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Speaker 1: Welcome everybody to the NFL Presidential Addresses is Week ten.

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We're here to find bets in every single game on

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the board. If you've never watched the show, no notes,

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I've done all my research. I've studied everything. I'm going

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to look you in the eye and I'm going to

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go through every single game on the board and find

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you bets in each and every one. And we're going

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to start right off the mat with the last Vegas

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Raiders heading into Denver. The line is minus nine. The

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total in this game forty two and a half, and

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right off the bat, I got to look at the

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under in this football game. Firstly, the Las Vegas Raiders

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are a horrible football team, and although they were able

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to make a decent comeback last week, they really struggle

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to score points for three straight quarters. And they're doing

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this year in and year out. Now they say Denver

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defense that is really good. I think they're an elite

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defense even without Patricks or ten. I don't think they're

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the best defense in the league. But there are defense

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that's fully capable of holding the Las Vegas Raiders down

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to thirteen to sixteen points. And as far as Denver goes,

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I think what they're fighting in Denver is that bo

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Nicks is not going to win them a whole lot

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of games. The great thing is, I don't think he's

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going to lose them games, and that is why Denver

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is not putting up a lot of points. This Denver

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team is playing much more conservative than we saw at

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the beginning of the season, and I think they're going

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to do the same against Las Vegas. There's just no

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reason to run up the score here. This is a

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division rivalry situation. I know it's minus nine. If Denver

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goes out there and gets twenty four points, that means

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that the Las Vegas Raiders are going to need to

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get to at least eighteen for this game to go

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over forty two and a half. I don't think that

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is going to happen, and I don't think Denver against

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twenty or either. I'm not gonna overthink this play. I'm

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gonna play right into what these teams are defining themselves as,

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and that is low scoring football teams that are squeaking out.

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Doubu's I like the under as far as the side

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goes well, if they're squeaking out, dou W's, I like

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the dog here. I think Las Vegas can keep it close.

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I would not be surprised if this is a typical

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Denver sixteen thirteen type of football game. Nine points is

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too high. We're going to take the dog and we're

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going to take the under. Now, before we get to

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the Sunday matchup, we're going to start with the game

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in Berlin. I want to ask you guys to just

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take a second and hit that like button. The way

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the YouTube algorithm works is simple. The more people hit

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the like button, the more people comment, and the longer

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you stay on this video, the higher YouTube is going

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to rank this video. So if you guys, don't mind

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not stopping this video, Like, if you're bored right now,

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if you want to leave right now, just let the

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video run and go to the washroom. Just let the

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video run. Go watch TV appreciated. Thank you, guys. Let's

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get into the Sunday games. Atlanta playing Indianapolis and Indianapolis

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just picked up Source Gardner, which is a huge pickup.

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He is an exceptional player. Did it move the line?

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Not really? Actually the line went from a six now

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there's a five and a half on tap And all

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my contacts are telling me that there is a lot

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of money coming in on the Atlanta Falcons. I don't

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quite understand it. This Atlanta Falcons team is not very good.

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Do they have a good defense? Yes? Is that defense

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capable of stopping Indianapolis to a degree, But Indianapolis is

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still going to get their points and I don't think

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Atlanta could keep up. Now. I understand Atlanta with twenty

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three up on New England really twenty four because it

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was a missed extra point, But two of those of

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those scores came up of turnovers, one with like an

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eight yard short field, and the third touchdown came by

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a miracle fourth down catch on an overthrow that Drake

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London pulled in and landed within an inch. So I

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don't believe in this Atlanta team. And it's reasonable they

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put up ten points the game before and ten points

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the game before that. Now they're playing probably the best

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offense in Hall of Football, coming off of a horrible, embarrassing,

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humiliating performance, coming off of a game where they turned

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the ball over six times. Indianapolis right now is at

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a low market spot given how bad they played against Pittsburgh,

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and Atlanta is on a higher market value because of

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how they played against New England. Atlanta is bad, Indianapolis

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is good. Minus six is the number. I think Indianapolis

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covers this by around thirteen points. Take the Colts in

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this game. Now we look at Cleveland and New York

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jetson well, after the New York Jets traded both Williams

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and Source Gardner, the line flipped. The New York Jets

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were minus two and a half coming in. They are

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now plus two and a half against Cleveland. The total

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in this game is thirty seven and a half. What

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are we supposed to do here, guys? Well, Originally I

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really liked Cleveland. Cleveland at plus two and a half

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against the Jets seemed like a good bet to me.

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Now at minus two and a half, not so much. Plus,

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I don't believe in this Cleveland team, and this Cleveland

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team New York traded two defenders. Cleveland struggles to score.

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I don't want to bet this game. Full disclosure, I

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hate this game, but I will look at the under

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thirty eight out there, thirteen, sixteen, seventeen, fourteen, twenty one, thirteen,

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All of those combinations twenty to seventeen, twenty to sixty,

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I mean all of those combinations come up to an

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under for me. On top of that, the weather is changing,

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the wind is coming, and it's getting cold. We're going

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to take under the total in this game, but we're

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going to do it carefully. Now we turn our attention

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to New Orleans playing Carolina and the New Orleans Saints.

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They made a big statement on the trading Tuesday, if

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you will, What did they say? They said, We're not

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going to win another game this year. They said, we're done,

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We're calling it a season. We're going for the top

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draft picks. And they basically came out and told us that.

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Alvin Kamara came out and said, I want to stay

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in New Orleans during the rebuild. Everybody knows this team

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is rebuilding. Why would they go out and win games

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if they've already announced that they are rebuilding. That first

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round draft pick is important. The number one draft pick

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verset the number three or or draft pick is a

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big bloody deal. I think the New Orleans Saints lose

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out and I think Carolina can cover this number. I

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know minus five and a half or a Panthers team

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called me crazy, but look this Panthers team since Rico

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o'dowdell has started playing as good as he's playing. I mean,

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their offense is playing excellent. Their run game is unbelievable.

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I think they're going to be able to run all

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over this New Orleans team. And they're playing bowl control

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right now. Their possession time is up substantially. New Orleans

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one of the worst in the entire league. I think

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Carolina is going to control both sides of the line

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of scrimmage, and I think Arizona Carolina is going to

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win this game going away. I would not be surprised

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if Carolina wins this game by more than two scores.

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I cannot believe I'm saying this, but take Carolina minus

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five and a half at home against the New Orleans Saints. Guys,

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I just want to quickly mention before we get into

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the Buffalo Miami game. I got a really big bet

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for you guys all this weekend. It's a four percent

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NFL money line parlay. This is the biggest parlay bet

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I have ever released in my life. That's how big

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a bet it is. And I am eight and three

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this season this NFL season in these money line parlay bets,

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and no, I am not taking you know Detroit minus

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eight and a half and Butfalo minus ten and putting

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them on a money line parlay that equates to minus

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two forty. That is not what goes on here. My

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money line parlay is always around even money. There have

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been a few plus money, and the worst is around

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minus twenty twenty five on the on giving money. I

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love this play. If you guys do, get to watch

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this video on Tuesday, the play is only five dollars

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until midnight PST Tuesday, otherwise it's twenty five bucks. Please.

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If you're only gonna play one play for me this

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whole year, that is it. Okay, let me have a

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sip of water and we'll get it to Buffalo in Miami. Now,

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the bull the Bulls, the Bears, the Bears, I don't

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even know what I'm saying. The Bills minus nine and

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a half playing the Dolphins, and the total here is fifty. Man, guys,

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I'm gonna pass on this game, and I apologize. I mean,

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I think Buffalo is going to win this game outright,

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no problem. But like Miami, I mean, their coach is

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playing for his life, the quarterback is playing for his career.

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This team is a complete mess. I just don't want

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to get involved in a game like that. We see

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this so often. I mean, we saw Miami being a

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complete mess go to Atlanta two weeks ago and beat

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them outright. So I just think the line is too

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high a Buffalo hare. I do understand that it's likely

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going to go into a lot of teasers. And if

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you want to make, say a three team ten point teaser,

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I would probably put Buffalo in that. I would put

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them in with Denver, and I would put them in

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with Detroit. I think that's a reasonable three team ten

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point teezer. I really can't see the Denver losing. I

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can't see Buffalo losing, and Washington is just a shell.

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So that's how I'm going to attack this Buffalo game.

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Now we go to Jacksonville playing Houston, and I tell

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you now, I was high on this Jacksonville team. I

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thought this Jacksonville team was gonna maybe make a playoff run.

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I understand that they got it done last week, but man,

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I don't think they're a very good team at all.

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And I think they're walking into a juggernaut of a defense.

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I don't care even if Davis Mills plays this game.

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I think that the Houston defense by itself will cover

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this number. Now obviously not by themselves, and they said

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they're gonna score, but I mean, I'm gonna be very

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surprised if Jacksonville puts up a lot of points here.

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This Houston defense might be the single best unit in

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the league. And Jacksonville has struggled again and bad units.

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So we're gonna look to take Houston, and guys, we've

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done a deep dive into this right now. Any game

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that is minus two and you can get a money

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line better of around minus one thirty five, the actual

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money line bet at minus one thirty five is much

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better in the long run. It's around two percent better.

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And I know you guys will be like house two

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percent better, much better, guys. Break even is fifty two

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and a half percent. The best gamblers of all time

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are maybe hitting fifty seven percent. That's like five percent

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difference to breaking even. So when I say it's a

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two percent difference, that is substantial. If you're going to

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bet Houston, you bet them on the money line. If

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it does go to two and a half, you bet

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them on the spread. But I like Houston all the

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way up to minus three here So we're gonna take

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Houston against Jacksonville, Baltimore playing Minnesota. Would I be surprised

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if Baltimore runs the table, gets into the playoff wins

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the division. I would not. Would I take Baltimore at

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plus four in this spot. Hell No, Minnesota just played

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their best game of the season. This Minnesota defense is

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really really really really really really good. Not only that,

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but McCartney was able to find Jefferson Addison. They've got

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weapons everywhere. Aaron Jones is back from Minnesota. I actually

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prefer the plus four of the home team then the

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minus four of Baltimore. I also like the over in

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this game. Firstly, I'm looking at bet overs in all

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Baltimore Ravens games, and yeah, they only put up twenty

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eight points last game. But now we got Lamar back

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in his second week. I think they're gonna be in

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much better rhythm. They're also playing indoors. I think they're

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going to get their points, and we saw that Minnesota

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can score. They were able to score against Detroit almost

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at will. And Detroit's defense are not horrible. I would

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say Detroit's defense is very similar to Baltimore's defense, kind

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of like the middle of the pack defense, maybe at

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the bottom of the top grouping, if you will. Forty

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eight seems like a very low total to me. I

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like the home Dog at plus four, and I like

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over the total of forty eight. As far as Tampa

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Bay and New England go, I'm going to go right

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back to the over in this game as well. Do

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I like Tampa Bay a little. I think it's a

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good spot for Tampa Bay, and I think it's a

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really bad spot for New England. I just don't think

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I could get there with Tampa Bay. Mike Evans is out,

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Godwin is out, Irvin is out. There's just too many

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injuries on that team. And this New England defense is

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playing really, really well and Drake may is playing outstanding.

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Now why do I like the over? If the New

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England defense is playing really well. While we've seen this

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story play out time and time again, it doesn't matter

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who Baker Mayfiel's weapons are, he gets the job done.

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This Tapa Bay Bucks team is not going to be

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held down. They're gonna get into the twenties. They're at

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home and New England can keep pace with anybody. I

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like the over in this game, and I'm passing on

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the side. Chicago minus three and a half against the

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New York Giants. Forty seven and a half is the total.

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First off, I'm looking to bet every Chicago game over.

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Look at what happened in the Cincinnati game, and I

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see no difference here. The Chicago team is playing a

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horrible defense in New York, and really, before the weather

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fully changes, they still should be able to get it done.

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I think the Bears are going to put up thirty

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thirty one to thirty five points against the Giants, and

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I think the Giants are going to be able to

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get us to twenty. This game is forty eight. I

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think we're gonna see like a thirty one twenty type game.

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So yes, I like the over, and yes I like

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the home favorite minus three and a half. A team

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feeling good about itself, a team in playoff, in the

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playoff hunt, I gotta look at taking Chicago here. Minus

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three and a half seems like a little bit of

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a short number. Predicted score thirty one twenty. Seattle minus

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six and a half against Arizona. Seattle just picked up

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a slot receiver from New Orleans and Mike god with

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Cup playing short. Shahir I think his name is playing

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in the middle and hyphenated guy uh stretching the field?

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Yeah Smith and jib ay Smith, then Jigba. I call

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every player hyphenated guy if they a hyphen in their name,

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because I hate these hyphens. They bother me. What happens

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when Smith, entigma, hyphen something marries another hyphen? Are there

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now three hyphens and four names? What if the three

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hyphen four name person marries a three hyphen four named person?

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Are there now six hyphens or seven and eight? Does

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three and three make seven because there's eight? I don't know.

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I am sick of the hyphens. So calm down, Pres,

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Who cares? I love Seattle Here, guys, Arizona is not

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a good football team, and I don't care who plays quarterback.

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It just doesn't matter to me. I think this Arizona team.

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You know, people sit there and say, oh what, Pres,

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They could be seven and two. Yeah they could. The

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Blue Jays could have won the World Series. I could

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be young. None of those things are true. Yes, they

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lost close games. Your bank, my bank, your financial advisor,

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my financial advisor. None of them care. All that is

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is an excuse. There is a reason they lost close games.

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It's because they're badly coached. Their offense has no balance.

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Marvin Harrison Junior had one good game, they have no quarterback,

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and their defense, albeit good, is slightly overrated. This Seattle

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team is a Super Bowl contending team flat out. They

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got two incredible running backs, they got three. They have

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probably the best wide receiver corps in football right now.

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To be honest with you, Darnold is playing exceptionally well

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and they are so well coached. I think Seattle gets

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it done. They already went into Arizona and won twenty

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three to twenty. I see no reason why they can't

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win this game twenty seven to seventeen. That's ten points

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and hey, right around the total of forty five and

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a half. And I like the under on that game,

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but I do prefer see Now we talk about Detroit

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minus eight coming off of maybe their worst game. I

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don't want to say of the year, but it probably

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was their worst game of the year, to be honest

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with you, they just couldn't get out of their own way.

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They were making mistake after mistake, fumble after rumble. Now

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they're playing a Washington team that is a shell of

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the team we saw last season. This Washington team cannot

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move the ball. Jaden Daniels is struggling, but what they

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really lack is an offensive line. If you watch that game,

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Jaden Daniels was like getting killed. And I know Detroit

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as heedgressers. They have a guy named Hutchison. I think

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Detroit is going to be all over this team. I

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normally do not take minus nines on the road, but

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man off of a horrible loss against a team like Washington,

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I wouldn't be surprised if Detroit covers that number. I

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do lean on the over, but as you can hear,

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I'm treading carefully on this game in its entirety. The

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next game is a sexy one, the Rams vers San

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fran Before I get into that again, guys, please hit

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the like button, Please put up comments. I read and

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00:19:17,319 --> 00:19:22,000
respond to almost every single comment put up. And if

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you don't like what you're hearing, who cares. Just let

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00:19:25,720 --> 00:19:29,680
this video play itself out on your computer. Go to bed,

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go to the washroom, go work out, send my love

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00:19:34,400 --> 00:19:37,079
to your wife, do what you need to do, but

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do not stop this video. La Ram San Francisco forty

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nine ers. I gotta look at the dog here and

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I know. Wow, come on, pres the Rams are killing it,

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and yes they are. Outstanding work by Sean McVay and

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this team, Matthew Stafford is looking exceptional. Their offense is ticking,

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their defense as fast as hell. Why am I interested

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in Sant Fran? Well, I got a home division team,

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a veteran team who keeps winning, no matter who is

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playing quarterback, no matter who's catching the ball, no matter

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who's running the ball, no matter who's playing insideline backer,

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no matter who's playing on the edge. All San Francisco

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does is win. And now they're playing at home and

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they're a dog, and they've already beaten the Rams. Now

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I just got there's just no other way to look.

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I have to take Sant Fran at plus three and

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a half in this game. I am not overthinking it.

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Do I think Sant Fran can win this game? Out right? Hell? Yeah,

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I do. Take Sant frand at plus three and a half.

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Pittsburgh playing the Chargers. My initial gut feeling there was

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the Chargers might be my favorite play, But man, I

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don't know. Alts out. We saw what happened when he

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was out last time. They really really could not stop

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the pass rush, and finally Pittsburgh got a pass rush

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going against Indianapolis. With that said, what is this Pittsburgh team?

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Is this the Pittsburgh team that couldn't play defense for

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like eight straight games, or is this the Pittsburgh team

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that played great defense last year and the year before

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and great defense against Indianapolis. Is this a Pittsburgh team

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that's struggling to cause turnovers or is this a Pittsburgh

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team that causes six turnovers a game like they did

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against Indy. I'm starting to feel like it's a wait

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and see approach on this game. My lean is the

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LA Chargers, and I will be doing a deeper dive

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into this game later, but I am concerned playing against

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Pittsburgh given that the Ravens are right behind them making

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a move. Pittsburgh needs to win. They are getting it done,

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and we saw finally an exceptional output from their defense.

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So I'm just going to hold the brakes on this

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game at Philadelphia. Green Bay, Hello, lover the champs, the

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00:22:10,960 --> 00:22:14,799
best running team in football playing against a Green Bay

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Packer team that couldn't stop the run against anybody. I

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00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:25,079
don't understand this line. I understand that Green Bay is

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so good. I mean they are so good. I mean,

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how good could a team be when they lose to

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Cleveland and then Carolina at home? How good could they be?

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I mean, really, I understand that they have a good

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running game. I understand the receivers are good. I understand

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00:22:45,319 --> 00:22:50,000
Jordan Love as his moments. They can't stop the run.

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00:22:51,039 --> 00:22:54,160
How are they going to stop this Philadelphia Eagles team.

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00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:57,359
I get it, Barkley hasn't had the best yure. This

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00:22:57,440 --> 00:23:00,839
Philadelphia Eagles team can do the tush push four times

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00:23:00,839 --> 00:23:05,160
in a row and get a first down every single time,

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00:23:05,680 --> 00:23:10,200
every time, from start to finish. This Philadelphia team is

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00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:13,480
also coming off of a bye. This Philadelphia team is

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00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:17,359
the super Bowl champs. This Philadelphia team realizes it needs

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00:23:17,400 --> 00:23:19,480
to beat teams like Green Bay and it needs to

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00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:23,240
do it on the road. Can green Bay win this game? Yeah? Sure,

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00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:26,880
plus two and a half of the Super Bowl Champs.

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00:23:27,400 --> 00:23:30,000
I'm not overthinking this one. We're gonna take the Eagles.

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That's it, guys, that's the NFL presidential address. Please please

387
00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:39,680
please grab my parlay. It's a four percent parlay. It's

388
00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:43,200
the strongest parlay I've ever released in my life. Literally,

389
00:23:43,559 --> 00:23:46,039
in my life. I'm eight and three on the year

390
00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:49,279
in these parlays. If you're ever gonna play one bet

391
00:23:49,319 --> 00:23:52,000
from the pres ever in your life, let it be

392
00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:55,599
that one. Other than that, thank you for watching this video.

393
00:23:55,759 --> 00:24:00,279
It means the world to me. There's so much many

394
00:24:00,319 --> 00:24:04,839
options out there, are so many choices of content. You guys,

395
00:24:04,880 --> 00:24:07,960
watch this video. It's been going on for twenty years.

396
00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:11,400
So lots of love and we'll see you all next

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00:24:11,440 --> 00:24:13,559
week on the NFL Presidential Address.

