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Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.

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If you are new, we always start this show by

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being transparent. I know we didn't do any shows over

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the weekend, but I mean things have just been going

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well lately. I think I've had five winning days in

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a row, so we'll try to keep that going here

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on this Monday. Veno, haven't talked to you since Friday.

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Hopefully the weekn went well for you. How's everything? How

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you doing today?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, weekend was good, Ski. I'm kind of with you them.

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I'm trying to do the math in my head as

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I look up numbers. But the last four days have

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all been profitable here all sports w NBA included in that.

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So yesterday two and two by a profit because the

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two bigger plays came from the same game, Sparks Team

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total over Sparks Seattle full game over both ends of

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that hit, so it was a pretty good cash on that.

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So happy with the way it's going and look forward

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to getting into another week here.

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Speaker 1: I think that's get to it. We only have one game.

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It should be a quick and easy show here today.

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That game is Connecticut Son at Golden State Valkyries opened

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up minus nine for the Vouks, down to about seven

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and a half everywhere right now. Same for the total

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opened up one fifty seven and a half down The

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lowest I'm seeing is one fifty four and a half,

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So kind of all over the place for that total.

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For injuries, I don't see anybody on there for Connecticut.

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For Golden State, Mode Billings is out, Maria c is

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out every game, and we know Cayler Thornton has been

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done for the year. So it's in a couple of

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people for Golden State. But this is a chance for

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them to get some revenge here, Robbi. You know last

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time these teams played Connecticut, I believe one by like thirty. Yeah,

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the score was ninety five to sixty four. Just got

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embarrassed in that one. Now the sun are playing their

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fourth straight role game here on a back to back.

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Do you think I mean, I know we don't usually

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look at Golden State as you know, the big favorite team,

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but in this situation, you know, still fighting for that

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playoff standings, do you think they can get the job

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done by seven and a half or how are you

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looking at this game?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? And those playoff standings that you bring up, Ski

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They're getting jammed pretty tight here. Golden State actually in

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the seventh slot right now, but one game or actually

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in a virtual tie with Seattle right Seattle's just played

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a couple of more games. So Golden State is two

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at hand, half a game ahead of the Sparks, only

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a game and a half against ahead of the Mystics.

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So those four teams within one and a half games.

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So big game for the Golden State side, which I

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have to tell you off of the defensive job that

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they did against the Sparks the other night, held the

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Sparks to fifty nine points. Sparks only had twenty buckets

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in the entire game. And then you see the Sparks

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go back out and do what they do last night

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to see by scoring ninety four. I say, you can

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hang your hat on this Golden State defense. Now, for Connecticut,

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and I'm usually a guy who thinks things will come

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back to the mean, this would be regression in Connecticut's case.

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They shot fifty one and a half percent from the

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field last night. Connecticut's not that good of a shooting team,

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but against Las Vegas last night, they put up a

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lot of points. The minutes weren't that taxing scheme. But

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as you mentioned, it is the fourth straight road game

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for them, and you just wonder if it doesn't get

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to them a little bit here. I know they've got

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some reinforcements now on the in the lineup for the

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Leah Edwards, who actually played last night for the first

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time for Connecticut. I would tend to think this is

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an under. Honestly, I don't think that Connecticut will shoot

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that well against this Golden State team, especially you know,

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that game against the Sparks I think was first game

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back home after some road games. I could be wrong

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on that, but I'm pretty sure it was, and they

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totally shut the Sparks offense down, so I'd figured that

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to happen here to Connecticut. I don't think that maybe

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you could look at Connecticut team total under while you're

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at it. I think that's the side that we'll be

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lacking in points here in this game. Golden State not

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the straightest shooting team either, but they do put up

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a lot of three some nights they go. I think

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if I had to ski, I would be an under,

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and it's been pushed that way. I think one fifty

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seven and a half down to one fifty five.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it definitely is being pushed that way. I mean,

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I'm not gonna lie. My first thought on this game is,

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you know, important game for the Valkyries. Can't lay with them.

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What else can we do but on their defense? I

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mean that's what I did last game. I had Sparks

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team total under cash pretty easily. I mentioned this and

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that breakdown as well. Let me see if I can

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get this up here. Boom, I got to push the

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button one more time, all right, So pretty much just

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looking at the Valkyries and revenge spots. This season, they

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are eight and one to the under. Also, you know,

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oppooning this team totals eight and one to the under.

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And you see these, I mean only the Aces and

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that was that one spot I believe where the Aces

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were off that embarrassing game that they you know, allowed

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more allowed one hundred points in that one. But other

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than that, they've been holding everybody down. Now we can question.

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You know, for whatever reason, unrested teams usually go over

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in the WNBA, whether it's the lack of defense on

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their side or you know, the other team overlooking them

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because of the spot, or whatever the case may be.

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They do usually go over and you see, the only

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one that went over was this unrested Aces team. I'm

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curious if we get something like that from the Sun

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here tonight. But other than that, you know, I do

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understand trying to back Valkyrie's defense. Let me try to

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put one more on here, Rob, you know, And this

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one is maybe a little bit opposite of how you're

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looking at it. You're saying there might be some regression,

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but this one says different. So I don't know. It's

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a lot of different ways. But I'm gonna put this

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up there and we'll see. You can see this, right,

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I got it? Yep. So pretty much as Unrested Road

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Dogs after shooting thirty eight percent or better from three

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on twenty three plus attempts, it says that they still

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cover in that next game SIXHS seven and one to

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the over says that it doesn't stop after one game.

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I don't know. These things make me a little nervous here.

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Any thoughts on either of these queries that I'm sharing.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, conflicting queries right, ski one would lead you right

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to the under eight and one. The other one leads

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you right to the over seven and one. So in

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that case where you have technical trends as strong as

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those two on opposite sides. I always, and I mean

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I always start with the players on the floor, and

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I just feel like Golden State the other night was

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a big game to me. They played the Sparks and

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the playoff standings are what they are. They knew they

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needed that win and it was locked. If you can

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lock down the Sparks, you could lock down just about anybody,

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and Golden State's been rested. There's no reason to come

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out here flat in my estimation, at least on the

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defensive side. I'm looking at Connecticut's team total right now

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is seventy four, and I know they've been a little

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bit better of an offensive team at times over the

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course of the last three weeks. But I still think

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that Golden State can do the job defensively here. And

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like I said earlier, I either won Connecticut team total

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under or full game under. I probably would try. It's

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a tight spot, actually, ski because Golden State can get

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loose and make some threes at times, but they play

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such a slow pace it's hard to see it's just

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getting up and down. So to me, full game under

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it's probably my first Connecticut team total under. You know,

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as they say in horse racing, when you have an

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entry one in one a.

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Speaker 1: Fair enough and uh yeah, this game is game is

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kind of tough for me. But this is the only

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one that we have for today. So unless there's anything

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else you have on this, then we'll just move it

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right along. Rob.

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Speaker 2: You know, I can't even think of a player prop, honestly, Ski.

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And I'm not a big prop player, but I can't

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even think of one that I would be interested in here.

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Asia Wilson did do some damage and you look at

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last night and you look at the front line for

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Golden State and think maybe somebody there could do the same,

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But nobody's in Asia Wilson's category, so to speak. So

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nothing to add there for player props.

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Speaker 1: All right, well that means just about best bedtime. So

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I'll pass it right back to you. I'll ask you

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if there's anything you will like to promote, and if

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you have a best bet for the show, we would

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love to hear it. And if you do not, it's

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all good.

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Speaker 2: Real quick. Here, I will just say promotionally, I probably

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I probably would like to promote actually SKI. For those

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of you who use a line service, an odds service

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to track game movements like Ski and I both do.

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Go over to wagertalk dot com and you can actually

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sign up for what's called odds Logic, their newest and

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lightning speed odds service. Odds Logic give you injury reports,

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the fastest, the quickest to the line moves, everything you

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would want to have at your disposal. You can get

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a seven day free tryout to try it out for yourself.

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So I would say that that from a promotional standpoint,

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I would recommend that to anybody who takes it on

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a day to day basis as seriously as guys like

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Ski and I do. You have to have those types

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of tools that your disposed, So Chuck, go over the

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way you're talking, check out odds Logic and hop in

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on a seven day free trial. Best Betski, I can't

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leave you with one because I didn't bet one. Made

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my thoughts pretty clear here. If I do bet this

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game in the end, it will probably be full game

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under I think one fifty five is just a little

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too much. I think if Golden State wins this thing

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with eighty points, then it has little to no chance

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of getting over this total. So and they may not

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even win it with eighty points. I think they might

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win it in the high seventies. So that's the way

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I'm looking at it, but I won't use it as

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the best bet because I didn't play it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's tough. I mean, I'll say I might be

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a little bit opposite here, Rob. You know, if I

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play this one, I might be trying to bucket it

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and go the opposite away. I just think that. I mean,

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if you look at numbers wise, the sun defense has

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been the worst offseason long, even worse than the Sparks.

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At any point they can revert and being tired on

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a four game road trip on a back back, we

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can see Golden State get whatever they want. Could be

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just wide open threes, wide open layups, who knows, and

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especially they have motivation after you know, getting whooped on

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by thirty in their last meeting. So I'm feeling obvious

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to I haven't played it yet, but I could maybe

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get there with an over. People keep pushing this down.

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That's a little bit of the way that I'm looking

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at this game. But I haven't made a pet check,

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so I can't share best bet for the show. That's it.

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Nothing else left to say around here. Tomorrow we have

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two games, so we got a little bit more to

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choose from. There are better games too. I don't think

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I promote anything, but I will say I'll have a

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bet up for tomorrow today. So if you want to

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get ahead of the game, maybe looking a few hours

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on my page and I'll have something up. Also, might

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want to subscribe if you want some of these tennis players.

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I've been betting tennis every day. I've been doing fairly well.

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Like I said, we've had five straight winning days. So

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I didn't pick any yet today. It doesn't mean I

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won't for the rest of the day, but just putting

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that out there. So Vino, it's been good doing the

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show with you. Like always enjoy breaking the games down

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helps out my process and I'm sure it helps out

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everybody else out there. We appreciate everybody in the chat,

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everybody watching twitch x, YouTube, shorts, kick Spotify, Apple. Just

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want to let you know you're much appreciated. Like I said,

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we'll be back tomorrow ten thirty am Pacific Standard time,

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and we will catch you guys then