1 00:00:00,480 --> 00:00:03,399 Speaker 1: NFL Week six is on deck. We're gonna cover all 2 00:00:03,399 --> 00:00:06,960 those primetime games. Check in with VR for the Steam report. 3 00:00:07,000 --> 00:00:11,439 Of course, the deli has been absolutely red hot, so 4 00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:14,599 Marco better be cooking up some panini's for me. We 5 00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:16,800 got some barking dogs for you guys, as well as 6 00:00:16,839 --> 00:00:35,359 best bets coming right up. Kelly Stewart here joined by 7 00:00:35,399 --> 00:00:38,759 Yanni the Greek Marco DiAngelo, and we're gonna get right 8 00:00:38,799 --> 00:00:42,000 into NFL Week six for you guys, starting with Thursday 9 00:00:42,079 --> 00:00:42,679 Night Football. 10 00:00:42,960 --> 00:00:44,920 Speaker 2: Marco D'Angelo, you're gonna be up first here. 11 00:00:45,679 --> 00:00:48,600 Speaker 1: Eagles seven and a half point favorites at the Giants 12 00:00:48,679 --> 00:00:52,119 forty one and a half, big time rivalry game, except 13 00:00:52,119 --> 00:00:55,840 for it's not. Our producer Dan just casually reminded all 14 00:00:55,840 --> 00:00:58,359 of us how the Eagles have dominated the Giants for 15 00:00:58,399 --> 00:01:01,039 a better part of two decades, which kind of has 16 00:01:01,079 --> 00:01:04,159 me thinking, do I just take the easy way out 17 00:01:04,159 --> 00:01:05,280 and tease the Eagles here? 18 00:01:07,040 --> 00:01:10,519 Speaker 3: I can't argue with that. We get the Eagles down 19 00:01:10,599 --> 00:01:13,680 to just win the game. That's probably gonna be on 20 00:01:13,799 --> 00:01:16,879 a few of my tickets as well this week. But 21 00:01:16,920 --> 00:01:19,439 when we break this game down, let's start with the 22 00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:23,079 fact that last week we cash going against both of 23 00:01:23,079 --> 00:01:26,000 these two teams, and why well, because they were both 24 00:01:26,319 --> 00:01:29,959 in what I felt bad situations. You had the Eagles 25 00:01:30,519 --> 00:01:35,000 coming off another win, a close win the week before, 26 00:01:35,359 --> 00:01:38,599 and they had Denver coming to town, Denver, good defensive 27 00:01:38,599 --> 00:01:41,519 team getting points, and you had the Eagles with this 28 00:01:41,599 --> 00:01:46,000 game on deck, a division rivalry on a short week. 29 00:01:46,079 --> 00:01:47,799 I just thought it was a horrible spot for the 30 00:01:47,840 --> 00:01:52,239 Eagles and they went down. Now, losing last week may 31 00:01:52,439 --> 00:01:54,319 just be the best thing that could have happened to 32 00:01:54,359 --> 00:01:57,680 this team, because, as we pointed out last week, there 33 00:01:57,719 --> 00:02:00,079 are four wins had come by just the grand to 34 00:02:00,239 --> 00:02:03,000 of twenty points. So I'm hoping that loss, you know, 35 00:02:03,319 --> 00:02:05,680 is the wake up call for this team. We also 36 00:02:05,719 --> 00:02:08,159 went against the Giants. All of us went against the 37 00:02:08,159 --> 00:02:12,360 Giants last week. We were all in Unison going with 38 00:02:12,520 --> 00:02:15,560 the Saints because the Giants were coming off their first 39 00:02:15,599 --> 00:02:18,840 win with Jackson Dart the week before and then had 40 00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:22,280 to travel down to New Orleans to play the Saints 41 00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:25,080 who were winless and then had this game on deck. 42 00:02:25,120 --> 00:02:28,560 It was just a horrible spot for them, and New 43 00:02:28,639 --> 00:02:32,479 Orleans came through for us. Now, playing on a short week, 44 00:02:32,639 --> 00:02:36,599 you've got to figure that the advantage goes to Philadelphia, 45 00:02:36,599 --> 00:02:39,039 even though they're on the road. It's a short trip 46 00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:42,159 to go to play the Giants. But I'm looking at 47 00:02:42,199 --> 00:02:45,800 it from the aspect of the two starting quarterbacks. You've 48 00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:50,120 got to get a rookie quarterback that's only made three starts, 49 00:02:50,319 --> 00:02:54,240 prepared for a tough game in three days to play 50 00:02:54,280 --> 00:02:57,039 on Thursday night, as opposed to a veteran quarterback like 51 00:02:57,159 --> 00:03:00,360 Jalen Hurts. And for the love of God, will you 52 00:03:00,439 --> 00:03:03,879 please run the football, Philadelphia, I don't care if you're 53 00:03:03,879 --> 00:03:07,439 struggling running the football. You've got to have some balance. 54 00:03:07,840 --> 00:03:11,479 Eleven times you ran the football last week, and I 55 00:03:11,560 --> 00:03:15,879 might add you had Barkley in your backfield all right, 56 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:20,000 and you also had a double digit lead. How you 57 00:03:20,120 --> 00:03:23,479 only ran eleven plays ran the ball eleven times is 58 00:03:23,520 --> 00:03:27,360 beyond me. You've got the balance the offense to keep 59 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:30,400 the defenses honest, and I think that they will have 60 00:03:30,479 --> 00:03:35,800 success in this game against the Giants defense. We're gonna 61 00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:39,560 go ahead, take Philadelphia. I'll lay the points. I'm calling 62 00:03:39,639 --> 00:03:42,719 for Philadelphia to get the win in the cover. But 63 00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:44,759 I'll be honest with you, I think the safer bet 64 00:03:44,879 --> 00:03:48,680 in this play is to use Philadelphia on a six 65 00:03:48,719 --> 00:03:50,439 point teaser. You don't want to use a six and 66 00:03:50,479 --> 00:03:53,599 a half or seven and pay even more juice. You 67 00:03:53,639 --> 00:03:56,759 want to get this at that one twenty five. Shop 68 00:03:56,800 --> 00:03:59,120 around the houses that you can find the one twenty 69 00:03:59,120 --> 00:04:01,960 five or better. There are some out there. Now, there 70 00:04:02,039 --> 00:04:04,360 is one here in Vegas, and that's where I put 71 00:04:04,400 --> 00:04:08,000 all of my teasers. Go ahead and take Philly to cover. 72 00:04:08,400 --> 00:04:10,719 But I'm gonna have more teasers in this game, Kelly. 73 00:04:11,120 --> 00:04:13,240 Speaker 1: All right, Marco, Now the comment section is gonna ask 74 00:04:13,280 --> 00:04:16,519 where that casino is in Vegas. That is, unbeknownst to me, 75 00:04:16,600 --> 00:04:20,079 who has minus one twenty five teasers still in Vegas. 76 00:04:20,079 --> 00:04:23,279 Speaker 3: This is shocking that it's them. It's Caesars that has 77 00:04:23,360 --> 00:04:27,279 one twenty five. Wow. And the situation if you remember 78 00:04:27,879 --> 00:04:31,160 VR will remember remember a few years ago in the playoffs, 79 00:04:31,199 --> 00:04:36,079 there was the first weekend of the playoffs, every teaser cover. 80 00:04:36,000 --> 00:04:40,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, aside and total total. 81 00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:45,279 Speaker 3: Right, okay, and Caesar's panicked in the next week. They 82 00:04:45,279 --> 00:04:48,720 didn't take teasers the next week of the playoffs when 83 00:04:48,879 --> 00:04:52,160 all of the lines were three, which that's when you 84 00:04:52,240 --> 00:04:54,480 want people to play teasers. 85 00:04:55,000 --> 00:04:57,079 Speaker 2: Okay, So they did. 86 00:04:56,959 --> 00:05:00,120 Speaker 3: Everything asked backwards back then and now they're the the 87 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:03,040 only one that has the here in toime. 88 00:05:03,439 --> 00:05:05,279 Speaker 1: All right, if we could only bet their VR, we 89 00:05:05,319 --> 00:05:06,759 would go use their teasers. 90 00:05:06,759 --> 00:05:08,720 Speaker 2: That's okay. We gotta we gotta. We got a guy. 91 00:05:08,720 --> 00:05:11,399 We gotta guy. That's all that matters. You should also 92 00:05:11,439 --> 00:05:13,560 get a guy. Just ask never hurts. 93 00:05:14,279 --> 00:05:16,560 Speaker 1: Sunday Night Football Lions plus two and a half at 94 00:05:16,600 --> 00:05:18,879 the Chiefs total fifty two and a half. 95 00:05:19,839 --> 00:05:24,120 Speaker 2: Who is this the fishy line of the week? But 96 00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:26,360 not so fast? 97 00:05:26,399 --> 00:05:30,120 Speaker 1: Fading teams off a big win has been historically favorable 98 00:05:30,560 --> 00:05:33,319 betting in the NFL, right, but that is not the 99 00:05:33,399 --> 00:05:36,519 case for Dan Campbell from. 100 00:05:36,480 --> 00:05:37,199 Speaker 2: The gold sheet. 101 00:05:37,319 --> 00:05:40,399 Speaker 1: Following a win by at least to seven points or more, 102 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:43,399 Detroit has gone twenty one in five against the spread. 103 00:05:43,439 --> 00:05:47,399 Speaker 2: The next game, Dan Campbell as an underdog eleven and two. 104 00:05:47,720 --> 00:05:51,240 Speaker 1: Oh listen, I want to take the Lions so bad here, 105 00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:54,000 but I will say this, their defense is a little 106 00:05:54,000 --> 00:05:57,040 banged up and their Chiefs offense is starting to ramp 107 00:05:57,120 --> 00:05:59,439 up kind of after that slow start, So with a 108 00:05:59,519 --> 00:06:03,480 higher This is not a traditional teaser play, but I'm 109 00:06:03,519 --> 00:06:06,000 looking at putting the Lions in teasers. I do think 110 00:06:06,040 --> 00:06:08,360 this is going to be a higher scoring game. Would 111 00:06:08,399 --> 00:06:10,839 not shock me to see both teams end up in 112 00:06:10,920 --> 00:06:15,199 the thirties here, two high scoring offenses, banged up defense. 113 00:06:16,160 --> 00:06:18,399 Speaker 2: Just keep in mind the Lions not that. 114 00:06:18,399 --> 00:06:21,920 Speaker 1: Traditional square dog here twenty one to five against the spread. 115 00:06:21,920 --> 00:06:23,920 The next game, we'll see if maybe I don't put 116 00:06:23,920 --> 00:06:28,839 them in a couple contest plays VR. Let's talk Monday 117 00:06:28,920 --> 00:06:31,639 night football. We've got a doubleheader. Bill's are a three 118 00:06:31,639 --> 00:06:34,800 and a half point favorite at the Falcons total forty 119 00:06:34,800 --> 00:06:35,519 seven and a half. 120 00:06:36,160 --> 00:06:38,720 Speaker 4: Yeah, and don't get me wrong, you know this isn't 121 00:06:38,720 --> 00:06:42,600 a knock on Buffalo, but I think it's a good 122 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:46,560 spot to look to Atlanta as a decent home dog 123 00:06:46,639 --> 00:06:50,399 here on Monday Night. Gotta remember this is only Buffalo's 124 00:06:50,439 --> 00:06:53,600 second road game. They played four or five games at home, 125 00:06:53,959 --> 00:06:57,000 so now they're traveling on the road and they're playing 126 00:06:57,360 --> 00:07:02,040 a really tough team in the Atlanta Falcon. The sorry, 127 00:07:02,079 --> 00:07:04,639 they do a lot of things well. They got an 128 00:07:04,680 --> 00:07:09,439 excellent defense, They run the football, and they're slowly and 129 00:07:09,519 --> 00:07:13,639 surely getting Pennix up the speed. And what I like 130 00:07:13,839 --> 00:07:17,480 is I talk about passing success rate all the time, 131 00:07:18,120 --> 00:07:21,199 and if you look right now, he's slowly but surely 132 00:07:21,319 --> 00:07:24,959 climbing those ranks where he sits right now, Penis has 133 00:07:24,959 --> 00:07:28,120 a forty nine point two passing success rate, and when 134 00:07:28,160 --> 00:07:31,800 you compare that to Josh Allen, who's got a fifty 135 00:07:31,839 --> 00:07:36,519 one point nine, it shows you just how impressive Penis 136 00:07:36,560 --> 00:07:39,000 has been so far for Atlanta. 137 00:07:40,040 --> 00:07:41,519 Speaker 2: With that said, if they're. 138 00:07:41,439 --> 00:07:45,439 Speaker 4: Able to run the football and control the clock, which 139 00:07:45,480 --> 00:07:49,800 is where their strength is, and coupled with the weakness 140 00:07:49,879 --> 00:07:54,560 for Buffalo that run defense, I think Atlanta's going to 141 00:07:54,600 --> 00:07:56,319 be in this game from start to finish and have 142 00:07:56,399 --> 00:08:01,120 a chance to actually win, let alone cover. Atlanta having 143 00:08:01,160 --> 00:08:04,360 a bye coming into this week, so they've had extra 144 00:08:04,439 --> 00:08:06,959 time to prepare. I like the fact they haven't had 145 00:08:06,959 --> 00:08:09,920 a Monday night game in Atlanta for a number of years, 146 00:08:10,199 --> 00:08:13,279 so this is going to be a hostile environment hyped 147 00:08:13,360 --> 00:08:16,680 up for Monday Night. They can't afford to fall behind. 148 00:08:16,959 --> 00:08:20,600 They're gonna want to have that crowd in there, so 149 00:08:20,720 --> 00:08:24,399 look for them to try to control the football. And 150 00:08:24,639 --> 00:08:27,879 more importantly, we finally have seen some cracks in Buffalo 151 00:08:28,120 --> 00:08:30,480 as far as turnovers. If you remember, coming into the 152 00:08:30,519 --> 00:08:35,320 season we touched on Buffalo was plus twenty four turnovers 153 00:08:35,399 --> 00:08:38,639 last season. Number one in all the NFL, the number 154 00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:43,840 two team had only sixteen, so like what forty percent 155 00:08:44,039 --> 00:08:48,159 less than what Buffalo did. And where they really did 156 00:08:48,279 --> 00:08:52,399 best was if you look at their fumbles. They captured 157 00:08:52,519 --> 00:08:56,679 sixteen fumbles and only lost two, so eighteen times the 158 00:08:56,720 --> 00:09:00,000 ball hit the ground and they recovered sixteen of them. 159 00:09:00,600 --> 00:09:03,000 It's fifty to fifty when that ball hits the ground 160 00:09:03,279 --> 00:09:05,759 more times than not, so it shows you just how 161 00:09:05,840 --> 00:09:09,320 lucky they got. That's not going to continue forever. I 162 00:09:09,360 --> 00:09:12,200 think we're starting to see that we could force some 163 00:09:12,240 --> 00:09:15,679 more turnovers. Atlanta may be that money line play, but 164 00:09:15,799 --> 00:09:20,679 at four, I like the Falcons. 165 00:09:19,559 --> 00:09:23,240 Speaker 1: Wow, Falcons to shock the world in the first Monday 166 00:09:23,320 --> 00:09:27,000 night game. Marco, do you think the Bears can shock 167 00:09:27,080 --> 00:09:29,120 the world? Plus three and a half? I know they're 168 00:09:29,159 --> 00:09:32,159 a little underdog on the road at the Commander's fifty 169 00:09:32,279 --> 00:09:36,000 and a half. Daniels looks pretty good in his return 170 00:09:36,159 --> 00:09:40,120 there last week versus the Chargers after they got down early, 171 00:09:40,919 --> 00:09:42,440 but now they're back at home. 172 00:09:42,679 --> 00:09:45,240 Speaker 2: Talk to me about this Bears team off a bye. 173 00:09:45,639 --> 00:09:48,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, Kelly, and normally off of a bye. I don't 174 00:09:48,919 --> 00:09:51,240 like taking a team that went into the by on 175 00:09:51,919 --> 00:09:54,399 a good note. In the Bears one two in a 176 00:09:54,519 --> 00:09:57,679 row heading into the by Generally that's a momentum stopper. 177 00:09:58,120 --> 00:10:00,600 But the more I thought about it, I actually think 178 00:10:00,919 --> 00:10:03,799 that this was the perfect time for the Bears to 179 00:10:03,840 --> 00:10:07,679 get that early by think about it. They played four games, 180 00:10:08,320 --> 00:10:12,240 they improved in the last two games. Remember Caleb Williams 181 00:10:12,240 --> 00:10:15,519 second year in the NFL. A lot of times we 182 00:10:15,559 --> 00:10:19,159 see quarterbacks have a regression in the second year. Throw 183 00:10:19,200 --> 00:10:21,039 in the fact that he had to deal with a 184 00:10:21,320 --> 00:10:26,039 new offense to run. This year, Ben Johnson takes over 185 00:10:26,159 --> 00:10:29,399 comes in from the Detroit Lions as the offensive coordinator 186 00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:31,720 to be the head coach. So now you had a 187 00:10:31,799 --> 00:10:35,840 learning curve for him. You've had a four week sample size. 188 00:10:36,000 --> 00:10:39,159 They could take that two weeks to prepare. Look at 189 00:10:39,200 --> 00:10:43,240 the film, see what Caleb Williams did well, what he 190 00:10:43,399 --> 00:10:46,480 was comfortable with, What plays didn't work in the playbook? 191 00:10:46,919 --> 00:10:50,159 Tweak those or throw them out and use the cream 192 00:10:50,159 --> 00:10:52,919 of the crop and tweak those plays. I think you're 193 00:10:52,919 --> 00:10:56,360 going to see the best offensive performance of the season 194 00:10:56,759 --> 00:10:59,120 from the Bears coming out of that bye week with 195 00:10:59,200 --> 00:11:02,480 the extra week to prepare. Also, I look at this 196 00:11:02,519 --> 00:11:07,399 one and I see Washington. They're in a tough scheduling spot. Okay, 197 00:11:07,440 --> 00:11:09,279 they came out of their bye week, so you know 198 00:11:09,320 --> 00:11:12,159 they were focused. They went across country to play the 199 00:11:12,279 --> 00:11:16,240 Chargers in LA. Now that was an impressive win, like 200 00:11:16,320 --> 00:11:20,120 the Washington in that game. But let's not forget you 201 00:11:20,159 --> 00:11:23,480 had the Chargers who were a zigzagging all across the 202 00:11:23,519 --> 00:11:26,279 country in the first couple weeks of the season. Remember 203 00:11:26,639 --> 00:11:28,799 all of the road games that they had to start 204 00:11:28,840 --> 00:11:31,840 to season, plus three tough divisional games, plus all of 205 00:11:31,840 --> 00:11:34,639 the injuries that they had. They were right for the 206 00:11:34,679 --> 00:11:38,720 picking and Washington took advantage of it. Now you got 207 00:11:38,799 --> 00:11:42,320 Washington coming back returning home from the West Coast. But 208 00:11:42,399 --> 00:11:45,639 look at who they play next. It's the Dallas Cowboys 209 00:11:45,679 --> 00:11:49,240 division rival. This is what I could have used this 210 00:11:49,279 --> 00:11:52,360 one in a sandwich spot as well. And for the 211 00:11:52,440 --> 00:11:56,279 last factor, do you think the Bears remember last year's 212 00:11:56,279 --> 00:12:01,159 game against Washington. If you don't, I'll remind you Washington 213 00:12:01,320 --> 00:12:05,799 was losing until the final play of the game. Daniels 214 00:12:05,879 --> 00:12:10,240 hits a hell Mary in the end zone for the win. Win. 215 00:12:11,159 --> 00:12:14,039 The Chicago defender that should have been covering the guy 216 00:12:14,080 --> 00:12:16,159 that caught the ball in the end zone was in 217 00:12:16,240 --> 00:12:20,600 the corner of the end zone, twning the crowd thinking 218 00:12:20,799 --> 00:12:24,399 they had the game won already. Do you remember that one? Yeah, 219 00:12:24,600 --> 00:12:28,200 and that was the start of the Bear season spiraling 220 00:12:28,360 --> 00:12:30,960 out of control. Yeah, they got this one circled. Let's 221 00:12:31,000 --> 00:12:35,039 go ahead take Chicago in this one. In the Washington 222 00:12:35,080 --> 00:12:38,639 pass defense, Da've allowed two hundred and sixty one yards 223 00:12:38,679 --> 00:12:42,080 or more in three of their last four games. Look 224 00:12:42,159 --> 00:12:44,480 for a high scoring game. I'll go ahead and take 225 00:12:44,519 --> 00:12:46,360 the Bears plus the points on Monday night. 226 00:12:47,000 --> 00:12:48,840 Speaker 2: Oh boy, yeah, Mark, I think a lot of us 227 00:12:48,840 --> 00:12:52,440 remember that game. That was a wild one. VR. 228 00:12:52,840 --> 00:12:55,279 Speaker 1: Let's get in to what you got over at waitertalk 229 00:12:55,320 --> 00:12:56,120 dot com. 230 00:12:55,879 --> 00:12:58,600 Speaker 2: This weekend before we get into the steam room. 231 00:12:59,559 --> 00:13:03,279 Speaker 4: Well, already, up is my college football package with two 232 00:13:03,440 --> 00:13:05,360 four percents in there, and of course we're gonna have 233 00:13:05,360 --> 00:13:08,679 a lot more between now and Saturday. I've won every 234 00:13:08,720 --> 00:13:11,360 week so far in college football. From week zero through 235 00:13:11,399 --> 00:13:14,399 weeks six, we've turned to profit and I feel confident 236 00:13:14,399 --> 00:13:16,679 that's only going to continue. Already up over one hundred 237 00:13:16,679 --> 00:13:21,200 and ten units. NFL regular season has been fired as well, 238 00:13:21,480 --> 00:13:25,559 after not a good preseason and this Sunday firing a 239 00:13:25,720 --> 00:13:28,879 five percent in the NFL. I haven't had a five 240 00:13:28,919 --> 00:13:30,639 percent in the NFL. I don't even know if I've 241 00:13:30,639 --> 00:13:33,320 had one yet this season, but we do have a 242 00:13:33,360 --> 00:13:37,120 position that warrants that. So head on over to wager Talk. 243 00:13:37,279 --> 00:13:42,399 We'll have the NFL package, College Football package, UFC package 244 00:13:42,440 --> 00:13:45,720 as well, and of course Major League Baseball playoffs each 245 00:13:45,759 --> 00:13:49,200 and every night, so a great time to get on board, 246 00:13:49,360 --> 00:13:52,759 and of course the steam rooms someday heading into the 247 00:13:52,919 --> 00:13:55,240 NFL one PM kickoffs. 248 00:13:55,559 --> 00:13:58,240 Speaker 1: All right, let's hear what you've got from Sharp Action 249 00:13:58,759 --> 00:14:00,440 for NFL weeks. 250 00:14:01,000 --> 00:14:05,120 Speaker 4: All right, let's look at some of the hits that 251 00:14:05,200 --> 00:14:08,159 had the moves that had followed through, because again we 252 00:14:08,200 --> 00:14:11,480 talk about the look ahead lines all the time, and 253 00:14:11,559 --> 00:14:14,159 the limits are low, but it gives us an idea 254 00:14:14,759 --> 00:14:18,759 whether after the rest of the books open up, if 255 00:14:19,440 --> 00:14:24,000 the groups continue to follow through and bet that side, 256 00:14:24,039 --> 00:14:26,200 or whether it was just taking advantage of a look 257 00:14:26,240 --> 00:14:29,759 ahead start off. With the Indianapolis Colts, their look ahead 258 00:14:29,840 --> 00:14:33,080 was three minus one twenty five went the five to 259 00:14:33,200 --> 00:14:35,480 five and a half that got bet up to where 260 00:14:35,519 --> 00:14:38,960 it sits at six and a half. Right now, the 261 00:14:39,080 --> 00:14:43,399 Rams minus six and a half minus seven. Now you're 262 00:14:43,399 --> 00:14:46,960 looking at seven and a half against Baltimore, so half 263 00:14:46,960 --> 00:14:51,440 point increments seems like Ram money continuing to come in 264 00:14:51,519 --> 00:14:55,679 Miami plus five and a half and plus five against 265 00:14:55,720 --> 00:14:58,519 the Chargers. That's opposite the public seeing a lot of 266 00:14:58,600 --> 00:15:03,919 Charger money already from the recreational accounts. Tampa Bay over 267 00:15:04,039 --> 00:15:06,720 San Francisco minus one and a half, two and two 268 00:15:06,759 --> 00:15:10,960 and a half. But did see some San Francisco plus 269 00:15:11,039 --> 00:15:14,679 three in a couple of sharp accounts, which tells you 270 00:15:15,320 --> 00:15:18,440 just how tight these NFL lines, And with three being 271 00:15:18,480 --> 00:15:21,759 such a key number, that's not surprising. Look at Green 272 00:15:21,879 --> 00:15:26,159 Bay minus thirteen and a half, minus fourteen, laying two 273 00:15:26,200 --> 00:15:30,039 touchdowns there. And finally Monday Night football. I already talked 274 00:15:30,039 --> 00:15:32,720 about them. But the Atlanta Falcons at that look ahead 275 00:15:32,720 --> 00:15:35,279 at plus five, it took them four and a half. 276 00:15:35,360 --> 00:15:37,480 That's why you're looking at plus four right now. So 277 00:15:38,440 --> 00:15:40,279 still early in the week, but those are some of 278 00:15:40,320 --> 00:15:44,360 the bigger one side, bigger steam moves on some of 279 00:15:44,360 --> 00:15:45,919 those NFL sides for Sunday. 280 00:15:46,480 --> 00:15:51,279 Speaker 1: All right, let's get into these barking dogs. Marco DiAngelo 281 00:15:51,440 --> 00:15:55,759 is going to be up first. This is an interesting one. 282 00:15:55,840 --> 00:15:58,799 We've got a new quarterback in Cleveland. Well, I guess 283 00:15:58,840 --> 00:16:02,120 he played last week Dylan Gabriel, but Joe Flacco is 284 00:16:02,159 --> 00:16:04,039 no longer his backup, which I think it means to 285 00:16:04,200 --> 00:16:06,480 dear Sanders would be if he goes out. 286 00:16:06,519 --> 00:16:09,000 Speaker 2: But you like the Browns plus five and a half? 287 00:16:10,120 --> 00:16:12,279 Speaker 3: No, I think Actually, when they did the depth chart, 288 00:16:12,279 --> 00:16:16,320 it's Dylan Gabriel is the starter, player to be named 289 00:16:16,399 --> 00:16:19,360 later is the backup, and then Sanders is third on 290 00:16:19,399 --> 00:16:23,759 the depth chart. But you gotta love the AFC North. 291 00:16:24,639 --> 00:16:28,440 My Pittsburgh Steelers had last week off. They gained a 292 00:16:28,480 --> 00:16:31,960 half a game on the entire division by not playing. 293 00:16:32,879 --> 00:16:35,799 And then you have this is the same division that 294 00:16:36,480 --> 00:16:41,200 one team trades away their starting quarterback to another team 295 00:16:41,279 --> 00:16:45,159 in the division, and that team thinks that got them 296 00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:48,039 that it was a good deal. God bless America that 297 00:16:48,159 --> 00:16:52,279 we live in. But from a betting standpoint here, I 298 00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:54,559 am gonna go ahead and take Cleveland. I mentioned in 299 00:16:54,919 --> 00:16:58,080 the last game when we talked about bye weeks that 300 00:16:58,159 --> 00:17:00,320 I don't like teams to go into a buy week 301 00:17:00,519 --> 00:17:03,720 on a good note. And the Pittsburgh Steelers went into 302 00:17:03,720 --> 00:17:06,839 the bye week winning their last two games. They went 303 00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:12,559 across the Pond and played in Ireland, beat Minnesota, and 304 00:17:12,720 --> 00:17:14,880 now you've had two weeks off. It was a little 305 00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:17,759 bit of a momentum stopper. Now it is an advantage. 306 00:17:18,319 --> 00:17:22,359 Rest Wise, you've had two weeks where Cleveland went across 307 00:17:22,400 --> 00:17:24,799 the pond and has to come back across the pond 308 00:17:25,279 --> 00:17:27,799 not getting a bye week. Normally, the teams that play 309 00:17:28,279 --> 00:17:32,079 overseas gets the bye week the following week. But this 310 00:17:32,119 --> 00:17:34,759 is a division game. And I'm looking at the Pittsburgh 311 00:17:34,759 --> 00:17:36,759 Steelers and even though they're three to one and I 312 00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:41,319 cashed with them against Minnesota, They're still not a good 313 00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:46,559 football team. Don't be misread by the record. This team. 314 00:17:46,839 --> 00:17:50,599 The offensive line play is bad, and Aaron Rodgers is 315 00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:54,519 not a mobile quarterback anymore, and Miles Garrett and company 316 00:17:54,559 --> 00:17:58,240 are gonna put pressure on him the entire time in 317 00:17:58,319 --> 00:18:01,599 this game. He's gonna find out out what the rivalry 318 00:18:01,799 --> 00:18:05,440 is between Pittsburgh and Cleveland. When Miles Garrett comes calling, 319 00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:09,640 I always tell you give me points with the better defense. Well, 320 00:18:09,640 --> 00:18:14,039 that better defense is clearly Cleveland at this stage of 321 00:18:14,079 --> 00:18:18,880 the season. Also, I'm gonna look at the fact in 322 00:18:18,880 --> 00:18:22,359 this one and you talk about Dylan Gabriel. Yeah, it 323 00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:24,920 was his first game last week. He didn't set the 324 00:18:24,920 --> 00:18:27,480 world on fire. But he also had a clean game. 325 00:18:27,519 --> 00:18:29,480 He didn't lose the game for them. They were in 326 00:18:29,519 --> 00:18:32,680 that game right till the end. I think second start, 327 00:18:32,839 --> 00:18:35,839 he's going to be better. Got the nerves out, you 328 00:18:35,880 --> 00:18:39,279 know last week, if he had butterflies, whatever. I expect 329 00:18:39,279 --> 00:18:42,119 a better game from him. Taking all of the first 330 00:18:42,119 --> 00:18:44,759 string snaps for a second week in a row. And 331 00:18:44,920 --> 00:18:47,640 he doesn't have to look over his shoulder because it's 332 00:18:47,720 --> 00:18:51,799 not you know, the old man Joe Flacco, it's Shdort Sanders, 333 00:18:51,960 --> 00:18:54,759 and I don't see him coming in anytime soon. So 334 00:18:55,039 --> 00:18:58,480 let's go ahead. Take Cleveland in this one plus the points. 335 00:18:58,799 --> 00:19:02,759 In a perfect world for me, Pittsburgh wins twenty one 336 00:19:02,759 --> 00:19:06,319 to twenty. But it's not a perfect world. I'm calling 337 00:19:06,480 --> 00:19:08,039 Cleveland twenty to seventeen. 338 00:19:08,559 --> 00:19:13,079 Speaker 1: Oh boy, the Steelers fan is calling for another Steelers loss. 339 00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:16,799 V Are you and I were in agreement on this one, 340 00:19:16,839 --> 00:19:18,319 and I was gonna use it as my best bet, 341 00:19:18,319 --> 00:19:21,640 but I wanted to add one more play into the rotation. 342 00:19:22,079 --> 00:19:25,240 Speaker 2: Tell me why you like the Panthers as your barking 343 00:19:25,319 --> 00:19:26,039 dog this week? 344 00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:29,160 Speaker 4: Yeah, and this is one. I immediately jumped on it 345 00:19:29,279 --> 00:19:34,400 and sent out to subscribers. I thought this Dallas team 346 00:19:34,519 --> 00:19:38,559 is a little bit overvalued right now, and I thought 347 00:19:38,599 --> 00:19:45,599 the overreaction to the offensive line injuries with Carolina was 348 00:19:46,640 --> 00:19:50,680 overpriced in this betting line because just Dallas just doesn't 349 00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:55,039 have the pass rush and that the defense to do 350 00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:57,640 all that much and take advantage of that, like that's 351 00:19:57,680 --> 00:20:00,880 their weakness. So I don't think I think Caroline is 352 00:20:00,920 --> 00:20:04,119 going to be as big of a disadvantage as if 353 00:20:04,119 --> 00:20:07,480 they were going up, you know, a stellar front four. Also, 354 00:20:07,559 --> 00:20:10,160 I think they're gonna have some success running the football 355 00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:13,880 against Dallas. What will take pressure off of Bryce Young 356 00:20:14,119 --> 00:20:18,440 who's passing efficiency also continues to climb and he's almost 357 00:20:18,599 --> 00:20:21,759 right at that NFL average. And I know Prescott seems 358 00:20:21,799 --> 00:20:23,359 like he's having a you know, stellar year, had a 359 00:20:23,400 --> 00:20:26,440 couple of big games, but he's barely right above that 360 00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:30,160 NFL average as far as passing success rate goes. And 361 00:20:30,599 --> 00:20:33,759 why I like Carolina most is because when you look 362 00:20:33,759 --> 00:20:35,759 at the weakness of Dallas, I'm going to keep it 363 00:20:35,839 --> 00:20:39,599 this simple, it's their defense. They're the thirty second most 364 00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:44,319 efficient defense in all of the NFL. If you're getting 365 00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:48,039 points like Carolina is getting, that back door is going 366 00:20:48,079 --> 00:20:50,160 to stay open that entire game. This is the defense 367 00:20:50,160 --> 00:20:51,880 that you could march up and down the field on 368 00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:56,640 and score some points. Having them playing this game at home, 369 00:20:57,319 --> 00:21:00,640 I just think they're live. They should be able to 370 00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:02,720 keep it even in the number, if not win this 371 00:21:02,799 --> 00:21:05,359 game on the money line. Just got to slow down 372 00:21:05,400 --> 00:21:10,599 that offense of the Cowboys, which again is top five inefficiency. 373 00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:14,000 Going to give them their due, but I think that'll 374 00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:16,759 start to drop off as the season progresses. They've only 375 00:21:16,799 --> 00:21:20,960 they've had like the twentieth twenty second toughest schedule, so 376 00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:26,000 easy strength of schedule so far. Again, I think Dallas 377 00:21:26,079 --> 00:21:29,839 is phony and they'll take the points with Carolina. Give 378 00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:33,079 me the three and a half at home dog. 379 00:21:33,799 --> 00:21:36,759 Speaker 1: I'm not sure if New England is phony, but I'm 380 00:21:36,759 --> 00:21:38,920 gonna bet against them this week. I'm not sure how 381 00:21:39,000 --> 00:21:42,000 legit they are. Congratulations to them and that nice win 382 00:21:42,440 --> 00:21:45,519 over Buffalo. I think this is kind of one of 383 00:21:45,519 --> 00:21:50,359 those weird letdown spots. I like coach Brabel, but three 384 00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:52,240 and a half points with a team who's been a 385 00:21:52,279 --> 00:21:56,440 competitive in all five games except for at Seattle. Remember, 386 00:21:56,640 --> 00:21:58,599 they had a shot to beat Arizona there at home, 387 00:21:58,640 --> 00:22:00,400 they had a shot to beat San Francis go there 388 00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:03,039 at home, and maybe they didn't have a shot to 389 00:22:03,039 --> 00:22:06,440 beat Buffalo, but I can promise you Buffalo backers and 390 00:22:06,559 --> 00:22:09,920 survivor were sweating late into that game and then they just. 391 00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:11,319 Speaker 2: Got a nice win. 392 00:22:11,720 --> 00:22:14,839 Speaker 1: They're at home once again over the New York Giants 393 00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:18,359 last week. They took early money, and rightfully so that 394 00:22:18,440 --> 00:22:22,599 second half was all the Saints. This is a Saints 395 00:22:22,640 --> 00:22:25,920 team that I think is improving week by week. 396 00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:26,920 Speaker 2: They finally get. 397 00:22:26,720 --> 00:22:30,559 Speaker 1: The monkey of that loss off their back and now 398 00:22:31,119 --> 00:22:34,000 New England goes on the road once again. 399 00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:37,519 Speaker 2: Just two and eight in the NFC. 400 00:22:37,759 --> 00:22:40,680 Speaker 1: Now, one could maybe argue that was towards the end 401 00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:43,599 of Bill Belichick's career and they just stopped playing well 402 00:22:43,599 --> 00:22:47,559 without Tom Brady. But I think Spencer Rattler having that 403 00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:51,079 first career when snapping that eight game losing streak and 404 00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:54,759 then giving head coach Kellen Moore his first win kind of. 405 00:22:54,720 --> 00:22:57,440 Speaker 2: Propels them into this week. 406 00:22:57,519 --> 00:23:02,680 Speaker 1: Remember they had five turnover This defense comes to play, 407 00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:03,880 you can tell. 408 00:23:03,599 --> 00:23:07,599 Speaker 2: The Saints team is hungry. I think we see a less. 409 00:23:07,319 --> 00:23:10,119 Speaker 1: Than sellar performance by the Pats, So give me the 410 00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:12,079 three and a half here With the Saints, I think 411 00:23:12,079 --> 00:23:17,359 they can win this game at home. Marco DiAngelo's Deli 412 00:23:17,920 --> 00:23:22,119 has been absolutely piping hot. Hopefully you get the soup 413 00:23:22,799 --> 00:23:25,759 sandwich special that he offers us every single week, and 414 00:23:25,759 --> 00:23:28,759 that is that. You can watch the extended version of 415 00:23:28,839 --> 00:23:31,720 the Deli either on the Mega Show or on the 416 00:23:31,759 --> 00:23:34,119 wager Talk YouTube channel. Of course, if you're an insider, 417 00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:37,880 you get a first WC Dot Buzz backslash Insiders to 418 00:23:38,079 --> 00:23:43,680 join Marco. The Deli's been cooking sixteen to nine on 419 00:23:43,759 --> 00:23:47,279 the season. Who do we have for NFL weeks since. 420 00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:50,519 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, Kelly, this is a perfect spot when you 421 00:23:50,599 --> 00:23:56,279 talk about a sandwich situation. We look at Seattle and 422 00:23:56,680 --> 00:23:59,680 they're gonna be playing at Jacksonville. And you've got Jacksonville 423 00:23:59,680 --> 00:24:02,279 coming off back to back games in which they went 424 00:24:02,440 --> 00:24:05,640 to San Francisco two weeks ago beat the forty nine ers. 425 00:24:05,680 --> 00:24:08,279 No granted the forty nine ers were banged up, but 426 00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:11,000 still it's the forty nine ers on the road. You 427 00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:14,640 got the win. Then they came home. We all saw 428 00:24:14,680 --> 00:24:17,200 the Monday night game. What a game, probably one of 429 00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:21,200 the best Monday night games we'll see all season, and 430 00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:24,400 they got the win over the Kansas City Chiefs, now 431 00:24:24,519 --> 00:24:27,519 beating Kansas City is a big deal by itself, but 432 00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:30,440 given the fashion in which they won the game, when 433 00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:34,359 after giving up the go ahead touchdown late, you had 434 00:24:34,400 --> 00:24:38,440 Trevor Lawrence take them down the field and score the 435 00:24:38,480 --> 00:24:42,279 winning touchdown and on the craziest play gets his footstepped 436 00:24:42,319 --> 00:24:45,519 on falls down. They have no timeouts. If he gets 437 00:24:45,559 --> 00:24:50,160 tackled behind the line of scrimmage, they could have trouble 438 00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:53,640 getting the next playoff without the clock running out. And 439 00:24:53,759 --> 00:24:56,200 instead he gets up. I thought he was just gonna 440 00:24:56,240 --> 00:24:58,599 throw it out of bounds to stop the clock. No, 441 00:24:58,839 --> 00:25:01,359 he finds a way to into the end zone on 442 00:25:01,400 --> 00:25:04,319 a broken play to win the game. And that game 443 00:25:04,440 --> 00:25:08,319 was on Monday night football at home? How often is 444 00:25:08,599 --> 00:25:12,359 Jacksonville on Monday night football period, Let alone have a 445 00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:16,599 home game. Talk about a letdown spot. You're coming off 446 00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:19,720 of all of that, those two games the previous weeks, 447 00:25:20,079 --> 00:25:22,519 and you're on such a high off the Monday night 448 00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:25,799 it's a short week. And oh, by the way, next 449 00:25:25,799 --> 00:25:29,079 week you travel across the pond, you go to London 450 00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:33,000 to play the Rams. This is an absolutely horrible spot 451 00:25:33,039 --> 00:25:36,319 for them to be playing Seattle. Seattle's coming off a 452 00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:40,279 tough loss of their own last week against the comeback 453 00:25:40,359 --> 00:25:45,160 kids aka Tampa Bay. If you don't haven't watched Tampa 454 00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:47,880 Bay play this year, they are actually fun team to 455 00:25:47,920 --> 00:25:50,759 watch with Baker Mayfield. They fall behind every week and 456 00:25:50,799 --> 00:25:53,359 they find a way to win it. And Seattle was 457 00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:58,599 their latest victim. Is they Tampa Bay has won four 458 00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:02,559 or five coming from behind this year. Defensively, Seattle has 459 00:26:02,599 --> 00:26:06,000 allowed only one opponent to talk twenty points this season. 460 00:26:07,160 --> 00:26:10,640 This is just you add in the scheduling, the short week, 461 00:26:10,960 --> 00:26:14,319 who they've played, that monumental Monday night game, going to 462 00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:18,119 London next week in Seattle coming off a tough loss 463 00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:20,400 at home last week with a bad taste in her mouth. 464 00:26:20,680 --> 00:26:24,359 To me, this all adds up to taking Seattle. And 465 00:26:24,400 --> 00:26:27,400 the last thing I'll say about Jacksonville, I'll give you 466 00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:31,319 another Marco ism that I like to look at. That 467 00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:35,119 was a statement game for Jacksonville. Okay, they were three 468 00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:37,799 and one, but nobody was really giving them any credit 469 00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:40,680 for the wins that they had. Now they're four and 470 00:26:40,759 --> 00:26:44,240 one and they beat Kansas City and Patrick Mahomes as 471 00:26:44,279 --> 00:26:47,039 I like to say, that was their legitimizer. Now people 472 00:26:47,039 --> 00:26:49,839 believe in them, and as soon as people actually start 473 00:26:49,880 --> 00:26:52,319 talking about a team. That's when I want to go 474 00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:55,599 against them. Let's go ahead and take Seattle in this one, 475 00:26:55,759 --> 00:26:59,400 and you know what, I have a feeling Kelly plus 476 00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:02,079 one and a half can see them on some teasers 477 00:27:02,119 --> 00:27:02,559 as well. 478 00:27:03,359 --> 00:27:06,720 Speaker 2: Yes, we are going to see them. I've already done it. 479 00:27:06,759 --> 00:27:08,640 I've drove. Don't tell them. 480 00:27:08,640 --> 00:27:14,599 Speaker 1: Okay, guys have done really well outside of last week 481 00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:16,759 and a team named the Ravens. 482 00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:18,839 Speaker 2: We're getting the best bets right now. 483 00:27:19,039 --> 00:27:19,359 Speaker 3: VR. 484 00:27:19,519 --> 00:27:20,920 Speaker 2: What are we doing here? 485 00:27:21,119 --> 00:27:24,960 Speaker 4: Yes, yes, yes, yes, yes, I don't care. Listen, I 486 00:27:25,000 --> 00:27:29,799 will go down fighting that I am comfortable making this 487 00:27:29,920 --> 00:27:33,799 bet and I feel extremely confident kel that I'm so 488 00:27:34,000 --> 00:27:37,960 getting the best of it. This is such an overreaction 489 00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:42,039 to Baltimore. Let's let's let me just take you back 490 00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:46,839 real quickly. They lose in the playoffs as one point favorites, 491 00:27:47,319 --> 00:27:51,599 one point favorites on the road at Buffalo. They lose 492 00:27:51,640 --> 00:27:54,480 that game by what a point or two? They come 493 00:27:54,559 --> 00:27:59,160 back the following year, there's still one point favorites on. 494 00:27:59,039 --> 00:28:00,000 Speaker 2: The road at Buffalo. 495 00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:05,640 Speaker 4: Low they lose that game in the most improbable fashion. Okay, 496 00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:08,680 they come back the following week as thirteen point favorites 497 00:28:08,720 --> 00:28:11,799 because on paper, they were the best team in the NFL. 498 00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:12,680 Speaker 2: And what do they do. 499 00:28:12,720 --> 00:28:16,680 Speaker 4: They cover They win by twenty plus against Cleveland. So 500 00:28:17,160 --> 00:28:20,480 right then and there they're considered the best team in 501 00:28:20,519 --> 00:28:24,319 the NFL. That was not all that long ago. Okay, 502 00:28:24,799 --> 00:28:28,119 since then, they went to the they played Detroit. They 503 00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:30,079 were four and a half point favorites against the best 504 00:28:30,079 --> 00:28:32,839 team in the NFL right now, Detroit four and a 505 00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:38,119 half against Detroit at very same place, Baltimore, September twenty second, 506 00:28:38,240 --> 00:28:41,480 just a few weeks back. They lose that game. Then 507 00:28:41,519 --> 00:28:43,839 they go to Kansas City, one of the toughest places 508 00:28:43,839 --> 00:28:46,279 to play anyway. They lose that game and they get 509 00:28:46,279 --> 00:28:51,799 blown out by Houston. Why because Rush throws three interceptions. Now, 510 00:28:52,039 --> 00:28:56,880 Rush had a fifty eight two br If anybody's going 511 00:28:56,960 --> 00:29:00,200 to progress towards the mean, it's this kid. Because when 512 00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:04,440 you look at his career, it's a lot better than that. 513 00:29:04,559 --> 00:29:05,680 Speaker 2: We have a couple. 514 00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:10,880 Speaker 4: Seasons, a handful of games, and his quarterback rating historically 515 00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:14,160 has been a lot higher than sixty, So I. 516 00:29:14,200 --> 00:29:16,319 Speaker 2: Expect him to only improve. 517 00:29:17,519 --> 00:29:19,880 Speaker 4: One of the best home field advantages in all of 518 00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:24,920 the NFL is still Baltimore, And if anything, this is 519 00:29:24,960 --> 00:29:30,920 a proud franchise, a proud team that is a seven 520 00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:35,440 and a half point dog to the La Rams. Listen, 521 00:29:35,880 --> 00:29:39,279 I get it. Stafford's playing well. Rams are looking good. 522 00:29:39,640 --> 00:29:43,759 They're three and two, you know, above five hundred. Coming 523 00:29:43,799 --> 00:29:48,039 off what a loss, so expecting them to bounce back. 524 00:29:48,079 --> 00:29:50,240 It was a tough loss to San Francisco. I don't 525 00:29:50,240 --> 00:29:53,960 see it. I like Baltimore. Here. We have another team 526 00:29:54,519 --> 00:29:58,079 traveling from the West coast to the East coast, giving 527 00:29:58,119 --> 00:30:01,160 way too many points. Kel I think Rush improves off 528 00:30:01,160 --> 00:30:05,160 of that performance. I think Baltimore's has some pride and 529 00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:08,799 I think power rating wise, this is foolish because when 530 00:30:08,839 --> 00:30:12,400 I look at the Rams, yeah, offensively, they're barely a 531 00:30:12,440 --> 00:30:16,039 top fifteen team. The weakness for Baltimore has been their defense. 532 00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:20,400 But fortunately they're not playing the most stellar of offenses 533 00:30:20,440 --> 00:30:22,960 this week. I'm telling you that take the seven and 534 00:30:22,960 --> 00:30:23,240 a half. 535 00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:24,000 Speaker 2: It's a gift. 536 00:30:24,359 --> 00:30:27,480 Speaker 4: Sprinkle the money line on Baltimore as well. Don't be 537 00:30:27,519 --> 00:30:29,160 surprised if they get the win and move the to 538 00:30:29,240 --> 00:30:29,599 them four. 539 00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:31,599 Speaker 2: All right, that. 540 00:30:31,680 --> 00:30:35,599 Speaker 1: Is certainly a brave pick. I have a feeling the 541 00:30:35,680 --> 00:30:38,599 whole world is going to tease the Rams, So good 542 00:30:38,759 --> 00:30:42,440 luck for those that have better stomach than I do. 543 00:30:42,519 --> 00:30:44,680 Speaker 2: I can't back the Ravens a second week in a row. 544 00:30:45,039 --> 00:30:49,240 Speaker 1: Marco a team that you want to back here and 545 00:30:49,279 --> 00:30:54,920 I'm not against it, but talk to me about London 546 00:30:55,400 --> 00:30:56,960 and why we're taking the under. 547 00:30:57,079 --> 00:30:58,039 Speaker 2: But before you do. 548 00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:02,559 Speaker 1: Seven day and picks for seventy seven dollars is eleven 549 00:31:02,599 --> 00:31:03,559 dollars a day. 550 00:31:04,039 --> 00:31:07,000 Speaker 2: What do you have to promote now? Over at wagertalk dot. 551 00:31:06,839 --> 00:31:11,440 Speaker 3: Com, Kelly, seven days all access. Right now every sport 552 00:31:11,480 --> 00:31:14,599 is going on but one, and that one that's not 553 00:31:14,759 --> 00:31:18,359 going on will start next week. That's the NBA. Take 554 00:31:18,359 --> 00:31:21,599 advantage of that seven day all access. You'll get every play. 555 00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:25,039 It includes all five percent plays. Five percent play sell 556 00:31:25,079 --> 00:31:27,839 for thirty five dollars by themselves. You're gonna pick up 557 00:31:27,839 --> 00:31:30,480 seven days for seventy seven dollars. It's the best way 558 00:31:30,519 --> 00:31:32,640 to go. You'll never miss a play. And when you're 559 00:31:32,640 --> 00:31:36,680 an all access client, if your handicapper puts a play in, 560 00:31:37,119 --> 00:31:40,759 say on Tuesday for Sunday, you get an email notification 561 00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:43,119 immediately about the play, so you get the best of 562 00:31:43,160 --> 00:31:45,480 the number as well. It's the best way to go. 563 00:31:45,680 --> 00:31:48,680 Don't wait till game day. Sign up for seven day 564 00:31:48,839 --> 00:31:51,680 all access and we've got a big weekend planned as well. 565 00:31:52,079 --> 00:31:55,160 We are number two in money one over the last 566 00:31:55,200 --> 00:31:58,720 two years combined in college and pro football, so be 567 00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:01,839 sure to check myself out in all of the great 568 00:32:01,880 --> 00:32:06,640 handicappers at wager Talk. Kelly, We're gonna head over to London, 569 00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:09,880 another one of these early games. I hate getting up 570 00:32:09,880 --> 00:32:12,680 at six point thirty to watch football on a Sunday morning, 571 00:32:13,079 --> 00:32:15,720 but we've got Denver and the Jets. And when you 572 00:32:15,759 --> 00:32:19,200 look at this one, Denver is coming off back to 573 00:32:19,279 --> 00:32:22,599 back wins where the Jets, well, they can't get out 574 00:32:22,599 --> 00:32:25,279 of their own way zero and five and the Jets 575 00:32:25,400 --> 00:32:30,119 defense has been absolutely non existent. Every opponent has scored 576 00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:34,319 twenty seven or more points against them. So with that said, 577 00:32:34,480 --> 00:32:37,680 the knee jerk reaction would be either take Denver and 578 00:32:37,759 --> 00:32:41,480 lay the points or take the over. But I'm not 579 00:32:41,599 --> 00:32:44,960 doing either. And here's why this is a tough scheduling 580 00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:47,880 spot for Denver is this is gonna be their fourth 581 00:32:48,000 --> 00:32:51,039 road game in five weeks and you can't get a 582 00:32:51,480 --> 00:32:55,400 longer road trip than heading across the Pond to go 583 00:32:55,480 --> 00:32:59,279 play in London. The one thing that Denver has going 584 00:32:59,359 --> 00:33:02,480 for them, and it's consistent all year has been they've 585 00:33:02,519 --> 00:33:06,680 got a strong defense is you know the saying goes 586 00:33:07,079 --> 00:33:10,720 defense is travel. Well, I'm looking for that defense to 587 00:33:10,799 --> 00:33:14,279 travel to London and be the best unit on the 588 00:33:14,279 --> 00:33:18,519 field on Sunday. And you look at the Jets. I 589 00:33:18,559 --> 00:33:22,359 think Denver's gonna exploit the fact that the Jets have 590 00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:26,240 an inability to stop the run and by running the football, 591 00:33:26,799 --> 00:33:29,559 Denver will shorten the game, get in and get out, 592 00:33:29,599 --> 00:33:32,000 which they want to do. Also, if you're running the 593 00:33:32,000 --> 00:33:35,759 football effectively, that gives you better down in distances when 594 00:33:35,799 --> 00:33:38,079 you do have to pass the football, and they can 595 00:33:38,119 --> 00:33:40,720 protect bow Knicks. Bow Knicks has had an up and 596 00:33:40,839 --> 00:33:43,400 down season. There's times that he looks like a second 597 00:33:43,480 --> 00:33:46,559 year quarterback in the NFL and there's other times that 598 00:33:46,640 --> 00:33:49,640 he shows some of the brilliance that he flashed last year. 599 00:33:49,880 --> 00:33:53,160 Is a rookie, but he has been inconsistent and they 600 00:33:53,279 --> 00:33:56,319 want to minimize the mistakes. Well, when you're running the 601 00:33:56,359 --> 00:34:01,160 football effectively, that's the best way to minimize mistakes. With 602 00:34:01,319 --> 00:34:04,720 that said, I look for this to be a quick 603 00:34:04,799 --> 00:34:08,480 game and lots of runs by Denver, and especially when 604 00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:10,880 they get a lead on the Jets, and that's gonna 605 00:34:10,960 --> 00:34:14,199 lead to an under my projected score, and this one 606 00:34:14,719 --> 00:34:17,920 is Denver twenty to thirteen, which would cover the point 607 00:34:17,960 --> 00:34:20,519 spread if you want to go that route. But I 608 00:34:20,679 --> 00:34:22,840 am looking at the unders. I think this one goes 609 00:34:23,079 --> 00:34:24,920 well under the forty three and a half. 610 00:34:25,800 --> 00:34:27,840 Speaker 1: I owe you guys an apology because I was picking 611 00:34:27,920 --> 00:34:31,599 disgusting dogs this week in the NFL regardless. I went 612 00:34:31,639 --> 00:34:34,639 back and forth between Miami and this play and who 613 00:34:34,719 --> 00:34:37,840 I was gonna use for barking dogs, And look, it's gross. 614 00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:39,440 Speaker 2: Bottom line. 615 00:34:39,599 --> 00:34:45,840 Speaker 1: Taking the Titans off that crazy win is not exactly 616 00:34:45,960 --> 00:34:47,360 the spot most of you want to do. 617 00:34:47,519 --> 00:34:49,800 Speaker 2: Oh Kelly, the miraculous upset. 618 00:34:49,880 --> 00:34:52,679 Speaker 1: What would the line have been if that touchdown wand 619 00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:54,760 scored and Arizona went up three scores? 620 00:34:55,199 --> 00:34:57,360 Speaker 2: No, the line would have been the same. The line 621 00:34:57,440 --> 00:34:59,599 is the same as it was in July. 622 00:35:00,039 --> 00:35:02,559 Speaker 1: I win our friends over at the Super Bowl put 623 00:35:02,599 --> 00:35:07,599 out these lines Vegas minus four. There's literally nothing different 624 00:35:07,960 --> 00:35:11,400 except for we're betting against the Raiders again. Do you 625 00:35:11,519 --> 00:35:13,960 think you can trust this team as a favorite. They 626 00:35:14,039 --> 00:35:17,280 have no home field advantage. Gino Smith has nine interceptions 627 00:35:17,360 --> 00:35:19,280 on the season, and this is the worst start in 628 00:35:19,320 --> 00:35:22,320 Pete Carroll's career. I gave you guys the Colts last week, 629 00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:24,320 and everybody in the comment section told me how square 630 00:35:24,360 --> 00:35:27,639 I was. Call me square again for taking the four 631 00:35:27,639 --> 00:35:29,519 and a half here with the Titans, but I think 632 00:35:29,599 --> 00:35:32,440 the Titans can take that momentum and turn it into 633 00:35:32,800 --> 00:35:36,000 two wins. Give me the Titans plus four and a 634 00:35:36,039 --> 00:35:39,679 half for my best bet NFL Week six. Let's get 635 00:35:39,760 --> 00:35:44,760 that recap graphic up for everybody. From VR and Marco 636 00:35:45,079 --> 00:35:47,719 and of course myself, we wish you guys a profitable 637 00:35:47,920 --> 00:35:50,880 NFL Week six and if you are looking for that 638 00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:53,280 college football edition, a bet on It's right here, and 639 00:35:53,360 --> 00:35:56,039 of course the mega show we keep talking about. 640 00:35:56,360 --> 00:35:58,440 Speaker 2: If you're in it for the long haul, you don't 641 00:35:58,480 --> 00:36:00,320 want to miss a single minute of bet on It. 642 00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:01,280 We got your covered