1 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:03,960 Speaker 1: Are live. If you are looking to make some money 2 00:00:03,960 --> 00:00:07,519 betting the college football playoff semi finals, either semi final, 3 00:00:07,559 --> 00:00:10,960 whether it be Thursday's matchup between Miami and Old Miss 4 00:00:11,039 --> 00:00:14,359 or Friday's matchup between Indiana Oregon, you have come to 5 00:00:14,400 --> 00:00:16,800 the right place. This is the Blitz live on the 6 00:00:16,839 --> 00:00:21,039 wayge Talk, a YouTube channel sort of a how shall 7 00:00:21,079 --> 00:00:24,399 we say, an unexpected final four? Perhaps some might say, 8 00:00:24,399 --> 00:00:27,480 but you've got the expected three here on the Blitz 9 00:00:27,760 --> 00:00:29,760 like we do back in our normal times, not on Thursday. 10 00:00:29,760 --> 00:00:35,320 Myself joined by my good friends Ralph Michaels, Ross, the Boss, Benjamin. Guys, 11 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:39,119 we're gonna actually start with Friday's game down in Atlanta, 12 00:00:39,439 --> 00:00:45,679 the Peach Bowl, a rematch between Oregon and Indiana. These teams, 13 00:00:45,719 --> 00:00:50,679 of course met in Eugene back in oh What was 14 00:00:50,679 --> 00:00:53,320 that October? I want to say October eleventh, Yes, it 15 00:00:53,359 --> 00:00:54,960 was October eleventh. As a matter of fact, that was 16 00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:58,880 Indiana's coming out party, if you will. Ross. In that game, 17 00:00:58,880 --> 00:01:00,679 they were a six and a half point dog going 18 00:01:00,719 --> 00:01:03,600 into Eugene, and they went out right thirty to twenty. 19 00:01:04,920 --> 00:01:06,920 I kind of thought it was a convincing win. I 20 00:01:06,959 --> 00:01:08,519 get that it was tied in the fourth quarter, there 21 00:01:08,560 --> 00:01:11,920 was a pick six from Oregon that made that game closer. 22 00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:16,000 But I'm gonna let you start the breakdown here. Ross, 23 00:01:16,000 --> 00:01:19,319 What are you thinking for this rematch between the two? 24 00:01:19,400 --> 00:01:21,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, I agree. 25 00:01:21,599 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 3: With you, Dan. I mean, if you look inside the numbers, 26 00:01:25,359 --> 00:01:30,079 you know Oregon had all of two hundred and sixty 27 00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:33,359 seven yards in that game, so that twenty points scored 28 00:01:33,959 --> 00:01:37,159 is a bit deceiving. And you touched upon the pick 29 00:01:37,239 --> 00:01:40,319 six that had something to do with it. But you know, 30 00:01:40,640 --> 00:01:42,959 it's not like Indiana went up and down the field 31 00:01:43,000 --> 00:01:45,239 on Oregon either. I mean they only had three hundred 32 00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:50,280 and twenty six yards in that contest as well. Geez, 33 00:01:50,359 --> 00:01:52,719 you know this total opened at forty six and a half, 34 00:01:52,799 --> 00:01:54,879 downs up to forty eight and a half and forty 35 00:01:54,959 --> 00:01:58,359 nine in some places. So I just I know that 36 00:01:58,599 --> 00:02:01,000 was fifty points scored in that first game, but when 37 00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:05,239 you look at the combined total yards a little let's 38 00:02:05,239 --> 00:02:07,840 say a little over six hundred yards of total offense 39 00:02:07,879 --> 00:02:10,759 in that game, it didn't really equate to that fifty 40 00:02:10,800 --> 00:02:15,680 points scored. So I have a lean toward the under 41 00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:19,319 in this game, and even more so now that that 42 00:02:19,479 --> 00:02:22,199 total has gone up. I think that's more public money 43 00:02:22,240 --> 00:02:26,400 than it is sharp money that raise that total. 44 00:02:27,599 --> 00:02:30,039 Speaker 1: Ralph, I'm gonna go to you next with a trend. 45 00:02:30,400 --> 00:02:32,919 Of course, you are a resident trends expert here at 46 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:36,680 wagetalk dot com, and the big trend is and this 47 00:02:36,759 --> 00:02:39,159 is I guess good news for Oregon perhaps, But since 48 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:41,840 nineteen ninety teams looking to avenge the same season loss 49 00:02:41,879 --> 00:02:44,080 in a bowl or playoff game or on a seven 50 00:02:44,080 --> 00:02:48,360 to one ATS run. So what do we think are 51 00:02:48,479 --> 00:02:50,479 the Ducks? I mean, did they maybe learn a thing 52 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:54,360 or two? It's very interesting. Obviously we mentioned that Indiana 53 00:02:54,479 --> 00:02:56,319 was a six and a half point dog when they 54 00:02:56,360 --> 00:02:59,400 headed to Eugene in the regular season. Now they're the favorite. 55 00:02:59,479 --> 00:03:01,439 They of course for the number one overall seed in 56 00:03:01,439 --> 00:03:04,039 this college football playoff. The only team in the two 57 00:03:04,080 --> 00:03:07,039 year format of twelve teams to win coming off of 58 00:03:07,120 --> 00:03:10,039 buy Oregon was, of course the number one seed last year, 59 00:03:10,039 --> 00:03:12,159 had lost in its first game to Ohio State. So 60 00:03:12,719 --> 00:03:15,199 I don't know, is the It's easy to be impressed 61 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:17,879 with Indiana after what they did to Alabama. I think 62 00:03:17,879 --> 00:03:19,319 we can all agree. I had a five percent on 63 00:03:19,400 --> 00:03:20,919 Indiana that I wish they could all. 64 00:03:20,800 --> 00:03:21,400 Speaker 2: Be that easy. 65 00:03:21,759 --> 00:03:23,599 Speaker 1: But what do you think here are people sleeping on 66 00:03:23,639 --> 00:03:24,039 the ducks? 67 00:03:24,159 --> 00:03:28,240 Speaker 2: Ralph, Well, I'm just gonna say this for both games, guys, 68 00:03:30,039 --> 00:03:35,240 I really think Indiana and Miami are at least three 69 00:03:35,319 --> 00:03:39,479 points higher then the lines would have been at the 70 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:42,400 end of the regular season. I had Oregon as a 71 00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:46,400 pick and I had Old miss as the favorite. What's happened, Well, 72 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:49,960 they both won both games. But I you and Miami again, 73 00:03:50,000 --> 00:03:53,759 I'm lumping them together. Looked so impressive and got so 74 00:03:53,919 --> 00:03:56,639 much love from the public that right now we are 75 00:03:56,680 --> 00:04:01,120 seeing a true, legitimate inflated line because of public Rarely 76 00:04:01,159 --> 00:04:03,759 does that happen in college football, but in this day 77 00:04:03,759 --> 00:04:08,000 and age, it does. You know. You look at the 78 00:04:08,039 --> 00:04:08,960 teams now. 79 00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:09,960 Speaker 3: And. 80 00:04:11,879 --> 00:04:15,599 Speaker 2: Oregon held Texas Tech to a season low. No one 81 00:04:15,639 --> 00:04:18,600 talks about holding Texas Tech to ten first downs and 82 00:04:18,639 --> 00:04:22,879 two hundred ten, two hundred and ten yards. They all talked, well, 83 00:04:22,879 --> 00:04:25,560 look how good Alabama. They held Alabama at one hundred 84 00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:28,279 and ninety three yards. Both teams held opponents to a 85 00:04:28,319 --> 00:04:34,000 season low. Also, Indiana much more physical on both lines 86 00:04:34,040 --> 00:04:37,920 of scrimmage, Oregon much more speed. The first game in 87 00:04:37,959 --> 00:04:40,959 the rain and wind, even though it was in Eugene 88 00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:45,240 hurt Oregon. I truly think that the speed factor got 89 00:04:45,279 --> 00:04:48,079 negated by the rain and the wind for the Ducks. 90 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:51,399 Where Indiana lined it up and what did they do? 91 00:04:51,800 --> 00:04:54,839 They ran the ball thirty seven times pasted only thirty 92 00:04:54,879 --> 00:05:01,000 one times. Both again the defenses umber five and number 93 00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:04,079 seven on the season, holding their opponents to a season low. 94 00:05:04,920 --> 00:05:07,480 I think the pressure builds. I do like first half 95 00:05:07,600 --> 00:05:10,480 under with the line climbing up. It was twenty three 96 00:05:10,560 --> 00:05:12,240 and a half and I did not use it for 97 00:05:12,319 --> 00:05:15,759 my customers. I'm looking now there are a couple twenty 98 00:05:15,800 --> 00:05:18,079 four and a halfs that popped up first half. A 99 00:05:18,120 --> 00:05:20,240 big difference getting from twenty three and a half to 100 00:05:20,240 --> 00:05:22,360 twenty four and a half for that first half line. 101 00:05:22,439 --> 00:05:24,079 So if you do want to bet that, make sure 102 00:05:24,120 --> 00:05:27,360 you're shopping for this. I have a best bet in 103 00:05:27,399 --> 00:05:29,600 the second thing. But Brian and Ross, I'm just going 104 00:05:29,680 --> 00:05:31,839 to share my play for tonight, guys that I have 105 00:05:32,000 --> 00:05:36,759 for sale. This may sound square, but in this situation, 106 00:05:37,000 --> 00:05:40,519 my client release for tonight was a six and a 107 00:05:40,560 --> 00:05:44,399 half point teaser on Oregon and Old Miss. I got 108 00:05:44,439 --> 00:05:48,120 them both plus ten these two defenses getting them both. 109 00:05:48,160 --> 00:05:51,959 You may say it's square to tease a college football game. 110 00:05:52,319 --> 00:05:54,560 But this is different. This is like an NFL playoff 111 00:05:54,600 --> 00:05:56,959 game where you don't have the variants from top to bottom. 112 00:05:57,160 --> 00:06:00,639 You have legitimate defenses playing with pressure. We have solid 113 00:06:00,720 --> 00:06:04,399 units on both sides of the court. Now, in the NFL, 114 00:06:04,480 --> 00:06:06,399 if you tease a six and a half point teaser, 115 00:06:06,759 --> 00:06:09,959 you're paying as crazy as one forty three. I did 116 00:06:10,000 --> 00:06:12,639 put minus one forty three in my line. But in 117 00:06:12,759 --> 00:06:15,000 Vegas and a few other places you can get a 118 00:06:15,040 --> 00:06:17,279 six and a half point college teaser for as little 119 00:06:17,319 --> 00:06:20,079 as one twenty eight, so make sure you're shopping around. So. 120 00:06:20,439 --> 00:06:22,040 I don't have a lot to say on the game, 121 00:06:22,079 --> 00:06:26,279 except I test power rating numbers from a few weeks ago. 122 00:06:26,920 --> 00:06:29,000 We have a team that I had power rated in 123 00:06:29,079 --> 00:06:31,839 both and I'm getting them both plus ten and a teaser. 124 00:06:32,560 --> 00:06:34,279 Speaker 1: You guys know what I'm doing for the next game, 125 00:06:35,560 --> 00:06:38,879 all right, Ralph expecting at least some close games here 126 00:06:38,920 --> 00:06:41,439 in the two semifinals. By the way, guys, I see 127 00:06:41,439 --> 00:06:43,079 the comments starting to roll in here those of you 128 00:06:43,160 --> 00:06:45,399 who are catching us live on the wage Talk YouTube channel. 129 00:06:45,399 --> 00:06:47,040 Thank you very much again, don't forget to like and 130 00:06:47,079 --> 00:06:48,240 subscribe if you already. 131 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:48,639 Speaker 2: Haven't done that. 132 00:06:49,639 --> 00:06:52,000 Speaker 1: We will be our all of our best bets for 133 00:06:52,040 --> 00:06:53,879 the show. As luck would have it will be on 134 00:06:54,480 --> 00:06:58,959 Thursday's game between Ole Miss and Miami State. Tuned for that. 135 00:06:59,040 --> 00:07:02,079 Those will be coming closer to the end of the program. 136 00:07:02,120 --> 00:07:04,879 If there are any specific questions you guys have on 137 00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:09,040 either of these semi final matchups, ask away and those 138 00:07:09,079 --> 00:07:10,920 of you catching us on replay here on the way 139 00:07:10,959 --> 00:07:13,079 to talk to YouTube channel you ask. You don't be 140 00:07:13,120 --> 00:07:14,800 shy because the last your questions, we'll be checking the 141 00:07:14,800 --> 00:07:19,800 comments as the next forty eight hours roll along. A 142 00:07:19,800 --> 00:07:22,319 couple of things I wanted to add here about this 143 00:07:22,319 --> 00:07:25,560 Oregon Indiana rematch. First time that Kurt Signetti is facing 144 00:07:25,560 --> 00:07:30,639 a team in the same season twice since twenty seventeen, 145 00:07:30,839 --> 00:07:35,000 when he was at Elon he lost the rematch to Furman. 146 00:07:35,160 --> 00:07:38,120 For those of you keeping score at home, a playoff 147 00:07:38,160 --> 00:07:43,959 rematch there. Ross mentioned early in his breakdown that the 148 00:07:44,000 --> 00:07:47,040 Oregon offense was held to two hundred and sixty seven 149 00:07:47,079 --> 00:07:49,319 yards in that regular season matchup. That was a season 150 00:07:49,360 --> 00:07:52,240 low for them. Dante More, who has certainly gotten better 151 00:07:52,279 --> 00:07:56,759 as the season of Forgress, he threw two interceptions in 152 00:07:56,839 --> 00:08:01,040 that game, and again if not for the picks from Mendoza, 153 00:08:01,079 --> 00:08:03,680 a rare mistake from the Heisman winning quarterback for Indiana, 154 00:08:04,040 --> 00:08:07,079 obviously it would have been a no sweat for the Hoosiers. 155 00:08:07,279 --> 00:08:10,759 Another question I have to ask you guys and the child. 156 00:08:10,759 --> 00:08:12,319 I guess there's really no way to ask us, but 157 00:08:12,680 --> 00:08:15,399 Oregon was three for four on fourth down in that 158 00:08:15,439 --> 00:08:18,600 first meeting. Does that happen again? That's obviously you know 159 00:08:18,959 --> 00:08:21,800 fourth down variants. If we knew it ahead of time, Ross, 160 00:08:22,240 --> 00:08:23,319 we'll be millionaires. 161 00:08:23,480 --> 00:08:28,240 Speaker 3: But again it's a great question, Brian, and I would 162 00:08:28,319 --> 00:08:32,440 say I would have to know the average yards needed 163 00:08:32,480 --> 00:08:35,440 on fourth down to make further comment on that. Now. 164 00:08:35,879 --> 00:08:38,639 I mean, if there it was two yards or less 165 00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:43,879 on average, you know it's not overly impressive, but three 166 00:08:43,919 --> 00:08:47,279 for four is still good, very good actually, But I 167 00:08:47,279 --> 00:08:49,360 would need to know that, you know what I mean, 168 00:08:49,720 --> 00:08:52,879 in order to make And again, you could be looking 169 00:08:52,879 --> 00:08:55,080 at a fourth and six when it was a ten 170 00:08:55,159 --> 00:09:00,120 point game late and they're playing soft coverage and the 171 00:09:00,120 --> 00:09:02,919 Oregon having the ball in their own territory. So there's 172 00:09:02,960 --> 00:09:06,320 a lot of factors that come into how impressive that 173 00:09:06,399 --> 00:09:09,399 really is or how least impressive that is. 174 00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:12,759 Speaker 2: Ralph Brian, I went to I went to the stats 175 00:09:12,799 --> 00:09:15,639 while you're doing it. Just FYI, orgon On the year 176 00:09:16,639 --> 00:09:19,480 was number thirty six. They were only eighteen of thirty. 177 00:09:20,039 --> 00:09:22,639 So prior to going three and four, they were only 178 00:09:22,720 --> 00:09:25,720 fifteen of fifteen of twenty six. So not a very 179 00:09:25,759 --> 00:09:28,000 good percentage, right around the middle of the road. So 180 00:09:28,200 --> 00:09:30,039 but I don't have I don't have the average to 181 00:09:30,080 --> 00:09:31,679 go line like that as. 182 00:09:31,519 --> 00:09:34,960 Speaker 3: Average distance they went for it on fourth down, to 183 00:09:35,080 --> 00:09:40,879 me is a determining factor in grading that three four, 184 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:44,879 even the eighteen for whatever. Ralph just said thirty who 185 00:09:44,960 --> 00:09:49,039 had who had the most fourth down conversions this year. 186 00:09:49,759 --> 00:09:52,480 Speaker 1: Of any college football team? 187 00:09:53,480 --> 00:09:56,120 Speaker 2: This is this is too bizarre. Florida it was number 188 00:09:56,320 --> 00:09:58,480 number one, really one. 189 00:09:58,639 --> 00:10:00,600 Speaker 1: You could have given me thirty guesses. I wasn't gonna 190 00:10:00,600 --> 00:10:01,120 get Florida. 191 00:10:01,200 --> 00:10:01,480 Speaker 3: I was not. 192 00:10:02,039 --> 00:10:04,240 Speaker 1: Fau Army was number two. 193 00:10:05,120 --> 00:10:05,279 Speaker 3: Nine. 194 00:10:05,440 --> 00:10:07,879 Speaker 2: Makes a lot of versions. Again, they go forward on 195 00:10:07,919 --> 00:10:09,960 third down, they get the third and under two. 196 00:10:09,840 --> 00:10:13,840 Speaker 3: They're gonna maybe do the same thing too. But you 197 00:10:13,840 --> 00:10:18,279 know what, Brian, alluding to your comments at the top 198 00:10:19,120 --> 00:10:22,080 with this final four that nobody, well not a lot 199 00:10:22,080 --> 00:10:24,639 of people expected. Look, ore, guy's been there and done 200 00:10:24,720 --> 00:10:28,960 it before. But I think it's refreshing for college football. 201 00:10:29,000 --> 00:10:30,240 Speaker 2: I really do this field. 202 00:10:30,600 --> 00:10:33,200 Speaker 3: You know, Oh Miss Miami, who hasn't been there for 203 00:10:33,279 --> 00:10:36,200 twenty something years, Oh Miss for the first time in 204 00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:40,159 this position, and uh, you know in Indiana, I mean 205 00:10:40,440 --> 00:10:45,159 storybook season for them. So I'm really I'm excited about 206 00:10:45,159 --> 00:10:47,399 this Final four. I mean again, and. 207 00:10:47,399 --> 00:10:49,480 Speaker 2: You know, let's let's give credit. We make fun of 208 00:10:49,559 --> 00:10:52,600 them getting Miami in just like the conference, just like 209 00:10:52,759 --> 00:10:55,600 March Mamabis. Well, give him some credit. They were one 210 00:10:55,600 --> 00:10:58,039 of the best teams. They made the right decision. You know, 211 00:10:58,080 --> 00:11:00,799 we can all second guess things, but you know, and. 212 00:11:00,799 --> 00:11:03,559 Speaker 3: You look at Miami's schedule. There's strength to schedule. Even 213 00:11:03,600 --> 00:11:07,559 though he played the SEC is right there with Oh 214 00:11:07,679 --> 00:11:09,559 Miss when it comes down to it. 215 00:11:09,639 --> 00:11:11,840 Speaker 2: So you had had the Notre Dame game in there. 216 00:11:11,879 --> 00:11:14,440 That's a huge boost to their schedule. Yeah, it was. 217 00:11:15,399 --> 00:11:19,039 Speaker 1: We were talking about you know, we were talking about, uh, 218 00:11:19,120 --> 00:11:21,080 we were talking about four thousands. A moment ago. I 219 00:11:21,120 --> 00:11:24,320 wanted to reference this. Whether it look, I don't care 220 00:11:24,320 --> 00:11:27,519 if it's fourth and six inches. Memo to all four 221 00:11:27,559 --> 00:11:32,600 of these teams, do not do the stupid wildcat on 222 00:11:32,679 --> 00:11:33,159 fourth one. 223 00:11:33,399 --> 00:11:34,080 Speaker 3: I watched I don't know. 224 00:11:34,080 --> 00:11:36,440 Speaker 1: If you guys were on New Year's Day, the teams 225 00:11:36,440 --> 00:11:39,200 were over one hundred. They know it's coming. That's not 226 00:11:39,279 --> 00:11:39,639 a hype. 227 00:11:39,759 --> 00:11:40,279 Speaker 3: I know. 228 00:11:40,320 --> 00:11:42,799 Speaker 1: It seems like use your quarterback to speak six. 229 00:11:42,840 --> 00:11:48,600 Speaker 3: Nothing anymore, not only the wildcat. Nothing infuriates me more 230 00:11:48,720 --> 00:11:51,480 RAFFI boy, than when it's fourth and less than one 231 00:11:51,600 --> 00:11:53,759 or fourth and one and they're in the shotgun. 232 00:11:53,960 --> 00:11:56,840 Speaker 2: Why why you're. 233 00:11:56,440 --> 00:11:56,720 Speaker 3: You know. 234 00:11:58,440 --> 00:12:00,519 Speaker 2: Now, I have a serious question. Ross. You are pretty 235 00:12:00,519 --> 00:12:04,679 animated on that. Yeah, what aggravates you more? Shotgun on 236 00:12:04,720 --> 00:12:06,320 fourth and one? Or Lane Kiffin? 237 00:12:07,440 --> 00:12:13,720 Speaker 3: Oh no, no doubt time the fourth and one shotgun 238 00:12:13,759 --> 00:12:16,720 all my life. I can't play. I'll never be able 239 00:12:16,720 --> 00:12:20,360 to put up with Lane Kiffen and his annex anymore. Again, 240 00:12:22,759 --> 00:12:26,399 he dreads two more assistant coaches with him this week 241 00:12:26,440 --> 00:12:29,240 who coached in the game last week. And you know what, 242 00:12:29,559 --> 00:12:33,720 how stupid is l s U Brian. It's dollars bonuses 243 00:12:34,120 --> 00:12:38,519 to Lane Kiffin for oh Miss win a playoff games when. 244 00:12:38,360 --> 00:12:39,279 Speaker 2: He's not even there. 245 00:12:39,840 --> 00:12:42,559 Speaker 1: I can't, I mean I would, yeah, I mean there 246 00:12:42,600 --> 00:12:44,399 has to be some backroom deals here. It's like, dude, 247 00:12:44,440 --> 00:12:46,320 if you're going to poach the staff, you're not getting 248 00:12:46,360 --> 00:12:47,559 your bonuses when we win. 249 00:12:47,639 --> 00:12:49,039 Speaker 2: What you're going to. 250 00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:51,639 Speaker 3: Pach the staff poach you right from the start. You 251 00:12:51,679 --> 00:12:55,320 know what I'm saying. It's not like the offensive coordinator 252 00:12:55,360 --> 00:12:57,159 is still going to be there, which is huge, right, 253 00:12:57,240 --> 00:13:00,679 Charlie weis junior, but you know he got a wide 254 00:13:00,679 --> 00:13:03,440 receivers coach, and I think I can't. 255 00:13:04,080 --> 00:13:05,559 Speaker 1: Right, there's a lot that Yeah, there's a lot of 256 00:13:05,559 --> 00:13:07,679 assistance on that offensive staff that will not That's a 257 00:13:07,759 --> 00:13:09,240 very good point as we're going to get into that 258 00:13:09,240 --> 00:13:11,840 Miami in this game. It's a lot of offensive player 259 00:13:11,960 --> 00:13:14,480 coach on the staff that won't be there for Thursday's game. 260 00:13:14,960 --> 00:13:18,720 Speaker 2: Just a reference. I mean, you look at what Ryan 261 00:13:18,799 --> 00:13:22,279 Day did, right. Heartline stayed, but he took the play 262 00:13:22,279 --> 00:13:24,919 calling away because he wanted to give him responsibilities. Ryan 263 00:13:24,960 --> 00:13:29,240 Day might have cost us and he was not good. 264 00:13:28,039 --> 00:13:31,279 If if Hartline was calling those plays, the offense would 265 00:13:31,320 --> 00:13:33,080 look better. Don't know if we would have won, but 266 00:13:33,440 --> 00:13:37,039 there clearly is there. I mean, there are distinct situations 267 00:13:37,080 --> 00:13:39,600 where you losing a coach this late in the year 268 00:13:39,600 --> 00:13:42,000 in this type of environment can cost you game, and 269 00:13:42,000 --> 00:13:43,200 I think it did for Ohose Date. 270 00:13:43,720 --> 00:13:46,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, and the Oregon DC is leaving by the way 271 00:13:46,000 --> 00:13:47,399 to bring it back to the India before we move 272 00:13:47,440 --> 00:13:50,360 to the other the Oregon DC is leaving. Well, meanwhile, 273 00:13:50,799 --> 00:13:53,759 you know, Signetti man, tip your CAF to this guy. 274 00:13:53,799 --> 00:13:56,639 This guy you know in the week between playoff games, 275 00:13:56,720 --> 00:13:59,000 this guy's working the transfer for I mean, he's bringing 276 00:13:59,480 --> 00:14:03,279 He's just coach at high level, five star guys all 277 00:14:03,320 --> 00:14:03,919 over the place. 278 00:14:04,240 --> 00:14:06,679 Speaker 3: It's easy. It's easy, Brian as You got to look 279 00:14:06,679 --> 00:14:09,200 at that that's there, that he has on a sideline 280 00:14:09,559 --> 00:14:12,440 close in these kids' houses and looks at the parents 281 00:14:12,440 --> 00:14:15,000 and the kid and they can't say no. 282 00:14:15,200 --> 00:14:16,679 Speaker 2: Oh. I thought you were going to say, it's pretty 283 00:14:16,679 --> 00:14:19,159 easy when you're undefeated in the number one ranked team 284 00:14:19,159 --> 00:14:20,320 in college football. 285 00:14:20,639 --> 00:14:24,840 Speaker 3: I mean too, Ralph, Yeah, you're right, always bringing up 286 00:14:24,960 --> 00:14:27,759 you know your your input is invaluable, Rolf. 287 00:14:28,519 --> 00:14:30,200 Speaker 1: I was going to bring up the Lane Kiffin thing, 288 00:14:30,200 --> 00:14:31,759 and Ralph to do. I will say one last thing. 289 00:14:31,840 --> 00:14:32,320 Speaker 2: Let's put a. 290 00:14:32,279 --> 00:14:36,679 Speaker 1: Bow on the Oregon Indiana matchup. Give some of the 291 00:14:36,679 --> 00:14:39,600 actual I think if you like Indiana, I would just 292 00:14:39,600 --> 00:14:41,200 bet them to win the Nationals. I just bet them 293 00:14:41,200 --> 00:14:43,919 to win twice that they're like plus one thirty plus 294 00:14:44,000 --> 00:14:46,559 one thirty five, right, now to win the national championship. 295 00:14:46,799 --> 00:14:48,960 I would just bet that rather. I actually don't want 296 00:14:48,960 --> 00:14:50,519 to lay the points of Indiana in this game. I 297 00:14:50,519 --> 00:14:53,200 think Oregon very good, you know, I think it could 298 00:14:53,320 --> 00:14:56,000 very well be a field goal game here on Friday night. 299 00:14:56,120 --> 00:14:58,440 So I think Indiana, I actually think there's still some 300 00:14:58,559 --> 00:15:03,279 value on them to win it all. All right, that 301 00:15:03,480 --> 00:15:06,360 is Friday's matchup down in Atlanta the Peach Bowl. Let 302 00:15:06,440 --> 00:15:08,720 us know how you'll be betting that game in the 303 00:15:08,799 --> 00:15:14,320 comments section below. We appreciate you keeping the blitz interactive, 304 00:15:14,759 --> 00:15:17,320 but I did tease a few moments ago that our 305 00:15:17,360 --> 00:15:20,080 best bets, of course, our show best bets we have 306 00:15:20,120 --> 00:15:23,279 every week, they will all be on this game that 307 00:15:23,320 --> 00:15:27,159 just popped up on your screen Thursday night ESPN the 308 00:15:27,440 --> 00:15:32,519 Verbo Festa bal out in Arizona, Miami and Ole, miss 309 00:15:32,559 --> 00:15:35,639 This is the unexpected. This really is the unexpected half 310 00:15:35,679 --> 00:15:39,120 of the draw here, both teams winning outright as more 311 00:15:39,559 --> 00:15:43,440 as more as a greater than six point underdog in 312 00:15:43,480 --> 00:15:48,440 the quarter finals. I broke this game down on wager 313 00:15:48,480 --> 00:15:51,639 Talk today with Andy Lang yesterday. I'll reiterate some of 314 00:15:51,639 --> 00:15:53,799 my points in just a little bit, but Ralph, let 315 00:15:53,799 --> 00:15:56,480 me go to you first on this game. You could 316 00:15:56,519 --> 00:15:58,840 share your best bet now if you like, or you 317 00:15:58,840 --> 00:16:00,399 can we can all just wait until the again. But 318 00:16:00,919 --> 00:16:02,679 what are you thinking for Miami and Ole Miss here 319 00:16:02,759 --> 00:16:03,320 Thursday night? 320 00:16:04,000 --> 00:16:05,720 Speaker 2: Well, as I told you, you know, at the end 321 00:16:05,759 --> 00:16:11,039 of the regular season, my power ratings had Mississippi a favorite. Well, Mississippi, 322 00:16:11,039 --> 00:16:13,519 what did they do? They crushed two lane by thirty one, 323 00:16:14,919 --> 00:16:17,840 they beat Georgia, and now all of a sudden, they're, 324 00:16:17,879 --> 00:16:20,679 you know, getting three and a half. What did Miami do? 325 00:16:21,200 --> 00:16:23,679 Miami a ten to three win over Texas A and 326 00:16:23,840 --> 00:16:27,440 M and a twenty four to fourteen win over Ohio State. 327 00:16:28,120 --> 00:16:32,320 Now of the two dogs, I actually like Old Miss Moore, 328 00:16:32,440 --> 00:16:34,840 But again the coaching situation kept me off from just 329 00:16:34,879 --> 00:16:36,759 betting the plus three and a half. And that's why 330 00:16:36,799 --> 00:16:40,960 I did tease it. Everyone's talking about the Miami defense, 331 00:16:41,080 --> 00:16:43,240 right and what they did to Ohio State and what 332 00:16:43,279 --> 00:16:47,200 they did to Texas A and m Nobody's talking about that. 333 00:16:47,360 --> 00:16:50,960 In the two playoff games, Miami got out gained by 334 00:16:51,000 --> 00:16:53,960 forty eight yards and out gained by forty one yards. 335 00:16:54,200 --> 00:16:57,159 They've been out gained by eighty nine yards, where Old 336 00:16:57,279 --> 00:16:59,519 Miss is plus two hundred and six yards in those 337 00:16:59,519 --> 00:17:02,720 two playof games. People are too enamored with this defense. 338 00:17:02,919 --> 00:17:05,319 There's no way Miami's gonna win by ten points unless 339 00:17:05,319 --> 00:17:08,240 they get a couple turnovers. Remember they were plus three turnovers, 340 00:17:08,279 --> 00:17:14,400 and yes, their defense is a playoff a turnover havoc maker. 341 00:17:14,799 --> 00:17:18,119 But Chadless, I mean the guys throwing three interceptions on 342 00:17:18,160 --> 00:17:21,359 the year, they really don't turn the ball over as well. 343 00:17:21,559 --> 00:17:25,160 They've only been minus one turnover the Kentucky game game two. 344 00:17:25,240 --> 00:17:27,599 Other than that, they've either been on the plus side 345 00:17:27,599 --> 00:17:30,160 even or minus one, so they don't have those horrible 346 00:17:30,200 --> 00:17:33,720 turnover games. So to me, again, I do like old 347 00:17:33,759 --> 00:17:36,279 miss here. The coaching staff does keep me off a 348 00:17:36,319 --> 00:17:40,640 traditional bet, but I am gonna go to treated Ad 349 00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:42,920 Chambless as my best bet. And I don't do a 350 00:17:43,000 --> 00:17:46,960 lot of props in the college football regular season, really 351 00:17:47,079 --> 00:17:49,880 none unless something really pops up for me. But when 352 00:17:49,880 --> 00:17:53,160 I broke down this game, this one really did surprise 353 00:17:53,319 --> 00:17:59,160 me as getting some getting some value. You look at again, 354 00:17:59,240 --> 00:18:01,839 we're all we were all enamored with the Miami defense 355 00:18:01,839 --> 00:18:04,319 and what they did, But when you look at the schedule, 356 00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:09,279 who they played, Ohio State saying minus forty four about 357 00:18:09,319 --> 00:18:13,319 a year. Not a mobile quarterback Pittsburgh. Hinschel eighty eight yards. 358 00:18:13,359 --> 00:18:17,519 Not a mobile Pittsburgh. They played Collins because then Jelly 359 00:18:17,599 --> 00:18:21,200 was hurt. Not mobile. Jennings not mobile. Goobersent for Stanford, 360 00:18:21,240 --> 00:18:24,920 not mobile, Louisville not mobile, Legwey not mobile. He's only 361 00:18:24,920 --> 00:18:28,880 faced three running back running back quarterbacks excuse me that 362 00:18:28,960 --> 00:18:32,279 run the ball for over two hundred and twenty yards red. 363 00:18:32,799 --> 00:18:35,839 Even though A and M struggled, he had fifteen rushes 364 00:18:35,880 --> 00:18:39,599 for twenty seven yards against this Miami defense. Vo Tech 365 00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:44,559 drones fourteen carries thirty one yards, cast A Loonas sixteen 366 00:18:44,599 --> 00:18:48,839 carries fifty seven yards. Chandlis has five hundred and twenty 367 00:18:48,920 --> 00:18:53,200 yards rushing this season. The prop is over twenty three 368 00:18:53,240 --> 00:18:57,039 and a half. You're laying one fourteen. He did only 369 00:18:57,039 --> 00:19:00,920 have four for fourteen yards against Georgia, but the team 370 00:19:00,960 --> 00:19:02,880 at four hundred and seventy five yards and they were 371 00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:06,319 not sacked. He didn't need to run. In his previous 372 00:19:06,400 --> 00:19:10,000 ten games against FBS teams, he's rushed for one hundred 373 00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:13,960 and twenty five times, twelve point five times per game, 374 00:19:14,319 --> 00:19:17,559 and he's top twenty four yards eight of his ten 375 00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:23,799 games with Miami, not having faced a mobile quarterback only 376 00:19:23,839 --> 00:19:27,400 twice in the last nine weeks. I think that's exactly 377 00:19:27,440 --> 00:19:30,759 how Old Miss changes the dynamic with this game. Some 378 00:19:30,920 --> 00:19:35,039 quarterback draws early, keep the edge rushers off with some screens, 379 00:19:35,279 --> 00:19:37,400 and I think he's going to break a few big runs. 380 00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:41,039 So best bet, again, it's not truly my best bet, 381 00:19:41,039 --> 00:19:43,799 because they gave you my client release on a teaser 382 00:19:43,839 --> 00:19:46,359 on both. But my best bet before I decided to 383 00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:49,960 give my playaway was this prop over twenty four and 384 00:19:50,000 --> 00:19:53,960 a half. Again, yes, those defensive ends are good, but 385 00:19:54,039 --> 00:19:56,319 there's a lot to not like about this Miami team. 386 00:19:56,319 --> 00:19:59,000 As a favorite who says. 387 00:19:58,720 --> 00:20:02,000 Speaker 1: The holiday se and is over Ralph Michael's remaining in 388 00:20:02,039 --> 00:20:05,720 a generous and giving mood there with the plays. The 389 00:20:05,759 --> 00:20:09,000 prop there again is Trinidad Chamblis over twenty three and 390 00:20:09,000 --> 00:20:11,920 a half rush yards. You know, as you were talking there, Ralph, 391 00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:14,640 the old memory got jogged just a little bit. I 392 00:20:14,680 --> 00:20:16,799 was thinking back to that Oklahoma game. I think we 393 00:20:16,799 --> 00:20:21,240 would all say that maybe before this match up here tonight, 394 00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:23,839 that Oklahoma was the best defense that Ole Miss has 395 00:20:23,880 --> 00:20:27,240 faced this season. And Chambliss, what did he do? He 396 00:20:27,319 --> 00:20:29,680 ran for fifty three yards against Oklahoma in that game, 397 00:20:29,720 --> 00:20:31,440 you know, he was a couple times forced out of 398 00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:34,960 the pocket. Yeah, and so I concur with that. Dan, 399 00:20:35,599 --> 00:20:39,799 we had a question, I think in the chat about props. 400 00:20:39,839 --> 00:20:42,799 It's actually before we go to Ross's play and my 401 00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:45,240 own on tonight's game, let's go to this. Do you 402 00:20:45,279 --> 00:20:47,599 have any prop? Well, we just gave you one right there. 403 00:20:47,720 --> 00:20:50,240 With Ralph liking Trinidad Chamblis over twenty three a half 404 00:20:50,279 --> 00:20:53,559 rush yards. He likes Fletcher overs yards, Hey won Lacey 405 00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:56,680 over receiving yards. A dice can that Lacy over receiving 406 00:20:56,759 --> 00:21:00,319 yards is interesting because I think ole miss Mason prugble 407 00:21:00,319 --> 00:21:05,839 to run the ball. I like Fletcher AWB four. But 408 00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:09,160 my concern with that prop and we can talk about 409 00:21:09,160 --> 00:21:12,799 this generally conceptually, guys, if you'd like, I think that 410 00:21:13,079 --> 00:21:15,079 I think that is it. Mark Fletcher, the running back 411 00:21:15,079 --> 00:21:17,279 for Miami over his rushing yards prop is one of 412 00:21:17,279 --> 00:21:20,039 those things that is this day goes on, people are 413 00:21:20,039 --> 00:21:21,440 gonna be talking and everyone's oh. 414 00:21:21,440 --> 00:21:21,880 Speaker 2: I love that. 415 00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:23,839 Speaker 1: I love that, and then the lot and then the 416 00:21:23,920 --> 00:21:26,480 number is gonna go up by kickoff, and then I 417 00:21:26,480 --> 00:21:28,640 don't know, I think that's gonna wind up being one 418 00:21:28,680 --> 00:21:31,160 of the most popular props by kickoff, Mark Fletcher over 419 00:21:31,440 --> 00:21:33,920 rushing yards. Any thoughts there, Ross. 420 00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:37,200 Speaker 3: The only prop that I use is one when a 421 00:21:37,279 --> 00:21:40,240 tall guy sits in front of me in church. Oh, 422 00:21:40,319 --> 00:21:41,680 I need a prop to see over? 423 00:21:42,200 --> 00:21:45,000 Speaker 2: Okay, I don't. Okay, no prop? 424 00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:49,599 Speaker 1: So sorry? All right, So that's that's hopefully i'd answer 425 00:21:49,599 --> 00:21:51,920 your question. I think Fletcher. Look, I don't have the 426 00:21:51,920 --> 00:21:53,359 current number in front of me right now as we 427 00:21:53,400 --> 00:21:56,559 do it live at eighty six and a half, eighty 428 00:21:56,599 --> 00:21:58,559 eight and a half. I didn't hate it Mark Fletcher 429 00:21:58,599 --> 00:22:02,400 going over for Miami. But Ross, since you're not doing 430 00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:05,240 a prop, what are you looking at here for tonight's 431 00:22:05,279 --> 00:22:07,200 game between Miami and ole Miss? 432 00:22:07,480 --> 00:22:10,960 Speaker 3: Well, you know, either way, whoever wins this game, you 433 00:22:11,079 --> 00:22:13,400 got to think that team is going to be labeled 434 00:22:13,400 --> 00:22:16,920 as a team of destiny. I mean, nobody's oh Miss 435 00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:20,799 getting there number one. They deserve to. But once the 436 00:22:20,839 --> 00:22:25,519 whole lane Kiff and Saga happened at the end of 437 00:22:25,519 --> 00:22:28,559 the regular season, I don't think a lot of people 438 00:22:28,599 --> 00:22:31,359 out there thought ole Miss would even get to this point, 439 00:22:31,440 --> 00:22:35,200 let alone the National Championship game in Miami. Like Ralph 440 00:22:35,240 --> 00:22:40,119 touched upon the last at large team invited. And you know, Ralph, 441 00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:43,720 I like that prop plague. I'm not a prop guy, 442 00:22:43,799 --> 00:22:46,119 but you certainly make a lot of sense. And people 443 00:22:46,200 --> 00:22:49,640 have to realize why is that prop so low at 444 00:22:49,640 --> 00:22:52,680 twenty three and a half yards? Remember, folks, in college football, 445 00:22:54,400 --> 00:22:57,079 if you sacked a quarterback and goes against your rushing 446 00:22:57,519 --> 00:23:00,960 totally and that doesn't happen in the end NFL. But 447 00:23:01,079 --> 00:23:04,759 in any event, talk about defense, Oh, missus defense. I 448 00:23:04,799 --> 00:23:06,759 don't know if you guys are concerned with this with 449 00:23:06,880 --> 00:23:10,920 all missus defense, but you know they gave up only 450 00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:13,799 ten points against Tulane, and Brian, you brought this up 451 00:23:14,319 --> 00:23:16,720 a couple of weeks or last week as a matter 452 00:23:16,759 --> 00:23:19,559 of fact, that you know, they did give up over 453 00:23:19,599 --> 00:23:23,720 four hundred yards in that contest and Tulane squandered a 454 00:23:23,799 --> 00:23:28,079 lot of opportunities. But and again Tulane, to me, they 455 00:23:28,599 --> 00:23:31,000 made the college football playoff field, but they're not a 456 00:23:31,319 --> 00:23:36,519 college football playoff caliber team anyway. To get to my pick, 457 00:23:37,960 --> 00:23:41,440 Miami has played fourteen games this year. Twelve of them 458 00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:44,200 have gone under the first half total, with a combined 459 00:23:44,240 --> 00:23:47,240 average of nineteen point three point score per game. That 460 00:23:47,319 --> 00:23:50,559 includes going seven and oh to the under against the 461 00:23:50,599 --> 00:23:53,839 first half total when facing teams like Oh miss that 462 00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:56,799 averaged thirty one or more points per game. And by 463 00:23:56,839 --> 00:23:59,519 the way, if you're keeping score at home, Oh Missus 464 00:23:59,559 --> 00:24:02,640 averaging thirty seven point six points per game, so that 465 00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:05,640 would be a qualifier. You know, Oh Missus played four 466 00:24:05,720 --> 00:24:08,920 non conference games this year, including the one against Tulane, 467 00:24:09,359 --> 00:24:12,839 and in those four non conference games there was just 468 00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:16,319 a combined twenty three point eight points score per game 469 00:24:16,400 --> 00:24:21,000 at halftime and during those four non conference contests fail 470 00:24:21,079 --> 00:24:24,000 out and average of four points per game in first 471 00:24:24,079 --> 00:24:29,079 half action, albeit against weaker competition, but still, the numbers 472 00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:31,440 don't lie at the end of the day, and they'll 473 00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:35,000 be facing and again, I know what Ralph is saying 474 00:24:35,160 --> 00:24:39,119 in terms of facing mobile quarterbacks, but you know, you 475 00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:41,759 could spin it any way you want. Miami is a 476 00:24:41,799 --> 00:24:46,759 good defense, and I know that I heard you before 477 00:24:46,880 --> 00:24:51,400 Brian saying something about you know, Oh Missus face defenses 478 00:24:51,880 --> 00:24:57,160 of this caliber in the SEC, and I'm not so 479 00:24:57,359 --> 00:25:00,440 sure who is a better defense than the SEC Miami, 480 00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:04,039 I mean, and they've shown that in two playoff games. 481 00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:07,200 So but that's a discussion for another day, or maybe 482 00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:10,720 a discussion in your next pick. But in any event, 483 00:25:11,359 --> 00:25:14,039 I like this game to go under the first half total. 484 00:25:14,119 --> 00:25:16,640 Now you're seeing twenty four and a half for the 485 00:25:16,680 --> 00:25:19,799 most part, I am seeing a twenty six and a 486 00:25:19,839 --> 00:25:22,839 half at fan duel. So if you it's always good 487 00:25:22,839 --> 00:25:24,799 to shop a line, and if you have access to 488 00:25:24,759 --> 00:25:27,200 the fan duel, that's certainly the way to go. But 489 00:25:27,279 --> 00:25:30,200 I like this game to go under the first half 490 00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:32,440 total of twenty four and a half or higher. 491 00:25:33,559 --> 00:25:38,039 Speaker 1: Yeah. Last week I extolled the virtues of this Miami defense. 492 00:25:38,079 --> 00:25:40,400 I liked the first half under when they played Ohio State. 493 00:25:40,440 --> 00:25:42,079 I talked about the fact that we all talked about 494 00:25:42,079 --> 00:25:44,640 the fact those teams were one and two in points 495 00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:48,839 allowed in the first half, those defenses, Miami and Ohio State. 496 00:25:49,119 --> 00:25:51,359 And obviously that first half could have been even lower 497 00:25:51,400 --> 00:25:53,839 scoring if not for the pick six from Kyante Scott, 498 00:25:53,839 --> 00:25:55,799 who I brought up I would occur. I think the 499 00:25:55,839 --> 00:25:58,759 only defense on my on Miami's levels I mentioned a 500 00:25:58,759 --> 00:26:03,079 few moments ago this week was Oklahoma. Maybe my Ole 501 00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:04,880 Miss put up a lot of points on that defense. 502 00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:07,599 Ole Miss put up and I brought this up with 503 00:26:07,599 --> 00:26:09,319 Andy Laying on wager Talk. 504 00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:09,640 Speaker 3: Today. 505 00:26:09,759 --> 00:26:12,000 Speaker 1: They scored twenty four or more in every game thirty 506 00:26:12,079 --> 00:26:15,440 or more in every game but two. I agree that 507 00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:17,480 this game could get off to a low scoring start. 508 00:26:17,799 --> 00:26:20,720 But for my to round things out here, my best bet, 509 00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:22,519 I'm gonna look and you're gonna have to lay a 510 00:26:22,519 --> 00:26:24,039 little bit of juice. You're gonna have to shop run 511 00:26:24,119 --> 00:26:26,160 for this as well. I like ole Miss's team total 512 00:26:26,279 --> 00:26:27,759 under twenty three and a half. You're gonna have to 513 00:26:27,799 --> 00:26:30,000 lay a little bit of juice to get under that 514 00:26:30,119 --> 00:26:33,359 key number of twenty four. I talk about the kicking 515 00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:35,759 game for ole Miss that gay, Hey, I don't care 516 00:26:35,799 --> 00:26:38,640 how we get the twenty four field goals, touchdowns, whatever, 517 00:26:38,680 --> 00:26:42,880 I'll take it. But against Georgia, okay, carne Erra, he 518 00:26:42,920 --> 00:26:44,960 made three field goals for forty seven plus yards in 519 00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:46,960 that game, so that's always good. You know, kicking game 520 00:26:47,759 --> 00:26:50,160 can be so wild both NFL and college we've seen it, 521 00:26:50,200 --> 00:26:53,160 but ole Miss has a good kicker. I think Chambliss 522 00:26:53,839 --> 00:26:56,599 to Ralph's point can make plays outside the pocket in 523 00:26:56,640 --> 00:26:59,680 this game. Okay, I know it's not the same Georgia 524 00:26:59,720 --> 00:27:02,799 defense that we've seen in years past, but still the 525 00:27:02,839 --> 00:27:04,839 thirty nine points in four hundred and seventy three yards 526 00:27:04,880 --> 00:27:07,079 that ole Miss put up last week. Nothing to sneeze at. 527 00:27:07,319 --> 00:27:09,480 I thought the Rebels with the deserved winner of those games. 528 00:27:09,799 --> 00:27:12,960 And Ralph also made another good point. You know, as 529 00:27:13,039 --> 00:27:14,799 much love as there is for Miami in the marketplace, 530 00:27:14,799 --> 00:27:18,720 and I've upgraded of myself that they You know, they 531 00:27:19,000 --> 00:27:20,960 forced five turnovers the last two weeks, and I think 532 00:27:20,960 --> 00:27:24,279 that was largely the difference. Obviously the pick six completely 533 00:27:24,279 --> 00:27:28,119 flipped that game against Ohio State, but they were outgained 534 00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:31,559 in both games. Miami of Florida was. So it's a 535 00:27:31,559 --> 00:27:33,359 tough game to call. As far as the side goes, 536 00:27:33,400 --> 00:27:35,440 I'm right on market but I think and I think 537 00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:37,880 ole Miss of the overs correlated. Miami and the unders 538 00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:40,000 probably correlated. I talked about that on the morning Wager. 539 00:27:40,279 --> 00:27:42,200 But I like ole Miss over twenty three and a 540 00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:45,519 half to round out this the three best bets today. 541 00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:49,160 Speaker 2: Hey Brian, you're going over twenty three and a half. 542 00:27:49,680 --> 00:27:52,480 Over twenty three and a half, okay, perfect? 543 00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:56,920 Speaker 3: Yeah, because you mistakenly said under, so they yeah, so 544 00:27:57,039 --> 00:27:58,599 the viewers don't get confused. 545 00:27:58,839 --> 00:28:02,119 Speaker 2: Yeah, I was looking draft DraftKings has minus one forty 546 00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:03,440 on over twenty three and a half. 547 00:28:03,519 --> 00:28:06,039 Speaker 1: I apologize for saying that. I get confused. Thank you 548 00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:06,559 for catching it. 549 00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:10,519 Speaker 3: Was nails to say, you know again, we just want 550 00:28:10,559 --> 00:28:13,920 to cover it so the viewers don't get confused. That's it. 551 00:28:14,000 --> 00:28:17,079 Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know if the dog will be barking 552 00:28:17,079 --> 00:28:19,240 in this matchup, and hopefully you can't hear there's a 553 00:28:19,279 --> 00:28:21,200 dog barking behind me. We have a new figure at 554 00:28:21,240 --> 00:28:21,880 the home and it was. 555 00:28:22,200 --> 00:28:23,359 Speaker 2: Throwing me off here. 556 00:28:23,440 --> 00:28:26,759 Speaker 1: It's unbelievable here it's a piercing bark. So yes, oldness, 557 00:28:26,839 --> 00:28:31,359 let's clarify ole miss team total over twenty three and 558 00:28:31,400 --> 00:28:33,880 a half is what we're looking at from me to 559 00:28:33,920 --> 00:28:36,039 go along with Ross who likes the first half under 560 00:28:36,279 --> 00:28:37,799 twenty five and a half. So we're going to thrend 561 00:28:37,799 --> 00:28:39,279 the needle there a little bit. And then Ralph likes 562 00:28:39,279 --> 00:28:41,559 Trinidad Chamblis over twenty three and a half. Rush ars. 563 00:28:44,279 --> 00:28:46,160 Speaker 3: Sounds good, sounds good to me. 564 00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:48,839 Speaker 1: There it is all three got the three plays for 565 00:28:49,000 --> 00:28:49,920 tonight's game. 566 00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:53,960 Speaker 3: Let us know you're Brian, fight away and play. I 567 00:28:54,079 --> 00:28:56,160 just gave you on the under first half in the 568 00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:59,200 Miami game. That is a three percent premium pick to 569 00:28:59,279 --> 00:29:01,759 my clients to night. So you know, you guys have 570 00:29:01,799 --> 00:29:05,319 been so good to me this year buying all access 571 00:29:05,400 --> 00:29:08,680 passes and buying a lot of college football. It's the 572 00:29:08,759 --> 00:29:10,839 least I could do at this point of the season. 573 00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:15,640 So that's a three percent. Well you know what, right, 574 00:29:16,279 --> 00:29:17,599 So what's it? 575 00:29:17,799 --> 00:29:20,720 Speaker 2: Ro? I said? Ralph's generous giving out a client play. 576 00:29:20,799 --> 00:29:22,880 You're generous giving out a cly and play. But you 577 00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:24,400 know who's this guy over here? 578 00:29:25,359 --> 00:29:27,359 Speaker 1: Anyone want a dog? I'll tell you that much right now. 579 00:29:27,400 --> 00:29:29,519 I'm ready to give away a puppy if anyone wants that, 580 00:29:29,640 --> 00:29:30,119 I'll tell you what. 581 00:29:30,640 --> 00:29:33,039 Speaker 2: Hey, boss, are we here next Thursday going over the 582 00:29:33,119 --> 00:29:38,160 championship game? You're talking to me? No the other boss? Oh? 583 00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:41,519 Speaker 1: Okay, I think so, unless if they somehow like don't 584 00:29:41,559 --> 00:29:43,319 want I think it. I think it would be awkward 585 00:29:43,359 --> 00:29:46,200 if after breaking all these games down all year long, 586 00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:48,079 if they're like, yeah, you know what, guys, don't worry 587 00:29:48,079 --> 00:29:50,400 about the national championship game, that would be uh, that 588 00:29:50,440 --> 00:29:54,200 would be an awful all look at. 589 00:29:54,079 --> 00:29:57,640 Speaker 3: It like this. In our business, the national championship games 590 00:29:57,720 --> 00:30:01,640 like the Super Bowl, you got guys contending to sell 591 00:30:01,680 --> 00:30:04,440 the same game, you know what I mean. So it's 592 00:30:04,440 --> 00:30:08,279 to me, Uh, we do pretty well at wager talk. 593 00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:12,680 I don't think any of us will well, we'll have 594 00:30:12,720 --> 00:30:14,519 any problem giving a pickaway. 595 00:30:14,839 --> 00:30:18,960 Speaker 2: And again, guys, let's just remind people this and the 596 00:30:19,000 --> 00:30:22,119 Super Bowl are entertainment, So do not go crazy because 597 00:30:22,160 --> 00:30:24,680 there's two games. If you really don't like something, don't 598 00:30:24,680 --> 00:30:26,759 bet it. If you want to have fun and it's 599 00:30:26,799 --> 00:30:29,079 a leisurely bet, that's fine to have a fun bet 600 00:30:29,160 --> 00:30:31,359 on the super Bowl or a fun bet on these games, you. 601 00:30:32,839 --> 00:30:37,559 Speaker 3: Know, Monday and Thursday night NFL games. If if if 602 00:30:37,559 --> 00:30:40,680 you put it on the Sunday board, would you use it? 603 00:30:40,920 --> 00:30:42,960 Speaker 2: You know, it's exactly how I do it ross on 604 00:30:43,279 --> 00:30:45,759 a on a standalone college football game. If it's not 605 00:30:45,799 --> 00:30:48,680 one of my top five plays for the week, I 606 00:30:48,720 --> 00:30:51,720 don't mean And I've had I've had one midweek NFL 607 00:30:51,759 --> 00:30:54,000 game this year. I just don't force them because they're 608 00:30:54,000 --> 00:30:56,279 not there. And I've had a great season. So hey, 609 00:30:56,319 --> 00:30:58,960 it's important, guys. And again, you know, it's like going 610 00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:02,279 to it's like going a concert. You could spend one 611 00:31:02,319 --> 00:31:04,240 hundred dollars on a concert if you can afford that 612 00:31:04,279 --> 00:31:05,799 to go to a concert. So if you want to 613 00:31:05,839 --> 00:31:07,160 have a couple of fun bets on this and a 614 00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:10,079 couple of teasers and parlays and have entertainment. Just make 615 00:31:10,119 --> 00:31:13,279 sure it's your entertainment expense and not betting legitimate money 616 00:31:13,359 --> 00:31:15,759 unless you truly like this game. If it were a 617 00:31:15,799 --> 00:31:16,920 regular season game. 618 00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:20,799 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll throw in a curmudgeonly take as well here 619 00:31:20,839 --> 00:31:24,079 on this game. You know, if the game isn't competitive, 620 00:31:24,200 --> 00:31:25,880 that doesn't mean you need to tweet about it and 621 00:31:25,920 --> 00:31:28,519 go on and complain with all of your thoughts how 622 00:31:28,559 --> 00:31:31,799 you would fix college football. There's nothing worse in twenty 623 00:31:31,880 --> 00:31:36,480 twenty six than a standalone blowout football game, and everyone starts, 624 00:31:36,599 --> 00:31:38,799 oh my god, it y'all used to be better. 625 00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:40,119 Speaker 2: Let me tell you how I. 626 00:31:40,039 --> 00:31:42,079 Speaker 1: Would fix this port. No one asked for that. And 627 00:31:42,119 --> 00:31:44,000 if you're thinking yourself, PP, are you talking to me? 628 00:31:44,119 --> 00:31:44,319 Speaker 2: Yes? 629 00:31:44,359 --> 00:31:47,960 Speaker 1: Probably I am, so please save your tweets for someone else. 630 00:31:48,319 --> 00:31:51,319 Speaker 3: I need your help here. You know that I always 631 00:31:51,359 --> 00:31:57,240 need your help college. You're a big betting angle guy, okay, 632 00:31:57,400 --> 00:31:59,200 because that's what I call him angles. 633 00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:02,599 Speaker 2: I share angles, but I am not a big betting 634 00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:03,559 angles guy. Okay. 635 00:32:04,279 --> 00:32:07,799 Speaker 3: Having said that, it's I use them, okay, But I 636 00:32:07,839 --> 00:32:11,680 want to let the viewers know that that's not my 637 00:32:11,880 --> 00:32:14,440 sole reason why I like a game. It's just a 638 00:32:14,480 --> 00:32:19,599 supporting factor amongst many that I look at one handicap 639 00:32:19,640 --> 00:32:22,880 in the game and it amazes me, guys to this 640 00:32:23,039 --> 00:32:26,640 day that people criticize me on the comments section of 641 00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:30,039 my solo videos. And that's okay, you have that right, 642 00:32:30,279 --> 00:32:33,079 just keep it clean. But a lot of you out 643 00:32:33,119 --> 00:32:37,920 there still can't understand there's a huge difference between a 644 00:32:37,960 --> 00:32:42,119 betting angle and a betting trend. Okay, a betting trend 645 00:32:42,160 --> 00:32:44,759 has to do with a specific team. The stuff the 646 00:32:44,920 --> 00:32:48,039 Rolph gives you a lot of times on this show 647 00:32:48,079 --> 00:32:51,920 alone has to do with all teams in specific situation 648 00:32:52,319 --> 00:32:54,599 or situations. 649 00:32:53,839 --> 00:32:56,799 Speaker 2: Which I call systems versus trends and angles. So for me, 650 00:32:57,279 --> 00:33:00,319 I say, trends and angles are team specific which aren't 651 00:33:00,359 --> 00:33:03,200 as strong because they can fluctuate every week every season. 652 00:33:03,480 --> 00:33:07,640 But a betting system is a situational advantage that has 653 00:33:07,680 --> 00:33:11,640 a long historic trend with a large sample size showing 654 00:33:11,680 --> 00:33:14,519 what has occurred when this situation has happened. 655 00:33:14,640 --> 00:33:16,759 Speaker 3: So see, that's why I always ask you for help. 656 00:33:17,079 --> 00:33:19,440 I'm going to start calling them betting systems instead of 657 00:33:19,480 --> 00:33:22,680 betting angles, and maybe they'll alleviate the whole damn problem. 658 00:33:22,920 --> 00:33:25,759 Speaker 2: I truly think. I think that's the mentality people have. 659 00:33:27,039 --> 00:33:29,240 Speaker 1: So that's all right, But I'll tell you what. There 660 00:33:29,319 --> 00:33:30,960 is one last thing we need to get in here. 661 00:33:31,440 --> 00:33:34,599 Incredible deal going on right now at wagertalk dot com 662 00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:38,440 this weekend where you can get seven days for sixty 663 00:33:38,759 --> 00:33:43,799 nine dollars. Normally, caution, you get three days for sixty 664 00:33:43,880 --> 00:33:46,599 nine dollars. But hey, we have expanded that special less 665 00:33:46,599 --> 00:33:48,440 than ten dollars per day. You see it right there 666 00:33:48,799 --> 00:33:51,839 on your screen you can get. And it's a big weekend, 667 00:33:51,839 --> 00:33:54,559 not only with what a weekend this is ross and rough, 668 00:33:54,599 --> 00:33:57,079 is it. Not only do we have the two college 669 00:33:57,079 --> 00:33:59,359 football playoff semi finals, but I don't need to tell 670 00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:02,519 either of you that will then bleed into the NFL 671 00:34:02,799 --> 00:34:06,440 wild Card weekend. Two game Saturday, three games Sunday, and 672 00:34:06,440 --> 00:34:08,519 then a Monday nighter as well. I already have a 673 00:34:08,559 --> 00:34:11,199 five percent max bet up for the NFL Wildcard weekn 674 00:34:11,199 --> 00:34:12,920 As a matter of fact, I've been referenced earlier we 675 00:34:12,960 --> 00:34:15,840 got twenty twenty six could not have started on a 676 00:34:15,840 --> 00:34:19,519 better note than Indiana absolutely taking Alabama behind the woodshed. 677 00:34:19,599 --> 00:34:22,320 So this will be Let's let's start the NFL playoffs 678 00:34:22,639 --> 00:34:24,920 in the same way as well. Seven day all access. 679 00:34:25,079 --> 00:34:27,320 You can get all three of us seven days from 680 00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:32,119 all of us sixty nine dollars each at our respective pages, 681 00:34:32,159 --> 00:34:34,000 Ralph sat anything you wanted to chime in with that. 682 00:34:34,840 --> 00:34:37,760 Speaker 2: Nope, Like I said, you guys got my play for today. 683 00:34:38,840 --> 00:34:41,000 I'm not going to have a big NFL play this week, 684 00:34:41,079 --> 00:34:43,960 so just looking, I have a college basketball play up 685 00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:46,239 as well. And college basketball has been on a nice run, 686 00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:48,679 so slow and steady wins it. We're not going to 687 00:34:48,760 --> 00:34:50,760 try to wow people with big plays that we don't 688 00:34:50,760 --> 00:34:54,079 truly like. And the conservative approach has worked and will 689 00:34:54,119 --> 00:34:56,000 continue to do that, and looking forward to a great 690 00:34:56,079 --> 00:34:57,239 twenty twenty six. 691 00:34:58,519 --> 00:35:01,039 Speaker 1: And Ross, I will give you the last. 692 00:35:00,800 --> 00:35:04,679 Speaker 3: Word seven or eight and three excuse me? My last 693 00:35:04,679 --> 00:35:08,519 eleven in college basketball twenty five and sixteen, sixty one percent, 694 00:35:08,599 --> 00:35:12,639 last forty one in the NFL, college football and NFL combined, 695 00:35:12,719 --> 00:35:15,400 going all the way back to December thirty first of 696 00:35:15,440 --> 00:35:19,360 twenty twenty four, one eighteen and seventy nine, up over 697 00:35:19,400 --> 00:35:23,519 one hundred and five units in net profit, and all sports, folks, 698 00:35:23,880 --> 00:35:28,559 all sports right now, up over one hundred and seventy 699 00:35:28,599 --> 00:35:32,639 one units of net profit, and uh, you know where 700 00:35:32,679 --> 00:35:35,679 that takes me, it takes me to this nineteen ninety nine. 701 00:35:35,880 --> 00:35:39,000 That's nineteen hundred and ninety nine dollars is our regular 702 00:35:39,079 --> 00:35:41,719 price for a three hundred and sixty five day all 703 00:35:41,760 --> 00:35:45,320 access paths. You can get five hundred dollars off right 704 00:35:45,360 --> 00:35:47,800 now take it down to fourteen ninety nine. Not only that, 705 00:35:48,199 --> 00:35:50,239 if you buy it from me, you bry for Brian, 706 00:35:50,360 --> 00:35:53,159 you buy it from Ralph, We're also going to give 707 00:35:53,159 --> 00:35:56,280 you a twenty five percent bonus coupon you could use 708 00:35:56,800 --> 00:36:01,920 unlimited times on any other handicapper the site throughout the 709 00:36:01,920 --> 00:36:04,000 course of that three hundred and sixty five days. So 710 00:36:04,119 --> 00:36:06,800 if you're looking to make money over the long haul, 711 00:36:07,079 --> 00:36:10,559 I've proven I could do that for you. Eight that 712 00:36:10,719 --> 00:36:13,599 streak I just mentioned and all those units over the 713 00:36:13,639 --> 00:36:16,519 last eight months. Folks, just imagine equate that tow one 714 00:36:16,599 --> 00:36:19,840 hundred dollars per unit. You're up over seventeen grand during 715 00:36:19,960 --> 00:36:21,159 the last eight months with me. 716 00:36:22,639 --> 00:36:27,480 Speaker 1: All right, there you have it. Another edition of the 717 00:36:27,480 --> 00:36:29,880 Blitz is in the book. The is it the penultimate? 718 00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:31,480 Isn't that what they call it? When it's second to last? 719 00:36:31,480 --> 00:36:33,960 I can't remember. It's the second to last edition of Blitz. 720 00:36:34,039 --> 00:36:37,159 We will be back next week, I presume in our 721 00:36:37,199 --> 00:36:40,440 normal Thursday timeslot live one pm Eastern. Here on the 722 00:36:40,440 --> 00:36:43,440 way to talk to YouTube channel. Don't forgetlick subscribe that 723 00:36:43,440 --> 00:36:46,920 way you'll be instantly notified when we do go live. 724 00:36:47,639 --> 00:36:51,119 We'll have one game to discuss next week. But for Ross, 725 00:36:51,360 --> 00:36:54,760 for Ralph, everybody, have a great weekend betting football, a 726 00:36:54,880 --> 00:36:59,079 profitable weekend betting football. And until next time, let's cash 727 00:36:59,239 --> 00:36:59,840 some tickets.