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Speaker 1: You are live, my friend.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to wager Talk Today, the gold standard of sports

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betting shows where we.

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Speaker 1: Talk, to talk and walk the walk.

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Speaker 2: It is Wednesday, middle of the week. We're diving deep

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into college football and MLB. Ralph Michaels has UTEP versus

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Sam Houston and Tulsa versus East Carolina. And he's got

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his favorite NFL Week seven trends and angles. It's more

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like MythBusters. We're gonna dispel some myths about back to

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backs this week.

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Speaker 1: Ross the Boss Benjamin is back. Baby.

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Speaker 2: You guys have been asking. He's finally feeling better. Ross's back.

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He's gonna join us for Blue Jays, Mariners, North Carolina

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and cal And then another episode of this line makes

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no sense. It's time to get sharp, guys. Let's get

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into it. You guys have to do hit the like button,

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algorithm boost you guys know and say we got a comment.

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I won't ever miss Contender Series again. Thank you for

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the breakdown. Absolutely, we hit our five dollars Tuesday play

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and it was one of the best live betting nights

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of Contender Series. I think all said and dead. We

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went nine and one last night and there's only six fights.

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Good lord, it was an insanely good night. Sadly, that

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was the last night of Contender series. King, But join

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us for the UFC show. We're gonna be We're gonna

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be printing tickets on that one too. All right, let's

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bring in Ralph and his pen and we're gonna we're

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gonna talk some college football. Ralph, you were saying, you

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love Wait how many days was it? Forty nine days

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in a row?

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Speaker 3: Now we are in a stretch of forty nine straight

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days of football that goes until the Wednesday prior to Thanksgiving.

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Then we have that great Thanksgiving week with all the

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Friday games. You know, Andy, we talked about this before

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we got on the air. Why the heck are we

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talking about a game where the teams are combined oh

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and eleven against de FBS teams because it's on TV.

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's insane. UTEP versus Sam Houston Ralph.

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Speaker 2: Neither team can score there, I mean you mentioned did

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they're combined one and eleven.

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Speaker 1: This is I'm calling this, Ralph.

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Speaker 2: The resistible force versus the movable object.

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Speaker 1: These two teams are struggling.

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Speaker 2: Somebody's got to win tonight. UTEP how'd you like to

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be the linemaker in this one? Who are you gonna

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make favorite UTEP minus two? How are we gonna do

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an over under on two teams? I can't score. Put

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it at forty seven and a half and let the

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people decide. What's your breakdown on this on this game?

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Speaker 1: Well, I like UTEP.

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Speaker 3: Actually, you know, UTEP's one win was against an FCSFO

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They beat U T. Martin, you know, and you look

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at UTEP and UTEP was a team that people were

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picking that had a shot in the CUSA. Why because

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Malachi Nelsons their quarterback. He was a USC four or

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five star recruit, depending on who you use. We thought

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they were gonna go up tempo Scotty Walden in a

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second season.

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Speaker 1: Well, guess what.

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Speaker 3: Malachi Nelson has completed fifty five percent, eight touchdowns and

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nine interceptions on the season. That's the reason UTEP can't win.

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UTEPT has not won the turnover battle in any game,

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and in fact, versus FBS teams, they've lost the turnover

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battle in every game and they're minus seven on the year.

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You're not going to win many games that way. Let's

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look at season to date numbers though, UTEP has played

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one of the weakest schedules. You know, they played Texas,

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they lost twenty seven to ten. They kept that game

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within reason, but their overall strength of schedule ANDY is

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uh number one thirty. Remember there's only one hundred and

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thirty six teams. You look at the Sam Houston side.

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They have actually played the number sixty two schedule. So

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when I look at yards per game diff UTEP eighty five,

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sam Houston won thirty three. That's yards per game offense

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minus the defense and their rank.

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Speaker 1: So that's about where it should be.

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Speaker 3: You look at where UTEP strength the schedule is Sam

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Houston's strength of schedules. The offense is as you said

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this year, one eighteen and one thirty one. The scoring

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offense is number one hundred and twenty and number one

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one hundred and twenty seven pace of play. The reason

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the total is so low both offenses are bad. You

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kept with a positive defense. Their defense is actually playing

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very well. You kept as number ninety nine in plays

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per game run. Sam Houston one of the slowest teams

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in all of the FBS. They are averaging under sixty

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yards per play. That is number one thirty one in

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the FBS. Neither has explosive plays combined. There you have

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one hundred explosive plays of ten yards or more. That

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may sound a lot, but that's number one hundred and

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twenty eight, number one hundred and thirty. So we've got

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a lot of ugly offensive stats. We have two very

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slow paced teams. But Andy, I am going to say this,

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I do lean under in this game, but as I've

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done with a lot of unders, I prefer first half.

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Why because we're getting a fair number with twenty three

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and a half, and when you have two desperate teams

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looking for their first FBS win, this is the type

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of situation where you may try in the second half

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to go forward on fourth down when you're not accustomed

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to it, to try some trick plays. Turnovers will be

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a factor here both teams. They're negative turnovers. I'll hope

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that those turnovers are in the opponent's red zone, which

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you always want with in under versus versus in your

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own red zone backed up to your end zone where

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teams can get defensive touchdowns. I lean you TEP can't

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lay points on the road with them, So give me

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under twenty three or twenty three and a half for

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the first half.

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Speaker 2: I like that breakdown. Yeah, you got two teams that

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can't score. Yeah, absolutely, I like to read on that one.

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Let's move to Tulsa and East Carolina.

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Speaker 1: It's just funny to say out loud.

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Speaker 2: Tulsa's two wins are against Abilene Christian and Oklahoma State, Like,

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it just doesn't sound right.

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Speaker 1: In East Carolina, boy with Ralph when they win, they

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win big three wins.

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Speaker 2: What is it, one hundred and twenty two to nine

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combined combined total, So you're they're laying a big number,

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but they can do it.

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Speaker 1: What's your breakdown on this game?

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Speaker 3: You know, I've been an East Carolina fan this entire season,

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and there's a trend which I'll get to at the

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end of this which is actually keeping me off playing

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East Carolina. Well, we just had two of the slowest

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tempo teams at number ninety nine and one thirty one

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plays per game. This is the polar opposite these teams.

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East Carolina is number two in the country averaging seventy

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seven point two plays per game. Tulsa number eighteen in

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the country, averaging seventy three points per game, so both

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will have plenty of pace. The one thing I am

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very happy that Trey Lamb did. Trey Lamb is a

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first year head coach. They brought back a starter from

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last year. He was a full time starter under under

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Their coach last season was Kirk Francis, but they they

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he didn't have a good camp he came in, so

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he switched both quarterbacks. You have two quarterbacks on the

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Tulsa Golden Hurricanes that have each started three games. Well,

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what's the old adage?

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Speaker 1: If you have two quarterbacks, you have no quarterbacks.

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Speaker 3: He's finally made the decision and he is going to

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go to Baylor Haynes moving forward. Baylor Haynes, by the way,

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sixty one percent, Kirk Francis sixty percent. But Baylor Haynes

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has had a better a better feel for the offense.

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He's driven him downfield more. He has gotten more first

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downs than Kirk Francis has. So with a rush attack

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that's actually playing pretty decent at one hundred and fifty

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three yards per game and four point one yards per carry,

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I think that is the right choice for Tulsa. You

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look at East Carolina, they scored nineteen points at Tulane.

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Tulane's defense is very good, Tulane's runs the ball often.

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They scored twenty eight points against Army. Army runs the

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ball slows down the clock. Against BYU, they have four

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hundred and four yards but only thirteen points because they

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were minus two turnovers. ECS offense is legit between behind

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Caitlyn Hauser. He's averaging eight point zero yards per attempt,

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not great, but he does get the ball downfield. He

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has four receivers over three hundred yards. They're all averaging

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over thirteen yards per reception. And we look at the

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Tulsa defense. Their numbers are okay because they played Abilene

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Christian in New Mexico State early, but you look at

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their numbers over the last four weeks. Four hundred and

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forty yards per game, twenty five first downs allowed. That's

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a massive number in those last four games. Tulsa making

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a change of quarterback abilizes their offense. Tulsa's defense not good.

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East Carolina very misleading last three games, scoring a combined

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sixty points. We're actually getting value because of their offense

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has has played. Their offense has not looked as good

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as they should. These kind of cases, with these kind

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of tempos, with us getting value, this total should be

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sixty two or sixty three, but East Carolina's offense the

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last couple of weeks have has kept us number lower.

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I'm on over and this actually may be a client

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release for me.

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Speaker 1: So if you.

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Speaker 3: See tomorrow at wager Talk that I have a college

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football client release and it's.

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Speaker 1: A Thursday college football total, guess what. Don't buy it?

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You know what it is.

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Speaker 2: Ralph Michaels, Everyone, let's talk some NFL trends. Last week,

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you did the off of a buy and how that

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myth about no teams off by or rest they cover

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more than they don't. And then I told you me

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and Dan did the exact same thing on Friday. We

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were like, well the team's off, Oh I just naturally

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you just say it. So we're gonna do another one today.

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We're talking about back to back road games and back

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to back home games. And when you say that, you say, oh,

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well back to back home games, surely they must have

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the better covering record or straight up record whatever back

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to back road game, so tough, so tough numbers are

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kind of a little different.

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Speaker 1: On this one. This one is surprising.

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Speaker 3: So tell us what say I'm gonna say if you

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and I go to the bar tonight, we go into

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a sports bar, people watching the football game, and we

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say to people, you tell me, is an ATS record

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better since twenty nineteen for teams playing a second straight

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home game or a second straight road game. I'm gonna

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stay probably eight or nine, maybe even all ten would

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say the ATS record for the home team, and the

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ATS record for the home team is fifty percent, so

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not while and again the away team. If we could

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see the chart, we will see back to back away

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teams are fifty one point two percent against the spread.

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Back to back home teams are fifty percent. So while

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it's only a one point two percent difference, we're not

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telling you to not bet back to back home. We're

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not telling you to bet back to back away. We

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just have to make sure when you're handicapping this game,

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you don't make it a negative that a team is

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playing a second straight road game. Now below, if you

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look on the chart, you're gonna see the gray numbers

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with the small ps so on the top line. On

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the left hand side teams playing a second straight away,

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right hand side teams playing a second straight home. The

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middle is previous win is a favorite, previous loss, is

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a favorite, previous win is a dog, previous loss as

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a dog, And you see there are a couple reds

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and one green that do stick out. So let's look

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at the teams playing a second straight away game. If

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they lost the first game as a favorite, they've gone

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thirty seven and twenty six fifty nine percent against the spread.

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There is one game that applies to this this weekendy,

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and who would that be?

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Speaker 1: The Philadelphia Eagles.

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Speaker 3: And you have the Eagles colors behind you just for

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that reason, I see why you did that on a

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couple negative situations. This doesn't apply to anyone. But if

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you're playing a second straight road and you lost the

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last game as a dog, you're only forty six point

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nine percent. And if you're playing a second straight home

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and you won the first game as a dog, you're

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forty two point one percent. I will post this on

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Twitter at cal Sports LV if you want some more time.

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But two more things I want to mention on this.

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Someone had reached out to this and I get asked

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this every year a couple times a year. What happens

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if a team is back to back home versus a

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team back to back away. The team playing back to

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back home only forty six point five percent, So that

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is a more of a MythBuster to me that you

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would think a team that hasn't traveled versus another team,

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the back to back road teams fifty three point five.

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And if the whole ome team is off a win

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playing a team playing a back to back road game

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off a loss, the home team is only forty three percent.

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A bigger play on. There is one negative, Andy calling

249
00:13:12,600 --> 00:13:17,080
you Teddy, sorry about that. I apologize tremendously. When a

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00:13:17,120 --> 00:13:19,639
team is away for a third straight we know back

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to backs aren't bad, but when a team is on

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the road for a third straight game, they are only

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forty four point three percent. And if they're on the

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road for a third straight game and they're often away win,

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they're only thirty seven percent. So no problems back to

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back road, but when you get to a third straight

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road there are some.

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Speaker 2: Negatives, all right, all right, yeah, it makes it makes

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all the sense. So when you're looking at this chart, guys,

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look at the red, the two reds, and the green,

261
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and just know that we've got this this Philadelphia Eagles

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00:13:49,039 --> 00:13:52,399
situation that's coming up. So Ralph, you've got some stuff

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00:13:52,399 --> 00:13:54,879
about gold Sheet. Tell us about gold Sheet this week.

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Speaker 3: Well, we have a sale on gold Sheet today, guys.

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Gold Sheet normally nineteen dollars a week. And if you're

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00:14:00,639 --> 00:14:03,399
not sure what you're gonna get with gold Sheet, take

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00:14:03,440 --> 00:14:07,240
a look. This is one game that we're bringing up.

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And in this game, you're gonna see a complete write up.

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You're gonna see a stat breakdown. You're gonna see their

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averages over the last three games, which I love to

271
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look how a team has performed, what their average line was,

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what their opponent's power rating was. And one thing I

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00:14:25,000 --> 00:14:27,559
do want to point out here if we can show

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the team logs for the Florida Atlantic team, the.

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Speaker 1: Goal she logs.

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00:14:34,519 --> 00:14:36,080
Speaker 2: Let me say, I pulled that up off the Wi

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00:14:36,080 --> 00:14:40,600
Fi went out in the office, So I'm flying by

278
00:14:40,600 --> 00:14:42,200
this or flying by the seat of our pants.

279
00:14:42,240 --> 00:14:44,279
Speaker 1: Are off, Just start talking. I'll pull up these files,

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all right.

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Speaker 3: So we're gonna look at the We're gonna look at

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the South Florida excuse me, the Florida Atlantic.

283
00:14:55,279 --> 00:14:55,720
Speaker 1: Logs.

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Speaker 3: The logs are full game, first quarter and first half.

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There you go, Thank you very much.

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Speaker 4: Andy.

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00:15:02,039 --> 00:15:04,159
Speaker 3: This is just the logs, guys. There's so much more

288
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information Florida Atlantic full game three and three against the spread.

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You see that first column, Take a look at the

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middle column that is first quarter Andy, they are not

291
00:15:15,360 --> 00:15:18,159
only six to zero in the first quarter, look at

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those average cover margins that they've had first half. By

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the way, they're five and one over under. So it

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00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:27,639
really does help you where if you're one that always

295
00:15:27,639 --> 00:15:31,519
bets full game. When you're looking at both logs above

296
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and below each other, if you have a team that's

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00:15:33,639 --> 00:15:35,600
great in the first quarter against the team poor in

298
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the first quarter, or great first half, poor first half,

299
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those are the kind of extra value that you do

300
00:15:41,360 --> 00:15:43,720
get with the gold cheat logs. I look at them

301
00:15:43,759 --> 00:15:47,919
every game. Gold Cheat normally nineteen dollars a week, right

302
00:15:48,039 --> 00:15:52,039
up on every FBS game, every NFL game, logs for

303
00:15:52,080 --> 00:15:56,639
every team, stat profiles for every team. This week, try

304
00:15:56,639 --> 00:15:59,440
the gold sheet out for only nine dollars. The code

305
00:15:59,720 --> 00:16:02,840
G ten had to wait to talk. Right on the

306
00:16:02,840 --> 00:16:04,679
front page in the main brick, you're going to see

307
00:16:04,679 --> 00:16:07,759
the gold Sheet nineteen dollars, Click on it, purchase it,

308
00:16:08,120 --> 00:16:11,759
use the coupon GS ten, and guess what you're getting

309
00:16:11,759 --> 00:16:14,759
this week's gold sheet for nine bucks. I had to

310
00:16:14,759 --> 00:16:17,679
look it up, Andy, that is twelve and a half

311
00:16:17,799 --> 00:16:21,120
cents per game. You want to talk about value, guys,

312
00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:24,480
check out this week's gold Sheet coupon code TOS ten.

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00:16:24,679 --> 00:16:27,320
I see Ross smiling back there. He is ready to

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get on this stage.

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Speaker 2: Ralph Michael's everyone, there's your breakdown in college football trends,

316
00:16:34,399 --> 00:16:37,039
and don't forget to use that promo code GS ten

317
00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:39,559
to get your instant discount on gold cheat. Good luck, Ralph,

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00:16:39,720 --> 00:16:42,080
Let's have a great week shout out to everyone in

319
00:16:42,159 --> 00:16:46,480
the chat. A couple of comments, Andy, what happened to

320
00:16:46,519 --> 00:16:50,799
our cricket expert? Cricket is back this weekend. The cricket

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00:16:50,799 --> 00:16:53,480
has a very very weird schedule, so we've got some

322
00:16:53,600 --> 00:16:55,639
leagues that are not beatable and then some leagues that

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are very betable.

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Speaker 1: So we're going to actually jump into cricket here this weekend.

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00:17:00,720 --> 00:17:01,279
Just talk to him.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna have some soccer as well, so it should

327
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be a really really good weekend. Somebody asked about a

328
00:17:07,119 --> 00:17:09,640
player prop. I do not have any player props for

329
00:17:09,720 --> 00:17:12,680
the college football game, so apologize for that.

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Speaker 1: One.

331
00:17:13,039 --> 00:17:14,839
Speaker 2: Just couldn't find any value. I mean, they got this guy,

332
00:17:14,960 --> 00:17:18,519
London Montgomery. He's minus one fifteen for an anytime touchdown

333
00:17:18,519 --> 00:17:19,960
scores guy scored in one game.

334
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Speaker 1: The touchdown props.

335
00:17:21,640 --> 00:17:24,759
Speaker 2: They're fun, but there's only a couple guys that there's

336
00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:29,079
really any value on in any of these sports. It's

337
00:17:29,119 --> 00:17:32,480
fun to throw, like a few of them in parlays

338
00:17:32,519 --> 00:17:34,119
like those are fun to root on, but as far

339
00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:37,160
as actual bank roll building, the only one that I've

340
00:17:37,240 --> 00:17:37,880
used over.

341
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Speaker 1: The years is Jalen Hurts. Jalen Hurts to score a touchdown.

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00:17:41,240 --> 00:17:44,279
Speaker 2: We catch that for clients last weekend, but he's averaging

343
00:17:44,319 --> 00:17:47,160
like one rushing touchdown per game as a pro. That's

344
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the only one that I've really really found much value in.

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00:17:49,920 --> 00:17:54,359
Speaker 1: So all right, let's bring in Ross the Boss.

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Speaker 2: And Ross, I got to tell you you are loved,

347
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my friend, because people have been asking about you.

348
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Speaker 1: And when I'm gone, I don't know when.

349
00:18:03,359 --> 00:18:04,599
Speaker 2: I'm not on the show, I don't know if people

350
00:18:04,599 --> 00:18:07,400
ask about me, but you have been asked about every

351
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single week. So first off, welcome, thank you very much

352
00:18:11,319 --> 00:18:12,440
for joining us, and how are you?

353
00:18:13,519 --> 00:18:17,359
Speaker 4: Thank you Andy much better And I appreciate all the

354
00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:21,359
viewers out there, clients that have reached out and expressed

355
00:18:22,319 --> 00:18:25,599
some heartwarming messages to me. You know, I thought I

356
00:18:25,640 --> 00:18:28,279
had a stomach bug a couple of weeks ago, Andy,

357
00:18:28,319 --> 00:18:34,119
and it ended up being a infection and I had

358
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to go under an emergency gall bladder infection. He had

359
00:18:36,640 --> 00:18:40,759
to go under emergency surgery in a five days stay

360
00:18:40,759 --> 00:18:44,079
in the hospital. So I'm good Now I'm ready to go.

361
00:18:44,279 --> 00:18:47,920
Speaker 2: My friend, well, I'm always taking the over on Ross

362
00:18:47,960 --> 00:18:50,680
Benjamin coming out on the good side.

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00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:54,640
Speaker 4: So you know, ROSSI between when happened in early January

364
00:18:54,640 --> 00:18:57,960
with the prostate cancer, now I've gotten sixty seven years

365
00:18:58,000 --> 00:19:02,200
staying healthy, Andy, and this year has been just a nightmare.

366
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And if I was a used car and you bought

367
00:19:04,799 --> 00:19:08,200
me in January, I'd certainly qualify for you turning me

368
00:19:08,200 --> 00:19:11,160
in as a lemon law. But you know, not my handicap,

369
00:19:11,200 --> 00:19:12,480
and there's no lemon law there.

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00:19:14,519 --> 00:19:17,359
Speaker 1: Let's get let let's let's finish strong in twenty twenty five.

371
00:19:17,440 --> 00:19:18,279
Let's let's make this.

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Speaker 2: Let's make this a winner here, all right, let's go

373
00:19:21,759 --> 00:19:24,279
to let's do a Major League baseball First, we got

374
00:19:24,279 --> 00:19:29,160
Blue Jays and the Mariners ALCS Game three. Bieber was

375
00:19:29,200 --> 00:19:31,920
a little shaky coming into the playoffs, but last game,

376
00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:34,839
you know, five hits, two earned runs, two point two innings.

377
00:19:35,079 --> 00:19:38,279
Kirby was good in two starts versus Detroit, ten innings,

378
00:19:38,279 --> 00:19:41,640
three earned runs. You got Seattle up to zero, and

379
00:19:41,839 --> 00:19:44,640
you got Toronto's plus one zero eight Seattle minus one

380
00:19:44,640 --> 00:19:47,720
thirty one. Very vanilla number of seven is the over under.

381
00:19:47,759 --> 00:19:50,079
I feel like that's just kind of the They just

382
00:19:50,160 --> 00:19:53,200
put just stick seven on these playoff games and let

383
00:19:53,279 --> 00:19:53,839
us figure it out.

384
00:19:53,880 --> 00:19:55,920
Speaker 1: How do you break down the Blue Jays and the Mariners.

385
00:19:56,240 --> 00:19:59,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, I have a money line winner in this game

386
00:19:59,799 --> 00:20:04,200
up for sale right now at wager talking at wt

387
00:20:04,279 --> 00:20:06,880
dot Buzz slash RB. You can find that pick there.

388
00:20:06,920 --> 00:20:10,759
But for now, I'm going to concentrate on a player,

389
00:20:10,960 --> 00:20:13,839
a pitcher prop here, and I'm going to look at

390
00:20:14,279 --> 00:20:17,519
Shane Bieber's strikeout total of four and a half. Now,

391
00:20:18,039 --> 00:20:21,039
you had mentioned he's coming off a shaky start against

392
00:20:21,079 --> 00:20:25,000
the Yankees and his only postseason outing. However, against this

393
00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:30,200
current Blue Jays roster, they've gone twenty five for one

394
00:20:30,240 --> 00:20:35,759
hundred and nine against Bieber, excuse me, against his current Yeah,

395
00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:39,440
current Blue Jays roster, they've gone twenty five for one

396
00:20:39,519 --> 00:20:43,599
hundred and nine and struck out forty four times life

397
00:20:44,400 --> 00:20:47,039
in one hundred and nine at bats, it's fifty two

398
00:20:47,039 --> 00:20:52,000
point four percent of those outs recorded came by way

399
00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:57,000
of strikeouts. That again, I'm sorry current mirrors roster. It's

400
00:20:57,000 --> 00:20:59,799
been a while. I'm a little rusty by the way.

401
00:21:00,079 --> 00:21:02,960
The Mariners. They struck out the six both times in

402
00:21:03,119 --> 00:21:06,640
all of baseball this year, and in their last three games,

403
00:21:06,680 --> 00:21:10,279
Seattle has struck out forty five times, an average of

404
00:21:10,319 --> 00:21:15,160
fifteen times per game. Andy, you know, Toronto is one

405
00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:18,920
of the best contact hitting teams in baseball. Seattle is not.

406
00:21:19,079 --> 00:21:21,400
They're one of the worst. So I'm gonna go with

407
00:21:21,519 --> 00:21:24,960
Shane Bieber over his strikeout total of four and a half.

408
00:21:26,400 --> 00:21:26,960
Speaker 1: I like it.

409
00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:30,799
Speaker 2: Like it's been been pretty entertaining MLB postseason so and

410
00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:33,920
I've loved these props. These pitcher props have been fantastic.

411
00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:36,640
We've been talking about outs. Some one of the chat says,

412
00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:38,279
take the under on the fourteen half outs.

413
00:21:38,319 --> 00:21:39,880
Speaker 1: You love the strackouts. I feel like there's a lot

414
00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:41,839
of value in these these player props.

415
00:21:42,279 --> 00:21:45,640
Speaker 2: Let's go to an interesting college football game U n

416
00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:48,559
C versus cal So when you n see faces a

417
00:21:48,599 --> 00:21:50,680
decent team, they get smoked.

418
00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:54,680
Speaker 1: You just look at them. There's no close games.

419
00:21:54,359 --> 00:21:57,119
Speaker 2: For North Carolina. They either win big or they lose big.

420
00:21:58,160 --> 00:22:01,400
Here's the question. Is Kali team they've lost to out

421
00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:03,839
of the last three. If you're telling me they're good,

422
00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:06,720
taking the minus ten. If you're telling me they're not good,

423
00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:08,799
I'm taking North Carolina out right. How do you break

424
00:22:08,799 --> 00:22:09,440
this game down?

425
00:22:10,079 --> 00:22:12,720
Speaker 4: Yeah? I can't consider Cal being a good team when

426
00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:16,000
they've committed eight turnovers in their last three games. And

427
00:22:16,119 --> 00:22:20,759
you mentioned an interesting game, I beg to differ. You know,

428
00:22:20,839 --> 00:22:23,480
I would say, if you want to go to sleep early,

429
00:22:24,200 --> 00:22:26,640
watch this game. But the only problem with that is

430
00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:30,440
it starts at ten thirty pm Eastern times, so you're

431
00:22:30,480 --> 00:22:32,640
not going to miss anything by going to bed early.

432
00:22:33,039 --> 00:22:36,039
Let me put it this way. The Keil offense over

433
00:22:36,079 --> 00:22:40,359
their last four games averaging just nineteen points and three

434
00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:43,359
hundred and twenty one point eight yards of total offense

435
00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:45,839
per contests, and a lot of that goes back to

436
00:22:45,880 --> 00:22:48,519
the committing eight turnovers in the last three games. Like

437
00:22:48,559 --> 00:22:52,319
I alluded to, hard to sustain offensive drives when you're

438
00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:55,839
turning the ball over at that rate. North Carolina over

439
00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:58,319
their last four games have played three to zero to

440
00:22:58,359 --> 00:23:00,960
one to the under with the combined to average a

441
00:23:01,039 --> 00:23:04,279
forty point three point score per game. You mentioned when

442
00:23:04,319 --> 00:23:07,559
they step up in class, and basically, I don't know

443
00:23:07,599 --> 00:23:10,119
about stepping up in class. But in there are four

444
00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:15,640
games against FBS teams, they're averaging thirteen point three points

445
00:23:15,680 --> 00:23:18,440
per game, in two hundred and fifty three yards of

446
00:23:18,519 --> 00:23:23,039
total offense per contest, thirty one point seven percent on

447
00:23:23,279 --> 00:23:28,119
third downs this year. That's terrible. And they're averaging only

448
00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:32,440
twenty six minutes in terms of time of possession and

449
00:23:32,599 --> 00:23:37,720
scoring only one point per eighteen point seven yards gain

450
00:23:37,839 --> 00:23:42,279
per So those are horrible numbers, and it's hard to

451
00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:45,319
put points on the board when you're only averaging twenty

452
00:23:45,359 --> 00:23:49,079
six minutes of total or time of possession. Andy, So

453
00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:52,079
I'm gonna go with North Carolina and Kale to go

454
00:23:52,319 --> 00:23:55,119
under the total of forty seven and a half.

455
00:23:56,119 --> 00:23:57,960
Speaker 2: I can't argue with you on that one. There's some

456
00:23:58,079 --> 00:24:01,799
there are some gross games this week in college football.

457
00:24:01,799 --> 00:24:05,079
They can't all be winners. So all right, we love

458
00:24:05,400 --> 00:24:07,799
doing the he you would be proud of me. So

459
00:24:07,839 --> 00:24:09,799
while you're going I did that. This line makes no

460
00:24:09,839 --> 00:24:13,079
sense and I got both of them right. Nice about that?

461
00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:16,400
So I filled these big shoes nicely. So I love

462
00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:19,759
the segments, one of my favorites. It's Ross's time to

463
00:24:19,799 --> 00:24:24,079
tell us this line makes no sense.

464
00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:26,480
Speaker 1: What game did you pick? And why does this line

465
00:24:26,559 --> 00:24:27,200
make no sense?

466
00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:31,880
Speaker 4: Well, I am thoroughly glad that you asked Andy, because

467
00:24:32,359 --> 00:24:37,000
Boise State is hosting U n OV this week and

468
00:24:37,079 --> 00:24:40,400
the Broncos are four and two. U n OV is

469
00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:44,920
six and zero. Yeah, Boise State yesterday was minus ten

470
00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:47,079
and a half. Now they're up to as much as

471
00:24:47,079 --> 00:24:50,079
eleven and a half to twelve and a half. And

472
00:24:50,319 --> 00:24:54,599
when you got a two lost team and they're a

473
00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:59,440
double digit favored against an undefeated team in the second

474
00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:03,279
half of is season, I would think most people would

475
00:25:03,279 --> 00:25:07,960
think they're getting a steal with the undefeated, double digit underdog.

476
00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:11,759
But hold on, my friends, Boise has played a much

477
00:25:11,799 --> 00:25:15,400
tougher schedule. Their two losses came at the hands of

478
00:25:15,559 --> 00:25:18,920
nationally ranked South Florida and their season opener on the

479
00:25:19,000 --> 00:25:23,119
road and at Notre Dame. So they're at home tonight

480
00:25:23,279 --> 00:25:29,119
against a UNLV team that struggled in their season opener

481
00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:33,039
against Idaho State, winning thirty eight to thirty one. Idaho State,

482
00:25:33,079 --> 00:25:35,799
by the way, it's an FCS team. They won that

483
00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:38,079
game with a touchdown in a last minute, and then

484
00:25:38,240 --> 00:25:41,359
last week with under a minute to play, they scored

485
00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:45,279
a touchdown to beat air Force fifty one to forty eight.

486
00:25:46,359 --> 00:25:49,359
The defense in those two games I just mentioned they

487
00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:53,759
allowed five hundred and eighty four yards per game. Here's

488
00:25:53,799 --> 00:25:56,400
the thing with UNLV, which has sparked them to that

489
00:25:56,519 --> 00:26:00,640
six and oh start. They're plus nine in the turnover department.

490
00:26:01,240 --> 00:26:04,640
Boise is a plus two and boys hasn't turned the

491
00:26:04,680 --> 00:26:08,079
ball over in three of their six games this season.

492
00:26:09,039 --> 00:26:11,559
UNLV is going to have to do more than depend

493
00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:15,079
on turnovers here. I just think this is a sucker

494
00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:19,720
play to take the undefeated, double digit underdog. Obviously the

495
00:26:19,839 --> 00:26:23,640
sharpbetters agree with me because we've seen the line movement

496
00:26:23,759 --> 00:26:26,000
go up to as much as two points in this

497
00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:30,440
game on Boise State. So better beware in this situation.

498
00:26:30,599 --> 00:26:36,039
Speaker 2: Andy, great, great segment, So be careful about laying all

499
00:26:36,079 --> 00:26:36,799
those points.

500
00:26:36,839 --> 00:26:38,880
Speaker 1: All right, Ross, what do you have up? You mentioned? Ay,

501
00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:42,440
my players aren't lemons, they're lemonade. What do you have

502
00:26:42,559 --> 00:26:44,519
up for? What lemonade do you have up for? Everyone

503
00:26:44,519 --> 00:26:45,279
at wager? Talking?

504
00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:49,960
Speaker 4: Very creative? Andy is always all right? So I got

505
00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:54,119
a baseball play money line winner up for tonight in

506
00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:58,279
Major League Baseball Game three of the ALCS between Seattle

507
00:26:58,319 --> 00:27:02,880
and Toronto. Major League Baseball number two on the season

508
00:27:03,599 --> 00:27:06,880
just relinquished a number one spot yesterday, but I'm gonna

509
00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:10,680
get it back. A nice Major League Baseball run of

510
00:27:10,759 --> 00:27:14,359
one oh three and seventy three fifty nine percent with

511
00:27:14,480 --> 00:27:17,160
a net profit of plus seventy six point three to

512
00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:21,400
zero units, I will have an I have an NFL

513
00:27:21,559 --> 00:27:25,759
winning total up for the Thursday night game. You can

514
00:27:25,799 --> 00:27:29,319
get that right now for twenty five dollars. My college

515
00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:32,680
football and NFL combined on a twenty five and thirteen

516
00:27:32,799 --> 00:27:38,839
run sixty six percent uh and also all sports one

517
00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:41,920
fifty six and one o eight since May thirteenth, fifty

518
00:27:42,000 --> 00:27:45,160
nine percent in net PROFITAB one hundred and sixteen point

519
00:27:45,319 --> 00:27:49,039
sixty nine units. And I think that covers it all

520
00:27:49,599 --> 00:27:52,799
College football. By the way, folks, it'll be a big

521
00:27:52,839 --> 00:27:57,200
Saturday once again. College football continues the role number one

522
00:27:57,240 --> 00:28:01,400
and units earned and win percentage last season on a

523
00:28:01,480 --> 00:28:05,880
fifteen and five run right now in college football since

524
00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:09,319
September ninth of twenty twenty three, going all the way

525
00:28:09,359 --> 00:28:13,680
back that far, one forty five and ninety five sixty percent,

526
00:28:14,039 --> 00:28:17,640
up one hundred and twelve units, and since twenty twenty

527
00:28:17,680 --> 00:28:21,599
three college football season started number one in units earned

528
00:28:22,400 --> 00:28:25,759
at wager Talk in college football. So a lot to like,

529
00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:27,960
a lot to take advantage of, folks. We're going to

530
00:28:28,039 --> 00:28:31,240
have a huge weekend coming up. Don't forget to jump

531
00:28:31,359 --> 00:28:34,799
on board with my Major League Baseball winner tonight Thursday,

532
00:28:34,920 --> 00:28:37,640
NFL up right now, and the rest of the weekend

533
00:28:37,799 --> 00:28:41,920
will be up within the next forty eight hours.

534
00:28:42,519 --> 00:28:45,400
Speaker 2: Ross, Benjamin Ross the Boss. So glad to have you

535
00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:47,720
back in our lives. Take care of my friend. Let's

536
00:28:47,720 --> 00:28:48,480
have a big weekend.

537
00:28:48,759 --> 00:28:52,920
Speaker 1: Thank you for everyone. God, it's great. God, it's great

538
00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:53,839
to have Ross back.

539
00:28:53,920 --> 00:28:57,359
Speaker 2: So we got a few specials running at wager Talk.

540
00:28:57,759 --> 00:29:01,200
Weekend Warrior continues to be one of the highlights of

541
00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:02,720
the specials that we've run.

542
00:29:02,920 --> 00:29:04,119
Speaker 1: You guys have Saturday.

543
00:29:04,160 --> 00:29:05,920
Speaker 2: We love the special so we're gonna keep running a

544
00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:09,480
weekend war year. You get all the football games for Saturday,

545
00:29:09,519 --> 00:29:11,920
Sunday and even Monday, so we have big, big weekend

546
00:29:11,920 --> 00:29:12,440
of football.

547
00:29:12,599 --> 00:29:13,640
Speaker 1: It's forty nine dollars.

548
00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:16,440
Speaker 2: Pick your handicapper that does college and NFL, then you

549
00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:20,640
get all those locked in includes five percent releases only

550
00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:22,720
forty nine dollars. This was a special we were gonna

551
00:29:22,759 --> 00:29:24,720
do one weekend only and it was so popular and

552
00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:26,119
it just keeps growing each week.

553
00:29:26,200 --> 00:29:27,839
Speaker 1: So Weekend Warriors.

554
00:29:27,400 --> 00:29:30,480
Speaker 2: Available this week. We've also got some flex Picks specials.

555
00:29:30,519 --> 00:29:32,960
If you guys like flex picks, we talk about these.

556
00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:35,039
I think we're the only I think we're the only

557
00:29:35,079 --> 00:29:37,039
company that does these. Where you can buy a seven

558
00:29:37,079 --> 00:29:40,079
day pass and you can pick your handicapper. You get

559
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three days for forty nine, seven days for sixty nine.

560
00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:44,160
If you want to do a long term, which we

561
00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:46,519
always recommend trying to do long term, get it. It's

562
00:29:46,519 --> 00:29:48,960
not for everybody, but if you're interested in getting picks

563
00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:51,319
longer days, we've got discounts in thirty and ninety days.

564
00:29:51,480 --> 00:29:54,839
You can pick a different handicapper each day. I got

565
00:29:54,880 --> 00:29:56,799
a five percent UFC best bet on Saturday, So you

566
00:29:56,880 --> 00:29:58,759
want to use it on Me on Saturday, Great, Then

567
00:29:58,799 --> 00:30:00,920
you want to use it on Ross on Sunday, you

568
00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:01,400
can do that.

569
00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:02,480
Speaker 1: You have all the flexibilities.

570
00:30:02,480 --> 00:30:05,480
Speaker 2: So we've got some really good discounts on flex picksover

571
00:30:05,480 --> 00:30:08,880
at wager talk dot com. Uh, we're gonna do all

572
00:30:08,920 --> 00:30:11,720
around the world. Allow me to promote my five percent

573
00:30:11,799 --> 00:30:14,960
UFC play. We're coming off another big win on Contender series.

574
00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:18,400
It was the last Contender series of the season. I'm

575
00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:20,400
sad I'm gonna miss it, but what a way to

576
00:30:20,440 --> 00:30:22,720
go out. Three and oh run to end the season.

577
00:30:22,839 --> 00:30:27,240
So nice, nice Contenter series into the season. And this

578
00:30:27,319 --> 00:30:30,559
is now, These these big plays in UFC and MMA

579
00:30:30,640 --> 00:30:33,039
have been hitting. This is two five percent plays, four

580
00:30:33,079 --> 00:30:35,519
percent and three percent that have hit. So these big

581
00:30:35,519 --> 00:30:38,480
plays have been the bright spot of UFC. That play

582
00:30:38,559 --> 00:30:40,480
is up right now. I jump on board this thing

583
00:30:40,559 --> 00:30:42,720
a sap. I don't think the line is gonna move,

584
00:30:43,079 --> 00:30:45,000
but sooner you get it. I tell you, let's tell

585
00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:46,759
you's not gonna move against us. It's gonna move the

586
00:30:46,799 --> 00:30:47,359
other direction.

587
00:30:47,440 --> 00:30:49,920
Speaker 1: So five percent UFC best bet that is up.

588
00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:52,759
Speaker 2: Right now over at my page, wt Dot Buzz slash Al.

589
00:30:53,079 --> 00:30:56,839
We're really really kicking ass in UFC. So let's cast

590
00:30:56,880 --> 00:30:59,359
this weekend, all right, Chris, let's do all around the world,

591
00:30:59,359 --> 00:31:03,000
give people some free plays. I'm gonna go to UFC.

592
00:31:03,160 --> 00:31:06,079
Here's a free play. This is kind of a steep

593
00:31:06,119 --> 00:31:08,559
price on a guy like Cody Gibson. Cody Gibson is

594
00:31:08,599 --> 00:31:12,119
not that good and This fight isn't gonna be super exciting.

595
00:31:12,519 --> 00:31:15,319
A Ricci Lang is really bad man. This guy is

596
00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:18,200
way past his prime. He gets beat up on the feet,

597
00:31:18,279 --> 00:31:21,880
he gets dominated on the matt and his most recent

598
00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:24,200
wins are all against guys that are no longer in

599
00:31:24,240 --> 00:31:26,839
the UFC. These guys have been cut.

600
00:31:27,160 --> 00:31:27,599
Speaker 1: Gibson.

601
00:31:27,759 --> 00:31:30,119
Speaker 2: He's a combinant striker and grappler, and that's really all

602
00:31:30,160 --> 00:31:32,640
you need to beat a Ricchi Lang. He's gonna have

603
00:31:32,759 --> 00:31:35,119
enough control time on the ground to take at least

604
00:31:35,119 --> 00:31:38,200
a couple of rounds unless A Ricci Lang laying something crazy,

605
00:31:38,200 --> 00:31:40,160
which he hasn't done in a long time. I think

606
00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:42,480
Gibson grinds out a decision one. A Richi Lang was

607
00:31:42,519 --> 00:31:46,480
getting his ass kicked against Daniel Marcos and quit.

608
00:31:48,200 --> 00:31:50,200
Speaker 1: It. He just stopped fighting.

609
00:31:50,359 --> 00:31:52,319
Speaker 2: They gave him a reason to quit and he took it.

610
00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:55,440
So I'm fading A Ricci Lang Panthers a red wing.

611
00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:57,400
Let's do a shots on goal sam Ryan Hart over

612
00:31:57,440 --> 00:31:59,039
two and a half shots on goal. He's gone over

613
00:31:59,079 --> 00:32:01,680
in all four games this season. You gotta remember they

614
00:32:01,759 --> 00:32:03,880
got injuries to this Florida Panthers team. There's a lot

615
00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:06,079
of shots on goal available and ryan Hart has been

616
00:32:06,119 --> 00:32:08,519
taking advantage. He's gone over in four out of the

617
00:32:08,559 --> 00:32:10,960
last five against the Detroit Red Wings. Scene keep writing

618
00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:13,480
the streak of Sam ryan Hart. And this comes from

619
00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:18,519
the wager Talk Free Picks page. Chelsea over Nottingham Forrest.

620
00:32:18,960 --> 00:32:22,279
We like Chelsea just to win, just win outright. Chelsea

621
00:32:22,359 --> 00:32:26,319
big win against Liverpool. Meanwhile, Forrest lost to zero at Newcastle.

622
00:32:26,559 --> 00:32:29,799
They were out shot eighteen to five in that game.

623
00:32:29,880 --> 00:32:32,519
Chelsea's got better form depth Forrest. They tend to get

624
00:32:32,559 --> 00:32:35,079
behind and they just don't have the firepower to catch up.

625
00:32:35,079 --> 00:32:37,240
So we're gonna take Chelsea to win outright. That's a

626
00:32:37,279 --> 00:32:39,359
free play from Ronald Combang. We got tons of free

627
00:32:39,359 --> 00:32:42,160
plays that are up on the wager Talk Free Picks page,

628
00:32:42,160 --> 00:32:45,200
So if you're looking for some more diverse plays across.

629
00:32:44,920 --> 00:32:47,160
Speaker 1: All sports, highly recommend going to there.

630
00:32:47,559 --> 00:32:49,720
Speaker 2: Thank you to Ralph Michaels, Thank you to Ross, Thank

631
00:32:49,720 --> 00:32:52,079
you to Big Dog for producing today.

632
00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:54,960
Speaker 1: Chris shout out to you, yup. Thank you guys in

633
00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:55,359
the chat.

634
00:32:55,519 --> 00:32:57,599
Speaker 2: Please hit the like button, leave us comment below, tell

635
00:32:57,680 --> 00:32:59,799
us about you're betting tonight, tell us abou you're betting

636
00:32:59,839 --> 00:33:02,640
this weekend. We got a locked and uploaded couple of

637
00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:05,119
shows to wrap out, to wrap up the week. Thursday

638
00:33:05,200 --> 00:33:06,440
is gonna be a nice show and you has no

639
00:33:06,519 --> 00:33:11,160
football Fridays. Football Fridays, the views are insane. It was

640
00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:14,160
our goal to make Fridays the best football show out there,

641
00:33:14,200 --> 00:33:16,359
and I think we've done that. It is a loaded Friday,

642
00:33:16,400 --> 00:33:19,200
so make sure you're here to watch us live. If

643
00:33:19,240 --> 00:33:21,960
you're not catch the replay. We're giving out tons of information.

644
00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:26,759
We're giving out tons of plays, props, survivor spreads. I

645
00:33:26,799 --> 00:33:30,200
went three and two on my megapit contest, so we're

646
00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:32,519
doing well. We're keeping up. We're pretty high on that leaderboard.

647
00:33:32,519 --> 00:33:34,440
So thanks very much, guys. That's gonna do it for

648
00:33:34,519 --> 00:33:36,079
us today. Good luck on all your bets. Let's have

649
00:33:36,079 --> 00:33:37,359
a big Wednesday. We'll see you tomorrow.

650
00:33:37,359 --> 00:33:37,759
Speaker 1: Take care,