Speaker 1: I welcome to Way did you talk today the Gold
State at the sports betting shows where we talked the
Talk and walk the Walk to Monday breaking down the
craziness that is college basketball. We'll talk a little bit
of NBA. We got some baseball free plays as well.
Baseball season just getting started, so then you have three
four game sample sides. We're starting to pick up here.
So Dan had a nice little little weekend. We lost
some big plays, but overall turned a three unit profit
for clients over the weekend. So we're creeping up on
forty units for the year, which is yeah, really good.
So were you watching live Dan the College of Basketball?
Speaker 2: Of course? Of course, man, yeah it was.
Speaker 3: It was.
Speaker 4: I mean, once you get down to these few games,
you have to obviously be tuning in and be locked in,
and yeah it was.
Speaker 2: It was exciting weekend.
Speaker 4: You know, Duke ended up getting lucky, you know, at
the the end of the game against.
Speaker 2: Saint John's and then the luck ran out with the three.
Speaker 5: That was big.
Speaker 4: My favorite thing is if you watch the live reaction
of Hurley and then the Duke basketball coach, two completely
different worlds that was being lived in right there. You
you always think about the winners on on those kind
of plays, but getting the camera in the face of
of the losers there it was. It was a hell
of a weekend, man, hell of a weekend, indeed, And
it's set.
Speaker 2: Final four is set. And I think I'll tell you
what that Arizona.
Speaker 4: Michigan game, that's the pre that's that's the national championship game, right,
I mean, I don't see who's beaten neither of those
two teams.
Speaker 1: It's the general it's the general sentiment, I think. But
you gotta be like, I would be terrified to say that,
because true, if they think that's the national Championship and
they win, it's hard to get up for that next game,
like like it's.
Speaker 2: Is still in the tournament. That's that's very fair. That
is very fair.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 1: Absolutely, who we got on today's show.
Speaker 4: Yeah, man, we're locked and loaded on Monday show. Obviously,
we'll do a little bit of recap with you in
the comments here and comment below after the show goes live.
But what is happening in the marketplace right now? Lines
are moving as we speak. Why is it happening? Yanni
the Greek is gonna break that down, give you a
little Steam Report. Crack Man, that's right, Bill Krackenberger, Mount
Rushmore Better is gonna give you an NBA prop for
free right here on the show. We're gonna get some
thoughts from him from what we should see moving forward,
and then we're ending it. I mean, heavy hitters galore
on this show because Steve Merrill's coming on. He's gonna
break down what he's seeing in March madness, what he
thinks of these final four matchups. And he's got two
that's right, kind of two Celtics versus Hawks, Pistons versus
Thunder NBA winners coming your way on the show today.
Speaker 2: Andy's taking you all around the world.
Speaker 4: I'm trying to go three to zero picking a dog
on the MLB card that's.
Speaker 2: Coming up your way here on the show. So Andy,
nothing to it but.
Speaker 5: To do it.
Speaker 3: Brother.
Speaker 2: Let's get into it, my friend.
Speaker 1: All right, let's bring in Yanni.
Speaker 3: The Greek.
Speaker 1: People are already counting their money on their their parlays.
Yesterday in college basketball, the Duke, the Duke Michigan and uh,
it just didn't happen. So give a little recap here.
I'm not really sure what the books did. The books
do well books not do well with college basketball.
Speaker 6: What was your take, Hey, yeah, they cleaned up because
of that money line parlay that lost and excuse the look,
it's by design.
Speaker 7: After yesterday just got.
Speaker 6: Buried every every market we bet ended up losing, and
just one of those terrible, terrible days, and it was all. Uh,
the cherry on top was Duke, which we had a
future to win that break, you know, get to the
final four and had a Duke money line bet as well,
Uh yesterday, So it was just the cherry on top.
And it shows you the randomness of one game. We
talked about it all the time. How when you get
to them one game final type of sports, the best
team doesn't always win the championship. You don't have you know,
seven game series to where there's time for the cream
to rise to the top. And that's how you get
a team like Connecticut get in there, and which wasn't
at least power rating wise, not a top ten team.
You know, they play that game ten times, the results different.
But that's why the risk management becomes so important. Because
they don't play ten games. We have to handicap as
if they do, but we know they won't. And that's
the randomness of single sporting events, and we saw it
play out yesterday. Again, if you were on the right
side of it, God bless you, was a nice score
if you had the money line especially got a little lucky.
But I'm sure you've had bad beats in your lifetime
to offset it.
Speaker 7: We all have.
Speaker 6: So again, it's just another March madness. It happens every
single day in the market. It's just when everyone's paying
attention to it, when the spotlight is on, it's it's
a lot more, you know, it's more exciting.
Speaker 7: People talk about it more.
Speaker 6: But when you bet like we do every day, there's
finishes more or less every other day like that.
Speaker 7: You know what I mean.
Speaker 6: When you're talking all multiple markets, multiple final scores, we
get that all the time. But again, it's great to
see March madness and books ended up doing well because
again it wiped down that parlay, which a lot of
recreational betters were on and a lot of sharp betters.
Speaker 7: I saw, guys. I respect that. We're even like, how
can you not play this parlay?
Speaker 6: The Arizona and Duke arguably the best two teams both
playing on the same day, and yeah, it just doesn't work.
Speaker 7: Out that way always and you have what you have.
Speaker 6: So Illinois, Connecticut, obviously Michigan or Arizona's going to be
favored over either of those.
Speaker 7: I go off my power ratings.
Speaker 6: I can tell you right now pretty much what the
line should be because they've adjusted it. Now you see
Michigan's one point favorite. So going in they would have
probably had Arizona as the one point favorite, but the
perception and the narratives changed a little bit, so you
see Michigan now is the one point favorite. Again, not
a big deal, but those two are arguably now one
and two with Duke out of it. Where Illinois and Connecticut,
those are the more surprise team and either ill either
Michigan or Arizona will be favored obviously over Illinois or Connecticut.
Speaker 7: Right now, I say I would make probably Arizona or
Michigan at least.
Speaker 6: A two two and a half point favorite over Illinois,
and probably about a four point favorite. This is off
the top in my head again looking at the power ratings,
just playing power ratings, not individual matchups. About a four
point favorite over Connecticut I would make them. So we'll
see what the sports books bring out once the final
four gets played, but yeah, that's how I approach it,
and looking at these lines, there is some value in
the final four based on some recency bias. We'll talk
about that again later in the week, and there's a
bet on it tomorrow that we are taping. We'll dig
into those games a little bit deeper, but known big
moves early. Nothing really to report on either of those,
which tells you the look aheads were the probably on
point with most power ratings. The only thing I did
see was two and a half get bet with Illinois
when that opened at two and a half. They took
the two and a half with Connecticut, but a couple
are back at two and a half. Anyway, as you know,
you expect good two way action in that game. It'd
be interesting to see with Arizona and Michigan where the
public money goes. I think it's probably gonna go on
Arizona if I had the guess, But we'll see.
Speaker 7: We'll see nothing from the sharps yet.
Speaker 1: I mean, this is just my opinion. I call me crazy,
but you're down to the final four. Is there really
any value in these In these games? There's two games,
it's the best team. The spreads are like minus two
and a half, like minus one and a half, like
can you really get can you really have an edge?
Speaker 2: And we're talking about it.
Speaker 6: You could kind of draw that conclusion though, with with
pretty much all sports when you get to the finals,
you know, the Super Bowl, the Major League Baseball, when
you get to the final series, and you know, even
again in the sports we talked about with one game,
because all the attentions on that game, the line's supposed
to be as effiicient as possible, whereas late in the
season all the information should be factored into the betting line.
You're absolutely right that the numbers should be as efficient
as possible. All the data is factored in. I mean,
we have a big of a sample size from both
teams as we possibly can have at this point of
the season. So you're absolutely right the line should be
accurate to where whether you bet Team A or Team B,
by having lay eleven to win ten, we shouldn't be profitable,
meaning neither side should get us to that fifty three
to fifty four percent we need to be profitable.
Speaker 7: But here's why that isn't.
Speaker 6: The case, because if it was true, then we know
that long term, the sportsbooks would only make about four
and a half percent is the built in edges on
straight bets. But the reason they make more than that,
even if we separate Parlay's teasers, is because odds makers
are forced to shade the line towards biases. And the
reason for that as obvious. Because as a book maker,
you make money two ways. You're supposed to play the agent.
As a book maker, you're not supposed to have an opinion.
You're not supposed to care who wins or loses. You're
supposed to play the agent. That's what makes it illegal.
Because player A puts eleven to win ten, player B
puts eleven to win ten. I take the dollar in
the middle as the veig. That's what makes it illegal
in other states where you know gambling is illegal. Otherwise,
two people can make a contract and bet on the
final four game for a million dollars and it's a
binding contract. Nothing makes it illegal. The illegality comes when
that broker comes in and takes that vig. Okay, that's
the book maker's job as being the agent. Now the
agent makes money by the vig. So how do you
do that by balancing the action? Getting ten thousand on
this sign ten thousand on that sign twenty thousand gets bet.
I make my thousand dollars veig four and a half
close to five percent.
Speaker 7: Let's say that's what I should be making.
Speaker 6: But it's impossible to balance that action ten thousand, ten thousand.
So as a book maker, what am I forced to do?
If I can't balance the action, I need to balance
the result. I need to make sure that whether they
bet side A or side B, it's not profitable to
do that. I have to shade the line towards the
biases of the betters. That's where the inefficiency comes in,
because you see, sometimes they're right, sometimes they're wrong, and
us as betters, that's where we can take advantage, even
those times where it's a Final four, where it's a
championship game, because they're forced to adjust the spread towards
the market. And again not the not recreational betters. But
we already know that factual, ninety nine point five percent
of sports betting accounts have negative lifetime earnings. So any
account that's ever been opened, ninety nine and a half
percent of them have negative lifetime earnings. So not too
many people are making money betting sports. We obviously know
that and it's an unsophisticated market.
Speaker 7: And because of that, the ficticated half.
Speaker 6: Percent able to find some of those inefficiencies even in
a championship game, because rest of short, this line's going
to move, the total's going to move, the side's going
to move between now and tip off. That's what's going
to show you the inefficiency. If it doesn't move at all,
then rest asshured. You're absolutely right and there's zero value
to be had. But I think we're going to see
some line movement, if not on both these games. I
think on one of these games we will see some
line movement. And again I may be wrong, but I
do think we will. And again we'll see what the
market decides. But that's what it comes down to. You know,
everyone's got an opinion, whether it's right or wrong, and
the books could be wrong more than they're right because
they get eleven to ten. We have to be right
more than we're wrong because we lay eleven to ten.
Speaker 7: So we got to be a little more discipline when
we throw out our opinions.
Speaker 1: Let's move to baseball. My favorite stat, my favorite betting stat.
So far, through three games, the Colorado Rockies are zero
and three but they're three and oh on the run line,
they've lost three games.
Speaker 2: But that's rocky.
Speaker 4: That's rocky baseball for you.
Speaker 1: That kick quick, get that win. Only a few games
in here, Yanni, what are you seeing in baseball?
Speaker 7: Yeah?
Speaker 6: I got a couple of the National League because that's
what I'll do. I'll narrow down for the early because
then the steam sheet will have, you know, more of
the volume. But I'm trying to narrow down now even
the strongest of those plays in the accounts for the
steam sheet to give them even little less volume more
r O I. So here's some of the National League,
uh moves already that are legit nine oh three under
eight Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, nine oh seven over seven and a
half and even over eight on San Francisco, San Diego
in nine oh seven San Francisco plus one twenty then
follow through at plus one ten on San Francisco. That's
it in the NL that I think is legit up
till now. It's real early. NBA still a little early there,
but two plays that are legit in five sixty Atlanta
minus the one and five sixty four over two forty
two Chicago and the San Antonio spurs again coming off
an ass kicking like I had yesterday. Got to tighten
up the reins and get back to grinding. This is
probably the best time coming off a cold stretch and
now have to rebuild. But you got to deal with
that variant as the sports better. And right now myself
and the guys that are teamed up with me for
twenty twenty six are dealing with it.
Speaker 7: And this is where you find out what you're built for.
Speaker 6: If you manage risk correctly, we'll get through it in
time to turn a profit. If not, got to revisit
that thesis and try to do it the right way
once again. You know, we all get there where we
make mistakes and over bet and every morning we have
the opportunity to do it the right way. So today's
an opportunity to do that for all of us.
Speaker 1: Any I'm surely there's no changing in your MLB power rankings.
You're probably just taking in some taking in some information
and kind of looking at it. What what teams do
you have like power rated? Are their teams you're interested
in betting on? Are you just absorbing info right now?
Speaker 7: Exactly right now?
Speaker 6: It's all about gathering information obviously, I have the Dodgers
as my number one power rated team, and I have
the Rockies as my thirtieth power rated team. My top
five right now, I can tell you already that I
have the guy that I trust that puts my power
rates together that I bet off of. He needs at
least he's saying twenty twenty five games. He's like, that's
two college football seasons. That's more than enough for me
to feel confident to start giving you some implied win
probabilities for each matchup. So my top five I have
are Dodgers obviously number one. They would be favored over
the Yankees. They would be favored over the Brewers, they
would be favored over the Phillies, and they would be
favored over the Blue Jays. I think those are the
five best teams in Major League Baseball. I'll say it again.
Three are in the NL that's the Dodgers, the Brewers,
and the Phillies.
Speaker 7: Two of them are.
Speaker 6: In the AL same division, that's the Yankees in the
Blue Jays, and what do you know, the third best
AL team is the Red Sox. So that Al East
is gonna have to figure itself out, at least according
to my power ratings. And yes, I know the Phillies
are one and two, but they're still a top five team,
just like the Cubs. They're in my top ten, red
Sox in my top ten, Padres in my top ten.
But some of the Phonies, I'll tell you right now,
the Marlins they're three and zero. That's not gonna last.
They're a bottom five team. Cardinals two in one, that's
not gonna last. They're a bottom ten team. Orioles two
and one, that's not gonna last. They're a bottom ten team.
Speaker 7: Again.
Speaker 6: Is they're gonna regressing gonna happen overnight? Probably not, but
it is gonna happen. We talked about it last.
Speaker 7: Season, before the year. Let's wait a call.
Speaker 6: Let's wait a week or two, Andy, and we'll start
talking about these teams that won seventy percent of their games,
that won't sustain that for very much longer. Detroit Tigers
last year. And we'll find a couple of gems to
follow or fade over the next couple of weeks.
Speaker 1: For sure.
Speaker 4: Can you can you think of anything that matters less
than this team is one in two to start the
MLB season, and this team is three and zero.
Speaker 2: I can't.
Speaker 4: I'm hard pressed to think of anything that matters less
in sports better than who won their opening weekend set.
Speaker 7: Now, maybe maybe preseason baseball.
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's fair. Yesringly, this looked real good.
Speaker 6: I've never looked that has I've never looked at them,
so I don't know.
Speaker 1: Well, Yanni, to your point, the Marlins, they're three and oh,
but they're also zero and three on the run line.
They've won their games by one run, so like razor
thin edge there. So all right, Yanni, what do you
have up for everybody on this Monday?
Speaker 6: As soon as I jump off here, because I said,
when you come off and ask kicking like that, you
gotta be straight and honest with yourself. I tell you
when I went, and I tell you when I lose.
And we were sitting nicely, got out way ahead in January,
sitting nicely in February and March, and the last week
ten days of March, madness has kicked my ass. And
it's all come from my own stuff, ninety percent my
own stuff, just like I did in college football. Once
we get to the bowl games. I said it then
and I'll say it again. The betting syn kids don't
do a lot of sides, a lot of totals. It's
mostly derivatives. So I step in and trust the numbers.
And we crushed the bowl season. We crushed the college
football playoffs and even March Madness up until this last
weekend or Sat Sunday at least. So when that happens,
got to tighten up a little bit, the steam sheet.
Speaker 7: Will be up and that's it. I'm not going to
put a package out.
Speaker 6: Subscribers are going to get that, uh and even four
percents and stuff because we got to grind back. So
April's right around the corner, just a day or so ahead,
and uh, we'll have action throughout the week because a
lot's coming up. We got UFC on Saturday, Final Four
on Saturday, and between now and then we'll be doing baseball,
NBA college basketball because the n it. And don't forget,
I have three tennis bets. Two of them are four percent.
Probably gave one or two of them out for free
as well, So make sure you go to wager talk
dot com every day for those. Thanks Andy, and hope
you guys do some damage this weekend man and this
week keep keep killing it.
Speaker 7: Dan.
Speaker 1: Thank you, yeah, absolutely, thank you very much, Johannie, appreciate you. Thanks,
have a big, big Monday. Uh, Dan, you're insane. Lacrosse
run continues, I mean twenty one and.
Speaker 4: I don't want to bet those kind of sports though, Andy,
I don't want to win in sports that you can
win in.
Speaker 1: You know, you know what I mean, twenty one in
eight is truly insane.
Speaker 3: Man.
Speaker 1: What you've done is pretty incredible.
Speaker 4: So that's what that's what we that's what we've set
out to do, you know what I mean, Like we've
been super selective. Like I think this last week we
had what two plays and we end up going to
and uh, you know, but we're rating them high because
we're seeing it really well.
Speaker 2: So we had another rocking chair winner.
Speaker 3: Guys.
Speaker 2: This was a team that has.
Speaker 4: Been scoring up and down on the field. In the
Virginia Cavaliers. We knew they were playing Notre Dame. We
knew Notre Dame wanted to slow it down, and Notre
Dame slowing it down bit him in the ass. We
also leaned with the dog in that game. They went
out right.
Speaker 2: So rocking chair winners, guys.
Speaker 4: I mean, I cannot guarantee obviously that's going to happen Andy,
But we've been really selective. We've been really solid. We
still have that thirty day lacrosse pass pack up, but
Andy baseball has been great for us out of the gate.
I know it's early on, but all access is the
name of the game because these are the kind of
sports that you're betting, and we're dabbling in baseball this year,
so you're gonna get the sport you want to bet
to when you go all access with us.
Speaker 1: Yeah we're doing excuse me, yeah, we're doing a little
bit more than dabbling. We're all in on baseball with
props inside. So we're up three units to start the year.
We got a four percent prop that is up and
there's two props that are involved in that package, so
you want that.
Speaker 5: We got that.
Speaker 1: We have a four percent darts play that's up that
goes off on Thursday. So get any of those packages,
guys on the specials page and you get every single
one of our plays. So we got good hockey, good NBA.
So the Specials page invest long term and shout out
to the winning in the Shadows family. You guys, all
Access clients really good. We want to be up. We're
are my goal is ten units each month. That way
I can be up one hundred and twenty units at
the end of the year. Excuse me, Yeah, We're We're
head a schedule at thirty nine units. So love to
close out March with a just if we have winning day,
bang we get up over that forty units. How does
Dan not get super limited betting on the cross?
Speaker 4: This is something Andy that we've we've touched upon, and
you know, we'll talk with Bill here too. A lot
of these books they want to throw out you if
you're a winning sports better and and how do you
stay that off? You stay that off by attacking it
a couple of different ways. I'm not only betting lacrosse
on a specific book, I'm also shopping around and betting
it at other books.
Speaker 2: I don't go all in on one side. I'm also if.
Speaker 4: A book screws up and they really have an awful total,
I'm personally not emptying my whole entire you know, clip,
even though I know it's probably a great winner, because
then I can't bet there anymore. So there's a couple
of different ways that you can attack it. But I mean,
Bill will come on here and tell you, guys, like
when you win, they don't want you, you know what
I mean. So you have to attack it a couple
of different ways. The other way that I go throw
in some donkey plays. We talked about this on Friday, Andy,
I'll throw in some dumb parlays. You know, I let
my bank roll allow for it, and you know, you
throw in some cross sport ones. You just throw in
some real long shot ones and play some of the
you know, the promos that they give you the really
bad bets. Unfortunately, guys, you have to maybe maybe manage
your bankroll to a out for that. If you're a
casual better someone who's trying to take this a little
bit more serious, and you don't want to not be
able to bet at a book anymore, because there are
books I can't bet lacrosse at anymore.
Speaker 5: And then you just move.
Speaker 2: On, you know, have as many hours as possible. That's
step one, you know.
Speaker 1: Yeah, figure out what their limit is and don't bet.
Don't bet that limit. So if they're only if they
if you've noticed that five hundred is their limit, and
you can look it up and you can even ask
them like, hey, what's the limit on this sport? So
if lacrosse is five hundred dollars. You're not betting five
hundred bucks. You're betting to fifty at two different books,
even if you get even if you get a worse price.
So agreed, let's a coupleys do it. Let's bring in Bill.
And this is a really good segue here, Bill, we're
talking about how do you not hear? Dan's been Yeah,
Dan's been crushing lacrosse. And you're asked, well, how do
you not get limited with some of those sports? What's
your advice?
Speaker 3: You guys say, have as many books as possible, have
as many beards that you trust that'll pay you good point.
I am a guy that I am openly saying on
many shows. I know books frown upon it, but players
like me frown upon you're throwing me out, So I'm
going to I hate giving any kind of action that
is unnecessary. However, However, if you're playing with a local,
don't I understand you only have so many locals that
that you could trust. You know, everyone thinks they're a
book maker. Today, you walk up to a poker room
and every table has at least one book maker or
a so called bookmaker in it. So what you want
to do with a local, you want to make sure
you give him action on Sunday NFL season. What I'm
saying is you're not going to, you know, bust them
all on NFL props and college football and not give
any straight action on Sunday. Now, I'll even tell you
what to give. You don't have to know anything. You
just have to look for even a four minus four
someplace at one of your locals, and maybe one of
your apps or one of your other guys has a
four and a half. Listen, it's not worth the middle
and financially, but it's worth it for the longevity of
the account to lay the four and take the four
and a half somewhere else, just to have that side
in a NFL account that you're betting with a local
guy that could say, you know, you don't really give
any any action on Sunday football, but you want to
bet NFL props, college football and whatever else during the week,
maybe some of these obscure kind of sports like you're
talking about, So you want to make the account look
good as far as the the brick and mortar the
app center out there, Maybe it's worth it. If you're
if you're betting one hundred dollars or more a game,
maybe it's worth to throw a one dollar that's right,
one dollar six seven, eight nine team, or you know,
just just to make it. If you're gonna lose it,
you're gonna lose. Long term, you're gonna lose it. But
maybe someone looks in the account says, wow, this guy
puts you know, all these parlors and does and realize
you're putting a dollar on five of them. But you're
just a mentality of betting parlays. Possibly that'll give you
some more longevity in the accounts. But I just try
to get someone else to bet that I know that
they can bet in there. And now you don't know.
It's Bill Krackenberger betting, and we just try to grind
out a few thousand bucks before we're limited or thrown out.
But then then you have to run into the problem
where you have to hope that that person doesn't have
any vices, one of which gambling. Because I've been stuck
a lot of money from people that literally come to
me with crocodile tears and I just had it happen.
Someone said, I relapsed. That's what someone just told me.
I thought relapse was drinking or drugs, but obviously in
his world, relapses gambling. And I said, how do you relapse?
You're in a casino all the time, which relapsed me? Losing?
Is that what relapsed? I relapsed? I went into your money.
I don't even know. You know, just the things you
have to overcome. Being a pro gambler that makes money
betting sports is amazing. People think it's just all sunshine,
rainbows and lollipops, and that's absolutely not. You're dealing with
total treachery. That's right treachery when you're when you're dealing
with people, you know, the human nature, the human condition.
You have to know who you're dealing with. How many
people I've I dealt with that jumped over a dollar
bill to steal a little penny. I mean, you're gonna
make money long term with me. I'm gonna go off
into the tangents here that I'm not planning. So you're
gonna make money long term with me. But now you
decide to steal and that happens a lot, and you
know it's part of the business. But it's funny we
talk about that. I was looking at so I'm looking at.
This is DraftKings. This is DraftKings. I'm looking at right now.
Of course, we can't bet it here in Nevada, and
I can't bet it anyway. I can only I can't
bet the app they for. They were very good to
be though. Just to be fair, the Raftkings was very
very good to me. I want a bunch of money
on bean Chero in the beginning, and they paid me
a lot. They put up it a lot for me,
and now I said, I put up it a lot.
They took my bet and I posted money.
Speaker 5: And they took my bet.
Speaker 3: Okay, if that's a lot.
Speaker 2: In the bars on the ground, yeah so uh, But
I won.
Speaker 3: I actually cracked them for a healthy six figures on
ban Chero. And then I want a golf future. I
want one hundred and eighty the one future there too.
That was the end of it. Though I bet four hundred.
I think it was a win seventy two thousand. Anyway,
that was the end of it with them. They threw
me out then. And even the guy Johnavello who's over there,
he wants nothing to do with me. And you know
I knew John from the win years ago. But you
know it's the same thing. And now I was allowed
to bet at the counter up to one thousand. And
then I did my VS AND show on Thursday and
I said something bad about them. All I did was,
you know, talk about their new rule. And they called
me up instantly after the show and said two fifty max. Okay,
no soup for you. Okay, So yeah in this gentleman,
yeah of course ski I They was said this gentleman, Yeah,
twenty bucks after two four hundred dollars. I think it
said superl Did it say Super Bowl for bets one?
I mean, honestly, it's so different now. DraftKings. At least
they took some good hits off me there, but now
it's NFL bets that's throwing people out for Jesus, Mary
and Joseph and all the Saints and sinners like myself
that win. Sorry, but yeah, so I was just looking
at DraftKings though they had a really good bet there.
I'm just I hate to lay a dollar sixty five,
but I think the Dodgers might just be the best
regular season wins I see minus the dollar sixty five
most regular season wins. Nothing to go crazy. I'm just
an extra free bet I was. I actually went on
here looking for season wins to see what a couple
of the teams were on season wins. They don't have
the season wins up right now, but they do have
most regular season wins by and the Dodgers is the favorite. FanDuel,
who's much better to me. I was limited on the app,
but they're good to me on the counter, and I
heard now they're they're good on the app. I like
how Fandel has all the season wins. Every day they
go back in and adjust the baseball season wins. N
GM was doing this too. MGM also has yes and
no to make the playoffs still today listed I love
the adjusted season win Buill.
Speaker 4: Did any of them? Did any of them jump out
to you while you were scrolling through there? I know
you didn't really get to dive in deep, but did
any of them jump out when you see one of.
Speaker 3: You guys just say the Marlins?
Speaker 2: One of you guys, Yeah, Yanni was saying the Marlins.
Speaker 4: Okay, they're three and oh he's saying fugazy three and
oh that he said that ain't gonna last direct question.
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, no, Miami Margins Marlins seventies three and a half.
They really didn't move it too much. Seventy three and
a half over to minus twenty under minus so two,
so that might be a good bet. Like like he's
saying there, I was looking at Houston Astros. I still
think the I gave out it under when the season started,
but I thought it was maybe still gonna be eighty.
I give out eighty. It was eighty six and a
half at MGM, and they took They took some nice
bets off me there and didn't even move it the
closed They closed the line eighty six and a half.
I was looking at just maybe be a little bit
more under, but I can't bet it now at eighty four.
It's eighty four and a half there, which I kind
of didn't understand. I thought it would be a little
bit higher there. But you know, listen, I'm looking to
go against all the marquee teams. Like even though I
say Dodgers best winning baseball, they have the Dodgers one
oh four and a half. Wow, that's a lot. They're
saying the Dodgers are gonna win one hundred and five games. Now,
granted they are. They look like the best team in baseball,
but last year they were projected to win one hundred
and some game, one hundred and four games too, and
it didn't. It didn't work out. So I just looked
at I went there to look at three games, three teams,
the Guardians, the I actually the Marlins actually looks like
it could be a play. But I'm not betting anyway.
Why because I can't bet it. You can't bet this
here in in Nevada. So there's a couple of subjects
I wasn't even planning to talk about there. But you
guys were talking about how to keep longevity in sports books. Yeah,
you I just I know the books frown them up,
frown upon it, and they get mad at me, saying
that you just got to find a beard. You got
a beard. In like Station's casinos here, they they do
not like winners, even though they're big signs and billboards
say we love our winners. Yeah, okay, uh they they
they they they don't like anyone that wins on their
app and they throw you off. I think I think
I'm allowed to bet at the counter, but I'm not
even sure. You know, the the antique that ran the place,
Art Mantarris that retired. Everyone's talking about him, how great
he is? He you knows sports. But he wrote a book.
He wrote, Oh well, are you're great? Yeah. Art also
had to broke bring in an extra change of underwears
every shift in case guys like me came in, so
Art mantaris. He threw me out. And the reason why
he threw me out is because one I bet a
game that moved three points. I lost. By the way,
I lost that game, and it was a it was
a normal sized bet. It was in the thousands. I
lost that bet. They said, do you either give me
the ticket back it moved fifteen minutes later, either give
me the Imagine someone people that are watching today, imagine
someone chasing you out the casino and saying, hey, you
that line moved. I need that ticket back. You can't
have that anymore. Let's see if these companies chase out
the people that it moved against. Hey, sir, you can
get two points better. Now come on back in. We'll
cancel that ticket for you. I mean, it really is.
It's cat and mouse. It should be illegal what they do.
If the Gaming commissions only knew what these sports books do,
especially the ones that you'll make a bet and you'll
be held in a queue and then they'll say, oh, sorry,
the line move. Someone betted somewhere else. It's totally totally illegal.
Well it's not only it's a moral and unethical what
these sports books do. And people that as happens to
they understand. They know that I'm not. You know, what
I'm talking about comes from experience. So Manterras had his
one of his lackey's chased me out of the casino
and I said, no, I'm not giving to take a
back the bet loss. I went public with it, and
he said, can you come down and talk to me?
So I actually went down to the Red Rock Casino
and talked to him in person, which I gotta have
to tell you, I actually give him credit for that.
I went down and talked to him, and he said,
and then he used the excuse that, you know, we
have you on camera on the phone. Okay, you're you're
allowed to be on the phone now in the sports books.
You know, maybe my wife wanted a container of milk
on the way home. How do you know what I
was talking about if it had something to do with you.
But they try to use every excuse and the gaming boards.
Let me just tell you gaming. Why we do have
some good gaming agents and good gaming people indirectly they're paid.
Why did they have a job. If there was no gaming,
no gamings places the game to the police, they wouldn't
have a job. So I'm going in with a oh
to two count uh, you know, and and against their
top closer when I'm making a bet and trying to
bring it to gaming and show them something. So uh.
But anyway, going back to that, they Art actually allowed
me back in and then I posted a video from
New Jersey, but I wasn't there. When I get back,
I put a lot of videos together and put them
up eventually during and he said you were not in
Las Vegas when you made a bet in your account.
That wasn't the case I was in. I put the
video up that talking about what I did two weeks
ago in New Jersey. Anyway, I'm going off on tangents
to they look for any excuse to throw you out. Hello,
who would have thun?
Speaker 2: Who would have done that?
Speaker 4: Art was catching tickets on over a half pair of underwear,
either worn or brought for the odds makers. That's that's
that's well done out of you, Bill? Well Bill, Before
we shut things down. Obviously, we want to hear what
you have rocking go and I know you don't have
anything loaded yet, but not yet.
Speaker 2: Great been a great run, man.
Speaker 4: It was sixty one percent over the last seven days
twenty five and sixteen.
Speaker 2: But first, man, the folks need an NBA prop. You
got one for him today anything You're one second week
in a row.
Speaker 3: I see I'm the top top record there. That's pretty good.
Uh oh yeah, have to continue those type of streets.
But there's a lot of guys to beat out. So yeah,
we had a really good run. Connecticut actually was a
good one there. I had five I give out five
and a half and there was five and a half available.
It's funny. I did my Fox show yesterday and there
was five and a half right at MGM yes yesterday
when there was minus five even at some places. So
it is good to have a lot of places, guys.
Fantastic run. College basketball twenty two to ten on March
manness plus thirty five over thirty five units based on
the way I tell you to play. What a great game.
Great comeback last night. I had five percent play on
that on Yukon. But you know, they could have went
either way. There. How about if he misses a free
row and it's on three and they found him, I
could have landed off. I still would have covered it
by five and a half. I'm just glad they got
the win there, and glad we got we got a
big win there. For all the wager talk people, I've
been saying it. I've been saying it for months. Get
on board. Uh prop here we go baseball. Let me
just make sure that MGM or someone has this. Still
mean yapping all the whole time. But it's not really
gonna change baseball season. I just said, so, it just started,
so we're gonna have some stuff loaded though. We've had
a couple of things so far. Let's go Texas Rangers.
Jack Lighter strikeouts over four and a half. Is it
still minus thirty five?
Speaker 4: Yeah?
Speaker 3: Jack Lighter strikeouts over four and a half minus one
thirty five. He had a great spring training. He's up
to his normal pitch counts now he's up. He's up
against the Orioles today, and the Orioles they have seven
guys in their lineup that have over that strikeout like
twenty strikeout rate versus these right handed pitchers. So over
four and a half Jack lighter over his strikeouts. Guys,
I appreciate your time. Thank you for your likes and
your subscribes to the network. We really appreciate it. Appreciate
you guys that came across with us. Uh came with
me and I've been talking about for weeks. Join me
from March Madness. Look forward to that and now again
we have the props going to props are just out
of control. How hot. We've been with props for the
whole season and they are painable props. Appreciate you guys.
Come over to way to talk join me and I'll
talk to you guys next week.
Speaker 2: Love it, Crack, Appreciate you brother, Thank you.
Speaker 3: Man. Have a good one to keep.
Speaker 2: Stay hot man, stay hot.
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's always good when you get to come on
and say, yeah, I was, I was back to back.
Speaker 2: Getting to chill on the leaderboard and I'm never a
bad day.
Speaker 1: No, it's it's good. Listen. Like we always talk about
when we win and when we lose. But God, would
you have a bad day or a bad stretch and
you have to come on shows.
Speaker 2: It sucks.
Speaker 1: It's awful, Like it's the worst feeling in the world.
Speaker 4: Like like dude, I don't like losing Era one when
you know folks are riding with you, when you know
people put their hard earned money with us.
Speaker 2: But like when you're on one of those streaks where
you're just not seeing.
Speaker 4: It right, it's hard to get out of bed, let alone,
hop on, turn your light on, get the microphone ready
to go.
Speaker 2: But accountability is the name of the game.
Speaker 4: Man, And and that's that's what wader Talk does differently,
so so's it's nice when you get to talk about
what's going well because as we all know, sports betters
and pros guys, you know, it's it's it's not always Roses,
that's for sure.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 1: Yeah, one of the best money line picks for MLB today.
I gotta be I gotta be honest, Dan, one of
the I just truly believe that if you can isolate
who's a who's the horrible team and and just fade.
I think it was one thousand. I think it was
like twenty twenty two. I was number one and on
wager Talk for for baseball, and it was it was
the year that the Diamondbacks, basically their entire pitching staff
got hurt, like they had nobody and I think they
lost like twenty one games in a row or something,
and it was just you bet against them every single day.
I think the White Sox might be like tragically bad.
Like they might be they might be epic. I mean,
I know they were bad last year, but so they
got they got beat nine to seven, six to one,
and fourteen to two. And I know it was against
the Brewers, but I'm looking at the Miami Marlins, and
I know Miami is not gonna, you know, keep up
their three and zero, but Miami minus won forty three
on DraftKings. If this White Sox team is really bad,
are you really going to be seeing minus one forty
three across the board. So that would be one that
I would look at, and that I mean, the Cubs
are minus one ninety four, but the Angels are pretty rough.
The Angels are are a pretty rough team. Not a
whole lot of offense coming out of that one.
Speaker 2: And we just.
Speaker 4: Got Steve Merrily here, so we're gonna talk with him.
Talk to the Men Bay games in just a second.
But if we're asking about, you know, money line picks,
what I have been doing here on the show. We
typically do it at the end, but we'll give it
to you now. Right before we bring Steve in, we
have our crack of the bat MLB Dog of the Day.
Speaker 2: We've been doing this.
Speaker 4: For two days, Andy, So again baseball small sample size,
but we'll take me in two point seven units up.
We cast a one sixty. We cast a one to
ten on Friday with the Detroit Tigers. That's why I'm
wearing the lid here. So let's go for a little
bit longer of a dog here today. Andy, if you're
cracking the bat dog of the day, I'm going Minnesota
twins against the Kansas City Royals. This one, again, guys,
is similar how I picked our first two, And it's
just what do we see about the Royals thus far
that they should be north of one sixty because they're home,
because they stole the last game effort against the Braves
before going a combined twelve and two to start the year,
their losses twelve to two. Use me twins they opened
up against the team I'm crazy Bullashawn so Am. I
surprised they lost against Baltimore.
Speaker 3: No.
Speaker 4: I like Baltimore a lot this year. They stayed competitive
in all three of those games, and I just think, yeah,
I think Boo Bitch is a good pitcher, don't don't
get me wrong, But I think we're getting a little
bit overvalued because of how he ended last year, how
he looked in spring training.
Speaker 2: And the Royals as a whole.
Speaker 4: I just don't see him as a plus or you know,
as a mine's one sixty one sixty five or batter
so twins, crack of the bat, MLB dog in the day,
give me the plus one forty five.
Speaker 1: And we got a few people talking about the Giants.
I did not know this. Through three games they have
one run.
Speaker 2: Unders I mean unders or do we hop in and
fade them?
Speaker 1: I mean take your pick, but I'll run you guys
got all run pretty bad. So all right, let's bring
in Steve Merrill and we'll talk O talk some hoopes here, Steve,
Happy Monday.
Speaker 5: How are you, hey? Boys? What's going on?
Speaker 1: Oho? Much just as absorbing some info from baseball, trying
to get ducks in a row there. But we talked
about talked about college basketball yesterday and that crazy ending there.
So what was your takeaway from college basketball so far?
And when you think about the four teams that are left.
Speaker 8: So so close to having the final four correct. I
had all four teams correct, had Duke held on, because
I did have Illinois in there, and I still got
my two national champs Arizona Michigan. I always thought was
going to maybe be the national title game. But my
long shot pick for anybody who got my bracket, and
hundreds of my clients got it for free, Illinois at
twenty two to one was my long shot pick that
I was promoting in that bracket. And I guess in
a way, Duke losing is good for that because I
think Illinois probably better than you Kon to be honest.
So yeah, I mean I would have had the final
four correct, but it really sets Illinois up for that
long shot chances. We very well might have Illinois in
the finals. Now, yukon of the final four to three
of the last four years they had back to back
championships and everyone thought they were unbeatable, and then last
year they were definitely not as strong as we thought
they were going to be.
Speaker 5: They are a good team.
Speaker 8: This year everyone will kind of rode them off because
Saint John's blew them out of the Big East Tournament.
Speaker 5: That didn't bother me.
Speaker 8: What worries me is that even coming into this week
through only the twenty fifth offensive effishing team in the country,
and that is why they trailed by nineteen yesterday. And
let's also not forget it was a great comeback, but
when you overcome a nineteen point deficit, the other team
has to help you at times, and Duke obviously did
that multiple ways. Cameron Boozer huge turnover and then he
gets the basket, and then Duke, any of the three
players that possessed the ball in the back point back
court with only ten seconds or man he could have
just held the ball, nobody had to pass the ball,
and three of them did it and it led to
that turnover. So as a coach, very interesting to see that.
And keep in mind also Duke blew a fourteen point
lead last year in the Elitate against Houston. Houston made
that big comeback and then Houston won their final four games.
So you know, just don't think Connecticut's going to come
in flat necessarily.
Speaker 5: But I think.
Speaker 8: Illinois is a really good team and the aligne I
had not trailed in the second half except for one
game their previous twenty four until the game the other day,
and they still found a way to win and for
their five losses going down the stretch right overtime.
Speaker 5: So Illinois was my long shot.
Speaker 8: We'll see if they can make the finals, and I
think Michigan Arizona deatter for the two best teams remaining.
Speaker 1: What was amazing about that last play. You go back
and watch it, you kind of clearly they've practiced that,
they knew exactly what they were doing, and it was
like the two guys they on purpose left the two
duke players on the other side of the court. You
can see as student as the guy passed it. They
were just taught jump up with your hands. That was
an that was not a frantic defensive possession. That was
absolutely coached. They didn't try and foul and they tried
to just outthink the other team into turning it over
and they did. It was wild. I watched that play
a million times, and like every time I watch, I'd
noticed something a little bit different about the defense and
just how brilliantly that was coached. So very very cool. Well,
let's talk NBA here, Steve. We got Celtics and Hawks,
Pistons Thunder. Two really good games here. These teams. The
Hawks are an interesting team. I kind of like watching
them play here, I'm a little bit surprised that they're
the favor here minus one and a half over under
two twenty two. But let's talk to Celtics Hawks games.
What do you expect tonight and why is this Hawks
team's favored?
Speaker 8: Well, first of all, it's a quick revenge spot, something
we always keep an eye on in the NBA. You know,
we talk about revenge a lot in college shops in
the NBA, and it's not necessarily because the team is mad.
Speaker 5: We're going to get revenge.
Speaker 8: So a lot of times the other team let's up
a bit after the win. And I say that because
these teams did just play on Friday night in Boston
and the Hawks lost one o nine one oh two.
Did not shoot the ball well in that game, just
thirty nine percent from the field, gave up forty seven
percent shooting. They still only lost by seven points. They
bounced back on Saturday back at home against Sacramento with
a ten point win, a non covering win, but a'll
win nonetheless, and that was a tough spot the no
rest travel situation returning home after the Detroit Boston road games. Meanwhile,
the Celtics entered this game often nice win as they
went to Charlotte on Sunday yesterday after that home win
against Atlanta, big win at Charlotte as a dog last
night by fifteen, three straight wins coming in here, and
keep in mind they also beat the Thunder, the defending
world champs the game before Atlanta, so three big wins
for Boston. They have not submitted their injury report yet.
I don't necessarily think they're sitting guys, but that also
tells me there's that possibility. So I think there's a
few reasons why Atlanta is the favorite here and I
agree with it. I like them at the minus one
and a half to minus two quick revenge spot here
for Atlanta, and maybe not the most focused spot for
the Celtics, not just because they just beat the Hawks,
but they're also coming off a road dog win without
rest travel situation after Charlotte last night.
Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, it looks like Boston is gonna be looks
like Tatum is doubtful, White, questionable, Jeland Brown, questionable, Bootsvitch
remains me out so.
Speaker 8: And literally at twelve forty nine and eighteen seconds, it
just popped on odds logic. Jalen Brown is upgraded to
available to play with the calf and that is lighting
up right now on the Odds Logic screen.
Speaker 5: So it's so crazy when we do these live shows.
Speaker 8: Yeah, so, but the line's gone from one to two,
so it's not like like you said, Tatum might likely
is not playing the EFFICI. Yeah, the NBA report is
not out yet. Maybe the one o'clock Eastern I'll have it, Steve.
Speaker 4: I got my Odds Logic screen up too, and it
popped literally right before they said Jalen Brown in Uh,
Tatum's going to be out at least before to Odds
Logic here. So I guess that's that's why they're like,
well Brown's and no Tatum though, just add another point
on there, or add another half point half point on there.
Speaker 8: Yeah, and the over under, by the way, has dropped
from two twenty two and a half two twenty three
down to two twenty two.
Speaker 5: And we've seen it go from one and a half
to two.
Speaker 8: So as I was breaking that game down live on
Wait to Talk TV Odds, it's incredible how often this
has happened this year. I did I did the fun
Dan like on Saturday after no Friday afternoon or whatever.
Speaker 5: Yeah, because it was the Arizona game.
Speaker 8: I'm doing it Friday afternoon, and about a minute after
I finished recording, the total gets hitt and goes up
a full point, like in the middle of the afternoon
on Friday before the Saturday game.
Speaker 5: I said, you can't make this stuff. Fuck, it's insane.
Speaker 4: They plan it around when Steve is on video, they
plan it or they Steve whispers and they're like.
Speaker 8: Right, well, and you realize I'm not claiming I'm moving
the lines because I was reporting. Nobody had seen it yet,
so I just want to make sure the viewers don't
think I'm saying I'm moving the marketing.
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's kind of eerie at times.
Speaker 1: We got the Detroit Pistons Oklahoma City Thunder. We thought
we were gonna get like SGA versus Cad cunning Him.
Instead we're getting SGA versus Kevin Herder. Uh touch, touch
of a little bit of a let down there, But yeah,
Detroit looks like they're sitting a lot of guys. During's doubtful,
Harris is doubtful, Duncan Robinson's doubtful, Beef stews out, Kate
is out. So we get a monster line here. Minus twelve.
You and I talk about this, when these teams sit
these players, A, it can be a letdown spot for
the big favorite, and B you got these bench players
that this is their time to shine. So what do
you make of this big spread here over under two eighteen?
Speaker 8: Yeah, and let's talk too about just the Pistons in general.
With L K Cunningham right, they continue to win. This
is a team that has won six of their last
seven games. They've won none of their last eleven games overall,
and they've even covering as well. Five of the last
six games that they've won, they've covered all five of those.
So they're perfect five of us straight up in ats
with those wins and covers. And granted they were only
a dog in one of them, and that was a
small home dog against the Lakers. They were favored in
all the other games. So this is a huge step
up in class. I believe the biggest dog they've been
all season. I'd have to go back and check, but
with Cunningham, I don't believe unless it was early in
the season before everyone realized how good they were this year.
With that said, though, this is not a great spot
for the Oklahoma City thunder. You know, they had a
big national TV game last night against the New York Knicks.
It was the NBC Prime Game, primetime game at seven
thirty Eastern last night, and they beat the Nicks at
home on eleven one hundred. And they also beat the
Bulls right before that, somewhat and blowout fashion on Friday night.
I mentioned that loss against the Celtics earlier on Wednesday,
played the Sixers before that. Yes, the Pistons are one
of the best teams in the league record wise, but
this is obviously not that squad. Kate Cunningham outstill at
the lung injury and obviously also a lot of guys
listened on the injury punter fact, I'm saying nine guys
including Cunningham, on the current injury report right now. That's
basically a full roster. So that does concern you because
we might not even get many of the backups in
this game. But Detroit still been a feisty team without Cunningham.
And yes, Cunningham is a star player, but this is
a really good Detroit squad overall. It's not just Cunningham,
and they've proven they can win without them. And the
fact that the Thunder might not be fully focused for
this one. And oh, by the way, guess what they
have on deck later this week? The LA Lakers is
their next game. We'll take a flyer with the Detroit
Pistons here, and if you just blindly play these short
handed teams, you have won more money than you've lost
over the last few year years. And one of the
reasons is because they have to inflate the line, and
this line is currently plus twelve across the board with
Detroit has still been one of the best straight up
teams in the league, and we're getting twelve points with them,
So I would lean Pistons in this one. But it
is a shorthanded Detroit squad to say the least. And
by the way, Oklahoma City has not submitted their injury
report yet. I doubt they're sitting anybody, but they did
play last night, so a lot have to keep it
on that as well.
Speaker 1: That would be something if you take the Thunder because
Detroit sitting of course.
Speaker 8: Yeah, I mean it's a possibility, right There is some
antic value with Detroit right now until that injury report
comes out.
Speaker 5: A great point, Steve.
Speaker 1: But the Thunder bench is almost a starting team anyways,
like they bring in there. They literally have too many
good players.
Speaker 5: It's andy.
Speaker 8: I thought I wanted to mention this because knew we
were talking about this game today. When I was watching
the starting lineup last time that next game, it cracks
me up. Where they go at center seven foot heart
and Stegn at guard seven foot one Chtholg. That has
to be the most ridiculous thing in the history of
basketball to hear it cracks me up every time.
Speaker 5: I think, that's never. That's never.
Speaker 8: There's no way that's ever happened on any other team
in history that they announced the center and then the
guard is an inch taller unless the center is like
five six foot Air Force Academy starting center five eleven.
Speaker 5: You know, that's be like the only way that would
ever happen five.
Speaker 2: Eleven and a half.
Speaker 1: Steve, what do you have about for everybody on Monday?
Speaker 8: Yeah, so we're talking a lot of NBA. Obviously, the
Final four will be uplated this week. First of all,
I've done every tournament game for March Madness. I will
continue to do so. Obviously, the NCAA Final Four Saturday,
the Finals Monday. But I'm also I did both in
it quarterfinal games last week we went three and one
on those, so I'm going to try to give you
the n t semis as well. Believe it's on Saturday
and then the finals are Sunday. It's kind of kind
of funky, but a lot of content this weekend. So
click subscribe, click the bell for an instant alert you
know when that's up. But also daily NBA videos, Major
League Baseball free play videos. So thumbs up, like positive
comments below, and these videos and free plays will keep coming.
And while we're talking the NBA, let's not on the
NBAM number one this year an NBA best bet profit
at wager talk. My four percent plays have won over
ninety seven units of profit. We've almost doubled your bank
role in the NBA alone. And I've got two more
strong plays going tonight for Monday, two strong NBA best
bets and also some special offers. You'll see them all
listened on my page. The buy three get three still available.
But two things I want to point out real quick.
First of all, a thirty day is normally two ninety nine.
All access special promo code SM one hundred gets it
down to one ninety nine. Now that's listed on my
home page with the daily message. You'll see it SM
one hundred gets it down to one ninety nine. That's
thirty days of college basketball, pro basketball, and baseball. You'll
also see the instant five hundred dollars discount still for
the one year all access, but if you used promo
code Steve twenty five, you get another twenty five percent
off that gets it down to the lowest possible price
for one year of all access Steve twenty five an
additional twenty five percent off an already discount of five
hundred dollars price. Once again, don't have to memorize those.
Go to my page now check out the daily free play.
Don't forget about that. Steve Merrilwager talk dot com and
get there quicker wt dot slash.
Speaker 1: Sm awesome work, Steve, Thank you very much, Good luck
in me a very impressive record.
Speaker 2: Yeah, keep that going, man, you gotta love it.
Speaker 1: We got to say hi to somebody here, Dan, We
have to say hi to Christina. Yes, who is in
the car with Bill right now? So Christina? Awesome, awesome,
I hope your Monday is going great show.
Speaker 2: Make sure you like and subscribe Christina.
Speaker 4: Make sure you like and subscribe or make Bill he's
already subscribed. He's a Wager Talk insider, but make him
extra like tell all his friends to like it as well.
And your friends, Christina, thank you?
Speaker 1: And Christina, what's your best bet for the day? If
you could tell Bill and have Bill? Yes, Christina, who
do you like today? Royals? Twins? Who are we on? Christina?
So let's do some free place here, Dan, and then
we'll open up a baseball before we get out of here.
Speaker 2: So oh yes, the unboxing it pisses everyone off.
Speaker 4: Let's go baby, Let's go.
Speaker 1: To Twins and Roils. I like Boobach over Bubik over
four and a half. K's this play went fifteen and
five last year. I think I think it should be
five and a half. So if it's four and a half,
I'll take it. He did pitch last May against Minnesota
had nine strikeouts. Take with that what you want. But
the Twins are striking out over ten times per game
through three games, so small sample size, but that's a
team that's swinging a lot. So I think boobag over
four and a half. Case Rudy go Bear over twelve
and a half points. He's gone over in four out
of five. I think Anthony Edwards is coming back. If not,
this really helps it. But he had twenty two the
last time played Dallas, Dallas beat up, not playing for much.
He's making over six shots per game. He's adding a
couple of free throws in there. So and then Jonathan
Aronda over just will have a hit. He's got a
hit in all three games. And he's facing Kyle Harrison,
who's making his Brewers' debut. This guy gave up twelve
runs a nine point two innings, and he's three for
five against lefties this season. So I like finding these
I like finding these streaks in the prop market where
we can just keep riding. So we're on a playing
pretty pretty pretty good here.
Speaker 3: All right, Dan, you ready?
Speaker 4: We got Dodgers over Guardians from Christina for the limit.
Speaker 1: Dodgers over Guardians, Bald, What do we.
Speaker 2: Got, la Dodgers?
Speaker 4: Yeah, just a modest minus one ninety four shop around
minus one eighty.
Speaker 1: Yeah, not bad, not bad.
Speaker 2: Let's go Christina.
Speaker 1: All right, we're continuing to open up. I got three
more left. These are mystery autographed baseballs. If you guys
don't know, I had a bunch of points a David
Buster's card from a previous TV show that I hosted,
And so I went and got a bunch of these baseballs,
and uh, we opening and hopefully we get a surprise.
Dan looks up what they're selling for on eBay, had
a couple of really good gems. So here we go.
I hope this road one.
Speaker 3: All right.
Speaker 1: Jose Cruz Senior, two time All Star, two times Silver
slugg Award, Houston Astros.
Speaker 3: Hall of Fame.
Speaker 2: Astros. We've been polling.
Speaker 1: I was gonna say, I this is the second Houston
Astro I've got, so uh, Jose Cruz Junior. Yeah, and
it is autographed with Astro's hof twenty nineteen.
Speaker 2: You said this is Jose Cruz Junior.
Speaker 1: I'm sorry Senior, Jose Kruz Senior. Sorry, Jose Kruz Senior Astros.
H that makes nineteen.
Speaker 5: Takes a difference.
Speaker 2: There we go, Jose Cruz Senior.
Speaker 1: Maybe I'll this with the other Houston act.
Speaker 4: Well, Andy, if you want a Jose Cruz Junior that's
going for twenty dollars, you got Jose Cruz Senior that's
going for twenty four dollars. So this is this is
our our first Uh, here.
Speaker 2: I'll even even get to chew up her. Right. We got,
we got, we got the losing horn. Finally we pull
a dud.
Speaker 1: We pull a du Yeah yeah, probably not selling this
guy for for much.
Speaker 3: I'll throw this.
Speaker 1: Yeah yeah. All right, well that one, that one wasn't
very good. So uh yeah, man, well done, well done,
Scoe sa uh man. Imagine if we pull a Mickey
Mantle tomorrow, that'd be incredible.
Speaker 4: If they had a Mickey Mantle sitting on the back
shelf at David Busters.
Speaker 2: Man, I'll tell you.
Speaker 1: What dust Yeah, governed in dust, Mickey Bantel. So all right,
it's gonna do it for you guys. Please hit the
like button. Thirty day special for myself. My team is
still up. You get one hundred dollars off of thirty
days and it's a great time. We've got multiple props
that are up today, including a four percent NBA Best
Bet four percent Darts play goes off Thursday. You're gonna
get everything, and Masters is right around the corner, so
you're gonna get all of our golf plays. Coming off
a nice, nice weekend golf, we lost the Big Play,
but we won all three other ones. Cashed in dfs.
So all these sports, it adds up to your bankroll, guys,
it really does. We're up almost forty units for this year,
so got one, got like one day left in March
to see if I can I can get this to
forty units for the for the for the season. So
pretty excited about that. All players are wt dot Buzz
slash a L appreciate you guys. Watch them hit the
like button, leave us a comment below. Good luck on
your bets. We'll see everyone the same time, same place tomorrow.
Take care,