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Speaker 1: What's going on? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.

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If you are new, we do always start the show

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by being transparent. Haven't had a show since Friday. Sunday.

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My top play was a winner, but I did not

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win another game. Besides that, it was pretty bad. Thursday.

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I won that Bengals game we talked about. I don't know.

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Oh we did come back on Friday. I didn't talk

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to you on Friday, I don't think, but no, no, no,

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last show is Thursday. So yeah, I won the Bengals.

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I talked about that London game under that was my

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top player that won, and then the other players that

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were not top players lost, Robbin know, so need to

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cut out some of those and do a little bit better.

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How was everything for you over the weekend?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it was.

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Speaker 3: A little mixed ski because it wasn't great on Saturday

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college football. College football was underwater on Saturday. But then

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NFL if I go back to Thursday, like you say,

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with that Pittsburgh Cincinnati game where I had total NFL

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was seven and o this weekend six and oh yesterday,

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so we got it all back from Saturday and then

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some which is fantastic, Like I say, the NFL has

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been so good to me so far this year. Just

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a quick check of the numbers this morning, so that

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I was a top of the wager talk candycappers for

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NFL this year again, So it's pretty good at this

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point where that league is concerned. And overall wound up

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being a decent weekend because of yesterday.

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Speaker 1: Oh great work six and oh seven and oh, you know,

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nothing to is golf out there. You know that's amazing.

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Oh I'd go six, and oh I could definitely six.

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Speaker 3: And here's here's how we got to six and oh

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ski I had the Broncos team total.

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Speaker 2: Over oh boy zero after three quarters thirty three.

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Speaker 3: I as much as we hate when those things go

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against us, you love to take them when they happened

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for you.

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Speaker 2: So you know we're thankful for that.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that was a crazy, crazy, crazy game for sure. Yeah,

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we have a couple more games to talk about here

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today in the NFL and then not gonna talk too

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much baseball. I'm not gonna talk baseball at all. It

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is Game seven Seattle in Toronto. I don't have a

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strong opinion anyway. I would just say I think Seattle

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say a lot of their good pictures for today. So

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either under Seattle be my recommendation. But again, I haven't

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been deep diving or doing anything. I've just been watching

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the games. Anything from you on that before we talk football.

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Speaker 3: No, not really Ski, particularly in that series, I wasn't involved.

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I was far more involved in the Dodgers series, which

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ended in four gave us a little bit of a

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plus sign there, But this particular series I haven't had

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good strong feelings about. So I'm kind of with you though,

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I think either because it is one of those where

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all hands on deck are concerned with the pitching staff,

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that Seattle might have a decent edge laden in shit

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with arms.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to Monday night football. We have

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two games tonight. First up, we're gonna look at four

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seventy five, four seventy six Tampa Bay and Detroit opened

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up minus four and a half for the Lions. Looks

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like six. Looks like mostly six. There's six and a

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half out there too. Total open fifty two and a half.

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Looks like fifty three or fifty three and a half.

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Lions are coming off of that lost to Kansas City.

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The Lions going back to twenty twenty three, ralbh. You

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know they are eight and those straight up and against

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the spread off of a loss. I want to say

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they're also pretty good to the over too. I'm curious,

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do you see a big bounce back for the Lions

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here in this one or I don't know, I know

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you you will get excited maybe for a total in

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this game.

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Speaker 3: We'll go to side first. I think a couple of

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things here.

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Speaker 2: For Tampa Bay.

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Speaker 3: It's four pretty tough games in a row, now, ski,

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I mean, they've had to play Philly, Seattle and San Francisco,

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three really good teams, and now Detroit. They've answered the

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bell for the most part in.

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Speaker 2: All these games. Baker Mayfield has been tremendous.

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Speaker 3: And for Detroit, I would expect a bounce back, especially

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offensively after that Kansas City game.

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Speaker 2: You know, for the Lions to only put up.

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Speaker 3: Seventeen is a little bit, you know, it's far less

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than what they expect to put up, and they had

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some issues in that game where they could have scored

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points and left them on the table. So I would

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think at home, the numbers that you just quoted, if so,

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really strong home team here, as I mentioned for Tampa

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on the road again, so sidewise, I can understand people

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liking Detroit, but I don't know that I could like

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them at this price. It just keeps climbing and climbing

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and climbing, and it just gets It's tough to fade

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the Bucks and Baker Mayfield at that price, just knowing

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that he never gives up.

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Speaker 2: And the back door could always be wide open in

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this game.

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Speaker 3: And even if Detroit's up by thirteen, now if they

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Buck score a late touchdown, you don't cover anymore. So

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perhaps the people who got there early were the smartest

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the people that are going to come on the tail end.

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Speaker 2: I don't know. I'd be afraid to, let's put it

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that way.

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Speaker 3: I'd be afraid to play the Lions as a favorite

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at this particular price.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I could use a coke sponsor. I would. I

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would absolutely take that. They like my glass coat. Yeah, man,

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I keep them stocked up over there in the fridge.

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But wen No, I don't know, man, this Detroit. I mean,

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I agree with the last thing. And you said, you

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know you could absolutely see a back door here. We

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know we've seen Bakers come back efforts time and time again,

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like they're not going to give up even if they're down.

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So I don't know. I don't like the idea of

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laying points against this Buccaneers team. I especially don't like

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the idea of laying points against them when your entire

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secondary is hurt then Branch is suspended. I mean, I

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keep the same theory kind of throughout sports, right if

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I if you don't have a secondary, I'm not trusting

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you to get stops, but I can't trust you to

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get stops. I'm not laying six. So this is as

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simple as that for me. I would be looking towards

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the Buccaneers in this one. The buck secondary is not great,

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but I don't know they're the ones getting the six

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points here, Rob, you know any thoughts on that?

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Speaker 3: Well, you lead me right into where I did play

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this game, which was the total. It's fifty three now,

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could have got fifty two and a half earlier, but

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it makes so much sense. Ski a couple of things here.

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The Detroit secondary, as you mentioned, I mean three starters

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out tonight now that we count Branch's suspension, and when

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you count them up, de Troit has six defensive backs

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unavailable for tonight's gaming. They're gonna if they go into

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a dime they might not be able to go into

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a dime defense without because they wouldn't have enough defensive

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backs and the ones that they do have available. When

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you go check out their careers, you're gonna find this

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is as young and has inexperienced the group. You're gonna

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have three four guys running around out there who really

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haven't played and against Baker Mayfield and that passing attack

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which tonight, as we found out this morning, probably does

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include Mike Evans, probably does include a Mecca Igbuka. Now,

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all of a sudden, Baker's got a couple of weapons

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back in this lineup to throw against a depleted secondary.

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Speaker 2: So for Detroit, the.

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Speaker 3: Answer may be we have to score to keep up,

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and I think that's very possible. Couple of things. Detroit

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loves to run, right. We know that they're kind of

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a tough, physical, run first type team. They're balanced, but

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they want to run it first. Tipa Bay is one

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of the best run defenses in the league, so that

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matchup kind of neutralizes each other. And if Jared Goff

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is forced to throw the football, or if Detroit chooses

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the blueprint, let's throw the football back Tampa Bay up

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a little bit. They're gonna have a ton of openings

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first off, just historically, and I don't put a lot

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of this into my handicap ski but it is true

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that Jared Goff has had some monster days against the

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Tampa Bay secondary, so it's not like he couldn't have

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another one. And where Tampa Bay is concerned, the last

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two weeks, that pass defense gave up three hundred and

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forty one and two hundred and ninety six, almost three

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hundred more to San Francisco and Seattle. Detroit's got enough

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in their past game Arsenal to do the same here.

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Last year it was twenty to sixteen, I think was

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the final, but Detroit was one for seven scoring touchdowns

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in the red zone. It's no way they would be

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one for seven again tonight. I'd expect more production from there.

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It looks to me like a shootout, to be honest

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with you, and forth they go. Tampa Bay gets involved

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in a lot of these, They're comfortable in them. Detroit

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gets involved in a lot of these. They're comfortable in them.

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So I would still play it. At fifty three. I

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did bet at myself, so I think this game probably

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heads to the mid fifties or higher.

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Speaker 1: I'm in agreement. I could only see it being high scoring.

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I mean, the only way it doesn't is if the

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Lions just refused to throw and just want to just

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run against that good run DEFENSI all game long, which

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I mean if you have a brain, which I assume

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Dan Amibill does. I think they should pass the ball,

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so I like that play on over Mark says he

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likes Baker over two hundred and forty two passing yards.

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I could absolutely see that. Other props. I don't really

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I don't feel too strong about props. I think Mike

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Evans probably scores. I think, yeah, I don't want to

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get too much into props. I could see two tough

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passing touchdowns from Baker, though lionside who to choose there?

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I don't know so many weapons over there too. I

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think we'll get points. I guess if I like all

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these touchdowns, right, Robno, I guess I like what you like.

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Otto says, backup right, tackle for the Bucks. Last time

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the Lions played them, Hutchinson had four sacks, so I

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might be able to pick on somebody over there. We

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shall see our next game up, Robno. We I'm with you.

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I'm with you, Mark, I see you in the chat.

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Next game up at Seahawks. Open minus two and a

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half for Seattle looks like three right now. I feel

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like it went up to three and a half and

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then maybe came back down. Total open forty two, and

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it looks like forty one now. This Houston team, I mean,

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for one, the Seahawks have looked to me better than

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I expected. You know, I was one of the people

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who said Darno might not look as good behind the

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Seattle offensive line. He look solid. Seahawks have looked good.

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This Texans team, they started off the season really really shaky,

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really bad. I'm thinking, what the hell is going? What's

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wrong over there? They picked it up. They had a

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bye week this past week, but the two weeks prior

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they scored seventy points. The defense has allowed the least

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points in the league. So and the Texans I believe,

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are two and three somewhere around there. They need. They

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need some wins to get back on track in the standings.

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The better defense, the better quarterback. To me, I know

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he hasn't always played like it this year, and getting points.

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I would be interested in that Texan side. Ravino. I'm

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curious if you see it that way or how are

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you looking at this game?

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Speaker 3: This one's tough ski right on the field goal, because

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it almost looks exactly like a field goal game for

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the Texans. I mean, the constant you mentioned it. The

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constant is their defense and their pass pressure. They're gonna

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get after you, Dimico. Ryans is a defensive mind by nature,

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and they've been really good and they've got the personnel

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to be really really good on that side of the football.

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The question you have to have with Houston is when

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they lost their first two games of the year, they

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were two really really good teams overall, the Rams and

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Tampa Bay, and both good defensive lines on those teams.

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Rams not as good against the run as Tampa, but

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you get my point two good defense as Houston lost

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to both. Then they played Tennessee and Baltimore, who we

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know don't play any defense, and that's when they got

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their wins and look pretty good offensively. So Seattle kind

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of wanders or points more towards the direction of Rams

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Tampa Bay as far as defense is concerned. However, that

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being said, Seattle's issues the last couple of weeks defensively

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have been the same as what we just talked about

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with Detroit.

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Speaker 2: Their secondary injuries.

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Speaker 3: Have been worse than they're going to be tonight because

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they may only be missing two guys. Maybe they miss

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Witherspoon and Love, but Witherspoon and Love are arguably the

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two best defensive backs that they have.

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Speaker 2: They could play.

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Speaker 3: I still see them listed as questionable and Seattle doesn't

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have to tell us until ninety minutes before kickoff. But

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if they don't go, or if they both have hamstring issues,

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if they're slowed somewhat, maybe CJ. Stroud can't find some

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receivers here. They did have the off week, like you say,

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to two week game prepare for this one, which is

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a help. So I could see them defensively causing Seattle trouble.

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I could see Seattle defensively causing them some trouble.

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Speaker 2: Their front seven has been really good.

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Speaker 3: I think Seattle sits in the top in the top

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six both offensively and defensively overall rankings. I believe, so

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they've been really good on both sides. But it's the

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d backs that I worry about. Witherspoon and Love here,

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I don't know. It just seems like a three point

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game to me either way, where turnovers could affect it.

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The only time we saw Sam Darnold really look miserable

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in the last two years was that Detroit game last

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year in the playoffs where they just constantly brought pressure.

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And I wonder if Demiko Ryans does the same thing

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tonight with Will Anderson and these guys just go after

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this guy and maybe we can force him into a

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couple of turnovers.

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Speaker 2: Stroud's offensive line is terrible.

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Speaker 3: It's another thing to consider here because they can't protect

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him for anything, so it's difficult.

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Speaker 2: You can make cases both ways.

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Speaker 3: The total coming down to forty one probably made a

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little sense, but as somebody who plays a lot of totals,

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I'm not willing to just disregard a twenty three to

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twenty final and you lose the under So I think

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that this game becomes really tough for I haven't bet

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it yet.

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Speaker 2: You can probably understand why.

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Speaker 1: I wonder if the offensive line is not good just

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because they're not good, was it because the guys were

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banged up? Because if it's because they're banged up, coming

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off of BI week would absolutely help that, right. That's

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just my thought, and then I like what you said

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about blitzing blitzing, I'm forgetting his name quarterback for the

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see off. Yeah, Sam Darnold like when he's under pressure,

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he definitely that's been his his weak point throughout his career.

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He'll make some mistakes, So I'm in agreement there. You

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mentioned that Seattle defense. Here's my thing. They've been good

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against the run, but you mentioned those that secondary can

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be picked on a little bit, and it's just stood

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out to me. I haven't really paid any any NFL

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props this year, but I did have some success with

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them last year, and I'm just thinking, if the Texans

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are gonna have success offensively versus Seahawks team, it's more

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likely to be through the air. Right, Texans don't even

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really have a run game, and they're going up against

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the bad I mean, a good run defense, So that's

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gonna be a lot of CJ through the air. He

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doesn't really pass that much. He's had more than thirty

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pass attempts once so far this season. His PROP is

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at thirty two and a half, and I just feel

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like that's for a reason. When I look at the

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Seattle side, every single quarterback is at more than thirty

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three attempts. Why because that's where they're weak at. So

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it makes sense to me to take CJ over thirty

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two and a half attempts first time, or not the

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first time, it will be the second time he gets

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thirty three plus this season. Any thoughts on that problem.

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Speaker 3: I could see how successful those attempts would be depend

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on whether the offensive line. And let me go back

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to that, because you asked the question beginning is because

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they were banged up on the offensive line? Is because

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they're just no good Heading into the season, there's a

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couple of internet outlets that raided them as the worst

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offensive line in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: They traded Laramie to Dolphins.

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Speaker 3: Well, this is preseason coming in, okay, right, So even

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at healthy they thought they were bad. I don't think

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that they've had many injuries. CJ's been running around for

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his life and Seattle with Mike McDonald. Remember he was

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the ex Ravens defensive coordinator. He could do the same

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thing Houston does, blitz CJ and see what happens. But

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I don't disagree with you that they'll have to put

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the ball up in the air a lot because you

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don't care if they're incomplete or completes. When you're playing

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that problem, just throw the ball for me, and I

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wouldn't throw it.

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Speaker 2: I could totally.

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Speaker 3: I can totally see that happening, possibly on both sides,

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because Houston's not gonna let them run much either.

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Speaker 2: I wouldn't think.

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Speaker 1: All right, good stuff on that. It's short and sweet today, Robi.

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You know, we get out of here in less than

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twenty minutes, and it won't probably won't be like that

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for a while because the NBA starts tomorrow, so we'll

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take advantage of it and enjoy the extra free time

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to go do something else. We'll move it over the

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Best Bets and actually take that off. Let's put this

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up there before we do best bets because the NBA

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does start tomorrow. Both Rovin and myself have this up

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on our page. It's an NBA opening, We expect special

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pretty much comes out to ten dollars a day. You'll

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get every play that we make, and yeah, just get

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a chance to see how we're rocking to start the

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NBA season. So Vino, I'll pass it to you. I'll

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ask you if there's anything else you would like to promote,

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and if you have a best bet for the show.

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We love to hear it. If you don't all good, yeah,

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real quick.

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Speaker 3: I do have a couple of NBA futures posted on

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my page at wager talk skis.

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Speaker 2: If you guys are interested.

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Speaker 3: In a couple of future bets for the NBA, go

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ahead and visit. I've got a couple up right now,

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let's go the best bets and I'll just go back

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to the first game. It's what I feel strongest about.

358
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It is what I bet. I think Tampa Bay and

359
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Detroit the matchup advantages on the field, just screen points.

360
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Speaker 2: We've seen how quickly Baker.

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Speaker 3: We've seen Baker Mayfield score points without any of his

362
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three wide receivers. I mean last game or the game before.

363
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I think it was either one of those, when he

364
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didn't have Evans, when he didn't have God, when Agbuca

365
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got hurt in the middle of the game, and still Sterling,

366
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Shepherd and company step up. I think we saw Tedz Johnson,

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the rookie, catch a touchdown pass last week. It just

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doesn't matter who's on the field for him, so giving

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him a couple of his prime pieces back on the

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outside really should help them against the Detroit Secondary. And

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I do think Detroit's going to have to score to

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keep up. I think they can score to keep up.

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So give me over fifty three in the Buccaneers Lions game.

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Speaker 2: Best bet.

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Speaker 1: Good stuff for rob know and for myself. Man, I

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gotta figurell what's up with this? Why is it not

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going full screen anymore? Something has changed with these controls.

378
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Speaker 2: But my.

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Speaker 1: Best bet, you know, I'm gonna go with that prop.

380
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I like that CJ over thirty two and a half.

381
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I think it's that number for a reason. If it's

382
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only clear thirty once has to be thirty two and

383
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a half for a reason. And I laid it out

384
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because that Seattle secondary is weak, so if they want

385
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to win, they'll take advantage. I like, like robn No said,

386
00:20:24,680 --> 00:20:26,160
we don't have to worry if they're completed or not

387
00:20:26,559 --> 00:20:28,839
to get them up there. Over thirty two and a

388
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half for CJ. Straw will be my best bet. And

389
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this back up here you've already I mean, I've made

390
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one play in the NBA. You won't see it if

391
00:20:38,920 --> 00:20:41,519
you just try to go, you know, to wager Talk

392
00:20:41,559 --> 00:20:45,440
page and get it. It's not a package. But I

393
00:20:45,480 --> 00:20:47,279
have a couple of things I'm eyeing. Have you already

394
00:20:47,319 --> 00:20:49,400
started to get involved in NBA Raveno.

395
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Speaker 3: You know I will this afternoon ski the two games

396
00:20:52,799 --> 00:20:54,680
slate tomorrow I'll give a look at, and then the

397
00:20:54,720 --> 00:20:56,640
Wednesday slate I'll see if I can get something for

398
00:20:56,720 --> 00:20:59,720
tonight up there. For tomorrow, we just five dollars Tuesday

399
00:20:59,759 --> 00:21:01,720
for them was watching, so we'll try to get this

400
00:21:01,759 --> 00:21:06,279
stuff up. And there's college football tomorrow as well, so it'll.

401
00:21:06,079 --> 00:21:07,279
Speaker 2: Be a busy work afternoon.

402
00:21:07,319 --> 00:21:10,039
Speaker 3: But check us out because, like I say, tomorrow's fight

403
00:21:10,079 --> 00:21:11,960
dollar Tuesday. We'll try and get something up there for

404
00:21:12,000 --> 00:21:13,400
your NBA related.

405
00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:15,440
Speaker 1: No, we're time to sleep, Rob. You know, we got

406
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games Guns game two more weeks. We've got some more

407
00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:22,480
kids we're gonna have to handicap and talk about. So

408
00:21:23,079 --> 00:21:24,920
I can't wait for that though, if you know, you know,

409
00:21:25,119 --> 00:21:30,160
I'm getting involved as the first game. But it's good

410
00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:31,359
to talk these games out with.

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Speaker 2: You, Rob.

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00:21:31,720 --> 00:21:35,319
Speaker 1: You know you definitely help out my process. Appreciate everybody

413
00:21:35,359 --> 00:21:38,359
in the chat, great capers, great people, and we all

414
00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:40,039
are doing the same thing, just trying to help each

415
00:21:40,079 --> 00:21:44,319
other win, so I definitely can appreciate that. Best of

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00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:46,559
luck on all your action today. We'll be back again

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tomorrow talking NBA and we'll see what else we got.

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But a lot of are a couple of games in

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the NBA, so we'll catch you guys in

