Speaker 1: Welcome everybody to the NFL Presidential Addresses is Week ten.
We're here to find bets in every single game on
the board. If you've never watched the show, no notes,
I've done all my research. I've studied everything. I'm going
to look you in the eye and I'm going to
go through every single game on the board and find
you bets in each and every one. And we're going
to start right off the mat with the last Vegas
Raiders heading into Denver. The line is minus nine. The
total in this game forty two and a half, and
right off the bat, I got to look at the
under in this football game. Firstly, the Las Vegas Raiders
are a horrible football team, and although they were able
to make a decent comeback last week, they really struggle
to score points for three straight quarters. And they're doing
this year in and year out. Now they say Denver
defense that is really good. I think they're an elite
defense even without Patricks or ten. I don't think they're
the best defense in the league. But there are defense
that's fully capable of holding the Las Vegas Raiders down
to thirteen to sixteen points. And as far as Denver goes,
I think what they're fighting in Denver is that bo
Nicks is not going to win them a whole lot
of games. The great thing is, I don't think he's
going to lose them games, and that is why Denver
is not putting up a lot of points. This Denver
team is playing much more conservative than we saw at
the beginning of the season, and I think they're going
to do the same against Las Vegas. There's just no
reason to run up the score here. This is a
division rivalry situation. I know it's minus nine. If Denver
goes out there and gets twenty four points, that means
that the Las Vegas Raiders are going to need to
get to at least eighteen for this game to go
over forty two and a half. I don't think that
is going to happen, and I don't think Denver against
twenty or either. I'm not gonna overthink this play. I'm
gonna play right into what these teams are defining themselves as,
and that is low scoring football teams that are squeaking out.
Doubu's I like the under as far as the side
goes well, if they're squeaking out, dou W's, I like
the dog here. I think Las Vegas can keep it close.
I would not be surprised if this is a typical
Denver sixteen thirteen type of football game. Nine points is
too high. We're going to take the dog and we're
going to take the under. Now, before we get to
the Sunday matchup, we're going to start with the game
in Berlin. I want to ask you guys to just
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get into the Sunday games. Atlanta playing Indianapolis and Indianapolis
just picked up Source Gardner, which is a huge pickup.
He is an exceptional player. Did it move the line?
Not really? Actually the line went from a six now
there's a five and a half on tap And all
my contacts are telling me that there is a lot
of money coming in on the Atlanta Falcons. I don't
quite understand it. This Atlanta Falcons team is not very good.
Do they have a good defense? Yes? Is that defense
capable of stopping Indianapolis to a degree, But Indianapolis is
still going to get their points and I don't think
Atlanta could keep up. Now. I understand Atlanta with twenty
three up on New England really twenty four because it
was a missed extra point, But two of those of
those scores came up of turnovers, one with like an
eight yard short field, and the third touchdown came by
a miracle fourth down catch on an overthrow that Drake
London pulled in and landed within an inch. So I
don't believe in this Atlanta team. And it's reasonable they
put up ten points the game before and ten points
the game before that. Now they're playing probably the best
offense in Hall of Football, coming off of a horrible, embarrassing,
humiliating performance, coming off of a game where they turned
the ball over six times. Indianapolis right now is at
a low market spot given how bad they played against Pittsburgh,
and Atlanta is on a higher market value because of
how they played against New England. Atlanta is bad, Indianapolis
is good. Minus six is the number. I think Indianapolis
covers this by around thirteen points. Take the Colts in
this game. Now we look at Cleveland and New York
jetson well, after the New York Jets traded both Williams
and Source Gardner, the line flipped. The New York Jets
were minus two and a half coming in. They are
now plus two and a half against Cleveland. The total
in this game is thirty seven and a half. What
are we supposed to do here, guys? Well, Originally I
really liked Cleveland. Cleveland at plus two and a half
against the Jets seemed like a good bet to me.
Now at minus two and a half, not so much. Plus,
I don't believe in this Cleveland team, and this Cleveland
team New York traded two defenders. Cleveland struggles to score.
I don't want to bet this game. Full disclosure, I
hate this game, but I will look at the under
thirty eight out there, thirteen, sixteen, seventeen, fourteen, twenty one, thirteen,
All of those combinations twenty to seventeen, twenty to sixty,
I mean all of those combinations come up to an
under for me. On top of that, the weather is changing,
the wind is coming, and it's getting cold. We're going
to take under the total in this game, but we're
going to do it carefully. Now we turn our attention
to New Orleans playing Carolina and the New Orleans Saints.
They made a big statement on the trading Tuesday, if
you will, What did they say? They said, We're not
going to win another game this year. They said, we're done,
We're calling it a season. We're going for the top
draft picks. And they basically came out and told us that.
Alvin Kamara came out and said, I want to stay
in New Orleans during the rebuild. Everybody knows this team
is rebuilding. Why would they go out and win games
if they've already announced that they are rebuilding. That first
round draft pick is important. The number one draft pick
verset the number three or or draft pick is a
big bloody deal. I think the New Orleans Saints lose
out and I think Carolina can cover this number. I
know minus five and a half or a Panthers team
called me crazy, but look this Panthers team since Rico
o'dowdell has started playing as good as he's playing. I mean,
their offense is playing excellent. Their run game is unbelievable.
I think they're going to be able to run all
over this New Orleans team. And they're playing bowl control
right now. Their possession time is up substantially. New Orleans
one of the worst in the entire league. I think
Carolina is going to control both sides of the line
of scrimmage, and I think Arizona Carolina is going to
win this game going away. I would not be surprised
if Carolina wins this game by more than two scores.
I cannot believe I'm saying this, but take Carolina minus
five and a half at home against the New Orleans Saints. Guys,
I just want to quickly mention before we get into
the Buffalo Miami game. I got a really big bet
for you guys all this weekend. It's a four percent
NFL money line parlay. This is the biggest parlay bet
I have ever released in my life. That's how big
a bet it is. And I am eight and three
this season this NFL season in these money line parlay bets,
and no, I am not taking you know Detroit minus
eight and a half and Butfalo minus ten and putting
them on a money line parlay that equates to minus
two forty. That is not what goes on here. My
money line parlay is always around even money. There have
been a few plus money, and the worst is around
minus twenty twenty five on the on giving money. I
love this play. If you guys do, get to watch
this video on Tuesday, the play is only five dollars
until midnight PST Tuesday, otherwise it's twenty five bucks. Please.
If you're only gonna play one play for me this
whole year, that is it. Okay, let me have a
sip of water and we'll get it to Buffalo in Miami. Now,
the bull the Bulls, the Bears, the Bears, I don't
even know what I'm saying. The Bills minus nine and
a half playing the Dolphins, and the total here is fifty. Man, guys,
I'm gonna pass on this game, and I apologize. I mean,
I think Buffalo is going to win this game outright,
no problem. But like Miami, I mean, their coach is
playing for his life, the quarterback is playing for his career.
This team is a complete mess. I just don't want
to get involved in a game like that. We see
this so often. I mean, we saw Miami being a
complete mess go to Atlanta two weeks ago and beat
them outright. So I just think the line is too
high a Buffalo hare. I do understand that it's likely
going to go into a lot of teasers. And if
you want to make, say a three team ten point teaser,
I would probably put Buffalo in that. I would put
them in with Denver, and I would put them in
with Detroit. I think that's a reasonable three team ten
point teezer. I really can't see the Denver losing. I
can't see Buffalo losing, and Washington is just a shell.
So that's how I'm going to attack this Buffalo game.
Now we go to Jacksonville playing Houston, and I tell
you now, I was high on this Jacksonville team. I
thought this Jacksonville team was gonna maybe make a playoff run.
I understand that they got it done last week, but man,
I don't think they're a very good team at all.
And I think they're walking into a juggernaut of a defense.
I don't care even if Davis Mills plays this game.
I think that the Houston defense by itself will cover
this number. Now obviously not by themselves, and they said
they're gonna score, but I mean, I'm gonna be very
surprised if Jacksonville puts up a lot of points here.
This Houston defense might be the single best unit in
the league. And Jacksonville has struggled again and bad units.
So we're gonna look to take Houston, and guys, we've
done a deep dive into this right now. Any game
that is minus two and you can get a money
line better of around minus one thirty five, the actual
money line bet at minus one thirty five is much
better in the long run. It's around two percent better.
And I know you guys will be like house two
percent better, much better, guys. Break even is fifty two
and a half percent. The best gamblers of all time
are maybe hitting fifty seven percent. That's like five percent
difference to breaking even. So when I say it's a
two percent difference, that is substantial. If you're going to
bet Houston, you bet them on the money line. If
it does go to two and a half, you bet
them on the spread. But I like Houston all the
way up to minus three here So we're gonna take
Houston against Jacksonville, Baltimore playing Minnesota. Would I be surprised
if Baltimore runs the table, gets into the playoff wins
the division. I would not. Would I take Baltimore at
plus four in this spot. Hell No, Minnesota just played
their best game of the season. This Minnesota defense is
really really really really really really good. Not only that,
but McCartney was able to find Jefferson Addison. They've got
weapons everywhere. Aaron Jones is back from Minnesota. I actually
prefer the plus four of the home team then the
minus four of Baltimore. I also like the over in
this game. Firstly, I'm looking at bet overs in all
Baltimore Ravens games, and yeah, they only put up twenty
eight points last game. But now we got Lamar back
in his second week. I think they're gonna be in
much better rhythm. They're also playing indoors. I think they're
going to get their points, and we saw that Minnesota
can score. They were able to score against Detroit almost
at will. And Detroit's defense are not horrible. I would
say Detroit's defense is very similar to Baltimore's defense, kind
of like the middle of the pack defense, maybe at
the bottom of the top grouping, if you will. Forty
eight seems like a very low total to me. I
like the home Dog at plus four, and I like
over the total of forty eight. As far as Tampa
Bay and New England go, I'm going to go right
back to the over in this game as well. Do
I like Tampa Bay a little. I think it's a
good spot for Tampa Bay, and I think it's a
really bad spot for New England. I just don't think
I could get there with Tampa Bay. Mike Evans is out,
Godwin is out, Irvin is out. There's just too many
injuries on that team. And this New England defense is
playing really, really well and Drake may is playing outstanding.
Now why do I like the over? If the New
England defense is playing really well. While we've seen this
story play out time and time again, it doesn't matter
who Baker Mayfiel's weapons are, he gets the job done.
This Tapa Bay Bucks team is not going to be
held down. They're gonna get into the twenties. They're at
home and New England can keep pace with anybody. I
like the over in this game, and I'm passing on
the side. Chicago minus three and a half against the
New York Giants. Forty seven and a half is the total.
First off, I'm looking to bet every Chicago game over.
Look at what happened in the Cincinnati game, and I
see no difference here. The Chicago team is playing a
horrible defense in New York, and really, before the weather
fully changes, they still should be able to get it done.
I think the Bears are going to put up thirty
thirty one to thirty five points against the Giants, and
I think the Giants are going to be able to
get us to twenty. This game is forty eight. I
think we're gonna see like a thirty one twenty type game.
So yes, I like the over, and yes I like
the home favorite minus three and a half. A team
feeling good about itself, a team in playoff, in the
playoff hunt, I gotta look at taking Chicago here. Minus
three and a half seems like a little bit of
a short number. Predicted score thirty one twenty. Seattle minus
six and a half against Arizona. Seattle just picked up
a slot receiver from New Orleans and Mike god with
Cup playing short. Shahir I think his name is playing
in the middle and hyphenated guy uh stretching the field?
Yeah Smith and jib ay Smith, then Jigba. I call
every player hyphenated guy if they a hyphen in their name,
because I hate these hyphens. They bother me. What happens
when Smith, entigma, hyphen something marries another hyphen? Are there
now three hyphens and four names? What if the three
hyphen four name person marries a three hyphen four named person?
Are there now six hyphens or seven and eight? Does
three and three make seven because there's eight? I don't know.
I am sick of the hyphens. So calm down, Pres,
Who cares? I love Seattle Here, guys, Arizona is not
a good football team, and I don't care who plays quarterback.
It just doesn't matter to me. I think this Arizona team.
You know, people sit there and say, oh what, Pres,
They could be seven and two. Yeah they could. The
Blue Jays could have won the World Series. I could
be young. None of those things are true. Yes, they
lost close games. Your bank, my bank, your financial advisor,
my financial advisor. None of them care. All that is
is an excuse. There is a reason they lost close games.
It's because they're badly coached. Their offense has no balance.
Marvin Harrison Junior had one good game, they have no quarterback,
and their defense, albeit good, is slightly overrated. This Seattle
team is a Super Bowl contending team flat out. They
got two incredible running backs, they got three. They have
probably the best wide receiver corps in football right now.
To be honest with you, Darnold is playing exceptionally well
and they are so well coached. I think Seattle gets
it done. They already went into Arizona and won twenty
three to twenty. I see no reason why they can't
win this game twenty seven to seventeen. That's ten points
and hey, right around the total of forty five and
a half. And I like the under on that game,
but I do prefer see Now we talk about Detroit
minus eight coming off of maybe their worst game. I
don't want to say of the year, but it probably
was their worst game of the year, to be honest
with you, they just couldn't get out of their own way.
They were making mistake after mistake, fumble after rumble. Now
they're playing a Washington team that is a shell of
the team we saw last season. This Washington team cannot
move the ball. Jaden Daniels is struggling, but what they
really lack is an offensive line. If you watch that game,
Jaden Daniels was like getting killed. And I know Detroit
as heedgressers. They have a guy named Hutchison. I think
Detroit is going to be all over this team. I
normally do not take minus nines on the road, but
man off of a horrible loss against a team like Washington,
I wouldn't be surprised if Detroit covers that number. I
do lean on the over, but as you can hear,
I'm treading carefully on this game in its entirety. The
next game is a sexy one, the Rams vers San
fran Before I get into that again, guys, please hit
the like button, Please put up comments. I read and
respond to almost every single comment put up. And if
you don't like what you're hearing, who cares. Just let
this video play itself out on your computer. Go to bed,
go to the washroom, go work out, send my love
to your wife, do what you need to do, but
do not stop this video. La Ram San Francisco forty
nine ers. I gotta look at the dog here and
I know. Wow, come on, pres the Rams are killing it,
and yes they are. Outstanding work by Sean McVay and
this team, Matthew Stafford is looking exceptional. Their offense is ticking,
their defense as fast as hell. Why am I interested
in Sant Fran? Well, I got a home division team,
a veteran team who keeps winning, no matter who is
playing quarterback, no matter who's catching the ball, no matter
who's running the ball, no matter who's playing insideline backer,
no matter who's playing on the edge. All San Francisco
does is win. And now they're playing at home and
they're a dog, and they've already beaten the Rams. Now
I just got there's just no other way to look.
I have to take Sant Fran at plus three and
a half in this game. I am not overthinking it.
Do I think Sant Fran can win this game? Out right? Hell? Yeah,
I do. Take Sant frand at plus three and a half.
Pittsburgh playing the Chargers. My initial gut feeling there was
the Chargers might be my favorite play, But man, I
don't know. Alts out. We saw what happened when he
was out last time. They really really could not stop
the pass rush, and finally Pittsburgh got a pass rush
going against Indianapolis. With that said, what is this Pittsburgh team?
Is this the Pittsburgh team that couldn't play defense for
like eight straight games, or is this the Pittsburgh team
that played great defense last year and the year before
and great defense against Indianapolis. Is this a Pittsburgh team
that's struggling to cause turnovers or is this a Pittsburgh
team that causes six turnovers a game like they did
against Indy. I'm starting to feel like it's a wait
and see approach on this game. My lean is the
LA Chargers, and I will be doing a deeper dive
into this game later, but I am concerned playing against
Pittsburgh given that the Ravens are right behind them making
a move. Pittsburgh needs to win. They are getting it done,
and we saw finally an exceptional output from their defense.
So I'm just going to hold the brakes on this
game at Philadelphia. Green Bay, Hello, lover the champs, the
best running team in football playing against a Green Bay
Packer team that couldn't stop the run against anybody. I
don't understand this line. I understand that Green Bay is
so good. I mean they are so good. I mean,
how good could a team be when they lose to
Cleveland and then Carolina at home? How good could they be?
I mean, really, I understand that they have a good
running game. I understand the receivers are good. I understand
Jordan Love as his moments. They can't stop the run.
How are they going to stop this Philadelphia Eagles team.
I get it, Barkley hasn't had the best yure. This
Philadelphia Eagles team can do the tush push four times
in a row and get a first down every single time,
every time, from start to finish. This Philadelphia team is
also coming off of a bye. This Philadelphia team is
the super Bowl champs. This Philadelphia team realizes it needs
to beat teams like Green Bay and it needs to
do it on the road. Can green Bay win this game? Yeah? Sure,
plus two and a half of the Super Bowl Champs.
I'm not overthinking this one. We're gonna take the Eagles.
That's it, guys, that's the NFL presidential address. Please please
please grab my parlay. It's a four percent parlay. It's
the strongest parlay I've ever released in my life. Literally,
in my life. I'm eight and three on the year
in these parlays. If you're ever gonna play one bet
from the pres ever in your life, let it be
that one. Other than that, thank you for watching this video.
It means the world to me. There's so much many
options out there, are so many choices of content. You guys,
watch this video. It's been going on for twenty years.
So lots of love and we'll see you all next
week on the NFL Presidential Address.