as reception to be like seventy yards, but

1287
00:58:37,079 --> 00:58:39,519
it certainly was over nineteen and a half, which was

1288
00:58:39,719 --> 00:58:43,360
just a crazy number that they hung there. So I mean,

1289
00:58:43,400 --> 00:58:45,920
you know it, you know, especially when you cash for clients,

1290
00:58:45,920 --> 00:58:48,760
when you give out the free plays here too, it's

1291
00:58:48,840 --> 00:58:51,239
it's it's nice when people give you some props for it,

1292
00:58:51,239 --> 00:58:54,400
because usually you only hear about the ones that you lose,

1293
00:58:54,719 --> 00:58:57,440
you know, even when they're free plays. Andy, why the

1294
00:58:57,440 --> 00:58:59,559
hell did you give me that prop in your in

1295
00:58:59,639 --> 00:59:01,320
your days free plays that lose.

1296
00:59:01,519 --> 00:59:01,760
Speaker 5: Yeah.

1297
00:59:02,239 --> 00:59:05,440
Speaker 6: So, so it's nice when you hear hear the kind words,

1298
00:59:05,679 --> 00:59:08,760
because in this industry you don't really get too many

1299
00:59:08,840 --> 00:59:09,840
kind words.

1300
00:59:10,159 --> 00:59:12,800
Speaker 2: And we're set up beautifully in Survivor.

1301
00:59:13,199 --> 00:59:13,920
Speaker 7: Oh yeah, you've.

1302
00:59:13,800 --> 00:59:16,480
Speaker 1: Only used you You've only used one team that is

1303
00:59:16,480 --> 00:59:18,440
in the division lead right now, and that's not cold.

1304
00:59:18,559 --> 00:59:21,599
Speaker 2: So you're set up. You're set up very now.

1305
00:59:21,639 --> 00:59:23,760
Speaker 6: The question is this weekend, and we'll be able to

1306
00:59:23,760 --> 00:59:24,440
talk about.

1307
00:59:24,199 --> 00:59:24,920
Speaker 2: It all week long.

1308
00:59:25,559 --> 00:59:30,000
Speaker 6: Fourteen point favorites the Green Bay Packers versus the Bengals.

1309
00:59:30,320 --> 00:59:33,159
Could the craziness happen again this week?

1310
00:59:34,800 --> 00:59:36,239
Speaker 7: I will tell, I will tell.

1311
00:59:36,400 --> 00:59:39,320
Speaker 6: I gotta look at some some stats of the Packers

1312
00:59:39,360 --> 00:59:41,559
coming off the by and then and then maybe we'll

1313
00:59:41,599 --> 00:59:42,679
just be talking four.

1314
00:59:43,159 --> 00:59:43,599
Speaker 7: Yeah.

1315
00:59:43,719 --> 00:59:46,760
Speaker 1: I'm staring hard at that Ravens team that that was

1316
00:59:46,840 --> 00:59:47,760
my pick, Houston.

1317
00:59:47,800 --> 00:59:49,159
Speaker 2: That was pretty much no sweat.

1318
00:59:49,320 --> 00:59:49,840
Speaker 7: I was great.

1319
00:59:50,119 --> 00:59:52,480
Speaker 2: Look I'm looking at teams to fade. I might be

1320
00:59:52,519 --> 00:59:55,400
looking at them. So all right, that's gonna do it

1321
00:59:55,440 --> 00:59:56,480
for us. You know what I should? I should?

1322
00:59:56,480 --> 00:59:58,400
Speaker 1: I should do an update every week on my fantasy

1323
00:59:58,400 --> 01:00:01,679
football team. That's the worst f fantasy football team ever

1324
01:00:03,199 --> 01:00:07,039
it I'm losing by fifty six points this week. I

1325
01:00:07,280 --> 01:00:09,079
have not won a game. I have not even been

1326
01:00:09,119 --> 01:00:11,599
close to winning a game. You could not have drafted

1327
01:00:11,639 --> 01:00:14,159
a worst team than me. I have already benched my

1328
01:00:14,239 --> 01:00:16,719
first round pick Dan. That's how bad it is. He's

1329
01:00:16,760 --> 01:00:21,039
not hurt, but my first and second round picks are

1330
01:00:21,079 --> 01:00:24,599
on my bench. That's how terrible. When you draft Brian

1331
01:00:24,679 --> 01:00:27,280
Thomas and Chase Brown won two, you're done.

1332
01:00:27,440 --> 01:00:30,400
Speaker 2: My leaders this week was my kicker as.

1333
01:00:30,239 --> 01:00:30,960
Speaker 5: Bad as score.

1334
01:00:31,960 --> 01:00:34,079
Speaker 2: My kicker was my leading scorer.

1335
01:00:36,280 --> 01:00:41,559
Speaker 1: It's the worst fantasy football team that has ever disgraced

1336
01:00:41,960 --> 01:00:42,639
the airwaves.

1337
01:00:42,679 --> 01:00:44,400
Speaker 2: I don't know, all right, that's gonna do it for us.

1338
01:00:44,519 --> 01:00:46,920
Speaker 1: NFL best bet is up over at WT dot bus

1339
01:00:46,960 --> 01:00:49,320
slash al. One thing that is going well is our

1340
01:00:49,440 --> 01:00:51,679
NFL plays eight and two run and we're six and

1341
01:00:51,760 --> 01:00:52,880
one in primetime games.

1342
01:00:52,920 --> 01:00:55,199
Speaker 2: So go grab that. Only one play that we felt

1343
01:00:55,239 --> 01:00:56,960
good enough to put our own money on. That is

1344
01:00:57,000 --> 01:00:59,320
up and we got our five percent UFC best bet.

1345
01:00:59,559 --> 01:01:03,039
Speaker 1: That is up coming up with great five percent cash

1346
01:01:03,039 --> 01:01:05,039
on Saturday, and we got one for this Saturday, and

1347
01:01:05,039 --> 01:01:07,000
I already know we're gonna have one for the next Saturday.

1348
01:01:07,000 --> 01:01:08,960
Speaker 2: The way the cards and the lines are so Thanks

1349
01:01:09,000 --> 01:01:09,800
so much for joining us.

1350
01:01:09,840 --> 01:01:12,000
Speaker 1: Hit the like button, leave us comment, tell us what

1351
01:01:12,039 --> 01:01:13,119
bet you like, tell us what.

1352
01:01:13,039 --> 01:01:15,079
Speaker 2: Word you struggle to pronounce, and we'll see.

1353
01:01:15,119 --> 01:01:18,119
Speaker 1: If I put what words you struggle to pronounce in

1354
01:01:18,159 --> 01:01:20,639
the comment section, I'll try and pronounce all of them tomorrow.

1355
01:01:20,840 --> 01:01:21,880
Speaker 2: How about that for a gimmick?

1356
01:01:21,920 --> 01:01:23,559
Speaker 1: All right, we're gonna do it again tomorrow at noon

1357
01:01:23,599 --> 01:01:25,239
the Eastern at nine am Pacific.

1358
01:01:25,440 --> 01:01:27,360
Speaker 2: Thanks for joining us, Good luck, I know your best tonight.

1359
01:01:27,440 --> 01:01:27,800
Take care