Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we always start this show by
being transparent. I know we didn't do any shows over
the weekend, but I mean things have just been going
well lately. I think I've had five winning days in
a row, so we'll try to keep that going here
on this Monday. Veno, haven't talked to you since Friday.
Hopefully the weekn went well for you. How's everything? How
you doing today?
Speaker 2: Yeah, weekend was good, Ski. I'm kind of with you them.
I'm trying to do the math in my head as
I look up numbers. But the last four days have
all been profitable here all sports w NBA included in that.
So yesterday two and two by a profit because the
two bigger plays came from the same game, Sparks Team
total over Sparks Seattle full game over both ends of
that hit, so it was a pretty good cash on that.
So happy with the way it's going and look forward
to getting into another week here.
Speaker 1: I think that's get to it. We only have one game.
It should be a quick and easy show here today.
That game is Connecticut Son at Golden State Valkyries opened
up minus nine for the Vouks, down to about seven
and a half everywhere right now. Same for the total
opened up one fifty seven and a half down The
lowest I'm seeing is one fifty four and a half,
So kind of all over the place for that total.
For injuries, I don't see anybody on there for Connecticut.
For Golden State, Mode Billings is out, Maria c is
out every game, and we know Cayler Thornton has been
done for the year. So it's in a couple of
people for Golden State. But this is a chance for
them to get some revenge here, Robbi. You know last
time these teams played Connecticut, I believe one by like thirty. Yeah,
the score was ninety five to sixty four. Just got
embarrassed in that one. Now the sun are playing their
fourth straight role game here on a back to back.
Do you think I mean, I know we don't usually
look at Golden State as you know, the big favorite team,
but in this situation, you know, still fighting for that
playoff standings, do you think they can get the job
done by seven and a half or how are you
looking at this game?
Speaker 2: Yeah? And those playoff standings that you bring up, Ski
They're getting jammed pretty tight here. Golden State actually in
the seventh slot right now, but one game or actually
in a virtual tie with Seattle right Seattle's just played
a couple of more games. So Golden State is two
at hand, half a game ahead of the Sparks, only
a game and a half against ahead of the Mystics.
So those four teams within one and a half games.
So big game for the Golden State side, which I
have to tell you off of the defensive job that
they did against the Sparks the other night, held the
Sparks to fifty nine points. Sparks only had twenty buckets
in the entire game. And then you see the Sparks
go back out and do what they do last night
to see by scoring ninety four. I say, you can
hang your hat on this Golden State defense. Now, for Connecticut,
and I'm usually a guy who thinks things will come
back to the mean, this would be regression in Connecticut's case.
They shot fifty one and a half percent from the
field last night. Connecticut's not that good of a shooting team,
but against Las Vegas last night, they put up a
lot of points. The minutes weren't that taxing scheme. But
as you mentioned, it is the fourth straight road game
for them, and you just wonder if it doesn't get
to them a little bit here. I know they've got
some reinforcements now on the in the lineup for the
Leah Edwards, who actually played last night for the first
time for Connecticut. I would tend to think this is
an under. Honestly, I don't think that Connecticut will shoot
that well against this Golden State team, especially you know,
that game against the Sparks I think was first game
back home after some road games. I could be wrong
on that, but I'm pretty sure it was, and they
totally shut the Sparks offense down, so I'd figured that
to happen here to Connecticut. I don't think that maybe
you could look at Connecticut team total under while you're
at it. I think that's the side that we'll be
lacking in points here in this game. Golden State not
the straightest shooting team either, but they do put up
a lot of three some nights they go. I think
if I had to ski, I would be an under,
and it's been pushed that way. I think one fifty
seven and a half down to one fifty five.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it definitely is being pushed that way. I mean,
I'm not gonna lie. My first thought on this game is,
you know, important game for the Valkyries. Can't lay with them.
What else can we do but on their defense? I
mean that's what I did last game. I had Sparks
team total under cash pretty easily. I mentioned this and
that breakdown as well. Let me see if I can
get this up here. Boom, I got to push the
button one more time, all right, So pretty much just
looking at the Valkyries and revenge spots. This season, they
are eight and one to the under. Also, you know,
oppooning this team totals eight and one to the under.
And you see these, I mean only the Aces and
that was that one spot I believe where the Aces
were off that embarrassing game that they you know, allowed
more allowed one hundred points in that one. But other
than that, they've been holding everybody down. Now we can question.
You know, for whatever reason, unrested teams usually go over
in the WNBA, whether it's the lack of defense on
their side or you know, the other team overlooking them
because of the spot, or whatever the case may be.
They do usually go over and you see, the only
one that went over was this unrested Aces team. I'm
curious if we get something like that from the Sun
here tonight. But other than that, you know, I do
understand trying to back Valkyrie's defense. Let me try to
put one more on here, Rob, you know, And this
one is maybe a little bit opposite of how you're
looking at it. You're saying there might be some regression,
but this one says different. So I don't know. It's
a lot of different ways. But I'm gonna put this
up there and we'll see. You can see this, right,
I got it? Yep. So pretty much as Unrested Road
Dogs after shooting thirty eight percent or better from three
on twenty three plus attempts, it says that they still
cover in that next game SIXHS seven and one to
the over says that it doesn't stop after one game.
I don't know. These things make me a little nervous here.
Any thoughts on either of these queries that I'm sharing.
Speaker 2: Yeah, conflicting queries right, ski one would lead you right
to the under eight and one. The other one leads
you right to the over seven and one. So in
that case where you have technical trends as strong as
those two on opposite sides. I always, and I mean
I always start with the players on the floor, and
I just feel like Golden State the other night was
a big game to me. They played the Sparks and
the playoff standings are what they are. They knew they
needed that win and it was locked. If you can
lock down the Sparks, you could lock down just about anybody,
and Golden State's been rested. There's no reason to come
out here flat in my estimation, at least on the
defensive side. I'm looking at Connecticut's team total right now
is seventy four, and I know they've been a little
bit better of an offensive team at times over the
course of the last three weeks. But I still think
that Golden State can do the job defensively here. And
like I said earlier, I either won Connecticut team total
under or full game under. I probably would try. It's
a tight spot, actually, ski because Golden State can get
loose and make some threes at times, but they play
such a slow pace it's hard to see it's just
getting up and down. So to me, full game under
it's probably my first Connecticut team total under. You know,
as they say in horse racing, when you have an
entry one in one a.
Speaker 1: Fair enough and uh yeah, this game is game is
kind of tough for me. But this is the only
one that we have for today. So unless there's anything
else you have on this, then we'll just move it
right along. Rob.
Speaker 2: You know, I can't even think of a player prop, honestly, Ski.
And I'm not a big prop player, but I can't
even think of one that I would be interested in here.
Asia Wilson did do some damage and you look at
last night and you look at the front line for
Golden State and think maybe somebody there could do the same,
But nobody's in Asia Wilson's category, so to speak. So
nothing to add there for player props.
Speaker 1: All right, well that means just about best bedtime. So
I'll pass it right back to you. I'll ask you
if there's anything you will like to promote, and if
you have a best bet for the show, we would
love to hear it. And if you do not, it's
all good.
Speaker 2: Real quick. Here, I will just say promotionally, I probably
I probably would like to promote actually SKI. For those
of you who use a line service, an odds service
to track game movements like Ski and I both do.
Go over to wagertalk dot com and you can actually
sign up for what's called odds Logic, their newest and
lightning speed odds service. Odds Logic give you injury reports,
the fastest, the quickest to the line moves, everything you
would want to have at your disposal. You can get
a seven day free tryout to try it out for yourself.
So I would say that that from a promotional standpoint,
I would recommend that to anybody who takes it on
a day to day basis as seriously as guys like
Ski and I do. You have to have those types
of tools that your disposed, So Chuck, go over the
way you're talking, check out odds Logic and hop in
on a seven day free trial. Best Betski, I can't
leave you with one because I didn't bet one. Made
my thoughts pretty clear here. If I do bet this
game in the end, it will probably be full game
under I think one fifty five is just a little
too much. I think if Golden State wins this thing
with eighty points, then it has little to no chance
of getting over this total. So and they may not
even win it with eighty points. I think they might
win it in the high seventies. So that's the way
I'm looking at it, but I won't use it as
the best bet because I didn't play it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's tough. I mean, I'll say I might be
a little bit opposite here, Rob. You know, if I
play this one, I might be trying to bucket it
and go the opposite away. I just think that. I mean,
if you look at numbers wise, the sun defense has
been the worst offseason long, even worse than the Sparks.
At any point they can revert and being tired on
a four game road trip on a back back, we
can see Golden State get whatever they want. Could be
just wide open threes, wide open layups, who knows, and
especially they have motivation after you know, getting whooped on
by thirty in their last meeting. So I'm feeling obvious
to I haven't played it yet, but I could maybe
get there with an over. People keep pushing this down.
That's a little bit of the way that I'm looking
at this game. But I haven't made a pet check,
so I can't share best bet for the show. That's it.
Nothing else left to say around here. Tomorrow we have
two games, so we got a little bit more to
choose from. There are better games too. I don't think
I promote anything, but I will say I'll have a
bet up for tomorrow today. So if you want to
get ahead of the game, maybe looking a few hours
on my page and I'll have something up. Also, might
want to subscribe if you want some of these tennis players.
I've been betting tennis every day. I've been doing fairly well.
Like I said, we've had five straight winning days. So
I didn't pick any yet today. It doesn't mean I
won't for the rest of the day, but just putting
that out there. So Vino, it's been good doing the
show with you. Like always enjoy breaking the games down
helps out my process and I'm sure it helps out
everybody else out there. We appreciate everybody in the chat,
everybody watching twitch x, YouTube, shorts, kick Spotify, Apple. Just
want to let you know you're much appreciated. Like I said,
we'll be back tomorrow ten thirty am Pacific Standard time,
and we will catch you guys then