Speaker 1: NHL picks for Friday, April third. Welcome into puck Time, guys,
wager Talk TV. Just two games to break down for today.
We're going to talk a lot of conceptual overall NHL
stuff today for those of you tuning in in the
live comments section. As we always have a great group
of you, we will be taking some questions and some thoughts.
Of course, Carmine we'll have you guys set with his
six and sixty. I will have a video out later
on tonight with some picks and some thoughts and some
props for Saturday's NHL slate. But I'll leave the show
off with the same way I let it off with yesterday.
Speaker 2: Guys. We keep the run alive. Eleven straight NHL winners
today or yesterday.
Speaker 1: It was not a team total, it was a full
game over I liked the lightning same way my co
host Carmine liked them. I was just a little bit
worried because the Penguins have been scoring so many goals lately.
Over six and a half, we get the job done
eleven straight in the NHL.
Speaker 2: So thank you to all of you guys that joined me.
Speaker 1: Four percent best bet we continue to make some money
in the NHL, and it's a great time to be
hot in the NHL. Speaking of being hot in the NHL, well, Carmine,
you're off a three and oh day, so both of
us have reasons to smile here today on a Friday,
and well we always should have reasons to smile.
Speaker 2: But today is a good day.
Speaker 3: Any day you wake up above ground is always a
good day. So any day you wake up is a
good day, nonetheless. But yeah, three, No. I liked a
lot of games Estray, but I thought, wow, three is
really pushing it, so I left it at three. Utah
gets it done a Tampa and regulation of course gets
it done, which was also the pod play, and there
was one other one. There's so many to mention, Andrew,
that is like, there were so many games that I liked,
and I'm like, I can't take them all. That's the
problem is it's kind of like your streak eleven and zero.
And I know that subscribers are like, give us more volume,
give us more volume, But you make more money picking
one winner a day than going giveing them three plays
and going too and one where you lose a little
bit of big as well too, So you know that's
I think that's something you have to look at. The
other one for me was Minnesota, not the full game line.
I took the puck line on that one. So I'm
pretty happy about that. The Wild get it done. Vancouver.
No upsets this time around, even though they led to
to one at the end of the first period against Minnesota.
Like Nana, this is a great time to live in game,
wager or on the Wild. They are going to come
back and win on home ice, and they did so
it is good. But a lot of action yesterday, a
lot of empty net goals, and a huge weekend ahead.
I know that you have you have zoned in on
a couple of games for tomorrow. We're not going to
custom of course, but they could possibly be a big
play from you and I'm looking forward to it. Man,
keep that you get to twelve and then you go
for the Baker's dozen. The thirteen, you know what I mean,
that's which is a good luck number for Italians. So okay,
so yeah, that's what it is.
Speaker 2: Man.
Speaker 3: So we're going to talk Philly, Islanders, Saint Louis and Anaheim.
We have a fad or follow stat from Ralph Michael's
on that one. I'm going to do a pod play
and then take my breath, catch my breath. You are
going to do some prop plays if you have any.
Then we are going to finish it off with the
six and sixteen and along the way we can field
some questions for the people. But we're going to try
and keep this at forty minutes or less.
Speaker 2: We'll do our best.
Speaker 3: We'll do I don't want to get bounced by Kelly
or whatever she's like forty minutes. That's enough. With that said, Andrew, dude,
let's cueue it up, man Islanders and the Flyers. So
both these teams, it is. It is crazy that this
is and I'm going to be using this phrase so
many times in the next few days or like even
next week. This is a massive game with playoff implications.
The Islanders are in right now, the Flyers are not,
and they're separated by three points and this so this
is essentially one of those four pointers you need to
win this game and win it in regulation if you're
the Philadelphia Flyers plus one twenty one on the Islanders,
and I get it. So Rokan is conferred to being
goal Andrew, but twelve goals allowed by the Islanders in
their last two games. Where are you going with this one?
Speaker 2: Yeah, not very good.
Speaker 1: And Karm, I know you always laugh when I put
these images up on the screen because we have to
get our magnifying glass out to read them. But wow,
this is even worse than I thought it was. But
for those of you guys with the site of a
twenty eight year old like myself, you can take a
look at this. If the Islanders win in regulation tonight,
seventy five percent chance they make the playoffs.
Speaker 2: If they lose in.
Speaker 1: Regulation, a forty point two percent chance of making the playoffs.
So this is a massive, massive swing as far as
they are concerned here. And obviously, as you mentioned, if
the Philadelphia Flyers, if they lose, they are pretty much
completely out of contention. You know, it's interesting because you
do look at towards, you know, the back to backs
type of stuff here, and that always plays a factor
when we're when we're handicapping and when we're looking at
this stuff, because you know, you want to take a
look at which team's arrested, you know, which teams that
have come into it, and obviously Philadelphia come off second
half of back to back the goaltender we're going to
see out there is Dan Vladar. And the only thing
I have to say, Karen, is that the dan Vladar
we're seeing today is not the dan Vladar we saw
two months ago. And he picked a wrong time to
start letting in some goals. Last three games three point
sixty seven goals against average, last three games eight forty
seven save percentage.
Speaker 2: He has not been great.
Speaker 1: The funny thing is Ilia Sarokan last three games eight
sixty four save percentage, goals against four goals per game,
expected goals against four point one point nine goals against
per game. You know, Carl, when people think about these
must win games, a lot of the times you think
about unders. And I've talked a lot about with the
Ottawa Senators. They've been going under in a lot of
their games that they need to make the playoffs. But
when you think about empty net goals, when you think
about intensity right from the get go, right from the start,
and we're seeing a five and a half. Look at
the game yesterday that Philadelphia was involved in over five
and a half. It just got there, but it got there.
I kind of like that today. You know, as much
as this is a do or die game. You got
a Philadelphia offense actually playing pretty well, but their defense
hasn't been great. Dan Vladar hasn't been great, and the
New York Islanders have picked a bad time to not
be playing the best offense of our defensive hockey as well.
So I'm going to go over five and a half.
Never thought I'd be loving a five and a half
over between Philly and the Islanders, but here we are.
Speaker 2: It's freaky Friday. We'll see what happens.
Speaker 1: The draw price on this one is plus three ten
if anybody wants to sprinkle on overtime here in this one.
Obviously a point matters so much for both these teams,
but I'm going to go over five and a half.
Speaker 2: Karm, going strictly data driven.
Speaker 1: Both these goaltenders have not been great, and before I
pass it over to you, Karm, I will shout out
good buddy.
Speaker 2: Titan.
Speaker 1: CT says, even with glasses on, I can't even see
that graphic.
Speaker 2: I'll try and do better next time.
Speaker 1: But I had to mention that Colin says, thank God
for contacts.
Speaker 3: Titans. Titans is probably like in my age group. He
could be like, who knows, maybe a little older, so
he'll remember, you know, those words that no one talks
about right now, but our parents back in the day
used to say to us, be careful how you what
you do in that bathroom, You'll lose your eyesight. So
I'm not going to go any further because this is PG.
Thirteen this show, but I'm sure he knows what I'm
talking about. Anyways, Andrew, you know, here's the thing, Like,
I just feel like these teams in the Eastern Conference
and some of them are just crawling to the to
the finish line here, like the Islanders. Sorokan is making
his ten straight appearance tonight, ten straight games. Big save
Dave has not gotten any any starts whatsoever. I think
the last time he was in he was anything but
a big save Dave. So the problem is they don't
have an adequate backup goalie that they can put in
there with any confidence. So now you have Sorokan and
you're overworking the guy. And if you aren't scoring goals,
you're allowing goals, and you know, allowing eight goals a
couple starts back and then they allow four to the
Buffalo Sabers twelve goals in two games it is. It's
just it's not good. It's not good enough for them.
What confidence do I have laying a dollar forty six
with the Islanders. I don't. I wouldn't lay it. I
get it. The Flyers run the back to back and
yesterday I did say that I thought Detroit was the
right side in Philadelphia and they got the win there.
It seems like some of these teams andrew are that
good old and it's not a handicapping tool zigzagging. And
the Flyers seemed like the one of those zigzag teams
where they lose at home to the Detroit Red Wings
and then the very next night they go into New
York at Ubs Arena and pick up a crucial two
points in regulation. I would lean Flyers here plus one twenty.
Speaker 2: Well, must win does not mean will win.
Speaker 1: We keep on saying that, and this game probably is
the epitome of that. So yeah, and I'd love to
see where this line ends up going as closer and
closer we get to game time. But just remember, guys,
the Islanders put themselves in this position, you know, they
they put themselves here, and that's why they are now
pressed to win every single game. And just to circle
back to what you said there, Karm, because you've been
talking about this over the past couple of shows, and
I appreciate the opinion on that because Patrick Wah he said, Look,
goalies are meant to be out there if you want.
If you're our starting goalie is supposed to be out
there all the time. And I'm not sure if you've
been following kind of the controversial stuff going on with
the Ottawa Senators and Brady Kachuk and Matthew Kachuk and
their dad Keith. But and then of course Lenas Allmark
with his mental health struggles. He refused last Saturday to
play back to back games pretty much, right, And you
think back to when when Allmark played with swaymen, they
pretty much shared the workload, right. But you and I
both know, before I was even alive and you were
watching hockey, goalies played like seventy games a year. The
backups didn't play nearly as much. So Patrick Waugh is saying, Soroken,
if you're our number one guy, you got to play
every single game.
Speaker 3: Yeah, but the game is, the game has changed from
back in the day where guys could play seventy games.
There weren't as many shots on goal. The speed of
the game. It was a little slower technology the way
it is, and a lot of these teams would speed.
Every single NHL team is data driven and this is
you know when that this is why it It just
boggles my mind sometimes when people are like analytics and
data mean nothing, just pick a team. No, every single
NHL team is data driven and that's how they set
up their teams. Uh. And there's some teams with speed.
But one of the things is is goaltending. You have
to have a couple of goalies where especially during the
middle of the season, you can give a guy like
Sorokan a bunch of time off play him every other day,
you know. And Uh, it's kind of like what the
Buffalo Sabers have done Andrew with with Peca Lucan in
and uh and Alex Lyon. The Sabers rotate their goalies.
And here's the interesting thing. If it's Peka Lucan in goal,
Alex Lyon is not on the bench as a backup,
it's Colton Ellis the third goalie that they have. And
when Alex Lyon is in goal, Uko Peca Lucanan is
not on the benches. The backup goalie, he's in street clothes.
It is Colton Ellis. So it's either the guy who
starts the game is going to finish the game or
if he's got to come out, it's likely because they
are losing badly, so they're just going to go to
their third goalie. And you preserve your goalies all season
long by doing that. Not every team can do that.
Not every team wants to carry three goalies either. So
there's about I think that it's something that's going to
haunt right now, is going to haunt this Islanders team.
I want to see them succeed. I want to make
them to make the playoffs. And I think it's just
because I have a soft spot for the Islanders because
you know, in years past when they made it into
the playoffs, they made good runs for me and I
made some money betting on the Islanders to win series.
So but at some point you gotta let it go
and you just toss it out, say Okay, it doesn't
look good for this time, but everything's up in the air.
Detroit winning yesterday, it just Columbus losing again to UH
to Carolina. It has made that seventh eighth, ninth, tenth spot.
It is is absolutely crazy what is going on right
now in the NHL. This it's it's gonna be uh,
it's gonna be great. Nonetheless, so I would be here
for the first three days of next week, the only
uh yeah, first three days of next week. Hopefully by
the time Thursday rolls around, the playoff spots are a
little more solidified. So the last five six days there's
maybe some good games, but ones that are just positional,
kind of like the Montreal Canadians creeping up on the
Buffalo Sabers Andrew.
Speaker 1: Yeah, the top three spots, Man top three spots, they're
getting a little bit tricky right now. Those teams, all
three of them, just cannot stop winning.
Speaker 2: KLM.
Speaker 1: Let's take a look at this special again. Look, all
of you guys so loyal in the live chat. If
you're with us and you're here every day, hit the
like button does help us out, especially on a Friday
when the Wager Talk family, when the higher ups are
checking out to see how puck time's doing. Get those
likes up for us. Let's try and get to two
hundred on this video. For those of you guys interested
Carmine's off a three and zero day. He's having a
fantastic running hockey. Eleven straight winners for me, one ninety
nine rest of the regular season for free, all the playoffs.
The faster you buy this, the more of the regular
season you will get. And of course this is the
playoff package, so we're just throwing in the remainder of
the regular season with this special WT Buzz slash AM
or CB for Carmine and guys.
Speaker 2: This is a great deal.
Speaker 1: And as we talked about yesterday KRL, the playoffs go
until it's like T shirts and shorts every day, it's
like early June. A lot of people don't like it
how long the playoffs go in the NHL. But for
that being said, one every five percent, play every future, bet,
every series, bet everything we get, and you get buying
one play a day for me on this streak, or
you can get this package and get every single play
I release.
Speaker 3: Yeah, absolutely, it's a great deal for you, Andrew, And
you know, I could make the comment, you know, combined, Andrew,
we have fourteen straight winners, but it's kind of one
side and eleven on one and three on the other. Anyways,
we just keep going it is, You're doing it the
right way. Key in on one game and just keep
on winning, man, that's all that people want. Just keep
on winning. With that said, keep on winning. The Anaheim
Ducks and the Saint Louis Blues. The Anine Ducks were winning.
Now three straight losses for the Ducks Andrew are they
feeling the pressure? The Blues plus one seventeen? Listen the Blues.
This is how I look at the Blues game right now,
the Blues or this game tonight, And I'm not using
the must win. I may use a workaround to make
you think it, but the Blues are looking at this
the like five points back of a playoff spot. They
do have a favorable schedule outside of their next two
games because they play an I'm tonight, but the next
two games after that are home in a way or
away in home against the Colorado Avalanche. Now, whether the
Avalanche have packed it in for the season because they
feel like they've locked up the first seed overall is
one thing. Cal mccarr if he's not in the lineup,
they're a different team to Saint Louis Blues. This is
a crucial game for them to have hope at a
playoff spot. The percentage is low, but pick up two
points here you move within likely three points a playoff spot.
And if you can take one of two games against Colorado,
at the bare minimum one of two games against Colorado,
they have a favorable schedule to close out the season
where they could make a run. But Andrew, it's an
eighty two game season. They're in this position because they
weren't very good over seventy five of those games. So
how are you looking at this one?
Speaker 1: Well, I'll start this off with a comment from where's
the Giovanni saying Evonton tied first in Pacific?
Speaker 2: What do you all think about that?
Speaker 1: I'll tell you what what I think about it is
is that you know, for them, it was all about
the playoffs.
Speaker 2: Just get into the dance and doing whatever you can
do there.
Speaker 1: Now they don't have Florida to worry about in the
Eastern Conference at least. But a couple of weeks ago
when we did a little segment on futures together, it
might have even been two weeks ago last week, even
who knows, I lose track of time, but I said, Anaheim,
we're eighteen to one to win the West and The
reason why I said that because the Pacific was easier
and they were pretty much a showing to make the
playoffs at that point. But the biggest problem that has
screwed them, Karm, is that they were scoring their way.
Speaker 2: Out of their problems.
Speaker 1: You can't score your way out of problems every single game.
And look at that game they played, what was it,
Monday night Leafs against Ducks. That was the Radco Guttis game.
That is the perfect example of what this Ducks team
is all about lately. You can't be winning games when
you have to score five goals to win every game.
Projection projected goalies for tonight, hope for versus Dustell. I mean,
it's pretty clear as day for me, Karm. You got
a goalie with it nine to thirty two, say percentage
last couple games, versus a goaltender with an eight eighty
one save percentage the last few games. I know I'm
kind of taking the easy way out with this one here,
but I'm gonna give you the under I think this
is a game where Anaheim's gonna realize we have to
play defensive hockey tonight in Saint Louis, they've been playing
some fantastic defensive hockey. So Colin, you've been doing better
on the sides. You're in the live chat right now.
I'll tell you what I'm sticking to, mostly totals tonight.
I think this game goes under. I think Anaheim the
their key for themselves is going to be defense tonight.
Speaker 3: Carl, Yeah, you know. I think one of the things
that hurts him as well too is, you know, the
Blues do play like I don't want to call it
like a physical game, but it seems like that bigger guys,
the Thomas line is what is carrying the Saint Louis
Blues right now, and it's been phenomenal. But you know,
when you take one person out of a lineup, and
for the Ducks right now, it's Cutter, Cutter Gothie. He's
out right now and he's listeners being out for tonight,
so I don't see any changes in that. It hurts
the offense as well too. And he's only missed one game,
but that was a loss. It's been three in a
row for them, and you just wonder, you know. I mean,
this is a team that I thought they'd make the playoffs,
but I think have really overachieved to get to the
point where they are right now, So it's I think
it's a tough, tough spot for them, even though they're
at home. It's probably a little more vague than you
want to lay because you know that the team that
is coming to play tonight is not a team that,
to use the phrase tanking, isn't tanking. They still have
dreams of making it into the playoffs. Andrew, which brings
us to the point of this, and this is a
Ralph Michaels. These two teams played just a little while ago,
I think early March. I think it was March eighth,
I believe it was, and Saint Louis got the four
nothing victory. So Ralph's fade or follows that. Home favorites
of minus twenty five plus playing with revenge off a
shutout loss as a favorite are fifty six and fifteen
seventy nine percent plus twenty two percent ROI, with an
average line of minus one eighty four. On the puck line,
they are forty and thirty one fifty six point three
percent thirty six percent ROI, with the average puck line
being obviously minus one and a half plus one forty
six so it's up to you guys to decide if
you want to fade or follow Ralph Michaels the pen
with some information on this game, which Andrew, we're not
done with this game. Let's let's turn it into a
pod play for me. So no disrespect to Ralph Michaels
on the fade or follow stats. But Hi, I'm gonna
fade it. Andrew, let's get the pod play up there
there it is. I'm sinking, but I recovered yesterday with
the Tampa Bay Lightning in regulation. I am taking the
Saint Louis Blues right now plus one seventeen to win tonight.
And it's for the same reason, uh injury obviously injury.
Goudas is also likely out for the Anaheim Ducks, which
hurts them from a physical point of view on defense
as well too. This is a make or miss kind
of game for the Saint Louis Blues. I don't think
it's a must win, but it's a game in which
I think they have circled that. Hey, we need the
two points we need to get this win. Three losses
in a row for Anaheim. Maybe the they Andrew, maybe
they're just thinking right now, come on. Let's get to
the finish line here, Let's get into the playoffs and
see what we can do. I think the pressure is
getting to them. I'm going to take the plus money here,
give me plus one seventeen on the Saint Louis Blues
and let's make it two in a row with the pod.
Speaker 1: That was a nice segue. It's like, hey, great information, Ralph,
but I'm going the other way.
Speaker 3: I'm god plus Ralph Michaels for dropping that in there.
But yeah, I do look like the dude from the
Adams family in that picture. Where is it? Was it? Uncle?
Where is it Uncle Fester? Was it? Or whatever? Just yeah,
And I got the two hands beside me from the
Adams family, one on each side. That's pretty good.
Speaker 1: Well, Karen, we're keeping on the exact same topic here, brother,
because I've got two picks for that exact same game.
And look, this week we hit a plus one forty five,
a plus one forty I think actually we had a
plus four hundred. So I'm going to keep it very peaceful,
very civil, very very hopefully smooth and easy. Winner plus
one thirty six. Nothing in life is ever easy. Dylan
Holloway three plus shots on bull Robert Thomas one point.
KRM said it best that Robert Thomas line has been incredible.
There's a re and why they didn't trade him at
the deadline because he's worth a lot to this team.
Robert Thomas to get a point and Dylan Hollway three
plus shots on goal. He has a great, great matchup
against the Anaheim Ducks, and I think Robert Thomas matches
up well against the top guys for the Ducks too.
Speaker 2: So it's Friday.
Speaker 1: We don't want to get greedy here today, carm We're
giving out a plus one to thirty six for today's
same game parlay Blues and Ducks. And he kind of
coincides with your with your pod because I'm back in
two players on the STL Saint Louis Blues. Let's cash
this ticket, guys, plus one thirty six. Let me know
in the comments fade or follow, follow or fade at
Carmines pod and my two prop bets here for today,
Let's get the job done.
Speaker 3: Get it done. I like it, Andrew. They don't have
to be Monsterrod's plus money is plus money and when
you cash it, it's good. By the way, the Nashville
La Kings game went to overtime yesterday. I think I
did say take the draw in that one. Yeah, I
tried to convince you to take it. Take the draw.
So I did have the Detroit at plus money. I
did have the draw in that game. So I was
pretty happy when I saw I was tied going to
to ot because it's just teams sharing points and it
keeps those playoff races alive. In those wildcard races, a
season like no other. I should have a stat or
thing there. Uncle Fester says, it's a season like no other.
But if you can't make fun of yourself, who can
you make fun of? So, speaking of which, before I
get to the six and sixty, I'm going to be
recording the video. It will not be on the wager
Talk channel. But as living in Canada, as an Italian,
I feel insulted that a guy that I'd met a
few times that worked at sports Net with my friends
who worked at the Fan five ninety, worked at a
lot of places. He's Portuguese. You don't take you don't
blame all Portuguese because there's one bad apple in But
this guy went after the Italians making fun of them
for missing the World Cup, and I am going to
record a video posted on TikTok with some some images,
and I'm going to rip this guy to shreds. So
he's going to be stuff in his face with those
Portuguese custard desserts and that barbecue chicken when I'm done
with them. But with that said, Andrew, let me catch
my breath. Six sixty, what do you say.
Speaker 2: You screwed yourself for the cardio there here? You gotta
get at it.
Speaker 3: Hell has no fear like a man scorned. I will
do it so and the opinions that I have are
my own. Here is your six and sixty. Detroit and
New York. We're taking Detroit on the money Lineers just
got their fresh delivery of titleists golf balls. They are
ready for the offseason. Tampa Bay and Boston. Tampa, I
think are the best team in the Eastern Conference right now.
I'm taking them to win at home and continue that
to drive for the number one spot. The La Kings
and Toronto. It's elimination day for the Leafs on Saturday.
Goodbye in La La La Land. Vancouver and Utah taking
Utah here. They are playing extremely well going into Vancouver
here returning off a road trip, and the worst team
in the league, give me the mammoth. In this one
Vegas and Edmonton, Tortorella is going to experience his first
loss as coach of the Vegas Golden Knights. Give me
Edmonton money line. And finally Washington and Buffalo Sabers turn around,
going to Washington and get the victory and keep pace
with the Tampa Bay Lightning. That is your six and sixty.
Speaker 2: Love those picks.
Speaker 1: Carm looking ahead two Saturdays and hl slay all the
video up as well, and I can't say which ones,
but there's some of those that I agree with as well.
People will have to tune into my show to figure
it out. But great, great stuff here, Great show again, guys.
Anybody interests in any deals, this is the best deal
if you want to jump in on board. Look, we
still have that Puck Time special, KRM. I always forget
about that. If anybody wants the Puck Time Bogo special,
you get everything that Carmine has, everything that I have,
all of our picks over the next three days. I
believe that's what it is, right, karm three days of
all of our plays. But of course, rest of the
regular season for free if you buy the Stanley Cup
Playoff Package one ninety nine. I will probably just have
free plays for today, some content up at on XC
and on wager Talk, but looking for number twelve tomorrow
and hopefully next time I talk to you. Guys, we
have won twelve or even thirteen straight in the NHL run,
a fantastic run.
Speaker 2: Let's try and keep it going calm.
Speaker 1: For the record, with just two people, we did a
whole show with three or four segments, a couple things
in between, and it's at the thirty minute mark. I
think that's pretty good for the show. I'll send it
back over to you to close things out. But looking
forward to a great, great day here Karen.
Speaker 3: Yep, perfectly done. These guys have plenty of time to
grab a bite to eat and then settle down for
Andy Lang and Dan Alexander at the top of the
hour with wager Talk today. Two plays up for me
in the NHL tonight, let's kick off what is going
to be a big weekend. I'm gonna have a big
card on a Saturday as well too, and a ton
of soccer games for me. Really like the card this weekend.
In the return after the international break, including some MLS
games as well too, So pick up that Bogo or
the three day all access whatever you guys want, Head
over to Wager TALKWT Dot Buzz, Backslash CB and let's
have a winning weekend together for myself Andrew mckinnis and
our guests this week Brian Leonard and Don but Julio Buster.
This has been puck time. Guys, have a great and
safe weekend.