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<v Speaker 1>Hey, everybody. Welcome into the Thinking Crypto podcast, your home

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<v Speaker 1>for cryptocurrency news and interviews. I'm your host, Tony Edward.

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<v Speaker 1>On your way in. Please sit that subscribe button as

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<v Speaker 1>well as the thumbs up button and leave a comment below.

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<v Speaker 1>If you're listening on a podcast platform such as Spotify

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<v Speaker 1>or Apple, please leave a five star rating and review. Folks.

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<v Speaker 1>I want to talk a bit about Bitcoin's price and

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<v Speaker 1>what we may see happen next, in addition the rotation

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<v Speaker 1>of liquidity from gold over to bitcoin. And this should

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<v Speaker 1>come as no surprise because what I've been sharing with

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<v Speaker 1>you guys is the macro thesis of we are in

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<v Speaker 1>able market for all assets. We're in the everything bubble.

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<v Speaker 1>I've been talking about there for the past two years. Right.

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<v Speaker 1>This is all following global liquidity. So it includes real estate,

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<v Speaker 1>crypto stocks, and precious metals. And what we've seen lately

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<v Speaker 1>is not only gold taking off, but silver. Right. So

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<v Speaker 1>clearly the data shows, right if you go back and

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<v Speaker 1>look at the data over the past two years, that

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<v Speaker 1>all these things are going to hire valuation and it's

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<v Speaker 1>all following once again, global liquidity. So right now Bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>an update from yesterday's podcast has dropped below the two

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<v Speaker 1>hundred day moving average. That's the bullmarket line in the sand.

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<v Speaker 1>I've often stated, if we are comfortably above that, we

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<v Speaker 1>are in a bullmarket. When we are below it in

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<v Speaker 1>a down trend, we're in a bear market. Now we've

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<v Speaker 1>seen throughout this bull market that bitcoin has dipped below

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<v Speaker 1>but recovered. So what we want to see, folks, is

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<v Speaker 1>Bitcoin recover out of here. The good thing is that

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<v Speaker 1>the RSI is at below thirty five. In fact, it

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<v Speaker 1>went below thirty four today on the daily chart. Now

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<v Speaker 1>it could go below thirty because we actually saw that

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<v Speaker 1>earlier this year with the tariff sell off right where

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<v Speaker 1>everyone was panicking and selling, and that drop was bigger,

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<v Speaker 1>and it happened over a longer timeframe of months, and

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<v Speaker 1>you know, people were like, oh my god, that's it.

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<v Speaker 1>Trump crashed the markets and so forth right. I think

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of people don't actually remember because they wouldn't

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<v Speaker 1>be freaked out as much about what's happening now. So

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<v Speaker 1>on the daily the macdi shows the bears are losing

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<v Speaker 1>some momentum. The macdee went from solid red to light red.

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<v Speaker 1>So if you know this metric and this signal, you

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<v Speaker 1>know that when you're solid, that's a very strong indicator.

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<v Speaker 1>When we're getting lighter, that's a weaker indicator. So we're

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<v Speaker 1>seeing some positive signs here, but we're not out of

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<v Speaker 1>the woods yet, absolutely not right. So I'm not saying

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<v Speaker 1>the bottom is in. That's not what I'm saying. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>saying we're close to it and we have to give

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<v Speaker 1>it time and let it play out. And then for

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<v Speaker 1>Bitcoin on the monthly chart, the bulls are still in control.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's one thing that's a big factor as to

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<v Speaker 1>why I think this bull market is not over. In addition,

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<v Speaker 1>October usually is a green month the year following a

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin having, so we had the bitcoin having last year

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<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty four, and the data shows us that October's

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<v Speaker 1>are usually good. So could October recover It's possible, but

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<v Speaker 1>it's not guaranteed. So here analyst Crypto currently said rough

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<v Speaker 1>first half of October for bitcoin, especially when compared to

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<v Speaker 1>previous posts having years like twenty thirteen, twenty seventeen, and

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<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty one. Bitcoin can still turn things around here,

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<v Speaker 1>but we really want to see that start to happen soon.

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<v Speaker 1>So again, with the bitcoin being in the over soul zone,

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<v Speaker 1>bears losing some momentum on the daily chart. We'll have

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<v Speaker 1>to wait and see, but again not guaranteed. But let's

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<v Speaker 1>see if in another week's time bitcoin bottoms out and

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<v Speaker 1>then starts moving up. Right now, we're at negative six

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<v Speaker 1>point two percent or six point zero two percent, so

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<v Speaker 1>let's see what happens now. The other factor I've been

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<v Speaker 1>highlighting as to why this doesn't feel like the top

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<v Speaker 1>like the market top is the bitcoin dominance. It has

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<v Speaker 1>not waterfall or collapse like we've seen before, and right

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<v Speaker 1>now it's actually moving back up, so that makes sense.

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<v Speaker 1>It is slowly but surely creeping its way back up.

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<v Speaker 1>So where's that big collapse? Right? Where is it? It's

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<v Speaker 1>not like the previous market cycles, and the sentiment doesn't

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<v Speaker 1>match this. Please tell me which bull market ends in fear.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not like that at all. And not to mention,

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<v Speaker 1>you have gold ripping right now and we're going to

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<v Speaker 1>get to gold, so let me not get ahead of myself.

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<v Speaker 1>But USDT dominance, the stable coin dominance that is also

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<v Speaker 1>not collapsed like we've seen before. So why is this

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<v Speaker 1>all of a sudden? You know something people are calling

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<v Speaker 1>the toss because they see certain things on the weekly

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<v Speaker 1>chart and so forth. But you've got to balance all

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<v Speaker 1>these data points. And like I said, I'm not saying

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<v Speaker 1>the bear case, there's not a bear case. There is

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<v Speaker 1>a bearcase, but I believe the higher probability is on

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<v Speaker 1>the bull side because of the macro factors, the unchained factors,

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<v Speaker 1>and the chart factors. You got people using charts saying

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<v Speaker 1>the top is in. You can't just use one factor, right,

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<v Speaker 1>So I hope you understand what I'm trying to share

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<v Speaker 1>here and why I'm looking at this market from a

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<v Speaker 1>three to sixty point of view using multiple data points.

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<v Speaker 1>So bitcoin dominance has not dropped like before. USDT dominance

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<v Speaker 1>has not dropped before. And what we're seeing is that

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<v Speaker 1>tether they're minting. So today we had another billion, and

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<v Speaker 1>USD team minted. On October fifteenth we had a billion,

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<v Speaker 1>and October thirteenth we had a billion, So three billion

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<v Speaker 1>over the past week or so, and I expect this

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<v Speaker 1>to continue. And look, there's also other stable coins, but

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<v Speaker 1>we use each other as the main benchmark. So that

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<v Speaker 1>liquidity we know is going to make its way into

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<v Speaker 1>the market. And now jumping to the goal conversation, so

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<v Speaker 1>global liquidity as I've been telling you guys, is the

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<v Speaker 1>leading indicator here, and it's one factor, but when you

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<v Speaker 1>put it together with the other factors I just shared,

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<v Speaker 1>it's showing there's more upside, and gold is following that,

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<v Speaker 1>and bitcoin was following that. But slow down a bit.

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<v Speaker 1>But we've seen these deviations throughout the bull market. It's

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<v Speaker 1>not a perfect, you know, tick for tick. It's more directional.

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<v Speaker 1>We know that. Hey, if this is showing there's more upside,

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<v Speaker 1>regardless of the short term volatility, we're going to catch up.

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<v Speaker 1>So gold has been going parabolic, right, guys. But right

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<v Speaker 1>now it's actually pulling back a bit, and which I

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<v Speaker 1>think is healthy because holy how it is overbought on

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<v Speaker 1>the daily chart. If you go look at the RSI

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<v Speaker 1>metric for gold throughout its bull market cycle, there's never

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<v Speaker 1>been an RSI period extended like this. So it is

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<v Speaker 1>so overheated, folks, It is insane how overheated it is.

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<v Speaker 1>The RSI has been you know, hitting the nineties and

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<v Speaker 1>in the eighties, and usually you're in the overbought zone

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<v Speaker 1>as soon as you cross seventy, right, So this is

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<v Speaker 1>pretty wild. But hey, let's see, it may have more upside,

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<v Speaker 1>but this right, here is a parabolic euphoria move and

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<v Speaker 1>we're seeing retail lining up. There's people sharing on social

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<v Speaker 1>media across the world. People are lining up to buy gold.

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<v Speaker 1>So when have you seen stuff like that? Right? Usually

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<v Speaker 1>you see it for stocks and crypto, but it's on

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<v Speaker 1>the internet. But people actually lining up, that is a

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<v Speaker 1>top signal. You've got to understand when normis the retail

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<v Speaker 1>folks are lining up like this and you know we

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<v Speaker 1>can eat, go buy gold when it's been pumping like crazy,

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<v Speaker 1>going parabolic, that's a top signal. So I love the

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<v Speaker 1>breakdown that Crypto currently gave because he highlighted over the

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<v Speaker 1>past two years the correlation between gold and bitcoin and

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<v Speaker 1>when gold pump and cool down, bitcoin ran and vice versa.

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<v Speaker 1>So that correlation. This is the data now, No feelings,

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<v Speaker 1>are emotions, no bias here, This is just the data.

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<v Speaker 1>Go line up the charts yourself on Trading View and

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<v Speaker 1>you see they each have their turn. Right. I've often

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<v Speaker 1>said every asset has its day in the sun here

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<v Speaker 1>and there's rotation of liquidity. How many times have we

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<v Speaker 1>talked about that? So I believe with gold making its

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<v Speaker 1>move here and it's showing there's still life in this

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<v Speaker 1>macro bull market that I believe it's going to cool

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<v Speaker 1>down and then crypto and stocks are going to run again. Guys.

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<v Speaker 1>That has a strong possibility of playing out because of

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<v Speaker 1>how we've seen it run over the past couple of years.

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<v Speaker 1>So this is something a lot of people are sharing.

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<v Speaker 1>And look, it can't be the only factor again, because

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<v Speaker 1>some people only show this and say, see, bull market's

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<v Speaker 1>not over. But no, tell me what's happening on the

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin multi chart. Tell me what's happening with the RSI.

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<v Speaker 1>Tell me what the whales are doing when on chain

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<v Speaker 1>data right, Tell me about bitcoin dominance, USDT dominance, like

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<v Speaker 1>all the things I just shared with you. Tell me

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<v Speaker 1>what's happening with sentiment. So this is why we need

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<v Speaker 1>to look at multiple factors and not to mention. The FED,

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<v Speaker 1>as we've been highlighting, is on the path to ramp

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<v Speaker 1>down QT, which means QE is going to return and

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<v Speaker 1>they're cutting rates. So all of these macro factors are

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<v Speaker 1>bullish for the markets. It's just in the short term

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<v Speaker 1>now it's very volatile and painful. Look, I get it,

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<v Speaker 1>my bags are down to guys, right, but I hope

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<v Speaker 1>you know me by now. I try to remain even

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<v Speaker 1>keel and level headed and look at the data. And

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<v Speaker 1>as I was telling you guys earlier this year in

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<v Speaker 1>the tariff crash, the data is just screaming to me

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<v Speaker 1>it's not over. Now. Could everything I say here be

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<v Speaker 1>invalidated by another black swan event? Of course, of course, guys.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know, like I said at the beginning, if

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<v Speaker 1>Bitcoin continues breaking down and it doesn't recover to the

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<v Speaker 1>two hundred day moving average, that's bear market city. We're

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<v Speaker 1>on that train to bear market City. But it hasn't

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<v Speaker 1>done yet yet, right, And these signals are saying over bought,

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<v Speaker 1>so it can't keep going down. There's going to be

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<v Speaker 1>a floor, if you know what I mean. So this

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<v Speaker 1>is where guys, we have to be smart and look

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<v Speaker 1>at the data and be patient as well. And I

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<v Speaker 1>think global liquidity and what gold is doing and what

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<v Speaker 1>the normy retail people are doing with gold is a

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<v Speaker 1>positive sign for the rest of the markets. Now, folks,

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<v Speaker 1>the other hardware walls out there that you see have

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the same setup. It came from Treasure right.

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<v Speaker 1>They modeled devices after treasures So if you want to

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<v Speaker 1>buy a device, you can use my code thinking crypto

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<v Speaker 1>all one word, thinking crypto to get five percent off.

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<v Speaker 1>So check out the link in the description. Now, folks,

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<v Speaker 1>look at this news. Richest YouTube star mister Beasts is

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<v Speaker 1>firm files for a trademark with crypto ambitions. So we

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<v Speaker 1>know mister Beasts the largest YouTuber. I watch his content.

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<v Speaker 1>He does some pretty cool stuff and it looks like

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<v Speaker 1>he's going to dabble in Web three and it makes sense, right,

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<v Speaker 1>we see the direction to puck his heading in everybody's

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<v Speaker 1>going to integrate blockchain in one form of the other.

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<v Speaker 1>So let me give it to details Beast holdings tied

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<v Speaker 1>to YouTube personality. Mister Beast has filed a trademark application

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<v Speaker 1>for mister Beasts Financial with Crypto linked services. The application

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<v Speaker 1>includes language related to crypto and Web three, such as

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<v Speaker 1>managing financial services, downloadable software and SaaS tools for managing

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<v Speaker 1>crypto related functionality. The move hints at a potential push

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<v Speaker 1>into fintech and Web three, possible targeting mister Bees's massive

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<v Speaker 1>audience and could serve as a crypto on rep or exchange.

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<v Speaker 1>Some more details here is that the application includes services

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<v Speaker 1>like cryptocurrency payment processing, crypto exchange, and trading through a

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<v Speaker 1>decentralized exchange also known as a dex. So this would

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<v Speaker 1>be a smart move for mister Bees if he creates

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<v Speaker 1>some sort of app where he's able to offer a

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<v Speaker 1>token or NFTs but also allow people to buy crypto.

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<v Speaker 1>Right now, we'll have to see all the details, right,

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<v Speaker 1>don't trust We get to verify, right, We've got to

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<v Speaker 1>make sure that this is going to be built well

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<v Speaker 1>and with security in mind, and much more. But if

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<v Speaker 1>this is what he's doing, he's going to bring in millions,

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<v Speaker 1>potentially billions of people into Web three guys. And it

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<v Speaker 1>doesn't necessarily have to be folks buying crypto, but even

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<v Speaker 1>if they're using NFTs or they're using blockchain in different

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<v Speaker 1>ways with rewards, tokens and things like that, that is

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<v Speaker 1>something that's going to bring more people on chain, get

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<v Speaker 1>them more comfortable with using crypto related wallets, understanding blockchain

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<v Speaker 1>and cryptography and tokenization, and much more. So on. Social

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<v Speaker 1>media users are speculating mister Bees could be planning a

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<v Speaker 1>cryptocurrency exchange or crypto linked neo bank. I think it's

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<v Speaker 1>more of the latter. It's like more of a neo bank.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't think he's gonna go straight up this is

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<v Speaker 1>my crypto app, but you know it's gonna be tied

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<v Speaker 1>into his YouTube channel and brand where you can probably

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<v Speaker 1>buy his merchandise, his chocolates and things that he makes,

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<v Speaker 1>but also do cool things where we'll with rewards and

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<v Speaker 1>we'll see who he partners with. I don't believe he's

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<v Speaker 1>gonna be building this some scratch. It makes sense if

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<v Speaker 1>he partners with an existing infrastructure, right, like a coinbase

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<v Speaker 1>or like a PayPal or something, right, a company that

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<v Speaker 1>has these things already in place. So let's see this.

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<v Speaker 1>Whoever gets the partnership, I mean it's gonna be huge,

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<v Speaker 1>and mister Bees's brand is huge, guys. I mean, I

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<v Speaker 1>don't think I need to tell you all about that.

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<v Speaker 1>If you don't know who mister Bass, then you have

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<v Speaker 1>been sleeping under a rock or something. But this would

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<v Speaker 1>be a massive on ramp. So very bullish news here.

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<v Speaker 1>Now look at this news and this may be a

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<v Speaker 1>bit controversial because it touches a bit of politics and media,

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<v Speaker 1>but I'm here to report the news, so don't shoot

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<v Speaker 1>the messengers. Newsmax stock ticks higher amid plans to establish

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<v Speaker 1>a five million dollar crypto treasury with Trump token and bitcoin. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm okay with bitcoin, right and the other assets e

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<v Speaker 1>theorem ICs repy the Trump token. I don't like that.

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<v Speaker 1>I've told you guys from day one, no president, Democrat, Republican,

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<v Speaker 1>independent should have a token, should have a meme coin.

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<v Speaker 1>So I'm not a believer in that. But I do

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<v Speaker 1>appreciate Trump being procrypto obviously, but I don't like that token.

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<v Speaker 1>But look, the treasury move continues, more companies buying and

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<v Speaker 1>putting assets on their balance sheet. Guys, this is bullish,

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<v Speaker 1>and again, as I said in yesterday's podcast, regardless of

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<v Speaker 1>if you like these companies or not, that doesn't matter.

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<v Speaker 1>What matters. They're buying the assets you're holding, creating a

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<v Speaker 1>more of a supplying demand economic shock, and they're putting

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<v Speaker 1>the news out in the public, so pumping you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the token and things like that. So let's ride the

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<v Speaker 1>wave that. I'm okay, you guys, keep buying but you know,

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<v Speaker 1>one of the things I said, I don't know how

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<v Speaker 1>many of these companies survive the bear market. So this

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<v Speaker 1>is why we want to make sure we take into

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<v Speaker 1>profits as we head to that blow off top folks.

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<v Speaker 1>And speaking of folks that are bullish, Charles Schwab CEO

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<v Speaker 1>Rick Worster remains bullish on crypto exchange traded products talking

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<v Speaker 1>about ETFs, stating that the asset manager's clients own twenty

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<v Speaker 1>percent of all crypto ETPs in the country. Crypto ETPs

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<v Speaker 1>have been very active, he said on CNBC on Friday,

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<v Speaker 1>noting that visits to the company's crypto site have gone

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<v Speaker 1>up ninety percent in the past year. Of course, so

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<v Speaker 1>all of Wall Street is capitulating, bending the knee, even Vanguard.

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<v Speaker 1>Remember the guys who were trashing crypto and eat yes

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<v Speaker 1>and so forth. Now, oh yeah, we're gonna listen, We're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna add it. Right, they all got to bend to

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<v Speaker 1>the folks. So Schwab currently offers crypto et aps and

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin futures and plans to offer crypto spot trading to

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<v Speaker 1>its clients in twenty twenty six. So this will be

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<v Speaker 1>a huge on wrap guys. And guess what all Wall

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<v Speaker 1>Street's gonna do this, right, We've seen it with other

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<v Speaker 1>asset classes. It's not a matter of if, it's just

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<v Speaker 1>a matter of when, and they're gonna. I think many

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<v Speaker 1>of them are waiting for, like the Clarity Act to pass,

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<v Speaker 1>the Market Structure Bill to do more. That's from what

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<v Speaker 1>I've heard from interviewing people and even off the record conversations.

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<v Speaker 1>Obviously I can't tell you who, but you know, from

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<v Speaker 1>very credible folks, and they're just waiting. They they're like, hey, look,

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<v Speaker 1>we're doing some research, you know, testing the waters, you know, internally,

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<v Speaker 1>but we can't put out certain things yet because you know,

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<v Speaker 1>our legal team is saying, wait, wait for legislation, because

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<v Speaker 1>until it's a matter of principle, until it's in stone

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<v Speaker 1>that has been passed into law by Congress and not

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<v Speaker 1>let's say, an executive order by President Trump, because if

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<v Speaker 1>it's just an executive order and a new president in

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<v Speaker 1>four years or whatever can reverse that. But if Congress

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<v Speaker 1>passes it, it's a done deal, baby, right. So they

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<v Speaker 1>that's what they're waiting for. And it's amazing to see

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<v Speaker 1>what is happening and who's getting involved. Now. Final news

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<v Speaker 1>item here, Robin hood tokenizes nearly five hundred US stocks

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<v Speaker 1>ETFs on Arbitram for EU users. Now, many of you

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<v Speaker 1>may recall my interview with Vlad Tenev from earlier this

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<v Speaker 1>year in August actually, and we talked a bit about this.

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<v Speaker 1>If you haven't seen that interview, check it out, folks.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know, they chose Arbitram, the ethereum layer two

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<v Speaker 1>to tokenize, and they're all on board. They see what's coming,

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<v Speaker 1>and they're trying to beat a lot of the other

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<v Speaker 1>Wall Street firms, and they're doing it globally. So Robinhoods

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<v Speaker 1>has expanded its tokenization initiative on the Arbitram blockchain, deploying

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<v Speaker 1>eighty new stock tokens in the past few days and

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<v Speaker 1>bringing the total number of tokenized assets close to five hundred.

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<v Speaker 1>According to the data from Doune Analytics, robin Head has

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<v Speaker 1>tokenized four hundred and ninety three assets with a total

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<v Speaker 1>value exceeding eight point five million dollars. Cumulative mint volume

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<v Speaker 1>has surpassed nineteen point three million, offset by around eleven

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<v Speaker 1>point five million in burning activity, signaling a growing but

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<v Speaker 1>actively traded market. So guys, I mean, we know this

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<v Speaker 1>is just going to continue to expand and they're not

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<v Speaker 1>the only one we know kracking. Even Galaxy Wee Bowl

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<v Speaker 1>and a whole bunch of other folks are looking to

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<v Speaker 1>do the same. And again they're doing this globally, right,

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<v Speaker 1>So it's this is a tokenization race. It's amazing to

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<v Speaker 1>watch all this play out. And like I said, you

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<v Speaker 1>want to look at the blockchains that are being used,

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<v Speaker 1>so arbitrump, you may want to get grabbed the arb token.

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<v Speaker 1>Not financial advice, do your research now. Personally, I'm not

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<v Speaker 1>because i believe at this stage in the market, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not buying I will be buying in the bear market.

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<v Speaker 1>So maybe I'll look at arbitraum. I'll let you guys know, right,

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<v Speaker 1>we'll see what else is happening on arbitrum. And if

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<v Speaker 1>robinhood is just using arbitrum as a testing ground, but

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<v Speaker 1>they decide to build their own layer to any theorem

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<v Speaker 1>or whatever else. Right, So these are the things we

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<v Speaker 1>have to consider, and you know, do our due diligence, right,

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<v Speaker 1>So we don't just fomo in because of a headline,

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<v Speaker 1>but we have to take the time to do the research.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know, I always share with you guys the

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<v Speaker 1>different factors I'm looking at when I'm investing in a

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<v Speaker 1>blockchain or a token. So I hope you understand what

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<v Speaker 1>I'm saying here, and now we'll continue this journey, folks.

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<v Speaker 1>Ari folks. If you appreciated the content, please please subscribe

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<v Speaker 1>to my email newsletter. It is one hundred percent free.

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<v Speaker 1>Link will be in the description. And check out my

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<v Speaker 1>book on Amazon's available in paperback in digital, and my

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<v Speaker 1>course at Mycrypto course dot com. This is a comprehensive

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00:19:50.920 --> 00:19:53.920
<v Speaker 1>course that teaches you everything about crypto, so once again,

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<v Speaker 1>go to Mycrypto course dot com. Folks, thank you so

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<v Speaker 1>much for watching and listening. I appreciate you all in

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<v Speaker 1>I'll talk to you all later. M mm hmmmm