1 00:00:03,480 --> 00:00:07,200 Speaker 1: What what's up? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Prophet Picks, 2 00:00:07,719 --> 00:00:10,080 and we do usually start the show while being transparent. 3 00:00:10,679 --> 00:00:13,679 Didn't have any show yesterday and haven't made any plays 4 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:16,519 so far yet in twenty twenty six. But happy new 5 00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:19,039 year to everybody out there. You as well, mister Ravino. 6 00:00:20,039 --> 00:00:21,960 I'm not sure if you've gotten involved yet to start 7 00:00:21,960 --> 00:00:23,480 the year, but it could be back with you. 8 00:00:25,039 --> 00:00:27,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, we were involved yesterday's SKI, but it's been college 9 00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:31,320 football heavy last two days, six and one in college football. 10 00:00:31,399 --> 00:00:34,719 Back at it again today. A couple of college basketball 11 00:00:34,759 --> 00:00:37,799 plays here. I skipped that yesterday, and of course it's 12 00:00:37,840 --> 00:00:41,560 an NFL weekend, so NBA has kind of taken somewhat 13 00:00:41,600 --> 00:00:46,119 of a back seat with so much going on here. Hey, 14 00:00:46,159 --> 00:00:48,560 you know, not only sports wise, SKI, but obviously New 15 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:52,280 Year's Eve, New Year's Day going out outside of what 16 00:00:52,320 --> 00:00:55,240 we do for a profession here. So we'll look to 17 00:00:55,240 --> 00:00:56,880 see if we can find a couple on the card here. 18 00:00:57,119 --> 00:00:59,679 But I have to admit NBA has taken a little 19 00:00:59,679 --> 00:01:01,240 bit of a actually at the present time. 20 00:01:02,600 --> 00:01:08,040 Speaker 1: All right today, I agree, and hollidays have it's always 21 00:01:08,040 --> 00:01:09,920 tough for on the holiday time doing all this stuff, 22 00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:12,120 so didn't want to leave you guys hanging. So today 23 00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:16,400 we're only gonna talk about a few games that interest us, 24 00:01:16,959 --> 00:01:19,840 and then we'll get back to a regular schedule programming 25 00:01:20,159 --> 00:01:23,879 next week. So first game will be the first one 26 00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:26,920 that's actually in the rotation. Five twenty nine, five thirty 27 00:01:27,239 --> 00:01:29,799 Spurs and Pacers. It did open five and a half 28 00:01:29,799 --> 00:01:32,879 for the Spurs. Looks like six some five and a 29 00:01:32,879 --> 00:01:35,760 halfs out there too. Total came down from two forty 30 00:01:35,760 --> 00:01:38,799 one and a half to two thirty eight and a half. 31 00:01:39,239 --> 00:01:41,319 And first of all, I disagree with the move on 32 00:01:41,400 --> 00:01:46,280 the total. No, weinby a lot less defense for the Spurs. 33 00:01:47,000 --> 00:01:51,120 I think, like I'm thinking about the games without winby 34 00:01:51,280 --> 00:01:53,480 they've been giving up like one twenty plus. I feel 35 00:01:53,519 --> 00:01:56,799 like all of these games Acer's team total is a 36 00:01:56,840 --> 00:02:01,480 thought for me, and also about back in the Pacers 37 00:02:01,480 --> 00:02:04,359 side here just because they're finally getting healthy. I know 38 00:02:04,400 --> 00:02:07,040 they've been on a crazy losing street they cover last game, 39 00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:10,919 but yeah, just just getting healthy now, being at home 40 00:02:10,960 --> 00:02:15,039 here catching a few possessions, I think you know they 41 00:02:15,039 --> 00:02:17,080 can start to play a little bit better. So lean 42 00:02:17,120 --> 00:02:19,560 Pacers or a Pacers team total over, what do you 43 00:02:19,639 --> 00:02:22,080 think here? Vino, Spurs and Pacers. 44 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:26,879 Speaker 2: Well, total makes complete sense, especially when again we talk 45 00:02:26,919 --> 00:02:29,319 about this a little bit of a little bit of time. 46 00:02:29,400 --> 00:02:33,719 When a star player goes down, especially one who's amongst 47 00:02:33,759 --> 00:02:36,800 the top two to three scorers on the team, money 48 00:02:36,840 --> 00:02:40,039 generally comes in on under. But there's no consideration for 49 00:02:40,080 --> 00:02:42,919 what you brought up, which is the defensive loss that 50 00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:46,879 San Antonio suffers without Womby out there. You see players 51 00:02:47,360 --> 00:02:50,800 player quotes almost on a nightly basis talking about how 52 00:02:50,879 --> 00:02:53,599 much more difficult it is to find any operating room 53 00:02:53,599 --> 00:02:57,199 when when Minyama's on the floor. So Total in some 54 00:02:57,280 --> 00:03:01,240 capacity over makes sense. Indiana, up until their last game 55 00:03:01,280 --> 00:03:05,639 against Orlando had given up one six. It's not like 56 00:03:05,639 --> 00:03:09,280 they're stopping anybody from scoring. I could see a full 57 00:03:09,319 --> 00:03:12,960 game play here, probably taking advantage of what could be 58 00:03:13,000 --> 00:03:17,960 an incorrect move toward the under, and I could and 59 00:03:18,120 --> 00:03:20,240 you know, I could see team total on either side. 60 00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:23,000 To tell you the truth, Indiana team total certainly without women. 61 00:03:23,080 --> 00:03:24,400 Y'a'm in there, but I don't think i'd want to 62 00:03:24,439 --> 00:03:27,199 exclude anybody if it were me, So I would probably 63 00:03:27,240 --> 00:03:29,280 look over two thirty eight and a half a little 64 00:03:29,319 --> 00:03:32,800 pushback against where the money has come so far. 65 00:03:34,439 --> 00:03:35,840 Speaker 1: I could see that. I can see a lot of 66 00:03:35,879 --> 00:03:39,319 points in this game for sure. Next game I want 67 00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:47,680 to talk about here is Denver and Cleveland. It did 68 00:03:47,759 --> 00:03:49,800 open up. It says ten here, it's all the way 69 00:03:49,840 --> 00:03:53,080 to thirteen and a half and total open two thirty 70 00:03:53,080 --> 00:03:56,240 three and a half as high as two forty. I 71 00:03:56,280 --> 00:04:00,520 agree with the move on the side here, Robino. Cleveland 72 00:04:01,039 --> 00:04:05,120 has been playing better basketball lately, healthier than the Nuggets. 73 00:04:05,719 --> 00:04:09,360 Nuggets are playing a fourth straight role game and missing 74 00:04:09,400 --> 00:04:11,840 what four or five starters. Now, yes, you know we 75 00:04:11,879 --> 00:04:14,360 see this all the time they step up for their 76 00:04:14,439 --> 00:04:17,040 first game, you know, when the big superstar goes down. 77 00:04:17,439 --> 00:04:20,720 But we're gonna expect this to continue. I just I 78 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:24,639 don't think so. I don't like that Marrow is questionable 79 00:04:24,839 --> 00:04:27,920 for Cleveland, but I still think they're the right side. 80 00:04:28,120 --> 00:04:28,759 What do you think here? 81 00:04:28,839 --> 00:04:33,399 Speaker 2: You know, yeah, this Denver team is depleted. We talked 82 00:04:33,399 --> 00:04:35,519 the other day about Jokic going down, but you have 83 00:04:35,639 --> 00:04:39,879 Jamal Murray surrounded by the bench basically in this game 84 00:04:39,920 --> 00:04:46,000 for Denver, and I prefer basically to tail you in 85 00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:49,680 this one. Obviously, as somebody who's been or at least 86 00:04:49,720 --> 00:04:52,560 noticed the Cleveland improvement a little bit ahead of the 87 00:04:52,600 --> 00:04:56,120 rest of the the rest of the market. They are 88 00:04:56,160 --> 00:04:59,439 playing better four and one last four against the spread. 89 00:04:59,680 --> 00:05:03,879 Their point production hasn't suffered at all. Their team total 90 00:05:03,959 --> 00:05:06,040 has gone five and two over the course of their 91 00:05:06,120 --> 00:05:09,000 last seven. The game totals have gone five and too 92 00:05:09,199 --> 00:05:11,879 over their last seven. The way they like to play 93 00:05:12,600 --> 00:05:15,480 with a little bit of pace in offensive minded, It's 94 00:05:15,519 --> 00:05:18,680 really hard to imagine Denver keeping up with all the 95 00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:23,480 second and third tier scorers on the floor. Jamal Murray 96 00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:28,199 at some point in time, you know, probably becomes too 97 00:05:28,319 --> 00:05:31,839 much to carry. The load. Could start here tonight. I 98 00:05:31,959 --> 00:05:34,279 just you do have two teams going in really different 99 00:05:34,279 --> 00:05:36,480 directions at this point in time. It's funny how quickly 100 00:05:36,519 --> 00:05:39,160 the NBA sways, but got to get to it quickly. 101 00:05:39,319 --> 00:05:43,759 I'm just checking current number right now. I see up 102 00:05:43,839 --> 00:05:46,120 to thirteen and a half and up to two thirty nine. 103 00:05:46,519 --> 00:05:50,519 Cleveland team total here is one twenty six and a half. 104 00:05:50,519 --> 00:05:53,360 But Denver does give up in the one twenties. On 105 00:05:53,399 --> 00:05:59,759 a nightly basis, I probably lean toward toward the Cleveland 106 00:05:59,800 --> 00:06:02,160 team total over here. I just don't know how Denver's 107 00:06:02,199 --> 00:06:04,199 going to prevent them from scoring, I think when twenty 108 00:06:04,199 --> 00:06:07,519 seven is a likely scenario for the Caps. 109 00:06:07,560 --> 00:06:11,199 Speaker 1: Mark says thoughts on Denver team total under I could understand, 110 00:06:11,480 --> 00:06:13,600 you know, they maybe miss it because they're missing so 111 00:06:13,680 --> 00:06:16,439 much scoring. But I could see a scenario where the 112 00:06:16,480 --> 00:06:19,519 Calves are scoring so much they don't necessarily even care 113 00:06:19,600 --> 00:06:21,720 too much to you know, try to get stops anymore. 114 00:06:23,079 --> 00:06:29,360 So that's what we worried me there, all right, elite 115 00:06:29,839 --> 00:06:34,920 or I'm sorry, yeah, elite. dB twenty one says any 116 00:06:34,959 --> 00:06:37,879 size on Orlando Chicago Yet I didn't really care for 117 00:06:37,920 --> 00:06:41,040 this game. Open four and a half looks like five 118 00:06:41,120 --> 00:06:43,560 or five and a half for Orlando. So ital came 119 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:45,240 all the way down from two forty one to two 120 00:06:45,319 --> 00:06:49,519 thirty two. I'm not I don't view Orlando as a 121 00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:51,480 team I want to lay with, especially on the road, 122 00:06:51,680 --> 00:06:55,480 especially with all these injuries and the Bulls they're also 123 00:06:55,560 --> 00:06:58,240 banged up, and they just have a lot of lots 124 00:06:58,240 --> 00:07:00,560 to prove before I want to put more money on 125 00:07:00,600 --> 00:07:03,439 them as well. So it's an easy game to avoid 126 00:07:03,480 --> 00:07:07,600 for me. Ravino, anything for you on Orlando and Chicago? 127 00:07:08,399 --> 00:07:11,199 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think my immediate reaction here Ski on this one. 128 00:07:11,319 --> 00:07:13,720 It doesn't happen often was toward the under, but they 129 00:07:13,720 --> 00:07:16,120 have really chewed it up here, two forty one down 130 00:07:16,120 --> 00:07:18,759 to two thirty two and a half eight and a 131 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:22,759 half point move. But Chicago game totals have been below 132 00:07:22,800 --> 00:07:26,360 this number three of the last four as the injuries, 133 00:07:26,399 --> 00:07:28,399 like you say, start to pile up in the same 134 00:07:28,439 --> 00:07:31,399 On the Orlando side, I could see this being You know, 135 00:07:31,879 --> 00:07:35,240 Chicago likes tempo. Orlando's like tempo all season long, but 136 00:07:35,279 --> 00:07:37,879 I don't know that that tempo, just based on what's 137 00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:40,040 going on lately, is going to result in points. This 138 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:44,160 game probably started way too high based on full season 139 00:07:44,199 --> 00:07:48,879 statistics where power ratings were and not really adjusted at 140 00:07:48,959 --> 00:07:52,720 least in my mind for the way things are currently now. 141 00:07:52,759 --> 00:07:56,160 The market is adjusting the number four the odds makers 142 00:07:56,519 --> 00:07:58,879 still two thirty two might be a little bit too high. 143 00:07:59,199 --> 00:08:02,399 I still have an inclination to play this one under 144 00:08:02,439 --> 00:08:05,920 two thirty two have it yet, but we'll see where 145 00:08:05,959 --> 00:08:07,720 I end up later in the day. But I could 146 00:08:07,720 --> 00:08:09,120 see this game staying under. 147 00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:16,839 Speaker 1: All right, Yeah, I mean today's slate. I just I 148 00:08:16,879 --> 00:08:20,079 didn't really love so and we know it's the day 149 00:08:20,120 --> 00:08:23,399 after the holidays all this stuff. Don't want to just 150 00:08:23,439 --> 00:08:25,519 be on here talking just to talk about these games. 151 00:08:25,600 --> 00:08:28,480 So those are three or the few that we're going 152 00:08:28,560 --> 00:08:33,200 to cover for today, Bino, I am just going to 153 00:08:33,480 --> 00:08:35,240 pass it to you. I'll ask you if there's anything 154 00:08:35,279 --> 00:08:37,200 you would like to promote. If you have a best 155 00:08:37,200 --> 00:08:38,639 bet for the show, we love to hear it. If 156 00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:40,080 you don't, it's all good. 157 00:08:42,200 --> 00:08:44,720 Speaker 2: Promotion. I guess I could just say Weekend Warrior package, 158 00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:48,120 which now includes all sports your ski talk about it 159 00:08:48,399 --> 00:08:49,919 at the end of the show. Most of the time. 160 00:08:50,799 --> 00:08:53,120 It's forty nine bucks. Where it used to be just 161 00:08:53,159 --> 00:08:56,639 Saturday and Sunday football, now it's Saturday Sunday all sports, 162 00:08:57,240 --> 00:09:03,039 college football, NFL football, NBA, and college Hoop, which will 163 00:09:03,039 --> 00:09:06,799 have loaded cards from every Saturday throughout the rest of 164 00:09:06,840 --> 00:09:08,919 the year, so we can worry. I think it's probably 165 00:09:08,919 --> 00:09:11,039 the best thing to promote here, forty nine dollars, full 166 00:09:11,080 --> 00:09:13,799 day Saturday, full day Sunday. Obviously, there's a couple of 167 00:09:13,919 --> 00:09:17,600 NFL games tomorrow as well. Pick up that package over 168 00:09:17,600 --> 00:09:20,480 at wager talk dot com. Best Betski. Obviously, we didn't 169 00:09:20,480 --> 00:09:23,080 talk about a lot of NBA wise, because we don't 170 00:09:23,080 --> 00:09:27,559 have strong feelings on these games per se. I won't 171 00:09:27,639 --> 00:09:33,679 leave a best bet from that particular sport, but I 172 00:09:33,720 --> 00:09:36,320 will say for those that are playing college football, upcoming 173 00:09:36,360 --> 00:09:38,960 game here Navy versus Cincinnati, it'll be the next one 174 00:09:39,000 --> 00:09:41,519 on the docket later this afternoon. If you are interested 175 00:09:41,559 --> 00:09:45,799 in college football, I do have a release on the 176 00:09:45,919 --> 00:09:49,799 Navy Cincinnati game over the total of fifty eight. Cincinnati 177 00:09:49,840 --> 00:09:53,039 without its entire defensive secondary, four to fifths of it, 178 00:09:53,679 --> 00:09:56,720 A couple of their front seven opted out of this game. 179 00:09:56,759 --> 00:10:00,960 They're missing like six defensive starters. But the offense stayed 180 00:10:01,039 --> 00:10:04,080 in tac in tax so I feel like both offenses 181 00:10:04,120 --> 00:10:05,519 are going to do the job here Ski. It's been 182 00:10:05,559 --> 00:10:09,039 bet up this morning from fifty five to fifty eight, 183 00:10:09,200 --> 00:10:11,519 so we're losing a little bit of value. Still think 184 00:10:11,559 --> 00:10:14,759 it's worth it. Maybe Cincinnati full game total over fifty 185 00:10:14,799 --> 00:10:18,200 eight points. 186 00:10:19,320 --> 00:10:22,919 Speaker 1: My bad good stuff there from mister Robino. And you know, 187 00:10:22,960 --> 00:10:24,799 I have two bets that I really want to make. 188 00:10:25,399 --> 00:10:29,080 And the reason I am not gonna make the other 189 00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:32,120 one the best bet right now is because I think 190 00:10:32,159 --> 00:10:37,200 if you wait, you get a better number as the 191 00:10:37,279 --> 00:10:39,840 injury report, you know, goes through the day. The way 192 00:10:39,879 --> 00:10:41,399 it's looking right now, I think if you wait you 193 00:10:41,399 --> 00:10:44,639 get a slightly better number, So it's not a rush 194 00:10:44,799 --> 00:10:46,480 to go bet that one right now. And I would 195 00:10:46,519 --> 00:10:48,600 hate to give it out now and then you know 196 00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:51,200 later you can get a point and have better or whatever. 197 00:10:51,759 --> 00:10:57,960 So for my best bet, I'm gonna go with I'm 198 00:10:57,960 --> 00:11:00,559 gonna go with the Pacers here. The best number you 199 00:11:00,600 --> 00:11:05,080 can get is plus six. And really, I mean, it 200 00:11:05,159 --> 00:11:09,480 just boils down to they're not gonna play as bad 201 00:11:09,519 --> 00:11:11,120 as they did to start the season all year long, 202 00:11:11,279 --> 00:11:14,399 A lot of it was unhealthy they were, and like 203 00:11:14,480 --> 00:11:16,480 I mentioned, now, you've got a lot of those guys back, 204 00:11:17,759 --> 00:11:20,559 a couple of key guy Nie Smith Big to be 205 00:11:20,600 --> 00:11:25,600 back in the line up there. I just I Meanika, 206 00:11:26,919 --> 00:11:29,919 I don't know everybody's healthy now except for Topping and Jackson. 207 00:11:30,679 --> 00:11:33,480 And I think that the lack of winby protecting the paint, 208 00:11:33,759 --> 00:11:35,639 the Pacers is going to have many ways to score 209 00:11:35,919 --> 00:11:39,840 in this game. So I think there's a by sign 210 00:11:39,919 --> 00:11:42,600 on the Pacers they cover last game. I think if 211 00:11:42,600 --> 00:11:44,879 you continue to bet on them every game, you'll make 212 00:11:44,919 --> 00:11:47,399 money in the near future. And I'll be on them tonight. 213 00:11:47,519 --> 00:11:50,519 Plus six. That's my best bet for the show. You know, 214 00:11:51,320 --> 00:11:53,600 always good to break down the games and do the 215 00:11:53,639 --> 00:11:55,679 show with you. Appreciate you taking the time to do so. 216 00:11:56,200 --> 00:11:58,960 Everybody in the chat, we appreciate you all tapping in 217 00:11:59,279 --> 00:12:01,399 and you know, ear y'all insight and all that good 218 00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:06,159 stuff as well. Hopefully everybody enjoyed their holiday. Hopefully you 219 00:12:06,200 --> 00:12:08,840 guys enjoy your weekend. We'll be back to regular schedule 220 00:12:08,879 --> 00:12:11,840 programming on Monday and we will catch you all then.